Latest / Wayne Allyn Root’s WAR Zone Audio Hours / Wayne Allyn Root WAR RAW 10/09/24 Hour 2
Transcript
- 0:10Speaker 1: Warning The Root, The Root, The Roots on Fire.
- 0:14Speaker 2: You're about to experience the most high octane, pedal to
- 0:16Speaker 2: the metal controversial show of your life. Please buckle up
- 0:20Speaker 2: and hold on tightly. This station is not responsible for injuries.
- 0:23Speaker 2: This is Wayne Alan Root, Raw and unfiltered with America's
- 0:27Speaker 2: favorite conservative rock star, direct from the entertainment capital of
- 0:31Speaker 2: the world, Las Vegas.
- 0:33Speaker 3: What time is it? It's time war War.
- 0:38Speaker 2: Here's your host, one hundred percent raw Truth, one hundred
- 0:41Speaker 2: percent American made the Warrior, Wayne Alan Root.
- 0:58Speaker 4: All right way, Thory Third's on fire. This is our
- 1:01Speaker 4: simulcast hour. We've got both national radio with Talk Media
- 1:05Speaker 4: Network going on with a stream national TV on Franksbeach
- 1:09Speaker 4: dot Com.
- 1:09Speaker 3: Great to be with you.
- 1:11Speaker 4: We air on both Frank's Peach, Faith and Family and
- 1:13Speaker 4: Frank's Beach News. So that is a good thing and
- 1:16Speaker 4: we are very proud of it. And I want to
- 1:19Speaker 4: open the show first of all with a little prayer
- 1:22Speaker 4: for the people of the Gulf Coast of Florida, or
- 1:24Speaker 4: maybe the whole state of Florida, because this hurricane has
- 1:28Speaker 4: effects all over Florida, even some areas of South Florida
- 1:32Speaker 4: getting hit with wind and rain. But the Gulf Coast
- 1:36Speaker 4: is about to get barreled into by one of the
- 1:38Speaker 4: I don't know if it's gonna be the worst hurricane ever,
- 1:42Speaker 4: but it's definitely gonna be one of the worst in
- 1:45Speaker 4: my lifetime. Is if the hysteria of the media is
- 1:48Speaker 4: to be believed, it's gonna be very bad, and it's
- 1:52Speaker 4: gonna barrel into Tampa, Saint Petersburg in Sarasota, and rip
- 1:58Speaker 4: across the state of Flora, barrel into Orlando. As a
- 2:02Speaker 4: matter of fact, at this very moment, two things have
- 2:06Speaker 4: come out. Milton could trigger the worst case damage scenario
- 2:11Speaker 4: one hundred and seventy five billion dollar loss, one hundred
- 2:15Speaker 4: and seventy five billion dollar loss, but absolutely absolutely fifty
- 2:19Speaker 4: to one hundred billion dollar loss by insurers across that state.
- 2:24Speaker 4: And then just one single property, the Disney resort. Disney
- 2:28Speaker 4: World Resort is in Hurricane Milton's forecasted path, and analysts
- 2:34Speaker 4: from Goldman Sachs expect disruptions from the storm could cost
- 2:38Speaker 4: the entertainment company between one hundred and fifty million to
- 2:40Speaker 4: two hundred million dollars this quarter. So I was thinking
- 2:45Speaker 4: that was the damage to Disney World Resort, but it's
- 2:49Speaker 4: it's actually the loss, the economic loss, because nobody, you know,
- 2:53Speaker 4: nobody's going to Disney World's closed, and even it was open,
- 2:56Speaker 4: who'd go there, right, I mean, it's it's in the
- 2:58Speaker 4: eye of a hurricane, so there's gonna be a lot
- 3:01Speaker 4: of wind and a lot of rain, and nobody's going
- 3:02Speaker 4: on any rides.
- 3:03Speaker 3: So it's closed.
- 3:05Speaker 4: And of course they want to keep their employees safe,
- 3:07Speaker 4: so that's why it's closed as well, not just customers
- 3:09Speaker 4: but employees. So Disney World's taken one hundred and fifty
- 3:12Speaker 4: two hundred million dollar loss, but the insurance net state
- 3:15Speaker 4: of Florida could take a loss of one hundred and
- 3:18Speaker 4: seventy five billion dollars with a bee. And you know
- 3:21Speaker 4: what's horrible about that, It's that if you live in Florida,
- 3:23Speaker 4: can you imagine how they're gonna hike up your insurance rates,
- 3:26Speaker 4: which are already like ten times higher than they were
- 3:30Speaker 4: five years ago. Insurance rates are staggering in Florida, staggering,
- 3:36Speaker 4: just beyond belief. Just to give you some idea, I mean,
- 3:40Speaker 4: I've got friends in Las Vegas who own five million
- 3:42Speaker 4: dollar homes and their home insurance is like three thousand
- 3:45Speaker 4: dollars a year, right, because nothing's gonna happen in your house.
- 3:48Speaker 4: What do you odd something's ever gonna happen in your house?
- 3:50Speaker 4: So you pay three thousand a year on a five
- 3:52Speaker 4: million dollar home. I have a friend in Florida who
- 3:54Speaker 4: has a five million dollar home, and he pays sixty
- 3:56Speaker 4: thousand dollars a year in homeowners insurance sixty And my
- 4:01Speaker 4: guess is that goes to one twenty in the state
- 4:04Speaker 4: of Florida after next year, after these damages. Insurers take
- 4:08Speaker 4: this kind of damage, they're gonna hike that and probably
- 4:12Speaker 4: everyone in the country, including me in Las Vegas, everyone
- 4:15Speaker 4: is gonna get a hike in their home insurance rates,
- 4:18Speaker 4: which are already sky high and highest they've ever been,
- 4:21Speaker 4: and going up higher and higher every year. After each
- 4:24Speaker 4: natural disaster, the insurance industry hikes our rates. So a
- 4:28Speaker 4: lot of bad things going on. Let me tell you
- 4:30Speaker 4: some good things going on. First of all, I make
- 4:34Speaker 4: some really good predictions. I mean, I'm batting nine ninety nine,
- 4:38Speaker 4: and most of my predictions come true right away or
- 4:40Speaker 4: are proven true right away.
- 4:41Speaker 3: But here's one that took nine years to come true.
- 4:44Speaker 4: Nine years, not nine days, not week nine weeks, not
- 4:47Speaker 4: nine months, nine years, but it came true. Nine years
- 4:51Speaker 4: ago I wrote a column for Fox News, and I said,
- 4:54Speaker 4: President Trump can compete in New York and needs to
- 4:58Speaker 4: compete in New York, and to do that, he needs
- 5:01Speaker 4: to rent Madison Square Garden and have a huge rally,
- 5:05Speaker 4: and that rally should honor the police and the fire
- 5:07Speaker 4: and the first responders.
- 5:09Speaker 3: And sure enough, nine years later, I wrote that.
- 5:12Speaker 4: In December of twenty fifteen, two weeks after I was
- 5:15Speaker 4: the opening speaker for President Trump's first major rally.
- 5:20Speaker 3: He'd never even done rallies.
- 5:22Speaker 4: And five thousand plus people showed up in Las Vegas.
- 5:25Speaker 4: I think my memory serves it was at the Westgate,
- 5:28Speaker 4: which used to be the Hilton, and I was the
- 5:31Speaker 4: opening speaker and master of ceremonies for President Trump's event,
- 5:34Speaker 4: And actually only two people spoke that night, me and
- 5:36Speaker 4: President Trump. And I wrote a column two weeks later
- 5:41Speaker 4: and I said, he can win New York. He certainly
- 5:44Speaker 4: can compete in New York and take away resources from
- 5:47Speaker 4: the Democrats that will cost him the sixteen election, the
- 5:50Speaker 4: twenty sixteen election. If Hillary needs to spend money to
- 5:53Speaker 4: defend New York, then Trump's can win this election, so
- 5:56Speaker 4: he should really go after New York and the same
- 5:59Speaker 4: article I said.
- 6:00Speaker 3: And by the way, the same.
- 6:01Speaker 4: Working class, blue collar men who loved Trump in New York,
- 6:05Speaker 4: for the old neighboroods I used to live in. Well,
- 6:07Speaker 4: those kind of people are gonna elect him in Pennsylvania
- 6:11Speaker 4: and Ohio and Michigan and Wisconsin, in Iowa, all the
- 6:15Speaker 4: Midwest states, battleground states that he wound up winning in
- 6:19Speaker 4: twenty sixteen.
- 6:20Speaker 3: I mean, how good was I That was.
- 6:22Speaker 4: December of fifteen, still a year and a half before
- 6:26Speaker 4: the election. Actually more than year and a half, almost
- 6:28Speaker 4: two years before the election, right December of fifteen to
- 6:31Speaker 4: December of sixteen to November of sixteen, so you're talking
- 6:36Speaker 4: about almost two years later. Trump wins the election by
- 6:41Speaker 4: winning all those states, by winning blue collar, middle class,
- 6:44Speaker 4: working class votes. But I said, to win New York,
- 6:48Speaker 4: to compete in New York, he's gonna have to rent
- 6:51Speaker 4: Madison Square Garden. Well, sure enough, he announced today he's
- 6:54Speaker 4: booking Madison Square Garden for a rally in the home
- 6:57Speaker 4: stretch of the campaign. Let me see they give us
- 6:59Speaker 4: a date that Yeah, it's set to take place on
- 7:03Speaker 4: October twenty seventh, nine days before election day. That is
- 7:07Speaker 4: going to be the wildest event in the history of
- 7:11Speaker 4: the United States of politics. I predicted it nine years early.
- 7:15Speaker 3: It's happening.
- 7:16Speaker 4: Wait till you see twenty thousand New Yorkers, especially in
- 7:20Speaker 4: New York men like me in your face, macho men
- 7:24Speaker 4: screaming for Trump like it's a UFC event. It's gonna
- 7:27Speaker 4: be the wildest event in history. I guarantee you that.
- 7:31Speaker 4: Another bit of good news, My new book is out
- 7:34Speaker 4: and it's skyrocketed to the top of the bestseller lists.
- 7:38Speaker 4: How Democrats have made America Great? Everything you need to know,
- 7:42Speaker 4: And you go, what, how democrats have made America great?
- 7:45Speaker 4: What's Wayne talking about? It's one hundred and forty blank pages.
- 7:49Speaker 4: Can't get it. It's a joke book. It's a humor book.
- 7:53Speaker 4: It is a gag gift. It is the perfect gift
- 7:56Speaker 4: to give to every conservative.
- 7:58Speaker 3: In your life. They will look at it and they
- 7:59Speaker 3: will go, you're a big conservative, Johnny.
- 8:02Speaker 4: What do you give me a book like this for
- 8:04Speaker 4: how Democrats have made America Great? And then they're gonna
- 8:06Speaker 4: open it and see it's one hundred and forty blank
- 8:09Speaker 4: pages and they're gonna laugh. So loud, and I've had
- 8:12Speaker 4: this thing in the planning stages for a year. It
- 8:14Speaker 4: was originally how Biden has made America Great, all the
- 8:18Speaker 4: wisdom of Joe Biden, and the book was gonna be empty.
- 8:21Speaker 4: And then when I realized Biden was not gonna be
- 8:22Speaker 4: the nominee, which was in April, I realized that, I said,
- 8:26Speaker 4: the odds are he will not be the nominie, and
- 8:28Speaker 4: I was right about that. I said, let's change it
- 8:30Speaker 4: to Democrats, make it generic, how Democrats have made America Great?
- 8:34Speaker 4: And so here it is, and it is one hundred
- 8:36Speaker 4: and forty blank pages, and it is gonna be a
- 8:39Speaker 4: huge bestseller because everyone's gonna want to buy five copies,
- 8:42Speaker 4: six copies, ten copies to give to all their friends
- 8:44Speaker 4: for Christmas or even for the election season. It's hilarious
- 8:48Speaker 4: How Democrats have made America Great? By Wayne Allen Root
- 8:50Speaker 4: at Amazon dot com. Grab a few copies and give
- 8:54Speaker 4: it to all the people in your life. Liberals who
- 8:56Speaker 4: you want their headsticks blode, and conservative who you want
- 9:00Speaker 4: to laugh out loud. Doug Emma Hoff is the husband
- 9:07Speaker 4: of Kamala Harris, so he has a chance to be
- 9:10Speaker 4: the first gentleman he's the husband of the vice president,
- 9:14Speaker 4: has chanced to be the you know, the first lady,
- 9:17Speaker 4: the first man in this case, maybe he is the
- 9:20Speaker 4: first lady.
- 9:22Speaker 3: So we already know that.
- 9:24Speaker 4: This guy, Doug em Off, got a nanny pregnant with
- 9:28Speaker 4: his first wife, who is a schoolteacher at his children's school,
- 9:32Speaker 4: and he got her pregnant, had sex with her, at
- 9:34Speaker 4: an affair with her, and got her pregnant. So he's
- 9:37Speaker 4: a slime ball.
- 9:38Speaker 3: And then.
- 9:40Speaker 4: I don't know if I could say we know it,
- 9:42Speaker 4: but a woman he was dating charges she slapped him.
- 9:45Speaker 4: He slapped her. Excuse me, he slapped her. So he's
- 9:48Speaker 4: a wife beater allegedly. Now he's accused of serial sexual
- 9:53Speaker 4: misconduct in an explosive new report. Look, Kambala is going
- 9:57Speaker 4: down for the count. I believe a landslide is coming.
- 10:00Speaker 4: I believe this is a Reagan Carter rematch. Right, Carter
- 10:05Speaker 4: and Reagan, we're dead even going into the election all
- 10:09Speaker 4: of the summer and fall, actually all the summer, Carter
- 10:12Speaker 4: was head by ten and then Reagan closed the gap.
- 10:15Speaker 3: But it was dead even in September October, and.
- 10:17Speaker 4: Then on election day, everybody walked into the voting Booth
- 10:21Speaker 4: with the same idea in mind. You know what, give
- 10:23Speaker 4: the new guy a chance, because we can't take another
- 10:25Speaker 4: four years at Jimmy Carter. And I think it's the
- 10:27Speaker 4: same thing happening because even Democrat pollsters.
- 10:31Speaker 3: Are admitting internal polling of Kamala show.
- 10:34Speaker 4: She's losing six out of seven swing states and the
- 10:37Speaker 4: election is gonna fall to Trump, right. Trump's gonna win
- 10:40Speaker 4: this thing. He's got a solid lead in Pennsylvania. There's
- 10:43Speaker 4: almost no way for Democrats to win if Trump wins Pennsylvania.
- 10:48Speaker 4: And we're out registering voters in Pennsylvania and North Carolina
- 10:51Speaker 4: two to one.
- 10:52Speaker 3: And I think the way that Kamala.
- 10:53Speaker 4: Treated and Biden, but Biden's not even there anymore, he's
- 10:57Speaker 4: brain dead.
- 10:57Speaker 3: So it's the Kamala administration.
- 10:59Speaker 4: The way that mistreated the white, rural, patriotic Trump warriors
- 11:04Speaker 4: of North Carolina is disgusting, is evil, is sinful, and
- 11:09Speaker 4: is just pure hateful and racism at its finest. And
- 11:12Speaker 4: the American people see that. Now we find out our husband, who.
- 11:15Speaker 3: Could be the first gentleman of the United States.
- 11:18Speaker 4: Is a serial sexual abuser allegedly. Boy, if that was
- 11:24Speaker 4: the Republican h imagine the media be going wild. My
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- 11:52Speaker 4: What are you waiting for? The World's on fire, America's
- 11:55Speaker 4: in decline, our borders are under invasion, Inflation is still raging.
- 11:59Speaker 3: Wh're worth three is upon us. That's why everyone's buying
- 12:02Speaker 3: gold and silver. The price of gold is hearing it
- 12:04Speaker 3: all time high.
- 12:05Speaker 4: And Central banks, the smartest mind to the financial world,
- 12:07Speaker 4: bought the most golden history in twenty twenty two, then
- 12:09Speaker 4: they bought the most golden history in twenty twenty three,
- 12:12Speaker 4: and now they're on pace to the all time record.
- 12:14Speaker 4: And who's buying the most gold in the world, China.
- 12:16Speaker 4: They understand what's coming, So what are you waiting for?
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- 12:53Speaker 1: Hi.
- 12:54Speaker 4: It's Wayne al Root for Vertical Research Advisory. For more
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- 13:07Speaker 4: Found of the VRA, his global investment and economic newsletter.
- 13:10Speaker 4: His top performing recommendations at beating the market.
- 13:13Speaker 3: Sixteen out of nineteen years.
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- 14:47Speaker 4: That's Great Patriot Store dot com.
- 15:05Speaker 3: All right, we know the route.
- 15:05Speaker 4: The author of How Democrats Have Made America Great one
- 15:08Speaker 4: hundred and forty blank pages, because that's all of their achievements.
- 15:11Speaker 4: We've studied every achievement and there are none, so we
- 15:14Speaker 4: published a blank book. I hope you'll get a copy
- 15:17Speaker 4: at Amazon dot com. Just look up Wayne Alarut and
- 15:20Speaker 4: you'll see How Democrats have made America Great.
- 15:23Speaker 3: The book is catapulted up the bestseller charts.
- 15:26Speaker 4: It's doing fabulous and we're on the bestseller list in
- 15:30Speaker 4: several categories. And the book just came out on Monday,
- 15:34Speaker 4: about forty eight hours ago. I was talking about Doug
- 15:37Speaker 4: m Off, the first potential first gentleman and the husband
- 15:41Speaker 4: of the Vice President of the United States, who is
- 15:46Speaker 4: just turning out to be a really bad guy now
- 15:48Speaker 4: between slapping, allegedly slapping an ex girlfriend and not even
- 15:53Speaker 4: allegedly getting a nanny pregnant in his own house in
- 15:57Speaker 4: front of his first wife, and who's a school teacher
- 16:01Speaker 4: to his kids, and then on top of that, now
- 16:04Speaker 4: an ex explosive new report accusing him of serial sexual
- 16:08Speaker 4: misconduct at his law firm. Not a good guy if
- 16:12Speaker 4: he was a Republican. Oh my gosh, the way they
- 16:15Speaker 4: would treat.
- 16:15Speaker 3: Him in the media.
- 16:17Speaker 4: Here's a massive story carry Lake's Democrats. Senate opponent Ruben
- 16:21Speaker 4: Gego admits his father is a convicted Mexican drug trafficker.
- 16:26Speaker 3: I mean, this is a Democrat who's ultraliberal, who believes
- 16:29Speaker 3: in the open border.
- 16:30Speaker 4: You know, I keep saying all the Democrats are on
- 16:32Speaker 4: the take from the Mexican drug cartel. They've all been
- 16:35Speaker 4: bribed and China, who wants all the fentanyl to get
- 16:38Speaker 4: in the United States.
- 16:39Speaker 3: They're all on the take.
- 16:40Speaker 4: They're making so much money from the Mexican drug cartel
- 16:43Speaker 4: in China. And here's a guy running for US Senate
- 16:46Speaker 4: and supposedly beating Carry Lake, whose father is a convicted
- 16:50Speaker 4: Mexican drug trafficker. Gee, he's not gonna be on the
- 16:53Speaker 4: take from the Mexican drug cartel, is he. Remember it's
- 16:56Speaker 4: an opinion show, and I'm just giving you an opinion,
- 16:58Speaker 4: not stating fact, giving you cut instinct of what I
- 17:02Speaker 4: see in this world, which is right ninety nine point
- 17:06Speaker 4: nine percent, but not one hundred. Mexican mayor decapitated in
- 17:11Speaker 4: southern Mexico six days into his tenure. Right the lawless
- 17:17Speaker 4: Narco state run by ultra violent Mexican drug cartels.
- 17:21Speaker 3: If you're a mayor and.
- 17:22Speaker 4: You do something to piss them off, they cut your
- 17:25Speaker 4: head off and leave you there for everybody to see,
- 17:28Speaker 4: hanging from a bridge.
- 17:30Speaker 3: His name was Alexandro Arco.
- 17:31Speaker 4: Sworn in as the mayor of chip on Sinco, the
- 17:34Speaker 4: capital and second largest city of the Mexican state of Guerrero.
- 17:38Speaker 3: The newly elected mayor didn't even last a week.
- 17:40Speaker 4: On Sunday, was assassinated, was head cut off and placed
- 17:43Speaker 4: on top of a vehicle as a reminder to local
- 17:45Speaker 4: government officials that cartel's run the country. Why do I
- 17:50Speaker 4: bring that up, because this is why Trump is ascending.
- 17:53Speaker 4: This is why internal polls show Trump was winning six
- 17:56Speaker 4: out of seven swing states and he's about to win
- 17:58Speaker 4: this election and a latoral landslide. People see the way
- 18:02Speaker 4: people were treated, Americans were treated in North Carolina in
- 18:06Speaker 4: the path of Hurricane Heleen, and people see the people
- 18:10Speaker 4: are being let into our country, our Mexican drug cartel
- 18:13Speaker 4: murderers and Hamas and hesblah murders and MS thirteen murderers,
- 18:18Speaker 4: and our country is just being destroyed.
- 18:20Speaker 3: And don't forget the terrorists.
- 18:22Speaker 4: An Afghan national who was let into the United States
- 18:26Speaker 4: by the Biden Harris regime was arrested for plotting an
- 18:29Speaker 4: election day terrorist attack and isis inspired election Day terrorist attack.
- 18:35Speaker 4: Thank god they caught him now. Sir Ahmet Taweedi was
- 18:39Speaker 4: arrested in Oklahoma City on Monday after federal law enforcement
- 18:42Speaker 4: sent a confidential human source to secretly communicate with him and.
- 18:46Speaker 3: His co conspirators.
- 18:48Speaker 4: He purchased two rifles in order five hundred bullets, and
- 18:52Speaker 4: in a subsequent message, he said his fatherless house had
- 18:55Speaker 4: been sold for one hundred and eighty five thousand dollars
- 18:57Speaker 4: and they would receive the funds by October fifteenth. He
- 19:01Speaker 4: has for help resettling his family in Afghanistan, and he
- 19:05Speaker 4: purchased one way plane tickets for his family to travel
- 19:08Speaker 4: to Kabul on October seventeenth. After that we will begin
- 19:11Speaker 4: our duty, God willing. With the help of God, we
- 19:13Speaker 4: will get ready for election day. This guy was ferried
- 19:17Speaker 4: into the US by the Biden Harris administration after the
- 19:20Speaker 4: worst withdrawal in history from Afghanistan. More news that I
- 19:24Speaker 4: think makes people turn on Kamala McDonald's French fry supplier
- 19:28Speaker 4: to shut down Washington plant layoff three hundred and seventy
- 19:32Speaker 4: five workers as fast food prices soar. Is that the
- 19:36Speaker 4: good economy that you're bragging about. You can't even stay
- 19:40Speaker 4: in business as a French fry manufacturer for McDonald's.
- 19:44Speaker 3: Oh my gosh.
- 19:46Speaker 4: Golgate Capital is a sponsor for this segment show perfect timing.
- 19:49Speaker 4: I mean, America's on fire, The world's on fire. World
- 19:52Speaker 4: War III is so close, Our borders are on fire,
- 19:55Speaker 4: our crime is on fire. Inflation's on fire. That's why
- 19:58Speaker 4: everyone's buying gold and silver. That's why I'm hitting new
- 20:01Speaker 4: all time highs every week, every.
- 20:02Speaker 3: Month, sometimes every day.
- 20:04Speaker 4: Central banks, who manage the most money in the world
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- 20:44Speaker 4: It's Wayne al Root for Vertical Research Advisory. For more
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- 23:37Speaker 4: VR insider dot com. All right, my buddy Patrick Baschum
- 23:42Speaker 4: is with me, director of the Democracy Institute at Washington,
- 23:45Speaker 4: DC based think tank Democracyinstitute dot org. You know, everywhere
- 23:49Speaker 4: I go, I tell people the most accurate poll in
- 23:53Speaker 4: America and the most accurate pollster in America's Democracy Institute.
- 23:57Speaker 4: And Patrick Bascham and I brand to everyone that I
- 23:59Speaker 4: know him. He's a buddies on my show all the time,
- 24:02Speaker 4: and he releases his polls to me the second they're in.
- 24:05Speaker 4: I get them before anyone else, and they keep showing
- 24:08Speaker 4: the truth that.
- 24:09Speaker 3: Trump is ahead.
- 24:11Speaker 4: And all of a sudden, in the last forty eight hours,
- 24:14Speaker 4: the betting is all on Trump at sports books around
- 24:16Speaker 4: the country, and internal pollsters of Camale's campaign are saying
- 24:21Speaker 4: she's down in six out of seven swing states.
- 24:24Speaker 3: I already knew all.
- 24:25Speaker 4: That from Patrick Basha and Patrick, thank you for making
- 24:29Speaker 4: me the Insider.
- 24:32Speaker 6: Thank you Waite, Thank you for the tremendously generous introduction.
- 24:35Speaker 6: Congratulations on your new book.
- 24:37Speaker 3: Oh, thank you, thank you.
- 24:38Speaker 4: So I saw your poll first thing Sunday night, and
- 24:42Speaker 4: I talked about it on my show Monday, and I
- 24:45Speaker 4: wrote about it in one of my columns and the
- 24:48Speaker 4: national popular vote in your poll. Unlike all those crappy
- 24:52Speaker 4: polls and over sampled Democrats that try to moralize Republicans
- 24:56Speaker 4: over at real clear politics, they're just fraud poles. They're
- 25:01Speaker 4: fake polls, and they all show problems up by one, two,
- 25:04Speaker 4: or three. You show that Trump is up fifty to
- 25:07Speaker 4: forty seven, the floor is yours.
- 25:11Speaker 6: Yeah, this is the first time we've had Trump at
- 25:13Speaker 6: fifty and it's rare for a candidate to hit that
- 25:16Speaker 6: fifty percent.
- 25:18Speaker 1: Mark and go down after that.
- 25:20Speaker 6: And you know, one thing I would point out to
- 25:22Speaker 6: your listeners and your viewers is that although no poll
- 25:27Speaker 6: is perfect, no pollster is perfect. Over the years, what
- 25:30Speaker 6: we have been able to do pretty much on the
- 25:32Speaker 6: nose is get Trump's vote right. But the caveat to
- 25:36Speaker 6: that is that Trump always out votes his polls right.
- 25:39Speaker 6: He always does better than the poll says. Whether the
- 25:42Speaker 6: poll was close, well, the poll was way off. So
- 25:45Speaker 6: in our case, because we tend to be close, I
- 25:48Speaker 6: still have to acknowledge that we could be wrong. But
- 25:51Speaker 6: I think if there's an error in our polling on Trump,
- 25:54Speaker 6: it's because he's going to do even better than we think.
- 25:56Speaker 6: I mean that's much more likely than the possibility that
- 26:00Speaker 6: we're overestimating his support.
- 26:03Speaker 4: Yes, and I saw a polster and I don't remember
- 26:06Speaker 4: whose name it was, maybe you'll know, maybe you saw
- 26:08Speaker 4: it Patrick, But I saw a polster on TV. I
- 26:11Speaker 4: think it was on Fox News, and he was saying
- 26:13Speaker 4: he's pretty confident about Trump now because every poll consistently
- 26:19Speaker 4: shows him losing by one or two or three. And again,
- 26:24Speaker 4: I disagree with those polls. I think they're bs. I
- 26:26Speaker 4: think they're over sampling Democrats. But he said, think back
- 26:30Speaker 4: to sixteen and also to twenty, Trump was always losing
- 26:34Speaker 4: by eight and nine and ten and more, and yet
- 26:37Speaker 4: he wound up winning one and losing the other by
- 26:40Speaker 4: the skin of his chiny chinchin. So he always outperforms
- 26:44Speaker 4: by as many as ten points. So if he's now
- 26:47Speaker 4: losing by one or two or three, he's probably up
- 26:49Speaker 4: by seven, is the theory of this polster.
- 26:51Speaker 3: It might have been Doug showing.
- 26:53Speaker 4: So I just think it's great that we're starting to
- 26:56Speaker 4: feel good about Trump.
- 27:00Speaker 1: Absolutely.
- 27:00Speaker 6: I mean, even the bad poles can tell you something.
- 27:02Speaker 6: If you look at the same pole, the same polster
- 27:05Speaker 6: over time, as you say, And so even the bad
- 27:07Speaker 6: Poles is showing Trump in a very competitive I would
- 27:10Speaker 6: argue in winning position by their own standards, their own estimates,
- 27:13Speaker 6: no question about it. But what is happening with the
- 27:16Speaker 6: Trump vote. I think it's been happening for longer than
- 27:18Speaker 6: most people who appreciate. Is it's really consolidated. It's firmed
- 27:22Speaker 6: up even more than it was. The enthusiasm of the
- 27:25Speaker 6: Trump voters to get out and vote to cost those
- 27:27Speaker 6: ballots in person or in the mail is stronger, greater
- 27:31Speaker 6: than ever. So there's no way that Trump is going
- 27:33Speaker 6: to lose any of this support. The only question is
- 27:36Speaker 6: can Kamala Harris catch up? I mean I personally, based
- 27:40Speaker 6: on our numbers and looking at other numbers, I don't
- 27:43Speaker 6: see how that's possible. I just don't think there's time
- 27:46Speaker 6: even if they were the circumstances that could present themselves.
- 27:50Speaker 6: But it's hard to see what could possibly turn it
- 27:52Speaker 6: around for her at the stage because the longer she campaigns,
- 27:55Speaker 6: the more she's out there, the more people see and
- 27:57Speaker 6: hear her, the worse she does and was for Trump,
- 28:01Speaker 6: it's the opposite, and that dynamic is gonna run through
- 28:05Speaker 6: the final four weeks of this campaign, and I think
- 28:07Speaker 6: it's gonna put the exclamation mark on a Trump victory.
- 28:10Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 28:11Speaker 4: So there's an article out about political analyst Mark Helpern
- 28:15Speaker 4: and he says that private polls revealed that the Harris
- 28:18Speaker 4: campaign is in a lot of trouble and that she's
- 28:20Speaker 4: losing six out of seven swing states. The only state
- 28:24Speaker 4: where he says she's winning is Nevada. And that bothers
- 28:28Speaker 4: me because, of course I live in Las Vegas, Nevada,
- 28:31Speaker 4: and everyone I speak to is voting for Trump. So
- 28:33Speaker 4: I don't even know how that could be, but I
- 28:35Speaker 4: do know that Democrats control the state and they cheat
- 28:38Speaker 4: really big, and maybe that's the reason. But illegal aliens
- 28:42Speaker 4: are voting, and maybe that's the reason, and we allow
- 28:44Speaker 4: mail in ballots for everyone, and maybe that's the reason
- 28:47Speaker 4: that she might win.
- 28:49Speaker 3: Only Nevada amount of all the swing states.
- 28:51Speaker 4: But the reason I brought that up is because that
- 28:53Speaker 4: matches some of the information you gave me Sunday night.
- 28:57Speaker 3: It looks to me like in every swing state you.
- 29:00Speaker 4: Pulled, Trump is winning Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin. He's winning those states,
- 29:05Speaker 4: and he's close to winning some very liberal states Virginia
- 29:08Speaker 4: and Minnesota and New Hampshire, so your numbers seem to
- 29:12Speaker 4: jive with what helper In claims the Democrat internal polls
- 29:17Speaker 4: are showing.
- 29:20Speaker 6: Yeah, our numbers are very close to what the Harris
- 29:22Speaker 6: campaign is showing internally and what the Trump campaign is
- 29:25Speaker 6: showing internally. I think all of us are accurate. That's
- 29:30Speaker 6: just two of the three of us are happy about
- 29:32Speaker 6: that and one isn't. But those blue liberal states that
- 29:36Speaker 6: you mentioned, when they tell us a lot, because even
- 29:39Speaker 6: if it turns out that Trump narrowly loses Minnesota and
- 29:43Speaker 6: Virginia and New Hampshire, that's not good news for the
- 29:46Speaker 6: Harris campaign at all. Because if Trump loses Virginia by
- 29:49Speaker 6: only two three four points, he is definitely winning North
- 29:53Speaker 6: Carolina comfortably. He's almost certainly also winning Georgia comfortably. If
- 29:57Speaker 6: he's close in Minnesota, but she keeps Minnesota, that's fine
- 30:00Speaker 6: because that's just about guarantees that Trump wins Wisconsin and
- 30:04Speaker 6: probably comfortably, and probably also guarantees that he wins Michigan.
- 30:07Speaker 6: And on the topic of as of Nevada, these days,
- 30:12Speaker 6: the conventional wisdom has turned around. They now say Nevada
- 30:15Speaker 6: is a state that she can hold onto, mainly because
- 30:17Speaker 6: of the Union political machine be the diplomatic way of
- 30:21Speaker 6: putting it.
- 30:22Speaker 1: They get out the vote machine, or they get out
- 30:24Speaker 1: the extra vote machine.
- 30:25Speaker 6: But I think the important thing to bear in mind
- 30:28Speaker 6: here is that, in addition to the fact all the
- 30:30Speaker 6: data from Nevada is encouraging for the Trump campaign, Trump is.
- 30:34Speaker 1: Doing very very well in Arizona.
- 30:37Speaker 6: And the demographics are so similar in terms of the
- 30:41Speaker 6: two states, Nevada and Arizona particularly, but those swing voters
- 30:44Speaker 6: who are can determine the outcome of the election in
- 30:47Speaker 6: those two states and nationally that if Trump does its
- 30:50Speaker 6: one in Arizona, as we think he will, wins it
- 30:52Speaker 6: by seventy point, that's very very hot. Yeah, yeah, it's
- 30:57Speaker 6: very hard to see how he doesn't also win Nevada.
- 31:00Speaker 4: Listen, and we're talking to Patrick Batchum the Democracy Institute,
- 31:04Speaker 4: who has the most accurate polls of anyone in America
- 31:06Speaker 4: that I've ever seen. And I think it was proven
- 31:08Speaker 4: right Patrick that you had the most accurate poll of
- 31:11Speaker 4: the twenty twenty election.
- 31:12Speaker 3: Correct.
- 31:14Speaker 1: Correct.
- 31:15Speaker 3: So here's my question.
- 31:17Speaker 4: If Trump is truly pulling away in Arizona, and I've
- 31:20Speaker 4: seen that from many posters, not just you, If he's
- 31:23Speaker 4: really doing well in Arizona and starting to pull away
- 31:26Speaker 4: very solid win there. Then how could Carrie Lake be
- 31:29Speaker 4: down fourteen, as they claim to a crappy open borders,
- 31:34Speaker 4: ultraliberal candidate in the same state. Does that make any
- 31:37Speaker 4: sense to you?
- 31:39Speaker 1: No, it doesn't. I mean she's gnaw.
- 31:41Speaker 6: I think she's down a couple of two, three, four
- 31:44Speaker 6: points in Arizona. But the key thing for her and
- 31:47Speaker 6: for other Senate candidates around the nation is that Trump
- 31:50Speaker 6: has tremendous coattails when it comes to senatorial candidates. And
- 31:54Speaker 6: so if Trump wins Arizona by four or five points,
- 31:57Speaker 6: I think it's more than likely, probably about a sixty
- 31:59Speaker 6: sixty five. I've said probability that Carrie Lake peeks out
- 32:03Speaker 6: a winning in Arizona. I think she'll she'll get over
- 32:06Speaker 6: the line if Trump wins by a few points.
- 32:09Speaker 3: All right, I hope you're right. I hope you're right.
- 32:11Speaker 4: Virginia, you talked about Trump loses by four points there.
- 32:15Speaker 4: That's good news for Trump because they'll do much better
- 32:17Speaker 4: in places like North Carolina and Georgia.
- 32:19Speaker 3: Well, your poll shows he's not losing by four in Virginia.
- 32:22Speaker 4: He's losing by two forty seven, forty five right.
- 32:28Speaker 1: That's absolutely right.
- 32:29Speaker 6: And in twenty twenty one we were able to get
- 32:31Speaker 6: Gwenn Youngkin's two point victory, you know, right on the
- 32:34Speaker 6: button for the decimal point. And so we're very confident
- 32:38Speaker 6: about how we pull Virginia. We pulled it a couple
- 32:41Speaker 6: of times this year with very similar results, and so
- 32:46Speaker 6: we think.
- 32:46Speaker 1: That Trump has a shot in Virginia.
- 32:48Speaker 6: We wouldn't be surprised, let alone shop if he won Virginia.
- 32:52Speaker 6: But what we are confident about is it's going to
- 32:54Speaker 6: be fairly close. And as I've said, that means that
- 32:57Speaker 6: North Carolina and Georgia are going to go to Trump.
- 33:00Speaker 4: I can't believe there's anyone in the world dumb enough
- 33:02Speaker 4: to vote for Kamala if they voted for Youngkin just
- 33:05Speaker 4: a couple of years ago.
- 33:06Speaker 3: It makes no sense to me at all. It is bizarre.
- 33:09Speaker 3: It is strange.
- 33:10Speaker 4: How can you vote for Youngkin in Virginia and then
- 33:12Speaker 4: vote for, you know, against Trump and for Kamala, who
- 33:16Speaker 4: is just an open borders, high tax, just a horrible candidate,
- 33:22Speaker 4: green energy, you name it.
- 33:23Speaker 3: Patrick, Stay there, I want to grab you for a
- 33:25Speaker 3: few more questions.
- 33:26Speaker 4: On the other side of the break, we'll be right back,
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- 36:48Speaker 4: continuing our conversation with Patrick Bascham of the Democracy Institute.
- 36:53Speaker 4: His website is Democracyinstitute dot org dot org.
- 36:58Speaker 3: And I want to talk to Hi about a couple
- 36:59Speaker 3: of things.
- 37:00Speaker 4: I see that there's a poll out, a new Writer's
- 37:03Speaker 4: IPSOS poll that shows that Americans prefer Trump over Kamala
- 37:07Speaker 4: on every major economic issue. And we all know James
- 37:12Speaker 4: Carville coined the phrases the economy stupid. We all know
- 37:15Speaker 4: that you don't lose when the American people are upset
- 37:18Speaker 4: about the economy and the direction of America. So how
- 37:22Speaker 4: could Kamala actually be ahead in any poll when Americans
- 37:26Speaker 4: are with Trump on every economic issue?
- 37:28Speaker 3: And we know the pocketbook is what determines every election.
- 37:31Speaker 6: Patrick, Yeah, it's just you said that you cannot as
- 37:36Speaker 6: you say, it's about economic confidence, people's perception, it's the
- 37:40Speaker 6: national economy, more importantly, their own personal finances, and the
- 37:44Speaker 6: prospects for them to get better or perhaps get worse,
- 37:48Speaker 6: no matter which metric indicate a data point you care
- 37:51Speaker 6: to choose. When it comes to how voters feel about
- 37:55Speaker 6: the economy in general and their own personal financial situation,
- 37:59Speaker 6: it is really really bad news for Harris campaign, incumbent
- 38:03Speaker 6: candidates and incumbent parties. Candidates do not get re elected
- 38:08Speaker 6: with these kinds of numbers. Opposition challengers they get elected
- 38:14Speaker 6: with these kinds of numbers.
- 38:16Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I truly believe the reason why, all
- 38:20Speaker 4: of a sudden we've gone from you know, right after
- 38:22Speaker 4: the debate with Kamala, all the betting odds were for
- 38:26Speaker 4: Kamala and everybody was saying she won the debate, and
- 38:29Speaker 4: all the polls were for Kamala, and there were Liberals
- 38:32Speaker 4: that were laughing at me and saying it's over. And
- 38:35Speaker 4: I never believe that for a second. And now it's
- 38:37Speaker 4: gone the exact reverse way, and the betting odds are
- 38:39Speaker 4: in favor of Trump, and the polls are all moving
- 38:42Speaker 4: to Trump or Trump as a nice lead in the
- 38:45Speaker 4: important states. I think it's because of the reaction to
- 38:49Speaker 4: Hurricane Helene. Everybody sees that it's a total disaster. Maybe
- 38:54Speaker 4: the average moderator who doesn't listen to my show or
- 38:56Speaker 4: watch my show.
- 38:57Speaker 3: They don't know what.
- 38:58Speaker 4: I believe that this was about, you know, hating Trump voters,
- 39:03Speaker 4: white Southern Appalachian Trump voters, Conservative Republicans. I think Democrats
- 39:09Speaker 4: hate them, have disdained for them, couldn't care less about them.
- 39:12Speaker 4: But I think everyone, even if they don't see that,
- 39:15Speaker 4: they just think she's incompetent. The response was just really
- 39:19Speaker 4: incompetence and they don't want her as president. And you
- 39:22Speaker 4: did some polling on that as well, the hurricane response.
- 39:25Speaker 6: Right, yes, absolutely, it's high single digits in terms of
- 39:31Speaker 6: Trump's advantage over Harris. If there are, if people are,
- 39:34Speaker 6: when people are asked, who's responded better to it? I mean,
- 39:38Speaker 6: if you didn't know you were from another country or
- 39:40Speaker 6: other planet, you'd have thought in the days after the
- 39:43Speaker 6: hurricane hit that Trump was the president because he was
- 39:46Speaker 6: on the ground, he was making tangible efforts, He was
- 39:50Speaker 6: making tangible progress for ordinary people suffering, whereas Harris and
- 39:55Speaker 6: Biden were completely able.
- 39:57Speaker 1: And competence is critical.
- 39:59Speaker 6: Rain is you suggest people can overlook ideological differences, philosophical differences,
- 40:04Speaker 6: differences on certain issues. If they think the person or
- 40:08Speaker 6: the party are competent managers of the economy of national security,
- 40:12Speaker 6: for example.
- 40:13Speaker 1: But if they think, if they know.
- 40:15Speaker 6: As Harris continues to demonstrate, that she's simply incompetent, she
- 40:20Speaker 6: simply doesn't have the skill set, the attitude, the work
- 40:23Speaker 6: ethic to do the job in a competent fashion, they
- 40:26Speaker 6: simply will not look beyond that, because that is the
- 40:29Speaker 6: fundamental fun. That's fun with a characteristic that the president
- 40:34Speaker 6: has to have if they're going to be entrusted with
- 40:36Speaker 6: the position.
- 40:37Speaker 3: And she doesn't have the care. In other words, either
- 40:40Speaker 3: you believe, as I do, that she.
- 40:42Speaker 4: Just hates people who are Republican Southern Appalachian rural because
- 40:47Speaker 4: those are old Trump voters.
- 40:48Speaker 3: She hates them. But let's say you don't believe that.
- 40:51Speaker 4: What you will see, if you're moderate is you'll see
- 40:53Speaker 4: either incompetence or she has no empathy. She didn't care
- 40:57Speaker 4: about the people left behind in North Carolina at all.
- 41:01Speaker 6: It's it's the tin ear, the political tin ear.
- 41:05Speaker 1: It's the inability to read the room. You know.
- 41:07Speaker 6: She announces that you can apply online for a seven
- 41:10Speaker 6: hundred and fifty dollars long which's actually a loan for
- 41:13Speaker 6: if you've got home insurance. At the same time, she
- 41:16Speaker 6: sends out a lengthy tweet showing how empathetic she is
- 41:19Speaker 6: towards the poor people in Lebanon who are suffering all
- 41:24Speaker 6: kinds of lack of water and sanitation and heat and
- 41:28Speaker 6: all these sorts of things, and therefore she's going to
- 41:30Speaker 6: give them another an additional one hundred and seventy five
- 41:33Speaker 6: million dollars.
- 41:33Speaker 1: I mean, even if that policy makes sense, it's.
- 41:36Speaker 6: Not a plus you announced while while you're you know,
- 41:40Speaker 6: get it going cheap, you're getting stingy with your own
- 41:43Speaker 6: people who are suffering right in front of you.
- 41:46Speaker 4: Let's hope, let's hope she keeps it up. Patrick Patrick Bashum,
- 41:49Speaker 4: director of the Democracy Institute, watching the DC based think
- 41:53Speaker 4: tank and Polster Democracy Institute dot org dot org. He
- 41:58Speaker 4: gives us the best polls and the most accurate polls.
- 42:01Speaker 4: It's not biased. He doesn't oversay up a Republicans, wh
- 42:04Speaker 4: or Democrats. He just gives you the truth. And every
- 42:06Speaker 4: week he's telling me, week after week, Trump's up by three,
- 42:09Speaker 4: Trumps up by three.
- 42:10Speaker 3: Trumps up by three.
- 42:11Speaker 4: It's pretty consistent. And that's a lot better than he
- 42:14Speaker 4: was in sixteen or twenty. I feel good about things.
- 42:16Speaker 4: Thank you Patrick, God bless you buddy.
- 42:18Speaker 3: Keep doing it.
- 42:20Speaker 1: Thank you Wallie.
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