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Why Bond Vigilantes Are Betting Against the Treasury
On this episode of The Bear Market Podcast, Lucas and Luna dig into a quiet but telling shift: prediction-market traders are betting that Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond-market interventions won't actually push yields lower. With the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.69 percent and the 30-year at 5.23 percent, the market is sending a clear message about the limits of official influence. They unpack what this skepticism means for your portfolio, why the bond market's opinion matters more than the Fed's, and how a 'vigilante' mindset is showing up in real-time trading…
The skinny
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