Latest / Space News Today / Snowball Earth, Dinosaur Asteroids & the Hubble Tension Unravelled | Space Nuts: Astronomy...
Transcript
- 0:00Space Nuts is taking a bit of a break at
- 0:02the moment. Uh Fred and I will be back
- 0:04uh in the not too distant future with
- 0:06fresh episodes. In the meantime, enjoy
- 0:08some of uh the key episodes that we have
- 0:11presented over the years, major events
- 0:14in astronomy and space science and we'll
- 0:17see you real soon.
- 0:19>> Space Nuts.
- 0:20>> Hi there. Thanks for joining us on
- 0:22another episode of Space Nuts. Andrew
- 0:24Dunley here and it's good to have your
- 0:26company. Coming up on this episode,
- 0:29we're going to be looking at Snowball
- 0:31Earth. There was a time where it was
- 0:33just a frozen sphere of nothingness for
- 0:37well, billions of years. Uh, now they
- 0:39have a new theory about that and it's no
- 0:41Irish joke.
- 0:43There's a clue in there. Uh, the
- 0:46dinosaur asteroids origin has been
- 0:48revealed. Yep. The thing that started
- 0:50the
- 0:52getting rid of them all across the
- 0:54planet. We know where it came from. and
- 0:57uh the so-called crisis in cosmology
- 0:59might not be a crisis at all. We're
- 1:01talking about the Hubble tension. We'll
- 1:03talk about all of that on this episode
- 1:05of Space Nuts.
- 1:07>> 15 seconds. Guidance is internal. 10 9
- 1:12Ignition sequence start.
- 1:14>> Space Nuts.
- 1:15>> 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 1
- 1:20>> Space Nuts.
- 1:21>> Astronauts report. It feels good. And to
- 1:24help us uh unravel all of that, decipher
- 1:27it, and uh use his code book to figure a
- 1:30few more things out is Professor Fred
- 1:32Watson, an astronomer at large. Hello,
- 1:34Fred.
- 1:34>> Hello, Andrew. Keep up the good work
- 1:36there. It's going very well.
- 1:40>> Uh good to see you. Now I I just I
- 1:42thought I'd sort of start out of left
- 1:44field because um I I spotted a story uh
- 1:48only today actually uh which doveetales
- 1:52with something we talked about some time
- 1:53ago and and that was the work that's
- 1:55being done to perfect uh engine
- 1:59technology to achieve greater speeds
- 2:02>> uh for interstellar travel in years to
- 2:05come or maybe not interstellar but
- 2:07interplanetary perhaps. And we know NASA
- 2:09is is working on this kind of technology
- 2:12to to create uh really
- 2:16fast and high performance engines.
- 2:19They're working with I think it's
- 2:20General Electric to achieve that. Uh
- 2:23they may have been gazumped. Fred, have
- 2:25you heard about this? Uh no.
- 2:29Uh the Chinese the Chinese claim to have
- 2:32developed a a new engine that can
- 2:36achieve a speed of 12,000
- 2:39mph or 19,700 km an hour and uh the
- 2:44aircraft can reach an altitude of 30
- 2:47kilome. Now you compare that to the
- 2:49Concord uh it's uh Mac 16 versus Mac 2
- 2:55uh which is an extraordinary claim. Now,
- 2:58apparently they've released a paper
- 2:59which has been peer reviewed from what I
- 3:02understand. Um, and it's not April the
- 3:051st. I'm confident of that. So, they
- 3:08reckon that they've they've made this
- 3:10leap in technology to develop a Max 16
- 3:15engine. And just think of this, Fred,
- 3:17you'd be able to fly from Sydney to New
- 3:20York in 50 minutes.
- 3:23>> Yes, that's what
- 3:24>> 50 minutes. Uh, That's extraordinary if
- 3:28it if it's real. And I I don't see why
- 3:31it wouldn't be, but you never know with
- 3:32these things. But um apparently uh
- 3:35according to the paper, the engine
- 3:37operates in two modes. There's a
- 3:38continuous rotating detonation engine,
- 3:40which is a scary thing in itself by the
- 3:42sound of it, which will get it to mark
- 3:437. And uh you know, the air and the fuel
- 3:47create a rotating shock wave with
- 3:49continuous thrust. and then a straight
- 3:52line oblique detonation engine which
- 3:55fires above Mark 7 and pushes it all the
- 3:58way to Mark 16. Um, it sounds amazing.
- 4:02Sounds amazing. Uh, how far short they
- 4:06are of getting this into production, I
- 4:08don't know, but um, it certainly sounds
- 4:10like it's in development. That would be
- 4:12amazing to to be able to achieve those
- 4:15kinds of speeds. Uh, it would
- 4:17revolutionize travel around the world.
- 4:20But it's been done already
- 4:23by
- 4:24>> Yeah. The British have been working on
- 4:26this for decades now with their air.
- 4:31It's an air breathing um it's a hybrid
- 4:34engine that breathes air at at at low
- 4:38altitudes and turns into a rocket motor
- 4:40when you get above the Earth's
- 4:41atmosphere.
- 4:42>> Yeah, I think I did hear about that. I
- 4:44didn't know it got to those sorts of
- 4:45speeds.
- 4:46>> Yeah. Well, it can it's capable of
- 4:47entering orbit. So, it can get up to,
- 4:49you know, 26,000 kilometers an hour, but
- 4:52but but it's then acting as a rocket
- 4:54motor. So, it's um the project was
- 4:56called well hotel was the style of thing
- 5:00horizontal takeoff and landing. Um, so
- 5:03it's flies like a plane, takes off like
- 5:05a plane with the air burning jet
- 5:07engines, just gradually accelerates, uh,
- 5:11clicks over into being a, um, a rocket
- 5:15motor, uh, when the atmosphere gets too
- 5:17rarified and then sends you up to orbit.
- 5:20Uh, but the, as I remember right, I
- 5:22think it's called the Saber, the engine,
- 5:24if I remember right, it's Saber. But the
- 5:26big problem was, um, keeping the air
- 5:31cool.
- 5:32And there was some the main breakthrough
- 5:34was apparently a heat exchanger that
- 5:37could bring the temperature of the air
- 5:39uh down from 700° C or something to
- 5:44liquid nitrogen temperatures in
- 5:46something like a thousandth of a second
- 5:47as it passes through the engine.
- 5:49>> Um and and that was a big breakthrough.
- 5:51Now we've I think we've spoken about it
- 5:53before a long long time ago because
- 5:54there hasn't really been much news. It
- 5:56was being supported by the British
- 5:58government. I don't know whether that
- 5:59support has has now dwindled um because
- 6:03it would be you know the idea about this
- 6:05was economics. It was to be able to have
- 6:07the same spa spacecraft that will take
- 6:08you up there and bring you back and was
- 6:10completely reusable and to some extent I
- 6:13think um uh Elon Musk SpaceX and their
- 6:16Falcon 9 have kind of cornered the
- 6:18market on the because they've they've
- 6:20now got reusable spacecraft which are
- 6:22routinely being used every day uh
- 6:25almost. So maybe there's no space for
- 6:27it, but yeah, extraordinary technology
- 6:29and and I'm sure the Chinese technology
- 6:32is is above board what you've just been
- 6:34describing.
- 6:34>> Yeah, it's from the Beijing Power
- 6:36Machinery Institute and they've
- 6:38published their paper in the Chinese
- 6:40Journal of Propulsion Technology. I can
- 6:42I can see a problem with it though.
- 6:44Let's say they do create an airliner
- 6:46that can do that trip in 50 minutes from
- 6:49New York to Sydney, for example. You'd
- 6:51leave at 7:00 in the morning in New
- 6:52York. You'd arrive at 11:00 p.m. 50
- 6:55minutes later in Sydney. So you'd get up
- 6:59and get on the plane and then get to
- 7:01Sydney and then have to go to bed wide
- 7:02awake.
- 7:03>> Yes,
- 7:05>> that's right. That's the issue is it
- 7:08would make jet lag all the more worse.
- 7:10>> Yeah. You know, I think I'd put up with
- 7:13that rather than have all those
- 7:15>> 20 hours.
- 7:16>> Yeah. 20our flight. Yeah. I've got one
- 7:19of those coming up very soon actually.
- 7:21>> You do? That's right. Yeah. Yeah.
- 7:22>> Yeah. It'll be Yeah. It's a watch this
- 7:24space story, but I just find it
- 7:26fascinating these these kinds of um
- 7:28leaps in technology.
- 7:30>> Let's move on. Uh a new theory about
- 7:32snowball earth. Fred, I said there's um
- 7:36there's no Irish joke attached to this,
- 7:37and there's a good reason I said that,
- 7:41>> which I'm probably going to sidestep
- 7:42completely. Uh it's about rocks in
- 7:45Scotland and in Australia.
- 7:48>> I thought it was I thought they said
- 7:49there was some of these rocks in Ireland
- 7:50as well. Yeah, I think I think there are
- 7:52I think that's right. I think that's the
- 7:55loose connection I made with it.
- 7:58>> Um it it also includes rocks in Namibia
- 8:02uh and North America uh as well as uh
- 8:05Scotland. Uh you're probably right,
- 8:07Ireland in Ireland because um it's the
- 8:10west of Scotland where these where these
- 8:11rocks are that have recently been
- 8:13analyzed. Uh and the I mean it's an
- 8:17interesting story. I've often wondered
- 8:18about Snowball Earth. never really
- 8:20looked at at the details of it. So, it's
- 8:23a period of about 60 million years ago.
- 8:27Oh, sorry, 60 million years long, but it
- 8:30was a long time ago. It began 700
- 8:33million years ago. Uh, in fact, probably
- 8:36more like 720 million years ago and
- 8:39lasted until about 635 million years
- 8:41ago. And it's called the Cryogenian
- 8:44Cryogenian geological period. And
- 8:46anything with cryo in the front of it
- 8:48means it's frozen solid.
- 8:50>> Yeah.
- 8:51>> And so um and so I thought well how do
- 8:54we know this? And the way we know it
- 8:58and the way we know that glacial ice
- 9:02covered the whole planet is because you
- 9:05can see in the geology the effects of
- 9:08glaciation
- 9:10uh everywhere. It's not just, you know,
- 9:13I I grew up in a country where 10,000
- 9:15years ago, the whole of the northern
- 9:17part of Britain was under ice. And so my
- 9:20all my school lessons were about glacial
- 9:22features uh in the north of England. And
- 9:25so so you could tell from rocks uh
- 9:29whether something has been glaciated.
- 9:32And that's how we know everywhere there
- 9:34is this layer of rock uh corresponding
- 9:37to looking back you know six 6 700
- 9:40million years where you see the evidence
- 9:42of glaciation. Um and so the
- 9:45interpretation of that is that you uh
- 9:48you had an ice age that was the put it
- 9:51the the grandfather of all ice ages. Uh
- 9:54the whole planet was frozen. Uh and so
- 9:58the the new research concerns uh
- 10:00evidence from rocks in Scotland. Uh and
- 10:03what's remarkable is that uh the sort of
- 10:08glacia the glacial evidence there shows
- 10:10up really clearly. Uh for some reason
- 10:13that has been preserved very well uh
- 10:16there, you know, underneath the
- 10:18sediments that were dropped on top of on
- 10:20top of it um later on. But um the bottom
- 10:24line about the uh the reason why we got
- 10:28this ice age is a is a question um I'm
- 10:32not sure that the article I sent you it
- 10:35goes into detail about it. Uh but the
- 10:37thinking is that we were seeing a period
- 10:41when um or before this period uh we were
- 10:45seeing a time when uh volcanic rocks
- 10:51were being were being uh eroded. They
- 10:54were being weathered very rapidly. And
- 10:56apparently these were particularly in
- 10:58Canada uh these volcanic rocks. I'm
- 11:01looking back now perhaps 720 million
- 11:04years. um they were eroded by weathering
- 11:08and that process sucks carbon dioxide
- 11:11out of the atmosphere. Uh and so um what
- 11:14you're seeing is a situation where the
- 11:18atmospheric carbon dioxide is lower uh
- 11:22than normal and in fact uh it is
- 11:25probably was probably about half uh what
- 11:28today's level is. today's levels in the
- 11:31region of 400 parts per million of
- 11:33carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. And
- 11:35that's enough to blanket our planet and
- 11:37keep the temperature stable. Uh unless
- 11:39you put more in in which case the
- 11:41temperature goes up as you know. Uh but
- 11:43uh if you drop too far down uh then you
- 11:46get an ice ball. Um they estimate the
- 11:50atmospheric carbon dioxide levels uh
- 11:54back in the cryogenic period or
- 11:56cryogenonian period. uh they estimate
- 11:59they were below 200 parts per million.
- 12:02And what that does is lets the heat just
- 12:04radiate out into the uh into space and
- 12:07you lose heat. The earth's surface
- 12:09becomes very cold. Uh and uh and
- 12:12basically you get the snowball earth.
- 12:13You get an earth that is covered with
- 12:15ice. Um the it's the same sort of thing
- 12:18that we think happened on Mars. Mars is
- 12:20very low carbon dioxide content and
- 12:22that's why we think it got cold and dry
- 12:24rather than warm and white as it once
- 12:26was. M
- 12:28>> the other there's a lot of moving parts
- 12:29to this story but uh one of the things I
- 12:32found most interesting was if this mega
- 12:37freeze hadn't happened life as we know
- 12:40it may not have developed
- 12:42>> because up until this time it was just
- 12:44microbial just that was it.
- 12:47>> That's that's correct. Um so uh and the
- 12:50thinking yes it was it was
- 12:52single-sellled organisms until that time
- 12:54and they they were around for you know
- 12:56three billion years or so um that
- 12:59nothing happened except these single
- 13:01cellled organisms uh principally
- 13:03cyanobacteria they just did their thing
- 13:05and got on with life but didn't evolve
- 13:08in any way. Uh but the end this this end
- 13:12of the glacial period was such a sort of
- 13:17rapid climate change by the standards of
- 13:20the of the time by geological standards
- 13:23that the thinking is that you've got to
- 13:25uh almost an arms race uh to adapt um to
- 13:30to to this new situation where the
- 13:34microbes are not permanently in deep
- 13:36freeze. you've got a warming climate and
- 13:39the and the evolution of the microbes
- 13:41kicks in at a much higher level than it
- 13:44was before and that is where uh we think
- 13:47that the multi-elled organism started to
- 13:49be formed and that's what are the
- 13:52ancestors of all the animals that we see
- 13:54today. Yeah. So basically those who
- 13:56survived the thor or adapted to it uh
- 14:00created life as we know it. Yeah. just
- 14:02this extraordinary um sort of factor to
- 14:06come out of it. The other thing I and I
- 14:10correct me if I'm wrong, but these rocks
- 14:12we were talking about in Ireland and
- 14:13Scotland and Australia and everywhere
- 14:15else uh the reason that these are so
- 14:19different is I believe these were rocks
- 14:21that actually stuck out of the ice. Is
- 14:24that correct?
- 14:27>> During that period,
- 14:29>> they may have done or or at least been
- 14:32subject to less glacial activity. So,
- 14:34yes, they they they may have, you know,
- 14:37had only a thin layer of ice over them
- 14:39rather than be under kilometers of ice.
- 14:42Um, so I think you're right there. And
- 14:44and and just to to confirm, you're quite
- 14:47right that some of these rocks are in
- 14:48Ireland as well. Uh I hadn't spotted
- 14:51that, Andrew, in my reading of the
- 14:53paper. Uh but yes, so you've got um uh
- 14:58particularly you've got uh these rocks
- 15:01on some of the Scottish islands. These
- 15:04are small islands called the Gavllas. Uh
- 15:06and it's um basically in the west of
- 15:09Scotland. Uh it's under the Portas
- 15:13formation. This is a geological area.
- 15:15Potas very well known to Scots people
- 15:17because it's a name of a well-known pipe
- 15:19tune. Um so let me quote from one of the
- 15:22authors of this work um and he's he's
- 15:25actually a PhD uh candidate at the UN uh
- 15:30University College London. The layers of
- 15:33rocks exposed on the Garvellis are
- 15:35globally unique. Underneath the rocks
- 15:37laid down during the unimaginable cold
- 15:40of the glaciation are 70 m of older
- 15:43carbonate rocks formed in tropical
- 15:45waters. These layers record a tropical
- 15:48marine environment with flourishing
- 15:50cyanobacterial life that gradually
- 15:52became cooler, marking the end of a
- 15:54billion years or so of a temperate
- 15:56climate on Earth. Um, most areas of the
- 15:59world are missing this remarkable
- 16:01transition because the ancient glacias
- 16:04scraped and eroded the way the rocks
- 16:06underneath. But in Scotland, by some
- 16:08miracle, the transition can be seen. And
- 16:10I think that's underlining what you
- 16:12said. They were either sticking up
- 16:13through the ice or they weren't
- 16:14particularly deeply covered by ice. So,
- 16:18it's minerals and uh radiometric dating
- 16:20of the minerals that have allowed this
- 16:23discovery to to to be made.
- 16:26>> Yeah. It's incredible, isn't it? All the
- 16:28answers are right there in front of us
- 16:30in the dirt sometimes.
- 16:31>> Simple as that.
- 16:33>> That's how we it's we know so much about
- 16:36the history of not just our planet, but
- 16:38the you know, the other planets of the
- 16:40solar system. just learned from looking
- 16:42at the rocks. That's right.
- 16:44>> Yeah. Fantastic. Uh if you'd like to
- 16:46read the article or chase up that story,
- 16:49it's uh on the cosmosine.com
- 16:52website. This is Space Nuts. Andrew
- 16:55Dunley here with Professor Brad Watson.
- 16:58Let's take a break from the show to tell
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- 18:39notes.
- 18:41>> You're clear also.
- 18:43>> Space nuts.
- 18:44>> Uh speaking of dirt, Fred, uh we've got
- 18:47we've got the dirt on the dinosaur
- 18:49asteroid. We uh uh we now know thanks to
- 18:52a new study where it came from. This is
- 18:55fascinating, too.
- 18:57>> It it is. That's right. Uh and you know,
- 18:59it's not that long ago that people were
- 19:01really still speculating about where the
- 19:04remnants of this asteroid was. Uh we're
- 19:07now pretty certain that it's in the
- 19:09Chicelog Basin
- 19:12in the Gulf of Mexico. that that is the
- 19:15uh the site which uh actually was the
- 19:18impact site of this asteroid. So what
- 19:20you can do is you can look at the the
- 19:23rocks um that you find in that region.
- 19:26Once again, we're looking down at the
- 19:28dirt and um but basically look to see
- 19:32whether we know of anything like it out
- 19:35there in the solar system. Um and the
- 19:40bottom line is that yes we do find that
- 19:45uh in in particular and this is work
- 19:48being done at the University of Cologne
- 19:49in Germany um the uh the element
- 19:54ruthenium
- 19:56um is basically a chemical marker if I
- 20:00can put it that way that is found in the
- 20:04debris around the chicks impactor And
- 20:07apparently in other sediments around the
- 20:09world because the debris from that
- 20:11explosion spread all around the world.
- 20:13It was so, you know, such a uh such a a
- 20:16major uh piece of uh piece of of
- 20:20explosive material. It it was only
- 20:22explosive because it hit the ground at a
- 20:24very high speed, probably 30 or 40
- 20:27kilometers/s. Um but the the fingerprint
- 20:30of ruthenium has been found in that
- 20:32debris. And it turns out that that
- 20:36coincides with rocks in the the main
- 20:40asteroid belt. That's the region between
- 20:43Mars and Jupiter, but at the outer edge
- 20:47uh outer edge of the main asteroid belt.
- 20:50Not sort of not the kind of place you'd
- 20:52expect. You would think if the if that
- 20:55rock had come from uh the asteroid belt,
- 20:57you'd think it would be the near the
- 20:58inner edge, but the chemical um
- 21:01specifics tell you that it's actually at
- 21:03the outer edge. Uh and um that is really
- 21:07very very interesting deduction. Uh who
- 21:11would have thought that we we would be
- 21:12able to pinpoint where that asteroid
- 21:14came from uh 66 million years after the
- 21:17event. Uh and um
- 21:19>> maybe the asteroid I
- 21:21>> Yeah, I guess they worked it out on the
- 21:22chemical composition elements rather
- 21:25than backtracking.
- 21:27>> Yes, that's right. Um it's it we don't
- 21:29have enough information to backtrack. We
- 21:31don't know what angle it came in at or
- 21:33you know what its orbit was before it
- 21:35collided with Earth. So it's it's all
- 21:37about chemistry is this and um and in
- 21:40particular some quite uh quite
- 21:43sophisticated well I suppose you call it
- 21:44chemical physics because they're using
- 21:47radiation techniques uh basically to to
- 21:51to look for these levels of runium uh in
- 21:54in the basically in the debris from the
- 21:57uh from the um uh asteroid uh crater and
- 22:01and surroundings. uh and um basically uh
- 22:06you know looking at uh how it compares
- 22:09with other um asteroid impacts and
- 22:13carbonatous meteorites which also come
- 22:16from that region of the of the solar
- 22:18system.
- 22:20>> So what might have caused a rock from
- 22:23that particular part of the solar system
- 22:26to you know turn its attention to us?
- 22:28Did Saturn get upset and chuck a rock at
- 22:30us or something? is
- 22:33um it's probably uh it's it's probably
- 22:37um a a just a gravitational disturbance,
- 22:42you know, something that disturbed the
- 22:47uh orbit of this asteroid in its
- 22:49comfortable zone of the asteroid belt.
- 22:52Maybe an interaction with another
- 22:54asteroid because when objects come
- 22:56together, they needn't necessarily
- 22:58collide. But if they can interact with
- 23:01each other gravitationally so that one
- 23:02of them gets thrown out of of of its
- 23:05orbits and you know it's possible that
- 23:07that would have been the case. U it's
- 23:09kind of like being in a crowd at a
- 23:11Chinese supermarket. Really? That's
- 23:14>> that's what it's like.
- 23:15>> Yes. Yes.
- 23:16>> You didn't want to go that way but you
- 23:18you ended up going
- 23:20>> you have to you have to go that way.
- 23:21Yeah. Just because everything's so
- 23:23crowded. It's it's it's a bit like that.
- 23:25The um um the thing is that that event
- 23:30whatever tipped it out of its
- 23:31comfortable orbit that might have
- 23:34happened a long time before the 66
- 23:36million year date a ago uh that we for
- 23:41the uh for the impact for the extinction
- 23:43of the dinosaurs. So it might have been
- 23:45in a in an orbit that intersected the
- 23:47earth's orbit for a long long time uh
- 23:50before the crunch finally came when it
- 23:52tried to be in the same place at the
- 23:53same time as the earth. Uh so yes, so so
- 23:56we there's details for this story that
- 23:58we still have a long way to finding out.
- 24:02Um but it may well have been, as I said,
- 24:04it's either a collision with another uh
- 24:07asteroid or maybe even something like
- 24:11the gravitational pull of gas giants.
- 24:13Maybe Jupiter uh perturbed that object's
- 24:17orbit in such a way that it interacted
- 24:19with another asteroid and got got thrown
- 24:21out of uh thrown out of the asteroid
- 24:24belt. We probably will never know that.
- 24:26Uh it's interesting enough, I think, to
- 24:27to discover whereabouts it came from.
- 24:30>> Yes. The other thing that uh came out of
- 24:32this is that it all but writes off that
- 24:36this was a comet impact.
- 24:38>> Yes.
- 24:38>> Um but not absolutely.
- 24:41>> Yeah, that's right. There's still uh
- 24:43there's still a possibility, but you
- 24:45know, comets are a different beast from
- 24:48from asteroids. They contain lots of ice
- 24:51uh as well as the rock. And that means
- 24:53that the chemistry of the the residual
- 24:57material from the impact would have
- 24:59different properties. Uh so I think um
- 25:02it's uh you know you can never say never
- 25:05but the the the body of opinion seems to
- 25:09be that it was actually an asteroid
- 25:10rather than a comet.
- 25:11>> Yeah.
- 25:12>> I do have just one more question about
- 25:14this story and this is the most
- 25:16important one for it. most important.
- 25:19You mentioned the element recinium.
- 25:22>> Yes.
- 25:22>> So, was the person who discovered that
- 25:24named Ruth?
- 25:28>> Um, that's a good question. I'd have to
- 25:30take that one on notice, but my guess is
- 25:31that that's where the name came from or
- 25:35maybe maybe it was somebody who was
- 25:38ruthless.
- 25:39>> And they thought, "Yeah, I'll call it
- 25:41Runthenian because I'm ruthless." Who
- 25:43knows that?
- 25:44>> Yeah. Yeah, that's that's a thought,
- 25:46too. Uh that story if you would like to
- 25:49read it is available at space.com.
- 25:54>> This is Space Nuts. Andrew Dunley here
- 25:55with Professor Fred Watson
- 26:01and I feel
- 26:02>> space nuts.
- 26:03>> Uh now Fred to the so-called crisis in
- 26:07cosmology. We're talking about uh the
- 26:09the Hubble tension. Now we've we've done
- 26:12this story a few times over the years.
- 26:14This this is where the basically the
- 26:18expansion speed of the universe um
- 26:21depending on how how you calculate
- 26:24uh that number comes up with two
- 26:25different answers and they have never
- 26:27been able to figure out why. But now
- 26:30they're starting to think well there's
- 26:32no crisis at all. Everything's right. Um
- 26:36yes. So
- 26:39um the let me just explain how the this
- 26:43this tension the Hubble tension comes
- 26:45about.
- 26:46>> Yeah.
- 26:46>> Uh because there are there are two ways
- 26:48of of measuring uh the expansion of the
- 26:52universe. Uh one uses standard candles
- 26:57and the other uses a standard ruler.
- 27:00>> Um put it that way. So the standard
- 27:02candle's taking that first. Um if you
- 27:05know how bright your candle is, then you
- 27:07can work out how far away it is from
- 27:09you. Uh because you you you know you
- 27:12know it's real brightness, it's
- 27:13intrinsic brightness, then you can work
- 27:15out what is going on uh in terms of
- 27:19because we know the way light gets
- 27:21fainter. We know the rule by which light
- 27:24gets fainter as you move to greater and
- 27:25greater distances. It's what called the
- 27:27inverse square law. Um it it goes as the
- 27:30square of the distance or one over the
- 27:31square of the distance. So uh standard
- 27:34candles are usually stars in galaxies.
- 27:40Uh and in fact this is what uh let us
- 27:43detect the expansion of the universe in
- 27:46the first place because u in the early
- 27:48years of the last century around 1900 um
- 27:52a group of astronomers uh in the United
- 27:54States measured the intrinsic brightness
- 27:57of a particular kind of variable star.
- 27:59one whose brightness varies uh but it
- 28:01varies in a in a periodic way. And it
- 28:04turns out that there's a relationship
- 28:05between how frequently it varies and
- 28:08what the intrinsic brightness is. And
- 28:10you usually take it at peak brightness
- 28:11or minimum brightness, whichever it
- 28:13doesn't doesn't really matter as long as
- 28:14you know what it is. And so that's the
- 28:17timehonored way of working out how far
- 28:20away galaxies are. uh to look for these
- 28:23variable stars and then basically uh
- 28:27look at um uh you know how bright they
- 28:30look to us and from that work out the
- 28:32distance. Uh and that lets you produce a
- 28:35value for what we call the Hubble
- 28:36constant which is the number that
- 28:40basically tells you how fast the
- 28:42universe is expanding. Uh the Hubble
- 28:45constant is in units of kilometers/s per
- 28:48mega par. But we don't really need to
- 28:50worry about that because at the moment
- 28:52all we're interested in is the number.
- 28:54And so until now uh the best estimates
- 28:58uh from the standard candles in other
- 29:00words the sephiid variables have come
- 29:03out at uh about 74 kilometers/s mega
- 29:07parc. But then the standard ruler method
- 29:10is uh looking back at the flash of the
- 29:13big bang, the cosmic microwave
- 29:14background radiation which we see uh as
- 29:17it was about 13 billion years ago. And
- 29:20there are features in that variation
- 29:22which uh have separations that we know
- 29:26would be characteristic of a certain the
- 29:29particular time and and what we're
- 29:31talking about here when I say features I
- 29:33mean peaks and troughs in the
- 29:35temperature of the big bang. effectively
- 29:37what you're looking at. Um and from that
- 29:39you can also deduce the Hubble constant
- 29:42the expansion rate as it is today. Uh
- 29:44but the answer you get from that is 67.5
- 29:48kilometers/s per mega par.
- 29:50>> Yeah.
- 29:51>> Uh which is round about 6 and a half
- 29:53kilometers/s per mega par different from
- 29:56the other one. And that is now we're in
- 29:58such a precise era that now now has
- 30:01people worried. Um so what's happened?
- 30:04Well, the same team who've done a huge
- 30:07amount of this work in the past led by
- 30:10um Dr. Wendy Free Freriedman, one of the
- 30:13big names in this kind of science in the
- 30:15United States. Uh Wendy and her team
- 30:18have used our new toy, the web, the
- 30:23James Web Space Telescope. Uh
- 30:25>> we always knew it would it would solve
- 30:27this problem.
- 30:28>> We knew it would certainly help. It
- 30:30would either make it worse or it would
- 30:32solve it. And yeah, you're right. to cut
- 30:34to the chase, it's probably solved it
- 30:35because it's now looking as though the
- 30:39method um is more like that, you know,
- 30:43the method where you measure the
- 30:44brightness of these variable stars is
- 30:46giving an answer more like 70
- 30:47kilometers/s per mega parc which is much
- 30:50closer to that 67.5 that you get from
- 30:52the cosmic microwave background
- 30:54radiation. And it turns out that when
- 30:56you think about the the error uh
- 30:59potential error of both of them, then it
- 31:01overlaps. So in that regard, you've got
- 31:04something that falls within the error
- 31:05bounds of both of these methods. And so
- 31:08maybe we are seeing the right answer at
- 31:10last.
- 31:10>> So it it basically brings it back to an
- 31:12average.
- 31:14>> That's right. Methods. Yeah.
- 31:16>> Yes. Yeah. You know when I started my
- 31:19career, Andrew, um there were two camps
- 31:23uh and basically they were using similar
- 31:26methods. uh one said that the uh Hubble
- 31:29constant was 50 kilometers/s per mega
- 31:31per second. The other said it was 100
- 31:33kilometers/s per mega per second. They
- 31:35were both right.
- 31:37They thought they were both right and it
- 31:39turned out that the the answer the real
- 31:41answer was the average of the 70 or 75
- 31:44for that.
- 31:45>> There you go. Um pretty simple solution
- 31:48at the end of the day, but a lot of hard
- 31:50work went into went in finding it and we
- 31:53yeah we hope that's that resolves the
- 31:55Hubble tension. It would be great.
- 31:56Hopefully
- 31:57>> cosmic crash disappeared. Yeah.
- 31:59>> Yeah. I I wouldn't be surprised though
- 32:01in months to come somebody comes up with
- 32:03a debunking theory.
- 32:05>> Uh well, there you go.
- 32:07>> It could happen. It could happen. But um
- 32:09at this point in time, looks like it
- 32:12might have been resolved. This has been
- 32:14frustrating for a long time, but u may
- 32:16may be as simple as Oh, hang on a sec.
- 32:18>> You're both right, and here's why.
- 32:20>> Yeah. Yeah.
- 32:21>> Yeah. Um that's stories on
- 32:23scitecdaily.com.
- 32:25Um question without notice, Fred, that's
- 32:27come through from one of our live
- 32:29viewers. Uh Wayne, hi Wayne. Um this
- 32:32harks back to the snowball earth story
- 32:35we did. Uh Wayne asks, "I wonder how
- 32:38much bigger the diameter of a frozen
- 32:40earth would be to the current earth. Do
- 32:43we have any idea what that might have
- 32:45been?"
- 32:46>> Yeah, I it probably wasn't that much
- 32:48different. Um it um you know I mean at
- 32:52the moment a lot of that water's still
- 32:54there but it's wet.
- 32:56Uh and you know this is now it's it's
- 32:59turned into ice. So um it's not going to
- 33:02be it's certainly not going to be k um
- 33:05tens of kilometers different um it might
- 33:08be a few kilometers different um on
- 33:10average and I'm talking about the
- 33:12average uh but but I don't think it
- 33:14would uh you know it wouldn't have
- 33:15turned into a gas giant or anything like
- 33:17that. It's an interesting question
- 33:18though because we think it's because of
- 33:20frozen water out in the depths of the
- 33:22solar system adding to the mass of the
- 33:26gas giants as they were being formed. We
- 33:28think that is one reason why they became
- 33:30so big because they had enough bands to
- 33:32hold onto a a gas envelope. Um and so
- 33:36it's a good question to to ask that what
- 33:39difference would the ice make? But it
- 33:40but this is really just a surface layer
- 33:42of ice rather than a solid block of ice
- 33:45which may be at the core of the of the
- 33:47gas giants.
- 33:48>> Indeed. All right. Thank you, Wayne.
- 33:50Nice to get questions without notice
- 33:52while we're going out live during our
- 33:54recording sessions. Good to hear from
- 33:56you. Uh Fred, we're just about done.
- 33:58Thank you very much.
- 33:59>> A pleasure, Andrew. Good to talk and uh
- 34:02some interesting topics and there'll be
- 34:04more next week.
- 34:05>> Indeed there will. Thanks, Fred.
- 34:07Professor Fred Watson, astronomer at
- 34:08large. Don't forget to check us out
- 34:11online, spacenutspodcast.com,
- 34:13spacenuts.io,
- 34:14where you can check out the shop, maybe
- 34:16become a supporter of the podcast if
- 34:18you're interested. Um, just have a bit
- 34:20of a flick around. And if you follow us
- 34:23on social media, don't forget to like
- 34:24us, follow us, add us to your favorites
- 34:26list, or click the subscribe button
- 34:28depending on which platform it is. Uh,
- 34:32and uh, thanks to Hugh in the studio as
- 34:34always. And from me, Andrew Dunley, we
- 34:36will see you again soon on the very next
- 34:38episode of Space Nuts. Bye-bye.
- 34:41>> Space Nuts.
- 34:42>> You'll be listening to the Space Nuts
- 34:44podcast
- 34:46>> available at Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
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- 34:56This has been another quality podcast
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