Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 222- 2/21/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:18Hello, and welcome to episode 222 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:24Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:27I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:35Happy Friday. The work week has come to an
- 0:38end. The weekend is upon us and we
- 0:40got a lot to get to and hopefully finish up our week on
- 0:43a hot note. I have for you today guys a
- 0:45little bit smaller than usual, but a 2 pack of college
- 0:48basketball plays. I could have added a few more.
- 0:51I had a few others that were kind of like right there for me,
- 0:54strong liens, but didn't really check off all the boxes.
- 0:57So I said you know what? Instead of you know, adding, you
- 0:59know, a couple plays here to have a a few more sweats for the
- 1:02night. Let's try to stick to what I was
- 1:04checking off all the boxes. So I got a small game for you
- 1:07and a big game for you. See if we can at least go one
- 1:10and one hopefully to an O. That'll be a nice end to the
- 1:12week. And then also, it's been a
- 1:14while, but let's get right back to the Octagon.
- 1:17That's right, biting in the arena.
- 1:18I have a UFC bet for you guys. It's been a minute here since we
- 1:22sweat some UFC, but you know what?
- 1:25I got the e-mail from my buddy John Ewing this morning from Bet
- 1:27MGM, giving me the bets and dollars, the line movement.
- 1:31And I looked up this match, which was checking off literally
- 1:34every single box for me. Younger, taller, longer reach
- 1:38line move, great bet split. And I said, you know what, we
- 1:41got to play this guy here, so let's see if we can get a winner
- 1:44in the UFC Now. Looking back toward last night,
- 1:48kept the winning streak going. Not only do we have a third
- 1:51straight winning day, but guess what?
- 1:52It was the best kind of winning night.
- 1:54It was a sweet baby bust out the brooms 3 and O + 2 point O 8
- 1:59units you love to see. It's always great when your hard
- 2:01work pays off. A night like last night I had
- 2:04some great winners there with Idaho State late night getting
- 2:06it done. Remember Fishy?
- 2:07Why was that team who was the worst record favored with the
- 2:10line move? Tennessee Tech.
- 2:12We had to sweat that one, but they're able to come through in
- 2:15overtime. They actually had a 10 point
- 2:17lead with like 3 minutes left. They blew it and a guy on UT
- 2:20Martin hit a the game tying 3 with like .8 left on the clock.
- 2:24And I go here we go. But luckily Tennessee, see Tech
- 2:26picked themselves up and rolled in overtime, actually down by 4
- 2:29and overtime and then had a nine O run to end the game or going
- 2:32to be 11 O run. So it's great to see Tennessee
- 2:34Tech come through and then Kennesaw State getting it done
- 2:38for the team earlier in the night.
- 2:39So as always guys, we can keep stringing together winning
- 2:42nights. That is the name of the game.
- 2:45So diving into tonight guys before we get to our UFC bet for
- 2:48tomorrow and our 2 college plays for it tonight, I just want to
- 2:51mention tomorrow obviously is a huge college basketball day.
- 2:54There's over 150 games overall. The board looks fantastic.
- 2:59But as you guys know by now, I don't have a pod on the
- 3:01weekends. If I had a pod seven straight
- 3:03days, my wife would probably kill me because we we got to go
- 3:06to Costco, Home Depot, we got things to do tomorrow.
- 3:08This is the the life of a married man as you guys now
- 3:11know. But anyway, doesn't mean I won't
- 3:13have your back this weekend. You can also check out tomorrow
- 3:16morning my sharp report that I write for visen.com.
- 3:19I'll always tweet that from my account on Twitter at Josh under
- 3:23score Insights. You'll have a three pack of
- 3:24plays for tomorrow's college hoop slate.
- 3:27You can check that out, probably come out around 10 AM, 11:00 AM
- 3:30and then we'll have it for Sunday as well.
- 3:32And then I always I want to mention that you can follow
- 3:35every single best bet pick that we make on the all systems go
- 3:38pod by just listening to the pod and hearing the plays and
- 3:41writing them down and putting them in if you want a tail.
- 3:43But also if you don't have the time to listen to the pod or you
- 3:46know, you just want the plays and you don't need the analysis,
- 3:49you can always get the best bet picks, especially on a big
- 3:52weekend where you don't have prop we were where we don't have
- 3:55podcasts. You can still get these best
- 3:57bets from the juice reel app. So I tweeted out every single
- 4:00day the link to just go to Juice Reel, go to the social tab,
- 4:04you'll get the All systems Go podcast profile and you'll just
- 4:08see the bets that I put in each day.
- 4:10So if you want to support the pod, you want to get the plays,
- 4:13consider it a tip jar. It costs $4.99 a week to get a
- 4:17full week of plays. Hopefully you feel like you know
- 4:217 days of plays for 5 bucks cup of coffee.
- 4:23Hopefully you feel like it's it's worth the it's worth the
- 4:26cost, which I hope that it is and I I'm pretty confident that
- 4:29it is. But again, pods free.
- 4:31You can follow the best bets considered a tip jar.
- 4:34If you enjoy the pod sign up to get those best bets through the
- 4:37juice reel app. So that being said, big slate or
- 4:41actually small slate, of course we got 150 tomorrow.
- 4:43There's only 20 games here tonight in college basketball,
- 4:46and again, we're reading the market very well right now.
- 4:48They're actually a couple games where I had a good Ken Palm edge
- 4:51and a Rhythm edge, but yet the favorite had the line move
- 4:54against them. Like there are a couple games
- 4:55where, you know, Ken Palm and rhythm had them winning by like
- 4:583 or 4 or five, but yet they open -4 and they're down to
- 5:01three. I didn't really want to go
- 5:03against some of these sharp moves, so I said, you know what,
- 5:05let's just stick to some games where they're pretty much
- 5:07checking off all the boxes. And again, never a bad thing to
- 5:10be more selective versus having too many bets just because it's
- 5:13a Friday night and you want some action.
- 5:15That's where you can sometimes get into some trouble.
- 5:18So first one on the board for me, smaller bet game, 7:00
- 5:22Eastern Time tonight, Manhattan at Iona.
- 5:25Now going into this one, we have Manhattan 13 and 10 on the year.
- 5:28They've won three straight, just held off Fairfield 80 to 67,
- 5:32easily covered as a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 5:35Meanwhile, Iona 11 and 15 on the year, they've dropped two in a
- 5:38row, just came up short against Quinnipiac 79 to 74, but they
- 5:42did cover as a 6 1/2 point Rd. dog.
- 5:45So this line open with Iona listed as a 2 1/2 point home
- 5:49favorite. And right off the bat that
- 5:51speaks volumes to me because Iona, yes, we got to give them
- 5:53some respect for homecourt advantage, but they have a
- 5:56losing record and they're not on a losing streak and they're
- 5:58playing a team with a winning record on a winning streak.
- 6:01Yet this isn't a pick em. It's not Manhattan slightly
- 6:03favored. It's the Bilo fishy favorite
- 6:06who's struggling, who's favorite here with Iona.
- 6:08So right off the bat, that tells me something.
- 6:11Now look at all the betting market has reacted.
- 6:13They haven't gone with Manhattan.
- 6:15Sharps have gone with Iona. I like Iona.
- 6:17The gales on the money line here, I got them around -170 but
- 6:21you open -2 1/2 with Iona, they now embed up to -3 1/2.
- 6:25And what's notable to me is that the public is relatively split
- 6:29here. It's basically 5050 bet split,
- 6:31yet the lines gone to Iona -2 1/2 to -3 1/2.
- 6:35So in a vacuum, we always talk about this, you know, comparing
- 6:38the line movement to the bet splits.
- 6:41If a team is getting 80% bets, dollars heavy action, the line
- 6:43moves in their favor. Hey, that's, that's just
- 6:45obvious. It's a standard movement.
- 6:47It's normal movement, 5050. Theoretically a line should move
- 6:51at all. So when you see a line move in a
- 6:535050 game tells me that even though the public doesn't know
- 6:55what to do, wise guys have taken a position, they've gone with
- 6:59the team with the line move. And that's what what has
- 7:01happened here. It's basically 5050 if you get
- 7:04want the exact #53% of spread bets at DraftKings, Ron Iona.
- 7:09But Iona is also getting at DraftKings 83% of spread
- 7:13dollars. It's only half the tickets, but
- 7:16over three out of $4.00, eight out of $10 tells me the bigger,
- 7:19sharper wagers going Iona here. Now, Ken Palm does have Iona
- 7:23winning by two points. So they're sitting basically -3
- 7:271/2. And I ain't laying a 2 1/2
- 7:29having them win by one or two or a 3 1/2 have them win by 1-2 or
- 7:33three and lose. So that's why I went money line
- 7:35here -170 I own a couple things to bank on.
- 7:38The better defensive efficiency, big advantage here.
- 7:41They rank 180th in the country versus Manhattan, ranking three,
- 7:4431st. Better offensive rebound
- 7:46percentage, 38% versus 33%. Hopefully we can get couple
- 7:51offensive boards, extra possessions, some demoralizing
- 7:53put backs. That's always nice to to be the
- 7:56one demoralizing versus getting demoralized.
- 7:59But anyway, they're also better at turning their opponent over.
- 8:01I didn't realize this, but I own a ranks second in the country at
- 8:05forced turnover percentage versus Manhattan ranking three O
- 8:093rd. So big advantage there.
- 8:11And then just the classic buy low sell high.
- 8:13Again, I let off with this kind of handicap here, but why is
- 8:16Iona opening as a favorite and becoming more of a favorite?
- 8:19If they have a losing record and they've struggled versus a
- 8:21winning team who's played well? Give me that fishy side all day
- 8:24long. If you look at our friends at
- 8:26Rhythm, they have Iona basically right on the number -3.5.
- 8:31So add it all up here, guys. Not the most heavily bet game of
- 8:33the night, public split, but lines going to Iona.
- 8:37Ken Palms got him by two. Rhythms got him by 3 1/2.
- 8:39We got really good bet splits. Couple statistical advantages.
- 8:42I'm going Iona hopefully to start our night off with a
- 8:45winner. The Iona gales -170 on the money
- 8:49line. Now to the Big Boy tonight.
- 8:52The Big Boy matchup in the state of Michigan, Michigan State and
- 8:56Michigan should be a fantastic game tonight. 8:00 Eastern
- 9:00primetime and I got a play here and I'm going with the
- 9:03Wolverines. Wolverines money line.
- 9:05I got them at -150. Now let's set the stage here.
- 9:08Michigan State comes in 21 and five.
- 9:10Great team as those got them playing well again.
- 9:12Ranked 14th in the country. They've won two straight, just
- 9:15beat Purdue 75 to 66. Covered as a 3 1/2 point home
- 9:19favorite. You know, Michigan 20 and five,
- 9:21ranked 12th. They've won six in a row.
- 9:23Just took down Ohio State 86 to 83.
- 9:26They won that game outright as a 1 1/2 point Rd. dog.
- 9:29Now what do we see across the market?
- 9:31Well, this game opened basically Michigan, Michigan around a
- 9:34three-point, 3 1/2 point home favorite.
- 9:37Now a lot of these threes have gotten bet up to -3 1/2.
- 9:41Some of these 3 1/2 have stayed 3 1/2.
- 9:43Some 3 naps are down to three. But basically we've either
- 9:46stayed the same or moved toward Michigan.
- 9:48And what's notable here is another basically public
- 9:51indecision play. Public doesn't know what to do.
- 9:53Michigan's great, they're at home.
- 9:54It's a short number yet Michigan State and Izzo.
- 9:57How do you not take them getting the points?
- 9:59So it's basically 5050 across the market.
- 10:01So once again, let's look at bet splits and line movement.
- 10:04If you look at DraftKings, Michigan's only getting 52% of
- 10:07spread bets, but 72% of spread dollars at Circa sharp book out
- 10:12in Vegas caters to wise guys. 50% of spread bets, 61% of
- 10:17spread dollars. So it's not a massive line move
- 10:19play like some of these books open 3 and are still 3 or open 3
- 10:231/2, still 3 1/2. It's not like Michigan went
- 10:25from, you know -2 to -4 but public indecision yet really
- 10:30good low bets, higher dollars from both Circa and DraftKings
- 10:33lining up in favor of the Wolverines.
- 10:35That tells me the bigger, sharper wagers at both books, a
- 10:38National Book and a sharp desert book, are both heavy here on
- 10:41Michigan, not Michigan State, Michigan.
- 10:44Now our buddy Ken Palm, he has Michigan winning by two points.
- 10:47So of course, you know me. I ain't laying a three or three
- 10:50and a half. Let's just sweat this one to
- 10:51hope that the Wolverines win this game.
- 10:53Outright got them on the money line at -150 that was available
- 10:58at FanDuel. That's probably still think the
- 11:00best number right now. There's some ones that are a
- 11:02little higher like -155 but as always, shop around for that
- 11:06best price. I like the bet splits at Circa
- 11:08on Michigan. Only 50% of money line bets, but
- 11:1170% of money line dollars. So again, further evidence of
- 11:15low bet higher dollar split in favor of the Wolverines.
- 11:18Now Michigan. Couple advantages that stuck out
- 11:21to me from a stat advantage. They have the better effective
- 11:24field goal percentage, 57% versus 52%.
- 11:28Better three-point shooting, big edge here, 36% versus 29% for
- 11:33the Spartans. And also home Rd. or not not
- 11:36home Rd. but a rest first tired advantage because the Wolverines
- 11:39haven't played since February 16th, which was I think Saturday
- 11:43versus Michigan State played on the 18th just a couple days ago.
- 11:47So Michigan's locked and loaded, ready to go at home in a rivalry
- 11:51spot. So I like that rest first tired
- 11:53and not only do you know, are you able to rehab injuries and
- 11:56get some time off your feet, but really good coaches use that
- 11:59extra time to get back in the gym, work on some things, game
- 12:03plan for the next opponent. Michigan, by the way, let's hope
- 12:06this continues. But they're perfect. 12 and O
- 12:08knock on wood at home this year and a couple betting system
- 12:12matches on Michigan. One, when 2 ranked teams play
- 12:14each other, take the home favorite.
- 12:16It's a very simple system, but it's 167 and 59 straight up
- 12:21since 2021. That's a 74% win rate, 8% ROI.
- 12:25And if you look at big 10 home favorites in conference play, so
- 12:28basically two teams from the big 10 play each other, the home
- 12:31favorite is winning straight up 68% of the time this year, 71
- 12:35and 33. Lastly, our friends at Rhythm,
- 12:39they're not as bullish as the market on Michigan.
- 12:42Rhythm has Michigan -1.6 so scared me a little bit.
- 12:46I wish it was a little bit higher, but hey, 1.6 is, you
- 12:49know, halfway between 1:00 and 2:00.
- 12:51You only need a one point advantage on the money line to
- 12:53win this game. So 2 great teams facing off.
- 12:56Public doesn't know what to do, but kind of have had some little
- 13:00liability movement toward Michigan, like the fact that
- 13:02this has never gotten down to 2 1/2.
- 13:04It's only stayed the same or gone up toward Michigan.
- 13:07And we got great bet splits at both DraftKings and Circa and
- 13:11some good stat advantages as well in betting system.
- 13:13So I'm going Wolverines can't wait to sweat this one tonight.
- 13:17Let's win the damn game. Michigan got him at -150 so I
- 13:22own it in Michigan to money line plays for tonight.
- 13:26Now to the Octagon. That's right, UFC biting in the
- 13:32in the arena. It's been a minute again.
- 13:34I feel like there's been some weeks where we haven't had UFC
- 13:36and then there's been other weeks where just nothing really
- 13:39jumped out to me in terms of the data.
- 13:40So I didn't want to force it. But again, I mentioned it at the
- 13:43outset of the pot. I got my daily or weekly e-mail
- 13:46from John Ewing every Friday morning with UFC and there was
- 13:49one fight or boy that jumped out to me and it is on the
- 13:54preliminary card, the light heavyweight bout between Ion
- 13:58Kutulaba and Ebo Aslan. Now to recap our UFC strategy.
- 14:05Again, this is my strategy. Yours might be different.
- 14:07You may love UFC and but you may never bet UFC.
- 14:10But as a data-driven better, my goal always is to go with the
- 14:13smart money bet against the public and hopefully incorporate
- 14:16some tale of the tape advantages.
- 14:18So to recap, we're looking for fighters who are younger, taller
- 14:23and have a longer reach, but then even more importantly, have
- 14:27a line move in their favor. That tells me smart money's
- 14:29gotten down in their in their direction and a good bets versus
- 14:33dollar split, ideally low bets, higher dollars.
- 14:35So I landed on Ebo Aslan guys got a great nickname.
- 14:40These UFC nicknames are great, but he's called the, I believe
- 14:43the last Ottoman something like remember the Ottoman Empire.
- 14:46You had to study that when you're in, you know, middle
- 14:48school geography or world studies.
- 14:51But the last Ottoman fighter, Ebo Aslan.
- 14:54Now, first thing that jumped out to me with Ebo Aslan is the
- 14:58betting data. First, he opened at -135 kind of
- 15:02a very short, modest favorite. He's now up to around -180 -,
- 15:06190. So big steam in his favor tells
- 15:09me a lot of smart money has gotten down on Ebo Aslan.
- 15:13Then I look at the bet split. It looks really good in favor of
- 15:16Ebo Aslan. He's only getting 55% of tickets
- 15:20at Bet MGM, but he's raking in 91% of the money.
- 15:25So the lines moving in his favor again, I guess the theme of
- 15:28today's pot is 5050 public indecision with both College in
- 15:32this this bout here. But 55%, you know, technically
- 15:35slightly slight majority, but really that's just, you know,
- 15:38indecision right down the middle basically.
- 15:40Yet 91% of the money money, money, money.
- 15:43Show me the money is on Ivo Aslan.
- 15:46So we're checking off our first two major boxes, line move and
- 15:50really sharp bet splits. Then we get to the tail of the
- 15:53tape. IBO Aslan is 28 years old.
- 15:57Ion Kuttalaba is 31 years old. So a slight 3 year youth
- 16:01advantage. IBO Aslan is 6 foot three.
- 16:05His opponent Kuttalaba is 6 foot 1.
- 16:08So a 2 inch height advantage. The reach.
- 16:11IBO Aslan 77.5 inches, Kuttalaba 75 inches.
- 16:17So literally my blueprint, Younger, taller, longer reach
- 16:21line, move bet splits, all in favor of IBO Aslan.
- 16:26Now I get to some other supplementary factors that are
- 16:28important to me that I've learned to pay attention to the
- 16:31more that I've bet UFC over the years.
- 16:33One is significant strikes per minute jump.
- 16:36I mentioned this quite a bit because I think it's a very
- 16:38important stat. Tells you how much punishment
- 16:40you dish out. Of course, you're ideally going
- 16:42to knock out the guy or choke the guy out, guillotine choke,
- 16:46whatever it may be, but if it does go to a decision, you want
- 16:50to basically dish out more punishment.
- 16:51It helps you on the scorecard. Significant strikes per minute.
- 16:55IBO Aslan 8.3, Ion Kuttalaba 4.3.
- 16:59So Aslan is the much better offensive player here.
- 17:03Striking accuracy. Not only do you just dish out
- 17:06punishment, but are you strategic about it?
- 17:0850% for Aslan, 43% for Kuttalaba.
- 17:12So he's the more accurate striker.
- 17:14Now we look at some defensive stats.
- 17:17Takedown defense. The guy tries to get you down to
- 17:19the mat. Ebo Aslan is thwarting 85% of
- 17:23takedowns from his opponent. Kutalaba thwarts 75%.
- 17:28You also look at striking defense.
- 17:29Can you again put those hands up, defend, block some of the
- 17:34punishment that's dished out to you, 64% for Aslan.
- 17:38Kutalaba 46%. So both dishing out punishment
- 17:42and deflecting punishment, both in favor or all in favor here of
- 17:46Aslan. And I was also reading about
- 17:48Aslan. He's 14 and one.
- 17:50Kutsalaba is 1810 and one. But all 14 of Aslan's wins have
- 17:54come via knockout. I was reading about, and I've
- 17:57never heard of this guy or sweat him before.
- 17:59But this is the beauty of, you know, being able to track the
- 18:01market. But I was watching or reading
- 18:03about how this guy just has incredible power.
- 18:06Like maybe he's Mike Tyson and his prime just dishing out
- 18:09massive knockout potential strikes.
- 18:12So hopefully you can get to Kutulaba early, you know, dish
- 18:15that hammer out and hopefully get a win for us here.
- 18:18But when I saw younger, taller, longer each line move bet
- 18:21splits, more offense, better defense, I said, hey, we got to
- 18:25play Ebo Aslan. So last part of the game when it
- 18:29comes to any sporting event you're going to bet on, find the
- 18:31best number. FanDuel has ebo Aslan -188 bet.
- 18:36MGM has Aslan -190, ESPN bet has Aslan -185, but our friends at
- 18:44Caesar's, Caesar's is the book. I'm playing Aslan, they have
- 18:47Aslan at -175 So you can literally save yourself, you
- 18:52know, 10-15 cents of juice by by playing it at Caesar's.
- 18:57So I went to Caesar's and I put a unit on IBO, Aslan, IBO, first
- 19:02name Aslan ASLA N -? 175 on the money line.
- 19:08So with that being said, guys, another pod here in the books.
- 19:11Little smaller than usual on a Friday, but hey, didn't want to
- 19:14force anything. I had a couple games we
- 19:16mentioned there in college hoops and one UFC bat and a huge
- 19:20weekend ahead. So don't force anything on a
- 19:21Friday when you know you got, you know, 150 games slate for
- 19:24tomorrow in college basketball. But anyway, guys, this is part
- 19:28of the pod where we wrap things up and I start first by saying
- 19:30thank you. Thank you for time for taking
- 19:32the time out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a
- 19:35chair to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp betting
- 19:37breakdowns with me. First off, if you do enjoy the
- 19:41pod and you want to learn more, or let me start by saying this,
- 19:45if you do enjoy the pod, can you help me grow the podcast?
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- 20:02Spotify or iTunes, that's also great.
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- 20:07friend, I won't say no to that either.
- 20:10Next, if you do enjoy the style of betting breakdown,
- 20:13data-driven sharp contrarian betting, you know with the old,
- 20:16you have bet Idaho State, Tennessee Tech and Kennesaw last
- 20:18night. No, I can't name me a single
- 20:20player on these on these teams, but we learned to read the
- 20:23market and trust the market and respect the market like with
- 20:26Mizzou the other night when everyone was on Bama and we saw
- 20:29the sharp line move and bet split toward Mizzou.
- 20:32So if this style of betting is open windows or open doors to
- 20:35you and showing you a blueprint here to attack a very difficult
- 20:39sports betting market and you want to let me know you
- 20:41appreciate the pod or learn more about data-driven betting.
- 20:44I'd love for you guys to buy 2 books and I'm asking a lot, but
- 20:48first you got to get the Everything Guide to Sports
- 20:50Betting. That's my baby.
- 20:51That's the first book I ever wrote.
- 20:52Very proud of it. You can go to Amazon.com and
- 20:55type in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting or, and, or I
- 20:59should say, I would love for you guys to pre-order my new book.
- 21:02Just go to Amazon.com and type in the NFL sharp betting
- 21:06playbook. You don't have to type this in,
- 21:08but just so you know, it's called, you know, parentheses or
- 21:10you know, semi colon, how to analyze the market, go
- 21:13contrarian and bet like a data-driven wise guy drops
- 21:17August 12th. I'm still continuing to get you
- 21:19guys sliding into the DMS and showing me a screenshot that
- 21:22you've pre-ordered the book, which seriously, I love you.
- 21:25Thank you so much for that, but if you haven't done it yet,
- 21:28please I'll love for you to pre-order the NFL sharp betting
- 21:30playbook. Also, if you haven't done it
- 21:32yet, go download both Juice Reel and rhythm.
- 21:36Rhythm great for their AI back models and predictions for game
- 21:38bets and player props. Obviously college hoops right
- 21:41now, but I just noticed too there are some MLB spring
- 21:44training lines that are popping up right now and all the Red Sox
- 21:47just played Northeastern. Their first game is always
- 21:49against a college team, but rhythm will have MLB this year.
- 21:53So that's that's a huge addition to our daily handicap for the
- 21:56spring and summer. And then also juice reel.
- 21:59If you want to follow those all systems go best bet pick support
- 22:02the pod by clicking that tweet that I put out late afternoon
- 22:05each day. Or you can just go to the social
- 22:07tab, click find juicers search ASG under score podcast.
- 22:11You can also tail the robo Jackson best bet picks.
- 22:14Take advantage of the arbitrage indicator sharp mush plays as
- 22:18well as syncing up your sports books and getting a running
- 22:20report card on your action. Also, all those angles and
- 22:24shopping for the best line futures, like if you're betting
- 22:27you know futures for you know division winners, win totals,
- 22:30awards, all the best place and easiest place to find the best
- 22:33number is through Juice Reel. So download rhythm, download
- 22:36Juice Reel and add them to your sharp betting toolkit.
- 22:40Of course, I'm also very high on Odds Logic, just teamed up with
- 22:46Odds Logic. I'm officially an affiliate with
- 22:48Odds Logic, which I'm very proud of, but Odds Logic is a
- 22:51fantastic live odds platform. If you're betting on sports on a
- 22:55daily basis, you got to have a live odds page so you can track
- 22:58the market, see how lines are opening and moving, as well as
- 23:02shopping for the best number, figuring out when you know
- 23:04steam's coming in, and reading juice prices to get the hook
- 23:07before it falls. Odds Logic is the best and
- 23:10cheapest option. There are a lot of live odds
- 23:12pages out there. You know, 300 bucks a month, 500
- 23:16bucks a month. You can try out Odds Logic for a
- 23:197 day free trial and if you like it, it's only 99 bucks a month
- 23:22after that. And again, 99 is a lot I admit,
- 23:24but compared to these other live odds pages, it is much cheaper
- 23:28and more cost effective. So if you want to give Odds
- 23:30Logic a shot, all you got to do is go to oddslogic.com/josh 123,
- 23:38Odds logic.com/josh 123, use that code, sign up and you'll be
- 23:43off and running with, I would argue the best and most unknown
- 23:48live odds page around. So that about does it for a big
- 23:51Friday. Guys.
- 23:52Let's see if we can finish off the week on a hot note, continue
- 23:54our winning streak. As always, I'll leave you with a
- 23:57couple things. One whether I see you at the
- 23:58Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 24:02Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 24:04Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
- 24:07Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
- 24:10Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
- 24:13get down. Where Billy Walters sends his
- 24:15number runners with lowest juice possible is found at the South
- 24:17Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
- 24:19plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 24:22When you cash a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
- 24:24you're going to walk up to me and we're just going to we're
- 24:27just going to grab a broom and we're going to we'll know
- 24:29exactly what we mean by that. Sweeping it last night.
- 24:32Show me Idaho State, Tennessee Tech, Kennesaw State, First
- 24:36one's on me, next one's on you. We're going to post about the
- 24:38book Sweat Sharp contrarian plays all night long.
- 24:41So wish you the best of luck everyone.
- 24:43As always, remember 3 and OO and three, two and one, one and two.
- 24:47The previous night should never affect as hard as it is, we're
- 24:50human. I get it, after a great night,
- 24:52you're amped. After a bad night, you're down
- 24:53in the dumps. But we can't let the previous
- 24:55night change the way we approach the market.
- 24:58Even keeled every single time. Never go into a day saying I
- 25:01want this or you know, I'm going to bet this because of ABC and
- 25:04D. No, have no bias.
- 25:06Let the market speak to you and play the sharpen sharp plays and
- 25:09system matches. If we can do that, if we can bet
- 25:12games with our head and not our heart against the public, with
- 25:14the house, with the pros flat bet, avoid parlays, get that
- 25:18closing line value. If we can do that long term,
- 25:20we're going to be successful sports betters.
- 25:22So have a fantastic Friday every everyone have an even better
- 25:26weekend. Again, you can get the Saturday
- 25:28and Sunday all systems go best bets from the juice reel app.
- 25:32Or you can read the sharp reports that I'm going to write
- 25:35for the next couple days for my Twitter account at Josh under
- 25:38Score Insights. But as always, good luck.
- 25:40Let's cash some tickets, guys. Have a great weekend.
- 25:42I'll see you back on Monday. That'll be episode 2/23 of the
- 25:46All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 25:50Good luck everybody and have a great weekend.