Latest / Toadstool Sports / Monday BEST BETS | Can We Get a Win For Once? | MLB & WNBA | 8/3/26

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Monday BEST BETS | Can We Get a Win For Once? | MLB & WNBA | 8/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chips, the black coffee on the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Three teen poulette turned the dust in your head. Now
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: you stare at the chips like they made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet?
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name steal mean something on somebody for show?
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. No hold on,
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: hold on nothing nice, No.
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on me, but it'll get the crown.
• 1:15
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: Now, what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: Toad still Sports Monday, August third, Yesterday was ridiculously frustrating
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: on the show, Like if we'd gone full game instead
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: of first five on those unders, we would have gone
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: to one and one on the show instead of one
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: or yeah, two one and one. Yeah, I think it
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: would have been two, one and one instead of one
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: in three. So now this run is below sixty. Now
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: those sixty percent, as of saying, is completely unsustainable. You
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: can't expect me to be as hot as I was
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: when I first started putting this ticker up on the board. Whatever.
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: Baltimore and Philadelphia yesterday. Zach Wheeler obviously did his part,
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: and it looked like it was gonna hit because it
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: was two nothing I think in the fourth inning, and
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: then Philly put up two more runs. All right, now
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: it's four. I think it was four and not thing
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: in the fourth Like, okay, we'll still push if it
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: lands four, I'll accept a push in that one, even
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: though it looked like it was gonna be a win. No,
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: then Philly puts another run on the board, so we lose.
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: Five nothing was the score at the end of the
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: first five Then that game wound up only being a
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: six inning game because it was rain shortened. So the
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: full game landed eight. And I believe the full game
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: bets still count. Maybe it depends on the book, but
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: it's an official game, so I think they still count
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: those bets. I mean, obviously, like you should win if
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: you took Philly or whatever. But yeah, So if that's
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: the case, then the full game was a push, so
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: we took a loss, whereas the full game would have
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: been a push. Extremely frustrating. The Cleveland game was the
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: absolute worst That game was going under without any question.
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: It was too nothing into the bottom of the fifth
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: inning to lose that bet like to not just push
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: but lose. Cleveland, the worst offensive baseball has to put
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: up three runs, specifically in the bottom of the fifth
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: at that point, and what happens. Yeah, that's exactly what happens.
• 3:31
  Speaker 3: They put up three runs in the top of the fifth.
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: In the bottom of the fifth, Merrill Kelly blows it
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: in the bottom of the fifth and then to really
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: just you know, stick the knife in. No more runs
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: scored in the entire game. I avoided the bullpens explicitly
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: in that game because they were both completely overworked after
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: the previous game. And what happens. Both bullpens give up nothing.
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: Although Gavin Williams they they did pitch deep into the
• 3:56
  Speaker 3: game for Cleveland, so that one thing was kind of
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: an indicator. Maybe we should have got full game on
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: that Still, full game was a winner. The game finished
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: five to nothing. It's just all five runs scored in
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: the first five and three of them specifically were in
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: the bottom of the fifth. It's such bullshit. It is
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: such bullshit. If that had happened one inning later, we
• 4:19
  Speaker 3: would have been sitting on a winner in that one.
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: We did get the win with Milwaukee Anaheim under that
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: was a win. I think full game or first five
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: didn't matter. I think Anaheim did they win that game.
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: I think they might have won that game. Missierowski gave
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: up a two run home run. I think at one
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: point early in the game. Anaheim was winning at the
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: end of the first five, and Urania pitched really well
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: in the game, and Missierowski, besides that one ball of
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: his that got taken out of the yard, basically didn't
• 4:48
  Speaker 3: allow anything either. And then Wnba that probably should have
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: been a winner too. Portland was winning the game pretty
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: much the whole way through the first three quarters. They
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: didn't have a huge lead, but there winning that game
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: for almost three quarters of the game. And then they
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: blew it in the fourth quarter and they wound up
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: not covering, and right near the end they could have covered.
• 5:09
  Speaker 3: They were down two in the final minute, so they
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: could have. I mean I had it on plus one
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: and a half. I know probably everybody on the show
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: needed them to win with the pick them or whatever.
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: They definitely could have and probably should have. The one
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: outlier in that game was La wasn't missing anything. They
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: hit fifty five percent of their shots. They hit over
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: fifty percent from three Portland shot fairly well in the game,
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: but La wasn't missing anything and that was the difference
• 5:35
  Speaker 3: in the game. And you know, I said that game
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: that was a game with two really bad defenses, and
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: the over would have been an easy winner. Taking the
• 5:44
  Speaker 3: over there, maybe I should have done that. I mean,
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: I don't really do totals in any sport besides baseball.
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: But yeah, both both defenses evolved in that game. Suck. Yeah,
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: there's no question about that. But Portland that looked like
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: it was gonna be a winner basically the whole time.
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: I'm pissed. I don't know what else to tell you.
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna try to give it a winner on the
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: show today. Yeah, Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks for coming back, Kyle,
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: and what's up. Thanks for hanging out everybody. We have
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: a It's Monday, so it's a shorter board. I'm focusing
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: on one game. I got one play here today. Hopefully
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be it better be a winner. I mean,
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: that's what I've narrowed it down to. There are a
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: few games that I kind of like here, but this
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: is I'm giving out what I think is the best play, obviously,
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: because that's what I always do, but just one today.
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: Washington at Philadelphia is the first game in baseball. Philadelphia
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: is returning home from a road trip. It was only
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: to Miami and Baltimore, so it's not really the worst
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: road trip return spot, but it is still a situation
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: where they've been away for a week. And you know,
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: I talk about when a team returns home from the road,
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: it's a negative spot. Typically they have to get back
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: to home life. You got stuff to do. Currently, Philadelphia
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: do us have a four and a half game lead
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: over Washing in the standings here, so possibly could overlook
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: Washington here. So I still think it's a negative spot
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: for Philadelphia. Washington is coming into this after losing five
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: games in a row. They just got swept by Atlanta
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: in a four game series. They might be happy to
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: get out of Atlanta. It just goes somewhere else, So
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: I think situationally, the situation supports Washington here, and Washington
• 7:23
  Speaker 3: is a very good road team, so keeping that in mind,
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia does hit better at home, so both teams are
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: in their better offensive split here. Washington hits better on
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: the road, Philadelphia hits better at home. And that's kind
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: of where I'm gonna go with this one here as
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: far as what my lean is, we have, of course,
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: two bullpens that are not very good. Here. Philadelphia used
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: only two guys out of the bullpen, but this is
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: not a very trustworthy bullpen. Washington is even worse, although
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: they've had light usage recently with only two yesterday, but
• 7:55
  Speaker 3: I would not trust either bullpen. Philadelphia's was good, well Philadelphia, Actually,
• 8:00
  Speaker 3: I don't even think Philadelphia's came into the game yesterday.
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: What am I saying Wheeler probably pitched the whole thing? Yes,
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: Oh no, we just saw they did come into the game.
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: They use two guys even though the game was only
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: a six inning game, So I don't know Philadelphia's twenty
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: at them bullpen based on Whip Washington twenty six, So
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: these are not good bullpens here. Nationals are number two
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: in offense, so yes, they're a good offense. Philadelphia twenty
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: second not very good, tied with Arizona, but they are
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: better at home. Washington is undecided, but I am pretty
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: sure they're going with some combination involving exactly Tel here.
• 8:37
  Speaker 3: It would be his turn in the rotation, and we
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: know that they use zactly Tel sometimes as a starter,
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: and sometimes they put an opener in front of them.
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: So I think they're gonna do one of those two
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: things today. So I think Lttel will pitch at some
• 8:49
  Speaker 3: point for a starter's workload, if you will in this game,
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: So I would keep that in mind. If you're gonna
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: play this game, I would pick I might just pick
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: action on this game, to be honest. But with Philadelphia,
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: you can pick Nola must start because I think he
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: is going to start for the Nationals. I would pick
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: no starter because it's going to be Lattel. It is
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: just a matter of whether or not he actually pitches
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: to start the game or not. He's got a four
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: point nine to four ERA one point three to four whip.
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: He's bad on the road five point three to one
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: Roady Raw though actually his opponent batting average is better
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: on the road. But I still don't consider him to
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: be a trustworthy pitcher. Even though he pitched well his
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: last couple outings, Washington's lost five outings in a row
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: of his although again he's had some good starts in here,
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: in one where he got blown up at the A's
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: which is a very hitter friendly ballpark. I'm still not
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: really liking these numbers here, Like his walk rate hasn't
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: really been that good, doesn't really strike out too many guys.
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: He's still too hittable. I don't think he's a very
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: good pitcher. His hit rate is still high in the season,
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: he's a lot a lot of home runs on the season,
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: walk rate is just mediocre, strike out rate is very low.
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: Even though he's pitched a little bit better over the
• 9:59
  Speaker 3: last couple of months, I don't think he's good. And
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: against Philadelphia, let me see, yeah, not good here, fifty
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: seven at bats, two eighty one average, seven to sixty ops,
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: nine to five strike out walker ratio. So I don't
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: trust Latel. And if he's not pitching, I'm gonna still
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: recommend the same thing, which is, if you could probably
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: tell what my recommendation is already in this my recommendation
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: is the over. In this game, I think you have
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: two bad pitching setups here, two pretty bad bullpens, and
• 10:29
  Speaker 3: both offenses are in the better of their home road
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: splits here. So even if it isn't lttel like, what
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: could Washington possibly do that could really be better than that?
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: You know what I mean? Like, it's not gonna be
• 10:40
  Speaker 3: Foster Griffin today or one of the other I think
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: he's like, yeah, he's basically the only pitcher that they
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: have that's really that trustworthy. Aaron Nola pitching for the Phillies.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: He's never been able to bounce back from his injuries
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: that he had the last couple of years five point six,
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: one ERA, one point four or five whip. Philly's been
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: awful behind him recently, They've lost six starts in a
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: row of his So both pitchers that are probably gonna
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: be involved in this game have had a bad losing
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: streak going on in their games. One of them is
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: gonna have to break. One of these teams is gonna
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: have to win the game. Aaron Nola. I mean he
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: is pitching a little bit better recently, I will say,
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: uh so, looking at his numbers here, his strikeout stuff
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: is kind of there again at this point, but still
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: not really good numbers here. His hit rate's still way
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: too high. He's a lot a lot of home runs.
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: His walk rate is okay. His strikeout rate is actually
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: pretty good, so he does strike out guys. So that's
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: the one good indicator for him, is that he's still
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: fooling hitters. But he's really been pretty untrustworthy here, although
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: he's been good in his career against Washington one hundred
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: and ten at bats thirty three to four strike out
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: walk racio, really good command numbers there, two forty five average,
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: six thirty ops. Could he potentially do well here? Yeah,
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: I mean, I think it's more likely you're gonna get
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: a better start out of Nola than whatever Whington is
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: doing here. Philly's still in a return home spot. The
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: money's still fading Philly here. Eighty four percent of tickets,
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: eighty percent of the cash on them, So it looks
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: like it's a public side on Philly with less of
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: the money on them. They're in the minus one fifties here.
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: I would not want to even try to figure out
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: the side. Although yeah, I mean it looks like Philadelphia
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: actually does have the better starting pitcher here, but some
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: of that remembers based off of past numbers and not
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: what he is right now, So I would hesitate to
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: go too far with that. And Philly's not in a
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: good situation, as I said. Totals at nine and a half,
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: so it's a high total. Fifty seven percent of tickets
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: on the over fifty four percent of the cash on
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: the unders. The money's back in the under, but I
• 12:43
  Speaker 3: don't agree with that. I would go over in that game.
• 12:46
  Speaker 3: And the total is pretty high for a reason, you know,
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: so oddsmakers are kind of telling you something with that
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: total there, So I like the over and that one.
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: Mister Pinsley, what's up? Yeah, thanks for hanging out. Yeah,
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: I'm not doing well here. Saint Louis and Yankees. Here.
• 13:02
  Speaker 3: Yankees are returning home from a road trip where they
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: were in Philadelphia and then they were in Chicago for
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: two series against both Chicago teams, so they've been away
• 13:10
  Speaker 3: for a long time. So they're one of the longer
• 13:12
  Speaker 3: road trip return spots here, and again negative spot, you're
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: returning home from the road. They just beat the Cubs,
• 13:19
  Speaker 3: pretty big weekend series. Yankees have not been scoring though.
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: The Yankees scored two runs in each of those games
• 13:26
  Speaker 3: in Chicago. That's not great. This Yankees' offense is struggling,
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: and now they're in a road trip return spot, which
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: is usually a distraction. It's a negative. They're facing a
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis team that probably is not gonna really be
• 13:39
  Speaker 3: a team that attracts your attention too much. So it's
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: not a good spot for the Yankees. Although the Yankees,
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: as we're gonna see, they obviously have a better starting
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: pitcher here. Saint Louis is coming in from Toronto. They
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: ended a three game losing streak by beating Toronto yesterday,
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: so Saint Louis does come into New York with some
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: momentum here, a little bit less travel for Saint Louis
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: from yesterday, So it's positive spot for Saint Louis here,
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: but there's some negative. Saint Louis does not have a
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: good bullpen. I think used three guys yesterday. The Yankees
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: also did, but the Yankees bullpen is better. Yankees are
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: ranked fourth in WHIP, but they have the second best
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: era here behind the Red Sox. Like those two have
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: far and away the best era is right now, Saint
• 14:20
  Speaker 3: Louis definitely not near as good twenty second. They're not
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: a great bullpen. Yankees offense, like I said, they've fallen off.
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: They're at sixteenth right now, although they're obviously a capable offense. Still,
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: I would say they're still better than Saint Louis, who's
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: at twenty sixth, tied with Seattle, who's really having some
• 14:38
  Speaker 3: problems offensively. So the Yankees have the better offense here,
• 14:42
  Speaker 3: they have the better bullpen, and they have the better
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: starting pitcher here as well. But you're gonna have to
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: pay a huge price for the Yankees, and the spot
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: is negative for them. Michael mcgreevous pitcher for Saint Louis.
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: I thought that he might be getting traded because he
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: got pulled from his start. Well, he didn't get pulled,
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: they switched him out the other day. He was supposed
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: to start the other day and he didn't. But maybe
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: they were like potentially trying to trade him. But now
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: it looks like I guess they're not going to I
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: don't know, but he is pitching today. Apparently he's been
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: okay three point five to seventy RA one point two whip.
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: He's a little bit worse on the road three point
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: eight to eight road ray, but he's still pretty good
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: on the road. Although the advanced analytics guys, as I
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: always point out, really don't like him because he pitches
• 15:25
  Speaker 3: to contact, he doesn't strike guys out. His last outing
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: was abysmal against the Cobs. He was terrible in that start,
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: but maybe he was a little bit of a Fluke,
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: although his last two starts weren't really that good, but
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: he was definitely cruising for most of the season before that.
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: He still has a reasonably low hit rate here. His
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: walk RDE is definitely low. He doesn't walk guys, but
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: like I said, he doesn't strike guys out, so the
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: advanced analytics guys don't like him. He induces a pretty
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: good amount of ground balls, which is how he gets
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: out of any jams that he might be in. But
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: he really doesn't put that many guys on base. You
• 15:58
  Speaker 3: know me, I'm old school. I look at the whip
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: and I use that as a decent indicator because I'm
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: just like, I'm like, are you consistently keeping guys off
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: the base pass? You know what I mean? Like that
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: to me kind of tells the story more than just
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: like a strikeout number. So I don't know anyway, Uh.
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: Against the Yankees, he does not have much experience against him,
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: so the Yankees are unfamiliar with them. Only Ryan McMahon,
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: who used to be in the National League on the Rockies,
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: has faced him before. He's one for five with two strikeouts,
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: so he hasn't really been successful against McGreevy. But nobody
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: else in the Yankees lineup has seen him, and they've
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: been kind of a struggling lineup. So I think McGreevy
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: might pitch okay here. I don't think he's gonna ut
• 16:42
  Speaker 3: pitch Schlittler, but that kind of gives you an indicator
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: of what my opinion is on this game. Schlittler obviously
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: has put together a really good season. He's still the
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: front runner for the al Cy Young The question with
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: him is gonna be is he gonna fall off a
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: bit once he's hit like a certain like innings threshold
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: that he hasn't pitched before, because that's what you have
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: to worry about with these young pitchers. He's had a
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: great season though, two point zero four ERA point nine
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: to one whip is really good. He's actually somewhat beatable
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: at home though three point eighty three home y RA,
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: so he's actually human at home. He's been pitching well
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: just in general. Man. He's had one bad start over
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: the past month basing, and it was against the Dodgers.
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: Did have one bad start prior to that against Detroit
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: a few starts earlier than that. Every other one of
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: his starts on the course of the season has been good.
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: He's got a really low hit rate, doesn't really walk
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: anybody either, so he's really not putting anybody on base,
• 17:34
  Speaker 3: as we can see from his whip anyway. His strike
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: cut rate is also really high, so those numbers are
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: all good. Got to watch his innings though. He's up
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: to one hundred and thirty six and two thirds, and
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: like I said, I usually consider like one fifty for
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: a guy that hasn't done that before, a young guy
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: that just hasn't thrown that many innings in a season before,
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: that's where you might want to start worrying a little bit.
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: But for him, he's not really showing any signs of
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: slowing down yet. Like his strike cut rate's been really
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: high still, so I don't think there are signals that
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: we need to worry about him yet. But it could
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: happen fast Against Saint Louis. I don't think they've ever
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: seen him before now, so Schlitzler should have an extra
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: advantage here because young pitchers with talent they have the
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: upper hand over offenses, especially a week offense like this
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: that hasn't seen him before. They're gonna probably struggle to
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: try to figure him out early.
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: On.
• 18:23
  Speaker 3: So I think the under is probably the way to
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: look at this game. I mean, McGreevy just has to
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: be good enough to kind of hang in there, assuming
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: that Schlitzler is gonna go out there and be really good. Yeah,
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: I think the under makes the most sense you could
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: do first five, although I'm like almost done with first
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: five unders, man, Like I don't even want to do
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: them anymore, like so many of them fucking lose. I'm
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: just so done with that shit.
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: Uh.
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: The full game total is at eight, and I know
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis's bullpen isn't good, but all the other components
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: here from the pitching, look like they're underconducive. You got
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: good pitching across the board with the Yankees. Saint Louis's
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: starter might be good enough. Money doesn't agree. Seventy one
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: percent of tickets sixty three percent of the cash on
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: the under, So the money is kind of indicating towards
• 19:06
  Speaker 3: an over. But is the public really coming in and
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: playing it under in this game? I mean, I guess
• 19:11
  Speaker 3: maybe because these offenses have been struggling recently, But you
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: usually do not see the public playing it under in
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: a Yankee game because they're usually just considered to be. Yeah,
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: the Almighty Yankees, like they all, they pretty much always
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: can hit, So I don't know. And then the money
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: is indicating against the Yankees. Some of that is obviously
• 19:29
  Speaker 3: the price. They're like minus one ninety and you know
• 19:33
  Speaker 3: you have to pay too much of a price when
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: it's the Yankees. With Schlitler on the mound, you're gonna
• 19:37
  Speaker 3: get charged for that ninety two percent of tickets eighty
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: five percent of the cash on the Yankees, the money
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: is fading them. I don't really think they're gonna lose,
• 19:45
  Speaker 3: but I did say they're in a negative spot. So
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: you have to kind of weigh like situation versus matchup,
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: which one of those means more and like try to
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: quantify that somehow versus what the price is. And obviously
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: the professionals are saying price is just too high. Maybe
• 20:01
  Speaker 3: they're right, But I don't really think the Yankees are
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: actually gonna lose that game. We'll see though, next game up.
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: This one almost made my card. Pittsburgh and Milwaukee. Now
• 20:13
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee's returning home from a road trip and they were
• 20:15
  Speaker 3: out on the West coast, so that is a negative.
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: They're having to cross two time. Zones here to come
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: back home could be a negative. They've been away for
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: about a week. They have a fourteen game lead currently
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: over Pittsburgh, who they're playing here, so it is possible
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: they kind of overlook Pittsburgh here. Pittsburgh has not been
• 20:32
  Speaker 3: playing well recently. They're losing like almost every game that
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: Skeens pitches. They're below five hundred. Not going well for
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: this Even though Pittsburgh has improved this year, things are
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: not going well. Milwaukee is one of the best teams
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: in Major League Baseball. I think Milwaukee has the best
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: record in Major League Baseball. Though they lost yesterday, even
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: with Miz on the mound, they lost. Walbert your rain,
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: your man. I told you he's legit. He was really
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: good yesterday. Milwaukee, though negative spot return home spot could
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: be a distraction. And I'm gonna talk about why I
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: like the over in this game, but one of the
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: reasons why I kind of don't want to do it
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: is because usually when these teams are turned home like this,
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: the batting can be kind of thrown off, especially when
• 21:13
  Speaker 3: you're crossing time zone. So I worry about Milwaukee's offense
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: being totally up to it here, but total ah, but
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: I do like the over in this one, and I
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: almost put it on my card. I mean, I think
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: the pitching set up kind of is conducive to it.
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: But Milwaukee does have a good bullpen. They only just
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: one guy out of the bullpen. It was DL Hall,
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: who was like a long relief man, so all their
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: better relievers are available. Pittsburgh used four. Pittsburgh's bullpen is
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: not good. Milwaukee is ranked tenth in bullpen, but again,
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: I think they're better than that. I think they're like
• 21:43
  Speaker 3: a top several bullpen. Pittsburgh is twenty fourth. They're not
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: a very good bullpen. Pittsburgh is good offensively, still at third,
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: although they're better at home than they are on the road.
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee is seventh in offense, so these offenses are both
• 21:58
  Speaker 3: definitely capable, which is kind of an indicator towards an over,
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: even though Pittsburgh is not quite as good on the road.
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: Bubba Chandler is getting the start for Pittsburgh. He is,
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: He just walks way too many guys. Man, He's a
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: young guy. I think he's got talent here. I think
• 22:14
  Speaker 3: he has the ability to pitch at the major league level.
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: But the walks have been a huge issue. He's got
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: a four point five to six ERA one point four
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: to one whip is not good. He's actually a little
• 22:24
  Speaker 3: bit better on the road four point three to eight
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: road ERA, so he's in the better of his home
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: road splits. But he's not going deep into games. He
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: only went at least five innings once during the month
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: of July, and hilariously, it was against the Yankees. He
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: shut them out for six and a third on the
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: road and they still lost that game, even though the
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: Yankees offense not a good sign that they can't even
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: do anything against Chandler. Chandler did face Milwaukee the game
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: before that and did not do that well. Only completed
• 22:54
  Speaker 3: four and two thirds, had three walks, five hits. That's
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: not good. Was lucky to escape only a lot of
• 22:59
  Speaker 3: two there. Did have six strikeouts, so he can strike
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: guys out and overall his hit rate is low, so
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: he's hard to hit, but he issues all all these
• 23:08
  Speaker 3: free passes. Man, Like you're hard to hit, that's good.
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: But if you're gonna just you know, just hand guys
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: first base, like that's gonna negate what you're doing, you
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: know what I mean, you can't do that so his
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: walk rate is really bad. It's he's walking more than
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: one guy every two winnings. That's horrible. His strike out
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: rate is just okay as well. It was better I
• 23:29
  Speaker 3: thought Chandler against Milwaukee. I don't think he's had that
• 23:33
  Speaker 3: much success. Let me see, I mean he didn't look
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: good last time out against them. Yeah, Milwaukee has actually
• 23:39
  Speaker 3: battered him. They have a four oh seven average against
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: a nine eighty one ops twenty seven. I did look
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: at this earlier. I just forget twenty seven at bats,
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: eight strikeouts, five walks. So yeah, he does not do
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: well against Milwaukee, at least in his young career. But
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee wasn't even fooled by him, like trying to figure
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: him out. Milwaukee figured him out immediately. Brandon's sprou is
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: pitching from a walking I keep saying, I think he's
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: a bit better than what his ERA makes him look
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: five point zero five VRRA one point three to nine whip.
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: His ERA at home is pretty bad though, five point
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: nine eight, so he's in the worst of his home
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: road splits. Here was pretty good in his last start,
• 24:18
  Speaker 3: but it was at San Francisco. Still walked three guys,
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: but he kind of held them off the board a bit.
• 24:24
  Speaker 3: That's still I consider them to not be a very
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: good offense, and it was a pitcher friendly park. He
• 24:29
  Speaker 3: did pitch at Pittsburgh back on July eleventh in that
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: previous series against him. He was not good in that outing.
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: So that's not a good sign. Really. Uh yeah, Milwaukee, Yeah,
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee's lost his last three starts. He's walking way too
• 24:43
  Speaker 3: many guys and that's probably that is his major issue
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: is the walks. He doesn't allow that many hits. His
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate is actually good, it's more than one per inning.
• 24:52
  Speaker 3: So he does have some talent here. Like I said,
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: I think he is better than people think that he is.
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: But again, it's the walks. Both of these pitchers have
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: had made your walk issues. He's got to fix that.
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: That's what I always say. Man. These pitchers are still young.
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: They could still turn it around. So I think they're
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: gonna do it in this game. Not really. Pittsburgh only
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: has eight at bats against them. They only have seven
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: guys who have faced him two fifty average, but they've
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: hit him for power. They do have a oneenty twenty
• 25:19
  Speaker 3: five ops but it's a small sample size and it's
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: just the ops is just high because Esmerlin Valdez has
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: a home run off and Valdez, by the way, was
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: hurt recently, but it looks like it's not serious because
• 25:31
  Speaker 3: he is back. He missed I think he missed like
• 25:33
  Speaker 3: one game and then he came back, so whatever. Yeah,
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: he's the one guy in this lineup that really actually
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: does damage against sprote though he's actually held them off
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: the board otherwise. So that kind of keeps me away
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: a little bit too, because I like the over in
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: this game. Like I said, I think both offenses are
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: either're capable enough that they can get the job done
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: here against these two starters, but Sprout might actually be
• 25:56
  Speaker 3: alright here. Like again, Pittsburgh literally only has one guy
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: who a hit off, and so that doesn't really seem
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: like I should really want to play the over here,
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: and I worry about Milwaukee returning home from a road trip.
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: I would lean to Milwaukee in the game too, as
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: far as the matchup it's concerned, but the situation is bad,
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: so I don't want to do that either. They have
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: eighty four percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: cash there at minus one forty or so. The lines
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: dropped on Milwaukee, so it looks like even though the
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: money looks like it might be coming in on their side,
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: I think the there was some reverse line movement there,
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: so I don't know. I think maybe there are some
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: conflicting opinions on the game, Like I mean, I have
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: conflicting opinions on it in my own mind right Like
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: I think Sprout is the better of the starters here,
• 26:38
  Speaker 3: believe it or not, but at least given what they
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: are right now. But Milwaukee's in a terrible spot. So again, whatever,
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: maybe Pittsburgh in the first five, I guess is an
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: option here. I don't. I don't like that though, I
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: would lean to Milwaukee here. Plus Milwaukee has the better bullpens.
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: I would lean Milwaukee full game money line. But again,
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: my better opinion there is the over. I like the
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: over in this game a lot more than anything else.
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: Fifty tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on the over,
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: so the market does agree with me on the over there.
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: It's an eight and a half. But again, yeah, I
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: think the splits are at least better for the over
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: in the Washington Philadelphia game, but I like the over
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: in both games. This one was closer to making the
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: cut for me. All right, mister Pinsey, well, thank you.
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: I appreciate that, dirty sock. What's up?
• 27:25
  Speaker 5: Yeah?
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: I have to leave early today, so got a lot
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: of stuff going on this week in general. All right,
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: next game up is going to be my only play
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: of the day. Hold on, we're going to a first
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: five here, but it's not a total, it's a side.
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: We're gonna take the San Francisco Giants first five here
• 27:51
  Speaker 3: against Texas. Let's fade Texas here. Man. This is an
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: ESPN game too, so it's the one TV game of
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: the night, so people can actually watch this. Texas is
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: spiraling right now. They've lost five games in a row.
• 28:04
  Speaker 3: But I think the general consensus is gonna be well,
• 28:07
  Speaker 3: Texas is gonna bounce back now. They're back at home,
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: right But you know, I don't see things that way.
• 28:12
  Speaker 3: Like when you're returning over a road trip, I like
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: to fade you. I think it's a negative spot. You
• 28:16
  Speaker 3: got to get back to home life. And they're coming
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: off a huge couple of series here. They just played
• 28:20
  Speaker 3: Tampa Bay and Houston. Those are big American League series.
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: The Houston series was for control of the al Wes.
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: The Texas completely blew it. I think it's a negative
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: spot coming off of that series too. Man Like, I
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: don't think it's even a bounced back spot. I think
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: that is like, that's gonna be difficult to get back
• 28:38
  Speaker 3: up off the mat after losing that entire series to Houston,
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: plus having the travel. I know, traveling from Houston back
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: to the Dallas area is not really that bad, but
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: still they've been away for about a week. It's still
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: a potential distraction spot. They're facing a National League team
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: with a bad record here that they might overlook. San
• 28:56
  Speaker 3: Francisco I think is in the more positive spot, although
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: I know San Francisco is no good on the road,
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: so usually you don't want to back them on the road.
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: But I'm doing it here because it's a bad situation
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: for Texas and I think it's a pitching mismatch in
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: favor of San Francisco. Here. San Francisco they just lost
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: three out of four. They've lost three in a row
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: in San Diego, so I think it might be good
• 29:16
  Speaker 3: for them to just go somewhere else, you know, even
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: though they're having to travel across multiple time zones here,
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: they're going east, which I think is easier than going
• 29:25
  Speaker 3: west is because you're just gonna play an earlier evening
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: game based on your biological clock. So that's not even
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: a bad thing, right, Like, you play games like that
• 29:34
  Speaker 3: all the time, so I don't think that's a bad thing. Bullpens.
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the bullpens out here. I San Francisco
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: might have the better bullpen here. These are two bullpens
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: that were both really good last year, and they've both
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: been not good this year and recently, so I don't
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: want to deal with the bullpens, so I'll just take
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: them out. San Francisco might be the worst of the two.
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: Most of the year, they were until recently San Francisco
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: used four guys out of the bullpen. Texas also used four.
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: I don't know what's going on with Texas. They've really
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: fallen off in the bullpen. They're down in nineteenth san
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: Francisco's twenty third, although their era is actually a little
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: bit better than Texas. But I'm gonna avoid trying to
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: figure out the bullpens. I'm gonna focus on the biggest
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: advantage we have here, which is I think early in
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: the game, when you have Texas trying to overcome the
• 30:21
  Speaker 3: return home stuff, the travel stuff, plus the starting pitching,
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: I think is where we get one of the biggest edges.
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: We also might have the better offense here, with San
• 30:30
  Speaker 3: Francisco at thirteenth Texas is seventeenth. I still don't think
• 30:34
  Speaker 3: either offense is good, and I think this is going
• 30:37
  Speaker 3: to be a lower scoring series in general. I mean,
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: I always think that when it's Texas, it's in Texas.
• 30:43
  Speaker 5: Man.
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: It's still the case that Texas doesn't score as much
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: at home, and they don't allow as many runs at
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: home either, But I mean Texas has been having more
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: high scoring games at home recently though, at the very least.
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: But we're gonna back logan Web here. What else is new?
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: I think Web is solid. He's got a three point
• 31:02
  Speaker 3: nine to three ERA one point one two whip. He's
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: not quite as good on the road, although he actually
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: does have a better opponent batting average on the road.
• 31:09
  Speaker 3: All though throughout his career he's typically been better at home,
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: but and this year's ERA is still worse on the
• 31:15
  Speaker 3: road at four. But this is a pitcher friendly ballpark, man,
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: so I think it's a better setup for him in
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: this game than some other road games, and he's been
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: good recently. He pitched well in Seattle recently, and that's
• 31:25
  Speaker 3: a more pitcher friendly ballpark, so he's pretty much been good.
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: Like his last three starts have all been good. He
• 31:32
  Speaker 3: had a rough start in course Field, but I'm gonna
• 31:34
  Speaker 3: kind of throw that out. He doesn't dwell against Colorado anyway.
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: But he's been good over his last three starts. He's
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: kind of bounced back nicely. He's in a groove again.
• 31:42
  Speaker 3: He's still got a pretty low hit rate here. He
• 31:44
  Speaker 3: doesn't really walk many people. His strikeout rate is kind
• 31:47
  Speaker 3: of low, but he's mostly a ground ball pitcher, so
• 31:50
  Speaker 3: it gets a lot of guys to hit it into
• 31:51
  Speaker 3: the dirt. And against Texas, you know what's coming. He's
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: good against Texas. They have ninety four at bats against him,
• 31:58
  Speaker 3: so we have a big sample size to look at here.
• 32:00
  Speaker 3: Fifteen strikeouts, three walks, good command ratio there, two h
• 32:04
  Speaker 3: two average, five point thirty ops. So yeah, I'm gonna
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: back logan web here in what I think is a
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: positive spot for him, even though it is on the
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: road and cal Quantrell is pitching for Texas. And what
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: I will say is I would pick Web must start
• 32:18
  Speaker 3: in this one, and I would not pick a starter
• 32:20
  Speaker 3: for Texas because it's gonna be Quantrille probably, but they
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: might put an opener in front of him, because you
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: know they've been doing that a bunch and I don't
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: know if let me see what they have listed here
• 32:29
  Speaker 3: on the board. Where is this game? Inner League? Where
• 32:34
  Speaker 3: are you? Oh it's undecided. Yeah, yeah, so you can't
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: even pick a starter right now for them. But I
• 32:39
  Speaker 3: think cal Quandre is going to be involved in this game.
• 32:43
  Speaker 3: So whatever it is, man, we're taking Logan Web against
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: kind of a bullpend game or a cal Quantrell game, whatever. Like,
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: I think this is a big advantage for Logan Web here.
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: Cal Quandrell, assuming he is going to make his way
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: into this game. He's he's been okay three point eight
• 32:59
  Speaker 3: four ERA one point two to four whip. He's a
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: little bit worse at home er wise, four point one
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: three did pitch pretty well last time out at Tampa Bay.
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: That's impressive. Tampa Bay's good at home, and he was
• 33:10
  Speaker 3: able to shut them down. But I consider it to
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: be kind of more of a fluke. I mean, he's
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: typically not going deep into these games. His other good
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: outing that they had against Houston, he only had one strikeout.
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: That's not good. Like I think the strikeout rad he
• 33:22
  Speaker 3: had against Tampa Bay was kind of an outlier. Here.
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: He's mostly worked out of the bullpen here and again
• 33:28
  Speaker 3: I think they might put an opener in front of him.
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: He's he's not a very good pitcher man. He's a
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: journeyman pitcher. He's been on a bunch of different teams.
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: He's kind of a long relief type of guy for
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: the most part, spot starter. He does have a reasonable
• 33:40
  Speaker 3: hit rate here on the season. He doesn't really walk
• 33:42
  Speaker 3: that many guys. I told you the strikeout rate in
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: that last game is an outlier because he does not
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: strike out many guys. And I think we did take
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: a loss trying to fade him in that Houston game
• 33:51
  Speaker 3: on July tenth. But whatever, I'm gonna fade him again
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: right here. I'm going right back to the way that
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: I handicap here. Man. I just don't think he's that good.
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: And the other thing I like about this the Giants
• 34:01
  Speaker 3: are very familiar with him because remember caw Quandrill spent
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: some time in their division in Colorado. Granted, some of
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: these numbers are gonna be skewed because some of them
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: are in course field, but San Francisco is familiar with them.
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: They have seventy one at bats against them, although it's
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: only across seven of their batters, but a few of
• 34:18
  Speaker 3: them are very familiar with them, and they have a
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: two to eighty two average eight ZHO four to ops
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: against him, fourteen to three strike out walk ratio, So
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: his ratio is good against them, but everything else looks
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: good for the San Francisco offense here, assuming it will
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: be him, let's do it. The money seems like it
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: does agree with this now full game. You can actually
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: probably get San Francisco as an underdog here or a
• 34:41
  Speaker 3: very very small price. But the price isn't that much
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: more on the first five, And obviously the books are
• 34:46
  Speaker 3: gonna charge you a little bit more for the first
• 34:48
  Speaker 3: five because they know what I just said that the
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: biggest advantage you have in this game is in the
• 34:54
  Speaker 3: first five with the starting pitching here. But that's what
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: I'm focusing on. That's what we're gonna do. It's still
• 34:59
  Speaker 3: a reasonable price in my opinion, it's like close to
• 35:01
  Speaker 3: a Pickham price. So we'll take the Giants in the
• 35:04
  Speaker 3: first five, is my only play here. Yes, you get
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: to watch the game and a ray az who. I
• 35:11
  Speaker 3: guess they didn't trade them, I guess, Although when is
• 35:14
  Speaker 3: the trade deadline still? It hasn't any lapsed yet. Maybe
• 35:16
  Speaker 3: it's today, I don't know. There were some rumors they
• 35:18
  Speaker 3: might try to trade them. I have no idea, but
• 35:20
  Speaker 3: San Francisco, they're not going anywhere this year. Dodgers at
• 35:25
  Speaker 3: Chicago Cubs. Dodgers played in the night game last night,
• 35:29
  Speaker 3: and you know, I talk about how it's a negative
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: spot coming off the Sunday night game because you have
• 35:32
  Speaker 3: a quick turnaround time and then you have to travel
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: LA has to travel across multiple time zones here after
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: the night game quick turnaround. They just got swept at
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: home by the Boston Red Sox. Red Sox on an
• 35:46
  Speaker 3: insane heater right now, But I still not really fully
• 35:49
  Speaker 3: buying it. Like obviously I buy that the Red Sox
• 35:51
  Speaker 3: are better than what they looked like early in the season.
• 35:53
  Speaker 3: If you saw my preview show, I was looking like
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: an idiot for a while because I said that the
• 35:58
  Speaker 3: Red Sox I thought would be a wildcard team, and
• 36:01
  Speaker 3: I said that I thought Houston would definitely be in
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: the mix, and it looked I looked like an idiot
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: for the first couple of months. But now the Red
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: Sox are in the second wildcard spot in Houston's leading
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: the Al West, so maybe I'm not that much of
• 36:13
  Speaker 3: an idiot. Baseball's really hard to predict, like what's gonna happen.
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: There are always some just crazy things that happen, though
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: it's really hard to predict prior to the season starts.
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: But anyway, Dodgers could be a bit of a negative. However,
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: they're starting a road trip here off an ugly series,
• 36:31
  Speaker 3: so that is kind of a positive for the Dodgers
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: as well, so it's not all negative. Yes, they have
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: less rest because they have to turn around travel. That's
• 36:40
  Speaker 3: all negative, but starting a road trip is usually a positive,
• 36:43
  Speaker 3: especially just getting out of home. Forget about that. Dodgers
• 36:46
  Speaker 3: do hit better on the road at the very least
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: as far as the bullpens. The Dodgers have a somewhat
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: better bullpen here, but they did use four guys out
• 36:56
  Speaker 3: of the bullpen and our our guy that threw at
• 36:58
  Speaker 3: Wilson k Trere's his head. Although Contreras was back in
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: the lineup yesterday, Will kleinb He's on the injure list.
• 37:04
  Speaker 3: So yeah, that's what I got for you, buddy. Enjoy it. Yeah,
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: Dodgers do have the better bullpen though, and of course
• 37:13
  Speaker 3: we know the Dodgers just got school ball at the
• 37:15
  Speaker 3: trade deadline. So yeah, we talked about it yesterday. You
• 37:19
  Speaker 3: can go back and watch the show. Yes, I didn't
• 37:20
  Speaker 3: have too much to say on it, but I do
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: think that we might not have baseball next year because
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be a new collective bargaining agreement.
• 37:27
  Speaker 3: I think the owners are just sick of this shit.
• 37:29
  Speaker 3: With the Dodgers being owned by this conglomerate and having
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: more money than like the rest of the league combined.
• 37:35
  Speaker 3: It's completely ridiculous. But yeah, the Dodgers used four guys
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: out of the bullpen yesterday. The fact that they can
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: spend all that money and they don't have that good
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: of a bullpen though, is interesting. Clubs only use two
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: guys out of the bullpen. The Dodgers are decent bullpen,
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: they're not the best. They're at ninth, and I think
• 37:52
  Speaker 3: they might be a little bit worse than that. The
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: clubs are sixteenth and actually have a better era than
• 37:57
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers do, so maybe the Cubs have slightly better
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: bullpen here, and given the rest, maybe it's a slight
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: edge for them. Dodgers are number one in offense, the
• 38:06
  Speaker 3: Cubs are number four, so both offenses can hit here. However,
• 38:11
  Speaker 3: I think the starting pitching in this game might overcome
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: the hitting here. I've totally dude, I apologize. I totally
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: forgot about Robleski. For the Dodgers, he's also in their
• 38:20
  Speaker 3: starting rotation. They have way too many starters for me
• 38:22
  Speaker 3: to keep track of, but yeah, I mean they're gonna
• 38:24
  Speaker 3: keep him in the rotation until they get most of
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: their guys back, probably because he's been good two point
• 38:30
  Speaker 3: eight to eighty RRA, one point oh two WHIP and
• 38:32
  Speaker 3: he's another guy that the advanced analytics guys don't like
• 38:35
  Speaker 3: because he doesn't strike guys out. He pitches to contact.
• 38:38
  Speaker 3: But he's continuing to put up strong numbers here and
• 38:41
  Speaker 3: not put guys on base, so it's like, what do
• 38:44
  Speaker 3: you want, man. He's got a slightly better road R
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: two point eighty five, but he is more hittable on
• 38:50
  Speaker 3: the road. His opponent batting average goes up to two
• 38:52
  Speaker 3: point fifty five on the road compared to one to
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: eighty one at home, so he is more hittable on
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: the road. He wasn't that good last time out of
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: at Seattle, gave up four home runs, but maybe that's
• 39:03
  Speaker 3: a little bit fluky. He's he was in the All
• 39:06
  Speaker 3: Star Game, which I thought might throw him off because
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: a lot of times these first time All Stars don't
• 39:11
  Speaker 3: pitch well coming out of that. But he did pitch
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: well in the game after that against Philly, so I
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: don't think he's like thrown off by the All Star
• 39:17
  Speaker 3: Game or anything like that. His innings pitch count isn't
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: really that high yet, so I'm not too concerned about that. Plus,
• 39:23
  Speaker 3: he doesn't really throw that hard, so he's not a
• 39:25
  Speaker 3: velocity guy, so he might be able to handle more
• 39:28
  Speaker 3: innings than some other guys. He's got a low hit rate,
• 39:32
  Speaker 3: low walk rate, so again he's keeping guys off the bases.
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: Strike got rate is low, which is what the advanced
• 39:37
  Speaker 3: analytics guys don't like Robleski against the Cubs, though he's
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: been successful against them in the past twenty five at bats.
• 39:44
  Speaker 3: They only have one extra base hit, which is a
• 39:46
  Speaker 3: double from Bush one sixty average, five hundred ohps, six
• 39:51
  Speaker 3: to four strike out, walk, rates just so. The walks
• 39:53
  Speaker 3: aren't really that good, but other than that, he's held
• 39:56
  Speaker 3: Chicago's offense. And check here the Cubs are going with
• 39:59
  Speaker 3: Matt you boyd. He's pitching well again. He's returning. He
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: returned from injury not too long, but I think he
• 40:06
  Speaker 3: got injured. He was injured to start the season, and
• 40:08
  Speaker 3: then he got injured again, and he's since he's come
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: back from that, he's pitched pretty well. So he's stringing
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: together like a third straight pretty good season here. He's
• 40:17
  Speaker 3: got a three point four to one ERA one point
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: two whip. He's not as good at home though, ERA
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: was four point three five, but his opponent batting average
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: at home is right in line with what it is
• 40:26
  Speaker 3: on the road at two thirty nine. So really his
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: ERA is getting skewed because he's allowed more home runs
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: at home, but maybe that's a little bit flukey. Boy
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: does looked good, h really throughout the whole month of July.
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: He was good except for one start against Cincinnati. He
• 40:43
  Speaker 3: gave up some runs there, but even that wasn't that bad.
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: So he's pitching well here, except his walk rate is
• 40:47
  Speaker 3: maybe a little bit questionable. Over the last couple of starts.
• 40:50
  Speaker 3: But he's given up one run over his last fourteen
• 40:53
  Speaker 3: innings two runs over his last twenty. So yeah, he's
• 40:56
  Speaker 3: pitching well right now. His hit rate is decent, his
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: walk rate is pre low, strike out rate is okay.
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: He's not great, but these are decent across the board
• 41:05
  Speaker 3: numbers here against the Dodgers, though we know the Dodgers
• 41:08
  Speaker 3: are an animal on the offensive side of things, but
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: Boyd has actually done well against him in one hundred
• 41:14
  Speaker 3: at bats. He has a lot of experience against them,
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: and they have not done that well against him outside
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: of Mookie Bett's doing a lot of damage against him,
• 41:20
  Speaker 3: but other than that, not a whole lot. Two hundred
• 41:23
  Speaker 3: average five to seventy eight ops, twenty six to five
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: strike out walk ratio. So I think this game is
• 41:29
  Speaker 3: an under That's the way I would look at this game.
• 41:32
  Speaker 3: The travel you know, for lam at effect, they're hitting
• 41:35
  Speaker 3: a little bit. It looks like LA is undecided on
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: their pitcher now though, So I actually don't know if
• 41:39
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be Robleski or what that means, Like, are
• 41:41
  Speaker 3: they gonna try to bring some oh it might, Is
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: it gonna be Schooble? Is he ready to going on.
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: When when was the last time Schooble pitched. Let me look,
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: he's listed as their number one starter. It's so ridiculous, dude,
• 41:56
  Speaker 3: Schooble last pitch on the twenty nine. So it might
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: actually be Schooble here. If it is, then obviously I
• 42:02
  Speaker 3: still agree with the under, but the total is gonna
• 42:04
  Speaker 3: drop if it is him. The total in this game
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: right now, I think is at eight. Let me say,
• 42:10
  Speaker 3: where is it at National League? Yeah, right now it's
• 42:13
  Speaker 3: at eight, fifty three percent of tickets on the under,
• 42:16
  Speaker 3: sixty three percent of cash on the over. But I
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: like the under here, and if it's Schooble, that line's
• 42:20
  Speaker 3: gonna crash. It's gonna go down to probably seven, I
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: would guess. But that's another reason you could take the
• 42:26
  Speaker 3: under now and you might get some value on it,
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: because I think it will be either Robleski or Scooble here,
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: like Schooble last pitch on the twenty ninth, So if
• 42:33
  Speaker 3: it's him, that'll be an upgrade, you know what I mean.
• 42:35
  Speaker 3: He'll probably want to go out there and pitch well
• 42:38
  Speaker 3: for his new team, you know what I mean. He
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: is there because he was there in the dugout last night,
• 42:42
  Speaker 3: so he's definitely with the team already. So those are
• 42:46
  Speaker 3: my thoughts on that. Yeah, I mean you could take
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: a shot with the under. That would be my lean
• 42:49
  Speaker 3: in that game. As far as the side, I mean,
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: the money's actually backing the Cubs here. But again, if
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be Schoolble, it's a different handicap here. I mean,
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: do we really want to indycap him and take longer
• 43:01
  Speaker 3: on the show today? I like these shows to be
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: quick on these off days. Man, school Ball, let me say,
• 43:07
  Speaker 3: what does he look like against the Cobs. I don't
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: think I have to go into his like game loger
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: or anything, because we know he's good. Whatever. His numbers
• 43:15
  Speaker 3: are pretty good against the Cobs two forty average, a
• 43:17
  Speaker 3: lot six, fifty five oh ps, and fifty fifty at
• 43:19
  Speaker 3: bats eleven to one strike out walk ratio, So yeah,
• 43:22
  Speaker 3: he's been good. Alex Bregman absolutely destroys him, but everybody
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: else in this lineup doesn't really do much of anything
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: against him. So that's what you got going on with
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: school Ball. Two point seven to ninety ra point nine
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: to one whip. If he does actually pitch here again,
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: that'd be an upgrade I would say if they do
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: go with school ball there, you'll get value on the total.
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: If you played at eight, it's probably gonna drop if
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: it's announced that at school Bawl. So yeah, even if
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: it's Robleski, I think the under is the way I
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: would play that. But yeah, the money is also indicating
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: towards the Cobs seventy four percent of tickets, seventy one
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on the Dodgers. The Dodgers are
• 43:57
  Speaker 3: favored at minus one thirty or so here with the
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: line kind of dropping on them, so the money's kind
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: of coming in towards the Cubs. I don't really disagree
• 44:05
  Speaker 3: with that. I mean, again, you got the Dodgers coming
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: off the night game, which more often than not you
• 44:09
  Speaker 3: do want to fade that team. If School's gonna pitch,
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: that line's probably gonna go higher on the Dodgers, And
• 44:15
  Speaker 3: maybe that would mean you get some value on the
• 44:17
  Speaker 3: Cubs because maybe Boyd will be able to kind of
• 44:19
  Speaker 3: battle him at least, and I think the Cubs might
• 44:21
  Speaker 3: be able to battle out of the bullpen here as well.
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean, I'd still probably agree with the
• 44:26
  Speaker 3: slight leaning of the Cubs, but the unders I think
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: the better way to look at that game. Phillies are
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: supposed to get a rise. You're gonna buy season tickets
• 44:35
  Speaker 3: if they get him, all right, Yeah, I mean they
• 44:38
  Speaker 3: might get him.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: I mean Philadelphia is in contention here, although I'll pointed
• 44:42
  Speaker 3: out that Philadelphia is not as good as their record looks.
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: They have a negative run differential still I'm pretty sure.
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: I don't think. Maybe it's positive now, but if it is,
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: it's only slight. So I don't think they're as good
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: as their record looks, whereas Philly at Yeah, there's still
• 44:56
  Speaker 3: negative four run dift is that is not good. Their
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: run diff is the second worst in the NL East,
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: only better than the Mets. Yeah, filling they might make
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: the playoffs. If they do, I'll probably be looking to
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: fade them. They do have three good starters, though they
• 45:13
  Speaker 3: have a starting rotation. Yeah, let's just put it that.
• 45:17
  Speaker 3: With Philadelphia, it's been their offense that's been the huge problem. Like,
• 45:20
  Speaker 3: their starting rotation is pretty strong because of the three
• 45:24
  Speaker 3: guys that are at the top of it. So that
• 45:26
  Speaker 3: is a playoff starting pitching rotation without a doubt, but
• 45:29
  Speaker 3: the hitting might come to bite them at some point
• 45:32
  Speaker 3: and the bullpen, you know what I mean. Aside from
• 45:34
  Speaker 3: the starting pitching, Philadelphia has got some problems, all right.
• 45:40
  Speaker 3: I mean I kind of bashed Melo Kelly at the
• 45:42
  Speaker 3: beginning of the show. Fuck that the full game was
• 45:45
  Speaker 3: a winner on the under two. I'm really really pissed
• 45:49
  Speaker 3: about that. Just yeah, specifically the fifth inning, you're gonna
• 45:53
  Speaker 3: give up three runs and blow that thing. Fuck you.
• 45:57
  Speaker 3: I bashed them on Twitter as well. Toronto and Houston.
• 46:00
  Speaker 3: I do have an opinion on this game. You probably
• 46:02
  Speaker 3: know what it is already. If you look at the
• 46:03
  Speaker 3: starting pitching matchup, you know why I'm laughing here. I mean,
• 46:07
  Speaker 3: this is God. Houston is on a hot streak. They've
• 46:11
  Speaker 3: won six games in a row. They just swept Anaheim
• 46:13
  Speaker 3: and Texas. They're staying at home here. But it could
• 46:16
  Speaker 3: be a letdown for Houston, you know, off of that
• 46:18
  Speaker 3: big series against Texas. They just took over the Al
• 46:22
  Speaker 3: West and swept Texas. That's a big sweet man, So
• 46:25
  Speaker 3: they might be in a letdown spot off of that.
• 46:27
  Speaker 3: Are they really going to pay that much attention to Toronto?
• 46:31
  Speaker 3: My guess would be maybe not. Toronto's starting a road trip.
• 46:34
  Speaker 3: They did just lose a three game win streak. Believe
• 46:36
  Speaker 3: it or not. Toronto. You know, I don't think they're
• 46:39
  Speaker 3: that bad. I know they're not that good. They're one
• 46:42
  Speaker 3: of the weakest offenses their last place in the ALE East,
• 46:45
  Speaker 3: but they're in a pretty difficult division anyway. They're in
• 46:49
  Speaker 3: the best division in the American League. Toronto is starting
• 46:52
  Speaker 3: a road trip, which might be a positive spot. Just
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: get out a home after that loss yesterday and focus
• 46:57
  Speaker 3: on baseball. Toronto, well, I think have the better bullpen here.
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: They used three guys out of the bullpen, but it
• 47:03
  Speaker 3: was one long relief man. But they did use their
• 47:06
  Speaker 3: closer as well. It's been one of the better closers
• 47:08
  Speaker 3: in baseball, Vireland, who actually was a starter for a
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: bit in the Twins organization. It looks like he's found
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: his role though. He's been a really good closer. So
• 47:19
  Speaker 3: he's good, like in the first inning when he goes
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: out there, you know, and throws pretty hard and whatever.
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: What am I looking at here? Oh? Yeah, Houston. Houston's
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: bullpen they've been decent recently. They did use four guys yesterday,
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: but I think Toronto does have the bullpen edge here.
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: Toronto is ranked fourteenth. Houston is ranked where are they?
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: Houston's actually ahead of them at thirteenth, But I don't
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: think they're the better bullpen. They've definitely been better recently
• 47:47
  Speaker 3: than they were at the beginning of the season. I mean,
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: they couldn't have been worse. They were horrible at the
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: beginning of the season. But yeah, I think Toronto's been
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: like the more consistent bullpen and probably is still the
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: better one. Houston is, without a doubt, the better offense,
• 47:59
  Speaker 3: though the ranks six, Toronto was twenty ninth. Uh Toronto's
• 48:03
  Speaker 3: going with Shane Bieber, and I'm off the Bieber train. Man.
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: We backed him and got a win, and then we
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: backed him and took a loss, and things are not
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: right with Bieber. Even though I've said I don't think
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: he's done yet, and I still agree with that. He's
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: not that old. He's been really good in his career
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: and it's just these injuries have derailed him. But when
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: he pitched last year, he was good even though he
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: was coming back from injury. Maybe the injury he suffered
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: last year is really just sent him spiraling. I don't
• 48:31
  Speaker 3: think he's done yet, but he's just really, really unpredictable
• 48:34
  Speaker 3: right now, man, I don't want to deal with it.
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: His numbers don't look good obviously, five point seven foury RA,
• 48:39
  Speaker 3: one point six to three WHIP. He's obviously capable of
• 48:42
  Speaker 3: pitching way better than that, which is why he's still
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: in the rotation here, especially because Toronto's probably just at
• 48:48
  Speaker 3: this point figuring, fuck it, like it's a lost season.
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: Let's get Bieber back into shape here. Bieber's been really
• 48:55
  Speaker 3: bad on the road. Twelve point five to four ROADIRA.
• 48:57
  Speaker 3: That's not good. Last start was on the road, that
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: was miserable. I thought we were good with the first
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: five under in that one, it was not even close.
• 49:04
  Speaker 3: Bieber walked six guys in the first inning, didn't get
• 49:07
  Speaker 3: out of the first inning. He only allowed one hit,
• 49:09
  Speaker 3: but he couldn't even get the ball over the plate.
• 49:11
  Speaker 3: I don't know what was going on with him in
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: that start. He had pitched well the prior too starts,
• 49:15
  Speaker 3: so I thought he was back in form. He was
• 49:18
  Speaker 3: really good against Tampa Bay and when we backed him
• 49:21
  Speaker 3: there all those strikeout rate wasn't good. But yeah, I'm
• 49:24
  Speaker 3: I'm not willing to back Bieber again right now. Man.
• 49:27
  Speaker 3: He's got a high hit rate, high walk rate, a
• 49:29
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate is still down. I think we got to
• 49:32
  Speaker 3: wait and see with him. But if I was gonna
• 49:34
  Speaker 3: play this game, you could tell by the way I
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: was talking a little while ago, I would lean to
• 49:38
  Speaker 3: the over in this game. Bieber, by the way, throughout
• 49:41
  Speaker 3: his career, even when he was good, he's been bad
• 49:44
  Speaker 3: against Houston. So even the good Bieber wasn't good against Houston.
• 49:47
  Speaker 3: They have seventy six at bats against him. They have
• 49:50
  Speaker 3: murdered him. They have a four to h eight batting
• 49:52
  Speaker 3: average against him, an eleven thirty four oh ps and
• 49:54
  Speaker 3: that big of a sample size five different guys of
• 49:57
  Speaker 3: Homer and off him twelve strikeouts, two walks. That is good,
• 50:00
  Speaker 3: but all the rest of these numbers are really bad.
• 50:04
  Speaker 3: So yeah, Bieber, I don't think this is gonna be
• 50:06
  Speaker 3: the spot where rebounds his back. This is a really
• 50:09
  Speaker 3: bad matchup for him. Houston is going with Christian Javier,
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: who's come back from injury, and he has not looked
• 50:14
  Speaker 3: good either. Seven point one seventy r a, one point
• 50:17
  Speaker 3: eighty three whip, eight point two to two Homie I
• 50:20
  Speaker 3: rail those opponent batting. I was just better at home.
• 50:22
  Speaker 3: He hasn't pitched that much yet, but he's not going
• 50:25
  Speaker 3: deep into outings. Although he was really good last time
• 50:27
  Speaker 3: at Anaheim. He went five shutout inning, seven strikeouts, no walks,
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: three hits allowed, so he was good there. But yeah,
• 50:35
  Speaker 3: that means he's trending in the right direction, but that
• 50:36
  Speaker 3: was against Anaheim. They're not I mean, they're not a
• 50:38
  Speaker 3: good offense at home, although yeah, Toronto is not a
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: good offense either, so he might be able to pitch
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: okay here. His hit rate is still high as walker
• 50:46
  Speaker 3: rate's still really high. Strikeout rate is okay. Javier has
• 50:50
  Speaker 3: been decent at different points throughout his career, but he's
• 50:54
  Speaker 3: been really just kind of derailed by injuries over the
• 50:57
  Speaker 3: last couple of seasons. He was decent, He was really
• 51:00
  Speaker 3: good in twenty twenty two, and decent in twenty twenty
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: three for Houston, and then the injuries came in and yeah,
• 51:07
  Speaker 3: just he went totally off the rails after that and
• 51:10
  Speaker 3: he has not found the rails again. Let's put it
• 51:12
  Speaker 3: that way. He was also good in twenty twenty one,
• 51:14
  Speaker 3: but he was a relief pitcher back then and in
• 51:16
  Speaker 3: twenty twenty I don't fully trust him right now. Although
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: his numbers are good against Toronto. He's helding to a
• 51:24
  Speaker 3: one ninety average, six' ten, ops thirteen to six strikeout
• 51:27
  Speaker 3: walker issues not good, though and that's in fifty eight at. Bats,
• 51:31
  Speaker 3: AGAIN i think the over might be the best lean,
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: here but these two pitchers could potentially go out there
• 51:36
  Speaker 3: and pitch well, too SO i would hesitate to actually do.
• 51:39
  Speaker 3: It but sixty seven percent of tickets ninety three percent
• 51:41
  Speaker 3: of the cash on the, over the total is fairly
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: high at. NINE i, mean that's pretty high for A toronto.
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: Game so the oddsmakers are kind of telling you they
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: think it's going to be a higher scoring, game AND
• 51:50
  Speaker 3: i tend to agree with. THAT i also would Lean houston,
• 51:54
  Speaker 3: here even THOUGH i think it's a letdown spot For,
• 51:56
  Speaker 3: houston BUT i think the pitching favors. Them you just
• 51:59
  Speaker 3: saw the mattp. Numbers javier looks like he's in better
• 52:02
  Speaker 3: form just based on his based on these guys last,
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: starts which you don't want to weigh that too. Heavily
• 52:08
  Speaker 3: But haveavier's got the better matchup numbers as. Well they're
• 52:12
  Speaker 3: around minus one thirty or. So they haven't really moved
• 52:14
  Speaker 3: on the. Line sixty eight percent of tickets ninety two
• 52:17
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash On. Houston so, YEAH i agree
• 52:19
  Speaker 3: With houston probably first five, though BECAUSE i Think toronto
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: does have the better bullpen, here SO i Think houston
• 52:24
  Speaker 3: first five makes. Sense BUT i think my preference is
• 52:27
  Speaker 3: still to go over in that. Game Tampa bay At, Colorado.
• 52:32
  Speaker 3: Colorado they're staying at home off a sweep of The.
• 52:36
  Speaker 3: Royals colorado getting a sweep against anybody is kind of,
• 52:40
  Speaker 3: ridiculous but The royals maybe the that. Bad The royals are, bad,
• 52:45
  Speaker 3: dude AND i Think colorado might have actually been a
• 52:48
  Speaker 3: favorite in the game yesterday wild but, Yeah colorado put
• 52:53
  Speaker 3: up some runs in that. Series they're staying at. Home
• 52:55
  Speaker 3: Tampa bay has got to come into an unfamiliar venue.
• 52:58
  Speaker 3: Here they're starting a trip off an ugly loss yesterday,
• 53:01
  Speaker 3: though So Tampa bay just lost the series to The White.
• 53:04
  Speaker 3: Sox maybe it'll be good for them to just leave
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: and start a road trouble. THOUGH i know they're having
• 53:08
  Speaker 3: to go, west but at least it's not A Pacific coast,
• 53:11
  Speaker 3: game so it's not like a TEN pm Game, eastern
• 53:14
  Speaker 3: so that will be a little bit less on their
• 53:16
  Speaker 3: biological clock. Here maybe it's still not the greatest thing
• 53:21
  Speaker 3: For Tampa bay to do. Them Tampa bay used four
• 53:25
  Speaker 3: relief pitchers. Yesterday they have the better, bullpen Though colorado
• 53:28
  Speaker 3: didn't use any of their relief. Pitchers it looks, like
• 53:30
  Speaker 3: which seems strange to. Me they must have used, somebody,
• 53:33
  Speaker 3: right they didn't have A Did colorado get a complete
• 53:36
  Speaker 3: game from their pitcher? Yesterday maybe they? Did, yeah they.
• 53:40
  Speaker 3: Did Kyle freeland complete, game one run, effort, Ridiculous all,
• 53:47
  Speaker 3: right yeah. Whatever, Anyway, actually WAS i correct about the
• 53:51
  Speaker 3: first five under in that? ONE i must have been.
• 53:54
  Speaker 3: Right the full game went? Under let me, say uh,
• 53:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah colorado put up six and. Six so, yeah the
• 54:01
  Speaker 3: first five one under that? One oh my. God, anyway
• 54:05
  Speaker 3: it's not gonna Be Kyle freeland in this. Game colorado's
• 54:08
  Speaker 3: bullpen is still, bad even though they're. Rested i'm gonna
• 54:11
  Speaker 3: still give The rays a bullpen. Ash they're ranked third and,
• 54:13
  Speaker 3: bullpen ALTHOUGH i don't think they're that. Good other eras above,
• 54:17
  Speaker 3: four SO i can't really say that the third best,
• 54:19
  Speaker 3: bullpen but they're a top half. BULLPEN i would Say
• 54:22
  Speaker 3: colorado is a bottom half other twenty, seven they're a
• 54:25
  Speaker 3: Bottom they're not a good, bullpen So Tampa bay still
• 54:28
  Speaker 3: has the better of bullpen Here colorado twenty. Seventh both
• 54:33
  Speaker 3: teams have been pretty capable, Offensively colorado, Fifth Tampa bay,
• 54:36
  Speaker 3: tenth so maybe we'll see some overs come home in this.
• 54:39
  Speaker 3: Year So Tampa bay has had decent pitching. Too this
• 54:42
  Speaker 3: one is scheduled to Be Ian, seymour but we Know
• 54:45
  Speaker 3: Tampa bay uses an opener in front of, them and
• 54:47
  Speaker 3: that screwed me out of a win On toronto. Recently
• 54:49
  Speaker 3: if you, REMEMBER i gave Out toronto as a play
• 54:52
  Speaker 3: And Tampa bay Put Lego mina in in front Of
• 54:54
  Speaker 3: seymour and we would have had a win if we
• 54:57
  Speaker 3: just played that Game. Action So i'm pissed off about.
• 54:59
  Speaker 3: That Ian seymour came in after like a, me and of,
• 55:04
  Speaker 3: There seymour has been okay four point three seven E
• 55:07
  Speaker 3: ra one point one two whip. AGAIN i don't know
• 55:09
  Speaker 3: if he's gonna start this, game but he's probably gonna
• 55:11
  Speaker 3: pitch in this. Game so if you're gonna play this,
• 55:13
  Speaker 3: GAME i would Pick. Action on The Tampa bay, side
• 55:15
  Speaker 3: you can Pick lorenzo must start For colorado because he probably,
• 55:18
  Speaker 3: will but and he is scheduled, too But Tampa bay
• 55:21
  Speaker 3: might put an opener in front Of seymour. Again But
• 55:24
  Speaker 3: seymour's been. DECENT i, mean he's been better than HIS
• 55:26
  Speaker 3: ra makes him, look although he's been not so good
• 55:29
  Speaker 3: on the road five point six y three road E.
• 55:31
  Speaker 3: Ra last couple starts or last couple of outings have been.
• 55:35
  Speaker 3: Good that last, outing ACTUALLY i think was his last
• 55:38
  Speaker 3: two OUTINGS i think were actually not. STARTS i think
• 55:40
  Speaker 3: they were relief. Appearances, yeah his last one obviously wasn't
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: a start because he got a win and didn't make
• 55:45
  Speaker 3: it five innings into the, Start so obviously that means
• 55:48
  Speaker 3: he came in after an opener. Again so they've been
• 55:50
  Speaker 3: putting an opener in front of him every time SO i,
• 55:53
  Speaker 3: Recently SO i think they're gonna do that again. Here
• 55:55
  Speaker 3: and he's pitched a little bit better coming in after an,
• 55:58
  Speaker 3: opener so he might be able to continue you doing.
• 56:00
  Speaker 3: That he's pitched out of the bullpen a lot this.
• 56:03
  Speaker 3: Year he's got a low hit, rate reasonable walk rate.
• 56:06
  Speaker 3: Here strike out rate is. High but what you gotta
• 56:09
  Speaker 3: worry about in course field is fly ball. Rate his
• 56:11
  Speaker 3: flyball rate is a bit. High he's definitely a flyball,
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: pitcher and he's a lot of decent amount of home runs,
• 56:16
  Speaker 3: here so that's not great for him pitching a course field.
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: Here he might still do well, here, though you. KNOW i,
• 56:23
  Speaker 3: mean he's been decent, overall And colorado's never faced it,
• 56:26
  Speaker 3: before So colorado might struggle early on to try to
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: figure him. Out BUT i do worry about him along
• 56:31
  Speaker 3: some home runs. Here colorado's going With Michael, lorenzen who
• 56:34
  Speaker 3: has not been. GOOD a six point five four E
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: ra one point eight to one whip is. Horrible he's
• 56:40
  Speaker 3: been really bad at home eight point three to Five
• 56:42
  Speaker 3: Homie rays three. Four excuse. Me he's not even good
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: on the road, either but he's even worse at. Home
• 56:49
  Speaker 3: he's pitching poorly. RECENTLY i mean that that should have
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: been obvious, Probably but, yeah he has a fourteen to
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: fourteen strike out walk ratio over the last month, there
• 57:00
  Speaker 3: saw that's. Bad his hit rate is really high, again
• 57:03
  Speaker 3: probably the highest hit rate in. Baseball he's allowing like
• 57:06
  Speaker 3: almost one and a half hits per. INNING i, mean that's.
• 57:09
  Speaker 3: Ridiculous you can't do. That plus his walk rate is
• 57:12
  Speaker 3: just kind of mediocre as. Well he's a lot a
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: lot of home, runs strike gout rates. Low he's a
• 57:17
  Speaker 3: fly ball a type of, pitcher not, extreme but still
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: a flyball. Pitcher nothing about this looks good to. Me
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: his numbers Against Tampa bay are also not cod and
• 57:27
  Speaker 3: thirty nine at bats threezer way at, average one, thousand
• 57:30
  Speaker 3: seventy nine, ohps six to five strikeout walk. RATIO i
• 57:34
  Speaker 3: was thinking maybe an over in this. One the totals
• 57:38
  Speaker 3: at eleven and a, half seventy five percent of tickets
• 57:40
  Speaker 3: eighty seven percent of the cash on the under, though
• 57:42
  Speaker 3: so money kind of coming in towards the. Under Tampa
• 57:44
  Speaker 3: bay looks like they're getting some of the, money but
• 57:47
  Speaker 3: they're like minus one sixty or so on the money
• 57:50
  Speaker 3: line hasn't really moved that much eighty two percent and
• 57:53
  Speaker 3: tickets ninety percent of the cash On TAMPA i don't
• 57:56
  Speaker 3: THINK i really Want TAMPA i, mean even though they
• 57:59
  Speaker 3: they're probably the better, team they probably do have a
• 58:02
  Speaker 3: pitching edge throughout this, Game SO i wouldn't Play colorado
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: in the. Spot but laying that type of price With
• 58:08
  Speaker 3: Tampa bay with a sort of bulpen ish game that
• 58:10
  Speaker 3: they're going, WITH i don't think i'd want to do that,
• 58:13
  Speaker 3: either given That Tampa bay might pitch well, here or
• 58:16
  Speaker 3: they might, not BUT i think you can kind of
• 58:17
  Speaker 3: guarantee That colorado is gonna give up runs. Here Tampa
• 58:21
  Speaker 3: bay team total over might be the best approach in this.
• 58:24
  Speaker 3: Game but you're gonna need them to probably score seven
• 58:27
  Speaker 3: runs if you do, that you, KNOW i, mean because
• 58:31
  Speaker 3: it's an eleven and a half, total and they're a
• 58:33
  Speaker 3: fairly significant, Favorite so it's gonna be a high team total.
• 58:38
  Speaker 3: There that's so high that it's almost. Unplayable BUT i
• 58:41
  Speaker 3: do think that is an option in this. GAME i
• 58:43
  Speaker 3: Know Tampa bay's offense sometimes doesn't put up that many,
• 58:46
  Speaker 3: runs but they might be able to get there in that.
• 58:48
  Speaker 3: Game San diego And arizona is the last game of
• 58:52
  Speaker 3: the baseball. Board. Here arizona is returning home from a road,
• 58:55
  Speaker 3: trip a long road trip where they had an extra
• 58:58
  Speaker 3: game a makeup In Saint. Louis then they went To, Washington,
• 59:02
  Speaker 3: pittsburgh And, cleveland so they've had a ten game road.
• 59:05
  Speaker 3: TRIP i think is what this was returning home from.
• 59:08
  Speaker 3: That that's a negative crossing a time zone here as
• 59:12
  Speaker 3: well to finish that off and come back. Home, yeah
• 59:16
  Speaker 3: it's a negative spot or maybe even two time. ZONES
• 59:18
  Speaker 3: i don't. KNOW i forget what time. Zone arizona kind
• 59:21
  Speaker 3: of does their own. THING i think they don't have daylight.
• 59:23
  Speaker 3: SAVINGS i know. THAT i forget which of the time
• 59:26
  Speaker 3: zones they're even. In they're probably mountain, time, RIGHT i don't. Know,
• 59:30
  Speaker 3: Anyway arizona's returning. Home it's a negative. Spot you gotta
• 59:34
  Speaker 3: get back to home. Life San diego is one game behind,
• 59:37
  Speaker 3: them but both teams are probably gonna still show up
• 59:39
  Speaker 3: for the series, though because it's a close battle in
• 59:43
  Speaker 3: THE Nl west, here SO i don't Think arizona's gonna
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: completely Overlook San. Diego But San diego's behind them by one,
• 59:48
  Speaker 3: game So San diego might be a little bit more,
• 59:51
  Speaker 3: motivated and the spot's not good For arizona returning home
• 59:54
  Speaker 3: from a long road. Trip San diego is starting a
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: road trip with momentum after Beating san Francis go three
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: times in the last three, games winning three of the
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 3: four games in that. Series San diego is starting a road.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 3: Trip that's a more positive. Spot plus the travels easier for,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 3: THEM i would imagine just going From San diego To,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 3: arizona so it's a more positive situation For San. Diego
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 3: looking at the pitching matchup on the surface looks Like
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 3: San diego is the pitching edge as well with the starting,
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 3: pitching BUT i actually don't think so when you dig
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 3: into the, matchup SO i think you have the better
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 3: situation For San. Diego in, theory they have the better
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 3: starting pitcher, here BUT i think the matchup actually Favors,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 3: arizona believe it or, not in the starting. Pitching arizona
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 3: in the they're not the better. BULLPEN i will say
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 3: That arizona used two guys out of the. Bullpen San
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 3: diego did use, four although they Gave Mason miller a rest.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 3: Yesterday But San diego's bullpen is not a great rest
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 3: shape right, now though they are generally the better, bullpen
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 3: even though they're ranked eighth And arizona's ranked. Six San
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 3: DIEGO'S era is like a half run better out of the,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 3: bullpen SO i think Sant diego is the better. Bullpen
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 3: both offenses have had. Problems arizona's twenty second tied With.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 3: Philly San diego is twenty, fourth which is obviously not.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 3: Good Although arizona is a more hitter front of the
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 3: park Than San diego. Is Michael king is pitcher For San.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 3: DIEGO i thought he was supposed to pitch, yesterday and
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 3: apparently they pushed him. Back they won. ANYWAY i don't
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 3: even know who pitched For San diego yesterday, then but
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 3: they Pushed Michael king back to. Today he's got a
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 3: three point three EIGHTY r one point one to seven.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 3: Whip he's put up solid numbers this year as, usual
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 3: three point FOUR, roadira so he's basically the same home and.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 3: Away he's in pretty good form. Recently his walk rate's
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 3: been slightly. High give up some runs last time out Against,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 3: colorado but wasn't really that. Bad got kind of unlucky
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 3: along some home runs. There he's got a low hit
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 3: rate on the. Season his walk rate is his main.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 3: Issue he does walk too many. Guys his strikeout rate
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 3: is not great, either but he's not a huge strikeout,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 3: pitcher and he does induce a pretty good amount of
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 3: ground Ball In arizona or, sorry Against, Arizona he's he's
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 3: actually been good sixty at bats one eighty three, average
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 3: five point thirty five, ops thirteen to seven at strake
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 3: o walk, ratio so he's actually been good Against. Arizona
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 3: so MAYBE i take it back that the matchup Favors
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 3: arizona that. MUCH i thought it, did but maybe the
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 3: under is actually the better way to look at. This
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 3: Brandon fott is pitching For, arizona and you, think, well
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 3: why WOULD i want to back? Him like he sucked
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 3: most of the. Year, yeah that's, true but he's been
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 3: really good since they brought him back up from the,
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 3: miners like he's found something. Again, man he used to
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 3: Be he was a decent pitcher for a while and
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 3: he's still not even. Old SO i kept saying that
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 3: when he was STRUGGLING i thought that he was gonna
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 3: get better. Again he's got a FOUR era one point
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 3: twenty nine whip that's not too. Bad he's not quite
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 3: as good at home, though four point nine to eight
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 3: home era those opponent batting average is actually lower at,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 3: home so maybe that era is a little bit. Misleading
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 3: but one thing THAT i think is not, misleading he's
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 3: been getting better and, better and he's pitched well since
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 3: coming back from the. Miners they sent him to The
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 3: miners from most Of. June since he's come, Back arizona
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 3: is six and zero in his, starts and he's picked
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 3: up a win in five of, them and he's allowed
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 3: two or fewer runs in every one of those, starts
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 3: in all six of, Them AND i was, saying, WELL
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 3: i don't know IF i fully buy, it because he
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 3: Faced San, Francisco San, Diego Saint louis, twice barely made
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 3: it past five innings in. Those, well he also beat
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 3: The dodgers in, there and then his last time out
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 3: he shut Out pittsburgh on the. Road The dodger game
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 3: was on the road as. Well though The dodgers are
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 3: better at hitting on the, Road pittsburgh is an elite
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 3: offense at, home and he stifled them completely for seven.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 3: Innings that was an insane game Where fot should have
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 3: had the win in that. Game he left the game
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 3: with like a six to nothing lead in that game
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 3: And arizona's bullpen blew the entire thing and then they
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 3: still won anyway an extra innings eight to. Seven but,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 3: Yeah fott should have had the win in that and
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 3: he was really good in that. One he's been pitching
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 3: more innings in each one of them. Starts they're ramping them.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 3: Up he's pitching well right. Now JUST i DON'T i
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 3: do not want to fade fat. Here and in one
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 3: of those starts he pitched well Against San. Diego LIKE i,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 3: said In San, diego he shut them out for five,
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 3: innings only allowed four, hits no, walks six, Strikeouts and
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 3: as you could, guess he does have good numbers Against San,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 3: diego although actually his numbers are worse Than Michael king's
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 3: in this. MATCHUP i THINK i must have LOOKED i
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 3: must have looked At fat OR i must have looked
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 3: At king against a different. Lineup so my mistake fought
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 3: as one hundred and fifty at bats Against San, diego
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 3: thirty nine to eight strike a walk, ratio that's a nice,
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 3: ratio two fifty three, average that's like a that's type
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 3: of ratio you want On twitter man six seventy one
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 3: ops as. Well so now THAT i kind of have reanalyzed,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 3: that and again let me make sure THAT i got
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 3: that right With Michael king, Here, Yeah king does do
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 3: well Against San diego so or against The. Arizona's, YEAH
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 3: i think an under is actually probably the better way
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 3: to look at that. Game probably still good enough to
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 3: look at it that. Way the money's not agreeing with.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 3: Me the money's coming in on the over eighty percent
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 3: of tickets and fifty percent of tickets eighty percent of
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 3: the cash on the over sad eight and a. Half but,
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 3: YEAH i would lean under in that. Game and the
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 3: money is coming in On, arizona even though it's a
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 3: bad spot for them returning home from the road. Trip
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 3: the professional money likes Backing brandon fot. Here it's almost
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 3: like we have a hidden advantage here where like nobody's
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 3: gonna want and Because king has the better, numbers the
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 3: public probably Prefers San diego just based on who they're,
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 3: like who the names, are and their starting lineup and.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 3: Whatever they have fifty three percent of tickets on, them
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 3: seventy percent of the cash On. Arizona, YEAH i MEAN
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 3: i kind of agree slightly with the lean Towards. Arizona
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 3: maybe you could do a full. GAME i, mean maybe
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 3: they have a bullpen edge, there BUT i DON'T i
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 3: would not do it because they're returning home from the.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 3: Road that's still difficult returning home from the road, man
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 3: And king does still actually have the better matchup. Numbers so,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 3: ACTUALLY i don't, KNOW i might even. DISAGREE i THOUGHT
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 3: i was going to agree with The arizona, side BUT
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 3: i might somewhat disagree with it, actually now THAT i
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 3: think about. IT i don't have a strong opinion on
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 3: the side at this point. Though Reanalyzing, KING i THINK
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 3: i had the wrong matchup, numbers, like, YEAH i like
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 3: the under a lot more than anything else in that.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 3: One but, YEAH i, mean given the situation and That
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 3: king does still have pretty good matchup, MURTHERERS i still
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 3: THINK i would probably slightly Lead San, diego BUT i
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 3: don't feel strongly at all about that. Side the foolish
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 3: is the man that fades Fat, yeah, yeah, yeah don't
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 3: don't fade a guy that has a name like, that
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 3: a name that you can make, fun, dude he must
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 3: have had some fun in, school, Right your last name is?
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 3: Fart uh? Yeah fat? Again is how is how we
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: say fart In? Boston all, right let me finish this
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 3: off and THEN i gotta get out of here pretty.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 3: Soon we got three W nba games. Here i'm not
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 3: gonna get. Involved we should have had the win. YESTERDAY
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: i was correct About minnesota, too but Fuck, minnesota. Dude
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 3: they're fucking more on coach with her Trans kids, shirts
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 3: just to stick it To Sophie cunningham and all The
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 3: minnesota fans Booing Sophie cunningham whenever she gets the ball
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 3: just because literally all she said was that men shouldn't
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 3: play in women's. Sports what the fuck do you think
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 3: THE wnba, Is, like are you? Serious, like, oh you
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 3: want to allow men? In, well The minnesota is not
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 3: gonna be the best team anymore if you're gonna let
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 3: teams pick up men in THE. Wnba If minnesota doesn't
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 3: get the majority of the, men they're not gonna be
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 3: the best team. Anymore so their crowd will really enjoy, That,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 3: like what the fuck are you talking? About and the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 3: trans kids thing is just way more disgusting because you're
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 3: talking about mutilating. Children fuck, her that fucking coach From. Minnesota, Dude,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 3: minnesota they're gonna win the. Championship they're better than all
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 3: the other teams in that. League it's just fucking, stupid.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 3: Dude and that game should have been closer than it was.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 3: YESTERDAY i did cover AND i got it, right But
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 3: indiana got. SCREWED i don't know if you saw the
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 3: reffing in that, game but it was like it was getting,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 3: Ridiculous Like Caitlin clark And Sylvia cunningham were both getting
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 3: screwed by the, Officiating like multiple times they got fouled
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 3: hard and got and there were no. Calls there was
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 3: one play WHERE i think it Was cunningham got elbowed
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 3: in the face and they called the foul On. Cunningham
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 3: she got elbowed in the face BY i think it
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 3: was By miles the, rookie rookie of the, year most
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 3: likely On. MINNESOTA i think it was. Her it might
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 3: not have been, her but whoever it was In minnesota
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 3: swung their arm like that and Elbowed cunningham in the.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 3: Face The minnesota player had the, ball but it was
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 3: clearly an offensive, foul and they called the foul On,
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 3: cunningham like what did she foul the opponent with her?
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 3: Jaw like what the fuck are you? Doing the refs
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 3: were just, blatantly blatantly rigging the game From minnesota and
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 3: Now i've never seen more blatantly rigged. Reffing and it
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 3: was just seeing the highlights that go up On, twitter
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 3: and there were a bunch of. Them, disgusting absolutely. Disgusting
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 3: minnesota is the worst state in The United, states, Dude it's.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 3: Crazy you think it would Be, California New york something like. That.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 3: Massachusetts massachusetts is better Because i'm here but, Yeah minnesota
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 3: Is they're an absolute laughing. STOCK i just kicked them
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 3: out of The. Union. FUCK i don't even know what
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 3: else to. Say, yeah the ref was also, yeah grinning about.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 3: It THE wnba is a. JOKE i mean it's a
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 3: joke of a. League nobody watches it. Anyway the only
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 3: REASON i pay attention to it is BECAUSE i like
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 3: money And i've been able to win doing it SINCE
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 3: i only started actually doing it here on the show
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 3: and whatever last. Year but we had a winning year
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 3: last year and we're still winning this year THOUGH i
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 3: think we're only up by like two, games but. Still, Yeah,
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 3: MINNESOTA i, Mean minnesota has that tip that goes Into canada,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 3: anyway which is like an. Island you literally have to
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 3: go Through canada on to even get to it by. Land,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 3: yeah that like weird tip That minnesota. Has, Anyway let
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 3: me get it out of, here, Man let me finish
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 3: This vegas In atlanta On peacock. Here these are all
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 3: night Games peacock AND Nbc. Sports this is the best
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 3: matchup of the three games, here although the last game
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 3: is at least competitive because it has lesser teams than.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 3: It but this is the game between two good teams,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 3: here even THOUGH i don't want to Praise Angel, reese
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 3: but at this Point i'll Take Angel rees And atlanta
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 3: over Over minnesota at this, point, Man atlanta's won five
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 3: games in a. Row they're playing pretty well that they
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 3: did it mostly against bad. Teams so they did get
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 3: a nice road win Against dallas in. There they're staying at.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 3: Home they're coming off an easy win Over. Seattle they're
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 3: not gonna Overlook. Vegas but the problem Is vegas is
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 3: still the better, team And vegas is in the better
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 3: conference in The. West And vegas is a really good
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 3: road team, Too So atlanta's definitely gonna have to step it,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 3: up step it up in class to Play vegas. Here,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 3: vegas they're coming off an ugly loss To. CHICAGO i
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 3: gave that out as a winner on the show the other.
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 3: Day we got an outright, win underdog win With chicago,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 3: there AND i told you it was a bad. Spot
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 3: vegas had just Beaten New, york which is one of their.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 3: Rivals they got revenge On New, york double, Revenge Commissioner's
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 3: cup revenge as. Well big win For vegas. There they
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 3: weren't really totally focused Against. CHICAGO i don't, think AND
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 3: i think they might have been looking ahead to this
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 3: game Against. Atlanta they got a run of big games,
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 3: here AND i think they're gonna be in a bounce
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 3: back mode here Against atlanta after, that SO i THINK
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 3: i would probably have to Leave vegas here in this.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 3: One the MARKET i think agrees. That, yeah the market
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 3: is actually strongly agreeing with. That atlanta fifty seven percent
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 3: of tickets on. THEM i don't know. Why why would
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 3: the public be On atlanta just because they're, hot just
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 3: because they've, won AND i don't mean, physically just because
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 3: they have won five games in a. Row vegas is
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 3: a great road. Team they're one of the best teams
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 3: in the, league and they're in the better, conference AND
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 3: i think the spot sets up a little bit better
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 3: as a bounce back spot for. Them so and, Again,
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 3: atlanta they've made this recent run against weak opponents and
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 3: they haven't faced anybody as good As vegas during that.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 3: Stretch vegas is better Than, dallas so And vegas is
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 3: certainly better on the deepfensive. Side even though this is
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 3: a high, total which that total is actually really, high
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 3: which is kind of, crazy and the money's also getting
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 3: the OVER i Thought vegas was good on, deepfense AND
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 3: i know. It lanta is good on. DEFENSE i don't
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 3: know why this total is as high as it, is but,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah i'd Lean vegas sixty nine percent of the cash on,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 3: them so the money agrees With. Vegas seattle In New
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 3: york is the biggest lopsided match, here the lopsided match up.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 3: Here we're not talking about The World cup. Anymore but
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 3: The liberty are not in a good. Spot they're returning
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 3: home from the. Road they've been on the road since
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 3: coming out of The All star, break and they went
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 3: to The West. Coast they Played La vegas And phoenix
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 3: won two out of the three and had a close
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 3: loss To. Vegas it was a decent road trip for.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 3: Them now they're returning home with only one one day
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 3: off coming in From. PHOENIX i don't like, that. Man
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 3: they're having across time. Zones you, KNOW i talk about return,
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 3: Home it could be a. Distraction you got to get
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 3: back to home. Life are they really going to pay
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 3: attention to one of the worst teams in the league, Here.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 3: Seattle the only reason they might is because they actually
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 3: went To seattle back In june and, lost and that
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 3: was the only time they played. Them they lost by
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 3: eleven In, seattle but that was not that's not really
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 3: in recent, memory SO i don't. Know it's still a
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 3: return memory in the corner of my. Mind, YEAH i don't.
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 3: KNOW i still think it's a. Negative it's a return home.
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 3: SPOT i think they could be distracted. HERE i don't
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 3: think they're exactly going to pay attention to a six
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 3: and twenty five. Team seattle actually has the worst record
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 3: in the. LEAGUE i think they have a worse record Than,
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 3: connecticut even THOUGH i Think seattle is probably better Than.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 3: Connecticut seattle's been. Bad they've lost whatever this, is eight
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 3: games in a. Row they're playing some bad basketball. Here,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 3: however these were against good, teams, MAN i, mean look
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 3: at this. Run they had to Play, Atlanta minnesota, Twice indiana,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 3: twice Actually atlanta twice as. Well that was six of
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 3: the eight, losses and then the other ones Were, washington
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 3: who's a decent defensive, team and Then, chicago both on the.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 3: Road So seattle has they faced a difficult schedule in.
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 3: There New york is still pretty good as, well Though
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 3: seattle's coming in From. Atlanta seattle does play in the
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 3: better conference The Western, conference though they've been really really
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 3: bad on the. Road, still there's not a good. Team
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 3: obviously The liberty are the better, team but that's why
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 3: they're laying a bunch of. Points ALTHOUGH i thought this
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 3: is gonna be a double digit number here and it is.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 3: Not it's an eight and a, half seven and a
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 3: half even at some. Places so, YEAH i don't know
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 3: the money's coming Into New. York fifty per, tickets ninety
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 3: four percent of the cosh Of New. York it kind
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 3: of to me looks too easy to Play New, York
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 3: LIKE i thought this line would be. Higher plus it's
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 3: a return home, spot SO i kind of leaned to
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 3: the underdog. THERE i kind of leaned Towards seattle plus the.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 3: Points and by the, way HOPEFULLY sob did not play
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 3: who was It connecticut? Yesterday they did not cover let's
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 3: put it that, Way so hopefully he did not jump
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 3: in on that. ONE i did not like that one
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 3: nearly as much as those other couple of. Games although
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 3: we got. SCREWED i think with The portland, game we
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 3: got kind of unlucky with that. One phoenix At chicago's
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 3: the last game, here two not so good, Teams although
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 3: maybe these teams are both a little bit better than
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 3: their records. Suggests they've been competitive against good teams at
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 3: least for the most. Part this is ON Usa network
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 3: at nine. Pm chicago just Beat. Vegas that was a big,
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 3: win but that could set up a let down for.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 3: Them we remember BECAUSE i had that game on the.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 3: Show they Caught vegas in a really bad, spot in
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 3: a sandwich, spot so that kind of explains what happened.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 3: There chicago's coach also Knows vegas really, well so this
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 3: could be a let down For chicago after. That they
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 3: did Beat phoenix on the road back On july, seventh
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 3: so there's maybe a little bit of a quick revenge
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 3: angle here. Too they did lose to them In phoenix
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 3: early in the, season but the most recent matchup they
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 3: went in and beat them In phoenix by, eleven So
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 3: phoenix might have some adjustments that they make. Here phoenix
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 3: is coming off a really tough game, too. Though they
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 3: just Played New york and only lost by, two although
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 3: if you look at that, game they were losing by
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 3: seven in the final minute and it was really kind of,
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 3: cosmetic like they did not almost win that. Game it
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 3: was a close game for a, bit but then they
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 3: knew they were gonna, lose and they put up a
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 3: bucket right at the end in garbage time that there
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 3: was like no time left when they caught it from
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 3: four to two at the. END i, think so they
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 3: were not about to win that game or anything like.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 3: That still kind of a tough game though Against New,
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 3: york and they're having to come off of. That but
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 3: they are starting a road trip. Now could be a
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 3: focused spot. Here plus it's a team that came in
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 3: and beat them in their own place not long. Ago
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 3: chicago is coming off the BIGGER i think performance Beating
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 3: vegas and it was more of a misleading. PERFORMANCE i
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 3: would Lead phoenix in this, one and the line has
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 3: flipped towards. Them chicago opened one and a half and
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 3: now it looks Like phoenix has flipped to the favorite
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 3: and one and a. Half when the favorite, flips that's
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 3: usually an indicator that money has come in on that.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 3: Side we see seventy five percent of tickets ninety one
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash On. Chicago this is hilariously the
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 3: lowest of the three totals in the high one, seventies
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 3: and the money's hit the over in all three, games
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 3: by the, way but, YEAH i Think phoenix is the
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 3: way to lean. Here not a strong opinion for. ME
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 3: i think my strongest opinion in the three games is Towards.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 3: VEGAS i won't be doing. IT i won't have A
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 3: wnba play, today but, YEAH i Think phoenix would be
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 3: my lean in that one for all the reasons THAT i.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 3: Stated we'll see if the market read kind of changes by,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 3: then BUT i don't know that's gonna do.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 5: It.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 3: Man one play today is The San Francisco giants first
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 3: five money. Line that's my only play TODAY web against
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 3: a bullpen. Game, basically let's get that one. Done my
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 3: next best PLAY i thought was maybe the over In
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 3: pirates And, Brewers BUT i don't. KNOW i don't know
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 3: you've heard what my what all my opinions. Were so
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 3: that's WHAT i. Got learned a tone On. Twitter learn
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 3: it tone On, instagram like subscribe to the channel here
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 3: you'll get no off WHEN i go. Live we're gonna
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 3: have some football content coming up. Soon football starting dude.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 3: Football there's AN nfl game this, week, RIGHT i think
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 3: it's this. WEEK i think it's in like three days or.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 3: Whatever The hall Of fame, game the earliest of the preseason. Games,
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 3: yeah it's a it's a great. Matchup It's Arizona. Carolina
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 3: i'm pretty sure everyone's gonna want to watch. THAT i,
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 3: Mean carolina does have some talented young, players though they're
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 3: probably not gonna play much in the. Game but, yeah
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 3: you want to See Bryce young play for like one. Drive,
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 3: yeah there you, go assuming that's WITH i don't. KNOW i,
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 3: mean prese PRESEASON nfl is really hard to figure, out,
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 3: MAN i DON'T i talked about the preseason games last,
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 3: year BUT i don't really do PRESEASON. Nfl it's just
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 3: you gotta really try to gauge like who's actually gonna
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 3: play in each, game and it's it's really difficult to. Do,
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 3: anyway be on the lookoup for. That if you subscribe to,
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 3: this you'll get notified WHEN i go. Live listen on
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 3: an Audio, Apple spotify. SPREAKER i gotta get out of, here.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 3: Man it covered in you MY uke channel on. YouTube
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 3: i got that back up to. Date what else page
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 3: round dot comp slash learned it to if you want
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 3: to support me that. Way Loser Cast tomorrow, night a
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 3: Loser cast Every tuesday. Night got to figure out WHOM
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 3: i have a couple of maybe ideas for a. Loser
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 3: got to figure it. OUT i don't, know but check
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 3: out that SHOW i was. ON i forgot to Mention saturday,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 3: NIGHT i was On Justin campbell's last. SHOW i forget
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 3: what the name of his podcast, is, unfortunately BUT i
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 3: did retweeted it WHEN i was on because he was
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 3: streaming To twitter and it's on, YouTube i. Think but,
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 3: YEAH i WISH i could remember the name of. It but,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 3: YEAH i was, like he is completing his podcast at
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 3: least for, now to focus on family and other. Things
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 3: so good for. Him he's a good. DUDE i enjoyed
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 3: being on that. Show it was a kind of chaotic
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 3: show because we had a lot of. People but if
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 3: you can find, that you can check that out. Too
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 3: we what else DO i have to promote? Here New
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 3: York giants G spot podcast should be back at some,
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 3: point AND i think that is. It, yeah that's gonna do.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 3: IT i appreciate. Everybody, yes, Peace.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: If the doc starts, talking hand me the, phone let
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: somebody and so let somebody know you do not have to.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: Lose this. Round, lone.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 5: Hold, on hold on nothing nice not, now hold, on hold,
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 5: on let me pull you out that bad look by,
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 5: time but it don't get the Crown hold on, Hold
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 5: stay with.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: Me, now
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 4: Old one, Hold you're still here now