Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | Totally | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/6/26

Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | Totally | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/6/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chicks.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: The black coffee on the felt. Man, you look like
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: Your name still mean something to somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. No, hold on,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: hold on nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 4: Nice not now.
• 0:58
  Speaker 5: Hold on, Hold on me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on, stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: Toadstool Sports, Wednesday, May sixth, zero and three on the show. Yesterday,
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: Texas Rangers started out with a three nothing lead in
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: the first inning and then basically blew that immediately, even
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: though it was de gram on the mountain. Then they
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: never scored again, and the bullpen wasn't that good. I
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: there's nothing that I have to say about that. The
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: hockey under was looking really bad right away. You had
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: literally two goals scored on the first three shots of
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: the game. And Minnesota doesn't know who their goaltender is anymore.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: Like I thought in Game one, they just switched goalies
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: because the game was so out of control. It was
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: just like, all right, let's put somebody else in. I
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: didn't realize that they were still gonna have goaltending issues
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: and have no idea who their goalie is. They're dead.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: They're obviously not winning that series. But the game still
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: should have gone under. Even though there were two goals
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: scored in the first three shots of the game. It
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: was one to one in the first like two minutes
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: of the game. Then it was two to one within
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: the first five minutes or so, probably three goals in
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: the first five or six shots. The game was still
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: gonna go under. And then an empty net put it over.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: It's like you cannot even play a hockey under. There's
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: an empty net go in every fucking game. I'm so
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: sick of it. And one of them did get us
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: a win the other day instead of a push on Vegas,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: but I'm fucking sick of this shit. And then the
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: Cleveland Cavs, they were really bad at the beginning of
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: the game, and then they still probably should have got
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: they you know, they closed the gap completely. I think
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: they at least tied the game late in the game.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: They might have taken the lead to I don't know.
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: The game was close near the end. It was low scoring,
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: although low scoring actually is a better style of game
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: for Detroit. Cleveland needs to score and they did not
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: do that in the game yesterday. It was too low
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: scoring for a Cleveland game. But still, I don't know,
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: I could have covered. I'm done with it. We need
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: to bounce back. Streamyard is not working for me right now,
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: which is all right, there we go. I'm gonna give
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: out three baseball plays, they're all totals. I'm gonna give
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: out one NBA play as well, and that's gonna be
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: what today is. Mister Penzy. Kyle was up Rangers bases
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: loaded with one out and did get a run yet,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: but at that point you're hoping to get really lucky
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: at that point. Yesterday was fucking horrible. Yeah. Fuck the
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: empty net. I don't know what else to say about that.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: If the game didn't start off with two goals in
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: the first three shots, that still would have gone under.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, Yeah, I have nothing else to
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: say about that. And then the empty net. I don't know,
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: you like, I know, it's the playoffs, whatever, but you're
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: really gonna continue going empty net in the final minute
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: of the game or whatever when you're down two goals. Okay,
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, I guess it makes sense. I
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: guess there's nothing else you could do. But still a
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: lot of times teams will back off and not do that.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: We have Afternoon Baseball because a lot of these series
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: are ending today. Toronto at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: on the verge of a sweep peer and they've won
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: five games in a row. Tampa Bay is hot right now.
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: But I always talk about how a team might overlook
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: the other team when they're about to sweep them. Maybe
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: you get extra effort from Toronto here Tampa Bay. Do
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: they look ahead to the Red Sox. I don't know.
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, the Red Sox are the last place team
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: in the division, possibly not the worst team in the division,
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: but it's also a division where really none of the
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: teams in this division are really that bad, though, But
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know, maybe you get extra effort from Toronto here.
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay used three relief pitchers yesterday. Toronto also used three.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: The bullpens are both I don't know. I guess I
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: would say mediocre at this point. Tampa Bay is ranked
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: sixteenth right now fourteenth for Toronto based on WHIP. Not
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: really a huge disparity. Tampa Bay's bullpen was really bad
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: at the beginning of the season, but they're better recently
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: hitting wise. They think both teams are kind of mediocre
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: as well, if I remember correctly. Yeah, they're eighteenth and nineteenth,
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: Tampa just above Toronto. Patrick KORbin is pitching for Toronto.
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: You know, I'm not a fan of Corbin, although his
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: numbers this year not bad. Three point six five ERA,
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: one point two six WHIP. He's been good on the
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: road two point twenty five road ERA so far. Yeah,
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's been actually pretty decent. He's given up
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: two or fewer and runs in his last four outings
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: twenty to seven overall strikeout, strikeout walk ratio on twenty
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: four hits a lot on twenty four to two thirds innings,
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: strikeout rates not high. But none of these numbers are
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: really bad, so you know, take away from that what
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: you want. But Corbyn's been alright. Numbers against Tampa Bay
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: are not that good. In forty four at bats five
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: to four, strikeout walk ratio three eighteen batting average allowed
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: seven to eighty four ops, so that makes it look
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: like the matchup might not be particularly good for Corban.
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: Shane McClanahan is pitching for the Rays. He has really
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: started turning it on in his last couple outings three
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: point one ERA on the season, one point one seven whip.
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: He's been really good at home one point two ERA.
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: So both of these pitchers have good home road splits here.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: McClanahan has thrown two shutouts in a row where he's
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: gone five plus innings in both of them against Minnesota
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: and San Francisco, but both of those were home outings.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: McClanahan is a guy who's trying to come back from
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: injury after missing I think two years with injuries, surgery, whatever,
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: Tommy John he looks to be kind of on his
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: way back to what he used to be if you
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: look at his old numbers, like back when he before
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: his injury, his numbers are really good in his career,
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: and he looks to sort of be headed back in
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: that same direction. Now. He's got a thirty to thirteen
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio, still too many walks, but not
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: that bad. Twenty one hits a lot in twenty nine innings.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: McClanahan i mean, yeah, he looks pretty good right now.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: Numbers against Toronto, though, are actually not good and sixty
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: three at bats fifteen to five strike a walk ratio
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: three zero two batting average eight twenty nine ops allowed.
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: So and those numbers were accumulated when he was actually
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: editor as well. So the matchup, like everything looks kind
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: of good for both pitchers. They're both pitching pretty well
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: right now. I think McClanahan is the better pitcher generally
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: over cored then, but they both also have bad matchup numbers,
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: So it's like, what do you do with this game?
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm passing on it because I just
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: think there are too many factors in both directions here.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it's sort of coming in towards
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: Toronto Tampa Bay minus one thirty something range on the
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: money line seventy two percent ticket sixty six percent of
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: the cash on them money also hitting the over, but
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: the totals at seven and a half. So both starting
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: pitchers are getting respect in the market here, which makes
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: sense in a way. But the matchup numbers don't really
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: look good to me. As I just showed you, I
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: don't know, I mean, I guess if you want the
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: deciding factor to be that Toronto's gonna put an extra
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: effort to try to avoid the sweep, you could lean
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: that way. But I also, you know, just on the service,
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: if you make me choose, I think McClanahan is better
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: than Corbin. So I don't know what else to say
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: about it. I don't have a good read on the game.
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: The money seems to be indicating towards Toronto a little
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: bit as the small underdog. Tyson, what's up? Thanks for
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: hanging out, everybody. Milwaukee at Saint Louis. I believe this
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: game got rained out yesterday, and I think it's gonna
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: be played at a later time because these teams are
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: in the same division, so there is going to be
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: another trip from Milwaukee to Saint Louis at some point,
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: so they're not going to play a doubleheader during this series.
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: What this does mean is both teams are off yesterday.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis won game one of this now two game series.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: I think Milwaukee is actually the better team, so Milwaukee
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: might actually show up. We have rested bullpens now. Milwaukee
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: is nineteenth in bullpen whip. Saint Louis is twenty sixth
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: not a very good bullpen, so Milwaukee does have the
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: better bullpen Saint Louis sixth in offense, though based on
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: ops in Milwaukee twenty first, Milwaukee did get Churio back,
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: I think in the last game was his first game back,
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: so that should help Milwaukee's offense a little bit started.
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: Pitching is the same as what it was yesterday. I
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: handicapped it yesterday. Brandon Sprote is listed as the starter
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: for the Brewers. He has not been good. Six point
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: seven five ERA, one point six to one whip seven.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: Roadyra really struggling, although he really got bombed in his
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: first outing against the White Sox, and he settled down
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: a bit after that, but he still failed to make
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: it five innings in three of his five starts since then.
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: You know, he has a lot more than four earned
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: runs in any of those, but it's still not very good.
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: Twenty five to fifteen strike a walk ratio, way too
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: many walks, twenty eight hits a lot in twenty sixty
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: two thirds innings. Maybe one good thing for him is
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: that Saint Louis has never seen him before. Maybe he
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: pitches a little bit better for that reason. I don't
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: like Andre pie who was pitching for the Cardinals. Even
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: though three point seven to three ERA looks good, one
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: point three to one whip is not that good. He's
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: been pretty bad at home five point two eight home era,
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: despite the pitcher friendly nature of this ballpark. Twenty six strikeouts,
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: fourteen walks, twenty seven hits a lot in thirty one
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: and the third innings. It's not a lot of hits,
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: but it is way too many walks. Strikeout rate is
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: not high, but that's just not really what he does.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: He's only allowed more than three earned runs once, though,
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: and it was against the Red Sox hilariously at home,
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: by the way, So I mean, you gotta give him
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: credit for that. I guess he's been pitching well enough
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: to keep his team in these games, which again is
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: reflected in his era. But his whip is telling you
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: that he's getting a little bit lucky, and his numbers
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: against the Brewers are not good. In fifty five at bats,
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: seven strikeouts, eleven walks, really bad. Three twenty seven batting
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: average a looted nine to thirty oh ps. I'm gonna
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: say what I said yesterday, and I you know, I
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: like Milwaukee in the game, but sprote is just such
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: a mystery. I think the better approach here is to
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: go Milwaukee over their team total. You know, they do
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: have Churio back. I know having yesterday off makes it
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse than yesterday because you know, if
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: they were playing the game yesterday and Milwaukee wasn't off
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: the day before that, the hitting is still like in rhythm,
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. Having a day off might
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: hurt the rhythm of the bats a little bit, which
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: makes it a little bit worse than I thought it
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: was yesterday. But I think I would lean Milwaukee over
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: their team total here. The full game total is eight,
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: so you're probably asking Milwaukee to score I don't know.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: They're actually the underdog in this game, so you're probably
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: only asking them to score four or five runs here.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: That's definitely doable against a pitcher that's not that good,
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: that they've historically hit pretty well, and a bad bullpen,
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: So that's probably what I would do. Saint Louis is
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: a small favorite around minus one fifteen. I'd still lean
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: to Milwaukee as aide as well, getting them as a
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: small dog. I think they're the better team and you're
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: getting them as a dog, you're gonna have to try
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: to dodge sprote though not being particularly good. I mean,
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: there's a chance he pitches all right here because Saint
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: Louis has not seen him, but that hasn't helped him
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: in his other games this year, so because I'm assuming
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: he has been unfamiliar to some of his other opponents
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: this year as well. Dodgers at Houston. Dodgers somehow lost
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: the game yesterday two to one, just shockingly low scoring
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: for a game involving a Houston pitching staff up up
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: against the Dodger offense. I don't know what that was.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: I think the Dodgers might bounce back here. They're the
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: better team, but you're having to lay a huge price
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: if you want the Dodgers here. Houston has a terrible bullpen,
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: there's still the worst in baseball. They only us one
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: guy out of it last night though or yesterday, whatever
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: I think it was. Last night, Dodgers also only used one.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: Dodgers have been good, the ranked third and bullpen right now,
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: Houston is ranked dead last thirtieth. Offense. Dodgers are ranked
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: third right now, Houston fifth. I think Dodgers do probably
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: have a slightly better offense. Tyler Glas knows pitching for
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers, he is the much better of the two
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: starters in this game. Two point five six ERA point
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: eight three WHIP one point two to ninety RA. On
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: the road, He's been really good on the road so far.
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: He's allowed more than two hour runs only once, forty
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: seven strikeouts, nineteen hits allout in thirteen walks allowed in
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: thirty eight and two thirds innings. He's been basically unhittable.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: He's allowing fewer than one hit every two winnings. The
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: walk number is slightly high, but he's also getting a
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: lot of strikeouts. We get it. He's a pretty dominant
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: pitcher and Houston only has five hitters. I've ever faced
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: him before, and they have thirty four bats against him,
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: twelve strikeouts, two walks of one to seventy six average,
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: six zh five ohps. Basically, nobody on Houston can hit him,
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: outside of Altuve, who is four for ten with a
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: dub two of them runs in a walk off him.
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: Nobody else hits him at all, though, so glasnow looks
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: like he sets up to pitch pretty well here. Lance
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: mccullors Junior is pitching for the Astros. He's really really
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: struggled since trying to come back from injury. Six point
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: three two ERA, one point four whip not good, a
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: little bit better at home five point two ninety RA
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: at home still pretty bad though. Thirty three strikeouts and
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: thirty one to thirty innings this year. That's not bad.
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: It means his strikeout stuff is here. But he's got
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: seventeen walks. That's really the main concern. His wildness is
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: pretty bad. Twenty seven hits allowed isn't bad, but yeah,
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: he's walking way too many guys, so that has been
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: his main issue. Numbers against the Dodgers are not particularly
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: good and forty two at bats, fourteen strikeouts, twelve walks.
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: Seven of those walks are Otani though too. Sixty two
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: botting average allowed, eight seventy eight ops. So I like
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: the dog in this game. You know they're the better team.
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: They're in a bounce back spot off of an ugly loss.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: You know, you can't really lay minus two twenty whatever though,
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: Like I'm never gonna do that in baseball. I mean,
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: I guess if you wanted to parlay that money line
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: with something else. Although I hate parlays. I think the
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: Dodgers will win the game. They got seventy three percent
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: of ticket, seventy seven percent of the cash on them.
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: Total in the game is sitting at nine, you know,
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: money coming in a little bit towards the under. But
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: I think possibly what you could do is, you know,
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: you could go Dodgers over their team total. Is definitely
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: one way that you could play this, just like the
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: other day. I think you'd have to go over five
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: and a half again on this. But you know, I
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: don't know though, because you really want to take advantage
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: of the full advantage of this, which also includes glass
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: no shutting Houston down, you know what I mean. So
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: just playing the Dodgers to score, I think it's removing
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: one of the biggest advantages the Dodgers have here, which
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: is their starting pitcher here. I don't know, man, it
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: may be a situation where maybe you could lay the
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: run line. I mean, I know I've done it a
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: couple of times with you know, slight success. I guess
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: I think I've won more of those than I've lost
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: this year, but not by match. I don't do it
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: that often. But and the Dodgers were the culprit that
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: I was a loser on one of those recently, but
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: I think you might be able to do it there.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: You might be able to lay the minus one and
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: a half with the Dodgers there, you're probably looking at
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: minus one and a half. At above minus one twenty though,
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: on that game. San Diego at San Francisco, these teams
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: have played two games already and they've split the two,
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: so I would imagine both teams are going to show
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: up here divisional series trying to win the series. I
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: believe unless they play tomorrow too, they do not. I
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: don't believe. No. San Diego has a series against Saint
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: Louis tomorrow and San Francisco is off, so this is
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: for the series. Both these bullpens are pretty good. San
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: Francisco did use four relief pitchers yesterday. San Diego used three,
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: did not really use many of their better relief pitchers,
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: so San Diego's bullpen probably does set up a little
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: bit better in this game. Their ranked seventh right now,
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: Giants are twelfth thoughough I think the Giants are a
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: good bullpen. Both offenses have been pretty bad. San Diego
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: twenty fourth, San Francisco twenty ninth out of thirty. The
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: San Francisco team has not been able to get anything
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: going offensively. Will they against Matt Waldren. I don't know.
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Matt Waldron the knuckleballer. His numbers are pretty bad this
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: year nine point eight to eight ERA, one point nine
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: to eight WHIP. He's only made three starts, though, but
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: he's been worse on the road twelve point four to
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: six ERA on the road. That makes sense because San
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: Diego is a pitcher friendly ballpark, but so is San Francisco,
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: and that's where he's pitching here now. He was a
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: little bit better in his last down, and he held
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: the Cubs to three runs in five innings. He only
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: had one strikeout, but when you throw the knuckleball, you're
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: not looking for strikeouts like you're looking for guys to
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: make soft contact with the ball. So that is basically
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: what he's been doing. He seems to be trending a
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: little bit in the right direction. I mean, he's not
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: really an awful pitcher. I mean, he's pretty much what
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: you would expect on him, a knuckleballer, not quite as
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: bad as his numbers make it look. Right now, his
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: numbers against the Giants, they only have five hitters who
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: faced him before Devers is two for two two with
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: a home run off him, but they have thirteen total
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: at bats, two strikeouts, no walks, two thirty one average,
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: and six ninety two ohps. They only have one other
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: hit besides the two Devers hits, so Waldron might actually
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: pitch okay here. Adrian Hauser is pitching for the Giants.
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: He's been bad this year seven point one two ERA,
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: one point seven to one whip, which kind of surprises
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: me because last year he actually pitched pretty well. He
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: was on a couple of different teams last year and
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: he had much better numbers than this. Like to me,
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: I think he's kind of a serviceable pitcher and I
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: don't see him falling completely off a cliff at thirty
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: three years old, especially when he's pitching in a pitcher
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: friendly environment here, So I kind of think he's gonna
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: turn around at some point. But right now his numbers
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: do look really bad. He's been really bad at home too, shockingly,
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: ten point eight homey RA that's not good. Sixteen strikeouts,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: ten walks overall, forty two hits allowed in thirty to
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: third innings, along with six home runs that's bad. The
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: Giants have won one of his games and it was
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: an extra inning when yeah, I mean, they're not giving
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: him much run support. But he's also not pitching well,
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: so yeah, I don't know. I don't think you really
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: trust Howser here. But his numbers are all right against
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: San Diego in seventy six at bats, sixteen strikeouts, four walks,
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: two fifty average allowed, six eighty two ops, So you know,
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: we have good matchup on numbers that looks like from
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: these two starters, I don't think we really trust either starter.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it's somewhat indicating on the over
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: eighty five percent of tickets ninety eight ninety percent of
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over total at eight and a half,
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: I don't think I like the over. Both pitchers could
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: actually do okay in a better pitching environment like this
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: with a better matchup. Then the bullpens are, you know,
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: not bad as far as the side. San Francisco's about
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: minus one ten or so maybe a little bit less.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: They look like they're getting the money as well. Fifty
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the tickets around the padres sixty two
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Giants. I mean I
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: think Houser at his best might be better than Waldron.
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess that's what I'll say. But he's
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: not at his best at all right now. So yeah,
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't have a good feel for
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: this game at all. Could be a bounce back for
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: the Giants, maybe after they got absolutely embarrassed yesterday. It
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: looks like Logan Webb has not really fixed whatever's going
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: on with him. So I don't know. White Sox and Anaheim.
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: These teams have split the first two games as well.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: Anaheim won yesterday, so sort of a rubber match. I
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: don't think these teams are playing tomorrow, so yeah, this
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: is the rubber match of the series. I expect both
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: teams probably show up here. The White Sox used three
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers yesterday. Their bullpen is not particularly good, neither
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: is Anaheims. They used four bullpen rankings. Anaheim is twenty
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: seventh right now and the White Sox are twenty fourth,
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: so not very good bullpens. Offensively, the White Sox have
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: actually started hitting. They're sixteenth and Anaheim is fifteenth right now,
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: so we have two okay offenses going on here. Noah
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: schultz'spicially for the White Sox. You know, I'm a fan man.
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: You know, when I see a guy with a good
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: scouting report and he's a goliath on the mound it's six',
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: Ten i'm, like, YEAH i kind of like. This he's
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: the next coming Of Randy. Johnson although maybe. Not but
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: he has a really nasty mid to upper nineties sinker
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: and his numbers are good so. Far two point five
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: to THREE, era one point zero three. WHIP i said
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: it right. AWAY i Liked schultz coming into the. Season
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: this is his rookie. Season if he pitches enough this.
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: Year he's only twenty two years. Old he's been really
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: good on the road point eight two roady ra that's
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: a good. Sign he's allowed no more than three on
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: runs than any of his, outings and that was his first.
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: Outing his problem has been. Walks he's got to get
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: that under. Control that is Very Randy johnson, esque by the,
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: way early In Randy johnson's career he was ridiculously. Wild twenty,
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: strikeouts twelve. Walks he's got to get those walk numbers.
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: Down man ten hits allout in twenty one to third.
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: Innings so hitters have not been able to hit, him
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: so that's been. Good LIKE i think his arm angle
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: is just very difficult to pick up being a lefty
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: of that, height so, uh but he's got to get
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: the walks under. Control his strikeout rate could be a
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: little bit, higher but, whatever the walks are the main issue.
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: Here he's still a good pitcher. THOUGH i think young
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: And anaheim's never faced it, before so he might have
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an extra advantage here against a
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: lineup that isn't particularly good and hasn't faced it. Before
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: SO i do Like schultz to match up okay in this.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: One he's going up against another guy who's a rookie
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: and twenty two years, Old Walbert, urania who has not
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: been as. Good he's got a three point eight SIX,
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: era which doesn't look, bad but a one point eight
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: to four whip is really. Bad he's having problems. Man
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: that indicates that HIS era should be way higher than it.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: Is he's been good at home, though two point four
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: to five r at, home so his two home starts
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: have been his best starts of the, season Against San
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: diego and The, mets, though so those are against some
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: really weak, offenses AND i know it's not like The
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: White sox are a powerhouse offense, here but they're better
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: Than San diego and The mets right. Now But urania
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: did pitch well in those two out and he's he
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: gave up two or fewer and runs in both of. Them,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: still his overall number do not inspire a whole lot
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: of confidence right. Now seventeen k's thirteen. Walks that's a
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: ton of. Walks seventeen hits allout in sixteen to third.
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: Innings he's walking almost a guy in. Inning that is a.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Problem he's got to get that under. Control so his
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: walk issues are worse Than. Schultz's and, yes he's never
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: been seen before by The White, sox so he might
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: have that extra edge. There BUT i Like schultz. Better
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: schultz is a little bit more proven to me at this.
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: Point the money is hitting The White sox. Here they're
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: about a minus one ten or so favorite. Here they
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: dropped a little bit on the money, line but they
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: have eighty percent of tickets eighty six percent of the
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: cash on The White. Sox The White sox BULLPEN i
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: think has actually been slightly better as. Well they're pitching
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: a little bit better, recently and there they their era
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: is like zero point seven runs. Better So i'm gonna
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: Lean White sox. HERE i think they have the better
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: pitching throughout this. Game, actually so, Yeah White sox would
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: be my opinion in that. Game not a really strong opinion, Though.
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: Caleb but some things are hanging. Now. Caleb you're the
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: one that refound the show right AFTER i renamed it
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: and you hadn't found it. Anymore thanks for coming, back, Man,
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: yeah hopefully people can find. IT i don't. KNOW i rebranded,
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: it BUT i kept. It if you were already, subscribed
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: it'll still. Be you'll still be subscribed to, it you.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: Know by the, way for people that were saying that
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: they didn't get the notification THAT i went live, yesterday
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: hopefully you did. Today hopefully it was a. Glitch and
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: WHAT i will say IS i went to YouTube AND i,
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: looked and there are different notification, settings like it defaults to,
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: personalize AND i don't really know what that. Means so
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: if you switch it to, all you get all notifications
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: from my, channel that might. HELP i don't, know, Man all,
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: Right atlanta At. SEATTLE i KNOW i haven't gotten to
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: any of my plays. YET i know they're coming up
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: the next game is gonna be one of. Them atlanta At.
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: Seattle these teams will split the first two games of this.
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: Series they both won by one. Run this has been
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: an interesting. Series atlanta has one of the best records in. Baseball,
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: SEATTLE i think is a little bit under the radar right.
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: Now believe this is the end of the, series so
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: this is the rubber match in this series as. WELL
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: i think both teams show up for. IT i don't
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: think there's really a motivational concern. Here three relievers used
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: yesterday For. Atlanta seattle used two and they. Did they
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: did Use, munyos you, know AND i don't. Know farrara
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: might be one of their back end guys as. Well
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: probably he is because they won the game by one.
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: Run so they did use a couple of their better
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: relieve pitchers. Yesterday But seattle's a decent bullpenal though we
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: do have them ranked fifteenth right, now THEIR era is
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: a lot better than, that SO i think they're probably
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: a little bit better than. That atlanta's ranked number one
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: in bullpen, though so we have two pretty good bullpens
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: here in my. Opinion atlanta's also ranked number one in.
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: OFFENSE i Mean they've been really shockingly good this, year
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: even with WHAT i think is not the best lineup
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: if you just look at who they have in. It
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: seattle has not been as good. Offensively they're twenty, first
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: so the big Advantage atlanta does have is the. Hitting
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: BUT i think better pitching out weighs better. Hitting Martine
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: perez is pitching For. Atlanta he's been pretty, good, MAN i,
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: mean he's still doing. It like, again he's a veteran journeyman,
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: pitcher doesn't strike a lot of guys, out doesn't throw,
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: hard but knows how to like locate his. Stuff and
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: he's got a two point two to TWO era and
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: point nine to nine whip. Here that's. Good he's not
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: been as good on the road, though three point eighty
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: Six Roady. Ira he's been excellent at home for whatever.
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: Reason but he's on the road today or. Tonight but
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: actually we're still in the. Afternoon let me, See, no
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: this is the, actually, yes this is the last of
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: the afternoon. GAMES i forget WHAT i was about to,
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: say but, Yeah, PEREZ i don't, know, MAN i, mean
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: there's not a whole lot to dislike, here except the
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: number of walks is concerning so he's not a strikeout.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: Guy he's got nineteen strikeouts in twenty eight and a third,
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: innings but ten. Walks that's the main. Concern he's only
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: allowed eighteen hits, though so he's been difficult to, hit
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: which is pretty. Surprising he's allowed more than two hourn
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: runs and only one of his. Starts so, YEAH i,
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: mean he's been getting the job. Done but on the other,
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: hand he don't really see him as like an intimidating,
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: pitcher you know WHAT i. Mean seattle does not have
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: good numbers against him, though seventy five at, bats eighteen,
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: strikeouts eight walks to twenty seven average allowed six forty eight.
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: Ohps So seattle has actually not hit him well in their.
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: Careers and, OH i was gonna, say this is a
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly, ballpark So perez may very well pitch well.
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: Here Brian wu is pitching For, seattle AND i am
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: gonna be off The wu train right. Now. Man after
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: we HAD i think we had we had Either seattle
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: or The under in each of his last two, starts
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: and they were like the two worst starts of his.
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: CAREER i don't know what's going. ON i don't Think
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: wu was actually, Bad Like i'm gonna lean towards the
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: pitching well again in this. Game but right now he
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: has a four point six ONE era one point zero
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: seven whip that is concerning four point seven four HOME.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: Era usually he is really good at, home, though but
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: it's such a small sample size and it's just his
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: last two starts were. Awful he got jacked up By Saint.
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: Louis they hit four home runs off. Him then he
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: came back home and The royals hit two home runs off.
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: Him but you, KNOW i don't, know, MAN i think
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: he's going to bounce. Back like he's not in good
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: form right, now SO i think we probably have to avoid.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: Him BUT i think he's gonna bounce. BACK i, mean
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: we've seen what he's done over the last few. Years
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: he's been, good and he's still. Young at twenty, six
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: twenty nine, strikeouts six, walks he doesn't get a lot of,
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: strikeouts but he doesn't put like anybody on. Base thirty
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: eight hits is actually a lot for. Him forty one innings.
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: Pitch he usually allows even fewer hits than, that but
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: his walk number is still. Fine you, know at some
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: point he's gonna pitch. Better his numbers are Against atlanta
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: are not really that good, though in twenty five at,
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: bats eight, strikeouts one walk to eighty average seven forty. Eight.
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: Ohps it's a little bit, concerning But atlanta is not
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: that familiar with. Them they only have five hitters who
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: have faced him. Before, like WHEN i first looked at
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: this pitching, MATCHUP i was, like, Yeah i'm probably gonna
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: lean To seattle again BECAUSE i Think wu generally is
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: the better pitcher Than, perez but currently current form not very.
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: Good matchup numbers not very. Good you, Know seattle's around
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty five. Here it looks too easy to
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: Take atlanta. Though that's the PROBLEM i. Have atlanta has
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: such a good record and you're getting him as an.
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: Underdog it looks way too easy to do. It ALTHOUGH
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: i THINK i might slightly lean To atlanta, here BUT
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: i still think this looks like an under type of
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: game to. Me. Though the totals at eight actually even
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: eight and a half out, There, YEAH i think under
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: makes some sense. Here you got two good. Bullpens both
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers could potentially do well, Here so, yeah under
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: might be the better way to approach that. Game But
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: i'm staying away from. It next game, UP i will
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: actually give out a play on this. One this IS
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: i think probably my favorite of the. Day all my
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: plays here are totals in baseball, today WHICH i know
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: maybe that's, boring But A's. Philadelphia we're gonna go first
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: five under the four and a half AND i found
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: it straight up at minus one, ten which kind of surprised.
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: Me that was that the book that starts with A.
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: B that sometimes doesn't allow me to bet. There but
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: you can find a similar price at other. PLACES i
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: think you can probably get under four and a half
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: at about minus one, twenty maybe even better at some other,
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: shops depending on what state you're, in you know WHAT i.
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: Mean BUT i would say shop, around make sure you
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: have accounts that every book available to. You BUT i
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: like the first five under him AND x exclew the bullpens.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't like these, bullpens so they're out of
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: the equation for. Me Here a's used three relief pitchers this.
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: Today philadelphia used, one although it Was. Doran but you,
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: KNOW i just don't like the. Bullpens well, Enough philadelphia's
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: ranked twenty first as twenty fifth and bullpen So i'm
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: just taking them out. Offensively The a's have hit pretty
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: well at, eighth BUT i think good pitching can counter.
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: That phillies haven't even hit. Well they're twenty seventh in,
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: hitting So i'm gonna go with them to not hit
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: well early in this game. Either starting pitching matchup is
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: where this this under comes in, though because they're only
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: going first. Five Jeffrey springs is pitching for The. A's
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: he's been pretty good three point nine to SIX, era
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: one point zero NINE, whip and he's been particularly good
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: on the road two point nine to Five roady ra
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: which makes sense because The a's stadium is that Horrible
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: TRIPLE a stadium where it's very very hit or, friendly
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: so better for him to just pitch on the, road
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: even Though philadelphia is kind of a hit or friendly
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: ballpark as, well BUT i Like springs on the. Road,
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: generally his numbers look pretty. Good he's had one start
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: where he got jacked up by The White sox that
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: was at. Home by the, way he gave up four home,
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: runs so that's kind of what did? That you throw that.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: Out he's allowed four or fewer runs in every, outing
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: and he's actually allowed two or fewer in all but one.
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: Outing he's got a thirty five to twelve strikeout walk
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: ratio over the course of the, season but thirty three
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: to nine in the month Of. April and he's allowed
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: way below one hit per inning thirty hits allowed in
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: thirty eight and two thirds. Innings and the home, Runs
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, said he allowed four of them in one
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: of his home. Starts five of the six home runs
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: he's allowed of come at, home so he's been a
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: lot better with that on the road as. Well and
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: his numbers Against philadelphia are. Good in a decent sample
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: of forty at, bats he's actually done really well against.
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: Them fourteen, strikeouts one, walk one fifty batting average, allowed
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: five twenty one. Ops, Yes warber And bomb each have
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: a bomb off of, him but overall these are really
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: really good numbers For springs in the matchup. Here SO
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: i like, that AND i Liked Zach wheeler even better
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: on the other side for The. Phillies he came, back.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Dude he's made two starts since coming back from, injury
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: and he looks like he's his usual self already pretty
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: much two point four to FIVE era one. Whip he
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: hasn't even pitched at home, yet But i'm not really
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: that concerned by. That he pitched well in his first.
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: Start he had to go up Against atlanta on the, road,
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: dude and he held them to tour and runs of
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: five innings to get his feet wet, Again so that was.
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: Good the only problem is the walks are a little bit.
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: High but he looked better in his next start Against,
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: miami so he's you, know he's trending in the right.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: Direction they're ramping up his pitch count a little bit.
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: Slowly he's gone eleven innings so, far he's only allowed
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: six hits five. Walks, yeah is concerning a little, bit
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: but fourteen walks looks really. Good nice ground ball rates so.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: Far we know who wheel, is. Dude he's Been philadelphia's
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: ace for years at this, point and it's they're gonna
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: be a lot better now that they have him. Back
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: and his numbers against The a's are also pretty. Good
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: in fifty five at. Bats the only problem is the.
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: Walks he's allowed no extra base, hits fifteen, strikeouts seven.
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: Walks got to get that under control a little. Bit
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: but he's held into a one to eighty two average
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: four fifty six, ohps SO i like the starting pitching
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: matchup a lot first five under in this. Game the
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: total for the full game is at eight and a,
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: half which seems a little bit, high but the bullpens
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: are not, good so we're going first five. HERE i
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: think we get a really nice number on This the
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: four and a HALF i really like is a first five,
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: Under so you, know it's just it feels so much
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: better than three and a, half AND i feel like
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: the pitching matchup here is almost as good as what
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: you would have with a three and a. Half as
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: far as the, SIDE i don't. Know money's coming in
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: On philly a little. Bit fifty three percent of tickets
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: on The a's fifty four percent of the cash on The. Phillies,
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: obviously there's a reason why The phillies are about a
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: minus one seventy favorite, here even though they're the lesser
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: team than, excuse even though the team with the lesser,
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: RECORD i should, say the oddsmakers are telling You philly
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: is actually the better team even though the record is.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: Worse AND i told You philly would start playing, better
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: and they really. Have, Recently philly has won six of
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: their last seven, games seven of their last eight, games
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: actually and they won yesterday nine to, one, which, yeah
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: that could. Be maybe The a's show up with a
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: little bit more intensity, here but we're not worried about the.
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: Side we're going with the total here as far as the.
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: Side you, know even though The a's have the better,
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: record and there's a reason Why phillies, favored you might
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: still be paying a little bit too much of a
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: tax On. Wheeler LIKE i could see an argument for
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: playing The a's here just because they're getting priced as
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: a big underdog And springs might be able to Duel wheeler.
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: Here wheelers just the, name the name, brand if you,
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: will you know WHAT i. Mean but we're going under
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: first five, there all? Right you like? That thank? You all?
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: Right it better. Win you're An atlanta. FAN i THINK
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: i knew, That. Garrett what's? Up? Man for some, REASON
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: i thought that Was. Caleb you both have similar looking. Avatars, hell,
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: yeah that's, Right. Garrett you're a bravest. Fan well you
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: must be happy about what they are, Doing, DUDE i
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: just want The yankees to, Lose, Man but The yankees
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: are so clearly the best team in The American. League
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: it just pisses me. Off. Man there's nothing we could
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: do about. It The yankees have like a plus seventy
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: something run differential in The American, league and the next
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: best run DIFFERENTIAL i think it's Like Tampa bay at
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: like plus seventeen or something like. That it's just so.
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: Bad you were for The. RANGERS i Met. Garrett garrett
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: is An atlanta, FAN i guess because he's A carolina sports,
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: fan but they don't have a baseball. Team Cole cole
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: From Tower gang is An Atlanta braves fan as. Well
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: they're the closest geographically to him In. ALABAMA i suppose The.
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: Rangers The, RANGERS i, mean they got some good stuff going,
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: on and they're pitching at least all, right.
• 39:17
  Speaker 5: What's?
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: Next, Baltimore? Miami let me See. Pete what's up? Everybody Zach? Wheeler,
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: wait He's Zach wheeler was born in a? Ballpark, what Mister,
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: Pensey i'm ignoring that you live Near. Dallas The rangers
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: underperformed last. Year, man they were a lot better than
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: their outcome last. YEAR i think they're pretty. Good they
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: have really good, pitching which Is i'm Gonna i'm Having
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna give out a play on, that and that's
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: gonna factor into, it so you probably already know What i'm.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: Doing this game is not a play for. Me miami
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: has lost three games in a. Row they did lose
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: To baltimore yesterday nine to. Seven this series continues, tomorrow
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: so the. NIGHT a lot of these night games are
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: middle games of the. Series so a lot of these
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: night games have the series continuing tomorrow because a lot
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: of these teams are off On, monday so they started
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: their series. Yesterday miami used five relief pitchers, yesterday which
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: is quite a, few although a couple of them for single.
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: Digits baltimore's same, thing five relief. Pitchers But miami's bullpen
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: is the better of the two we. Got miami ranked
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: actually fifth in bullpen whip right, now pretty. Good The
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: orioles are, eighteenth so, yes we have a bullpen advantage
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: on The miami. Side. Here miami thirteenth in, offense so
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: they're still hitting our. Right baltimore's. Seventeenth miami's fallen off
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: a bit, offensively. THOUGH i think you could definitely make
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: the Argument baltimore is the better offense. Here brandon young is,
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: listen is the starter For baltimore. Here he has not
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: been very good six point one one point six to four.
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: WHIP i feel like this guy used to be in
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: The rangers. Organization but Maybe i'm getting that. Wrong but
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: he has not been good so. Far he's he's only
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: made three starts so and really one bad one is
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: just skewing his, numbers so maybe you give him a
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: pass for. It he had one start where he gave
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: up ten runs Against, houston but six of them were,
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: unearned so obviously the defense he just couldn't get out,
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: of you know. Whatever ending that was nine strikeouts five
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: walks is not a good ratio though on nineteen hits
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: a lot of fourteen to two thirds. Innings those are
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: not good. Numbers but if you throw out that start Against,
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: houston he did pitch fairly well against both The Red
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: sox and The White. Sox is. Young as bad as
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: his numbers, LOOK i don't think. So is he that?
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: GOOD i also don't think. So my numbers Against miami
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: are not very, good although they're gonna have twelve at
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: bats against. Him they have three four home runs against excuse,
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: me three of them are From. Stours has that any
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: pronounce his? Name he's three for three with three home,
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: runs off, him which is. Ridiculous And lopez has one
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: home run off but he's a lot of four to
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: seventeen average to them eighteen thirty three ops two zero
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk. RATIO i don't think we can really trust young.
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: Here Yuri perez is pitching for The. Marlins he's not
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: had the greatest season so. Far four point four to SIX,
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: era one point three to eight. Whip he's been pretty
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: good at home, though two point seven to four HOME.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: Era he's been significantly better at. Home he has to
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: get his walk numbers. DOWN i, mean that's always been
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: the issue with, him is the, wildness and it's continuing to.
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: Happen he's got thirty nine, strikeouts sixteen walks and thirty
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: four hits a loud and thirty six and a third,
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: Innings so none of those numbers are really bad except
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: for the walks and six home runs allowed is not that.
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: Great he's faced some pretty potent. Offenses, though you, KNOW
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: i do Like. PEREZ i think he is. Good he
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: does have good. Stuff his pitching motion is really weird
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: and he's six,' eight so he tends to be a
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: little bit difficult to pick up. Numbers against baltimore are not,
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: very good but it's in a very limited ten at
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: bat sample size and all the Damages From pete alonzo
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: is three for four on the home run on a walk.
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: Against him he's got, one strikeout two walks against all
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: Of the baltimore hitters that, he's faced three hundred, batting
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: average allowed, one thousand eighty five ops. Against them, YOU know,
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: I mean I think i Probably prefer miami in that
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: game to finally get a. Win, here oh He's, From, Smyrna, Jersemrna,
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: Smyrna Georgia Campbell high, all right so he went to
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: a high school that's very close to. The game that.
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: Is interesting, So dude so that means we're Talking About, zach,
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: Wheeler right so That, means. Wheeler dude but he's pitching
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: for one of the biggest rivals Of the braves, right
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: now divisional rival, of them and He's from He's a braves,
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: hometown guy but he pitches For. The phillies, oh man it's.
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: Alty sock? What's up thanks for. Hanging out you could
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: throw a stone a? Half mile, hell yeah, all, right,
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: yes anyway This game i'm gonna Lean to. Miami slightly
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it's all coming In. ON baltimore
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: i don't know. About that miami's in about the minus
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: one thirty price. Range here fifty four percent of the
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: tickets Are, on miami seventy six percent of the Cash.
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: On baltimore, And yes pregame's website is still not fixed by,
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: THE way i don't know when it's. Gonna happen i've
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: Never seen i've seen it happen before where it's been down,
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: like this but not for a over a week. Like this. It's, Ridiculous,
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: ANYWAY yeah I like Perez. OVER young i think he's
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: the more. Solidified pitcher, he's young he's Younger, than young so,
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: you know bad Name. On young young is the older
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: of these. Two pitchers, BUT yeah i. DON'T know I
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: think perez is the more proven pitcher even though he's the.
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: Younger pitchers so, all Right in miami has the better bullpen.
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: As Well red Sox. At Detroit The red sox are
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: on the verge of a, sweep here which is hilarious
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: because coming into this series you, were like oh, my
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: god they're gonna have to Face school Ball, and valdez
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: and then what Happened was scooball, didn't pitch he got
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: scratched from. The game then it was Pere from bervaldez
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: yesterday Against The red sox using an opener in Front Of,
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: brian beao and The opener moron wasn't even good in.
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: That role he gave up, two runs But The red
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: sox had already staked him to a three. Run Lead
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: from bervaldez was horrible in. The game AND then i
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: think he got thrown out of the game because he
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: after he gave up back to back, home runs he
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: Threw At. Trevor story. Total. Bullshit due valdez is such a, head.
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: Case dude he did a similar thing last year when
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: he Was on houston Against. The yankees maybe after you
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: give Up A, grand slam he just completely lost his
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: cool and like threw it one of their. Hitters too it's, completely.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: Insane dude this guy is out of, his mind out.
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: Of control and when things, go bad like When when valdez, is,
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: pitching well yeah he's, pitching well but when things start,
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: going bad he. Completely unravels he goes on tilt more
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: than like any other Pitcher that. I've seen and there
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: was a bench, clearing brawl he got thrown out of.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: THE game i think multiple people got thrown out of.
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: The game it was an. Insane Game The red sox
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: wound up winning the game ten. To three So The
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: red sox actually had some, offense yesterday including a few.
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: Home runs but Now The red sox might be looking
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: Ahead To, tampa bay who they have on deck here big.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: Divisional Series The red sox have already won. This series,
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: although hilariously this is, the game like if you went,
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: into this going into, this series if you were, gonna
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: guess LIKE if i was gonna tell You The red
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: sox were gonna win one of these games in, the
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: series you would have to guess was gonna be this
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: one today because there's no way that you would guess
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: that they would Beat. School ball But then scoobale got
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: pulled and totally actually pitched really well in. That game
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: then the next game was gonna BE a bao Game
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: against valdez that looked like An Automatic red. Sox loss now,
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: this Game The red sox have the starting, pitching edge
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: so you know that means they're probably, gonna, Lose right
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: that's just the way that. It. Works man, YOU know
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: i have some conflicting opinions on, this game because the
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: situation does look like It favors detroit With The red
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: sox on the verge of. The sweep detroit still is
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: a pretty good. Home, team man there's still twelve and five,
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: at Home So red sox being able to sweep this
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: would be. Pretty insane although the pitching matchup definitely does
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: Favor The red, sox here Though The red sox also
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: have the, better bullpen the ranked ninth in bullpen, Right
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: now detroit. Is Twentieth red sox do not have the.
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: Better offense detroit is seventh. In Offense The red sox are,
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: twenty eighth although maybe their offense will start moving up a.
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: Little Bit red sox used two relief. Pitchers yesterday one
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: of them was in the Opening, role moron And then
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: bao actually gave them seven really. Good, innings, SO dude I,
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: think beao, you know maybe coming in in a follower role,
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: like that maybe it takes the pressure off. OF him i,
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: don't KNOW but i think he needs to come in
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: already having a lead. OR something i, don't know although
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: when he, CAME in i think the lead was only three.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: To two THOUGH actually i might be wrong. About That
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: The red sox might have staked him to some more
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: runs in the. SECOND inning i. Don't, Remember anyway All
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: The red sox better relievers are pretty much. Available here
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: detroit's bullpen is not as good and they use three relief.
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: Pictures yesterday, so Yeah The red sox have a. Bullpen
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: edge detroit does have a. Hitting Edge But sonny gray
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: is back For The. Red sox he is OFF. The
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: dl seems like he's ready because he got hurt in his.
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: Last game he had to exit early Against, against detroit by,
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: the way so interestingly that Was. At fenway he might
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: get up for, this, Game dude You, know gray he
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: had a shortened start and he gets to basically pick
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: up right where he left off and face the same.
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: Team Again maybe gray will get up. For that but these,
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: Veteran pitchers gray is definitely. A veteran when they come back,
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: from injury you don't usually have to worry about them
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: like trying to get back into form, or whatever you
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: KNOW what. I mean like they pitched in the league
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: for so long that they're usually pumped up and they're ready,
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: to go and a lot of times they get a
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: little bit overlooked because people tend to want to like
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: tread lightly when they're coming back. From INJURY but i
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: don't think his injury was. THAT serious i don't even
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: know what. It was it was some legs strain, or
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: SOMETHING if i. Remember correctly he's got a four POINT
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: three era this year one point. Three whip those numbers,
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: aren't great but they're also being skewed because he had
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: he started. Off well he had one bad Start at
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: cincinnati and then he had one other bad Start. At minnesota,
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: but yes that does mean you do have to worry
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: about him on. The ROAD his era on the road,
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: is nine so that does. Worry me so that is
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: one CONCERN that i have with back In The red sox,
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: here overall, you know he only has thirteen strikeouts in twenty,
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: three innings though five walks twenty. Five hits the walk
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: number is, really low so his command has been, all
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: right but he's just not fooling. Hitters anymore but it
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: looks like he's still kind of able to work his
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: way through these. Games anyway and his numbers Against the
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: tigers are actually. Pretty good in, his career he faced
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: them a decent amount because he Was on minnesota for.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: A while they have sixty two at bats. Against him
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: he's got twenty four strikeouts against him in, three walks
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: one ninety, four average a lot of forty eighty. Nine. Ops,
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: gray yeah he has good Numbers against detroit throughout, his
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: career but we have to also take into account that
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: some of those numbers were a few years in, the
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: past you KNOW what. I mean so we have to
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: try to gauge What is gray. Right NOW but i
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: think whatever that is is still Better Than, jack FLAHERTY
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: who i don't think is very good at all. Right
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: now five point ninety are one point seven to. Nine
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: whip he's been worse at home six point five. To
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: nine Homie ra we faded him in the last game
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: and he did not. Do Well but texas almost blew
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: the game. On US texas uh was out to a
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: four to nothing lead in that game and then they
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: had to break the four to four tie late in.
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: The Game but texas's bullpen. Is good they let us,
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: down yesterday but they. Are good but yes we got.
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: The Win fading flaherty and his last outing Is what.
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: I'm saying he's been pretty. Bad man he's given up
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: ten earned runs over his last, two outings which only
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: amounted to a total of five and two thirds. Innings
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: pitch he's got a ton of walks. This year thirty
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: two strike cuts in twenty nine and niggs is a pretty,
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: good rate but twenty five walks. Is unbelievable almost one
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: walking inning and then twenty seven hits isn't, That bad
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: but the walks are. Just insane he's walked multiple guys in,
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: every outing three or more in all but, one outing
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: and that was a very short two winning outing where he.
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: Did that so his walk rate is, unbelievably high and
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: his numbers are not very good Against The red sox
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: in seventy one, at best twenty, six strikeouts, ten walks
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: two eighty two batting, average allowed eight oh. Seven ops
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: not good numbers Against The. Red, Sox Man so gray
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: does have the better of the. Matchup, HERE yeah i
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: don't have a whole lot else to say, about It
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: but i'm gonna lean To The red sox here JUST
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: because i think the matchup and the money seems to agree.
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: With THAT but i think the matchup might outweigh. THE
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: situation i tend to think that way, in baseball THOUGH
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: maybe i shouldn't think, that way but fifty percent, of
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety three percent of the cash On The Red
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: sox detroit said about minus. One, fifteen yeah we don't
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: know exactly what we're gonna get Out of. Gray here
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: his bad road numbers do. Worry me and the fact
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: That the tigers are trying to avoid getting, swept here
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: that's what's keeping me off of this a. Little BIT
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: but i do Like The red. SOX here i was
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: considering putting that on. My card the other ONE that,
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: i liked it was closer to making my card Was.
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: The dodgers by, the way for what, that's Worth the dodgers.
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: RUN line, i mean, all right how many more games?
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: We got we have six. More games the next one
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: off is another one of. My plays the next two
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: actually are going To be i've got totals in all these, games,
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: Here man i'm gonna talk, about one take, a break
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: and then talk about THE author i suppose this next
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: Game Is minnesota WASHINGTON On. Espn unlimited these teams are
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: continuing the. SERIES tomorrow i thought it was gonna be
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: an under early in the, game yesterday and that did
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: not happen. At all we had a really high score
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: eleven To three. Minnesota win washington continues to give up
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: a ton of runs. At, home washington they're number one
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: in The In Major league baseball in runs allowed. At
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: home not Good. For washington they're bulping. As bad they're
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: starting pitching A bad so you probably Know where i'm going.
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: With this washington used two, relievers YESTERDAY but i don't
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: even think that's helpful and. Off man even if their bullpen,
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: is rested. They're bad minnesota's bullpen used three relief, pitchers yesterday.
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: Also bad They're ranked minnesota's ranked twenty eighth in bullpen
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: whip And the nationals are. Twenty second two bad. Bullpens
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: here these offenses are. SOMEWHAT capable i Would. SAY minnesota
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: i mean they're falling off a. Little bit minnesota is, still,
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: twelfth Though and washington has. Dropped more washington's spent a
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: lot of the season in the top ten and now.
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: The twentieth but these offenses are both. Pretty capable i'm
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: looking at the starting. Pitching Here bailey ober is Pitching.
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: FROM minnesota i think he is pretty good, right Now, but,
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: ober dude he just has starts where he just, is
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: awful like he's a real, Roller coaster like he looks
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: really really good at times and then he looks like
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: one of the worst pitchers in baseball at. Other times,
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: and yes this season it's been. Mostly good three point
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: five To five vra one point one to, Three whip
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: and he was the REASON why i was considering maybe
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: not adding this to, my CARD which i should probably
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: put up what my play, is here but you already
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: know what. It is we're going over in the nine and.
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: A half in, THIS one i founded it even money,
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: out THERE so i was a little bit concerned by
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: the fact that the juice looked like it was on
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: the underside. OF this i didn't see a nine. Anywhere
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: though obviously nine is preferable if you might be able
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: to wait and find a nine, on this because that's
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: definitely preferable to go over that key number, of nine
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: because it might land. Exactly nine now and Over, with
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: ober how? About? That, Now yes ober's, pitched well but
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: he hasn't been quite as good on the road four POINT,
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: five roadira so he's a little bit more fadable on. The. Road,
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: now yes he's. Pitching well he's in pretty good form.
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: Right now he's allowed four or fewer earned runs in,
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: every outing but his overall numbers kind of suggest that
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: he's not. This good twenty nine strikeouts in thirteen walks
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: in thirty eight innings is not really. That good thirty's.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: A lot and, while yes he's obviously capable of pitching
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: well because he's done that most of, the season he
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: hits these spurts where he does, really, Bad dude and
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: like it happened, last year like he pitched well early in,
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: THE season i think he a lot of times He
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: is i'm trying, to REMEMBER because I think i remember
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: him being really bad a lot early in. The season
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: then he gets a little, bit better and then he gets.
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: Worse again but this year maybe it's gonna be. The
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: OPPOSITE but i. Don't know but he's a very, streaky
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: pitcher let's just put it. That way And, against, washington
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: yeah they don't have a whole lot of experience. Against
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: him so that's what worries me a little bit about
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: this over ten at bats, against them three hundred batting
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: average though eight seventeen, oh ps two to two strike out.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: Walk RATIO but i think this offense is capable of
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: hitting over, you know if you wanted To go minnesota
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: over their team total, again today you could do it that.
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: Way too but they did score eleven. Runs Yesterday but,
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: washington again they allow the most runs at home, in
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: baseball and that's where the heavy lifting is gonna have
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: to have, to HAPPEN and i think. It Can With
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: miles mikolis Pitching, for washington this game could get really out.
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: Of hand he's been awful eight point two TO, three
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: era one point seven to. Two whip he has a
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: ten point three TO two era, at home really. Bad
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: stuff nineteen to eleven strike out, walk ratio eight home,
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: runs allowed and thirty six hits allowed in twenty seven to.
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: Third innings there's nothing to like about any. Of this
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: and Then against minnesota he also does not have good
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: numbers in a sixty five at bad. Sample Size With
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: josh bell being pretty familiar with him because they were
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: both In The, NATIONAL league uh fifteen, strike out seven walks,
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: against them three zero eight batting, average allowed nine to forty.
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: Nine Ops, so micholas he has really bad. Numbers here
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: plus he's gonna be followed up by a. Bad bullpen
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: both bullpens are. Bad here over is my. Play here
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: the total is also high for. A reason. You know let,
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: me see it looks like the money's agreeing basically sixty
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the under fifty two percent of
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: the cash on. The over one of, the Books the
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: book With, the lion has a nine juice at minus
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: one thirty to. THE over I wouldn't i probably wouldn't
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: pay minus, one thirty but like minus one twenty or
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: maybe even minus one TWENTY five i. MIGHT do i.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: DON'T know. I don't i should have stricter rules for
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: like what is this half run? Actually WORTH but i.
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: Don't know this is just the WAY that i. Do
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: it but we'll go with over in. This game ober
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: was really my only Concern that ober might pitch well
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: enough to kind of blow this. Thing UP but i
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: don't know if he's gonna be able to, do, It
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: man but that is the one concern with. THAT play
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: i SUPPOSE maybe i should just be limiting this To
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: The a's philly and, that's it because that's my favorite
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: of these. Three Plays, All right i'm gonna take a
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: break And the i'm gonna TALK about i have a
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: Play In rangers yankees, as well which might be better
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: although people are gonna, like it. Probably less it's gonna
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: be one of those plays that the public like wouldn't want.
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: To stomach so you probably know what. IT is, i
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: mean you already know it's. A Total but i'll be.
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: Right back i'm gonna try to find where's the market read? On,
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: THIS um i. Don't know you probably can't even read
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: this because it's too zoomed in, or WHATEVER but i.
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: DON'T know i was trying to Find the. Yank, there
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: yeah Where's the yankees? Game there, it is, All right
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna be, right back, All right Yankees and texas.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: This game we're going under eight and a. Half here
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: that's also it, even money which does worry me a
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: little bit of the over excuse to be getting a
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: little bit of money on the eight and. A half
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: if you can find it, under, nine obviously that's more.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: Preferable here AND maybe i should be worried a little
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: bit that the total is. That high, but Yes It's.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: Yankee stadium we're looking at one really good offense With the,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: yankees Here And yankee stadium has hit. Her friendly this
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: game IS On mlb Network And. Amazon prime by, the
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: Way the yankees, won yesterday which did not, YOU know
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: i was not happy about that for any reason. At
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: All the yankees used four relief, Pitchers yesterday texas. USED
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: two i Still like texas's, bullpen better but that's part
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: of the handicap is that neither of these bullpens. Are
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: bad texas is number two. Right Now the yankees. Are Eleventh,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: the yankees, you know their bullpen not quite as. Rested
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: HERE but i think both bullpens are fine enough that
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: we can factor them into. This under and we're repeating
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: what we did the last Time, with evaldi even though
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: that Was. IN texas I know evaldi's pitching For the.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: Rangers here oh and by, the, way yeah team Hitting
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: the yankees are second right Now in texas is, Twenty fifth,
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: So yeah texas offense is not. Been good now we
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: won with an Under on Evaldi, versus elmer who was
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: the guy who, Pitched Yesterday. Elmer rodriguez we won on
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: an under in that Game, in, texas though where everything
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: is low Scoring. In Texas. But evaldi one of the
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: REASONS why i liked THAT was i Thought he evald
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: would pitch well because he has a good track record Against.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: The yankees he was in a pitcher, friendly park and
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: his numbers make him look a lot worse than he.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: Actually is he was excellent. Last year his numbers a
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: right now four point seven TO, six era one point three.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: FOUR whip i know those are, not GOOD but i
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: think he's better. Than this and, while yes he's not
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: good on, the roads that does worry me a. Little
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: bit five point six. Six roadyra he's coming off of
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: a seven and he shutout Against. The yankees and, while
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: yeah that Means the yankees just saw him so they
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: might be able to hit him, THIS time i don't
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: think that's really how, it works although yes they did
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: do that To de. Gram Yesterday but evaldi does have
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: good numbers, against him and they've seen him, a tons
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: so it's not like they're unfamiliar, with them. You, Know
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: uh they've seen him so many TIMES that i don't
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: think seeing him recently matters. That much one hundred and
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: fifty three, at bats thirty seven to seven strike at
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: walk RATIO two, zho nine batting average allowed five forty four.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: Oh PS so i Like e evaldi to pitch well,
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: enough YEAR and i Also Like will warren to Pitch
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: well on the other side For the yankees two point
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: three TO ninety ra one point. Six whip he's been
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: pretty good both home. And away yet last year he
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: was significantly better, at home and he is slightly better
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: at home this year two POINT. Three era he's been
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: way better than. People. Think, like again the OTHER reason
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: i like this under is Because e evaldi his numbers
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: look bad on the Surface And will warren people still
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: just don't pay attention to, this guy but his numbers are.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: Really good forty six to eight strike at, walk ratio
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: thirty two hits allowed in thirty seven to two, thirds
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: innings two point THREE ninety ra one point oh. SIX
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: whip I think i already, said that, but yeah And
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: the yankees have won all but one of. His starts
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: he's allowed two or fewer owned runs in, Every outing
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: so we're gonna Go with warren as part of. This, equation,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: Obviously uh texas did not just, face him by, The way,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: so Yes the yankees probably are going to win. This
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: Game but texas only has seventeen at Bats Against. Will
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: warren they have one extra base hit a Double From,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: jock peterson, five strikeouts, one walk one seventy six batting,
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: average allowed four point fifty eight ops under is my.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: Play here let me zoom in on. This year the
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: money looks like it is coming in. That way eighty percent,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety three percent of the cash on the.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: Under total i'm not gonna find a nine. On this
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: it is eight juice to the over eight and a
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: half excuse a juice to the over, right now that's
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: just the way that. It is we're going under in, that, game,
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: though uh probably not gonna find a nine. On, it yeah, the,
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: totals well, thank. You sir i'm gonna talk about hockey
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: and basketball as well in. A second finishing these, games
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: here we have four more, Games here cincinnati At. The
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: Cubs the cubs have clearly been the better team in.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: The series cubs have won seven straight games. Or WHATEVER
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: but i told you going, into Well the cubs have
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: only won each game by, one Run so cincinnati's luck is.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: Running OUT but i told You the cubs are actually
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: significantly better Than. The Reds the reds had won so
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: many one, run. Games Dude the reds won like their
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: first seven one run games of, the season and they'd
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: won a lot of two. Run games now the luck
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: is starting to turn round on them losing two to
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: one run games in. The, series, now yes it Means
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: the reds might show up for, this GAME but i
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: think the series. Continues tomorrow yes, it does so this
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: is a four. Game series But the cubs have taken the.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: First two maybe that Means the cubs are gonna Start
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: taking cincinnati a little. More lightly cubs are now a
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: top the division. As well cubs use four relief, pitchers
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: Yesterday but cincinnati's bullpen is. Pretty bad cincinnati used what is,
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: that five but they only used a couple of them
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: for a couple. Of Pitches but pegan was one of
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: them and he, got hurt so they're having to bring somebody.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: Else up so this bullpen is kind of a mess
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: For the reds. RIGHT now, i mean they got some
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: guys out. Of it out of the bullpen, right now
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: And the reds are. Second worst they're twenty ninth in.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Bullpen whip their eray is not as bad as the
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: other teams, around them but this is A very this
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: bullpen is very much struggling, right now Whereas the cubs
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: bullpen is. Ranked fourth So the cubs definitely have the.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: Better Bullpen the cubs have a significantly better offense, as
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: well ranked fourth offensively With the reds. Twenty sixth, SO
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: yeah i don't think we could Buy this reds hot start.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: At all it was one of the best starts In
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: the reds, team history by. The WAY but i have
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: been telling you, All along cubs are the best team in.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: THIS division I think Cincinnati And saint louis are the
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: two worst teams in this division. Right NOW so i
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: think that's what he is going to wind up. Happening
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: now starting. Pitching here it's interesting because you look at on,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: the surface, you're, LIKE yeah i don't want anything to
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: Do With brady. Singer here he hasn't been good For
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: the reds five point five TO, seven era one point
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: seven TO. Three whip he's been really bad on the
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: road seven point four To ONE, roadie ra which is
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: kind of Surprising because cincinnati's a hitter, friendly ballpark but
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: he's been way better in that stadium Since the reds.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: Got him he doesn't do well on. The road he's
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: not really pitching that well. Right now he just got
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: beat Up by pittsburgh and his last oubting. Overall numbers
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: his strikeout rate is very low twenty strikeouts and thirty
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: two and a. Third innings that's. Not good he's a
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: lot a ton. Of hits forty, seven hits nine walks isn't,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: that bad but the rest of these numbers. Are bad
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: seven home runs allowed, as well and a decent amount
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: of them on the. Road too he's just not. Pitching
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: well but his numbers Against the cubs are. Actually good
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: in forty nine, at bats, eight strikeouts, five walks that's,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: not good but two twenty four batting, average allowed five
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: forty one oh ps and only one extra, base hit
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: which is a confour. Too Double so singer actually does
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: have a decent, matchup here but he's not pitching well,
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: at ALL so i don't see how you can really.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: Trust Him colin ray is pitching For. The cubs four
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: point four TO, one era one point three TO. Two
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: whip he's been pretty good at HOME three era. At home,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: You KNOW i'm i just Don't think ray is really.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: THAT good, i mean his numbers are very. Mediocre here
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: he did like kind of change some things because he
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: actually wasn't doing Well In major, league baseball and he
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: actually went and Pitched in japan for, a while and
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: then he, came back and he had changed the stuff
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: a bit and he was a, bit different a little.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: Bit better his overall numbers are really not too bad.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: Here though thirty strikeouts in thirty two and two, thirds innings,
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: nine walks thirty four. Hits allowed none of that is really.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: That bad he's allowed more than two urn runs only
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: twice this season and more than three, only once and
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: it was Against the dodgers on, the road so he
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: has actually. Been alright his numbers Against the reds are
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: not really that. Good though one hundred and nineteen at
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: bats thirty one six strikeout. Walk ratio that is. Definitely
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: good but two sixty nine batting, average allowed eight to twenty,
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: three ops none of that. Is good benson And Dal
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: la cruz both have pretty powerful numbers, against Him and
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: steer does well against him. As, well steer by, the
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: way one of those games where we Had the reds
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: not that, Long ago steer hit like three home runs in,
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: that game. Maybe four steer was us steering us in
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: the right direction on. That one so what do we
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: do with the game? LIKE this i, don't. KNOW man,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: i mean the matchup numbers sort Of support, singer here
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: But the cubs are just the better team in so.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: MANY ways i think if you're gonna try to go With,
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: the reds you have to go first five. INNINGS here
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: i don't want anything to do with that bullpen. Of
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: theirs the money seems to be indicating On the reds
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of tickets On the cubs here eighty
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash On. The, reds, interestingly again
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: if you do that and you Take the reds first,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: five innings maybe plus a half run or something might
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: be the way to. Do It maybe singer does okay in.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: This matchup the totals, at eight which basically seems to
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: indicate that the wind is not too much of a
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: factor or maybe slightly Blowing In, in wrigley the total
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: always varies drastically in. The stadium because of, the Win
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: the cubs are about a minus one sixty something favorite
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: for the, game here, you know And the cubs do
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: have the better, bullpen THOUGH so i could See the
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: cubs still pulling this out late in, the game but
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: remains to. BE seen i don't want anything to do
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: with The game Cleveland At. Kansas City kansas city has
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: already won two games in. The series they won four
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: games in. A row zach might show up in the chat.
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: Right Now the royal is actually playing pretty well. Right
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: now these teams are, CONTINUING tomorrow i believe. As, well
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: yeah they play a fourth game tomorrow in, this series
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: so it's a four. Game Series kansas city's already two
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: to zero in, the series which might mean that you're
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: Gonna get cleveland showing up a little bit harder in,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: this GAME but i. Don't know cleveland only used one relief,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: Pitcher Yesterday kansas city. Us three as far as the bullpens,
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: Are CONCERNED cleveland i think is the. Better bullpen they
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: ranked tenth, right now although their era is a bit
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: higher than you would like. To See kansas city's bullpen
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: was really bad, early on but they've actually gotten. Better
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: recently they're twenty third now on, the season but better,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: recently though so somebody keep in mind they're Still probably
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: cleveland does have the, better Bullpen Though kansas city probably
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: has the better offense through up to, thirteenth now and
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: their home stadium is now less pitcher friendly because they
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: moved the walls in after, last YEAR which i kind of.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: HATE that i, like pitching, YOU know i think this
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: trend towards we need as much offense. As possible The
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: ghost runners really need to. Go AWAY though i don't
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: really care that Much About kansas city moving their, walls
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: in but The, GHOST runners, i mean that's. Also, Bullshit
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: anyway cleveland's offense has been pretty bad at, twenty Third
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: So kansas city has a. Better Offense joey cantillo is Pitching.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: For cleveland nice three point six to SEVEN, e rra
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: but a one point four whip is not. Very good
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: he's bad on the road, as well or not as
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: good on the road four point three to four. Road
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: era that whip indicates THAT his era should, be higher
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: though he's walked too. Many guys he has a decent
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate thirty six strikeouts in thirty four and, third
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: innings thirty two. Hits allowed nothing really bad about any,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: of that but sixteen walks has kind of been. The
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: issue he has multiple walks in every outing. Except one
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: that's kind of a Problem Against. Kansas city he does
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: have good, numbers though in fifty four at bats fifteen
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: to four strikeout walk ratio one forty eight average allowed
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: four to twenty. Nine, Ops, CANTILLO yeah i mean he's
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: done pretty well Against, the royals so he does have
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: a good match. Up here he is going Up Against
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: cole reagan's who might be coming back into form MAN
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: like i keep saying he's going to be back, In
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: form like we're talking about a guy that used To
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: Be kansas city's ace and he's still only. Twenty eight,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: and yes he had a major, injury issue he had surgery.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: Or whatever his numbers are not good, right now five
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: point two TO, ninety ra one point four TO. Five
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: whip but he's been really good at home, so far
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: point SEVENTY five era, at home although it's in a very.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: Limited sample both of his home starts were, very good
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: actually his two best starts of. The season he did
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of, a draw like he fell
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: back a little bit in his Game against seattle and
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: we lost on the under in, that game. Which sucked
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: still had eight, strikeouts though so his strikeout rate is still.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: Quite good forty one strikeouts and thirty two and a
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: third innings and only twenty six. Hits allowed so, to
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: me it, looks, like yes he is going out there and,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: fooling hitters but he's. Been wild twenty, one walks and
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: he's allowed an enormous amount of home runs ten, home
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: runs but three of those are in his Opener. Against atlanta,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: YOU know i think he might pitch. WELL here i
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: expect that he is going to start pitching better, as
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: well which we've seen some signs of that. So far
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: in his Numbers against cleveland are good in fifty six,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: at bats seventeen, to six strike out walk race here
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: to fourteen average allowed five ninety. FOUR ohps I think
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: i would go under in. This game you might be
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: able to go full game with. IT too, I Mean
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: kansas city's bullpen has been better as. Of late. At
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: least the total is really low for. A reason it's
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: seven and. A half where you're still getting under that
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: key number seven and. A half the money isn't really telling.
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: Us much ninety one percent of the tickets and cash
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: on THE under i don't know. About that the money
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: looks like it's Also Hitting kansas city a. Little bit
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: they're in like the minus one. Thirty range fifty nine
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash, on them fifty six percent of
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: the Tickets. On cleveland, YOU know i don't really. Understand
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: that you would think the public would Not want cleveland
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: right now because they haven't been playing. WELL recently i.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: DON'T know i don't have that good of. A feel,
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: i mean for, the SIDE maybe i would Lean To,
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: kansas city JUST because I think reagan's when he's at,
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: his best he's Better. Than CANTILLO but I think under
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: is probably my preference in. That game First five under
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: makes some sense. As well but, you know the bullpens
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: might be okay enough that you can leave. Them in Mets.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: At colorado this game got, postponed YESTERDAY and i think
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: what happened was the schedule makers added a, game TOMORROW
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: so i think they were not going to be. PLAYING
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: tomorrow i think both teams are going to be off
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: now they have to. Play tomorrow so that's something to
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: keep in mind That. On Friday the Mets in colorado
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: might have a bad scheduling Spot on friday because they
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: initially were not supposed to Play on, thursday tomorrow but
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: now they will because yesterday's game got. Rained out but
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: that means they're both rested coming into. This game but
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: of course they both have that same. Advantage Here the
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: mets won the first game of the series two, days
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: ago four to two In. Course field that means both bullpen's.
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: Arrested Here the mets bullpen has actually been. Fairly good
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: they're at eighth In. Bullpen Whip the rockies, are seventeenth
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: not a Very trustworthy. Rocky Bullpen the mets have not been,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: good offensively they're dead last still. At Thirtieth the rockies
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: have been a. Bit better they are eleventh, in offense
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: AND while i don't think they're, that good they are
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: a decent offense at, Home though but they're gonna have
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: to go Up Against. Freddy peralta the same pitching matchup
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: scheduled yesterday is what the pitching matchup. Is today they're
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: using the pitchers that were. Scheduled yesterday peralta is pretty
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: good pitching For the mets here three point FIVE, two
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: era one point. Two whip. Not bad he's been a
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: little bit better on the road three point twenty Seven
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: roadyra but he's gonna have to pitch a course, field
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: HERE although i don't think he's gonna be that intimidated.
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: By that although he did Just face colorado at home
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: in that series two, series ago and by, The way
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: colorado swept, That series so Maybe the mets will be
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: a little bit extra motivated in this series year after
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: being swept at Home, by colorado which is kind, of
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: embarrassing Even though colorado might be a little bit better.
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: This year peralta did okay in. That, start Again the
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: mets just gave him no. Run support he's lost five
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: of his last, six outings but most of it is
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: because he gets no. Run support he's allowed three or
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs in, every outing including only two Against.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: The rockies in, That outing he's got forty two strikeouts
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: and thirty eight to. Third innings sixteen walks is a little.
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: Bit high thirty hits a lout is. Not bad generally
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: he is. Pretty good just the walks tend to be
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: a little bit high. From him Numbers against colorado or not,
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: that good and sixty at bats twenty to eight strike
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio two fifty average eight twenty. Two ops
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: you'd like to see that ops be a little, bit
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: lower but he is, just generally he's the way better
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: pitcher Over At, michael lorenzen who's pitching For. The rockies
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: six point ZERO ninety ra one point seven to. Six
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: whip he's had some realbms, at home which makes Sense
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: because corsfield is not friendly. To pitcher his eight point five.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: SIX homeyra i don't really know why They. GOT lorenzen i, don't,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: know man but his fly ball rate hasn't been that extreme,
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: this YEAR so i. Don't know but his overall number is.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: Not great twenty four strike cuts not a high strike
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: cut rate in thirty. Four innings nine walks allowed is not.
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: That bad but he's allowed fifty, one hits which is.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: Really bad he's getting hit around. Pretty easily he did
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: actually pitch well At the, mets though during that last
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: series he went seven innings along one ear. And run
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: he Actually outpitched paralta on. That game take from that
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: what you. WANT to i don't think he is Better, than.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: Paralta though his numbers Against the mets are actually, good
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: though so maybe this is just a good matchup. For
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: him sixty five career, at bats ten, strike cups two,
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: walks two forty six batting average, allowed six twenty three.
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: Ohps allowed so, you know looking at the, market here
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: if you put a lot of weight into, the matchup
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: you you know you can make an argument For taking.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: Colorado here the money looks like. It's agreeing sixty percent
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: of tickets eighty nine percent of the Cash, on Colorado
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: the mets being at about minus one. Sixty five that
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: is pretty pricey On. The mets there totals at nine and.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: A half, i mean that's a little bit on the
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: lower side for a course. FIELD game i don't really
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: have a good gauge on the, total here but you
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: can make the Argument. For COLORADO but i think if You,
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: WANT colorado i would go first five innings with it
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: and Go with lorenzen to just take advantage of, the
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: matchup and, you know keep the game Close. Against peralta
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: you might be able to get them at plus a
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: half run or SOMETHING because i Don't want colorado's bullpen
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: Against the. Mets bullpen those are my. Thoughts there And
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: then Pittsburgh. At ARIZONA arizona i thought was in a
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: bad spot yesterday in the return, home spot and they
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 2: still won nine. TO nothing, I mean I Thought bubba
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: chandler was the better pitcher in that matchup against THE
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: Other e rod at the THE Og E Rod, eduardo
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: rodriguez but that was not. The Case bubba chandler looks
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: like he didn't do well in. That Game maybe pittsburgh
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: swings it around, here though because they Do Have paul
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: skiens pitching in. This game, you know coming off a
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: nine to, nothing loss that probably is gonna motivate you a.
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: Little bit pittsburgh used three relief, Pitchers yesterday arizona. Used two,
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: YOU know i Don't like, arizona's bullpen even though they,
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: ranked SIXTH their era. Is enormous it's almost, A FIVE
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: so i just don't Trust this arizona. Bullpen MAN pittsburgh's
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: era is lower, than that slightly, above four although the
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: ranked thirteenth, RIGHT now i actually think they probably are
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: the slightly. Better bullpen arizona's ranked ninth, In offense pittsburgh
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: is also. Actually knins they're. Both tied do with that
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: information what. YOU want I think arizona's offense is probably
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: a little. Bit Better But paul skeens is definitely the
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: better of these two. Pitchers here he's got a three
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: point ONE, eighty ra which is actually High for skiings
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: zo point eighty five whip on, the season BUT his
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: era is being skewed by that one bat outing early in.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: The season he wasn't that good in his last outing
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: Either Against, saint LOUIS but i think he. BOUNCES back
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: i Mean He's. Paul skeens he still only allowed three
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: or in runs in. That one he'd allowed one or
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: zero earned runs and five starts in a row. Before
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: that arizona is a hitter, friendly Environment But, PAUL skeens
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: I mean Skeins. IS skeens i expect him to. DO well,
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: i mean it's just hard to figure out which games
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: you think he's actually not going to, do well and
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: because generally he will. Do well Numbers against arizona are.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: Pretty good in fifty, at bats, twelve strikeouts, two walks
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: two under batting, average allowed five to seventy. One ohps
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: really all the damages Coming, from aronado who's five to
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: fourteen with a home run and a double. Off, him
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: overall good Numbers. From Skins michael siroca is pitching For the.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: Diamondbacks here his numbers have not been. That good four POINT,
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: seven era one point four to three whip on one
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: point SIX four era, at home so he's been way better,
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: at home but his numbers are just being skewed by
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: one really bad outing in his last Outing. Against milwaukee
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: he got totally jacked up in that Game at milwaukee
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: but now that he's back at home where he's pitched,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: really well even though it is a hitter from, THE
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: environment i think he might actually. Do okay thirty six
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: strikeouts here in thirty two, thirds innings but thirty five
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: hits allowed as. A problem nine walks isn't, that bad
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: but thirty five hits he's definitely. Too hittable but, then
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: again most of that was because of that one bad Start.
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: Against milwaukee Numbers against pittsburgh are good in twenty two
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: at bats, five strikeouts, one walk two twenty seven batting
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: average five to seventy. Nine ops so this looks like
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: it might have the makings more of a pitching. Duel,
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: here schemes by, the way has not been as good
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: on the road four point two six roadyra but again
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: that's because of that one start Against. The mets it's
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: just skewing his numbers. A bit, SO yeah i think
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: an under might be the way to look at. THIS
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: game i don't like the, bullpens THOUGH so i think
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: first five under is PROBABLY what i would do in.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: This game the total is, pretty low it's around eight
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: seven and. A half you're probably looking at about a
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: three and a half in the, first five maybe you'll find. A,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: Four schemes you're usually not gonna find anything above a
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: three and a half on the, first five but maybe
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: because It's against Arizona, in arizona maybe you'll find like
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: a four On this seventy five percent of the tickets
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: are on the under and ninety two percent of the
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: cash on. The under the money is Also backing pittsburgh a.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: Little bit fifty four percent of tickets Are, on arizona
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: fifty the Cash. ON pittsburgh i can't really disagree, with
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: IT but, i mean you pretty much know that you're
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: gonna have to pay a Price For. Paul, skiens usual
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: this price is kind. Of palatable you can find about
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: a minus one twenty five, out there and you Do Get.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: Paul skiens if you, do it you get the, better
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: pitcher probably the. Better BULLPEN so i don't, really Disagree
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: and pittsburgh gonna bounce backs about don't disagree, with THAT
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: but I think i prefer first five under in. That,
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: game okay let's go. TO hockey i think there are
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: two hockey. Games here first one Up is Montreal. And
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: buffalo both these GAMES are TNT true, TV Whatever hbo max.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: This game this is the start of the. Series here
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: this is an. Interesting. Series now the first THING that
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: i thought About was montreal is coming off one of
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: the most misleading results you'll. Ever see they Just Upset
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: tampa bay on the road in a game seven two,
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: to one and they got outshot in the game twenty nine.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: To nine they had no shots in the. SECOND period
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: i already talked about this on. My show it's like it.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: Was historic they're the only team to ever win a
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: playoff game with that few shots in. The game and
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: they set a record for the fewest shots in, a
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: period never been. Done before zero shots in an entire
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: period in the second period of. The game and they
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: had two power plays. As well but the physicality was on.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: Their side they Out Hit tampa bay and they outface.
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: Off them so even though it was a, misleading result,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: YOU know i kind Of lean buffalo in. This game
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: there are a few things that. Concern, Me, now buffalo
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: are they gonna be rusty at all because they last Played?
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: On friday but that's not too. MUCH rest i Don't.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: THINK montreal i think Played, On Sunday so montreal does
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: have more momentum on. Their, side STILL so I like
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: buffalo in this GAME because I think montreal that was
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: just A misleading game. Seven, results STILL but i worry
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: a little Bit maybe buffalo is a little bit unrested.
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: Here now montreal is having to travel up Here to
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: Buffalo From tampa bay with. Less time buffalo is only
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: coming In from boston and they've had a lot of,
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: time off so, you know but that series is a
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: little bit misleading Against the bruins, as well Though the
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: bruins like kind of Out, Physical buffalo so, you know,
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: THIS series i didn't think either team was gonna. BE
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: here i Don't think buffalo is a very good. One
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: seed both these teams are inexperienced when it comes. To
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 2: PLAYOFFS so I think carolina pretty clearly is gonna Win
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: The eastern conference here at. THIS point i would be Shocked,
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: IF carolina, I mean carolina should get through the series
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: they're in, right now AND then i would be shocked
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: if they lose to either of. These teams to, Be,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: honest Yeah like carolina is just that much better and
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: They and carolina. Is Kryptonite The florida panthers are not
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: in the playoff field, this year so, AND unfortunately i
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: didn't pick them as. My champion they were my second
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: choice as far as a leverage. Play Behind tampa bay
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: kind of pissed. About, that anyway, THIS game I like.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: BUFFALO here I think montreal's win was a bit. MORE
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: misleading I think montreal maybe looked a little, Bit better
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: like nobody's gonna care that Much to buffalo won a
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: series against a Wild card, boston team Even though boston
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: does have a lot of weight behind. Their Name Montreal,
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: TAMPA bay, i mean that just looks a. Lot Better
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: tampa bay is a very experienced team that has been
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs like every, year RECENTLY so I think
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: montreal doing that will get more credit. For, that now
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: looking at what these teams did during the regular, SEASON
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: series i believe they split two. To Two the canadians
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: won the first game at home, By Two the sabers
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: won the next game at home. By two sabers then
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: won on the road, by two and Then the canadians
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: won on the road. By TWO but i believe every
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: one of these games had an empty net goal at
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: the end. Of it fucking empty, net, Goals man i'm
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: pretty sure they all had empty net goals at the
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: end AND when i looked into, these Matchups the canadians
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: were actually in the more, Physical team so that's something
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: to keep. In mind it, seems like, you know physicality
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: does matter in, the Playoffs and montreal might have an
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: advantage in. That department and, You Know DoBeS dobis might
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: actually be a better Goaltender than buffalo Using who's buffalo
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: EVEN using i don't even know. They're using they Use
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: lucan and in the first two games of the Series
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: against boston and they Switched To lion leone and it did a,
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: Lot BETTER so i guess they're gonna continue. Using HIM
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: but i. Don't know buffalo seems to not really have
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: their goaltender situation totally. Put away maybe they do after
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: four games where they won three, of THEM but i. Don't,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: Know man SO if i Do like, buffalo here but
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: it's not enough for me to jump. On this and
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it. Doesn't agree eighty percent, of
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: tickets only seventy nine percent of the Cash, on buffalo
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: they're around minus one five. Or so here the total
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: is only five and. A half it's a pretty low
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: total with money indicating very strongly on the OVER though
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: i don't really have a. Good feel but, YOU know,
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: i mean these games all had empty. Net goals EVEN
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: though i think empty net goals. Are flukes you might
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: wind up with another one in, this game and that
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: probably will piss you off if it makes the final
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: four to two and you're on and under in. That one,
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: BUT yeah i don't have a great feel for. That
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: game And then anaheim. Vague gus vegas got us the
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: win and covered with the empty net goal at the
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: end of. That game maybe got a little. Bit lucky
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: if you look at what happened in. THIS game I.
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: LIKE vegas i like. Their experience vegas is better, at
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: HOME so i like. All that that was some of
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: the REASONING that i put behind that. FIRST game I
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: think vegas is going to win. The SERIES but i
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: don't KNOW if i like this, that, much man because
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: they did make, you know they paded their lead with
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: an empty. Net going if you look at what happened in,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: This game Anaheim outshot vegas by. Twelve shots the face offs,
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: were Close and anaheim Out hit vegas by double digits,
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: As Well so anaheim Actually. Outplayed vegas so that actually,
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: worries me and really for, THAT reason i would Lean
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: to anaheim in this one in kind of a, zigzag
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: SPOT because i think that was actually a misleading result
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: and maybe we kind of got that game a little.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: Bit wrong vegas looks like they're getting the money sixty
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: six percent of tickets eighty six percent of the cash
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: on them minus won sixty or so is where price
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: is Similar to, GAME one i would Lean, to anaheim
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: though in this one you can make a split bet
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: partially on the puck line partially on the money line in.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: That one PROBABLY what i would. Do there oh AND
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: since i always, DO it i will Look at Montreal
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: and buffalo as far as. Home road montreal was actually
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: a really good, road team so that worries me. As
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: well they're pretty good on. The road buffalo was decent
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: at home, as well but They had buffalo's home record
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: was very Similar to montreal's. Road record, ALL, RIGHT nba
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: i will give out a play in one of THE
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: two nba, games here and the money seems like it's
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: not agreeing with me. On this these games ARE. On
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: espn the first game up is In The. Eastern conference
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: that this is going to be. My play nobody's gonna
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: want to do, this man Because the knicks have now set,
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: a record a, playoff RECORD winning i think three straight
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: games by thirty plus points or something. Like that so
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: you know what we're. Gonna do we're gonna take the
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: seventy six ers plus seven and a half here Against.
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: THE knicks i know nobody's gonna want to, do THIS
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: but i don't think this is that lopsided of. A
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: series i do Think the knicks are gonna win. THE
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: series i Know the knicks are really good. At home
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: philadelphia wasn't that good on. The road But remember philadelphia
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: played a lot of the season without their, full roster
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: so that's something you gotta keep. In Mind and philadelphia
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: did play better Against the knicks when they had their,
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: full ROSTER which. I think i think they only Had
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: him bid for two of the four games they played
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: Against the knicks during the, regular season and they played
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: better in those, two Games if i'm. Not mistaken But
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: what i'm looking at HERE is i think we're gonna
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: get some. REGRESSION here, i Mean the knicks has scored
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: over one hundred and twenty points in the last. Three
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: games they won those games by. Twenty nine that ridiculous
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: blow Out of atlanta that they won by what? Is that?
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: Fifty one and then they won the first game in
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: this series by whatever? That is what? Is that that's
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: twenty nine, AS well, i, think, right yeah so you know,
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: or no it's a, thirty, nine, right yeah. THIRTY nine
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: i can't even do, math, Anymore man, uh yeah. THIRTY
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: nine i can't. Do, math, yes Anyway the knicks have
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: won three straight games about like a record amount whatever.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: It Is the knicks are at home. Here, again, YEAH
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: dude i have stroke, BRAIN now, i. APOLOGIZE dude i
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: had perfect math this at s, And shit i'm a.
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: MATH guy i don't Know what i'm even. Doing anymore
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: the stroke definitely. Hurt. Me anyway you look into, this
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: Game the knicks look like they're just unstoppable. Right now
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 2: that's the POINT where i think the value is a.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: Little bit there's like no value On the, knicks anymore
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: you KNOW what. I mean and you look at what
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: happened in. THIS game, i mean, come, on Man the
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: knicks shot sixty three percent from the field fifty one
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: percent from three in. The game they had eight more,
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: three pointers which is not even really something they're totally.
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: Known for affilly did go to the line way. More
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: so they did have a huge free throw advantage in,
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: the game so that concerns me a. Little bit but
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: And the knicks did win the, rebound battles so they
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: were kind of the better team in. The game, but
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: still the shooting was. Unbelievably Lopsided the sixers only shot
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: forty one percent from, the field and they shot okay
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: from three. Point range Just. THE knicks, i mean, come,
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: on man they were plus twenty four from three. Point
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: range you're not gonna hit over fifty percent of. Your
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: threes you're not gonna hit sixty three percent from the.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: FIELD anymore i Think the knicks are in line for,
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 2: a major major regression coming into. This game they probably
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: feel really good about themselves about. That blowout and by,
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: the way they did have a rest. Advantage There the
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: knicks had gone six Games, against atlanta so they had more,
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: time OFF which i don't think developed. Into, Rust obviously
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: philadelphia was coming off pulling off an upset All, the celtics,
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: you know and played a tough game seven there and
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: had to quickly swing around and then Play In. New
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 2: YORK so I think philadelphia now they're settled in both
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: teams have the same amount of rest now pretty much
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: at least off of the. Last, game again the zigzag
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: works for, a, Reason man it's because people will, over like,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: you know people will weigh these outliers. Too much we're gonna.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: Do it we're gonna take the seventy six. ERS here
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: i do worry that we see fifty five percent of
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: tickets and eighty eight percent of the cash On the,
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: knicks here but that's NOT what i want. To do
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 2: totals at two fifteen and, A half i don't really
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: have a good gauge on, the total although the money's
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: coming in towards the under pretty strongly in, this one and,
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: YOU know i probably agree, with it just Because the
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: knicks has scored so many points in last. FEW games
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: i think if You go knicks under their, team total
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: that might work, as well because, you Know the knicks
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 2: team total is probably gonna be skewed. A bit let
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: me see what the number is, On it Like, the knicks,
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: you know they're scoring has just been a. Major outlier
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: one eleven and a half is the number. On, THAT
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: yeah i could definitely See the knicks going under for,
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: once HERE but I like philly. To cover, you know
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: the number is pretty much the same as it was in.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: Game one we'll, do it will zig. ZAG it i
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: Think the knicks are gonna have not as good a performance. On,
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: Offense finally philadelphia is The Play Minnesota san antonio. Is
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: interesting minnesota won in an upset in, game one And
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: Remember anthony edwards came back in, that GAME and i.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: DO talk i haven't had the. TICKER up i don't
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: even want, it up but there, you GO or i could. Do,
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: this actually there.
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 5: You go.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: Although my overall run is not. Ice cold. So, whatever
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: anyway WHAT was i? Gonna, Say yeah minnesota won the.
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: Game outright they initially were gonna be like a double
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: digit underdog in, that game But Then anthony edwards came
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: back last minute and the line went off at about
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: eight and a Half On. San ANTONIO so i talk
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: about the injured. Player theory, YOU know I liked Minnesota
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: with edwards not playing in. THE game i like them,
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: To cover But with, EDWARDS playing i worried about that
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit because the injured player theory usually overrates
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 2: that player, coming back and he actually came off. The
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: bench but then what usually happens is they work him
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: Back in he's probably gonna start in, THIS game i,
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: would imagine and then what happens is they usually play
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: better in the second game with, him back because now
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: he has a game under, his belt you KNOW what,
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: i mean even though he wasn't even actually bad in.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: Game ONE so i Like san antonio in this. Game
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: though but these are some of the things that worry
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: me About san. Antonio, Here, NORMALLY yes i Like san
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: antonio because they lost as a. Big favorite they cannot
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: fall down oh two. At, home man you just can't.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: Do it AND then i have to go on the
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: road against a team that beats you. Experience wise that's
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: the other Thing. About minnesota minnesota has way. More experience
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: they've been to the conference finals two years in. A
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: row they're best player. IS back i know they're Still,
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: without devincenzo but he's more of a. Role player. You
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: know minnesota does have those advantages in. This SERIES so I.
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: LEAN santo i think they do bounce. Back here there's
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: still the, better team but the money kind of disagreeing.
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: With it they got fifty eight percent, of tickets fifty
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash. On them you can still
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: find nine and a half's, out there but it's mostly
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: ten out there right Now In, san antonio which is
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 2: a little bit much because they were eight and a
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: half in game one after it was Announced that edwards was.
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: Coming back so, you know the books are accounting for
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: the zigzag in, this case they've actually skewed the line
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: More Towards san. Antonio HERE and i Don't believe edwards.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 2: IS out i think. HE'S playing i. Would assume let,
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: me see he's listed as a game, time decision and
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: so is do. SOON move i think he's going to.
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 2: PLAY though, i mean he did look a little bit
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 2: hobbled in that, last game but he also put up some.
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: Decent numbers, SO yeah I Like, san ANTONIO but i
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: worry that the second game with the star, player back
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: that team usually, does better and the experience is On the.
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 2: Minnesota side but the zigzag Would Say, san antonio because
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: you're getting the team at home having lost the first
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 2: game as a, Big favorite usually that team does bounce
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: back and. Play better But remember minnesota Is. Not Portland
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: Though san Antonio beating portland that doesn't, impress me, You
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: know so all the things to keep in, mind here
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: total looks like it's getting some traction towards the over
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: total's gone up a. Little bit it was down at
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: two fifteen and. A half it's a little bit. Higher
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: now it looks like at, two sixteen although it initially
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: opened at two sixteen and. A half i don't have
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: a good feel for the. TOTAL really i think, the total,
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 2: you know it had to move up a little Bit
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: with edward's, coming BACK and i think it overreacted in.
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: Game ONE so i think the total did wind up
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: going under slightly in game one, because yeah, the total
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: yeah it was up to Two eight it actually went
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: under by. Double digits actually the total went up to
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: two eighteen to. Hal It san antonio actually went off
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: a ten and a half, Point favorite so my mistake
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: not they had dropped to eight and, a half, but
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: no they were ten and. A half so actually the
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: ten doesn't look as bad in. This game they were
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: gonna be thirteen and, a half and Then with edwards,
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 2: coming back they dropped to ten and. A half but
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: that does still seem like kind of a. Big, number
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: now some things that do concern me About san antonio
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: coming into this, game is, YOU know i mean the
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: game was actually close Statistically and minnesota missed a ton
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: of their, free Throws so minnesota might actually have some
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: positive regression from the free. Throw Line san antonio did
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: shoot badly from three point, range though twenty, eight percent
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: so they'll have positive regression from three point. Range probably
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 2: but the game was. Definitely close it wasn't really that
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: misleading as far as. The, SCORE like i think these
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: two teams are a little bit closer match than what
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: the lines makers are putting. Out THERE so i Lean
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: san antonio because of, the SPOT but i don't like it,
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: that MUCH so i WAS thinking i might have plays
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: on both Games when i'm only going with the seventy.
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: Six ers that's gonna. Do it that's the, show today the.
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: Place today one. More time we have a BUNCH of
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: mlb totals first five under And. A's philadelphia that one's
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: probably the best out. Of them we're going over nine
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: and A Half, minnesota washington and we're going under eight
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 2: and a Half in Texas, and yankees and we're gonna
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: take the seventy six ers plus seven and. A half
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: let's get back on track after yesterday was. REALLY bad
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: i like seeing fifty something wins with twenty. Something losses
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: you KNOW what. I mean, I mean i told you
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: this run was a bit, unsustainable though but still We're
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: we we've been good over the course of this year.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: So far we're definitely up. This year that's gonna. Do
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 2: it learn it Told, On twitter Learn it Toad, On
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 2: instagram listen to the show on, Audio like subscribe to
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: the show here, on YouTube get more people to. Watch
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: it covered in yuke. On YouTube check. That out patreon.
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: Dot com slash Learn to toad link tree has all
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: my links. In it link tree Learned To toad loser cast.
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: New episod so last night my loser WAS The jp
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: morgan guy who falsely accused the woman of Sexually harassing
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: and go check. That Out G spot giants podcast will
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: probably be back at some, point soon, AND yeah i
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: believe that. Is it keep paying attention to the. Show
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: HERE man wnba is Starting, on friday and there's some
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: new teams in the League that i'm gonna have to
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: get a. GRASP on i, DON'T know i might not
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: have any plays right out of, the gate but. We'll
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 2: see that's gonna. Do, it thanks thanks for hanging out, this.
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: Morning everybody peace, AND no i don't have an. Only.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 2: Fans peace.
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 5: But don't you.
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 3: Go quiet don't you fade from. The flow your, name
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 3: steal mean something to somebody. For show put the, glass,
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 3: down baby.
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 5: Look.
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 2: At, me no, hold.
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 4: On hold on nothing, nice now, hold on. Hold on
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 4: let me pull the, bites HORN but i don't get.
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 5: The crown, hold on, hold on stay with, me now