Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Jeremy Andrews: Key Mortgages broker on the number of Kiwis in arrears, upcoming OCR announcements
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: It is five twenty one. So Kiy's is still waiting
- 0:02Speaker 1: to see a shift in the economy. We know that,
- 0:04Speaker 1: we feel it, and now we've got facts. New Centric
- 0:07Speaker 1: data out this morning shows reported financial hardship increased nineteen
- 0:11Speaker 1: percent in the past year, and most of those cases
- 0:15Speaker 1: were down to mortgage repayment issues. The mortgage is killing us.
- 0:19Speaker 1: So I've got a mortgage broker on the line right now.
- 0:21Speaker 1: He's from Key Mortgages. It's Jeremy Andrews.
- 0:23Speaker 2: Hello, Jeremy, Good morning, Andrews.
- 0:26Speaker 1: Are you surprised by the nineteen percent figure.
- 0:31Speaker 2: It's not too surprising, could have been higher. I yess,
- 0:36Speaker 2: A lot of I guess a lot of that's yeah,
- 0:39Speaker 2: A lot of that is from mortgages, people going through
- 0:43Speaker 2: kind of hardship.
- 0:43Speaker 1: So, in other words, you know that the economy is
- 0:46Speaker 1: a bit tanky at the moment, and so you were
- 0:47Speaker 1: expecting a nineteen percent. It's still not a good number, though,
- 0:50Speaker 1: A it's not.
- 0:52Speaker 2: It's been pretty hard out there, especially businesses. Last five
- 0:56Speaker 2: years or so, it's been a pretty hard run. It's
- 0:59Speaker 2: been COVID supply chain issues, is lockdowns rates after that,
- 1:04Speaker 2: rates have gone from kind of record loads to the
- 1:07Speaker 2: highest a lot of those new businesses would have seen.
- 1:11Speaker 1: And all those people are wanting it to improve soon.
- 1:15Speaker 1: And can you see improvement in the next coming months
- 1:18Speaker 1: or is this going to be a medium term thing?
- 1:22Speaker 2: So from the interest rate perspective, yeah, that's that is
- 1:25Speaker 2: slowly getting better, but it's not It's not going to
- 1:29Speaker 2: be a magic turnaround. I think that the hardship levels
- 1:33Speaker 2: there is still going to continue on for But there's
- 1:37Speaker 2: a lot of hits out there still just rates really high.
- 1:42Speaker 2: It was still still reduced, I guess as people buyers
- 1:46Speaker 2: and consumers are still struggling to afford things and spend
- 1:50Speaker 2: as much as they used to do.
- 1:52Speaker 1: Well, here's the thing though, here's the thing though. The
- 1:54Speaker 1: OCN is coming up, and yesterday all the news was
- 1:57Speaker 1: about Trump's tariffs and suggesting that maybe too dramatic drop
- 2:02Speaker 1: in the in the interest rate might not be in
- 2:04Speaker 1: our in our favor, and therefore the interest rates could
- 2:07Speaker 1: stay high for a while. So there are a lot
- 2:09Speaker 1: of people out there right now with mortgages thinking to themselves,
- 2:11Speaker 1: what on earth do I do? What would you what
- 2:13Speaker 1: would you suggest?
- 2:16Speaker 2: Uh? Yes, So we've seen quite a bit of changes
- 2:19Speaker 2: in the last six months the osier's gone. It's gone
- 2:24Speaker 2: from kind of not planned to reduce them to quite
- 2:27Speaker 2: quickly reducing. But the fixed rates maybe haven't come down
- 2:32Speaker 2: quite as much as people were hoping or as quickly.
- 2:36Speaker 2: It's just in the last week there's been quite a
- 2:39Speaker 2: bit more dramatic shifts. So we're now getting interest rates
- 2:42Speaker 2: kind of down around the kind of early to mid
- 2:45Speaker 2: fives or that kind of short, short term. I'll probably
- 2:48Speaker 2: suggest that most people, yeah, heedge your bets, don't necessarily
- 2:54Speaker 2: just hope that rates just can continue to free fall
- 2:57Speaker 2: and keep dropping, maybe fixing some of your loans or midterm.
- 3:04Speaker 2: A lot of people, a lot of people were actually
- 3:06Speaker 2: holding off and floating over the last six months. I
- 3:10Speaker 2: don't think I've ever seen so many people on floating
- 3:13Speaker 2: just hoping for rates to really drop.
- 3:17Speaker 1: Well, I'll take that. I'll take that as a vote
- 3:19Speaker 1: of confidence by the New Zealand people to go into
- 3:21Speaker 1: floating because they believe that things are going to get better,
- 3:24Speaker 1: because just a month or so ago, the one year
- 3:27Speaker 1: fixed rate was the go for everybody. Now, thank you
- 3:29Speaker 1: so much. Jeremy Andrews. Jeremy is a mortgage broker from
- 3:32Speaker 1: Key Mortgages.
- 3:34Speaker 2: For more fam earlier edition with Ryan Bridge. Listen live
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