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Week 12 College Football Predictions for 18 More Games! 2025 · Winning Cures Everything | College Football

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Speaker 1: It's week twelve and we've got eighteen other games that
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Speaker 1: we need to make picks on.
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Speaker 4: Well, come in.
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Speaker 1: It's Winning Cures Everything. It's college football podcast. I'm your host,
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Speaker 1: Gary Siegers at Gary WCEE on all the different socials.
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Speaker 1: Obviously most active on X, even though not all that
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Speaker 1: active on X for the most part. Is what it is.
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Speaker 1: It's been a wonderful week thus far. Hopefully you are
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Speaker 1: having a wonderful week wherever you might be. And we
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Speaker 1: have got some games to go over. If you haven't already,
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Speaker 1: go ahead and check out the midweek video or the
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Speaker 1: Weeknight Games video, the ten Biggest Games video, and now
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Speaker 1: I've got eighteen other games that we're gonna kind of
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Speaker 1: rapid fire through. Hopefully you're ready for that. Don't forget
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Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel like the video, and of course
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Speaker 1: check out Buy Me a Coffee dot com slash Winning
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Speaker 1: Cures to get these spreadsheets and whatnot. Let's dive into it.
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Speaker 1: Game number one eleven A Central Time on the Big
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Speaker 1: Ten Network. Indiana, the number two ranked Hoosiers are hosting
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Speaker 1: the Wisconsin Badgers, who got a nice upset win last week.
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Speaker 1: Currently Wisconsin the number two strength schedule in the country.
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Speaker 1: They are doing their thing Indiana right now. A twenty
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Speaker 1: nine and a half to thirty and a half point
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Speaker 1: home favorite total of forty three and a half to
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Speaker 1: forty four and a half. Indiana typically beats the mess
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Speaker 1: out of teams at home. They have basically all season.
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Speaker 1: There's not a huge talent differential between these two. Indiana
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Speaker 1: number forty six, Wisconsin number thirty two, so Wisconsin technically
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Speaker 1: the more talented team. They have technically played the stronger
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Speaker 1: strength of schedule, But ma'am Wisconsin number one twenty nine
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Speaker 1: and PBA margin Indiana number four, and last week Wisconsin
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Speaker 1: good gracious. Their leading passer was their punter who had
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Speaker 1: a fake punt that he threw for twenty four yards
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Speaker 1: on Now granted it was snowing, etc. They still found
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Speaker 1: a way to get the win thirteen to ten over Washington,
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Speaker 1: but that one was at home in Camp Randle. This one,
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Speaker 1: of course, in Bloomington. Looking at it, Indiana number four
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Speaker 1: in points per scoring opportunity on offense, Wisconsin's defense number
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Speaker 1: twenty four, so Wisconsin still pretty good at keeping you
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Speaker 1: off the scoreboard. They are number ninety five and defensive
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Speaker 1: red zone conversion percentage, but number fifty one in defensive
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Speaker 1: red zone touchdown rate. Indiana on the other hand, number
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Speaker 1: one in defensive touchdown rate in the red zone. Just bananas. Wisconsin,
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Speaker 1: number one twenty in points per game margin. Indiana's number one.
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Speaker 1: Indiana beats the mess out of teams, but they are
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Speaker 1: banged up a little bit. Indiana four and two against
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Speaker 1: the spread at home so far this year. In Wisconsin
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Speaker 1: two to one against the spread. Even though they are
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Speaker 1: four and five against the number overall on the season,
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Speaker 1: they seem to play better on the road. Thus far.
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Speaker 1: They are plus five on the road, for whatever that
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Speaker 1: is worth. Points for scoring opportunity, Wisconsin is dead last
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Speaker 1: at finishing drives. Indiana is number one. I don't know
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Speaker 1: how Wisconsin puts up points here, but also I think
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Speaker 1: that Indiana could run into some problems scoring here. I
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Speaker 1: think the number gets a little outrageous. My power rating
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Speaker 1: has Indiana by twenty. My stats projected spread does have
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Speaker 1: Indiana by twenty nine and a half. The last four
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Speaker 1: weeks number has Indiana by forty three point eighty seven.
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Speaker 1: I think I might be putting it mildly about Wisconsin
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Speaker 1: not being able to score. They've been shut out multiple
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Speaker 1: times this year. Think it could happen again, and even
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Speaker 1: with Indiana banged up. I just I think they could
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Speaker 1: still get to thirty four Wisconsin, maybe kick a field
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Speaker 1: goal something like that. So if this thing hit thirty one,
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Speaker 1: I might think the other way. You're gonna be hard
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Speaker 1: pressed to find me betting against Indiana at home. So
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Speaker 1: give me the Hoosiers minus thirty and a half. Game
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Speaker 1: number two South Carolina heading two Texas A and M.
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Speaker 1: This one eleven am Central time, God's time zone on ESPN.
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Speaker 1: Right now A and M and eighteen and a half
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Speaker 1: point to nineteen and a half point home favorite total
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Speaker 1: forty seven and a half to forty eight and a half.
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Speaker 1: And we didn't have the game pulled up, did we? Good? Gracious,
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Speaker 1: So power rating have got A and M by seventeen
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Speaker 1: point seven, last four weeks has got A and M
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Speaker 1: by seventeen point five seven, and the projected stats spread
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Speaker 1: has A and M by twenty point six seven. Now,
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Speaker 1: this thing opened at seventeen and a half. It has
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Speaker 1: been bet up since the forty eight and a half.
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Speaker 1: It's sat there for a minute. It's still available at
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Speaker 1: some spots, but there is a little bit of money
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Speaker 1: on the under with this South Carolina number four and
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Speaker 1: current strength to schedule. A and M number twenty nine
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Speaker 1: and PPA margin ninety for South Carolina, just ridiculous. The
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Speaker 1: South Carolina defense is not bad, like I don't think
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Speaker 1: that's an issue. As far as finishing drives, A and
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Speaker 1: M's offense number ten, South Carolina number eighty five. South
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Speaker 1: Carolina is number sixteen in defensive red zone touchdown rate.
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Speaker 1: A and M is number ninety eight in defensive touchdown rate.
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Speaker 1: So as bad as this South Carolina offense has been,
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Speaker 1: you know, they did fire Mike Shula. They are coming
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Speaker 1: off of a bye week. What should we expect from
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Speaker 1: the South Carolina offense? Not totally certain. I keep waiting,
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Speaker 1: and I'm just like everybody else. You just kind of
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Speaker 1: keep waiting around to see is A and M gonna
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Speaker 1: blow it? They haven't thus far. This looks like a
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Speaker 1: completely different kind of team. Oko and company are doing
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Speaker 1: a fantastic job Colin Klin with this offense. Jay Bateman's defense, though,
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Speaker 1: leaving a little bit to be desired. They're number twenty
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Speaker 1: in defensive success rate overall, but number sixty two in
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Speaker 1: PPA allowed per drive that's predicted points added. They are
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Speaker 1: number one twenty six in PPA allowed per rush find
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Speaker 1: that interesting number ninety seven in rushing explosiveness. Now, South
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Speaker 1: Carolina is bad at everything, but they are talented enough
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Speaker 1: number eighteen and overall talent rank A and M is
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Speaker 1: number ten. This is the kind of team that can
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Speaker 1: muck things up. Yeah, some teams have been covering against them.
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Speaker 1: There's just a lot of talent here and A and M.
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Speaker 1: I mean that November air gets a little more thick
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Speaker 1: this time of year, especially when you're chasing after an
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Speaker 1: undefeated season when you average about eight and four, like
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Speaker 1: it's been a long time since A and M had
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Speaker 1: a ten win season. There. I I think sleepy early
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Speaker 1: slate South Carolina can make them at least uncomfortable enough
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Speaker 1: that I think they can hang within nineteen and a half.
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Speaker 1: I mean, this number just keeps on ballooning. If it
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Speaker 1: gets up to twenty one by game day, I'll be
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Speaker 1: on this one. But as far as the show goes
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Speaker 1: right now, I'll take South Carolina plus nineteen and a half.
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Speaker 1: Game number three eleven AM Central Time, God's Time Zone
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Speaker 1: on FS one. Arizona is going to Cincinnati. Arizona big
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Speaker 1: win over Kansas last week, and right now my stat's
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Speaker 1: pretty well. Let's tell you what the actual number is.
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Speaker 1: Since he minus six and a half right now, fifty
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Speaker 1: six to fifty six and a half the total on
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Speaker 1: this one, I've got Sinci by five point one six
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Speaker 1: the power rating has since he by three point two
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Speaker 1: last four weeks has got Cincy by a little over
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Speaker 1: a field goal. Coming off of a bye week, Cincinnati
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Speaker 1: got absolutely humbled by Utah. Arizona's offense doesn't exactly leave
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Speaker 1: a lot. Let me take that back. It leaves a
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Speaker 1: lot to be desired. How's that number one twelve passing
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Speaker 1: success rate, number sixty six running success So we'll start
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Speaker 1: with them on the offensive side of the ball. The
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Speaker 1: Wildcats are number thirty in PPA per rush. They're number
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Speaker 1: thirteen rushing explosiveness number fifteen, in offensive line yards number
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Speaker 1: forty nine and stuff rate allowed. Since He's defense is
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Speaker 1: number one eighteen in offensive line yards allowed number one
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Speaker 1: thirty one and stuff rate number ninety nine and PPA
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Speaker 1: per rush. Arizona doesn't like to run it a bunch,
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Speaker 1: but I think it would be wise for them to
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Speaker 1: do it as often as possible in this ballgame. As
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Speaker 1: far as finishing drives, Arizona number eighty two in points
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Speaker 1: for scoring opportunity since he's defense number seventy five. Okay,
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Speaker 1: turnover margin Arizona number ten since he number forty nine
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Speaker 1: since he doesn't turn the ball over, but they also
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Speaker 1: are really bad at generating turnovers, so penalties per game
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Speaker 1: airs on number fifty nine and since he number one
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Speaker 1: seventeen when Cincy is on offense. Here's the thing. They
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Speaker 1: are really good throwing the ball and running the ball
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Speaker 1: Arizona's number ninety seven and rushing success right allowed, but
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Speaker 1: they are number forty two in yards allowed per rush,
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Speaker 1: So sincey I think can run the football on them.
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Speaker 1: Arizona's defense really good against the pass number six and
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Speaker 1: have a great since he's number sixteen, and have it
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Speaker 1: allowed if Arizona can get home at the quarterback, yes,
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Speaker 1: since he could end up having a lot of trouble.
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Speaker 1: This thing came up a little bit. Yeah, let me
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Speaker 1: take that back. I think it went down and then
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Speaker 1: it came up. But it's since he minus six and
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Speaker 1: a half is the number, I'm gonna trust the power rating.
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Speaker 1: I'm gonna trust the last four weeks, and even the
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Speaker 1: stats projected spread doesn't have it at six. I think
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Speaker 1: this is too many points. I think Arizona's good enough
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Speaker 1: even on the road. You look at their number, they're
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Speaker 1: one and two against the spread on the road. But
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Speaker 1: since he is only three and two against the spread
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Speaker 1: at home, so it's not like there's a clear advantage
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Speaker 1: either way. Special teams in favor of Cincinnati number twenty
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Speaker 1: three to number one hundred. I still think Arizona can
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Speaker 1: hang around here. These are the kind of big twelve
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Speaker 1: games that are supposed to come down to the wire.
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Speaker 1: I think this is probably a field goal game, So
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Speaker 1: I mean we could be looking at thirty one to
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Speaker 1: twenty seven something along those lines, and that would not
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Speaker 1: shock me in the slightest. So give me Arizona to
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Speaker 1: cover six and a half. Arizona plus six and a half.
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Speaker 1: Game Number four eleven forty five AM Central Time, God's
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Speaker 1: time zone on the SEC network. Arkansas traveling down to
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Speaker 1: Baton Rouge to take on Frank Harrison company. Boy, that's
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Speaker 1: a mess down there isn't LSU currently favored by five
11:47
Speaker 1: and a half total fifty six and a half on
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Speaker 1: this Arkansas has not won a conference game yet, and
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Speaker 1: yet they are number ten in PPA per drive on offense,
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Speaker 1: number nine in offensive success rate, LSU gave it their
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Speaker 1: best shot against Alabama last week. They did bench Garrett Nusmeyer.
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Speaker 1: When your offensive line cannot block, what do you do?
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Speaker 1: You go to the mobile quarterback, which is exactly what
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Speaker 1: they did. And Michael van Buren is playing. I don't
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Speaker 1: know if he's necessarily starting this weekend, but if you
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Speaker 1: want to be able to put up points, although Garrettnussemeyer
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Speaker 1: probably would be able to put up some points against
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Speaker 1: this Arkansas defense number one twenty seven in PPA allowed
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Speaker 1: for drive yikes, just rough. LSU is number eighty one
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Speaker 1: in PPA p drive on offense, number forty seven on defense.
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Speaker 1: I'm curious how much is left in the tank for Arkansas?
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Speaker 1: Are they just going to fight, fight, fight? You know
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Speaker 1: they they have gotten beat by three so many times.
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Speaker 1: They did lose to Auburn by more than that. But man,
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Speaker 1: they gave the ball away a lot. And I mean
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Speaker 1: you look at this turnover margin number one twenty for Arkansas.
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Speaker 1: They just turned ball over in the worst possible spots
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Speaker 1: number one ten and giveaways per game. LSU was number
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Speaker 1: thirty five and turnover marchin LSU not great on special
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Speaker 1: teams number eighty one. Arkansas's number sixteen. Both of these
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Speaker 1: teams inside the top thirty as far as overall talent rank,
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Speaker 1: but LSU is number five in that when Arkansas has
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Speaker 1: the ball, there are number twenty two in points per
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Speaker 1: scoring opportunities, so they're really good at finishing drives. LSU's
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Speaker 1: defense number fifty six. LSU is number ninety five in
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Speaker 1: defensive red zone touchdown rate. That's not good because Arkansas
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Speaker 1: is number one in offensive red zone touchdown rate. On
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Speaker 1: the other side, when LSU has the ball, they can't
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Speaker 1: run it, although they might have some success here because
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Speaker 1: good gracious yards per rush. LSU is number one sixteen.
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Speaker 1: Arkansas's defense is number one thirteen, So if you were
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Speaker 1: ever going to be able to move the football on
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Speaker 1: the ground, it would be in this spot. Passing the football,
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Speaker 1: LSU throws it over fifty eight percent of the time.
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Speaker 1: They are number thirty six in passing success rate, but
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Speaker 1: they are number one thirty in passing explosiveness. Arkansas is
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Speaker 1: number one thirty one in passing explosiveness allowed. So this
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Speaker 1: Arkansas defense is really really bad. I've got LSU by
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Speaker 1: five point eight four, so I'm right on the number.
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Speaker 1: My power rating has LSU by five point six. My
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Speaker 1: last four weeks has LSU by eight point twenty six.
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Speaker 1: Frank Harris first game coaching in Baton Rouge. You gotta
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Speaker 1: think they're going to be fired up for this. They
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Speaker 1: want to get a good win. I mean, I'm right
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Speaker 1: on the number I'll go with the last four weeks.
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Speaker 1: I wonder how much Arkansas has left in the tank.
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Speaker 1: That's what I'm curious about. This was a night game,
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Speaker 1: it'd almost be a no brainer. But I will take
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Speaker 1: LSU minus five and a half. I don't feel great
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Speaker 1: about it because you never know what to expect from
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Speaker 1: either one of these teams. But I will take the
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Speaker 1: Tigers is minus five and a half. Game five noon
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Speaker 1: Central Time on TNT, West Virginia goes to Arizona State.
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Speaker 1: Big win for West Virginia over Colorado. Just last week
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Speaker 1: Arizona State and eleven and a half point home favorite
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Speaker 1: total of forty eight and a half. Remember this is
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Speaker 1: the Jeff Simms Show. Sam Levitt is out for the
15:19
Speaker 1: year with an injury. My projected stat spread has Arizona
15:23
Speaker 1: State by nine and a half. My power rating has
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Speaker 1: Arizona State by eight point six. My last four weeks
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Speaker 1: has Arizona State by almost thirteen points twelve point five nine.
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Speaker 1: West Virginia on the road two and three against the spread,
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Speaker 1: Arizona State at home two to two and one against
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Speaker 1: the spread. So neither team a real advantage when it
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Speaker 1: comes to that five factors rank with West Virginia is
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Speaker 1: actually better number seventy nine, Arizona State number eighty five.
15:51
Speaker 1: Some of the Arizona State wins make no sense to me.
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Speaker 1: How did this team beat Texas Tech? You had everybody healthy.
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Speaker 1: I understand that, but like a just don't understand it.
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Speaker 1: They are number one thirty six and special teams efficiency.
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Speaker 1: There are number seventy four in ppa margin. Their defense
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Speaker 1: has played a little bit better as of late, number
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Speaker 1: fifty six, but they are also number eighty one defensive
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Speaker 1: success right allowed number one to one against the run.
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Speaker 1: If you are if you're doing that against the run,
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Speaker 1: Rich Royden Company run the ball over sixty percent of
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Speaker 1: the time. Scottie Fox looking a lot better at quarterback.
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Speaker 1: They've got two straight wins. They need to win their
16:34
Speaker 1: last two in order to get to a bowl game.
16:36
Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to happen, but you know,
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Speaker 1: turnover margin number thirty five for Arizona State number fifty
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Speaker 1: seven four West Virginia. West Virginia just overall not a
16:47
Speaker 1: great football team, but they are pretty good against the run,
16:49
Speaker 1: and that is exactly what Arizona State is going to
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Speaker 1: try and do. The number twenty nine in PPA ru
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Speaker 1: per rush excuse me, number thirty five in yards per rush,
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Speaker 1: West Virginia is number thirty six both of those metrics,
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Speaker 1: so this is interesting. West Virginia number twenty two and
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Speaker 1: stuff rate number thirteen in offensive line yards allowed, Arizona
17:09
Speaker 1: State thirty five and sixty three in those points. For
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Speaker 1: scoring opportunity, Arizona State a number one fifteen in finishing drives.
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Speaker 1: West Virginia's defense number seventy three. On the other side,
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Speaker 1: West Virginia number eighty, Arizona State's defense number eighty. This
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Speaker 1: feels like a close game to me. I understand. You know,
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Speaker 1: my projected stat spread has it at nine and a half.
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Speaker 1: That's lower than the eleven and a half. I'm gonna
17:38
Speaker 1: go with the Mountaineers. I know they hadn't played great
17:41
Speaker 1: on the road by any stretch of the imagination. I
17:44
Speaker 1: know that their PBA margin is significantly lower than Arizona
17:47
Speaker 1: State I just don't know what Arizona State really has
17:52
Speaker 1: left to play for. I guess I mean they've only
17:54
Speaker 1: got two losses in the Big twelve. And I do
17:57
Speaker 1: like Ken Dillingham, but Rich Rod's been doing this a
18:00
Speaker 1: long time. I will take West Virginia to cover this number.
18:03
Speaker 1: I think the number has just gotten a little too big.
18:06
Speaker 1: Give me the Mountaineers plus eleven and a half. Are
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Speaker 1: If you haven't already subscribed to the channel, like the video,
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Speaker 1: and of course give me your picks in the comments.
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Speaker 1: I want to know what you're taking on some of these,
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Speaker 1: with that too, But jump in the comments and help
19:53
Speaker 1: me out here. Game number six we moved to the
19:56
Speaker 1: Big twelve two thirty pm Central Time on Fox Heads
20:00
Speaker 1: two Texas Tech. Massive win for Texas Tech last week.
20:03
Speaker 1: This is certainly a letdown spot after a big win
20:06
Speaker 1: over byu MAN this number, Texas Tech is favored by
20:11
Speaker 1: twenty three and a half to twenty four depending on
20:13
Speaker 1: the book. Forty seven and a half to forty eight
20:17
Speaker 1: is the total, so the total has come down some.
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Speaker 1: U CF's defense actually pretty good, number twenty three and
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Speaker 1: ppa allowed per drive. They are number twenty seven in
20:27
Speaker 1: points allowed per scoring opportunity, Texas Tech number fifty five.
20:32
Speaker 1: On the other side, points per scoring opportunity, Texas Tech's
20:36
Speaker 1: defense is number eight. UCF's offense number ninety two, So
20:39
Speaker 1: I don't think u CF is going to have a
20:40
Speaker 1: lot of success being able to score here. UCF number
20:44
Speaker 1: one twenty five in offensive red zone touchdown rate. Yikes,
20:50
Speaker 1: there's a reason why Tech is favored here by this much.
20:54
Speaker 1: They are six to zero against the spread at home.
20:55
Speaker 1: U CF is one and two against the spread. On
20:57
Speaker 1: the road, you know you're talking and plus six point four,
21:01
Speaker 1: and the numbers were pretty inflated to begin with. You
21:04
Speaker 1: c F minus ten point three against the number thus
21:08
Speaker 1: far on the road, you know, Texas Tech number seventy
21:12
Speaker 1: in turnover margin. They're number three in takeaways per game.
21:16
Speaker 1: I start looking into this in the offense for Texas
21:19
Speaker 1: Tech they they're better at throwing the football than they
21:24
Speaker 1: are running it. They're number eighty one in offensive line
21:27
Speaker 1: yards number seventy eight and stuff right allowed you sef's
21:29
Speaker 1: defense is number eighty and number ninety two in those stats,
21:33
Speaker 1: Texas Tek number fifty two and PPA per rush you
21:36
Speaker 1: CFS defense is number seventy eight, rushing success tech number
21:41
Speaker 1: fifty six. You see F number one oh seven as
21:44
Speaker 1: far as their defense is concerned, But when it comes
21:47
Speaker 1: to passing you, SF's defense is number nine and PPA
21:51
Speaker 1: allowed per pass Tech is number twenty six. Baron Morton
21:54
Speaker 1: still does not look super healthy, maybe not making the
21:57
Speaker 1: best decisions overall, And yet I don't think it's necessarily
22:02
Speaker 1: gonna matter. The question is whether or not they can score,
22:04
Speaker 1: because I expect UCF maybe put up ten points. My
22:09
Speaker 1: projected stat spread has Texas Tech by twenty one point five,
22:13
Speaker 1: right or twenty one point six, I guess if you
22:15
Speaker 1: want around it. Power rating has TechEd by seventeen last
22:19
Speaker 1: four weeks has TechEd by twenty three and a half.
22:22
Speaker 1: So my projected score here is about thirty eight to
22:25
Speaker 1: sixteen and a half somewhere around there. And so if
22:31
Speaker 1: u CF it's going to put up maybe two touchdowns.
22:36
Speaker 1: Can Texas Tech get over forty eh? I don't know.
22:46
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily trust them right now, not with the
22:49
Speaker 1: way that they're looking. And UF's defense is not terrible,
22:53
Speaker 1: and they're pretty good against the pass. They are number
22:56
Speaker 1: twenty in passing explositveness allowed typically, how Tech is able
23:01
Speaker 1: to run up scores and whatnot. I think the UCFS
23:06
Speaker 1: defense will be able to hold on to them a
23:08
Speaker 1: little bit because it's a leadown spot. You know, Tech
23:13
Speaker 1: got through their biggest hurdle. Now they're you know, everybody's
23:16
Speaker 1: got them in the playoff, everybody's got them winning the
23:18
Speaker 1: Big twelve, all that, and they are at home. Maybe
23:22
Speaker 1: it's a little easier to relax here. I think this
23:24
Speaker 1: number has just gotten a little too big. I might
23:27
Speaker 1: be the only person on the planet that takes UCF.
23:30
Speaker 1: But since it's now at twenty four, give me the
23:33
Speaker 1: Golden Knights or the Knights, I guess UCF Knights plus
23:37
Speaker 1: twenty four two thirty pm Central Time on ESBN NC
23:41
Speaker 1: State heads to Miami. Miami currently a fourteen and a
23:44
Speaker 1: half point favorite at home totally fifty five and a
23:46
Speaker 1: half to fifty six, depending on which book, and my
23:50
Speaker 1: status projected spread has Miami by seventeen point four. My
23:53
Speaker 1: power rating has Miami by fourteen. My last four weeks
23:56
Speaker 1: only has Miami by ten ten point eight one in
24:01
Speaker 1: c State, like Miami back up there, I guess projected
24:04
Speaker 1: to win. I guess when the ACC saw him in
24:09
Speaker 1: the playoff bracket tonight. I'm recording this late on Tuesday evening,
24:14
Speaker 1: so you know you're back to having expectations again. N
24:16
Speaker 1: C State's defense really bad. They are number one oh
24:20
Speaker 1: five and PPA allowed for drive this projected points added,
24:23
Speaker 1: our predicted points added, whatever you want to call it.
24:24
Speaker 1: They are number sixty eight against the pass, but they
24:26
Speaker 1: are number thirty three in defensive success rate allowed overall.
24:30
Speaker 1: Miami number nineteen, an offensive success rate number fourteen and
24:33
Speaker 1: defensive success rate. NC State's offense pretty good, but really
24:39
Speaker 1: they're best at throwing the football. Well, Miami is really
24:43
Speaker 1: good at defending the past number twelve in yards allowed
24:46
Speaker 1: per attempt, number twenty one in QBR, allowed, number twenty
24:49
Speaker 1: nine in passing success rate allowed, NC State number nineteen,
24:54
Speaker 1: and PBA per pass number twenty nine and yards per
24:56
Speaker 1: pass attept number twenty five in QBR and number thirty
25:00
Speaker 1: eight in passing success rate, but they are number eighty
25:02
Speaker 1: six and have it allowed. If Miami can get to
25:07
Speaker 1: the quarterback CJ. Bailey is gonna have a long, long
25:10
Speaker 1: day now. On the other side, well, let's look at
25:14
Speaker 1: finishing drives in C State. They're number one oh four
25:17
Speaker 1: in scoring opportunities per game, so only five point five
25:20
Speaker 1: to six drives per game do they get a first
25:21
Speaker 1: down inside the opponent forty They're number eighteen in points
25:25
Speaker 1: per scoring opportunities, so they're able to finish drives when
25:28
Speaker 1: they get down there. Number six in the country and
25:30
Speaker 1: offensive red zone touchdown rate. Miami is only number fifty
25:33
Speaker 1: three in defensive touchdown red zone rate. On the other side,
25:38
Speaker 1: Miami number twenty in points per scoring opportunity in C
25:41
Speaker 1: State's defense number ninety six in C State allows thirty
25:45
Speaker 1: point six points per game. I think this Miami offense
25:50
Speaker 1: could eat them alive. In the Miami defense probably not
25:55
Speaker 1: gonna let them score a whole lot, I would not imagine,
25:59
Speaker 1: and so especially once they get down close to the
26:00
Speaker 1: goal line like n C State went off on Georgia Tech.
26:05
Speaker 1: If there's one thing that you can say about this
26:06
Speaker 1: football season, is that hardly anybody is consistent. N C
26:11
Speaker 1: State good game against Georgia Tech Miami. They've been looking
26:18
Speaker 1: to bounce back quite a bit. They did well against Stanford,
26:21
Speaker 1: they did well last week against Syracuse, got fired up
26:25
Speaker 1: against that bunch against fran Brown. But part of me
26:31
Speaker 1: wonders if this number maybe isn't high enough, because I
26:36
Speaker 1: think Miami could absolutely shut down that NC State offense
26:39
Speaker 1: and they're gonna be able to put up points on
26:40
Speaker 1: this defense. N C State is not great at generating turnovers.
26:45
Speaker 1: That seems to be how teams are able to beat
26:48
Speaker 1: Miami or stay within a number against Miami. N C
26:51
Speaker 1: State number one O nine and take aways per game
26:53
Speaker 1: their number ninety three and interceptions thrown per pass our
26:56
Speaker 1: interceptions gained per pass defended. I don't expect Carson Beck
27:03
Speaker 1: to throw a lot of picks here. Miami number ten
27:06
Speaker 1: and five. Factors rank, NC State number fifty eight, first
27:10
Speaker 1: half point margin Miami fourteen, n C State number ninety four.
27:15
Speaker 1: You know in Miami four and three against the spread
27:17
Speaker 1: at home. NC State is bad on the road. Number one, Well, sorry,
27:20
Speaker 1: they were one and three against the spread at minus
27:22
Speaker 1: six point five on the road I'll take Miami to
27:25
Speaker 1: be able to handle this. I know it's weird, It's November.
27:30
Speaker 1: Mario does not covering November. This feels like the kind
27:33
Speaker 1: of game where he would though, So I will take
27:36
Speaker 1: the Hurricanes minus fourteen and a half. Game number eight,
27:40
Speaker 1: two thirty pm Central Time on CBS, the three and
27:44
Speaker 1: six Penn State and Indie Lions visit the three and
27:47
Speaker 1: six Michigan State Spartans. Somebody is being eliminated from a
27:51
Speaker 1: bowl game on Saturday. Penn State has lost six straight games.
27:56
Speaker 1: They have not beaten an FBS opponent this year. They
28:00
Speaker 1: were right there with Indiana, and how much of a
28:03
Speaker 1: letdown was that really? Penn State favored by seven to
28:07
Speaker 1: seven and a half depending on the book total of
28:09
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half to fifty and a half.
28:12
Speaker 1: Same thing there. My status projected spread has Penn State
28:15
Speaker 1: favor by ten. Power rating has Penn State by nine.
28:18
Speaker 1: Last four weeks has Penn State by three point eight three.
28:21
Speaker 1: Aiden Chiles has been benched. The offense has gotten a
28:24
Speaker 1: little bit better for Michigan State. Michigan State is at home,
28:29
Speaker 1: but they are one and four against the spread. At home,
28:33
Speaker 1: they cover On the road, they cannot cover at home
28:36
Speaker 1: minus eight point four Penn State one and two against
28:39
Speaker 1: the spread. On the road, they are minus eleven point
28:42
Speaker 1: seven in the spots. Now, part of that was the
28:46
Speaker 1: Ohio State game, but also part of that was the
28:50
Speaker 1: UCLA game on the road where they were favored by
28:53
Speaker 1: twenty four and lost the game outright. That'll kill your numbers.
28:57
Speaker 1: Kill them. Penn State pretty good against the run, are
29:01
Speaker 1: pretty good running the football. Will say that I don't
29:03
Speaker 1: know about against the run as far as when they
29:06
Speaker 1: are on offense. First off, they're number eight in special
29:08
Speaker 1: team's efficiency, number seventy five for Michigan State, so that's
29:13
Speaker 1: certainly not good. Penn State is still the more talented team.
29:19
Speaker 1: I had looked for Penn State to run the football
29:21
Speaker 1: a lot. Here. They are number twenty eight in PBAPRI
29:24
Speaker 1: rush Michigan State number one twelve offensive line yards, they're
29:30
Speaker 1: both number forty six. But stuff rate or well stuff
29:34
Speaker 1: rate allowed for Penn State, it's number twenty seven. Stuff
29:38
Speaker 1: rate for Michigan State's defense is number one oh four.
29:43
Speaker 1: Standard down success Penn State number thirty eight, Michigan State
29:46
Speaker 1: number one nineteen on defense. I think Penn State can
29:50
Speaker 1: stay ahead of the teams, I don't expect them to
29:52
Speaker 1: be able to throw the football very much at all.
29:55
Speaker 1: They already throw at only forty six percent of the time.
29:58
Speaker 1: It might be less than that here, but even then
30:00
Speaker 1: you should still have some success against this Michigan State defense.
30:04
Speaker 1: On the other side, Michigan State is let's see number
30:08
Speaker 1: eighty nine PBA per rush. There are number sixty five
30:11
Speaker 1: and PBA per pass. The pass defense is the thing
30:14
Speaker 1: that's actually really good for Penn State number thirty three
30:16
Speaker 1: in yards allowed per attempt, number twenty two and pass
30:19
Speaker 1: rate number sixty five, in passing success number forty two.
30:21
Speaker 1: In passing explosiveness allowed, Michigan State is number sixty five,
30:25
Speaker 1: sixty three, fifty nine, and seventy nine and then eighty
30:29
Speaker 1: nine and passing explosiveness in their passing metrics, Penn State
30:33
Speaker 1: number thirty three in offensive success rate, Michigan State number
30:38
Speaker 1: one oh nine in defensive success rate. I think Penn
30:41
Speaker 1: State's actually gonna put up some point here. Just a
30:44
Speaker 1: overall team, Michigan State number one oh five and PPA
30:47
Speaker 1: margin Penn State number fifty three. These are two bad
30:51
Speaker 1: football teams, and yet Penn State still I think pretty
30:56
Speaker 1: good overall five factors rank. I don't know how it's possible.
31:02
Speaker 1: Penn State is number twelve, Michigan State is number one
31:05
Speaker 1: oh two. I think with Jim Knowles and Andy cotal Nikki,
31:13
Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to win this game. I think
31:14
Speaker 1: they can win the game going away. So I will
31:16
Speaker 1: take Penn State to win their first FBS game of
31:19
Speaker 1: the year, and I think that they will cover doing it,
31:23
Speaker 1: partly because of how bad Michigan State has been at home.
31:28
Speaker 1: I'll take Penn State best number I can get right
31:30
Speaker 1: now with seven, give me the Ninny Allions game number nine.
31:34
Speaker 1: That's right, two thirty pm Central Time on FS one.
31:38
Speaker 1: Maryland heads to Illinois. Illinois right now a fourteen and
31:42
Speaker 1: a half to fifteen and a half point home favorite
31:44
Speaker 1: total of fifty two and a half to fifty three
31:45
Speaker 1: and a half. Illinois is four and one against the
31:49
Speaker 1: spread at home. Maryland two and one against the spread
31:53
Speaker 1: on the road. Found that number two be very interesting Maryland.
31:57
Speaker 1: It feels like, other than the Indiana game, and then
32:00
Speaker 1: of course last week against Rutgers, the wheels kind of
32:05
Speaker 1: fell off for Maryland last week. But this feels like
32:08
Speaker 1: the kind of game where you know Maryland is four
32:10
Speaker 1: and five. They need two more wins to make it
32:15
Speaker 1: to a ball game. Can you surprise Illinois. Illinois seems
32:20
Speaker 1: to have one of these games in there basically every
32:23
Speaker 1: year that they lose that they shouldn't. Maryland's offense is
32:27
Speaker 1: not very good, but you know number sixty eight passing
32:31
Speaker 1: success rate, Illinois defense number one thirty three. I do
32:35
Speaker 1: think Maryland and elite Washington are going to be able
32:37
Speaker 1: to throw the football on this Illinois defense. The Illinois
32:41
Speaker 1: secondary has been a disaster now they've had a bunch
32:44
Speaker 1: of injuries and whatnot. But still on the other side
32:48
Speaker 1: of the ball, Maryland's defense is actually not bad, number
32:52
Speaker 1: twenty four in PPA allowed per drive, they are number
32:55
Speaker 1: forty nine and defensive success rate allowed. You got strength, strength,
33:00
Speaker 1: weakness on weakness here Illinois defense number one, twenty eight
33:03
Speaker 1: in PBA allowed per drive and yet they're sitting at
33:08
Speaker 1: six and three thus far on the season. Weird spot
33:12
Speaker 1: in the calendar for these two Maryland second straight road
33:16
Speaker 1: game they had to play at Rutgers. Last week they
33:19
Speaker 1: got demolished at home by Indiana of the week before.
33:22
Speaker 1: My last four weeks has Illinois I favored by fifteen
33:25
Speaker 1: and a half. Power rating has Illinois by eleven point eight.
33:29
Speaker 1: Projected stat spread has Illinois by eleven point four. Points
33:33
Speaker 1: per scoring opportunity in Illinois offense number seventeen, Maryland's defense
33:38
Speaker 1: number twenty eight in points allowed per scoring opportunity and
33:43
Speaker 1: on the other side, Maryland's offense number one oh seven
33:46
Speaker 1: in points per scoring opportunity, Illinois defense one twenty six
33:50
Speaker 1: and points allowed per scoring opportunity. Maryland, I mean, just
33:56
Speaker 1: can't finish in the red zone, can't finish drives, and
33:58
Speaker 1: yet Illinois can't stop anybody from scoring. On the other side,
34:03
Speaker 1: offensive red zone touchdown rate, Illinois is number forty six,
34:08
Speaker 1: Maryland's defense number sixteen. Yeah, this thing's at fifty four
34:12
Speaker 1: and a half. My projected total on this is forty
34:14
Speaker 1: six and a half, So I would expect under But
34:19
Speaker 1: it kind of depends on whether or not Maryland continues
34:22
Speaker 1: to play like they have been. I think they show
34:25
Speaker 1: up here. I think this is one of those spots.
34:29
Speaker 1: I will take Maryland. I mean, the number I think
34:31
Speaker 1: has just gotten outrageous. Fifteen and a half is the
34:33
Speaker 1: biggest number we can get. I'll take Maryland. Yeah, I
34:38
Speaker 1: don't think I'm scared of that, so give me the
34:39
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36:29
Speaker 1: Number ten two thirty pm Central Time, God's Time Zone
36:32
Speaker 1: on ESPN plus. You gon need your streamer for this one.
36:36
Speaker 1: Appstate goes to James Madison, James and Madison a twenty
36:40
Speaker 1: one to twenty one and a half point home favorite
36:42
Speaker 1: total of fifty three and a half to fifty four. Okay, okay,
36:48
Speaker 1: really big number, especially for Appstate, But this Upstate team
36:52
Speaker 1: is nothing right home about. There are four and five
36:55
Speaker 1: thus far against the spread. On the road app State
36:58
Speaker 1: two and two, they are minus one point eight, and
37:02
Speaker 1: good gracious James Madison is three and one against the
37:06
Speaker 1: spread at home plus ten point eight. They get to
37:11
Speaker 1: a point where they can kind of waylay teams and
37:13
Speaker 1: their offensive numbers have gotten way better, way way better
37:19
Speaker 1: if they If they decide that they're just gonna run
37:22
Speaker 1: the football here, App State cancelo them down. Appstate's defense
37:25
Speaker 1: number nineteen in PPA allowed for rush, number twenty six
37:28
Speaker 1: in yards allowed per rush, and they are number thirteen
37:31
Speaker 1: in rushing explosives allowed. They're only number sixty five in
37:33
Speaker 1: rushing success rate. James Madison's offense is good running the football,
37:37
Speaker 1: number thirty one in PPA b rush, number eighteen in
37:39
Speaker 1: yards per rush, number forty three in rushing success right,
37:43
Speaker 1: number thirty five in rushing explosiveness. I think App State
37:46
Speaker 1: can kind of line up and man up with them.
37:49
Speaker 1: James Madison is pretty good at throwing the football, but
37:51
Speaker 1: they do it about thirty eight percent of the time.
37:54
Speaker 1: They are number twenty six and passing success rate. App
37:57
Speaker 1: State's offense number ninety five, number thirty nine, and PBA
38:01
Speaker 1: per pass. App State's defense is number ninety seven. You're
38:04
Speaker 1: looking at the number forty two PPA per drive offense
38:08
Speaker 1: in James Madison, number eighty three PBA per drive defense
38:12
Speaker 1: in app State. On the other side of the ball,
38:16
Speaker 1: when app State has it, I don't know how they
38:21
Speaker 1: score like I'm looking at numbers. I don't know how
38:26
Speaker 1: they score points per scoring opportunity. App State is number
38:30
Speaker 1: seventy six. James Madison is number twenty nine scoring opportunities
38:34
Speaker 1: per game. James Madison only allows four drives per game
38:39
Speaker 1: where the opponent gets a first down inside their forty
38:41
Speaker 1: yard line, and their number twenty nine at allowing points
38:45
Speaker 1: whenever they do get down there. App State is number
38:47
Speaker 1: sixty seven in scoring opportunities per game, number seventy six
38:51
Speaker 1: in points per scoring opportunity. I don't see it, but
38:58
Speaker 1: I will tell you that this number has been inflated.
39:02
Speaker 1: Five factors hrank James Madison number thirty five, ugh good, gracious.
39:07
Speaker 1: Number one oh four for Abstate just really not good.
39:14
Speaker 1: And Appstate technically is the more talented team overall, which
39:19
Speaker 1: is terrifying to think about. This number started at nineteen
39:22
Speaker 1: and a half. It's gotten up to twenty one and
39:23
Speaker 1: a half. I do still think that the number has
39:27
Speaker 1: gotten a bit too big. Part of me wonders about
39:32
Speaker 1: the rankings. Right, So my projected stat spread has James
39:35
Speaker 1: Madison by eighteen and a half. Power rating has James
39:38
Speaker 1: Madison by sixteen point four, But the last four weeks
39:40
Speaker 1: numbers would have James Madison by almost twenty nine points,
39:44
Speaker 1: so I get why this thing would go up to
39:46
Speaker 1: twenty one and a half. But James Madison only won
39:51
Speaker 1: loss on the season, number one fifteen in current strength
39:54
Speaker 1: to schedule, and when the playoff rankings were brought out tonight, eh,
40:01
Speaker 1: how does James Madison react? Right? Do the Dukes run
40:05
Speaker 1: up the score here and try and find a way
40:08
Speaker 1: because South Florida was in the rankings with two losses
40:13
Speaker 1: as the number twenty fourteen, which means that if they
40:15
Speaker 1: went out, they would get the group of five playoff
40:18
Speaker 1: bid even with two losses. James Madison, however, eh, you know,
40:28
Speaker 1: how do they respond to this? I think the number
40:31
Speaker 1: has gotten a little bit inflated. We saw James Madison
40:34
Speaker 1: favored by a bunch of points a couple of years
40:36
Speaker 1: ago when Kurt Signetti was still there and app State
40:40
Speaker 1: now they had Joey agwellar at the time. But app
40:43
Speaker 1: State went in there and won the game in overtime.
40:49
Speaker 1: I think the numbers too big, and then once it
40:52
Speaker 1: crossed three touchdowns, it was time to come back the
40:55
Speaker 1: other way. I will take app State plus twenty one
40:58
Speaker 1: and a half. I think they show in this one
41:01
Speaker 1: game number eleven to the AAC North Texas hosting no
41:06
Speaker 1: North Texas heading to UAB. How bet we actually pull
41:10
Speaker 1: up the game here. This one is one pm Central
41:14
Speaker 1: Time on ESPN Plus. Again, gonna need your streamers for
41:16
Speaker 1: this one. I just wanted to talk about North Texas.
41:21
Speaker 1: I mean I probably could have talked about Memphis and
41:23
Speaker 1: East Carolina, probably could have talked about any other number
41:27
Speaker 1: of games two lane in Florida Atlantic or whoever it is.
41:32
Speaker 1: But instead I'm going to talk about North Texas because
41:34
Speaker 1: good gracious, number twenty three in PPA margin, number fourteen
41:38
Speaker 1: in PBA margin per drive on offense, they are number
41:42
Speaker 1: eleven in offensive success rate. Drew Mestemaker is awesome, just
41:48
Speaker 1: point blank. And the fact that UAB cannot stop the
41:53
Speaker 1: pass now they can't really stop anything, which is part
41:56
Speaker 1: of the problem here. North Texas, by the way, favored
41:59
Speaker 1: by eighteen and a half total of sixty nine and
42:01
Speaker 1: a half on this I've only got North Texas favored
42:04
Speaker 1: by fourteen and a half. My power rating has North
42:08
Speaker 1: Texas by twelve point four. My last four weeks has
42:11
Speaker 1: North Texas by thirteen and a half. And yet the
42:15
Speaker 1: eighteen and a half does look juicy because when you
42:18
Speaker 1: look at points per game margin, North Texas averages over
42:22
Speaker 1: forty four points per game. Uab's defense gives up over
42:27
Speaker 1: thirty seven points per game. You're talking about number two
42:30
Speaker 1: in points per game against, number one thirty two in
42:33
Speaker 1: points per game allowed. North Texas's offense, number eight in
42:37
Speaker 1: points per scoring opportunity, uab's defense number one thirty two.
42:42
Speaker 1: On the other side of the ball, North Texas's defense
42:45
Speaker 1: is not great at defending the run, and UAB I
42:48
Speaker 1: think can run the football number twenty one in offensive
42:51
Speaker 1: line yards and North Texas's defense number one twenty two.
42:56
Speaker 1: I think UAB will be able to put up some
42:58
Speaker 1: points here. Question is how many points can they put
43:01
Speaker 1: up and can they keep up with North Texas. UAB
43:06
Speaker 1: is number eighty three points per scoring opportunity, North Texas
43:10
Speaker 1: number eighty eight in points allowed per scoring opportunity, turnover
43:14
Speaker 1: margin North Texas number four, UAB number one twenty Like,
43:18
Speaker 1: there's a lot of things that point to North Texas
43:22
Speaker 1: being able to run them out of their own stadium,
43:26
Speaker 1: but this UAB team has been a little bit better
43:29
Speaker 1: as of late. North Texas. Maybe they want to run
43:33
Speaker 1: the score up. Maybe they don't. They're looking to get
43:36
Speaker 1: into the conference championship game, is what it is. I'm
43:41
Speaker 1: going to trust the numbers. I know it feels weird,
43:46
Speaker 1: but I am going to trust the numbers. I probably
43:48
Speaker 1: should have been doing that more this year, but especially
43:51
Speaker 1: when there's, you know, a four point gap between the two.
43:55
Speaker 1: North Texas is doing all this against the number one,
43:57
Speaker 1: twenty six current strength of schedule. I think it's too
44:02
Speaker 1: many points. I will bet on you Ab man. That
44:08
Speaker 1: feels weird. Yeah, I'll take you Ab plus eighteen and
44:11
Speaker 1: a half. I think the number is too big, and
44:15
Speaker 1: this allows it to where you know, that total was
44:18
Speaker 1: seventeen and a half, it's come down to sixty nine
44:21
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't trust my totals as far
44:25
Speaker 1: as G fourteen or G six, G five, whatever it
44:28
Speaker 1: is teams.
44:30
Speaker 11: But.
44:32
Speaker 1: You know I can. I can cover this game with
44:35
Speaker 1: North Texas winning by seventeen eighteen. You know, give me
44:42
Speaker 1: a forty eight to thirty kind of game and that
44:47
Speaker 1: might make sense. Give me a forty one to twenty
44:52
Speaker 1: four something like that, and I could totally see you
44:55
Speaker 1: Ab putting up twenty four points. I could see that,
44:57
Speaker 1: So that is what I will That is what I
45:00
Speaker 1: will do. Here, give me the Blazers at home to
45:05
Speaker 1: cover the big number three thirty pm Central Time on
45:08
Speaker 1: the CW and wake Forest is hosting North Carolina. We've
45:12
Speaker 1: got a rivalry game going on with this one. Wake
45:15
Speaker 1: is currently a six to six and a half point
45:17
Speaker 1: home favorite total of thirty eight and a half on
45:20
Speaker 1: this one, and that one has come down. Thirty nine
45:23
Speaker 1: and a half was the total at first, and people
45:25
Speaker 1: are betting the under quite a bit last four weeks.
45:29
Speaker 1: I would have wake Forest favored by three and a
45:31
Speaker 1: half power rating, I would have wake Forest by six
45:34
Speaker 1: point six. Projected stat spread has wake Forest by seven
45:37
Speaker 1: point sixty six. The North Carolina offense is still not good.
45:42
Speaker 1: We'll start off on that side of the ball. They
45:44
Speaker 1: are number one seventeen in points allowed or points per
45:46
Speaker 1: scoring opportunity. Wake Forest is number twenty two in points
45:50
Speaker 1: allowed per scoring opportunity. But as good as this wake
45:56
Speaker 1: Forest defense is on the other side, North Carolina defense
46:00
Speaker 1: is pretty good. Wake Forest pretty balanced as far as
46:04
Speaker 1: run pass, but they do run it over fifty percent
46:08
Speaker 1: of the time. They pass it less than that, obviously,
46:13
Speaker 1: but they're not good at any of it. They're number
46:15
Speaker 1: one twenty one in PPA per drive, North Carolina number
46:18
Speaker 1: forty three and PPA allowed per drive. And when it
46:21
Speaker 1: comes to points for scoring opportunity, wake Forest number one
46:24
Speaker 1: thirty two in points per scoring opportunity, North Carolina number
46:27
Speaker 1: fourteen in points allowed for scoring opportunity. So wake Forest
46:31
Speaker 1: can't finish drives, North Carolina good at defending it. On
46:34
Speaker 1: the other side, North Carolina can't finish drives. Wake Forest
46:38
Speaker 1: good at defending it. I'm not expecting a ton of
46:41
Speaker 1: points here. North Carolina better and special teams number fifty
46:44
Speaker 1: two in special teams efficiency. North Carolina is the more
46:47
Speaker 1: talented team. Wake Forest plays better together. Wake Forest is
46:52
Speaker 1: three and two against the spread at home. North Carolina
46:57
Speaker 1: three and one against the spread plus one point eight
47:00
Speaker 1: on the road, So North Carolina plays better on the road.
47:05
Speaker 1: Wake is eh three and two not great. They're six
47:11
Speaker 1: and three against the number overall. I think this one
47:15
Speaker 1: could surprise people. Wake Forest. They've already reached Bowl eligibility.
47:22
Speaker 1: Big wins a letdown spot. Maybe after a big win
47:24
Speaker 1: over Virginia, North Carolina needs two more wins to get
47:29
Speaker 1: to a bowl game, and Bill Belichick's first season. I
47:32
Speaker 1: don't know that they win the game, but I do
47:34
Speaker 1: think that Wake Forest is not great, and I wonder
47:38
Speaker 1: if they would have been able to win that game
47:39
Speaker 1: against Virginia last week if the quarterback did not get hurt.
47:43
Speaker 1: I still think Jay dickerd is a great coach. You
47:45
Speaker 1: take advantage of opportunities when you get them. But I
47:48
Speaker 1: think North Carolina is talented enough and playing well enough
47:53
Speaker 1: that they can hang around here. So I think six
47:56
Speaker 1: and a half a little too much. Take the dog,
48:00
Speaker 1: even on the road. Give me the tar Heels plus
48:03
Speaker 1: six and a half game thirteen and we head to
48:07
Speaker 1: the Big Ten this one six pm Central time on
48:09
Speaker 1: FS one. Purdue heads two Washington, and Washington a sixteen
48:13
Speaker 1: and a half to seventeen point favorite depending on the book.
48:15
Speaker 1: Fifty three and a half is your total here, and
48:19
Speaker 1: good gracious Perdue has I talked all year about their
48:26
Speaker 1: baseline competency, and that's what we got here. This is
48:30
Speaker 1: a competent football team. They're number twelve in current strength
48:34
Speaker 1: to schedules, so they have played a really difficult schedule
48:36
Speaker 1: thus far. They got to go all the way out
48:38
Speaker 1: to the West Coast for this one. They are two
48:40
Speaker 1: and eight straight up. They are four and five against
48:42
Speaker 1: the spread overall, but one two and one away from home.
48:46
Speaker 1: The only cover on the road was against Michigan. Now
48:51
Speaker 1: you're going to a pretty pissed off Washington team lost
48:55
Speaker 1: last week two Wisconsin. It kind of depends on how
48:57
Speaker 1: they end up responding to that loss because you played
49:03
Speaker 1: in the snow. Washington is not great against the spread
49:07
Speaker 1: on the road, four and five against the spread overall.
49:11
Speaker 1: They are three and two against the spread at home,
49:12
Speaker 1: but they are plus eight point six, so they do
49:15
Speaker 1: play a little bit better at home than on the road,
49:20
Speaker 1: and vice versa. Four Purdue. I will say that massive
49:25
Speaker 1: talent gap between these two Washington number twenty seven, Purdue
49:29
Speaker 1: number sixty seven. Washington only number one thirteen, especially in
49:32
Speaker 1: defficiency Purdue number thirteen, Purdue number one twenty seven, and
49:37
Speaker 1: turnover margin Washington number forty nine, and you start diving
49:41
Speaker 1: into you know, five factors, drink. There's not a huge
49:44
Speaker 1: difference between them Washington number thirty one and Purdue number
49:48
Speaker 1: sixty five. But this offense for Washington should be able
49:55
Speaker 1: to do basically whatever they want to against this Purdue defense.
49:59
Speaker 1: On the other side, Purdue is Okay, they are number
50:05
Speaker 1: eighty eight in PPA per drive on offense, but Washington
50:10
Speaker 1: is number fifty two. So as far as finishing drives
50:13
Speaker 1: perdue number sixty eight points per scoring opportunity, Washington's defense
50:17
Speaker 1: is excuse me, Purdue is number sixty eight in points
50:21
Speaker 1: allowed per scoring opportunity on defense. Washington is number twenty
50:24
Speaker 1: six on offense. On the other side, Washington number fifty
50:28
Speaker 1: two in points allowed per scoring opportunity on defense. Purdue
50:31
Speaker 1: is number one oh three on offense. So even though
50:34
Speaker 1: Purdue can move the football, there's still number one fifteen
50:37
Speaker 1: in points per game. At twenty point nine, Washington is
50:41
Speaker 1: number twenty eight in points allowed per game. I think
50:45
Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to put up points here. I
50:46
Speaker 1: think that they can stop Purdue. Yeah, my number on
50:50
Speaker 1: this has Washington by sixteen and a half, so I'm
50:52
Speaker 1: right on the number. Power Raiding has Washington by twelve.
50:55
Speaker 1: Last four weeks has Washington by almost sixteen and a half,
50:59
Speaker 1: So I'm I'm right there on that number. I trust
51:04
Speaker 1: Washington at home in this one. I'll take the Huskies.
51:08
Speaker 1: Best number I can get is minus sixteen and a half.
51:11
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51:40
Speaker 12: Hoy mate, is your brother still in hospital?
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Speaker 4: He is?
51:43
Speaker 11: Yeah, he's third reburns everywhere, so he's facing years of surgery.
51:48
Speaker 12: Does he know he missed the funeral?
51:50
Speaker 11: No, he hasn't woken up yet. Oh no, yeah, whatever
51:54
Speaker 11: about the surgery. He'll never recover from that.
51:57
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Speaker 12: I've been thinking we need to talk to him about it.
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Speaker 1: You might not listen to me, but yeah, as good
52:14
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Speaker 12: Okay, I'll give it a go.
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52:40
Speaker 1: Five more games to go. Let me go ahead and
52:43
Speaker 1: tell you right quick if you haven't already check out
52:46
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52:48
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Speaker 1: Com Slash Winning Cures or the easy link is BETTINGCFB
53:07
Speaker 1: dot Com. Game number fourteen, six pm Central Time on
53:12
Speaker 1: CBS Sports Network, Utah State heads two UNLV a Mountain
53:20
Speaker 1: West action of course and UNLV favored by six to
53:24
Speaker 1: six and a half total of seventy one to seventy
53:26
Speaker 1: one and a half depending on which book PBA margin
53:29
Speaker 1: on the year, un V is fifty five, Utah State
53:32
Speaker 1: is sixty three. These two teams pretty good. UNLV is
53:36
Speaker 1: seven and two on the year straight up, Utah State
53:40
Speaker 1: five and four against the spread or sorry, five and
53:43
Speaker 1: four straight up seven and two against the spread, So
53:45
Speaker 1: Broncos bunch really covering pretty nicely. Utah State two and
53:51
Speaker 1: two against the spread on the road, UNLV one and
53:54
Speaker 1: three against the spread at home. Pretty crazy numbers, no
54:00
Speaker 1: real advantage either way. UNLV number ten and turnover margin
54:04
Speaker 1: Utah State number thirty. Both teams are number one fourteen
54:07
Speaker 1: in penalties per game Utah State number eighty and special
54:11
Speaker 1: teams efficiency UNV is number forty three. The UNOV offense
54:17
Speaker 1: should be able to run the football almost at will. Here,
54:23
Speaker 1: Dan Mullen offense is going to be able to run
54:24
Speaker 1: the football, but especially when you're looking at Utah State,
54:29
Speaker 1: who is number one twenty in rushing success allowed. They
54:33
Speaker 1: are number ninety nine in PPA allowed per drive on defense,
54:37
Speaker 1: and they are number one twenty in points allowed per
54:39
Speaker 1: scoring opportunity. UNOV is number twenty one. So this UNOV
54:42
Speaker 1: offense is going to put up points a hints. I
54:44
Speaker 1: mean it makes sense, right, you got a total in
54:47
Speaker 1: the seventies. Just ridiculous. On the other side, the UNV
54:52
Speaker 1: defense really bad. Number one seventeen in PPA allowed per drive,
54:56
Speaker 1: Utah State is number forty six. Now there is a
54:59
Speaker 1: big difference in strength to schedule. Un V number one
55:01
Speaker 1: twenty three, Utah State number fifty seven. This thing again
55:06
Speaker 1: is at yeah, UNOLV minus six to minus six and
55:10
Speaker 1: a half. I think that whatever Utah State wants to do,
55:20
Speaker 1: they'll be able to do it. On offense, they're not
55:22
Speaker 1: great at running football number ninety one and rusting success rate,
55:25
Speaker 1: but they are number thirty three in rushing explosiveness. Un
55:28
Speaker 1: V is number one thirty two in rushing explosiveness allowed.
55:31
Speaker 1: Utah State is number three in points per scoring opportunity.
55:34
Speaker 1: Unov's defense is number one hundred. You know again, on
55:39
Speaker 1: the other side, unov's offense number twenty one in points
55:42
Speaker 1: scoring opportunity, Utah State number one twenty on defense, neither
55:48
Speaker 1: team is going to get a lot of stops. And
55:50
Speaker 1: when you got a game like that, a spread of
55:54
Speaker 1: almost a touchdown is a little bit crazy, not to
55:58
Speaker 1: mention the fact that UNOV does not cover it all.
56:02
Speaker 1: My power rating has UNLV by four point six. My
56:04
Speaker 1: projected stat spread has UNLV by five point two four.
56:08
Speaker 1: My last four weeks has UNLV minus two point five.
56:12
Speaker 1: All of the numbers agree. This thing went from four
56:15
Speaker 1: and a half up to six and a half. Unless
56:17
Speaker 1: I'm missing an injury of some type. And I looked beforehand.
56:22
Speaker 1: I didn't see anything official, But I think Utah State's
56:25
Speaker 1: going to be able to score and keep this thing close.
56:28
Speaker 1: They could win the game out right. So if we're
56:30
Speaker 1: looking at the coin flip kind of game, and yet
56:32
Speaker 1: I've got a spread of six and a half on this,
56:35
Speaker 1: I'll go with the dog. Gimme Bronco Bronco Menenhall and
56:40
Speaker 1: the Utah State Aggies plus six and a half. NBC
56:44
Speaker 1: six thirty pm Central Time, The Ohio State Buckeyes are
56:47
Speaker 1: going to host the UCLA Bruins. And you want to
56:50
Speaker 1: talk about a mismatch, yikes, good gracious, Ohio State favorite
56:55
Speaker 1: by thirty one and a half to thirty three and
56:57
Speaker 1: a half depending on the book. Nobody can seem to
56:59
Speaker 1: come to a grip. But that's in no man's land.
57:01
Speaker 1: It's not a there's no key numbers there. Forty eight
57:04
Speaker 1: and a half to forty nine is the total. My
57:07
Speaker 1: projected stat spread has Ohio State by thirty three point four.
57:11
Speaker 1: My last four weeks has Ohio State by thirty three
57:13
Speaker 1: and a half and my power rating has Ohio State
57:16
Speaker 1: by twenty five point six, So we're looking at a
57:21
Speaker 1: potential score of about forty two and a half to nine.
57:28
Speaker 1: Interesting to say the least. How much does Ohio State
57:33
Speaker 1: want to run this thing up? You know, the the
57:36
Speaker 1: UCLA magic that we saw, you know, in the middle
57:39
Speaker 1: of the year. That thing is gone. Defensive success rate
57:43
Speaker 1: for UCLA is number one thirty five. There are number
57:47
Speaker 1: one twenty six in PPA allowed per drive on defense,
57:51
Speaker 1: number one oh eight in point or sorry yeah, predicted
57:54
Speaker 1: points added margin PPA margin. Ohio State is number one
57:59
Speaker 1: Ohio State number sixteen in defensive success rate, number four
58:02
Speaker 1: n PPA allowed for drive on defense? Does Ohio State care?
58:10
Speaker 1: Are you just kind of feeling it out right? Ohio
58:12
Speaker 1: State seven and one against the spread so far this year,
58:19
Speaker 1: four zero and one against the spread at home they
58:23
Speaker 1: were plus eight point seven. UCLA two and two against
58:28
Speaker 1: the spread on the road plus point nine. I mean
58:35
Speaker 1: your first half point margin number five for Ohio State,
58:38
Speaker 1: number one thirteen for UCLA, number nine and five factors
58:42
Speaker 1: rank for Ohio State, number one twenty two for UCLA.
58:47
Speaker 1: UCLA can't score on offense number one oh five and
58:50
Speaker 1: points per scoring opportunity. Ohio State's defense is number three,
58:55
Speaker 1: turnover margin UCLA number eighty eight. IHI have state number two.
59:00
Speaker 1: Five penalties per game UCLA number one thirty four. I
59:03
Speaker 1: have State number ten. And yet there is a part
59:08
Speaker 1: of me that just thinks, man, Ohio State does not
59:12
Speaker 1: give a rip about this game, Like, maybe you could
59:16
Speaker 1: point to the fact that UCLA has Nico right Nico
59:19
Speaker 1: Yamiljeva hope was that they're right, and he did play
59:24
Speaker 1: in Columbus last year. But also you're playing in Columbus
59:28
Speaker 1: in November. We saw what the California quarterback did and
59:34
Speaker 1: by Cali quarterback, I'm talking about Nico in the playoff
59:37
Speaker 1: last year and they just got demolished. Now, this is
59:42
Speaker 1: a little bit of a different Ohio State team, but
59:44
Speaker 1: they are number three in points per game margin. UCLA
59:47
Speaker 1: is number one twenty two in points per game margin.
59:55
Speaker 1: I mean, the number is outrageous, but the best number
59:57
Speaker 1: I can get right now is thirty one and a half.
59:59
Speaker 1: Like I'll take the favorites, I'll take the Buckeyes. There's
1:00:02
Speaker 1: nothing UCLA has done that makes me believe that Ohio
1:00:07
Speaker 1: State won't be able to score at will. They their
1:00:10
Speaker 1: pace of play has actually come up a little bit
1:00:12
Speaker 1: one to fourteen and they're trusting Julian saying to throw
1:00:16
Speaker 1: the football a little bit more and now they're almost
1:00:18
Speaker 1: a forty seven percent passes. I don't think there's anybody
1:00:24
Speaker 1: on UCLA that can slow down Ohio State's offense at all.
1:00:29
Speaker 1: And it's not even that Ohio State that has to
1:00:31
Speaker 1: run the football. They are going to smoke these guys.
1:00:35
Speaker 1: It just depends on how many points they really want
1:00:37
Speaker 1: to score. And even the backups I think are still
1:00:40
Speaker 1: going to be able to score on UCLA. So yeah,
1:00:43
Speaker 1: this is it's a big number. I don't think it matters.
1:00:48
Speaker 1: Ohio State minus thirty one and a half is the
1:00:51
Speaker 1: way we're going On the show six thirty pm Central Time,
1:00:54
Speaker 1: God's time Zone on the ACC Network. Florida State hosts
1:00:57
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, and yes, Mikeville is still the head coach. No,
1:01:02
Speaker 1: Brent Pry is not the head coach of Virginia Tech.
1:01:05
Speaker 1: They have played significantly better since they moved to Philip
1:01:08
Speaker 1: Montgomery as the interim coach. Now do I believe that
1:01:11
Speaker 1: that's who's going to be the overall head coach. The
1:01:15
Speaker 1: permanent head coach no a lot of smoke around James
1:01:20
Speaker 1: Franklin with this job. Florida State favored by thirteen and
1:01:24
Speaker 1: a half to fourteen here totally fifty four and a
1:01:25
Speaker 1: half to fifty five on it. Virginia Tech two and
1:01:33
Speaker 1: six or two six and one against the spread overall,
1:01:39
Speaker 1: they are one and one against the spread on the road.
1:01:42
Speaker 1: Only two road games thus far. One of the games
1:01:46
Speaker 1: was a neutral site game, but very interesting to say
1:01:51
Speaker 1: the least Florida State four and two against the spread.
1:01:53
Speaker 1: At home they were plus twelve point six. So with
1:01:58
Speaker 1: the game being in Tallahassee, I kind of gotta go
1:02:02
Speaker 1: with Florida State. It feels like at least I trust
1:02:05
Speaker 1: them more, which is insane to think about. First half
1:02:10
Speaker 1: point margin. Florida State number twenty nine in the country,
1:02:12
Speaker 1: Virginia tik number one oh one five factors rank Florida
1:02:18
Speaker 1: State even at four and five, they are number twenty
1:02:20
Speaker 1: eight and five factors Virginia Tech's number one oh eight.
1:02:24
Speaker 1: Let's look at when Florida State has the ball, they
1:02:27
Speaker 1: are still number fifteen in PBA per drive. On offense,
1:02:35
Speaker 1: they go pretty fast. The number twelve and pace the play.
1:02:37
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech is number sixty one, and this Virginia Tech
1:02:40
Speaker 1: defense is number one twenty five and PBA allowed per drive.
1:02:44
Speaker 1: They are bad at everything. They can't stop the run,
1:02:47
Speaker 1: they can't stop the pass. Thomas Castellanos is, he should
1:02:54
Speaker 1: have a really good day here. Should This is not
1:02:58
Speaker 1: a team that's a ball howking team. They're number one
1:03:00
Speaker 1: twelve and interceptions gained per pass attempt defended. They are
1:03:04
Speaker 1: number one twenty five and fumbles gained per rushing attempt defended.
1:03:08
Speaker 1: So Florida State's turnover trouble shouldn't be an issue here
1:03:12
Speaker 1: shouldn't be obviously. Who knows that number is thirteen and
1:03:17
Speaker 1: a half to fourteen depending on the book. It opened
1:03:20
Speaker 1: at Florida State minus ten and a half. My last
1:03:23
Speaker 1: four weeks has Florida State minus almost fifteen. My power
1:03:25
Speaker 1: rating has Florida State minus thirteen point three. My projected
1:03:28
Speaker 1: stat spread has Florida State minus at eighteen. Virginia Tech
1:03:33
Speaker 1: had a nice bounce back and then they have not
1:03:36
Speaker 1: played well. That's putting it mouthly. The Virginia Tech defense
1:03:42
Speaker 1: number one twenty eight in points allowed per scoring opportunity
1:03:44
Speaker 1: Florida State's offense is number thirty three. Virginia Tech's offense
1:03:49
Speaker 1: is number forty seven in points per scoring opportunity. Florida
1:03:52
Speaker 1: State's defense is number ninety eight, so you would look
1:03:55
Speaker 1: at that as an advantage. The issue is Virginia Tech
1:03:59
Speaker 1: is numb one to nineteen in scoring opportunities per game,
1:04:02
Speaker 1: so only five point one to one drives where they
1:04:05
Speaker 1: get a first down inside of the opponent forty. Florida State
1:04:09
Speaker 1: is number thirty two in scoring opportunities allowed per game,
1:04:12
Speaker 1: so the Florida State defense should be better than this offense.
1:04:17
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech's gonna try and run the football, and I
1:04:20
Speaker 1: still think this Florida State defense is gonna be able
1:04:22
Speaker 1: to slow them down. I don't think that's the case.
1:04:25
Speaker 1: On the other side, I expect to win here for
1:04:28
Speaker 1: Florida State. I think they bounce back pretty good that
1:04:30
Speaker 1: I think they want to go to a bowl game.
1:04:33
Speaker 1: You gonna have to win two of the remaining three
1:04:36
Speaker 1: in order to do that, so you probably need this
1:04:38
Speaker 1: one quite a bit. Thirteen and a half is still
1:04:42
Speaker 1: out there. I don't think it's enough. Give me the
1:04:45
Speaker 1: Seminoles minus thirteen and a half to the SEC six
1:04:49
Speaker 1: to forty five pm Central Time owned the SEC Network,
1:04:52
Speaker 1: and Mississippi State is heading to Missouri. Missouri favored by
1:04:58
Speaker 1: seven to seven and a half depending on the book
1:04:59
Speaker 1: total fifty one and a half on this one. And Missouri,
1:05:03
Speaker 1: of course, the freshman quarterback experiment did not go well
1:05:08
Speaker 1: against Texas A and M. Both of these teams were
1:05:12
Speaker 1: blown out by Texas A and M. Missouri, however, is
1:05:16
Speaker 1: now on a two game losing streak. That's certainly not good,
1:05:21
Speaker 1: and they didn't look good against Auburn in the game
1:05:23
Speaker 1: before that. But Mississippi State, they need one more win
1:05:30
Speaker 1: to get to Bowl eligibility, but they are banged up.
1:05:35
Speaker 1: This team is beat up. They got destroyed at home
1:05:39
Speaker 1: by Georgia last week, had a brain fart there. State
1:05:47
Speaker 1: three and one against the spread on the road, Missouri
1:05:50
Speaker 1: three to three and one against the spread at home.
1:05:52
Speaker 1: So State seems to play better on the road. And
1:05:56
Speaker 1: let's start when State is on offense. Date is number
1:06:00
Speaker 1: fourteen in points per scoring opportunity, Missouri's defense number ninety two. Okay,
1:06:08
Speaker 1: Missouri's offense number twenty seven points per scoring opportunity. The
1:06:11
Speaker 1: issue is that these numbers for Missouri were from way
1:06:15
Speaker 1: earlier in the season. My power rating has Missouri by
1:06:17
Speaker 1: seven last four weeks has Missouri by fourteen points seven
1:06:21
Speaker 1: to six. However, I don't know if they can score.
1:06:26
Speaker 1: They're gonna run the football a lot, and State can't
1:06:29
Speaker 1: defend the run. But on the other side, State I
1:06:35
Speaker 1: think is gonna throw. They'll be able to run it
1:06:39
Speaker 1: some on Missouri's defense. Can they throw it on Missouri's defense,
1:06:45
Speaker 1: you know, passing explosiveness Mississippi State number forty one, Missouri's
1:06:48
Speaker 1: defense number fifty three. If Missouri can get after the quarterback,
1:06:53
Speaker 1: I don't know that State scores a lot either, But
1:06:56
Speaker 1: I'm just not expecting a ton of points here. This
1:06:58
Speaker 1: thing was at fifty one and a half. It's still
1:07:01
Speaker 1: sitting in fifty one and a half. I've got a
1:07:02
Speaker 1: total of fifty, well a little over fifty. Even as
1:07:11
Speaker 1: banged up as they are, it feels like Mississippi State
1:07:16
Speaker 1: is gonna They're gonna try their best here. I know
1:07:21
Speaker 1: that sounds so cliche, ridiculous. I think this could be
1:07:27
Speaker 1: a close game because I do not trust Missouri's offense
1:07:29
Speaker 1: to be able to put up points. Like again, they
1:07:33
Speaker 1: should still be able to run the football. They're number
1:07:36
Speaker 1: fifteen in PP April Rush. Missisippi State's defense is number
1:07:39
Speaker 1: eighty eight, Missouri number eleven, and rushing success rate Mississippi
1:07:44
Speaker 1: State number one twenty five. Georgia just pounded the rock
1:07:48
Speaker 1: on them, but this Missouri team is not Georgia, so
1:07:56
Speaker 1: I'll go with the road dog again. I might feel
1:07:59
Speaker 1: like an idiot, but this thing got over a touchdown.
1:08:04
Speaker 1: I'll buy it back the other way. Give me Mississippi
1:08:06
Speaker 1: State plus seven and a half. Last game for the show,
1:08:10
Speaker 1: This one nine to thirty pm Central Time at God's
1:08:12
Speaker 1: time Zone on CBS Sports Network. San Diego State is
1:08:16
Speaker 1: hosting Boise State. Here. San Diego State a two and
1:08:19
Speaker 1: a half point favorite three in some places with a
1:08:23
Speaker 1: total of forty one and a half. I'll go ahead.
1:08:26
Speaker 1: I'll go on and tell you my last four week's
1:08:29
Speaker 1: number has Boise by almost twenty points. My projected stat
1:08:34
Speaker 1: spread has Boise by one. My power rating has San
1:08:36
Speaker 1: Diego State by half a point. However, Boise is without
1:08:42
Speaker 1: their starting quarterback Maddox Madison. He will be out for
1:08:45
Speaker 1: this game. What does that mean for the Boise State offense?
1:08:49
Speaker 1: San Diego State got boat raced at Hawaii last week.
1:08:55
Speaker 1: It was the first real passing offense that they have faced.
1:08:59
Speaker 1: If you are limited and you cannot throw the football,
1:09:05
Speaker 1: you are running into a whole world of hurt with
1:09:08
Speaker 1: the San Diego Tech or San Diego State as Tech team.
1:09:12
Speaker 1: So Sean Lewis's bunch fantastic against the pass, yes, but
1:09:18
Speaker 1: fantastic against the run more so. And Boise has not
1:09:22
Speaker 1: been great running the football. Number one oh four in
1:09:24
Speaker 1: rushing success rate, San Diego State's defense, number five offensive
1:09:28
Speaker 1: lineyards san Diego State number thirty eight in offensive line
1:09:31
Speaker 1: yards allowed, Boise number eighty two. This Boise line of scrimmage,
1:09:37
Speaker 1: really on both sides of the ball, has not been
1:09:40
Speaker 1: great this year. Boise six and three straight up. San
1:09:47
Speaker 1: Diego State is seven and two. San Diego State four
1:09:49
Speaker 1: and zero against the spread at home plus twenty three
1:09:51
Speaker 1: and a half. Boise is two to one and one
1:09:54
Speaker 1: against the spread. On the road, they are minus seven
1:09:58
Speaker 1: point six. Boise the number one O four and give
1:10:03
Speaker 1: boys per game. That is a nightmare against this team.
1:10:06
Speaker 1: And you have to believe that San Diego State is
1:10:10
Speaker 1: chomping at the bit to get back on the field
1:10:11
Speaker 1: after last week. I don't think that San Diego State
1:10:17
Speaker 1: is going to try and throw the football very much.
1:10:19
Speaker 1: They're not good at it. Throw picks all that. I
1:10:23
Speaker 1: think they can run the football on Boise and I
1:10:25
Speaker 1: don't expect a ton of points here, but we don't
1:10:28
Speaker 1: need a ton of points to be able to cover
1:10:31
Speaker 1: San Diego State's defense. I think can win this game
1:10:33
Speaker 1: for him. They're number two in points a loud per
1:10:36
Speaker 1: scoring opportunity, boys's offense number sixty six. On the other side,
1:10:42
Speaker 1: you know, San Diego State number ninety nine and points
1:10:43
Speaker 1: per scoring opportunity. But they are going against Boise, who
1:10:47
Speaker 1: is number one oh two in points allowed per scoring opportunity. Yeah,
1:10:53
Speaker 1: San Diego State, I think is just the better football team,
1:10:57
Speaker 1: you know, and even talent wise, they're pretty close. So
1:11:02
Speaker 1: while everybody typically loves Boise, I will take San Diego
1:11:06
Speaker 1: State minus the two and a half. I think they
1:11:09
Speaker 1: bounced back after a pitiful showing on the island last week.
1:11:13
Speaker 1: Astex minus two and a half is the go for
1:11:15
Speaker 1: this show. All right, Week twelve recap time. Let's go
1:11:18
Speaker 1: ahead and give you all the picks thus far from
1:11:21
Speaker 1: today's show. Don't forget about the other two shows. The
1:11:24
Speaker 1: weeknight games and the Big ten or sorry, the ten
1:11:27
Speaker 1: biggest games. Today. We got Indiana minus thirty and a half,
1:11:31
Speaker 1: South Carolina plus nineteen and a half, Arizona plus six
1:11:34
Speaker 1: and a half, LSU minus five and a half, West
1:11:36
Speaker 1: Virginia plus eleven and a half, UCF plus twenty four,
1:11:40
Speaker 1: Miami minus fourteen and a half, Penn State minus seven,
1:11:43
Speaker 1: Maryland plus fifteen and a half, app State plus twenty
1:11:46
Speaker 1: one and a half, UAB plus eighteen and a half,
1:11:49
Speaker 1: North Carolina plus six and a half, Washington minus sixteen
1:11:53
Speaker 1: and a half, Utah State plus six and a half,
1:11:56
Speaker 1: Ohio State minus thirty one and a half, Florida State
1:11:59
Speaker 1: minus thirteen and a half, Mississippi State plus seventeen and
1:12:02
Speaker 1: a half, and San Diego State minus two and a half.
1:12:06
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Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for this week. I'm tired, it's late,
1:12:54
Speaker 1: I've had all kinds of things going on personally. That's
1:12:58
Speaker 1: just hey, like football season is important, family is more important.
1:13:06
Speaker 1: Here's what it is, all right. You guys are fantastic.
1:13:09
Speaker 1: I appreciate all of you for sporting, all of you
1:13:11
Speaker 1: for watching. If you got to this point in the video,
1:13:15
Speaker 1: you the real MVP, as Kevin Durant would say. But
1:13:19
Speaker 1: for now, take care of yourself, take care of each other.
1:13:22
Speaker 1: God bless college football and hopefully all of your tickets
1:13:26
Speaker 1: cash this week. Thanks for listening to Winning Cures Everything, Subscribe,
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1:13:37
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