Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 04/06/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, all system's going clear the left of.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on? Ship in Nation YouTube station. I'm
- 0:43Speaker 2: back in the saddle, not a Friday, on a Monday
- 0:46Speaker 2: with my guy Ham Ham, coming off a grind of
- 0:50Speaker 2: NBA season obviously last week of the regular season going on,
- 0:54Speaker 2: and someone, uh, someone told me NBA still exists, so
- 0:56Speaker 2: it's still going on. Apparently news news to myself. The
- 1:00Speaker 2: Bucks are trash and I just I don't like the
- 1:04Speaker 2: NBA grind. But hey, we got baseball. Baseball is in
- 1:06Speaker 2: full swing here. A couple of weeks into the season.
- 1:09Speaker 2: We got another course field Slates Ham. We're on the
- 1:13Speaker 2: bookends right Monday, Friday. I know Monday. Usually it's gonna
- 1:17Speaker 2: be me and Bellman and you and I on Fridays
- 1:19Speaker 2: like like last year. But hey, nice to have you
- 1:22Speaker 2: on this Monday. What's going on? Brother?
- 1:25Speaker 3: Yeah, what's going on? First MLB show of the year.
- 1:28Speaker 3: We love MLB over here and we've just been absolutely
- 1:31Speaker 3: on fire in the MLB streets. A one hundred thousand
- 1:34Speaker 3: dollars win or two of them with or Rio and
- 1:36Speaker 3: the Shaloo I think with fifty k. Actually we on fire.
- 1:40Speaker 3: Another course Slate, the astros Chalk once again. They've played
- 1:43Speaker 3: in course field two point zero over the weekend. Now
- 1:47Speaker 3: they go to the real course field. So looking forward
- 1:49Speaker 3: to breaking this one all down. Got our guy Chris
- 1:51Speaker 3: sailing the bump as well, so it should be a
- 1:53Speaker 3: good one.
- 1:54Speaker 2: Yeah, should be good one. Got Steven in here early,
- 1:56Speaker 2: Benny Hannah. We got some PGA folks trailing in as Hey.
- 2:01Speaker 2: It's Masters week, baby, They're gonna try and get those
- 2:03Speaker 2: satellites there, so a lot of nice satellites for the
- 2:06Speaker 2: Masters obviously. Uh, team off on Thursday. What a week
- 2:10Speaker 2: of sports. I got the National Championship tonight, go Yukon.
- 2:13Speaker 2: I win my bracket pool. If Yukon wins, everybody else
- 2:16Speaker 2: near me has has Michigan. So let's go Yukon. Get
- 2:19Speaker 2: get me a little stacks, a little one stack in
- 2:22Speaker 2: the pocket. That being a little nice. I got new
- 2:24Speaker 2: ones in here. Warren Tyler, Philly Fan. I'm Jason Turner,
- 2:27Speaker 2: Ricky Rose, Jacob Stubbs, Philly Fantom again, Jake Swales, what's up, Jake,
- 2:33Speaker 2: Warren Tyler. We got our guy Bellman in here. My
- 2:36Speaker 2: usual Monday partner in crime starting next week Wednesday or
- 2:40Speaker 2: next week Monday. Jay Steele in here, Stoner's in here.
- 2:44Speaker 2: Everybody hit that like punt hit. That subscribe button helps
- 2:46Speaker 2: us out a ton. Uh yeah, Nika, Nika's back in
- 2:49Speaker 2: the chat. We love to see some familiar faces, some
- 2:52Speaker 2: new faces. We're gonna break it all down. We're gonna
- 2:55Speaker 2: do our normal kind of breakdown here.
- 2:59Speaker 3: What was that I wasna say? I got? I got
- 3:01Speaker 3: peach Head, DJ and Stoner. I think about you all
- 3:03Speaker 3: the time. I go the stash out over the offseason.
- 3:05Speaker 3: But man, you only show up for baseball season. You
- 3:08Speaker 3: gotta check us out during the winter when it's when
- 3:10Speaker 3: it's cold, Ham gets cold. He throws on that beer,
- 3:13Speaker 3: throws on that mustache. My guy Nate's had him was
- 3:15Speaker 3: rocking and mustache forever as well. So come on, po J,
- 3:18Speaker 3: DJ and Stoner.
- 3:19Speaker 2: You gotta show up more.
- 3:20Speaker 3: But we'd love to have you here during the baseball season.
- 3:22Speaker 2: I got Kenny tuning in. What's up, Kenny? Yeah, I'll
- 3:25Speaker 2: have to quit quit trimming the old the old stash
- 3:28Speaker 2: and and get it brewing right so we can get
- 3:30Speaker 2: the old the old brooms out on on Friday, right,
- 3:33Speaker 2: the old the Old ride right, the old Old. Uh.
- 3:36Speaker 2: Everybody loves to have some fun ride right. Uh there,
- 3:39Speaker 2: so no, let's go ahead and uh pull up our
- 3:42Speaker 2: partner over at sabers Him. I got the dry run
- 3:46Speaker 2: here up on the screen. We got seven games again
- 3:49Speaker 2: course field. Most of the lineups are in. We're still
- 3:50Speaker 2: waiting on the Chalk Dodger or the Chalk Donkeys there
- 3:55Speaker 2: in Houston release their lineup, and then obviously the two
- 3:58Speaker 2: West Coast games, I'll out there in Anaheim and San Francisco,
- 4:02Speaker 2: the Old Bay Area right to release their lineups there.
- 4:06Speaker 2: But yeah, you alluded to it. We're gonna start pitching.
- 4:08Speaker 2: Then we're gonna go game by game, showcasing our premium tool,
- 4:12Speaker 2: the Stone over at ship at nation dot com. We
- 4:16Speaker 2: got Chris Sale in the mound in a pretty solid matchup,
- 4:19Speaker 2: right Angels one of the highest strike up teams in
- 4:23Speaker 2: the league again this year. I expected to be kind
- 4:26Speaker 2: of the same. Jacob deGrom pretty healthy, actually, probably the
- 4:31Speaker 2: healthiest we've seen Jacob de Grom in quite some time.
- 4:33Speaker 2: He's at nine K, seven hundred dollars discount off of
- 4:36Speaker 2: Chris Sale. And then you got Joe Ryan. As you
- 4:38Speaker 2: see there, the exposure is just projected score between an
- 4:41Speaker 2: average of projections and ownership those three coming in about
- 4:44Speaker 2: ninety teams apiece in one hundred and fifty sets, so
- 4:47Speaker 2: about sixty percent between those three and then it drops
- 4:50Speaker 2: off a cliff. But go ahead him, I'll throw it
- 4:52Speaker 2: over to you right away. You got eight k and above.
- 4:55Speaker 2: Sure's are all the way up to Chris Sale definitely
- 4:57Speaker 2: obviously hit on the Big three, sale to Grom, Joe Ryan,
- 5:01Speaker 2: and then Logan Gilbert Sandwich. Between Sale and de Gram,
- 5:04Speaker 2: I don't really expect him to be twenty seven percent.
- 5:08Speaker 2: As you saw right, We're only getting about twelve ten
- 5:10Speaker 2: to twelve percent in terms of dry run. So naturally
- 5:13Speaker 2: projections run the DFS landscape. Regardless of if I think
- 5:16Speaker 2: projections are meaningful or not in MLB, it's just the
- 5:20Speaker 2: nature of how the ownership gets dictated, right, Everyone reuses optimizers,
- 5:25Speaker 2: they build their teams that way for the most part.
- 5:27Speaker 2: Shout up to the handbuilders out there still doing their thing.
- 5:30Speaker 2: But projections do drive ownership in this industry. I just
- 5:34Speaker 2: don't expect Gilbert to be anywhere near twenty seven twenty
- 5:37Speaker 2: five percent. I think probably fifteen percent max. Fifteen to
- 5:40Speaker 2: twenty percent max, just because he doesn't hit projections there
- 5:43Speaker 2: so hit on those three guys, Ryan Gilbert or Ryan
- 5:47Speaker 2: de grom In Sale and then any pivots you like Gilbert, Painter,
- 5:51Speaker 2: Max Sus are done at the bottom eighteen above.
- 5:53Speaker 3: Yeah, before I do that, I got address my boy
- 5:55Speaker 3: new and is in the chat New and Man, I
- 5:57Speaker 3: love seeing you. That came out. I'm not constantly thinking
- 6:01Speaker 3: about poaching, but he did come into my mind. So
- 6:05Speaker 3: New Ones, we appreciate you, for sure. I always love
- 6:07Speaker 3: having you here. I know, I know Nads loves having
- 6:10Speaker 3: some fellow Wisconsin Nights in the house with him. So yeah,
- 6:13Speaker 3: I appreciate New Ones and everybody tuning in as always.
- 6:16Speaker 3: But for me, Neids, I'm not gonna get I'm not
- 6:18Speaker 3: gonna get different up at the top because Chris Sale,
- 6:20Speaker 3: by far and away slam dunk sp one for me
- 6:23Speaker 3: on the slate. You alluded to it earlier. This Angels
- 6:25Speaker 3: team strikes out a whole bunch, uh. And if Trout misses,
- 6:29Speaker 3: I don't I don't think I've seen it a lot
- 6:30Speaker 3: of But if Trout were to miss that, just waters down,
- 6:33Speaker 3: water downs, waters down this line of even more so
- 6:36Speaker 3: give me Chris Sale. He would be my sp number one.
- 6:39Speaker 3: And then and then I personally like Logan Gilbert, He's
- 6:43Speaker 3: he's I'll call I'll say struggled a little bit to
- 6:45Speaker 3: start the season, but you know, roughly a thirty percent
- 6:48Speaker 3: strikeout rate to both sides of the plate. Uh, you know,
- 6:51Speaker 3: using last year's data in the first first two games
- 6:53Speaker 3: this year. So I do like Logan Gilbert uh de
- 6:57Speaker 3: Grom would be number three for me at nine K.
- 6:59Speaker 3: He threw a believe, seventy seven pitches his first start.
- 7:01Speaker 3: You said it him in to go, the healthiest he's
- 7:03Speaker 3: been all season long. And then I'm out on Shurezer
- 7:06Speaker 3: just because he's facing the Dodgers. We know what they
- 7:08Speaker 3: can do. Joe Ryan. I think the case for Joe
- 7:11Speaker 3: Ryan is the weather in Minnesota hasn't been the best,
- 7:14Speaker 3: so it will be it will be tougher for that
- 7:16Speaker 3: ball to travel. So I don't hate him. And GPPs,
- 7:19Speaker 3: I think he'll get the ownership because he is only
- 7:21Speaker 3: eighty two hundred. And then and then Painter, I know
- 7:24Speaker 3: you like Painter a little bit, eighty five hundred. I
- 7:27Speaker 3: think he had seven cases first first time out, gets
- 7:30Speaker 3: to take on this San Fran team that's really struggled
- 7:32Speaker 3: out the plate to start the season. On top of
- 7:34Speaker 3: the fact that we know the ball doesn't travel there,
- 7:36Speaker 3: especially in the cold weather and at night. So I
- 7:38Speaker 3: don't hate Painter, but it would be the top three
- 7:41Speaker 3: for me at price wise Sale, Gilbert de Gram in
- 7:45Speaker 3: that order, and it's going to be reflected in the
- 7:46Speaker 3: DraftKings pricing.
- 7:48Speaker 2: Yeah, I like a lot of what he said. I
- 7:50Speaker 2: have no issues with Chris Sale out there outside of
- 7:54Speaker 2: it is probably the outside of Coors the best place
- 7:56Speaker 2: to hit. But even if Chrishal gives up a home
- 7:59Speaker 2: runner too, I mean he's got a seven and a
- 8:01Speaker 2: half k prop with heavy, heavy juice to the over.
- 8:04Speaker 2: I mean it's sitting at like minus one minus one
- 8:07Speaker 2: sixty juice on the over of a seven and a half. Obviously,
- 8:11Speaker 2: all the strikeouts in that Angels lineup, you're chasing strikeouts
- 8:14Speaker 2: in terms of MLB dfast. That's what you want. You're
- 8:17Speaker 2: not really expecting Pictures to go out there and get
- 8:19Speaker 2: you complete game, shutout, not not give up any runs,
- 8:22Speaker 2: things like that. So Chris Sale sp one on the slate.
- 8:24Speaker 2: If you can get up to him, it's pretty easy
- 8:26Speaker 2: to get up to him. I like him a ton.
- 8:28Speaker 2: Jacob de Gram not much more to say, about him. Mariners, Yeah,
- 8:32Speaker 2: they have a lot of power. The roof is going
- 8:33Speaker 2: to be opening in Texas, which does scare me a
- 8:35Speaker 2: little bit there. But again, I mean it's just even
- 8:38Speaker 2: if he gives up some some home runner two two
- 8:41Speaker 2: guys like Cal Raleigh or that maybe maybe he Texas
- 8:45Speaker 2: has some Joe Adell like figures out there in the
- 8:47Speaker 2: outfield to rob some of those Seattle home runs. Again,
- 8:50Speaker 2: I know that was crazy, Joe Adell Robin the Mariners
- 8:53Speaker 2: are three home runs there. But for me, I think
- 8:57Speaker 2: the two guys I like a ton up here besides
- 9:00Speaker 2: the obvious three, Sale, Gilbert and Joe Ryan. There's nothing
- 9:03Speaker 2: really bad to say about those three. I think they're
- 9:05Speaker 2: all interesting. I do don't mind some Tigers lefties just
- 9:09Speaker 2: to hit those splits against Joe Ryan. I do put
- 9:12Speaker 2: Joe Ryan third behind Chris Sale and Jacob deGrom. But
- 9:15Speaker 2: I really like Logan Gilbert and Andrew Paynter. I think
- 9:18Speaker 2: Painter's a good pitcher. He's got the best park in
- 9:21Speaker 2: the in on the slate to pitching, nobody's gonna put
- 9:26Speaker 2: h play him. I mean, the dude's gonna be fifteen
- 9:29Speaker 2: percent owned. I think he's one of the best starting
- 9:32Speaker 2: pitcher plays on the slate. I'm not really afraid of
- 9:35Speaker 2: the Giants offense. It's the Bay Area out there. It's
- 9:38Speaker 2: a great pitcher's ballpark. He looked really good in his
- 9:40Speaker 2: first start. There's still some unknown's obviously with him there,
- 9:43Speaker 2: but from a pitch count concern there should be no
- 9:45Speaker 2: pitch count concerns. He's gonna be right there in line
- 9:47Speaker 2: with the rest of the guys on the slate. His
- 9:49Speaker 2: k prop isn't what the rest of the guys are,
- 9:52Speaker 2: but again that's what's gonna keep his ownership down. He's
- 9:54Speaker 2: sitting at a four and a half k PROP, which
- 9:57Speaker 2: I just I'm I'm a believer in his talent at
- 10:00Speaker 2: the ownership at eighty five hundred. Sandwich between Degram and
- 10:02Speaker 2: Joe Ryan, nobody's gonna play him. I like him quite
- 10:05Speaker 2: a bit in tournaments, and the same reason I talked
- 10:07Speaker 2: about Logan Gilbert. No one's gonna play him. He's sandwiched
- 10:10Speaker 2: between Chris Sale and Jacob de Grom, just like Painter
- 10:12Speaker 2: sandwich between Ryan and de Gram. So in tournaments, I
- 10:15Speaker 2: really like Logan Gilbert. He's going severely overlooked in tournaments
- 10:19Speaker 2: here Texas is kind of a pesky lineup at times,
- 10:24Speaker 2: but there's still strikeouts to be had in there. He's
- 10:26Speaker 2: got a six and a half k PROP with basically
- 10:29Speaker 2: kind of a even money on. It's slightly favored to
- 10:33Speaker 2: the under at plus one ten. But again, I think
- 10:37Speaker 2: Logan Gilbert is really interesting. So if I had to
- 10:40Speaker 2: rank this top range with ownership included everything like that,
- 10:44Speaker 2: I'd probably go Andrew Paynter, Chris Saale, de Gram Gilbert,
- 10:48Speaker 2: then Joe Ryan. I'm out of Max Scherzer. I'm not
- 10:50Speaker 2: playing any Max Scherzer here tonight. I don't care. I'm
- 10:54Speaker 2: not going up against He's very vulnerable to the lefties.
- 10:57Speaker 2: Got some of the best left handed hitters in baseball
- 11:00Speaker 2: with the Dodgers there, so no max sures are for me.
- 11:03Speaker 2: Let's jump down below eight K. Here a couple guys
- 11:06Speaker 2: I want to throw out Jose Soriano. I think he's
- 11:09Speaker 2: fairly interesting, Casey miz and then you got to talk
- 11:13Speaker 2: about Cody Bolton down at four k flat gets one
- 11:17Speaker 2: of the best matchups in baseball. But man, this, I
- 11:21Speaker 2: just don't think this dude's a very good pitcher in general.
- 11:23Speaker 2: He can get wonky. I actually like the Rockies offense
- 11:26Speaker 2: on the other side that but Bolton F four K
- 11:29Speaker 2: is gonna be pretty popular because it allows you to
- 11:31Speaker 2: play Dodgers and it allows you play Houston Astros who
- 11:34Speaker 2: are all priced up. So the chalk pairing is gonna
- 11:37Speaker 2: be a Chris Sale, a Jacob de Grom, and then
- 11:40Speaker 2: Cody Bolton. For for the most part, from what I'm
- 11:42Speaker 2: looking at here, I'm not playing any Bolton. I'm just
- 11:46Speaker 2: gonna say it right now. Four K. I don't care
- 11:49Speaker 2: if if he beats me, he beats me. I just
- 11:51Speaker 2: I think you're gonna need a score at Pitcher tonight
- 11:54Speaker 2: with Gilbert, with Sale, with the ground, with Painter, with Ryan,
- 11:57Speaker 2: with Casey Mice, with guys like Jose Soriano who has upside.
- 12:01Speaker 2: I think two of those guys are gonna post. I
- 12:03Speaker 2: have to have it score that. I just don't want
- 12:04Speaker 2: to mess with the four K guy. And I'm under
- 12:07Speaker 2: on the Astros in general anyway, so I can get
- 12:10Speaker 2: different enough and find salary from the Bats to afford
- 12:15Speaker 2: some of the spend up arms on the slate. But
- 12:16Speaker 2: talk about the value tire on the slate.
- 12:20Speaker 3: Yeah, I think these Pitchers, you know, sub eight k
- 12:23Speaker 3: are in a good spot. I differ with you a
- 12:26Speaker 3: little bit on my boy. I'll call him Michael Bolton
- 12:29Speaker 3: for the Astros through fifty pitches his first time out
- 12:32Speaker 3: three innings. I mean, if we were to get if
- 12:35Speaker 3: we were to get five innings out of him, we
- 12:38Speaker 3: know that he more than likely would get the win.
- 12:40Speaker 3: We know if he is going five innings, then you
- 12:43Speaker 3: know he's pitching pretty well. So with the K upside,
- 12:45Speaker 3: he had five ks at three innings his first doubting
- 12:49Speaker 3: I don't hate it. I get your point, though, you
- 12:51Speaker 3: may need twenty in this in this type of on
- 12:53Speaker 3: this type of slate, but at four K, Bolton allows
- 12:56Speaker 3: you to do so much. I'm not gonna be jamming
- 12:58Speaker 3: him in, but certainly don't if he got there. You
- 13:01Speaker 3: mentioned Casey Mice at seventy seven hundred. I like that
- 13:05Speaker 3: taking on this Twins team. I talked a little bit
- 13:08Speaker 3: about the weather. He struck out twenty three, almost twenty
- 13:12Speaker 3: four percent of the left handed batters last year that
- 13:15Speaker 3: he faced, and he's facing six of them tonight. So
- 13:17Speaker 3: if he can maneuver around Byron Buxton, I think he'll
- 13:21Speaker 3: do pretty good. So I like myz at seventy seven
- 13:23Speaker 3: hundred and then one name that I would just say
- 13:27Speaker 3: interested to hear what you think about this guy. This
- 13:29Speaker 3: justin Robleski. Guy struggled in his first outing, only throwing
- 13:33Speaker 3: four innings, but he did strike out twenty seven percent
- 13:36Speaker 3: of batters from the left handed and right handed side
- 13:39Speaker 3: last year. We know the Jays are going to be
- 13:41Speaker 3: heavy right handed facing the left. He threw sixty pitches
- 13:44Speaker 3: in his first outing. Once again, if he can throw
- 13:47Speaker 3: five or six innings and potentially get that win, I
- 13:49Speaker 3: think at fifty eight hundred, Roubleski's not the worst play
- 13:51Speaker 3: on the slate.
- 13:53Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean he's he'd be I'd rather play him,
- 13:58Speaker 2: just with how bad Toronto's been than play Bolton. Just
- 14:01Speaker 2: Bolton has severe control issues. Yeah, he's gonna have strike
- 14:06Speaker 2: cuts in that Rockies lineup. Yeah. If he is perfect
- 14:08Speaker 2: and navigates and gets by everything and kind of skates
- 14:12Speaker 2: through five innings and pick up four or five strikeouts, yeah,
- 14:17Speaker 2: it's I'm probably gonna lose money. But I just don't
- 14:20Speaker 2: see that in Coors Field, which is a plus to
- 14:22Speaker 2: not necessarily home runs, but just extra base hits things
- 14:25Speaker 2: like that, and when you start getting wonky at times
- 14:28Speaker 2: as well and have probably a sixty five pitch count ceiling.
- 14:33Speaker 2: I'm just not in on it. And it's similar reason
- 14:35Speaker 2: that I don't really like Robusky is the dude. He
- 14:38Speaker 2: threw sixty pitches in four innings first outing. Maybe he
- 14:41Speaker 2: gets to seventy five pitches, seventy pitches, but Dave Roberts
- 14:44Speaker 2: just doesn't like to let his pitchers. This guy is
- 14:47Speaker 2: not a starter for the Dodgers in the long run.
- 14:50Speaker 2: He came out of the bullpen last year. I expect
- 14:52Speaker 2: him to kind of be more of a setup man
- 14:55Speaker 2: or more of kind of a high leverage arm, and
- 14:56Speaker 2: maybe potentially at the back half of the season go
- 14:59Speaker 2: back to the ball pen. So I just don't love it. Again.
- 15:02Speaker 2: I want twenty plus from my pitcher here tonight. I
- 15:04Speaker 2: just could Orbuski do it. Yeah, it's just the J's
- 15:07Speaker 2: are just a nightmare matchup. I get it, they haven't
- 15:09Speaker 2: been great as of late, but they still don't strike out.
- 15:11Speaker 2: I mean, they're at an eighteen percent strikeout rate against
- 15:14Speaker 2: left handed pitching between this year and last year. It's
- 15:17Speaker 2: just it's just a miserable matchup. So he has to
- 15:19Speaker 2: be near perfect, and I don't like banking on perfection
- 15:22Speaker 2: personally myself, when I'm picking pitchers, when I got real pictures,
- 15:26Speaker 2: like a Casey Mys I can play, and I'd rather
- 15:28Speaker 2: go to a guy like Jose Soriano in at Home
- 15:32Speaker 2: there who is a terble grand baller guy can get
- 15:35Speaker 2: skate his way through and pick up strikeouts along the way.
- 15:38Speaker 2: There is some strikeouts in that that that braves lineup
- 15:41Speaker 2: to be had there. He's had a four and a
- 15:42Speaker 2: half k prop juice to be over there. So for me,
- 15:45Speaker 2: my pitching pool would kind of look like this sale
- 15:47Speaker 2: Gilbert to Gromd painter Ryan Myz Soriano. I'm not really
- 15:51Speaker 2: looking at anyone else. That's seven pitchers there. So fifty
- 15:56Speaker 2: percent of the slate I'm in on, fifty percent of
- 15:58Speaker 2: slate I'm out on, and I'll make some more cuts
- 16:00Speaker 2: there in terms of matching the field and some of
- 16:02Speaker 2: these guys and going overweight on some of the other
- 16:05Speaker 2: guys I talked about there. So any any closing remarks
- 16:09Speaker 2: from the pictures before we jump over. I know we
- 16:11Speaker 2: got a question in the chat here from our guy Robert,
- 16:13Speaker 2: and first before we do that, shout out to our
- 16:15Speaker 2: guy mister Stoner. Right with a two dollars super chat there.
- 16:19Speaker 2: The two dollars comment, you don't need to do that,
- 16:22Speaker 2: but he said, for the cannabis and the snacks fall,
- 16:25Speaker 2: and I'll definitely be partaking in some gummy season in
- 16:28Speaker 2: a little bit there, So I appreciate that. But uh,
- 16:31Speaker 2: if you had two favorite pictures for sing Lentry, what
- 16:33Speaker 2: are you looking at here?
- 16:34Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna get Sale for sure, and then I'm
- 16:37Speaker 3: gonna I'm gonna go Miz at seventy seven hundred. I
- 16:40Speaker 3: really like Mice tonight is kind of a I'm not
- 16:43Speaker 3: gonna call him a sleeper, but a guy that's gonna
- 16:44Speaker 3: be lower own than maybe some of the others in
- 16:46Speaker 3: the field.
- 16:46Speaker 2: Yeah, Miz is definitely gonna be lower owned because, like
- 16:48Speaker 2: I said, if people are going down, I mean, it's
- 16:51Speaker 2: much easier just to click a guy like Joe Ryan
- 16:53Speaker 2: at eighty two hundred, then mess with Casey Mize, Right,
- 16:56Speaker 2: But I'm with you. I like Casey Mies a ton
- 16:59Speaker 2: and then I probably like either like Andrew Paynter or
- 17:03Speaker 2: Chris Sale as my other guy there, so we're pretty
- 17:06Speaker 2: in lockstep there. I'm just kind of planting the flag
- 17:09Speaker 2: on Andrew Paynter here tonight. Myself, personally, I'm just a
- 17:12Speaker 2: believer in him. I think there's strikeouts in that Giants lineup.
- 17:14Speaker 2: It's a good pitchers ballpark. I just like everything there,
- 17:17Speaker 2: and it's not great hitting environment, which is per usual
- 17:20Speaker 2: this time of the year out there in the West Coast.
- 17:24Speaker 2: Let me refresh the stone here and pull up the
- 17:27Speaker 2: stone when we talk game by game. First game on
- 17:30Speaker 2: the slate, we do have mister Max Scherzer Justin Robleski
- 17:33Speaker 2: on the mound. Blue Jays have been pretty miserable, but
- 17:37Speaker 2: again still a ton of power. Still a really really
- 17:40Speaker 2: good lineup World Series rematch here. Obviously Dodgers got the
- 17:43Speaker 2: better hand as everyone saw in that Game seven there,
- 17:46Speaker 2: but really excited from a baseball perspective for this game
- 17:51Speaker 2: and even from a DFS perspective, I think the Dodgers
- 17:54Speaker 2: are pretty interesting here. Now they're going to be popular.
- 17:56Speaker 2: You want the lefties against Max Scherzer. I want to
- 18:00Speaker 2: full stack Dodgers. I'm not sure because the guys I
- 18:03Speaker 2: want are Kyle Tucker, Otani Freeman, Monty's cheap. Alex Freelan
- 18:09Speaker 2: down there is cheap too, but the guys at the
- 18:11Speaker 2: top are expensive, and I already want to prioritize pitching.
- 18:14Speaker 2: I do have the Dodgers as probably my one of
- 18:18Speaker 2: my favorite offenses on the slate. Like I said, I
- 18:20Speaker 2: I don't really like Houston much as Chalk in Coors
- 18:24Speaker 2: Field there, But what do you see here up in
- 18:26Speaker 2: Rogers Center, Dome, up in Toronto, mex Schures or dusin
- 18:28Speaker 2: Robuski on the mount.
- 18:29Speaker 3: Yeah, what was it? A three run lead like in
- 18:31Speaker 3: the seventh or eighth last year and my dad Jays
- 18:34Speaker 3: blew it. Man, that was brutal, but not my Jay's.
- 18:37Speaker 3: But I definitely don't want the Dodgers. Yeah, I think
- 18:41Speaker 3: you said it, But you can't full stack this Dodgers team.
- 18:43Speaker 3: It's just not worth. Its prices are too expensive. O'tani
- 18:48Speaker 3: obviously a great play, but not full stacking them. More
- 18:51Speaker 3: minis for me on the uh on the Dodgers side,
- 18:55Speaker 3: and Otani bats left handed, but that's neither here nor there.
- 18:58Speaker 3: But uh, I'm the J side. I don't. I don't
- 19:02Speaker 3: love a J stack either. I mean it's super super
- 19:04Speaker 3: duper small sample, but but Vladimir looks pretty good at
- 19:08Speaker 3: home versus lefties, and he's obviously a good play. Fifty
- 19:12Speaker 3: eight it's kind of high. It'd be more one offs
- 19:14Speaker 3: for both of these teams for me, with Springer, Schnyder,
- 19:17Speaker 3: and Guerrero as the one offs, and then Otani and
- 19:19Speaker 3: potentially Cal Tucker for for the Dodgers.
- 19:22Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there. I love the Dodgers lefties.
- 19:24Speaker 2: And it is an interesting note. Obviously it's a limited
- 19:28Speaker 2: sample right in terms of this season numbers, but the
- 19:30Speaker 2: Blue Jay's bullpen has not been good and the Dodgers
- 19:34Speaker 2: bullpen is has been good. And obviously we know Robleski
- 19:37Speaker 2: can get the quick cook Dave Roberts out there, and
- 19:40Speaker 2: then they can play the platoons and and this and
- 19:42Speaker 2: that out of the bullpen, and they do have a
- 19:44Speaker 2: really good bullpen obviously, mister uh, mister La Dodgers bought
- 19:49Speaker 2: by World Series Rings over there with their unlimited bankroll.
- 19:53Speaker 2: But I'm in on Dodgers all the way around. I
- 19:55Speaker 2: like them a lot. Blue Jays are more like one
- 19:57Speaker 2: offs in the chalk your lineup. A guy like Vlad
- 20:00Speaker 2: Guerrero or Okamoto, I'm a buyer, and him at third
- 20:03Speaker 2: base at forty two hundred as a pivot off of
- 20:06Speaker 2: some of those astros, right, Carlos Kraa forty six hundred.
- 20:09Speaker 2: He's gonna be six times the ownership. A guy like
- 20:11Speaker 2: Okamoto is in and Okamoto Japanese guy forty two hundred
- 20:16Speaker 2: tons of power. Lefty, you got the platoon advantage there.
- 20:18Speaker 2: Guys like Vlad Springer, these guys aren't gonna get played
- 20:21Speaker 2: because if people are spreading up in those price points,
- 20:24Speaker 2: they're going to Otani, Kyle Tucker or those Astros. Right, So,
- 20:27Speaker 2: I think the Blue Jays are interesting in tournaments just
- 20:30Speaker 2: because Robleski can get hit and it's more of just
- 20:34Speaker 2: like a mini stack like I talked about. So some
- 20:36Speaker 2: of those guys would be the Vlads, the Springers, the
- 20:39Speaker 2: O Kamotos of the world as pivots off of the
- 20:41Speaker 2: Dodgers spend ups, or more so off the Astros next
- 20:45Speaker 2: team on slate, White Sox and Oreoles. FEddi Wap's gonna
- 20:48Speaker 2: be the long reliever here. They're gonna go with an opener.
- 20:52Speaker 2: So I know some people are probably gonna say, hey,
- 20:54Speaker 2: fet he's not starting the game. He's likely to come
- 20:56Speaker 2: in after the first inning. He's not very good. The
- 21:00Speaker 2: O's haven't been very good. O's have a ton of
- 21:02Speaker 2: power on paper. You would look at this lineup and
- 21:04Speaker 2: say they're a damn good baseball team. Haven't come to
- 21:07Speaker 2: fruition last year. Hasn't been the case so far this year.
- 21:10Speaker 2: But hey, call me, call me stupid. I'm back in
- 21:13Speaker 2: on the on the Orioles here. They're gonna be lower
- 21:15Speaker 2: owned than the than the Dodgers and the Astros here
- 21:19Speaker 2: and probably even maybe potentially the Rockies. I like the
- 21:21Speaker 2: O's quite a bit here, full nighting at bats against
- 21:24Speaker 2: the terrible bullpen, the worst bullpen to date on the
- 21:27Speaker 2: slate that we have even worse than than the Rockies here.
- 21:31Speaker 2: What do you see Orioles in white sox here?
- 21:34Speaker 3: Yeah, we need we need to get Jackson Holiday back
- 21:37Speaker 3: for sure for them. And then my boy Ryan O'Hearn,
- 21:40Speaker 3: my boy Ryan O'Hearn leaves the Orioles and just just
- 21:43Speaker 3: goes for about forty points yesterday. So yeah, on paper,
- 21:46Speaker 3: this Orioles team, you know, picked up Taylor Ward in
- 21:50Speaker 3: the offseason, Pete Alonzo in the offseason. They just haven't
- 21:53Speaker 3: been very good. But I do like them today, you know,
- 21:57Speaker 3: pretty much won through eight. I'm okay with so Orioles
- 22:02Speaker 3: stacks definitely in play. They are going to be popular
- 22:05Speaker 3: down see a couple a couple of people in chat
- 22:07Speaker 3: talk about this White Sox stack. Brandon Young not a
- 22:11Speaker 3: very good professional pitcher or major league caliber pitcher. So
- 22:15Speaker 3: for me, I don't mind the White Sox. It would
- 22:18Speaker 3: be more minis than it would uh than it would
- 22:21Speaker 3: you know, full stacks. Colson Montgomery went grand Slam. I
- 22:24Speaker 3: think on opening day I like him. I like the
- 22:29Speaker 3: first basement. I can't pronounce his name. I'll let you
- 22:31Speaker 3: pronounce his name. But batting second tonight, Mary Kami, I
- 22:36Speaker 3: like him as well, however you say his name, So
- 22:38Speaker 3: give me these lefty minis and then give me this
- 22:40Speaker 3: whole Orioles team one through eight. I don't mind Stephan stacking.
- 22:43Speaker 2: Yeah, Young Young is trash against lefties, has basically the
- 22:48Speaker 2: same k rate and walk right to left handed hitters.
- 22:51Speaker 2: I think Markkami is one of the best plays on
- 22:54Speaker 2: the slate. First base, Everyone's gonna go to Otani, Freddie
- 22:58Speaker 2: Freeman's Christian Walker's of the World. Murk Commy, I think
- 23:02Speaker 2: is a really really good option. Baltimore bullpen is not great,
- 23:06Speaker 2: so I really like the lefty more so minis or
- 23:09Speaker 2: get into full stacks kind of in large field twenty
- 23:12Speaker 2: max type stuff of the White Sox. They're super cheap.
- 23:14Speaker 2: I want to spend up at pitching, so I'll probably
- 23:17Speaker 2: have some five man White Sox stacks just because it
- 23:20Speaker 2: allows you to spend up at pitching and be different
- 23:22Speaker 2: than what kind of the common roster construction is. So
- 23:25Speaker 2: I think Murk Comy in Montgomery are my two favorite
- 23:27Speaker 2: bats by far. For the White Sox, you got a
- 23:30Speaker 2: really nice two four man stack there at four K
- 23:33Speaker 2: forty four hundred. Not many people are going to go
- 23:34Speaker 2: to them. They're both going to be five percent owned.
- 23:37Speaker 2: So I actually like both sides of this game. I
- 23:38Speaker 2: wish the hitting weather was a little bit better, but
- 23:41Speaker 2: that's just the nature of the slate. Outside of Coors Field,
- 23:43Speaker 2: just due to the nature of the elevation there, it's
- 23:45Speaker 2: pretty shitty weather across the board, so you can't really
- 23:49Speaker 2: use weathers as a deciding factor here tonight. And if
- 23:54Speaker 2: there is some slight wind blown out, but again it's
- 23:57Speaker 2: temperatures in the forties. Is just just the nature of
- 23:59Speaker 2: the slate. So I like both sides here. It's just
- 24:02Speaker 2: it's pretty slim pickings in terms of offense here tonight.
- 24:05Speaker 2: Outside of cors Field. Obviously that everyone's going to condense
- 24:08Speaker 2: around Mexican on the slate here, Casey Mies, Joe Ryan
- 24:10Speaker 2: two the better pitcher plays on the slate. If I
- 24:13Speaker 2: were to pick a side in this one, it'd be
- 24:15Speaker 2: more so on the Tigers and those lefties to pick
- 24:17Speaker 2: off a home run or two against guy like Joe Ryan.
- 24:19Speaker 2: Joe Ryan can easily strike out eight of these guys
- 24:22Speaker 2: give up two home runs, and if you hit the
- 24:24Speaker 2: two home runs, they're gonna be unowned. Tigers do have
- 24:27Speaker 2: some good lefties. Obviously, col Keith is a pinch hit
- 24:30Speaker 2: concern there, but he's fine at thirty seven hundred. Riley
- 24:34Speaker 2: Green obviously a really good option. McGonagall. There is no
- 24:38Speaker 2: carry bonds in the lineup, which does suck. But you
- 24:40Speaker 2: get a guy like Parker Metal's at twenty eight hundred,
- 24:42Speaker 2: nobody's gonna play. If he gets on, He's gonna steal second.
- 24:45Speaker 2: He's got power. So I like the lefties here for
- 24:49Speaker 2: the Tigers as a value in non Joe Ryan, and
- 24:52Speaker 2: Joe Ryan might come in as the highest one pitcher
- 24:54Speaker 2: on the slate due to his eighty two hundred dollars
- 24:56Speaker 2: price tag. At least projected ownership shows him up near
- 24:59Speaker 2: forty percent. He got them at so I think the
- 25:01Speaker 2: Tigers is a low owned sleeper stack in tournaments. With
- 25:05Speaker 2: offense being pretty pretty weak in general outside of course
- 25:08Speaker 2: field and the Dodgers that people are condensing around, I
- 25:10Speaker 2: think the Tigers are fairly interesting in larger field stuff.
- 25:14Speaker 2: What do you see here? Tiger's on twins.
- 25:16Speaker 3: I'm seeing age. You may wake up from your gummy bereat.
- 25:20Speaker 3: It could be snowing in Minnesota's projected to be thirty
- 25:23Speaker 3: two degrees. This game is not going to be on
- 25:25Speaker 3: the winner. In my humble opinion, I wouldn't play the offenses.
- 25:29Speaker 3: And Stoner did bring up a good point is Joe
- 25:31Speaker 3: Ryan is actually I think it's five hundred dollars less
- 25:33Speaker 3: than my mice is up to ninety six hundred bucks
- 25:36Speaker 3: on FanDuel. So to me, mis is a better play
- 25:39Speaker 3: on DraftKings, not so much FanDuel. For all my FanDuel
- 25:41Speaker 3: players out there. Ryan actually goes up a little bit
- 25:44Speaker 3: because he's the only ninety one hundred on FanDuel. I
- 25:46Speaker 3: think this game plays, you know, three to two, four
- 25:48Speaker 3: to two, you know, something like that. I don't like
- 25:51Speaker 3: either one of these offenses. If you wanted a cherry
- 25:54Speaker 3: pick some got to hit, hit a bomb, then you can.
- 25:56Speaker 3: But I'm not stacking either one of these teams.
- 25:58Speaker 2: Yeah, I just think the Twins bol Pennans trash, and
- 26:01Speaker 2: these guys Tigers. I think offense again is gonna be
- 26:04Speaker 2: at a premium. I get the weather shitty, but the
- 26:06Speaker 2: weather shitty everywhere on this slate, and unless it's shitty,
- 26:10Speaker 2: ballparks out West or coors Field, right, So I'm looking
- 26:14Speaker 2: at guys that can get there outside of the long ball, right,
- 26:16Speaker 2: I can get the poor man's home run, get a single,
- 26:19Speaker 2: get a walk, steal second, get a run score right. Okay,
- 26:23Speaker 2: well now you're looking at eight to ten DraftKings points
- 26:25Speaker 2: there and one at bat right, you're four points away
- 26:27Speaker 2: from a home run. So that's guys. That's that's why
- 26:30Speaker 2: guys like Parker Meadows that can steal Kevin McGonagall, right,
- 26:34Speaker 2: those kind of guys that are just gonna put the
- 26:36Speaker 2: ball in play. Yeah, Joe Ryan's good, but the Twins
- 26:39Speaker 2: bullpen is asked behind him. So yeah, not my favorite game.
- 26:42Speaker 2: I'm probably not gonna full stack either of these teams
- 26:44Speaker 2: due to that weather, but I do think the Tigers
- 26:46Speaker 2: are fairly interesting. Byron Buxton is a one off I
- 26:49Speaker 2: think is solid, but I'm more on Casey Meyes in
- 26:52Speaker 2: this one. Next tiame with Slate, Mari Nurse, Rangers, Jacob
- 26:56Speaker 2: mcgram Logan Gilbert. This should be a pretty good pitchers here.
- 27:00Speaker 2: The roof is going to be open in Global Life
- 27:02Speaker 2: Field there, which does get a slight boost to hitting. Obviously,
- 27:07Speaker 2: the Mariners have enough power to hit it out of
- 27:08Speaker 2: any stadium at any point. Cal Raleigh still trying to
- 27:12Speaker 2: find his home run first home run of the year
- 27:14Speaker 2: after going to absolutely bonkers last year. Shout out to
- 27:17Speaker 2: Joe Adell for keeping him at a zero home run
- 27:20Speaker 2: Luke Raleigh, Dominic Canzone. I mean, these lefties are fairly interesting,
- 27:25Speaker 2: but I'm more on the pitching in this game. I
- 27:26Speaker 2: don't really like offense much here. But what do you
- 27:29Speaker 2: see Texas in Seattle?
- 27:31Speaker 3: Yeah, that was pretty incredible. What's your take, speaking of
- 27:35Speaker 3: which I've seen a lot of chatter. Joe Adell catches
- 27:38Speaker 3: the ball, falls into the stands. Should that be a
- 27:41Speaker 3: home run to you?
- 27:43Speaker 2: I don't know. That's a tough I mean, I mean,
- 27:47Speaker 2: I mean, if you catch it, if you I mean,
- 27:50Speaker 2: if you catch it in play and carry it out
- 27:52Speaker 2: of play, right, it's it's the runners advance, right, So
- 27:56Speaker 2: I don't know how that works. I don't think it's
- 27:59Speaker 2: a home run because he made contact with the ball
- 28:03Speaker 2: in play, right. It's just like if if someone made
- 28:06Speaker 2: a diving play over the fence or something like that, right,
- 28:08Speaker 2: I'd call it an out. I don't know. That's that's
- 28:10Speaker 2: a tough one there, But yeah, Joe Adell, I mean,
- 28:13Speaker 2: that'll probably never be done again. Rob three home runs
- 28:15Speaker 2: in the game period, let alone from the same player
- 28:18Speaker 2: in the same game, is absolutely ridiculous. So, yeah, that
- 28:21Speaker 2: was That was pretty crazy to see Jo Adell there.
- 28:23Speaker 2: But what do you see offense here? Mariners and Rangers.
- 28:26Speaker 3: Yeah, that was bonkers. Yeah, I mean, I just I
- 28:29Speaker 3: don't see how you could play the Mariners. They've been struggling.
- 28:32Speaker 3: Jacob de gram Is Jacob de gram and and Logan
- 28:35Speaker 3: Gilbert has struggled, I'll say struggled a little bit to
- 28:37Speaker 3: start the season, but two of the more highly projected pitchers.
- 28:40Speaker 3: Another game, it's indoors, so you got to like that
- 28:43Speaker 3: a little bit. But these pictures, I think there's better
- 28:47Speaker 3: pictures to pick on than than in this game. And
- 28:50Speaker 3: this Uh my boy, my boy's back, My boy's back.
- 28:54Speaker 3: Jack Jams is back again. Nathan to get another year
- 28:58Speaker 3: of John Petterson's two hundred two batting average on the season,
- 29:03Speaker 3: probably negative zero home runs. Oh man, it's gonna be
- 29:07Speaker 3: a long season for the Rangers if they're employing that bomb. So, yeah,
- 29:10Speaker 3: no offense is here. Give me both of these pitchers.
- 29:13Speaker 2: Yeah, two of the better bullpens you're to date. So
- 29:17Speaker 2: I just two good starting pitchers, two of the better bullpens.
- 29:20Speaker 2: I know offense is hard to come by, but it's
- 29:23Speaker 2: just if either of these teams nukes shout out to
- 29:26Speaker 2: the one hundred and fifty max ers or the super
- 29:28Speaker 2: contrarian players, It's just not something I'm going to be
- 29:31Speaker 2: in that much. I will say, though, Cory Seger at
- 29:33Speaker 2: forty four hundred again pivot off of Carlos Korea. Obviously,
- 29:37Speaker 2: Corey Seeger is a good play the lefties here for
- 29:41Speaker 2: the Rangers would be fairly interesting, but not a spot
- 29:43Speaker 2: where I'm really stacking up offense too much. Do have
- 29:47Speaker 2: a slight lean to the Rangers. If picking between the
- 29:49Speaker 2: Mariners or the Rangers here takes us to the Donkey
- 29:53Speaker 2: Chalk of the slates Astros and the Rockies in corps Field.
- 30:00Speaker 2: I mean, at least Feltner does have a pulse, I
- 30:02Speaker 2: will say, of anyone to have a pulse from a
- 30:04Speaker 2: starting pitcher of the Rockies organization, I don't think Feltner's
- 30:06Speaker 2: the worst by any means. He's probably their best picture
- 30:09Speaker 2: that they have to employ out there and throw out there.
- 30:12Speaker 2: The Astro has been ripping the cover off the baseball. Now.
- 30:14Speaker 2: They had it into into Rocky, into coors Field, and
- 30:17Speaker 2: you got guys like low Berfedo projected in here Cam Smith.
- 30:21Speaker 2: These guys are sub four k in coors Field, where
- 30:23Speaker 2: offense is at a premium on a slate that's shortened
- 30:26Speaker 2: slate in general because DraftKings leaves off all the early games,
- 30:30Speaker 2: which are usually the better offenses. But talk to me here, Astros, Rockies,
- 30:34Speaker 2: coors Field, Bolton Feltner on the mound. This game should
- 30:39Speaker 2: have fireworks. I have much more of a lean to
- 30:42Speaker 2: one side that's not named Houston Astros. But what do
- 30:44Speaker 2: you see here?
- 30:46Speaker 3: My guy Greg knows what's up?
- 30:51Speaker 2: You see that needs I do? I do until the
- 30:56Speaker 2: until the that you're forgetting the second part of our
- 30:59Speaker 2: guy rest in Peace, DJ and Big Guy in the Sky.
- 31:02Speaker 2: But he says, we don't play Donkey Chunk until we
- 31:05Speaker 2: do or or right. So I mean, if you want
- 31:08Speaker 2: to play, the rock Astros are obviously in all likelihood
- 31:11Speaker 2: the probably highest chance to be the highest scoring stack
- 31:14Speaker 2: of the slate. It's just it's just nature of it.
- 31:17Speaker 2: I would much rather just play Jordon as a one
- 31:19Speaker 2: off and just fade the rest of the Astros personally,
- 31:22Speaker 2: is how I like it. I mean, Jordan's up there
- 31:25Speaker 2: with Kyle Tucker and Otani is the best play on
- 31:27Speaker 2: the slate. But that doesn't mean I'm gonna stack the
- 31:31Speaker 2: Astros here personally. I you just you're gonna have to
- 31:34Speaker 2: hit it perfectly. That's just how you're gonna have to.
- 31:37Speaker 2: People are gonna go in and run sixty seventy eighty
- 31:39Speaker 2: percent Houston stacks just because offense there there's really not
- 31:42Speaker 2: many pivots on the slate. So but talk to me here,
- 31:45Speaker 2: what do you what do you see Astros rockies?
- 31:48Speaker 3: I just want the Astros to not score run So
- 31:50Speaker 3: my gosh, Shaloub can be in the chat and about
- 31:52Speaker 3: the second inning just going curse. So my gots, Shaloub
- 31:57Speaker 3: if you're listening go Ham in the chat to But yeah,
- 32:00Speaker 3: the definitely gonna be Donkey Chuck, definitely r ip DJ
- 32:03Speaker 3: and I see that in there. But yeah, I mean,
- 32:05Speaker 3: I think if you're playing you know, you know ten
- 32:08Speaker 3: plus Astros team, you're gonna want at least a piece
- 32:11Speaker 3: of it, just based on the fact that they are
- 32:13Speaker 3: in corse Field. They they're taking on some guy named
- 32:15Speaker 3: Ryan Feltner who hasn't been very good. So yeah, your
- 32:18Speaker 3: dog is always in a good spot. Al Tuve. Every
- 32:21Speaker 3: time you say Christian Walker, it texts me back to
- 32:23Speaker 3: one of my favorite movies. Hey, miss de Walka. I
- 32:25Speaker 3: think we've talked about it before, but I think this
- 32:27Speaker 3: Astros team implied to score over six runs, which is
- 32:31Speaker 3: way more than anybody else on the slate. I think
- 32:34Speaker 3: for single entry they're fine to fay three Max. You
- 32:37Speaker 3: may want him on one of three, but you're gonna
- 32:40Speaker 3: want a piece of them in my opinion, if you're
- 32:41Speaker 3: playing you know, a bevy of teams. And then on
- 32:44Speaker 3: the Rocky side, Yeah, this Michael Bolton guy, you know,
- 32:48Speaker 3: not not great by any stretch of the imagination. That's
- 32:50Speaker 3: why he's four thousand dollars. Probably not gonna go more
- 32:52Speaker 3: than three or four innings, but he can rack up
- 32:55Speaker 3: the k's. This is still the Colorado Rockies, after all.
- 32:58Speaker 3: Some guy named t J. Rumfield who no one's ever
- 33:01Speaker 3: heard of is batting fifth. Troy Johnston's betting clean up
- 33:04Speaker 3: a guy. So, man, this Bolton guy that keeps looking
- 33:08Speaker 3: better and better, I'm fading this Rockies team playing the Astros.
- 33:12Speaker 3: If I'm playing three or more.
- 33:13Speaker 2: Teams, Yeah, I can't really felt that, you really? I mean,
- 33:17Speaker 2: Feltner is a ground ball pitcher. The Astros don't hit
- 33:20Speaker 2: the ball in the air outside of Jordan Alvarez and
- 33:23Speaker 2: Christian Walker, so those are by far and away the two
- 33:26Speaker 2: best plays from from the Astros. The only guy I'll
- 33:28Speaker 2: really be playing is is Alvarez. You want lefties against
- 33:31Speaker 2: Feltner as well, which obviously is pretty tough. That's why
- 33:35Speaker 2: you see low Berfido being in that lineup. The Astros
- 33:38Speaker 2: lineup did just come out. Some of these guys are
- 33:40Speaker 2: shuffled around a little bit, like l two Vas hitting third,
- 33:44Speaker 2: Craze hitting four, Cam Smith's hitting above low Berfido. But
- 33:49Speaker 2: these guys are all in here, only two lefties in there,
- 33:51Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm I'm off the Astros. I'll let you
- 33:53Speaker 2: play them and Cody Bolton and I'll play jord On
- 33:57Speaker 2: and stack the Rocky side of this game. I like
- 34:00Speaker 2: Moniac Troy Johnston runfield. I like all these guys, these
- 34:03Speaker 2: lefty power bats against a guy who is horrible against lefties.
- 34:08Speaker 2: The Astros bullpen has not been good to start the year.
- 34:11Speaker 2: The Angels put up a ton of runs in their
- 34:13Speaker 2: opening season. They just used five relievers yesterday Sunday night
- 34:17Speaker 2: or in that Sunday game, so they're pretty taxed. I mean,
- 34:20Speaker 2: they have all but one of their guys has thrown
- 34:23Speaker 2: twenty three or more pitches in the last three days,
- 34:26Speaker 2: so they are pretty taxed. I get it. It's still
- 34:28Speaker 2: the Astros, but they have a starting pitcher who has
- 34:31Speaker 2: a pitch count ceiling of probably sixty five pitches, right,
- 34:34Speaker 2: so they're gonna have to I mean, I'm expecting six
- 34:37Speaker 2: innings probably or not six innings, probably five innings or
- 34:41Speaker 2: four to five innings at least of the bullpen here.
- 34:45Speaker 2: So yeah, there is some pitch concerns. But again, the
- 34:47Speaker 2: Rockies bench is not like a normal team's bench. They
- 34:50Speaker 2: can't pinch hit all of these lefties here, so I
- 34:53Speaker 2: think McCarthy's great, Moniac's great. Julian's probably the biggest pinchhit
- 34:56Speaker 2: concern of any of these guys. But Troy Johnston runfield
- 35:00Speaker 2: like the lefties, really Castro great option too, He's got
- 35:02Speaker 2: some stolen base. So yeah, yeah, I'm team Rockies here.
- 35:05Speaker 2: Rocky is one of my favorite stacks of this late
- 35:07Speaker 2: and I'm going in on them. And then Jordan is
- 35:09Speaker 2: probably the only bat from the Astros that I'm gonna
- 35:12Speaker 2: really play much of any of them personally myself. Next
- 35:17Speaker 2: game on the slate, last two games, we go out
- 35:20Speaker 2: to the night slate window nine thirty eight Central time
- 35:25Speaker 2: start or Eastern Times start eight thirty eight Central time. Braves, Angels,
- 35:29Speaker 2: Jose Soriano ground ball pitcher, Chris Sale, best pitcher on
- 35:33Speaker 2: the slate, highest upside, high k prop everything as you
- 35:36Speaker 2: see here. Angels forty k raid on the season at
- 35:40Speaker 2: home against left handed pitching. Checks my notes, Yeah, that's
- 35:43Speaker 2: probably that's not very good. And Chris Sale obviously has
- 35:46Speaker 2: elite strikeout stuff tournaments. If you want to hold your note,
- 35:49Speaker 2: plug your nose in and play Angel stack, good luck,
- 35:53Speaker 2: you can do it. Zach Netto would be the only
- 35:54Speaker 2: guy Mike Charleton not in the line up here, which
- 35:56Speaker 2: makes Chris Sale be that much of a better place.
- 36:00Speaker 2: It is probably Chris Sales the highest on guy, but
- 36:02Speaker 2: he's gonna be right there with Joe Ryan contesting each other.
- 36:05Speaker 2: What do you see here? Braves and Angels.
- 36:08Speaker 3: Yeah, no Angels for me, you know, take take them
- 36:12Speaker 3: out of your pool. Love Chris Sale tonight and then
- 36:15Speaker 3: the Braves more minies for me. One of my favorite
- 36:18Speaker 3: hitters on the slight though, is gonna be my boy,
- 36:20Speaker 3: Austin three point sixteen. Austin Riley. We haven't bat and
- 36:23Speaker 3: clean up. He's been bat in fifth most of the year.
- 36:26Speaker 3: I think he has like one hit on the season.
- 36:28Speaker 3: I think that changes tonight. Really like Austin Riley in
- 36:33Speaker 3: this Braves lineup tonight.
- 36:35Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm I Actually I had more interest in the
- 36:38Speaker 2: Braves until I kind of looked at the ownership here.
- 36:41Speaker 2: I think people are gonna go to them just do
- 36:43Speaker 2: which is always fine, right anytime you're playing the Angels,
- 36:46Speaker 2: it is plus a hitting environment there. The Angels bullpen
- 36:48Speaker 2: is ass but Jose Soriano is not a bad pitcher
- 36:51Speaker 2: by any means. He keeps the ball on the ground
- 36:53Speaker 2: so it's gonna take a lot of like old school
- 36:56Speaker 2: small style baseball to score a ton of runs here. Now,
- 37:00Speaker 2: I'm definitely gonna have both sides of this in in
- 37:02Speaker 2: my twenty max set, play Braves and play Soriano, but
- 37:06Speaker 2: I still prefer the Rockies to the Braves at similar
- 37:12Speaker 2: similar price points. Is crazy that sounds? I will say,
- 37:15Speaker 2: Drake Baldon is probably one of the best players in
- 37:16Speaker 2: the slate. I mean that dude is straight hitting beach
- 37:19Speaker 2: balls right now. Matt Olsen, excuse me, a great option
- 37:23Speaker 2: and Yastremski, so I like the lefty power and the
- 37:26Speaker 2: ball that the guys that can hit the ball in
- 37:28Speaker 2: the air to kind of counteract Jose Soriano's fly our
- 37:32Speaker 2: ground ball, right, So that's Yastremski, Riley Olsen, Albi's Dom
- 37:38Speaker 2: Smith are kind of the main fly ball hitters on
- 37:41Speaker 2: this On this team obviously Acuna, but Acuna also hits
- 37:44Speaker 2: the ball on the ground a ton to nearly fifty
- 37:47Speaker 2: percent of the time, so yeah, pretty similar there. Zach
- 37:50Speaker 2: Netto probably the only Angels beat that I like. And
- 37:53Speaker 2: maybe Joe Adalla just because maybe he'll go for Robin
- 37:57Speaker 2: three home runs to hitting three home runs or hitting
- 37:59Speaker 2: a home run or two, so he'd be fine. But really,
- 38:01Speaker 2: Zach NetTel Is is kind of the only guy I'm
- 38:03Speaker 2: looking there. Joe Adell just hits left handed pitching really
- 38:06Speaker 2: well and has a ton of power. It's plus hitting
- 38:08Speaker 2: environment there, So yeah, you could leave a couple of
- 38:11Speaker 2: those Angels bats as one offs in there against the
- 38:13Speaker 2: probably the chalkiest pitcher on the slate there, but not
- 38:16Speaker 2: not stacking the the Angels by any means myself. Last
- 38:20Speaker 2: game of the slate, Andrew payn are one of my
- 38:21Speaker 2: favorite pitchers on the mound here. He ranks really good
- 38:24Speaker 2: in our pitcher rankings. My boy Dougie Hawser on the
- 38:27Speaker 2: other side, fellow Brewer Brewer great. This dude just always
- 38:33Speaker 2: has the kind of arsenal that you think he would
- 38:36Speaker 2: just get absolutely destroyed and somehow just skates his way
- 38:39Speaker 2: through six seven innings and just kind of limits the damage.
- 38:42Speaker 2: Hope that's not the case here tonight, because I do
- 38:46Speaker 2: like some of these Phillies bats just because I'm looking
- 38:48Speaker 2: for offense outside of or outside of Houston really, and
- 38:51Speaker 2: the Dodgers to play Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, marsh all
- 38:56Speaker 2: of those guys have the platoon advantage. Housers trash against lefty.
- 39:00Speaker 2: I like all the lefties here. You get some good lefties.
- 39:03Speaker 2: My least favorite left he would be Bryson Stott at
- 39:05Speaker 2: thirty six hundred, but at that same position. Again, direct
- 39:08Speaker 2: pivot off of those astros at a similar price point.
- 39:11Speaker 2: What do you see here? Ballpark sucks, But again ballpark
- 39:15Speaker 2: and weather sucks on majority of this late here outside
- 39:17Speaker 2: of the corsfield. So what do you see here? Phillies
- 39:19Speaker 2: and the Giants.
- 39:20Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you. There wind is blowing out
- 39:22Speaker 3: a little bit. Man. This Phillies team, you know, coming
- 39:25Speaker 3: out of Corps going into San fran We always don't
- 39:28Speaker 3: like playing teams. But you have Trey Turner, you have
- 39:31Speaker 3: College s Warber, Bryce Harper. They can go yard in
- 39:33Speaker 3: any in any park. Adulas Garcia went yard yesterday in
- 39:37Speaker 3: the Mahause City, So it would be Phillies for me.
- 39:40Speaker 3: Don't don't necessarily love him. You said it, Adrian Howees
- 39:43Speaker 3: or ground ball pitcher, and my boy Tony Vottello should
- 39:47Speaker 3: have never left Tennessee. Sad that he did. And he's
- 39:49Speaker 3: got this Giants team just stuck in the mud right now.
- 39:52Speaker 3: So I like what you say about Painter. I'm not
- 39:55Speaker 3: playing these Giants due to due to weather, due to park,
- 39:59Speaker 3: due to Vattello gotta messed up. So this game's more
- 40:02Speaker 3: to cross off for me as well. Don't don't necessarily
- 40:04Speaker 3: love it.
- 40:05Speaker 2: Yeah, like I said, I prefer the Philly side in
- 40:07Speaker 2: this one over the Giant side. Giants bullpen hasn't been
- 40:12Speaker 2: great to start the year either, which which is pretty shocking.
- 40:15Speaker 2: I expect that to kind of regress back to kind
- 40:17Speaker 2: of the mean, but so far through through the start
- 40:20Speaker 2: of this year, their bullpen has been one of the
- 40:23Speaker 2: one of the worst than the slate in terms of whip.
- 40:25Speaker 2: They're pretty taxed, right, fifty seven fifty thirty seven thirty
- 40:28Speaker 2: one from four other guys in that bullpen front from
- 40:31Speaker 2: that weekend series there. So if the Phillies can figure
- 40:35Speaker 2: out how to get back to altitude right out there
- 40:38Speaker 2: in San fran maybe maybe they hit one hit, hit
- 40:42Speaker 2: one over the wall or two out there. So yeah,
- 40:45Speaker 2: don't mind the Phillies. They're they're kind of a they're
- 40:47Speaker 2: kind of my sneakier team on the slate that's really
- 40:50Speaker 2: not getting any ownership. Uh, And I mean at those
- 40:53Speaker 2: price points, kysh Warber, guys are gonna click Otani, They're
- 40:56Speaker 2: gonna click those Astros Jorda on things like that in
- 40:59Speaker 2: that range. So probably one of the lower ownership. You're
- 41:02Speaker 2: gonna see a guy like Kyle Schwarburn, Bryce harper on
- 41:06Speaker 2: on the season, but really tonight, for sure, that's all
- 41:09Speaker 2: seven games. We talked pitching, we talked hitting him. We
- 41:12Speaker 2: gotta do it like we always do. Your favorite pitching pairing,
- 41:15Speaker 2: your favorite sneaky stack, and then a home run caller. Two.
- 41:19Speaker 2: We've been pretty damn good last year on these home
- 41:22Speaker 2: run calls, especially you. What do you see here tonight?
- 41:24Speaker 2: Who's where are you going?
- 41:26Speaker 3: Yeah, we made a ton of money last year betting
- 41:28Speaker 3: these home runs. I'm going to my gut Austin Riley
- 41:30Speaker 3: to hit another bomb today. Love him against Soriano, So
- 41:34Speaker 3: he's my home run call of the day, my favorite
- 41:37Speaker 3: sneaky stack. I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go with I'm
- 41:41Speaker 3: gonna go with the Jay's. I didn't really love them
- 41:44Speaker 3: to begin, but you taught me off. This ro Bleski
- 41:46Speaker 3: cat a bunch of righties, So give me these, give
- 41:49Speaker 3: me these J's. That's my kind of my sneaky stack
- 41:52Speaker 3: of the day, and then my favorite pairing would be
- 41:55Speaker 3: Chris Saale and Casey mize On on DK, and then
- 42:00Speaker 3: I like me some Joe Ryan on Fandel if you
- 42:04Speaker 3: know sales, still my number one, but if you wanted
- 42:06Speaker 3: to get different, I think Joe Ryan at ninety one
- 42:08Speaker 3: on Fandel is a great price. But that's it for me.
- 42:12Speaker 2: Yeah, no excellent breakdown there for me. My favorite pitching
- 42:15Speaker 2: combination is probably going to be Andrew Paynter in Casey Myis.
- 42:20Speaker 2: I really liked what I can do with the lineup
- 42:21Speaker 2: with those two. My favorite sneakier offenses are probably going
- 42:25Speaker 2: to be the White Sox and the Rockies. I'm not
- 42:27Speaker 2: really seeing a lot of ownership really going outside of
- 42:30Speaker 2: maybe a player or two for either of those teams.
- 42:32Speaker 2: I really like the lefties in both of them. I
- 42:34Speaker 2: think Murray Commy is a really good play and that
- 42:36Speaker 2: takes me do my home run call. I'm going to
- 42:39Speaker 2: Murakami to hit a bomb for the White Sox in
- 42:41Speaker 2: that two hole. Shove up to my guy ge Risen
- 42:44Speaker 2: who's on vacation. He loves himself a nice little two hole.
- 42:46Speaker 2: I'm going to Murray Commy and then I'm also going
- 42:48Speaker 2: to another two hole for the Rockies. Mickey Moniac's a
- 42:51Speaker 2: little little two square, little action little Lefties Mickey Moniac
- 42:56Speaker 2: and Murakami for the White Sox, both gonna hit a
- 42:58Speaker 2: bomb again. Appreciate everyone tuning in. Hitting that like button,
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- 44:08Speaker 2: we get out of here.
- 44:09Speaker 3: That's it. Good luck to go out of your contests
- 44:11Speaker 3: and let's let's get a shipp her up top.
- 44:13Speaker 2: Absolutely well, good luck to everyone out there again. Hit
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- 44:18Speaker 2: time sleigh plan is live. Cours will be going live shortly.
- 44:21Speaker 2: I'll be in the discord. But again for him, I'm Aids.
- 44:25Speaker 2: We'll see you guys next time we're out here. Peace