Latest / How To Protect The Ocean / Deep Sea Mining Exposed: Inside the Fight to Save the Ocean's Last Frontier
Transcript
- 0:00Is deep-sea mining sustainable?
- 0:02Not from an environmental impact, I think we know the answer to that,
- 0:05but from an economical impact.
- 0:07Can people make money from deep-sea mining?
- 0:10We're gonna talk about the environment, the economics, all about deep-sea
- 0:14mining today, and we're gonna be talking about the importance of the deep sea
- 0:18with my guest today, Matthew Gianni.
- 0:20He is the co-founder and political and policy advisor for the Deep Sea
- 0:24Conservation Coalition out of Europe.
- 0:27He's here to talk to us about how he got started in the environmental world,
- 0:31going from a deep sea trawling off the coast of California, to landing a
- 0:34job at Greenpeace, to now co-founding the Deep Sea Conservation Coalition,
- 0:39and working for over 30 years in this business to be able to bring you
- 0:43some conservation of the deep sea.
- 0:45So we're gonna talk about the importance of the deep sea, the environment,
- 0:47and what are the latest updates from the International Seabed Authority
- 0:50meeting that just happened in July.
- 0:52It's the second meeting they do of the two meetings this year.
- 0:55It was happening in Kingston, Jamaica, and there's some really interesting
- 0:58things that came out of that meeting.
- 0:59So we're gonna talk about it on today's episode of the How
- 1:02to Protect the Ocean podcast.
- 1:03This is the place where you get your ocean news and updates every
- 1:06Monday to Friday, every weekday.
- 1:08If you enjoy that kinda stuff, why don't you hit that follow button
- 1:11right now on your favorite podcast app so you don't miss Monday's episode,
- 1:15and all the way through Friday.
- 1:16We have some great episodes coming up, some great topics.
- 1:19Next week, it's either fisheries or we're gonna be talking about
- 1:22plastic pollution and microfiber.
- 1:24So, you never know what you're gonna get on these episodes.
- 1:27So stay tuned, follow, and let's talk Matthew Gianni.
- 1:30Matthew was an amazing guest.
- 1:32He is a lot of fun to be able to discuss it.
- 1:34It's the first time I've met him, but having the conversation,
- 1:37I believe we could have talked for three more hours at least.
- 1:39And we'll have him back on to talk more updates on not only deep-sea mining,
- 1:43which is a big, big issue right now, but also we're gonna talk about deep
- 1:46sea and why it's important, and all the different animals that come out
- 1:48from there that we all love, and some people call monsters, but I think call,
- 1:52like, aliens and cool things, and just cool adaptations to the deep sea is
- 1:56what we're gonna see over the future.
- 1:57But deep-sea mining is right at the forefront of a lot of news that's
- 2:00happening, not only from the International Seabed Authority, which is the governing
- 2:04authority from the UN that looks after setting the regulations of if deep-sea
- 2:08mining is actually gonna happen, whether it's gonna happen, and we got some
- 2:11really interesting economic updates on this, not only environmental updates,
- 2:14and also movement towards moratorium.
- 2:16So we're gonna hear that from Matthew.
- 2:17But also, like, we've seen a big push from the US government,
- 2:20the Trump administration, that wants to do deep-sea mining.
- 2:23We've talked about it on the podcast before.
- 2:25There's been some public inquiries or some public comment periods that have been
- 2:28ignored, and then the size of the area that they're gonna mine or potentially
- 2:32mine have doubled, if not tripled.
- 2:34The metals companies involved.
- 2:35We're gonna talk all about that today and how that's influencing
- 2:38deep-sea mining, and maybe it's just not gonna happen at all.
- 2:42So, we're gonna hear that from Matthew.
- 2:43So here's the interview from Matthew Gianni, co-founder and
- 2:46political and policy advisor for the Deep Sea Conservation Coalition.
- 2:50Enjoy the interview, and I'll talk to you after.
- 2:52Hey, Matthew.
- 2:53Welcome to the How to Protect the Ocean podcast.
- 2:55Are you ready to talk about deep sea conservation?
- 2:59Hi, Andrew.
- 3:00Yes, very much so.
- 3:01Thanks for having me on.
- 3:02You bet.
- 3:03I'm excited for this because, uh, we're gonna be focusing
- 3:06a lot on the deep sea today.
- 3:07Obviously, you're from the Deep Sea Conservation Coalition.
- 3:10We'll talk about that in a second.
- 3:11But we're gonna also talk about some updates from the International
- 3:15Seabed Authority meeting that happened in Kingston, Jamaica
- 3:17recently this, this past summer.
- 3:19Uh, and so we're gonna get an update on where everything is at.
- 3:22Uh, but I-- what I really wanna focus on too is, is obviously getting to
- 3:26know, uh, yourself, Matthew, but also just what's in the deep sea.
- 3:30What can we expect?
- 3:30You've been working on this for more than 20 years, uh, through the
- 3:33Deep Sea Conservation Coalition and, and I s- I think a lot of, a lot
- 3:37of us really don't know what's down there, and I think we think, a lot
- 3:41of us think it's like a barren sea.
- 3:43You know?
- 3:43Like, there's nothing down there and there's nothing to worry about
- 3:45with whether you're extracting, whether you're trawling, you know.
- 3:49These are things that we have to be careful of and make sure that people know
- 3:52that it's, there's an abundant sea life.
- 3:54Maybe not as abundant as a coral reef, but sometimes there are coral reefs.
- 3:57So we're gonna get into all of that today, uh, and I'm excited to do so.
- 4:01But Matthew, before we get into that, why don't you just let us
- 4:03know who you are and what you do?
- 4:06Well, I'm a co-founder of the Deep Sea Conservation Coalition.
- 4:10It's a coalition of over 140 organizations, uh, looking at working, uh,
- 4:16of, including environmental organizations, some human rights organizations, uh,
- 4:21coastal fishers organizations, and others, uh, that are interested in conserving and
- 4:26protecting, uh, deep ocean ecosystems.
- 4:29Very nice.
- 4:29Very nice.
- 4:30Now, how did you get interested and involved in just ocean
- 4:36conservation in general?
- 4:37Like, where did that begin?
- 4:39Well, it actually began when I was working as a commercial
- 4:41fisherman, which I did for 10 years.
- 4:43Okay.
- 4:43Uh, including five years as a deep sea trawler man.
- 4:46So we were fishing- Oh
- 4:47off the Central California coast at the time, down to about 1,000 meters, which
- 4:50would be, uh, roughly 3,000 feet deep.
- 4:54Um, and, um, on the basis of that, I ended up, uh, becoming an environmental
- 4:59activist, um, opposing offshore oil development and a major dredge
- 5:04disposal project off the, uh, West Coast of the United States, off
- 5:08the, off the San Francisco area.
- 5:11And eventually ended up going to work for Greenpeace International-
- 5:15Hmm … uh, as it started up a international fisheries campaign.
- 5:19And, um, worked through a number of different campaigns, became
- 5:23involved in international policy and, and, and treaty negotiations.
- 5:28Eventually ran the ocean program for Greenpeace International,
- 5:31which is how I ended up here in Amsterdam, where I'm currently based
- 5:34and have been for quite some time.
- 5:35Right.
- 5:36And then left Greenpeace in part to start up a coalition, uh, to try and get an
- 5:41end to deep water trawling, primarily on seamount ecosystems on the high seas
- 5:46through a UN general assembly process.
- 5:48And on the basis of that work, eventually got into the issue of deep
- 5:52seabed mining So what made you go from-- like, what was it that, that you
- 5:57wanted to do more about the deep sea that you couldn't do at, at Greenpeace
- 6:03while managing the ocean program?
- 6:04I know they cover a lot of different things.
- 6:06What made you wanna focus on the deep sea in particular?
- 6:09Was it your history of doing deep sea trawling in, in like,
- 6:12uh, when you were a fisher?
- 6:14Well, partly that.
- 6:15Um, uh, I did, uh, the deep sea trawling.
- 6:18It's actually a combination of shelf and, and, and continental slope
- 6:21trawling, uh, for about five years.
- 6:23A highline vessel, we were the top vessel off the Central California coast, probably
- 6:27one of the top 20 off the West Coast of, uh, the US, excluding Alaska- Mm-hmm
- 6:31… in terms of sheer volume of production.
- 6:33But what, uh, amazed me, uh, often enough was all of the stuff that we would bring
- 6:38up from the bottom in the net from the deeper areas where we were trawling.
- 6:42Glass sponges, corals, uh, all kinds of starfish, uh, uh,
- 6:48crabs, et cetera and so forth.
- 6:50Um, and most of which was not commercially useful.
- 6:55Um- Mm-hmm … it wasn't, uh… It was, it was stuff we would bring up off the bottom
- 6:58and then just shovel back over the side after we picked- Huh … out the fish that
- 7:01we would, uh, take back into port to sell.
- 7:05Uh, but I think what really got me into the deep sea, uh, uh, issue was… A- and
- 7:10Greenpeace came along with me on this.
- 7:12You know, we- Of course … we, it was a small group of, of, of
- 7:14organizations that actually started the Deep Sea Conservation Coalition.
- 7:18But what got me was, um, as I was kinda campaigning on sustainable fisheries
- 7:22with Greenpeace and so forth, I sat in on a, on a, um, a series of debates,
- 7:28uh, about whether, uh, uh, fishing, commercial fishing in this case, could
- 7:32drive species biologically extinct.
- 7:35Hmm.
- 7:35And the general view was, or conclusion of these discussions, mostly with
- 7:39scientists, was that yes, fisheries can drive species commercially extinct.
- 7:44In other words, take the populations of commercially valuable fish down
- 7:48to a level at which it's no longer economical to, to continue fishing them.
- 7:52They could, uh, drive species ecologically extinct.
- 7:56In other words, species, uh, that would be depleted to such an extent
- 8:00that it would no longer occupy the same role in the, in the ecosystem-
- 8:05Mm-hmm … but not biologically extinct.
- 8:06Uh, yes, a few marine mammals, uh, had documented, you know, there
- 8:10were documented extinctions of, uh, I think it was the Steller's
- 8:12sea cow in the North- Mm-hmm
- 8:14Pacific and a, and a few other animals, but not fish and other species.
- 8:18And then in the late 1990s and the early 2000s, '99, 2000, 2001, I became
- 8:24aware of studies coming out of the South Pacific, uh, Tony Coslow and Karen
- 8:29Garrett-Holmes, I think, um, Bernard Richard de Fourchet, that were-- had
- 8:35looked at bottom trawling on seamounts.
- 8:37Right.
- 8:38Uh, and in particular, a study that, uh, Garrett-Holmes and, uh, Coslow
- 8:42had, uh, had, uh, been involved in, where they looked at, at, at
- 8:46four seamounts off Tasmania that are roughly 1,000 meters in depth.
- 8:50The peaks were about 1,000 meters below the surface.
- 8:52Two had been trawled, two had not been trawled, and they
- 8:55did visual surveys of the two.
- 8:57The two that, uh, the, of the, all four of them, and they found that
- 9:00the ones that hadn't been trawled were teeming with coral cover on the
- 9:04upper- Right … slopes of the peaks.
- 9:06But the ones that were, had been trawled, and one of these seamounts had been
- 9:09trawled 600 times and another had been trawled 3,000 times, fishing for a
- 9:13type of fish called orange roughy, and this was documented by the Australian
- 9:17Fisheries Management Authority.
- 9:18Yep.
- 9:18Um, they estimated that between 95% and 98% of the, of the coral cover on
- 9:23those seamounts had been- G- were gone.
- 9:26They had been- Yeah … destroyed.
- 9:27Just been gutted.
- 9:27It was rubble.
- 9:28Yeah.
- 9:29And that coupled with Bernard Richard Forges' study, which he was
- 9:33identifying relatively high degrees of endemism in seamount ecosystems.
- 9:37Mm-hmm.
- 9:38And so the conclusion that I took from that was, well, wait a minute now,
- 9:41it is possible if there are endemic species on these seamounts and they're
- 9:45trawled as heavily as they were, uh, uh, the ones off Aus- off, off
- 9:49Australia, which in fact is the case in many parts of the world- Yeah … then
- 9:54they could be driving species extinct.
- 9:55Yeah.
- 9:56And in fact, uh, i- including species, uh, that, uh, had not yet been discovered
- 10:02by science or was not yet- Mm-hmm … that were not yet known to science.
- 10:04And this is something that I subsequently heard Fred Grassle say from Rutgers
- 10:08University, a well-known deep sea biologist, mostly, uh, uh, um, studying
- 10:15sediments in the deep ocean, where he basically said, I think it was
- 10:18in 1992, he said, "We may be losing species on seamounts from bottom,
- 10:23uh, because of bottom trawling that we haven't even yet discovered."
- 10:25And so I thought, I mean, for me it was twofold.
- 10:28One was, this is an outrage and we should do something to try to stop this.
- 10:33Yeah.
- 10:33And number two, the, the, the, the fact was that at the time, at least on the
- 10:38fisheries on the high seas, uh, the countries that were allowing their vessels
- 10:43to go out and do this were the champions of, of high seas fisheries sustainability.
- 10:49Countries like Australia, New Zealand, the European Union, and,
- 10:53and a number of countries from the European Union, Norway, et cetera.
- 10:56They were all trawling on these areas on the high seas.
- 10:59And I thought, you know, and, and this is against the law.
- 11:02I had been involved in treaty negotiations in the mid-1990s, which should have put an
- 11:07end to this type of fishing, but didn't.
- 11:09Uh, and so decided together with colleagues, let's take this campaign
- 11:13to the United Nations General Assembly and see if we can get them to basically
- 11:17force these countries to have to reconsider what they're doing and
- 11:20ultimately stop the, stop the damage.
- 11:22Yeah.
- 11:22And it's, it's really interesting too, 'cause seamounts, from my
- 11:25understanding, are like a, a high biodiverse area in general.
- 11:29And to, to see the studies where they compare the two seamounts and understand
- 11:33that there are species that, like you said, we haven't even, probably haven't
- 11:36even discovered yet or, or endemic that we know they're endemic to these seamounts,
- 11:41could be gone and we could be losing these species at a rate that we just
- 11:44don't, we can't, we can't even fathom at this point, because a lot of times,
- 11:49uh, whether they're in the boundaries of the EEZ or outside the boundaries
- 11:52in the high seas, there's just not enough monitoring programs to, to, to
- 11:56monitor all these, all these seamounts.
- 11:58Well, that and, and not enough baseline information in the first place- Yeah.
- 12:02Exactly … in order to realize what you've lost, uh, because you've studied it
- 12:05before, before it was actually exploited.
- 12:08Yeah.
- 12:08And, you know, the same is true in, in many cases, uh, of, of deep seabed mining.
- 12:13It's not yet taken hold, but similar types of, of issues there, where the
- 12:18baseline information is so thin and all of the other sorts of information
- 12:23you need to understand what the impact of deep seabed mining will be.
- 12:27Connectivity among species, uh, the structure of ecosystems, the
- 12:31life history characteristics of, of, of species in the deep sea.
- 12:35How, how long do they live?
- 12:36Yeah.
- 12:37How do they reproduce?
- 12:38Right.
- 12:39What do they look like when they're young, you know, in the, in the larvae form?
- 12:43What are their vulnerabilities to, uh, heavy metals that might be released into
- 12:47the environment from deep seabed mining?
- 12:49Or noise and light, um, in areas where there is none.
- 12:53Um- Mm-hmm … and you think of, for example, these extraordinary
- 12:56creatures that live in the water column 2 m- 2,000, 3,000, 4,000
- 13:01meters depth that are bioluminescent.
- 13:04You know?
- 13:05Yeah.
- 13:05They, they, they generate light in order to attract prey, to attract
- 13:09m- uh, uh, uh, mates, to find, you know, others of their species to…
- 13:14et cetera and so forth.
- 13:15And then if you start shining a lot of light on them, these species, it's,
- 13:18it's, it could impact their, you know, their, their, their, their viability.
- 13:23Yeah.
- 13:23No, absolutely.
- 13:24Um, there's, there seems to be, uh, like a, a obviously, uh A focus right now
- 13:32on, on the deep sea, right, these days.
- 13:35And, and that deep sea is more around, you kind of mentioned
- 13:38a little bit, deep sea mining.
- 13:41And before we get into sort of the, the nuances of deep sea mining, you
- 13:47know, there, there's been this talk of, of, of that there's really not,
- 13:51not really that much on the bottom.
- 13:53You know, there's- … you know, there's not much geomorphology.
- 13:56It's just sand.
- 13:57There might be some worms, you know, that kind of stuff.
- 14:00Yeah.
- 14:00Uh, we know that's not true, right, from, from a lot of the
- 14:03exploration that's been done.
- 14:04But we also know that very little of the deep sea compared to the, it's
- 14:08all of its surface area has actually been, um, you know, been monitored,
- 14:12including like the, in the water column of the deep part of the sea, you
- 14:16know, not just the, the, the bottom.
- 14:18Um- Oh, how can you explain, when, when somebody comes to you and, and then
- 14:23they may not know much about the deep sea and they're interested and they ask
- 14:26you like, "Why should we care about the deep sea?" What answer do you give them?
- 14:32I know it's a general question.
- 14:34There's probably a lot that you could go into, but what's the general answer that
- 14:37you pretty much give in that respect?
- 14:39Well, I, for me it's, you, you can come at it from different angles
- 14:45and sometimes, you know, I tr- I try to a- a- adapt a response to what I
- 14:50understand to be the interest of the person that's asking the question.
- 14:53Of course.
- 14:53But basically, um, one of the key issues for me at least, um, that, that, that
- 14:59frankly astounds me is that we're in a, and I hate to use the word crisis.
- 15:03I mean, it's crisis, crisis, crisis everywhere you look.
- 15:05Mm-hmm.
- 15:06You know, especially in the newspapers.
- 15:07Yeah.
- 15:08But, you know, even the G7 countries have put out communiques saying
- 15:12we have a biodiversity crisis.
- 15:14We have a triple planetary crisis of, of biodiversity loss, climate
- 15:17change, and marine pollution.
- 15:20Yeah.
- 15:20Uh, sorry, pollution generally.
- 15:21Yeah.
- 15:22Uh, and, and when you think about how much has been lost, I mean- Mm-hmm … there
- 15:27are, there are scientists who basically say we are arguably living through a
- 15:32sixth mass extinction event on the planet.
- 15:36Um, the first being, uh, the… Now I should know this, uh, actually.
- 15:42I mean, the most famous extinction was roughly 65 million years
- 15:45ago is when the dinosaurs- Yeah
- 15:46went extinct.
- 15:46But before that there was the Permian, there was the End Triassic, and then
- 15:50there were the, it was the, uh, I think it was the End-Or- D- O- Ordovician,
- 15:54uh- Right … mass extinction events.
- 15:56And this one is being caused by us, the humans on the planet.
- 16:02And I just think that why would we go into a whole new frontier of
- 16:07the planet and risk destroying so much for so little in return, i.e.,
- 16:14uh, a handful, well, relatively small amounts of metals that you can
- 16:18get from deep sea bed mining based on all the information we have now.
- 16:22Um, uh, a- and, and, and, and lose, uh, you know, r- put, put a whole
- 16:29new frontier of, of, of the Earth that has been largely untouched, uh,
- 16:34at risk of a mass extinction event.
- 16:37Uh, so that's one way to answer it.
- 16:39But the other-- there are others.
- 16:40There are, you know, for example, um, the deep ocean, uh, according to, for
- 16:45example, the UN's World Ocean Assessment, uh, drives planetary processes.
- 16:49Um- Mm-hmm … uh, it, uh, and, and, and we don't understand fully how that
- 16:55works, what those connections are.
- 16:57But if we start messing with the deep sea, we might, uh, end up with a whole
- 17:02range of unintended consequences.
- 17:03The most important- Yeah … of course, is the ocean, as we know,
- 17:07is the world's-- is, is by far the largest natural carbon sink.
- 17:11Yes.
- 17:12Um, something like 25% of the greenhouse gases that we pump into
- 17:15the atmosphere get absorbed, the CO2 gets absorbed in the ocean.
- 17:19Without that natural buffer, we would be in serious trouble today.
- 17:23We're already heading in toward, you know, serious- Mm-hmm … difficult territory.
- 17:28And there are some, uh, real concerns that, uh, deep seabed mining could somehow
- 17:34diminish or, uh, the, the, the capacity of the oceans to absorb CO2, maybe in
- 17:39small may- ways, maybe in bigger ways.
- 17:41Uh, we don't know.
- 17:42And, uh, my understanding of that concern lies mostly in relation to
- 17:47the mesopelagic zone, which is one of the main vectors for taking carbon out
- 17:51of the surface waters and basically sequestering it for large peri- long
- 17:56periods of time into the deep sea.
- 17:58Right.
- 17:58And the, the plume flows that would be generated, the discharge flows that would
- 18:03be generated from the mining ships on the surface bringing up this material
- 18:06from the bottom and then dumping out the wastewater and the excess, uh, uh, bits
- 18:11and pieces of the so-called mining fines, uh, as well as the sediment that would
- 18:16come up with that, um, could impact, uh, the, the capacity of the mesopelagic
- 18:21zone to basically get that carbon out of surface waters, get it down below
- 18:25the 1,000 to 2,000-meter depth range, and basically lock it away for- Mm-hmm
- 18:30uh, a, a few hundred, uh, centuries to thousands of years.
- 18:34And so there is a concern.
- 18:36The other thing is, you know, there's, there's, there's so much we, we, we
- 18:39still don't know about the deep sea.
- 18:40I mean, you probably heard, uh, this was back in, uh, 2024.
- 18:43I, I, I worked with this guy, Andrew Sweetman.
- 18:45Mm-hmm.
- 18:46Discovery of, of, of dark oxygen.
- 18:48Yes.
- 18:49That the manganese nodules, which is the primary ore of interest to
- 18:54the deep seabed mining industry.
- 18:56Right.
- 18:56Um, and these lie on the deep abyssal plains, which in fact aren't quite plains.
- 19:01They are-- There's, there's quite a range of topography down there.
- 19:04Um, these are areas of the oceans that sit at 5,000, 6,000, 7,000 meters depth,
- 19:09um, all the way down at, at the bottom end of the so-called continental slopes.
- 19:15And, um, his-- he's basically found that, uh, the, the nodules might be producing
- 19:25oxygen Um, and the not clear how this, is it microbial activity on these nodules?
- 19:33Is it, uh, uh, electrolysis, I think it is, you know, where it's breaking
- 19:37hydrogen and oxygen, H2O, you know, water into hydrogen and oxygen.
- 19:42Um, he still has to ground truth or, or again, kind of verify to repeat the,
- 19:47uh, the experiment, uh, or the, the, the, the finding, which he's now in the
- 19:51process of doing with his colleagues.
- 19:53Um, and, um, and the question is, is this really a s- i- is this actually occurring?
- 20:00And if so, does this oxygen production in the deep ocean actually, is
- 20:05it important to the functioning- Yeah … of those ecosystems?
- 20:08Yeah.
- 20:08And to me, again, the extraordinary thing here is, you know, we've been--
- 20:11the, the, the mining industry has been interested in mining these nodules.
- 20:15This is primarily in the Eastern Pacific, uh, just north of the equator, up to
- 20:19about 20 or 30 degrees north, uh, a huge area of about, uh, 1.7 million square
- 20:26miles, 4.5 million square kilometers.
- 20:29The bottom is littered with, with these nodules.
- 20:32Um, but the extraordinary thing is that, that the, that the mining industry
- 20:36or the proto-mining industry has been looking at this area for over 50 years.
- 20:41You know, there were, there were companies out there poking around
- 20:43down there in the '60s, early '70s.
- 20:44Nodules were actually discovered by the Challenger expedition in-
- 20:48Right … in 1974, I believe it was.
- 20:50Um, and only now we're starting to see things like something that could be such
- 20:56a huge, uh, uh, element of the ecology and the, and the, and the biology, uh,
- 21:03of, of that area, uh, only, only now being, being potentially discovered.
- 21:08And again, Andrew's clear.
- 21:09He says, "I'm, I'm convinced this is deep oxygen.
- 21:12I've gone through these, these experiments.
- 21:14I've, I've looked at the machinery.
- 21:15It's 10 years, uh, and I'm convinced." But he recognizes he needs to repeat
- 21:21the ex- the, the, the, the finding, the experiments- Yeah … to, to see if that's
- 21:25happening, and then look at the potential for what role that that oxygen plays i-
- 21:31in, in, in the deep ocean ecosystems.
- 21:33So again- So is he doing that, is he doing that now, like currently?
- 21:36That's, that's the experiment that he's, he's doing now or- Yeah, I don't-
- 21:39… when is it gonna- … I don't know if he's-- I think he's going out soon.
- 21:41Um- Yeah … I'm not sure he's out yet.
- 21:43Uh, he's got a grant from the Nippon Foundation in, uh, Japan- Right
- 21:47to go out and look at it.
- 21:47To explore it.
- 21:47And interestingly, the Ni- the Nippon Foundation was kind of, uh,
- 21:52interested in actually mining nodules themselves- Mm … in Japanese waters.
- 21:56Um, but apparently have taken a step back, uh, in part because of Andrew's discovery
- 22:02and thinking, "Okay, we, we maybe we need to know a lot more about what's going
- 22:06on down there before we start, you know, exploiting these ecosystems to, uh, to
- 22:10the detriment of, of basically the- Right
- 22:13the, the ecology of these areas and to, to us as humankind if this, uh, mining
- 22:18industry takes off, uh, on a large scale." And the interesting things too is you,
- 22:22I'm sure you're aware of this, but um- Scientists have said, and I'm thinking
- 22:27of a piece that was done by Stephanie Kaiser, uh, Craig Smith from University
- 22:31of Hawaii, and Pedro Martinez, uh, in a special issue of, uh, Marine Biodiversity
- 22:36that ran in 2017, but they basically say up to half of the larger animals, uh,
- 22:42in the deep ocean, the meta- the, the megafauna, the, the, the macrofauna, the
- 22:46metazoan species, are nodule-obligate species, which means they actually
- 22:51depend on the nodules, um, uh, for, for some portion of their life history.
- 22:57Uh, and when you remove them, they say it will probably be a, a, it
- 23:02could take millions of years for these animals to come back in these
- 23:06ecosystems because it takes millions of years for these nodules to grow.
- 23:09Yeah.
- 23:09And so you're not just plucking rocks off the bottom, you're actually
- 23:13plucking a living ecosystem with each nodule you bring up, uh, for
- 23:17about half of the species, at least the larger species, the more complex
- 23:20animals that live in the deep ocean.
- 23:22And, and it's something that I think you alluded to earlier, the extraordinary
- 23:26diversity of species in the deep sea is, is, is, is, is, is i- in many respects
- 23:31a, a new discovery only over the last 20 years or so, um, primarily because of
- 23:37interest in mining and mining the nodules.
- 23:40Um, uh, the International Seabed Authority, which regulates mining in
- 23:44the international areas of the world's ocean, which is about roughly 50 to 75%
- 23:49of the, uh, well, uh, half to two-thirds of the overall seabed of the oceans- Yeah
- 23:54um, uh, requires two things of a company or a country that wants to get
- 24:01a contract to explore for the mining, uh, potential, mining opportunities.
- 24:08Mm-hmm.
- 24:08Uh, the first, they have to, uh, assess the area, the claim area that they
- 24:12get- Yep … uh, issued through, by, you know, through a contract from the
- 24:16International Seabed Authority, assess the potential of the, of the, the metals
- 24:20or the mineral grades in, in those areas.
- 24:23And the second is that they have to collect environmental baseline
- 24:26information, uh, in order to produce an environmental impact assessment if they
- 24:30want to decide to go from exploration to full-scale commercial mining.
- 24:35And that's for making sure that they are not going to impact the
- 24:38environment in and around the area that they're gonna be in, right?
- 24:41That they're gonna work in.
- 24:41Basically, yeah.
- 24:42Yeah.
- 24:43And some of the best information, ironically, has come from,
- 24:47uh, the, the, the contractors.
- 24:49Yeah.
- 24:49Um, so I mean, there is, there is, there is quite a bit of, uh, of
- 24:52research going on in the deep ocean, uh, independent of any commercial interest.
- 24:56And so- Right … for example, I was involved in, uh, well, three European
- 25:00Union-funded deep sea research projects, one of which was looking at
- 25:03the potential for, uh, impact of deep seabed mining, uh, and was the largest
- 25:07publicly, uh, funded Uh, project of its kind in the world at the time, so
- 25:13attracted scientists from around the world to various meetings and so forth.
- 25:17Yeah.
- 25:17But, uh, much of it has been produced by the contractors, uh, the
- 25:22companies that want to go mining.
- 25:23Hmm.
- 25:24Com- companies and the, and the countries that have got these
- 25:27exploration contracts with the ISA.
- 25:29And again, I say ironically because the lead company that's been involved in this
- 25:34is one called, uh, The Metals Company.
- 25:36Yeah.
- 25:37Its CEO is a guy named Gerard Barron.
- 25:39Yeah.
- 25:39Um, and he was famously quoted, I think in a Time magazine article
- 25:43that ran in September of 2021, that it's a biological desert down there.
- 25:49In other words, there's basically nothing living, uh, that we need to
- 25:53worry about, and it won't be possible to impact the marine environment
- 25:56because it's a dead environment.
- 25:58There's nothing, there's nothing there- Yeah … uh, worth, worth,
- 26:02uh, that's gonna get impacted.
- 26:04Uh, and the reality is the, the, the kind of science… And to The Metals
- 26:08Company's credit, they are allowing the scientists that they contract to come
- 26:11in and do this baseline information to publish their findings, uh, as
- 26:16have some of the other contractors.
- 26:18Uh, there's one called the, uh, the, uh, Global Sea, uh- Seabed Resources, GSR from
- 26:24Belgium, um, uh, a, a number of others.
- 26:28Um, they're, they're kind of coming and going as, as it stands these days.
- 26:31Yeah.
- 26:32But, a- and the science is all pointing to the fact that, whoa, this
- 26:35is a biologically very rich area.
- 26:38There's not a high abundance of animals, uh, but there is an
- 26:42extraordinary diversity of animals, including many, many which we're
- 26:46just discovering for the first time.
- 26:48Uh, and, and, and, and, and that is basically stalling the effort to get at
- 26:56least the International Seabed Authority to adopt regulations and start, uh,
- 27:03allowing commercial mining to take place.
- 27:05And- Because- Sorry, go ahead.
- 27:08Yeah, I'm sorry.
- 27:08Go ahead … because the, the, the rules, the regulations, uh, well, I should say
- 27:14the, the actual treaty law under which the International Seabed operates, uh, has a
- 27:19provision that basically says the ISA must ensure the effective protection of the
- 27:23marine environment from harmful effects arising out of seabed mining activities.
- 27:28And what a lot of countries that, that are involved in these negotiations
- 27:31are saying is, "Well, back in the '70s, nobody knew that there was
- 27:34much living down here." You know?
- 27:36Right.
- 27:36The assumption was you could protect the, y- uh, protecting the environment would
- 27:40be an easy thing to do because there really wasn't an, much of an environment,
- 27:43a living environment to protect.
- 27:45And now we know the picture is very, very different.
- 27:48Yeah.
- 27:48And so they're saying until we can fully understand what lives down there,
- 27:53how these species interact, how these, uh, uh, uh, ecosystems function, and
- 27:59in addition, what kinds of goods and services do deep sea ecosystems provide
- 28:04us, humankind, uh, in terms of their impacts of, of planetary processes,
- 28:09uh, we're not gonna allow mining.
- 28:11We're not gonna vote for it.
- 28:12Yeah.
- 28:12We're not gonna, we're not gonna agree to it because we simply
- 28:14don't know what the risks are.
- 28:16We know what the risks are.
- 28:16We don't know the scale of the risk, and we don't know how bad it's gonna be.
- 28:20Um, and- Now, the interesting thing about this too is, is this has been, it
- 28:24seems like, uh, like these policies were, were there with the ISA for, for quite
- 28:28some time, uh, that you just mentioned, where, you know, you can't harm the,
- 28:33the bottom, you can't harm the deep sea.
- 28:35However, it seemed like just a couple years ago, before there was a change
- 28:39in the chair at the ISA, that things were leaning a little differently.
- 28:42They were leaning more towards exploratory mining, even though the,
- 28:46many of the countries said, "No, we have a moratorium." There seemed to be more
- 28:49countries who were, who were going to it.
- 28:51Uh, the chair at the time, uh, I, I don't remember the, the, the gentleman's name,
- 28:55but he was, he was kind of being Not to say outwardly accused, but allegedly
- 29:00making more deals about mining than, than worrying about the en- the environment.
- 29:05And that was a concern to a lot of nonprofit organizations, NGOs,
- 29:08and, and, and the environmental community and scientists and so forth.
- 29:12Um, and then now with the new chair, who's an oceanographer, uh, background
- 29:16as an oceanographer, it seems like these are being more held, uh, a lot
- 29:21closely, you know, to being like, "Hey, let's follow this. Let's make
- 29:24sure that this is what we're gonna be doing." Did you-- Have you noticed that
- 29:28switch as well with this new chair?
- 29:30Well, uh, to be honest with you, Andrew, not really, and
- 29:34that's a big disappointment.
- 29:36Hmm.
- 29:36The previous secretary general was Michael Lodge.
- 29:39Right.
- 29:39Um, he served as secretary general of the International Seabed
- 29:42Authority from 2016 to 2024.
- 29:45Um, he lost an election for a third term to Letícia Carvalho, an oceanographer from
- 29:50Brazil, um, who ran a very good campaign.
- 29:53The Brazilians were, were brilliant in terms of doing their- Yeah.
- 29:56It was a surprise, I think, to a lot of people that, that she got it, but
- 30:00everybody was like, "This is great." Yeah.
- 30:01Yeah.
- 30:02Exactly.
- 30:02Here, now- Yeah … finally a change.
- 30:03Yeah.
- 30:03Because basically, Michael Lodge was seen as, as heavily promoting deep seabed
- 30:08mining, and, uh, allegedly kind of working with the Metals Company to try to get,
- 30:15um, a, a fast track process to, uh, adopt regulations to allow deep seabed mining.
- 30:21And this was this kind of obscure provision in the Law of the Sea
- 30:23Convention called the two-year rule.
- 30:26Technically, it's in the 1994 agreement that amended the, the elements
- 30:30of the Law of the Sea convention.
- 30:31Uh, but basically, the Metals Company needed the country of Nauru, which
- 30:37sponsors it, uh, at the ISA, uh, to trigger a two-year rule so that it could
- 30:42then say to investors, "Hey, we now have a legal pathway to get a mining license, uh,
- 30:48in two years' time, one way or the other."
- 30:51And I won't go into the details of this provision.
- 30:53If you're interested in, it's paragraphs 15-- paragraph 15 of section one
- 30:57of the annex of the 1994 agreement.
- 30:59Look it up.
- 31:00But, uh,
- 31:03but, you know, it, it, it's, it's with- it, it's the kind of the, the treaty law
- 31:07that this, this organization runs under.
- 31:09And, um You know, the, um, the, uh, uh, uh, uh, an investigative reporter
- 31:16for The New York Times, uh, Eric Lipton, he's won a Pulitzer Prize.
- 31:20Uh, he's n- uh, well, I won't tell what he's doing now, but, uh, he's--
- 31:24he, he was one of the guys behind, uh, the exposé on, uh, well, maybe not an
- 31:28exposé, but, uh, the calculations that the Trump administra- that the Trump
- 31:33family has, um, uh, made about $2.2 billion in its first year of office.
- 31:37Uh, but at any rate, he was looking at the ISA.
- 31:39He, he went to the meetings of the ISA, he-- and so forth, and he uncovered
- 31:44somehow a cache of internal memos and documents and so forth, going
- 31:48all the way back to the, uh, early 2000s, if not earlier, of the ISA.
- 31:53And his conclusion was, and this is a, an article that he published in, uh,
- 31:56August of 2022, that in actual fact, the predecessors of the Metals Company
- 32:02had illegally obtained information from the ISA Secretariat- Right
- 32:06on where the best areas of nodules resided in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone, this
- 32:11area- Yeah … in the Eastern Pacific.
- 32:13I remember hearing that.
- 32:13Um, and, um, you know, he put, he put those documents up online, uh, but
- 32:19separate from The New York Times website, uh, after publishing the article.
- 32:24And you can see some connections there, which, uh, uh, were, uh, less, less,
- 32:29um, how, how would you g- oh, I don't know, less savory, I think, uh- Yeah
- 32:33would be the right word.
- 32:34Yeah.
- 32:34It was troubling definitely to be like, look, we're supposed to be, uh, as,
- 32:37you know, uh, Dr. Andrew Thaler, who's a good friend of mine, has, no, you
- 32:41know, he's been involved in deep sea mining since his PhD, like in terms
- 32:44of, of looking at the issue and, and, and wrote a, a editorial of a deep sea
- 32:49magazine, Deep Sea Mining magazine.
- 32:51Mm-hmm.
- 32:51And he said, "This is the chance for us as a human species to do-- if we're gonna
- 32:56do something, to do it right, and to ensure that the protection of this zone
- 33:01that we don't know much about in, in, in, in all relativity here, like we, and we
- 33:06just don't know, that we could probably do it right and do it very carefully.
- 33:11And we have the chance to set, you know, the, the limitations and the restrictions
- 33:16right off the bat." But it seemed like that Uh, Michael Lodge was not doing that.
- 33:22It seemed like he was just more like, "Hey, let's just go and let's do this,"
- 33:26as you mentioned, you know, leaking some reports and, and things like that.
- 33:30And that, that, that's, that's definitely concerning, right?
- 33:32Yeah, it was.
- 33:33It was.
- 33:34And, you know, the whole, uh, process of negotiating the regulations which
- 33:39needed to be in place in order to allow mining to begin went into hyperdrive
- 33:44when Nauru triggered the two-year rule on behalf of the Metals Company.
- 33:48And eventually, countries rebelled after two years of three meetings, hundreds
- 33:54of pages of draft regulations, thousands of brackets, meaning the text that's
- 33:59not yet been agreed but been- Yeah
- 34:00proposed.
- 34:01Um, and after about two years of this, countries just said, "Enough
- 34:06is enough. We can't d- we can't maintain this pace. We don't have
- 34:09the capacity to do this," et cetera.
- 34:11It's extremely complex.
- 34:12Mm-hmm.
- 34:12And fundamentally, uh, there are some serious kind of, you know, concerns such
- 34:17as, yes, you know, we need to understand this ecosystem before we can possibly,
- 34:22these areas, uh, slated for mining, before we can possibly regulate them to
- 34:27prevent damage to the marine environment.
- 34:29Um, and we just don't have that understanding.
- 34:31And that was, that, that, that kind of unders- that, that kind of sense of, of
- 34:38where things were at kind of crossed the political groups and the- Yeah … various
- 34:42kind of coalitions, uh, as it were, uh, within the negotiating process of the ISA.
- 34:47Uh, and, um, you know, I think that's in part why Michael Lodge was voted out.
- 34:51Right.
- 34:52Right.
- 34:52'Cause he said, "Okay, look, you really wanna get this." Yeah.
- 34:56There were some countries that were actually backing
- 34:58that too- Yes … as well.
- 34:59Yes.
- 35:00But they would not have b- been, uh, they would not have risked themselves
- 35:05triggering the so-called two-year rule.
- 35:07They let Nauru do it on behalf of the TMC rather than, um Doing it themselves.
- 35:13But Norway, for example, was saying, "Yes, we need to get these regulations in
- 35:16place," because Norway was planning at the time to mine in international waters- Yes
- 35:23… off the Norwegian coast, but in an area considered under the Law of the Sea to be
- 35:28part of Norway's own extended continental shelf, and therefore Norway could
- 35:33mine there- They have the jurisdiction
- 35:34without getting permission from the, uh, uh, ISA.
- 35:36Right.
- 35:37But what Norway, I think, uh, was hoping for, and I think what Japan
- 35:42was considering as well at the time, was if we're gonna go mining, we want
- 35:46to mine, we want to be able to show that we're mining according to the
- 35:50regulations adopted by the international community of nations as a whole.
- 35:54Yeah.
- 35:54Uh, it's sustainable, it can be done, and therefore once the ISA has regulations
- 36:00in place, we can then use those regulations to go mining, and we're not
- 36:03gonna suffer market approbation and, and restrictions and, and so forth and so on.
- 36:08Well, and I think also, like, when you're the first country to do something
- 36:11that's not very popular with the public, there's a lot of pressure on
- 36:16that country, you know, just from the outward negative attention that they get.
- 36:21And I know some countries will do it no matter what because
- 36:23it's good for their country, but also some don't wanna do that.
- 36:27You know, some don't like that bad reputation.
- 36:29Um, you know, you can almost, if you look at, you know, something like whaling with
- 36:33Japan, you know, for, for decades and decades they fought to whale in the South,
- 36:37South Ocean, uh, Southern Ocean, and then they finally just said, "We're just
- 36:40gonna keep it within our borders because we keep getting this negative attention.
- 36:44It's, it's just not good for us," and, and so forth.
- 36:46I, I'm not saying that's the, the only reason, but I'm sure there
- 36:48were many other reasons, but- Yeah … that was a, a big part of it.
- 36:51Um- That's right … do you think that has to do with it, that, that international
- 36:54pressure to be like, "Hey, look, if we haven't agreed to this yet You know,
- 36:58there are gonna be some protests.
- 36:59There are gonna be some people like Greenpeace and so forth who are gonna be
- 37:02going and they're gonna be saying, "Hey, you shouldn't be doing this because it's
- 37:05not internationally, you know, agreed upon and we haven't even agreed upon the
- 37:09regulations to make sure we're protecting that environment." Uh, that's right.
- 37:13That's absolutely right.
- 37:14You know, one of the things, again, hardwired into the Law of the Sea,
- 37:17which is the treaty, uh, that actually governs, uh, how the ISAs operate, is
- 37:22that the ISA is to, is, is obliged to, quote, "act on behalf of," unquote, and
- 37:29quote, "for the benefit of," unquote, "humankind as a whole." Not for individual
- 37:34countries, not for companies that wanna make a profit, but for something
- 37:38that's going to contribute to the wellbeing, uh, of humankind as a whole.
- 37:42And this, again, is another dilemma, uh, facing negotiators at the ISA because
- 37:47there are some countries that do wanna get these mining regulations in place
- 37:51for themselves or the contractors that they sponsor to go mining, or at least
- 37:55to say for the private companies, "Okay, now we've got regulations in place.
- 37:59You can make your own sorts of judgments as to whether you can mine profitably
- 38:03or not, knowing what the regulations are gonna cost you." But the, the,
- 38:08the obligation is there to justify the mining, uh, on behalf-- as, as something
- 38:13that's going to be done on behalf of all of us and for the benefit of everybody.
- 38:16Yeah.
- 38:17And the-- anybody that looks at this industry at the moment and looks at
- 38:22the pressures that, that, that are, that are kind of, you know, trying
- 38:27to get the mining, um to, to, to, to move forward, to become a commercial
- 38:32reality, recognizes this isn't being done for the benefit of anybody but
- 38:36a handful of countries and a handful of companies that wanna make money.
- 38:40It's not gonna produce much in terms of- Right … global supplies of
- 38:43cobalt, copper, nickel, and, and, and, and manganese, which is, which are
- 38:47the four metals that are contained in these nodules that are recoverable-
- 38:49Mm-hmm … uh, economically.
- 38:52You hear lithium is in the nodules, you hear rare earth are in the nodules.
- 38:55Well, they're not.
- 38:56I mean, yes, you have trace elements of these, but all of the debate at
- 39:00the International Seabed Authority since 2019 when they first began
- 39:05considering the economics of, of the mining industry for nodules, um,
- 39:10rare earths have been considered a, a, a non-starter simply because- Hmm
- 39:14processing these nodules to extract the rare earth, rare earths would make it
- 39:18much more expensive to process the nodules for the manganese, cobalt, the cobalt,
- 39:23copper, and nickel primarily- Gotcha … which are the big money earners there.
- 39:26Um, and so again, that's stalling the process because, you know, countries,
- 39:32uh, negotiators negotiating in good faith on the basis of what was agreed
- 39:35in the 1970s, which is when the Law of the Sea negotiations first took
- 39:39place, are saying, "If we're going to abide by this principle, uh, and this
- 39:43legal obligation, we cannot start, uh, allowing mining to go forward now."
- 39:48Right.
- 39:48It's just, it's not going to pay out to humankind as a whole.
- 39:51You know, the idea- Yeah … back in the '70s was that the, the amounts of metals
- 39:56in the deep sea are so vast that the ISA, uh, authorizing mining for these metals
- 40:04would bring in a huge amount of money to the International Seabed Authority,
- 40:07which would then be shared out amongst all countries of the world, and in particular,
- 40:12uh, benefit developing countries.
- 40:14It would be a- Yeah … financial boom- Right … uh, to developing countries.
- 40:17And of course, today, we now know, looking at the economics of this industry, that
- 40:21in fact it's going to generate very little money, uh- Huh … particularly as in
- 40:26terms of royalty payments for the ISA.
- 40:28And those royalty payments will largely go to funding the ISA itself to keep on
- 40:34operating and, uh, to, uh, accommodate or meet an obligation of the International
- 40:40Seabed Authority that again, in, in the Law of the Sea Convention rather, from
- 40:44the, again, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, from the 1970s, that the, um, the ISA would
- 40:52have to pay developing countries who had substantial terrestrial mining economies
- 40:57for the same metals compensation for any loss of income to those countries as a
- 41:02result of the decrease in prices as a, uh, coming from, uh, seabed mining and
- 41:08seabed minerals being put onto the market.
- 41:10And so a lot of the analysis, and in fact we just, we just re- released
- 41:14an analysis, uh, uh, done by Koyaan.
- 41:17Uh, a fellow named Johnny West owns this company.
- 41:19He's been advised a lot of ch- uh, uh, uh, countries that are
- 41:23l- you know, negotiating, uh, uh, uh, arrangements or contracts with
- 41:28terrestrial mining industries.
- 41:30Um, he's calculated, and, and I've actually done similar calculations, that
- 41:34the ISA is likely to operate at a loss- Interesting … if it's gonna meet, uh,
- 41:38if, if they're gonna meet that obligation to compensate developing countries whose-
- 41:41Yeah … economies are substantially dependent upon mining the same metals.
- 41:45Right.
- 41:45And so, you know, e- economically it doesn't make sense.
- 41:48For the ISA in particular, it's, it's, it's, it's a huge risk.
- 41:52You can't, they can't guarantee they're gonna effectively protect the marine
- 41:55environment for harmful effects.
- 41:57Um, you can't mi- you know, you can't, you can't basically regulate an industry's
- 42:01impact on the environment if you don't understand what that environment is.
- 42:04Yeah.
- 42:05And, and, and then, and the metrics are pretty clear.
- 42:07You know, I mean, there's a lot that, you know, y- when, when you
- 42:09talk about baseline information and so forth, you know, uh, a- and, and
- 42:14connectivity and, and, and so forth, it gets a little bit complicated.
- 42:17But there are some simple metrics.
- 42:19When I get asked, for example, um, you know, "Okay, scientists say we n-
- 42:25always say we need more information.
- 42:27I mean, how much is enough?
- 42:28When do we know we have enough?" And I say, "Well, okay.
- 42:31There are some, you know, some fairly, uh, complex an- answers to that, but here's
- 42:35a simple one." And the one I ci- cite is, is this, that, um, and bear with me on
- 42:40this, but, uh- Of course … y-y-y- is, um, uh, Marielle Rabone and her colleagues
- 42:45at the Natural History Museum in London, uh, published a paper in 2003, I think it
- 42:49was Where they looked at the collections, uh, in natural history museums around the
- 42:57world of organisms that had been brought up from the Clarion-Clipperton Zone, the
- 43:03area of the Eastern Pacific where most of the mining interest currently lies.
- 43:07And they came up with, uh, 5,500-plus, uh, organisms, uh, that, um, that,
- 43:13that were geolocated to having been collected over the previous decades,
- 43:17not just in the last few years.
- 43:19Um, and, uh, of which only 500 had been tox- taxonomically identified.
- 43:25In other words- Hmm … only a 10th of these organisms, or less, had actually
- 43:29been id- well, they were roughly 10th, uh, 500-plus, uh, had been taxonomically
- 43:34identified, meaning there is some indication, some knowledge of how these
- 43:38organisms function, wh- whether they fee- filter feed or digest food, whether
- 43:43they're living in sediments or they're sessile organisms, meaning they attach
- 43:47themselves to the, uh, to the nodules and grow, such as corals and sponges.
- 43:51Um, and there's still another 5,000 to go.
- 43:57Yeah.
- 43:57Uh, the, the IS- the International Seabed Authority launched a, the, um, Sustainable
- 44:03Seabed Knowledge Initiative together with the IOC as part of the UN Decade of Ocean
- 44:07Science, I think in 2002, '22 rather- Yeah … at the UN Ocean Conference in, in Lisbon.
- 44:14And, and they set themselves a target of identifying, taxonomically
- 44:18identifying over 1,000 species by 2030 And so assuming they meet that goal,
- 44:25there's still another 4,500 to go.
- 44:28Um, and of course Robodeau and her colleagues, and they were looking
- 44:30at metazoan species, not all the microbes and everything or the, the-
- 44:33Yeah … biofauna or the microfauna.
- 44:35Um, uh, uh, uh, they estimated there's probably at least another
- 44:406,000 yet to be discovered.
- 44:41Geez.
- 44:42Possibly many more.
- 44:43Yeah.
- 44:44And so here's a simple metric that, that, that you can explain to people
- 44:48negotiating these regulations at the ISA why they need to wait until they have a
- 44:53much better understanding, because there is still a whole range of species that
- 44:56would be vulnerable to the mining- Yeah
- 44:58that you don't know anything about.
- 45:00You don't know what, how they contribute to just the, the, the natural processes
- 45:05of, of the deep sea that, that- Yeah … can be crucial, and we have no idea.
- 45:09Yeah.
- 45:10And you don't know how they reproduce.
- 45:11Yeah.
- 45:11You don't know how, you know, what, what, what their young look like or- Yeah
- 45:15what the vulnerabilities they are, they, they would be to sediment in the
- 45:19water column at the larval stage, or if they're filter-feeding organisms-
- 45:23Right … how that they may clog those apparatuses, uh, and make it far more
- 45:27difficult for those species to survive.
- 45:29So- Agree … yeah.
- 45:30No, and, and every year, you know, the, the ISA meets twice a year to discuss
- 45:35and negotiate certain terms and items within, within the ISA documents.
- 45:41Um, they just finished a two-week stint of looking at, in, in, from in July,
- 45:45look, in, in Kingston, Jamaica, uh, looking at a lot of different things.
- 45:50Um, can you walk us through those me- Were you at the meetings and, and can you
- 45:53walk us through the- Yeah … the, the sort of the updates from those meetings?
- 45:57Yeah.
- 45:57Let me just pull up something on my screen here- Sure
- 45:59um, to remind myself, 'cause there was quite a bit- There was a lot, yeah.
- 46:02There was a lot being discussed there.
- 46:04But, uh, let me just see here So, well, one of the big topics, uh, on the agenda,
- 46:10it was actually a three-week meeting.
- 46:12Okay.
- 46:13Um, two, two weeks of the Council of the ISA, which is
- 46:17now meeting only twice a year.
- 46:18Up until 2025, it was meeting three times a year between 2022 and 2025.
- 46:24Gotcha.
- 46:24Um, or between 2022 and 2024, actually.
- 46:27Um, and then, uh, after the two weeks of the council meeting in July, there
- 46:32was the annual meeting, it's only once a year, of the Assembly of the ISA, which
- 46:36is the supreme body of the ISA, as it's called in the Law of the Sea Convention.
- 46:41But in reality, the, the, the-- all of the negotiation or virtually all
- 46:47of the negotiation for, on the, on the mining regulations and the royalty
- 46:51regime and so forth takes place within the meeting of the Council of the ISA.
- 46:55And it's a body of 36 countries, uh, of the 172 now, I believe, countries
- 47:02that are, that are members of the ISA that actually is charged with
- 47:05negotiating the, um, the regulations.
- 47:08But one of the biggest issue… Well, so, so, um, a-again, this year, as
- 47:14in the previous, the last few years, they, they made limited progress
- 47:19on negoti- on agreeing things in the, in the, in the regulations.
- 47:22Mm-hmm.
- 47:23Um, there are still well over 100 pages, I think it's about 200 pages, but again,
- 47:28lots of brackets and so forth, in the current draft text of these negotiations
- 47:34There is ano- there are ancillary documents, uh, of several hundred pages
- 47:38more, including draft standards and guidelines, um, drafts of, uh, uh, uh,
- 47:45uh, provisions that didn't quite fit into the current draft text but should
- 47:50be considered because countries are still proposing them, so they have to figure out
- 47:54where to put it in and so forth and so on.
- 47:56A- and, and probably as many brackets, meaning unresolved issues in the text,
- 48:02uh, this year as there were last year.
- 48:04Uh, there was a debate over setting a timeline, um, or a, a roadmap
- 48:12for completing the negotiations.
- 48:14Uh, and they've done that twice already and missed the deadline.
- 48:17Yeah.
- 48:17So they did a, did a roadmap in, uh…
- 48:19Well, they actually did a roadmap in, well, not a roadmap per
- 48:21se, but a timeline, um, in 2017 to adopt regulations by 2020.
- 48:27That didn't happen.
- 48:29Right.
- 48:29Uh, then Nauru triggered the two-year rule, which meant that they needed to
- 48:34adopt regulations in by 2023 or else consider giving a provisional license to,
- 48:41in this case, the metals company to mine.
- 48:43Uh, they didn't do either.
- 48:45Uh, they set a kind of a tentative timeline for 2025 and missed that as well.
- 48:50Uh, so what they've, what they were talking about this past, um,
- 48:54beginning last year was rather than a new timeline, a roadmap.
- 48:58Identify the key issues that need to be resolved and kind of try
- 49:02to pick them off one by one as a indication of, of progress, uh,
- 49:07toward eventually completing, uh, the regulations, or at least making progress
- 49:11toward completing the regulations.
- 49:13But they couldn't agree, uh, on the, um, on, on the key issues
- 49:17that needed to be resolved.
- 49:18Uh, and one of the more fundamental ones, uh, uh, uh, is the fact that are they
- 49:23negotiating regulations at the moment to, um, only from nodule mining, or are
- 49:30they negotiating regulations for the three types of ores that the ISA has
- 49:35developed exploration regulations for?
- 49:38So the other two types being the ores called polymetallic sulfides that you
- 49:43find associated with hydrothermal vents, or the ores on the sides of some seamount
- 49:48ecosystems, some seamounts rather in the deep ocean, uh, called, uh, ferromanganese
- 49:53cobalt crusts, uh, which is basically an ore that it's, it's kind of like
- 49:57a, an accumulation of, of hard- Right
- 50:00substrate on the surfaces of these, um, of, of the seamounts.
- 50:04Or a third option is are they negotiating a kind of framework set of regulations
- 50:09that would, would apply to any type of mineral deposits that would be mined in
- 50:13the international seabed area, including some that haven't yet been discovered?
- 50:17Right.
- 50:17Um, and that's a pretty fundamental, uh, uh, you know, difference of
- 50:22views amongst the states as to what actually they're negotiating the
- 50:25regulations for, what type of mining and, and where and so forth and so on.
- 50:30Um, but a really key issue, and this is at the council, uh, was the
- 50:35whole issue of unilateral mining.
- 50:37As you know, the United States is now, NOAA is now, uh, uh, uh, taking on
- 50:42applications to go mine in the- Yes … international seabed a- area, uh, in Uh,
- 50:48i- i- in a, in a way without getting the authorization of the International Seabed
- 50:54Authority to do it, um, in a way that we- that risks fundamentally undermining
- 51:00the Law of the Sea Convention itself and the whole structure of the international
- 51:03maritime order that's been established.
- 51:04Yeah.
- 51:04Which the US has not signed to, right?
- 51:06The, the- Yeah … UN.
- 51:07Yeah.
- 51:07The, the US has not ratified.
- 51:09Ratified, sorry.
- 51:10And so the US, the, the, the current administration, but, but has always
- 51:13cooperated with the ISA- Yes … up until the Trump administration.
- 51:17Right.
- 51:17Under the current administration, their argument is, and this goes
- 51:20back to the Reagan years, "Well, we haven't ratified the Law of the Sea
- 51:24Convention, uh, uh, and therefore we're not bound by all of its provisions."
- 51:28The United States accepts all of the provisions of the Law of the Sea
- 51:31Convention as customary international law, except for the seabed mining provisions.
- 51:37Mm. Um, and so therefore, it's not acting in contravention of international law.
- 51:41Now, that's an issue of some debate.
- 51:43Uh, but the reality is that the, if the Metals Company goes mining,
- 51:48and they're the, the first at the table here trying to- Yeah
- 51:50get a mining license from NOAA, um, uh, it will be operating in contravention
- 51:56of the Law of the Sea Convention.
- 51:57Uh, particularly given that many of the, the individuals and the companies
- 52:03that are part of the, the, um, the Metals Company framework, as it were,
- 52:08its subs- subsidiaries in, in Canada, well, it, its headquarters is in Canada.
- 52:13It's Canada, yeah.
- 52:13Subsidiaries in Canada.
- 52:14It's got subsidiaries in, in Singapore, in Australia, in the British Virgin Islands.
- 52:20Um, the, the other companies that are either bought into TMC, other
- 52:25companies, I should say, either bought into TMC, uh, such as Allseas, which
- 52:30is the company that owns the mining ship, without which TMC cannot mine.
- 52:35Yeah.
- 52:35TMC doesn't own a mining ship.
- 52:37It's this company, a Dutch-Swiss company called Allseas that actually
- 52:40converted a m- uh, uh, a, an offshore dr- drill v- um, oil- Yep … drilling
- 52:47vessel- Yep … uh, platform, uh, from Petrobras in Brazil to, to a mining ship.
- 52:51Um, and, and the companies that w- that TMC is stating that it needs
- 52:57to, to be a- to, to, to enter into contract with to process the nodules
- 53:02when they bring them up off the bottom and bring them up to shore.
- 53:05So there's one called PAMCO in Japan, another called Korea Zinc in Korea.
- 53:10Uh, and these are all companies based in countries which have ratified the
- 53:15Law of the Sea Convention and are under a legal obligation- Mm-hmm … to
- 53:19prevent companies, citizens, and their state agencies over which they hold,
- 53:24h- you know, have jurisdiction from participating in a mining operation
- 53:30in the international seabed area that is not authorized by the ISA, a
- 53:34so-called unilateral mining operation.
- 53:37Hmm.
- 53:38And so this is getting really complicated, and this was a big part
- 53:42of the discussion at the council.
- 53:44Uh, the ISA has actually, the council of the ISA has charged the secretary
- 53:49general and the legal and technical commission, its main advisory body,
- 53:53to do an investigation of whether the subsidiaries of TMC are going
- 53:58to be acting illegally if TMC gets a license from the US and starts mining.
- 54:03Um, and the TMC, through its basically proxy, which is- Yeah … Nauru, the
- 54:09country that sponsors it, um, went to court, uh, to try to block this
- 54:14investigation, and they were successful in doing so, albeit temporarily,
- 54:20but temporarily at a critical moment when it could have lost its license
- 54:25with the U- with, with the ISA.
- 54:27Uh, and so, you know, this was a major issue of discussion, uh, at the council.
- 54:33Uh, the council decided to, to continue with the negotiations with the, with the
- 54:38inquiry, um, in spite of the fact that TMC tried to actually kill the inquiry
- 54:43through going to the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea.
- 54:45It's kind of the- Yeah
- 54:46court of the oceans.
- 54:47It was set up to adjudicate disputes between, um, uh, states over
- 54:52implementation of the Law of the Sea Convention, and extraordinarily enough,
- 54:56it does allow… It on- only states can take cases to the International Sea,
- 55:01uh, to the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea, uh, which can issue
- 55:04binding orders, uh, with one exception.
- 55:08And that exception is contractors to the ISA, private companies or state
- 55:12agencies, uh, well, private companies.
- 55:14They- They can't bring it.
- 55:15They can bring, they can bring cases against the ISA to the
- 55:18seabed, to the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea.
- 55:21Okay.
- 55:21Civil society can't do it.
- 55:23Right.
- 55:23Environmental organizations can't take cases there.
- 55:25But the contractors can.
- 55:26Unions can't, you know, even companies can't, but
- 55:29contractors- Interesting … can.
- 55:30And so they use that, I mean, their, their, their lawyers are very astute.
- 55:35Yes.
- 55:35They have been able to manipulate the ISA, uh, with the, with the
- 55:39support of the secretary general and a number of countries, in
- 55:43particular, uh, in this case, Nauru.
- 55:45Um, they, they, they, they can, they understand and, and, and can exploit the
- 55:50weaknesses in the actual decision-making structure of the ISA, and there are
- 55:54quite a few, um, uh, going back to the '90s and even to the 1970s, hardwired
- 56:00into the Law of the Sea Convention.
- 56:02Um, and, uh, you know, they tried to do it, and they were, they basically The,
- 56:09um, co- the, the, the contract that TMC had through n- through its, its subsidiary
- 56:16Nori with the ISA was set to expire in June, uh, July rather, of this year- Yeah
- 56:20last month.
- 56:21Um, and they got it extended for another five years because of this
- 56:26kind of legal maneuvering that they were intending- Oh, interesting
- 56:28… to, to do at the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea.
- 56:31And, and so, so again, coming to the assembly meeting, one of
- 56:34the big debates there was about corporate capture of the ISA.
- 56:38You know, it, uh, is the ISA overly, um, uh, pliant to the interests of,
- 56:46of private companies in particular that want to go mining, you know?
- 56:49Yeah.
- 56:49And you look at the triggering of the two-year rule in 2021
- 56:55that, excuse me You know, TMC and its subsidiary Nori demanding to
- 56:59get a, a license in 2003, 2004,
- 57:052005, and now going to the US to get a license and, uh, but wanting to keep
- 57:10its contract with the ISA to be sure that nobody else gets that contract.
- 57:16Yeah.
- 57:17Or nobody else gets that area- Gets that area … which they have a contract
- 57:19over, because that's the area that they wanna mine under a NOAA license.
- 57:22Yeah.
- 57:22Right smack in the middle of the contract that they have with the ISA.
- 57:25And of course, from our point of view is we, you know, we said to d- countries,
- 57:28"You should just cut them loose."
- 57:30You know, uh, do not allow, you know, either terminate the
- 57:33contract or do not extend it.
- 57:34And- Right … and, and, you know, this, this con- th- this, this, this
- 57:39company is, is, is manipulating this whole process in ways that are not
- 57:43beneficial to the ISA itself, are not beneficial to the integrity of the Law
- 57:49of the Sea Convention, and are certainly not beneficial to humankind as a whole.
- 57:53Um, and- Let me ask you this.
- 57:54How can, like, a country like the US, who hasn't ratified the UN Convention Law of
- 57:59the Sea, be able, like, how's, how can the metals company be able to work with them
- 58:04to be able to do, like, in international borders or even within their borders?
- 58:08Can anybody mine within their borders, their exclusive economic zone borders?
- 58:13Yeah.
- 58:13Yeah, that's the case.
- 58:14Under the Law of the Sea Convention- Okay … um, you know, it, it, they have
- 58:18full sovereignty over exploitation of mineral resources, i.e. mining, both
- 58:22within its 200-mile zones, their 200-mile zones, but also beyond that in areas of
- 58:28the so-called extended continental shelf.
- 58:30Oh.
- 58:30So you have the internet- I see
- 58:31so, and that's, I, I've forgotten which provision of the Law
- 58:34of the Sea Convention it is.
- 58:35Right.
- 58:35Yeah.
- 58:35But generally, that, that could be up to another 150 miles
- 58:38out beyond the 200-mile limit.
- 58:40Which, which increases a lot of the area, too, when you're looking at, like,
- 58:43a small island like American Samoa or, or Marian Islands or things like that,
- 58:47where they're targeting right now.
- 58:49Yeah.
- 58:49Yeah.
- 58:50Although, in that case, again, there's a debate.
- 58:52Russia and China have both challenged the US on this.
- 58:54Ch- the US, um, declared its extended continental shelf, uh, several years ago.
- 59:00Um, uh, and basically Russia and China, and some of the others actually,
- 59:05but Russia and China were the most adamant about this at the ISA meeting,
- 59:08saying, "Well, wait a minute, you haven't ratified the Law of the
- 59:10Sea Convention, so you get no right to an extended continental shelf."
- 59:12Right.
- 59:13You know.
- 59:13Yeah.
- 59:14If you don't agree to the… So yeah.
- 59:15Yeah.
- 59:16Yeah.
- 59:16It's true.
- 59:17Yeah.
- 59:17Can't have your cake and eat it too at this point.
- 59:19That's right.
- 59:19That's right.
- 59:20Yeah.
- 59:20Yeah.
- 59:20So, um, so with, with a lot of these, um- these provisions and these
- 59:25updates in, like, from these meetings.
- 59:28Where are we now within, uh, like deep sea mining?
- 59:32So according to ISA, my understanding is there's still a moratorium and a mo- uh,
- 59:37there's more momentum towards a moratorium than anything else after this meeting.
- 59:41Is that correct?
- 59:42Yeah, I think that's correct.
- 59:44Yeah.
- 59:44Yeah.
- 59:45Okay.
- 59:45I mean, the, the- they're still far apart on most of the key issues,
- 59:49the, the, the negotiators at the ISA.
- 59:51Uh, they're realizing it's not gonna be economical to mine.
- 59:54Um, you know, the ISA risks, uh, uh, uh, uh, operating at a loss.
- 59:59But more importantly, too, it's, you know, th- there are other things.
- 1:00:02There, there's, the, there's, the, there's, the, the, the, there's continued
- 1:00:06discussion of what the ISA should charge companies that want to mine- Yeah
- 1:00:12in terms of royalties.
- 1:00:13Right.
- 1:00:14And as well as, uh, some other things.
- 1:00:17So for example, one of the big topics of debate has been a so-called
- 1:00:20environmental compensation fund.
- 1:00:23Uh, the idea being that, um, uh, that, that if something goes wrong
- 1:00:29a- and the contractor goes bankrupt, uh, and the sponsoring state can't
- 1:00:34cover the damage, the cost- Yeah
- 1:00:36of the damage, uh, that, that's occurred, then there has to be a fund, a kind
- 1:00:40of a last resort fund established by the ISA, paid for by the contractors-
- 1:00:44Yes … or, you know, you know, funded by the contractors before any mining starts.
- 1:00:50And the view generally is twofold.
- 1:00:54One, that fund has to be well endowed, uh, because the ch- the, the, the, the,
- 1:00:59the potential for something to go wrong.
- 1:01:02Uh, well, three things actually.
- 1:01:03The first, the potential for something to go wrong is gonna be higher at the, as
- 1:01:06the industry starts up- Right … rather than, you know- Yeah … if, if it
- 1:01:10does start that they could iron out some, some of the problems or whatever.
- 1:01:14The second is That, um, the, the, the, but, but in the meantime,
- 1:01:21well, so s- but secondly, that would be a fund of last resort.
- 1:01:26Uh, and the, both the contractor and the s- the sponsoring state, who is
- 1:01:32equally responsible for, uh, together with the ISA, for ensuring that a
- 1:01:36contractor actually abides by the regulations, follows the rules, um,
- 1:01:41would be liable for any damages, um, and they have to be well insured.
- 1:01:46Mm-hmm.
- 1:01:46And this is, this is, I think one of the, one of the side effects of this
- 1:01:50is that from, from what I can see, is that a number of insurance companies
- 1:01:55are, have basically come out and said, "We're not gonna insure this industry."
- 1:01:58Right.
- 1:01:58"Because we have no idea what the cost of this insurance will be." It's true.
- 1:02:01"We don't know how, know, know how to price this." Yeah.
- 1:02:03You know?
- 1:02:04And the third element is, and this is part of this debate, is would this fund or
- 1:02:09the insurance, or both, only require, uh, uh, a, sort of a, to, to, uh, be able to
- 1:02:16clean up whatever damage occurred- Yeah.
- 1:02:19Yeah … or would it also require compensation to other ocean users-
- 1:02:23Yeah … or coastal communities or coastal states for loss- Yeah
- 1:02:25… economic losses to their businesses?
- 1:02:27You know, so you could see, for example, you know, whale watching
- 1:02:31industries- Mm-hmm … the fishing industry, you know, the, uh, um,
- 1:02:34turtle conservation societies- Yeah
- 1:02:36and so forth, you know, if these species or if the fish were impacted by the mining
- 1:02:40and this caused e- economic losses to these industries that have been built
- 1:02:44around these- Yeah … um, would it also compensate, have to compensate for those?
- 1:02:47And I think, and I think this is where what, what I said earlier,
- 1:02:51uh, to what Andrew Thaler said was, was like, this is where we can do it
- 1:02:54right, is to put in these, these…
- 1:02:57A- as much as we don't want, I, I don't want to see deep sea mining happen, we
- 1:03:00put in these provisions to make sure that the people who are gonna be affected
- 1:03:04the most are gonna be taken care of.
- 1:03:06I mean, we saw that with the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.
- 1:03:09Mm-hmm.
- 1:03:09How many people it affected, how many industries it affected
- 1:03:12beyond the oil and gas industry.
- 1:03:15You know, we saw, you know, I, I lived down there for a little bit,
- 1:03:17and we saw, you know, fishers that were affected, ecotourism that was
- 1:03:21affected, tourism in, in general.
- 1:03:23Um, you know, it was a big proportion of- Yeah.
- 1:03:26Yeah … of that area.
- 1:03:26And it's still being, you know, we're still- Yeah … finding studies
- 1:03:29that show, that continue to show damage, and we're more, you know,
- 1:03:32almost 15 years, uh, past that.
- 1:03:35And so- Yep … uh, I, I think every regulation, if you look at
- 1:03:39any regulation, uh, that's written in Canada and US anyway, there's
- 1:03:43always a, a, a, a development fund.
- 1:03:45Like, there's always a fund to pay for damages.
- 1:03:47If you're gonna damage an environment- Mm … you're gonna have to pay for
- 1:03:49something that will make it better or make somewhere else better.
- 1:03:53Um, even then, there's always, there's always contradiction within there.
- 1:03:56But At least they have to, they have, they're responsible, they're held
- 1:04:00accountable to, to the payment of, of what damage they're gonna cause
- 1:04:03and who they're going to affect.
- 1:04:05Um, one of the things that I've noticed in, in, um, uh, the negotiations or at
- 1:04:10least even the public comment period for the American Samoa and Northern
- 1:04:14Mariana Islands, like there were a lot of people, like a majority of the
- 1:04:17people, like more than 90% of the people who said, "No, we don't want this."
- 1:04:21That's right.
- 1:04:22And, and, and they decided to extend, you know, the, the result is the government,
- 1:04:26is the US government decided to extend the, the, the area that they could mine.
- 1:04:29Like that- Yeah.
- 1:04:30Yeah … like almo- more than doubled it or even doubled it, which is insane.
- 1:04:33I saw your podcast on that.
- 1:04:34Yeah.
- 1:04:34It was crazy.
- 1:04:35It's insane.
- 1:04:35I didn't realize that either.
- 1:04:36Yeah.
- 1:04:37They're saying everybody like, you know, 68,000 people said no, and there's like
- 1:04:40three people who are like, "Yeah, we don't mind." And then they're like, "Oh
- 1:04:42yeah, we're gonna double the area." It's like, it doesn't make sense, you know?
- 1:04:45And it, it's showing that they're, they don't care about what the people
- 1:04:48say, and they're just gonna go ahead.
- 1:04:50And, and I think what's, what's really revealing here, Matthew, is
- 1:04:54what you mentioned, is it's, it's sh- it's showing that it's not
- 1:04:58gonna be very economical, you know?
- 1:05:00And I've heard other things where even if, if you start mining today,
- 1:05:04that those metals will not get into production for like another 50 years,
- 1:05:08like from a commercial standpoint.
- 1:05:10And so I just… And with the, the way the batteries are
- 1:05:13changing and evolving- Oh, yeah.
- 1:05:14Yeah … for EVs, it, it looks like we're not even gonna need these
- 1:05:18types of metals in the long run.
- 1:05:20Um, so it seems like, you know, maybe it had a chance 15 years ago, uh, when
- 1:05:25all these things were developing, but it seems like it's, it's kind of past its
- 1:05:29point of, of, uh, really like, like- Yeah
- 1:05:33of actually producing something, you know?
- 1:05:35Yeah, that's right.
- 1:05:36It's, it's do by date.
- 1:05:37Du-due date.
- 1:05:38Yeah.
- 1:05:38When they, when they call it the, you know, it's, it's-
- 1:05:39Yeah … it's expired, is what it is.
- 1:05:41It's expired.
- 1:05:41Yeah.
- 1:05:42It's like, it's like spoiled milk, you know?
- 1:05:44As a business plan, you know, it's, it, it's out of date.
- 1:05:46Yeah.
- 1:05:47It's expired.
- 1:05:47Yeah.
- 1:05:48Yeah.
- 1:05:48So like, so I guess the question- Well- … to you is, to, to ask f- to,
- 1:05:51for you is like the Metals Company, obviously they've had a lot of investment.
- 1:05:54They have this priority to try and mine and, and they're probably getting
- 1:05:57a little bit more, more desperate, you know, in terms of trying to do
- 1:06:01this by circumventing the ISA and, and so to speak, and go through the US.
- 1:06:06It's not very economical.
- 1:06:07What's the benefit for them?
- 1:06:09I, I guess they're gonna benefit from their shareholders and, and
- 1:06:12that standpoint, but from the long run, like, it doesn't seem like
- 1:06:16a very reliable plan in the long run for this thing to work out.
- 1:06:20Yeah.
- 1:06:21No, I agree.
- 1:06:21I mean, I think what I've heard a number of commentators say, and Victor,
- 1:06:26Victor Vescovo one, being one of them, um, uh, is that they think it's
- 1:06:31a pump and dump exercise basically.
- 1:06:33Mmm.
- 1:06:34That you, you, you pump up the price of the stock, uh, and then cash out and-
- 1:06:40Right … let somebody else deal with the, with, uh, the future of the, uh,
- 1:06:44of, of the company and the industry.
- 1:06:46Um- It's interesting … but, you know, and this is something that, that Barron
- 1:06:49has been accused of doing as well.
- 1:06:51Well- Yeah
- 1:06:51maybe not accused, but he, he bought into Nautilus Minerals- Yeah … um, for
- 1:06:56several tens of thous- uh, several, yes, a couple hundred thousand dollars back
- 1:07:01at some point, uh, before he was, uh, with, uh, TMC, and then, uh, previously
- 1:07:09called DeepGreen, and then sold his stock for something like $34 million.
- 1:07:12So- Geez … um, and- This is Barron Trump?
- 1:07:17Pardon me?
- 1:07:18This is Barron Trump, is that who you're talking about?
- 1:07:19No, no, no, no.
- 1:07:20G- Gerard Barron- Oh, Gerard Barron … the CEO- I'm sorry.
- 1:07:22Okay … T- uh, of, of TMC.
- 1:07:24Oh, gotcha.
- 1:07:25And so, you know, he, he and, and his colleagues, I mean, the, the people, you
- 1:07:30know, that are part of the management of the c- of the, uh, company, um, when
- 1:07:34they went public and they needed Nauru to trigger the two-year rule, uh, in order
- 1:07:39to be able to effect a reverse merger and go public on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange,
- 1:07:45uh, which they did in September of 2021, um, they had to get Nauru to do it because
- 1:07:52country-- investors were, uh, uh, as far as we could tell, investors were starting
- 1:07:57to get cold feet about the merger.
- 1:07:58The, the, the investors in the other company.
- 1:08:00It was called a Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition Company.
- 1:08:04Mm-hmm.
- 1:08:04It was a SPAC, a special acquisition company.
- 1:08:07Okay.
- 1:08:07Sustainable Opportunities, n-not acquisition.
- 1:08:10Um, and I won't go into the details there, but they launched, uh, at $10 a share.
- 1:08:15Right.
- 1:08:15And the share price steadily declined to, uh, uh, uh, about a dollar
- 1:08:20a share for a number of years.
- 1:08:21Uh, and then when the Trump administration started to, you know, uh, uh, indicating
- 1:08:27interest in, um, in, uh, uh, seabed mining, uh, even before that, uh, when,
- 1:08:33uh, you know, um, what's his name?
- 1:08:36Howard Lutnick, um- Yep … whose company's Cantor, uh, what is it?
- 1:08:41Cantor Fitzgerald, um, had been invested in TMC, and it became o- obvious that
- 1:08:47he was gonna be, you know, he, he was one of the chairs of the transition
- 1:08:50team for the Trump administration.
- 1:08:52Mm-hmm.
- 1:08:52And then, of course, became, uh, Secretary of Commerce.
- 1:08:54Um, the price started going up.
- 1:08:56And then, of course, Trump, uh, execu- the executive order comes out saying, you
- 1:09:01know, fast-track deep seabed mining, uh, uh, operations, et cetera and so forth.
- 1:09:05The, the, uh, the, the, the, the price of the stock has started to climb,
- 1:09:09got up to about $10 a share again, a little bit more, and then came back
- 1:09:12down again, and so forth and so on.
- 1:09:13So it's been in a lot of flux.
- 1:09:14Yeah.
- 1:09:15Yeah.
- 1:09:15Whether he'll… You know.
- 1:09:17But when he went public, when, when Barron went public, uh, he had 17
- 1:09:21million shares, uh, in the company.
- 1:09:23Uh, and, uh, so value was, uh, uh, $170 million.
- 1:09:28Geez.
- 1:09:29Um, uh, so a nice, you know- Yeah … a, a, a good, good profit there.
- 1:09:33When you take a company public, as I understand it, I'm no expert on this,
- 1:09:38uh, as a principal of the company, you can't sell your shares for- Sure
- 1:09:42a certain period of time- Right … 12 or 18 months or whatever.
- 1:09:45Um, and by the time that, that those dates came around, the, the share price
- 1:09:49was worth, uh, you know, uh, uh, a, a, a, a- Back to like- … to a tenth
- 1:09:52of the, of the- Yeah … what it, what it, what it was when it went public.
- 1:09:56Right.
- 1:09:56But, but coming back to what you said earlier, for me at least,
- 1:10:00I, I have trouble seeing how you can possibly mine nodules Right.
- 1:10:07In the sense of doing it in a sustainable or an environmentally friendly manner.
- 1:10:12Yeah.
- 1:10:12Because in order to even, you know, the, the, the production targets
- 1:10:16that are discussed at the ISA are 3 million tons dry weight per year, um,
- 1:10:21per, per nodule mining license area, um, over a 30-year contract, which
- 1:10:26is the, the, the agreed period- Yep
- 1:10:28that a contract would run.
- 1:10:29Um, basically it would require mining somewhere between 8,000 and 12,000
- 1:10:34square kilometers, roughly 5,000 square miles- Mm-hmm … of, of nodules.
- 1:10:40Strip mining an area of, of 5,000 square miles, 12,000 square kilometers
- 1:10:45in a, in a, in a contract area.
- 1:10:48Um, and the contract areas for nodules are, that are issued by the ISA are
- 1:10:53roughly 75,000, uh, square kilometers.
- 1:10:56They're a little bit less.
- 1:10:57You, you can get up to 75,000 square kilometers.
- 1:10:59Yeah.
- 1:11:01None of the nodules-- The, the nodules aren't evenly distributed,
- 1:11:04uh, across a, a, a claim area.
- 1:11:06They're in sort of strips or clumps or aggregations.
- 1:11:10And so you would end up mining, say several hundred to maybe a couple
- 1:11:14thousand, uh, tons here, and then another 500 tons there, and so forth
- 1:11:18and so on, until-- I'm sorry, a couple thousand square kilometers
- 1:11:22to 500 square kilometers, et cetera.
- 1:11:24Well, maybe not even that much.
- 1:11:25Yeah.
- 1:11:26I take that back.
- 1:11:26Anyway, but you, you would- Yeah … you would be getting it--
- 1:11:29You would mi- be mining across the, the, the claim area where the nodules
- 1:11:34were in the highest concentrations.
- 1:11:36And so spreading the impact out across much, if not most of the, the actual
- 1:11:4175,000 square kilometers, even if you're only mining 10,000 or 12,000- Right
- 1:11:46square kilometers total- Yeah … in a 30-year period.
- 1:11:49And what you get out of that, um, you know, setting the economics aside,
- 1:11:54uh, and the increased costs, uh, that would be, uh, uh, would, would be
- 1:12:00related to, um, royalty payments and environmental compensation fund and,
- 1:12:05you know, increased price for insurance and so forth, is you get a very small
- 1:12:09amount of metal, uh, based on current global production, uh, terrestrially.
- 1:12:15And let me just bring up those figures for you.
- 1:12:17I've done these calculations.
- 1:12:18I keep updating them, but the last time was in 2024.
- 1:12:23And basically, um, let's see here Bear with me.
- 1:12:29Yeah, no worries.
- 1:12:30So you, you would, if, if, if-- so mining 3 million metric tons,
- 1:12:35I mean, metric tons dry weight per year, um, would give you about 0.13%.
- 1:12:42Gives you about 30,000 tons, roughly speaking.
- 1:12:45And these are, you know, I'm, I'm being generous here.
- 1:12:47Yeah.
- 1:12:48Because you got to subtract the amount of, you know, the, the, their, their,
- 1:12:51their, the, you know, the, the, the, the, the, the percentages in the nodules
- 1:12:56in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone are roughly very similar, plus or minus 20%.
- 1:13:01Gotcha.
- 1:13:01Um, they, they differ a lot when you go over to the Cook Islands,
- 1:13:04for example- Yeah … or the central Indian Ocean, some of these other
- 1:13:06nodule, uh, ar- areas where, where there's some interest in nodule mining.
- 1:13:10But basically you get 30,000 tons of copper, which is approximately
- 1:13:140.13% of what is mined, was mined terrestrially in 2024.
- 1:13:21You would get, and I'm being generous here, 36,000 could get, let's put
- 1:13:25it that way, 36,000 tons of nickel, which is 0.8%, so less than 1% of
- 1:13:31what was mined terrestrially in 2024.
- 1:13:34And for cobalt, uh, you could get, uh, close to 2%.
- 1:13:38I calculate roughly 5,000 to 6,000 tons of cobalt out of
- 1:13:42three million tons of nodules, or about 1.9%, uh, of the, uh- Right
- 1:13:47of the amount that's mined terrestrially today.
- 1:13:49And if you actually-- And, and that's, that's, that's primary production
- 1:13:53terrestrially I'm talking about here.
- 1:13:55Yeah.
- 1:13:55If you add in the fact that a lot of the copper, cobalt, and nickel
- 1:14:00on the market today is actually recycled- Yeah … which means you're
- 1:14:03putting even a lower percentage of new material, uh, on the market, uh,
- 1:14:09based on what's currently available.
- 1:14:10So in the US, I, I've not found global, uh, statistics on this, but you-- looking
- 1:14:15at, um, US Geological Survey commodity statistics, uh, for the US, about roughly
- 1:14:2125% of the cobalt on the market is recycled or, or from scrap, 35% of the
- 1:14:26copper the same, and 54% of the nickel, interestingly- Wow … on the, on the
- 1:14:30market is either scrap or recycled.
- 1:14:32Scrap being leftover from production of steel, for example.
- 1:14:35You still got a whole pile of nickel left over and, uh,
- 1:14:37and so you're gonna reuse it.
- 1:14:39Um, so all this is to say it's a, it's a huge area that you're gonna impact on
- 1:14:45the seabed itself and just above it in, in a, in a, in a far larger area that
- 1:14:51will suffer some impact in the water column as a result of the discharge of
- 1:14:56the, um, of the wastewater sediment and mining fines that are pumped back off the
- 1:15:01boat after you bring the nodules up to the surface, um, a- and onto the boat.
- 1:15:05And, and, uh, you know, you're contributing a very small
- 1:15:12amount to global supplies.
- 1:15:14And why, so why, you know, what is the benefit- Yeah … of, of even any
- 1:15:21mining at all for nodules in- if you need to mine at least three million
- 1:15:25tons a year to make it economically- Viable … viable according to the ISA.
- 1:15:30Um, and those numbers have been challenged at the ISA itself.
- 1:15:35They were- Yeah … they were numbers that came up from, uh, that, that
- 1:15:37were the, the, the e- economics estimates of the ISA were done by
- 1:15:41a, a team at, uh, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Right.
- 1:15:45So MIT And so, you know, so yeah, uh, uh, some guys.
- 1:15:48And, and basically what they were trying to do is in effect make it look as,
- 1:15:53as attractive to the ISA as possible.
- 1:15:55Right.
- 1:15:55Uh, and one of, one of the ways they did that was to basically say, um, you
- 1:15:59could convert the manganese into a very high value manganese, something like-
- 1:16:03Yeah … 99 point something percent pure, but the market is limited.
- 1:16:07Right.
- 1:16:07And the price elasticity is huge.
- 1:16:10You know, after the third or fourth mining operation, putting that much
- 1:16:13high value manganese on the market is gonna d- decrease the price.
- 1:16:17Yeah.
- 1:16:18Uh, and, and- S- … and similarly with the economics, uh, b- but the, but the
- 1:16:22other-- the, the flip side of this is, yeah, and similar with the economics,
- 1:16:24if you are going to-- if you're looking at deep seabed mining to substantially
- 1:16:28contribute to global supplies, and I've done the same calculations for
- 1:16:31the, um Um, uh, the, um, uh, IEA, the, the International to- no, the
- 1:16:39International, ugh, IEA, Energy Agency.
- 1:16:42Yeah.
- 1:16:43Uh, I, I don't think I got that right actually.
- 1:16:45No, it's not the International… Anyway, we're looking at their
- 1:16:48projections of demand of cobalt, copper, and nickel for 2030 and 2040.
- 1:16:51And, uh, and you get even less, uh, uh, deep seabed mining would
- 1:16:55e- per, per mining license would contribute even less- Right … uh,
- 1:16:59uh, to, to global supplies there.
- 1:17:01So if you're looking-- So in order to actually substantially, uh, increase
- 1:17:07global supplies, and I take your point on batteries, for example.
- 1:17:10Yeah.
- 1:17:10They're phasing out cobalt- Right … and nickel.
- 1:17:12It's, it's lithium iron phosphate- Yep … has replaced manganese nickel
- 1:17:16cobalt or manganese nickel, uh, aluminum- Yeah … uh, uh, batteries.
- 1:17:21And now there's a whole s- new slew of technologies coming
- 1:17:23online or materials technologies- Yep … coming online for batteries.
- 1:17:26But if, so, but you would have to mine so much of the seabed and impact
- 1:17:31so much of the water column in order to make a significant contribution,
- 1:17:35not replace terrestrial mining- Right
- 1:17:36but just maybe add 10% or 20%, uh, to the amount that would be terrestrially
- 1:17:42mined, that it's, it, it, it's, it's first of all, it becomes
- 1:17:45even less economical because the impact on prices would be huge.
- 1:17:50Uh, but it's, it's also sacrificing so much of, of the seabed, so much
- 1:17:55of the biology and ecology of, of the deep ocean, uh, for limited- For
- 1:18:01limited, yeah … potential gain.
- 1:18:01You know, you think, "Okay, what is-" Just doesn't make sense.
- 1:18:04"What is the societal calculation here? What is the ethical
- 1:18:07approach here?" Exactly.
- 1:18:08"Do we really need to do this?" You know?
- 1:18:10Exactly.
- 1:18:10Um, you know, have we not learned from 300 years of the Industrial Revolution
- 1:18:14that going into whole new frontier areas and, and, and strip mining, uh- Yeah
- 1:18:18… these areas or clear cutting these areas without knowing what the ecological
- 1:18:22impacts would be, and only waking up 50 or 100 years later and saying, "Oops.
- 1:18:26Boy, that was a mistake."
- 1:18:30Now we're gonna try to reverse this.
- 1:18:31Oh, true.
- 1:18:31You know?
- 1:18:31So.
- 1:18:31Yeah.
- 1:18:32No, absolutely.
- 1:18:33Yeah.
- 1:18:33Absolutely.
- 1:18:34And the other thing is with the ISA is, and this is, this is-- I, I won't go
- 1:18:37into the detail because it's so esoteric.
- 1:18:39It, it's not that esoteric, but it's, it's hard to explain
- 1:18:42without a, a, a lot of time.
- 1:18:44Of course.
- 1:18:44But ba- but basically you have, for example Sitting on the council of
- 1:18:49the ISA, you have, uh, ab- about 20 countries that are sponsoring,
- 1:18:53uh, either themselves or private companies for exploration licenses.
- 1:18:58China, Korea, Russia, Japan, I won't say all 20 of them, but, uh, India,
- 1:19:02Germany, uh, France, UK, Belgium, Poland, Nauru, Tonga, uh, Cook Islands,
- 1:19:10Jamaica, uh, Singapore, et cetera.
- 1:19:13The ISA has got a real weakness in its decision-making process.
- 1:19:17Um, and I won't go into the detail here, but basically if… And this
- 1:19:21is the way-- And I've, and I've been going to ISA meetings for 12 years
- 1:19:24now, since 2014, and just seeing how the whole decision-making process
- 1:19:28work independent of its environmental, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, regulations,
- 1:19:33uh, in this case for exploration.
- 1:19:34But if they all want-- If the first companies go and make a profit, let's
- 1:19:39say it does become economical The e- the economic pressure, the, the, uh,
- 1:19:44uh, uh, on the ISA to open up more areas for mining, by private companies
- 1:19:49teaming up with developing countries to get explo- e- exploration licenses,
- 1:19:54by states deciding to get in, uh, uh, into the game, will be so great that
- 1:19:59it's impossible to imagine that the ISA could say to, to, to China, "Okay, China,
- 1:20:04you're gonna have to wait until 2031.
- 1:20:06Belgium, you're next.
- 1:20:07You get a license in 29, uh, 2029.
- 1:20:10Uh, UK, come back in 2038.
- 1:20:13You know, uh, Nauru, you know, uh, next year," et cetera and so forth.
- 1:20:18If they all want to get licenses, they'll get them.
- 1:20:21The political pro- pressure and in particular the economic pressure, if the
- 1:20:24big money pours into this industry- Yeah
- 1:20:27if TMC makes good money, gets bought out by one of the big name-
- 1:20:30Yeah … uh, mining companies, and they start pouring billions into
- 1:20:33developing the technology and billions into building the infrastructure
- 1:20:36to, to go do this, all bets are off.
- 1:20:38The economics will likely drive the development of that industry.
- 1:20:42Yeah.
- 1:20:42You know, the ISA may be able to place some constraints around the
- 1:20:46edges of that development, but basically it's gonna be, you know,
- 1:20:48money talks and regulations walk.
- 1:20:50Yeah.
- 1:20:51No, totally get it.
- 1:20:52Matthew, this has been absolutely fascinating.
- 1:20:54I think we could probably talk about this for another two, three more hours.
- 1:20:57But, uh, I'd love to invite you back, uh, to talk more about deep sea mining,
- 1:21:01but also just the deep sea in general.
- 1:21:03This has been a fascinating- Yeah … chat.
- 1:21:05Um, and we really appreciate you, you coming on the episode and, and
- 1:21:08being able to, uh, chat with us and give us updates on what's happening.
- 1:21:12I think it's, it's very informative to see, uh, the future or maybe not the
- 1:21:16future of deep sea mining, uh, based on these, on these new revelations.
- 1:21:21So thank you so much for, for joining us.
- 1:21:22We really appreciate it and looking forward to having you back on.
- 1:21:25All right.
- 1:21:25Thank you, Andrew.
- 1:21:26A, a pleasure, uh, talking with you and, uh, I, I'm be happy to come back anytime.
- 1:21:30Awesome.
- 1:21:31Thanks.
- 1:21:32Thank you, Matthew, for joining us on today's episode of the "How
- 1:21:34to Protect the Ocean" podcast.
- 1:21:35It was great to have you on.
- 1:21:36So much to talk about, so much to review and digest.
- 1:21:40I would love to hear from you, though.
- 1:21:41Like, from this interview, it looks like deep sea mining is
- 1:21:44not sustainable economically.
- 1:21:46We know the environmental impacts, or we don't know the environmental
- 1:21:49impacts, but we can predict that they're not gonna be good But just even
- 1:21:52looking at the economics of the whole situation, it doesn't look like there
- 1:21:55could be a lot of revenue generated.
- 1:21:56And you wonder, what's the point?
- 1:21:57Why is there such a big push to mine these metals when batteries are getting better,
- 1:22:02they don't require as much of the metals that are being mined from the ocean?
- 1:22:06They're gonna be made differently.
- 1:22:08Is there really anything that can be done to stop it, and do we really need it?
- 1:22:12There's a lot of questions around there, and I would love to hear from you.
- 1:22:16If you're listening to this on Spotify, comment.
- 1:22:17I'd love to hear your thoughts on deep sea mining and whether there's a future
- 1:22:20in it from an investor relations point of view and an economic point of view.
- 1:22:24Obviously, we kinda know the environment, but I'd love to hear
- 1:22:26your thoughts on that as well.
- 1:22:28And of course, if you wanna hit me up on my socials, ask me questions,
- 1:22:31those links are in the show notes.
- 1:22:33And of course, the website for Deep Sea Conservation Coalition will be in there.
- 1:22:37You can get more information on them and what they're up to, not only
- 1:22:40from a deep sea mining standpoint, but also from a deep sea trawling
- 1:22:43standpoint, which is a very important issue that needs to be addressed.
- 1:22:46So this organization has been working on it for a long time,
- 1:22:49and they're very knowledgeable.
- 1:22:50I think it's great to see Matthew, as a former fisher, now, you know, being
- 1:22:54a huge advocate for the ocean from a political and policy advisor standpoint.
- 1:22:59It's just, it's great to see how everybody who works in and around the
- 1:23:02ocean, or a lot of people who work in and around the ocean, want to protect
- 1:23:05it, and it just goes to show that fishers wanna protect it as well.
- 1:23:08So yeah, that's the episode for today.
- 1:23:10All the links for Deep Sea Conservation Coalition will be in here.
- 1:23:13Hopefully, Matthew will come back one day to update us on more of their work,
- 1:23:16especially from the trawling standpoint.
- 1:23:18Again, I would love to hear from you, but that's it for today's episode of
- 1:23:21the How to Protect the Ocean podcast.
- 1:23:23I'm your host, Andrew Lewin.
- 1:23:24Have a great day.
- 1:23:24We'll talk to you next time, and happy conservation.