Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | Return of the Undertaker | MLB & WNBA | 8/12/26

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Wednesday BEST BETS | Return of the Undertaker | MLB & WNBA | 8/12/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm, man, a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your chains. Black coffee on the felt. Man, you look
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: like a mess. Three teen Parlette turned the dust in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Like they made you this man. But don't you go quiet.
• 0:35
  Speaker 3: Don't you fade from the floor, your name, steal me
• 0:38
  Speaker 3: something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. No, hold on,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: hold on nothing nice.
• 0:56
  Speaker 4: Now, hold on, hold on.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Me, but it all get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: And stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Toadstool Sports for Wednesday, August twelve. I never know what
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: day it is anymore, man, as you know from my
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: old intro my intermission. Uh stuff. Now, we did not
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: win yesterday with Cleveland. I don't know what else to
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: say about that. They I would hit Detroit in the game. Cleveland,
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: by the way, I don't think they'd lost the game
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: to Detroit all season. I think there were six and
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: zero against Detroit going into that game yesterday, and I
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: thought it was a good spot. I thought the pitching
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: setup was better. Cleveland's offense not good enough. Well, I
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: don't even know if I want to say that, because
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: again they out hit Detroit like ten to six or
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: something in the game. Usually when you do that, pretty
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: good chance to win that game. But no, it was
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: a one to one game. In the middle of the
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: game Byby kind of lost it. There was an error
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: in there that fucked everything up. And then yeah, then
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: all of a sudden they're down four to one and
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: they have to come back, and you know they're not
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: gonna be able to do that with that offense they tried.
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: They lost six to four. Valiant effort, but yeah, whatever,
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: We'll move on to today. I'm gonna have two totals
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: today in the MLB. I'm not doing anything with the WNB.
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: I don't like the WNBA board again today being selective whatever.
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: And then tomorrow will have a short MLB board. But
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to talk about NFL preseason. I guess tomorrow.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: I don't really do anything with it. I talk about
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: it anyway. Hard Knocks is back. As I started talking
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: about that yesterday, I wasn't sure if it was back
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: this week or not. Yeah, it came back last night.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: I think it was the first episode, or I think streaming.
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: I think it just comes out at midnight though, so
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: it was out the prior night, if you will, like
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: as soon as midnight hits on Tuesday, I think it
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: just drops now whereas it used to like air on HBO.
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: Probably still does air on HBO at night on Tuesday,
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: but on the streaming they just put it out first thing,
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: right when the day starts. But I have not watched
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: it yet, but I do know that it is with
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: the Seattle Seahawks during their preseason. It almost seems like
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: it's a year or too late, like, oh, they won
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: the Super Bowl, let's follow them in their preseason now, Okay,
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: I mean I don't know. Hopefully there are some entertaining
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: moments and it will say, all right, macadoo, what's up
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: Red Sox winning today? They better win? Dude, this is bullshit.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'll talk about that game when I get
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: to it. I don't necessarily disagree with that they better
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: fucking win. I'm fucking pissed. All right. We have afternoon
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: baseball here. Some of these series are ending, so Baltimore
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: and Minnesota first game up. I do have one afternoon play.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: It is not in this game. Although I do have
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: an opinion on this game as well. I mean usually
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: I'll try to form at least some opinion on it.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: This might be one of my stronger ones. Though Minnesota
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: lost yesterday, so this is a split series right now.
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is still I guess, under the delusion that they
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: can make the playoffs. I mean technically, yes, most teams
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: still cant technically make the playoffs. I don't think it's
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: gonna happen. Baltimore at least doesn't really think that they're going.
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: I mean they don't think that they're going to because
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: they're not. Baltimore used three relief pitchers yesterday. Minnesota is
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: the worst of the two bullpens. They also use three.
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: Baltimore is an okay bullpen. They're thirteenth. Yere not quite
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: that good recently again though after they had a nice
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: run for a bit. Minnesota is terrible though, twenty eighth
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: so arranged by Whip. So yeah, Baltimore is the better bullpen.
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's sixteenth. Offensively, Minnesota is twelve, so slight edge from
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: Minnesota there probably. I actually like both starters in this game, though.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: Shane boz is pitching for Baltimore three point seven to
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: sixty ray his whip I know isn't really that good
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: one point three to two. He's been debatably actually better
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: on the road, even though the ERA is worse at
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: three point eight two two thirty two, opponent batting average
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: on the road is better. So there are some things
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: about his metrics where he's actually better on the road.
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: And he's been good this month. Two starts this month,
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: thirteen to two strikeout walk ratio, only three runs all
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: out in fourteen to third innings. He's pitched well, and
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: his team did nothing behind him and lost both games.
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: They put up one run total of offense behind him
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: in those two games, so it's not really his fault.
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: So he's in pretty good form right now, or at
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: least over those last two starts. His hit rate on
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: the season is below one per inning, so that's at
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: least alright. His walk rate is somewhat high, strike out
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: rate is o, so his problem mostly is the walks.
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: That's where he's putting mostly too many men on base.
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: He's good against Minnesota though, in twenty five career at
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: bats one sixty average, four ninety ozho ps, eight to
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: two strike out walk ratio, so I think he might
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: actually pitch well here, because again he's better on the
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: road slightly, at least based on the opponent batting average
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: more than slightly, and he has good matchup numbers here.
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: Zabbie Matthews is pitching from Minnesota. They have this injury
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: news here. I think he already was. We're not really
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: injury news, but I guess he's day to day, but
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: I think he was in the minors and then they
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: called him back up and he made his his most
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: recent start I think happened after he got called back up.
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: He's got a five point two to three ERA one
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: point three to four whip is indicative that maybe his
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: RA should be a little bit better than that, and
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: he's good at home two point eight four Homie RA,
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: so he has extreme splits where he's way better at home.
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: He did make that one start after they brought him
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: back up from the miners. I think are actually I
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: don't know, he's just pitching on schedule right now, so
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: I'm not even sure when he was down to the
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: miners or how long that lasted, because it looks like
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: he's just kind of pitching on schedule here, and he's
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: had three okay starts in a row, including that last
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: one against Milwaukee not too bad. So he's in alright
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: form right now. Numbers on the season. His hit rate
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: is a little bit high, his walk rate's not too bad.
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: He doesn't really walk that many guys. Strikeout rate is
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: kind of mediocre, not great, and he loves too many
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: home runs and that's kind of the problem with them.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: Baltimore basically hasn't seen him though, only Holiday and Tavarus
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: has ever seen him in there zero for four off
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: and with a strikeout and then two walks from Holiday
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: in there. So Matthews he might do a little bit
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: better with the unfamiliarity behind him because Baltimore might have
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: to figure him out on the fly and struggle with that.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: So I like the first five under in this game.
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: I consider putting this one on my card. I think
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: it's somewhat close. Maybe the next one off actually after
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: the two that I'm putting on card, this one was
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: pretty close. Money looks like it agrees with the under
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: here uh sixty three percent of tickets eighty percent of
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: the cash on the under. The full game total is nine,
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: so the odds makers kind of telling you they think
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: it will be a little bit higher scoring. But again,
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: some of that is factoring in the bullpens, and the
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: bullpens are really not good, especially Minnesota. So that's why
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: I would say first five under I like the starters here,
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: I don't like the bullpens, so I would keep them out.
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: And I don't know what the number is going to
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: look like. In the verse, five looks like it's you
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: might even be able to get a five on this.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: That's not a bad number, although I mean again when
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: just yeah, I think I'm right here. Yeah. So I
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what else to say about that, but except
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: that when it's a high total, I tend to not
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: like playing unders though, because the oddsmakers are kind of
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: telling you they don't think it will be that low scoring.
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: The money is slightly indicating on Baltimore, I guess, but
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: the public is kind of on that side. Sixty four
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, six percent of the cash on Baltimore.
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is a very small favorite here. It's like a
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: pick'm price. Basically, the money line looks like it has
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: moved a little bit towards Baltimore. You can make the
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: argument Boz is more trustworthy the Matthews here, I guess.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Plus Baltimore is gonna have a bullpen advantage here, but
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Minnesota might have a motivational edge because they still think
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: they can make the playoffs. So I don't have a
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: good read on the side there, but I like first
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: five under in that one. Speaking of which, this next
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: afternoon game, this is a first five under Phillies and
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: Cardinals under four in the first five. That is gonna
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: be a play for me. We have a pitcher friendly
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: ballpark here. I think we have offenses that are pretty
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: weak here, and I like the pitching well enough to
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: actually do this, even though you wouldn't have thought that
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: maybe earlier in the season, because one of these pitchers
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: is actually good the other isn't. But I'm gonna do
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: it anyway. Here. Philadelphia two relief pitchers yesterday, so their
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: bullpen is in okay shape. Here Saint Louis used four.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna avoid the bullpens though I don't like these
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: two bullpens, Philadelphia nineteenth Saint Louis twenty first. Philadelphia's e
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: ray is a bit worse close to four point five,
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: so I don't really want to try to trust them here.
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: I think our biggest edge here is in the first
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: five innings here when the starters are still out there.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: We don't have good offenses here Philadelphia. You think they'd
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: be good with the hitters they have, but they're twenty
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: first and they're not that good on the road. And
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: this is a hitter This is a pitcher friendly ballpark here,
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis, twenty fifth. They've fallen off offensively in Philadelphia,
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: by the way, tied with the Royals offensively. That's never
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: really a good sign. But we're back into pitching here
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: as well, even though I think fading the offenses makes
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: sense here. But Zach Wheeler is pitching for Philly. He's
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: an ACE caliber pitcher two point six to ninety array
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: point nine to eight whip. He's even better on the
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: road two point three to one. Roady Ray wasn't good
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: in his last start against Toronto. Really, he's been kind
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: of bad over his last three starts, so that worries
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: me a little bit that his current form isn't that good.
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: But one of the starts he was pitching well and
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: then there must have been a like a rain delay
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: or something and he just never came back in the game.
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: After he threw two winnings against Baltimore, and he was
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: good in that one. So if he's gonna continue to
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: alternate now good and bad, he should be good here.
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: It's kind of a red flag that he wasn't good
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: against a bad Toronto offense last time out, But he's
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: Zach Wheelerman. I mean, he's been in the league for
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: a long time. I don't think he's gonna do that
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: bad here. His innings count isn't even really that high
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: this year because he was injured for prior of the year.
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: He's got a low hit rate, low walk rate, high
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate. His strikeout rate continues to be high recently,
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: even though he's gotten hit around a little bit in
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: a couple of these starts, so I think he's fine.
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: And he's got decent numbers against Saint Louis, so they
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: really they only have four hitters who have faced him,
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: so half of their lineup hasn't even seen Wheeler before.
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: They have nineteen at bats to sixty three average, but
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: a pretty low six sixteen ops only one extra base
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: hit a double from win three to one strike a
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, So I think Wheelers should be fine here.
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: We're in the better of his home road splits he's
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: up against a weak offense here. They haven't really done
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: much against him, and we are also going to back
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: Kyle Lahey here, which maybe sounds insane. He's pitching for
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis, but he's been a lot better recently. His
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: era's three point four to five, which is good, although
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: it shouldn't be that good. His WIP isn't that good
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: at one point three four, so he's not as good
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: as his RA makes him look. But he's better at home.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: He's got a three RRA at home. He's legitimately better
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: at home, and he's been better like over the past
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: month plus. He's been a pretty good pitcher really, since
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: like kind of mid June. He's pitched well. He hasn't
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: a lot more than two urn runs in any start
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: going all the way back to June seventeenth, so he's
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: keeping runs off the board in a big way here.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: And his strike out rate hasn't been too bad recently either,
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: and his walk rates come way down, so he's pitching
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: pretty well here. His hit rate is still too high
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: on the season, but his walk rate's kind of low.
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: His strike out rate is mediocre, but again, some of
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: these numbers have gotten better recently. He does get a
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: lot of ground ball outs, which sometimes masks other problems.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: But he's also good against Philly. They have fourteen at
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: bats against him. I know it's not a big sample,
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: but most of their hitters have faced him before two
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: fourteen average, five hundred oh pps three zero strikeout walk ratio,
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: one extra base hidden here a double from Marsh. So yeah,
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: I say, let's do it under a first five innings
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: here in this one, Wheeler might be able to carry
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: most of that load. But it looks like the money
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: does agree with this. Seventy five percent of the tickets,
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the cash on the under the
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: full game totals eight, teetering on seven and a half,
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: but you can find a four in the first five
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: at a pretty good number. So that's what I'm doing here.
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: As far as the side, the money is backing Saint Louis,
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: and I think that's actually correlated to our under here, right,
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: because if the money's gonna back Kyle Lahey here, it's
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: not really a fade of Wheeler. It's more that you
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: think Layhy can kind of keep Saint Louis in the game.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: So I think that is correlated to the under Usually
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: under and underdogs tend to be correlated more often than not.
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: Eighty four percent of the tickets fifty four percent of
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: the cash on Philly, so they're a public side there
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: at minus one fifty something here with most of the money.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: It looks like a lot of the money actually coming
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: in towards Saint Louis rather than Philly. So that's what
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: got going on there. These teams will split the series
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: so far. By the way Saint Louis won two to
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: nothing in a shutout yesterday, I don't have a great
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: read on the side. I mean, I think both teams
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: have some reasons to be motivated. They are the Phillies
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: kind of the team with something to actually play for
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: because Saint Louis is not going to make the playoffs. Sorry,
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: but yeah, Philly probably will. But we will, we will,
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: we will, say, all right. The next game up is
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay and the aas Ray's A's homeless as. Tampa
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: Bay is on the vergion of a sweep and they
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: put up double digit runs in both games in the
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: series so far. So Tampa Bay taking advantage of this
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: as stadium as far as putting up a ton of
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: offense is concerned. I don't know if we're gonna see
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: a huge offensive explosion in this one though. I mean,
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay has one of their best starters on the
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: mount here, but Tampa Bay may be able to put
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: up some runs here. However, it's not a good spot
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: really for Tampa because they've already won this series. They
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: have a pretty good lead in the Al East right now,
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: and are they really going to pay attention to the
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: final game against the A's when they've already won the
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: series when Tampa has a bigger series up next kind
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: of against Baltimore. I know that's not the biggest series
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: that could have, but it's a divisional series. It's bigger
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: than the A's at least, so I could see Tampa
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: possibly overlooking this game. So I'm not gonna come in
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: and try to play Tampa, even if we do think
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: they have the better starter, but does have a bullpen advantage.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, everybody has one over the A's. But they
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: didn't use any relief pitchers yesterday. It looks like I
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: don't know who started for them. Yes, I don't remember,
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: because Rasmussen is really their one. It was a Nick Martinez, right,
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: did he actually pitch a complete game. I doubt it
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: because a lot of runs came home from both teams, right,
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: but I don't know. Maybe he did. Anyway, it doesn't
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: really matter here. Tampa's bullpen does look like it's clear,
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: and the A's bullpen is terrible, so there's no way
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: I would back. I would never back the A's bullpen,
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: but uh, they're at a pretty severe disadvantage here. They
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: used three guys yesterday and raise the ranks second in bullpenal,
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: though I don't think they're actually that good. They're eras four,
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: but they're good enough. And the A's bullpen is, like
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: I said, is awful. They're dead dead last in ERA
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: and second worst and whip so twenty ninth there. Rays
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: have been pretty good offensively, actually there's sixth, and obviously
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: this series is helping them out. The A's are sixteenth,
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: tie with Baltimore and not doing that well recently. They
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: got some injuries in there. They're gonna have to go
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: up against Jirafsmussen here. Like I said, who was Tampa
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: Bay's best pitcher? Really good season for him two point
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: seven five Vra point nine to one whip. He's been
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: basically the same home and away. Very consistent numbers here,
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: really good. Recently, he's allowed no runs in three straight starts,
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: and he's only allowed two since the All Star break.
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: Is that good? Yeah, he's not allowing much of anything.
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: He's striking a lot of guys out, He's not putting
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: guys on base. He's got a low hit rate on
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: the season, doesn't really walk anybody. His strike cut rates
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: pretty high. All these numbers are good, except he's not
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: good against the A's, believe it or not, even their
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: current injury plague lineup without Kurts and without I already
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: forget the guy's name, the guy who's being talked about
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: in the trade discussions and he's out for the season
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: now starts with an L. Why can't remember anybody's name anymore?
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: I'm like, I want, I want to say langer Hans,
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: and I'm like that that's not right. Whatever the hell
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: his name is. Anyway, the A's have twenty three at
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: bats against Rasmussen, three forty eight average longo leers. That's
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: what I was thinking of. Three forty eight average against Rasmussen,
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: oneenty twenty seven ops five to one strike out walk ratio.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: Though ratio is good, but these numbers are not that good.
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: So the A's are one team that can actually get
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: to Rasmussen. The other thing you have to know with
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: your pitchers here in the A's stadium is how flyball
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: heavy are. Then Rasmussen is not really He's got a
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: pretty even split ground ball fly ball, so he's not
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: a bad style for pitching in the stadium. So this
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: viticular stadium, I don't think it's going to hurt him
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: that much. But you just saw the A's have been
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: able to hit him, so I don't really want to
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: back Rasmussen here. Jack Perkins is pitching for the A's.
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: He's struggling. Seven point zero four era. He's still young,
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: he's got good strikeouts stuff, but he's putting a lot
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: of guys on base one point four or five whip
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: although actually I think his era should be it should
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: actually be a little bit lower in my opinion than
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: what it is, maybe not much lower. But he is
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: also kind of bad at home seven point two home
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: he ra, so you know, he doesn't do that well
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: in this stadium. It's a difficult stadium to pitch him.
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: Hasn't been good in either of his starts, this month,
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: He's given up a lot of runs here. He's striking
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: out a lot of guys, but he's also getting hit hard.
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: He's got kind of a high hit rate on the season.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: He's allowed way too many home runs. He's kind of
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: a fly ball pitcher, so that's not good pitching in
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: this stadium. That's definitely hurt him. His walk rate is
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: also too high, so a lot of things to not
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: like here. Although his strikeout stuff is really good, so
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: he has the ability to with guys at the major
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: league level, you know what I mean. If he can
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: figure out some of his other shit here and maybe
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: he needs to go to another team, I think he
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: will actually be significantly better. Actually, if he fixes his
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: control and probably pitches somewhere other than with the a's,
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: or if the a's actually move and he's still there
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: or whatever, then maybe he'll be better. The Rays don't have
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: much experience against him, only Hicks, the guy that they
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: picked up at the trade deadline. Hicks is the only
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: guy who's faced him. He's won for two, often with
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: a single strikeout in a walk. Not a whole lot
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: to see there. Rastwissen should still have the upper hand
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: in the pitching here. Tampa Bay also has the bullpen edge,
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: but they don't have the situational edge. Like I said,
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: they do have the offensive edge as well, But if
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: you want Tampa Bay, you gotta lay minus two hundred here.
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: I don't think you could do that, especially given that
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: raswissen Is just isn't that good against the A's. The
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: money is all coming in on the A's eighty three
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on Tampa Bay, So Tampa Bay
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: is going to be a public side. Not a surprise
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: there sixty five percent of the cash on the A's
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: though I think some of it is because the money
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: line is just so high. The professionals are just gonna
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: come in and take all these big underdogs. But some
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: of it is the spot right. Like I said, the
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: Rays might overlook the A's having already won the series
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: and having a potentially bigger series to look ahead to. There.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't even try to figure out the side here, though.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: I like, if you're gonna play this game, I might
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: just say go over the total. It's a nine and
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: a half, which is pretty reasonable for an A's home game.
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: Like usually you see these lines around ten. It's got
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: to be a little bit lower than that, just because
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: Rasmussen is good. But and money's coming in on the under,
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: but it looks public and I don't really agree with that.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: Eighty eight percent of tickets on the under, ninety three
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under. But I don't
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: trust Perkins. I don't trust the A's bullpen. Rasmussen. I
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: do trust him, but he doesn't have good matchup numbers here,
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: so this might not be a great start for him
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: for once here. Uh So, yeah, I like the over
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: in that game if I was gonna do anything with it,
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: but I'm not gonna do that, Garrett, what's up? They're
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: the Indians, Uh sir? That debatably, that should not have
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: been a loss that they they won the hit battle
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: like you usually don't see a team have exactly the
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: same amount of runs as hits. And that's what the
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: fucking Tigers did in that game yesterday. So the Tigers big,
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: like everybody that reached bass scored for them, which is
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: not usually what happens. Whereas Cleveland stranded a bunch of
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: bas runners. It pisses me off. Colorado and Arizona. This
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: series I think is ending as well. These seems to
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: split the series so far, Arizona has more to play
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: for because they're in a wild card race here, including
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: with San Diego, who's tied with them right now in
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: the NL West standing. So Arizona's in a yeah, they
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: have to keep playing baseball, man, they're trying to make
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. Colorado has got nothing to play for it,
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: but it's a divisional game. Colorado might want to play
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: spoiler here, so I'm not gonna say they're gonna be unmotivated,
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: because I don't think that's the case. Colorado used three
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers yesterday. Arizona used three as well. Colorado's bullpen
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: is the worst of the two, though Arizona's ranked sixth,
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: even though I don't think they're actually that good. They've
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: been up here all year in Whip, but their ERRA
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: continues to be too high, so it hasn't really the
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: er rain not drop things still kind of tells me
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: they're not really that good. Colorado's definitely worse, though at
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: twenty seventh, Colorado is the better offense. They're fourth, and
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: Arizona has been good recently. Their twentieth Since the All
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: Star break, Arizona has been much better offensively, So they're
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: not a bad offensive team right now, but overall over
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: the course of the season they haven't been that good.
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: Colorado's still probably slightly better. Feltner Ryan Feltner is pitching
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: for Colorado. He's not their worst pitcher. I mean, I
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: know that's not saying much. A five point seven to
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: one e r Ram one point four or five whips
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: still not good, believe it or not. He's actually worse
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: on the road. He pitches better in course field this
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: year five point eight five Roady Ram not great and
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: this is a fairly hit or friendly ballpark here in Arizona.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: Feltoner has been okay ish over his last couple of starts,
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: but not great. Obviously, his strikeout walk ratio remains pretty awful.
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: He's given up too many hits on the season, too
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: many home runs, a lot of that probably coming in
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: course field. Though his walk rate is too high, strike
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: out rates low. He doesn't really strike anybody out, really
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: ugly strikeout walk ratio. However, he is good against Arizona.
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: They have thirty at bats against him one thirty three average,
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: four ninety seven ops nine to seven strike out walk ratio.
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: That's an ugly ratio, but the rest of these numbers
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: actually not bad, so Feltner, I don't really want to
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: trust him, obviously, but he might do okay in that start.
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: Merrill Kelly is pitching for Arizona. He's having some injury issues. Man.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: I don't know. He might just be too old at
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: this point. I mean, I thought he would continue to
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: pitch well for one or two more seasons because he
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: doesn't throw hard and that's not like he's not a
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: guy that relies on velocity. And he's had a pretty
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: good career really and he was fine last year on Texas,
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: but coming back to Arizona, it hasn't gone well for him.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: Four point eight to eighty RA, one point four to
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: seven whip. He's been bad at home this year seven
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: to seven home, yeah, race, So that's a problem. He's
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: been somewhat better, like he was. He had a really
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: good month of July, so he was getting better, but
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: then his last couple of starts this month have been
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: kind of bad. Even though he actually held the Dodgers
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: off the board and they actually won that game, he
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: walked four guys in that game in five to two
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: thirds innings. He walked four guys in five innings in
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: the prior start against a bad Cleveland offense, which was
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: the one where he unraveled in the fifth inning and
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: we lost the first five under and the full game underhit.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: I'm really pissed about that, really really pissed. But his
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk race is not good over the past month.
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: I don't trust Kelly really, especially not at home. His
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: hit rates too high. He's giving up a ton of
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: home runs this year. That's not good. Walk rates too high,
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: strike out rate is low, really ugly. Strikeout walk race.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: M not a lot to like here, although he is
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: okay against Colorado in seventy six at bats, two thirty
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: seven average allowed, seven to twenty ohps is getting a
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: little bit high though, sixteen to one try out walk
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: richhows good though, so he does have good command numbers
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: against them. You know, I mean this game, I don't know, man,
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: this is a game that I don't I just don't
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: have much of an angle on it. The totals nine
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: and a half. I guess you could just simplify it
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: and just pretty much point out that the pitching is
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: just not that good overall in this game. Like I
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: don't like either bullpen, I don't really like either starter.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: I guess over the total might be the way to
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: play this game, but the money is coming in on
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: the under sixty five percent of the tickets, eighty four
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under. Both pitchers do
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: have decent matchup numbers at least, so I don't really
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: want to do it, but I still think the over
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: might make more sense than anything else in this game.
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: Arizona is a pretty heavy favorite. It minus one seventy something.
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: They dropped a little bit on the money line. They're
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: very public, ninety one percent of the tickets, ninety one
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash. I would not come in and
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: try to play Arizona at that price, even though they're
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: the better team and they have something to play for
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: that's factored into the line. It's a high price, and
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: I don't know if you can really back Merril Kelly
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: at a price like that, especially considering he's not good
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: at home, So I would not do that. I think
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: maybe the over is the better way to look at
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: that game than anything else. Houston and San Francisco. This
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: is a very difficult game to handicap because we have
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: no clue what the pitching situation is gonna be here
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: these teams to split the series. San Francisco won yesterday
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: to end a three game losing streak. Houston has more
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: to play for because they're trying to make the playoffs here.
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: San Francisco's just playing out the stretch here. Houston does
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: have the better bullpen. San Francisco's has been a disappointment
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: this year for sure. They used three relief pitchers. Houston
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: used three yesterday as well. But Houston's the better bullpen.
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: They've really turned it around after a bad start. They're
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: number ten in bullpen right now. San Francisco twenty fifth,
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: So Houston does have the edge there. Houston does have
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: the offensive edge as well. There's seventh tied with Atlanta
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: and Milwaukee. That's pretty good. San Francisco is where are
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: they eighteenth? Tied with Texas? Yeah, so, as I keep saying,
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: I don't think San Francisco is that good, they're not
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: that good at home. However, the pitching in this game,
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: it doesn't look good. Houston's got Brian King listed as
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: a starter. He's a relief pitcher, so he's gonna be
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: an opener here. He's nothing special, So it looks like
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: you're going with the Houston bullpen game. Like I looked
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: at Houston five games ago is what you kind of
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: need to look at to try to gauge what they're
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: gonna do today. And it was Renelle Blanco who pitched
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: for them, But Houston hasn't had a day off since then,
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: I don't think, so it looks like they're pushing Blanco back,
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: like I think he's probably starting the next game, which
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: would be in two days actually, because a lot of
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: these teams are not playing tomorrow. Houston. What are we
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: looking at here? Where is Houston? They're playing here somewhere. Yeah,
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: so Blanco is scheduled to pitch the next game, which
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: is Friday. So Houston's going with a bullpend game here
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: to try to rest their starting pitching because they haven't
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: had enough days off. And San Francisco, I think, is
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: also going with a bullpen game here. They haven't decided
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: on a starter. And if you went to see what
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: they did five games ago, that was a bullpen ish
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: game with Adrian Hauser getting the bulk of the pitching
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: duties there and he pitched fairly well, but he's still
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: not good. I don't know if it's gonna be Houser
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: here or not, because they might want to do the
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: same thing Houston is and push him back a game.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: So in San Francisco, we know they traded two of
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: their starters of the trade deadline, Ray and Molly, who
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: are hilariously both pitching today by the way, I think,
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: right or did Ray pitch yesterday? No Race pitching today?
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Next game we're gonna talk about. Yea, So I think
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: they're both pitching today. Yeah, ridiculous, But anyway, Yeah, this
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: game is impossible to predict. I would say, like, I
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: have no idea. The money is slightly indoicating towards the under,
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: but it looks like a public under totals eight and
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: a half. I mean I don't buy that though, because
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: usually unders aren't public. But if anything, I think I
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: would probably just play the over because you know me,
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: I don't like bullpen games. But potentially the bullpen games
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: could throw the offenses off and keep them off balance,
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: you know, because you have to keep facing a different
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: pitcher every couple of innings. Eighty percent of the tickets
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: are on the under, eighty three percent of the cash
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: on the under. This is I think this is the
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: most unpredictable game on the entire board though, So yeah,
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: obviously I'm not playing it. I'm not recommending playing it.
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: It would be the last game I would recommend playing
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: on the entire board. Sixty nine percent of the tickets
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: on Houston, seventy six percent of the cash on San Francisco,
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: so the money is coming in on San fran Houston's
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: about minus one forty here. Probably has to do with
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: the price, Like maybe Houston just shouldn't be favored like
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: this on the road with a bullpen game, but they
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: do have the better bullpen, so Houston has some advantages
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: here still. But yeah, it's a game that I'm staying
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: far away from. Man I got I got pretty much
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: nothing on that game. Milwaukee San Diego. This is an
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: interesting one with two starting pitchers who got traded at
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: the trade deadline, and they're each making their second start
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: with their respective teams and their last names rhyme May
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: against Way. San Diego's won four in a row and
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: they're on the verge of sweeping the Brewers here Milwaukee,
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: though Milwaukee's the better team still, and better team trying
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: to avoid a sweep you know, might show up here,
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: even though I said coming into this series, San Diego
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: had more motivation here because Milwaukee they have a pretty
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: comfortable lead in their division right now. They're going to
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: make the playoffs, there's no question about that. San Diego
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: is fighting. Like I said, they're tied with Arizona in
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: their division. They're gonna have to get a wildcard. They're
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: not gonna catch up to the Dodgers, So that's what
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: San Diego's fighting for here. I think Milwaukee might have
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: the better set up here though, and they might actually
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: finally show up and actually win a game here because
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: they're the better team and they don't want to get swept. Milwaukee.
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen is very rested here. Haven't used really anybody
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: over the last two days except for Bryce Wilson, was
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: kind of a long relief guy. So Milwaukee's bullpen is
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: very clear right now. San Diego on these two guys yesterday,
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: including the awful Griffin Canning, so their bullpen is in
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: good shape as well. And they're both good bullpens. As
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: I pointed out when we played the under two games
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: ago and got that one as a winner. Milwaukee's ninth
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: offense or excuse ninth in bullpen, San Diego's seventh. They're
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: both good. I think they're both like top five or
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: six bullpens. So it's tough to gauge which one we
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: really think is even better than the other right now,
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: I think probably San Diego's is slightly better in my opinion,
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: but the numbers say a little bit otherwise. Milwaukee's tied
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: in seventh offensively, like I said, with Atlanta and Houston.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: San Diego's worse than that at twenty fourth, though they've
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: been a little bit better recently. Dustin May is making
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: a second start from Milwaukee after Saint Louis trade, and
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: he's had a mediocre season many I mean, i'd say
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: better than mediocre. Actually, he hasn't been that bad. Four
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: point three ra one point two to seven win. He's
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: not good on the road though, six point three to
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: one Roadie Ray, so he has extreme home roads. Let's
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: you do have to worry about that. His first start
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: with Milwaukee was pretty good. He beat Pittsburgh, so that's
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: not a bad thing. That was in Milwaukee though, so
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: that was another home start, though it was in his
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: new home, and he did walk too many guys in
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: that game. He was pretty good, but he walked too
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: many guys. What are we gonna get out of him here?
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, because he's not as good on
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: the road, so that would worry me a little bit.
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: With Milwaukee here, although it's San Diego, it's a pitcher
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: friendly park. San Diego not really that great of an offense.
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: As I said, May has a reasonably low hit rate
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: on the season here, really doesn't allow home runs, so
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: that's good. Even though he's kind of a fly ball pitcher,
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: he's kept the home run right way down. His walk
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: rate is okay. His strikeout rate is not too bad either,
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: so yeah, these numbers decent, not too bad here. Numbers
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: against San Diego are also not too bad in a
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: lot of at bats one hundred and forty two at
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: bats because May was on the Dodgers for a while,
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: so San Diego is familiar with him, but they have
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: not had success two thirty two average six to sixty
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: one oh ps against him. The ratio here is not
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: very good though, twenty eight to eleven star I got
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. All the rest of these numbers pretty good though,
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: so I think May I would lean towards him pitching
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: well here, even though he sucks on the road. I
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: don't really want to back him here, but he might
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: do well enough here in a pitcher friendly park against
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: an offense that he's done well against in the past.
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: Robbie Ray is getting his second start with San Diego
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: after being traded from the Giants. Three point two to
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: four ERA looks pretty good for him, but just like
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: I was saying at the end of last year, he's
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: not that good. His whip is one point three to three,
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: so that's not really that good. Indicates his ERA should
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: be higher. He was good at home, although this was
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: all in San Francisco. I think, actually maybe he had
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: one start in San Diego with Sandy. I think he
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: had one start in San Diego as a San Diego
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: pitcher so far. But he has a two point five
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: to seven Holey Ray overall, which you think he would
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: pitch well in San in San Diego because San Francisco's
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly, San Diego's pitcher friendly. It should be he
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: should adapt easily. It didn't happen, though, Like he went
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: from pitching really well as a San Francisco Giants pitcher,
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: he pitched really well in San Diego against San Diego,
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: then a week later, his first start with San Diego.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: In San Diego, Houston tagged him. Houston got a bunch
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: of runs against him. He walked five guys. He wasn't
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: good in that outing, putting twelve guys on base in
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: five innings only with two strikeouts. That's not good. So
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: I have my concerns here. Even though Ray was pretty
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: good in his last two starts with San Francisco, he
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: did not have a good start with Houston. Could he
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: bounce back, Yeah, he could, of course, But some of
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: these numbers are concerning. His hit rate's pretty good, it's low.
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: Strike out rate is just mediocre. But the walk rate
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: is really bad, really high, really really high walk rate
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: straight out walk ratio is really ugly. So I do
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: not like that very much at all. He is good
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: against the Brewers usually though, in sixty one at bats
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: one ninety seven average, five ninety seven ops seventeen to
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: six strikeout walk ratio. So if you want to put
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: a lot of weight into the matchup numbers here, I
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: mean they are big sample sizes in this case that
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: would have you looking towards an under here. I don't
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: really want to do that. Although I like both bullpens.
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: Both pitchers do have the good matchup numbers, so I
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: just don't trust them. Really, I don't trust May on
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: the road. I don't really trust Ray in his current form.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: Totals eight uh for the full game, fifty five percent
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the under, sixty seven percent of the
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, so the money is back in
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: the over. Yeah, I don't know, man. I mean my
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: first reaction when I hand it, when I broke this down, like,
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: after looking at those numbers, I was thinking, maybe under
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: is the better way to play this, But I was
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: also thinking maybe Milwaukee is because they're the better team
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: trying to avoid the sweep, and I think May is
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: the more trustworthy pitcher, like he's in better recent form,
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: he's been the better overall pitcher. These their eerrays look
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: pretty similar, but May's underlying numbers beat Rays by quite
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: a bit, especially the strikeout walk ratio. So I don't know.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: I kind of like Milwaukee fifty six percent of tickets,
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: ninety percent of the cash on Milwaukee money seems to agree.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: They're at a pick them price, so it's pretty reasonable
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: kind of just take them. You could take them in
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: the first five if you want to, because the bullpens
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: are probably pretty even in San Diego, probably a little
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: bit better. I would say, Uh, so first five, just
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: to take May over Ray might make some sense there.
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: You probably have to pay a little bit more for that,
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: but probably still a reasonable money line price on that.
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: All right, uh Cleveland and Detroit. Detroit finally beat Cleveland yesterday.
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: I'm not happy about it. Detroit's hot right now, man
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: like I said, if you bet them like a week
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: ago to make the playoffs, you're sitting on a pretty
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: good ticket right now. I mean they're in the wildcard
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: mix because the AL is so bad and they're only
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: two and a half games out of the AL sent
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: and I don't think the White Sox are actually that good.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: White Sox pitching definitely makes them a bit vulnerable. Detroit.
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: They haven't done well against Cleveland this year though, they're
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: one and six against them. Now with yesterday's win, which
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: was a slightly misleading win, I would say, I know
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: we took the loss on that on that game on
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: the show, But if you look at the hitting in
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: the game, man like I said, Cleveland putting way more
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: guys on base than Detroit did in the game. And
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: just couldn't score them. Detroit now off of that, it
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: was a return home spot too, but Detroit's playing with motivation.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is going to two though, Like they're still in
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: this mix here and they got to stay alive. So
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's gonna be fighting to stay alive here. I think
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: you could debate that Cleveland has a better starter here,
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: but I don't know, man, it's I think it's a
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: little bit debatable. In this game here, Cleveland used two
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers. Yesterday Detroit used more because they went with
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: a bullpend game and we still didn't win that game.
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: Cleveland used five relief pitchers. They used like all their
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: good relievers or excuse me, Detroit. Detroit used all their
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: good relievers yesterday. So I think Detroit is at a
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: bullpen disadvantage here, even though they're the better bullpen fourteenth,
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: Cleveland twentieth. But they're close, and with Detroit's us suggest today,
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: I think Cleveland probably does actually have a bullpen advantage here.
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: They don't have the better offense. Cleveland is twenty eighth,
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: not good, Detroit not bad at eleventh. Detroit has been
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: a good home team, so I will give them that.
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: But Cleveland. I think probably has a bullpen advantage here.
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: Foster Griffin is making a second start with Cleveland after
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: Washington trade, and he's had a good season. Three point
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: three one Ray one point one to one whip With Griffin,
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: you got to worry about the innings count though, because
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: he's a guy that is a guy that just has
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: pitched on and off in the majors very briefly, so
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: he's never even come close to this innings pitch count before.
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: And he's up over one hundred and thirty now at
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: thirty one years old. And I know he's not young,
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: but this is probably the most he's ever pitched, So
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: you do have to worry, like is he gonna fade
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: here down the stretch? Like was that even a good
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: move for Cleveland. I don't know. He's had a good season,
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: There's no doubt about that, and I don't really think
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: it's misleading either. Three point two Roadie Ray as well.
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: So he's good on the road, but his last couple
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: starts have been awful. His last start with Washington was
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: terrible at Atlanta, and then the next start, his first
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: start with Cleveland, he was really bad at home in
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: Cleveland against the Mets. That's not a good sign. Even
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: though the Mets have been hot recently, that's not good.
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if I trust Griffin here. Man,
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: it looks like he might be falling apart due to
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: maybe just too many innings. His numbers look pretty good here.
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: His hit rates pretty low, he doesn't really walk many guys.
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: His strike up rates okay. The home run rate is
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: concerning though. He's a lot a lot of home runs,
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: and four of them have come over those last two starts,
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: so he's getting hit for some home runs. He's unfamiliar
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: to Detroit, so maybe that will help him a little bit.
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: The unfamiliarity. Detroit's gonna have to figure him out. But
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: I don't trust Griffin right now, man, I don't know
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: if he's gonna bounce back or if he's just gonna
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: struggle down the stretch from Bervaldez is pitching for Detroit.
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: He hasn't had the greatest season. His era is alright,
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: four point one seven. His whip isn't really that good
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: one point three to seven. He's better at home though,
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: four point zero nine. Homie ra better opponent batting average
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: at home his last two starts have been good. He
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: walks a few too many guys, but he didn't allow
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: many runs. He went deep into those two starts. Gotta
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: win in both of them, both on the road. One
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: at the A's so that is kind of impressive in
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: that stadium, but then also at Seattle, which is less impressive.
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: Bad offense in a pitcher friendly park. Overall, he's been
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit too hittable though this year. Hits more
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: than one per inning. Not great. His walk great, it's
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: kind of mediocre. Usually he walks too many guys. He's
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: kind of gotten that down a little bit, but he's
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: become a little bit too hittable. Strike out rate is
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: not great, it's kind of mediocre there, not the greatest
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: strike got walk ratio there. His numbers against Cleveland are
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: not great in one hundred and four of bats, so
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: they have a lot of experience against some two fifty
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: average seven to seventy four ohps is a bit high.
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: Twenty strikeouts, ten walks, that's not a good ratio. So
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: I don't really know if I trust Valdez here either.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, maybe an over in this game, Like it
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: looks like you might want to actually back both these
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: pitchers but looking at Griffin falling apart recently, Valdez is
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: in good form recently though, and he is in the
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: better of his home road slits, but his matchup numbers
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: don't look great to me. Sixty four percent of tickets,
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: eighty eight percent of the cash on the over totals
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: at eight. Yeah, I mean, I think that might be
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: how I would look in this game, is the over.
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in towards Cleveland. Detroit is hot, so
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: they got the public action right now, and they're they
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: have the better record now over Cleveland. So sixty nine
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on Detroit, the public wants to
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: back the hot team and the team with the better
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: offense sixty two percent of the cash though, so the
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: money's indicating on Cleveland. I think basically just saying, you know,
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: we think the Griffin can kind of battle Valdez here,
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: and I think if it gets to the bullpens, I
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: do think Cleveland might have an edge after the usage yesterday,
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: So you'd beginning Cleveland at a little bit of an
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: underdog price there if you did that. I don't necessarily disagree,
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: but I think maybe the over is the better look there.
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: I don't love any of it. Though Pittsburgh Miami this game,
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: I have a little bit of a stronger opinion on it.
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: Miami won the game two to nothing yesterday at a
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: very low scoring game. Paul Skeen's was bad again in
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: that game, but I think that was that yesterday. Skeens
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: there's something wrong with him, dude. His velocity's down, like
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: he's throwing ninety six miles an hour and usually he
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: throws ninety nine. You know. So there's some issue with
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: Paul Skeens right now. I don't know what's going on
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: with them. I would not trust him right now. He's
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: not pitching today, but today we have some ugly pitching
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: going on in this game. Today. Pittsburgh only is one
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: relief pitcher over the last two days, so their bullpen
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: is rested. It's clear right now, but it's not a
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: good bullpen. Miami used two guys yesterday. They're pretty clear
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: as well, because I think they also didn't play on Monday.
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: Miami is fifth in bullpenal. I don't think they're really
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: that good. They're probably a top ten bullpen, though Pittsburgh
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: is not. Pittsburgh is twenty second. They're not great, although
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: they're not awful either, but looking at what the starters
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: look like here, I think we might be able to
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: play the This might be an over game, is what
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: I was about to say. Pittsburgh is fifth offensively. They're
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: not as good on the road, and this isn't where
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly park, but they're a good offense. Miami is
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: tenth offensively. I mean they're capable, at least on offense.
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: Carmen Molodzinsky is getting the start for Pittsburgh here. He's
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: kind of a spot starter type of guy. Three point
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: five to one era not too bad, but remember some
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: of this was coming out of the bullpen. One point
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: three to six whip is not very good. He's a
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: little bit better on the road in some ways three
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: point one Roady Ray, but his opponent batting average is
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: actually higher on the road, and he was not good
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: in his last outing. I think he started against the Mets.
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: I think we won with the Mets in that game. Actually,
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: if I remember correctly, maybe we didn't. I think we did,
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think it was Lodzinsky against Thornton, right.
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: I think we backed Thornton and that one and we
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: got at it because I think he's pitching today anyway.
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: He wasn't good in that outing. He's not going deep
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: into his outings, so Mudzinski he might not even start.
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: But even if he does, he's probably only gonna go
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: about three innings here, and then you're gonna get a
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: long amount of innings, like a lot of innings from
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's bullpen. I don't think that's a good thing. Motzinsky's
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: hit rate is too high as walk ratest kind of mediocre,
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: strike out rate not great. So there's not a lot
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: to like about him really, other than I guess the
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: fact that Miami only has four hitters who have faced
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: him and they're zero for four against him, no strikeouts,
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: no walks. But I wouldn't put that much weight into
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: a sample size like that. Miami's got Jansen Junk on
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: the mound, and even though he looked good early in
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: the season, he's not. Four point sixty three ray, one
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: point three six whip not great. He is better at home, though,
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: four point one to three Homie Ira, so he does
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: pitch better at home, But I don't know. His last
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: outing wasn't very good. He only went three innings against Atlanta.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: He was alright in the start before that against the Mets.
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: But he's probably not gonna go too deep into this
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: game either, and he's just not really that great. He's
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: got a high hit rate. Here's walk rate's okay, strike
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: out rate is low though doesn't really strike anybody out.
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh has only seen him a little bit. Four hitters
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: have faced him eight at bats, but they have a
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: three seventy five average and nine to forty four ohps
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: against him, so they have hit him when they have
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: faced him, and no strikeouts, one walk. So yeah, I
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: just think, based on the fact that these are just
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: not good pitchers here in this game, I think the
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: over is the way to play this, and the money
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: seems like it strongly agrees with that. The totals eight,
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: which is pretty reasonable, sixty percent of tickets on the under,
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: eighty seven percent of the cash on the over, and
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: you're not having to deal with that key nine number
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: there in that one. Yeah, I mean, if I was
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: gonna play it, that's what I would do. I would
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: play the over. That's probably one of my stronger opinions
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: as well, But we have very small sample sizes to
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: work with with those pitchers. There. Tickets seventy three percent
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Miami at about a pick em price.
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know about that, man. I mean you could
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: make the argument both these teams are kind of coming
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: to the realization they're not gonna make the playoffs at
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: this point, after they haven't played well enough recently. Miami
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: might be the team that's that's not out of it yet.
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: Out of the two, like Pittsburgh is Lea is less
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: likely to make the playoffs. I think the Miami. I
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: think Miami has a better record right now, so I
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: guess you could look at it that way, like, oh,
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: that means Miami will have more motivation. But Pittsburgh getting
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: shut out yesterday, they're probably gonna have something to say
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: about that. So I think Pittsburgh will show up with
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: a better offensive performance here and that does help with
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: an over obviously, all right, Chicago Cubs and Washington. I
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: first looked at the starting pitching matchup listening on ESPN,
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: and I was like, Yeah, that game looks like an
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: over to me. But the pitching matchup is not what
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: ESPN has listed here. Washington is making a change and
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: that is going to change how this game gets handicapped. Here.
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: The Cubs won in a high scoring game yesterday, eight
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: to six. Washington does play a lot of high scoring
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: games at home. Bullpen usage, the Cubs have the better
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: of the two bullpens. Cubs use four guys, though, so
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: the usage was kind of a lot yesterday Washington used three.
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: Cubs still have the bullpen hedge, though they're where are
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: they at their twelfth in bullpen here? Washington is twenty sixth.
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: Cubs pretty good offensively at third, but Washington's number one
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: right now. So these offenses both can hit. They both
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: did well yesterday. Cubs are going with David Peterson, who
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: I'm still waiting to fall apart with the Cubs. I
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: still don't think he's any good. He was really having
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: a bad time with the Mets, but since he's been
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: on the Cubs he's been pretty good. But I would
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: push back on it a bit because when you look
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: at his like strikeout walk ratio and stuff like that,
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: he's not actually pitching that well. Even with the Cobs.
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: He's got a five point three five ERA one point
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: five whip overall the season. That's not good. Obviously. He
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: is better on the road, a four point two nine
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: road ERA. He has been better on the road all
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: season since he's been on the Cubs. Yes, he's been good.
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: Like six of his seven starts he's allowed two or
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs. I get that, But dig into the
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: numbers here, man. Look at a strikeout walk ratio in
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: the month of July twelve to ten in four starts.
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: That's not good. That's not an indicator that he's pitching well,
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. I know he got blown
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: up in that one start against Saint Louis, but even
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: if you take that out, the strikeout walk numbers are
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: still not good. This month, he's been better in that department.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: His walk rate went down only because he had an
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: inexplicably good start against the Yankees. He was really good
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: against the Yankees. Then against Toronto he held them down
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: as far as an online many runs. Toronto's not a
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: good offense, but Peterson walked a bunch of guys in
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: that start. He wasn't exactly good. I wouldn't say in
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: that start. So I don't you know me, I don't
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: try Peterson. I'm never gonna trust Peterson. I'm sorry. His
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: hit rate is too high on the season, his walk
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: rate is not great, his strike out rates low. Advanced
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: analytics guys hate him. He is an extreme. He's pretty
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: extreme in the ground ball department, even though he's even
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: right now groundball flyball, but I know he's a pretty
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: extreme ground ball pitcher. Usually, his nimes against Washington are
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: actually good though, in eighty at bats two thirty seven
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: average allowed six ZHO five ops. So even though they've
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: seen a bunch of him because he's been in their division,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: they've they haven't done that much against him except the
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratios yet again bad very David Peterson
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: like thirteen to nine strike out walk ratio. I still
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: don't want to trust him. And when I looked at this,
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: I was thinking over because it was gonna be Peterson
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: against Miles Michelss. But that's not gonna be the case
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: now as Washington is going with Jackson Kent, who I
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: believe is gonna be making his major league debut for
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: Washington here, that changes things because we don't really know
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: what he's gonna do or how long he's going to
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: be in this game. Kent is a prospect and he's
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: got decent numbers in the minors this year. His problem
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: is the walks. I mean that's the case with a
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: lot of guys. So Kent has pretty good strikeout stuff
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: strike out numbers in the minors. He walks too many
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: guys though, so that is the concern with him. His
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: numbers are kind of mediocre really in Triple A. He's
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: got an era I think in the threes this year,
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: and his whip is like one point two. So that's
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: not great. Like you want to see a guy just
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: shredding Triple A if you want to bring him up
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: to the majors. That's not to say Kent is going
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: to be bad. He might not be. He's a lefty
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: and he kind of throws at some weird arm angles.
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: He doesn't throw that hard. He's like a mid nineties
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: at most fastball pitcher. But his best pitch is a
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: change up that I guess is really nasty. And he's
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: got like a slider and a curve ball that he's
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: got in the mix as well, but I guess the
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: change up is like his best pitch. So that plus
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: like the weird arm angle that he throws, that might
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: help him out and might throw the Cubs off a
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: little bit it. So him being in there does change things.
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: So I don't really like the over knowing that it's
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: gonna be him and not michel Us. Micholas, by the way,
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: gets destroyed by the Cobs. So if I think this
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: series continues tomorrow, so if Micholas is pitching tomorrow, yeah,
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be probably a fade. I don't I don't
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: know what the matchup is gonna look like tomorrow. Uh,
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: the money seems to be indicating towards Washington here, seventy
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the tickets seventy two percent of the
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: cash on the Cubs, So the money is fading the
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: Cubs and they're like minus one sixty here. I mean
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: David Peterson being a favorite like that on the road,
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: Like just I know he is better on the road,
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: but come on, man, I don't think Peterson should be
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: a favorite like that on the road against anybody. And
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: Washington is not even that bad of a team so
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: and a good offense at least, So yeah, I probably
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: kind of agree with the money here. Uh, fading the
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: public and grabbing Washington. I would only do it in
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: the first five though. There's no way that I would
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: want Washington's involved here. I mean, don't know how many
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: innings Kent is really gonna throw here, But if he
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: can kind of get you most of the way through
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: the five, he might be able to battle Peterson. I mean,
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: Peterson's really not that good, so there might be some
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: value there taking Washington on the like plus half a
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: run run line in the first five. The money is
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: still backing the over, but some of that might be
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: lingering from when we thought it was gonna be Mechlas.
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know. The total is still pretty high at
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: nine and a half. I mean, I would not play
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: the under in this game. I'll tell you that there's
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: still probably more indicators towards an over than an under.
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: But I think with Kent in there, I think I
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: would actually back him. And he's gonna be unfamiliar, you
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: know what I mean, So sometimes that's an advantage to
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: the picture when they're unfamiliar to the opposing hitters. All right,
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: Seattle and Yankees, I was correct about the under yesterday.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: It was a one nothing Seattle lead into probably the
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: seventh or eighth inning there, and Seattle's bullpen blew the
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: game yesterday. Brian Wu was actually really good for once
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: on the road. He's a good pitcher man. I just
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: don't know what's been going on with him on the
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: road this year. But the Yankees won anyway because they
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: won the bullpen battle, and the Yankees have the better bullpenal.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: The Seattle's bullpen shouldn't be as bad as what they
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: looked like yesterday. They should at least be good enough
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: to hold on to a lead. You would think again
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: against although it was only a one run lead, but
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: against the Yankees offense, it hasn't really been that good.
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: This is, by the way, my last play of the
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: day as well. We're gonna take the under here, even
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: though I liked the under yesterday, but my worry about
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: it was WU with his extremely bad numbers on the road.
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: I think we can come in and back the under
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: again in this one though, And it's right there no
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: man's land at eight and a half, so eight eight
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: and a half not much of a difference there. But yeah,
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: I think we're getting two pitchers that can do well here. Again.
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: I think maybe they're under the radar a little bit too.
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: And I still like the bullpens. Even though Seattles saw
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: some usage yesterday, four guys, it wasn't really that extreme
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: and some of their better relievers like send your smoke
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: move is ready to go here today, and plus they
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: were off on Monday, so I think their bullpen is
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: still okay and off here. Yankees used three guys yesterday
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: and they did use their clothes or bednar, but they
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: were off on Monday, so I think we're all right
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: with these bullpens here. Yankees have the second best bullpen
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: here ray behind the Red Sox. They're fourth and WIP,
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: but they're one of the best bullpens. Seattle is really
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: not that much worse, even though there's sixteenth. I think
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: they're a pretty good bullpen. These offenses have not been
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: very good though, Seattle twenty ninth really bad, so you
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: could definitely fade Seattle's offense and the Yankees they're a
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: good offense generally, but they're struggle. They're sitting at fifteenth,
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: so they're middle of the pack, and they've been below
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: average without Aaron Judge in the lineup, and you see
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: them playing all these low scoring games. So yeah, I
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: think we could definitely fade these offenses here. But it's
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: also more about back in the pitch, and we're gonna
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: back Bryce Miller here for Seattle. He's good, he's more
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: I think he might be more consistent than wo at least,
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: and that he's not as bad on the road, even
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: though you'll see Miller is still worse on the road
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: than he is at home. I mean, that's understandable. Every
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: Seattle pitcher pretty much is because they're home stadium is
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: very pitcher from me, but Miller is one of their
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: best pitchers. He's got a three point eightyra point nine
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: to five whip is really good. Yes, I know he's
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: not quite as good on the road. Four point oh
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: two ERA is not great, but his opponent batting average
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: is still pretty good here to forty eight on the road.
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: It's just he's allowed too many home runs on the road,
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: so he's got to get that down a little bit.
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: He was just okay in his last start against Detroit,
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: so yeah, he's kind of been mediocre for the last
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: few starts, so that's a little bit worrisome. He's not
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: in the greatest form here. Seattle's lost five of his
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: starts in a row, but some of that wasn't really
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: his fault. And I think he's still a good pitcher,
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: and I think he's still gonna get up for this game,
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: and he hasn't thrown many innings this year either, so
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: I'm not too worried about that, because he was hurt
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: for a while in the middle of the season or
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: actually early in the season, so he's had a shortened season.
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: I think he was actually hurt again, maybe at some
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: point in the middle of the season, but maybe I'm
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: wrong about that. He's got a low hit rate on
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: the season, though he doesn't really walk guys. Strike got
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: raid is right at one per inning, which is pretty good.
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: But the home runs are the only issue with him really.
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: And yes, I know the Bronx the Yankee Stadium, it
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: is a hitter friendly stadium, but I think Miller can
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: handle his business here well enough to get us there.
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: The Yankees have twenty five at bats against him, they
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: have not been successful. They have a one twenty average
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: against him, three fourteen obs. These are some really weak
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: offensive numbers here, eight to one strike out walk rationio
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: only one extravase hit. Is really the only guy that's
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: actually hit him well in the Yankees lineup his Jazzism,
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: who I don't think is hitting well as of late,
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: and I don't really think he's that good. So yeah,
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: I think we get back Miller, but I also think
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: we get back Will Warren on the other side to him,
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: he's not a guy that gets any accolades, So again,
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: I think he's a little bit under the radar. Four
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: point one EIGHTYRA one point three to seven whip. I
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: know that's not that good, but he's been a little
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: bit better at home, so he's in the better of
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: his home roads. It's three point eight to eight Homie
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: RA pretty good in his last two Stars. Strike cut
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: rate was up, he wasn't really walking anybody, pitched well
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: in Wrigley Field, which is not that easy to do,
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: shut the Cubs out actually, and then he was kind
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: of mediocre last time at home against Saint Louis. But
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: I think he's in reasonable for him right now. He's
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: been okay on the season, even though he's been too
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: hit able. His hit rate is too high, his home
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: run rate is a little bit iffy. Those are kind
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: of the issues with him. But his walk rate is
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: kind of is okay, and his strike cut rate is
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: at one per inning, so he's able to strike guys out.
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: But what I'm also paying attention to is the fact
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: that Seattle hasn't been able to hit him well in
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: thirty two at bats one eighty eight average six oh
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: one ops is I guess a little bit high because
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: they do have some extra base hits here, But they
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: got ten strikeouts, so he struck out a lot of them,
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: only two walks. Good command numbers from him, good numbers overall.
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I think both pitchers are giving us good
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: numbers here. I like the under, and that is what
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: we're gonna do here. So I'm kind of mad that
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: I didn't put it on my card yesterday. I think
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: I said that was my next strongest play yesterday, the
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: first one I left off my card. But let's do
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: it here. Although it looks like we have sixty seven
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets and cash on the under here,
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: makes it hard to read what's going on with that
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: market situation there on the total. But yeah, it's a
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: eight and a half. You might you know, you could
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: wait probably and see if a nine crops up. I
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna happen, but it might, because you know,
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: if you wait around and you wind up having to
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: play the eight and a half, and that's what the
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: number is right now. Anyway, there's no harm in that,
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: right Just wait to see if you can actually get
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: a nine on this, I'll update it in the description
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: if I actually see one watching the market today. Probably
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: won't happen. But maybe the money's also backing Seattle really
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: strongly here Yankees heard about minus one twenty something here,
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the tickets on the Yankees, seventy
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on Seattle. So the money
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: is definitely indicating on Seattle. Looks like a pros versus Joe's.
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: I mean, Seattle is in desperate They're in desperation mode. Man,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: Seattle like they could still win their division, but they
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: need to get wins. Like the Yankees are very comfortable
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: in the top wildcard spot right now. There are a
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: couple of games ahead of the Red Sox right now
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: because the Red Sox have been ass again recently, and
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: the Yankees. Yankees and Red Sox both have a pretty
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: big lead over whoever's in third place. It might be Detroit,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: whoever's in third place in the wildcard race right now. So, yeah,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: Seattle needs the win more and I think you could well. Yeah,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: I mean I don't think you just make the argument.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: I think it's just true that Miller is better than Warren,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: so you could back Seattle here. I think if you do,
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: maybe you should just back them first five. Though if
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: you take Seattle maybe just you won't get them as
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: at as big of an underdog price though, like you
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: might have to lay about minus one ten on it.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: But Miller out pitching Warren makes some sense to back here.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: But I think the Yankees have a bullpen edge, so
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: I would not want to back Seattle's bullpen really here,
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: except when we're backing both bullpens in the case of
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: an under I'm fine with doing that, dirty sock. What's up?
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out, all right, I'll be right back,
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: and then I'm gonna talk about this. God do I
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: have to talk about the Red Sox. Fuck. I'll be
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: right back, and that is the next game. I don't
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: have any more plays, but yes, I'll talk about these
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: remaining five games and the other ESPN game, which is
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: it's a double header, but nobody's gonna watch the other game.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: All right, I'll be right back. Yep. Inside, I want
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: to kill myself. We're on own seven run over the
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: last two days after tonight it was just complete bullshit.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: horrible Sunday one in five. I don't even know what
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: to tell you about that. I just don't want to
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: do this anymore. I have never seen anything like this.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: good day at all. Own four, I have not had
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: a good seat a man with bookends the slump that
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a new pink. Actually,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I don't
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: know what is going on with the bruins arch epe
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: don't know what day it is anymore. I don't even
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: know what day it is anymore. Man's back with you
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: least oh and two yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: well for me. Own five, the worst month that I've
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: the slump, the slump discontinuous. The slump continues somebody fucking
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: do at this point, other than potentially ends it all.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: All right, next game is unfortunately Red Sox Blue Jays.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: The Red Sox are losing to some of the worst
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: teams in baseball here. I mean, I thought they would
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: lose yesterday. Dylln't cease, but the way that they lost
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: was just such bullshit. Dude, bad fielding multiple unearned runs
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: from Toronto. The Red Sox had a three to one lead,
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: I think in the sixth inning, so they actually had
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: the lead and got through Sandoval versus Cease. With the lead,
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: Sandoval was good enough again that the Red Sox were
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: in that game. They were winning the game. So then
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: you're thinking, all right, the Red Sox have the better bullpen,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: They're actually gonna win this game. No, they lose the
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: bullpen battle. What the fuck DoD We're actually I think
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: Sandoval was still out there. Actually, I think Sandoval actually
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: got charged with a couple of those, but I think
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: they were unearned. But I think Sandoval allowed those unearned runs,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: and then the bullpen and I think allowed one more
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: run and the Red Sox wound up losing again. I mean,
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: give me a fucking break, dude. This is so fucking bad.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: This Red Sox team is not good. Like I know
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: they were on this hot run. Everybody's like, oh, don't worry,
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: four game losing streak. I'm like, yeah, losing to the
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: fucking A's at home and then as huge favorites, and
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: then losing to Toronto, Like what the fuck are you
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: doing dude? Like, yes, I didn't expect them to win
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: the cease game, but I expected the Red Sox to
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: win these other games. And if you have the lead
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: like that in the game like that, you should put
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: it away in like yesterday's game. And they still couldn't
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: do it, and they didn't do it against the A's.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: That happened once too. The Red Sox had a one
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: run lead late in one of those games and they
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: couldn't win that game either. Even though the Red Sox
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: have the best bullpen in baseball and the the As
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: excuseually have the worst, Like what the fuck are you doing, dude?
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: The Red Sox will have a bullpen advantage here again,
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: they only use two guys just to including whoever the
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: fuck Seth Martinez is. Who the fuck is this guy?
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: Why is he on the roster. Get rid of him.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: I don't know who the fuck, but yeah, he sucks.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: No bye. Toronto did use more guys out of their bullpen.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: They used four guys and had to close the game
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: with the violin of their closer. Didn't come into the
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: game yesterday because he pitched the previous game, so he's
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: available today. But the Red Sox still have the better bullpen.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: They're number one in ERA and WHIP. Still, they only
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: allowed one n run yesterday. It was that Martinez guy,
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: who I think should be kicked off the team immediately.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: Toronto is seventeenth in bullpen. They're not bad, but the
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: Red Sox are better. Red Sox are the better offense.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: They're still in the middle of the pack here at fourteenth,
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: even though they've been struggling again recently. Toronto's dead last thirtieth.
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: So again, if you have a lead by multiple runs
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: late in the game against Toronto with this bullpen, I
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: don't know how the fuck you blow that game. The
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: Red Sox should win this game. They got Ronjo Suarez pitching.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: He's had a good season three point three two ERA,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: one point one to seven WHIP. He's good on the
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: Road two point eighty three Rodier Race, so he's gonna
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: have the advantage in the home road splits here against
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: his counterpart here. He wasn't good last time out against
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: the White Sox, though that was in that marathon game
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: at the Red Sox won in thirteen innings. Suarez didn't
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: last long. Wasn't good. Since Suarez has been hurt, he
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: hasn't lasted long in any game, although he did have
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: a four inning shutout against Toronto and Fenway back on
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: July twenty six, so his best performance since coming back
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: from his groin injury was against Toronto. So he's definitely
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: capable of pitching well against Toronto, but they're limiting his
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: pitch count. I don't know what exactly is going on here.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: I guess the feeling is we want to ease him
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: back in and we have a really good Bullpence. Let's
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: not overwork Suarez. But I don't know, man, I mean,
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: you think you could at least let him go the
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: full five innings whatever, at least if he's pitching well,
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: maybe they will today. He does have good numbers against
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: Toronto in fifty six at bats, seventeen to one strike
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: a walk race show that's really good. Only two extra
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: base hits doubles from him Menez and Sanchez, one seventy
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: nine average, allowed four oh seven ops. So he should
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: do well here. He's got good matchup numbers and a
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: pretty decent sample size there, and he's better on the road.
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: So I think Suarez should have the upper hand here
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: against Jose Soriano, who I think is making his second
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: start with Toronto. He's been decent. It was really weird
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: that Toronto got him at the trade deadline because Toronto
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: had already established themselves as sellers. They're not going anywhere,
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: and then they go and they make a buyer's move
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: to get Soriano. I don't know. I mean, he's not
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: that old, so I don't I don't know what his
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: contract situation is. But he's got a three point twenty
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: four ERA one point twenty six whips, so he's he
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: is definitely a pretty good pitcher, So I don't love
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: that for the Red Sox. But what do we know
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: about Soriano. He doesn't pitch as well at home, although
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: that was with Anaheim, but three point eight to one
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: home hera last year it was not good either. I
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: mean three point eight one is not bad. I'm not
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: gonna say that it is, but he has. He's been
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: worse at home basically for his entire career. So is
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: that going to continue in Toronto. I don't know. It might.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: And his first start with Toronto was pretty bad in Philadelphia.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: He didn't make it five innings, He walked three guys,
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: kind of got hurt by the defense. But he wasn't good.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: You know, there was one under and running there, but
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: guys are getting a base against him. Wasn't a good
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: start from him. And Soriano against the Red Sox has
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: not been that good. Although it's only twelve at bats,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: they have a three point thirty three average against him,
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: nine to forty oh bs, two to one at strike
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: up walk ratio. Only six hitters have faced him, though,
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: but the guys that have faced him, even Jared Durand,
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: has actually been their best hitter against him. So Duran
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: better get on Soriano's ass here in this game, man,
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: That's what I gotta say. Adly, Rochman is in the lineup.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: I believe he will be. He played yesterday his first
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: game with the Red Sox. He was in the lineup yesterday,
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: so hopefully that will boost the Red Sox offense. And
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: I assume he's going to be in the lineup again here,
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: but we'll see. I would lean to the Red Sox
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: in this one, man. I think they do have the
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: edge here in the pitching, starting and bullpen, and they've
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: been losing a bunch of games ugly. I don't want
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: to do it, though, and the public is still on
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox because they have the better record at
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: cash though, so it might be a situation where some
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: of the money's coming in on them too. But they
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: dropped from minus one thirty down to like minus one eighteen,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: so there was initially a move against them. I don't
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: know if it was just to get a better price,
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: like it could have been a false move and then
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: maybe the actual money's gonna come in on the Red Sox.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know, but yeah, if you forced me to
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: play this game, I would play the Red Sox on
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: the money line, but I'm not I'm not gonna do it, nope,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: but that that would be my lean in the game.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: All right, Hindi, And what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: We have Mets Atlanta here. Garrett probably happy Atlanta gotta
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: win yesterday four to nothing, so I was kind of
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: surprised by that. Our team, Perez, I guess pitch well.
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: Yet again, the starting pitching matchum in this game doesn't
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: look favorable for Atlanta here, though, the Mets are still trying,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: so give them credit for that. The Mets, they're motivated
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: to at least play spoiler against their divisional rival here Atlanta.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're pretty secure at atop their division here,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: so Atlanta might be a little bit in cruise control
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: mode right now, you know what I mean. They have
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: a big lead in their division here. Atlanta used three
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers yesterday, the Mets used two. Both bullpens are
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: pretty good. Atlanta's is better. They're number three. I think
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: that's probably accurate. I think they're the third best bullpen,
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: but not behind THEABA Bay, behind the Red Sox and
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: the Yankees. I think it's accurate. The Mets are eighth
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: in bullpen, not bad. Braves are definitely the better offense.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: They're tied in seventh with Houston and Milwaukee. Mets are
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: twenty six. The Mets have at least put up some
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: offensive numbers recently though, so they've been better recently at least,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: and the Mets do have Zach Thornton on the mound
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: who have backed on the show a couple of times.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: I won't do it here, but I do like him.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: Two point five two ERA one point seven whit pretty
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: good numbers here. He's a little bit better on the
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: road as well. Two point three to five roady ra
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: so that's not bad. His five to five strike out
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: walk ratio and his two starts in August is kind
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: of bad, but he's mostly pitching well. He's kind of
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: had one bad start in the mix there against Miami,
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: but other than that he's pitched pretty well except for
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: his first start against Washington, so he's had two bad
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: starts out of all the starts that he's had. He's
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: got a low hit rate here, it doesn't seem to
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: really allow home runs. His walk rate is still his
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: walk rate is not too bad. Strike out rate is
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: not great though. He doesn't really strike a ton of
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: guys out, so he doesn't have a great strikeout stuff,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: but he looks pretty effective as a pitcher. He doesn't
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: put many guys on base. Now the Braves have seen
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: him once and he did well against him. He went
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: six and a third innings at home against him, allowed
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: three runs on six hits, five strikeouts, one walk, and
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: picked up a in. And that was the game where
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: we had them in the first five and they blew
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: it in the bottom of the fifth, and then they
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: won the game anyway, fourteen to three with eleven runs
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: against the Braves bullpen. I'm pissed we should have had
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: a win in that one in the first five. Man,
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: I'm pissed about taking a push on that one. But yeah,
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: Thornton was pretty good in that one. Now the thing
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: is will he do well against the Braves now? Because
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: he had the unfamiliarity edge against the Braves that time.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: And you know I talk about these young pitchers sometimes
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: their best start against the team is gonna be when
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: the team hasn't seen them before. And now if the
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: team just saw them recently, the offense might actually do
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: better against them the next time. So I worry about
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: that with Thornton, that the Braves might hit him better
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: this time because they know what to expect. Braves have
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: twenty at bats against him, a two fifty average, six
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: eighty six ops four to one strike a walk ratio,
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: and they did get a home run in there from
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: i'll be's, i'llbs whatever. But Thornton does have good numbers
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: generally against other Braves, but it was in just at
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: one start. I think we can kind of trust him here,
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: though I think he could. I think I would lean
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: more towards him pitching well again here, and the Braves
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: haven't really been that good of an offense at home
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: this year. Tyler Molly is pitching for the Braves. I
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: don't think he's very good. Four point eight three array,
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: one point three to six whip. They picked him up
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: at the trade deadline from the Giants. However, he's been
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: a way better home pitcher two point six y five
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: home the Ray. But will he do well in Atlanta?
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean that was in San Francisco
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: where he put up all those numbers, So it's possible
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: that away from San Francisco he's not gonna pitch well.
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: I have no idea, dude, no clue. He's made one
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: start with the Braves, is that right? No? That No,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: he hasn't made any with them yet, is that right?
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: No?
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: He did, he did, my mistake, that's right, Yeah, because
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: I remember that because we we had the Yankees in
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: that game and we got really lucky and the Yankees
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: won in extra innings in that one, which still pissed
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: me off because I hate the Yankees. But yeah, Molly
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: shut the Yankees out in New York for six innings.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: I was shocked by that performance because he's been ass
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: on the road. Couldn't believe that performance. But maybe he's
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: excited to be on a contending team and that is possible,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: and since he's been a good home pitcher, maybe he
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: will actually do well here. And he does have good
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: numbers against the Mets in thirty eight at bats to
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: thirty seven average, six seventy oh ps, eleven to two
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio. I don't know if I fully want
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: to trust Molly here, but I think the indicators on
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: this game are more towards the under. The totals at
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: eight and a half, the money doesn't look like it
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: agrees sixty seven percent of tickets eighty seven percent of
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over, I think I would go under,
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: though I think both pitchers might have decent matchups here.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: Both bullpens should be alright, so yeah, I would be
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: leaning towards the under in that game. The money's also
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: heavily coming in on the Mets, seventy four percent of
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: tickets on Atlanta, eighty four percent of the cash on
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: the Mets. I kind of agree with that too. I mean,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: Atlanta's at minus won seventy, Like, should Molly really be
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: a fake? Like that minus won seventy against a pretty
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: capable pitcher in Thornton, I don't think so. I mean,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: Atlanta probably has the bullpen edge, so I think you
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: could take Mets first five. It's been a very typical
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: opinion for me in a Thornton game, which is kind
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: of weird because you think that I would back on
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: the Mets bullpen more often because they're not bad, but
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: they're not as good as the Braves bullpen. So I
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: think Mets first five, you'll get him as a pretty
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: big underdog. You'll probably take them on the plus half
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: run run line. Thornton might be able to outpitch Molly,
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: you know, so that might be the way that I
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: would lean in that game. I think under still might
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: be the best way to play that game, but I
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: think first five run line Mets makes some sense as well.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: Flatter Earth grappler. What's up man, thanks for hanging out.
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: Good morning, Yes to everybody. Cincinnati and the White Sox.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati actually won the game yesterday five to four. Interesting.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: I thought the Cubs would win. The Cubs. I'm gonna say,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: oh God, Chicago, they're gonna come after you the White Sox.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: I thought the White Sox win yesterday behind Burke, but
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: that did not happen. Cincinnati's bullpen is quite bad, so
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: I would not back their bullpen. They use five guys
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: out of the bullpen yesterday. The White Sox have a
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge here. They used three guys yesterday, but they're
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: obviously the better bullpen. The White Sox are fifteenth. I
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: think that's about where they really are. They're a mediocre bullpen.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: The Reds are bad. They're twenty fourth, so White Sox
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: better bullpen. White Sox had the better offense as well.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: They're thirteenth. Cincinnati's twenty third, so yeah, some definite advantages
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: for the White Sox here. You'd think they would have
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching edge here as well. Because rtt Louder
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: is getting the start for the Reds. I'm not even
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: sure that he's gonna pitch to be honest, and by
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: the way, I should say before I go to I
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: keep forgetting to mention I think if you're gonna play
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: the Houston San Francisco game, because you don't even really
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: know who the pitcher is gonna be, if you're really
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: gonna risk pit playing that game, I think you should
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: play that game action. And then I think that was
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: the only game that I really was gonna say that about,
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: but I just forgot to mention it. Like I think
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: in every other game, the list of starters are probably
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: gonna be the starters, so you don't have to worry
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: really about any of that. But yeah, just to put
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: that out there, because I was gonna say with Ratt Louder,
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: he might not start the game. That's what I was
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: gonna say. So if you're gonna play this game, you
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: might want to pick just Castillo must start for the
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: White Sox, because I think he will because he's been
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: a starter for his whole career pretty much. Louder may not.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati's been using him as a bullpen arm a lot.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: He's not good a five point two to sixty ray.
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: He will probably be in the mix in this game
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 2: quite a bit. One point four to eight whit, but
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: he's been really bad on the road seven point seven
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: to one Roady I Ray, so I would not trust him,
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: although he's been decent in his last couple of starts.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: The last two have been at home, though or the
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: last two outings. I think they were both starts, but
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: at home he's significantly better at home. He still has
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: a high hit rate on the season, his walk rates
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: not very good, his strike out rate is not great.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: Not a lot to like about him here. White Songs
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: haven't seen him before, so he does technically have this
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: unfamiliarity edge here against the White Sox. But I don't
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: really want to trust Louder here. I would be more
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: inclined to fade him here because he sucks on the
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: road and I just don't think he's a good pitcher.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: Luis Castillo's pitcher for the White Sox. They got him
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: in a trade from the Mariners of the trade deadline,
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: not having a good season five point three or a
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: one point four to one whit. Although I keep pointing
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: out he hasn't really I don't think he's been hurt
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: really or anything, and he's been better than this throughout
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: his career, like significantly, so so I still keep thinking
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: he's gonna turn this thing around a bit. And it
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: looked like he was for a bit until he got traded,
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: and then he's had a bad He had a bad
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: start with the White Sox. In his first start against
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox, which was in that marathon thirteen inning,
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: a high scoring game. Castillo was better at home five
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: point zero four homier, but that was in Seattle. Remember
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: so very picture friendly park the White Sox or not
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: really a pitcher friendly park or a hitter friendly park.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: I don't believe, so his home road splits might not
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: be as significant here. He had his one actually has
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: he had two starts let me see with the with
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: the White Sox are just one, no, just one. And
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: it was that start against the Red Sox, and yeah,
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: he wasn't particularly good, but his command numbers were good.
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: He had five strikeouts, one walk. He just got hit
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: by the Red Sox and got maybe a little bit
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: unlucky in that game. I do still think he's better
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: than his numbers suggests, and he's been good against the
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: Reds pretty much. In sixty one at bats, one ninety
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: seven average, six sixty one obs eleven to nine at
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio. The ratio is bad, but I still
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: think Castillo is the better starter here. White Sox should
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: have a bullpen edge and an offensive edge too. I
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: think the White Sox are the right way to play
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: this game, but the money is not indicating that way.
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: They're around minus one forty or so here. I would Yeah,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: I would still say probably money line White Sox. But
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of the tickets on the White Sox ninety
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the Reds. I don't
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: understand what that money is doing, Like I'd have to understand,
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: Like maybe it's just the perceived value there, Like maybe
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: Castillo just shouldn't be that big of a favorite. I
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: kind of disagree, Like I think Castillo, we've seen what
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: he's done throughout his career. I think he's a significantly
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: better pitcher than Louder. So. Yeah, I would only play
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: the White Sox and that when plus, they're in a
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: bounce back spot. They're still trying to win their division,
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: so they're not they don't have a significant amount of
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: padding in their division, so they still have motivation and
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: the Reds don't really because the Reds are done pretty
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: much for the season, So yeah, I would play the
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: White Sox if I was gonna play that game Texas
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: and Anaheim. Anaheim won the game yesterday to even the series.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: Texas is trying to win the division, so Texas has
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: more motivation here theoretically, although Anaheim. I don't think Anaheim's
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: just gonna overlook it. You know, Anaheim, they at least
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: get to play spoiler against the divisional foe. Plus, Anaheim
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: might kind of try to rally around their young pitcher here,
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: but he's really struggled recently. I don't like either bullpen
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: really though. Texas only is one guy, my man Sill Seth,
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: who used to be on Anaheim. He pitched out of
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: the bullpen yesterday. I forgot where he was. There's that
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: infamous video one of my shorts for this channel way
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: back in the early days that I filmed at top
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: Lobster's house. At top Lobster, it would always play it
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: on Tower Game to make fun of me, and it
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: was a winner. It was a first five play on
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: Anaheim was still Seth pitching and they won it. So yeah,
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: I just everybody made fun of me for saying still Seth.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: I made him famous. Man nobody would know who sil
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: Seth was, and it wasn't for me in this channel,
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: all right, But Texas only is one relief pitcher. Yes,
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: say they have the better bullpen anyway, Anaheim used five
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: or four guys. Excuse me, So Texas, even though they've
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: had bullpen issues, they're better than Anaheim. They ranked eighteenth
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: Anahem's twenty third. I don't love either bullpen though, but
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: Texas is the better of the two. Texas is the
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: better offense. They're eighteenth all the time. With the Giants
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: not great Anaheim twenty seventh. Anaeim really struggling offensively this year,
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: and they're not good at home either offensively. But the
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: pitching in this game is also just not very good.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: Cal Quantrell is getting the start for Texas. I think,
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: although I would say in this game, you might want
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: to look towards playing action if you're gonna play this game,
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: because Texas might put an opener in front of Quantrell.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: They've done that before. I think Clawson will or Klassen
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: I ever pronounce his name, will start for the Angels,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: So I think you could play Clawson must start. Well, actually,
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: you know what, because I like the over in this game.
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: So I think if you're gonna play it, you could
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: just play at action because I think these pictures are
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: both gonna be involved in this game. You don't know
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: for sure that they're gonna start, especially Quantrell, but yeah,
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think you can just play at action
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: because it's not like all of a sudden, some way
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: better pitcher is gonna be in the mix here. I
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: wouldn't think Quantrell has actually had a decent season though
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: for Texas three point five to six ERA one point
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: one to nine WHIP. A lot of it has been
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: pitching out of the bullpen, though he's been very consistent
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: home and road. His opponent batting average is a little
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: bit worse on the road, so he is slightly worse
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: on the road. He made a relief appearance last time out.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: He came in out of the bullpen for one inning
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: against Baltimore, had a clean inning there. He started before that.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: It did pretty well against the Giants. He was actually
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: alright in his previous two starters workload appearances there. I
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: still don't think he's that good though he does have
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: a reasonably low hit rate here. His walk rate's not
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: too bad. Doesn't strike anybody out so the advanced analytics
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: guys don't like him. Low strikeout rate, I don't really
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: trust him. His numbers against Anaheim are not particularly good
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: in fifty six at bats, three h four average, seven
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: forty three oh ps, nine to four strike out walk ratio,
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: So I think the Angels might be able to score
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: off him a little bit. And I don't really trust
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: George Klassan, the young pitcher for the Angels here. He's
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: really struggled so far. And what is his rookie season
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: here or I guess it won't even count as his
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: rookie season, but the numbers count seven point two seventy
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: or a two point eight eight win, really really ugly.
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: He's been a little bit better at home six point
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: seventy five hom he already, but still really struggling and
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: really struggling with his command. His hit rate is also
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: not even good, but his walk rate is really high.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: It loosely. He does have strikeout stuff. His strikeout rate
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: is okay in there, but his walk rate is enormous.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: That's a huge problem. He pitched a little bit better
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: last time out against Miami. It was his best outing
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: so far, but he still walked four guys in four
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: innings there, So I don't think he's trustworthy here. Man.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: I know Texas hasn't seen him. He does seem to
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: have decent strikeout stuff, so at some point he might
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: pitch better than this if he figures out his command
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: issues and whatever, and maybe it'll happen sooner than later.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: You never really know. I wouldn't really trust him right
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: now though, even though Texas hasn't seen him before. Like
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: I said, I think I would play the over if
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play this game, and I just think
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: it's pitching that isn't very trustworthy throughout this game. The
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: total is right on that key number of nine, so
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: that's what you'd be able to get on that you
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: wouldn't have to you wouldn't have to go over the
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: hook at least there the nine and a half, it
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: looks like it's a straight up nine tickets on the
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: under eighty five percent. That doesn't make sense to me.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: I don't think the public is coming in and playing
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: an under here, but only eighty two percent of the cash.
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: So the Margaret Reid is kind of saying that the
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: money versus the tickets, like the money is kind of
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: coming in towards the over. I don't know, man, it's
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: hard to read that because the public never plays unders
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: like that really, so I don't know. So most of
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: those tickets are actually probably a professional money, but it
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: looks like less of the cash, so I don't know
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: what to make of that. And then the money is
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: back in Texas seventy eight percent of tickets ninety two
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash, and then learned about minus one
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: thirty or so. As far as the side, I don't
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: really disagree. Like I said, I think Texas has more
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: motivation here. Quantra is at least a more established pitcher,
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: and they probably do have a bullpen edge here, so
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: I don't I don't disagree with Texas, but don't mess
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: with Texas, but I think it is probably the better
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: way to play that. That's on TV on ESPN. It's
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: a doubleheader after the Seattle and Yankees game. Although the
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 2: Yankees game is probably gonna get more of the views,
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: although maybe not. I mean, I don't know, because Seattle
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: is not a team that people really want to watch.
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: Yankees are in a huge market, so their fan base
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: will watch it. But Kansas City and Dodgers is the
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: last game Dodgers are on the verge of a sweep,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: I think unless is this a four game series. No,
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: I don't think it is. No. The Dodgers playing Milwaukee
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: with no days off tomorrow, so the Dodgers might overlook
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: Kansas City here. Man. I know, the Dodgers have barely
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: gotten by in these two games, have only won by
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: one in each game. But the Dodgers have started, you know,
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: playing with some more effort again, like we need to
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: win some games, guys, because the lead was a dwindling
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: a little bit. In their division, they were on cruise control.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: But they won each game by one run. Here, they
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: might overlook Kansas City because Kansas City sucks, and it's
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: a bigger series coming up next against the Milwaukee I mean,
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: that's that's a battle for first place in the National League.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure for the number one seed pretty much.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: Those those are probably the two best teams in baseball, actually,
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: Dodgers Milwaukee. I mean, who else is in the mix there?
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 2: The American League just sucks. I mean, I think the
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: Yankees are probably still the best team in the American League,
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: but I don't think they're as good as Dodgers. In Milwaukee.
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: The Cubs are probably in the conversation, not really maybe,
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: I guess the Braves. Aside from those teams, probably nobody else. Anyway,
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: There's also gonna be a Netflix game. Oh yeah, this
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: is the Field of Dreams. Shit, is that? What's starting?
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: Is that tomorrow? Philadelphia and Minnesota. We got to talk
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: about that tomorrow. I think, yeah, that's the Field of
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: Dreams game or one of the two on Netflix. Totally.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: They're gonna play in a cornfield in Iowa, I'm pretty sure,
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: or something like that. So we'll talk about that tomorrow.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think it's happened before too. I don't
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: know their ghosts of former players are gonna show up. Man,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: anyway I'm looking at I don't want to do that,
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: except that I'm saying the Dodgers might be looking ahead
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: to that game against Milwaukee. Kansas City has a terrible bullpen,
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: so I would not back their bullpen. They use three
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: guys Justes today the Dodgers, though, I'm assuming Snell. They
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: gave him like a short outing yesterday and then the
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: bullpen came in. They used five guys out of the bullpen.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: I would not want to back either bullpen. Here. The
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: Dodgers are eleventh right now in bullpen. That's probably about accurate.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, they haven't been that great recently. Kansas City's
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: dead last. I think they're better than the A's but
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: not better than anybody else. Kansas City very bad bullpen.
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: Dodgers are number two in offense. Kansas City is twenty
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: first time at the Phillies. So yeah, Dodgers had the
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: better hitting and the better bullpen. Kansas City's going with
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: Daniel Lynch the fourth here because of the Avila injury.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: Lynch just had a good season, but he's pitched mostly
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: out of the bullpen two point four to five yr,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: one point h one whip. He made a start last
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: time out, but it was just an opener. I think
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: it was that last game. Maybe it was the time
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: before that, I don't know, but he didn't pitch well
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: last time against the Cubs, and even in whatever games
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: he's actually opened or started, he's still they don't let
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: him go more than like one or two innings. So
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: you're basically getting Kansas City's bullpend for the entire game today.
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: That's not good obviously, so I don't think that's gonna
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: go well for them. Dodgers have been able to kind
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: of hit Lynch when they've seen him before. They have
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: an ops eight sixty one against them, So I'm not
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: gonna go into the details too much, but I think
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: we're gonna play this game. I would also not pick
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: a starter for Kansas City because it might not be Lynch,
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: but you know that whatever Kansas City's doing is not good,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: so I'd probably pick Lawer must start for the Dodgers,
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: but pick no starter in Kansas City. Eric Lower is
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Dodgers. He got traded from the or yeah,
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: traded I think or Dfad from the Blue Jays, and
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: he's been good with the Dodgers. He turned his season around.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: Maybe he got motivated to pitch for a better team.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say he's a good pitcher, but he
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: had a decent season last year with Toronto, and he
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: looks like a completely different pitcher with the Dodgers than
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: what he was with Toronto. This season, he's got a
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: four point eight to nine ERA, one point two to
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: six whip. That whip is not too bad at this
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: point four point seven homey RA, so he's actually been
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: better at home two twenty three homey ra this season,
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: some of that with Toronto, some of the Dodgers. Now
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: with the Dodgers, he won eight or nine starts in
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: a row with them until the last start when he
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: had a horrible start in Wrigley last time out, which
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: they still almost won the game. Both teams scored a lot,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: but he was awful in that game against the Cubs.
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: Is that a trend though, I don't know, because he
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: was pitching really well with the Dodgers. That Cubs game
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: might have been an outlier. You know, the Cubs are
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: good offense. The Royals are not a good offense, especially
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: on the road. So lower might be able to bounce
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: back here. But that does worry me that he pitched
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: really poorly in that game, and he was pitching pretty
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: well with the Dodgers until then. Although there were some
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: indicators that maybe there are some concerns here, like his
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: strike out rate hasn't really been that high, and in fact,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: on the season his strike out rates really low, so
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: that's a concern. His walk rate is okay, but given
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: the strike out walk ratio, that's not a good ratio
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: at all. His hit rate is okay, but he's a lot,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: a lot of home runs, and given how low is
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: strike gout rate is the advanced analytics guys will tell
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: you they think he sucks, and maybe he does. Against
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 2: the Royals, he's been good at that. He's been pretty
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: good though, in thirty at bats thirteen to one, strike
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio one thirty three average four eight ops. So,
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: you know, the Dodgers seem like they're gonna win this game,
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: but I wouldn't play them because they might again, they're
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: in a bad situation. They might overlook Kansas City and
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: look ahead to the Milwaukee Series. I don't think you
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: can lay minus two ten with Eric Lauer pitching. I mean,
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: that just seems ridiculous, even though it is the Dodgers
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: eighty one percent of the tickets around them, seventy six
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Kansas City and it opened
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: in the minus two thirty, so there is some legitimate
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: money backing Kansas City here. There's no way I would
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: do that either. I mean, I don't see how you
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: could trust Kansas City's pitching enough in this game, and
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: the money is back in the over at nine or
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: nine and a half. But you know, lower he's a
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: bit of a question mark. You don't know what you're
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: gonna get out of him. I think the more predictable
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: part of this game is that the Dodgers should be
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: able to score against Kansas City's pitching here. So I
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: think that's what I would be looking at the fact
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: that if you think the Dodgers is gonna win the game,
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: the over is getting a lot of money here. Sixteen
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the under makes no sense, but
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the cash on the over. You
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: know where I'm going with this. I think Dodgers team
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: total is a way to look here, although a lot
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: of the professionals would be like, no, you can't do
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: that because they might not bad on the ninth inning
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: because they'll be ahead. But I don't know. I mean,
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: you'll need him to score. You probably need him to
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: score six runs, which is a little high, but it's
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: not like out of the question, and you know, I'm
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: not gonna play the game. But if you're looking for
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: a way to play that game, I think that's probably
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: the way that I would do it is Dodgers team
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: total over all, right, WNBA, and then I will get
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: out of here. I don't have any plays here. There
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: is a USA Network doubleheader these games. I think I
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: lean with the market in all three games, but the
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: public seems to be on the same side as the
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: professional money in all these games, although maybe it is
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: just professional money because the public doesn't really get involved
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: in the WNBA preseason. I look at it, but I'm
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: not one of those guys that does that research. I
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 2: think it's still way too unpredictable, Like you have to
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: do it based on like the quarterback rotations, but you
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: still have no idea like what the workload is going
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: to be for each quarterback, you know, and you can
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: try to gauge motivation and stuff like that. I don't
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: do it. I know some guys do it, and they
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 2: can do well in it. I talk about the games
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: on the show, but I don't get involved in it.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: I think it's just two kod like it's too unpredictable,
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 2: all right. Toronto and Dallas is the first game here
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: on USA Network. Dallas is obviously the better team. The
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: Western Conference is better. Dallas is struggling recently, though they've
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: lost five of their last six games here, but they've
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: played some pretty good teams in here for the most part,
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: so Toronto's gonna be a step down from all these teams.
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: So Toronto's not playing well either. Dallas is returning from
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: playing a big game in Minnesota, but the game wasn't
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: really that close, so they've had a couple of double
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: digit losses here. They do have a big game on
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: deck against Indiana and a revenge game against Golden State
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: after that, so there's the possible look ahead here. But
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: when you've lost three games in a row, even though
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: they're returning home it was only a single game road trip,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: I don't really see Dallas totally overlooking this, even though
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: they did go in and beat Toronto in Toronto twice.
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 2: Actually I believe it's what this is. Yeah, so but yeah,
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: I don't know. So I could see them overlooking Toronto,
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: but I could see them coming out and trying to
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: get the win because they haven't been playing well. But
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: Toronto's probably gonna show up as well because they've been
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: playing bad basketball recently. They've lost a ton of games
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: in a row, a bunch of them also against good
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: team though really only one really bad loss in here
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: was the one to Portland. All the other games are
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: against good teams, so Toronto is at least battle tested,
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: even though I don't think they're a good team, but
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: they're probably better than this whatever nine game losing streak
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: that they've been on. Here, they're finishing a road trip
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: and they haven't won any game on the road trip yet.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: They had a bunch of days off before their last
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 2: game against Atlanta. They might show up and try to
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: get this last game. They're playing Indiana next as well
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: back at home in a TV game on ESPN. I
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: think I would take the points of Toronto here, but
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: I think both teams are gonna show up, so really
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: it would just kind of be a numbers play where
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: probably you still have to lay too many points with
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: Dallas because everybody kind of knows they're the better team.
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: They're laying nine and a half. I would lean to
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: taking the nine and a half with Toronto. I don't
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: want to do it, though, and the total is pretty
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: high in this game. So Dallas they play, they play fast,
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 2: high scoring games. They're not good on deepfense, and Toronto's
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: not good on defense either, So the stylistically you could
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: think about maybe taking the over here, and the money
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: is indicating on the over, but I would worry about
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: it just because if both teams are gonna show up
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 2: with some focus. That means their defense might be a
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: little bit improved. So I don't really love that either.
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: Eighty two percent of tickets eighty three percent of the
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: cash on Toronto plus I don't do much with the
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: totals here, you know, just in baseball. We have totals
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: in baseball today. But yeah, it looks like the public
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: is on Toronto. I don't know if I buy that.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: Maybe the actual money's on Toronto. That's the way I
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: would lean, but I don't have a strong opinion on
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: it at all. Chicago and Golden State is the next game.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: That's the other USA Network game of the doubleheader in
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: on CNBC. Golden State's a strong team. They're definitely making
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: the playoffs here. They've won four games in a row,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: although not really against great competition here. The good winning
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: there was the one against Dallas. Now they're returning home
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: from a two game road trip. They've been on the roads.
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: It's Friday. You know. I don't like teams returning home
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 2: from road trips, But on a short road trip like that,
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: I don't hate it as much. But Golden States still
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: might overlook Chicago because they suck and they got Dallas
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: in minnesot coming up next with your bigger games. Although
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: this is a home game on TV on USA, so
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: sometimes the home teams will step it up to play
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: well in front of a TV audience. But I just
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: don't know, man, I don't know if Golden State is
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: going to be motivated enough. But I don't know if
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 2: the spot is necessarily great for Chicago either. Let me see,
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: I actually know, you know what I think it is.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: I like Chicago in this game. I forgot what I
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: was looking at earlier. I was thinking of that Chicago
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: game against Indiana where we had Chicago here on the
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: show they covered against Indiana, and coming up to that,
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: I told you it was a bad spot. In fact,
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 2: I think it was a sandwich spot. Coming up that
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: big game against Atlanta against Indiana, having to travel all
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: the way to the Pacific coast and then having Golden
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: State on deck, it was a bad spot for them,
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: and they got caught by Seattle. I got that game right.
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: But the reason I didn't want Seattle was because they
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: were returning home from a road trip. But I think
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 2: they were traveling cross country as well, or no, I
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: think they were in Portland and then they came home,
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: so they had already adjusted to the time zone. But
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: I think my one problem with it was that it
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: was a return home spot, so I did play it unfortunately,
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: But I was right about the lean on Seattle there.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: But now Chicago has lost an ugly game to Seattle.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: You can kind of explain why, because they were in
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot. They had to go out to the
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: West Coast for that game, had to adjust to the times,
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 2: so now they're adjusted to the time zone. I think
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: I would lean Chicago, although they've had a more busy
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: schedule recently, I think the Golden State has. But Golden
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 2: State might not take them that seriously. And the money
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: seems to agree. You're beginning about eight and a half
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: on this, maybe nine eighty three percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on Chicago, and this is
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 2: the low total on the board here too. In the
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: one sixties, Golden State plays a bit more of a
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: defensive style, though they have some weird offensive schemes. But
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 2: if they're gonna play like a slower game like this,
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: like they tend to do sometimes, you know me, I
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: like the underdogs more when it's a low scoring game.
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean, because each point is worth more,
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: so it's more likely your underdog is gonna hit. So yeah,
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: I think that might be the best play out of
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: the three today is Chicago plus the points. Me with
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: me with playing Chicago. Man, I'm not gonna put it
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: on my card, but I think that's the best WNBA
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: played today. And then we have Minnesota and Portland. This
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: is a This is a mismatch. I mean, Minnesota is
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 2: the best team in the league and it's not even close.
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: Portland is not great. Although they won their last two
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: games at home here against Toronto and Seattle. They're not
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook Minnesota. They're gonna have to step it up
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: to play Minnesota here, but they don't have anything else
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: to really look at here. And they played okay against
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: Minnesota last time. They went into Minnesota and only lost
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: by eight, which is a decent performance from them. But
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: does that mean that Minnesota will take them seriously? I
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: don't really think so. I mean, I don't think this
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: is a great spot for Minnesota. In fact, Portland might
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 2: be worth a look here as well, because Minnesota is
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 2: coming off a nice stretch of games where they beat Indiana,
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: then They did have that weird loss to La, but
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: that was a sandwich spot between Indiana and Vegas. They
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: bounced back and they beat Vegas big win. Then they
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: beat Dallas in their last game, and now they're starting
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 2: a roach and having to go to the Pacific Coast
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 2: for a late night game so they have to adjust
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: to the time zone. The last time I played Portland,
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: they won, although it was only by eight. They got
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: a big game against Vegas up next, and then Golden
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: State coming up after that on the road trip. So yeah,
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: obviously I like Portland to cover in this game. It's
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: a bad spot for Minnesota. Do I want to do it? Though?
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: This one might actually be better than the Chicago one eighty
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: two percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: on Portland. It's a high total though, at one eighty
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: five and a half or something, so I don't like that.
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: That makes Chicago look a little bit more appealing than Portland.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: But with Portland you're gonna get thirteen and a half here.
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I quite want to do it.
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: I like it. I think I'll stay off it, but
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: I'll be Portland will cover, and I'll be pissed. You know,
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: that's what's gonna happen. I like Portland to cover in
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: that one. That's gonna do it. Man. So we have
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 2: two plays today, both in baseball, first five under in
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: an afternoon game here with Philly and Saint Louis under
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: the four. I like the starting pitching, I know, but
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: I'm Kyle Laey. I actually think he's worth backing in
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: that game, believe it or not. And then we're also
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: gonna go with Aleen that I also had yesterday that
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: was correct Seattle and Yankees under. But I'm doing it today.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: I think the starting pitching matchup works for it today,
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: although of course yesterday has already won. Woo what was
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: actually good? Again? I was just worried about his awful
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: road stats, man, But I like the under in Seattle
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: Yankees today as well. So that's what we're doing. Learn
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: it Tod on Twitter, learn it Tode on Instagram. Like,
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: subscribe to this channel here and my football content will
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: be starting again. I've already talked about the preseason game
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: that happened already, and I wasn't correct about it, really,
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: but you know whatever, it's preseason. We'll have five games.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know how deeply. I'm gonna talk about them,
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 2: but there's not a lot of baseball tomorrow. But I
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 2: don't want this show to go long, but I'll at
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: least talk about football a bit tomorrow and maybe at
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: least talk about the games that maybe I might have
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: some opinions on. I don't know if I'm really gonna
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: have many, but yeah, preseason is underway, you know. Hard Knocks,
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: like I said, started this week with the Seattle Seahawks.
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna watch that shortly actually and see if it's
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: any good. I usually like it, I mean hopefully I'm
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: entertained by it again, hopefully. I don't know. Is Sam
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: Donold a funny guy? I have no idea. Is he
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: gonna be fun on that show? I don't know what
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: else am I gonna say? Oh yeah, so football content
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 2: is coming. I got to do a college football preview
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: because that's starting within the next couple of weeks. NFL
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: preseason is going, so I might do an updated NFL preview.
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: You can go back and find my I did a
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 2: win totals special already and I wouldn't change my opinion
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 2: on the win totals that I give. And I still
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: I really actually still like all the ones that I
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: gave out on the show, and I think as the
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 2: best ones still. But I might change my opinion somewhat
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 2: on how the divisions are gonna shake out. And I
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: showed you that ESPN game, so maybe I'll like update
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: that or something. I might do that episode soon just
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: to do it. I mean, I don't know if it's
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: gonna be very interesting, but I'll have some of the
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: going on to subscribe and you'll see when I go
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 2: live because it might be a little bit unpredictable when
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: I actually do it. Covered in you because my uke
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: channel on YouTube. You can check that out Pagron dot com,
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: slash and learn a toe if you want to support
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 2: me that way. Loser Cast, we had a new episode
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: last night. I thought it was kind of boring. Sorry,
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 2: I'm just being honest. We get into these segments where
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: everybody just goes off on some like tangent. I'm like,
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: we're getting too serious, guys, this is not a serious show.
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: Bring it back to the comedy. I had to do
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: that with Tower Gang too, But yeah, man, I don't know,
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 2: but go check it out. It had its moments last
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: night and the New York Giants g Spot podcast. I
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: gotta talk to Ben because I'm assuming we're gonna do
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: something as far as previewing the season slash talking about
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: the draft, which we still never really talked about. I
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: think we gotta do it. So we'll see how that goes.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: That that show might have some more content. We might
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: be live streaming Giants games. So he's a Giants fan.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 2: I'm a Jackson Dart fan, so that's why that is happening.
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 2: I'm not necessarily a Giants fan, but I rooted for
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: the Giants against the Patriots when they played in those
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 2: Super Bowls. So because I hated those Patriots, seems I'm
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: neutral on the Patriots now because I don't like Belichi.
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: I really hated Belichick. Fuck that guy. Not a fan
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 2: of Brady either. I think he's a douche. But I
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: like Drake May so I'm not an anti Patriot guy
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: at this point. I used to like the Patriots back
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: with Drew bledsone whatever, because I am a Boston guy,
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 2: so I'm back. I'm luke warm with the Patriots right now,
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 2: how about that? But my team right how is the
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: Colts Because I lashed onto Peyton Manning, they suck, So
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: you know, I'm somewhat homeless in the NFL. Let's say
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: Colts are gonna play Anthony Richardson, Riley Leonard Leonard, Yeah,
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know. He might not be that bad dude,
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 2: Like he looked alright when he played last year. You know,
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: a lot of these guys, like a lot of it
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: has to do with like the intelligence that they have,
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 2: and Leonard might actually have. Even though I didn't think
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: Leonard was that good. I didn't really think he was
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: that good in college, but he actually looked all right
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: in the NFL setting last year. So I don't know.
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: Anthony Richardson, he's just never gonna be healthy, like you know,
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 2: it happened to Andrew Luck. Richardson's a different type of quarterback,
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: but he runs and he gets himself hit. Like he's
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 2: not gonna be healthy. Ever. So who's the Colt starter?
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: I have no clue. I don't even know who their
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: starting quarterback is. I don't know. It's well, it's Daniel Jones, right,
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: it's Indiana Jones. He's back, Yeah, so he should be fine.
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think he's as good as he
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: looked last year. But I don't think he's as bad
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: as the Giants fans were making him out to be,
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: So yeah, it will be Jones. I assume, right, I'm
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: assuming he's gonna be ready to go coming back from
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 2: his injury. Yeah, man, I got to close the show.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: But yeah, because I started rooting for paying Manning because
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: I like Payton Manning. I think he's hilarious and he
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: was the anti Tom Brady. So yeah, I was rooting
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 2: for the Colts back then, rooting for the Broncos a
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: bit when they had Manning. That's Cole's to the Broncos.
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: I don't really have a team though, Like, maybe I'll
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: start rooting for the Patriots again because I like Drake May.
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 2: I don't like Mike Vrabel really though. I did like
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 2: Vrabel until the all the cheating shit came out. And
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: I don't mean cheating on the field like Belichick. I
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 2: mean cheating on his wife in this case and cheating
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 2: with a married woman like I don't know, get your
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: shit together, man. Not a fan of that. But I
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: like Drake May, so you know, it's it's a mix.
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: I hate Josh McDaniels though, because he was, you know,
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: part of the whole spygate shit, and he's there still,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: I assume. So yeah, I mean, I let's say I
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: don't mind the Patriots players. I don't like their coaches.
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: That's basically where I'm at with the Patriots. And I
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 2: like Traveon Henderson seems all right. I like that guy too.
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: But yeah, thank you, sir, thanks for checking the show out.
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: Have a good day, everybody. Let's get some wins. Trying
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: to go to and oh with these two unders today,
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: so let's get it done. Have a good Thursday. This
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 2: is a long Is it a Thursday today? No, it's Wednesday?
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: What am I saying? Why do I keep thinking it's Thursday?
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 2: It's Wednesday? Up tomorrow it will be a little bit shorter,
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: even though we'll talk about the NFL preseason. Something that's
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: gonna do it for now. Peace.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: If the doc starts talking, hand me the phone, let
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: somebody and so, let somebody know you do not have
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: to lose this round lone.
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on nothing nice not now, hold on,
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 4: hold on.
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 3: Let me pull you out that bad luck by time,
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 3: but it don't get the crown.
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: Stay with me, now, hold on, hold
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 3: On, You're still here now