Latest / Toadstool Sports / Friday BEST BETS | Ladies Night | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB & WNBA Opening Day | 5/8/26

Transcript

Friday BEST BETS | Ladies Night | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB & WNBA Opening Day | 5/8/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your checks, the black coffee on the felt man, you
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: look like a mince three teen Parlett turned the dust
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name steal mean something to somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. No, hold on,
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: hold on, nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Nice not now. Hold on, hold on me.
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: But it an'll get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: Stay with him?
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: Now, what's up? Everybody? It's sewed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: Toadstool Sports. It is Friday, May eighth, one to zero
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: on the show yesterday. The only play was early, so
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: hopefully people got that the over in Rangers Yankees that hit.
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: It was not looking that good early on, and then
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: it was the Yankees offense that exploded later in the game.
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: They had one big inning later in the game and
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: that's what put the game over, which you know they
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: have done that quite a bit. You don't really expect
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: that against the Rangers, but however we can get it.
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: I'll take it man. The Rangers. The Yankees' pitching was
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: better than I thought it would be. In that game,
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: the Rangers pitching was worse, but I wasn't trying to
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: pick a side there. I was just trying to get
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: the over. That's what we did. Yankees, by the way,
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: are the highest scoring home team this year, so that
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: lent itself to an over there as well, even though
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: I played the under of the day before that. Move
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: on to today, We're gonna have a pretty big card today.
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: I got three baseball plays yeah, yes, correct, one hockey
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: play and one NBA play. I'm gonna talk about w NBA,
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: but I'm not gonna jump into the w NBA as
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: far as actually playing a game yet. That's more. It's
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: gonna be a wait and see approach with the WNBA.
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: I was pretty selective with it last year, but it
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: wound up winning. So dirty sock. What's up, Garrett? What's up? Tyson?
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: What's up? Yeah? I mean the Hurricanes have been completely
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: unto tested and that's gonna remain the case. Like, if
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: they don't win the conference, there's something completely wrong because
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: they're facing zero competition in this conference. Here, their only
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: possible competition was Tampa Bay, and Tampa Bay couldn't even
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: get through the first round. So the Eastern Conference is
• 3:18
  Speaker 3: unbelievably weak. Whoever they're gonna face coming out of the
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: other matchup here has no experience and they're not a
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: good team. I mean, Carolina is probably the best team
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: in the East. That's what I'll tell you. They need Colorado.
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: They could win the Cup. They need Colorado to get
• 3:37
  Speaker 3: knocked out. Colorado is the best team in the NHL.
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: There's an argument to be made that maybe Carolina is
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: the second best. Yeah, I don't know, But I don't know.
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: Beating Ottawa and Philadelphia doesn't exactly impress me. Okay, let's
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: move on to these games here. Baseball, everything is in
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: the evening today, pretty sure, So whatever. Houston at Cincinnati
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: is the first game up. Cincinnati played yesterday. They finished
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: a four game series with the Cobbs got swept. It
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: was the only game where Cincinnati lost by more than one,
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: although they had a big pitching disadvantage in that game.
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: Like I said, but Cincinnati is now at a rest
• 4:19
  Speaker 3: disadvantage and they're returning over from a road trips. You know,
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: I talk about that's a bad spot when you're returning
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: over from a road trip. I know it wasn't geographically
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: that bad. They only went to Pittsburgh and the Cobs
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: staying in the division here, that's not horrible. But still
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: they've been away for more little week, so sometimes you
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: can get distracted coming back home. Cincinnati, by the way,
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: it is hilariously in last place in the NL Central
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: now despite still being above five hundred, even though I
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: don't think they're very good. By the way, Terry Frankcona
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: should come back to the Red Sox. Let's make a
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: change here, man. Houston was off yesterday, so Houston is
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: rested here. Though Houston has not been playing well, but
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: they're starting a road trope which is a focus spot
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: plus rest, so the spot is better for Houston here.
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: By the way, the stream Yard, there's something very weird
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: going on here where they they're almost like graying out
• 5:17
  Speaker 3: all the comments. Now. I don't know what's going on
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: with stream Yard here, very very odd. Anyway, Houston has
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: a situational advantage here. Cincinnati did also use three relief
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: pitchers yesterday, and you know, if there's any bullpen that
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: maybe Houston could have an advantage over him, maybe Cincinnati
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: is one of them. Cincinnati is ranked second worst in
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: Major League Baseball. I would kind of say third worst
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: because their ERA is way worse than Minnesota's and they're
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: tied and Whip Houston is dead last. Though, of course
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: we're looking at two bad bullpens here, but maybe Houston
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: with the rest, maybe you could say that maybe they're
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: not worse in this game. Houston does have a better
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: better offense their fifth Cincinnati's been pretty bad twenty third.
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: Is that enough to get Houston over the hump here?
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: I don't I don't know. I don't want to play
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: this game because I don't like the starting pitching matchup.
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: Like the situation looks good for Houston here, but I
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: don't think we could back Mike Burrows here five point
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: nine to seventy RA one point six y five Whip
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: Uh playing for Houston a little bit worse on the
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: road six point two to three Roady Ray. I mean,
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: he's only given up more than four earned runs twice.
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: I guess that's something. Houston's lost all of his games
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: except one of them, which was against the Red Sox.
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: Of course it was last time out. He actually pitched
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: okay against the Red Sox, but lost because Houston actually
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: somehow didn't even hit in that game. Overall, Borrows, I
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: mean thirty six strikeouts, thirty seven to two thirds innings.
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: That's not that bad. Thirteen walks not horrible, but he's
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: been very hit able. Forty nine hits allowed, eight home
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: runs allowed. That's pretty bad. You know, he needs to
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: not put his pitches over the plate, it looks like.
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: But the other issue I have with Burrows here not
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: just that he's been pitching bad. It's that he used
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: to be in this division because he was on Pittsburgh,
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: so Cincinnati is familiar with him. But he did pitch
• 7:21
  Speaker 3: well against them in a limited sample thirteen at bats.
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: They only have one extra base hit against him, a
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: double from Hayes. Five strikeouts, no walks. That is good
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: for Burrows. One fifty four average allowed, three eighty five ops. Yeah,
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: it's possible Burrows does actually pitch well here, But I
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: don't love that he's familiar with the opponent here. You
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: know that they might be able to hit him here.
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: He hasn't been pitching well at all this year, so
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: I don't know this is a hitter friendly ballpark. By
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: the way, total is high for a reason. Nick Lodolo
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: is pitching for Cincinnati here he is making his debut
• 7:58
  Speaker 3: for the season. Was good last year for Cincinnati. He
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: put up a three point three to three ERA one
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: point zero eight whipen had a five strikeout walk ratio.
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: He was surprisingly good last year in the longest season
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: that he's had in the major so far. That's a
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: good sign. I don't know how he's gonna do coming
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: back from injury, but he is a veteran at this point,
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: so a lot of times veterans come back from injury
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: better than younger guys that haven't dealt with that situation before.
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: He's dealt with it before, so he might actually pitch
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: okay in this game here. And I think Houston is
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: very unfamiliar with him as well. Yeah, Houston only has
• 8:37
  Speaker 3: three hitters who I've ever seen him before. They have
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: one hitoff him, a single from Paradus. They're one for
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: thirteen off in lifetime with two strikeouts and no walks.
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: So Lodolo could certainly pitch well here. Sometimes you know
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: this guy coming back from injury. I didn't look at
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: what he did in his minor league rehab or whatever,
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: but sometimes a guy coming back from injury will be
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: ready to go, like if he's a veteran, you know
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: he'll pitch well. Sometimes I know a lot of professionals
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: kind of think the other way, and they'll they'll stay
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: away from the game or even fade that guy. But
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: I'm more of the camp that I think this guy's
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: undervalued because he's been injured, and I think he's gonna
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: do well and he's ready to go if he's a veteran.
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: But too many conflicting factors in this game. I'm not
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: doing anything with it. The money is indicating on Houston,
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: fifty percent of the cash on Houston, fifty five percent
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: of the tickets on Cincinnati. I mean, you can kind
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: of see why that. Because Cincinnati has the better record.
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: The public is not gonna want to be on an
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: Astros team even though they can score. Their record is
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: just awful, so you Houston's not going to attract public
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: money here. Cincinnati is favored at about minus one forty,
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: So Lodolo is getting the respect in the market, Houston
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: getting a lot of disrespect here. I could see the
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: sentiment that, yeah, maybe Cincinnati, because they're not even very good,
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: they shouldn't be favored by this month. I could see
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: that argument in I told you. The situational spot is
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: also bad for Cincinnati, you know, I probably I don't know, man,
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: because I think Lodolo generally is better than Borrows. That
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: would be my opinion there. So I have a real
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: hard time with this game. Money is also hitting the under,
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: although the total isn't nine, it opened nine and a half.
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean, if you're gonna play an under,
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: you do not want to deal with the bullpens here though,
• 10:27
  Speaker 3: that's for sure, So you'd have to go first five
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: if you go under here. But the money is hitting
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: the over. Like I said, if you go over a
• 10:35
  Speaker 3: full game makes sense because both bullpens are trash. So yeah,
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: I don't want to do anything with the game at
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: all though. Colorado at Philadelphia. Philadelphia is staying at home.
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: They did just lose a four game win streak, but
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: they got absolutely destroyed yesterday by the A's, so maybe
• 10:54
  Speaker 3: it's a bounce back spot for Philly here. Maybe they
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: just overlooked the A's because they'd already won the series.
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: Colorado not a very good team, but they are starting
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: a road trip or no, they're in the middle of
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: a road trip, right, yeah, No, yeah, they're starting a
• 11:07
  Speaker 3: road trip my mistake. Yeah, they just played the Mets
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: at home, so Colorado is starting a road trip now.
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: A lot of times I will want to be on
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: a team starting a road trip because it is a
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: focused spot. Colorado probably gets up for a Philly team
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: that has been playing better recently, Colorado not playing as well.
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: They did beat the Mets yesterday to end a losing streak,
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: though they were on a six game losing streak, and
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: you know I talk about when a team ends a
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: losing streak that will give them new momentum as well
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: positive momentum. So the situational spot for Colorado is not
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: that bad here. Bullpen usage. Colorado used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: Neither of these bullpens have been very good this year,
• 11:46
  Speaker 3: though Philadelphia also used three. Philadelphia is twenty first in
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: bullpen right now and Colorado is eighteenth. I don't particularly
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: like either bullpen, so I might be not wanting to
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: do anything with the bullpens here as far as wanting
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: them to have to do anything good for me. Chase
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: Donander looks like he's gonna get the start for Colorado,
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: but I think what you can do here this game
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: if you're gonna play this game, I think you're probably
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: gonna play at action because Colorado's putt an opener in
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: front of Dollander for most of his outings. So it
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: looks like Donander is going to get a starter's workload here,
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: but they might put an opener in front of him.
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: So if you're gonna handicap it like Donander is gonna
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: make a start. He's gonna be the starter here as
• 12:32
  Speaker 3: far as the amount of work he's gonna get, but
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: you don't know if he's actually gonna be the starter.
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: It kind of makes sense to go action here, but
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: I don't really have a good feel for this game
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: at all, though I do have a slight opinion. Donander
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: has actually pitched pretty well for the Rockies this year
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: three point three eighty RRA, one point one five WHIP.
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: He's been better on the road, which makes sense. I mean,
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: it's difficult to pitching course field. Uh so Colorado they're
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: pitching some of it is better on the road, but
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: they also don't hit as well on the road. Donander
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: is a two point four to nine at roady RA here.
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: He's actually pitched really well this year. He was not
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: good in his last start against Atlanta, but Atlanta has
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: been one of the best offenses that was in course field.
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: Maybe you give him a pass for that if you
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: take that start out in his opening start out. He
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: hasn't a lot of home run in any of his
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: other starts or any of his other appearances. I should
• 13:28
  Speaker 3: say it looks like they are ramping up his pitching here.
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: They're letting him pitch more. He's allowed one or fewer
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: earned run in every outing except that last one and
• 13:37
  Speaker 3: the first one, so generally he is actually pitching well here.
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: He might actually be able to pitch well not having
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: to pitch a course field here. Has decent numbers in
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: his history against Philadelphia in twenty at bats. It's not
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: a large sample, but Trey Turner with a double is
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: the only extra base hit they have against him. Eight strikeouts,
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: one walk, two hundred batting average allowed, four eighty eight ohps.
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: Dollander has done well against Philadelphia in a small sample.
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: Jesus Lozardo is pitching for the Phillies. His numbers don't
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: look good. Five point zero nine ERA, one point two
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: eight whip is still pretty like that's too high as well.
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: He's been bad at home. That is one concern with
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: them here. Seven point four to three home e RA
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: that's pretty bad. He had one really well, he had
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: two actually, actually, you know what, I take all that back.
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: Three out of his four home starts have been awful,
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: Like his three worst starts of the season all came
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: at home, and then he had one really good home
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: start against a very bad San Francisco offense. So I
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: don't know, man, I mean, that's not a good sign
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: that he's been really bad at home. So I don't know, man,
• 14:46
  Speaker 3: I don't really want Luzarro here, But he is in
• 14:49
  Speaker 3: good form right now. After that San Francisco start, he
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: followed that up with a win for us on the show.
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: We took Philly in the next game and they beat Miami,
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: and he pitched well in that start, had ten strikeouts
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: and he hasn't walked anybody over his last two outings.
• 15:03
  Speaker 3: But I worry about how bad he's been at home.
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: But if you look at his overall numbers, they are
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: pretty good. Fifty one strikeouts and forty to two thirds
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: innings with only nine walks. That's a really really good ratio,
• 15:14
  Speaker 3: really high strikeout rate. He's a lot of few too
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: many hits forty three, but generally his numbers suggest that
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: his era shouldn't be this bad. But I don't know
• 15:24
  Speaker 3: if we could trust him here. But he is facing
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: a rocky lineup that isn't really that good. They're not
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: really that good on the road. He's done well against
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: them in the past, like basically he's dominated them forty
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: seven at bats, twenty one strikeouts, three walks, one ninety
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: one average five seventeen ops allowed. By the way, I
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: forgot to talk about where these teams rank offensively. Colorado
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: is actually seventh right now, but they're playing on the
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: road where they're not as good at hitting. Philadelphia's been bad.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: They're twenty seventh offensively. I think they turn it around
• 15:58
  Speaker 3: a little bit at some point, though, But I think
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: what I would do in this game, I think is
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: actually go first five under in this game. I don't
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: want to deal with the bullpens. I mean, the bullpens
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: are not particularly good at all, but yeah, both starting
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: pitchers might actually match up Bok here. Although we see
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: ninety percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: on the under here, the full game total is seven
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: and a half juice to the under. So the odds
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: makers are really telling you they think this is going
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: to be a pitching duel here. I tend to agree.
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: I don't want to deal with the bullpens. This one
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: is not on my card, but I actually considered it.
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: I really do worry about Lozardo with those home numbers though,
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: but I think under first five innings makes sense in
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: this game. That would probably be the way I would
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: look to play it. You're gonna have to probably go
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: under three and a half, though, you know, I wouldn't
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: really disagree with looking at the Colorado side here though,
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: seventy seven percent of ticket sixty three percent of the
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: cash on Philly. Philly has been playing better, They're getting
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: the public action now, it looks like less of the
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: actual money on them. They're laying minus two ten or
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: somewhere in that range. You could take Colorado on the
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: run line and just need them to come within one run,
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: you know what I mean. That doesn't seem like a
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: horrible idea to me either. Donander he's under the radar, dude.
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: He is one of their talented young pitchers, and he
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: looks like he is starting to pitch the way they
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: kind of expected. Where Colorado usually ruins young pitchers like this.
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: Pitching a course field is not easy to do. But
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: he's been pretty good and he doesn't have to pitch
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: there in this game. So and Lozardo has been really
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: a bigger question mark this year. So that's how I
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: look at that game. Sparrow, what's up. Thanks for hanging out.
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: I'm doing all right, man. We're on a five and
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: zero run over the last two days on the show.
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: Here A's at Baltimore. Baltimore is returning home from a
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: road trip. I believe they were off yesterday or no,
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: they played. They lost to Miami yesterday. Yeah, so I
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: got that one right. It was close. Miami won late
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: in the game yesterday. Baltimore is returning home from a
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: road trip. And you know, I don't love it again
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: when teams are turned on from road trips. It could
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: be a bad spot. They have to get back to
• 18:10
  Speaker 3: home life. It could be a distraction. They're not playing
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: a team that they're particularly going to I think mentally,
• 18:16
  Speaker 3: focus for the A's are in the middle of a
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: road trip. They're coming in from Philadelphia. Although they did
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: wreck Philadelphia yesterday. But the A's, I mean, even though
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: they were top their division right now. I don't know
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: that they're necessarily going to overlook any opponent right now,
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: so I think the situational spot is worse for Baltimore.
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: Baltimore not a great bullpen. They used a bunch of
• 18:37
  Speaker 3: guys out of it yesterday too. They used four bullpen arms.
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: Miami also used four, though, and they had to use
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: some of their better bullpen arms to finish the game off.
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: Yesterday was not an extra inning game or anything. But generally,
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: Miami does have the better bullpen, and I'll still give
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: them the edge here even though they use some of
• 18:54
  Speaker 3: their better bullpen arms there. Miami is ranked fifth bullpen
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: based on whip here. Baltimore not nearly as good seventeenth
• 19:06
  Speaker 3: hitting wise, Miami actually hasn't been that bad either. They're
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: at eighteenth right now, Baltimore sixteenth. So Baltimore, Yeah, I
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: think Baltimore does have the better offense. Though Jacob Lopez
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: is gonna be pitching for the A's. He has not
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: been good this year, six point sixty RA one point
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: nine whip. He's been actually only a little bit better
• 19:27
  Speaker 3: on the road. A lot of times, these A's pitchers,
• 19:30
  Speaker 3: they do a lot better on the road because their
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: home stadium is a Triple A stadium where pitchers just
• 19:36
  Speaker 3: just get jacked up. But he hasn't been that much
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: better on the road, only slightly better six point four
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: to six road y ra. He got beat up in
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: his last start at home against Cleveland. His numbers are
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: not good, just generally thirty innings pitch, twenty three strikeouts.
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: He doesn't strike a lot of guys out, but he's
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: walked twenty two, which is a huge problem. The walks
• 19:57
  Speaker 3: have been a major issue for him, and he's allowed
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: thirty five hits on top of that and six home runs.
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: It's not that bad considering the stadium that he has
• 20:05
  Speaker 3: to pitch in, but he has not been good this year.
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: The walks have been a huge, huge issue going up
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: against Baltimore, Lopez has not been good against them historically either,
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: only sixteen at bats against them, though he hasn't allowed
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: an extra base hit to them, five strikeouts, one walk,
• 20:23
  Speaker 3: but they have a three seventy five batting average against
• 20:25
  Speaker 3: him seven to eighty seven ops. I don't trust Lopez
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: in this matchup. I would not want to have to
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: back him here. Kyle Bradish is pitching for Baltimore, and
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: I think he probably is the better pitcher, but he's
• 20:37
  Speaker 3: been bad this year too. Five point h three ERA,
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: one point eight two whip is real bad. He's been
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: a little bit better at home though, so at least
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: there's that four point oh two homeyra. He got lit
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: up in Yankee Stadium last time out. But you know,
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: if you look at his numbers this season, that was
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: the first time he allowed more than four earned runs.
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: Both of those starts allowed four or more were on
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: the road. Hasn't really gone too deep into most of
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: his outings though, but you know, he's been better than Lopez.
• 21:08
  Speaker 3: At least he's got thirty five strikeouts in thirty four innings.
• 21:11
  Speaker 3: Still a ton of walks from him to twenty one
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: that is still way too many walks, and forty one
• 21:17
  Speaker 3: hits allowed also not very good. Five home runs allowed
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: is kind of whatever. I don't really trust Bradish here either.
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: Against the A's. He does have pretty good numbers, though
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: nineteen at bats it is a small sample, no extra
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: base hits. In fact, they only have two hits off him,
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: eight strikeouts, one walk, one oh five average two fifty
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: five ops. The spot is not good for Baldemoro. I
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: don't like the spot in the return home spot, but
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: I do think they have a pitching edge here with Bradish,
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: and both bullpens are bad. You know, I forgot to
• 21:50
  Speaker 3: go into the bullpens. You're right? Wait, wait what did
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: I do? I think I handicapped the wrong bullpen, didn't I? Yeah,
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: I talked about Miami. My mistake. Yeah, obviously the A's
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: bullpen is worse than Miami's. My mistake. Yeah. The A's
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: are twenty sixth in bullpen, Baltimore is seventeenth. So yeah,
• 22:07
  Speaker 3: I apologize. Baltimore is the better bullpen here, but not
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: by a whole lot. I don't like either bullpen. You know,
• 22:15
  Speaker 3: both starting pitchers look kind of untrustworthy. I think possibly
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: the better approach here is to go over in this game,
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: although I leaned slightly towards Baltimore even though they're in
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: a bad spot. Fifty percent of the tickets, it's sixty
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: seven percent of the cash aer on the A's. The
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: money is hitting the A's here. Baltimore is about minus
• 22:32
  Speaker 3: one thirty something here on the price. Yeah, I think
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: Bradish has the upper hand over Lopez though, and the
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: Baltimore Bullpen is actually a little bit better as well.
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: I slightly lean that way, but I think my preferred
• 22:45
  Speaker 3: approach in this game is to just go over the total,
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: not trust either start or not trust either bullpen uh
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: fifty tickets seventy two percent of the cash on the over.
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: I do worry though. The bradish does have pretty good
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: numbers against the A's though, so that could come into
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: play there. But the total is pretty high. It is
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: probably high for a reason. At nine and a half,
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: over makes sense to me in that game. Next game
• 23:08
  Speaker 3: up will be one of my plays Anaheim at Toronto.
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: We're gonna be very total heavy again here, but my
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: totals have been pretty good, so I know you might
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: think it's boring, but shout out to boring bets so
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: sometimes shows up in the chat here. This is gonna
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: be a first five under in Anaheim Toronto under four.
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: I saw it in minus one twenty five out there.
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: You could do an under three and a half as well,
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: though I kind of like to try to get that four,
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: just you know, you get the extra half run. Every
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: half run matters a bit. There's no real key number
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: in the first five because the score could be anything
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: after the end of the first five, it could be tied. Obviously.
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: Now Toronto is returning over from a road trip. They
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: were just in Minnesota and then Tampa Bay. So it's
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: not the greatest spot, the return home spot, and I
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: think that does affect the hittings. Sometimes hitting can be
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: falling into that distracted spot, you know what I mean.
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: Just generally when a team returns home from a road trip,
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: I don't really want to be on them because of
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: that distraction. They got to get back to home life whatever.
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: They might not pay attention to an Anahem team that's
• 24:18
  Speaker 3: been struggling, although Toronto's lost four in a row. But
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: generally returning over from a road trip doesn't fix that.
• 24:24
  Speaker 3: In that first game, you get distracted by having to
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: get back to home. So that might affect Toronto's hitting. Here,
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: Anaheim is coming in from playing at home, so they
• 24:36
  Speaker 3: are having to travel cross country. That might affect the
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: hitting as well. So I do worry about that for
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: Anaheim as well. Anaheim did they not play yesterday. Let
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: me say, I believe both teams were off yesterday. Yeah,
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: so both teams were off, so that actually might help
• 24:53
  Speaker 3: cool down the bats as well. So I like that
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: as well. Anaheim traveling cross country might also you know,
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: mess with the bats as well because they're gonna have
• 25:01
  Speaker 3: to adjust to the new time zone whatever. So I
• 25:04
  Speaker 3: think that's all gonna maybe help us with this under
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: because it might mean the teams are gonna get off
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: to a slow start here. Both bullpens are rested, but
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna go with the full game here because
• 25:15
  Speaker 3: I can't deal with it. Even though they're rest at.
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: Anaheim's bullpen is awful. They're ranked twenty seventh. We can't
• 25:21
  Speaker 3: deal with that. Toronto's is a bit better at sixteenth
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: and still not great. So I don't know, I want
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: to exclude the bullpens here. They're just combined. The two
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: bullpens are bad enough that I don't want to have
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: to go full game with this. The offenses here are
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: not terrific. Anaheim hits a lot of home runs, so
• 25:41
  Speaker 3: hopefully that doesn't do us in here, but they're ranked
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: twelfth offensively. Toronto's really struggled at twenty fourth offensively. So
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: I think we can get this done with the under
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: here looking at what these offenses are, you know, I mean,
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: I'll go unders even with some of the better offenses
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: to depending on what the pitching is. I think the
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: pitching here could get us this under as well. Reed
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: Debtmes is pitching for the Angels. He's actually been good.
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: You might see. He's got a four point two to
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: eighty RA, which doesn't really look that good, but his
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: one point one to five whip is pretty good. He's
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: been better on the road three point seven to eight
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: road RA, so that's a good sign as well. He's
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: pitched pretty decent in his last couple outings. I mean,
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: I know it was against Kansas City and the Mats.
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: It's not like those teams are shredding offensively. Neither is Toronto.
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: And yes, he did face Toronto back on the twentieth,
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: so April twentieth, So yeah, that worries me a little
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: bit that Toronto did just see him. He did fine
• 26:39
  Speaker 3: in that outing. It was at home. He went six innings,
• 26:41
  Speaker 3: give it four earned runs, five strikeouts, two walks, only
• 26:44
  Speaker 3: five hits. He honestly got a little bit unlucky there.
• 26:48
  Speaker 3: He gave up a home run, he didn't put that
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: many guys on base, and generally, if you look at
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: his numbers, they're pretty good here forty four to nine
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: strikeout walk ratio, only three on runs allowed, thirty seven hits,
• 26:59
  Speaker 3: a lot of forty innings. Those are all really good numbers, dude,
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: It's just that Anaheim, their bullpen has blown some of
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: the games he's pitched. You know, he's been not great.
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: One start of his was bad at home against Atlanta,
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: but other than that, he's been pretty good, and most
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: of it's met in bad bullpen behind a bad run
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: support behind him. I actually like how Dettmar's looks here
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: home Oh yes, full home, Oh debtmvers has sixty nine
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: at bats against Toronto, fifteen strikeouts, five walks to seventeen
• 27:31
  Speaker 3: average allowed, six h four ohps. He has pitched well
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: against Toronto other than the fact that Vlad Guerrero does
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: hit him pretty well. But what else do you know,
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: what do you expect? I think Dettmars can pitch well here, don't.
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: Cease is pitching for Toronto. And while you know, I know,
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: I'm on record not really being a huge Cease fan
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: because he does not cease to walk too many people.
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: He throws too many pitches usually, But I mean, he's
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: a guy that is a flamethrower. He does strike out
• 28:00
  Speaker 3: a lot of guys. He's got a three point zero
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: five VR, so his era you can't complain about that.
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: I know his whip is bad, one point three to three.
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: I mean it's not horrible, but it's too high. I
• 28:11
  Speaker 3: mean it indicates that his ERA should be higher than
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: it is. Home road splits are not too significant for him.
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: Although he is a little bit worse at home three
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: point three to eighty R. That's still not bad at all.
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: Though he was really good last time out on the
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: road against Minnesota. He's thrown over one hundred pitches in
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: four his four straight outings. But I don't think that
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: really is going to affect him. I mean, he's a veteran,
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: he's used to it. I don't think it really matters.
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: He's got a really high strikeout rate, like I said,
• 28:39
  Speaker 3: fifty six strikeouts and thirty eight and the third innings,
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: tons and tons of strikeouts. But eighteen walks is the problem.
• 28:46
  Speaker 3: But he's only allowed thirty three hits. He's been pretty
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: difficult to hit, and with Anaheim's offense, what you really
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: want is a guy that's not gonna allow home runs. Well,
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: Cease has only allowed one home run this season, so
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: Seise definitely has the ability to not allow home runs here,
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: and he's actually allowed more ground ball outs than fly
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: ball outs this year. But usually with a guy with
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: his profile, you don't usually see that being the case,
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: because a lot of times guys will just connect with
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: that fastball when they like, when they're actually able to
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: connect with it, they'll hit it very hard. But you know,
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: not really the case with him. He did play against
• 29:20
  Speaker 3: Anaheim on that same day, April twentieth, so this is
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: a repeat of that matchup, which, by the way, that
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: game landed on seven for the full game cease allowed
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: to hour and runs in that game, had twelve strikeouts
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: in five innings, only put seven earned base runners on
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: that game. By the way, it did go under in
• 29:39
  Speaker 3: the first five. By the way, it was a two
• 29:41
  Speaker 3: to one game. Oh no, sorry, it was two to two,
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: my mistake, So it landed right on the four. But
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: Anaheim is a more hitter friendly park, I believe the
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: Toronto is, So let's go with it. First five under
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: in this one will be the play a little bit juicy,
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: but you know, this is baseball, so it's kind of
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: the way that it is. Sometimes you could go onto
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: three and a half if you want to pay less
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: for it and take a little bit more risk there, Well,
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: you're taking more risk with you know your risking that
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: you're not getting a better number. Let's say, mister Pinsey,
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Oh I see what dude, Streamyard,
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: I see what they're doing. They're graying out all the
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: comments that I actually showed already. Ah okay, I don't
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: know if I could change that setting or not. That's weird,
• 30:31
  Speaker 3: all right, Yeah, stream Road keeps changing stuff, man, all right,
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: Tampa Bay. At my Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: bullpen failed last night. I mean Jake Bennett. I don't
• 30:42
  Speaker 3: think he was that bad. I ran into I was
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: at Shane Gillis last night. I ran into a bunch
• 30:48
  Speaker 3: of Red Sox fans on the trains and whatever. After
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: I got out there. A lot of the a lot
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: of people at the Red Sox game yesterday getting on
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: the trains, and by the way, a lot of them
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: were wearing the Red Sox green monts, the alt merchandise,
• 31:02
  Speaker 3: to the hats, the jerseys, everything really really crazy. But
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: they were a very disappointed bunch. I could tell right
• 31:09
  Speaker 3: away the Red Sox had lost the game, even though
• 31:11
  Speaker 3: I didn't know what the score was yet. Red Sox
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: bullpen was bad yesterday. Generally they're not bad though, and
• 31:19
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox, you know, they were returning home from
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: a road trip. They swept Detroit. You know, I talked
• 31:24
  Speaker 3: about it yesterday. I liked the Red Sox pitching matchup
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: in the game, but they also were in a bad situation.
• 31:29
  Speaker 3: So unfortunately they kind of wasted a better pitching matchup yesterday.
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: But still they had a young pitcher on the mound.
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: Red Sox used three relief pitchers yesterday. Tampa Bay used four.
• 31:42
  Speaker 3: Tampa Bay has been the better bullpen recently, but they
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: were bad to start the season. There's still ranked eleventh
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: in bullpen. The Red Sox are ranked eighth. I think
• 31:51
  Speaker 3: I'm still gonna give the Red Sox a slight bullpen etcher.
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: Timpa Bay's bullpen is definitely doing a lot better recently,
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: so there's not much of an edge there. Hitting one,
• 32:00
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox have been bad. They're twenty eighth. They
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: just can't figure it out. Not good. Tampa Bay better
• 32:06
  Speaker 3: offensively at fifteenth, so that sucks. Jesse Schulten's is gonna
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: be pitching for Tampa Bay, though I don't know how
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: long he's gonna go. His numbers are pretty decent this season,
• 32:17
  Speaker 3: three point one to eighty RA, one point one five whip,
• 32:21
  Speaker 3: he has a zero roady IRA, but he's only pitched
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: five innings on the road. He's mostly been working out
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: of the bullpen man and making like small ish appearances,
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: So I think he's gonna be more of an, you know,
• 32:34
  Speaker 3: not really an opener. But I think he's gonna go
• 32:36
  Speaker 3: like three four innings here, depending on how well he's
• 32:39
  Speaker 3: pitching and what the matchups are and whatever. So I
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: don't think he's gonna give you a full starters workload here,
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: So Tampa is probably gonna have to go to the
• 32:47
  Speaker 3: bullpen somewhat early in this game. It's more of a
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: bullpen ish game setting up for Tampa here. But they
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: did the same thing yesterday too with Jacks as their starters,
• 32:57
  Speaker 3: so maybe that's not even gonna hurt them that much.
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: They're used to doing it. At least Tampa Bay and
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: Detroit are the two teams that do that the most,
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: so you know, maybe it's not that bad of a
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: thing for Tampa Bay here. Scholten's you know, he's got
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: seventeen strikeouts, six walks, twenty hits a lot in twenty
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: two and two thirds innings. Not really a whole lot
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: to read into. There, doesn't strike out a lot of
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: guys doesn't put a ton of guys on base either.
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: Numbers against the Red Sox small sample thirteen at bats,
• 33:25
  Speaker 3: two strikeouts, one walk, three eighty five average allowed eight
• 33:28
  Speaker 3: point fifteen eight thirteen excuse me, ops allowed. So yeah,
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox win. They've seen him, have been able
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: to do okay against him. It's hard to read, man,
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: It's hard to figure out what is gonna what you're
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: gonna get from Tampa's pitching. Here Connolly Early is pitching
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: for the Red Sox. He's been decent. He's still young
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: man and figuring stuff out. And his issue has definitely
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: been the walks. He's got to get the walks under control.
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: Three point seven to ninety iras still not bad. One
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: point three to two whip though that whip is too high. Again,
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: the walks are a problem. He's pretty bad at home
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: six point seventy five homey Raim, I don't know if
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: he's that trustworthy, although really it was. I mean, you
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: look at the teams that he had to face at home, though.
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: The Yankees and Houston are the teams that both did
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: that damage, and he wasn't even that bad against the Yankees.
• 34:16
  Speaker 3: He got very little run support in both those outings
• 34:18
  Speaker 3: as well. But those teams are both good offenses, you know,
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: so maybe give him a little bit of a pass
• 34:24
  Speaker 3: for that. He's faced some decent offenses in there, mostly
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: those two. Tampa Bay has seen a little bit of him.
• 34:32
  Speaker 3: They only have four hitters who have faced him. They
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: have six at bats against him, no extra base hits,
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: no strikeouts, two walks. They're two for six off him
• 34:40
  Speaker 3: with two singles. So I don't know what you can
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: really take away from that. Not much tough game to
• 34:46
  Speaker 3: figure out. Man. It is early, by the way, as
• 34:49
  Speaker 3: I was alluding to his walk numbers a problem. He's
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: got thirty one strikeouts, seventeen walks, only thirty hits all
• 34:55
  Speaker 3: out in thirty five to two thirds innings though, So
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: he's not that hitt a bum he's got, man, I
• 35:00
  Speaker 3: mean he's not. He's not really a hard thrower. He's
• 35:05
  Speaker 3: more about like locating his pitches, and he's got off
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: speed pitches. The fool hitters, so that's more of his thing. Still,
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: I think his fastball is probably like a mid nineties fastball,
• 35:16
  Speaker 3: but yeah, whatever, I think Early definitely has a higher
• 35:20
  Speaker 3: ceiling here in than Schultens does. Maybe it's a bounce
• 35:24
  Speaker 3: back for the Red Sox. You know, sometimes when those
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: teams return home and they have a bad game, they
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: will bounce back in the next game. There is a
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: reason why the Red Sox are favored at minus one
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: thirty whatever here, and you're gonna look at the team's
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: records that think, what the fuck is that? Because the
• 35:37
  Speaker 3: Red Sox are well below five hundred and the Rays
• 35:41
  Speaker 3: are way above five hundred. And in fact, I believe
• 35:44
  Speaker 3: there are only two teams in the American League above
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: five hundred at all now, and it's Tampa Bay and
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: the Yankees. The American League is just a sad, sad league. Man,
• 35:55
  Speaker 3: it is so bad. But you know, there's a reason
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: again why the Red Sox are favored despite the record
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: disparity here. Tampa Bay. I mean, they're not a bad team,
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: but I think they're overrated, like their record makes them
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: look better than they actually are now, even though I
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: don't think they're that bad. Of a team, but their
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: run differential is like plus twenty or so, and like
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: the Yankees are like plus eighty, you know what I mean.
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: That means they've scored that many more runs than they've allowed.
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: So a positive run differential is good, but Tampa's isn't
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: that positive. And they're like the Reds in that they've
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: won a lot of close games. Tampa, I think is
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: one of the most one run games in the American League.
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: So that's something to consider in this one alien disclosure day.
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: That's a distraction, dude. Basically that makes me wonder, like
• 36:46
  Speaker 3: what else is going on? Like, you know, I think
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: aliens do exist, but I think that the narrative surrounding it,
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: there's a lot of fake information out there. There's a
• 36:58
  Speaker 3: reason why all those scientists disappearing that are in that
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: type of field in you know, aeronautics and space and whatever,
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: and even you know, in the UFO field and whatever.
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: There's something going on there. But I think what they're
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: gonna disclose is going to be a distraction from what's
• 37:16
  Speaker 3: really going on anyway. You know, I guess I'll slightly
• 37:20
  Speaker 3: lean to the Red Sox there, but I just hope
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: they win I don't love it, but they do have
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: more of the money sixty one percent of tickets eighty
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: three percent of the cash on them. I don't have
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: a good feel for the game. The totals eight and
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: a half. I mean, do what you want with that game.
• 37:33
  Speaker 3: By the way, the full game total on the game
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: I just gave out as a play Anaheim in Toronto,
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: full game seven and a half there, So the odds
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: makers are definitely telling you they think it's gonna be
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: a low scoring game. That one has eighty percent of
• 37:45
  Speaker 3: the tickets in ninety one percent of the cash on
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: the under. So that's Anaheim Toronto. I mean, so we
• 37:52
  Speaker 3: are agreeing with the money in that one. Washington at Miami,
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: I have at least an opinion on this game. That's
• 37:59
  Speaker 3: one of the better opinions in my opinion. Miami just
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: ended a four game losing streak by beating Baltimore yesterday
• 38:06
  Speaker 3: and they're staying at home, so that's at least good
• 38:09
  Speaker 3: for Miami. Again, when you end a losing streak sometimes
• 38:12
  Speaker 3: that gives you new positive momentum, so that's good. Washington
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: did just win two games against Minnesota, though, and now
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: they might carry that momentum on the road with them
• 38:22
  Speaker 3: a lot of times started a road trip, you will
• 38:24
  Speaker 3: be focused. This is a divisional series, so Washington may
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: show up as well, so I think the spot is
• 38:29
  Speaker 3: kind of positive for both teams. Washington does not have
• 38:32
  Speaker 3: a good bullpen. They used four relief pitchers yesterday. Miami
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: has the better bullpen. They also used four and use
• 38:40
  Speaker 3: some of their better relievers, as I already talked about
• 38:42
  Speaker 3: because I had the wrong team there in that Baltimore matchup. Miami,
• 38:46
  Speaker 3: like I already said, is fifth in bullpen, so they're good.
• 38:50
  Speaker 3: Washington is twenty second, so Miami definitely has a bullpen
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: edge here. Miami offensively eighteenth here. And by the way,
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: I've totally fucked that up, dude, Baltimore, because Baltimore is
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: facing the A's here. I apologize, dude. The Aas have
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: the better offense over Baltimore. The a Is are ranked
• 39:11
  Speaker 3: where are they at? The A's are sixth right now,
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: just to get that out there, because I forgot to
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: mention that Baltimore sixteenth. I'm sorry. I'm skitz today. I'm
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: all over the place. Miami is eighteenth in offense. Washington
• 39:24
  Speaker 3: is back up to ninth. But remember, Washington just padded
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: their offense against a very bad Minnesota pitching staff that
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: also lost their as, so Washington did not have to
• 39:34
  Speaker 3: face Joe Ryan in that series there, and Minnesota's bullpen
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: is also bad. But yeah, Washington, They're pitching is bad.
• 39:43
  Speaker 3: Their bullpen is bad. Offensively, the been decent. Miami's pitching
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: has been better. Foster Griffin is pitching for Washington. He's
• 39:52
  Speaker 3: been one of the biggest surprises, although nobody's gonna be
• 39:56
  Speaker 3: talking about it because who the fuck is this guy?
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: He's thirty years old, he has not had much major
• 40:00
  Speaker 3: league experience like usually this again, it's like a it's
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: like a movie storyline, Like you know, he's like, what
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: was it Randy Quaid and the rookie h Randy Quaid.
• 40:13
  Speaker 3: You know, he starts pitching for the Rays when he's
• 40:15
  Speaker 3: like almost forty years old. He makes his major league debut.
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: You know what I'm talking about? That movie? You guys
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: seen that movie? I don't know, but this reminds me
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: of that, where it's like this guy hadn't really pitched
• 40:26
  Speaker 3: in the majors, though he had pitched a little bit.
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: He's thirty years old, You're like, what the hell are
• 40:30
  Speaker 3: you really gonna get out of this guy? Well, he's
• 40:33
  Speaker 3: having a good season. Two point two seventy array, one
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: point eight whip. He's been pretty good both home and away.
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: It doesn't really matter. Thirty three strikeouts, fourteen walks. I mean,
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: it's not the greatest ratio, but it's not terrible. Twenty
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: nine hits allowed in thirty nine to two thirds innings,
• 40:51
  Speaker 3: that's pretty good. He hasn't a lot a lot of hits.
• 40:53
  Speaker 3: He's been solid, dude. He's allowed three or fewer runs
• 40:56
  Speaker 3: and all but one outing, and he's allowed fewer than
• 40:58
  Speaker 3: three in all but two outings. Anaheim's won all but
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: two of his starts, and he pitched pretty well against
• 41:05
  Speaker 3: some better offenses. He had to face the Dodgers Atlanta.
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh was one of his worst starts, and he didn't
• 41:12
  Speaker 3: even do bad in that outing Milwaukee he was able
• 41:15
  Speaker 3: to shut down twice, didn't allow any runs, did walk
• 41:19
  Speaker 3: too many guys last time out four. So yeah, the
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: walks maybe a little bit of an issue, but Griffin
• 41:24
  Speaker 3: definitely is capable of doing well here. This is a
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: pitcher friendly ballpark in Miami as well, and Griffin has
• 41:30
  Speaker 3: never been seen before by Miami, So Miami might actually
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: pitch might actually Griffin excuse me, might actually pitch well
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: here against Miami. He's got the unfamiliarity edge against them
• 41:41
  Speaker 3: as well. Yeah, I think he might pitch okay. Here.
• 41:45
  Speaker 3: He is going to be opposed by a guy making
• 41:47
  Speaker 3: his major league debut, which is Robbie Snellings. We have
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: a lot of a lot of mystery here. These guys
• 41:55
  Speaker 3: don't have a lot of major league experience. Snelling is
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: gonna make his major league debut four of the Marlins.
• 42:01
  Speaker 3: He is a left hander. His numbers have been really
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: good in Triple A. I looked him up. He's got
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: like a one ERA over five starts at Triple A
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: this year, a whip below one, high strikeout rate from
• 42:13
  Speaker 3: what I saw on Triple A. The walk number a
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: little bit high for him. My concern would be that
• 42:20
  Speaker 3: it's arsenal isn't that deep. So he throws like a
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: mid nineties fastball, which doesn't seem great, but he fools
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: hitters by mixing in his off speed stuff. I guess
• 42:30
  Speaker 3: he has a really, really disgusting curveball that really throws
• 42:34
  Speaker 3: people off. He's got to change up as well, and
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: that's primarily what he does, that three pitch mix. I
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: guess he has like a slider that he's mixing in
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: as well. That's similar but different to the curveball. I
• 42:45
  Speaker 3: don't know, but I like what this guy's been doing
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: in triple A at the very least. And of course
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: he hasn't been seen before by any major league hitters
• 42:54
  Speaker 3: unless they saw him in the minors or whatever, you know,
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: so he has the unfamiliarity edge here as well. I'm
• 43:00
  Speaker 3: gonna lean under first five in this game. Man. I
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: even though I like Miami's bullpen, they're a little bit unrested.
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: They use some of their high leverage arms. So I
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: just don't want to deal with the bullpens, and you know,
• 43:11
  Speaker 3: I don't want to deal with Washington's bullpen. I considered
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: adding this to my card, like this one. This is
• 43:17
  Speaker 3: the closest play to being on my card that doesn't
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: make my card. So I'll just I'll tell you that
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: first five under would be my recommendation here. I don't
• 43:25
  Speaker 3: see any percentages on this yet. Two lefties that are
• 43:30
  Speaker 3: very unfamiliar going at it here. Man, there is a
• 43:35
  Speaker 3: there is a bit of an unknown though. You know,
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: sometimes with a guy making his major league debut like Snelling,
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: sometimes they will be a little bit nervous and that
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: leads to walks, you know what I mean. So that's
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: the one issue, Uh, Griffin, I'm not too worried about. Like,
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: he has so many starts under his belt now this
• 43:52
  Speaker 3: season that you know he's not gonna be intimidated by this.
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: He's faced some of the top lineups in baseball and
• 43:59
  Speaker 3: wasn't really intimidating. Did so total for the full game
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: here is eight, But yeah, I like first five under
• 44:06
  Speaker 3: in that game. Josh, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Yes,
• 44:11
  Speaker 3: I agree with that sentiment. Yes, the government telling you
• 44:15
  Speaker 3: all this stuff about aliens, you know there's something different
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: going on than what they're telling you. Hindian, thank you.
• 44:21
  Speaker 3: What's up? Easy? Easy e? Jeff, I don't know what
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: that is. You're not you're not a baseball fan. What
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: about oh the taxes, that's right, yeah, because the market
• 44:36
  Speaker 3: will tax you. I mean the betters will call it
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: a tax. But it's like, you know, I mean, whatever
• 44:44
  Speaker 3: you want to call it. Like the price is higher
• 44:47
  Speaker 3: on on those games, you know what I mean? When
• 44:49
  Speaker 3: you're you're paying a premium. Let's call it paying a premium.
• 44:52
  Speaker 3: A lot of guys use that terminology as well. You're
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: paying a premium when you're betting the best teams and
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: the best pitchers. Who's from Reno snelling? He might be Yeah,
• 45:05
  Speaker 3: I don't know, man, I mean, Reno's got a lot
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: of gambling going on. They're also, you know, they're in Nevada,
• 45:11
  Speaker 3: so they're in the Area fifty one area. The Area
• 45:14
  Speaker 3: fifty one, I'm pretty sure is closer to Vegas than Reno.
• 45:17
  Speaker 3: All right, what else we got here? Yeah, because they
• 45:22
  Speaker 3: think the people that work at Area fifty one fly
• 45:24
  Speaker 3: out from somewhere near Las Vegas. They fly from there
• 45:29
  Speaker 3: into Area fifty one. Oh, I get what you mean. Yeah,
• 45:34
  Speaker 3: Jeffrey e Aam, that's right. Am. I not allowed to
• 45:38
  Speaker 3: say his name. I don't know Minnesota at Cleveland. This
• 45:42
  Speaker 3: is gonna be another play from me. This is an
• 45:44
  Speaker 3: Apple TV game. Cleveland is returning over from a road trip,
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: and you know I talk about that. I don't like
• 45:50
  Speaker 3: teams returning over from road trips. They went to the
• 45:53
  Speaker 3: as then they were closer to their area though they
• 45:56
  Speaker 3: were in Kansas City, and they won that series or No,
• 45:59
  Speaker 3: they split series and won the last two games of it.
• 46:03
  Speaker 3: But Cleveland is still returning over from a road trip.
• 46:05
  Speaker 3: They've been away for a while. They did have to
• 46:06
  Speaker 3: go to the Pacific Coast during it, so I talk
• 46:08
  Speaker 3: about how that adds to distractions, but I also think
• 46:11
  Speaker 3: the distractions hit the offense more than it might hit
• 46:15
  Speaker 3: a single starting pitcher, because you know, it's easier for
• 46:19
  Speaker 3: one single guy to overcome those distractions, especially if he
• 46:23
  Speaker 3: is single then than it is for like an entire
• 46:27
  Speaker 3: offense of a team to do it, you know what
• 46:29
  Speaker 3: I mean, Because you're gonna have guys in the mix
• 46:31
  Speaker 3: that are dealing with the distractions or whatever. So you
• 46:34
  Speaker 3: kind of know where I'm going with this. I think
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: Cleveland might be a little bit distracted here on the
• 46:39
  Speaker 3: return home spot Minnesota. They just lost a couple of
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: games to Washington, which, yes, that might mean they're gonna
• 46:46
  Speaker 3: be focused now they're in the middle of a road trip,
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: So yes, I would agree in Minnesota is in the
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: better situational spot, but that is not where I'm going
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: with this game. I'm not gonna give out a play
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: on the side in this one. Cleveland, by the way,
• 46:58
  Speaker 3: their bolthman has been okay, they've used they use a
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: lot of guys out of it the last couple of days.
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: They use five relief pitchers yesterday. And you know what
• 47:05
  Speaker 3: I already said about Minnesota their bullpen. Not a fan
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: of it at all. They used two guys out of
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: the bullpen yesterday. But I still don't want to deal
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: with Minnesota's bullpen. You probably know what this is gonna be.
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: First five unders where we're going on this one too.
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: I saw I found an under four at a little
• 47:27
  Speaker 3: bit of a better price than the other one at
• 47:30
  Speaker 3: minus one eighteen. Minnesota. I mean, they've been playing a
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: lot of high scoring games, dude, But I mean, think
• 47:36
  Speaker 3: about it. They're playing in Washington. Washington has allowed more
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: runs than any other team at home this year, and
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: Washington has a terrible pitching staff, you know what I mean.
• 47:47
  Speaker 3: So that obviously that padded Minnesota's numbers. Although I know
• 47:52
  Speaker 3: Washington was lighting up Minnesota's pitching in the last couple
• 47:55
  Speaker 3: of games, I get it. But seeing a team coming
• 47:58
  Speaker 3: up a bunch of high scoring games like that, I
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: don't think that's gonna be the case coming into this one.
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: Cleveland plays a lot of lower scoring games but you know,
• 48:07
  Speaker 3: Cleveland did just have a high scoring game yesterday against
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: Kansas City as well. But we're now in Cleveland. Cleveland
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: is not a particularly hitter friendly ballpark. I don't believe.
• 48:16
  Speaker 3: I never really talk about the hitter or pitcher friendly
• 48:19
  Speaker 3: nature of their ballpark because I don't really think it's
• 48:21
  Speaker 3: necessarily either upe. I already looked at the bullpens bullpen
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: wise Cleveland. They are ranked tenth right now in WHIP,
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: but they uses a lot of guys out of the
• 48:30
  Speaker 3: bullpen yesterday. Their ERA is a little bit high above four.
• 48:34
  Speaker 3: I don't fully trust that bullpen. Minnesota's bullpen is awful though,
• 48:38
  Speaker 3: twenty eighth, and they're twenty ninth in ERA, so they
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: are really bad. So we're gonna take the bullpen's out
• 48:45
  Speaker 3: of the equation here. I don't want to deal with
• 48:47
  Speaker 3: either one here, especially not Minnesota's hitting wise, Cleveland has
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: not been good their twentieth in hitting. Minnesota has been
• 48:55
  Speaker 3: mediocre at fourteenth. I do think these are a couple
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: of offenses that could be stifled by the right pitching matchup,
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: and that is what we're gonna go with here. We're
• 49:04
  Speaker 3: gonna back a Connor prelip as one part of this.
• 49:08
  Speaker 3: Who is pitching for Minnesota. He's still really young. He's
• 49:10
  Speaker 3: only made like three starts I think in his career
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: so far. Yeah, but he's been decent three point eight
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: six e RRA point nine to three WHIP. He's not
• 49:20
  Speaker 3: going up against the most intimidating offense here. He's been
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: not as good on the road four point five ROADRA.
• 49:26
  Speaker 3: But it's such a small sample. It's like, I don't
• 49:29
  Speaker 3: know what do you even do with that information. That
• 49:31
  Speaker 3: was his first start of the season. By the way,
• 49:33
  Speaker 3: it was against the Mets. I know the Mets stink offensively,
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: but they they only let him go four innings in
• 49:38
  Speaker 3: that one, and he didn't walk anybody, had six strikeouts
• 49:41
  Speaker 3: and give up tour and runs on four hits. That
• 49:44
  Speaker 3: was not a bad outing whatsoever. And then he allowed
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: touring runs in his other two starts as well. They
• 49:51
  Speaker 3: might be limiting his pitch count a little bit. So
• 49:53
  Speaker 3: that means it also makes sense to go first five
• 49:56
  Speaker 3: here because he's been very consistent so far, and that
• 49:59
  Speaker 3: while he's been out there his last two starts, he's
• 50:01
  Speaker 3: gone five innings in each of them, and he allowed
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: to hour on runs in each of them, so that's
• 50:07
  Speaker 3: fine as well. He did have multiple walks, so you
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: know the walks, I guess they're a bit concerning. He's
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: got fifteen strikeouts five walks, that's still not a terrible ratio.
• 50:16
  Speaker 3: And he's only allowed eight hits and fourteen innings, so
• 50:18
  Speaker 3: he hasn't been very easy to hit. He's got a
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: decent strikeout rate, so I like all that. He looks
• 50:24
  Speaker 3: like he might be decent dude. And you'll see that
• 50:27
  Speaker 3: his last two starts went way over the total, but
• 50:29
  Speaker 3: obviously that wasn't his fault. One of them, he just
• 50:32
  Speaker 3: got a ton of run support behind him, and then
• 50:34
  Speaker 3: the other one the bullpen totally imploded behind him, so
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: none of that was his doing. So I think that
• 50:39
  Speaker 3: might give us a little bit of value we get.
• 50:42
  Speaker 3: I think we get some value in this under for
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: a bunch of reasons, Like nobody knows who Prelp is,
• 50:47
  Speaker 3: so I think that gives us some value there. And
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: looking at you know, the high scoring nature of Minnesota's
• 50:52
  Speaker 3: recent games and the Prelp games, you know what I mean,
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: Like that's gonna skew this number. But again you look
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: at what he he actually is he's not bad, and
• 51:01
  Speaker 3: Cleveland has never faced it before, so we have the
• 51:03
  Speaker 3: extra advantage of unfamiliarity here, and pre Lip is not
• 51:07
  Speaker 3: making his first start, you know what I mean, So
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: the nerves are not gonna be there anymore. I think
• 51:12
  Speaker 3: he's gonna be ready to go. He's you know, he's faced.
• 51:15
  Speaker 3: He's faced some not the greatest offense has but neither
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: is Cleveland. Right, so he's faced Seattle, Toronto. I mean,
• 51:22
  Speaker 3: those are probably better offenses than Cleveland's. So yeah, I
• 51:27
  Speaker 3: don't think he's gonna be intimidated, and he's going up
• 51:29
  Speaker 3: against a very talented young pitcher. The Cleveland has Parker
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: Messic having a really good season two point foury ra
• 51:36
  Speaker 3: point ninety two whip. Messik has been pretty good both
• 51:40
  Speaker 3: home and away, slightly worse at home, but not really
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: a big deal.
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 51:44
  Speaker 3: He had a bad start in his last outing, but
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: if you look at what that was, I think that
• 51:48
  Speaker 3: was a total outlier because he was pitching in the
• 51:51
  Speaker 3: A's stadium, So like, what do you want to do?
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean?
• 51:53
  Speaker 3: He gave up three home runs in that game, and
• 51:56
  Speaker 3: it's a very home run conduce at ballpark. I think
• 51:59
  Speaker 3: we give him as for that. He still managed to
• 52:01
  Speaker 3: only allow four runs in that one, had six strikeouts,
• 52:04
  Speaker 3: no walks, six hits a lot in five innings. I'm
• 52:07
  Speaker 3: gonna give him a pass for that. He's been really
• 52:10
  Speaker 3: good otherwise. He's allowed three or fewer on runs in
• 52:12
  Speaker 3: every other start, two or fewer in all about one
• 52:16
  Speaker 3: of those outings against Houston up until his last two outings.
• 52:19
  Speaker 3: Cleveland won all of his starts prior to that, and
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: then you know it was that bad one against the
• 52:25
  Speaker 3: A's and the other one he got no run support
• 52:27
  Speaker 3: against Tampa Bay. He's got forty four strikeouts and ten walks.
• 52:30
  Speaker 3: That's a good ratio. Twenty eight hits allowed and forty
• 52:33
  Speaker 3: one to the third innings prior to that gam where
• 52:36
  Speaker 3: he allowed three home runs in the as Stadium, he
• 52:38
  Speaker 3: only allowed one home run otherwise. It was at home
• 52:42
  Speaker 3: against the Cubs, but you know, the Cubs are a
• 52:44
  Speaker 3: very powerful offense as well. He's done well against some
• 52:47
  Speaker 3: good offenses. Man. He shut out the Braves earlier this
• 52:50
  Speaker 3: year on the road, shut out the Dodgers on the
• 52:52
  Speaker 3: road in his first start of the season. So he's
• 52:55
  Speaker 3: not going to be intimidated by any offense. Certainly not
• 52:59
  Speaker 3: the Minnesota to offense. And Minnesota they have seen him
• 53:03
  Speaker 3: a little bit seventeen at bats, but they haven't been
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: successful against him.
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: Really.
• 53:07
  Speaker 3: They have one extra base hit, which is a double
• 53:10
  Speaker 3: from Keyshaw keshawl. I don't know if you pronounce his name.
• 53:14
  Speaker 3: Six to one s I got walk Razer against the
• 53:16
  Speaker 3: two thirty five batting average allowed five to seventy two ops.
• 53:20
  Speaker 3: So the call in this game the play is first
• 53:23
  Speaker 3: five innings under excluding the bullpens, and the money seems
• 53:27
  Speaker 3: like it agrees on this one as well. Eighty percent
• 53:29
  Speaker 3: of the tickets. I know, I don't like to see
• 53:31
  Speaker 3: those public ticket percentages, but and we're still using wager
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: talk because pregame, even though they're aware, still has not
• 53:38
  Speaker 3: fixed their shit, and it's been like two weeks. Unbelievable,
• 53:43
  Speaker 3: but anyway, ninety four percent of the cash on the under. Really,
• 53:46
  Speaker 3: but this read tells me is the real money is
• 53:48
  Speaker 3: on the under. And the full game total is low
• 53:50
  Speaker 3: at seven and a half, So the odds makers are
• 53:53
  Speaker 3: signaling to you they think this is going to be
• 53:55
  Speaker 3: a pitching match up here, but I don't want the bullpens,
• 53:58
  Speaker 3: so we're we have two first five inning underplays here,
• 54:03
  Speaker 3: So that's play number two for me. Janet Janet Reno.
• 54:09
  Speaker 3: I don't know what we're talking about here. You're gonna
• 54:14
  Speaker 3: bet the UFC. There's a huge UFC card tomorrow. I
• 54:17
  Speaker 3: saw Dana White on some I don't even know what.
• 54:19
  Speaker 3: I had some channel. I don't even think it was
• 54:21
  Speaker 3: one of the sports channels. I had some channel on
• 54:24
  Speaker 3: when I was flipping through TV earlier yesterday. I think
• 54:27
  Speaker 3: Dana White was on some I was like, Oh, Dana
• 54:30
  Speaker 3: White's on you know. I don't it was like the
• 54:32
  Speaker 3: View or something. No, I don't think it was the View.
• 54:34
  Speaker 3: Whatever it was, though, I was like, oh, Dana White
• 54:36
  Speaker 3: is on talking about the UFC card for Saturday. I
• 54:39
  Speaker 3: don't know. All right, we're in almost an hour, man,
• 54:43
  Speaker 3: We're not on schedule here. We have seven more games here.
• 54:48
  Speaker 3: I think it looks like so let's keep going Detroit
• 54:50
  Speaker 3: at Kansas City. I don't know where Zach is with
• 54:53
  Speaker 3: shout out to him, Zach, wherever you are. Kansas City
• 54:57
  Speaker 3: just lost the last two games and that split eeries
• 55:00
  Speaker 3: against Cleveland. They're staying at home, but they did play yesterday.
• 55:04
  Speaker 3: So Kansas City played yesterday Detroit. I believe did not.
• 55:08
  Speaker 3: Detroit's coming off getting swept by Boston and they're starting
• 55:12
  Speaker 3: a road trip and they have rest, so Detroit has
• 55:14
  Speaker 3: a better situation here. Man, after getting swept at home,
• 55:17
  Speaker 3: you got to think they're gonna bounced back spot here.
• 55:20
  Speaker 3: Detroit did not play yesterday, Kansas City did, so Detroit
• 55:23
  Speaker 3: has a little bit of an edge here. Kansas City's
• 55:25
  Speaker 3: bullpen is not pitched well and they got pretty used
• 55:28
  Speaker 3: up over the last two days. They use four relief
• 55:30
  Speaker 3: pitchers yesterday, so I don't trust Kansas City's bullpen here.
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: They're also ranked twenty third, which is not good, and
• 55:38
  Speaker 3: Detroit's bullpen's had struggles with their twentieth so they are
• 55:41
  Speaker 3: better than Kansas City's right now. Hitting wise, Detroit's been decent.
• 55:45
  Speaker 3: They're tenth right now. The Royals are thirteenth though, so
• 55:48
  Speaker 3: the Royals have started hitting a little bit better as well.
• 55:51
  Speaker 3: Their stadium is a little bit more hitter friendly now
• 55:54
  Speaker 3: that they move the walls in. Zack, what's up? And
• 55:57
  Speaker 3: they started hanging out for what's the White House fight?
• 56:01
  Speaker 3: There's a fight at the White House. The fight House. Hey, dude,
• 56:06
  Speaker 3: they should pay me. I came up with that name
• 56:07
  Speaker 3: there you go fight House, and it's gonna you know,
• 56:12
  Speaker 3: it's gonna the the logo for it's gonna be Trump's
• 56:15
  Speaker 3: Fight Fight Fight thing. All right. Keeter Montero is gonna
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: be pitching for Detroit here. I feel like he's pretty
• 56:22
  Speaker 3: under the raidar man, like he was the guy that
• 56:24
  Speaker 3: was making a lot of bullpen appearances for them in
• 56:26
  Speaker 3: his first couple of seasons and whatever. He looks pretty
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: decent right now. Three point four to eighty R one
• 56:32
  Speaker 3: point zero one whip. I mean that's better than decent.
• 56:34
  Speaker 3: Not good on the road though, five point four Roadie Ray,
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: so that's a little bit of a concern. He did
• 56:39
  Speaker 3: face Kansas City earlier at home on April sixteenth, and
• 56:43
  Speaker 3: he gave up four runs in the game, but he
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: wasn't bad in that start. He had five strikeouts, no walks,
• 56:49
  Speaker 3: and give up seven hits and six innings, so he
• 56:51
  Speaker 3: got kind of unlucky in that outing. He's not a
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: huge strikeout guy. Twenty five strikeouts and thirty three and
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings, but seven and walks, twenty seven hits allowed.
• 57:01
  Speaker 3: None of those numbers are bad. That Kansas City star
• 57:04
  Speaker 3: was the only one where he allowed more than three
• 57:06
  Speaker 3: or in runs. He's pitching pretty well, dude, although he's
• 57:09
  Speaker 3: faced some somewhat weaker offenses year, though he hasn't faced
• 57:13
  Speaker 3: a gauntlet yet. But you know, it's not like Kansas
• 57:16
  Speaker 3: City is that powerful of an offense either, So that's
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: who he's going up against here. Doesn't have good numbers
• 57:23
  Speaker 3: against them historically though, in fifty one at bats seven
• 57:25
  Speaker 3: to two strike at walk ratio, that's fine, but two
• 57:28
  Speaker 3: ninety four batting average allowed seven to fifty two. Oh ps,
• 57:31
  Speaker 3: it's a little bit iffy. But Montero is pitching better
• 57:35
  Speaker 3: this season than he has before, and his last outing,
• 57:38
  Speaker 3: like I showed you against Kansas City, wasn't bad. So
• 57:41
  Speaker 3: I don't know how much weight we should put into
• 57:43
  Speaker 3: these numbers and then but Kansas City's definitely familiar with them.
• 57:47
  Speaker 3: Chris boo, bitch, it's pitching for Kansas City. He's been
• 57:50
  Speaker 3: good this year three point three to two ERA, one
• 57:53
  Speaker 3: point one to three WHIP. He's been a little bit
• 57:55
  Speaker 3: better at home, three ERA at home, coming off a
• 57:59
  Speaker 3: really good start at Seattle, two pretty good starts in
• 58:02
  Speaker 3: a row. He pitched decently in the A's Stadium as well,
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: but did walk four guys in that one, and the
• 58:08
  Speaker 3: walks have really been the concern. He held them to
• 58:10
  Speaker 3: want to and run in that one. But the walks
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: are an issue.
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 58:13
  Speaker 3: He's got forty two strikeouts, nineteen walks, and forty to
• 58:16
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings and only twenty seven hits allowed, so
• 58:19
  Speaker 3: he's very difficult to hit. But the walks, Yeah, the
• 58:22
  Speaker 3: wildness is a bit of an issue for him, So
• 58:25
  Speaker 3: somehow he's got to get that under control a bit.
• 58:28
  Speaker 3: Numbers against Detroit forty five career at bats, he hasn't
• 58:32
  Speaker 3: been that good against them. Ten strikeouts, four walks, two
• 58:35
  Speaker 3: sixty seven average allowed, seven forty nine oh ps. Riley
• 58:39
  Speaker 3: Green is five for ten off him. So if you want,
• 58:42
  Speaker 3: you know, player prop whatever, I usually recommend hits plus
• 58:45
  Speaker 3: runs plus RBIs on over on a guy that has
• 58:48
  Speaker 3: a good matchup against a particular pitcher, and it's probably
• 58:53
  Speaker 3: better if they're facing a bad bullpen, you know, which
• 58:56
  Speaker 3: actually is the case here. Kiss the City's bullpen not
• 58:59
  Speaker 3: good Buobach. You know, I think he is probably still
• 59:03
  Speaker 3: the more trustworthy pitcher here, but Kansas City is not
• 59:06
  Speaker 3: in the better situation. You know, Boobach does have walk issues,
• 59:12
  Speaker 3: so Montero. I like Montero's overall numbers a little bit
• 59:15
  Speaker 3: better right now, Buobach has the slightly better matchup numbers. Obviously,
• 59:21
  Speaker 3: this is not a game I'm gonna give out a
• 59:22
  Speaker 3: play on Kansas City's minus one forty or so here
• 59:25
  Speaker 3: seventy eight percent of tickets ninety percent of the casual
• 59:27
  Speaker 3: on Kansas City. I slightly lean Detroit here, man. I
• 59:33
  Speaker 3: think with the rest edge, the bullpen edge that they
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: have here, you know, the pitching might be a little
• 59:40
  Speaker 3: bit of a duel here potentially, and Detroit could keep
• 59:42
  Speaker 3: themselves in the game probably. So yeah, I would lean
• 59:46
  Speaker 3: to Detroit getting the underdog price there. That would be
• 59:49
  Speaker 3: my opinion there. Sorry, Zach Yankees at Milwaukee, I believe
• 59:55
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee did not play yesterday, but they were returning over
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: from a road trip, so that's a problem. They went
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: to Washington and Saint Louis, had a pretty successful road trip.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 3: They won more games than they lost on the road trip.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 3: But they're returning home. But they are returning home from
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 3: playing in their division from Saint Louis. That's not a
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 3: bad travel leg and they have a day off, but
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 3: still return home spot. I mentioned it every time, just
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 3: because it is part of the handicap. It's a negative,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 3: like will I will not play on a team returning
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 3: home from a road trip unless there's such a good
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 3: circumstance to do it, Like I'm rarely gonna do it.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 3: I'm either going to play against that team or leave
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 3: the game alone. And in baseball, the matchup, you know,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 3: has to line up for me, So I tend to
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 3: leave these games alone. But yeah, Milwaukee could be a
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 3: little bit distracted, but then again, they're probably going to
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 3: try to get up for a game against the Yankees. Though, Man,
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 3: it is a big series, a weekend series against the Yankees. Yeah,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 3: the Yankees did play yesterday though they beat Texas in
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 3: the early afternoon game. We got the win on the
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 3: over in that game. Now the Yankees are starting a
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 3: road trip, so it is a focused spot for the Yankees.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 3: But they played yesterday, so they don't have the rest
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 3: advantage here. But they should be focused to get the
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 3: road trip off on the right foot. So the Yankees,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 3: you know the situation. There are some negatives for both
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 3: teams here, so that kind of negates itself. The Yankees
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 3: used five relief pitchers yesterday. By the way, so that's
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 3: not great for the Yankees. Their bullpen has actually been
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 3: decent though they're at ninth right now in bullpen. Not
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 3: bad bullpen numbers from them. The Brewers have been not
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 3: as good at nineteenth, but their ERA is not that
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 3: bad and the Brewers have the way more rested bullpens,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 3: so I think the bullpen matchup is pretty close in
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 3: this game. Yankees are number two offensively right now and
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 3: the Brewers have really struggled again. They've had a lot
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 3: of injuries. They did get Chario back within the last
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 3: few days that should help them. But their twentieth offensively
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 3: right now, but the Brewers I still think they are
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 3: better than that offensively this game. Though this does look
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 3: like a pitching map here, at least on the surface.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 3: Max Freed is pitching for the Yankees. He's been really
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 3: good two point three to nine ERA, point eight nine whip.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 3: He's been ridiculous on the road. He has a point
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 3: seven to six road ERA. He's been way worse at
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 3: home so far. He has a much bigger road sample
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 3: so far this year. Overall numbers are good forty three strikeouts,
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 3: fifteen walks. I mean that that ratio is not that
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 3: good though, to be honest, but he just doesn't strike
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 3: that many guys out. Fifty two and two thirds in
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 3: he's pitching, he's only allowed thirty two hits, so he's
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 3: very unhittable and that's really his best stat there. And
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 3: he's only allowed more than three on runs once, although
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 3: he's struggled a little bit more, you know, really since
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 3: the start of April. You know, his numbers haven't been
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 3: quite as good, but still obviously not bad at all
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 3: against Milwaukee. His numbers, you know, are not the best
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 3: against Milwaukee. In twenty three at bats, he's only allowed
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 3: one extra base hit though, which is a double from Churio,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 3: who is now back. They have two strikeouts, one walk
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 3: against him, three h four batting average six eighty one OPS,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 3: so the OPS is low. He hasn't allowed a lot
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 3: of extra base hits at all, like I said, but
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 3: the batting average that Milwaukee has against him is high,
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 3: so they are capable of getting to Max Freed. But
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 3: Freed has been good generally and good on the road.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 3: But he's gonna have to do a dual. Jacob Mizerowski here,
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 3: who is the younger pitcher and throws way harder than
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 3: the max Freed. Miz has good numbers two point eight
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 3: four ERA one whip. He's been a little bit worse
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 3: at home though, three point two to two ERA, but
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 3: that's still not bad obviously. Uh Mizierowski really high strikeout
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 3: rate fifty nine strikeouts in thirty eight innings and also
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 3: very difficult to hit twenty three hits allowed. Walks are
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 3: kind of high for him, fifteen walks, but his strikeout
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 3: rate is so enormous that it makes the strikeout walk
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 3: ratios still look really good. He's kind of like, don't cease,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 3: but throws even harder. He tends to be a bit
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 3: inefficient with his pitches, and that's kind of the issue.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee actually lost four straight games of his to finish April,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 3: and then he beat Washington last time out and shut
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 3: them out and actually no hit them. They took him
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 3: out in the middle of a no hitter man against
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 3: Washington after five and a third innings. I don't know
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: what happened. I don't know if there was a rain
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 3: delay or what, but I wouldn't imagine they would have
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 3: taken him out eighty five pitches in in a no hitter.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 3: That doesn't make sense. To me, So, I don't know
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 3: what happened there. Although you don't want to overwork. You know,
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 3: a young arm that throws one hundred miles an hour
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 3: constantly like this, you don't want to throw his arm out. Man.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 3: So I don't know. It's the new pitching age, man,
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 3: And I believe the Yankees haven't faced him. Let me say, yeah,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 3: so Mizierowski has an unfamiliarity edge against the Yankees. They
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 3: haven't seen him before, you know, I mean, the money's
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 3: actually hitting the over in this game. The totals at
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 3: seven to the over, eighty four percent of tickets on
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 3: the under. It looks like such an obvious under. That's
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 3: kind of the issue I have with this. The under
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 3: almost looks too obvious. And you know, you don't really
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 3: love the fact that the Yankees bullpen is unrested. Milwaukee's
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 3: bullpen isn't great. You know, eighty four percent of tickets
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 3: on the under, fifty percent of the cash on the over, though,
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 3: So it looks like there is some market pushback against
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 3: the under. There, Uh, some money looks like it's actually
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 3: hitting the over. Money is hitting Milwaukee's sixty two percent
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 3: of tickets on the Yankees eighty three percent of the
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 3: cash on Milwaukee. You know, you could make the argument
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 3: for it because miz has more unfamiliarity here Freed. You know,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: you could make the argument his matchup numbers are not
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 3: great against Milwaukee. But I don't know, man, it seems
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 3: a little bit iffy, but you might. I mean, again,
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 3: this is attacks you're paying a premium for the Yankees
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 3: with Max Freed on the mound at minus you know,
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 3: one thirty or so, that is a little bit of
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 3: a price to lay, like you're getting miss Rowski as
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 3: a whole home underdog like that. Man. That is you know,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 3: that seems like there's decent value there on the Milwaukee side.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 3: But I don't like the spot, like I told you,
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 3: even though Milwaukee does have a rest advantage here, which
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 3: does help. I don't love the return home spot. You know.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 3: I think the better attack and this the better way
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 3: to attack this game might actually be first five under.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 3: It's gonna be a low number though, probably three and
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 3: a half, maybe even three. But that's the way that
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 3: I see it, man. I think both starting pitchers do
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 3: well enough to get that thing under first five, but
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 3: there's not a lot of leeway there, so that's not
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 3: gonna be a play for me. I'm gonna take a break.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 3: Usually I do it with five games left, I'm gonna
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 3: do it with six games left to go. Here, the
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 3: next game up is a play for me. Then we're
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 3: gonna do playoffs stuff, and I'm gonna talk about w
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 3: NBA as well, which maybe I'll talk about WNBA next
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 3: because it's boring. Well it's not boring when you can
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 3: win money on it. But I don't have a play either.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: But I'll be right back. And I thought about all
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 3: of that, all right. Next game up is a play
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 3: for me, which is what's the game again? I already
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 3: forget what it is. It is Seattle and the White Sox. Yeah,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 3: all right, hang on, all right, this game is a
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 3: full game under and I know the White Sox bullpen
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 3: is bad, but both teams didn't play yesterday, so we
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 3: do have rest with both bullpens here, so the better
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 3: bullpen arms are available for both teams, and Seattle's bullpen
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 3: is good enough that I think they might be able
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 3: to just help us out here encounter that. You know.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 3: I like unders when there's rest, man, because I think
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 3: the offenses could be a little bit cold coming in
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 3: to the game and the bullpen's arrested. Seattle's only ranked
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 3: fourteenth in WHIP, but their era is one of the best,
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 3: so I still think they're one of the top bullpens.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 3: And yes, the White Sox are not good at twenty fourth,
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 3: but they're not one of those bullpens. It's like the
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 3: most miserable. You know, I don't necessarily want to trust them,
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 3: but I'm going to factor them into this under here.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 3: And I like the starting pitching matchup as well, which
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 3: you talking about in a minute. White Sox are returning
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 3: on from a road trip and they went to the
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 3: Pacific Coast. You know, that's a bad spot when you're
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 3: returning home from the Pacific Coast. Even though they lost
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 3: the last couple of games. You know, I don't like
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 3: that you're traveling multiple time zones. You have to get
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 3: back to home life. That's bad. But I'm gonna focus
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 3: on the hitting being distracted here. Seattle maybe could be
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 3: a little bit lackless here because they did just win
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 3: a big series against Atlanta. Now they are starting a
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 3: road trip, and usually you will be focused to start
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 3: a road trip, but I think it could be a
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 3: letdown spot for Seattle coming off of beating Atlanta the
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 3: other day. I mean that was a good win for Seattle.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 3: I believe that was not yesterday, right, let me make
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 3: sure of that. No. Yeah, so both bullpens arrested here.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 3: You know, kind of a questionable spot for both teams,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 3: although yes, I think Seattle is in a better spot
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 3: than the White Sox. White Sox were turning over a roader,
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 3: but still you're looking at two teams that are crossing
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 3: time zones here. This game is gonna be on ESPN unlimited,
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 3: by the way, so two of my players are on
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 3: actual like other systems here or other services and not MLBtv.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 3: But I still hate it that baseball is just nowhere
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 3: except MLBtv anyway whatever. Offensively, by the way, neither offense
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 3: has been that great this year, so we do have
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 3: that coming into play here. White Sox, I know they're eighteenth,
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 3: They've hit better than people expect, but they're not like
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 3: any elite offense or anything like that. Seattle has struggled
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 3: their twentieth in offense, and I know this is not
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 3: in Seattle's pitcher friendly ballpark, but even so, I like
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 3: the under here and we're gonna roll with the starting
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 3: pitching here where I think both of these starting pitchers
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 3: might go under the radar here man, you know, I
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 3: think in both of the matchups I talked about Prelip
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 3: versus Messex, I think both of those guys are still
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 3: under the radar. This matchup, may think is definitely an
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 3: under the radar pitching match where both pitchers have actually
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 3: been surprisingly good. Emerson Hancock is pitching for the Mariners.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 3: He's got a two point five to nine ERA point
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 3: ninety six whip and he's been even slightly better on
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 3: the road two point four to one ERA with Seattle.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 3: You got to look at those home roads splitz because
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 3: their home is so pitcher friendly that a lot of
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 3: times their pitchers are way better at home. That has
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 3: not been the case with Handcock, and he's coming off
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 3: a ridiculous outing where he struck out fourteen and walked
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 3: nobody against the Royals and held them to one earned run. Now, yes,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 3: there was a little bit of a concern here because
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 3: he threw over one hundred pitches, although he got close
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 3: to one hundred and one other start, although he wasn't
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 3: great in the next start after that, which was against
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 3: the a's but he still held them to three earned runs,
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 3: although he give up three homers in that one. But
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 3: and no it was not in the A Stadium. I
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 3: would give him more of a pass if that was
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 3: the case. But still, Hancock's been really like he's been good,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 3: and the fact that he's struck out fourteen in the
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 3: last outing that tells me that he's in form. So
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 3: I'm not as worried about a letdown here. He's got
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 3: forty six strikeouts and six walks. That is a ridiculous ratio,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 3: and thirty four hits a lot in forty one to
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings. Hancock, I mean, he's twenty six. I mean,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 3: his career looked like it wasn't really panning out. Well
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 3: now it looks like it is, man, because he looks
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 3: like he's reached another level this year where he is
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 3: pitching really, really well. So I like that. And he's
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 3: going up against the White Sox who have basically never
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 3: seen him before Ben and tend He's the only hitter
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 3: has ever faced him. He's won for two of the
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 3: walk against him and the hit was a single. No strikeouts.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 3: But still, there's nothing you can really read into other
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 3: than the fact that Hancock is unfamiliar to the White Sox.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 3: And as I always say, when you have good pitcher
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 3: and the opposing lineup has a face them before, the
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 3: opposing lineup is at a disadvantage. Usually Sean Burke is
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 3: pitching for the White Sox. And you know, last year
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 3: it looked like Shane Smith was the better of the
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 3: two Massachusetts guys for the White Sox. I guess not.
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 3: I guess that's not the case, because Burke has actually
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 3: been really good this year two point seven two ERA,
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 3: one point zero one whip. He's been better at home
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 3: slightly two point six six ERA at home. He's coming
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 3: off back to back shutouts against Washington and San Diego,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 3: though I know it was San Diego on the road. Yeah,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 3: it's a picture friendly ballpark, but still you shut them
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 3: out for six innings, eight strikeouts, one walk, didn't walk
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 3: anybody in the prior routing. That's some good stuff. Man.
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 3: He's only allowed more than tour in runs twice on
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 3: the season, and one of them was in his opening
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 3: start on the road against Milwaukee and still had five
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 3: strikeouts one walk in that one. He's got thirty nine
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 3: to two thirds innings thirty two strikeouts, not a high
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 3: strikeout ray, but he's only walked eight, so he has
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 3: not walked a lot of guys, and he's only allowed
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 3: thirty two hits. His overall numbers are solid. Man, I
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 3: think we could back him here against a Seattle lineup
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 3: that hasn't really done a ton this year. Although Seattle
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 3: is better on the road. I mean, it's very difficult
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 3: to hit in Seattle, So yes, you do have to
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 3: worry about that a little bit. But Seattle's totally unfamiliar
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 3: to Burke except Naylor must have faced him when Naylor
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 3: was on Cleveland. Naylor is two for two? Or wasn
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 3: Nailor wait, was Naylor on Cleveland? No, he was on Arizona.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 3: I'm thinking of the other I'm thinking of bone Nailor.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: No, he was on Cleve.
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 3: Wait, what the fuck? Yeah he was on Cleveland. I
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 3: don't know what I'm thinking, man. And then he was
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 3: on Arizona too, I don't know what the fuck I'm thinking. Anyway,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 3: Naylor is two for two, often with a double on
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 3: home run and a walk. So yeah, Naylor has absolutely
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 3: destroyed Burke. But I'm not that worried about that because
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 3: this one guy, and the rest of their lineup hasn't
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 3: even seen him, so I think we have a lot
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 3: of unfamiliar here. Both pictures have established themselves pretty well
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 3: this season already. Yeah, we're going under in this game.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 3: Let me see here, what do we have for the number?
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 3: I'm looking at the market numbers here? Wait, where are
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 3: the White Sox? What? Oh? Here it is HW? I
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 3: thought it was CWS. We don't really see. There's no
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 3: percentages to be seen here yet, So do with that
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 3: information what you want. Seattle is also minus one thirty
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 3: whatever you know. I'm gonna slightly lend Seattle here. I
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 3: think Hancock might be a little bit better than Burke,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 3: and the spot is a little bit better for Seattle,
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 3: and the bullpen is better, so I'll lend Seattle a
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 3: bit here. There's also a reason why they're favored on
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 3: the road, but we're going under in that game, under
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 3: the eight. All right, let's finish off major League baseball here.
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 3: I don't have any more baseball plays. The Cubs are
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 3: at Texas here. Both teams did play yesterday. The Cubs
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 3: are on a ridiculous streak right now. They've won what
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 3: is this nine games in maybe something like that. They
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 3: just swept Cincinnati in a four game series, blew them
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 3: out yesterday. Now they're starting a road trip now, Yes,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 3: starting a road trip usually is a focused spot. You
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 3: carry your momentum with you. If you have positive momentum,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 3: usually you want to get the road trip off on
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 3: the right foot. But are they going to be in
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 3: a letdown spot because they started that series right like,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 3: with Cincinnati right behind them. Then they swept Cincinnati completely
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 3: out of it, you know, so yeah, so they might
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 3: be in a little bit of a letdown spot here.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 3: But Texas is not in a good spot. Texas is
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 3: returning home from a road trip. They went to Detroit
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 3: and the Yankees. That's pretty big. Those were big series,
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 3: and I know they got beat up yesterday nine to two.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 3: But they're returning home from that. So it's not a
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 3: great spot for Texas. Could be a distracted spot of though.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 3: Then again, they're facing one of the best teams in
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 3: Major League Baseball, the Cubs, so maybe Texas will get
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 3: up for it for that reason. Bullpen wise, both bullpens
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 3: are pretty good this year. Texas used five relief pitchers yesterday,
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 3: though the Cubs use three. Texas Normally I would say
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 3: they have the better bullpend. The rank sixth right now,
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 3: the Cubs are seventh, although Texas is era is about
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 3: a run better, but rest wise kind of balances that
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 3: out a little bit. I think either way you look
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 3: at it, though you're looking at two pretty good bullpens
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 3: here the offenses. The Cubs are the way better offense,
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 3: though they're fourth in offense. Texas is twenty fifth. We're
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 3: looking at a pitcher friendly ballpark here in Texas. Ben
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 3: Brown is listed as the starter for the Cubs here,
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 3: and I will what I will say is the same
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 3: thing I said about Dollander. I don't know if Brown
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 3: is actually going to make the start here or not,
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 3: because he's been coming out of the bullpen and he
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 3: has actually pitched well out of the bullpend. But that
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 3: might mean that the Cubs might put an opener in
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 3: front of them, you know what I mean. So if
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 3: you're gonna handicap this and assume that Brown is going
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 3: to have a starter's workload here, same thing I said
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 3: with Donald Er, I would make this play action just
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 3: because I'm not entirely sure that Brown will actually start
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 3: the game like I think he is going to go
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 3: multiple innings here, but I don't know if he's gonna
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 3: be the first one out now. Brown is an interesting
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 3: case because I've liked some of the numbers that I
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 3: see out of him, Like he has good stuff. He's
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 3: able to strike guys out at a high rate, but
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 3: never never really panned out as a starter. And now
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 3: he's twenty six. But he's been a lot better out
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 3: of the bullpen. He's got a two point one ERA
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 3: one point zero one whip, but again that's out of
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 3: the bullpen. He's been a little bit worse on the
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 3: road two point seventy nine road ERA. That's obviously still
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 3: not bad, but he also hasn't gone more than two
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 3: winnings in any of his out He's actually sorry. He
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 3: went three and a third in his first couple outings
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 3: this season, which didn't really go particularly well, although actually
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 3: he wasn't even that bad there. He give up tour
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 3: in runs total eight to two, strike a walk ratio there, whatever.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 3: But since then he's had a lot of scoreless outings,
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 3: a lot of shorter out typically he's going two innings.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 3: I honestly don't know it is possible they're using him
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 3: as an opener here too though, So it's very difficult
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 3: to figure out what the Cubs are gonna do here, man,
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 3: But it looks like it is going to be kind
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 3: of a bullpen esque game for the Cubs here, so
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 3: you got to keep that in mind. Brown as a
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 3: twenty four to eight strike at walk ratio, eighteen hits
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 3: allowed in twenty five to two thirds innings, but you know,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 3: in short stints. But again, he might go out there
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 3: and give you two really good innings today too, because
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 3: that's basically what he's been doing this season. So Ben
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 3: what he's Ben Brown doing? There? You go, yeah, he
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 3: might be able to do that again here. Brown against
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 3: Texas hasn't been that good, but only ten at batsworth.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 3: He's given up a home run to Josh Young Jong,
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 3: three hundred batting average allowed oneenty seventeen ops allowed, two
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 3: to two strike a walk ratio, But it's only ten
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 3: at bats so there's not that much you could take
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 3: away from that. Six of their hitters have faced him before.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 3: But yes, he struggled a bit against Texas in those
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 3: during those at bats. Yes, Kumar Rockers pitching for the Rangers,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 3: his numbers aren't great four point seven to one ERA
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 3: one point four to seven WHIP. He's been good at
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 3: home though, two point six to five home ERA, so
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 3: he pitches well at home. It's a more pitcher friendly ballpark.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 3: He just gave up five earned runs and two winnings
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 3: on the road against Detroit. That was a very bad outing,
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 3: but his other outings haven't really been that bad. He's
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 3: giving up three or fewer earned runs and all the
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 3: rest of his outings. That was the game against the Dodgers.
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 3: He's had to play like you know, he's pitched in
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 3: the A's stadium, then had to turn around and face
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 3: the A's again. He hasn't really faced the easiest lineups
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 3: here really. Overall, he's got a twenty four to ten
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 3: strike a walk ratio, which it's too many walks, but
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 3: it's not that bad. Thirty two hits, a lot of
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 3: twenty eight and two thirds innings. You know, that's not good,
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 3: but his overall numbers aren't really that bad. I'm still
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 3: putting too many guys on base though, but you know
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 3: he might be able to pitch okay. Texas is basically
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 3: never seen him. Only McCutcheon has ever seen him. He's
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 3: one for three with a single and a strikeout, So
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 3: I think Rocker might actually be able to do okay,
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 3: But the spot for Texas is not good. The money
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 3: is coming in on the Cubs seventy tickets, ninety three
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on the Cubs. You're gonna lay
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 3: a price with the Cubs, though they're laying minus one
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 3: thirty five here. Basically, should the Cubs really be laying
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 3: that price against a team that does pitch pretty well
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 3: on the road with basically a bullpen game set up here?
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 3: I'm not sure about that, man. I think the Cubs
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 3: are riding some recency bias here. I think probably you
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 3: are paying a bit of a premium attacks on the
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 3: Cubs there, So yeah, I don't know. I think the
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 3: Cubs might be priced a little bit too high in
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 3: that game. You know, I could see the argument for
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 3: the under here. The totals at eight and a half.
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 3: I worry that it's gonna be a Cubs bullpen games.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 3: Really don't know what the Cubs are gonna do there.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 3: But Rockers been decent at home. There is some unfamiliarity
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 3: there with both pitchers really, but yeah, I don't want
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 3: to play the game. There's just this whole game is
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 3: just too much of a question mark to really want
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 3: to play the game at all. But you know, those
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 3: are my thoughts on it. Mets at Arizona. Arizona played yesterday.
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 3: They're staying at home. They just lost to Pittsburgh yesterday.
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 3: Lost the series, didn't play particularly well in the last
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 3: two games. They only scored two runs over the last
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 3: two games. That's not good in what's considered to be
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 3: a hitter friendly ballpark. But one of those games they
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 3: faceball schemes, so you got to give them a break
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 3: for that. The Mets had yesterday off. I believe they're
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 3: coming or no. They played Colorado yesterday, so they're coming
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 3: in from Colorado. This is gonna be the third series
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 3: on the road trip, and they're coming in from high
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 3: elevation and just lost the three game win streak, So
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 3: I guess, you know, it's possible there's a bit of
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 3: a hangover here. Maybe the travel spot's not that good.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 3: Probably the situation's better for Arizona, but the pitching matchup
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 3: heavily favors the Mets in my opinion here, and I
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 3: think probably objectively. The Mets did use three relief pitchers yesterday,
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 3: though including Kimberl who I don't know if he's if
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 3: they're trying to use him as a closer at this one,
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 3: I don't think they are. I think they're using Williams,
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 3: Devin Williams as a closer, even though he sucked in
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 3: that role for the Yankees last year. I don't know, man,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 3: I don't know what the Mets are doing Arizona. You know,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 3: I don't like their bullpen, though they used three relief
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 3: pitchers yesterday. Arizona's ranked third in bullpen whip and I
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 3: still don't know how their ERA is four point five six.
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 3: I'm still saying they're not a very good bullpen. But
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 3: maybe I'm gonna have to adjust my thoughts, Like if
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 3: that era really starts dropping, I might have to change
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 3: what I think about that. Mets have a better bullpen
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 3: erra but their twelfth and bullpen whip and their ERA
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 3: is a little bit above four. So I think the
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 3: Mets are probably the slightly better bullpen, but they're not great.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 3: So you know, I think slight bullpen edge to the
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 3: Mets here. Hitting wise, Yeah, the Mets sock. The Mets
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 3: are not dead last, though they jumped ahead of the
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 3: Giants but the Mets offense has been bad. I know
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 3: Soto was out for some of that, but they're still
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 3: not hitting well and they're just coming out of Course Field.
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 3: They didn't even hit that well in Course Field, but
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 3: they're playing in another hitter friendly ballpark here, at least
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 3: in Arizona. Arizona's offense has fallen off recently. They're at
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 3: seventeenth now. I think their offense is better than that,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 3: but they're gonna have to deal with Nolan McLain, who
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 3: is probably the best player on the Mets. Even though
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 3: he's a young pitcher and he only plays every five games,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 3: he's been really good. A two point nine to seventy
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 3: or a point nine to four whip, two point seven
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 3: to six ran the road, so he's been slightly better
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 3: on the road. He only made it four endings last
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 3: time out of the road against Anaheim, give up three
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 3: on runs, but he still had six strikeouts one walk.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 3: I don't know what happened in that game. Why he
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 3: want leaving the game seventy eight pitches in. You think
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 3: they would have left him in for another inning or so.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't know what that was there,
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 3: but I'm not too worried about h McLain's numbers are
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 3: really good. Fifty one strikeouts, eleven walks, only two home
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 3: runs allowed, just very few, twenty six hits a lot
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 3: in thirty nine and third innings. These numbers across the
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 3: board are really really good. Yeah, so not really an
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 3: issue there McLain. Against Arizona, they have twenty one at
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 3: bats against him, eight strikeouts, two walks, one forty three
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 3: average and four to eight ops. Mclan has pitched well
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 3: against Arizona. He actually did face them this year on
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 3: April ninth, So I guess you could argue Arizona is
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 3: more familiar with him now. But mcclan's been so good
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 3: basically against everybody that I think he should pitch well again.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 3: Here he held Arizona to two runs and six and
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 3: a third innings and that outing eight strikeouts, two walks.
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 3: You know, I think generally it's just safe to assume
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 3: mcclan's gonna be good because his bad starts are just outliers.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 3: The same cannot be said for Ryan Nelson. You know,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 3: I'm not a fan of him, and his numbers are
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 3: pretty bad this year. He's from Henderson, Nevada. Man so
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 3: there you go another Nevada pitcher who is closer to
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 3: Area fifty one by the way, six point six' one era,
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 3: one point four to four whip not good numbers there.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 3: He's been awful at home. Fourteen point four home ye
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 3: ra really really bad stuff. He's coming up a decent
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 3: outing against the Cubs on the road where you got
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 3: no run support. But his last two home games he
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 3: gave up fourteen runs in five and a third innings.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 3: And yes, I know that giving up eight runs in
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 3: a third of an inning against the Blue Jays, I
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 3: know that's gonna skew your numbers dramatically, but still that
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 3: is a bad sign. Toronto's not even that good of
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 3: an offense. You get just blasted like that. And then
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 3: in his next start, San Diego was not a very
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 3: good offense basically torched him as well. That's not good.
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 3: Twenty eight strikeouts are him at the already one in
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 3: the third innings. That's not really that bad. Thirty two
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 3: hits a lot, that's not even that bad either. Thirteen
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 3: walks kind of where the concern comes in. The walk
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 3: number is kind of an issue. It's still not that
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 3: bad though, So I mean his whip does kind of
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 3: indicate that his era should not be quite as bad
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 3: as bad as it is, but these numbers are still
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 3: not good at all. Nelson against the Mets here, he
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 3: has actually done okay against the Mets, a though the
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 3: OPS is not good. Fifty nine career at bats, fourteen
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 3: to nine strike a walk ratio. It's way too many walks,
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 3: but seven of them are so though, so he looks
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 3: like he pitches around him. He's giving up a two
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 3: twenty average to them, which is low, but a seven
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 3: to sixty four ops pretty high. Soto has two of
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 3: them runs off him. Alvarez has a home run off him. Obviously.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 3: I think McClain is the way better pitcher over Ryan
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 3: Nelson here, so I think just based on that in
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 3: probably a little bit of a bullpen edge as well
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 3: with the Mets, I think I'm gonna lean to the
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 3: Mets here. The money is coming in on Arizona though
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 3: fifty six percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 3: cash on them. The number has dropped on the Mets
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 3: money line here, but the Mets are road favorite here
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 3: around minus one thirty. But I still think I would
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 3: lean that way towards the Mets money line, although it
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 3: seems like the money seems to think that Nelson might
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 3: pitch well here because the money's coming in on Arizona
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 3: and on the under here. I don't know, man, I'm
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 3: a starting pitching matchup guy. I don't want to overrate
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 3: the starting pitching, but I think it's a big edge
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 3: to the Mets in that one. You could go first
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 3: five Mets as well and focus just on the starting
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 3: pitching edge they have there. Saint Louis at San Diego's
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 3: on Apple TV. These teams started the series yesterday and
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis won two to one yesterday, so very low
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 3: scoring game yesterday. It is a pitcher friendly ballpark. Bullpen wise,
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis's bullpen is still not good, though they're lightly
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 3: used though recently these three relief pitchers yesterday for not
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 3: a lot of pitches. That's not too bad. San Diego
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 3: used three relief pitchers as well. San Diego is the
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 3: way better bullpen though they're ranked fourth right now, they
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 3: are one of the best bullpens. Saint Louis on the
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 3: same cannot be said. They're twenty fifth, so there is
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 3: a big bullpen edge with San Diego here offensively, Saint
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 3: Louis has hit way better, though they're eighth in offense.
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 3: San Diego's twenty sixth, so Saint Louis has hit way better.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 3: Michael McGreevy is pitching for Saint Louis, and on the surface,
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 3: it looks like Saint Louis does have a big starting
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 3: pitching edge year. Michael McGreevy has pretty good numbers this
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 3: year two point five two, ERA point nine two whip
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 3: good stuff, but he's been worse on the road pretty
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 3: significantly four point four to one. Roady Ira. Saint Louis
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 3: is a pitcher friendly park, so that kind of makes sense,
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 3: but so is San Diego, so he might pitch well
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 3: here for that reason. He's coming off a six inning
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 3: shutout against the Dodgers, so I guess you could make
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 3: the argument would be in a little bit of a
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 3: letdown after that. He did walk three guys in that outing,
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 3: but his overall numbers are not really much of a
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 3: concern other than the fact that he doesn't strike anybody
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 3: out twenty four strike ups in thirty nine or third innings,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 3: but he keeps guys off the bases. Man He's only
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 3: walked eight guys and allowed twenty eight hits. So whatever
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 3: he does, even though he doesn't strike guys out, I
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 3: don't know.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 3: He doesn't even induce a lot of ground balls, so
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 3: I don't know how he does it. But he doesn't
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 3: allow a lot of guys to reach base, and he's
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 3: only allowed more than tour and runs. Yeah, he's he's
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 3: hard to get. He doesn't allow He's allowed more than
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 3: tour and runs only twice this season on the road,
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 3: both of them against Detroit and Miami, which is kind
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 3: of weird. Detroit kind of explainable. That's more of a
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 3: hitter friendly park. Detroit's got a good offense. Miami, I
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 3: don't know what that was. That's a more pitcher friendly
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 3: park against a lighter hitting Miami offense. But still overall,
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 3: I mean, he hasn't allowed more than four and runs
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 3: in any outing this season, though, and all but two
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 3: of them he's allowed two or fewer. So yes, we
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 3: get it. He's pitching well, but his numbers against San
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 3: Diego are actually bad. Thirty four at bats, it's a
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 3: decent sample, three to one strike a walk ratio, three
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 3: point fifty three average allowed in nine eighty nine ops
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 3: so he has not pitched well, specifically against San Diego,
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 3: so that at least that keeps me off of wanting
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 3: to play Saint Louis. Here, Griffin Canning is pitching for
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 3: the Padres. I'm not a fan of Canning. He has
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 3: not been good throughout his career. He's only made one
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 3: start so far this season, although he was fine in
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 3: that start, one point eightyra after that and one point
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 3: two whip. It was at home against the White Sox.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 3: You know, he had kind of an easy draw in
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 3: that game, pitching in a pitcher friendly park against a
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 3: mediocre at best lineup. Had seven strikeouts, three walks. That
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 3: that was not good. The walks, three hits a lot
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 3: in five innings. I still don't trust Canning though, I
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 3: just don't think he's very good. Numbers against Saint Louis
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 3: are good though in twenty at bats it's not a
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 3: huge sample, but he's allowed no extra base hits, five strikeouts,
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 3: two walks, two hundred batting average, allowed four to seventy
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 3: th realps. You know, I don't know. I don't have
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 3: a good feel for this game really at all. The
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 3: starting pitching, the matchup numbers actually make it look like
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 3: you should actually lean to San Diego here and in
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 3: a bounce back after yesterday, and they're actually getting the
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 3: money sixty six percent of tickets, eighty percent of the
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 3: cash on San Diego, they're at minus one forty five
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 3: or so. I'm not sure that Griven Cannon should ever
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 3: be a favorite like that, really, But I still don't
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 3: think Saint Louis is a very good team though, and
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 3: San Diego was returning home of a nice series win
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 3: against San Francisco, so I don't know. Maybe they were
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 3: in not the greatest spot there. Maybe this is a
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 3: bounce back spot for them. I guess I will agree
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 3: with leaning to San Diego just based on what the
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 3: matchup numbers look like. But I really don't trust Griven Canning,
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 3: so I don't know, man, I don't love the game
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 3: at all. The total is pretty low as well, it's
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 3: seven and a half or eight. Thinking that it's going
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 3: to be a pitching matchup here, I'm not so sure
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 3: about that. But if you play San Diego full game
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 3: makes sense because you want the bullpen advantage to be there.
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 3: Atlanta at the Dodgers is gonna be the top series
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 3: of the weekend. Probably. I mean, these are two of
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 3: the top teams in baseball, man, I mean we're talking
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 3: about two of the top three offensive teams, with the
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 3: Dodgers ranked one, Braves ranked three right now, and we're
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 3: talking about the number one and number two bullpens, Dodgers
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 3: and then Braves. I'm not sure if I agree that
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 3: they're actually the top two bullpens, but they've both been
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 3: really good. This is a good series, man. Atlanta is traveling.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 3: They're having to travel in from Seattle, so they are
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 3: already in the Pacific time zone at least, and they
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 3: just lost the series to Seattle. I mean, they're obviously
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 3: gonna get up for a series against the Dodgers. The
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 3: Dodgers likely will be focused as well, but they are
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 3: returning over from a road trip. They're coming home from
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis and Houston, so I know, I talk about
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 3: it all the time. Team returning over from a road
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 3: trip not good. You tend to be a bit distracted.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 3: You got to get back to home life. The Dodgers.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 3: He just put up a lot of runs in two
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 3: of those three games against Houston and had one weird
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 3: outlier where they didn't score at all. Uh, but the Dodgers, Yeah,
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think they're gonna overlook Atlanta here,
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 3: but they are still returning home. It is still a
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 3: distraction spot. This game is on ESPN Unlimited, by the way,
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 3: and you know it's worse for the Dodgers because they
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 3: have to go up against Chris Sale, which is not
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 3: an easy task. Sale is still pitching pretty much at
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 3: an an elite level two point one four ERA point
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 3: nine whip. He's not been as good on the road though.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 3: He's got a four road ERA, so he hasn't been
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 3: as good on the road. Pitched really well in his
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 3: last outing in course Field, though, dominated the Rockies for
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 3: seven innings, three hits, allowed one earn run, eleven strikeouts,
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 3: three walks. Atlanta's won all but one of his outings,
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 3: which was a road outing against Anaheim. That was his
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 3: only bad out outing of the season. I don't know
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 3: what happened in that outing. He gave up six earned runs,
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 3: but that's skewing his numbers. That's the only reason why
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 3: road numbers are bad, because in all of his other
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 3: starts he's allowed one or fewer earned runs. So, yeah,
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 3: that was a major outlier. I think against Anaheim, I
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 3: don't know what that was. I don't expect him to
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 3: pitch poorly here, although he is going up against one
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 3: of the best offenses in baseball here, the LA Dodgers.
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 3: But Sale has done well against them in the past
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 3: sixty nine career at bats against these hitters twenty one strikeouts,
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 3: five walks, one fifty nine average allowed, five point thirty
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 3: five ops. So I do not expect Sale to pitch
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 3: poorly here. I think he will pitch decent the at
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 3: least here, he's going up against the young guy em
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 3: At she and Man, so a big age gap between
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 3: these two pitchers. Shean doesn't have great numbers on the
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 3: season five point two three ERA, one point three to
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 3: two WHIP for the Dodgers. He's been a little bit
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 3: better at home four point six ERA at home, which
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 3: is where he will be here. He didn't do well
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 3: against Saint Louis last time out, and that's I think
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 3: we lost on that game. That's not a great sign.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 3: Uh St is a decent offense this year, though he
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 3: got knocked around in that game. He got a little
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 3: bit unlucky and that he gave up two of them runs.
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 3: But he did give up eight hits and didn't even
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 3: manage to get five innings into the game. Still had
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 3: eight strikeouts and no walks though, so the command numbers
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 3: were good. Overall, He's got good command numbers thirty six strikeouts,
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 3: nine walks in thirty one innings. He's only allowed thirty
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 3: two hits, so overall his numbers are not bad. Like
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 3: his numbers like don't look good on the surface, but
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 3: he dig into his UH numbers a bit more. They
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 3: don't look bad to me. So I don't think Shean
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 3: is that bad. I think he might be able to
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 3: pitch okay here. He's not as good as Chris Sale, obviously.
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 3: I don't think we're going out on a limb there.
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 3: His numbers against Atlanta are pretty good, though in twenty
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 3: one at bats it's a small sample. Six strikeouts, two walks,
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 3: one forty three average allowed five zero three to ops.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 3: I think we have a pitching duel on our hands here, man,
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 3: I do you know. I don't have a good feel
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 3: for the side, although I probably would lean Atlanta slightly here,
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 3: but you might pay a premium for Chrissale. It looks
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 3: like the line actually flipped to the Dodgers being a favorite,
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 3: though the Dodgers are now like minus one twenty. But
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 3: I don't know, man, do you think the Dodgers should
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 3: they really be favored with Emmett Shean on the mound
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 3: against Chris Sale. I'm not so sure about that, man.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 3: You know, I think I would lean towards getting Atlanta
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 3: as the under getting Chris Sales an underdog. You're almost
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 3: never gonna get that, so I might lean that way.
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 3: But the Oddswiggers are telling you they basically think she
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 3: and can match up here. I think an under is
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 3: worth like maybe considering here ninety three percent of tickets
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 3: and ninety one percent of the cash on the dot
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 3: on the under Excuse me, So the money's indicating towards
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 3: the over though, and the money's indicating towards the Dodgers
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 3: with seventy percent of tickets fifty six percent of the
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 3: cash on Atlanta. I think, you know, Sale probably is
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 3: attracting the public money here though, Like the public's probably
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 3: thinking the same thing that I just say, Oh my god,
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 3: we get Sales as an underdog here. But I don't know, man,
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 3: to me, the situation is better for Atlanta here with
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers traveling and whatever, and you get a decent
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 3: matchup with Sale on the mound. So you know, Dodgers.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 3: I believe they were off yesterday. I think both teams
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 3: were off yesterday. So that helps with an under as well.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 3: You get two pretty good bullpens right now that we're
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 3: off yesterday, so I think that helps the under man.
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 3: You get rested bullpens. The offenses might not click right away. Yeah,
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 3: I think under makes a lot of sense in that game.
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 3: Actually under the eight. It's not gonna be on my card,
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 3: but that's what I think. And then the last game
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 3: is Pittsburgh at San Francisco. San Francisco coming off a
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 3: series that they lost to the Padres. Here, they're staying
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 3: at home. Maybe they're in a bounce back mode here
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 3: after a couple of bad games. I don't know, because
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 3: they're not a very good team. Pittsburgh is coming in
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 3: from winning five out of their last six games. They're
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 3: coming in from Arizona here, not a horrible travel spot
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 3: for Pittsburgh. Necessarily, the starting pitching matchup, we don't really
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 3: know exactly what it's gonna be though ESPN has it listed,
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 3: but the wager Talk screen does not have a pitcher
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 3: listed for San Francisco, so I don't know. Pittsburgh used
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 3: four relief pitchers yesterday. They did play yesterday. San Francisco
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 3: was off, so San Francisco has a little bit of
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 3: an edge here because they're rested. San Francisco does have
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 3: a rest edge. San Francisco's bullpen is ranked fifteenth, but
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 3: I think they're better than that. I think they're a
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 3: good bullpen. Pittsburgh is ranked thirteenth, but I do not
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 3: think Pittsburgh has the better bullpen, and they're not rested
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 3: like San Francisco is, so I think you have to
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 3: give San Francisco the bullpen edge. Obviously, they do not
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 3: have the hitting edge, though Pittsburgh is tenth offensively and
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 3: San Francisco is dead last thirtieth, so yes, Pittsburgh has
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 3: the better offense. Carmen Melodzinsky is gonna be pitching for
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 3: the Pirates. He hasn't been that good all four point
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 3: seven to sixty Ray, one point five whip, that's not good.
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 3: Five point six Roady Ray as well, that's bad. So
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 3: he hasn't been good on the road. But he does
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 3: get a very weak offense that he gets to face
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 3: here in a pitcher friendly ballpark. Overall, I mean, he
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 3: does have a high strikeout rate. I will say that
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 3: forty strikeouts and thirty four innings that's pretty good. Thirteen walks,
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 3: you know, could be worse. I guess he's only allowed
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 3: one home run. That's not bad. But he's allowed thirty
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 3: eight hits. That's not great. But I guess you know. Overall,
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 3: I mean, his numbers on the surface look really bad,
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 3: but you kind of dig into the numbers, they're not
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 3: quite so bad. I think maybe he's gotten a little
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 3: bit unlucky, but he doesn't go deep into most of
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 3: his outings. I don't know if he's fully trustworthy here,
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 3: but this might be a decent matchup for him. His
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 3: numbers against the Giants are good in a small sixteen
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 3: at bat sample size, So though most of their hitters
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 3: have faced him two to two strike a walk ratio
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 3: one twenty five average allowed in three forty seven ops,
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 3: no extra base, it's there. Some Lotzinski might pitch well
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 3: here in this matchup. We have undecided though for San Francisco,
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 3: so I don't know what's going on because initially it
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 3: was going to be Robbie Ray I mean, we can
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 3: handicap Ray here just in case it is him. Two
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 3: point nine to five yr Ray, one point six whip.
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 3: Ray has been pretty good this year two point oh
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 3: one Homyra has been good at home. Last year he
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 3: pitched really well for most of the season, and I
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 3: think he was also good at home last year as well.
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 3: He kind of followed up. He kind of fell off
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 3: at the end of last year. But we're early in
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 3: the season. Man, he's pitching well. He's allowed three or
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 3: fewer earned runs in all of his outings. Forty strikeouts,
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 3: fourteen walks. It's too many walks. Seven home runs isn't
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 3: great either. Twenty eight hits allowed, though in thirty nine
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings he has not allowed that many hits,
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 3: So Ray overall he is decent, or maybe better than decent.
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 3: As numbers against the Pirates are also fine. In fifty
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 3: four at bests twenty to zero strike oh walk Richio,
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 3: that's pretty good. Two fifty nine batting average allowed six
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 3: eighty five ops. So if Ray does pitch, you know,
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 3: I think we could be looking at maybe a first
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 3: five under in that game. I think the matchup looks
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 3: decent there. The money is coming out of Pittsburgh. For
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 3: what that's world. I'm not so sure about that. Sixty
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 3: percent of tickets ninety five percent of the cash on Pittsburgh.
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 3: San Francisco is a slight favorite right now, and Pittsburgh
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 3: or the total is at seven and a half. So
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 3: the odds makers, you know this, the line almost looks
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 3: like it is expecting Ray to still start here. I
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 3: don't know if that's gonna be the case or not though. Anyway,
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 3: finally we're done with the baseball card there, All right,
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 3: let's finish this off. We'll do WNBA really quick here.
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 3: I don't have a whole lot to say about the WNBA.
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 3: The first game up, which is really the big mismatch,
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 3: is Connecticut at New York. The Liberty are the way
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 3: better of the two teams, but they might overlook Connecticut
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 3: because Connecticut was just awful last year. Connecticut was a
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 3: dormat and they're still expected to be bad. I mean,
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 3: the Liberty, I don't even know the personnel here or whatever.
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 3: The Liberty are nine and a half ten and a
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 3: half point favorite here, somewhere between nine and a half
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 3: and ten and a half basically ten. So you have
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 3: to lay double digits with the Liberty. I don't know
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 3: about that man in the first game of the season.
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 3: A lot of people are gonna overreact to last year
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 3: and while clearly New York is the better of these
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 3: two teams, and I think Connecticut is so bad, they're
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 3: actually leaving Connecticut. Like, I think they're not gonna be
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 3: playing in Connecticut anymore. I don't know where they're going,
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 3: but I think they are moving. In fact, I don't
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 3: know that it might be out there, like that information
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 3: might actually be out there. Oh, they just claimed Van
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 3: Lyth after the sky waved her. Isn't that just great?
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 3: I don't even know who these people are, to be honest, Yeah,
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 3: I don't know, dude, But yeah, I'm gonna lean to
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 3: Connecticut slightly plus the points there I don't one of Like,
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 3: you know, these are not strong opinions for me right now,
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 3: but you know, I think just based on last year
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 3: and people just realize that Connecticut is bad. But you're
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 3: probably paying a bit of a premium to play the Liberty,
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 3: who I believe won the championship two years ago, you know,
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 3: and they've been one of the top teams in the
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 3: league for the last few years. And really, I mean,
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 3: they're one of the staples of the league is they're
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 3: one of the original teams with Rebecca Lobo whatever. So yeah,
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 3: I mean whatever, I think you're paying a little bit
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 3: of a premium with the Liberty, I would lean against them.
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 3: There sixty three percent of tickets and cash on Connecticut whatever. Washington.
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 3: The Mystics were one of the worst teams in the
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 3: league last year as well. We won a couple of
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 3: games with Washington. We picked some good spots to play
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 3: Washington last year, and they played really well as a
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 3: big underdog last year. But they're not an underdog in
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 3: this game. They're playing against an expansion team, the Toronto Tempo.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 3: The way the expansion works is pretty much the same
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 3: as in like whatever other sport. Well, the NHL basically
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 3: is the comparable sport here where they have an expansion draft.
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 3: So basically, every team gets to protect a certain number
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 3: of players. So every team protects their best players and whatever,
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 3: and then the teams they don't protect go into the draft,
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 3: so the expansion teams are able to draft those players
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 3: and that's how they form their team, you know what
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 3: I mean. But it's interesting because, like the hockey when
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 3: they did that, you know, with the Vegas Knights and whatever,
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 3: everybody was like, who are these scrubs? You know they're
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 3: gonna suck. And then the Knights made the Stanley Cup
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 3: Finals or whatever, and I think they won a championship
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 3: within their first couple of years. I'm not gonna say
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 3: that Toronto's gonna do that. I don't think they will.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 3: But Toronto's a very small underdog here, and I think
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 3: people are basically gonna be like, oh, this team's a
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 3: bunch of scrubs, but they're playing against a bad team
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 3: in Washington. The money does look like it did hit
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 3: Washington and flip them to the favorite here. But I
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 3: think I would probably lead Toronto there, just because nobody
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 3: even knows who the fuck they are and they're, you know,
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 3: a scrub expansion team. Maybe they get motivated. Man, it's
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 3: gonna be their first game as a team. So I mean,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 3: there's like no film on this team. But then again,
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 3: they have to get chemistry, you know what I mean.
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 3: An expansion team like this might not have chemistry right
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 3: right out of the gate, so that is a problem.
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 3: But then again, teams aren't gonna know what the fuck
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 3: the team's even gonna look like, so, how do you
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 3: defend against a team that you don't even know what
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 3: the fuck they're gonna do, you know what I mean.
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 3: So there's that, and then Golden State at Seattle. People
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 3: are gonna probably look at this line. If they know
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 3: anything about the WNBA, they're gonna think, what is this line?
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 3: Golden State who they were? I believe they were an
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 3: expansion team last year or the year before that, and
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 3: they started gelling and playing really well. They went way
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 3: under the radar and they're now six and a half
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 3: point favored against Seattle, which is really interesting because Seattle
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 3: was one of the better Ish teams last year. But
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 3: the oddsmakers are clearly telling you Golden State's the way
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 3: better team, and Golden State has like a I don't
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 3: know what they're doing. I don't know what the rules
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 3: are in the WNBA, but I know Golden State spent
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 3: a lot of money over the offseason, so they're supposed
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 3: to be one of the better teams in the league
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 3: this year. And they were a real value team last year,
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 3: like they were getting constantly undervalued in the market last year.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 3: So we did have some plays on them last year too,
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 3: but obviously the market is completely adjusted, and now they're
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 3: a six and a half point road favored against Seattle,
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 3: so the market has caught up. Let's say Seattle lost
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 3: to Golden State in the preseason. By the way, at
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 3: Golden State, I don't think that really matters. Who cares preseason.
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 3: I think you just throw it out. But I think
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 3: you know the people that are just basing this off
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 3: of last year. I think these people are gonna think
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 3: this is a huge value to get Seattle as a
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 3: big underdog here, Like, why is Golden State this fairly
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 3: new team? Why are they favored by this much on
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 3: the road. But I'm telling you right now, their personnel
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 3: is actually quite good. Like they I think they made
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 3: some good pickups over the offseason whatever. I don't know.
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 3: I don't follow WNBA really, but they're minus five and
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 3: a half have most spots now, they're favored by that
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 3: much for a reason. Eighty percent of tickets, ninety five
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on Golden State. I would lean
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 3: towards laying the points in that one with Golden State,
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 3: but I don't know what the fuck I'm talking about. Charles,
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 3: what's up? Thanks for hanging out, Yes, TLC no scrubs
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 3: uugh man, my neck kills and my back and you
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 3: know the other two things that get talked about in
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 3: that song. Next game up hockey. We're gonna have a
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 3: play in hockey in Montreal and Buffalo. These games are
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 3: on tn T, HBO, Max, True TV. Let's do it.
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 3: We are going to have a play on the Montreal
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 3: Canadians as an underdog. Here man, I think this is
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 3: a spot to actually do it. With the zig zag
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 3: Buffalo won the first game. You know, neither team has
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 3: a huge experience, edge man, so both teams are not
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 3: used to being here. Montreal is really young, so yes,
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 3: that is true. Buffalo their goaltender Leone or whatever, has
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 3: been slightly better than Dobis. But they're both pretty good.
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 3: And if you look at what happened in the first game,
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 3: I think it was misleading. And that's why we're gonna
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 3: do it. We're gonna play Montreal here man. And by
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 3: the way, Montreal was not a bad road team this season.
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 3: Buffalo was pretty decent at home, but Montreal was not
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 3: that much worse on the road. Montreal is certainly capable
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 3: of winning a game on the road, and if you
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 3: look at what happened in this first game. You know,
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 3: Buffalo had two power play goals, so a couple of
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 3: their goals were with the man advantage, although yes, Montreal
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 3: had a power play goal as well, but you know,
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 3: Buffalo did have a big lead. So yes, Montreal was
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 3: firing a bunch of desperation shots. But if you look
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 3: at what happened in this game, Montreal was the better team,
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 3: like all across the board. Statistically, Montreal won sixty three
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 3: percent of the faceoffs, they were the more physical team
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 3: with more hits, and they outshot Buffalo twenty eight to sixteen.
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 3: While yes, some of that is because they were in
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 3: desperation mode, but still, Buffalo scored four goals on sixteen shots.
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 3: I mean, come on, man, And no there was not
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 3: an empty net goal but two power play goals. But still,
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 3: you know, a decent goaltender like Dobus, he's not gonna
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 3: allow four goal He's not gonna have a seven to
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 3: fifty save percentage again, you know what I mean. So yeah,
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 3: it was an outlier of a game. In my opinion,
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 3: Montreal was actually the better team in the game, so
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 3: the final score was very misleading in my opinion. So
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 3: I think we could definitely take Montreal as an underdog here,
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 3: and I think you're gonna get a better game from them.
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 3: I think Montreal is gonna get it done. I think
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 3: they're gonna even the series here. I think it's a
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 3: close series. You know. I don't think either team is
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 3: gonna beat Colorado or Colorado Carolina. Sorry, Buffalo looks like
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 3: they're getting some of the money, but they look public.
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 3: Sixty two percent of ticket, seventy percent under the cash
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 3: on them, they're about minus one thirty something total. Is
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 3: getting a lot of money towards the under which helps
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 3: as an underdog. By the way, the totals at five
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 3: and a half or six, so it's expected to be
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 3: kind of a lower scoring game, and that's good for
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 3: the underdog as well. It means the underdog has a
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 3: better chance of hanging in the game. I like it
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 3: we're gonna take Montreal again. It's a zigzag spot where
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 3: I think Montreal was the better team in the first
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 3: game and it's a bit misleading. The second game is
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 3: Vegas at Anaheim with a one to one tied series.
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 3: Anaheim actually was the better team in game one, even
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 3: though they lost and we got the win on that
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 3: game with Vegas, Anaheim flipped it around him one three
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 3: to one in the second game, and they did score
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 3: an empty net goal, and then there was a stupid
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 3: penalty at the very end of the game, and Vegas
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 3: scored a power play goal I think also with the
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 3: empty net still in play. I think they did that,
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 3: so I think they had a two man advantage in
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 3: that power play and they scored with six seconds left,
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 3: so they avoided the shutout. Whatever the question is, was
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 3: this misleading the fact that Anaheim won three to one,
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 3: I would say slightly. Anaheim actually played better in Game one,
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 3: believe it or not, even though they won Game two,
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 3: Vegas dominated the face offfs. Dude, Vegas won sixty three
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 3: percent of the face offs. The hits were the same,
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 3: and Anaheim did out shoot Vegas a little bit, but
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 3: the face offf percentage, you know, kind of tells you
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 3: that team had more possession in the game. I don't
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 3: hate Vegas here in this spot here, they're the more
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 3: experienced team, you know. I mean, both coaches have a
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 3: lot of experience, though, even though Tortorella is new to
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 3: being in Vegas and Anaheim has what the fuck Quinnville
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 3: I think is his name. Yeah, he's been around for
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 3: a long time, but he's new to Anaheim this year,
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 3: I think so. I don't know. The coaching I think
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 3: is a bit of a wash here. One thing to
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 3: worry about. Those Vegas was not that good on the road,
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 3: and Anaheim was significantly better at home home then on
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 3: the road. But I don't know how much of a
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 3: home advantage either team has in this series, because this
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 3: is a close series geographically, you know, like you could
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 3: drive between these locations, and these teams might even be
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 3: doing that. I don't know. So I don't know, man,
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 3: like you could drive in a few hours probably between
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 3: these locations. I think so. Yeah, I don't have a
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 3: good read on this game. I do think Vegas played
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 3: better in Game two than the final score makes. It look.
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 3: The money is coming in on Anaheim though, and Anaheim
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 3: is better at home. But initially it looks like the
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 3: money well, actually, I don't know, it's hard to tell.
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 3: I mean, the line has really just been a pick'em
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 3: price the whole time. Fifty six per tickets, seventy three
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on Anaheim. It looks like some
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 3: money's coming in towards the over. The total is higher
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 3: in this game at six six and a half. I mean,
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 3: it is a series where I think the deepfense is
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 3: a little bit worse, although I think Vegas kind of
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 3: has the better deepfense though. And I don't know, man,
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 3: I think I kind of prefer heart over dose stall
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 3: in Net. But I don't know, man, this is a
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 3: hard game to figure out for me. I think if
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 3: the series zigzags, then Vegas would be the way to look.
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 3: But I don't like that. They're not that good on
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 3: the road, so I worry about that. It's a stay
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 3: away from me. Vegas does have an experienced edge though,
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 3: so I think, you know, they should come out on
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 3: top in the series, but maybe they don't, you know.
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 3: I don't know, man, We'll see. But I do have
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 3: Vegas winning that in my bracket. I have them beating
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 3: Edmonton in my bracket, all right. And then we have NBA.
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna give out an NBA play as well. The
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 3: first came up both games on Amazon Prime. First came
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 3: up is Knicks at Philly. The Knicks have a two
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 3: oh series lead, and you know, I like teams that
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 3: are down two oh coming back home. I do like
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 3: that spot. Usually when a team is coming back home
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 3: and they're down two oh, the zig zag is in
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 3: effect the zig zigzag, and you usually want to look
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 3: for that home team to even the series. Because the
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 3: team that's up too oh feels pretty good, they get
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 3: a little bit complacent. The team down two to h
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 3: is really really facing a lot of urgency and they
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 3: can't give up a game at home, you know what
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 3: I mean. So those would have me looking towards Philadelphia here.
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 3: But there are a lot of question marks here. And
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 3: one thing that I don't like is that. I mean,
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 3: I like it because we won on Game two, we
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 3: had a winner with Philadelphia plus the points, even though
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 3: we got the worst number on it because of course
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 3: Embiid wound up not playing in the game. But that's
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 3: what I don't like about this game now, is that
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 3: if Philadelphia played really well without Embiid, the Knicks might
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 3: have gotten scared by that game. You know what I mean.
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia almost won that game. They're winning the majority of
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 3: that game, so I think that might scare the Knicks
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 3: into a better game here. So that that is one
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 3: thing that I worry about here. So I'm not gonna
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 3: give out a play on this game. But if you
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 3: look at the game, the major outlier here was really
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 3: the three point shooting. Philadelphia hit six more three pointers
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 3: than the Knicks. The Knicks were only twenty seven percent
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 3: from three, and Annaobe is one of their better three
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 3: point shooters and he might not play tonight, so you
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 3: do have to worry about that. So you think the
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 3: Knicks are gonna have positive regression from three point range,
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 3: which I do. You have to worry about Annonobe, you
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 3: know what I mean. He might not play here because
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 3: he got injured close to the end of that game,
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 3: and if the Knicks are gonna hit threes, they kind
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 3: of need him to be part of that, so that
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 3: is worrisome. Philadelphia actually out rebounded the Knicks without Embiid,
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 3: so that is not a good sign for the Knicks.
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 3: That they got out rebounded by by an embiidless Sixers team.
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 3: That's not good. And that the Sixers actually, you know,
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 3: led more than half the game, like I said, So
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 3: there are a lot of conflicting factors here, man, But
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 3: Joelle Embiid is questionable and the line here as Philly
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 3: is a favorite, So that leads me to believe that
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 3: Embiid is playing in this game, but he is a
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 3: game time decision, so there's a lot of things to
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 3: figure out here. And Anonnobe is also a game time decision,
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 3: so is Josh Hart, but I think he is going
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 3: to play. And then Mitchell Robbins and you know, I mean,
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 3: the Knicks might be better not even playing Robinson. Robinson,
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 3: he's not good, dude, and the Sixers in game one
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 3: we're hack of shacking him. They were I don't know
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 3: what's the term for it with with Mitch Robinson.
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: They were.
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 3: I don't know, bitch a Mitch. I don't know what
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 3: they were doing. Whatever they were doing, they were hacking
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 3: Mitch Robinson to send him to the line intentionally because
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 3: he is a horrific free throw shooter. He's one of
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 3: the worst free throw shooters in the league. The Knicks
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 3: might be better not even playing and we're really limiting
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 3: his minutes. I don't know, man, But the big pieces
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 3: here that you need to figure out are are Anenobi
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 3: and Embiid playing, and I think Anonoby won't affect the
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 3: line that much. So I think the reason why Philly
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 3: is favored as much as they are here one and
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 3: a half means Embiid is playing, because the Knicks were
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 3: a ten and a half point home favorite with Embiid
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 3: not playing, and if embiide wasn't playing here, the line
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 3: would probably be the Knicks being a favorite here. The
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 3: fact that Philly is a favorite leaves me to believe
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 3: Embiid is going to play, unless at some point they
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 3: announced he's not going to. I think he will, But
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 3: that's the issue I have with Philadelphia because I like
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 3: the Philadelphia is down two to oh, they're gonna have
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 3: a sense of urgency here. I like the fact that
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 3: they beat the Knicks in the rebound battle without Embiid.
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 3: That's a good sign for Philadelphia. But I think the
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 3: Knicks might shoot better from three. The Knicks might be
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 3: scared into focus after almost losing the previous game, And
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 3: if Philly won without himbi or almost one excuse me,
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 3: without Embiid, they might be feeling pretty good about Embiid
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 3: coming back, you know, and the line might move too
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 3: much towards Philadelphia. You know the reverse injured player theory.
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 3: A lot of times there's an overreaction a little bit
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 3: to the line, and you know it's at the point
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 3: where maybe you could argue the Nicks should be about
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 3: a one point favorite here instead of Philly being a
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 3: one point favorite. But it's a pick the winner price,
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 3: so whether regardless of which team is a one point favorite,
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 3: it doesn't really matter that much, you know. But the
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 3: money he seems like it's kind of indicating towards the
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 3: Knicks sixty five percent of tickets on Philly's sixty three
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on them. I don't buy that
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 3: Philly is a public side though, after they look so
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 3: bad in Game one and then lost Game two as well.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 3: I don't think Philadelphia is a public side here. Philly
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 3: is a one and a half point favorite, you know,
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 3: all things be considered, I think I'll slightly lean to Philadelphia,
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 3: but I don't like it, And it looks like some
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 3: of the money is hitting the over here. I'm not
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 3: sure I like that either. You know, I think I
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 3: might lean under because I mean, the last game did
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 3: not go over this number of two fourteen and a
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 3: half two fifteen. But with Embiid coming back, I think
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 3: that's gonna skew the line a little bit higher than
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 3: it would be otherwise if he is coming back. Although
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 3: you need ananobe if you're gonna go under, you're probably
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 3: better with Anonobe being out though, But I think if
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 3: Embiid is in and Ananobe is out and under might
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 3: make sense because you're gonna get Embiid's defense in play
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 3: there as well. So that's what I think. Yeah, it's
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 3: a four hour drive. I'm not playing the fucking Sixers song.
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 3: Fuck the Sixers. I fucking hate that team. But I
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 3: also hate the Knicks, and I hate both fan bases.
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 3: They're all a bunch of assholes, dude, Like, I hope
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 3: that this series just basically just I don't know, I
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 3: hope the series gets disqualified from existence. Fuck both these teams,
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 3: fuck both fan bases. That's what I have to say
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 3: about that fucking series. And then the other series is
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 3: where I'm gonna give out a play. Let's do it.
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 3: This is the last game that we're gonna talk about,
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 3: and we do have a play on it. Minnesota plus
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 3: five or I think it's mostly four and a half
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 3: out there, which is probably fine as well. We're gonna
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 3: take the Tea Wolves plus the points here, man, I
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 3: mean this is a This is a zigzact spot, dude,
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 3: I mean this has been a zigzag series all the
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 3: way so far. Anthony Edwards made the surprise come in
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 3: Minnesota one Game one is a big underdog and then
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 3: what happened. San Antonio back, you know, at home again.
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 3: San Antonio after losing is a big favorite. They came
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 3: back and they won in a massive blowout in game two.
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 3: You know, the public is not gonna take Minnesota here
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 3: after this san Antonio blew the doors off of them
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 3: one thirty three and ninety five won by almost forty points.
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 3: You know what I think about that, after something like
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 3: that happens, that was a major outlier, I'm gonna come
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 3: back and fade that, you know what I mean? That
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 3: is what the zigzag does. You fade the team that
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 3: was on the wrong side of the major outlier. We're
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 3: getting them at home now as an underdog too, which
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 3: I like. In Minnesota is the more experienced team. Man,
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 3: san Antonio is not used to being in a spot
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 3: like this, and now they have to play a road
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 3: playoff game against a team that's been in the conference
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 3: finals two years in a row. Yeah, doesn't look good
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 3: to me. And I think there's gonna be a lot
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 3: of regression here as well. San Antonio shot fifty percent
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 3: from the field. In the last game, they had almost
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 3: the same amount of field goal attempts and they shot
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 3: forty one percent from the three, so they were plus
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 3: seven from three point range. I think those numbers are
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 3: gonna regress, man, And both teams went to the line
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 3: a similar amount of times, and Minnesota shot an outrageous
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 3: fifty two percent from the line. They're gonna shoot better
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 3: than that. There's no way an NBA team is not
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 3: going to shoot fifty percent from the line in like
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 3: any game, even if they're not the greatest free throw
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 3: shooting team. It's just not gonna happen. So I think
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 3: there are some major regression points here. San Antonio should
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 3: shoot way worse in this game, especially because Minnesota is
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 3: a good defense. Both these teams are good defensively. Minnesota
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 3: should shoot better from the line. And yes, the one
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 3: concern is san Antonio did dominate the rebound battle. Yes,
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 3: I get that san Antonio has wemby you know whatever,
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 3: but we're getting points with Minnesota. This could be a
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 3: defensive match up here. Man, I think you're gonna see
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 3: a lower scoring game in this game than you saw
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 3: in this game as well, mostly because San Antonio just
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 3: shot way too well. That's gonna be the main regression
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 3: point is that San Antonio should shoot worse. Although yes,
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 3: Minnesota might hit more free throws, but I think the
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 3: regression is going to come more on the offensive end.
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 3: You have two good defenses here. I like the under
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 3: in this game as well, but Minnesota would be my plan.
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 3: I think the under is correlated. Minnesota is not going
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 3: to be able to win if the game is higher scoring.
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 3: You know, they cannot let San Antonio outscore them in
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 3: this game. The money's coming in towards the over, though,
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 3: eighty three percent of tickets on the under, fifty percent
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 3: of the cash on the over. I don't agree with that.
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 3: The total is a little bit higher at two sixteen
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 3: and a half, but Minnesota needs to slow the game
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 3: down and they might be able to do that at home.
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I think the under is a consideration, but
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 3: we're playing the side. I think more of the regression
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 3: points line up this way. And I don't do totals
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 3: very much, although we did go we're one to zero,
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 3: I think in the totals in the NBA playoffs so far,
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 3: or maybe one on one. I forget fifty four percent
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 3: of two gets sixty percent of the cash on Minnesota.
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 3: And yes, I know we're we're still a game below
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 3: five hundred I think in the NBA playoffs, but we're
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 3: gonna keep grinding at it. We're gonna do what's worked
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 3: throughout history. Let's do it. Minnesota plus the points is
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 3: going to be the play. Yeah, you know, again, I
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 3: think we get a lot of regression points. And also,
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 3: don't you know, neglect the home advantage here. You know,
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 3: San Antonio is really good at home. In Minnesota is
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 3: not a very good road team, but they're pretty good
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 3: at home. Twenty six and fifteen at home San Antonio
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 3: twenty nine and twelve on the road. Obviously that's still good.
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 3: But Minnesota could definitely hang as a home underdog here
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 3: with more experience and in a zigzag spot. Yeah, we're
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 3: doing it. Minnesota plus the points and that's gonna do
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 3: it for me for today. All the play is one
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 3: more time. We have three Major League Baseball totals. First
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 3: five under in Anaheim, Toronto, first five under in Minnesota, Cleveland.
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 3: Try to get it under four, although you have to
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 3: pay a little bit more for it in those games.
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 3: Game under in Seattle and White Sox under the eight,
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 3: Montreal Canadians on the money line, and Minnesota Tea Wolves
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 3: plus five five plays today, Let's do it, let's hit.
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 3: Let's get to sixty wins on this run before we
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 3: get to forty losses. I think it's highly unlikely that's
• 2:05:20
  Speaker 3: not going to happen because we only need one more
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 3: win to make that happen. So let's make it happen tonight.
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 3: Let's have a win. I'll be happy if we go
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 3: three and two, and then that's the goal. Three and
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 3: two is a winning night. That's that's your aim. Win.
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 3: Just win baby, the Al Davis of betting, Let's go.
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 3: That's gonna do it. Learn its on on Twitter, Learn
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 3: its on on Instagram, like subscribe to the channel here,
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 3: tell everybody about it. We're losing subs again, not a
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 3: fan event. I don't like losing subs man, including sub
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 3: sandwiches because I like those two. I'm hungry. I gotta
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 3: eat lunch too. What else did I have to say?
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 3: I don't even know? Oh yeah, we're on audio. Listen
• 2:05:56
  Speaker 3: on Apple, Spotify, spreaker. That all helps as well. Covered
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 3: in you because my yuke channel on YouTube. You can
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 3: check that out as well. What else do I have?
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 3: Patreon dot com, learned it to it. I want to
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 3: forget the Patreon, even though I mean I unfortunately I
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 3: neglect it quite a bit. But you can subscribe to
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 3: me there. You can help me out there. We have
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 3: the Loser Cast every Tuesday and the g Spot Giants podcast,
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 3: where I think Ben and I are going to do
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 3: an episode this weekend at some point to recap the
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 3: draft and preview the season a little bit more. So
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 3: be on the lookout for that. That's gonna do it.
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 3: Thank you, sir, Thank you everybody for hanging out. Charles,
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 3: Zach Sparrow, Josh Hindian, Pinzy, who else is in here? Tyson,
• 2:06:43
  Speaker 3: dirty Sock? Did I say, Garrett, all you guys in
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 3: the chat, all the regulars, thanks for hanging out. I
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 3: don't know people who don't like winning. I guess this
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 3: is a prolonged hot streak. Though we had one really
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 3: bad day in there at OWN three. But I think
• 2:06:56
  Speaker 3: during this streak that I had up on the screen,
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 3: I'll put it back up for one second. I think
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 3: during this streak we've only had that Own three I
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 3: think was the only day where we were worse than
• 2:07:06
  Speaker 3: being one loss below the break even threshold. You know, well,
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 3: you don't break even in betting. If you go one
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 3: and one, you lose slightly. But you know what I mean.
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 3: I think that all the losing days were like one
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 3: and two, two and three, you know that type of thing.
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 3: I think that own three day was the only day
• 2:07:23
  Speaker 3: where we had more than one more lost than win,
• 2:07:27
  Speaker 3: If that makes sense, I think I'm not entirely sure
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 3: about that. But it goes back thirty four days now.
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 3: But we've been hot. We've had a good year so far.
• 2:07:35
  Speaker 3: A little bit of a low in March. I don't
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 3: know why that's the case, a lull in March, and
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 3: then I usually do really well in May. And baseball
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 3: has really been what's been awesome for us so far.
• 2:07:45
  Speaker 3: Baseball has been excellent. And last year baseball was tough.
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 3: Baseball it was rough, guys. Baseball wasn't that good last year.
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 3: NBA playoffs were really good last year, and NHL playoffs
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 3: were pretty good as well. But this year it's been
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 3: baseball that's been doing all this damage. Baseball has been awesome,
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 3: so hopefully that continues, or hopefully we're turning around with
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 3: the NBA NHL playoffs have been really selective, but they've
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 3: been pretty good for us as well. Let's keep it up.
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 3: That's gonna do it. I appreciate everybody.
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 2: Peace, But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 2: the flow.
• 2:08:23
  Speaker 1: Your name still means something new, somebody for show. Put
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me. No hold on,
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: hold on nothing, no.
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 2: Hold on, hold on. Let me for that bites hot,
• 2:08:55
  Speaker 2: but it don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on,
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 2: stay with me now,