Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Professional Development: Nasdaq & Tech Stocks: A Potential Crash on the Horizon?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
- 0:03Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador
- 0:07Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with
- 0:11Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
- 0:15Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
- 0:19Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States
- 0:23Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
- 0:28Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
- 0:31Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you
- 0:35Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly
- 0:39Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will
- 0:43Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home
- 0:46Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,
- 0:55Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.
- 0:57Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.
- 1:00Speaker 3: Is the NASDAK setting up for a crash? Or will
- 1:05Speaker 3: the AI and will and will the AI bubble be
- 1:09Speaker 3: the cause of it? The NASDAK has been running up
- 1:12Speaker 3: tremendously over the last six months went from that is low.
- 1:18Speaker 3: It was like eleven thousand, hovering a little bit of
- 1:22Speaker 3: eleven thousand, that was over fourteen now it was over
- 1:25Speaker 3: fourteen thousand, So you know that's that's a pretty big
- 1:28Speaker 3: jump in a six month timeframe. So a lot of
- 1:32Speaker 3: that has been the cause of this AI frenzy that
- 1:36Speaker 3: we're in. Everybody talks about chat GBT all the time,
- 1:39Speaker 3: and you know, everybody's coming out with a competitor chat GBT.
- 1:42Speaker 3: You we'll talk about that today as well, Apple and
- 1:45Speaker 3: Google and Meta and Microsoft, and they invested in chat
- 1:50Speaker 3: GBT as well over the eyes. But you know, what
- 1:53Speaker 3: comes up must come down, So yeah, what's the deal?
- 1:58Speaker 4: A lot of people were asking me this quest over
- 2:00Speaker 4: the weekend, and sixteen thousand is usually a great support
- 2:04Speaker 4: area for excuse me, resistance area for Nasdaq. I don't
- 2:09Speaker 4: think we'll have a crash. I think what people are
- 2:12Speaker 4: worried about is that the market has went up so fast.
- 2:15Speaker 4: Is it going to pull back? My number one piece
- 2:18Speaker 4: of advice for every one long term is through every occasion,
- 2:22Speaker 4: every season, every storm, every news headline, please look to
- 2:26Speaker 4: hold for five or ten years. Will we have a
- 2:30Speaker 4: pullback at some point, if it's not sixteen thousand, maybe
- 2:34Speaker 4: seventeen thousand.
- 2:35Speaker 2: We'll have a little bit of a pullback.
- 2:37Speaker 4: For my traders, I would definitely map out your technicals.
- 2:40Speaker 4: I will look to see if we break past sixteen
- 2:43Speaker 4: thousand and what news comes out as a result.
- 2:45Speaker 5: So, like Tessa reported, we'll talk about that.
- 2:48Speaker 4: If more companies report better earnings, we'll push past at
- 2:51Speaker 4: sixteen thousand seventeen thousand level with no problem. But if
- 2:55Speaker 4: we aren't seeing strong earnings over the next couple of weeks,
- 2:59Speaker 4: it'll give you a sign that will begin.
- 3:00Speaker 5: To slow down.
- 3:01Speaker 4: So for my long term investors, don't worry about it,
- 3:04Speaker 4: because everyone who's always talking about a crash, they are
- 3:08Speaker 4: betting on the wrong side of history and the market.
- 3:11Speaker 4: But for my short term investors or swing traders, I
- 3:14Speaker 4: will map up by levels and have some protection in place.
- 3:17Speaker 4: And now it's definitely not the time about a nastac
- 3:19Speaker 4: Like if you haven't got in already, it's too like
- 3:21Speaker 4: you're going to have.
- 3:22Speaker 5: To wait for a a little bit of a pullback.
- 3:25Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if we look where it was.
- 3:29Speaker 6: Maybe a year and a half ago, we're talking down
- 3:32Speaker 6: thirty percent, and so I mean just from a standpoint
- 3:36Speaker 6: of looking at the technicals, that the chances of it
- 3:39Speaker 6: pulling back another twenty and so.
- 3:41Speaker 2: But you have to look at what, like you said,
- 3:44Speaker 2: what is leading it?
- 3:45Speaker 6: Is it the Magnificence seven leading or is it the
- 3:47Speaker 6: entire space? And that's a tough call, right, because if
- 3:51Speaker 6: we're looking at it, Yeah, the Magnificence seven are leaded. Yes,
- 3:54Speaker 6: AI is leading. It is AI slowing down? No, will
- 3:58Speaker 6: there be companies that are going to be created and
- 4:01Speaker 6: acquire during this time?
- 4:02Speaker 2: Yes? Do those companies cost money?
- 4:05Speaker 6: Absolutely, and so that's going to dig into to the
- 4:07Speaker 6: margins of some of these companies that are looking to acquire.
- 4:10Speaker 6: But I don't see the space having another We wouldn't
- 4:15Speaker 6: call it a correction, right because that means they'd have
- 4:19Speaker 6: to go down twenty percent.
- 4:19Speaker 2: But I do it's gonna slow down, right, it has
- 4:23Speaker 2: to slow down, And that's good. That's a good thing. Right.
- 4:25Speaker 6: Well, what we saw on Thursday and Friday, I was
- 4:27Speaker 6: getting text messages and dms like, oh my god, is
- 4:29Speaker 6: it happening again? And I'm like, do you realize that
- 4:32Speaker 6: you've you've gone up over like twelve percent in a month, Like,
- 4:36Speaker 6: do you realize that right, so like for an index,
- 4:39Speaker 6: not just a company, for the entire index. And so
- 4:41Speaker 6: when it pulls back two percent in a day, I
- 4:44Speaker 6: want you to be prepared for that. I want you
- 4:46Speaker 6: to like really get to see like what that feels like.
- 4:48Speaker 6: And so it's important to have these moments. It's it's
- 4:51Speaker 6: a resetting of a sense when it's like, all right, well,
- 4:53Speaker 6: let's take a pause. We got a couple of indicators
- 4:57Speaker 6: that are going to be coming this week. We know
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- 6:50Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
- 6:54Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador
- 6:58Speaker 1: accused of murdering a excess man of Venezuelan charged with
- 7:02Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
- 7:06Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
- 7:10Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States
- 7:14Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
- 7:18Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
- 7:22Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you
- 7:25Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly
- 7:29Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will
- 7:33Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home
- 7:37Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.
- 7:41Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,
- 7:46Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.
- 7:48Speaker 6: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security has
- 7:51Speaker 6: got to raise potentially all sides of pointing to that.
- 7:54Speaker 6: We know that a lot of the big companies are
- 7:56Speaker 6: going to be reporting this week. Microsoft and Google included
- 8:00Speaker 6: in that, and so let's see where we're at. Before
- 8:03Speaker 6: you know, we continue to ascend or if we go
- 8:06Speaker 6: sideways for a little bit. It's been an incredible year
- 8:09Speaker 6: for the NASTAC and so we got to just take
- 8:12Speaker 6: these things and stride, like, really assess what's happened, not
- 8:16Speaker 6: look at the short term, but look at what has
- 8:17Speaker 6: happened over the past six months, ago, over the past
- 8:19Speaker 6: two years, three years, and really assess where we're at
- 8:23Speaker 6: right now.
- 8:23Speaker 2: We're in a good spot.
- 8:25Speaker 4: And a quick lesson to please write this down. If
- 8:29Speaker 4: the market does not halt, there's really nothing to worry about.
- 8:33Speaker 4: Like if things are getting really bad when you hop
- 8:36Speaker 4: on CNBC or Bloomberg and they halt to trade it
- 8:38Speaker 4: because the market is falling down so much. So if
- 8:40Speaker 4: we fall down I think three percent, and they like
- 8:44Speaker 4: work the circuit breaker to make the market stop or
- 8:46Speaker 4: pause for a little bit, that's when we're you're you know,
- 8:48Speaker 4: we're getting into a territory where we could end up
- 8:50Speaker 4: having the correction. But these are just normal waves and pullbacks.
- 8:56Speaker 4: And uh, tip number two, you have to look for
- 8:59Speaker 4: amazing asymmetric risk. So when you have the risk to
- 9:02Speaker 4: reward ratio in your favor, we're almost at the top
- 9:05Speaker 4: of the market. It's just a lot of people at
- 9:07Speaker 4: this point taking profit. So I don't see a crash coming. Well,
- 9:10Speaker 4: we see a pullback of five to maybe ten percent, sure,
- 9:13Speaker 4: but like Troy said, I mean we went up twelve
- 9:15Speaker 4: percent in a month, and since last year, the NASAQ
- 9:19Speaker 4: has been on one of the most amazing runs in
- 9:21Speaker 4: the last fifteen years.
- 9:22Speaker 5: I don't think there's anything to worry about right now.
- 9:26Speaker 6: Yeah, thirty thirty five percent year to day and that's.
- 9:30Speaker 5: That, And that was a couple eleven days in a row.
- 9:34Speaker 6: Yeah, right, A pullback of a one percent or three
- 9:38Speaker 6: quarters of a percent or even two percent in a day. Yeah,
- 9:41Speaker 6: in your portfolio, if you're looking at your account on
- 9:44Speaker 6: a daily basis, it doesn't feel great, but it's part
- 9:47Speaker 6: of it.
- 9:48Speaker 2: Right, It comes with the territory.
- 9:50Speaker 6: Right when we were climbing up, you know, twenty percent
- 9:53Speaker 6: over the past three months, it was an amazing This
- 9:56Speaker 6: comes with it. So you got to you gotta, you
- 9:58Speaker 6: gotta take the ebbs and flows of investing.
- 10:01Speaker 4: Yeah, we also have to look at that long term
- 10:03Speaker 4: horizon and never the short term. Like we had something
- 10:05Speaker 4: happen today that most people would if it would have
- 10:08Speaker 4: happened to them, they would have wanted to quit. But
- 10:10Speaker 4: over the aggregate of a year, most of the things
- 10:14Speaker 4: that bother us won't even matter.
- 10:16Speaker 5: So keep keep your focus on what is happening long term.
- 10:20Speaker 4: And also too, I had told speaking the stock club call,
- 10:23Speaker 4: I have put a stat in our chat and I
- 10:27Speaker 4: want to read this off in terms of Vanguard and Blackrock.
- 10:30Speaker 4: So combined, Vanguard and Blackrock has sixteen point sixty nine
- 10:34Speaker 4: trillion under management. That is the equivalent of seventy one
- 10:37Speaker 4: percent of the United States GDP. Vanguard and Blackrock are
- 10:43Speaker 4: both heavily invested into the Nasdaq and majority of the
- 10:46Speaker 4: properties in NASDAC. If you think they are going to
- 10:48Speaker 4: fall while they are in it, we have another thing coming.
- 10:53Speaker 5: And the biggest investor in Vanguard is Blackrock and vice versa.
- 10:57Speaker 4: They have vested interest in these companies going up for
- 10:59Speaker 4: the lunch period of time.
- 11:00Speaker 2: That's all. I always say.
- 11:01Speaker 4: The market is rigged, but it is rigged to stay
- 11:03Speaker 4: up for a long period of time.
- 11:07Speaker 5: Don't bet against the Fed, Vanguard.
- 11:10Speaker 2: Or black Rock. Don't you do it.
- 11:12Speaker 5: Don't do it, please, don't do it.
- 11:14Speaker 2: Please don't do it.
- 11:17Speaker 3: Speak and we will be having an AI activation that investment.
- 11:21Speaker 3: That's actually something that we added to the investmentest vendor
- 11:25Speaker 3: marketplace because I feel like it's important for people to
- 11:29Speaker 3: actually see different things visually, so I wanted to kind
- 11:34Speaker 3: of give that glimpse into the future. So that is
- 11:38Speaker 3: something I'm extremely looking forward to this year for invest Fest,
- 11:42Speaker 3: because we talk about AI so much that you got
- 11:45Speaker 3: to kind of give people, like, you know, something that
- 11:47Speaker 3: they could really feel in touch.
- 11:49Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
- 11:53Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador
- 11:57Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with
- 12:01Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
- 12:05Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
- 12:09Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States
- 12:13Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
- 12:18Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
- 12:21Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you
- 12:24Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly
- 12:28Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will
- 12:32Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home,
- 12:36Speaker 1: app and leave now. You could be allowed to return legally.
- 12:40Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump America's laws,
- 12:45Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.
- 12:47Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,