Latest / Combat Veteran News / Trump: Negotiations Are OVER! Full Scale Bombing Resumes!
Transcript
- 0:00President Trump has said that the war
- 0:02with Iran is resuming, as strikes are
- 0:05going to be ramping up as Iran backs
- 0:08away from negotiations. Just why does
- 0:10the president think this is the only
- 0:12option left to him? And more
- 0:14importantly, what do the markets think
- 0:16this means for the US economy? Let's
- 0:20talk about it. So, President Trump in a
- 0:22White House press conference has said
- 0:25that if no peace deal is finalized,
- 0:27which by the way, the US has been about
- 0:29to finalize a peace deal for at least
- 0:32the last two months. Uh the President
- 0:36Trump has said that the United States is
- 0:38going to attack Iran very hard and
- 0:41announced bizarrely that he has been
- 0:43taking oil out of Iran. Quote, "We're
- 0:46going to be attacking them. Attacking
- 0:48them very hard." Uh Trump told
- 0:50reporters,
- 0:52"President said again, Iran will be hit
- 0:54on Wednesday." Now, usually in military
- 0:56operations, that's not what you do. You
- 0:58don't usually give the enemy a specific
- 1:00timetable. Uh you don't tell them, "Hey,
- 1:02we're going to start bombing you now."
- 1:03Unless, of course, you're in
- 1:04negotiations. And it's a negotiation
- 1:06tactic, which is not unheard of by any
- 1:08stretch. But Trump also said, "I'm
- 1:11announcing today for the first time, but
- 1:12we've been taking out millions of
- 1:14barrels of oil, millions of barrels
- 1:16every night." saying that Iran quote
- 1:19just figured it out. He continued,
- 1:20quote, "Millions of barrels of oil has
- 1:22come out. That's why it's 85.90 a barrel
- 1:25instead of 250." Saying sharing no other
- 1:27details about the operation. Now, this I
- 1:31have no idea what he could be talking
- 1:33about. Um, it's not even clear that this
- 1:36is really the case. This may involve
- 1:38allowing Iran to sell oil or something.
- 1:42This is an incredibly bizarre claim
- 1:44because it's again not really clear
- 1:47other than over land routes how Iran can
- 1:49even extract oil. I think maybe he might
- 1:52be referring to occasional seizures of
- 1:55Iranian oil tankers and then maybe he
- 1:57thinks he's seizing the oil and forcing
- 2:00the sale of it. But as we see here uh
- 2:05from in Sentcom video um they are
- 2:08currently disabling some ships that try
- 2:10to flee striking the engines and that
- 2:13maybe the plan then is to seize the oil
- 2:16and sell it for a profit for the United
- 2:18States. I think that's possible but
- 2:20again probably not to the tune of uh
- 2:25millions of barrels of oil a day. Um,
- 2:30I mean, Iran in a total year, well, I
- 2:33guess that's true. 4 million barrels a
- 2:35day is what it produced, but that took
- 2:39160 uh ships going through the straight
- 2:42to do. So, it's not clear again where
- 2:45they think this additional millions of
- 2:47barrels a day comes from. It's just
- 2:52plain old weird and bizarre. Now,
- 2:56the
- 2:59deeper problem here is that the United
- 3:01States is effectively saying, "Listen,
- 3:04even telling Fox News, they think that
- 3:06the Iranians have been quote tapping the
- 3:08United States along and that President
- 3:10Trump has announced the plan is actually
- 3:12to commit war crimes, targeting Iranian
- 3:14power plants and bridges." Uh, when it
- 3:16comes to drawn out negotiations, the US
- 3:18launched overnight strikes in Iran after
- 3:19an Apache helicopter was downed. Um, but
- 3:22Trump also revealed some new details
- 3:24about the incident. I mean, read this
- 3:26because it is too weird. Trump said an
- 3:30Iranian drone became lodged between the
- 3:32helicopters two pilots as they
- 3:34maneuvered to avoid an explosion.
- 3:39I am so confused.
- 3:41What What do you mean the drone became
- 3:43lodged between two pilots? I mean, I I
- 3:46want to show you guys uh like where the
- 3:50pilots sit on an Apache because
- 3:55I don't really know what he's talking
- 3:57about by I mean, here's one of them and
- 3:59here's the other. That implies that the
- 4:01drone lodged itself right here.
- 4:06Like maybe they mean shrapnel from an
- 4:09exploding drone. In which case though,
- 4:11if you were hit with shrapnel from a
- 4:13drone that explodes,
- 4:16you were you were shot down by the
- 4:18drone. I I don't know what you think is
- 4:22happening
- 4:24like that that what do you think an a
- 4:27missile is like? Yes, there is a very
- 4:31close to the explosive there is actual
- 4:33concussive force that can kill somebody
- 4:34100%. But the primary thing that
- 4:38destroys equipment or kills people in an
- 4:41explosion is the shrapnel it produces.
- 4:45And those zip out. It's one of the
- 4:47reasons why body armor works so well.
- 4:49Body armor doesn't stop concussive
- 4:50blasts. It catches shrapnel and and
- 4:54debris that fly at a high speed and
- 4:57shred human beings. Uh so it's it seems
- 5:00like it's a little bit sounds almost
- 5:02like Trump talking about ur uranium dust
- 5:06when he's really means uranium
- 5:08hexafflloride gas.
- 5:10It's not dust. And if you told someone
- 5:13who actually understands uh how nuclear
- 5:16power plants or or nuclear controls
- 5:17work, they're going to look at you like
- 5:20you're an idiot. And just like we're
- 5:22looking at the president right now and
- 5:23he's like a drone lodged itself between
- 5:26the two pilots when they dodge an
- 5:28explosion from a different drone.
- 5:31It's so so bizarre.
- 5:34Uh and it's troubling actually when they
- 5:36start to say things that are nonsensical
- 5:38even in reference to themselves.
- 5:42Now I think before we talk about the
- 5:46implications of all this, there's not
- 5:48that many good ones. Wanted to mention
- 5:50guys that one of the reasons I can cover
- 5:51these controversial issues because you
- 5:53have my back as members of combat
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- 6:00kind that YouTube would never let me
- 6:01show you, and more, including we just
- 6:03took a look at some of the most like
- 6:07two-day old interceptions from Ukrainian
- 6:10air defense teams showcasing some of
- 6:11their newest latest tech. And it's
- 6:13pretty pretty wild. So, if you want that
- 6:16plus to get the shout outs and stuff,
- 6:18click the link in the description. Okay,
- 6:21so one, Trump is saying the Iranian
- 6:23military is a complete and total mess.
- 6:24This is from um 703 this morning. He
- 6:27says, "Much of it, it like their navy
- 6:28and air force doesn't even exist
- 6:29anymore. They've been completely
- 6:30defeated. Iran is all talk and no
- 6:32action. The bully of the Middle East is
- 6:33dead. They've taken too long to
- 6:34negotiate a deal that should have been
- 6:35great for them. Now they'll pay the
- 6:36price." Now, here's what I want to point
- 6:39out is that he said, "Now you're going
- 6:41to pay the price." But now it's at 7 in
- 6:44the morning and he just gave a press
- 6:46conference an hour ago that said, "Well,
- 6:48if they don't reach a deal, we're going
- 6:49to strike them." Again, the difference
- 6:51is tremendous. But also, I I want to
- 6:53point out that a defeated nation has
- 6:56closed the straight of Hormuz uh and has
- 6:58just downed a $30 million Apache
- 7:01helicopter. It's probably unfair to
- 7:03describe them as defeated. If if that is
- 7:07defeat, then that means that the Taliban
- 7:09was defeated for 20 straight years. that
- 7:11the Iraqi insurgency was defeated for a
- 7:14decade and a half.
- 7:17The definition of defeat has to be
- 7:19changed to reflect this.
- 7:22Then Trump says the fake news media
- 7:24refused to report how effective the US
- 7:26naval blockade is, which is just untrue.
- 7:28It's totally effective. It just hasn't
- 7:31reopened the straight of Hormuz.
- 7:33He says nothing gets through unless we
- 7:35want it to. It's a steel wall. Yeah,
- 7:37that's what a naval blockade is. Says
- 7:39Iran is doing zero business. not paying
- 7:41their military or any of their bills and
- 7:43quickly becoming a failed nation. He
- 7:45says lots of oil though, he adds, is
- 7:47getting out. Praise to Allah, which is
- 7:50confusing. Again, this alludes to some
- 7:53kind of oil scheme. Um, which we can
- 7:57only speculate on what that could be.
- 7:59Now, Trump claims that one of the
- 8:01reasons that we haven't seen this
- 8:02massive oil spike is because the US has
- 8:04been allowing oil to pass through, maybe
- 8:07selling seized oil. That's my best guess
- 8:09is the US is seizing oil and selling it
- 8:11because that's something we've we've
- 8:12that's been well documented and then
- 8:13that's one of the reasons why oil is
- 8:15trading at only 94 barrels u dollars a
- 8:17barrel. Uh this is by the way um Brent
- 8:20which is considered the international
- 8:22standard. Uh the US standard is also
- 8:24trading in the 90s at 91 a barrel. Still
- 8:28dramatically higher by WTI again has has
- 8:30been trading generally trading cheaper.
- 8:33You can see it here uh hitting a low
- 8:35about 55 in December of this year. Uh so
- 8:39again it was kind of steadily inclining
- 8:41and then ripped from 55 again to 91. Not
- 8:46a great turn of events.
- 8:48However,
- 8:50the there's a couple of speculative
- 8:52reasons for this. Nobody I think really
- 8:54can say definitively, but it's also
- 8:57because China has been drawing from its
- 8:59strategic petroleum reserve as have
- 9:01other nations. Um, a lot of nations have
- 9:03intentionally reduced their demand,
- 9:05particularly developing nations that
- 9:06well are sensitive to prices. And you
- 9:08can see here that when you look at Poly
- 9:10Market, which attempts to forecast the
- 9:12WTI price, it actually says that there's
- 9:14about a 50/50 chance that WTI will cross
- 9:19100 $100 a barrel, rising another 10%
- 9:22from its current price level sometime
- 9:24this month. And well, when we uh ask
- 9:28why, well, you can see it's fairly
- 9:31clear. Uh the odds of the straight of
- 9:35Hormuz traffic returning to normal by
- 9:38June 30th, the end of this month is
- 9:41continuing to tank. In fact, the
- 9:42president's statements of the resumption
- 9:44of hostilities. Now, the forecasted odds
- 9:46are just 9%. Now, even if you look at
- 9:49July 31st, you can see those same odds
- 9:51have been tanking as well with there
- 9:53being basically a 75% chance that the
- 9:55straight of Hormuz traffic remains
- 9:57restricted till June 31st. Again, this
- 10:00is sort of comical to be like it's not
- 10:03working. No one's arguing that the
- 10:04blockade isn't a blockade, but it's not
- 10:06doing the the most important thing,
- 10:09which is extracting concessions from the
- 10:11Iranians that we know of. Now, the
- 10:13annoying part is is that it's very
- 10:14possible that it absolutely is
- 10:16extracting concessions from the
- 10:17Iranians. But
- 10:21the the problem is that the Iranians are
- 10:24like, "Listen, the one thing we can't
- 10:25concede on is you have to stop Israel."
- 10:27And as discussed,
- 10:29Trump himself has admitted that Israel
- 10:31has repeatedly sabotaged the peace
- 10:33process. In fact, 39 minutes ago,
- 10:35Netanyahu addressed the people of
- 10:36Lebanon, and I swear to God, this is
- 10:38real. He says, "Seize your future. Join
- 10:40Israel. build safety and prosperity for
- 10:42all your children. And once Hezbollah is
- 10:44dismantled, the possibilities are
- 10:45endless and skyhigh.
- 10:47Now, I'm not a fan of Hezbollah, but um
- 10:51I'm pretty sure Lebanon wants to be
- 10:53Lebanon. And frankly, joining Israel if
- 10:56the Lebanese are like, "Why on earth
- 10:58would we ever join a country that is
- 11:01going to Gaza us?" Like, we saw what you
- 11:03did to Gaza. In what parallel universe
- 11:06are we going to join that experiment?
- 11:11Like that's truly one of the most insane
- 11:13things I've ever heard.
- 11:16And
- 11:17when you see stuff like this plus again
- 11:20the scale of this operation again I mean
- 11:24look at the number of strikes that
- 11:26happened
- 11:28in the last four hours alone.
- 11:31Lebanese the Lebanese president said
- 11:33quote we are doing stems from one goal
- 11:34to stop the attack secure Israel's
- 11:36withdrawal facilitate the return of our
- 11:37displaced persons and prisoners deploy
- 11:39the army to the south and ensure it
- 11:40alone assumes responsibility for
- 11:42security and reconstruction so Lebanese
- 11:44are like Israel you have to go home you
- 11:46have to stop this go back to your
- 11:48country again as discussed nobody's
- 11:51saying Israel doesn't have the right to
- 11:52defend itself it just doesn't have the
- 11:54right to invade their neighbors it'd be
- 11:56like America saying we're going to stop
- 11:57mass migration by invading Mexico it's
- 12:00not it's not really how this works. You
- 12:02don't get to invade you right back.
- 12:05But you can see in the last just 24
- 12:07hours, you're looking at dozens and I
- 12:09mean I mean dozens of strikes.
- 12:12And so maybe the Iranians and the
- 12:14Americans are close to an agreement. But
- 12:17the United States is unwilling to do the
- 12:19most simple and important thing which is
- 12:22tell Israel
- 12:23no. And not just it's not enough to say
- 12:27it. Right. As to as we've seen, asking
- 12:31politely doesn't really work. What has
- 12:34to happen is there has to be
- 12:35consequences to say, "Listen, you have
- 12:37every right to your own foreign policy.
- 12:39Russia has every right to its own
- 12:40foreign policy, but so does the United
- 12:42States. And if you don't want to row in
- 12:44the same ship with us, that's okay.
- 12:47But don't expect our help. We're not
- 12:49going to send you 80 gorgillion dollars.
- 12:51not going to send you $5 billion a year
- 12:53from the US taxpayer just to to to to
- 12:57make our lives more difficult than they
- 12:59already are. Again, we shouldn't even be
- 13:02in Iran in the first place.
- 13:05But the only option left to the
- 13:07president now is
- 13:11introduce consequences to Israel for
- 13:13their their continued aggression and
- 13:14unwillingness to facilitate negotiations
- 13:18or
- 13:21ramp up attacks in Iran. Escalate,
- 13:23escalate to deescalate, as they say.
- 13:26Well, escalate to deescalate is not is
- 13:28not worked because the the escalations
- 13:31that can work
- 13:34are things like a ground invasion and
- 13:35that is just not feasible. Uh it is
- 13:38going to inflict massive casualties. It
- 13:40won't get the effect. It's what the
- 13:42Iranians want so badly because it would
- 13:45result in a annihilation of American
- 13:48troops.
- 13:49I mean, look, the Israelis
- 13:52in Lebanon
- 13:53fighting Hezbollah,
- 13:56a a under underfunded proxy
- 14:00of the Iranians. They've already taken
- 14:03dozens and dozens of casualties. I mean,
- 14:05they've taken the number was 1,500
- 14:07casualties in
- 14:1060 days in Lebanon, primarily from uh
- 14:15Hezbollah FPV drones. Can you imagine
- 14:17what a US ground invasion would do? So,
- 14:20it's not an escalation to resume
- 14:21strikes. In fact, it's in some ways a
- 14:23deescalation because the Iranians are
- 14:27hardening themselves. They have learned
- 14:29something. You like like just like if
- 14:31you did something 13,000 times, you
- 14:33would learn a little bit about doing
- 14:34that thing. Well, the Iranians have
- 14:37received 13,000 American air strikes.
- 14:41And I'm going to say they've probably
- 14:42learned a little bit about what works
- 14:43and what doesn't work in terms of
- 14:44defending against them. That's one of
- 14:46the reasons why President Trump is
- 14:47resorting to war crimes. Now, will the
- 14:49United States military acquies? Will
- 14:52they actually strike civilian power
- 14:53plants, civilian bridges,
- 14:56particularly when those there's there is
- 14:59no existential threat. They were
- 15:01striking them purely to obtain
- 15:03negotiating leverage. It's absurd. It's
- 15:06not like an Iranian army is crossing
- 15:08that bridge to surround the First Marine
- 15:10Division.
- 15:11It's purely to damage their civilian
- 15:14economy.
- 15:16It's ghoullish. Yeah. And it's also
- 15:19deeply deeply illegal. And again, will
- 15:22the US military follow it? I I
- 15:24legitimately don't know. I legitimately
- 15:27don't know. Anyway, guys, thanks to
- 15:29Brandon, Alfred, Peter, Mike, William,
- 15:30Thomas, Deborah, Paul, Jeff, as well as
- 15:33all of our lieutenant members. We really
- 15:34appreciate you guys. We could not do it
- 15:36without you. We appreciate you, and
- 15:37we'll see you in the next one.