Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 09/23/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 09/23/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: What's going on, everybody? Happy Wednesday. Talking some baseball with
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: my man Maids. We are looking at 10 games on DraftKings,
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: 12 on FanDuel. FanDuel is starting at 7, or excuse me,
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: 640 Eastern today. They are including the Milwaukee-Philly game and
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: the St. Louis, excuse me, and Pittsburgh game. Don't think
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: there's really too much DFS appetite in that one. So
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: that's just my, I would kind of ignore those two.
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: It's a low total.
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: If you wanted to play anything from it, I'd probably...
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Look at pitchers, maybe Aaron Nola, but I do think
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: there's some other arms on the mound. So two pretty
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: insignificant games on Fanda, but do remember to get your
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: lineups in at 640 Eastern. We'll be talking DraftKings Slate
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: like usual with my man, Big Nades. How are we
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: doing today, Nades? Doing good, man.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: Had a couple close calls last night in the MLB streets.
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: Had a shot. It was top 10 in the $ 8. 50 max.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: with limited builds there. Didn't quite get all the way home,
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: but that's just the way it happens, right? Put yourself
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: in position. Hopefully one day it comes through. But yeah,
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: looking forward to breaking this down. Winding out, right? End
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: of the season, regular season here. A lot of teams
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: are dead. A lot of teams are either clinched or
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: kind of can't really improve their standings. And some teams
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: have some stuff to play for. We got some high-end
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: pitching on the slate. Pitch count's going to be concerned
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: across the board. for a lot of guys, right? So,
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: but again, everyone's playing with the same kind of deck
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: of cards. You saw the spend up arms, get it
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: done yesterday. See more of the same here tonight, kind
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: of how I'm approaching it. And really at the end
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: of the day, nobody knows what the managers are going
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: to do with these arms. We can, it's all just
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: educated guesses. So everyone's kind of operating off the same thing.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: So if I play one of these guys and they
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: get pulled after 80 pitches, like, I mean, it is
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: what it is, right? I can't really predict that. So
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: I'm just going to play some of the best plays
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: that we'll talk through. And that's kind of how I'm
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: approaching this slate and not going to try and look
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: too far into it outside of that, because it's just
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: a guess at the end of the day.
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: If you're still playing DFS in late September MLB, like
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: anyone that's watching, I assume is you guys understand there
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: is more volatility than there is in the heart of
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: the season.
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: Not all teams are playing for stuff. Yada, yada, yada.
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: Weather's cooling down a little bit. Looking at Wrigley again.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: Winds are blowing in. Man, what a crazy game that was, though.
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: Under completely smashing until the 12th when the Marlins just
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: absolutely poured it on the Cubbies. So looking to rebound
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: from last night. Again, this is the last week for
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: MLB shows over here at Chippin' Nations. My last one
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: of the year. Not that I did too many this year.
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: We'll definitely be doing some more than I did next year. But, yeah,
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: MLB's been a lot of fun. We'll still have you
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: covered for the MLB playoffs. It'll all be written content, though,
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: so MLB, Slate Station, the Core Reports, the Stone, Stone 2.0, Projections, Ownership.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: Of course, playoff baseball is always a lot of fun,
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: but a lot of sports going on right now. Six
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: to be exact. NFL, college football, PGA, MLB, MMA, and NASCAR.
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: Soon NHL will be here. Soon NBA will be here. Again,
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: you can see the NFL-only deal, but you guys are
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: watching a baseball show, so I assume you want more
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: than just NFL content.
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: Bottom left. Join the nation. You can get in as
• 3:56
  Speaker 3: low as $ 19.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: That'll get you five days worth of content. Again, all
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: of the sports, Saber Sim and Discord. If you want
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: to be with us for a month or longer, that
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: is the best deal. Again, I think Starter is a
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: great way to get going because you get 400 more
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: lineups than Core 100. But the big thing is you
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: also get Saber Sim's projections and ownership and ability to
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: average it out and contest flashbacks to see what the
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: pros are doing. So I think that's probably the best
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: for you. Also, you can do get DFS Mastermind for free,
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: but We have content-only packages. We have single sport. Anything
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: you need, join the nation. Bottom left, you will be
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: able to see what we have to offer. You can
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: also always email info at chipanation.com if you have any
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: questions about upgrading or whatever. We always are looking at
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: the email and getting back to you pretty quickly.
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: What's up, Avery? What's up, Juice?
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: What's up, RJX? Had the white socks looking good with
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: Richie and then Gilbert. Oh, man, that's brutal. That's brutal.
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: Hey, is that you, Richie?
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: Is that you, RJX, or is that someone else playing
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: the guitar? Because that would be pretty sick if that
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: is you. But, yeah, White Sox absolutely did smash. What's up, NY?
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: Great to see you as well. I say we have
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: no time to waste. We have 10 games to talk
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: about on the slate. Going back over to our partner
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: optimizer over at Sabresim. Let me hit the refresh button
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: real quick.
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: Boom.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: So just sorting by ownership, the two highest owned on
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: the slate, Chris Sale, Kevin Gossman. I already talked about
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: Gossman with the wind blowing in. Cubs want to win.
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: Marlins aren't good. Implied for 3.3 runs. I think he's strong.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: And then, yeah, Chris Sale projection three above the next
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: highest in Yamamoto. Chris Sale is just the freaking man.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: You can play him every single time he takes the mound.
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: Pretty big favorites at home against a pretty bad Reds team.
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: We are going to sort. There are some other options, obviously,
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: 10 games. So there is a plethora of pitchers to
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: see if we can make any pivots. I'm going to
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: say Walbert, Urena, 8K, all the way up to Chris Sale, 11K,
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: big nays.
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: What are you looking at?
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'll start with Chris Sale. It is Chris
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Sale's SP1 for me. I do prefer him to Yamamoto
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: just because the Braves are in kind of a must-win
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: situation here. They obviously want to win Dodgers too as well. But,
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, their Dodgers are gunning for the other team,
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: kind of gunning for that second bye. or that second
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: first round by in the NL. Obviously, the Brewers got
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the job done yesterday with the loss there from the
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: Braves to the Reds there. So that secured one spot.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Dodgers are kind of the favorite, right, to get that
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: second one there. But they do want to win. But
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: I think they look at the postseason a lot more.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: And Yamamoto, especially with the injury concerns with Otani and
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: that rotation there and their other guys that I'm a
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: little bit more I'm concerned about Yamamoto's pitch count compared
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: to Chris Sale and the low strikeout matchup with the
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Padres compared to the Reds who just strike out against
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: anyone on the mound. So that's why I do edge
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: Chris Sale over Yamamoto. I think the ownership is going
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: to go that way as well, but I'm not really
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: too concerned. I think Yamamoto is still going to pull
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: enough because the Dodgers still are technically in kind of
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: a must win territory here coming out the stretch. How
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: much do they value that? We don't know, but that's
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: just what you can kind of play on. So I
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: do have Chris Sale number one. Kevin Gosman is number
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: two for me. Just wind at Wrigley, one of the
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: most wind dated stadiums in all of baseball. Marlins are
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: stone dead in the water. Obviously, they got some young
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: kids in there that are still obviously trying. And at
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: the end of the day, these guys are all trying.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: It's not like they're just mailing it in overall. But
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: there could be a little less motivation in general. And
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Gosman does struggle with some fly balls in that. But
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: with the wind blowing in, The stadium's going to play
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: very much so hitter-friendly. So I don't care that he's
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: going to be chalky there. I would rather play Gaussman
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: and Chris Sale into ownership than play the D-backs is
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: kind of how I'm seeing it there. So obviously the
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: D-backs are expensive. We're going to talk about hitting there.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: I am prioritizing the chalk pitchers over the chalk hitting
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: if I do have to sacrifice one or the other there.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: So those are my top two arms on the slate.
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: Garrett Cole I think is fine. I'm a little bit
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: worried there as the Yankees pretty much are kind of
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: locked into their position. They don't really have anywhere to
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: go there. So I don't love it at 9K with
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: the unknowns there. I'd rather just take a shot on
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: some of these other guys, I think. Yamamoto, I think,
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: is still playable. I'm just going to have him significantly
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: behind sale. And if I have to sacrifice sale exposure
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: to get some Yamamoto, I'm not sure that I'm going
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: to do that in this matchup. I'd rather just get
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: more Chris Sale and get more leverage on the field
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: that way. So it's kind of how I see it.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: Those two guys are my main guys up top. You
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: could play some of these other guys, but I'm going
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: to try and trim my pitching pool as much as
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: I can and spread more out on the bats in
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: some of these different spots. Obviously, we've got Coors Field,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: which is really where all the ownership is going to condense.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: So there is some other teams on this slate that
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: I think can match and can be in potential. So
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: I just want to filter those different stacks around kind
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: of the pitching pool. So those two guys are the
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: main guys I'm looking at up top. I think Walbert
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Urena is a little interesting at 8K. He's going to
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: be unowned. He's typically a ground ball guy. I know
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: he's pitching in Sutter Health there, but it is still
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: a good strikeout matchup. He does have upside. Nobody's going
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: to play him in his 8K on a slate where
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: there's a bunch of pitching unknowns all over the place. Even,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, Sale and Yamamoto aren't safe by any means.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: And they're the most expensive guys on the slate. So
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: I think Urena would be my third favorite guy up here,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: but ideally it's the two other guys so far ahead
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: of the rest. And if you wanted to play three,
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: it'd be Sale, Yamamoto, and Gosman. I wouldn't fault anyone
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: for playing those three, but Urena would be the fourth
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: guy that would slip in for me a little bit.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't have any hot takes. I'm pretty in
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: line with you. I think Chris Sale is very clear SP1,
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: hard to get away from. I agree with Gosman being SP2.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: Playing them both together, it is a 10-game slate. There's
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: enough Ways to get different when it comes to bats.
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: So like you just don't play the D-backs with it.
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: It's probably the only one that's getting just a ton,
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: a ton of ownership that you'd have to avoid. But
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: I do think there's some pivots. Yamamoto is a pivot
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: I am looking at. I mean, he's so good. His
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: game log has been phenomenal this year. I'm not worried
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: about the pitch count. A little discount from sale, you
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: get an ownership discount. And I wouldn't be surprised if
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: this 31% for sale was more like 37%. And Yamamoto
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: maybe 18%, 16%. So you could see a little steam
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: on sale, a little moonwalking back on Yamamoto. That's pretty
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: appealing there. Sonny Gray is tough for me today. So
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: he'd probably be an X. Nolan McClain, I am interested
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: in him a little bit. Pitch count's good. It's mainly
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: just looking at our pitcher rankings over here on the
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: slate station, though. He grades out really well in the
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: pitcher rankings. And I am seeing 10% right in between
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Gossman and Sale. And I also do think Yamamoto and
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: Cole are higher on like we're seeing right here. So
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: I think McLean is a very interesting pivot in chalky
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: teams right in the middle of a lot of chalk
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: around him. I already mentioned Cole. I'm good with Garrett
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Cole as well. I'm expecting another pitching duel like we
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: saw yesterday. I know Freed got hit up a little bit,
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: and I think it was like the fifth or the sixth. But, man,
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: it was 1-0 for a long time. I think we're
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: going to see another pitching duel there. 9K for Garrett
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: Cole at 14% is pretty appealing for me. When we're
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: going to get down to the cheapies, Like I have
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: a handful of guys that I'm fine with and that's
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: mainly when I want to play D backs or spend
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: up for stuff. But I do think spend up pitching
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: is probably the way to go today.
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: George Kirby. I don't know.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: I'm indifferent, especially after what the Astros just did to
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: Logan Gilbert yesterday. What did you say about Gilbert or
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: Foster Griffin?
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: Did I miss it?
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah. So I don't like Kirby. I think Gilbert's a
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: much better pitcher. I'm not using yesterday's results oriented, but
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: I'm just never been a Kirby guy. Yeah. So I
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: don't like him. I like Urena better than those guys
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: in that range. I'm super concerned about Foster Griffin's pitch
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: count concern. He hasn't gone more than four innings in
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: each of his last two starts there. So, I mean,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: there is really good pitching weather in Fenway today. So
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: you could play it. I mean, it's got the best,
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: the biggest suppression for runs from like ballpark pal and
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: some other weather spots across the, industry temperatures in the
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: mid fifties with double digit wind, the entire duration of
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: the game blowing in. I'm just concerned on how long
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: this guy goes. He is obviously super important to this,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: this team in the long run. I don't know. Obviously
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's still trying to fight in there. So maybe you
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: see him extended there, but I mean, he'd probably be,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: I prefer him to Kirby, but I like Urania better
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: than both of them. So I just rather play Urania
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: to be honest.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: All right. Yeah, I won't argue with that one bit.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: I'll tail you on that and go Urena. Not much
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: interest in Kirby or Foster Griffin for me. Going down
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: and looking at these cheapies, I know we can get to.
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, man, I'm not really sure why Seth Lugo
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: would be projected for 13. That's a little hot, in
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: my opinion. I think if I want to just go
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: and play any pitchers, that I'm just going to go
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: all the way to some of these stone punts down below.
• 13:06
  Speaker 3: Gusto.
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Against the Cubs with the wind blowing in, Jeffrey Springs
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: against the Angels, 5,500. I don't know, this Petko and
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: Mason Englert guy. I mean, these projections, I mean, that
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: seems pretty high. Obviously, it's going to be a start
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: or an opener, and then it's going to be Englert,
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: it looks like. I mean, yeah, if he's really projected
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: 15 points, I got him definitely a little less than that.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely not sure, or I don't believe his ownership's
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: really going to, be that high as well. Let me
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: just look real quick to make sure where.
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: I got him at. I got him at like 13
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: and a half, 13. Not terrible.
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: So I guess, yeah, I guess I'll include him. I'm
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: expecting a pitcher's duel. I mean, this offense for the
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: Yankees without judges is a mess. So I think if
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: I want to punt pitcher, just give me Ryan Gusto
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: and all the way down. I'll kind of just ignore
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: this 6K range and 7K range and just spend all
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: the way up or all the way down. And then
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: when you do go all the way down, That does
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: allow you to get D-backs and Dodgers if you wanted
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: some big bats that way. Any cheapies that you can
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: make a case for?
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so my two favorite would be Engler and Jeffrey Springs.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Ian Seymour, I believe, was supposed to go, but with
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: the Rays winning yesterday and kind of sealing that, I
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: believe that they kind of sat Seymour down here, right,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: which he always had a pitch count concern anyways typically.
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Rays are going to need him through the postseason run here.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: So Englert, he's got a four and a half K prop,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: juice the over. Jeffrey Springs, four and a half K prop,
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: juice the over. I mean, Jeffrey Springs, Englert, these are
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: both guys that you can play both sides, right? I
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: think the Yankees have some solid leverage against this guy
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: because I do expect him, I mean, at his projection
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: at 5,300, he's going to be projected anywhere between from
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: like 12 to 15, somewhere in that range, depending on
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: what industry site that you use. Obviously, projections are going
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: to change with the news and things like that leading
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: up to lock here. And props are heavily, a lot
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: of people look at props. He's four and a half
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: K prop 5,300 on a slate with the D backs
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: with over a six implied run total in Coors field.
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: So he's going to get pumped into the optimizer. When
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I ran dry run projections as it is now, obviously
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: with his average of like roughly a 15 projection, he
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: hits 60% of teams with 52% Chris sale. And then
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: Kevin Gossman is the third guy. So it's really those three.
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I kind of expect that leading up to lock. So
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: I do prefer Jeffrey Springs a little bit to him,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: but both of those guys, I mean, 5,500, 5,300, even
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: though they go out there and get you eight points,
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: that's probably enough on the slate. Cause pitching is just
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: not really solidified this late in the season with a
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: lot of unknowns across the board. So yeah, I do agree.
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: I'm skipping that entire kind of mid range, Ray, Fetty, Lugo, Kelly,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: all of those guys. And it's just Springs Engler, um,
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: for me and then maybe a little Pecco, but I
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: like the other two guys better. Um, But I will
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: say Pecco and Springs are going to be definitely lower
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: on that than what Mason Englert is going to be.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Everyone just saw what Rasmussen did to this team. Yankees
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: are kind of just chilling until the postseason. They can't
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: really improve or or or get worse in terms of
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: where they're locked in. So I do expect Englert to
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: kind of pick up a decent amount of steam leading
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: up to lock here when people want to play the D-back.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: So I probably prefer to play him. If I'm playing Englert,
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: I prefer not to play the Rockies and prefer to
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: spend up with a different stack, maybe the Dodgers or
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: something like that. Or if I'm playing the D-backs, I'd
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: rather prefer going like a Jeffrey Springs or a Pecco
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: and just mitigate some of that ownership a little bit
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: there just from a common roster construction because projections are
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: going to slam him in there with the D-backs.
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: Yep, that makes a lot of sense for sure.
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: You've got to be ownership-weary when it comes to all DFS,
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: especially MLB with so much volatility though. And it's going
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: to be another day where the D backs are very
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: chalky at bats. Avery said, yeah, he's also on the
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: same page, man. You got to change that picture though,
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: but also on the, on the same page with Petco bills,
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: mafia said he needs a, he needs help with first
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: base on fan. No.
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: So this is exactly what I would do. It's the
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: last week.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: So we're going to show off a little bit of
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: our premium product over here at Chippenation. So this is
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: the slate station. I'm all be slate station. Again, we
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: have it for all sports. You can see up above
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: DK early, main, FanDuel, all of that. Then you can
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: see the pitcher rankings, stack rankings, hitter rankings, value bats,
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: weather to watch, a slate breakdown. I mean, just all
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: the goodness. Yeah, bullpen. Look at that. Great stuff right there.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: You can see the bullpen and who to target. But
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: what I will go to is when we're talking first base,
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: you asked about first base. So what I would do
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: personally is, is go to FanDuel main above and then
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: go down to FanDuel hitter rankings and then go first base.
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: And now it's sorted top to bottom. You see Otani, Vargas, Freeman, Olsen.
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: So I would say right here, okay, if I need
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: a cheapie, Vinny P at 2.7. If salary doesn't matter,
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: Otani or Vargas. Or Freeman's pretty cheap as well. So
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: this is exactly what I would do when I'm looking
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: for an individual position on a certain site. And then
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: you can see the tags next to it, Hotbat, Home
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: Run Raider, Part of a stack. I mean, just awesome
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: stuff we got over here at the slate station. Oh, snap,
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: I've gone blind to it.
• 18:29
  Speaker 3: That's funny.
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: And then any favorite pitcher on the FanDuel slate? Well,
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: I'll just do the same thing quick, and then I'll
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: talk about my thoughts. But FanDuel pitcher rankings, going to
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: the starters, boom. Chris Sale, McLean, Yamamoto, and Gossman. What
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: I will say is, let me just, I'll just go
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: over here this quick. Uh, Gossman is a way like the,
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: the difference in price from sale to Gossman on the
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: one pitcher site and ability to spend up for D
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: backs and other bats. I think Gossman will be the
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: clear chalk on fan duel. Again, Chris sales, 11 K
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: Gossman's 8.3 K. So Gossman is going to be mega
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: chalk over there.
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: Some pivots.
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: I think you can make, I do think Yamamoto sale,
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: if you want to go all the way up. Um,
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: but I think Aaron Nola, like the, I didn't even
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: say Logan Henderson. He is pretty expensive at nine, eight
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: as well, but the Phillies brewers are, Nola Henderson, I
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: wouldn't mind going to either of them as a pivot.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: At pitcher, man, after that, it is pretty tough for me.
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: I do think eating chalk at Gossman is probably something
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: I would be looking to do in many of teams.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: He's just way, way too cheap. Going to be trying
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: to win, wind blowing in. So that's how I'm looking there.
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: Big Nate said sales, his FanDuel SP1, though. So he
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: likes finding the cheap bats around that.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: There's just so many underpriced hitters, I think, on FanDuel.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: in general just across the board I mean Vinny P
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: is red hot right now and he's $ 2, 700 on that
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: site where you can play two first basemen right so
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: um I just think I'd rather just give me the
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: upside with a Chris Sale who could go out there
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: and throw 12 strikeouts and seven innings right get that
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: quality start and have the sheer upside right Gosman um
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: In a vacuum, I don't think has the same upside
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: as what Chris Sale does. To be honest, I know
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: projections and things are going to disagree there, but especially
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: on that site where salary is much less restrictive, I'd
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: much rather just spend the money at Chris Sale, and
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: especially when you're getting an ownership discount. I mean, it's
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: flipped on DraftKings for a reason. Obviously, you've got to
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: play two pitchers, so that's part of it, but that's
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: kind of my reasoning there. I'd just rather get all
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: the way up to Chris Sale and just let other
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: people play the cheap Gossman because you know what those
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: teams are going to be. They're going to be all
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: the spend-up D-backs. So just play Chris Sale and play
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: the White Sox or something like that is kind of
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: how I'd approach it.
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 20:46
  Speaker 3: I like it.
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: Going to the first game of the night on DraftKings. Again,
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: there is the Brewers and the Phillies, the Cardinals and
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: the Pirates. But, yeah, run totals are very low or
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: pretty low, especially relative to the slate on both the games.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: Nola Henderson, really the only interest for me. Red Sox, Guardians,
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: Foster Griffin, and Sonny Gray on the mound. I mean, man,
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: talking about low run totals, that is the definition of
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: this game. Hitter rankings bad on both sides. I could
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: not imagine five-man stacking either side. So easy move on
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: for me. Do you see it any different?
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no bats for me. I'm not playing 50-degree temps
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: in Wrigley with 15-mile-an-hour winds blowing in.
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: Not Wrigley. Fenway.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Fenway, sorry. Yeah, yeah, Fenway. Still, same thing. Weather's terrible.
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: There's enough spots in the slate. I know you're going
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: to get both these teams unowned for a good reason,
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: in my opinion, sure. Could individual hitters here or there
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: get there in large field stuff if they filter in
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: there a little bit? I don't think it's the worst play.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: You want righties against Foster Griffin. If you're going there,
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: the issue is the best hitters from the Red Sox
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: are hit from the left side. And then Cleveland, I mean,
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: Sonny Gray's been good enough that, I mean, he just
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: doesn't really get beat up. So this is an easy
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: cross-off game for me from hitting.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: Okay, next game on the slate, the Rays and the Yankees.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: Mason Englert, Garrett Cole on the mound. I mean, copy
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: and paste. Look at that, 3-6 run total, 3-6, 3-1, 3-run.
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: Already thought it was a pitcher's duel. I do want
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: to go back on what I said, though. I thought
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: they were going to have an opener for Englert since
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: he usually is a multi-inning bulk reliever kind of guy,
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: but it does look like he is getting the start today.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: So they're not going to have an opener before him.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: Doesn't really change too much, but just wanted to correct myself. again,
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: I copy and paste what I said from the last game,
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: 10 games late, make it an eight games late when
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: we're talking bats is what I'm going to do.
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: What about you?
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I could, I mean, Lombard hitting second
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: at 2,900. I think he's interesting. Cause you're also, I mean,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: I do expect as we lead up to lock, I
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: don't expect Englert's projection to drop much below like 13 points.
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: So he's going to hit a shit ton of teams
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: at that price, especially when people have unknowns with the picture. So,
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: you're probably looking at the second or third highest known
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: pitcher on the slate behind Gaussman and sale. And it
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: might even be close between Gaussman and Englert on, on
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: draft Kings when people are wanting to spend up for
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: D backs. So I do think with the leverage you
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: built in with the Yankees, I just want to look
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: at this lineup. I mean, it is a shell of
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: their original lineup, so it's probably not a full five,
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: five man stack, but Ben Rice still in there. Garcia
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Lombard Spencer Jones jazz is in there too. So, I mean,
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: you still do have some of their studs in there.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: They're not going to pinch hit everyone. this whole game.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: I know the weather's not the best, but as some
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: leverage low on Yankees, I don't hate it. Not my
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: top plays on the border, but from a leverage perspective
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: and a leverage score with upside, Yankees still do have
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: guys that can pull it down the line in that
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: short porch and hit it out against anyone in any weather, really.
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: So that'd be my preferred option if going here and
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: not messing with any of the Rays. But yeah, not
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: a primary stack or anything. I will be over the
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: field on the Yankees, especially those stud bats from them
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: because nobody's going to play them. And it's not going
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: to take much, and they have a ton of upside.
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: Man, I think these Yankees are fully cooked when it
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: gets to the postseason, too. I am definitely against these guys.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: Probably will be betting against them when we get there.
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, that's definitely a shell of their lineup.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: If you're looking at their opening day lineup and look
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: at this one, you would think they're probably eliminated from
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: the playoffs.
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: So not a game I'm going to.
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: All right, let's finally get into a game that's going
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: to get a little ownership only on one side, and
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: that is the Atlanta Braves taking on the Cincinnati Reds.
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: Andrew Abbott, Chris Sale, pretty easy to cross off the
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: Reds in my opinion. I think just fading Sale is
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: a better idea than five-manning the Reds, hoping they just
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: make him work. Maybe he gets pulled a little early,
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: a couple walks, you get two runs or whatever, and
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: just not as many Ks.
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: I don't see the Reds just breaking the slate in
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: a vacuum.
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: Going to the The Braves, though, against Abbott. So Abbott's
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: a southpaw. You do prefer righties against him, two lefties. But,
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, he still allows fly balls, two lefties as well.
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: His K percentage is a good bit higher. Walks come
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: down a little bit. So you do prefer righties for sure,
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: but it's not like he's untouchable against lefties. If you
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: do want to include Drake Baldwin, Matt Olsen, Michael Harris,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: the only three lefties they have in this order, I
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: think that is something worth doing to get a little difference. But, yeah,
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, you want righties, six of the nine lefties
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: batters are from hitting from the right side of the
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: plate and then you have like a min price 2k
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: punt at shortstop use sean murphy at catcher if you
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: don't want to go baldwin for 2700 it's a pretty
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: easy team to stack up uh with uh with double
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: spend pitcher if that's something you want to do yamamota
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: chris sale five braves that is uh relatively contrarian again
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: the yamamota sale i'm not sure how much that pairing
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: will be because you're fading gossman and then if you
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: add in murphy or some of these cheap bats down
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: below it'll be lower on than i think uh than
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: people probably expected right away. So yeah, Braves have a
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: good run total. I think I can get different enough
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: playing them. And to be honest, when we go through
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: this stuff, like I already said no to these first couple,
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: like I like a couple spots, but I don't, nothing's
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: like screaming. Like I love this team. So I do
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: like the Braves quite a bit. And I think you
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: can pair some chalk around it. I would go to
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: the bottom of the order though, when playing the Braves though,
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: because it allows you to get out pretty cheap.
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: What do you think of, I know you're not playing
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: the Reds. So what do you think of the Braves?
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no reds for me. I mean, the Braves are fine.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're bottom five in OPS in baseball against
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: left-handed pitching over the last month, and that's a pretty
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: sizable sample. I mean, you're looking at 210 plate appearances
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: against left-handed pitching in the last 30 days. They have
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: a sub-100 ISO, K rate of 24%, and a WOBA
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: of like 230%. blood right across the board. I know
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Abbott's not good. I know the bullpen is terrible as well.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: But I am a little worried because I think if
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: people are fading the D-backs, the first spot they're going
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: is the Braves. We saw it last night. I think
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: it's a rinse and repeat, especially this late in the year, right?
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: There's a lot of people that get lazy and kind
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: of just rely on projections and stuff like that and
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: implied run totals. And they see the Braves second highest
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: or right up there next to Coors Field, right? So
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: I'm a little worried. I think they're playable for sure.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Sean Murphy would be my favorite bat. Just at a
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: onesie position, historically hits lefties pretty well. Both him and
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: Baldwin are starting. So I think he's pin chip concern
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: free there. I don't think you really have to worry
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: about it too much there. And then some of these
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: other cheap guys, I think if you need to fill
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: in the guys that aren't really going to get played,
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: the Hassan Kim's of the world, the Hicklins of the world,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: they're going to get played probably in brave stacks. But
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: as like outside of that, I don't know. So the
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: back half, like a seven, eight, nine little braves, mini stack,
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: something like that. You fill up a onesie shortstop, a
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: onesie catcher position, and then you got an outfield position
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: and it's 2K, 3K, 2700. I don't think that's the
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: craziest play in the world. Also, Riley's cheap too. So
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: I actually prefer like six through nine more than the top.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Dubon would be my favorite guy up top. But I'm
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: going to kind of be under the field on the
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: Braves from what projection ownership is and just take a
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: shot on some of these other teams like the White
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: Sox and some of these other even the Royals for
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: that matter, in the next game that we're going to
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: talk about. But Braves on paper do check out pretty solid.
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: All right, let's go on to the next game. Kansas
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: City Royals and the Chicago White Sox. Definitely the game
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: you wanted yesterday. I mean, Vinny Pease, grand slam in
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: the 9-2, got some of those Royals home. But White
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: Sox absolutely smashed. Solid run total again in this one.
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: We got Seth Lugo on the mound for the Royals.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: Eric Fetty as the long reliever. For the White Sox,
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, both these guys you can attack. Again, the
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: White Sox will be using an opener and Brian Hudson
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: a lefty, and then they're going to go Eric Fetty.
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, man, Eric Fetty is someone that we've attacked
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: for a long time. Just looking at his stuff, I
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: don't know what he does well. He walks guys. He
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: can't strike anyone out. Balls are always in play.
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: They're in the air.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: I think the Royals are very Good stack, especially when
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: I'm looking at this ownership. And, I mean, I'm fine
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: playing these guys one through nine. I think Fedde is
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: that bad, and the pitcher rankings do show that. And
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: then talking about the White Sox against Lugo, he's definitely
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: bad too. You prefer lefties against some two righties. But,
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: I mean, you can definitely still play righties against Seth Lugo.
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: But look at this.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: One, two, three, four, five, six, seven of their nine
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: hitters batting from the left side against Lugo.
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: Guaranteed ninth inning at-bats. Game just nuked yesterday. Only one guy.
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: Price above 5K in Vargas for the White Sox. I
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: think this is one of my favorite games on this team.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: slate when talking game stacking. A little ownership on the
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: White Sox. Not really showing any on the Royals, but
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: it's 10 games. We had multiple pitchers that we could
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: play to get difference. I'm going right back to this game.
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: Am I a fish or no?
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: No, this is my favorite game in the slate, even
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: amongst Coors Field. Sutter Health has some appeal too, but
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: I think both pitchers are in play there as well.
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: I think neither of these pitchers are good. Lugo's been
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: absolutely atrocious. He started out decent and okay in the
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: beginning part of the year, but typically what happens when
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: you see these older guys go through another whole season
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: on that arm, they start losing at the back half.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: Exactly what has started to happen to Seth Lugo here.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: Lefties have murdered this guy. White Sox have scored double-digit
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: runs in four of their last five or eight plus,
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: something like that. I mean, this team against right-handed pitching
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: has been a cheat code for me all year. They've
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: had a couple of duds in there, but I mean,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: ownership's not going there because we have Coors Field and
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: I'll take the chances there. Both these bullpens are terrible.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: The hitting weather here isn't the worst in Kansas City.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: The ballpark does play more hitter friendly this year than
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: years past. So I'm all full steam ahead. This is
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: my top game on the slate at ownership. I mean,
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: I love both sides of it. lefties on the white socks.
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, they have their best guys in there. And
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: then they're two, the two righties are me draw through
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: is red hot. I mean, this dude scored double digit
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: drafting points, like every, every single game it feels like
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: over the last week. And then Vargas is one of
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: the best hitters in baseball all season. So I absolutely
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: love the white socks. They're probably my top overall stack
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: at ownership on the slate. And then whites are Royals
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: are right there behind. Not, not much more to say.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: Vinny P looks great. Carter Jensen looks great. John Rave
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: even has a ton of power in low strikeouts. I
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: think he's a really interesting play. Michael Massey at second base.
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: I like him a lot. Cagliano. So I like the
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: wraparound here. The five through nine and then either Jensen
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: or Cagliano up top. Obviously, you can always play Bobby
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: Witt too, but I love this spot overall.
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: Man, White Sox one game back from the from the guardians,
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: I'm pulling for him. That'd be pretty cool to see
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: the white socks in the playoff. So yeah, I'm rooting
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: for him for sure. Definitely a big game for them today.
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: What did, uh, what did I kill William say? I
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: need to, uh, I need to see that Jake. Cause
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: the first thing I think of a kale Williams, like
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: everyone is what he just pulled with his hammy. And
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: then the first thing I think of Dave Portnoy is
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: him trying to run a 40 yard dash or something.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: So both those guys have some, have some comedy behind them. So,
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: I'm curious to hear what you got to say there.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: And man, the memes and stuff of Caleb Williams on Twitter.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: The x-ray, I about fucking spit my drink out when
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: I saw the x-ray on my four-hugue feed.
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: The x-ray was hilarious.
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: I saw one about like when your wife gives birth
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: and you slept on the hospital, on comfy hospital beds
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: and cheering and all that.
• 32:34
  Speaker 3: Like you were the hero. I mean, just crazy, crazy
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: stuff out there.
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that– X-Ray 1 is always so good, though.
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: All right.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: Again, appreciate everyone hanging out. Always ask, like button and
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. A lot of
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: people still playing MLB DFS. You love to see it. Yeah,
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: not really much going on today. But besides that, PGA
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: will be locking tomorrow. Of course, NFL tomorrow. Our Packers
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: taking on the Falcons. If you can't win that game,
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: it's going to be a long, long season for them.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: Of course, college football going on. NASCAR and MMA, we'd
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: love to have you at the Nation. Multiple different options
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: to get in. Five days for $ 19 is the cheapest,
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: and you do get access to all sports, Sabreson, and
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: the Discord. Next game on the slate, Wrigley Field. Again,
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: wind is blowing in. Kevin Gossman, Ryan Gusto on the mound.
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely not all in, but I think Gossman's a
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: phenomenal play. against these Marlins. I mean, last night, Imanaga
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: did great. You wouldn't know it by the final box score.
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: They just couldn't get anyone out in the 12th inning.
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: Don't see that happening again. And then as far as
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: the Cubs against Gusto, I mean, Gusto's not good. There's
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: no doubt about that. You definitely prefer lefties to righties
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: against Gusto, even though righties are fine. With that being said, though,
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: it's like, all right, PCA lefty. Dude's a million dollars.
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: Michael Bush, Conforto, Ian Happ. I think that's probably where
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: I'd want to focus. three, four or five. And I
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: think that it is fine as a mini stack. I
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: don't love how it takes up two catcher or two
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: outfield positions, but I do think it's fine right there.
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: So I don't love the Cubs as a five man stack,
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: but I think three, four or five is pretty interesting
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: to fill a onesie, like to fill out mini stacks
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: or fill out one off something like that.
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: Any interest for you in this game?
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think you can include the Cubs in
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: like 150. I think it's probably even a little thin
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: for me personally in like 20 max. I like to
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: condense a little bit more than that. And I like,
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: Other teams more love that last game we talked about.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: I think there's some other teams that we're going to
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: talk about as well that that I have some interest in.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: It's just I mean, this there's almost it's like seven
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: to 10 mile an hour winds blown in, plus whatever
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: the gust is and 60 degrees in Wrigley. So, I mean,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: we obviously seen the Cubs do it in 30 degrees
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: with the with snow falling in the beginning part of
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: the year. And they could obviously do it. But I mean,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: the guys you want to play are kind of expensive.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: So I agree with you. Conforto, I mean, 3,400 hitting
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: cleanup in this lineup. I think he's fine. He's going
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: to be unowned as well. So that guy's fine. Happ.
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: So I do agree. Pedro Ramirez, too, has been pretty
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: solid over the back half since he's come up. Second
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: base is a pretty weak position overall. So it would
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: just be like more position eligibility guys that make it
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: work or the cheap guys. So it'd be probably Conforto. Ramirez,
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: my two favorite. And then Happ would be third with
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: you there.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: All right, let's keep it rolling. Nice game on the slate.
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: New York Mets, Texas Rangers, Cody Bradford, Nolan McLean. On
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: the mound, I like Nolan a little bit in terms
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: of pitching as a way to get different, contrarian option
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: up top, and he's not getting the ownership where I
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: really want to stack the Rangers as leverage per se,
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: but the hitter rankings do like the top of the
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: order a bit. I will say anytime Corey Sears 3.6K,
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: you can play him any day of the week. Don't
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: love the Rangers as much as I did yesterday. As
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: far as the Mets, I do prefer Mets to the
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: Rangers of choosing the stack, the Southpaw and Bradford. You
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: do prefer righties against them, but, I mean, the splits
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: are relatively similar. Like, he's still not very good against
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: lefties either. Playing this Mets team is very hard for
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: me to do, but I do think one through, I
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: guess Alvarez is fine at catcher. I think one through
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: seven is fine. I mean, outside of Juan Soto, these
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: guys are basically free. Ownership, they're not showing any bit.
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: Guaranteed ninth inning at bats. Again, Bradford's not good. And
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: this is what I was talking about with McLean in
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: the pitcher rankings, number two right there. Bradford, one of
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: the lowest on the slate. Yeah, I guess compared to
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: the field and looking at ownership, I think the Mets
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: are a little bit appealing for me, which I hate
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: to say.
• 36:35
  Speaker 3: What about you?
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: Man, feels good to be lockstep with title. I do
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: like the Mets. They check out pretty good. They're unowned.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Cody Bradford's just been absolutely atrocious. I mean, 8% strikeout
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: rate over the last month, 12% on the season. 6%
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate against lefties, obviously lefty lefty there, but I mean,
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: it's at 15% to right side gets tons of fly balls,
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: tons of power given up, gets barreled up from both sides.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: I know there's ballpark sucks, but at least it's indoors.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: And this is actually one of the better hitting environments
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: on the slate, which is crazy to say globe life,
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: which you never would have thought. It's obviously one of
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: the best pitchers parks in baseball. But on this slate
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: with this kind of weather across the board, outside of
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: like one or two spots, I mean, the Mets make sense.
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: Alvarez has been really good lately. He's a catcher. Vientos,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: Pichetta are both super reasonable for their potential upside there
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: if they don't strike out. And then you got the
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: guys up at the top, the young kids in Soto.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: So we'll see what this lineup looks like and see
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: if the Mets roll out their guys.
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: We got it.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: Ready? Yeah, yeah, go ahead.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: Lindor, Soto, Pichetta, Vientos, and Benj. Carson Benj, Benji, whatever
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: it is, flop. So they're both in the lineup. Semyon, Alvarez, Ewing, Morabito.
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: Same lineup except switch cleanup and five hitter.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah. So, I mean, the Mets have their, at this
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: point of the season, their full strength lineup out there
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: against a guy who has been atrocious all year. I
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: think the Mets are super interesting here in tournaments. Locked
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: in for nine. Rangers bullpen is solid, but again, I
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: think this is a pretty interesting spot in tournament, especially
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: when you're going chalkier lineup builds because you got cheap
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: guys that can allow you to double spend up at pitcher,
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: which I like. I mean, even Lindor. Lindor, I needed
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: him last night to kind of get all the way home.
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: So naturally, he'll back it up with probably 17 DraftKings
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: points tonight instead of his five from yesterday. So I
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: think Lindor's super interesting. And then the back half is
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: all free. So I like what it allows you to
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: do with from the pitcher perspective. Instead of punting that
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: second pitcher spot like most people are going to do,
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: I think you can five-stack these mats, double-spend a pitcher,
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: and still get some of the D-backs if you wanted to.
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: I like it. I like it.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to look at my phone because three minutes
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: ago we did get this lineup for the D-backs in
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: the next game we're going to talk about.
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: Let me refresh. I doubt it's confirmed yet. That's pretty crazy.
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: The chalkiest game on the slate. It's not even close.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: Merrill Kelly on the mound for the D-backs. Mason Adams
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: on the mound for the Rockies.
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: Let me look at something real quick.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: All right.
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: So the lineup for the D backs is new bar,
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: Marte Moreno, Perdomo, Tavon Smith. So he had him projected
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: in the eight hole. He moves up to the five hole, uh, Arenado,
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: Corbin Carroll hitting seventh. Jesus Sanchez hitting eighth. Tim Tawa
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: hitting ninth. So no Lawler in this lineup. Pavin Smith
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: moved up.
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: No Arenado. Oh, yeah, Arenado's in this lineup. Who else? Moreno, Perdomo,
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: Pavin Smith, Arenado, Tawa. Who's Jesus?
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I guess it's just Jesus Sanchez in for Lawler,
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: but the order is mixed up a little bit. Again,
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: the main one, Pavan Smith projected to be in the
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: eight hole, in the five hole, and then Corbin Carroll
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: in the seventh spot.
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: Yeah, take it away.
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: Obviously the chalkiest game on the slate. Hitter rankings look great.
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely curious to hear your take on the Rockies.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: That ownership and that run total, they look pretty good
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: to me.
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: But yeah, what do you think?
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm going to the Rocky side of this game
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: over the D-backs. I mean, Lars Neupahr might be 50%
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: owned on a 10-game slate in baseball in September. I mean,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: I understand. I get it. I get the spot. I
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: get it. It's just, I mean, I don't know. I
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: just don't like playing this kind of chalk. I mean,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: this is like insane compared to the rest of the slate.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're talking the top of those lineups, Neupahr, Marte, Moreno, Perdomo.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: Those guys are all going to be between 30% and
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: probably 50% in GPPs, which is crazy to say. because
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: that's like cash game numbers that you see there. So
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: I get it. Highest likelihood to score the most amount
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: of runs, but that might not even be enough, right?
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Like obviously the White Sox five-man stack is what did
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: it yesterday. And you only needed a couple of pieces
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: here and there from the D-backs. I could see a
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: very similar case, not to say the White Sox are
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: going to be the team you need, but any of
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: these other 19 other teams on this main slate, that
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: could be enough separation. So I've actually kind of done
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: some lineup studies and things like that and some of
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: the best players in the world have played spots like
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: this more into like a mini stack than the full stack,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: just because it takes so much of your portfolio to
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: get overweight on a team like this, um, at this
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: kind of ownership that a lot of the sharpest players
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: have honed more in on two and three man stacks
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: and then differentiate with their five man. So I think
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: that's kind of how I'm going to continue to approach
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: it here. Obviously on paper, the D backs look amazing.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: I get it, but having Smith is getting pinch hit for,
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: and so is, um, So is Jesus Sanchez. I mean,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: those guys are both like near 50% pitch hit risk.
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, if this game's remotely close, those guys are
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: coming out as soon as Adams gets hit out of
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: this game and the Rockies bring in the lefty. So
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: there is that risk as well, baked in. Projections don't
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: account for that, obviously, because of the spot. Just know
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: Pavin Smith is going to be one of the more
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: popular bats on the slate at 3K, especially where he's
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: batting in the order. You're probably looking at max three
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: at bats, probably two at bats is the most likely
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: scenario there. Rocky side. I love, I mean, Merrill Kelly,
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: I've been targeting Merrill Kelly all season long. He's had
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: like one or two spike performances in terms of strikeouts
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: here and there. This Rocky's team against right-handed pitching is
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: actually pretty sneaky overall. I mean, I love the lefties here.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: They're people that look at these price points and think
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: they're expensive, but they're really not. I mean, there's cheap
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: guys in there. Zach Veen, um, Moniak, I like Rumfield, Kerrig, McCarthy.
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: I like all the lefties and then Hunter Goodman's really good. Um,
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, Merrill Kelly's been miserable all year against lefties.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: He's coming off a spike performance. I'm not a believer
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: in it. I think he falls back, and the D-backs
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: only have one lefty in that bullpen, too, which does
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: help it. And he pitched, I think, two or three
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: days over the weekend. I don't think he pitched yesterday,
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: so maybe he's available, but I doubt it. So give
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: me the Rockies over the D-backs here. I love the Rockies.
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: They're probably right up there next to the White Sox.
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: It's like my favorite overall stack at ownership on the slate.
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I pretty much agree with everything you said.
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: When you're playing the D-backs, I think Yamamoto, Garrett Cole,
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: Nolan McLean, some of those punts that we talked about
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: that wasn't the Tampa guy, or maybe just a pitcher
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: that none of us mentioned at all that's projected for
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: 4% that you liked a little bit.
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: And if you do that, then you.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: Can play him with Chris Sale or something. So just
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: focus on if you are a five-man in the D-backs.
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: It doesn't matter if it's even 6, 7, 8, 9,
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: 1 or whatever.
• 43:35
  Speaker 3: They're going to get ownership. So just look at how.
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: What's your mini stacks looking like?
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: What's your pitchers looking like? Just do not eat all
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: the chalk when it comes to that.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: And I definitely like the Rockies as, excuse me, as well.
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: Probably my favorite stack on the slate when it comes,
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: when we're looking at ownership. Flip flop in what's going on.
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: I know I'm late. Just want to say thanks.
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: I understand you guys have helped me have a really profitable,
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: enjoyable MLB season.
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: Great job. Thanks again.
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: Hey, thanks for the word flip. It's very nice of you.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: And always love to hear that profitable, Heck, break even,
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: that's phenomenal. Hey, heck, even losing 2%, 3% ROI all year,
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: I would take in tournaments in most sports for sure.
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: So many play for entertainment, fun. Obviously, everyone wants to
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: win too, though. So don't beat yourself up over some
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: tough stretches. Bankroll management is always very key, but you
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: love to see that. Flip and hope you have a
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: good end of the year and some postseason baseball as well.
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: All right, we got three games left. The Angels and
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: the A's, Walbert, Urania, and Jeffrey Springs on the mound.
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: Pretty good hitting weather in this one. It's going to
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: be over 80 degrees out there. And, yeah, we talked
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: about Urania. I mean, it's someone I just don't really
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: pick on much. He always keeps the ball on the ground. Very,
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: very heavy ground ball lean, which is pretty tough when
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: it comes to the A's. They did get the job done.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: The A's did, though, late in the game and some
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: solid hitter rankings. Shea Langeleers, Lawrence Butler, don't mind. either
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: of them, but I do prefer the Angels side for sure.
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: And I mean, I think the Angels are also, I
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: would say one of my favorite stacks, but man, just
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: looking at like Rockies versus Angels, if they're really, Rockies
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: is going to be a decent bit lower owned.
• 45:18
  Speaker 3: I do prefer Rockies, but Jeffrey Springs is not good.
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: And outside of Zach Netto and Mike Trout, this lineup
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: is completely free to double spend pitching if you want
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: to do so. Guarantee ninth inning at bats, good hitting weather.
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: I'm going right back to the Angels for sure.
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, the angels look really good here. I do
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: see the dry run to like just straight projections running
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: 150 teams, mid salary at like 49, four, you're getting
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: a hundred percent Arizona stacks, which makes sense, obviously. And
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: then the next team is, is the angel. So you're
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: going to see a lot of angels combined with the
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: D backs angels as the mini stack, because of the, the,
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Price points on these guys. I do like it, but
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: I prefer to play the Angels if I'm playing them
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: to just go into five stack it against the fly
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: ball guy, Jeffrey Springs. And then you get that terrible
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: bullpen behind him. Springs has been better against righties over
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: the last month. But if you look at the whole season,
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: the whole season stats, I mean, he's he's atrocious to
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: to righties in terms of power and lefties for that
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: gives up a ton of fly balls in this ballpark.
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: It's going to play well. So yeah, I have the
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: Angels high at my board. I do prefer the Angels
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: to the D-backs straight up at ownership, I think, in
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: this ballpark in a similar situation. So Netto looks great.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: Guzman was my guy, my hero last night. Right back
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: to him. Grissom looks great. Siri is a pretty big
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: pinch at risk, but good chance that he could definitely
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: hit a home run in his first two at-bats. And
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: then Trout obviously looks really good. Christian Moore. So you
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: do have a pretty solid lineup here. And then on
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: the A side, it would just be Butler and Walton,
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: two of those lefties there. Don't really want to pick
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: on Urania. I actually like him a decent amount as
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: a low-owned pitcher on this slate at 8K. I mean,
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: he's been really solid over the last month. Keeps the
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: ball on the ground, and you could see him go
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: out there and throw. Even if he gives up a
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: run or two or three, I mean, pick up six
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: strikeouts or five strikeouts and go six or seven innings.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: and get you enough just from a floor standpoint on
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: this type of pitcher slate. So no A's, full stacks,
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: or stacking interest for me. It's all angels in this game.
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: All right, we're lockstep. We seem pretty lockstep on this slate, Nades.
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: I'm excited for it. Two games left.
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: Mariners and the Astros. George Kirby, Ethan Petko on the mound.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: It's a small sample for Petko, but he definitely is
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: getting hit a lot harder against the left side of
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: the plate than the right side. And good thing is,
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: you look at this Seattle team, seven of the nine
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: projected batters are hitting from the left side of the plate.
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: If you want like a completely low-owned stack, I forget
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: who Nate's. Nate's had one above.
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: I have the Yankees. Yeah, yeah, the Yankees.
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: So your Yankees play is my Mariners play today. Mariners,
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: we're showing a couple percent higher. Regardless, though, they're absolutely unowned.
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: You can play chalk around it. Yeah, I mean, you
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: want lefties against Petco. The Mariners have a bunch of lefties.
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: And outside of two batters, they're completely free on the
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: slate where I want to spend up at pitching. Um,
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: so yeah, I like the Mariners as far as the
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: Astros against Kirby. I mean, Kirby's just a ground ball pitcher,
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: so I don't love attacking on a slate this big
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: guys that keep the ball on the ground.
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: He's serviceable. I definitely think Gilbert's better. Astros got to
• 48:35
  Speaker 3: Gilbert yesterday. They got some power. So do I think
• 48:38
  Speaker 3: the Astros are the worst play on the slate?
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, no, but I do think they're in the
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: bottom half, so I'm not going to make a case
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: for them, but yeah, a little interest in the Mariners. Uh,
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: hoping they roll out seven or like a lineup with seven.
• 48:50
  Speaker 3: Lefties, because that's what you want against Petco.
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, you want the lefties on both sides here.
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: Mariners look a lot better, but I hate this ballpark.
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: And that's kind of why I do give the slight
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: edge and the ownership going to the raised pitcher here.
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: It's a better ballpark. It's a lot more leverage on
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: the field against equally to probably pretty shitty plays in
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: general in retrospect to the slate. So that's kind of
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: how I did that tiebreaker there, but I definitely get it.
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, Raleigh looks good. Montez, their their new kid,
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: new kid that they called up. I mean, this dude
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: looks like a home run or bust type of bat,
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: but at his price point I mean, it makes a
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: lot of, a lot of work 3,400 with a ton
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: of power. That's, I mean, that's not a, that's not
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: a bad price for basically all or nothing kind of bat.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: And that's what you want in tournaments anyways.
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: So, I do think he's interesting. On the Astros side,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: it would just be the lefties, Trammell, Yordan, Varshal. If
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: those guys are in there, I think they're fine as one-offs.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: Varshal at 2,900, Trammell at 2,700. He'd probably be my favorite.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: There is some pinch hit risk there, but I don't
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: love either side of this game, really. Astros' bullpen is
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: the more attackable one. It's gotten better, and if you
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: get in the back half of that bullpen, it's really good, obviously,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: with the haters of the world, but um, yeah, I
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: get the reasoning. I just like a lot of other
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: spots more, more than this one, but wouldn't fault anyone
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: for going definitely on that, on the lefties, on the Mariners.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: And I think that's a, that's a good mini stack
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: over the angels. I think if you're playing the D
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: backs and going to some of these cheaper lefties that
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: are in the same kind of price range as these angels,
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, you look at Christian Moore, right? He's going
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: to be one of the more popular bats on the
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: slate at 3k at second base. Um, play a Brock
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: Roden or something like that, a switch hitter at 2,300
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: or play Cole Young at $ 3, 200, $ 200 more. Like little
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: things like that is sometimes all you need to do
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: in baseball to be different. And that's where I would
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: prefer to play the Mariners is in those kinds of stacks.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: Same thing. The Yankees kind of fit that build as well.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: If you're stacking the D backs, it's not just, Oh,
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: go to the back half of Arizona and they're going
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: to get lower own. It's not the case on this
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: slate because of the prices at the back and just
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: how much they project ahead of the field. overall this
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: late in the year. So that's where I would use
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: the Mariners the most, I think.
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: I also think if you're someone that dabbles in the
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: night slate, I mean, the Angels are going to be mega,
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: mega popular. And then the Dodgers, if you need to
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: pivot off of any of them, I think the Mariners
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: are a pretty smart way to go with only three.
• 51:19
  Speaker 3: Games in the night slate.
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: All right, last game of the night, the Dodgers and
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: the Padres, Robbie Ray and Yamamoto on the mound I
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: mean man if this was like five years ago Robbie
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: Ray we'd be in for a freaking pitchers duel but
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: not necessarily the case with that being said I mean
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: I still don't think he's garbage but it mainly comes
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: down to the Dodgers are just expensive like we're talking
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: we want to spend up at pitching or this and
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: that and you look at this team only one player
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: below 4k and that's Kiki do you love me shout
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: out to my man G Risen I love myself Kiki
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: always so Heck, he might be my favorite bet, even
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: though there is some pinch hit risk.
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: He always hits lefties well, though. He's cheap.
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: He's third base eligible. It mainly comes down to, though,
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: it's a pretty big price for these Dodgers. But, yeah,
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: it's the late-night hammer. Dodgers are going to get it
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: done today.
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the Dodgers look really good on paper,
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: which is crazy to say against San Diego. I mean,
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: San Diego wants to win these games just as much
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: as the Dodgers do. So, with having Mason Miller, Rodriguez, Morjan,
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: all these guys rested, I mean– there's less than a,
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's not much less than a hundred percent chance.
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: One of those absolute complete lockdown bullpen arms is coming in,
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: in this series. Um, they're not going to leave Robbie
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: Ray out there to dry when they're trying to win
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: these games. And, um, I mean, it's a really three
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: headed race in the wild card, especially in the NL
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: between the Padres, the Phillies and the Cubs. Right. And
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: then the Padres still have an outside chance to get
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: better than that too. So, um, I think the Dodgers
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: look solid on paper. I prefer the lower-owned guys and
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: the more affordable guys, like the Will Smiths of the world,
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: the T.O. Hernandez of the world, the Tommy Edmonds, Kiki Hernandez.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Those are the guys I prefer. I mean, even Pahez,
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: I think at $ 4, 500, he's reasonably priced, fairly low ownership
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: compared to Coors Field and the other guys in his
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: price point there. So you have to have interest in
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers. I'm just super worried. with that bullpen, with
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: all of those guys rested. I mean, the Padres punted yesterday,
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: throwing out Canning and Wandi Peralta, but Kyle Hart, a lefty,
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: Mason Miller, Rodriguez, Morjan, like I said, those guys are
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: all having pitched in two days. So there's probably a
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: hundred percent chance one of those guys comes in or multiple.
• 53:35
  Speaker 3: That's a great call there. And yeah, I already didn't
• 53:37
  Speaker 3: love them much. The pricing was up.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: There's a lot of games on this slate and that's a,
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: that's a great reason to push me even farther away
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: from them. So, I do think it's a pretty solid slate, though. Again,
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: my Mariners was your Yankees. That was completely no ownership.
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: We both like the Angels. Everyone knows what the D-backs is,
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: but we both like the Rockies. We thought Mets were
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: a little interesting. The White Sox-Royals game, we absolutely liked
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: a bunch. Braves, indifferent, too. I liked them a little
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: more than Nades. But, yeah, again, all of our content
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: over here at Chippination.com. Gave a little preview of the
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: MLB slate station. Again, can sort first base, second base.
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: Pitcher rankings are all on there. Core reports will go up,
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: and you will see the names of whoever does them
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: when they do go up. Again, just head on over
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: to shipanation.com if you do want to join. Over 45,000
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: were given away as well in NFL for cash and prizes.
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: If you're just an NFL-only member, you qualify. But again,
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: you're watching an MLB show. You probably want MLB as well.
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: Bottom left, join the nation. Any of these all-access memberships,
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: monthly or greater, gets you access to the Ship It
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: Games as well. And the link is always posted on
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: Tuesday in the NFL Discord. Tambo tags the chat, and
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: then we pin it so you can get in. Just
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: get in before it fills at 499 people. But it's
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: still not full yet, so you'll have time to get in.
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: Top three, do get a golden Ship It ticket to
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: compete later on in the season for the cash and prizes. Again,
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: five days for $ 19. If you want to give us
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  Speaker 2: a try, I think it's a great time to try
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: it because they'll take you through NFL Sunday, get showdown
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: content for NFL tomorrow, college football on Saturday, MMA Saturday,
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: NASCAR Sunday. It's the best time of the year, Nades.
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: It's our last show, my last show of the year
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: for MLB. You will be on Friday to close it
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: out with our man Bellman. But yeah, I'm excited for
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: MLB playoffs. Always a lot of fun. Every single pitch
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: you can feel the high intensity on. I'd be lying
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: if I said I watch much baseball in the regular season.
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: You only got so much time in the day. Postseason on, though,
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: I love the staggered start times in the first opening games,
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: the four of them. So I'm pumped for some playoff baseball. Again,
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: we'll have you covered with all the content there. Always
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: good talking ball with you. You've been hot. I think
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: you're going to get to the top pretty soon. So
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: any final thoughts before we get on audio?
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: No, I think we broke it down. Yeah, baseball is
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: always fun. It's always fun being back on with you.
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we can make this do a work next baseball
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: season for sure, which is crazy to say we're already
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: talking about that. But that's the that's the life of
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: DFS content provider in the industry. Right. So I do
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: like that. Projections have kind of updated a little bit.
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: I think it's a lot closer than people are giving
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: credit for between Gaussman and Engler in terms of projected ownership.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: If that's truly the case, which I do think is
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: going to be the case leading up to lock. I
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: think just getting more Gossman in tournaments, especially in the
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: larger field stuff, I think that's a pretty good buy
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: opportunity there. And then Uranus still unowned. So I actually
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: prefer probably the Pecos and the Jeffrey Springs of the
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: world down in that lower value tier more than the
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay guy, just because I think so many rosters.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'd not be shocked to see cash games
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: anchored with Chris Sale and Englert or Gossman and Englert,
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: to be honest, as we lead up. because I'm getting
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: him as my highest on projected or highest on pitcher
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: when I run projections. So I did want to just
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: make that final final note for people out there. So
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: don't just go think, oh, this guy unlocks the D-backs
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: because everyone's already on that. And that's why the D-backs
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: ownership is going higher and higher as we lead to lock,
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: because now you've got a guy projected for 13 to
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: 15 points at 5300.
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: That's a great call to finish it off. That's going
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: to do it for us. Shout out to everyone watching.
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: Hit that like, hit that subscribe on the way out.
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: We will see you in the Shippenation Discord for big
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: nades on Tidal.
• 57:27
  Speaker 3: Be safe. Good luck.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Peace.