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How the VIX at 16.87 Signals Investor Complacency

In this episode of The Bear Market Podcast, Lucas and Luna examine the recent VIX drop to 16.87 and what it tells us about market sentiment. With the VIX down over 13% in five days while the S&P 500 sits near 7,511, they debate whether this signals genuine calm or dangerous complacency. They dive into the VVIX at 91, the relationship between realized and implied volatility, and what the VIX term structure suggests for the next few months. Lucas cites historical examples like the 2017 low-volatility regime and the 2018 Volmageddon, and Luna pushes back with today's unique macro…

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