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خلاصه کتاب و رساله دکتری اسفندیار خدایی، ایران در روابط چین و آمریکا · دانشگاه صوتی چکیده ماندگار | کتاب تاریخی سیاسی

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Iran in relation to America and China. In recent years,
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: about 90% of Iranian oil has been exported to China.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: But before the emergence of Iran's nuclear program, i.e.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: In 2002-2004, our oil exports to China were less than 6%.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: That period, Europe was our first trading partner and countries
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: such as Japan, Italy and Germany traded with us much
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: more than China.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Over the years, the U.S.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: Has been able to reduce trade with Iran to various countries.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: But exactly during this period of sanctions, China not only
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: reduced trade with Iran, but the trade exchanges of this
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: country in various countries with Iran have also increased by
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: more than 10%.
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: And for example, in the oil.
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Field, our exports to China have reached more than 1.5
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: million barrels a day. and to a certain extent, forced
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: the US sanctions against Iran from.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: The European and Asian companies. The question of.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: My PhD thesis in Tehran University and the book I
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: published in the German newspaper Lambert titled Iran Sanctions in
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: US-China Relations is why the US could not accompany China
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: with sanctions against all of Iran's commercial partners. What limitations
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: did America face in this field? Hello, I am Esfandiar Khudai.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: In Chekideh Mandegar, historical and political books, which are especially
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: important to us, and you may never have the opportunity
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: to read them, we will summarize them in the shortest
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: possible time. In these days of war in the spring
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: of 1405, when the international internet is dead and even
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: a simple search for Google to reach the intelligent mind
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: and also to reach 10,000 members of the Chekideh Mandegar
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: channel on Telegram, WhatsApp and YouTube is not possible, we
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: did not cancel the work because our Iran needs more
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: than ever to study, analyze, think and write. In this situation,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: I went to the doctor's letter and my own book,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: which I wrote about 10 years ago and defended in
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: the University of Tehran in 1396. But in fact, it
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: can be very useful to analyze the political, economic and
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: war situation today. According to the days of 1405 in
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: this podcast, I send some articles and figures to make
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: the work easier. While I am preparing this recording, I
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: hear the voices of Israeli and American refugees who are
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the.
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: Operation.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: This recording is presented to my dear son Nasir Khodai
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: and his wife and children Farid and Amir Hossein and
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: also Dr. Reza Jamshidi and his wife Dr. Bakhshi and
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Bahman Mirzaei and his wife who were martyred in the
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: operation of the US-Israeli missile attack on the city of Dorud.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: In an attack on a deprived area of Dorud, about
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: 100 people were killed and injured without knowing what the
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: target of the bombings was. Because there was no special
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: target or political or military personality among these defenseless citizens
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: and no one was responsible and even in the media
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: it was not reflected. We remember all these dear ones
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: with gratitude. The first phase of the generalization. In the
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: first phase of the message, I started to talk about
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: the issue of promotion. I showed with numbers and figures
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: and examples that after the appearance of the Iranian nuclear program,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: all the commercial partners of Iran such as Japan, India,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: South Korea, Italy, Germany and in general Europe and Iran's
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: neighbors under the pressure of the US or the Taliban,
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: have reduced trade with our country. Some of them have
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: in general made a bad relationship. But as I said,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: China has taken a different path. It is true that
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: China did not stand up to the U.S. as a
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: veto holder and after negotiations and negotiations finally voted against
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: Iran by all the international organizations. But in fact, Chinese
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: companies not only did not cooperate with the U.S. sanctions
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: but also filled the empty space of European and Asian
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: companies in Iran. As China's trade with Iran has been
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: more than 10 times and today Iran is also under sanctions,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: China is the most important partner of our country's trade.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: Why didn't the United States separate China from Iran? And
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: what path did China take in the land of Iran's sanctions?
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: In response to the main question of the message, this
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: hypothesis is mentioned. For decades, the economic growth of China
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: has led to an increase in China's relative power and
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: has placed this country in a position that is more
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: brave than other countries. And with the attention of the
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: cards in place, the tools of the United States under pressure,
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: threat and sanctions for Washington are more difficult and stronger
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: than other countries. Now, in the second part of the message,
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: I will address the relations between the United States and
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: China in general and in the following parts, I will enter.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: The Iran factor. Where are the.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: Relations between the United States and China going? This question
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: is one of the biggest questions of the world today.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: Why is it not only related to the fate of
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: these two great countries, Rather, the relationship between these two
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: powers actually determines the rule of law in the international
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: community and also includes the situation of life and life
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: of all nations of the world, including our Iran.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: Now, I would like to say this point in parentheses.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: If we look at this American attack on Iran from
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: the point of view of the international community, we see
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: that one of the motivations of Trump's government Separating our
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: country from the eastern bloc to China's leadership and supplying
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: the energy resources of.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: The Middle East is China's goal.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Now, the other factor of this war is Israel's role
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: and lobby, which we will not discuss in this message.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: China is a small issue in.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: The foreign policy of the United States. Why is this
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: new power neither considered a friend or ally of the
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: United States nor an enemy of the US ideology? China
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: is not like Japan, Europe and South Korea, staying with
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: the United States in international tensions and is not like
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: the communist republics, Iran, Islam and North Korea, an eternal
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: and ideological enemy of the United States. Pekin does not
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: necessarily see himself united with the United States, but he
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: does not follow the United States either, and he has
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: not declared hostility to the West as his foreign policy. Rather,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: the great Chinese leader in the United States has a
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: story of the third way, which has no comparison with
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: it for the United States. On the one hand, China
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: is one of the most important commercial partners of the
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: United States and is also a partner of the entire
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: United States and on the other hand, it has good
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: relations with Russia and its enemies such as Iran, North
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Korea and others. So the United States must create a
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: different version for China, different from the cold war of
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: the Soviet Union and the direct confrontation with the Islamic
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: Iran that we witness these days. In general, the theories
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: about China and the United States are divided into two parts,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: liberal and realist theories. Liberal theories see half of the
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: whole of the world, i.e. they take advantage of the
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: possibility of cooperation between these two powers. From the point
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: of view of liberals, The economic benefits of the United
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: States and China in the four intergovernmental institutions, the multiple
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: channels of connection between Beijing and Washington, and the economic
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: relationship between these two powers, they both support each other. Therefore,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: the China-Ukraine conflict can be peaceful. But from a practical
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: point of view, the China-Ukraine conflict is a definite threat
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: to the United States, and the confrontation between these two
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: powers is also definite. Fasl-e-sevvom Iran's nuclear program in relation
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: to the United States and China The United States and
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: China have different perspectives on the Islamic Republic and Iran's
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: nuclear program. While the United States sees the Islamic Republic
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: and its nuclear program as a threat, China is actually
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: taking advantage of Iran's opinion and courage to confront the
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: United States in the region of the Middle East. as
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: an opportunity for its own benefit. China does not know
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: the Iranian nuclear program as a threat to itself, but
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: rather adopts it as a problem for the United States
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: and the United States. So there is no reason for
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: China to demand and advocate to cooperate with the United
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: States and complete the United States' power over the world's
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: energy resources and make China more dependent on the United States.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: If China is going to consider the United States and
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: cooperate with it, at least China's interests.
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: Should be ensured.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: This is the United States that needs to cooperate with
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: China as the first partner of Iran's trade and the
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: owner of veto rights in the international organization. This is
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: a message with a process tracing method to find answers
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: to questions of persecution in terms of the reality of
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: the behavior of China and the United States in the
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: case of Iran's sanctions and testing of persecution. The process
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: of process tracing is focused on the mechanism of crime
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: and persecution and on the behavior of governments or individuals
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: to discover and realize their motives.
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: The goal of this method is.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: The opening of the black pocket of the illiterate mechanism
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: in the locked chain of illiteracy and delusion between independent
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: change and relative change.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: From the way of the quality of the data.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: In simpler terms, the way of the Faryan radio is
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: similar to the work of a criminal office that is
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: looking for the symbol of the behavior of the players
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: and starts its work with assumptions that, for example, What
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: was the motive for the murder.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: Of Mary?
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Well, now it's much simpler in the language of Shirfarhad Bararei,
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: what I said means what. In this message, we investigate
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: the chain of the behavior of the US government and
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: the Chinese administration in the.
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: Era of the Iranian.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: Revolution from the beginning of Obama's term to the exit
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: of Trump from the presidency. Here, to make it easier,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: we study the tools of the United States to create
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: a China with the sanctions of Iran. 1. Diplomacy President
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Obama in his election campaign stopped the Iranian nuclear program
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: for the United States. After the victory, he took a
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: different language from the previous president, George Bush, and in
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: November 1988, He congratulated the leaders of Iran and announced
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: a new start in the relationship between the United.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: States and Iran.
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: But less than three months later, after the elections in
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: June 1988, Obama returned to the workplaces and threatened the
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: group of eight in Italy that if Iran Less than
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: two months later, Obama traveled to China and there he
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: threatened Iran in front of reporters that if he does
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: not prove that his nuclear program is a lie, he
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: must be waiting for a terrible consequence. At the same time,
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: Chinese President said with bloodshed that our differences with Iran
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: must be resolved through dialogue and diplomacy. In those days,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Iran was a major exporter of oil and produced about
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: 4 million barrels of oil a day, which produced at
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: least 2.5 million barrels of oil a day. The problem
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: is that if Iran's oil is removed from the energy market,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: the price of oil will go up.
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: Obama's government, with the.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: Help of oil diplomacy, has carried out the policy of
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: Chumak and Havij for the construction of China in this way.
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: America first went to its own oil union, i.e.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: The middle-class oil countries, and with the help of the
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: Arab-Iranian long-term competition with Iran, they targeted these countries to
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: produce more oil to build land instead of removing Iran's
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: oil from the market, so that China and other Iranian
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: oil customers may show less resistance to the sanctions policy.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: The transition to the foreign policy shows that Dennis Ross,
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: the National Security Advisor of Obama, in this regard, concluded
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: the first negotiations with the Arabs and the overall agreement.
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: Then Obama and Hillary Clinton, Foreign Minister and other senior
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: US officials, in various trips to the Arab countries of
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: the Persian Gulf, brought together these countries' cooperation. It is
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: not a coincidence that in those days Obama's government allegedly
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: claimed that the Islamic Republic of Iran was chasing the
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: terror of the Arab leader in the international organization in
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: New York. And Obama and Hillary Clinton, the foreign minister,
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: have repeatedly claimed this and the story of this terror
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: has spread in the media. Although this incident has never
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: been proven, it has a good impact on the secret
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: relationship between Riyadh and Tehran and the construction of Arabistan
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: with sanctions and Iran's withdrawal program from the market. In
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: January 2012, Ali al-Naimi, the Minister of Oil of Arabistan,
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: announced that Arabistan, as the world's largest producer of oil,
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: is ready to increase its oil production by 10 million
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: barrels a day to 12.5 million barrels. Please note that, exactly,
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: Two and a half million boshke means the equivalent of
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: all Iranian oil exports. On the same day, the Emirate's
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: oil minister also claimed that he could increase his own
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: oil exports. In response, Ali Khatibi announced from the side
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: of the Iranian government that any move of the oil
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: exporters in the direction of the Iranian oil extraction force
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: from the world market is a decisive move by Iran.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: In fact, Ali al-Naimi, the Arabian oil minister, said, We
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: never said that we are following the force of Iran's
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: oil extraction. We just said that we are ready to
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: ensure the global need for oil production under any circumstances.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: In fact, the Arabian oil minister repeated his own words.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Obama's positions after joining the Arab countries in numerous meetings
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: with Chinese officials in search of a strong cooperation in
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: reducing oil imports from Iran and the replacement of Arabistan,
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Emirates and other countries.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: But China did not go under. Why? For three reasons.
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: First, due to technical reasons, the possibility of producing and
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: replacing 2.5 million pounds of Iranian oil did not exist
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: for a short time. And secondly, due to strategic considerations,
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: What does this mean? Arabistan and other oil producers of
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: the Persian Gulf were occupied by the United States and
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: China also provided more of its oil than them. But
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: it was natural that it did not want to be
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: more attached to the United States and the United States
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: in order to provide its own energy. In general, China
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: is a policy of diversification. And today we saw that
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: in the last war and the events of the closure
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: of the Hormuz border between Iran and China, China's economy
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: has seen less damage than South Korea, Japan, India and
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: other Asian countries. And this shows the distance between China
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: and Iran. which is the largest importer of oil in
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: the world, but with the closure of the Hormuz border, it.
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: Does not see any damage.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Now, in parentheses, I would like to ask this question,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: what would happen if Iran did not close the Hormuz
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: border on those days of Obama's reign, and closed it
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: on those days of sanctions? With this expectation that if
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: our oil does not pass through the strait, we will
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: not allow this to happen to other countries. Or we
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: will not allow countries to deprive us of oil and
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: we will not let their oil pass.
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: Now let's get out of this point.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: The third reason for China's opposition to replace Iran's oil
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: with Arab oil was that China did not want to
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: use the fall of Iran and the weakening of Iran
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: and the fall of Iran and the invasion of the
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: United States on the Middle East, in fact, Obama is
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: looking for a policy of turning to Asia, pivot to Asia,
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: that is, looking for a focus on Asia and China's policy.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: war and the Iranian nuclear program are actually a good
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: opportunity for China because they are busy in the middle
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: of the war with the U.S. so that China can
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: continue its economic growth and the U.S.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: Cannot go to China. Threatening and pressure.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: Second, US tools to create a path for China with sanctions.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: As we have seen, negotiations and diplomacy to create a
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: path for China with sanctions were not enough and this
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: country did not come up with strategic reasons to replace Arabistan,
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Emirates and other places with Iran's oil.
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: Therefore, the threat.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: And pressure on Chinese companies was imposed on the Obama administration.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton, the US Secretary of State, threatened that if
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: China does not cooperate with the US sanctions against Iran,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: there will be economic and international uncertainty. Exactly one day
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: after Clinton's threat, the Obama administration announced its decision to
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: sell 6.4 billion US dollars in war weapons, including F-16s,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: to Taiwan and used the Taiwan card to pressure China.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: In response, China officially objected and announced that the companies
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: that are involved in this deal will be sanctioned. The
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: issue of Taiwan becomes the most important and sensitive issue
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: in the relationship between the United States and China, and
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: all the dimensions of the.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: Relationship between these two powers are affected.
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: Obama also used the human rights card to prevent China
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: from sanctions. For example, while before Obama's trip to Beijing,
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: he had met with Dalai Lama, the leader of Tabat,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: now two weeks after the threat of Hillary Clinton, Obama
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: met with Dalai Lama. and the United States supported the
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: people of Tibet in preserving their religious, cultural, and language
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: rights and asked the Chinese government to respect the rights
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: of national and religious minorities. The threats and unprecedented pressures
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: of the United States alongside Russia's green light, which was
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: finally accepted by the 1921 resolution that does not veto
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: the international organization against Iran, caused China to change its
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: position and be ready to enter into a negotiation to
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: enter this resolution.
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: On the other hand, the U.S.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: Has also resumed its decision to sell warplanes to Taiwan.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: And announced that the U.S.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: Will not sell new planes to Taiwan and will only
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: sell old planes that were sold to Taiwan in 1990. 3.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: The third tool of the U.S. is the ban on
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: Chinese companies and banks. China, as the first partner of Iran,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: has made more than any other country in the United States.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: The Obama administration, in order to improve the progress of
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: Iran's trade partners with sanctions, has introduced low-level measures. For example,
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: countries that traded with Iran could be exempted from sanctions
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: under certain conditions. It is recommended that at least 20%
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: of trade with Iran be reduced every six months and
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: the same with the United States. With this pelican road,
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: Iranian commercial partners had enough opportunity to exit Iran and
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: did less damage. With all these characteristics, Chinese oil companies
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: such as CNPC, PetroChina and Sinopec did not withdraw from
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: the Iranian market and were not sanctioned. Why these companies
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: were not sanctioned? Because these companies had invested in different
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: areas in the American energy market. In general, the United
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: States was in the Obama administration, which was self-sufficient in energy.
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: And the production of oil in the United States was
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: also advanced from Arabia and Russia. The United States can
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: sanction countries and companies that have less trade with this
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: country easily. But sanctioning the worst commercial companies, the worst
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: commercial companies in the United States, That is, China and
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: its major Chinese companies were a treasure for the United
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: States and endangered the self-sufficient energy of the United States. Therefore,
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: Obama's government has another solution, which I will mention now,
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: and that is the ban on banking. This path taken
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: by the Obama administration, especially after the ban on banking
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: in 2012, was that the companies that traded with Iran
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: did not have to pay money to Iran for the
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: ban on banking. And this was the most questionable deal,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: because in this situation they could buy Iran's oil and
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: gas in a bid. For example, Indian companies from 2012
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: to 2015, which were signed by Jom, blocked at least
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: 8 billion dollars of Iran's money. This amount reached more
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: than 22 billion dollars for Chinese companies. In this situation,
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: both Iran and Chinese companies And the US was also
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: grateful to China and of course Chinese companies were also
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: grateful to both sides of this dispute. And thus, in fact,
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: Iran faced its own commercial partners with these bank sanctions.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: But what was China's response? The way of China's soft balance.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: We cannot simply accept the policy of China in the
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: face of Iran's sanctions in the form of cooperation or
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: cooperation with the United States or black and white. Rather,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: it has a third way that requires more attention. It
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: is true that China gave a vote to all the
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: international organizations against Iran and did not vote for any
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: of them. But first, this policy was in tune with
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: Russia because Russia's interests, like China's, were in the forefront
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: of America's occupation of the Middle East. And secondly, China,
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: after negotiations and attempts to impose sanctions and ensure the
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: safety of Pekin, voted for these resolutions. China did not
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: stand directly against the United States.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: Why?
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: Because the confrontation with the United States and the West
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: is threatening the great interests of this country. Of course,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: China does not threaten the United States, the United States, Europe, Japan,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: South Korea, India, Canada, Australia, Arabs and others for a
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: few billion dollars of unparalleled and limited trade with Iran.
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: But on the other hand, It also endangered China's high-value
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: interests with the United States Because in the event of
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: the fall of Iran and the complete collapse of the
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: United States On the energy resources of the Middle East
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: and then the center of Washington on Asia And the
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: implementation of China's high-value strategy was also to the detriment
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: of the high-value Pekan Since an independent Iran is fighting
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: the US in the Middle East The United States accepts
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: that China, instead of Iran, has access to Arab oil
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: and is confident that Arab countries and other Arab countries
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: have access to it. However, in the event of Iran's fall,
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: it is not known that the Arab oil market will
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: also be open on China. Because the United States can
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: use the Chinese energy card to force the United States
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: to cooperate with its policies in various issues and crises
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: and follow the policy of China in Asia.
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: So the fall of Iran.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: Threatens the security of energy and security of China. The
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: soft balance approach gives this opportunity to China without stopping
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: the confrontation of the United States and putting its great
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: advantage at risk by giving a vote to the international
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: organization's resolutions to provide a relative benefit to the United
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: States and the West. and show itself as a responsible partner,
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: and on the other hand, with the reduction of the
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: budget and the determination to continue the activities of Chinese companies,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: to pursue its strategic interests, and not only continue trade
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: with Iran, but to fill the empty space of European
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: and Asian companies, and in the end, to provide the
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: land of American sovereignty for the region of Khabar-e-Mianeh. In
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: the midst of pressures, U.S. sanctions pressure, i.e. from 2009
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: to 2015 when it was signed, China would at least
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: daily import 400,000 pounds of oil from Iran.
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: However, the limitations of the U.S.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: In coordinating China with sanctions are the main question of
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: the message. Why couldn't the U.S. take China with the
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: help of South Korea, Japan, India, Germany, and other commercial
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: partners of Iran with sanctions. What are the limitations of
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: the United States in this regard? The limitations of the
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: United States can be divided into two political and economic branches.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: The economic limitation of the United States and the political
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: limitation of the United States in total are six.
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: Let's start with economic limitations. 1.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: The relationship between economic and China has caused both sides
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: to take radical steps that endanger these relations. For example,
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: if Chinese valuable goods are removed from the American market,
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: the people of the middle class of the United States
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: will turn against the ruling party and with the attention
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: of the democratic political structure of the United States, the
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: enemy will reach power.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: In the past 40 years, all the.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: Names of the United States of America had offensive literature
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: against China during the election and accused the previous government
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: of treason.
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: But in all cases.
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: The winners, George Bush's father and son, Bill Clinton, Obama,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: Biden and Trump, after settling in the White House, take
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: China out of their sovereignty and face a balance in
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: the face of the pandemic. China is also facing a balance,
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: and the relationship between the economy has an important role
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: in these discussions. The second is the economic limitation. The
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: relationship between the United States and the United States. All
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: the United States in Asia, Europe and the United States
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: are the first or second commercial partners of China. None
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: of the United States sees China as a communist republic.
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: In any way.
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: Rather, they consider their interests in maintaining and maintaining economic
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: relations with China.
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: Especially when....
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: How can the United States, the main trading partner of China,
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: wait for the United States to ban China or endanger
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: its economic relations with China? The third economic limitation is
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: the danger of the fall of the dollar as the
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: main currency of the world. For two reasons, banning and
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: dealing with China endangers the dollar in the global economy.
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: First of all, China itself is one of the largest
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: holders of US dollar stocks and second of all, in
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: the face of the sanctions of Chinese large companies, there
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: was a possibility that oil transactions would endanger the US
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: value of the dollar. Obama, after agreeing to withdraw, in
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: the fight against the opponents of this agreement, that is,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: the Republicans in the Congress, confessed to this issue of
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: jeopardizing the dollar exchange in the form of use of
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: illegal means of sanctions.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: But there are three political.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Limitations of the United States to compare China with sanctions. 1.
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: No consensus on China.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: China is neither an ally nor a strategic enemy of
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: the United States China, unlike Germany, Japan, England, today and
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: the former Soviet Union and the Islamic Republic of Iran,
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: is a problem of distortion in the foreign policy of
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: the United States and this distortion has led to the
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: fact that the American politicians have not yet been able
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: to reach a clear consensus or direction in favor of
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: this special power and the foreign policy of the United
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: States in favor of China is a paradox That is,
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: on the one hand, with the protection of close economic
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: relations with China and the United States, with the protection
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: of close economic relations with China, the rise and influence
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: of the day-to-day situation is intensified. And on the other hand,
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: the US public policies.
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: Are threatening China seriously.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: And this is the paradox of the US foreign policy
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: towards China. 2nd America needs the cooperation of China in
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: various fields China has the right to defend itself and
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: does not make this decision in the United States America
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: in various cases needs this decision of China in the
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: United Nations Security Council In addition, China has a nuclear
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: power In the eyes of the military, it is also
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: a great power that concerns the United States that it
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: will use military and even nuclear advancements in the interests
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: of the enemy of the United States.
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: China is an.
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Economic partner of the United States and friends of the
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: United States and an economic partner of all the enemies
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: of the United States such as Iran, North Korea and others.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: And it has influence on these countries, that is.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: On the enemies of the United States.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: Therefore, the United States in all the global crises such
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: as the North Korean crisis, the nuclear issue of Iran,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: the war with terrorism after September 11 and the war
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: of Ukraine and other incidents is a necessary partner of China.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: It is natural that the U.S. should consider the benefits
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: of this Asian power in terms.
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: Of cooperation with China.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: And the third, the third political limitation.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: Of the U.S.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: In order to create China, is the risks of China moving.
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: Towards anti-American conflicts.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: From Nixon's era until now, the US governments have been
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: trying to prevent China's relations with the US and prevent
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: China from becoming radical and prevent organizations like Shanghai and BRICS.
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: And the result?
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: In this book and doctor's letter, I was looking for an.
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: Answer to this.
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: Question with the help of the radio program Farayan, that
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: why the US could not defeat China and all other
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: trade partners in Iran, promises to cooperate with sanctions and
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: reduce trade negotiations with Iran. In the end, we have
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: come to the conclusion with the assumption that a few
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: decades of rapid economic growth has led to an increase
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: in China's relative power and has placed this country in
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: a position that is more bravely pursuing its own interests.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: And with the attention of the cards in use, US
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: power tools such as pressure, threats and sanctions For Washington,
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: it will be more difficult and more difficult than other
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: countries And in response to this question, what path did
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: China take in front of Iran? China took the path
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: of soft balance, that is, it self-proclaimed the direct exchange
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: with the United States And did not put great benefits
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: in relation to the United States and the West in
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: danger Did not put a few trillion in trade with
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: the West and the United States in danger For several
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: billion dollars trade with Iran And as a holder of
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: veto Under the pressure of the United States In the
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: end to the international organizations In favor of ensuring their
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: interests in Iran China on the other hand has self-sufficient
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: cooperation with sanctions And increased trade with Tehran So that
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: the US sanctions policy on Iran Will be full of
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: costs and will fail And prevent the U.S. concentration in
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: the east of Asia and carry out the great policy
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: of China. Finally, I would like to thank you for
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: your attention and cooperation. These days, Iran is more vulnerable
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: than ever. The conditions of our country these days are
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: a result of lack of attention to human experiences and
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: human knowledge. Today, we need more than ever to read
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: books and study. Tadavum in Masir tanha ba hamrahi wa
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: hamayat shoma mumkene. Agar in khulas-e-ketabha ro mufid midonid, be
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: do shikt mitonid ma ro yari konid. Aval, hamayat-e-davtalebane-e-mali. Link-e-hamayat-az-shikide-e-mandegar-dar-tozihat-e-hamin-post-ba-dar-biyo-e-kanal-mujud-e. Dovom,
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: dar har platform-e-ke-in-moh-taba-ro-mishnavid-ba-laik-kardan- Please send us your comments and messages
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: to your friends and groups. With the attention of the
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: international Internet, it is not possible to reach tens of
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: thousands of viewers on Telegram, YouTube, Instagram and Google. We
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: hope that with your support, this part of the Internet
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: will reach the fans of the book and reader in
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: the same internal.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: Messages, i.e. Baleh, Ita, Rubika and Shad. Adros kanal ما در تمام پلاتفورم ها ادساین اسفندیار خداییه متشکرم خدا نگهدار شما