Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | Stick to What Works | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/11/26

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Saturday BEST BETS | Stick to What Works | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/11/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm, man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chicks, black coffee on the felt.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like.
• 0:31
  Speaker 3: They made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet?
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name steal mean
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: something on somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby,
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: No, hold on, hold on nothing nice now, hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: hold on me, put it all, get the crown, hold on,
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: hold on.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: And stay with me. Now what's up? Everybody's towed back
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: with you? Toadstool sports. It is Saturday, July eleventh. Did
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: I get this? I don't know if I got this
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: record right on the show. I'll make sure of it.
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: I'll go back and look at what Yesterday's was one
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: and one on the show yesterday, so hopefully I updated
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: that tally correctly. It was a losing day. I mean
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: the under was a nice wim with Cleveland and Miami
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: in baseball, and then the Houston Astros couldn't get there.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: I mean Hudter Brown, he walked too many guys. I
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: mean they were still in that game with Hunter Brown exiting.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: But The Astros offense also did not help us at all.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: I mean, cal Kwantra was not exactly good. He had
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: one strikeout and the Astros got a decent amount of hits,
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: and they couldn't score any runs off him, even though
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: he was pitching to contact and they usually hit him.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: So I expected that the Astros would have had more
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: runs at that point. And then the Astros got to,
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: you know, they had to tease us by tying the
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: game after they were losing three to one. They tied
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: the game against Texas's bullpen. So texas bullpen wasn't exactly
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: good in the game because they couldn't they had their
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: best year relievers basically unavailable. It's tied, I'm like, oh
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: my god, Houston's actually gonna pull this off, win this game. No,
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: then Houston's bullpen implodes. It gives up four runs right back.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: They lose the game seven to three. I don't really
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: think the final score really indicated what that game was.
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: It was a close game. Both teams had eight hits
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: in the game, although obviously Hunter Brown walked too many guys.
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: But still the game was not a blowout or anything
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: like that. But I'm pretty pissed about it. Anyway, we
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: move on to today. I'm gonna have two baseball players.
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: I'm going to have one World Cup player. I thought
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: I might give up one in both games. I will
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: give out one. And I'm worried about it because the
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: line like is surprisingly cheap to me in a lot
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: of ways in that game, and I'm just say I
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: just think we have to do it. I don't. I
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: don't know what else to say about it. We're either
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: gonna win it or or not, but I think we will. Charles,
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: what's up? Thanks for hanging out? What the Cuba game? Cuba?
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: What is Cuba doing right now? What? Norway? I mean,
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: they're the most rootable team left, but obviously I need
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: England to win if my bracket is going to do
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: anything here, and I do not think Norway is gonna
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: beat them. All right, let's get into baseball here, Cubs.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: What did I say about the Oh yeah, that's right,
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: good point. I'm pissed because, yeah, I was right about
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: the under I said that Hunter Green, I knew he
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: was gonna bounce back, and I didn't do what. I
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: was really more worried about Ima Naga, and he was
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: good enough in that game, I would imagine I didn't
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: really look, but it was a four to nothing final.
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: Should have just added that to the card the under.
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: But I also liked the over in the Yankees game,
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: and that wasn't even close. So it was not even
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: as close as it looked on the final score. For
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: as Washington, they have no bullpen and they gave up.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: Washington had the lead in the ninth inning and they
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: gave up three runs on the top of the ninth.
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: So I'm not happy about that. Fuck the Yankees. Yes,
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: Hunter Green, He's definitely good, dude. I should have just
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: done it. I'm pissed. That was really close to making
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: the cut for me. I think I liked that one
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: better than the over in the Yankees game yesterday too.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: Ah God, And you knew that, like it was gonna
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: be a spot to get value on Hunter Green because
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: he was just really good in his mind rehab stuff.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: He's a really good pitcher. He had a bad game
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: last time. It was the spot to play on him
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: in some way. Ugh, all right, we move on to today.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: We have a double header between Milwaukee and Pittsburgh here
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: because they did not play yesterday, and I find it
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: odd that the starting pitching is not announced in the
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: first game, which is at twelve oh five Eastern, because
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: the pitchers that are announcing Game two, which is at
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: four or five pm Eastern, are I believe the pitchers
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: that were supposed to pitch in today's game anyway. So
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: is there a reason why it's not going to be
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: the same pitching matchup that was supposed to happen yesterday?
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: Like I don't know why these pictures haven't been announced yet,
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: but yesterday was supposed to be Sprote against Ashcraft, and
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: I would imagine that is what it's going to be
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: because they're not scheduled to pitch game two, unless these
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: teams pull some late wonkiness here and they decide to
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: switch their pitchers or whatever you know, reverse them in
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: these games. So it makes it pretty difficult to handicap this.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: There are no lines on this first game. But like
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: I said, if it's if it is Ashcraft pitching and
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: it's not you know, Mizzerowski for Milwaukee basically, or it's well, actually, listen,
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: is if it's Ashcraft against sprot Let's let's say that,
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: because I think I think Drohan is actually pretty good.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: If it's the same matchup. If it's sprot versus Ashcraft,
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna stick to what I said yesterday. You can
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: go back and see how I analyze it. I think
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: Ashcraft is good. I do think sprod is better than
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: he looks. But I would lean Pittsburgh first five in
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: that first game if that is the same matchup as yesterday.
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: Other than that, yeah, I mean then I don't really
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: have any read on the game. Otherwise. Game two looks
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: like it's going to be Drohan and Shambler right now,
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: which I think again was probably what was scheduled for
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: today's game anyway, and it might wind up being this way.
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: What I'll say about game two is that I always
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: say this, but the bullpens might get used up in
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: game one. So a lot of times I like to
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: either avoid the bullpens in game two and just focus
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: on the starting pitching matchup, or you know, you could
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: wait and see what happens in game one. I usually
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: don't do that, but you could also look towards an
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: over potentially in game two, just because if the bullpens
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: are used up, it might start going that way. I
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: don't think this is not a game I would really
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: target the over, though, mostly because Shane Drohan is good.
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: Now we have two rested teams here, so I talk
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: about when teams have rest the first game that they
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: play might have a tendency towards the under because the
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: bullpens are completely rested, the hitting might be thrown off
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: a little bit, although I don't think i'd want to
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: go that way either in that first game. Like I said,
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be if Ashcraft is pitching Pittsburgh
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: first five. If if it's not that, then you know,
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: then I don't really have a good read on it.
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee has the better bullpen, the rank eighth in bullpen.
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh not good at twenty second Offensively, Pittsburgh is better.
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: They're number two, and they're also really good at home.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee is number nine offensively. Swap starters, well, what do
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: you mean they're I mean they're keeping their starters on time.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: If they let them pitch today, there is no way
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be a bullpen game. That's there's no way
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: unless something like I don't see any reason for that happening,
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: unless they're gonna push every single starter back. Is that
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: what you're saying, which Why would you do that because
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: you could throw you know, your guys that were scheduled
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: to pitch yesterday just pitch them today and they're basically
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: on the same rest, and then the guys that were
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: scheduled to pitch today pitch them in game two, so
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: they're exactly on rest. It doesn't make any sense why
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: you wouldn't do that. So I'm not expecting a bullpen game,
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: Like I just don't understand why that first game isn't
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: going to be either the same matchup as yesterday, or
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: we just see the starter the starting pitchers swap, like
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: one of the teams might swap the two starting pitchers.
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: That's the only thing that I could see happening here.
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: But I think you're going to see sprot pitch today.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: You're gonna see Drohan pitch today. You're gonna see Ashcraft
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: and Chandler pitch today. I would be surprised if that's
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: not the case. It's just a matter of which game
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: they pitch in. WHOA, Well, that's good five hundreds because
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: I posted on Twitter, I should do that more often.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Get people to do it anyway. Game two, if it
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: is this matchup, Drohan as a two point nine to
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: seventy RA one point two four whip. He's not bad.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: He still doesn't have his picture on ESPN for some reason.
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: Although Pittsburgh, I mean, they're a very intimidating offense at home,
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: I will say they're good at home. Drohan has been
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: a little bit better on the road two point eight
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: to eight Roady Ray. He's continuing to pitch pretty well here.
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: I mean he's not giving up a lot of runs.
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: He was pitching out of a bullpen for a while.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: He's got a reasonably low hit rate. His walk rate
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: is not too bad. His strikeout rate is pretty good
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: as well. So yeah, I mean generally pretty decent pitcher.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, his numbers maybe lie a little bit like
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: I think probably he'd, you know, based on what his
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: numbers look like, his ERA should probably be somewhere in
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: the threes. Pittsburgh only has six guys who have faced
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: him twelve at bats, one strikeout, one walk, one sixty
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: seven average four to eighty one ops and in fact,
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: the only hitter who has any hits off him is
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: Ryan O'Hearn, who is famous recently for hitting three home
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: runs in that game the other day with ten RBIs
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna do that again, but he
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: is two for two with a double off of a Drohan. Otherwise,
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh has nothing against him, so I generally think he'll
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: pitch well here Bubba Chandler for Pittsburgh. He's gotten major
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: walk issues. Again, I think he'd be a pretty good
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: pitcher if that wasn't the case. He's still young, so
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: maybe that'll happen if he figures it out and stops
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: walking people. Four point eight two ERA one point four
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: to four whip not that good. He's pretty similar home
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: in Away, a little bit better at home four point
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: seven to two homy rays because I think is what
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: that was. Again, he's just walking way too many guys,
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: and he had no strikeouts last time out along with
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: four walks against Washington. That is not good. So yeah,
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't say he's in particularly good form right now,
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: although he was pitching okay for a lot of the
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: month of June. There Again, I mean, he's got a
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: low hit rate, so he's hard to hit. His strikeout
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: rate is decent, although I expected it to be higher.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: Actually it's gone down recently, but his walk rate is
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: ridiculously high. Like you cannot do this. He's walking. I mean,
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: this number is ridiculous. Fifty two walks in eighty nine
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: to two thirds innings. You can't do that. And against Milwaukee, yeah,
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: things have not gone well. Then they only have five
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: hitters who have faced him, nine at bass, but they
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: have a six sixty seven average and fifteen oh five
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: ops two to two strikeout walk ratio. I wouldn't want
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: to put too much weight into that, but Chandler, I
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: think he's definitely at a disadvantage in that game. I mean,
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to force a play on this game,
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: which obviously I don't recommend, but if you did play
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: this game too, here and this is the starting pitching matchup,
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee does have the better bullpend. I think playing Milwaukee
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: on the money line might make sense in this one.
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: I think they do have the pitching edge there. Maybe
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: just focus on that and go first five. I mean,
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: those would be my opinions on that game. Milwaukee is
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: taking the money there, seventy five percent of tickets, ninety
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash. They're at about minus one
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: thirty there on the money line, so you do have
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: to pay a road favorite price on it, although it
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: you know it might be justified based on that starting
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup. Although Pittsburgh, I mean they're they're a really
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: good offense at home though, so really there aren't many
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: situations where they really should be that much of an
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: underdog at home, So do with that info what you want.
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: Although it does look like Milwaukee has the edge if
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: that is going to be the matchup, all right, that
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: covers that double header, which is difficult to figure out.
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: Anaheim in Minnesota are play and it is another battle
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: of Ryan's Joe. Ryan is constantly facing guy's name Ryan. Recently,
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Minnesota lost yesterday four to three. I expected more higher scoring,
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: but I wasn't really sure because I actually thought both
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: starters in the game yesterday were a little bit under
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: the radar, and it seems like that was the case.
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: I might be the case here with Anaheim's starter here
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: this time too, Ryan Johnson, who actually don't think is
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: as bad as his numbers make him look. Anaheim used
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: three relief pitchers yesterday, Minnesota used two. This series does
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: still kind of look like a series where you might
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: want to try to find an over, but we got
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: to see what the starting pitching matchup is gonna look
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: like tomorrow, because I'm not gonna play an over in
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: a Joe Ryan game, you know, unless there's some crazy
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: circumstance where he just gets absolutely rocked by the opponent.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: But that's not the case here. These bullpens both are
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: pretty bad, though, which is why, you know, maybe looking
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: towards an over in this series can make some sense.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: Anaheim's twenty third, Minnesota twenty ninth. They're debatably the worst bullpen,
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: and they're really bad. Minnesota's eighth offensively, and Anaheim doesn't
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: do particularly well offensively this season. They're twenty first, even
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: though I think Mike Trout has remained healthy. Anaheim is
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: going with Ryan Johnson. Like I said, r J versus
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: j R. Here Ryan versus Ryan. His numbers, I mean
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: they stink six point nine to ninety RA one point
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: five to five whit. But like I said, this guy's
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: a young guy, and there's a reason why he's in
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: the rotation. It's because he's a prospect. I think he's
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: not as bad as his numbers look, although I don't
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: know if he's entirely trustworthy. He's been bad on the
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: road eight point one road ray and that might not
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: be good given that he is going up against an
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: offense that can hit here. He really hasn't been that
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: bad though, like last time out didn't really last that
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: long against the Red Sox. But the fielding behind him
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: has killed him and his last two starts. He's given
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: up eight runs over his last two starts when only
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: three of them were earned, So the fielding behind him
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: is not doing a good job at all. He's got
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: good command recently, his strikeouts have been fairly good. His
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: walk rate is pretty low, so he's I don't think
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: he's that bad. Like I said, his numbers are being
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: skewed a little bit by a couple of bad starts
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: early on. One was at that as stadium where you
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: know it's difficult to pitch. His hit rate is still
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: too high. He is, He is pretty hittable right now.
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: His walk rate, you know, it's not too bad. His
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is okay. But again, yeah, it looks like
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: to me that he's actually starting to pitch a little
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: bit better. Minnesota has two guys who have faced him,
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: and they're zero for two, often with a strikeout between
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: Larnock and Lee, So do what you want with that info.
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: But I think Johnson might not be as bad as
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: he looks. Obviously, we know Joe Ryan. He's basically as
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: good as he looks. He's sexy. Two point eight five ERA,
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: one point oh four whip. That's pretty good. He's a
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: little bit worse at home three point two to one
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: home ERA, still good. He was really good fast time
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: out after he was a little bit iffy and two starts,
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: but again, I'm gonna keep complaining about that one that
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: we lost against Houston two starts ago, where he gave
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: up six runs and none of them were earned. Give
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: me a break, dude. He bounced back and he really
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: really did well against the Yankees last time out in
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: New York, so he looks like he's back on track.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna be a little in a
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: letdown here, even though that was a big effort from him,
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: a big win. He threw over one hundred pitches, but
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: he's done that before this year. He's a veteran. I mean,
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: the last few times he's thrown over one hundred pitches,
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: he was fine in the next game, so I don't
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: think that's really gonna affect him. He's got a low
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: hit rate, low walk rate, high strikeout rate, everything that
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: you expect here. Numbers are pretty good against Anaheim and
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: forty four at bats fifteen to one strikeout walk ratio
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: is really good, two twenty seven average six oh eight ops,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: you know. I mean, obviously Ryan is the veteran of
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: these two starters, he's more proven. But you have to
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: lay minus one to eighty with Minnesota here if you're
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: going to do that at all. I mean you could,
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: I guess maybe attack the first five here with Minnesota,
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: but I would probably not do that either here. I
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: mean you're just having to pay too much of a
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: price for it. Man. Everybody knows Ryan is good. We
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: get it. Eighty nine percent of tickets, eighty eight percent
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: of the cash. Minnesota is a very public side with
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: less than the money on them. You know. I think
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: a first five under actually makes some sense here, which
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: I kind of said that yesterday. I think I think
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: as well with a zebulon against g rod in that
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: game yesterday. This money's coming in on the over though,
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: although that's a full game mark at fifty percent of
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: tickets on the under, eighty two percent of the cash
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: on the over. Nine is the total, so it's right
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: there at that key number of nine. It's it's expected
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: to be a bit of a high scoring game here,
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: but I think it might be low scoring early on. Man,
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: I think you have an underrated pitcher against a good pitcher,
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: so do what you want with that. But yeah, I
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: think you know you could go under like five and
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: a half, probably in the first five. I obviously I'm
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: avoiding this game though Joe Ryan, yes, I think he
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: should do well against that lineup, as those numbers would suggest.
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: Five below is that is a movie, right, It's a
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: movie with sled dogs. If I'm not mistaken, Am I
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: getting that right? I don't remember anything anymore, man A's
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: and the White Sox. The White Sox absolutely demolished the
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: A's And one thing I forgot to mention is that
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: Mr Kami had actually been out for the White Sox
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: since late May with an injury, and he's their best hitter.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: Well guess what, he came back yesterday and they scored
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: fourteen runs. Although the A's they're a really bad pitching
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: team though, Man, I mean that was against Jacob Lopez,
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: I think, and the A's bullpen, so not really surprising.
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: At the White Soxs, we were able to put up
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: a ridiculous number there, kind of surprising. The A's almost
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: scored nothing though, even though Sean Burke is pretty good.
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: But I expected runs on both sides there. I think
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: my recommendation on that game was the over, and it
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: hit just because the White Sox did all of it.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: Maybe the A's have an opportunity to bounce back here.
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: I mean that was an ugly, ugly loss for the
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: A's yesterday, as they're not that bad these four relief
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday. The A's bullpen is pretty bad. White Sox
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: are the better bullpen and they're pretty rested. These one guy,
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: I would not want anything to do with the A's bullpen.
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: They're twenty fifth. The White Sox are nineteenth, not too
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: bad of their era right around four A's. I think
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: their bullpenning arrays over five. A's are thirteenth in offense.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: The White Sox are eleventh. Now I think it's close.
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, both teams could definitely hit here. We're looking
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: at my boy. Gauge Jump is pitching for the A's.
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: He's gotten a little bit worse. He's had two bad
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: starts in his last two starts. A three point seven
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: to seventy r one point three whip now is not
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: really that good. He's been really good on the road, though,
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: and it kind of makes sense because pitching in that
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: as stadium is not easy to do. I think both
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: his recent bad starts were in that stadium. He's got
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: a zero point four to nine roady ra, so he
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: may do well here, even though the White Sox are
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: a good lineup and there they got their best hitter back,
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: and you know they do hit well at home jump
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: you know. I mean, he got rocked by the Dodgers
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: in the A Stadium. I'm willing to give him a
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: pass for that. But then he did get hit around
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: again by Miami in the next start. That's not great,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: and he only had one strikeout, so he's not really
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: in good form right now. His hit rate is right
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: at one per inning now, his walk rate's still decent,
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: strikeout rates still decent. I still think he's a good pitcher,
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: and I would still lean more towards him doing well
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: here than not. I mean, he does have an unfamiliarity
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: edge here. He's not having a pitch at home here.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: White Sox, like I said, they've never seen him before,
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: so that should be an extra advantage. When a young
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: pitcher goes up against an opposing office that hasn't seen
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: them before, should be an advantage to them. And he's
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: going up against a White Sox bullpen game here because
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: they have Brian Hudson listed as a starter. He's whatever.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: He's only gonna go one inning here and then they're
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: gonna turn it over to Eric Feedti. I'm almost positive
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: that's what they're doing here because it would be his
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: turn up, and that's what they've been doing. They've been
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: using an opener in front of Feedti. He's not good
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: four point three four ERA, one point four to five
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: whip not good, but he is not bad at home
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: three point one to nine home ye ra, so he's
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: a little bit better at home. He's been serviceable recently,
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: but his walk rate has still been pretty bad. I
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: still don't think much of him. I mean, he's still
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: got a pretty high hit rate here on the season.
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: Walk rate is still too high. He's a lot a
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: lot of home runs, he doesn't strike guys out. Nothing
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: really good here. If you're gonna play this game again,
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna recommend picking jump must start, but not selecting
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: a White Sox starter, because it's possible that Feedti just
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: starts the game. Although I think they will do what
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: they're saying they're gonna do here, and they're gonna go
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: with Hudson for one inning and then turn it over
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: to Feedti because they have I've been using an opener
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: in front of him, so I think they will continue
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: to do that because he's actually been a little bit
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: better when they've done that. Still don't trust him, though
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: his numbers against the A's are actually not bad. Though
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: in thirty seven at bats two forty three average seven
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: hundred ops five to six strikeout walk ratio is not good,
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: but the rest of those numbers are not really that bad.
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna do it. But I still think
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: the way to play this game is to play the
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: A's in the first five innings and just go with
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: jump against fetti slash bullpen game here. I think the
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: A's should have the advantage in the first five I
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: want nothing to do with their bullpen. The money seems
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: to agree with me pretty strongly, so this one was
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: close to making the cut for me. Sixty eight percent
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on the White Sox, ninety five percent
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the a's, So the money really
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: seems to be indicating on the a's here the totals nine.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in a little bit on the under.
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: I don't really have a good feel for that. But
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: the a's have flipped to a favorite. It looks like
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: to or No, they've no, Actually, the white Sox have
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: to a favorite. In most spots, you'll probably get the
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: a's around like a pick'em price. He might have to
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: lay a little bit of a favorite price because I
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: think everybody, the odds makers know that the a's are
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: more like it's more advantageous to play the a's in
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: the first five, so you will have to pay a
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: little bit more of a price for that. But probably
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: they'll be they'll they'll be like a small moneyline favorite though,
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: So that's how I would play that game, a's first
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: five money line, all right? Oh eight below, yes, right, Oh,
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: it's a Southern discounsel. Yeah, I don't, I don't know. Uh,
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know those stores to it. I know Dollar
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: General and Dollar Tree because those are everywhere. We even
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: have them up here, not as much as they are
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: in the South. Though, Yes, eight below, I got that wrong. Yes,
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: my I'm my memory about dog movies isn't very good.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: Yankees in Washington, Like I said, I'm pissed yesterday. Washington
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: could have had that game. Man, I thought that game
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: is gonna be high scoring and it wasn't. And Washington
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: had the chance to steal a game with Zach Ltel pitching.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: They needed to do it. Man. They're winning three to
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: two and their atrocious bullpen threw the game away in
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: the ninth inning. Pathetic. And Washington's not gonna win this game. Spoiler,
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: it's not gonna happen. I'm not gonna give out the
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: Yankees either, because you have to pay way too much
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: of a price for it. But the Washington's not gonna
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: win this game. Yankees used four relief pitchers yesterday, but
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: they have the way better bullpen. Washington used even more.
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: They used five and they took the loss. One of
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: them was their opener yesterday, palm Quist. Washington is a
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: bad bullpen. They're ranked twenty six. They're one of the
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: bullpen's with an above five ERA. Pretty bad. Actually, I
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: forgot to mention. The A's actually have the worst bullpen
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: in Ray right now after yesterday, so they're bad. Washington's
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: bullpen is also bad. Yankees have the best Bullpenny Ray,
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: and the ranked third RAND and really the rank second
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: in WHIP because they're tied with Miami and they got
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: a better era. Yankees' offense is seventh and Washington third.
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: I mean they're close. They're both good offenses. Yankees probably
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit better, really, But the Yankees have Cam
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: Schlittler on the mound, as he probably could have guessed.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: We did get a win with him last time he
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: pitched because it was a great spot to play him
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: off a bad start. The Yankees were in the midst
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: of a bad losing streak, and we got them at
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: a really good price on the road against Tampa Bay.
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: You're not getting a good price here. But I do
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: think Schlitzler should do well. I mean not going out
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: on a limb there. Two point oh one ERA point
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: nine to three WHIP. He's been even better on the
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: road one point four. Roady Ray was really good in
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: that last outing against Tampa Bay. Did throw over one
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: hundred pitches, but he has done that before and he's
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: still been fine after that, so I don't really think
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: that's gonna affect him. He's pitching well. I mean, obviously
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: he's the cy young front runner in the American League,
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: and I don't even think it's really that close. He's
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: got a low hit rate, low walk rate, high strikeout rate,
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: all really good stuff. There, good numbers against Washington. They
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: haven't really seen much of him. They only have six
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: hitters with face him, twelve at bats, no extra base hit,
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: seven strikeouts, two walks, two fifty average six H seven ops. Yeah,
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: I think he'll pitch well, and he's going up against
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: Miles Micholas, so I would be aware that if you're
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: gonna play this game, you should select Schlitler must start,
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: but don't select a Washington starter because they're known for
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: putting an opener in front of me Cholas. Although they
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: used Pomquist yesterday, they usually put PJ. Poolan in front
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: of me Cholas. So they might do that here today.
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: They might have already announced that they're doing that. I mean,
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know so far. No, it looks like it
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: might be Micholas. Micholas isn't good five point seven to
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: eighty Ray, one point three to three whip. He's been
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: worse at home to six point four to five homey
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Ray not good. He's given up thirteen runs over his
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: last thirteen innings. But what they've done is they've just
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: let him pitch, which you know that is a strategy, right, Like,
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: if you're gonna have a bad pitcher in there, just
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: let him eat up innings, you know what I mean,
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: spread the runs out a little bit. Like he doesn't
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: throw hard, so he doesn't really get like that tired,
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: and he's at least somewhat efficient with his pitches, So
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: leave him in and maybe have a chance to still
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: win the game. And last time they actually won, he
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: picked up a win. He went six innings and give
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: up seven runs against Houston and he got the win
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: in the game they won twelve to eleven. Yeah, that
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: was the game where I was. I almost gave up
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: the over as a play in that one too. I'm
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: pissed man. Anyway, that's what Micholas is doing. He's actually
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: been good against the Yankees, believe it or not. In
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: seventy one at bats, two thirty nine average allowed six
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: sixty three oh ps, eighteen to nine strike up walk ratio.
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: That's not good, but the rest of these numbers are
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: actually reasonably good, better than you'd expect like, basically the
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: only guy in the Yankees lineup who has consistent success
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: against him is Ryan McMahon, who saw more of him
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: because he was in the National League for a while.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: I think the Yankees are gonna win, but you can't
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: lay minus two hundred with the Yankees, man, I never
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: do that in baseball. The money is actually coming in
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: on Washington ninety one percent of tickets on the Yankees,
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: sixty percent of the cash on Washington. Even though the
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: Yankees have the advantage basically throughout this game, it's all
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: about the price. It's too high. I mean, if you're
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: gonna play the Yankees, you could lay the run line
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: with my guess and it might happen. You'll at least
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: get all nine innings out of them. But you know,
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: the the first five under is kind of an interesting
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: look in this one. It sounds insane, but I just
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: showed you what the matchup numbers look like. Schlitzler should
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: hold up his end of that bargain. Fifty two percent
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the under, eighty eight percent of the
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: cash on the under. For the full game under nine.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: I would not go full game. Don't want Washington's bullpen
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: involved at all, but first five under interesting, very interesting.
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: Micholas might just stay in the game. You know, Schlit
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: probably won't allow much. Yeah, I mean I could see
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: that happening. And the Yankees they hit better at home
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: than on the road, although Washington tends to pitch a
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: lot worse at home. So yeah, it's not gonna be
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: a game I'm gonna play. But you know, do what
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: you want with that info, all right. Colorado and San Francisco,
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: this game was kind of surprisingly low scoring in my
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: opinion yesterday. I know, it's not in Colorado, it's in
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: San Francisco, so it's a more pitcher friendly park. And
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: like I said, I expect San Francisco's offense to go
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: down in numbers again at some point, but maybe not
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: here against Colorado's pitching. San Francisco took the loss four
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: to three in the game yesterday, so it was lower
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: scoring than I thought it would be. San Francisco used
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: a ton of their bullpen, and their bullpen hasn't been
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: good either, so that's not good. They use five guys,
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: Colorado used four. They have a really bad bullpen. San
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Francisco's bullpen is twenty fourth. They have a mid four
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: ZRA not good. Colorado's is about five. They're at twenty eighth.
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: Not good hitting wise, Colorado's fourth. They continue to hit
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: pretty well, though I don't think they're that good, and
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: I don't think the Giants are eleventh, tied with the
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: White Sox. I mean that's where they rank. But I
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: think both offenses are a little bit overrated there. But
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: I think Colorado's is better than San Francisco's atween dollars general,
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: that doesn't sound good. Yeah, Cam Cam Cam Shit's on,
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: Kim Shitler. I don't know. I I just hate the Yankees, man,
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: That's what that's. Yeah, that's all all I gotta say
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: about that. Yes, I mean letting a guy like Michel
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: has just save your bullpen like that. I mean, that's
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: why you do it, right, Like you have a chance
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: to still win that game, you know, if if it's
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: a high scoring game and it's you know, it could
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: be close, but you know the way, the reason you
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: do it is to save your bullpen, you know what
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, Like let your better relievers, you know, take
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: the day off and just use them in the next
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: game or something like that's the case. If you know
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: you're gonna lose that game, you know what I mean.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: But you know, the game also might be close if
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: your offense is as good as Washington's.
• 31:09
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: In this game, Kyle Freeland is pitching for Colorado. He's
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: not good. Seven point four to six e R one
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: point six to one whip. He's somehow even worse away
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: from course field eight point six to two Roady ra
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: makes no sense to me. He actually hasn't been that
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: bad this month. I know he gave up six runs
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: last time out at LA, but he's got nine strikeouts
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: in one walk this month. That's not that bad. Although
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: he's been a bit hittable, but mostly it was that
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: LA game. He pitched well against Miami in Corps the
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: start before that. He's kind of been alternating good and
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: bad starts, actually, and if that's the case, this start
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: would be a good one. If he continues to alternate here,
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: he's got a really high hit rate, though he doesn't
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: walk anybody, so that's good. His strikeout rate is mediocre,
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: but he's just way too hittable. He gives up a
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: lot of home run that's not good. Against San Francisco,
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: he hasn't been particularly good and sixty five at bats
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: to sixty two average, eight seventy nine ops. They've hit
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: him for some power here, five home runs off him,
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: but he does have a sixteen to two stray gout
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: walk ratio against him. So again, he doesn't really walk anybody,
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: but he just throws pitches right over the plate. That's
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: not good. Tyler Molly is pitching for the Giants. He's
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: not pitching well either, five point seventy ra, one point
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: four to nine WIT. But he's been way better at
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: home three point three to two home era. I tried
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: to fade him at home a few starts ago and
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: it did not work out. The A's couldn't get to him.
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: Since then, he hasn't been good. But it was two
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: starts on the road. He did just pitch against the
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: Rockies in course. Field wasn't really good in that start.
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: I mean the fielding didn't really help him, but he
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: gave up a lot of hits there. He didn't walk
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: anybody in that one, but it was still not a
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: good outing from him. He's got a high hit rate,
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is okay, his stray gout rate is
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: actually okay still, you know, I mean, he's just too
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: hit a bull, he gives up a fair amount of
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: home runs. None of that is really that good. Against Colorado,
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: he is not particularly good either. In thirty seven at
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: bats three point fifty one average allowed eight to eleven
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: ops eleven zero strike out walk ratio, though, so that's
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: at least good. But I think the way to look
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: at this game, I would say, is probably the over
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: there you go. Like I said, it's announced Sprot Ashcraft
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: is Game one. I told you, dude, So same matchup
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: as yesterday, will be Game one in Milwaukee and Pittsburgh
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: as far as the announcements right now, So I'm gonna
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: stick to what I said. My lean in that game
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: would be to Pittsburgh in the first five innings. That's
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: the way I would play that. You have to pay
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: a little bit more of a price for it if
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: you do it that way. But the money's coming in
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: a little bit on Milwaukee. But I don't really see that.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: I think Ashcraft is the way to lean in that one.
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: Although Sprot isn't as bad as he looks, I will
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: say that he's got to shave off that mustache. Man
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: Abrams and Woods. Yeah, as far as Washington's offense, they're
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: pretty good. Yeah, I don't. I don't know the offensive
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: players as as much. I study mostly pitchers, and then
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: I just I consider the offense to be like this
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: nebulous thing, which maybe I shouldn't do because White Sox
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: offense obviously was worse without Murricami. Freeland is not a
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: free win. I mean, you can't really back Molly in
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: my opinion. No, that's that's never the case. If that
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: was the case, then then literally everybody would just be
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: taking money from the books. So no, it's not that easy. Again,
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: I think that game is an over. That's the way
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: I would play it. I wouldn't want to back Mally. Also,
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: the public is all over San Francisco in that one
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: eighty two percent of the tickets sixty nine percent of
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: the cash, So the money is fading San Francisco. The
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: public wants nothing to do with Colorado. Minus one fifty
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: is the price. It's definitely too high of a price
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: to land San Francisco. But again, I like the over
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: in that game. Money doesn't agree with me on it though,
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: seventy seven percent of tickets, fifty two percent of the
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: cash on the over at eight and a half. But
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: I still like the over in that one Red Sox
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: and Mets. The Mets or the Red Sox won yesterday,
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: so Sonny Gray another good performance yesterday. I'm pretty sure
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: Red Sox they're playing well. Man, they've won like eight
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: games in a row or something. They might not win
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: this game because the Red Sox. It says undecided here,
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: but I'm pretty sure they're bringing up a young guy
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: to start. And it's interesting at least what the Red
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: Sox are doing today. Red Sox use three relief pitchers.
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: They have the better bullpen over the Mets, although the
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: Mets aren't that bad. Mets use four relief pitchers. The
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: Mets really haven't been that good recently. Out of the bullpen, though,
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: Red Sox are ringing fourth. I believe they have the
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: third best bullpen e Ray, They're a strong bullpen. The
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Mets are eleventh. Mets actually their era has really gone
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: up there at over four. Now, that's not great. Red
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: Sox also do have the better offense other twenty second
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: tied with Philly. Mets are twenty seventh tied with Toronto,
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: so both of them have moved up a little bit.
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Red Sox, as far as I saw, they're going with
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: I forget his name, another huge lefty, because that's all
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox have at this point. Yeah, Eduardo Rivera,
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: is that his name? I seee it's it's always a Duardo, right,
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: unless it's Elmer. I think it's ed Eduardo Rivera. I'm
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: pretty sure is this guy's name for the Red Sox.
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: I can tell you that he is a six', seven
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: two hundred and thirty pounds, Lefty so he's another monstrous
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: presence on the mound left hand or for The Red,
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: sox because, again that's what The Red. Sox The Red
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: sox have a fetish for huge left handed. Dudes, NOW
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: i Think rivera is not that, Bad like his numbers
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: In TRIPLE a are decent this, year but his walks
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: are a. Problem like he's very unhittable and he has
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: a good strikeout, rate so he has good. Stuff he
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: could strike guys. Out he throws mid to upper. Nineties
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: he has a nasty, slider but he only has one other,
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: pitch a change, up so he doesn't really have like
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: a full arsenal necessarily kind of looks like more of
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: a relief. Arsenal but he's got good stuff and he
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: can strike guys, out so it's. Interesting but he's. Wild
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: he walks a lot of, guys SO i don't know
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: what you're gonna get out of. HIM i think he
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: actually pitched once for The Red sox this. YEAR i
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: don't even think he's listing on their roster right, now,
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: though SO i don't. Know let me, see did he
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: pitch once this year or?
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: NOT.
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: Edwardo riveris that is his. Name i'm gonna look right
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: now to see if HE i feel like he made
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: one start this, year but Maybe i'm wrong about. That,
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: no he did he started against The, yankees or he
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: made an appearance against The. Yankees it was a relief.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: Appearance it was back On april twenty. Second he went
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: three and a third inning's allowed one hit and no,
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: runs no, walks and struck out three at home against The.
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: YANKEES i, mean that might be a decent, sign, dude
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: if he can come, in you. KNOW i mean maybe
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: it was a no pressure situation really because it was
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: a bullpen. Appearance but it was a game against The,
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: yankees and it probably wasn't a game that was like
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: out a hand or. Anything SO i don't know that's
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: a good. SIGN i think that he came in and
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: gave you like three plus good innings against The. Yankees so, Yeah,
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: RIVERA i mean he's he's a real, wildcard. DUDE i
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: he has some potential for. Sure and he's. Young he's twenty. Three,
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: Yes Freddy peralt does pitching for The mets not pitching,
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: Well we've made some mistakes trying to back him on
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: the show four point six eighty ray one point four To.
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: Whip i'm Still i'm refusing to believe that he's that bad, Though,
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: LIKE i just don't think that he. Is he's thirty years.
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: Old we've seen what he's done throughout his. CAREER i just, think,
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: maybe you, know just, mentally he's not really into it
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: because The mets. SUCK i mean that's the only THING
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: i could really think. Of four point zero seven, home,
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: yea ra so he is better at. Home he was
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: not bad in his last start Against, atlanta but he
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: was really inefficient with his, pitches which is why they
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: took him out before he was able to get through five.
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: Innings the fielding wasn't good behind him at. All gave
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: up a couple of unearned. Runs two starts before, that
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: he gave up three unearned runs against The, cubs so
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: the fielding has not been helping. HIM i think he
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: is still better than his. Numbers, look his hit rate
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: is a little bit high on the. Season his walk
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: rate is about what you expect out of. Him he's
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: he does walk, guys but not. Horrible strike out rate
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: is still. THERE i mean he's striking out almost one
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: guy an, inning SO i still don't think he's that.
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: Bad could he do well, here yeah he. Could but
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: The Red, sox you, know the only have five guys
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: who have faced, him but they have had success against.
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: Him they have fifteen at, bats they have a four
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: hundred average against. Him rafaela has a home run off,
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: him that's the only extra base. Hit the one thousand
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: ops four zero strike out walk. Ratio this game is
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: a real real wild. Card, Man it's really. Unpredictable peralta
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: is obviously the way more established. Pitcher he could pitch
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: well enough to win this. Game you're looking at The
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: mets being minus one p fifty. Here you, know the
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: money is also playing The. Mets fifty five percent of
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: the tickets are on The Red, sox seventy five percent
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: of the cash on The. METS i, mean in a,
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: way it looks kind of ridiculous to lay this price
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: with The, Mets LIKE i think the public is gonna
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: see that and not want anything to do with, it
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: because The mets record is even worse than The Red sox,
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: record so they probably don't want to do. That but
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: on the other, Hand i'm not sure that The Red
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: sox should be this big of an. UNDERDOG i, mean
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: This Red sox pitching stab hass has been, really really
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: good almost regardless of who they put out. There it's
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: like they put together a good pitching performance all the.
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: Time Patrick sandoval pitched well for them the other, day
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: and it's not like The mets are that intimidating of a.
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: Lineup SO i don't, know, MAN i can't figure the game.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: Out the money's also playing the over slightly at eight
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: and a, half but it is also a public. Over so,
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: yeah that's not Game i'm gonna do anything. With gray was. Awesome,
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: yes he doesn't really strike that many guys, out but,
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: yeah the WHOLE, mlb, well The Red, sox it's literally
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: their entire rotation and the and they're all like pretty good. Too, Peralta,
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: YEAH i mean he's been pretty. INCONSISTENT i don't, know man,
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: USUALLY i, mean he's been consistent throughout his career for
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: the most, part though like he'll he'll have occasional really bad,
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: starts but he's generally pretty good throughout his. CAREER i
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: don't know the public is playing The Red sox in this, game,
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i mean they. Don't why would they have faith
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: in The mets coaching. STAFF i mean The mets fired
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: their manager. Too both both of these teams fired their.
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: Manager this is The this is the fired manager, Series
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: Red Sox. Mets both teams fired their manager this, Year
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: cleveland And. MIAMI i will give out a play on. This,
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: Finally i'm gonna give you one play. HERE i have
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: One World cup play as, well and two two baseball.
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: Plays i'm just gonna go right back to the well with.
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: This this is gonna be an under again in this.
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: ONE i found it at under, eight you, KNOW i
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: mean a little bit juicy at minus one, Nineteen but
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: you could get seven and a half at even, money
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: and MAYBE i should recommend that. WAY i, MEAN i
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: don't know when it comes to the like between those,
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: TWO i don't. Know and it's less than minus win
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: Twenty i'm, like, EH i don't, KNOW i just kind
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: of go up to that next half. Run but seven
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: is really the key. Number there's not as much of
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: a difference between seven and a half and, Eight so
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: under seven and a half, AGAIN i think should also
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: be good. Here i'm just going right back to the
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: well and doing this. Again, man it worked out. Yesterday
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: it was a three to Two cleveland win, yesterday so
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: that worked Out cleveland's. Bullpen you, know maybe a little
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: bit of a concern they. Have you, know they used
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: their best relievers three days in a, row so they
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: will not be available this. Time but they're a decent,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: bullpen So i'm still gonna stick with. It they use
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: four guys out of. It Yesterday miami only used one
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: and it Was Ryan, gusto AND i would not want
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: him in this. Anyway If i'm playing the under he
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: might pitch, again although probably. Not but their better relievers
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: are all available, here and the bullpens have generally been.
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: Good miami's ranked number, two, well really number three In
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: whip because The yankees era is also, better and they're
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: tied And Whip. Miami they're not that, good but they're
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: a good enough Bullpen, CLEVELAND i think is good enough as.
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: Well even though they're ranked, seventeenth THEIR era is still
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: well below. Four So i'm okay with these bullpens. Here
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: they were fine enough, yesterday and we get to extend
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: the game a little. Bit hopefully the starters get. Extended,
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: man that's kind of WHAT i want. HERE i want
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: the starters to go a little bit deeper than five innings.
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: Here miami is sixth in, offense but LIKE i, said
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: their numbers are skewed because they played all those games
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: In colorado and in The A's stadium. Recently they're not
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: gonna put up offensive numbers quite like that here at,
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: home especially against the pitching that they're facing, here WHICH
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: i know yesterday was messik and it doesn't really get
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: any better than that In cleveland. Staff BUT i think
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: we're still backing a very capable pitcher. Here also On
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: cleveland side of, things this is a bad. Offense they're
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: number twenty. Nine they're not that much of a, threat
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: even though they actually won the game. Yesterday but we're
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: gonna back tan Or biby. HERE i, MEAN i think
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: he's not. Bad he's got a four point oh six Cra,
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: again his record, sucks but that's because he gets no run.
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: Support so AGAIN i like, That LIKE i Think i've
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: played an, under you, know on, him maybe his two
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: of his last three. GAMES i feel LIKE i give
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: it on an Under AND i mentioned that every, time
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: because not only does he not really give up that many,
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: runs but he doesn't get many runs hit, by like
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: scored behind him. Either AND i don't know if that's
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: really a thing that he could really bank on because
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: it has nothing to really do with the pitcher other
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: than it's like the offense is, like, oh we can
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: slack off because we have a good pitcher on the
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: mound or. Something but if that was the, Case messick
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: wouldn't have good run support. EITHER i don't, know, Man
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: biby doesn't get good run support. Though do with that
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: what you. Want BUT i Also i'm just gonna back
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: him BECAUSE i think he can pitch. Well. Here he's
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: got a one point one four whip that's not that.
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: Bad indicates that his era should be better than it.
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: Is he's slightly better on the road with a four,
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: erra but he's really basically the same home and. Away he's.
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: Fine wasn't good last time out against The White sox
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: gave up six, runs three home. Runs it looks like
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: more of a, fluke, though because he was really good
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: in the entire month Of. June the majority Of may
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: he was pretty good as, well SO i don't think
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: he's like completely out of form right. NOW i think
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: that might be a little bit more of an outlier.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: Performance so, though it's a little bit questionable that he
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: does not have many strikeouts over his last three. Starts
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: but one thing that you could point to is that
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: he faced The White sox On june twenty, fourth and
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: he did. Well so THEN i think he was just
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: not in a good spot having to face them. AGAIN
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: i think they had just seen him and they kind
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: of just knew what he was gonna throw at, them
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: and they hit him way. Better sometimes that happens even
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: though they were already really familiar With biby, Though SO
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: i don't, know but, WHATEVER i THINK i did give
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: out an under On biby's first of those two games
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: against The White. SOX i don't THINK i did it
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: in the. Game MAYBE i did and we. LOST i
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: don't think. So Though biby has a low hit rate
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: on the, season that's pretty. Good his walk rate's not too.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: Bad strike out rate is not very. HIGH i, mean
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: he's just not really striking out that many, Guys BUT
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: i don't think that's ever really been like a huge
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: part of his. Game his home runs are an. Issue
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: he's given up twenty one, runs BUT i think this
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: ballpark might be able to stifle that a little. Bit
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: miami's ballpark is not that home run, conducive and he's
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: pitched well against them when he has faced. Them they
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: only have six hitters who have faced, him so this
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: is a lineup that it doesn't really have that much
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: experience against. Him they have no extra base hits in
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: seventeen at bats against, him two thirty five, average five
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: thirteen ops four to one strike out walk, Ratio So
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: biby is fairly unfamiliar to, them and he has good
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: numbers against so SO i think he should bounce, back
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: put together a good performance, here And miami is gonna
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: go With Yuri, perez who is a guy that definitely
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: has a whole lot of talent, here and he's really
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: hard to pick up his wind. UP i, mean he's
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: another he's not a, lefty but he's another really tall
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: mound presence at six' eight and if you've ever seen,
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: him pitch he has, a really, really weird like jerky
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: motion and it's hard to pick up. His pitches he's
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: got a three point eight FOUR e ra one point.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: One whip he's been better at home three point two
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: to Three, Homey ray that's. ALL good i have, one
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: concern which is that his, last start he was throwing
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: a perfect Game and miami took him out of. The
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: game i'm pretty sure that's what. It was he had,
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: seven innings, no hits no walks in The, a stadium by,
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: the way which is a very hitter. Friendly ballpark they
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: took him out of, the game and they they won
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: the game nine, to eight even though he went seven
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: score seven completely. Clean innings, miami's bullpen what the hell
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: happened with their bullpen in, THAT game i. Don't know
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: he still picked up, the win though they didn't quite
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: blow it, for him but he was excellent in. That
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: Start so i'm a little bit worried because a lot
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: of times when a pitcher does have a start, like
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: that they can be in like a letdown spot. After
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: THAT but i don't think he will be because he
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: didn't lose the, perfect game you KNOW what. I mean
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: they took, him OUT so i think he might just be,
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: fired up like to go back, out there like why
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: did you take? Me out and the one good thing
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: about it is it kept his pitch. Count down he
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: threw ninety, two pitches so he should be pretty much
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: ready to go, Again here so that's not. That bad
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: he's got a really low. Hit rate he's really hard.
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: To hit his walk rate is a little. Bit high
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: that's always been a bit of an issue. With him he's,
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: still YOUNG and i believe he's already Had Two tommy john.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: Surgeries too but it seems like his stop this year
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: because he's got a high, Strikeout rate so he is
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: striking guys out here at a pretty, good rate but
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: he's got to get the walks under control a. Little
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: bit but recently his zero walks in four of his last,
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: five stars so it seems like he's kind of figuring that.
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: Out too he's, pitching well and he's got a really
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: good match up here against a Pretty weak cleveland offense
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: with a bunch of injuries. Going on they got seven
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: hitters to face and fourteen at bats no x or,
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: excuse me two extra. Base hits they're both home runs
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: From a rias and Quad or Arius. And kwan, eight
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: strikeouts NO walks u one forty three average seven to
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: fourteen ops a little bit high because of the two,
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: hom Runs but i'm not too worried. ABOUT that i
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: think this is. An under that's what we're. Going with,
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: you know you could go first five if you, wanted
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: to if you want To exclude cleveland's bullpend because they
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: are in, you know slightly bad. Shape here the money
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: is not agreeing, with me and the money's back in.
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: The over but the oddsmakers are telling you low scoring
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: game by lining this game at eight or seven and.
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: A half i see the eight still around the PRICE
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: that i gave out at whatever book. THIS is i
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: can't see the. Header here gotta HIDE the fbq that's
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: At the lion book that starts with the m fifty
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: four percent, of tickets eighty two percent of the cash on.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: The Over but i'm, going under, YOU know i think it's.
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: Another undergame money Is backing miami here seventy nine percent,
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety one percent of the cash. ON them
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: i don't KNOW if. I agree i mean that price
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: is a. Bit high minus one Fift from. MIAMI here
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: i think you're paying a Lot, for, miami dude just
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: because they've been recently playing. Really WELL but i don't,
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: like that Especially because miami lost a big win. Streak
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: yesterday they had how many wins did they have in
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: a row? Before? Yesterday six so, YOU know i don't
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: like that when a team has a big win streak
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: going on and they lose the, Wind streak it's like
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: it disrupts, their momentum and a lot of times it
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: hangs them over into the. Next GAME so i don't
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: Really like miami that, much here EVEN though i think
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: you could definitely make The argument perez is the better
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: of the. Two PITCHERS but, i mean if it's gonna
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: be a low, scoring GAME like i think, It is
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: cleveland has. A chance i think if you're gonna try
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: to Fire, ON cleveland I think i would do it
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: in the first, five THOUGH because i don't think they're
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: bulping is necessarily gonna be able to hold Up. To
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: miami he's given what the spot looks, Like There but
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna give out the under as that, Play, there yes,
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: Under Yes, jose Ramirez, h well They're not they're missing
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: a few other. GUYS too i think they're. MISSING uh
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: i don't even remember. Their names they're missing like a
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: few of their. Starting, Hitters, though biby, he's well he's
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: better than his. ERA suggests i think his whip is
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: basically indicative of what. HE is i don't really use
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: the advanced analytics. THAT much i think the advanced analytics
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: guys will basically be in agreement that he's similar TO what.
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: I think they'll say that he's similar to what his
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: numbers on the. SURFACE suggests i think it's probably what
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: their opinion. Would be Seattle At, TAMPA bay i mean
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: you could just. GO look i mean they use, Stat
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: cast i'm pretty sure is what, they use and they
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: just look at the expected era. And whatever i'm too
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: old school, with BASEBALL so i don't really. Do That
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: tampa bay won seven to. TWO yesterday I thought seattle
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: might have a decent shot at winning that game YESTERDAY
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: because I Thought luis castillo was a little bit under
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: the radar and it started pitching. Well again, But Nope
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: tampa bay got the win seven. To two this might
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: be the, spot though and, In fact i'm actually giving
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: this out as a play, as well the best bet
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: segment is two games in. A row i'm Gonna recommend
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: seattle money line here in. THIS game i think they're
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: Gonna Beat tampa bay in. This, ONE man i think
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: we're backing the better pitcher and the better. Bullpen here
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: seattle used four relief. Pitchers, YESTERDAY yeah i mean a little,
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: bit concerning but a couple of their better relievers didn't.
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: PITCH yesterday i still Don't Think tampa bay's bullpen is.
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: That good they used. Three Guys tampa bay's, ranked seventh
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: but their eray's in the, mid Fourth so i'm still
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: not really trusting. THAT ranking i think they're more of
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: a mid, tier Bullpen and seattle's, ranked fifteenth but their
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: erays like zero point eight runs Better Than. Tampa BAY
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: so I like seattle's bullpen a little bit More Than tampa.
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: Bay's here, Hitting Wise tampa bay does have. The edge
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: they're ninth Timee in milwaukee. RIGHT now i don't think
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: they're quite. That GOOD although I Know tampa bay is good,
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: at HOME and i know we're fading them Here In,
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: TAMPA bay i, get it but they did lose two
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: games To the yankees here.
• 52:55
  Speaker 3: At.
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: Home RECENTLY although I know seattle is Not, the YANKEES
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: but I think seattle is a little bit better than
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: the record. Might, suggest seattle they're, struggling offensively they're at
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: twenty fifth Tie, with ARIZONA but i think their offense
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: is better than that. WOULD suggest i don't think they're,
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: that bad and we're Gonna Back logan. Gilbert Here logan
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: gilbert has been really really good recently and really for
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: the most of. The season three point one To, ninety
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: ray point nine To, five whip and he's been really
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: good on the road one point seven To Three. Roady
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: Ray so i'm gonna jump in and back, that too
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: ALTHOUGH as i was, POINTING out i backed him in
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: one of his home. Starts recently his homey ra is,
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: misleadingly high like he's given up a bunch of home runs,
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: at home and it makes no Sense because seattle's not
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: a home run could douce a ballpark, at all and
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: his opponent batting average at home is almost as good
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: as it is on. The ROAD so i just think
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: he's good, either way but we are backing the better
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: of his home road. Splits here he's been really good recently,
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: in GENERAL though i know his last road start wasn't
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: that Good, against cleveland but he got a little. BIT unlucky,
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: i mean he went, seven innings had seven, st wrikeouts,
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: no walks so he was. Still good he's, been. Dealing
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: dude his strike out rate's been high recently for the last.
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: Month Plus that cleveland game is the only Game since
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: may sixteenth where he allowed more than, One run so.
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: Excuse me it was one of two games where he
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: allowed more than. One, run sorry he did it at
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: home Against, the, mets too which, you know not a,
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: great sign. But whatever he's pitching really well though for the.
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: Most part he's got a low, hit rate low, walk
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: rate high. Strikeout rate all those numbers look good indicate that.
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: He's legitimate Numbers Against, TAMPA bay i know they're, not
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: excellent BUT that ops is still below the seven to
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: fifty THRESHOLD that i look for two to eighty. BATTING
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: average i know that's, not great but they only have
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: six guys who have faced him twenty five. AT bats,
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: i mean the only guy that really has a large
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: sample size it's done okay against Him Is. Yondi Diaz
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: so i'm really not that worried about this seven seventeen
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: obs is still not really that high six to three
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: strike out. Walk ratio the way he's, Been pitching i'm
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: gonna take Him Over griffin jacks EVEN though I know
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: jackson has been pitching pretty Well For. Tampa bay and,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: YOU know, i mean the question, is Like Is tampa
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: bay gonna put an opener in front? OF him i
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: don't think, they are because he's made thirteen, starts NOW
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: so i think probably you could just pick both of
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: these starting pitchers must. Start here he's, been STARTING so
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: i expect that'll just continue because he's been. Pitching WELL
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: but i know we're gonna fade him here even though
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: he's been. Pitching well but if you look at what he's,
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: BEEN doing, i mean some of these offenses, In Here,
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: kansas City, EVEN miami i don't really think is as
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: good as. They look detroit and he didn't do well
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: in That. START anaheim, i mean those are not. Great,
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: Offenses here washington is and he did pretty, well there
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: and he did fairly well Against the yankees last. Time out,
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: SO yeah i mean that's not a. Bad SIGN but
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: i just think he's just nowhere near on the Level,
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: of gilbert even though he does have a decently low.
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: Hit rate his walk rate is a, bit high though
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: strike got raid, is decent pretty, High actually BUT still
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: i Don't think jacks is really. THAT good, i know
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: three POINT, sixty ra one point two two whip. Not
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: bad i'm still not fully, buying, it Though and i'd
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: much rather have the much more proven pitcher Here. In
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: gilbert jacks has not been Good against seattle and thirty
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: seven at bats three seventy, eight, average oney one eleven,
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: oh ps nine to eight strike up. Walk, RATIO yeah,
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: I mean i'm, gonna, say yeah we're Gonna back. SEATTLE
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: here i think we have the better starting, pitcher HERE and,
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: I guess, I mean i guess it's not gonna do
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: any harm To pick gilbert, must start but Don't pick,
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: tampa's starter because it's either Gonna be jacks or they're
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: gonna throw an opener in Front. Of JACKSON but i
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: think it will Just. Be jacks the money Is backing
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: seattle pretty. Strongly here getting them is really kind of
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: a slight, underdog PRICE which i kind of LIKE because
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: i don't think they're that bad of a TEAM and
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: i think they have some. Edges here fifty three percent
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: of Tickets, on tampa ninety one percent of the Cash,
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: on SEATTLE so i think the money is in AGREEMENT
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: with us total seven and. A half so it is a.
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: Low total the under is. GETTING money i do agree
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: with the under, as well. KIND of, i mean both
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: pitchers have been pretty much, pitching Well but jack does
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: have those really bad matchup, Numbers There so i'm playing
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: the side Here, with seattle BUT under i wouldn't really disagree.
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: With it sixty per tickets on, the over sixty five
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on. The under total is pretty.
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: Low though it's basically hanging, around seven and most books
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: there it looks like you can get an under seven
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: maybe at minus one twenty at some of the books.
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: Out there at the book that Is the, scoreboard book
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: if you KNOW what. I mean that used to BE the.
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: Espn one do what you want with. That info but
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: those are my two baseball, players there back, to back,
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: All right Philadelphia. And detroit detroit won the, game yesterday ten,
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: to two blowout Win. For detroit they won six straight
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: games or something. Like that detroit is on a roll.
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: Right now they're not, dead. Yet man Boston, and detroit
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: they're both still in the. Mix Here Their american league
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: is so bad that both teams could easily still make.
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: The playoffs detroit could definitely still win the win. Their
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: Division red sox are not gonna win, their division but
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: they definitely have a shot at a wild. Card still,
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: SO anyway i don't think those teams are. DEAD yet i.
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: DON'T think i don't think they're gonna pack it. In
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: yet detroit is a really difficult task here going Up Against,
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: christopher sanchez but this looks like a really good, pitching
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: matchup at least on. The SURFACE when i first looked,
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: AT this i, was, like, oh yeah that looks like.
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: An Under but i'm gonna stay away from, this one
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: and you'll see WHY when i get, to it just
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: the WAY that i. Handicapped this philadelphia Used two eliite.
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: Pitchers yesterday they've not been good out of the. Bullpen
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: recently detroit, used three but not very heavy. Usage here
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: detroit's bulpin's. Been alright their, ranked sixteenth but the era is,
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: below four not. Too bad phillies is well above for at,
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: this point they're twenty first mid. Four's, era yeah that's.
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: Not Great so detroit's got a Bullpen advantage detroit has
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: had the better, offense too. At nineteenth philly tied in
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: twenty second With The. Red, sox yeah not Great for,
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: philly Here and philly is not as good on the
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: road at, Hitting either so that's the spot. They're in
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: detroit is a is a pretty good, home Team, so philadelphia,
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: you know may still be up against it a. Little
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: bit but they're Going With, christopher sanchez and he was
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: awful in his last start Against, the ROYALS but i
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: did mention that he just he has bad numbers Against. The,
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: ROYALS dude i don't, know why But the royals have
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: been able to hit him throughout. THEIR careers i expect
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: him to. Bounce back he's too good, pretty much not
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: too by, the Way he's He's A red sox profile.
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: Pitcher there like one of you, guys said a lot
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: of left he's, tall, Left hees sanchez is one. Of
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: them two point SIX, two era one point one six
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: whip still really, good stuff even after his last. Bad
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: start but he's been bad on, the road believe it.
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: Or not five point three. To Two roady rain is.
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: A opponent patting average is really bad three. Twenty, seven
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: however those numbers are definitely being skewed by this Game Against.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: Kansas city it. Was, bad dude nineer runs all out
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: on twelve fits and three and a. Third innings he's
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: not gonna do. THAT again i don't think he's been
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: alternating good in. Beats, starts however his last three road
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: starts have all been, pretty bad so that's something to keep.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: In mind so that does worry me. A bit he
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: wasn't that Good, against washington wasn't that Good. Against milwaukee
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: the Start, AGAINST washington i would say it was a
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: little bit better than it looked because the strike got
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. Was good, BUT yeah i mean he's been
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: a little bit questionable on the. Road recently his hit
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: rate has gone up a, little bit it's still lower
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: than one. Per inning he has a really low, walk
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: rate so he's kind of, corrected that which was kind
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: of an issue earlier in. His career still has a
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: high strike, cut rate a lot of ground, balls induced
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: so he's still a good. Pitcher man he does have
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: good Numbers, against detroit but they really just don't have
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: much experience. Against him they have five guys who faced
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: him no extra base hits in fourteen. At bats one forty,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: three average three forty three oh ps six to one strikeout.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: Walk RATIO so i Do think sanchez more than likely
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: bounces back pitches. Well here detroit's Going With, casey mize
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: and he's been good. As well two point six four
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: e ra point nine to eight whip that's. Pretty good
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: he's been good at home two point one two home,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: he ray so he has the way better of the
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: home road. Splits here he pitched well Against the yankees two.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: Starts ago it was a little bit questionable when the prior,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: to starts one, of those also Against. The yankees pitched
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: reasonably well last Time. Against, TEXAS overall i mean he's got.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: Good numbers he's got a low, hit rate low, walk
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: rate reasonably high strikeout. Ry too there's not a lot
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: to dislike here About what mize has. Been, doing however
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: his numbers gets filly or. Not good this. Worries me
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: twenty two, at bats three sixty, four average one, thousand ops,
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: eight strikeouts. No walks it's a small, sample though and,
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: YOU know i, don't, Know man i'm not SURE if
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: i totally. Buy IT so i still think an under
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: probably makes more sense than anything else in. This game,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: BUT yeah i mean those those matchup numbers for mys
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: are a little, bit Concerning and sanchez's road struggles are,
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: Concerning too so, it's like which one of those do
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: you want to weigh, more heavily you KNOW what? I,
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: MEAN like i think the better way to look probably
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: is still the under and just lean. Into both these
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: pitchers are. Generally good we have sixty percent to, take
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: it seventy seven percent of the cash on the, over
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: though but it does look like it's a little bit
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: of a, public over Maybe because sanchez got annihilated in
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: his last game and the public doesn't really Know who.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: Mize is still probably seven and a half or seven
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: is the. Total there. It's low it's low for. A
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: reason i still think under does make some probably first five,
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: under Though because philly's bullpen is really something you want
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: to avoid at, This point so first five under probably makes.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: Some sense it'll be a low. Number though three and
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: a half probably money is also slightly Back. In philly although,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: they're public seventy percent of tickets seventy three percent of
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: the cash on them there at minus one thirty something
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: that's tough. To, GAUGE man, i mean they're a. Public
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: side you could make the Argument that philly just shouldn't
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: be that heavy of a favorite on the road against
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: a good home Team, in detroit And with miz on
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: the mound is still pretty good if you if you're
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: gonna lean into the, matchup, numbers Though then philly should
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: have the advantage in the. First five so you could,
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: do that but you're gonna have to pay a big price,
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: for it like you probably have to lay a half
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: Run with philly in the first five if you want to.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: DO that i don't like that. That much if you're
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: gonna lean into the home, road splits then you might
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: be able To grab detroit as an, Underdog HERE and
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: i would say if you're gonna, do that you should
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: do that in the full game and take advantage of
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: their bullpen and they might be able to pull. It
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: out BUT still i think maybe a first five under
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: is the better. Approach there but you CAN see i
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: have some questions about. That Game kansas City. And baltimore,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: THIS game i mean it KIND of, i mean this
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: series looks like it should be a series where a
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: lot of runs are gonna get scored because neither bullpen is,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: very good Especially Not. Kansas City's, kansas city though they
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: don't hit well on, the Road, ALTHOUGH baltimore, i mean
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: their stadium is definitely a bit more of an offensive.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: Friendly Stadium yesterday baltimore won five, to three so that
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: game did. Stay under baltimore used two, Relief Pitchers kansas city.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: Used Three kansas city is not a good bullpen the,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: ranked lasts but they debatably are Better. Than minnesota but.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: Who cares they're a really. Bad bullpen baltimore is middle
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: of the pack, at THIRTEENTH though i think they're a
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: little bit worse than that, Would SUGGEST so i don't
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: really love these bullpens that, much Here although baltimore's is
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: certainly Better Than. Kansas, city's offensively these two teams have
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: been doing our. Right Recently kansas city is sixteenth. Right
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: now baltimore tied in Seventeenth. With Texas But, kansas city
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: they haven't been that good on. The, ROAD man i,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: don't know looking at, this matchup it's kind of a
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: hard pitching matchup to Figure out Kansas the. City's Going With,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: NOAH cameron, I mean i generally kind of. LIKE him
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: i think he's. FAIRLY good i think he's better than
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: his numbers make him. Look here he was better, last
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: year but his numbers aren't great four point seven to
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: Seven e ra one point four or Five. Whip pier
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: this year he's been better on the, road though four
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: point three To Eight. Roady ray so he isn't the
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: better of his home road splits here. This year he
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: looked good in his last Outing, against philly but he
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: had a ton. Of walks he. Got, lucky dude you
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: can't walk five guys plus allowing six hits in five
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: innings to somehow limit your opponent to. One, run yeah
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: that's almost never. Gonna happen so he's not pitching well
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: like his previous four starts were all. Pretty questionable his
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: walk number's. Gone up this is. NOT good i don't
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: think he's in really good form. Right now he's got
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: a high. Hit rate that's. A problem his walk rate is,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: not horrible but it's not really that. Good either straight
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: got rate. Is okay that's right in line with where
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: you use what you usually get out. Of him baltimore
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: hasn't really seen, him though so YOU might i have
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an. Advantage here they only have
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: two guys that have Seen him Alonzo. And ward ward
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: is the only guy who has a hit, off him
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: it is. A single they're a combined two point fifty
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: off him seven to fifty Ops because alonzo does have
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: two Walks and ward has a strikeout. As well BUT whatever, I,
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: mean cameron he might have a little bit of an
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: advantage here because he's Unfamiliar to. Baltimore's OFFENSE but i
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: don't KNOW if i trust him with how he's been.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Performing recently baltimore's Going With kyle bradish AND now i
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: think he's, not bad but he's not as good as his.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: Era indicates three point seventy five, y array but he's
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: got some. Walk, Issues man he's got a one point
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: four whip that is. Not good like he's getting away
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: with putting guys on base. Right now he's been better at,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: home though, for sure like significantly so actually three point
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: four to four, y array but his opponent batting average
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: is significantly better. At home it's below. Two hundred pitch
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: well last time Out, against cincinnati but his walk rate
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: was a concern throughout the Month, Of june so do
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: what you want. With that he pitched well as far
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: as the amount of runs he was allowing in the Month.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: Of may but his walk rate has been an issue.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: All season he's thrown a lot, of innings he hasn't
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: allowed that. Many hits his strike up rates, pretty good
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: got a lot of ground ball outs here, as well
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: but his walk rate. Is bad like that's his one
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: main issue is he's walking almost one guy every. Two
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: winnings you cannot, Do that so that's his. Main issue
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: but if he doesn't walk that, many guys he's actually a.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: Good pitcher but he's got to figure. That Out Against,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: kansas city he hasn't. Been good twenty four, at bats
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: three thirty, three average eight eighty. Seven, ops again the
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: walks have kind of been an, issue there five to
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: four strike out. WALK ratio i don't KNOW if i
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: fully trust. HIM in i don't know HOW much i
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: trust either. Pitcher here I'M and i think probably this
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: game does look like more of an over than. Anything
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: else the money seems to really agree, with that fifty
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: six percent of tickets on. THE under I don't i don't.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: GET that i don't think the public is coming in
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: and playing this game under eighty five percent of the
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: cash on, the over though the total is right on
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: that key number, of nine so you can get right
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: on that key number if you do want to. Play
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: that the over is what makes the most sense in.
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: That game the starting pitching is difficult to figure OUT
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: because I think cameron basically has the better match, up
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: Here but bradish has been the better of the, two
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: PITCHERS so i don't know what to do. With that
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: baltimore is favored by quite a bit minus one fifty.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: Something here maybe that's a bit too much of a
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: price to. BE laying, i Mean does Baltimore with bratish on,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: the mount do they really deserve to be that heavy of.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: A favorite i FEEL like i said that yesterday Though
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: with young on, the mound and they. Still won but,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: YOU know i, don't, KNOW man i don't know if it's.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: Really deserved eighty one percent of tickets eighty six percent
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: of the Cash, on baltimore so the money Is backing
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: baltimore a. Little bit they're a public, side. TOO though i, don't,
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: Know man it's a tough game to. Figure out most
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: of the rest of these games are pretty difficult to.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: Figure OUT so i don't have any plays. On them
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: i'll be right back AND then i will talk about
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: w N, b a AND then i do Have A world.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: Cup play we Have Two world cup GAMES and i
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: like both, of THEM but i settled on one PLAY
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: that i think is better than. The rest i'll be right. Back,
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: YEP inside i want to. Kill myself WE'RE on own
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 3: It was just.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: Complete bullshit so That's that's i'm gonna start off this
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: Show horrible sunday one. AND five i don't even know
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: what to tell you. ABOVE that i just don't want
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: to do. THIS anymore i have never seen anything. Like
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: this man with the, slump continuing two, straight losses not
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: a good day. AT all own four next have not
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: had a. Good season Man, with wickens the Slump that
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: i'm on and the, Slump continues i've reached. Into, Pink
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: actually i'm going to Burn my. Bruins. HAT man i
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on With. The bruins, march
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: eight is that what? IT is i don't even know
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: It's it's. MARCH ninth i think who? Even, KNOWS man
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: i don't.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: Know what day it.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: Is ANYMORE but i don't even know what day it. Is,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: anymore man back with you after the worst DAY that
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: i could possibly have back with YOU as i always
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: AM until i die at least oh. And two yesterday
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: and yesterday it did not go well. For me own
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: five the worst Month that i've ever had in my
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: eighteen years. DOING this i don't know what to even
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: tell you about. This anymore to the, slump series the
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: slump of discontaining is the. Slump continues somebody fucking, kill.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: ME please i don't even KNOW what i should do at,
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: this point other than potentially end it all. All right
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: next game up is WHERE did i? Leave? Off houston
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: texas don't even want to talk about? This, MATCHUP yeah I.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: MEAN texas I mean houston got right back in that
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: game yesterday and then their bullpen completely blew It after
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: texas's bullpen blew it seven. To THREE like, i said
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: it wasn't really totally indicative of what happened in. That
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: game the game was closer. Than That, but houston we
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: did lay a price. With them so it was a. Losing.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: Day yesterday the day before that was exactly a. Break even, So,
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: THIS oh i forgot the bann OR no. I didn't
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: i was GONNA say i forgot. THE banner i did,
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: not THOUGH but i do have to look and make
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: sure that. It's right i'll FORGET if i. Updated. It
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: anyway astros used two relief, Pitchers yesterday texas. USED three
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: i think the bullpens. ARE close, I mean houston wasn't.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: Great yesterday they're back to eighteenth and bullpen their era
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: is a little. Bit, Higher again texas probably is the better.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: Bullpen yesterday part of it was that they had used
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: their better relievers the day, before that but now that's
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: not the Case. Of texas they've been not quite as good.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: Recently though they're at tenth. Right Now, but, texas yeah
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: probably is the, better bullpen and, you know given the,
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: REST scenario i think that probably works out. That, WAY
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: houston i think is the. Better offense they are fourteenth,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: Right now, texas seventeenth Tied. With baltimore We know texas
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: doesn't really hit that well, at, HOME though i do
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: keep pointing, that out although they did win it with,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: seven runs, but again they had three runs yesterday until
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: that eighth, innning explosion, so still, You know texas has
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: a tendency to play low scoring games. At home in,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: my opinion this might be one. Of them, You Know
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: peter lambert is Pitching. For houston he's been pretty decent.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: This year three point TWO, sixty ra one point one
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: to five whip, not bad a little bit better on.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: The road three point. H Eight roady ray was pretty
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: good last time Out Against, tampa bay shut them out
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: for five and. Two thirds he's not going that deep
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: into some of these, outings here but he's been generally.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: Pretty good low, hit rate he has not been. Very
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: hittable his walk rate is a little bit of. An
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: issue it's a little. Bit high strike out rate, Is mediocre,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: BUT yeah i think he's an r. PITCHER again i
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: just think that his career kind of got totally thrown
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: off by the fact that he Was in. COLORADO'S organization
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: i think pitchers just die in. That Organization, against texas
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: his numbers are a little bit all over. The place
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: in thirty eight at bats to thirty, seven average eight
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: seventy eight ohps is not, good though nine to five
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: strike out, walk Ratio Though jock peterson has done a
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: lot of, that damage so if he can get, around
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: him he might do a little. Bit better possible player prop, Potential,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: there peterson, you know hits Fus RUN swiss rbi. Is over,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: BUT yeah i, don't, know man and some of that
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: might Have been lambert in the. Past too i'm not
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: sure like he might pitch al. Right Here kumar rockers
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: pitching For. The rangers he's been okay three point nine TO.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: Five yarra his whip suggested AS he ra should be higher,
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: than that though one point three. To four that's not.
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: That good he's been a little bit worse, at home
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: WHICH usually, i mean that hasn't been the case with
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: him like. Last year i'm pretty sure he was definitely
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: better at home four point two at home this, year
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: though but it's still more pitcher. FRIENDLY parks i don't
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: know what the deal is. With that wasn't really particularly
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: good last time here at Home. AGAINST detroit I think
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: i might have lost on an under in. THAT one i.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: Don't remember he was pitching fairly well prior. To that
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: the last two the two starts prior to that were both.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: Pretty good, HIS numbers, i mean his hit rate is.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: Reasonably low his walk rate is, Too high like he's
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: got to fix. These walks that's his. Main issue strike
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: out rate is not, too high but that's not really.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: His Thing. Against houston he actually has been. Pretty good
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: it's seventeen, at bats two thirty, five average six, ninety
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: ops four to one strike got, walk ratio one extra
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: mase hit, allowed there which is a home Run From
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: jordan Alvarez Or. Don, ALVAREZ yeah i, don't, KNOW man
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: i mean, this game this game could be an. Under
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: him maybe it'll be, an under you know the MINUTE
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: that i don't want to jump on. An under and
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: he Used the, texas game although on the under yesterday
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: either In a texas. HOME game I mean i wasn't on.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: It yesterday but this game might wind up being one
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: totals at eight and, a half fifty two percent of
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on, the, OVER
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: though i think a first five under might be the
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: better way and Maybe avoid houston's. Bullpen, again there the
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: money's Also. BACKING texas i do agree. With that fifty
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: one percent of Tickets on houston's sixty percent of the
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: Cash on texas looks like a little bit of a
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: Pros versus joe's kind of market, Read there texas is a,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: small favorite like minus. ONE seventeen i think they do
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: have the, bullpen EDGE and I think rocker at least
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: has the, matchup edge which IS what i just showed.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: YOU through I think lambert is probably the better of
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: the two pitchers generally, right, Now THOUGH so i. DON'T
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: know i like those things to all kind. Of coincide,
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: But Yeah i'm i'm not playing that, game obviously. All,
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: right yeah hopefully that WAS all i needed to say.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: ABOUT That espn Unlimited Has chicago Cubs And Cincinnati hunter
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: green bounced. Back yesterday four nothing win For the. Reds
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: yesterday I'M pissed i did not put that under on
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: my CARD because i liked. The under the first. FIVE
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: under i think either one of them hit in that.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: Game Yesterday the cubs used two. Elite pitchers reds not a.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: Good bullpen they used two. As well let me make
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: sure that that was. The, Case, WHOOPS no i don't Want,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: TO no i don't want to download this. Web, page no,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: hold on let me just make sure. Of, This um yeah.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: It was it was under through the first five. For
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: sure cincinnati scored three runs in the. Seventh, inning yeah
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: so both starting pitchers did. Well yesterday, THIS game i
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: would not be inclined to play an under in. THIS
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: one I will i will say That the reds bullpen.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: Is bad they're at. Twenty seventh they're not. Very Good
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: the cubs haven't been good really out of the bullpen.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: Recently either they're down. To fourteenth they're better Than, the
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: reds but they have not been doing. Well recently cubs
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: often this has. Been good they're. At Fifth the reds
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: offense is still not doing too well at, twenty fourth
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: but still, THIS game, i mean these pitchers are nowhere.
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: Near elite Let's Say javier asade is pitching For. The
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: cubs his numbers are, all right four point one to Five,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: y ray one point. One whip some of that was
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: coming out of. The bullpen he's not been good on
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: the road, at all five Point Nine, roady ray so
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: he has extreme splits and he hasn't been good on.
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: The road last time Out Against, saint louis he held,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: them scoreless but he didn't make it. Five innings his
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: last few starts really have not, been impressive especially given
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: that it Was Against, Saint Louis san Diego. THE mets,
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: i mean those are not great, offenses THERE so i
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: don't Like what. I'm seeing it Looks like asad was
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: just really Good Against, san francisco and he's just not
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: good against, anybody ELSE so i don't trust. Him here
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: he does have a low, hit rate walk rate isn't,
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: too bad strike out rate is. Really low he doesn't
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: strike guys out Against. The reds he's actually done, all,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: right though sixty four, at bats two thirty, four average
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: six seventy nine, oh ps twenty one to eight strike
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: up walk ratio is not. That good but the rest
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: of those numbers are. Pretty good so maybe he at
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: least draws an okay. Matchup HERE but i DON'T think i,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: trust HIM and i DON'T think I Trust nick lodolo
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: on the other side either For. The reds four point
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: SIX eighty ra one point four to Six whip that
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: is Not Good. Nick lododo although, YOU know, i mean
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: if you look at what he's done throughout, HIS career
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: i think he is probably better than these. Numbers suggest
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: but he's not having a. Good season he's been bad
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: at home five point five, Home, Here ray so both
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: of these pitchers are in the worst of their home
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: road splits pretty. Significantly here although he pitched well his
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: last two, home starts he actually wasn't, too bad although
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: one was short four Innings. AGAINST milwaukee i don't know
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: why they took him out of. That GAME maybe i
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: don't know what happened in, that game, Rain Delay maybe
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: i'm not sure what. Happened there but he was pitching.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: Well enough he should have stayed in. That one But
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: he's he's allowed only one run over his last, fifteen
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: innings so he is pitching, better recently and two of
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: those games are, at home so you know he's in
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: better form. Right now at the. Very least he's got
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: a hit rate that's a little bit high on, the
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: season though it's walk rate given you know how many innings.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: He's pitched that walk numbers, too high strike out rate
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: and not particularly good Against. The cubs he's not good
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: in one hundred. At bats they've seen a lot. Of
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: him three, twenty average ninety, eighteen ops twenty four to
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: thirteen strike out. Walk ratio none of those numbers. Are
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: Good ian Happ And nick Nico horn are both do
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: a lot of damage. Against him suzuki, also does so
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: do with that what, you want but there are a
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: few bats in that lineup to do damage. AGAINST him
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: i think this game reads is an over, to me
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: but you do have, To put, you know you have
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: to go over really high total in. This one the.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: Totals ten it's a hitter. FRIENDLY park, i mean the
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: total is high for, a reason and the money is
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: still backing the over fifty three percent, of tickets ninety
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on. THE over i don't
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: quite want to. DO it, i, Mean again lodola is
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: at least in better form, Here reasonally asad is in
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: the worst form but has the better. Matchup numbers so,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: it's like where does this? GAME go i. DON'T know
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: i still think the safest way to go is, the
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: over because you're at least backing a couple of BULLPENS
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: that i think are. Pretty fatable, right now the money Is.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: Backing cincinnati for what, that's worth seventy two percent of
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: the tickets are On, the cubs sixty six percent of
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: the cash On. The reds the public is of course
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: going to Back the cubs because they're actually a slight.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: Underdog here it's basically like A. Pickham price public is
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: gonna be on that team it has the, better record
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: money coming in On. The cincinnati if you're Gonna, PLAY
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: cincinnati i think you should do it in the. First
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: five there's no way that you could back. That bullpen
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: do with that info what, you WANT but i still
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: think the over is the better look in. That, game gerald? What's? Up,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: Man no i've not been able to go To and
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: oh for, a while somewhat. TREADING water, i mean yesterday was.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: A loss i'm not happy. About that i'm trying to do. It.
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: Here man the goal today is two. AND one i
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: have three. Plays today Atlanta And. Saint Louis saint louis
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: won the game two to. One. Yesterday interesting pretty, sure,
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: THAT dude i told you not To play atlanta, yesterday
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: again just too heavy a price to Pay On chris,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: sale There And saint louis was able To hold atlanta's.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: Offense down atlanta's offense has not been particularly. Good, recently
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: atlanta they do have the. Better bullpen they have some,
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: usage recently these four guys out of. The Bullpen saint
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: louis not a. Great bullpen they, Use five so you
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: still got to give the bullpen advantage to the number,
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: one Bullpen, still atlanta even Though the yankees have a
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: little bit Better, E ray i Still think atlanta is
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: the best. Bullpen Here. Saint Louis maybe I'm Biased, saint,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: louis no but the numbers suggest that just because their
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: whip is better and the e ray is not. Significantly,
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: Worse Uh saint louis has not been very good their
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: twentieth in. THE bullpen, i mean they're not like, a
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: horrible but they're, not great kind of middle of. The,
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: Road Obviously saint louis is a twentieth, in offense which
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: isn't really that. Good either atlanta's Fifteenth that atlanta really
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: hasn't been doing that much. Offensively recently they've been better on,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: THE road i think at hitting. This Year saint louis
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: has been worse at home at hitting, This year so
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: keep that, IN mind. I GUESS but i think we're
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: looking at a at least a pitcher friendly. Ballpark, here
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: HOWEVER these i don't like these. Starting Pitchers ronaldo lopez
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: is pitching For. The braves he's basically back in their
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: starting rotation because. Of injuries although he's been okay three
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: point ONE eighty ra one point two, seven whip although
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: that's a lot of that is out of, the bullpen
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: he's been slightly worse on the road three point four
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: to Eight road era opponent batting average is way worse on, the,
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: road though so he's not as good on. The road
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: he was good he Actually Faced. Saint louis two starts.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: Are going he pitched well in that one, at home
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: held him to one run in, five innings but he's
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: not really going deep into. These outings seems like maybe
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: they are ramping up his pitch count a little, bit
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: HERE but i don't KNOW if i would bank on
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: him going more than five innings this, time, out though
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: although he was decent in his last two starts Against
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: This saint louis team and Against, the Mets But, saint
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: louis having just gotten to look, at him may do better.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 2: This timeout lopez overall does have a pretty low. Hit
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: rate his walk rate is too. High though strike got rate,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: is okay but those walks are definitely. An issue Numbers
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: Against saint louis, are good but a lot of it
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: was that one start last. Time out twenty two, at
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: bats they only have one extra base hit Double. From
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: herrera eight to two strike out, walk ratio own ninety,
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: one average two ninety. Six ops those are. Good numbers
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: he matches up Well Against, saint louis and he's going
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: Up Against, matthew libertore who is not good five point THREE,
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: four era one point five to. Three whip he's only
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: slightly better at home five point two to four home
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: he ara very. Minimal there he, WAS okay i guess
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: in his last. Two starts one of them was actually Against.
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: The braves, he won hit them through five innings and allowed,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: one run but he walked, four guys so that's. Not
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: good he struck, out NINE which i don't expect that to.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: HAPPEN again, i mean he's not a. Strikeout pitcher his
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is kind. Of mediocre hit rate is, too
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: high walk rate is. TOO high, i mean not really
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: a lot to. Like here fair amount of home runs,
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: allowed too although that number should be down a little
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: bit pitching. At home, but still this doesn't look. Great
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: here he has been going Against, the, braves though wasn't
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: just that one, recent start and Maybe the braves turn
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: it around to do. Better here but forty six, at
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: bats sixteen to seven strikeout, walk razier that's. Not good
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: but one fifty two average four ninety Eight. Ohps libratre
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: you know he might actually pitch. WELL here i mean
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: it might sound a little insane because this pitching matchup
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: doesn't look good on. The service but this game might be.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: An under maybe, first five and then You Avoid saint,
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: louis's Bullpen and atlanta's bullpen's not too well, rested here
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: maybe a first five under in this game makes. Some
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 2: sense the full game totals at eight uh so it's
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: probably a four and a half in the. First five
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: then money's coming in on. The under sixty five percent
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: of tickets seventy one percent of the cash on. THE
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: under i highly doubt any of that is. Public money
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: the public is not playing an under In A Ronaldo lopez.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: Libratorre game there's no way the money is Significantly Backing.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: Saint louis seventy eight percent of Tickets on atlanta eighty
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: six percent of the Cash On saint louis getting them
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: as a small underdog. PRICE there i think the argument
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: is just that this game could. BE close i would
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: only do that in the first FIVE if i was
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: Gonna Play, saint louis you did not want. Their Bullpen
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: maybe libratory can keep. IT close i don't EVEN think
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: i would want to bank, on, THAT though, I mean
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: lopez has pretty good matchup numbers here. AS well I
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: think I lean atlanta in, this one probably even though it,
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: worries me because it looks way too easy To take
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: atlanta the team with the better record as a. Small
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: underdog that looks way too easy. To me so that's
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: not exactly something in. My repertoire Playing On ronaldo lopez
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: frankly is not necessarily really am my, Repertoire EITHER but
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: i don't know the way that. GAME looks i Think
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 2: maybe atlanta in the full game has enough advantages to pull,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: that OUT but i. Don't know. Whip it WHAT did
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: i say about? The, whip yes? Dirty sock? What's? O?
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: Yes oh? Thank you five, hundred subs it'll drop right below.
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: FIVE hundred i Don't think i'm able to, monetize YET
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: but i might. Have, to look you might have to
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: have five hundred for like a certain amount of time
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: or something so that they're sure that you're gonna. Maintain
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: THAT but i post It, on twitter AND maybe i
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: should keep. DOING that, i mean it doesn't take anything
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: to just subscribe to me. AT least, i mean you
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: don't even have to watch my videos if, you subscribe
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: but they'll show up on your, recommended, videos man but
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: maybe you'll be interested in all This autism Toronto And.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: San diego on, the surface this looks like a big
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: pitching mismatch that favors to and maybe, it is but
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: they're an underdog here and that worries me because it
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: looks kind of easy To play. TORONTO here, i mean
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: it's Not Like san diego's been playing. THAT well i
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: mean they're below, five HUNDRED although I believe toronto probably
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: has a worse. Record, here yeah but it's only. Slight
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: though toronto's won three games in a, row though and
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: they won yesterday too Here In, san diego so it
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: looks a little bit easy. To play To play. Toronto
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: here they use four relief or five relief. Pitchers yesterday that's.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: Not good they're an, okay BULLPEN but I Think san diego's.
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: Is Better san diego's seen some, usage recently but. They're
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: better relievers did not really come into the, game yesterday
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: so they're they're decently rested here in, my opinion these three.
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: Guys Yesterday san diego's only ranked where are they twelveth?
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: In BULLPEN but i keep saying they're better. THAN that
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: i think that continues to. Be true they're Up, against
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: toronto who is ranked ninth. AND bullpen i think they're
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: not quite. That good they're an, okay bullpen though neither
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: offense has. Been good twenty Seventh for toronto tie With.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: The mets that's. Not Good san diego is still dead
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: last And the mets have kind of left them in. The,
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: dust yeah that's not a. Good sign and this is
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: a pitcher friendly park, Here too so there are numerous
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: things that make this look like an under him and
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: maybe that is the better way to approach. This game
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: Toronto Has Trey is. Savage pitching he's good a three
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: point three TO one era one point h eight whip.
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: That's good he's been better on the road to two
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: point three. To Six roady ray should probably pitch. WELL
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: here i mean he's been pitching. Well recently he's allowed
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 2: two or fewer on runs in his last. Three starts that's.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: Pretty good really low, hit rate he's been. Basically unhittable
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is too, high though that's his one
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: issue is way too. Many walks strike got raided is? All,
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: right uh he might pitch well, here though because he's
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: going up against a weak offense in a pitcher friendly
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: ballpark and they've never faced. Him before SO again i
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: will say that it's an advantage to a talented young
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: pitcher when the opposing offense has never seen. Him Before So,
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: Y savage, i think does line up to pitch well
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: here he's going Up Against, walker bueller, YOU know, I
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: laugh But maybe buehler might actually pitch. Okay here he's not,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: great obviously five point oh Seven e ra one point
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: three to. Nine whip he's better, at home which makes
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: sense because this is a more pitcher friendly park four
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: point oh Six. Homy ra his opponent batting average is
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: way lower. At home wasn't good in his last home.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: Start though he got a little bit Bombed, by arizona
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: but it was a little bit misleading seven runs in,
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: five innings but it was on seven hits in one
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: walk with, four strikeouts so he got a little bit.
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: Unlucky there he was legitimately bad in the previous start At,
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: The CUBS but, I mean i think that was one
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: of those games where they were playing in like a
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: Hurricane In, wrigley field you KNOW what. I mean it
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: was one of those games where the total was like
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: thirteen and win was fifty miles. An hour maybe not,
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: quite that but strong winds blowing. Out There so i'm
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: not to really put much weight. Into that bueller was
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: actually pitching really well throughout the Month. Of, JUNE yeah,
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: i mean obviously he's not an excellent form, right NOW
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: but i, don't, know MAN and i think he might
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: kind of come back into forum here in. This one
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: his hit rate is not really, that good his walk
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: rate is, just okay his strike gut rate is. JUST okay,
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: i mean obviously none of these numbers, are great, but
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: again he pitches better. At home he was pitching better
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: up until those last couple, of starts and Only really
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: i'm kind of questioning both the legitimacy of both of
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: those Starts. Against toronto he's been good on forty one,
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: at bats one seventy, one average six, eighteen ops twelve
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: to three strike out. Walk ratio those numbers are. Not,
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: BAD yeah i think under is probably the way. TO look,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: i mean these bullpens ARE both i think. Decent enough
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: maybe you gotta worry a little bit about, the USAGE
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: but i think the bullpens can kind of get it.
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: Done here money is backing the over a little bit here,
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: at eight but fifty percent of tickets seventy four percent
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: of the cash on, THE over I just i don't agree.
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: WITH it i think the under is the way to.
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: PLAY that i probably wouldn't Disagree with toronto in the.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: FIRST five i Think you savage is just the better Pitcher,
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: over BUELLER so i probably agree. With that the money
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: does agree. With that sixty percent of tickets eighty seven
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: percent of. The cash that's full Game, on, toronto though
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: as a little bit of, AN underdog i think if
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: you're playing them, first five you're gonna be paying a
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: favorite price, for them but it probably won't be. Too
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: high it'll be a little bit of a favorite. Price
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: THERE but i think that's probably the Way because toronto's
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: bullpen isn't the better one and. It's UNRESTED but i
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: Think y savage may have the upper Hand over, bueller
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: There so toronto verse five, Makes SENSE but i still
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: think the under is what makes the most sense to.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: Me there then We have arizona And, the dodgers and
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: this is hour and a half just for. Baseball, here
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: Man the dodgers got bombed yesterday nine. To three otani
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: didn't actually pitch in the, game THOUGH so i don't
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: know what. Happened there otani was supposed, to pitch And
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: like dodgers announced late that they were gonna go the,
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: bullpen GAME so i don't know what the hell went.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: On there otani was in the, lineup though and he
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: hit a, home run but then nothing went well For
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: the dodgers. After that but it was a spot. BULLPEN game,
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 2: i mean that's not good and that might carry it
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: carry over to. This game So the dodgers have a
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: really used. Bullpen here they use seven relief. Pitchers yesterday
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: the good, news is if you tried to play, that
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: game you Specified that otani must pitch. Your game your,
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: you know you were probably Banking on otani in some
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: way there and it, didn't happen so your bet, Didn't
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: count so at least. That's good, but Yeah, the dodgers
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: this is a used up bullpen, after yesterday. Seven, guys
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: yeah that's. Not good arizona's bullpen is, not horrible and
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: they used three guys out of. Their bullpen they're ranked
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: fifth And the dodgers are. Ranking sixth AND bullpen i
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: still need to Think the dodgers are the better bullpen,
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: in general but in, this game given what the rest,
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: looks like you might have to tilt the Bullpen. Towards.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: Arizona here dodgers are obviously the way. Better offense they're,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: Number one arizona number, twenty five even though they broke
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: out yesterday tied With. The seattle for what, that's worth
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: this game looks like a big time mismatch in favor Of. The,
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: Dodgers Here brandon fott is Pitching. For arizona he was
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: in the miners for. A while i think they brought him,
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: back up and, YOU know, i mean maybe he might
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: be pitching a little, bit better but he's got a
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: four point eight TO four era one point three to.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: FOUR whip, i mean it's a little bit weird because
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 2: he's not that old and he was a decent pitcher for,
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 2: a WHILE so i don't know what his. Deal is
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: he's been better on the, road though four point one
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: To Nine, roady ray so at least There's. That attle
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: those opponent batting average is actually higher on. The road
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: but as you, CAN see i think he was in
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: the miners since his last start Against. The dodgers that
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: was the last straw that might not be not have been.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: A start that might have been a relief, appearance actually
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: but he didn't do well in his, last outing which
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: was Against, the dodgers his last outing before he went To.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 2: THE miners, I mean i'm pretty sure they sent him To.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: The miners they brought him back Up in he's actually pitched.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: Well twice he Pitched Against san francisco though, at home
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: and then on the Road At. San diego, Uh yeah needless,
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: to Say the dodgers are a way better Lineup Than
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: san Francisco And. San DIEGO so i don't really know
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: how much weight to put, into that but maybe fot,
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: you know he's given he's been given. Another chance maybe
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: his confidence is boosted a little bit by being back
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 2: in the majors and having a couple of good starts under.
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: His belt he doesn't do well Against the dodgers typically
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: the one hundred and thirty one, at bats they've seen
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: a lot, of him twenty nine to eight strike at
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: walker ratio two ninety, eight average eight. Fifty ops so
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: this is probably not a game where he's really gonna do,
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: that well and he's gonna have to go Up Against,
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: yoshinobu yamamoto who is obviously the better pitcher here two
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: point four To ninety ray point eighty. Eight whip he's
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: been a little bit worse at home two point. Sixty
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: Seven homie ray is still. Not bad he's basically been
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: in good form. ALL season, i mean when he has a,
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: bad start it's a little bit of. A fluke usually.
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: He's well he's got a low, hit rate low, walk
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: rate high strikeout Rate or i'm not really that high
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: of a strikeout, rate actually but. Reasonably high, he's good we.
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: Get it he's Good against arizona. As well in a
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: big sample eighty seven, at bats twenty two, to five
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio one seventy two average five oh. Five
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: ops dodgers look like they have a huge edge here
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 2: in the, starting pitching maybe not so much in. The
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: bullpen you gotta pay a massive price if you Want
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 2: the dodgers here though they're minus two seventy. Something here
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: you can't do. That obviously they're public ninety five percent,
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety one percent of the cash On. The
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: dodgers if you really want to Play, THE dodgers, I
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: mean i think you should just focus on the. Starting
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: pitching edge and find some way to, do that maybe
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: Like a dodger's run line in the, first five but
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: the price is so high you're probably. Asking him you're
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: probably laying like minus one run in the. First five it's,
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: an option and maybe it's one of the best options than,
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: this GAME because i would not Want the dodgers'. Bullpen
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: here the money is back in. THE over i don't
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: KNOW if i. SEE that, i mean another way to.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: PLAY this, i mean you're gonna lose the edge that
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: you Get With. Yama moto but another way you could
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: play this is To play dodgers just to go over
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: their team total and just to just Wail On. BRANDON fott,
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: i mean you could do it that way And the
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: dodgers should bounce back to some. Extent here if you,
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: do that you're probably needing to score six, runs though so,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: you know obviously they're capable of. Doing that though maybe that's. The,
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: WAY yeah, i mean maybe that's the best approach because you,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: couldn't look, You know arizona team, total UNDER but i
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: would worry About the dodgers' bullpen giving up some. Runs
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: there yamamoto should hold up his end of the bargain
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: so maybe if you find a book that gives you
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 2: the real granular Option of arizona under their team total
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: in the, first five you could do it that way
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: and just Focus on yamamoto. Dominating them but there really
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: aren't great options to play. That, Game man it's just
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: the way that it is where this is an, obviously huge.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: Huge mismatch, oh well, THANK you i thank you for getting.
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: Me subscribers there ANYWAY that i could? Do, it man,
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: all right we GOT some. Wnba here there were actually
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: a couple of interesting. Games here the big game is
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: THE big abc after noon Game Between new York, and
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: minnesota which is probably the best team In the east
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: against the best team In. The west Even though minnesota
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: did not Make The Commissioner's, cup final they probably didn't
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 2: give a shit. About it minnesota is Still, without collier
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: who is looking like she's supposed to be, back soon
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 2: but it's not gonna be in. This game you Gotta
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 2: think minnesota's showing up with focus here because they did
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: just Lose In new york by double digits Back on,
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: july third so they may have some adjustments to. Make
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: there they just had a pretty bad Performance, against connecticut.
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 2: Really twice kind of explainable in a return home spot
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: coming up that big Game Against. New york they did
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: not play Well, against connecticut lost. The Game. Bad connecticut
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 2: it's a really. BAD team I thought minnesota would bounce
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: back and play better on the road after That against,
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 2: connecticut again and they, did win although they. DIDN'T cover
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: i think they probably were just looking ahead to. This
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: game they're coming off a couple of really. Ugly, performances,
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: man see gotta think you're Gonna get minnesota's best effort here,
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: in revenge. Quick revenge this is a big game. For
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: them maybe they even in the back of, their minds
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: want to, prove, like hey we could have been In
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: The commissioner's, cup fine Especially Because new york won It.
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: AGAINST vegas I think minnesota might, be, thinking well if,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: we win, this game will prove that we're Better than,
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 2: vegas too you KNOW what. I mean i don't really
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: want to fade the liberty, here, though either because they've
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: not been playing great. Basketball recently, you know they lost
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: a couple of games On The west coast trip on,
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: the road came back home huge Win, over minnesota AND
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: then I believe i, gave you guys a Play on
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: dallas in the next. Game there In the liberties last,
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: Game there dallas got to win there in. AN upset
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: i think it was. A letdown i said it was,
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 2: a sandwich but it was the juicy lucy, that's right
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: which makes more sense in a female. Sport, too yeah
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: because that's what. You want you want THESE w nba
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: players to be gushing their cheese all out into. Your
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: mouth that's what. You want i'm gonna, get, banned man.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: Probably not you two probably allows that they. Allowed degenerously,
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: but Yes the liberty could be in a bounce back
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: spot because they Lost to dallas as, a big pretty.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: BIG favorite i mean that. Wasn't good obviously. It was
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 2: you can kind of explain why they lost that. GAME
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: too i think they just were in a. Sandwich spot
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: they were coming up a big Win. Against minnesota they Were.
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: Overlooking dallas they had this big Game against minnesota on.
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: DECK two i think that's. What happened i'm Gonna lean,
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: minnesota HERE but i think both teams show up, for
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: this so it's it's not an. Easy handicap the Money's Backing.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: New york minnesota is a five. Point favorite well that's
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: one of the. Other things Why is minnesota a five point?
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: Favorite here they were gonna be a one and a half, Point,
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: favorite Like is collier actually? COMING back i don't. THINK
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: so i don't know what's going on with this. Number
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 2: Here new york has fifty five percent of tickets eighty
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash, on them by, the way
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: for what. THAT'S worth i want to figure out why
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 2: this line moved, Now though uh the Game In new,
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: york recently comparing the, Number here minnesota was a two
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite in that, game though and
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: that was obviously without, call here so that's in line
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: with them being a five and a half point. Favorite
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: Here if minnesota was two and a half on, the
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: road then they should be about five and a. Half
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: HERE so i guess It's, PROBABLY miles i guess would
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: be what's Going On, olivia miles the star Rookie that.
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: Minnesota has she must have still. BEEN out i think
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: that's probably what's going. On here let, me see did
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 2: she miss that? Last? Game yes, she did, all right,
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: All RIGHT so i think that's what's Going. On miles
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: she might be back in. This game let me see
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: what's the news. On her we don't have any news.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: ON that i think, that's WHY though i think she's,
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: Coming back so that actually makes me not like as
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: much like the spot makes Me think minnesota the minus
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: five and. A HALF but I, think miles, you know,
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: coming back it's gonna be the reverse injured, player theory
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 2: you KNOW what. I mean even though she's, a rookie
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: she's one of their. Best players she's Gonna be rookie
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: Of the year. Or WHATEVER so i think because that's
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: gonna skew the number, a Bit and minnesota got used
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: to playing without her a. Little bit, YOU know i
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 2: was talking about reverse injured. Player theory she has to
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: work her, way back the team has to get used
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: to their Roles against that Actually Benefits new york a
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: little bit in. This game, So yeah i'm not gonna play.
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: THIS game, i mean a game where both teams are gonna.
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 2: Show up an under seems to make some sense at
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: one seventy two and. A half the total hasn't really moved.
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: At all actually it's moved up a little bit in.
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: Some books but the money is the tickets look like
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 2: they're all over. The under it looks like the public
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 2: is playing, the under which makes. NO sense, i mean
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: the public doesn't, play unders but a game where you
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 2: have two pretty good defenses that should focus on defense
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: in this game seems under its. To me but the
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: market reed looks like it's playing, the OVER so i
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: don't know what to think. About that Portland, AT atlanta,
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: i mean we get into some MISMATCHES here Cbs, and
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: Paramount plus atlanta's the way. Better team atlanta ended a
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: losing streak with a Win over seattle the, other day
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: so that should. Benefit them and they just beat one
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 2: of the worst teams in, The, league seattle and they
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 2: ended a. Losing streak most of those losses were on.
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 2: The road three of the five Were Against, golden state
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: which maybe they don't match up Well Against. Golden State
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 2: golden state's a pretty, good Team so i'm not gonna
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: put much Weight into atlanta's bad at. LOSING streak i
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 2: think they're a pretty, good TEAM and i think they're
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: in a good spot because ending a losing streak a
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: lot of times will give you new momentum, moving forward
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 2: and they do not have any big, games upcomings so
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: they might just show up here and win. The game,
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 2: you know they already did Win in portland though by,
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: twenty points so they also Might take portland a little
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: bit lightly, This time so a concern if you're gonna
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: try to lay a ton of Points with Atlanta. HERE portland,
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: i mean they're not really. That, GOOD really i think
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: these expansion teams might start showing a little bit of
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: WEAKNESSES because, i think, you know even though these teams
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: need to develop, their chemistry right like these, expansion teams
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: they go through an expansion draft and they wind up
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 2: with players that aren't used to playing with, each other
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: which is bad because they have to regain they have to.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: Gain chemistry but on the, other hand teams have never
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: seen these. Teams before these are, new teams so the
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: opponents actually are at a disadvantage early on too because
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 2: they don't know what these expansion teams are, gonna even
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: do you KNOW what. I mean so that's a benefit.
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 2: To THEM so i think maybe that's why these expansion
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: teams look pretty good at the beginning of. The SEASON
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: but i don't think either of them are. That good
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: toronto really blew their game Yesterday. Against DALLAS toronto i
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: think was winning that game in the fourth quarter and lost.
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 2: THE game i don't know what. Happened, There, anyway portland
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: they're coming up a pretty big performance, against well not
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 2: really Actually. AGAINST vague i think they only lost, by
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: EIGHT but i actually think they were losing most of
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: that game by a. Huge margin but they're coming up
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: of a big game at Least. Against vegas but still
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: they're starting a new road. TRIP here i know it's
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: with only one. Day off they had a few days
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: off Before that. VEGAS game i don't think they're Gonna, overlook,
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: ATLANTA man, i mean usually you want to get the
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: road trip off on the. Right foot atlanta's a. Good
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: team they lost at home by Twenty to atlanta earlier in,
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: the YEAR so i think they're gonna. SHOW up i
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 2: think it's a spot where both teams probably show, up
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: here but you're probably not really getting much value laying
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 2: thirteen and a half Points, with atlanta and the money
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: is Indicating on portland seventy one percent of Tickets, on
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: atlanta sixty eight percent of the Cash. On. Portland, ATLANTA
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 2: again i don't really think they have anything, upcoming THOUGH
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: so i don't think it's that bad of a spot.
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: For Them The margaret reed is saying To take portland plus.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: THE points i could see the argument. FOR it i
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: might even slightly lean, that WAY but i don't have
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 2: a strong opinion on that one. At all And then
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 2: phoenix is Playing At las Vegas on PEACOCK And nbc
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: sports in, the evening early evening really actually back out
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: On The. Pacific coast it's an Afternoon, Game. Vegas vegas
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 2: they Won. Against PORTLAND like i said last, TIME out
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: i don't think they give a shit. About that that
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 2: was an easy win. For them they'll probably show up
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 2: in this Game. AGAINST phoenix i, don't Know because phoenix
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: they're a little bit under the radar though they're like
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: they're better than their. Record, looks Well maybe vegas might
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: actually look ahead because they do HAVE another tv GAME
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: on Nbc and peacock next Tomorrow Against, caitlyn clark so
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: they might look ahead. To that They're playing. Indiana tomorrow
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 2: that is gonna, be. Interesting man so they have to
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 2: play on a back. To, back vegas by, the way
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: they have not played Since The commissioner's. Cup Game, or
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: no that's. Not true, i'm, like wait that doesn't. Make
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: sense YOU know espn? Does, that, no right they Played
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 2: against portland two, DAYS ago i like that makes. No, sense,
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: yeah yeah they played two. DAYS ago i don't KNOW
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: why espn Moves The commissioner's cup game down like this
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: and makes it look like it was the most. Recent game.
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 2: It wasn't, But. YEAH vegas, i mean the one worry
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 2: is they might look ahead To that, indiana, game because,
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: Of Course, caleb clark, it's always, you know a big
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 2: thing when you have to play against, That team Indiana
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: or Susie. Not indiana who are you? Looking at were
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: really going To a? Phoenix here. INDIANA'S nemesis i can't get. It,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: right shit, come, on man yeah this is this is
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: gonna be a. Long show it's already a. Long show
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 2: we're almost DONE. WITH wnba i don't LIKE this wnba. Board,
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 2: ANYWAY phoenix i think they're better than the record looks
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 2: man thir at eight. And fifteen they did just lose
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: a close Game. TO indiana i don't really think they're
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: Gonna overlook vegas here starting a. Road trip it's a.
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 2: Big deal They're playing Vegas and Minnesota Here. SATURDAY monday
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: i think they'll probably get up for. This game, but
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 2: again that was a big game Still. Against indiana those
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: teams really don't like, each other and that was kind
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 2: of a. Rubber match after each team won one of
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: the Games, In indiana indiana came in and beat Them.
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: In PHOENIX so i, don't, KNOW man i don't know
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: what to make of. This game the money is Indicating,
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: towards phoenix sixty nine percent of Tickets, on vegas fifty
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash. Laying ten vegas is a
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: ten point, favorite HERE so i think basically, THE professionals
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 2: i think you're just saying we see some value in
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: taking that many Points, with phoenix and maybe. THAT'S true,
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 2: I mean vegas has not been a good, home, Team
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 2: dude so that's one Thing like vegas has really not.
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 2: Done well is a big home favorite, this Year and
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: i've GIVEN out i think three plays fading them at home.
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: This year one OF them i think lost With, the
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: SKY although i think they should have, covered that. But
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: whatever money is also strongly on the over in, that
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: game for whatever, that's worth and looking like it's back
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: in the over In The portland atlanta game to both
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: totals in the. ONE seventies i, don't, Know man it's
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: Not something i'm gonna. Deal with and then We Have
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: world cup. Two games one is late afternoon or well Five.
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 2: Pm eastern It's, In miami Norway. And england is The,
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 2: GAME norway i believe it's traveling In From, New York.
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 2: NEW jersey i think is where. They, were yeah they're
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: coming up a big Game, against BRAZIL and I think
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 2: norway might look a little a little better than The
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 2: arm AND although I know brazil basically was gonna end
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 2: that game with no goals and they got a penalty
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 2: shot right at the end of. Stoppage TIME just i
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: think it, was just, YOU know i think the rest
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: did in intentionally because they Knew that naymar WAS gonna
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 2: i think, he. RETIRED right i think they, knew that
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 2: and they, were, like whatever just give him a, penalty
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: kick let him get a goal at.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 3: The end.
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 2: REALLY stupid i Gave out norway as a winning play in. That,
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: game however if you look at the, box score it
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 2: Wasn't all norway in. This, Game now norway did a
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: good job, dominating possession so they did, that Well but
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 2: brazil gave themselves a lot of good Opportunities. In norway
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 2: their goalie made a lot of. Good saves brazil won
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 2: the expected goals in that match two point six to
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: one point, oh five two point six one to one.
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: Point five that's not a great Sign for norway coming,
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 2: into this and, everybody expects, you know a lot of
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: offense Out, Of. Norway holland you Know this brazil, game
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: though that was, a nothing, nothing game nil nil game
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 2: until this seventy nine minute Mark when, holland scored and
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: then he scored again at the. NINETY mark i don't
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: know if that's gonna happen again Here, against england who
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 2: is really an elite. DEFENSE man I think england's. Being, Overlooked,
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: DUDE norway i. LIKE them I. Like holland they're pretty
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: easy to, root for and, you know in, My heart
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna Root, for Norway and i'm not a Fan
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: of england and the way that they, you know Shot
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 2: on boston and there are a bunch of redcoats. And
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: WHATEVER but I think england is gonna win, this game
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: and THAT'S why i picked in. My bracket norway with
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: their Offense, with holland they're getting all the hype. Right
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 2: now it looks really good that They, beat brazil and
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 2: nobody expected them to do that, except ME because i
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 2: gave them out as a PLAY and i picked them in.
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 3: My.
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 2: BRACKET england i think people are still Thinking that england's
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 2: not really. That good, oh yeah, you know people are
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: Thinking that england got Lucky. AGAINST mexico i don't, think.
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 2: So man they had so many disadvantages in. That game
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 2: they had To play mexico In the Estadio as teca
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 2: at elevation like ten thousand feet in the air or
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 2: Whatever In, mexico city in front of a, hostile Crowd
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: and england like did a good job just taking. The
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 2: Game like england went out to a two, nothing lead
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 2: and then when they when it was two, to one
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: they came back early in The Second harry kane got
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 2: a well he did get a. PENALTY kick i will give.
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: You that it was a. Penalty Kick but england three. To,
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 2: ONE yeah i mean they did a good job early
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: on in, that Match like england was, dominating them dominating
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 2: that match until they got more disadvantages and they got
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 2: red Card, a kwanza not the, fake Holiday but kwanza
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 2: got a, red, card which by, the way means he's
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: not Playing for. England today that's how. It works if
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 2: you get red carded you're suspended for, a game which.
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 2: Is stupid but at least he's not like one of their,
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 2: you know top tier, players here but he won't be able,
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 2: to play but. They don't they don't have to play
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 2: the match down a, man, though right he's just not
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 2: eligible to enter. The game And then mexico got a
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 2: penalty kick right after, that Too so mexico got a
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: penalty kick. As well so there were a lot of
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: things that were kind of Handed to mexico in, that
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 2: Game and england overcame all, of them overcame all of it.
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 2: And won now my worry would be how Tired is
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 2: england gonna be? After that because they think they played
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 2: that game Later than. Norway did england is having to
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 2: come Up. From mexico they're playing Today, in miami, you
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 2: know having to change. Elevations year that worries me a.
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 2: Little BIT although I like england in, THIS game i
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 2: think they're the. BETTER team i think they're. Gonna win
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 2: england by, THE way, i mean you could See that
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 2: mexico wound up winning the expected goals and possession in.
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 2: That game that was because they swung all of that
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 2: after the, red Card like england had to play like
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: almost they basically, had to, but yeah, they did. Including
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 2: stoppage they had to play forty minutes down a man in,
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: that one and they. Still WON so i think because
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 2: they were down, a man that shifted some of the Stats,
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 2: towards mexico which otherwise wouldn't have happened Because when england
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: was at, full strength they were winning. That, GAME statistically
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: I like england in. THIS one i think they're under.
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 2: THE raider I. THINK norway I thought norway would be a,
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 2: public SIDE although i Looked At action Network and england
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: actually is more of the, public Side and norway appears
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 2: to actually be getting some of the. SHARP money i
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 2: DON'T think i really, buy. IT though i think if
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 2: we're gonna play, THIS game I think i Would play
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: england in. Some, way now the minus one oh five
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: to win in the first, ninety minutes you could play it.
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: That way they might be able to get it done
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 2: in the First ninety it's a reasonable price at minus one.
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 2: Oh five you could also play them. To advance but
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 2: what's the number you have to play on them? To
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 2: advance let me say it's actually not. THAT bad, i think,
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 2: hold on let me say. To, advance no it's minus,
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 2: two HUNDRED and i mean that's a, BIT bad i, would,
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 2: SAY yeah, I mean i. DON'T know i think if
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 2: you play, this GAME because i Do think england's, gonna, win,
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 2: WELL yeah i think you just play them at minus
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 2: one o five in the. First nine maybe they'll get,
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 2: you there maybe they'll win without it going into. Extra,
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: TIME man i think there's a reasonable likelihood. Of that
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 2: that's THE way i would play. That game i'm not gonna, do.
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 2: IT though i do think it's gonna be lower, scoring
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 2: too so, YOU know i think this is gonna be
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 2: a very popular like both teams to score bet here
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 2: where everybody's just gonna bet that at like minus, one
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 2: fifty you, know what even though it public doesn't usually
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: lay prices, LIKE that i think that's gonna be a
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 2: very popular play both teams. TO score i don't know
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 2: if that's gonna, happen. Here man england they play really
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: really good deep, mens man and it might be able To.
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 2: STIFLE norway, I mean norway they have not played a
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 2: deep mense. Like this brazil is. Pretty good brazil is
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 2: the best Opponent in norway's face. So far, and yeah
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: that's impressive and it probably actually better Than anybody england
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 2: has faced. So, far england they faced the best opponent Was,
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 2: probably croatia so that does worrying me a. Little Bit
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 2: the norway is a little bit more. Battle Test remember
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 2: norway didn't play any of their Starters against France because
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 2: france was actually the best team, they, faced Obviously but
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 2: norway's starters didn't play in. That game so do what
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: you want with all. That INFO but I lean ENGLAND
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: and i would probably play it in the. Ninety MINUTES
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 2: if i was gonna play, THAT game I think england
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 2: is going. TO win i have them advancing in my bracket. At,
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 2: LEAST yeah I, like holland, BUT yeah i think, YOU
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: know i kind of want my bracket to do well
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 2: and to be right. As Well though Argentina, And switzerland
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna give out a play in. This game i'm
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 2: gonna do it one more, time, here MAN because i
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: just don't buy any. Of this like so many people
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 2: are talking about how How bad argentina is because they
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 2: didn't look good against what, Was It, cape verde and
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 2: then against who do they play in Their? LAST egypt
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 2: I think i'm gonna counter, that like if you you
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 2: look at the stats in, THOSE games i gave it
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 2: a Play. ON argentina, i know if you look at,
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 2: The stats argentina played way better than what it looked
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 2: like on. The SCOREBOARD so I think argentina is going to.
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 2: WIN this i actually think they're. Being undervalued i'm gonna
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 2: just give This out argentina to win the game in
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 2: the ninety minutes at minus. ONE forty i thought it
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 2: would be a, higher, PRICE dude i. REALLY did i
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 2: thought it would be like minus. One seventy switzerland is,
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 2: pretty good but and they're Better than argentina's previous. Two
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 2: Opponents but i'm not, buying, It, DUDE argentina i still
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna really have that much of an.
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 2: Issue HERE and I, believe switzerland one of their best
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 2: Best players i'm pretty sure is out for. This Game
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 2: if i'm, NOT mistaken i forget who. It is let,
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 2: me say is there any? News here let me look
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 2: at who's on. Their squad let me. See here i'm
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 2: not gonna remember, the name but one of their best
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 2: players i'm pretty sure is out for, This game so
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 2: keep that. In, MIND yeah, I mean i think this
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 2: is a. Cheap price you Do need argentina to win
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 2: in the, first ninety so it cannot go into extra
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 2: time to. Win this but this price came out way
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 2: CHEAPER than i thought. It would so That's what i'm
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 2: Gonna do argentina to win in the. FIRST ninety, i
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 2: mean if you look at what, they've done they're getting,
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 2: blasted because, oh yeah they, almost lost almost Lost To,
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 2: cape verding almost Lost. To, egypt, okay well did you
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 2: actually look at what happened in. Those games Argentina Against
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 2: CAPE verting i pointed this OUT when i gave out
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 2: a Play on argentina in the. Next game argentina expected
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 2: goals two point twenty six to point four to seven in.
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 2: That one they had twice as many shots, on goal
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 2: double digits and sixty four percent. In possession they dominated.
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 2: The game they should not have even been close to losing. That,
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: game okay Same thing Argentina, against egypt very. Very similar
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 2: look to look to. These stats they were down to.
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 2: Not thing it. Was bullshit look at the stats in.
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 2: This game two point eight four expected Goals, for argentina
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 2: point eight Nine. For egypt this, is again it's. Completely
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 2: misleading they won the possession battle. Pretty, significantly again they
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 2: had more than three times as many shots, on goal.
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 2: More chances, you know they were the better team in,
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 2: the game the. Better, offense again two very misleading results
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 2: that also should kind Of scare argentina into some real
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 2: focus here because they have to face a. Real, Opponent,
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 2: NOW okay i know It's Not cape Verde or. Egypt,
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 2: anymore sorry but they know. That too they're gonna step
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 2: up their game To. Face switzerland, AND really I think
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 2: argentina lucked out getting To play switzerland here in a Game,
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 2: where switzerland by, the way they're having to Travel from
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 2: CANADA here i think Down To. Kansas city so that's
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a disadvantage coming In. FROM vancouver,
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 2: I mean i don't think that's. That Great, AND argentina
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 2: i believe is only Coming. FROM atlanta i think that's what.
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 2: It is i'm not. Gonna look i'm pretty sure. That's
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 2: RIGHT so I think argentina's travel spots a little better
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 2: to Get To. Kansas CITY and I think argentina got
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 2: a good draw here MAN because i think they wanted To.
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 2: AVOID columbia I think columbia is Better. Than switzerland's switzerland
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 2: pulled off the. Upset there columbia was the favorite in.
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 2: That one switzerland won on. Penalty Kicks so switzerland is
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 2: coming out of a, dramatic, Finish, DUDE like, I know
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 2: argentina's was, dramatic too, But still argentina won this game in,
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 2: regular time Right like argentina just they got, a scare
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 2: they pulled. It off they won in. Regular times switzerland
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 2: had to play extra time and go to penalties and
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 2: have a dramatic finish To, upset columbia so they're coming off,
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 2: an Upset whereas argentina is coming off a big time
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 2: scare as a. Big favorite, SO yeah I. LIKE argentina
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 2: i think we're geting a pretty good. Price here one
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 2: other option HERE is i was surprised that this number was.
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 2: So cheap you Can play argentina over one and a
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 2: half goals in the first ninety minute's in. This game
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 2: it needs to be in the First ninety you can
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 2: get that at like minus one. Oh five so that
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 2: seems like a really good approach in this. Game Too
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 2: play argentina just to score over one and a half
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 2: goals in the first ninety minutes OF The us switzerland
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 2: is a. Good DEEPFENSE but I think argentina probably will
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 2: be able to accomplish. That Too but i'm just gonna
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 2: go with them to win in the. NINETY minutes i
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna. Do it they've played a lot better
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 2: than what we've seen. SO far i think this, GAME
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 2: again i think this price is cheap based on what we've.
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 2: SEEN recently I think argentina is Better than switzerland by
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 2: more than what that number. Is suggesting so That's what
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna. Go with that's my one play In The world.
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 2: Cup today let's get, it, done man and that's gonna.
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 2: Do it the plays today, are again we're going right
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 2: back to an Under in Cleveland and miami, in baseball
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 2: under seven and a half or, under eight whatever the best.
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 2: NUMBER is i know a little bit of juice on that,
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 2: under eight but whatever seven and A half i think
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 2: is still a decent enough. Option there we're gonna be
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 2: On The seattle mariners on the. MONEY line i. LIKE
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 2: it i think we're back in the better. PICTURE there
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 2: i think they. BOUNCE back i THINK we're i think
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 2: it just looks too easy To Play tampa bay to
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 2: the team with the. BETTER record I think seattle's have
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 2: been under the, radar there and then we're gonna Be
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 2: on argentina money line In The world cup in the.
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 2: First ninety let's get. It done let's get. Some wins
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 2: we Need that argentina one to, come, home man because
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 2: that's the biggest favorite we're. Laying here so let's. Do,
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 2: it no they should not be minus two. To fifty
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 2: the odds makers are not that far off on the three.
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 2: Way line, no way. No way they're minus three hundred,
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 2: to advance which that even seems cheap. To, ME again
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 2: i think a fair Price on argentina in that game
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 2: is about minus one seventy on the three. WAY line
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 2: i think that. Makes sense cheap. Two, fifty no. Absolutely
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 2: not let's get. This done learn it Ton, on twitter
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 2: learn it On, on instagram like subscribe to. The channel
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 2: here we hit, five hundred let's keep. It there i'm
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 2: gonna SEE if i can monetize. This thing get everybody to, watch,
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 2: This man i'm giving. Out winners you can. See it.
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 2: You know we're STILL running i think above sixty percent
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 2: here were we were almost sixty seven percent for over,
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 2: A month, I think and of course we were gonna
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 2: cool off a, little bit but been trending water a little.
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 2: Bit recently let's get back on, track here go on,
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 2: another heater come on listen on an audio, As, Well,
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 2: Apple spotify spreaker check. It out Covered in yuke. ON
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 2: YouTube i did Do a yuke, cover yesterday but my
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 2: voice is still not really. Doing, IT man i don't
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 2: know what TO tell i, mean again a lot of
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 2: it Is because i'm doing. THIS show I gotta i, don't,
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 2: KNOW man i gotta just like lower my. VOICE here
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 2: i need like an actual good voice MONITOR so i
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 2: can hear myself and then it will that will let
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 2: me lower my voice. A bit i gotta figure. It
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 2: out what ELSE do i have to? Plug? Here yeah
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 2: Covered in yuke, On YouTube patreon. Dot com learned it
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 2: toaw if you want to support me. THAT way i
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 2: can't really do the requests right now because most of
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 2: them are going to involve my voice DOING something i
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 2: can't do. Right Now and loser Cast every Tuesday Night
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 2: New York giants' hot podcast should be back at. Some
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 2: point i'm, EARLY today, I know i woke up a little.
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 2: BIT early i also got to get out. Of here
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 2: i'm not gonna be around let's have A. Good saturday
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 2: Let's get. Wednesday peace.
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: But don't you, go quiet don't you fade from. The floor, your,
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: name steal mean, something new somebody. For show put the, glass,
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: down baby look at. Me now, hold on, hold.
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 3: On, Not tonight no, hold on. Hold on let me
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 3: for that long, bites hot but it don't get. The crown,
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 3: hold on hold on and stay with me now