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Polls Misfire in Wisconsin and Michigan | Charleston News
Polls are back in the spotlight after recent surprises in Wisconsin and Michigan primaries, where candidates defied expectations — but don’t panic, polling isn’t dead. The real issue? Predicting turnout is harder than it looks, especially in open-primary states where voter behavior shifts fast. While presidential polls have been surprisingly accurate lately, primaries remain tricky due to small, volatile electorates and non-response bias — the gap between who answers surveys and who actually votes. Bottom line: polls show current sentiment, not destiny. Use them as guides, not guarantees —…
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