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Episode 41 - 5/10/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello and welcome to episode 41 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:24
Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
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end. We got a big weekend ahead and
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we got a lot to talk about on today's podcast.
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I have a six pack of sweats to breakdown you guys say,
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including four Major League Baseball bets, one NHL bet.
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I'm going to look for some goals tonight in one game and then
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also an NBA bet. This is going to be a rhythm
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suggested bet. Our friends at rhythm who who do
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a fantastic job of their AI generated picks and props have a
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recommendation for us in one of the NBA games.
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So excited to share that with you.
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And then also we do have some biting a little bit of UFC, big
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UFC Fight Night for tomorrow and there was one fighter or biter
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as I like to call them who is checking off every single box.
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Younger, taller, longer reach line move, good bet, split, low
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bets, higher dollars. And the cherry on top is he has
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a tattoo on his back from his hometown and guess what UFC will
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be played or fought in his hometown.
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So looking for a little hometown edge here in the UFC.
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So six pack cross Major League Baseball, NHL and NBA playoffs
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as well as AUFC bet for tomorrow night.
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Now looking back to her last night guys, it was a bad 1/2 and
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5 -, 3.3 units. Winners were the Royals who came
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through late night which was nice 'cause they were pretty
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cheap price. They're like -115.
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The Dallas Stars came through, really had a big lead there and
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almost got a little dicey. They're coughing up the lead
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late, but got an empty neck goal and got that winner.
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Now the losers, the one that hurt was Carolina.
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The Carolina Hurricanes. I can't believe they're down
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three O in the series, but they had a one O lead and they blew
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it. And then they went to overtime
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and they lost in overtime to the Rangers.
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So maybe the Rangers are just a team of destiny, but I was
2:12
surprised Carolina could not win that one for us last night.
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OK, C let us down as well. I thought that was a good spot
2:19
with a little bit of line movement and some good system
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matches on. OK C and Doncic was banged up
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but shot the lights out with Dallas.
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They pretty much hit every single three pointer.
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And then baseball, who were basically, usually a sport that
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we can pretty much rely on to be pretty decent each night, just
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was not good. One and three, the Yankees let
2:38
us down. Cleveland losing to the White
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Sox. The White Sox might as well tip
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my cap, Calling my daddy. I've lost two straight games
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fading. The White Sox.
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So how dumb am I? And then Saint Louis.
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That one was just annoying but predictable because there's a
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super sharp move on Saint Louis, but I I remember saying it on
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the pod, like, man, this is a bad team.
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I don't like the spot. The Brewers are pretty good, but
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I got to trust the market. Well that's one of the rare
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occasions the market let us down as the Brewers beat the Saint
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Louis Cardinals. So either way guys 2 and 5, -,
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3.3 units, let's see if we can claw back on a big Friday, get
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some of those units back and steam into a big weekend.
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So that being said, I want to start off with as we usually do
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on the pod Major League Baseball cause MLB it's a grind from
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opening day all the way to the last out of the World Series and
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we are still relatively early in the season.
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So first, but on the board for me, Houston and Detroit, I'm
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going to go with Houston Astros. I know they haven't been very
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good this year. They're 13 and 24, but they got
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a pretty good steam move here today against the Detroit team.
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That's been pretty good, but has been on a bit of a slide here
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recently. So going into it, as I
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mentioned, Astros 13 and 24, they just lost two or three
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against the Yankees, but they did avoid a sweep.
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They won the finale 4 to 3 yesterday as a + 125 Rd. dog.
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Not good because I took the Yankees.
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Meanwhile, the Tigers 19 and 18, but they just dropped two or
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three against the Guardians. They lost 5 to 4 and extra
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innings as a plus one O 5 Rd. dog in the finale of that
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series. So pitching match up here for
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tonight we have the Astros going with lefty framber Valdez who's
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one in one 3.97 ERA who'll be opposed by Casey Mize who's also
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one in one with a 3.98 ERA. But to me guys play here is all
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about the line move and the system matches on Houston and
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maybe a bit of a buy low spot just because they haven't played
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very well this year. But this game open with Houston
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around a -, 135 Rd. favorite. Now Houston is up to -145 S,
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about a 10 cent steam move in favor of the Astros telling us
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the bigger sharper wagers here on the Stroh's maybe that when
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yesterday in Yankee Stadium will give him a little bit of
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momentum coming into today. But also the bet splits about
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65% Bets in dollars on Houston. Combination of both pro and Joe
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support. But I'm going to lean on the
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bats of the Astros. They're hitting 258.
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The bats haven't been the problem, it's been the pitching.
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Hopefully Valdez will have a good start today, but they're
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hitting 258 versus only 227 for Detroit and a good system match
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here. If we look at the road
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favorites, just in general, very simple system Rd. favorites,
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they're 114 and 7760% this year with a 5% ROI.
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They'd also match as a non division favorite with the lack
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of film of familiarity benefiting the better team.
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I have another system match here, non division Rd. favorite,
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awful win. So it's combining a few
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different elements here, but that would also match with
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Houston. That system is 60% consistently
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since 2021. So pretty sharp line move.
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Couple system matches. I'm going with the Houston
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Astros, baby. Give me the Stroh's at -145.
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Keep on cruising. One of the teams this year that
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very rarely left, Very rarely lets us down.
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I should say. Hopefully they don't let us down
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tonight. Go with the Philadelphia
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Phillies. Phillies are on the road at the
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Miami Marlins. Phillies are 26 and 12.
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Best record in baseball. They're 18 and four over their
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last 22 games. However, they did just split a
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brief 2 game series against the Jays.
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They lost Wednesday's finale 5 to 3 as a -, 165 home favorite.
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Meanwhile, the Marlins, as good as the Phillies have been,
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Marlins have been worse. How bad they've been.
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They're 10 and 29. They're 4 and 12 over the last
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16 games. Just got swept by the Dodgers.
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They lost the finale on Wednesday 3:00 to 1:00 as a +
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220 Rd. dog for tonight's pitching matchup.
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Hopefully a big advantage for Philly.
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They're going with the lefty Ranger Suarez, who's been great
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six and O 1.72 ERA. He'll be opposed by the Marlin
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southpaw Trevor Rogers O 156.15 ERA, but once again, big sharp
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move steam, move in favor of Philly.
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Philly open this game around -165 -, 170.
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Now Philly is all the way up to -180 -, 190.
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So again shop around. I see one book at -178, I see
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another book at -200. So as always you want to have
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multiple outs, don't just bet through one sports book, make
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sure you go bet your game at the book that gives you the best
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price. So right now you can again find
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Philly around -180. They're getting around 95% of
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bets, 96% of dollars. So heavy, sharp money in their
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favor as well as public support. But remember public isn't really
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that big on a day-to-day grinding and MLB.
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So I don't get too worried about, you know, being on a 90%
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side if it's NFL, no way I'm on a 90% side 'cause it's just a
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public sport, unlike baseball. But Philly is going to bank on
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their offense, starting 257 with 46 homers, 191 runs scored.
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Marlins are only hitting 225 with 31 homers and 143 runs
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scored. And then good system matches
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here. Rd. favorites off a loss like
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the Phillies here, though, they are 48 and 2764% with a 12% ROI
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this season. Then remember this system when
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both teams had the day off the previous day.
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Just take the favorite. Very simple.
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But it's 467 and two 8362% with a 3% ROI since 2020.
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So it's a pretty big sample size.
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And then home Rd. Miami 5 and 15 at home.
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Philly 11:00 and 5:00 on the road.
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So good steam, good system matches.
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Hopefully Suarez is a big advantage over Rogers.
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I'm going with Suarez and the phills shop around.
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I got the phills at -180. Keep on cruising.
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Let's look at Kansas City and the LA Angels.
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I'm going right back to the well, one of the few teams that
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came through for us last night, going back to the well with the
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Royals. So Royals here after they had a
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big win for us yesterday, bats really got going.
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They won 3:50 as running -115 Rd. favorite member.
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That was dog to fave line move. Well, similar situation here.
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Let's start off with the pitching match up.
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Alec Marsh is going for Kansas City.
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He's three and O 2.7 OERA. He's coming off the injured list
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but he but the the Royals are five and O in the five starts
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that he's made this year. Meanwhile, Griffin Canning who's
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going for the Angels one and four 6.69 ERA and the Angels are
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only two and five in the seven starts that he's made this year.
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Now looking at the line move here, we pretty much open at
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around a pick em. So both shops or both sides are
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around -1 O 5 odds. Basically a virtual pick em.
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And it was pretty much sitting around pick em all early
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morning, late morning. But right as I'm getting into
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the pod, I saw a big steam move hit the Kansas City Royals,
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moving the Royals here from around -1 O 5 now up to around
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-115 -, 120. So we're starting to see this
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line creep back up in favor of the Kansas City Royals.
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So tells tells me the Royals are getting some smart money in
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their favor. Now they're getting 86% of bets,
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93% of dollars. So big Sharp Pro pro and Joe
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Betts, but they're in their favor.
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I'm going to bank on the offense of Kansas City.
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They've scored 185 runs versus only 158 for the Angels run
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differential. Big advantage for Kansas City
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plus 52 versus -40. The Angels by the way, are only
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four and 12 at home this year. They've really struggled, hasn't
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been a home field advantage, and we got a lot of system matches
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on Kansas City Rd. Favorites Simple System.
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We mentioned quite a bit on the pod 114 and 7760% this Year, 5%
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ROI. You'd also have that non
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division Rd. favorite off a win and short Rd. favorites -130 or
10:00
or more or sorry -130 or less. Our sweet spot short Rd.
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favorites that system is 62 and 4458% with a 9% ROI.
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So it would also match on Kansas City.
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So you had it all up here guys. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
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We had a pretty much a pick em game.
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Now it's creeping up toward KC. I'm going with the Royals in
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this one. Guys shop around.
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I got Kansas City at -115 last bit of the night.
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Let's go to Used to be Safeco. Now it's T-Mobile.
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Let's go to Seattle. Let's go to Pacific Northwest.
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Let's listen to some Nirvana. Let's eat some sushi.
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I've actually never been to Seattle.
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I'd like to go one day. But anyway, Oakland at Seattle.
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Interesting match up here in the AO W The Athletics come in 18
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and 21. They just dropped three or four
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though. Against the Rangers, they lost
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the finale 12 to 11 as a + 125 home dog.
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Remember, that was the second game of the double header.
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Meanwhile, the Mariners 20 and 18, but they've lost three of
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their last four games here against the Twins.
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They got crushed 11 to 1 yesterday as a + 100 row dog.
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So I may be looking for a bounce back spot with Seattle here.
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Now for the starting pitcher pitching match up here, the
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Athletics are going with Pete Blackburn.
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The righty. He's three and one with a
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three-point OOERA on the year, Mariners are going with fellow
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righty Brian Wu. Remember Brian Wu?
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He's making his first start of 2024, but back last season in
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2023, he was four and five with a 4.21 ERA.
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Now what have we seen across the market here?
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Good movement towards Seattle. This game open with the Mariners
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listed as low as a -, 140 home favorite.
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We've now seen the Mariners creep up to -150, even -155
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across the board. So some good movement in favor
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of Seattle. Now they'll match a couple good
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systems here. The generic system will be
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favorites off a loss 143 and 9560% this season with 3% ROI.
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But remember earlier this week on the Pod?
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I kind of edited that system a little bit and said hey, not
11:53
just favorites awful loss, but a winning favorite awful loss.
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So if you have a above 500 record, you're expected to win
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and you're coming off a loss. Those teams are 70 and 35 this
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year, 67% with a 12% ROI, so that's pretty good return on
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investment there, that system match.
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Now also, Seattle has some correlative betting value as a
12:12
favorite in a low total game, so total in this one is 7 1/2.
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So if your amount of expected run scored more likely to come
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from, quote, UN quote, that better team run differential.
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Seattle's +2. Nothing amazing, but Oakland is
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-28 and I'm going to bank on the Mariners bullpen.
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They have the better bullpen ERA of 2.79 versus 3.47.
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So Seattle at home, a team that's been, you know, turning
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it around here pretty nicely. I'm going to ride them tonight
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against Oakland with a decent line move and some good system
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matches. I'm on Seattle, Shop around.
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I got the Mariners at -155 S, Houston, Philly, Seattle and
12:47
Kansas City. Four pack Titan MLB.
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Can we get three or more of those?
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That is the goal. Now let's go over to the NHLI.
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Can tell you right now guys. I cannot wait for the Panthers
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and Bruins game three tonight. Now the line did move a little
13:01
bit toward Florida. Florida open around -115 -, 120.
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They're upwards of -130 now. Line's starting to come back
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down a little bit. I've also seen some juice toward
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the under, under. I was leaning under 5 1/2 in
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this one. I decided not to play it because
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I'm going to just be a fan of my Boston Bruins and sweat my you
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know what off tonight rooting on the Boston Bruins.
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Let's see if they can get a win here hopefully and take a two
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one series lead. So I'm not playing that game.
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I can't wait to watch it, but I am going to play the second
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game, 10:00 Edmonton and Vancouver.
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Now don't get me started with Edmonton.
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They ripped our heart out and danced to the beat in game one
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because Edmonton had a big lead in that game, ended up blowing
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it and losing it for us. So Edmonton, you are the weakest
13:46
link. Goodbye now.
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Line hasn't moved too much. It's pretty much a state
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Edmonton around -130, but I'm going to focus on the total
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here. I'm going to go over six.
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Now ideally we at least get a push, but I want the win here.
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I want seven goals or more. And I think there's an angle
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here for this over tonight. First off, the over 6 is really
14:04
juiced up -120 across the board. You'll get any book here.
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It's all 6 / -, 120. I see it 6 / -, 125.
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I see one book 6 / -, 130. You might be able to shop
14:15
around, find a 6 / -, 115. So try to save as much juice as
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you can. But either way, that's been
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consistently juiced up across the board, painted across the
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board, as my buddy Patrick Maher likes to say.
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So basically, pull back the curtain.
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Odds makers are telling us they're making us pay a higher
14:31
price on the over because that's where the liability is.
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Now let's just look at First off, the bet splits. 85% bets,
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94% money is on this over. So once again, a low bets,
14:43
higher dollars, bet split heavy prone Joe action on the over.
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Remember game four was a 5 to 4 game so he landed on 9/9 goals.
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But also that really wasn't a fluke.
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If you look at all the games these teams have played so far
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this year, you had the five four win by Vancouver, which again,
15:00
don't get me started 'cause they blew the lead with Edmonton
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there. But then they played four games
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in the regular season, 8 to 1/4 to 3/6 to 2/3 to 1.
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So they've averaged 7.4 goals per game.
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I know it's rudimentary and you don't always want to just
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average things out because you want to take each game
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individually, but I think it just supports the fact that,
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hey, these teams are really good offensively.
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So Edmonton averages 3.6 goals per game.
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That is fourth most in the NHL. Vancouver averages 3.4 goals per
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game. That's the sixth most in the
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NHL. And not only that do they have
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good offense here, but the goalies are a little bit
15:35
questionable. Stuart Skinner, who again was a
15:38
sieve in the third period in game one he's got a three-point
15:42
O one goals against 893 save percentage in the playoffs.
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Not very good. Sea Lobes, who is Vancouver
15:49
starting goalie. He's been better 2.289 O eight
15:52
save percentage. But I mentioned this prior to
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game one, which I thought was an advantage ended up not being as
15:58
they lost but Edmonton's advantage over Sea Lobes because
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he's a six round pick. You know a guy whose third
16:05
string came out of nowhere thrust into this spot.
16:07
It's kind of a tough situation. Now you got to go up against of
16:10
course, McDavid, dry Seidel, this really high-powered
16:13
offensive Edmonton. So you add it all up here guys,
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we have a juiced up six over liability over good bet split
16:22
two, good offenses, 2 questionable goaltenders.
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I'm looking for goals tonight. Give me the Edmonton, Vancouver
16:28
over six and hopefully a Bruins win as well.
16:31
Now to finish up the pod here before we get to our UFC biting
16:35
play of the weekend. I do have a bet in the NBA.
16:38
Now this one caught my eye. The Knicks and the Pacers.
16:41
So this one's really interesting. 7:00 game tonight.
16:44
Remember the Knicks are up to two and O or they're two and O
16:47
in the series looking to take a three O lead.
16:49
But there's some injuries here. Looks like Brunson's going to
16:53
play. He's questionable expected to
16:54
play. Remember in the last game he
16:56
missed the whole second quarter, came back and went off and
16:59
helped the Knicks win. Helped us cash that over.
17:02
But you also look at OG Anunabi. Remember they picked him up a
17:06
really good deadline deal, or it was around the deadline from the
17:09
Toronto Raptors. Anunabi is expected to be out
17:12
and they not only ruled him out tonight, but probably the second
17:14
game. So no Anunabi and Brunson's
17:16
banged up, which is why we're seeing such a big spread for the
17:20
Pacers. The Pacers are -7, 1/2 tonight.
17:23
Some shops open as low as like six, 6 1/2.
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Now it's up to seven, 7 1/2. So we've seen this line really
17:29
creep up with the injuries to the Knicks.
17:31
But I'm going to attack this total instead of the side.
17:35
I'm going to focus on the total. I'm going to do exactly what we
17:37
did the last game. I'm going to buy low and take
17:39
the over. So this total open at 2:25.
17:42
You know, healthy, Brunson healthy and noonaby 225.
17:46
Those guys are one's out. One's questionable, although I
17:49
do expect Brunson to play. Guy's a warrior.
17:51
I think he's a really good player just in general.
17:54
But Mark Cuban isn't happy to have let him go.
17:56
Go for not a not a very big contract but anyway same thing.
17:59
Remember last game the total fell a bunch.
18:01
We bi load. I think it was 218 1/2 took the
18:04
over. Same thing here this open 225.
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It's now down to 225 1/2 so 2 1/2 points.
18:10
You can think of it this way. If you play the under, yes
18:12
you're with the move but you're also getting the worst of it.
18:15
Mentioned this last game but you know if this game lands two
18:18
23224, the wise guys with the early under 225 win, you lose
18:24
'cause you got the the worst of the number.
18:25
So I'm going to buy a loan and go over over 225 1/2 and my
18:28
angle here, a couple things going on.
18:31
One, this Pacers team, they're six and two to the over this
18:34
post season. They've scored, they score a
18:37
lot. They have the number two
18:39
offensive efficiency #2 pace. So they're fast, they score a
18:43
lot and they're bad defensively #24 defensive efficiency.
18:46
You also get the the, the referees here, all three refs.
18:50
It's not a Scott Foster game, but all three refs are over.
18:53
Refs. Brent Bernanke, Kevin Scott,
18:56
James Capers. They're all between 51 and 54%
19:00
to the over. And on the topic of referees,
19:03
you also had Rick Carlisle really complain about the refs
19:07
saying that they're missing a ton of calls.
19:09
I think he listed like 78 calls that they missed or something.
19:12
So usually in Carlisle got, he got fined $35,000.
19:17
But usually when you complain about the refs that you just
19:19
plant the little seed in their head and maybe they are a little
19:22
more, I don't know, they call more fouls tonight because of it
19:25
because of Carlisle's whining. Which will be fine with me
19:28
'cause calling fouls is good for the over.
19:30
You stop the clock, get free throws, add some points without
19:34
take taking time off the clock. Hopefully that is an advantage
19:37
there for the over. Also the over is 2 and O the
19:40
series they've averaged 244 1/2 a game and Precious Precious
19:45
Ochuwa I believe is expected to start in favor of a Noonabee and
19:49
by the way to to put a little bow and bow and ribbon on this
19:53
or a bow and rhythm I should say rhythm.
19:55
Who powers this pod and does a great job of doing so is
19:58
projecting A226 final score and yes that does account for the
20:03
injuries. So if rhythm is projecting a 226
20:06
and we're going to buy low and get the low watermark of an over
20:08
225 1/2 that opened 225. That sounds like a value play to
20:12
me guys. So it's not a sharp bet but a
20:14
buy low value play. I'm going Knicks, Pacers over
20:18
225. Again, Rhythm is projecting 226
20:22
now to finish up the pod. We got some UFC little bit of
20:26
biting in the arena. We have UFC Fight Night, Lewis
20:30
versus Nachumento, and I'm going to focus on a big match up here
20:35
between. Let me just pull it up.
20:38
I always get these guys, their weights and their weight class
20:40
screwed up, but this is going to be the featherweight bout
20:44
between Alex Caceres and Sean Woodson.
20:48
Now let's take a step back because, you know, we don't talk
20:51
a ton of UFC. Usually I leave it up to Fridays
20:54
because I want to let the data, you know, kind of pool in and
20:57
look out for system matches and sharp line moves.
20:58
But for those who are new to UFC, again, it's a sweat.
21:02
Like like like no other. It's just insane when you're
21:05
sweating one fighter or the other, 'cause you could
21:07
literally win or lose at on any, at any moment.
21:09
Kick, submission, choke, you know, whatever the case may be,
21:13
guillotine choke. It is just a crazy sweat in
21:16
general. Your heart's racing the whole
21:18
time, so that's the appeal of course.
21:20
But also, I developed a rudimentary model with the UFCI
21:24
want a fighter who is younger, taller, has a longer reach, has
21:28
a line move in their favor and has a good bet split in their
21:30
favor. And then also there's some
21:31
supplementary factors that I like to look at.
21:33
So there is a perfect match here on Sean Woodson.
21:39
I'm going Sean Woodson now. I got Sean Woodson at -215.
21:43
I know it's kind of a hefty price here, but of course, bet
21:45
Tris not bet to win. But let's first look at the line
21:48
movement with the betting markets doing the betting market
21:51
is moving toward Woodson. Woodson open around -185, now
21:55
he's up to -215, so about a 30 cent steam move in favor of
21:58
Woodson. Now at bet MGM, my buddy John
22:02
Ewing gave me this bet fresh batch of data this morning.
22:04
Woodson is getting 48% of bets but 82% of the money.
22:10
So that is a massive low bets, higher dollars bet split,
22:13
basically telling us public split.
22:15
Yet all the big money is on Woodson 48% but 82% money.
22:19
So we have the line move in the in the low bets, higher dollars.
22:24
Now let's go to the tail of the tape.
22:25
Sean Woodson is 31 years old. Alex Caceres is 35 years old.
22:30
So Woodson is younger. Fade fighters 35 or older now
22:35
Sean Woodson is 6 foot 2. Alex Caceres is 5 foot eight.
22:40
That is a big height advantage for Woodson.
22:43
Reach 78 inches for Woodson, 73, 1/2 for Caseras.
22:47
So Woodson is literally checking off every box, younger, taller,
22:51
longer reach line, move, bet, split.
22:54
And also two other things I want to factor in.
22:56
One look at the offense 'cause if a guy doesn't, you know,
23:00
submit the other guy or knock him out.
23:03
It goes to a decision and one thing that the the judges really
23:06
look at is offense. How much offensive production
23:08
have you put out? So advantage here, Woodson he is
23:12
significant. Strikes landed per minute, 5.4
23:15
versus 4.2 for Caceres. So Woodson is a little bit more
23:19
offensive. And then I I joked about this at
23:20
the beginning of the pod but this is a hometown bout for Sean
23:24
Woodson. Sean Woodson hails from St.
23:26
Louis, MO and this UFC bout takes place in St.
23:30
Louis, MO and he has AI was reading about this, the little
23:34
Nuggets you find when you're trying to get some info on a
23:36
game. He's got a huge tattoo on his
23:38
back. I don't know what it looks like
23:39
but I guess it says Saint Louis. So you can imagine he's going to
23:42
be amped and getting ready for and really up for this bout.
23:44
Hopefully to win in front of his home crowd.
23:46
So hopefully a home Octagon. Advantage, but younger, taller,
23:50
taller reach. Younger, taller, longer reach
23:52
line move low bets. Higher dollars.
23:54
It's got it all hometown advantage.
23:56
I'm going Sean Woodson to win this fight at -215.
24:02
So that about does it for episode 41 of the All Systems Go
24:05
sports betting podcast. Now reminder, if you enjoyed
24:08
this pod then please will you help me grow this podcast,
24:11
recommend it to a friend, but also you can do one thing to
24:14
make my day and help us grow organically and that would be to
24:17
give this pod a five star review.
24:19
So if you're listening on on iTunes, Apple or of course
24:23
Spotify, hey go pause this pod and then just go give it five
24:27
stars really, really make a big difference as we continue to
24:31
grow up the charts or rise the charts, which is great.
24:34
Secondly, if you enjoy these type of breakdowns, of course it
24:38
wasn't a good night last night. But hey, that's betting every
24:40
now and again. You're going to have those
24:41
nights where nothing goes your way, but you keep your head up,
24:44
you keep grinding, you stick to it.
24:46
I gotta have thick skin. Of course.
24:48
What do you have to have to have thicker skin for?
24:50
To be a sports bet or to be roasted like Tom Brady?
24:53
I think you got to have a little bit of both.
24:54
But anyway, if you enjoy these breakdowns, you want to learn
24:57
more about how to be a sharp, data-driven contrarian.
24:59
Better than guess what? I wrote a book.
25:01
So just go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
25:04
Sports betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
25:06
friend. It would mean the world to me
25:08
guys. It's got everything I've learned
25:09
in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
25:11
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
25:13
action, how to place a bet in person or online.
25:16
How to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
25:18
management plan, all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
25:21
Betting. Then lastly, of course, I want
25:23
to give a shout out to my two favorite sports betting apps.
25:26
One is rhythm. As you guys all know, rhythm
25:29
does a great job of powering this pod.
25:30
But rhythm is as good as it gets for their AI data backed pics
25:34
and props. Right now, obviously it's all
25:36
about NBAI don't give enough love for golf.
25:38
They're doing a fantastic job for golf as well.
25:41
But if you haven't done it yet, I want you to give rhythm a shot
25:44
so you can use rhythm to help you help you cash some plays.
25:48
All you got to do is go to the bio or the description of this
25:51
podcast within iTunes or Spotify.
25:54
It'll give you a breakdown of today's pod at with kind of the
25:57
itinerary what we're talking about.
25:58
And then you Scroll down, boom, it's got a link to rhythm.
26:01
Click that link. Give it a 7 day free trial.
26:03
I think you're going to enjoy it.
26:05
And then of course the second best sports betting pod out
26:07
there is Juice Reel. Juice Reel is incredible.
26:10
You can sync your sports book to the app that way.
26:13
When you bet in your sports book, it automatically gets
26:15
loaded on Juice Reel. It tracks your performance.
26:17
You can learn more about yourself as a better.
26:19
But the one I love is it gives you the sharp mush plays of the
26:22
day where they give you the bets that their best betters are on
26:26
on the same game as their worst betters are on and the worst
26:29
betters are on one side and the best betters are on the other
26:31
side. We'll take the other side.
26:33
So again, it's not like you got to play everyone, but it's just
26:36
more info you can use to make informed decisions.
26:39
Also the Robo Jackson plays which come out twice a day at
26:42
noon. Also the arbitrage place.
26:44
You can grind out five bucks here, 10 bucks there.
26:47
So it's all included when you sign up for Juice Reel.
26:50
So if you haven't done it yet, give Juice Reel a shot with a 7
26:53
day free trial. You can also sign up via that
26:55
bio or description of this podcast.
26:57
There'll be a link there for Juice Reel as well as Rhythm.
27:00
With that being said, guys, another pod here in the books.
27:02
Let's see if we can bounce back after a frustrating night last
27:05
night. Let's see if the bees come out
27:07
fighting, literally and figuratively, here tonight
27:09
against the Florida Panthers. Let's see if we can cash some of
27:11
these baseball, hockey, NBA and UFC tickets for tomorrow night.
27:16
But that about does it, of course.
27:18
Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River and
27:21
Rhode Island, in the Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods or
27:23
Mohegan Sun. Down in Connecticut.
27:25
At the encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM
27:28
Springfield. In my neck of the woods in
27:29
Massachusetts. Or out in the desert where the
27:32
true grinders get down. Where Billy Walters sends his
27:34
number runners. Where the lowest juice possible
27:36
is found at the South Point. Or, of course, when sharp
27:38
contrarian plays in the desert, at circa, jumping in the stadium
27:42
swim pool. When you cash a ticket, wherever
27:44
it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
27:45
You're going to show me a Royals ticket and a Stars ticket.
27:48
You got at least celebrate a couple wins there, But man.
27:50
OK, C, Carolina, Yankees, Cleveland, St.
27:54
Louis. That was disappointing.
27:55
So if you got those tickets, we're going to rip them up.
27:57
Make sure we recycle them, don't just throw them away.
27:59
But that's all right. We'll bounce back here for
28:02
today. So my parting words, as always,
28:03
stay sharp, stay contrarian, Bet against the public, Place
28:06
yourself on the side of the house.
28:07
Always be with the smart money. Never against the, well, smart
28:10
money one every time. Of course not.
28:12
Again, a few of these losses would beat the closing line on.
28:15
Just didn't go our way. But never get down on yourself.
28:18
That's really important. It took me a while.
28:20
And sports betting, you go 2 and 5, -, 3 units, you know you feel
28:24
terrible. It ruins your day.
28:26
Just try to brush it off. That's going to happen.
28:28
You're going to go two and five. You're going to go five and two.
28:30
Never get down on yourself when you're struggling.
28:32
Never get cocky or arrogant when you're winning.
28:34
Always. Even Keeling.
28:35
If we can find that sweet spot games that fit our model against
28:38
the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid
28:42
parlays, Get some closing line value.
28:44
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
28:46
So have a fantastic Friday night, everyone.
28:49
Have an even better weekend Reminder.
28:51
No pod on the weekends. Although when football comes
28:53
back, I got some plans for some weekend pods which could be very
28:57
special and exciting, but long while until football returns.
29:01
But we'll be back at it on Monday for episode 42 of the All
29:05
Systems Go Sports Betting Podcast.
29:07
Presented by and powered by rhythm.
29:09
Have a great Friday, everyone. Have an even better weekend.
29:12
I'll see you back on Monday. Good luck.