Latest / BDGE Fantasy Football / Ranking Every Week 14 Wide Receiver as a Start or Sit

Transcript

Ranking Every Week 14 Wide Receiver as a Start or Sit · BDGE Fantasy Football

0:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Good morning friends and enemies.
0:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Welcome in to the week 14 wide receiver preview for fantasy football We're gonna go through every single game as we do every single week.
0:09
[SPEAKER_00]: We did it with the running back yesterday We're going to divide every single fantasy relevant wide receiver as a sit a start or a flex play for week
0:17
[SPEAKER_00]: For teen.
0:18
[SPEAKER_00]: We're gonna talk through injuries.
0:19
[SPEAKER_00]: We're gonna talk through snap counts.
0:20
[SPEAKER_00]: We're gonna talk through opponents game spreads totals all that good stuff as we always do So if you are new here, make sure you subscribe to the channel and as always if you just want my rankings They are available and the only place they are available is on bdge.co If you sign up to be a big dog
0:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Remember, that is our monthly membership on bdg.co.
0:38
[SPEAKER_00]: You can get that three months free.
0:40
[SPEAKER_00]: If you go to our partner website or app, mgm to pause it, just $10 or more, and play any slip on our partner websites.
0:47
[SPEAKER_00]: And as soon as you do, they're going to hit you with a promo code to use on our website.
0:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Within their app, use it on our site.
0:53
[SPEAKER_00]: You will get three months free of the big dog membership.
0:55
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, let's talk about our servers.
0:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Thursday night football got a little treat out here.
1:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Dallas at Detroit a 54 and a half point total in this game.
1:05
[SPEAKER_00]: They're in Detroit Detroit is 3 point favorites.
1:08
[SPEAKER_00]: This one feels relatively cut and dry here from an injury standpoint.
1:12
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm on raw and clean frame and have both been DMPs.
1:14
[SPEAKER_00]: throughout the entirety of the week, this point.
1:17
[SPEAKER_00]: So I would put them at a less than 50% chance to play, you know, they're still holding out hope.
1:22
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm on right now is questionable.
1:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Brock Wright is also out pretty Troy.
1:25
[SPEAKER_00]: So they are down a bunch of their past catchers.
1:27
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, if I'm going to raw suits up, you're going to throw them into your lineup, feel really good about Jimo either way.
1:31
[SPEAKER_00]: But, you know, if I'm going to rise out, Jimo's, I mean, his line at 80 and a half is amongst the highest of any receiver.
1:37
[SPEAKER_00]: in the NFL this week.
1:38
[SPEAKER_00]: So James was going to go into a must start.
1:39
[SPEAKER_00]: He is just a balling right now without I'm going to ride without Samuel Porto without Brock right without all these guys that are past catchers in his offense.
1:46
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to continue to ball.
1:48
[SPEAKER_00]: If we talk about other guys that are balling, let's go CD lamb, let's go George Pickins.
1:52
[SPEAKER_00]: All these guys need to be in your line.
1:53
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 54 and a half white total.
1:55
[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in the dome.
1:57
[SPEAKER_00]: There's that knife football.
1:58
[SPEAKER_00]: This is when the stars like to show out all their lines are 80 and a half or above.
2:06
[SPEAKER_00]: One and a half rushing arts for jamo.
2:08
[SPEAKER_00]: You know he's getting an end around that is we just started this video that is my favorite play of the week already when you are down all these play makers.
2:15
[SPEAKER_00]: You know what you do you get the ball into the hands of your play makers as often as possible if you think jamo getting one rushing attempt this week.
2:22
[SPEAKER_00]: and can't take it for a yard in a half, you're out of your mind.
2:25
[SPEAKER_00]: You'd be out of your mind not to tell this play of mine on MGM, right?
2:29
[SPEAKER_00]: So go download MGM $10 on the app, use code BDGE, hit that JMO one and a half rushing our line.
2:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Bing, bang, boom, you get the membership for free.
2:38
[SPEAKER_00]: You get free JMO Williams over one and a half, life is beautiful.
2:41
[SPEAKER_00]: We got to talk about behind Jmas and Williams, however.
2:43
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got some guys that make a little bit of noise here.
2:45
[SPEAKER_00]: We got Isaac Tesla.
2:47
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Tom Kennedy here.
2:49
[SPEAKER_00]: With Ammon Rossing Brown out last week when he suffered the ankle sprain on Thanksgiving, we had Tom Kennedy and I took Tesla move into prominent roles, right?
2:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I took Tesla became an every-down player on the outside.
3:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Tom Kennedy became 75-80% snap guy and I think we'll occupy that role in week 14 if I'm on Rossing Brown misses.
3:11
[SPEAKER_00]: So, do I feel particularly great about either of them?
3:13
[SPEAKER_00]: No, they're both going
3:18
[SPEAKER_00]: either.
3:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Wouldn't surprise me if Tom Kennedy ended up catching five or six passes.
3:22
[SPEAKER_00]: Wouldn't surprise me if Isaac Tesla went for for 70 one handed touchdown grab either.
3:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's a great game environment.
3:28
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, Jaragov is going to have to throw the ball because Dallas is going to throw the ball.
3:31
[SPEAKER_00]: There's going to be hopefully points all around here.
3:33
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think the secondary pass catchers because they are down to just, you know, you'd imagine Dallas is going to do everything they can to try to take James Williams out of the game here.
3:42
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's going to be a heavy dosage of Gizm.
3:43
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm sure they're trying to get D-mont going a little bit on the ground to suffocate the defense a little bit.
3:48
[SPEAKER_00]: But Tom Kennedy and Isaac Tesla, I do imagine they're going to get a decent amount of targets here.
3:51
[SPEAKER_00]: So I do like Tom Kennedy's reception line at two and a half as well.
3:54
[SPEAKER_00]: But again, I think you could do better if, of course, because both of them have very low floors just based on the player and the involvement they have.
4:00
[SPEAKER_00]: But I also think you could do a lot worse than both of these guys based on the situation.
4:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to the one PM slate on Sunday.
4:07
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Cincinnati at Buffalo 53 and a half point total think I really like the under there.
4:13
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think this is going to be a weather affected game.
4:16
[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's like a 50% chance of precipitation and the weather is going to be about 30 to 32 degrees.
4:21
[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe some snow, maybe some really, really cold.
4:24
[SPEAKER_00]: rain going on there, which will affect the past and game a little bit.
4:27
[SPEAKER_00]: These are professionals, you know, they're going to ball.
4:29
[SPEAKER_00]: Jemar Chase, of course, is a must start.
4:31
[SPEAKER_00]: Teahagans, not cleared from concussion protocol yet, but you can't actually clear concussion protocol in the beginning of the week.
4:36
[SPEAKER_00]: So when you see those reports of like not cleared Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, that doesn't actually matter.
4:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Like you can only get cleared once you put a full practice in, which are like Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, you have to get deeper into the week in order to clear.
4:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Higgins got back to practice yesterday Wednesday in a limited fashion.
4:52
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, he needs to get a full practice in, but it does look like it's trending in the right direction here.
4:57
[SPEAKER_00]: So Tiggins are going to go into the field's good category, playing with Joe Barrow, of course, again, and I don't want any Cincinnati pass catchers behind him.
5:03
[SPEAKER_00]: The Buffalo Bills, I do think it looks like Don can Kato will be back in the lineup, which is an incredible matchup for him, because the bangles let
5:10
[SPEAKER_00]: up and insane amount of points to opposing tight ends.
5:13
[SPEAKER_00]: They also can be had through the slot as well.
5:16
[SPEAKER_00]: Cause they got DJ Turner on the outside.
5:17
[SPEAKER_00]: It's like a legit cornerback one who tends to do a pretty good job of taking out outside wide receiver one.
5:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So there's no one in Buffalo's past catching group.
5:25
[SPEAKER_00]: I know Keon Coleman had a touchdown last week.
5:27
[SPEAKER_00]: He actually ran 44% of the route.
5:29
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's not a guy that I want in my lineup despite what the matchup looks like on paper.
5:33
[SPEAKER_00]: She's here.
5:33
[SPEAKER_00]: Listen, again, you know, ups and downs all week.
5:36
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the matchup is great.
5:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Very high total here, 53.5.
5:39
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the dub flex for me.
5:41
[SPEAKER_00]: And I don't want anybody else in this game.
5:43
[SPEAKER_00]: We can move to Indy at Jacksonville here.
5:46
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 47.5 point total.
5:48
[SPEAKER_00]: They are in Jacksonville.
5:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Indy is one and a half point favorites in this one.
5:52
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a little bit of a tough one to decipher, because Pearson Pitman have kind of been up and down Daniel Jones has not been playing as well over the last month or so since we've heard about his fractured to be there, they're obviously going to try to establish Jonathan Taylor as they do every single game.
6:06
[SPEAKER_00]: As you can see though, the Jaguars are not an easy passing defense to throw the ball against 31st and EPA per pass allowed to opponents.
6:13
[SPEAKER_00]: You see fantasy points are a little bit better obviously because they end up scoring a decent amount of points
6:20
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm looking at the difference between Pierce and Michael Pittman, Vegas has them almost identical 56 and a half receiving ours for Pierce 51 and a half for Michael Pittman.
6:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Pittman's got a little bit of an edge over him and receptions just you know based on the natural target depth of his involvement in the offense.
6:38
[SPEAKER_00]: So Pierce, you know again, he's a guy that you don't want to overthink is when you overthink it like you sit him after a bad game then he has the good game.
6:44
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's that type of back and forth that you're going to end up playing with fire a little bit.
6:48
[SPEAKER_00]: So Pierce is going to be in my lineup as a dub flex.
6:51
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll put him above Shakir.
6:52
[SPEAKER_00]: Pitman's also going to go into the dub flex because again, he's not a guy that I want to flip flop back and forth.
6:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's very talented.
6:56
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's going to have good games going forward.
6:58
[SPEAKER_00]: But I would start a guy like Shakir over Michael Pitman.
7:01
[SPEAKER_00]: So that's where like I guess there's a little bit of it.
7:03
[SPEAKER_00]: a tear gap for me, will throw Josh down to the shaky flex, probably rather not start him if I don't have to, but, you know, again, if you want the actual rankings in terms of orders of exactly how I would sit, start all these dudes, it is available in the membership, which I've mentioned, 472 times already throughout this video.
7:19
[SPEAKER_00]: The other side of the balls a little bit more interesting, mainly because Parker Washington,
7:23
[SPEAKER_00]: suffered the hip injury last week and he was a DNP for the first practice on Wednesday.
7:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, we need to get in at least a little bit of practice either today or on Friday to return to this game.
7:33
[SPEAKER_00]: So let's proceed as if Parker Washington is not going to play.
7:37
[SPEAKER_00]: That makes me feel phenomenal about Jacobi Myers.
7:40
[SPEAKER_00]: He has taken over as the legit wide receiver one and it makes sense based on the Liam Cohen type of offense loves using the slot receivers loves using the over the middle type of guys and that's also been where Trevor Lawrence has excelled with receivers right Christian Kirk of an ingrown the guys over the middle that make the plays and we've seen Jacobi Myers come in three weeks and he's already the number one for Trevor Lawrence coming off of a big game I expect that to be the case again.
8:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Brian Thomas Jr. just not really involved last week was even taken out on some two wide receiver sets.
8:07
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, first game back from a long stretch of a high ankle sprain, missing time there.
8:11
[SPEAKER_00]: So I do expect his involvement to go up a little bit.
8:13
[SPEAKER_00]: I do I do not expect him to catch two balls of game going forward, especially with Parker Washington out.
8:18
[SPEAKER_00]: But Brent Strange is making a big impact.
8:20
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he is one of the guys over the middle that's taking advantage of this.
8:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So Myers strange those are the guys you want in your lineup from Jacksonville.
8:27
[SPEAKER_00]: This is also a game.
8:28
[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in Jacksonville, so the temperature is not a concern, but there are some reports that there could be some showers throughout the game, not overly concerned about it because of the temperature itself.
8:38
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think at this point, it is really tough to trust Brian Thomas Jr. You know, any game he's given to pop, you know, like you think it might happen eventually.
8:46
[SPEAKER_00]: And Vegas still has him up at 48.5.
8:48
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the shaky flex here for me.
8:50
[SPEAKER_00]: I just don't know how anyone could trust him at this point.
8:52
[SPEAKER_00]: Next game, we got Miami at the New York Jets.
8:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Miami's two and a half point favorites on the road here.
8:57
[SPEAKER_00]: 41 and a half point total.
9:00
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just always going to start jailing a lot.
9:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't really care about the blips in his game.
9:03
[SPEAKER_00]: So whether you want to throw him in the most star or the feels good, I feel really good about having him in my lineup.
9:09
[SPEAKER_00]: on a weekly basis.
9:09
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they just went with a non aggressive game plan last week heavy heavy dosage of Devon H and so I think that could flip at any moment and the jet's defense is not one to be scared of obviously on the flip side we had at an i Mitchell with his breakout game last week.
9:22
[SPEAKER_00]: John met you took a little bit of a step back, but that was always in the cars right.
9:25
[SPEAKER_00]: They're both super super involved.
9:27
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a great match against the Miami Dolphins defense fifth.
9:30
[SPEAKER_00]: in EPA per pass allowed to opponents, Tyrod, you know, stabilizing the passing offense, Garrett Wilson is going to be out for at least one more week with his IR stint if not, you know, longer.
9:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I feel great about having either of these guys like one, one thing I will say is I'm not going to overreact to add an imitials great game and I don't want to overreact John Metchy having a bad game and now they're like,
9:50
[SPEAKER_00]: 15 spots apart in the rankings after everyone was kind of flipping because the production went one way or the other.
9:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I just think at the end of the day, the ad and I Mitchell targets are a lot more valuable.
9:59
[SPEAKER_00]: They're a lot deeper.
10:00
[SPEAKER_00]: He's getting more of them.
10:01
[SPEAKER_00]: They're both running pretty much every single route.
10:03
[SPEAKER_00]: So you have the wide receiver one.
10:04
[SPEAKER_00]: You have the wide receiver two in and offense where their defense lets up a ton of points.
10:08
[SPEAKER_00]: So to be honest, you actually really like, is weird as it's saying in a jet's game, the over in this game, 41 and a half.
10:14
[SPEAKER_00]: These are two teams where I think their offenses are better than both of the opposing defenses.
10:19
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think they'll top that total.
10:20
[SPEAKER_00]: And I'm looking at, you know, the players that I have in the tiers already,
10:24
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think, you know, if I'm looking at Adonine Mitchell and John Metchi, yeah, there's a world or Adonine Mitchell for sure pops again.
10:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't feel super confident in that.
10:31
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the shaky flex tier.
10:33
[SPEAKER_00]: To me, he's like right behind BTJ or in that conversation where he's kind of bordering on moving his way up into the dub flex tier because the weekly ceiling is so high, but I don't feel super confident.
10:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Metchi's going to go into the shaky flex tier as well.
10:46
[SPEAKER_00]: I feel good about his floor.
10:47
[SPEAKER_00]: And I guess it's more a matter of floor ceiling to you and what you need in your lineup this week.
10:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to the Saints at Tampa Bay, 42 and a half points total, eight and a half point underdogs for the New Orleans Saints here.
10:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's check out some of the practice reports.
11:01
[SPEAKER_00]: So on Wednesday, Kamara still at the MP Chris Alave was a DMP deal with the backspasms.
11:06
[SPEAKER_00]: That was something he dealt with last week and ended up playing through it, but apparently he's pretty sore and it did feel like they affected him a little bit.
11:13
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it was a Dolphins game plan to kind of take a lot of a out of the mix, and that's why we saw it to Vaughn Vaelay game.
11:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, I do think, you know, and I'll allow a downgrade is probably warranted with the back, but I don't want to overdo it.
11:26
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, Godwin still limited to play last week.
11:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Mike Evans's practice window did open.
11:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Jailin Millen's as well.
11:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Both of them are limited.
11:33
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have word of whether or not they're going to suit up for this week, which makes it obviously a tough to cipher for the wider severs.
11:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Chris Alave, I'm just going to go into the fields.
11:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Good.
11:42
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a great matchup.
11:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Tampa Bay is one that you just throw the ball against and don't really try to run the ball against a mechagbuka.
11:48
[SPEAKER_00]: I know he's been a little shitty last couple of weeks, but he's going to go into the fields.
11:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Good category once again, six and a half yards is his line.
11:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't want to overthink that one.
11:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Chris God wouldn't have a big bounce back game last week.
11:57
[SPEAKER_00]: A lot of it was on a big play.
11:59
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not going overly optimistic on Chris Godwin test Johnson's line is now at 21 and a half.
12:05
[SPEAKER_00]: So is fall off has been pretty dramatic recently.
12:09
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that matchup is good.
12:10
[SPEAKER_00]: It's most of this is something I can't really decipher right now without having any practice reports or health reports.
12:16
[SPEAKER_00]: So we could look at the routes run from last week.
12:18
[SPEAKER_00]: It was a bokeh was in every down player.
12:21
[SPEAKER_00]: You had Chris Godwin at 66% of the routes.
12:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Test Johnson is down to 54% of the routes and certainly Shepherd at 40.
12:27
[SPEAKER_00]: So Tez's involvement is in the 50% range right now.
12:31
[SPEAKER_00]: So you need a big play.
12:32
[SPEAKER_00]: You need to touch down.
12:33
[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, he's not someone that's running even close to every route here.
12:36
[SPEAKER_00]: So the matchup looks good on paper, but overall it's he's a really tough star right now.
12:40
[SPEAKER_00]: It's really tough to pull the trigger.
12:41
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's between the shaky flex and the rather knots here.
12:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I think of on Vela is actually like a decent start this week.
12:46
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not going to say he's a dope start, but he is one running every single route and the matchup is good.
12:51
[SPEAKER_00]: And if they decide to look at the tape from last week and say like, you know, how do we slow down a lot of A's going to have to go to Vela again.
12:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't hate that either.
12:57
[SPEAKER_00]: So Vela is going to go into the shaky flex tier as definitely an option this week.
13:00
[SPEAKER_00]: If you are desperate McMillan even if he plays it's not someone you want your line up and more so just hurts everybody else.
13:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Evans is the other one.
13:06
[SPEAKER_00]: If he ends up getting activated That's a tough one.
13:09
[SPEAKER_00]: It wasn't like a serious ligament lower body injury was the collarbone thing.
13:13
[SPEAKER_00]: So like I think he'll probably be close to full-ish strength I think I would probably just move him into the dub flex tier.
13:18
[SPEAKER_00]: I always
13:19
[SPEAKER_00]: take a little bit of room for pessimism first game back in case they want to like wind them up given 50-60% of the routes instead of a you know a full slate right now but yeah it's where we settle moving on to Pittsburgh at Boltonmore they are in Boltonmore they are six point favorites 42 and a half point total here we've got Lamar not playing his best ball but i also think you know z-flowers while not getting a ton of volume
13:42
[SPEAKER_00]: There is a good match up here, Pittsburgh.
13:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Second most fancy points allowed to the wider sea reposition.
13:47
[SPEAKER_00]: They were also an opi call away from having a 50 hour touchdown connection last week.
13:51
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think Z-flowers is still very much in the dub flex tier.
13:54
[SPEAKER_00]: His line is at 57 and a half receiving yards.
13:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Vegas still believes.
13:58
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm fin of follow Vegas and we're gonna believe along with them.
14:01
[SPEAKER_00]: Dick Mekka has gone right into the shaky flex series.
14:03
[SPEAKER_00]: He's kind of been all year.
14:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Not getting the volume, not getting big plays, not getting targets downfield.
14:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Our Roger's is super banged up right now.
14:12
[SPEAKER_00]: Perk passing offense.
14:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Seattle at Atlanta.
14:16
[SPEAKER_00]: So we've got a 7 point game in favor of Seattle 44.5 point total playing in Atlanta.
14:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Jayson, of course, is a must start.
14:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Everybody else in this game is not really intrigued to me.
14:27
[SPEAKER_00]: Cooper Cups line at 29 and a half for Shijie heat has gotten almost nothing going.
14:32
[SPEAKER_00]: So I mean those two are very, very shaky options here and probably deserve to be in the rather not tier on the flip side.
14:39
[SPEAKER_00]: You've got Drake London who started off the week with a DNP, which is not a good start to the week.
14:43
[SPEAKER_00]: We'll see if he progresses to a limited practice tomorrow or today or whatever and maybe he suits up But this is a tough match up either way.
14:51
[SPEAKER_00]: So we will progress as if he is not going to play in this one and that makes Donald Mooney a really tough start I mean we saw last week what his floor is like the week prior.
14:58
[SPEAKER_00]: He had a good game He's gonna run all the routes and who gets some targets but at the end of the day.
15:02
[SPEAKER_00]: He's definitely not a dub flex He's someone that you're like hoping stays on the field a hundred percent of the time and then Kirk causes and just chooses to kind of pepper him That we can set of a Kyle pitch game, but the matchups bad either way you slice it
15:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Tennessee at Cleveland, a 33.5 point total here in St. Lowest of the year I believe up to this point.
15:22
[SPEAKER_00]: That's like literally a preseason overunder, which is not surprising given like these teams rosters are like what good rosters run out on a preseasoning game.
15:30
[SPEAKER_00]: So you've got Cleveland as four and a half point favorites, 33.5 point total here on paper should be a great match it, but should our Sanders throws for you know 140 yards a game, which makes almost no one and I mean we could kind of just skip to this game.
15:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think there's anyone that you're looking at in serious fashion to throw into your lineup here.
15:47
[SPEAKER_00]: So like in Jared Judy, they connect on that deep all he has a good game, but like if you throw in Jared Judy into your lineup right now and we've 14 you got you got trouble.
15:55
[SPEAKER_00]: It's just line the rather not here with this entire game.
15:58
[SPEAKER_00]: There you go.
15:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Now we've populated it Washington at Minnesota.
16:02
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Minnesota home two and a half point favorites here 42 and a half point total.
16:07
[SPEAKER_00]: Storyline of this game I think for the most part would be the quarterback situation.
16:10
[SPEAKER_00]: JJ McCarthy will be returning to play QB for the Vikings.
16:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Good news, bad news.
16:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know.
16:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I can't imagine that they don't give Jefferson at least like six plays designed for him in this one.
16:21
[SPEAKER_00]: So the matchup is phenomenal as you could see all green across the board.
16:25
[SPEAKER_00]: The quarterback play is going to be a bismal.
16:28
[SPEAKER_00]: I am still of the ilk that
16:30
[SPEAKER_00]: that from looking across the board here, I like him more than my dub flex plays.
16:35
[SPEAKER_00]: I like him probably less than these guys here, but I think I'd rather throw him into the field's good category because the match is so great.
16:41
[SPEAKER_00]: And after a bad game like that, there's just no way that their offense is not something that is just so just in Jefferson focus this week.
16:49
[SPEAKER_00]: So I expect him to get the opportunities, whether or not they are catchable opportunities who knows, but if I got Jefferson, this is the match that you've kind of been like,
17:00
[SPEAKER_00]: You don't get it done here.
17:01
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know how you could ever play him again to be honest, but Jefferson for me is probably going to be like a, you know, a top 20-ish guy, top 18 guy in my rankings.
17:10
[SPEAKER_00]: This week, Terima Gorem, he's interesting because he's coming off of a big return game, scored a touchdown, got a ton of targets, had a lot of production with Marcus Marioda.
17:18
[SPEAKER_00]: And his first real game back, you know, and now
17:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Having the good game, like he came back from injury earlier in the year, but then ended up re-induring it, not having a good game.
17:25
[SPEAKER_00]: And it was just like a shaky return stint that he made.
17:28
[SPEAKER_00]: And now coming back first game back, having a very strong return makes you confident going forward, that at least we're getting like the Terry of old, whether or not the offense can hold up, whether or not Marcus Mario is going to throw for more than 160 yards, different story here, tough match against Minnesota.
17:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Second few as fantasy points allow to the wider receiver position, you know, a lot of that is just like make a break.
17:47
[SPEAKER_00]: They blitz so often.
17:49
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's like, can your man beat man coverage?
17:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, Terry can.
17:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Ken Marks, Mario to deliver a good ball.
17:54
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I think Terry's kind of in that like dub flex range.
17:57
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's probably closer towards the bottom of it, but I think the conversations of like Terry versus Michael Pittman are very warranted.
18:03
[SPEAKER_00]: It's.
18:03
[SPEAKER_00]: two good players, two tough matchups.
18:05
[SPEAKER_00]: How much do we trust the quarterback right now?
18:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not expecting Jayden Daniels to return.
18:09
[SPEAKER_00]: Could be wrong on that one, but I would expect it to be Marcus Marriota again, but pretty tough matchup, but we also just saw them deliver against the Denver Broncos.
18:17
[SPEAKER_00]: So outside of that, yeah, I mean, Debo will be relatively involved, Jordan Addison,
18:21
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know how you can trust either of these guys.
18:23
[SPEAKER_00]: I think both them are probably going to go into the shaky flex tier.
18:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Their lines are 37 and a half, 35 and a half.
18:28
[SPEAKER_00]: We're not expecting much out of either of them.
18:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, they could always kind of just like pop or score a touchdown.
18:33
[SPEAKER_00]: But Denver at Las Vegas here.
18:35
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Denver at seven and a half point favorites in Las Vegas 40 and a half point total here.
18:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Quirling Sutton.
18:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I feel good about Quirling Sutton.
18:43
[SPEAKER_00]: The matchup is great as you can see green across the board against the Raiders defense, which at this point I feel like just has to be so defeated, so demoralized.
18:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Troy Franklin, this is kind of an interesting one because Troy Franklin is still obviously the number two here in terms of Vegas lines 35 and a half receiving arts three and a half reception.
18:59
[SPEAKER_00]: So a clear tier down from Portland Sutton, a clear tier up from Pat Ryan who's at 25 and a half to two and a half.
19:05
[SPEAKER_00]: But when we actually look at these snap counts when we look at the routes run for the Broncos receivers last week, Pat Bryant topped Troy Franklin for the first time this year.
19:20
[SPEAKER_00]: and targets per route run, 19% for Pat Bryant, 9% for Troy Franklin.
19:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So Franklin, I don't want to say he's being phased out because obviously a one week sample size, anything can flip, there could have just been something in the game script where they were like, ah, we kind of like Pat Bryant for taking advantage of this defense over, which Troy Franklin brings to us, but I do think it's worth noting.
19:38
[SPEAKER_00]: And if Troy Franklin becomes a 65% route guy,
19:41
[SPEAKER_00]: If you just look on paper, you say, oh, Troy Franklin just had some big games going against the Raiders great matchup.
19:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I think you could make the argument to throw him into the dub flex tier, but if we're looking at the recent trends in Pat Bryant, you know, he was a day two pick for the Broncos.
19:53
[SPEAKER_00]: He was a guy that I liked coming out of college.
19:56
[SPEAKER_00]: He is a guy that's now getting more involved.
19:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Like a rookie day two pick second half of the year, they're starting to get more and more involved.
20:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that Pat Bryant could impact Roy Franklin more than people realized.
20:07
[SPEAKER_00]: So Franklin is going to go into the shaky flex to you for me, you know, probably around where like the Tom Kennedy's John Metchys are because the matchup is good, but know that Franklin is going to run way fewer routes than a guy like John Metchys before he throw him into your lineup.
20:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Pat Bryant, you know, he's not having huge, huge fantasy days, but he's a guy to keep an eye on.
20:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Trey Tucker, matchup against Denver, I want no part of that with Patrick Surtane back.
20:29
[SPEAKER_00]: Chicago at Green Bay.
20:31
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Green Bay as six and a half point favorites in Lambo, 44 and a half point total here.
20:36
[SPEAKER_00]: This is an awesome game.
20:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Interesting game.
20:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Chicago, obviously, the number one seed in the NFC North coming off of the game, which they just bullied.
20:42
[SPEAKER_00]: The Philadelphia Eagles, Chicago passing game is just insanely inconsistent, though.
20:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Caleb Williams is making insane plays and the same drive will be one of the most inaccurate quarterbacks you've ever seen.
20:53
[SPEAKER_00]: So, various skits of frenic passing offense here.
20:55
[SPEAKER_00]: So,
20:55
[SPEAKER_00]: for Chicago, I don't know how you could feel good about starting any of these guys.
20:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Like Rome is the one on paper, was the one early on in the air and you always want to leave hope for him to like get back to that.
21:05
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, his receiving yard is lying in Vegas at 37 and a half.
21:10
[SPEAKER_00]: It's the same as Jordan Addison with JJ McCarthy.
21:13
[SPEAKER_00]: It's below Chris Godwin.
21:14
[SPEAKER_00]: It's right above Troy Franklin.
21:16
[SPEAKER_00]: It's gotten bad.
21:16
[SPEAKER_00]: So, realistically, I don't know how you can trust any of the Chicago receivers is anything more than a shaky flex.
21:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Christian Watson on the other side is someone who's becoming like a beast in this packer's offense and Jordan loves number one target.
21:31
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, how I feel about Watson is going to highly depend on who is back for the Green Bay Packers this game, because we do have Jean Reed back to a limited practice.
21:40
[SPEAKER_00]: His practice window obviously opened.
21:41
[SPEAKER_00]: We have Matthew Golden back to a limited practice here, so it does look like it's trending for both of those guys to make their returns.
21:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Dante V. and Wix is coming off of a big game.
21:50
[SPEAKER_00]: And it's not like I expect them to be the alphas or I expect them to overtake Watson.
21:54
[SPEAKER_00]: The problem is when you have this receiving room of Watson and dobs and Matthew gold and Jane Reed and Dante Vian Wix, you are just naturally going to see a decline in routes run, right?
22:05
[SPEAKER_00]: And if you're Christian Watson and you go down from 88 to like 77, and all these players have like a target per route run rate, which is important when you're splitting snaps of, you know, 19 to 20, 21%.
22:17
[SPEAKER_00]: like you need to capitalize on the big place.
22:20
[SPEAKER_00]: And that's where I get a little bit of concern with Christian Watson this week, like over all he's been great.
22:25
[SPEAKER_00]: The matchup on paper looks good, but they did get Jalen Johnson back last week, there's a Kylo secondary.
22:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Jalen Johnson, Kylo Gordon got back, so they are pretty much at full strength in their secondary.
22:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Jalen Johnson is a very, very good corner back, and I would expect him to line up against Christian Watson pretty often.
22:39
[SPEAKER_00]: So Watson, despite it has been playing last few weeks in the connection with love, if golden and jane read both return, he's definitely going to go into the dub flex category more so than the feels good category for me.
22:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I do think he definitely deserves to be in your lineup, but I do think, you know, there's there's reasons for concern.
22:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Dodge is kind of just like falling completely off the face of the earth.
22:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Since Watson returned to court the touchdown, but his involvement is just not great.
22:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Other than that, if Jane read plays, I could throw him into the shaky flex category, I only expect him to run 50 to 60% of the routes and first game back from a very long layoff.
23:08
[SPEAKER_00]: So don't really want him in my lineup right away.
23:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Rams at the Cardinals.
23:11
[SPEAKER_00]: So we've got the Rams, a seven and a half point favorites in Arizona, a 47 and a half point total.
23:16
[SPEAKER_00]: Puka must start.
23:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Navante Adams must start.
23:18
[SPEAKER_00]: Love that line of 54 and a half receiving yards for him.
23:21
[SPEAKER_00]: We took that last week and our big day parlay and we cash.
23:24
[SPEAKER_00]: And then on the flip side, we've got Marvin Harris in starting the week off with a DNP because of that heel injury.
23:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know.
23:30
[SPEAKER_00]: He was limping a lot at the end of the game.
23:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Didn't look great for his week 14 status, so I would expect him to probably miss this one.
23:37
[SPEAKER_00]: So we'll see if he returns to practice today or tomorrow.
23:41
[SPEAKER_00]: If he doesn't play, Michael Wilson becomes a highly targeted player again.
23:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I know the match was bad against the Rams, but I just expect Wilson to get another 10 plus targets in this game.
23:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So despite going against the Rams, I mean, he's going to go into the field's good category.
23:53
[SPEAKER_00]: I think if you have him on your team and Marvin Harrison Jr. misses, he has to be in your lineup for the most part.
23:59
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that makes Greg Dorch a shaky flex play, but it should be noted that Greg Dorch I believe was a DNP on Wednesday as well with a chest injury.
24:09
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's questionable for the game right now.
24:11
[SPEAKER_00]: That's something to just keep an eye on.
24:12
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Sunday night football, we've got Houston at Kansas City, 41 and a half point total.
24:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Kansas City is three and a half point favorites in this one.
24:20
[SPEAKER_00]: We are in our overhead.
24:21
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Russia rise going against, you know.
24:23
[SPEAKER_00]: probably top two defense in the NFL.
24:26
[SPEAKER_00]: The use in Texans here, a lot of red across the board.
24:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't really care.
24:29
[SPEAKER_00]: He's a must start for me on the flip side.
24:32
[SPEAKER_00]: We essentially just shroud return last week to a good yardage game.
24:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Didn't convert on the touchdowns.
24:36
[SPEAKER_00]: New co-con did get in for a rushing touchdown.
24:38
[SPEAKER_00]: So we ended up saving his day.
24:39
[SPEAKER_00]: But he's, you know, it's got a,
24:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Relatively tough matchup.
24:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Passing games a little bit inconsistent, but I mean, you're somewhere right in between that, like, must start and feels good category.
24:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, you have Nico Collins on your team.
24:48
[SPEAKER_00]: You're going to put him in your lineup.
24:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Everybody else in this game is a shaky flex or worse to me.
24:53
[SPEAKER_00]: Xavier, where these just been kind of AS since Russia Rice has returned.
24:57
[SPEAKER_00]: J. Niggins has been good running routes, but still not topping like 60% of the route.
25:01
[SPEAKER_00]: So until we see him as like a full-time player, it's a little bit hard to trust him, despite him having a pretty high floor over the last like month or so.
25:07
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a tough matchup.
25:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I need to see more full time upside from Jay Niggins before I feel comfortable in a shady matchup on the road throwing him into my lineup.
25:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Last game of the slave, we got Monday, and I football, Philly at the Los Angeles Chargers.
25:21
[SPEAKER_00]: And the biggest storyline right now, of course, is whether or not Justin Herbert is playing.
25:25
[SPEAKER_00]: He had the surgery on his fractured hand.
25:28
[SPEAKER_00]: They got screws.
25:29
[SPEAKER_00]: They got nails.
25:29
[SPEAKER_00]: They got a plate.
25:30
[SPEAKER_00]: They got that dudes got a full dinner where set inside of his hand right now.
25:34
[SPEAKER_00]: He says his plan is to play on Monday.
25:37
[SPEAKER_00]: That is far from guaranteed.
25:39
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't know if he's going to play.
25:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, Tray Lance would be the quarterback if Justin Herbert does not play.
25:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I think if Justin Herbert does play, it's going to change their offense quite a bit.
25:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I think they'll have to go full shotgun, full pistol.
25:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I think they'll be limited a little bit and it does make me a little bit shaky about the passing options here.
25:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Vladimir Kanky, I expect to continue to have the highest target share.
26:00
[SPEAKER_00]: In this offense, this is a tough matchup.
26:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I assume he's going to see a decent amount of Cooper to gene, which is not an overly easy matchup.
26:06
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think, ultimately, this is a 40 and a half point total.
26:10
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, beginning of the year, you'd imagine both of these offenses are going to be really explosive.
26:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, that has not come to fruition.
26:15
[SPEAKER_00]: So they're in L.A. L.A. 3.0 underdogs with a 40 and a half point total really, really, really low.
26:22
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think the way I'm looking at this is matchup is tougher filly as well, you know, dead last and fantasy points allowed to the wide receiver position the L.A. charger's defense is.
26:31
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think AJ Brown is coming off of a monster game obviously.
26:34
[SPEAKER_00]: He's been a lot better over the last few weeks than he was, you know, prior to that.
26:37
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's getting really involved.
26:38
[SPEAKER_00]: They are trying to run the offense through him.
26:40
[SPEAKER_00]: They're off into line camp, run block for shit.
26:42
[SPEAKER_00]: So they continued to have to turn to him.
26:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I feel great about him?
26:45
[SPEAKER_00]: Like,
26:45
[SPEAKER_00]: not really to be honest.
26:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Does he deserve to be in the same conversation as fucking Justin Jefferson with J. J. McCarthy?
26:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, so I'm going to throw him into like the feels good category, but definitely not the very, very tippy top of it.
26:57
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the Vaute Smith has earned a dub flex, a noison.
27:00
[SPEAKER_00]: What's the like, what's the verbiage of of a noint?
27:03
[SPEAKER_00]: and nointing him and nointage.
27:04
[SPEAKER_00]: We're going to use a nointage.
27:06
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to throw lad Maconking to the Dubflix category as well.
27:09
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, tough matchup, Herbert, ailing a little bit, but I do expect him to have the eyes.
27:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Target chair.
27:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Then you got Keenan and Quint Johnson both going to the shaky flex tier.
27:17
[SPEAKER_00]: I still rather attach myself to Justin Herbert as a quarterback.
27:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Then a lot of these guys who have, you know, either bad matchups, shitty quarterback play, not running a ton of routes.
27:25
[SPEAKER_00]: I probably rather at the end of the day take that outlook over.
27:31
[SPEAKER_00]: if trade lands plays and it's kind of all bets off the table and there's almost no telling what they're going to do with that type of offense should be noted as well.
27:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Omar in Hampton, it looks like he's going to suit up.
27:42
[SPEAKER_00]: We definitely don't have a hundred percent concrete answer on that.
27:45
[SPEAKER_00]: But if they got Hampton and Vidal, you'd imagine they go with a pretty run-heavy approach here, especially after seeing how Filly was spanked by the Chicago Bears on the ground as well.
27:54
[SPEAKER_00]: So that is all the water sewers for week.
27:56
[SPEAKER_00]: 14.
27:57
[SPEAKER_00]: It's going to post a mode where you host.
27:59
[SPEAKER_00]: So you can see everybody in the mustart feels good.
28:01
[SPEAKER_00]: Deflix shaky flex categories.
28:04
[SPEAKER_00]: This is how I am looking at the week.
28:06
[SPEAKER_00]: This is how my emotions have placed these players into their tears.
28:10
[SPEAKER_00]: All right.
28:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So I hope this was helpful.
28:12
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, if you missed the running back version of this video, that was yesterday.
28:15
[SPEAKER_00]: We'll put that link in the description.
28:17
[SPEAKER_00]: If you want this for next week into your fantasy playoffs, please subscribe to the channel.
28:22
[SPEAKER_00]: I
28:26
[SPEAKER_00]: that sent, you know, their YouTube recaps or wrapped whatever the fuck they call it on YouTube.
28:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, today, appreciate those tweets and all the DMs on Instagram and stuff like that.
28:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Y'all are real.
28:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Make sure you go check out our partner, mgm, of course, CodeBDE10 plus dollars.
28:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Any of the slips that I talked about throughout the day will get you the big dog membership for the next three months.
28:46
[SPEAKER_00]: I love y'all.
28:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Smooches.