Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Ryan Bridge: What will the big issue be for the 2026 election?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Inflation is still the dominant force in global politics, no
- 0:04Speaker 1: doubt about it. We've got the US election next month,
- 0:07Speaker 1: the Aussies are going to the polls by midway through
- 0:09Speaker 1: next year, so are the Canadians who just had the UK.
- 0:11Speaker 1: We've just had France, and inflation rules the roost and
- 0:15Speaker 1: bad news for old Elbow in Australia. There's a new
- 0:18Speaker 1: poll out this morning that has him neck and neck
- 0:23Speaker 1: with Dutton and with the Coalition. But here's the bad part,
- 0:27Speaker 1: the really bad part. Forty four percent of Aussies think
- 0:30Speaker 1: the economy will worsen in the next six months. What's more,
- 0:34Speaker 1: Doesn't and the Coalition are favored on the economy thirty
- 0:37Speaker 1: eight percent to twenty six percent, and more people blame
- 0:41Speaker 1: the government for causing inflation rather than global issues. So
- 0:46Speaker 1: he has an uphill battle, doesn't he. For New Zealand,
- 0:50Speaker 1: inflation should be should be a distant memory by the
- 0:54Speaker 1: time we hit twenty twenty six in our next election.
- 0:57Speaker 1: It's expected to be inside the target range by Christmas.
- 1:00Speaker 1: GDP should have picked up, unemployment should have fallen, Tourism,
- 1:04Speaker 1: agriculture we've already heard this morning or showing promising signs,
- 1:08Speaker 1: but There's always a defining issue in a political campaign,
- 1:12Speaker 1: isn't there? What will ours be in twenty twenty six?
- 1:16Speaker 1: Do you think a smart government will always try to
- 1:19Speaker 1: define what that issue is ahead of time and to
- 1:21Speaker 1: control the narrative, control the language around it, control the debate.
- 1:25Speaker 1: I think the biggest risk for the National Party this point,
- 1:28Speaker 1: this far out. I know it is a bit far
- 1:30Speaker 1: for predictions crystal ball gazing, but I think at this
- 1:33Speaker 1: state is probably public service cuts, you know Dunedin Hospital,
- 1:37Speaker 1: public transport, health, education etc. The reality is probably most
- 1:42Speaker 1: of us will give them another go, but it wouldn't
- 1:45Speaker 1: hurt them to keep an eye on what comes next.
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