Latest / Economy & Finance / The true European origin of the US dollar _ The Story of Money
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: By the early 17th century, the word dollar shows up
- 0:03Speaker 1: in Shakespeare twice. This wasn't just for merchants. So as
- 0:07Speaker 1: commerce spreads to the American colonies, the dollar also becomes
- 0:11Speaker 1: a standard accepted unit of value and coin in the
- 0:14Speaker 1: United States as well, or rather in the colonies. But
- 0:17Speaker 1: then they choose for their currency a Spanish coin made
- 0:21Speaker 1: from Mexican silver with a German name.
- 0:25Speaker 2: Well, that shows the joys of multiculturalism. And immigrants, they
- 0:29Speaker 2: get the job done.
- 0:30Speaker 1: It's an immigrant coin. This is not the story of sovereignty.
- 0:33Speaker 2: So when is someone going to tell the American government
- 0:35Speaker 2: that they're using an immigrant coin?
- 0:45Speaker 3: Today on the story of money, the origins of the dollar.
- 0:51Speaker 2: Ugh. That's a topic which is super timely today because
- 0:55Speaker 2: I've been seeing central bank governors and finance ministers recently.
- 0:59Speaker 2: And what many of them are wondering is, can the
- 1:03Speaker 2: dominance of the dollar remain in place? And is there
- 1:07Speaker 2: anything which could possibly topple it? And of course, to
- 1:11Speaker 2: answer those questions about why the dollar is so dominant,
- 1:15Speaker 2: it actually pays to look not just to the future
- 1:17Speaker 2: but also to the past. And to understand exactly how
- 1:21Speaker 2: and where the dollar came from in the first place,
- 1:24Speaker 2: because people don't often ask that question, do they, Robin?
- 1:28Speaker 3: No, that's right. It may surprise some people to learn
- 1:31Speaker 3: that the dollar itself is actually a lot older than
- 1:35Speaker 3: the United States of America.
- 1:36Speaker 2: But the original inventor has been almost completely written out
- 1:40Speaker 2: of the history books. And that's partly because he was
- 1:44Speaker 2: something of an inept character. He wasn't a great hero.
- 1:47Speaker 2: He was a bit of a loser, as you might say,
- 1:50Speaker 2: in his time. And when he created the dollar, he
- 1:53Speaker 2: had no idea what was going to happen to it.
- 1:55Speaker 3: I've actually prepared a little thing here. I'm going to
- 1:58Speaker 3: make it. It's a bit of an experiment.
- 2:00Speaker 2: This is you getting creative in a way that you're
- 2:02Speaker 2: never allowed to do before when we're working together.
- 2:05Speaker 3: Exactly.
- 2:05Speaker 1: This is it.
- 2:06Speaker 3: This is finally breaking free. Yes, my revenge. So I'm
- 2:09Speaker 3: going to do a bit of a fairy tale rendering.
- 2:12Speaker 1: Okay, here goes.
- 2:14Speaker 3: Once upon a time in a land far, far away,
- 2:18Speaker 3: a land in central Europe called Bohemia. It was a
- 2:22Speaker 3: place that was full of mountains and valleys and untouched
- 2:25Speaker 3: forests and almost magical waters. And it was a period
- 2:29Speaker 3: of lords and counts and kings. And in one of
- 2:31Speaker 3: these valleys lay a vast fortune, hidden just beneath the surface,
- 2:37Speaker 3: a valley full of silver. And see, this mine had
- 2:41Speaker 3: actually been hidden for ages and ages until one day
- 2:45Speaker 3: a nobleman, the hero of our story, if you will,
- 2:49Speaker 3: hears about this fabled silver mine and decides to make
- 2:53Speaker 3: his fortune. Now, doesn't that sound like a fairytale start?
- 2:57Speaker 2: And it takes us to the point that the dollar
- 2:59Speaker 2: actually started not in any printing press or central bank,
- 3:03Speaker 2: but actually in a silver mine.
- 3:05Speaker 3: Yeah. So we're going to be going back 500 years
- 3:08Speaker 3: actually now to the beginning of the 16th century. We're
- 3:10Speaker 3: going to the silver mine in Central Europe. And we're
- 3:13Speaker 3: meeting this guy who played a key role in the
- 3:15Speaker 3: creation of the coin that was the forefather of the dollar,
- 3:20Speaker 3: the OG dollar, the granddaddy dollar, in other words. So
- 3:24Speaker 3: welcome to the story of money from the Financial Times, everybody.
- 3:26Speaker 2: I'm Gillian Tett.
- 3:28Speaker 3: And I'm Robin Wigglesworth.
- 3:34Speaker 4: So What happens next in the story of money? Nuveen
- 3:39Speaker 4: has spent over 125 years helping clients answer this question.
- 3:43Speaker 4: By investing in the growth of businesses, real estate, infrastructure,
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- 3:50Speaker 4: income and alternatives so investors can confidently write the next
- 3:54Speaker 4: chapter of their own portfolio stories.
- 3:56Speaker 3: Nuveen.
- 3:57Speaker 4: Invest like the future is watching. Visit nuveen.com slash future
- 4:01Speaker 4: to learn more. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.
- 4:11Speaker 3: So, the dollar has existed in various incarnations for almost
- 4:15Speaker 3: half a millennium. But Gillian, as you mentioned, perhaps the
- 4:19Speaker 3: dollar is reaching the end of the road, or maybe
- 4:22Speaker 3: it's past its peak, perhaps, maybe?
- 4:24Speaker 2: Well, what has certainly peaked is discussion about whether the
- 4:27Speaker 2: dollar regime that's dominated the global economy and financial system
- 4:32Speaker 2: for the last few decades might indeed be starting to
- 4:35Speaker 2: fracture a bit. as rivals like China start to challenge it.
- 4:40Speaker 2: And of course, cryptocurrencies provide a potential alternative. But if
- 4:44Speaker 2: we're going to start talking about the dollar and the
- 4:47Speaker 2: future of the dollar, we have to go back first
- 4:49Speaker 2: and look at how the dollar actually first came to life.
- 4:52Speaker 2: And to help us tell that extraordinary story, which most
- 4:56Speaker 2: people never talk about at all, we have Brendan Greeley. Now, Brendan,
- 5:01Speaker 2: a long time ago, was one of my colleagues at
- 5:03Speaker 2: the FT in New York. But he's the author of
- 5:06Speaker 2: a new book on the world's most powerful currency called
- 5:09Speaker 2: The Almighty Dollar. So, Brendan, great to have you back.
- 5:13Speaker 1: Hi, guys. Thank you for having me in.
- 5:15Speaker 3: I mean, you used to be cool when you worked
- 5:16Speaker 3: at the FT, so now you've sadly lost academia, but
- 5:19Speaker 3: it's good to.
- 5:19Speaker 1: Have you back. Yeah, and here I am, just like
- 5:21Speaker 1: in a grotty blazer, reading books and writing things down. Yes,
- 5:25Speaker 1: I was at the FT. I was a Fed watcher.
- 5:27Speaker 2: Well, you were a fabulous colleague, and you always challenged
- 5:30Speaker 2: me and taught me a lot of things I didn't know.
- 5:32Speaker 2: And now we're about to find out another thing I
- 5:35Speaker 2: didn't know, which is where the dollar came from.
- 5:37Speaker 1: Super exciting.
- 5:38Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 5:38Speaker 3: So Brendan, you've actually visited the town where it all began.
- 5:42Speaker 3: And it's actually a real place, despite my Hans Christian
- 5:45Speaker 3: Andersen impression.
- 5:47Speaker 1: It is.
- 5:47Speaker 3: It's not just a fairy tale. It's called Yakimov, I.
- 5:51Speaker 1: Think, right? Yakimov in Czech. Yes, originally Jakomstal in the German. Oh, wow.
- 5:57Speaker 1: So It's a valley that runs north-south in the north
- 6:00Speaker 1: of what's now the Czech Republic, what was then Bohemia.
- 6:04Speaker 1: It's a very narrow valley. You can easily see across it.
- 6:06Speaker 1: I did the measurements once. You could shoot a crossbow
- 6:08Speaker 1: bolt from one side to the other.
- 6:10Speaker 3: Did you do that with a real crossbow, though?
- 6:12Speaker 1: Yes. No, I absolutely tested that out, Robin.
- 6:14Speaker 3: See, that's the kind of hands-on journalism experience that we
- 6:18Speaker 3: need to bring to academia a bit more.
- 6:19Speaker 1: I also learned what an embrasure is, which is an
- 6:22Speaker 1: opening in a castle for a crossbow to shoot out. Anyway,
- 6:26Speaker 1: at the southern end of this valley, it's almost like
- 6:28Speaker 1: the Grand Budapest Hotel. It's a spa from the early
- 6:31Speaker 1: 20th century where you can get radium water treatments, because
- 6:35Speaker 1: radium water is leaking out of the mountains. And then
- 6:38Speaker 1: if you run up to the top of the valley,
- 6:40Speaker 1: you get the ridge, and on the other side is Germany.
- 6:42Speaker 1: And that's really important. This story of being right on
- 6:45Speaker 1: the border between what was then Saxony, what is now Germany,
- 6:49Speaker 1: and Bohemia is sort of part of the history of
- 6:51Speaker 1: the valley. Germans came south to work the mines. This
- 6:55Speaker 1: is the area that we used to call the Sudetenland
- 6:58Speaker 1: of where Germans lived in Czechia.
- 7:01Speaker 2: So how does this all relate to the dollar? Robin,
- 7:05Speaker 2: I think you know this story, don't you?
- 7:06Speaker 3: Yeah, it starts a little bit before. I mean, if
- 7:08Speaker 3: we rewind a little bit, I already sort of foreshadowed
- 7:12Speaker 3: him as the hero, maybe a bit of an antihero,
- 7:14Speaker 3: and I love his name, Stefan Schlich. Which really just
- 7:18Speaker 3: sounds like he definitely sounds like a financial pioneer, right?
- 7:21Speaker 3: Like an innovator in.
- 7:22Speaker 1: The world of money. Oh, man. The most perfectly named huckster.
- 7:25Speaker 3: Yes, exactly.
- 7:26Speaker 2: Far too schlick for his own good, I think.
- 7:29Speaker 3: So, Brendan, tell us about Stefan Schlick and his role
- 7:33Speaker 3: in the Genesis story of the dollar.
- 7:35Speaker 1: You know, in this story that you told about him,
- 7:37Speaker 1: we assume that he was sovereign. We assume that he
- 7:39Speaker 1: was the count. He was, in fact, a Count Stefan Schlick.
- 7:42Speaker 1: But it's a little tricky because the way Bohemia was
- 7:45Speaker 1: set up, they had an estates general. This is something
- 7:47Speaker 1: like what we would have thought of as a medieval parliament, right?
- 7:50Speaker 1: They didn't have a lot of power, but they could
- 7:51Speaker 1: constrain the king in various ways. And they met irregularly.
- 7:55Speaker 1: Most of them were Czech speaking. So Stefan Schlick was
- 7:58Speaker 1: part of a German speaking family that had been elevated
- 8:01Speaker 1: to the nobility in the classic medieval way. His great-great-grandfather
- 8:04Speaker 1: was useful to the king. And so the rest of
- 8:07Speaker 1: the estates general didn't really regard them as legitimate. There's
- 8:11Speaker 1: another problem, which is that the way inheritance law was
- 8:15Speaker 1: set up, Stefan Schlick and his brothers and his cousins
- 8:19Speaker 1: held this territory, this county in entirety. They all had
- 8:23Speaker 1: an equal claim to it. So when we talk about
- 8:26Speaker 1: Stefan Schlick was the count of this area of Bohemia,
- 8:29Speaker 1: what we're really saying is that he was in control.
- 8:32Speaker 1: It was his money, his money spread outside of his borders.
- 8:35Speaker 1: And none of that is true because as the story starts,
- 8:38Speaker 1: he's not really in control of anything. He's sitting, taking
- 8:41Speaker 1: the baths at Karlsbad, which is now called Karlovy Vary.
- 8:45Speaker 1: It's a spring that was available then and is available
- 8:48Speaker 1: now for recreation. And he heard that there was silver
- 8:52Speaker 1: in the valley. Somebody had seen it. And the accounts
- 8:55Speaker 1: we have from the time is that it was literally
- 8:57Speaker 1: poking out from underneath the roots of the trees in
- 9:00Speaker 1: the valley at the time. You could literally stumble across silver.
- 9:04Speaker 1: So the first thing he does is he recognizes he's
- 9:07Speaker 1: going to have to start telling some lies. Silver in
- 9:10Speaker 1: the ground is not silver in your hand unless you
- 9:13Speaker 1: put a lot of capital into it. It's very expensive
- 9:15Speaker 1: to get silver out of the ground. Even in the 1520s,
- 9:18Speaker 1: you had to build machines underneath the earth. You had
- 9:21Speaker 1: to build machines on top of the earth. You had
- 9:23Speaker 1: to sort of put cap stands with horses or even
- 9:26Speaker 1: people dragging them around to pull ore or water out
- 9:29Speaker 1: of the mines. Very capital intensive operations. And in fact,
- 9:32Speaker 1: Friedrich Engels says these silver mines in Bohemia and Germany
- 9:36Speaker 1: were one of the beginnings of capitalism, just assembling. This
- 9:38Speaker 1: is Friedrich Engels as in Engels and Marx. Friedrich Engels
- 9:42Speaker 1: as in Engels and Marx, yes. Stefan Schlick knows that
- 9:45Speaker 1: he can't do this alone. He can't just get a
- 9:47Speaker 1: spade and start digging silver out of the ground. So
- 9:49Speaker 1: the first thing he does is he gets in touch
- 9:50Speaker 1: with the Saxons. Saxons have silver mines. They also have
- 9:54Speaker 1: the capital and the understanding to figure out how to
- 9:56Speaker 1: finance the silver mines. So he brings some silver investors
- 9:59Speaker 1: and some silver miners. down to the valley. He has
- 10:03Speaker 1: them dress up as a hunting party. So nobody knows
- 10:05Speaker 1: what's going on. And he rides up into the valley.
- 10:08Speaker 1: They look at the silver. Sure enough, it looks like
- 10:10Speaker 1: there's a lot of silver there. Very quickly, they start digging. Crucially,
- 10:14Speaker 1: Nobody knows this is going on except the miners, the investors,
- 10:19Speaker 1: and Stefan Schlick. And the reason that's important is silver
- 10:22Speaker 1: mining was very tightly controlled by the kingdom. There were
- 10:25Speaker 1: other silver mines in Bohemia, and when silver comes up
- 10:28Speaker 1: out of the ground, it's got to be taxed immediately.
- 10:30Speaker 1: The king gets a cut, but everybody has an interest
- 10:33Speaker 1: in this because the king always owes money to the
- 10:35Speaker 1: estates general, always owes money to the other lords in Bohemia.
- 10:39Speaker 1: So they want to make sure that all the silver
- 10:42Speaker 1: that comes up gets properly taxed so he can immediately
- 10:44Speaker 1: pay them back. So there's this whole operation in a
- 10:47Speaker 1: silver mine called Kutnohoras closer to the center of Bohemia.
- 10:52Speaker 1: And what happens is silver comes up, it gets minted
- 10:56Speaker 1: immediately into coins and then taxed. And so this silver
- 11:01Speaker 1: mine is like a wildcat mine Outside of this entire
- 11:05Speaker 1: system means it's just producing silver. There's no tax to
- 11:08Speaker 1: the king. The estate lords aren't getting their cut. It's
- 11:11Speaker 1: just leaving the country immediately as part of this Saxon
- 11:14Speaker 1: mining operation. It's not sovereign. And in fact, it's all
- 11:16Speaker 1: breathtakingly illegal.
- 11:18Speaker 2: But so the mine actually starts production in 1516, as
- 11:21Speaker 2: I understand it, with these miners dressed up as a
- 11:24Speaker 2: hunting party. And once it actually starts production, what happens then?
- 11:30Speaker 2: Is he just producing this silver or getting this silver?
- 11:33Speaker 2: and smuggling it out? Or was he acting like a middleman?
- 11:37Speaker 2: Or how exactly did the whole thing work?
- 11:40Speaker 1: Yeah, he was also really bad at it. It's really
- 11:42Speaker 1: important to remember with Stefan Schlick that not only was
- 11:45Speaker 1: he not really the rightful lord of the valley, he
- 11:47Speaker 1: was like somebody's nephew who shouldn't even be in the company,
- 11:52Speaker 1: given a really important job. When you are the lord
- 11:55Speaker 1: of a mining operation, the most important thing you provide
- 11:58Speaker 1: is liquidity. So you have a bursar on the mountain
- 12:01Speaker 1: who works for you. You have what's called a captain
- 12:03Speaker 1: of the mine who works for you. But all of
- 12:06Speaker 1: the investment coming into the valley and all the payment
- 12:09Speaker 1: for the miners, that flows through your purse. Now, Stefan
- 12:12Speaker 1: Schlick has no experience mining silver and he has no money.
- 12:15Speaker 1: So the first thing he does is he goes to
- 12:17Speaker 1: Augsburg and he borrows a lot of money. What he
- 12:21Speaker 1: did have as the sort of made-up lord of the
- 12:24Speaker 1: valley was the monopsony right to buy all the silver
- 12:27Speaker 1: in the valley and then sell it into the wholesale market. Okay.
- 12:30Speaker 3: What does monopsony mean? Can you explain that?
- 12:32Speaker 1: Oh, come on. You know what monopsony means.
- 12:34Speaker 2: But not all our listeners will.
- 12:36Speaker 1: A monopsony means you're the only buyer. Okay. So he's
- 12:38Speaker 1: the only buyer of the silver in the valley. Again,
- 12:41Speaker 1: this is all illegal as well. You're not supposed to
- 12:43Speaker 1: mint silver into bars. and smuggle it out of the kingdom.
- 12:47Speaker 1: It's supposed to be coined so that everybody can get
- 12:49Speaker 1: their cut within the kingdom before it goes anywhere. So
- 12:52Speaker 1: this silver is very quickly leaving in bars to Nuremberg
- 12:55Speaker 1: to start to attempt to pay in small slivers down
- 12:58Speaker 1: the massive loan that Stefan Schlick took out. The challenge
- 13:02Speaker 1: with this is, again, you've got to do it under
- 13:04Speaker 1: cover of night. It doesn't really work very well, and
- 13:08Speaker 1: people start to find out.
- 13:09Speaker 3: So this whole mining operation, it wasn't sort of a
- 13:11Speaker 3: big elaborate legal... It was, you know, fly by night,
- 13:15Speaker 3: wildcat kind of silver mine done all illegally and furtively, essentially.
- 13:22Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely. And the real problem he had at the
- 13:24Speaker 1: mine was liquidity. Everything's supposed to run through him, which
- 13:27Speaker 1: means he's supposed to have on hand enough small change
- 13:30Speaker 1: to pay the miners. And he doesn't have it. And
- 13:33Speaker 1: the miners realized this. And in 1517, they strike. They
- 13:36Speaker 1: walk off the mine. So now nothing's going on. And
- 13:39Speaker 1: we have a sense of what they were complaining about
- 13:41Speaker 1: from the laws that were passed afterwards. And so a
- 13:44Speaker 1: couple of things happened. One is they decided to adopt
- 13:47Speaker 1: Saxon mining law. That seems like a detail. But what
- 13:49Speaker 1: it basically says is this little piece of Bohemia is
- 13:52Speaker 1: an outpost of Saxony. We're just going to do everything
- 13:54Speaker 1: exactly the way they do it up there to make
- 13:56Speaker 1: sure the mines work. The other thing they asked for,
- 13:58Speaker 1: and this is so hard to understand from our perspective now,
- 14:01Speaker 1: they asked for better money. So normally when we negotiate now,
- 14:04Speaker 1: we ask for more money. But what they recognized was
- 14:07Speaker 1: that the quality of the pennies that they were getting
- 14:09Speaker 1: paid in was very poor. It was adulterated with a
- 14:12Speaker 1: lot of copper. And they're sitting there in the mines,
- 14:14Speaker 1: which is insanely dangerous work. They're watching very high quality
- 14:17Speaker 1: silver leave the mines, and they're getting paid themselves in pennies,
- 14:22Speaker 1: very bad pennies. And so they strike. As a result
- 14:25Speaker 1: of the strike and the renegotiation, Stefan Schlick loses even
- 14:28Speaker 1: more power. He has to bring in a captain of
- 14:31Speaker 1: the mine from Saxony. And something really interesting happens. The
- 14:35Speaker 1: miners negotiate, and this seems to be important to them,
- 14:37Speaker 1: the right to rename the valley. So this is when
- 14:40Speaker 1: the valley becomes St. Joachimsthal.
- 14:43Speaker 2: And just for those who are listening, you know, we're
- 14:44Speaker 2: back in 1515 in this far-flung corner of Europe on
- 14:49Speaker 2: the edge of Germany and Bohemia. You just had the
- 14:52Speaker 2: miners go out on strike because they want to have
- 14:54Speaker 2: better money, not just more money, but better quality coins.
- 14:58Speaker 2: And Schlick, the creator, has essentially lost. But of course,
- 15:02Speaker 2: the question everyone's asking is, what on earth is this
- 15:04Speaker 2: doing in terms of being connected to the future of
- 15:07Speaker 2: the dollar?
- 15:08Speaker 1: So crucially, the mine doesn't yet have a mint. What
- 15:13Speaker 1: changes it, what actually puts a mint at the mine
- 15:15Speaker 1: itself is the recognition by the rest of the estates
- 15:19Speaker 1: general in Bohemia and the king of Bohemia that they're
- 15:23Speaker 1: going to have to bring this into the fold. It's
- 15:25Speaker 1: no longer acceptable that there's this wildcat mine on the
- 15:28Speaker 1: border with Saxony. Everybody wants their cut. Now, crucially, if
- 15:33Speaker 1: you were a Saxon mining investor, you expected to get
- 15:36Speaker 1: paid in billions. disks of high quality silver. We think
- 15:40Speaker 1: of them as coins now, but they weren't supposed to
- 15:43Speaker 1: be for payments. They were supposed to be a dividend payment.
- 15:46Speaker 1: So it was not the coin of the realm that
- 15:47Speaker 1: you were supposed to use to pay for things. It
- 15:50Speaker 1: was the dividend paid out to the investors in the mine.
- 15:52Speaker 1: So they start making these big, high-quality dividend coins. The
- 15:57Speaker 1: dividend coins in Saxony were always named after the mines.
- 16:00Speaker 1: There's a new mine at Jochemstal. They start to call
- 16:02Speaker 1: them Jochemstaler. And this is the origin of the word
- 16:05Speaker 1: for the dollar. But I also think that there's an
- 16:07Speaker 1: actual monetary connection to our dollar today. But the word
- 16:10Speaker 1: for the dollar, they start to call these coins. They
- 16:12Speaker 1: spread up into Leipzig and then out into the Baltic, Jochemstaler.
- 16:16Speaker 1: And then just taller. And then in Dutch, they become dolder.
- 16:19Speaker 1: And then in English, they become dollar. Already in the
- 16:22Speaker 1: 16th century, you have mentions of the word dollar in English.
- 16:26Speaker 1: This is a coin that is outside of the currency
- 16:28Speaker 1: system of the pounds, shillings, and pence that they had
- 16:32Speaker 1: in England.
- 16:33Speaker 5: Wow.
- 16:33Speaker 2: I mean, it's fascinating because, you know, I think most
- 16:35Speaker 2: people have never heard of the Jakobstaller. And the idea
- 16:38Speaker 2: that the word taller or dollar was floating around Europe
- 16:41Speaker 2: back in the 16th century is a real revelation. But yeah,
- 16:46Speaker 2: so this starts to emerge. And then, of course, we
- 16:48Speaker 2: have a second miners' strike, don't we, in 1525? I mean,
- 16:53Speaker 2: here's an example of industrial action or organized labor actually
- 16:58Speaker 2: creating monetary history probably for the first time.
- 17:01Speaker 1: You know, interestingly, a lot of what we know about
- 17:03Speaker 1: this mine comes from very good East German research. And
- 17:07Speaker 1: once you can read past the Marxist-Leninism that was mandatory
- 17:11Speaker 1: in the preamble to these papers, They really dig into
- 17:13Speaker 1: the capital structure of the mine and what happens in
- 17:15Speaker 1: the labor strikes. One of the things that was fascinating
- 17:18Speaker 1: is that the East German historians couldn't figure out whether
- 17:21Speaker 1: the miners were labor or capital because you could.
- 17:24Speaker 3: It's true. A crucial distinction, I imagine, for the East
- 17:28Speaker 3: German scientists at the time.
- 17:30Speaker 1: Yes, at the Humboldt University, very likely in Berlin. And
- 17:33Speaker 1: the reason is miners would come down from Saxony and
- 17:36Speaker 1: you could work the mine, but you could also stake
- 17:38Speaker 1: your own claim. And so Saxons were coming down as investors.
- 17:42Speaker 1: They were coming down as miners, but the miners were
- 17:44Speaker 1: getting rich. You get a silver rush. This town grows
- 17:47Speaker 1: overnight to, you know, from zero residents to several hundred
- 17:51Speaker 1: within about two years. And then into the thousands by
- 17:54Speaker 1: the 1520s. You know, there's this saying that sort of
- 17:57Speaker 1: still today they talk about in Joachimsthal where the Saxons
- 18:00Speaker 1: streamed over the mountain saying, it's tall, it's tall, mit muta,
- 18:03Speaker 1: mit all. And that translates to into the valley, into
- 18:06Speaker 1: the valley, take your mother, take everything.
- 18:09Speaker 2: So in terms of practical things, I mean, so they're
- 18:11Speaker 2: creating these quasi coins that aren't really coins called Jekumstala.
- 18:17Speaker 2: And why did the miners go on strike a second time?
- 18:20Speaker 2: And why does that matter so much for the dollar
- 18:22Speaker 2: or the tala?
- 18:24Speaker 5: Well.
- 18:25Speaker 1: Stefan Schlick, again, was really bad at his job. And
- 18:28Speaker 1: he didn't do a great job of managing the liquidity
- 18:32Speaker 1: of the mine. So his bursar that he hired actually
- 18:34Speaker 1: stole Joachim Stahler. So they had to figure out how
- 18:37Speaker 1: to pay the miners back. And they had to figure
- 18:38Speaker 1: out also how to pay the investors back. You begin
- 18:41Speaker 1: to realize, or at least it seems like they begin
- 18:43Speaker 1: to realize, that some very real money is coming out
- 18:45Speaker 1: of this mine. It's becoming important to a lot of people,
- 18:47Speaker 1: including the Holy Roman Empire. Everybody recognizes what's happening here.
- 18:51Speaker 1: They're getting this pure form of silver dividend coin. And,
- 18:54Speaker 1: you know, there's this amazing moment for any of us
- 18:56Speaker 1: who have covered Silicon Valley. You're going to recognize this
- 18:59Speaker 1: moment immediately, which is that they hold in early 1525
- 19:03Speaker 1: a shooting festival. They bring in all the Saxon of
- 19:06Speaker 1: the Saxon electors, the Dukes of Saxony. They they they
- 19:10Speaker 1: order special clothing from London. They hold a shooting festival.
- 19:15Speaker 1: All the investors come in from Augsburg, from Nuremberg, and
- 19:18Speaker 1: then they all get completely hammered. And so this to
- 19:22Speaker 1: me is sort of the moment of overreach, right? When
- 19:25Speaker 1: they throw the big elaborate party, that's when you begin
- 19:28Speaker 1: to think maybe this.com is sort of getting out over
- 19:31Speaker 1: its skis. And in fact, Philip Robinson Russner, who's a
- 19:34Speaker 1: historian of the area at the time, has said that
- 19:37Speaker 1: it was like a Silicon Valley. It was just capital
- 19:39Speaker 1: and labor moving up and down the valley and over
- 19:41Speaker 1: the border to Saxony to sort of put this all
- 19:44Speaker 1: together in sort of different mining companies that rearranged themselves.
- 19:47Speaker 1: But the real problem was he never solved the problem
- 19:51Speaker 1: of paying the miners. No matter what happened, he could
- 19:54Speaker 1: never stay liquid enough to pay the miners in the
- 19:56Speaker 1: good pennies they demanded. So in 1525, they didn't just strike,
- 20:00Speaker 1: they sacked the town. They burned Stefan Schlick's house. They
- 20:04Speaker 1: seem to have burned his fancy London clothes that he
- 20:07Speaker 1: had ordered for the shooting festival. Oh, poor thing. Poor thing. Exactly.
- 20:12Speaker 1: And then they really sit down to negotiate at the
- 20:16Speaker 1: end of this. Stefan Schlick, you know, goes back to
- 20:18Speaker 1: his hometown of Schlackenwerth and he wants to ride up
- 20:21Speaker 1: with an army and kill all the miners and. Cooler
- 20:24Speaker 1: heads prevail, and they say basically, like, this is not working.
- 20:27Speaker 1: You're bad at this. And they basically write him out
- 20:29Speaker 1: of the agreement. So he still exists. He has a
- 20:32Speaker 1: small mining company with his brothers. He seems to sort
- 20:35Speaker 1: of be barely recognized even in the capital structure of
- 20:38Speaker 1: all these mines. But after this, the miners start getting
- 20:41Speaker 1: paid in what they call good white coin. That means
- 20:44Speaker 1: pure silver straight from the mine.
- 20:47Speaker 3: Like these almost like the dividend disks.
- 20:50Speaker 1: Almost like the dividend disks, but smaller.
- 20:52Speaker 3: Exactly.
- 20:52Speaker 1: Exactly. And so what you get then is everybody's in agreement.
- 20:58Speaker 1: The miners are getting what they want. You have a
- 21:00Speaker 1: legal understanding they're going to use Saxon law in this
- 21:02Speaker 1: corner of Bohemia. But the king is getting what the
- 21:04Speaker 1: king wants. The estates general is getting what they want.
- 21:07Speaker 1: The Holy Roman Empire sort of seems to be getting
- 21:10Speaker 1: a cut and is making his own creditors in Augsburg
- 21:13Speaker 1: and Nuremberg happy. So this works for all the people
- 21:15Speaker 1: with actual power. And at the beginning of this, you
- 21:18Speaker 1: told your fairy tale, Robin, right? You have this sovereign
- 21:22Speaker 1: Lord making coins. Very quickly in this process, within seven years,
- 21:26Speaker 1: he doesn't matter at all. He disappears. And what you
- 21:29Speaker 1: have instead is this legal exception. Stefan Schlick, so far
- 21:33Speaker 1: as we know, dies in the Battle of Mohacs. This is,
- 21:36Speaker 1: you know, the Turks moving north, fight the Hungarian cavalry. Oh, yes.
- 21:42Speaker 3: This is a battle when Suleiman the Magnificent, right, invades
- 21:46Speaker 3: and he thrashes the European or the Hungarian army.
- 21:49Speaker 1: Exactly. Their heavy cavalry was not adapted to his tactics.
- 21:53Speaker 1: I'm so glad I gave you the chance to say that.
- 21:55Speaker 1: Suleiman the Magnificent.
- 21:56Speaker 3: I've been looking forward to it for a very long time.
- 21:58Speaker 2: That doesn't appear in a lot of economic courses and
- 22:00Speaker 2: people don't really learn about that.
- 22:01Speaker 3: No, no, no. And Stefan Schlick definitely wasn't a magnificent, right?
- 22:06Speaker 1: He was not magnificent. But so the king dies in
- 22:07Speaker 1: the battle. Stefan Schlick disappears in the battle. We're not
- 22:10Speaker 1: really sure what happened to him. The town seemed to
- 22:13Speaker 1: think that he was sold into slavery in Armenia. They
- 22:16Speaker 1: even sent a delegation with some silver to Constantinople to
- 22:20Speaker 1: try and figure out what had happened. We don't know.
- 22:22Speaker 1: He disappears from the record. But fascinatingly, he disappears from
- 22:25Speaker 1: the record and it doesn't matter. And in fact, it's
- 22:28Speaker 1: kind of better for everyone that he's gone because this
- 22:31Speaker 1: mint is cranking out huge volumes of pure silver dividend
- 22:36Speaker 1: coins to pay the investors.
- 22:37Speaker 2: And that's where basically the Joachim Stahler, if I pronounce
- 22:41Speaker 2: that right, starts to have a life of its own
- 22:44Speaker 2: that outlives its creator and goes into areas that no
- 22:48Speaker 2: one could have ever imagined and carries on for centuries.
- 22:51Speaker 2: So we'll get into that after the break. But thank you.
- 23:02Speaker 5: Investors today are most worried about three key factors, interest rates,
- 23:07Speaker 5: the corporate credit cycle and the impact of artificial intelligence.
- 23:11Speaker 5: Artificial intelligence is impacting the jobs market and corporate margins.
- 23:15Speaker 5: Interest rates are of concern because people are wondering when
- 23:17Speaker 5: will the Fed start to raise or lower interest rates again.
- 23:21Speaker 5: And finally, the corporate credit cycle. If the economy is
- 23:24Speaker 5: to weaken, what does that mean for the ability of
- 23:26Speaker 5: corporate credit to hold up? We are thinking about the
- 23:29Speaker 5: next generation and constantly adapting our portfolios to meet their needs.
- 23:40Speaker 2: So just before the break, we heard about the man
- 23:43Speaker 2: called Stefan Schlich. the hapless 16th century nobleman from Bohemia
- 23:49Speaker 2: who almost no one's ever heard of if you're studying
- 23:51Speaker 2: finance and money, but actually matters enormously because he went
- 23:55Speaker 2: around plundering the silver in the valley that he had
- 23:59Speaker 2: stumbled on, created mines. He then tries to build up
- 24:03Speaker 2: the mining business, but he's really bad at it. And
- 24:07Speaker 2: the miners keep striking and he ends up either dead
- 24:11Speaker 2: or disappeared, never to return. in one of those many
- 24:14Speaker 2: European wars that, again, litter the history books. But here's
- 24:19Speaker 2: a really interesting thing, because although Stefan Schlich vanishes from
- 24:24Speaker 2: history at this point, in fact, his creation, the Joachimsthaler,
- 24:29Speaker 2: isn't anything but dead. Far from it. It's about to
- 24:33Speaker 2: have a whole new life that goes on for many
- 24:36Speaker 2: centuries until today. So tell us, Brendan, What actually happens
- 24:42Speaker 2: to Schlick's silver and the Jochenstahler or the Thaler, the
- 24:47Speaker 2: forerunner of the dollar, that he birthed almost by accident?
- 24:51Speaker 1: So Carlo Cipolla is an Italian medieval historian from the
- 24:54Speaker 1: 20th century. And he had a framework for thinking about
- 24:58Speaker 1: money that I found very useful to think about this
- 25:01Speaker 1: and even now. He said that there were two types
- 25:04Speaker 1: of money broadly. There was big money and there was
- 25:06Speaker 1: little money. the big money were full-bodied coins, high value,
- 25:11Speaker 1: and they were useful for international trade and for merchants
- 25:13Speaker 1: and the wealthy. Little money was for retail payments. So
- 25:18Speaker 1: we now think of this as small change of a
- 25:21Speaker 1: larger note, right? We think of all of these things
- 25:24Speaker 1: as working together. We think of pennies as parts of dimes,
- 25:27Speaker 1: as parts of quarters, folding neatly into a dollar bill.
- 25:30Speaker 1: The system that he describes is different. And what you
- 25:32Speaker 1: have is different ways of paying people that don't necessarily
- 25:35Speaker 1: always work together. You have a small money system for
- 25:38Speaker 1: retail and you have a big money system for wholesale.
- 25:40Speaker 1: So these big silver coins fit perfectly into what we
- 25:45Speaker 1: think of as big money. They were very useful to merchants.
- 25:48Speaker 1: I went back and I looked at what things cost
- 25:49Speaker 1: in Saxony at the time. So one of these coins
- 25:52Speaker 1: would buy a whole week's labor or 21 pounds of bacon, right?
- 25:55Speaker 1: So it's not, it's not, it's not a penny that
- 25:57Speaker 1: jingles around in your pocket. I have a silver reproduction
- 26:00Speaker 1: of it. I wish I had it right now so
- 26:01Speaker 1: you could hear it when I drop it on the table.
- 26:03Speaker 1: But these coins, they clank. They don't jingle. They're large.
- 26:06Speaker 1: And so what starts to happen is as it moves
- 26:10Speaker 1: up into the Baltic, it becomes useful for trade. It
- 26:13Speaker 1: becomes useful for tours. One of the things that Carlo
- 26:15Speaker 1: Cipolla said about big money in particular is that there
- 26:19Speaker 1: tends to be one kind of big money that's more
- 26:21Speaker 1: generally accepted. And it inspires what he called more or
- 26:23Speaker 1: less faithful copies. This copying is incredibly important. Again, we're
- 26:28Speaker 1: used to a sovereign story of money where money is
- 26:31Speaker 1: produced inside the borders of a country. And then it
- 26:33Speaker 1: expands as the country expands and trade with the country expands.
- 26:36Speaker 1: What actually happened was very quickly you start to see
- 26:39Speaker 1: in the Baltic and in North Germany more or less
- 26:42Speaker 1: faithful copies of these dividend coins. So you have a
- 26:45Speaker 1: Danish dollar. You have a Swedish dollar. No Norwegian dollar yet, Robin,
- 26:50Speaker 1: but it's coming. It's coming in the next century.
- 26:53Speaker 2: I don't think Norway was much of an entity in
- 26:54Speaker 2: those days.
- 26:55Speaker 1: No, it was not. However, Shakespeare does actually mention in
- 26:59Speaker 1: the Scottish play that the King of Norway paid a
- 27:02Speaker 1: ransom in dollars.
- 27:03Speaker 5: Oh, wow.
- 27:04Speaker 1: Really? Yes, by the early 17th century. Oh, wow.
- 27:08Speaker 2: And were these coins, were these copycat coins all made
- 27:11Speaker 2: of silver as well?
- 27:12Speaker 1: They were all made of silver and they were all
- 27:14Speaker 1: roughly the same quality. Again, we're used to this story
- 27:17Speaker 1: where sovereigns produce terrible coins of poor quality. That's not
- 27:22Speaker 1: really what happens because there's a recognition, particularly with big money,
- 27:25Speaker 1: that merchants have high standards. They need high quality coins.
- 27:29Speaker 1: So when you get copies of the Jakobstaller in Hamburg,
- 27:34Speaker 1: in Lubeck, they kind of look like the dollar and
- 27:37Speaker 1: they resemble the dollar and they work the same way
- 27:39Speaker 1: as the dollar, as the Jakobstaller.
- 27:41Speaker 3: Well, so is standardization here the crucial aspect, that this
- 27:45Speaker 3: is something that has one size, one quality, and everybody
- 27:49Speaker 3: kind of accepts it, and therefore that becomes kind of
- 27:52Speaker 3: an unofficial reserve currency for large parts of Europe at
- 27:55Speaker 3: the time?
- 27:56Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely. But crucially, nobody's telling them to do it.
- 27:59Speaker 1: They're doing it because that's the best way to manage
- 28:01Speaker 1: their own money. And so if you were a town
- 28:05Speaker 1: and you had silver and you wanted it to sort
- 28:07Speaker 1: of enter into circulation, you had to mint it. in
- 28:09Speaker 1: the form of this toller. The copy was important. And
- 28:12Speaker 1: they were, in fact, as Chipola pointed out, more or
- 28:15Speaker 1: less faithful copies. And I think this copying process continued
- 28:19Speaker 1: until the present day. As a child in America in
- 28:21Speaker 1: the 70s and the 80s, on your birthday, you would
- 28:24Speaker 1: get a silver dollar. That silver dollar is a copy
- 28:26Speaker 1: of a copy of a copy of Stefan Schlick's terrible experiment.
- 28:31Speaker 2: In some senses, what we're seeing today has echoes of
- 28:34Speaker 2: what happened in the 16th century. It goes all the
- 28:36Speaker 2: way back And shows a continuity through history.
- 28:40Speaker 1: So a couple years ago, I was talking to a
- 28:42Speaker 1: friend in Germany about this whole story. And he said,
- 28:45Speaker 1: wait right there. I've got something for you. He went
- 28:47Speaker 1: and returned with a stack of Disney comics from the
- 28:52Speaker 1: 80s in German translation. In German translation, Scrooge McDuck, when
- 28:56Speaker 1: he dives into his vault of coins, he's diving into Taller.
- 29:01Speaker 1: So this idea of, you know, money sticks around forever.
- 29:04Speaker 1: It's very difficult to get rid of the idea of money.
- 29:07Speaker 1: It's exceptional when it gets replaced. And so the idea
- 29:10Speaker 1: of a dollar, you know, stuck around forever. It's still
- 29:12Speaker 1: with us today.
- 29:13Speaker 3: So the dollar has kind of become synonymous with money
- 29:16Speaker 3: long before the birth of the United States.
- 29:19Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely.
- 29:20Speaker 3: Broadly accepted, high quality, universally acknowledged and accepted form of
- 29:27Speaker 3: medium of exchange.
- 29:28Speaker 1: We have this record of Joachimsthaler by the 1630s that
- 29:33Speaker 1: are copied from all over Northern Europe.
- 29:36Speaker 3: But have you ever held one yourself, like a proper original?
- 29:40Speaker 3: OG Joachimsthaler in your hands?
- 29:42Speaker 2: I did.
- 29:43Speaker 1: A lot of this legal history comes from Peter Vorl.
- 29:46Speaker 1: He's a professor at the University of Pardubice in Czechia.
- 29:49Speaker 1: And I went to visit him to talk about this.
- 29:51Speaker 1: And he just sort of casually produced an original dollar,
- 29:55Speaker 1: an original Joachimstaller. And he just sort of set it
- 29:57Speaker 1: on the table. And I was super nervous watching it
- 29:59Speaker 1: rattling around as we were talking and looking over his notes.
- 30:03Speaker 1: The coin is fascinating to me because we think of
- 30:05Speaker 1: currency as the proud symbol of a nation. The original
- 30:08Speaker 1: Joachimstaller shows St. Joachim, old, bearded, cloaked, feeble, It was
- 30:15Speaker 1: a branding exercise for Joachimsthal. It was not about sort
- 30:18Speaker 1: of the proud currency of Stefan Schlick.
- 30:20Speaker 2: So why did it become so durable? Because, you know,
- 30:24Speaker 2: the point is that the dollar, the tala, has been
- 30:26Speaker 2: around for a very long time. These silver coins were
- 30:30Speaker 2: copied widely very, very quickly, and they stuck without sovereign backing.
- 30:35Speaker 2: What made them so durable and so trusted?
- 30:38Speaker 3: Yeah, because there must have been other currencies, right, that were,
- 30:41Speaker 3: in theory, could have been The Tala, like something that
- 30:44Speaker 3: was broadly accepted of gold or silver or whatever, right?
- 30:48Speaker 3: What's special about the Tala?
- 30:50Speaker 1: There were other big silver coins in Central Europe. It
- 30:53Speaker 1: was not the first sort of full-bodied silver coin. What
- 30:56Speaker 1: was different about the Tala was this unique legal arrangement
- 30:59Speaker 1: that happened with basically a Saxon colony in northern Bohemia
- 31:03Speaker 1: meant that the mint did not have to produce small coins. Usually,
- 31:07Speaker 1: mints are private companies, and the sovereign has an interest
- 31:10Speaker 1: in making sure that They make the little coins as well.
- 31:13Speaker 1: You don't get the same profit on the little coins
- 31:15Speaker 1: that you do on the big coins. So left to
- 31:17Speaker 1: their own devices, Mintz would prefer to make big coins.
- 31:20Speaker 1: Because this whole silver mine was just meant to serve
- 31:23Speaker 1: investors and the king, they did not produce any small
- 31:26Speaker 1: change whatsoever. So not only is it a rich load,
- 31:30Speaker 1: it's all going into big coins. So you get this
- 31:33Speaker 1: unprecedented flood of just big silver coins shooting out through
- 31:37Speaker 1: the silver markets in Leipzig and up into the Baltic.
- 31:40Speaker 1: I think once the dollar started to inspire copies and
- 31:44Speaker 1: took on a life of its own, the fact that
- 31:46Speaker 1: there was no sovereign in control of it was a feature,
- 31:49Speaker 1: not a bug. It became a standard that nobody could
- 31:51Speaker 1: stop because you couldn't go to that sovereign and say,
- 31:54Speaker 1: you can't do this anymore. Or you couldn't negotiate it
- 31:56Speaker 1: with a sovereign to make money slightly different. The sovereign
- 32:00Speaker 1: also never had the ability to sort of cheat on
- 32:03Speaker 1: the coin and produce a slightly less valuable one. It
- 32:06Speaker 1: was because everybody was copying the coin that was useful
- 32:09Speaker 1: for merchants The demand that merchants had for very high
- 32:12Speaker 1: quality silver had a power of its own. You know,
- 32:14Speaker 1: telling the story, I often want to assign like agency
- 32:18Speaker 1: to the dollar, which is of course ridiculous. It's a
- 32:20Speaker 1: piece of silver. It has no agency. But the merchants
- 32:23Speaker 1: who want high quality payment money have incredible power. And
- 32:26Speaker 1: I think that's more powerful than sovereignty over money.
- 32:29Speaker 2: So it's a bit like in some ways, dare I say,
- 32:31Speaker 2: Bitcoin or the alternative non-fiat currencies today, which sit outside
- 32:36Speaker 2: any government control. but people trust because they think it's
- 32:40Speaker 2: got real underlying scarcity value.
- 32:43Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 32:43Speaker 3: I can almost hear to my horror the Bitcoin bros
- 32:45Speaker 3: punching the air as they hear this.
- 32:49Speaker 2: But of course, the irony today is the dollar is
- 32:52Speaker 2: controlled by the US government, isn't it?
- 32:54Speaker 1: Sure. But the dollar did get brought into the fold
- 32:56Speaker 1: for various empires, including the United States. I think of
- 33:01Speaker 1: it more like euro dollars. So euro dollars are basically
- 33:05Speaker 1: copies of American bank dollars. Banks offshore are allowed to
- 33:10Speaker 1: mark up their books with their own new dollar denominated loans.
- 33:14Speaker 1: They didn't ask permission of the United States Treasury, the
- 33:16Speaker 1: United States Federal Reserve to do that. They just do it.
- 33:19Speaker 1: And they do it precisely the same reason that there
- 33:21Speaker 1: were lots and lots of copies of this original silver dollar,
- 33:24Speaker 1: because it's useful for merchants. People want high quality payment money.
- 33:28Speaker 1: And so The United States has some ability to support
- 33:31Speaker 1: these dollars and control them, but we don't have nearly
- 33:35Speaker 1: the regulatory apparatus that we do over our own bank
- 33:38Speaker 1: dollars at home. These are offshore copies of the dollar.
- 33:40Speaker 1: And I think when we look at how the dollar
- 33:42Speaker 1: itself spread, we're looking at offshore copies of offshore copies
- 33:45Speaker 1: of offshore copies.
- 33:46Speaker 2: So when the U.S. dollar was first created, and as
- 33:50Speaker 2: you said, the founding fathers sometimes joked about it being
- 33:53Speaker 2: an ancient currency. When they took over that word to
- 33:56Speaker 2: describe their own currencies later on, the U.S. dollar, did
- 34:00Speaker 2: they realize about the link to the past, about the
- 34:04Speaker 2: 16th century history? How did the word dollar even come
- 34:06Speaker 2: to be used in America at all?
- 34:08Speaker 1: I don't know whether they knew who Stefan Schlick was.
- 34:10Speaker 1: It's very clear when you look at 17th century English
- 34:14Speaker 1: that there was a consistent understanding of what a dollar was.
- 34:17Speaker 1: One thing that changed was the Spanish Empire built its
- 34:21Speaker 1: viceroyalties in Latin America and And there was silver in
- 34:25Speaker 1: what is now Bolivia and Mexico. And they figured out
- 34:29Speaker 1: a brutal Mita system. This is forced labor in the
- 34:32Speaker 1: Andes to get silver out of the ground. We don't
- 34:34Speaker 1: have to go into the details of that, but you
- 34:36Speaker 1: get Spain producing lots of silver as well. Crucially, Charles V,
- 34:41Speaker 1: Holy Roman Empire, king of Castile, possessor of new vice royalties,
- 34:46Speaker 1: has to follow this merchant standard of the dollar. He
- 34:50Speaker 1: knows he's got silver. It starts to come out of
- 34:52Speaker 1: Mexico very early in the 1530s. And he's got to
- 34:55Speaker 1: get his silver onto the same desk of the same
- 34:58Speaker 1: money changers selling silver to the Portuguese in Antwerp. He
- 35:02Speaker 1: copies the dollar. So what we think of now is
- 35:04Speaker 1: the Spanish piece of eight. was kind of shoehorned into
- 35:07Speaker 1: an existing Castilian monetary system precisely to create a Spanish
- 35:12Speaker 1: silver copy of the dollar. This coin circulates widely. It
- 35:16Speaker 1: circulates in the Pacific. The Spanish figure out how to
- 35:19Speaker 1: get silver on galleons directly to Manila and the Philippines
- 35:22Speaker 1: and from there to China. Massive demand for silver in
- 35:25Speaker 1: China at the time. Dollars also circulate in the The
- 35:30Speaker 1: United States is very difficult to sort of get Americans
- 35:33Speaker 1: to understand how unimportant the colonies were. They're this backwater.
- 35:37Speaker 1: They're selling shingles and hogs and wheat to the sugar
- 35:42Speaker 1: islands of the Caribbean, and they're not participating in the
- 35:46Speaker 1: economy in in many other ways. And so they could
- 35:50Speaker 1: get dollars and they got dollars by selling things to
- 35:52Speaker 1: the Caribbean. And so the dollar circulated widely in colonial America. Again,
- 35:57Speaker 1: this was not a surprise to anyone. They knew exactly
- 35:59Speaker 1: what it was. They knew what it was called. And
- 36:01Speaker 1: to go back, you know, by the early 17th century,
- 36:05Speaker 1: the word dollar shows up in Shakespeare twice. To me,
- 36:08Speaker 1: what that says is the groundlings in the Globe Theater
- 36:11Speaker 1: knew what it was. This wasn't just for merchants. This
- 36:13Speaker 1: was a coin that everybody knew came from the low
- 36:16Speaker 1: countries for cloth. So as commerce spreads to the American colonies,
- 36:20Speaker 1: as they're able to sell things to the sugar islands
- 36:22Speaker 1: and in turn get some silver coins, the dollar also
- 36:25Speaker 1: becomes a standard accepted unit of value and coin in
- 36:29Speaker 1: the United States as well, or rather in the colonies.
- 36:32Speaker 1: So And Jefferson said when they're trying to figure out
- 36:35Speaker 1: what's going to be the currency of this new country,
- 36:36Speaker 1: he said it should be something that's familiar to them.
- 36:39Speaker 1: It was universally recognized. They already knew what it was.
- 36:42Speaker 1: I started thinking about this as the 1776 problem. If
- 36:46Speaker 1: we assume that monetary sovereignty exists, a new country, new money,
- 36:51Speaker 1: you have a problem in 1776 because they claim political sovereignty.
- 36:55Speaker 1: But then they choose for their currency a Spanish coin
- 36:59Speaker 1: made from Mexican silver with a German name.
- 37:03Speaker 2: Well, that shows the joys of multiculturalism and immigrants. They
- 37:07Speaker 2: get the job done.
- 37:07Speaker 3: Yes, absolutely.
- 37:09Speaker 1: But absolutely, this is not an immigrant coin. This is
- 37:12Speaker 1: not the story of sovereignty. The United States succumbed to
- 37:16Speaker 1: an existing dollar zone. They did not create their own
- 37:19Speaker 1: new dollar zone.
- 37:20Speaker 2: So when is someone going to tell the American government
- 37:22Speaker 2: that they're using an immigrant coin? an interloper.
- 37:26Speaker 1: Well, it's not going to be me. And actually, sadly,
- 37:28Speaker 1: it is me. I'm literally going on book tour telling
- 37:30Speaker 1: the United States it's an immigrant coin. But this coin,
- 37:32Speaker 1: this copy of a copy of a copy of the
- 37:34Speaker 1: original Joachimstaller is accepted as legal tender and is a
- 37:37Speaker 1: current currency in America until the 1850s.
- 37:40Speaker 2: So one of the questions I have is that, you know,
- 37:42Speaker 2: you're talking about a copy of a copy of coin.
- 37:44Speaker 2: I mean, in a sense, you've had that with the
- 37:46Speaker 2: fact you now today have a US dollar, you have
- 37:49Speaker 2: a Canadian dollar, you've got a New Zealand dollar, Australian dollar.
- 37:53Speaker 2: So in some ways, what you're saying is the modern
- 37:55Speaker 2: monetary system is busy copying just like 16th century Europe.
- 38:00Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely. And to add a twist to what you
- 38:02Speaker 1: just said, the Hong Kong dollar and the Canadian dollar
- 38:06Speaker 1: are not copies of the American dollar. They're copies of
- 38:08Speaker 1: that silver coin. So they were pegging their currencies to
- 38:14Speaker 1: this coin. This coin was incredibly important in commerce in
- 38:18Speaker 1: southern China as well by the end of the 18th century.
- 38:20Speaker 3: So these countries all independently at various times all essentially
- 38:26Speaker 3: hitched their monetary sovereignty or adopted a supranational currency that
- 38:32Speaker 3: existed hundreds of years long before these countries ever existed, essentially.
- 38:36Speaker 3: Because it was pre-existing and established and widely acknowledged and
- 38:40Speaker 3: used around the world.
- 38:42Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely. The word for currency, yuan, comes from round.
- 38:46Speaker 1: It's referring to these coins. Yen, same thing. Ringgit, the
- 38:50Speaker 1: Malaysian currency, actually refers to the milling on the edge
- 38:53Speaker 1: of the Spanish dollars when they improved the quality in
- 38:57Speaker 1: the 18th century. The Bourbon Kings of Spain actually went
- 39:00Speaker 1: through and did a currency reform and made sure that
- 39:01Speaker 1: the coins were uniform quality. They had been having trouble
- 39:04Speaker 1: with the mints. And they, of course, put their own
- 39:07Speaker 1: double-chinned faces on the coins themselves. When they arrived in
- 39:12Speaker 1: the port cities of southern China, they were referred to
- 39:14Speaker 1: as Buddha head coins. After Mexican independence from the Spanish empire,
- 39:21Speaker 1: the mints in Mexico City, they keep same quality of silver,
- 39:25Speaker 1: same size, same weight. Absolutely everything is the same. They
- 39:28Speaker 1: changed the design on the coin. They put a Mexican
- 39:30Speaker 1: eagle on it. Those coins arrive in China. The merchants
- 39:34Speaker 1: won't accept them. They call them batwing coins. They don't
- 39:36Speaker 1: know them. They don't trust them. And so you actually
- 39:38Speaker 1: have a problem. They're so not sovereign that when a
- 39:42Speaker 1: new sovereign emerges to produce a new coin, It takes
- 39:45Speaker 1: a period of adoption for them to trust the new coin.
- 39:48Speaker 1: There's frustration from the East India Company saying, look, we
- 39:51Speaker 1: can't get enough of these old coins. They don't make
- 39:53Speaker 1: them anymore, but that's what they're demanding as payment.
- 39:56Speaker 2: So in some ways, the coin had almost become a
- 39:58Speaker 2: meme by then or a financial meme in terms of
- 40:01Speaker 2: representing or symbolizing in short form the idea of a
- 40:04Speaker 2: monetary token of value.
- 40:06Speaker 1: I think a meme is a good metaphor for this.
- 40:08Speaker 2: So I guess one of the key questions is that
- 40:10Speaker 2: the dollar pre-existed America. America copied it. It's an immigrant
- 40:16Speaker 2: phenomena in America. Other variants have been copied elsewhere. Will
- 40:21Speaker 2: it outlive America?
- 40:24Speaker 1: I have been wondering about this. There's this old joke
- 40:28Speaker 1: that what's a historian's joke. So it's pretty poor by
- 40:31Speaker 1: the standard of jokes. But, you know, Rome disappeared and
- 40:34Speaker 1: all that was left was a church. The British Empire
- 40:37Speaker 1: disappeared and all that was left was a bank. I
- 40:40Speaker 1: think it's possible that the American empire could change and
- 40:43Speaker 1: what would be left is the global dollar system. Right now,
- 40:48Speaker 1: the way the United States supports the global dollar system
- 40:50Speaker 1: without getting too deep into the weeds is that the
- 40:52Speaker 1: Federal Reserve will offer short-term loans through other central banks
- 40:56Speaker 1: to commercial banks that happen to have dollars that are questionable.
- 40:59Speaker 1: We call these swap lines. So the Fed supports these
- 41:03Speaker 1: as a way of supporting the global dollar system because
- 41:05Speaker 1: if the global dollar system were to collapse, then it
- 41:08Speaker 1: would be bad for America too. I have been wondering
- 41:11Speaker 1: if these swap lines were ever called into question.
- 41:14Speaker 3: As they are being now, right?
- 41:16Speaker 2: Yes.
- 41:17Speaker 1: Could the Europeans offer swap lines in dollars to each other?
- 41:20Speaker 1: There's nothing stopping them from doing that.
- 41:23Speaker 2: It's very interesting because I've been meeting with central bankers
- 41:25Speaker 2: in the last few days. That kind of discussion is
- 41:28Speaker 2: definitely happening right now, partly because the authorities in Washington
- 41:33Speaker 2: have indicated that they might try and use those swap
- 41:36Speaker 2: lines as a tool in geopolitical negotiations. And if, say,
- 41:42Speaker 2: Washington fell out big time with Brussels, maybe they wouldn't
- 41:46Speaker 2: be as keen to offer those dollar swap lines in
- 41:48Speaker 2: the future. And in which case, the Europeans might have
- 41:51Speaker 2: to club together and try and provide support to each
- 41:55Speaker 2: other and provide dollars. And I actually heard a central
- 41:58Speaker 2: bank governor of an unnamed country, which I won't disclose, saying,
- 42:02Speaker 2: we at our central bank are actually increasing our holdings
- 42:04Speaker 2: of dollars right now. We're not diversifying away from it.
- 42:07Speaker 2: We're doubling down just to make sure we have that
- 42:09Speaker 2: buffer zone. And again, if you look at the Gulf
- 42:12Speaker 2: states right now, you know, the reality is that big
- 42:15Speaker 2: central banks like Saudi Arabia have a lot of dollars
- 42:17Speaker 2: and are potentially in a position to help other people
- 42:20Speaker 2: in the region if they start to run out. Your
- 42:22Speaker 2: point about the dollar having a life of its own
- 42:25Speaker 2: even outside America is really very relevant.
- 42:28Speaker 1: Gillian, that is amazing. That was just a theory I
- 42:30Speaker 1: had of something they might be able to do. They're
- 42:32Speaker 1: actively discussing it. That's crazy.
- 42:33Speaker 2: Well, they're discussing it discreetly and really just as a
- 42:36Speaker 2: last case scenario and simply as part of prudent risk management.
- 42:40Speaker 2: But we're in a world where prudent risk management is
- 42:42Speaker 2: a very good idea.
- 42:43Speaker 1: But this brings up for me the same question we've
- 42:46Speaker 1: had for this whole conversation, which is that If we
- 42:50Speaker 1: allow banks offshore to copy the dollar, us meaning the Americans,
- 42:55Speaker 1: is America sovereign over the dollar? We assume that it is.
- 42:59Speaker 1: We have some sovereignty, a good deal of sovereignty over
- 43:01Speaker 1: banks in the United States. But if this thing is
- 43:03Speaker 1: happening offshore, that to me really calls into question these
- 43:06Speaker 1: assumptions that we have about monetary sovereignty.
- 43:09Speaker 2: It also refers to stable coins as well, though, because
- 43:12Speaker 2: in some ways that's a partly state-sanctioned effort now by
- 43:17Speaker 2: the U.S. Treasury to... popularize the dollar's usage, have forms
- 43:22Speaker 2: of dollars used all over the world, but in a
- 43:24Speaker 2: vehicle that's not actually directly controlled by the Fed anymore.
- 43:28Speaker 1: And that's because it's useful for the United States to
- 43:31Speaker 1: continue to encourage this dollar system so long as we
- 43:34Speaker 1: have the best and only reserves.
- 43:36Speaker 2: So I have one last burning question from my part,
- 43:38Speaker 2: and I'm sure Robin may have another one, but has
- 43:41Speaker 2: anyone ever tried to create a dollar coin, a silver
- 43:45Speaker 2: dollar coin with Schlick's face on it?
- 43:48Speaker 1: Yes. There is one. It's the only reason we know
- 43:53Speaker 1: what he looked like. Oh, wow. When he disappeared, there
- 43:57Speaker 1: was a tradition in Central Europe of what we would
- 44:01Speaker 1: think of today as commemorative coins. But they, you know,
- 44:04Speaker 1: you could wear it, a coin, you would drill a
- 44:06Speaker 1: hole in it and wear it on a chain around
- 44:08Speaker 1: your neck. And so there was like, there were anti-Pope coins.
- 44:11Speaker 1: There were sort of silver dollars that had like anti-papist
- 44:15Speaker 1: messages on them. There were anti-plague coins. It was sort of,
- 44:18Speaker 1: you had the anti-plague silver dollar around your neck, you
- 44:21Speaker 1: wouldn't get sick.
- 44:22Speaker 3: Yeah, because there wouldn't have been any pro-plague coins, I'm guessing.
- 44:25Speaker 1: Yes, that's exactly right. That's exactly right. So Stefan Schlich's
- 44:29Speaker 1: widow had a coin commissioned of his bust. Crucially, he's
- 44:34Speaker 1: depicted as a merchant with a big ruff and not
- 44:37Speaker 1: as a warrior.
- 44:38Speaker 3: Okay.
- 44:40Speaker 1: I wandered into his house. Crazily enough, in Joachimsthal. So
- 44:44Speaker 1: I went down to the bottom of this silver mine
- 44:46Speaker 1: to tour it and I got back up and I
- 44:47Speaker 1: had some extra time before I needed to leave. And
- 44:50Speaker 1: I just started wandering around the town. And there's a
- 44:53Speaker 1: little sign that said this was Stefan Schlick's house. It's empty.
- 44:57Speaker 1: It has not been occupied since the Second World War.
- 45:00Speaker 1: The rooms are empty. The windows are destroyed. And I
- 45:03Speaker 1: sort of like poked my head in. And I did
- 45:05Speaker 1: not go up to the second floor because nobody knew
- 45:07Speaker 1: I was there. It seemed like a really bad idea
- 45:09Speaker 1: to fall through a joist when nobody knows that you're
- 45:11Speaker 1: in Stefan Schlick's house. You know, but that's it. He
- 45:14Speaker 1: was not really wealthy. It's not the biggest house in town.
- 45:18Speaker 1: And he only lived in it for about two years.
- 45:21Speaker 2: Well, someone should tell President Trump if he's going to
- 45:23Speaker 2: put his face on the next commemorative coin on the
- 45:28Speaker 2: dollar-linked coin in America that there's been a very long
- 45:31Speaker 2: antecedent And it's not always the best of moments, but
- 45:34Speaker 2: there we go.
- 45:34Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 45:35Speaker 3: But it is fascinating that this silver mine in Bohemia
- 45:39Speaker 3: in 1515 essentially kind of births this super currency that
- 45:44Speaker 3: transcends sovereignty. And you talked about how it was a feature,
- 45:47Speaker 3: not a bug, but it seems it's actually the killer USP.
- 45:50Speaker 3: Like what is actually the selling point for the dollar
- 45:53Speaker 3: that becomes a dollar? is that it is outside of
- 45:56Speaker 3: any sovereign control, that it is not the Gilda that's
- 45:59Speaker 3: tied to the Dutch or the Florentine Ducat or the Sterling,
- 46:04Speaker 3: which its fate is somehow entwined into the waxing and
- 46:08Speaker 3: waning of the great powers. It transcends all that. And
- 46:11Speaker 3: that's why the dollar is so powerful. It actually indicates
- 46:14Speaker 3: that even if the US were to decline, actually the
- 46:17Speaker 3: dollar can shrug all that off anyway, because There is
- 46:21Speaker 3: a kind of, I guess, use the economist phrase, a
- 46:24Speaker 3: reveal preference from the entire world to have something that
- 46:27Speaker 3: we all agree is money and we can exchange it,
- 46:31Speaker 3: whether we're talking some bank transfers, trade, financial securities, whatever, really.
- 46:37Speaker 1: When we look back at theories of currency dominance, they
- 46:40Speaker 1: often hang on empire. So Robert Mundell, the economist who
- 46:44Speaker 1: won a Nobel Prize for his work on sort of
- 46:46Speaker 1: figuring out how the Eurozone might work, said that currency,
- 46:50Speaker 1: great currencies are the children of great empires. And his
- 46:52Speaker 1: assumption was if you have an empire that's got a
- 46:56Speaker 1: big domestic market and it's more or less stable, so
- 46:59Speaker 1: it produces stable coins and it trades with states outside
- 47:02Speaker 1: of its own borders, then its own domestic currency will
- 47:05Speaker 1: spread outside of its borders and become dominant. With all
- 47:08Speaker 1: due respect to Robert Mundell, who has a Nobel Prize
- 47:10Speaker 1: and I do not, I don't see that story. I
- 47:13Speaker 1: see the story that Robin just described. And when you
- 47:15Speaker 1: look at the beginning of the dollar, at the very least,
- 47:18Speaker 1: You do not see a story of empire or sovereignty.
- 47:21Speaker 1: The Holy Roman Empire, for a lot of complicated reasons,
- 47:24Speaker 1: actually hated the dollar coins. They were trying to come
- 47:26Speaker 1: up with some standard for the empire, and they were
- 47:30Speaker 1: settling on something called a reinflorin. It was a gold
- 47:34Speaker 1: coin that was a depreciated version of the florins that
- 47:37Speaker 1: came up from Florence. They struggled with the dollar precisely because,
- 47:42Speaker 1: as Robin points out, it was useful for merchants. And
- 47:45Speaker 1: it's very difficult to tell a merchant, don't buy or
- 47:48Speaker 1: sell this way. They know what they want.
- 47:50Speaker 2: So will the dollar prove to be more long lasting
- 47:53Speaker 2: than sterling, say?
- 47:55Speaker 1: I think it's possible that something called the dollar will
- 47:57Speaker 1: outlive the current American dominated dollar system. I think that's
- 48:01Speaker 1: very likely.
- 48:03Speaker 2: Well, that's a fantastic cliffhanger to end on, because most
- 48:06Speaker 2: of us won't be alive to actually see whether that's
- 48:08Speaker 2: true or not. But it's certainly very thought provoking. So
- 48:11Speaker 2: thank you so much, Brendan, for joining us.
- 48:13Speaker 1: Thank you, guys.
- 48:14Speaker 2: I'm sure we'll come back to talk about the dollar
- 48:17Speaker 2: again in future episodes. But unfortunately, that's it from this
- 48:21Speaker 2: episode of The Story of Money from The Financial Times.
- 48:25Speaker 2: I'm Gillian Tett.
- 48:26Speaker 3: And I'm Robin Wigglesworth.
- 48:28Speaker 2: And we'll see you back here again next week.