Latest / 49ers Rush Podcast with John Chapman / 49ers vs Falcons Preview and Predictions

Transcript

49ers vs Falcons Preview and Predictions · 49ers Rush Podcast with John Chapman

0:00
[SPEAKER_00]: for the 49ers Rush podcast.
0:32
[SPEAKER_02]: What is going on, Faith, for it is absolutely incredible to be with you guys today.
0:37
[SPEAKER_02]: This is the 49ers Falcons preview predictions, bets, you name it, scouting report.
0:43
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm pretty excited about it now.
0:44
[SPEAKER_02]: A little bit different, not a live show.
0:47
[SPEAKER_02]: As you are watching and or listening to this episode, I'm on a plane out to Atlanta to get set up for our events and all that stuff.
0:54
[SPEAKER_02]: So it's been a while since I've done one of these week one, we were in Australia, but I just did the show there.
1:01
[SPEAKER_02]: And then the last road game that we had at Seattle, man, that's a quick flight, a little bit different going to Atlanta.
1:07
[SPEAKER_02]: We flying all day and didn't have time at the airport.
1:11
[SPEAKER_02]: Obviously, to get this done for tomorrow.
1:13
[SPEAKER_02]: So we are recording this Thursday evening.
1:17
[SPEAKER_02]: So any new breaking news that has come out after Thursday evening,
1:23
[SPEAKER_02]: we are not privy to from the past so unless you got a delorean and 88 miles an hour we missed it but we waited until the practice report press conference came out from the Thursday um days for both teams we're gonna update that as best we can but again as of this recording there have been no designations to out that will come Friday um after noon so this was recorded before that now do have to say thank you to the man Josh himself
1:53
[SPEAKER_02]: Executive producer of this series.
1:56
[SPEAKER_02]: This is episode 1,754.
1:58
[SPEAKER_02]: We just keep stacking me in and Yeah, we used to do offline shows like this all the time and I've kind of converted and going live all the time Which I really enjoy but for this one kind of had to do the offline show There's Thursdays and I football going on and I don't want to pull people in different ways So anyway enjoy listening watching this a little bit later.
2:21
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's learn about Falcons
2:22
[SPEAKER_02]: they are weird.
2:25
[SPEAKER_02]: It's a weird team with a lot of young promising talent top five wide receiver.
2:30
[SPEAKER_02]: I think the best running back in the sport you had not only one but the two top rookie past rusher's last year neither one of which are playing this game.
2:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Just weird, coaching staff, weird to his weird, there's just a lot of just weird to the falcons this year.
2:49
[SPEAKER_02]: They're two and four, but they're in a terrible division.
2:52
[SPEAKER_02]: So you look at, they're in second place.
2:54
[SPEAKER_02]: The NFC South, Carolinas 3 and 2.
2:57
[SPEAKER_02]: Falcons are two and four.
2:58
[SPEAKER_02]: Saints are two and four.
2:59
[SPEAKER_02]: Bucks are one and five.
3:00
[SPEAKER_02]: Nobody is out.
3:02
[SPEAKER_02]: And this historically,
3:04
[SPEAKER_02]: has been one of those divisions where you can get somebody into the playoffs and host a playoff game with the losing record and it's kind of seems like might be that way again this year that the Falcons are by no means out of this but
3:19
[SPEAKER_02]: they're not a good football team.
3:21
[SPEAKER_02]: They're either red hot or ice cold and they're coming off back to back losses is Michael Pinnick's the answer.
3:27
[SPEAKER_02]: They just signed Andy Dalton seems like two is probably going to get unloaded for pennies on the dollar, but B. John and Brian Robinson Jr.
3:38
[SPEAKER_02]: They can keep this team afloat against anybody when they are on.
3:41
[SPEAKER_02]: They are that dynamic.
3:46
[SPEAKER_02]: And so you have these skill position players that can keep you in any single game if they're on, but the problem is, man, if they get behind by more than one possession, and they get relying on the past, they had 74% past plays last week, it gets ugly.
4:02
[SPEAKER_02]: That it's not the way this team is designed, it's designed to get out to a lead, rely on the run and possession offense and just win, and force your defense rush to pass
4:15
[SPEAKER_02]: But when they are behind and they're forced to stop the run and they're forced to pass on offense, it gets ugly quick and they have some really, really bad losses.
4:24
[SPEAKER_02]: defense is built on speed.
4:26
[SPEAKER_02]: Some really good players on that side of the ball for sure, but man, you're coming off back to back losses.
4:32
[SPEAKER_02]: I haven't even mentioned Kyle Pitz who probably one of the most athletic miss matches in the NFL, but he is what the Falcons are.
4:40
[SPEAKER_02]: And sometimes he's elite and you can't stop him, and other times did he even sign up and play to be?
4:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Was he even on the field today?
4:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Because he's a non-factor.
4:50
[SPEAKER_02]: They're offensive line is crazy athletic, speed speed, speed, guys like Chris Lindstrom, Jake Matt to use.
4:57
[SPEAKER_02]: They've got guys all over the place.
4:59
[SPEAKER_02]: They're defense.
5:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Their top guys aren't out there.
5:02
[SPEAKER_02]: They're top two past rushers who we talked about, but Jared Ivy's playing well.
5:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Avian to rail.
5:08
[SPEAKER_02]: HHRL, his brothers on IR, Garvant Dexter, the defensive tackle is playing as well as anybody, Billy Bowman, like, there's a lot of positives.
5:18
[SPEAKER_02]: Xavier Watts, like, it's a good team.
5:20
[SPEAKER_02]: It really, really is whenever you look at the roster and you go from OK, let's look at their DBs, decent.
5:27
[SPEAKER_02]: Look at their linebackers, decent.
5:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Look at their D line.
5:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Good offensive line.
5:31
[SPEAKER_02]: Good skill plays good quarterback hit miss, but this is not a bad roster.
5:38
[SPEAKER_02]: It's just a bad product once it comes out of the packaging.
5:42
[SPEAKER_02]: Something's off and they just haven't clicked yet.
5:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Could that change?
5:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Sure.
5:48
[SPEAKER_02]: Do things usually change for the better against the 49ers?
5:51
[SPEAKER_02]: No, it does not.
5:53
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll see how that goes.
5:53
[SPEAKER_02]: Now point scored, 142 offensive point scored on the year.
5:58
[SPEAKER_02]: That's 14th, right at average.
6:01
[SPEAKER_02]: But you got to remember those first two games were with two and they just got embarrassed.
6:05
[SPEAKER_02]: 13 to 20 loss against Pittsburgh, three to 34 loss against Carolina just absolutely blown out of the water.
6:12
[SPEAKER_02]: Then, Michael Pinnick steps in, you got to argue one of the better quality wins of the year for any team.
6:18
[SPEAKER_02]: They go to Green Bay and just destroy him 35 to 14 at Lambo, just like, what the, how do you get blown out by 31 points against Carolina at home?
6:30
[SPEAKER_02]: The very next week, you go to Green Bay and blow them out by 21 point.
6:33
[SPEAKER_02]: Like, it's just, it's funky.
6:38
[SPEAKER_02]: They are the epitome of any given Sunday.
6:43
[SPEAKER_02]: like it's just weird.
6:43
[SPEAKER_02]: And so they follow up the win against screen bay with another 21 point win against the division point on the road.
6:53
[SPEAKER_02]: They're only two wins have been on the road and they're only two wins have been by 21 points each.
6:58
[SPEAKER_02]: Like, those are quality wins.
7:00
[SPEAKER_02]: That Green Bay at New Orleans is conference game.
7:02
[SPEAKER_02]: They hate each other.
7:03
[SPEAKER_02]: It was on the anniversary of reopening the Superdome.
7:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Like it was awesome.
7:07
[SPEAKER_02]: And then they had beatpied the Baltimore Ravens in a backup quarterback in a close one.
7:11
[SPEAKER_02]: And they get scunched by the Bears last week.
7:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Finish the game 23 to 31.
7:16
[SPEAKER_02]: But that game was like 31 to 10 in the third.
7:20
[SPEAKER_02]: It was, it was Yucky.
7:22
[SPEAKER_02]: They're not,
7:23
[SPEAKER_02]: made to play from behind.
7:26
[SPEAKER_02]: They're just not.
7:27
[SPEAKER_02]: They have to stay close for it to have a chance to win.
7:32
[SPEAKER_02]: They fall behind two possessions and it's just...
7:35
[SPEAKER_02]: Got to watch out.
7:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Now the 49ers, they're in a completely different perspective.
7:39
[SPEAKER_02]: The most wins in the NFL.
7:40
[SPEAKER_02]: There's 6 and 0.
7:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Haven't lost a game.
7:42
[SPEAKER_02]: The most injured team in the NFL as well.
7:44
[SPEAKER_02]: Philly is pushing them for that title, but still, most players on IR.
7:49
[SPEAKER_02]: And then you've got to hold another handful of players that are, you know, not on IR that aren't going to be playing for several weeks.
7:55
[SPEAKER_02]: But they got a three game lead in the NFC West.
7:58
[SPEAKER_02]: There's
8:05
[SPEAKER_02]: They lose every tiebreaker and now Pooka left practice today with an entry.
8:11
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, the 49ers, if you could stack another winning, it's 7 and 0, then head into the by-week and get healthy.
8:18
[SPEAKER_02]: Good gosh, you're 7 and 0 when you're hobbled.
8:21
[SPEAKER_02]: Coming out of the by-week healthy.
8:24
[SPEAKER_02]: watch out for the 49ers when you when you went six games in a row in the NFL it is a matter what stage whether it's September or October like the 49ers have done or it's October November November to say it doesn't matter you're red hot and yet has everyone been beautiful no it has not but
8:45
[SPEAKER_02]: You get wins in different ways and you establish who you are.
8:50
[SPEAKER_02]: The 40 hours are getting everybody's best shot.
8:52
[SPEAKER_02]: You're undefeated, you get everybody's best shot.
8:55
[SPEAKER_02]: Doesn't matter.
8:56
[SPEAKER_02]: Now the last time the 40 hours went six and oh, guess what?
8:59
[SPEAKER_02]: They played in the Super Bowl, that was 2019.
9:02
[SPEAKER_02]: can they do it again, I sure is hell, hope so.
9:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Perti is first an NFL history now, and passer rating after qualifying with enough past attempts in his career, can he keep that?
9:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Man, he doesn't have the wide receivers out there, but it doesn't matter for Brock Perti, he's playing MVP level football.
9:21
[SPEAKER_02]: And there's a lot of guys that are close to returning.
9:24
[SPEAKER_02]: I do think you get Christian Kirk this week.
9:26
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't think anybody else really comes back besides that.
9:30
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, I do expect Mike Evans to play.
9:32
[SPEAKER_02]: I know I'm in the minority there and I've been bunch of people made fun of me online and that's okay.
9:37
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't mind that make fun of me.
9:39
[SPEAKER_02]: There's lots of make fun of me about My take on Mike Evans is I don't think that this is a long-term injury and I think that if he can go he's gonna go and I think that he hates the falcons He was with Tampa Bay and they fought it out for over a decade.
9:53
[SPEAKER_02]: He hates this team.
9:55
[SPEAKER_02]: He was a big reason why
9:59
[SPEAKER_02]: I do think my Kevin's plays this week, uh, trade green laws back.
10:02
[SPEAKER_02]: I think that's huge.
10:03
[SPEAKER_02]: Short week, Monday night football, then traveling across country for early morning kickoff NFL up yours, horrible scheduling, horrible scheduling, horrible scheduling.
10:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Like it's okay for an East Coast team, or sorry, West Coast team to have an East Coast early kickoff once or twice, not on the short week, not cool.
10:25
[SPEAKER_02]: Like that, that is just,
10:27
[SPEAKER_02]: it's so dumb.
10:29
[SPEAKER_02]: So much of the scheduling is dumb.
10:30
[SPEAKER_02]: So much of what the NFL does is dumb.
10:32
[SPEAKER_02]: I love the product, but it's just they get in their own way.
10:37
[SPEAKER_02]: So often this is just you're not supposed to do that.
10:40
[SPEAKER_02]: We're he Morris revenge game.
10:41
[SPEAKER_02]: He got fired from one last year.
10:42
[SPEAKER_02]: He got Jeff Ulbrick, the defensive coordinator.
10:45
[SPEAKER_02]: He stayed on, saves an abacombs there like come on now.
10:50
[SPEAKER_02]: There's a lot of this there.
10:52
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm pretty excited about this game.
10:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, I really, really am one.
10:57
[SPEAKER_02]: I spent every single summer growing up in Atlanta.
11:01
[SPEAKER_02]: It's where my dad lived.
11:03
[SPEAKER_02]: And so he ran a construction company down there.
11:05
[SPEAKER_02]: And so every summer I was down there swinging a hammer and out in the Georgia heat doing whatever you got to do, work at labor, seven bucks an hour.
11:12
[SPEAKER_02]: I remember myself a death.
11:15
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't want to do this.
11:16
[SPEAKER_02]: He, I really have said to me.
11:18
[SPEAKER_02]: But I am pumped about this game.
11:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Freaking day one when the schedule came out.
11:24
[SPEAKER_02]: We were in Atlanta.
11:25
[SPEAKER_02]: I think it was 2022.
11:28
[SPEAKER_02]: The last time the 40 hours there threw some great events.
11:31
[SPEAKER_02]: We're going to be there again.
11:33
[SPEAKER_02]: We've got a day before party.
11:34
[SPEAKER_02]: So if you or anybody else you'd know is going to Atlanta.
11:37
[SPEAKER_02]: It's an Irish fan.
11:38
[SPEAKER_02]: Please point them in our direction or in the direction of any of the other meet and greet.
11:42
[SPEAKER_02]: There's a bunch.
11:43
[SPEAKER_02]: of events taking place in the land.
11:45
[SPEAKER_02]: I love the chapters down there throwing events.
11:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Love it.
11:48
[SPEAKER_02]: Love it.
11:48
[SPEAKER_02]: Love it.
11:49
[SPEAKER_02]: Just find yourself with 49ers faithful somewhere.
11:52
[SPEAKER_02]: We're going to be at sports and social with the battery from 2 to 6 on Saturday.
11:57
[SPEAKER_02]: That's going to be a fun party.
11:58
[SPEAKER_02]: And then we have an all-inclusive premium tailgate going to be a blast.
12:02
[SPEAKER_02]: just over a block from the stadium 547 Mitchell Street and if you're thinking about coming we've got a couple parking spots left but you know if you're not parking there that's cool this gets your pass all you can eat all you could drink you name it
12:17
[SPEAKER_02]: It's going to be a good time.
12:19
[SPEAKER_02]: We got DJs.
12:20
[SPEAKER_02]: We got great food.
12:21
[SPEAKER_02]: It's going to be a blast.
12:22
[SPEAKER_02]: So come out with us 49ers rush.
12:24
[SPEAKER_02]: Roachrip.com.
12:25
[SPEAKER_02]: Get your tickets.
12:26
[SPEAKER_02]: And if you can't make it to this game, we're going to be in Dallas, Mexico City, Los Angeles, and Arizona.
12:32
[SPEAKER_02]: Those tickets are all up for purchase right now.
12:35
[SPEAKER_02]: 49ers rush.
12:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Roachrip.com.
12:39
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, when
12:47
[SPEAKER_02]: It's way worse for the falcons than I think what they're playing.
12:50
[SPEAKER_02]: The two effect is real and he skews this data because those first two games were just unwatchable, right?
12:57
[SPEAKER_02]: So DVOA, the falcons offense is dead last 30 seconds.
13:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Collectively for the year to pull that down.
13:05
[SPEAKER_02]: But it's not just to a like, yeah, they're bad, but you lost about
13:14
[SPEAKER_02]: It's it's not a great offense, but when it's humming it's humming it's just been a short chunks
13:19
[SPEAKER_02]: where they've looked incredible, defensively they're average, they're 15th.
13:23
[SPEAKER_02]: You look at the EPA-wise for the Falcons offense is 20th, defense is 8th.
13:29
[SPEAKER_02]: So they're a little bit better on a snap-personat basis than they are collectively.
13:33
[SPEAKER_02]: Well, same metrics, look at the 49ers.
13:35
[SPEAKER_02]: DVOA, 40 hours offense is 2nd, best in the NFL.
13:40
[SPEAKER_02]: Defensively, 5th, best in the NFL.
13:43
[SPEAKER_02]: EPA, offense is 2nd, best in the NFL, defense is 6th.
13:48
[SPEAKER_02]: Top six and every metric, however you want to shake it, whatever way you want to look at it, and that's a big reason why they're six and no.
13:54
[SPEAKER_02]: There are so many positive impactful plays on offense and defense, special teams lacking, special teams is lacking.
14:02
[SPEAKER_02]: That's got to shake up counting, Eddie P and freaking Luke Feral.
14:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Y'all got to pick it up.
14:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Y'all got to pick it up.
14:09
[SPEAKER_02]: Got to be better there.
14:11
[SPEAKER_02]: Now you start looking at the Falcons offensive line, which I think is pretty good collective unit, very athletic, average age is 29 years old, their average size 64309, it is an offensive line, very similar to the 49ers, a lot of high athleticism and all those things, but
14:34
[SPEAKER_02]: That's a lot, seven quarterback hits, 35 hurries, and Michael Pinnick's will hold that ball.
14:39
[SPEAKER_02]: Like Michael Pinnick isn't, you know, you just played Jayden Daniels.
14:44
[SPEAKER_02]: He's gonna move around and create avenues and throw it.
14:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Michael Pinnick's will sit there, like Ben Rothersberger, and just allow the storm to come to him, and he'll hold onto that ball.
14:55
[SPEAKER_02]: He will take those hits, waiting for the play to develop.
14:58
[SPEAKER_02]: 40 honors defense is a great got to get pressure got to hit pinics you make him uncomfortable things can snowball because he makes some of those kind of will levels scratch your head turn over type plays he's going to give them opportunities the 40 honors defense for sure.
15:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Back to the Falcons offensive line.
15:16
[SPEAKER_02]: Jake Matthews, I mean, 34.
15:17
[SPEAKER_02]: He's been awesome for a long time.
15:19
[SPEAKER_02]: Matthew Burjuron.
15:20
[SPEAKER_02]: I was a huge fan of that guy coming out.
15:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Very, very athletic.
15:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Chris Lynch, know him.
15:24
[SPEAKER_02]: You could argue the most athletic guard in the NFL.
15:27
[SPEAKER_02]: Juan Taylor been playing for ever.
15:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Mr. Fall start himself.
15:33
[SPEAKER_02]: He is a penalty in the making.
15:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Their center Ryan Newsville.
15:38
[SPEAKER_02]: He's kind of been one of the more consistent players.
15:41
[SPEAKER_02]: He's ninth highest rated center from PFF.
15:45
[SPEAKER_02]: His tape's good.
15:47
[SPEAKER_02]: And, you know, he's not an ace of really anything and he's not a jack of all trades.
15:52
[SPEAKER_02]: He's like a queen, right?
15:54
[SPEAKER_02]: So not a jack of all trades.
15:55
[SPEAKER_02]: He's like the queen of a little bit better than average at everything past pro and the run game.
16:02
[SPEAKER_02]: really, really good squad offensive line wise.
16:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Coachy Steph Kevin Stephanski and his first year there is replacing Reheem Morris.
16:11
[SPEAKER_02]: And Kevin Stephanski, you know, that's a two time NFL coach of the year, robbed Kyle back in 2023.
16:18
[SPEAKER_02]: I thought it was absolutely insane that he got that, but sports riders love anything positive that happens in Cleveland.
16:24
[SPEAKER_02]: They get a lot of the awards, even though they don't earn it.
16:27
[SPEAKER_02]: Kevin Stephanskin, I don't think anybody would say this is a better coach than Kyle Shenanne, the fact that he run it twice is crazy.
16:35
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't think he's a bad coach.
16:36
[SPEAKER_02]: I think he's an average coach with a little bit of extra juice, but man, the offense is not working.
16:42
[SPEAKER_02]: He's an offensive guy.
16:44
[SPEAKER_02]: Offensive coordinator Tommy Reese, he's 34 years old.
16:47
[SPEAKER_02]: He was the quarterback at Notre Dame.
16:48
[SPEAKER_02]: He probably recognized that name when a drafted played in 2014 for Washington on the practice squad.
16:56
[SPEAKER_02]: Yes, who is there?
16:57
[SPEAKER_02]: You guessed it now coaching career.
16:59
[SPEAKER_02]: He's kind of flown up the college race Northwestern San Diego Chargers back when San Diego was the Chargers then he was with Notre Dame Alabama
17:10
[SPEAKER_02]: jumped on Cleveland with Stephanskin.
17:11
[SPEAKER_02]: He traveled with him to Atlanta.
17:13
[SPEAKER_02]: Jeff Allbreak legend.
17:16
[SPEAKER_02]: We all know about Jeff Allbreak.
17:18
[SPEAKER_02]: I mean, he played 10 years with the Niners and Special Team stud and has just floated up the ranks so much so when the Falcons parted with their head coach, they kept Jeff Allbreak.
17:30
[SPEAKER_02]: Big fan of that guy.
17:32
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, let's look at the injuries because it's a lot on both.
17:37
[SPEAKER_02]: But before we do, we have just posted our bets.
17:40
[SPEAKER_02]: We have the film breakdown everywhere.
17:42
[SPEAKER_02]: We have our zoom hang out this by week.
17:45
[SPEAKER_02]: Next week comes soon.
17:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Man, if you want to support us and you like what we do, the best way to go about it, the 49ersrush.com or our Patreon page.
17:54
[SPEAKER_04]: I paint until I really see the tape, but you got to see the tape to really see what it looks like.
17:59
[SPEAKER_01]: But then I'll see it close from the film.
18:01
[SPEAKER_01]: The things that we saw on tape, the things that we require.
18:03
[SPEAKER_04]: I hope you look the same on tape.
18:05
[SPEAKER_03]: Get better from the tape, but before we're hoping that some good film on those guys and we'll get to those things we got on the plane.
18:11
[SPEAKER_02]: If the 49ers coaches and players have to watch the tape, what do you think you need to do?
18:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Well, guess what?
18:16
[SPEAKER_02]: We got the tape.
18:17
[SPEAKER_02]: The 49ers rush.com and our Patreon channel, patreon.com slash 49ers rush.
18:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Podcast.
18:23
[SPEAKER_02]: We have every offensive defense and special teams play outlined in all 22 and in zone coaches tape to go through and show you play by play, what this guy did wrong, what this guy did right, who was wrong, who was right, all those things.
18:36
[SPEAKER_02]: It's way better than just grades or anything you got,
18:39
[SPEAKER_02]: Trust me, once you sign up, you get it all seven day free trial right now.
18:43
[SPEAKER_02]: Plus we have monthly zoom hangouts.
18:45
[SPEAKER_02]: We place our monthly bets weekly bets season long bets all on there.
18:50
[SPEAKER_02]: If you want to be a better fan, you want to understand football better guess what the 49ers rush calm is the place to go.
18:58
[SPEAKER_02]: All right, let's talk about the injuries for both the 49ers and the Falcons.
19:03
[SPEAKER_02]: The Falcons got a lot.
19:05
[SPEAKER_02]: They have eight players on IR.
19:07
[SPEAKER_02]: The 49ers have 16.
19:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Literally twice that.
19:09
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, James Pierce Jr.
19:10
[SPEAKER_02]: They're double-digit sack rookie.
19:13
[SPEAKER_02]: He's still suspended for his stuff in the off season.
19:17
[SPEAKER_02]: But
19:17
[SPEAKER_02]: whatever I digress let's go through the 49ers injury report first and now this is the third day most current information we have the Friday injury report is not out yet as of this recording so keep that in mind so Thursday practice report for the 49ers this is the D&P's did not practice Nick Bosa don't expect them to play Mike Evans do expect him to play Luke Gifford do not expect him to play Serenil
19:43
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't know, Debo not playing.
19:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Marky Seagull not playing up and stout back to back days on there.
19:50
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll see Garrett Wallow not playing limited practice.
19:53
[SPEAKER_02]: Ashton Davis, I think he plays.
19:55
[SPEAKER_02]: Jayden Dugger, he plays.
19:57
[SPEAKER_02]: We kill Williams, he plays.
19:59
[SPEAKER_02]: Full practice, Trent Williams, Christian Kirk, he plays and Ramello, hi, I think that they play.
20:05
[SPEAKER_02]: So it's lengthy.
20:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Now you look at the Falcons, they're did not practice.
20:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Divine Diablo.
20:11
[SPEAKER_02]: That is huge.
20:12
[SPEAKER_02]: He is their starting number one linebacker.
20:15
[SPEAKER_02]: That's a big deal.
20:16
[SPEAKER_02]: Billy Bowman did not practice Mike Jarrell, Brian Robinson, hamstring did not practice Joanne Taylor.
20:23
[SPEAKER_02]: He had a rest day, but did not practice limited practice for the Falcons.
20:27
[SPEAKER_02]: Again, this is Thursday.
20:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Linebacker Kindle Daniels, defensive and Samson Epicon, defensive tackle,
20:39
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, quarterback AJ Terrell, his groin, he's still on IR, but he's designated to return very similar to a Christian Kirk status could this be his first week.
20:50
[SPEAKER_02]: He's getting limited practices in avion Terrell is brother.
20:53
[SPEAKER_02]: Widersever is the key is he's a starter, Cameron Thomas defensive in, he's a starter, Cameron Williams offensive tackle.
21:00
[SPEAKER_02]: He's a backup.
21:00
[SPEAKER_02]: There are so many starters for the Falcons that ain't right.
21:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Niners big time injuries, you know, they're leading the NFL and players on IR and well, this Falcon's team's not a healthy team either now
21:16
[SPEAKER_02]: they're not even halfway to the 49ers injury issues.
21:20
[SPEAKER_02]: But they're not healthy either.
21:22
[SPEAKER_02]: And so this is a team that needs help big time.
21:27
[SPEAKER_02]: And you start looking at the Falcon schedule.
21:30
[SPEAKER_02]: Do they?
21:31
[SPEAKER_02]: They've got a while, too, because they play, listen to their schedule.
21:35
[SPEAKER_02]: Listen to the Falcon's, right?
21:36
[SPEAKER_02]: They've just lost back to back games to the Baltimore Ravens and Chicago Bears.
21:40
[SPEAKER_02]: Well, now you got the 49ers next week at Tampa Bay, which Tampa Bay is not good, but that's a division rival on the road.
21:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Then the Bengals, then the Chiefs, then a buy week.
21:51
[SPEAKER_02]: This Falcons team, if they don't turn it around this week and next week,
21:56
[SPEAKER_02]: It's, it's sell everything like the years over.
21:59
[SPEAKER_02]: You can't be two and six, you know, it, it have a chance.
22:04
[SPEAKER_02]: You just can't do that.
22:05
[SPEAKER_02]: So they've got to win this week or next week at Tampa Bay to have a shot.
22:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Obviously they want to win them both, but then you've got the Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.
22:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Schedules not doing them favors and whenever you lose the games you're supposed to win, starts to get kinda ugly.
22:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Now speaking of ugly, the 49ers, a lot of people don't know this, young pups, used to be in a division with the Falcons, which is crazy, because they are all the way on the other side of the country literally about as far as you can go, they played a lot of times, 49ers have dominated this series, 49 wins, 33 losses in one time.
22:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Since Kyle Shanahan showed up, they played them four times, they are two and two.
22:45
[SPEAKER_02]: And what's another crazy day of the forty dollars played the Falcons last year on week seven this year week seven again.
22:54
[SPEAKER_02]: 40 hours one, 20 to 10 and was kind of a dominated game.
22:59
[SPEAKER_02]: It wasn't as close as the 20 to 10 score.
23:02
[SPEAKER_02]: Matt Jones was the quarterback, Christian McCaffrey 200 plus yards and two touchdowns.
23:08
[SPEAKER_02]: It's probably CFC's best game of the year, 129 rush yards, 72 receiving yards like he just, there is something to,
23:21
[SPEAKER_02]: having a guy like Pijon Robinson out there because one CMC and Bijon, they trained together in the off season.
23:28
[SPEAKER_02]: But Bijon has kind of elevated to the best running back in football, I think.
23:34
[SPEAKER_02]: Christian McCaffre used to be that.
23:37
[SPEAKER_02]: This kind of stuff matters to people like Christian McCaffrey that are wired the way that he does.
23:41
[SPEAKER_02]: There's a reason why you had the best game of the year against this team, can he do it again, especially whenever they're starting lineback or might not even play, he puts a backup linebackers in there, seems he's gonna do some damage, period.
23:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, we'll kind of see how that goes.
23:57
[SPEAKER_02]: Uh, we'll see how that goes.
23:58
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, let's look at the Falcons defensive race out of 32 teams, right?
24:04
[SPEAKER_02]: This, it gives us a snapshot.
24:06
[SPEAKER_02]: What they are good at and perhaps with their bad at out of 32 teams, each one of these rankings points
24:19
[SPEAKER_02]: That's the biggest one I keep going back to.
24:22
[SPEAKER_02]: If you're going to beat this 49ers team, you've got to capitalize on mistakes and mistakes.
24:27
[SPEAKER_02]: The 40 hours will do that, whether Chris should be cafe-free, fumble, special teams, Brock pretty missing a coverage read, which has only happened once this year.
24:36
[SPEAKER_02]: But like, let's be honest, like you look over collectively, sometimes the 40 hours will give the ball away.
24:43
[SPEAKER_02]: Well, this Falcons team has not capitalized.
24:46
[SPEAKER_02]: They have not forced turnovers.
24:48
[SPEAKER_02]: So if they're gonna lose or break even on the turnover battle, it's really difficult to find a way for the Falcons to come out of this victorious if I'm being very, very honest.
24:58
[SPEAKER_02]: They've got at least be even in the turnover battle to win this game, at least even.
25:04
[SPEAKER_02]: If they are minus one, they're not winning this game.
25:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Have to be even or better.
25:10
[SPEAKER_02]: First down's defensively for the Falcons 14th, that's average, passing yards 28th.
25:19
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't want to say jacks, but younger wide receivers and old kind of, I don't want to say hasmons.
25:25
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't know.
25:25
[SPEAKER_02]: These old veteran guys trying to prolong their career, Brandon cooks, you know, whatever Christian Kirk, this is the perfect make up for it.
25:33
[SPEAKER_02]: The young guys, cow in walkins.
25:34
[SPEAKER_02]: This is the team to do it against.
25:37
[SPEAKER_02]: 28th in past yards allowed, 20th in passing touchdowns allowed, 30th in interceptions.
25:44
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, the one thing that this defense, the focus defense is good at is the run game, fourth and rushing yards allowed, that's incredible, 16th and rushing touchdowns, sixth and yards per rush.
25:58
[SPEAKER_02]: 49ers got to stay committed to the run.
25:59
[SPEAKER_02]: They didn't last week, almost cost them the game, should have cost them the game.
26:03
[SPEAKER_02]: Cannot abandon the run like you did last week in the fourth quarter.
26:06
[SPEAKER_02]: Can't do it.
26:07
[SPEAKER_02]: 49ers falcons defense 23rd and third down, 20th and fourth down, 21st and the red zone, all below average.
26:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, the 49ers offense, let's flip it, sorry, the Falcons offense.
26:20
[SPEAKER_02]: Here are their rankings.
26:22
[SPEAKER_02]: little bit better and especially better since pinnicks is stepped in.
26:25
[SPEAKER_02]: 16th and point scored average, 12th in yards, slightly above average, 28th and turnovers.
26:32
[SPEAKER_02]: Again, if the falcons are negative in the turnover differential, they went in this game.
26:38
[SPEAKER_02]: They got to protect the ball.
26:39
[SPEAKER_02]: They got to protect the ball.
26:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Michael pinnicks not known for that.
26:43
[SPEAKER_02]: 21st and 1st down, 24th and passing
26:51
[SPEAKER_02]: and rush attempts, fourth and rushing yards, seventh, rushing touchdowns and third, and rush yards per attempt.
26:58
[SPEAKER_02]: A lot of that is just be John breaking out 50 plus yard runs.
27:05
[SPEAKER_02]: What he does pretty much seems like every other game now.
27:09
[SPEAKER_02]: The explosive run plays is why the falcons have a chance to win any game.
27:15
[SPEAKER_02]: The explosive run plays are why the falcons have a chance to win any
27:21
[SPEAKER_02]: 49ers have been better than anybody in the NFL at limiting that, can they do that again?
27:26
[SPEAKER_02]: That is going to be key.
27:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Now money down's not great, third down their 16th is average, fourth down, 1 for 6 dead last in the NFL and fourth down's.
27:36
[SPEAKER_02]: When they need it, it doesn't come through, but top 5 in the red zone, the ranked fifth, 16 red zone possessions, which is really, really low, they've scored 12 touchdowns, 49ers
27:49
[SPEAKER_02]: The best on best matchup in this game, Falcons Red Zone offense, 49ers red zone defense.
27:58
[SPEAKER_02]: I think that's gonna determine it.
28:00
[SPEAKER_02]: If the Falcons can't get touchdowns in the red zone, and if the Falcons can't win the turnover battle, they will lose this game.
28:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Those are the two areas where it's just like men.
28:09
[SPEAKER_02]: They could force turnovers, or if they can cash in touchdowns, they have a chance to win.
28:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Now you look at the Falcons offense and again kind of what they're good at,
28:20
[SPEAKER_02]: not good at playing from behind.
28:21
[SPEAKER_02]: They're front runners.
28:22
[SPEAKER_02]: If they can establish the run, stick with the run, great things happen.
28:26
[SPEAKER_02]: They do a lot of, you know, under center and one of the craziest things, you know, we're watching the tape and I'm like, dude, every time they're in shotgun, they're throwing the ball.
28:34
[SPEAKER_02]: Like, that's what the film says, right?
28:36
[SPEAKER_02]: So then shout out to Josh, he looked this up.
28:40
[SPEAKER_02]: 97% of the Falcons shotgun plays this year are all past plays.
28:45
[SPEAKER_02]: They're under center of the run and if they're they will throw some from under center, but if they're in shotgun, it's a pass play and so at some point they have to sell scout and get away from that, but.
28:58
[SPEAKER_02]: So far, when they're in a shotgun formation, it's a past play 97% of the time it works every time.
29:07
[SPEAKER_02]: That doesn't make any sense.
29:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Anyway, motion, they motion on 60% of their plays, you know, do with that, what you will.
29:14
[SPEAKER_02]: 11 personnel, where you have three wide receivers, they're in that 55% of the time, 12 personnel, Charlie Warner is their guy.
29:22
[SPEAKER_02]: with Kyle Pitz, which we had Warner back, 28% of the time, and 13% now, 17% of the time.
29:30
[SPEAKER_02]: Play action, 15%, a lot of just kind of dropback passing, catch and rip type, almost college spread offense, look a lot of times.
29:41
[SPEAKER_02]: And if you just look at the snapshot from last week for the Falcons offense, five D passes.
29:47
[SPEAKER_02]: 49ers did five deep passes as well.
29:50
[SPEAKER_02]: The difference is 40 hours completed three falcons completed one you look at the falcons defense speed speed penetration.
30:00
[SPEAKER_02]: That's what they do old brick is a good coach.
30:03
[SPEAKER_02]: It's a very well coach defense.
30:07
[SPEAKER_02]: they stay at base 40% nickel 60% of the time and blitz on 21%.
30:11
[SPEAKER_02]: So they're not a high blitz team.
30:13
[SPEAKER_02]: There are manufactured blitz team.
30:14
[SPEAKER_02]: A lot of fires own, right?
30:17
[SPEAKER_02]: You'll drop it in, bring a linebacker, things like that.
30:20
[SPEAKER_02]: Bring a corner, drop a tackle into the hook to curl.
30:23
[SPEAKER_02]: You see that on there.
30:24
[SPEAKER_02]: So they're not some of the brings five or more a lot.
30:29
[SPEAKER_02]: But they generate pressure with kind of the roster and the way that they are built.
30:35
[SPEAKER_02]: That's just the way that they handle things.
30:37
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, if you look at
30:40
[SPEAKER_02]: the run pass ratio right so 49ers are best in the league at this you want to be 50 50 you never want to give a tell the 49ers have 50.5% pass plays 49.5% run place it's right down the middle there's 50 50 split Falcons 48 and a half percent pass plays 51 and a half percent run not bad however last game they fell in a hole 74% pass plays
31:09
[SPEAKER_02]: last week.
31:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Can you get them into that situation again?
31:15
[SPEAKER_02]: You get them behind two possessions.
31:17
[SPEAKER_02]: You commit to the run.
31:18
[SPEAKER_02]: You win this game and it is that simple.
31:20
[SPEAKER_02]: I really, really believe that.
31:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, if I was to look at this from a Falcon standpoint, right?
31:27
[SPEAKER_02]: How can the falcons win this game and where should they be attacking?
31:33
[SPEAKER_02]: Got to get some turnovers.
31:35
[SPEAKER_02]: Got to get some
31:37
[SPEAKER_02]: And they should be going after the 40 hours wide receiver group.
31:40
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't think that you, I would be shocked if the Falcons blitzed more this weekend to the Niners than they have any other week, because the 40 hours are going to put out there the worst wide receiver core in the NFL this week.
31:52
[SPEAKER_02]: And it's not close.
31:53
[SPEAKER_02]: Like it is literally not close.
31:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, I think my Kevin's plays, but I think my Kevin's plays 20 snaps.
31:59
[SPEAKER_02]: goes out there on third downs, gets a couple first down plays.
32:03
[SPEAKER_02]: He's not playing the full gamut.
32:06
[SPEAKER_02]: It's going to be similar to what we've seen the past two weeks where it's very selective when he's out there.
32:11
[SPEAKER_02]: But when Mike Evans is not out there, this is the worst wide receiver group in the NFL.
32:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Well, when you have six of your top six wide receivers injured,
32:19
[SPEAKER_02]: What do you expect now?
32:20
[SPEAKER_02]: Kurt comes back.
32:21
[SPEAKER_02]: All right.
32:21
[SPEAKER_02]: Cool.
32:21
[SPEAKER_02]: You've got your fifth best wide receiver at the start of the roster year out there with this first game with the new team.
32:29
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll see how that is.
32:30
[SPEAKER_02]: But if I'm the Falcons, do I'm going to play a lot of man and I'm going to bring an extra guy a lot.
32:38
[SPEAKER_02]: You get attacked the 49ers defensive interior line.
32:41
[SPEAKER_02]: That's where the Falcons prefer to run.
32:43
[SPEAKER_02]: They do a lot of this stretch zone run and allow Beishon to pick his space.
32:47
[SPEAKER_02]: He's such good vision.
32:50
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, the 49ers are slasher's defensive tackle wise.
32:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Wouldn't the way it's designed, but with guys like Sebastian and Grace and Halton and Rosa, you've got a lot of slasher's, which is good in a bad thing.
33:02
[SPEAKER_02]: Good thing.
33:03
[SPEAKER_02]: They disrupt in the backfield.
33:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Control play off.
33:07
[SPEAKER_02]: If you call it into the slash or the slant, there are some gigantic gaps.
33:12
[SPEAKER_02]: And this is kind of a big reason why Sebastian Valdez didn't get called up until he is.
33:17
[SPEAKER_02]: He will shoot so far up field.
33:20
[SPEAKER_02]: That if he's that backside, that running back can cut into one of the largest gaps you've ever seen.
33:25
[SPEAKER_02]: We showed him film last week.
33:27
[SPEAKER_02]: So whenever it hits, it's great for the 40 hours defense.
33:30
[SPEAKER_02]: But they're going to be some giant run lanes available
33:37
[SPEAKER_02]: It's just got to happen.
33:38
[SPEAKER_02]: So there's going to be a cutback run for an explosive at some point the 49ers have been the best in the NFL limiting those
33:46
[SPEAKER_02]: That's what I'm kind of scared to see those cut back through the backside A or B get when the Falcons are on offense.
33:53
[SPEAKER_02]: That's what I'm scared of.
33:54
[SPEAKER_02]: And then deep shots against the safety's mallet and stuff was the hero last week, but he did have two busted coverages.
34:00
[SPEAKER_02]: One of them was I think like a 30 yarder and then there was a post that he completely missed the tight in would have been a 50 yard touchdown.
34:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Jayden Daniels just missed it.
34:09
[SPEAKER_02]: And so can you get to the point where.
34:13
[SPEAKER_02]: You don't have those coverage busting anymore and that team doesn't make you pay for it.
34:20
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll see.
34:21
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll see.
34:22
[SPEAKER_02]: The Falcons are a good team.
34:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Now the 49ers got to go after the Falcons linebackers.
34:26
[SPEAKER_02]: It's the Shanahan M.O.
34:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Divine Diablo Diablo, not practicing so far this week.
34:32
[SPEAKER_02]: That's huge.
34:33
[SPEAKER_02]: You've got the rookie Harold Perkins who is man.
34:36
[SPEAKER_02]: One of the better rookies in the NFL this year.
34:39
[SPEAKER_02]: You ready for a shiny hand scheme?
34:40
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's see how that goes.
34:42
[SPEAKER_02]: It's going to be fun.
34:43
[SPEAKER_02]: Defensive line is small.
34:44
[SPEAKER_02]: They're speed defensive line.
34:46
[SPEAKER_02]: We're not a power offensive line.
34:48
[SPEAKER_02]: However, Connor Colby and Trent Williams are, you look at Dominique Pooning, called to be kivots, called to be kivots and much more so than Pooning, but you can get some movement against this D line.
34:59
[SPEAKER_02]: And you should be able to run the ball fairly well.
35:02
[SPEAKER_02]: Falcons offensive line struggles has been on the outside in past protection.
35:07
[SPEAKER_02]: And when Pinnonks holds that ball and stays in the pocket, go get them, go get them.
35:13
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, let's get to our bets of the week, man.
35:15
[SPEAKER_02]: We went six of seven last week, still no negative weeks.
35:18
[SPEAKER_02]: We just keep stacking money, we're going to have a negative week at some point.
35:23
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't think it's this week.
35:24
[SPEAKER_02]: Just post it our bets over on the foredownsarch.com and our Patreon.
35:27
[SPEAKER_02]: But if you're going to bet, there's only one place to do it.
35:31
[SPEAKER_02]: NFL season is upon us and my bookie.ag is the place where you place all of our bets.
35:37
[SPEAKER_02]: We have been betting with them for eight years.
35:39
[SPEAKER_02]: We show you how much we bet and where we bet.
35:42
[SPEAKER_02]: We have posted profits seven out of eight years.
35:44
[SPEAKER_02]: We're up already in the season.
35:45
[SPEAKER_02]: Why are you not joining us?
35:47
[SPEAKER_02]: We show you everything on the 49ers rush.com and our patreon channel.
35:51
[SPEAKER_02]: We show you everything.
35:52
[SPEAKER_02]: We have videos how to do parlay bets.
35:54
[SPEAKER_02]: How to do teaser bets.
35:55
[SPEAKER_02]: How to do the alternative lines.
35:57
[SPEAKER_02]: And on my bookie.ag right now if you use our promo code 49ers you get a free betback bonus from 50 to $500.
36:06
[SPEAKER_02]: So whenever you're ready for a bet and you place it you just toggle that betback bonus you can do it once once you sign up with us.
36:12
[SPEAKER_02]: And if you miss the bet then guess what you get the money you bet credited back into your count 50 all the way up to $500 if you win you get paid comes with a one time roll over industry best but my bookie.ag
36:24
[SPEAKER_02]: Mobile betting, they have casinos, they have a racebook, they have a profit boost, live to either games, they've got you covered and if you sign up right now, you get to bet back bonus and 50 free spins in the casino.
36:37
[SPEAKER_02]: Mybookie.ag use promo code 49ers 49ers ERS and bet anything anytime and I mean anywhere, I'm in California, I use it, I use it in Texas, let's go mybookie.ag promo code 49ers.
36:56
[SPEAKER_02]: All right, you know, we posted our bets, go check those out.
37:00
[SPEAKER_02]: And it's a two and a half point spread right now.
37:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Like I'm taking the 49ers, it given those points.
37:05
[SPEAKER_02]: I just think the 49ers are a better team by far.
37:09
[SPEAKER_02]: The falcons are a good team, but you gotta be like, I'm really, it's interesting how the betting markets are pushing towards the falcons every single day.
37:21
[SPEAKER_02]: And it's a lot of people,
37:24
[SPEAKER_02]: with money on the vacant side of things are leaning more and more towards the Falcons.
37:28
[SPEAKER_02]: I think that Mike Evan injury, again, I'm in the minority here.
37:32
[SPEAKER_02]: I think he plays and I think he has an impact even if it's on 20 to 25 snaps.
37:37
[SPEAKER_02]: So I'm taking the 49ers and you know the minus 2 and a half.
37:41
[SPEAKER_02]: I love that and we're just going to keep pounding the
37:44
[SPEAKER_02]: 49er score on the first possession, which I think there are four out of six so far this year.
37:50
[SPEAKER_02]: And man, we're getting plus money on that.
37:51
[SPEAKER_02]: So check that out.
37:53
[SPEAKER_02]: Now predictions.
37:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Josh is the executive producer of today's show.
37:57
[SPEAKER_02]: Wild but not so wild take.
38:00
[SPEAKER_02]: He put in the parentheses.
38:02
[SPEAKER_02]: His record.
38:03
[SPEAKER_02]: He does this every week.
38:04
[SPEAKER_02]: He's one in five.
38:07
[SPEAKER_02]: He said, uh, love you Josh.
38:09
[SPEAKER_02]: And I love that he holds himself accountable.
38:11
[SPEAKER_02]: He says,
38:14
[SPEAKER_02]: That I really really do and you know, I'm close to going over on Brock party rushing, but man, I remember when we used to bet Brock party over rushing at seven and a half yards now.
38:26
[SPEAKER_02]: It's like 21 and a half 19 and a half Four and a half rush attempts, which we hit last week barely But I'm just like man those numbers are just getting crazy.
38:35
[SPEAKER_02]: I think this is gonna be an ugly game and on both sides
38:41
[SPEAKER_02]: You're in the middle part of the season.
38:42
[SPEAKER_02]: Both teams are injured.
38:44
[SPEAKER_02]: Both teams are not getting full practices in.
38:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Both teams have a lot of players on IR.
38:50
[SPEAKER_02]: It's an East Coast early kickoff game.
38:52
[SPEAKER_02]: That is just wrong by NFL standards.
38:54
[SPEAKER_02]: They're the worst.
38:56
[SPEAKER_02]: And a short week.
38:57
[SPEAKER_02]: It's a lot of uncertainty in who's playing, who's not Christian Kirk hasn't suited up this year.
39:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Brandon cooks still struggling out there, Cowling, good gosh, Jordan walkins, earning more of a role, 40 plus snaps, but can Brock trust him.
39:13
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll see.
39:14
[SPEAKER_02]: I think that this game's going to be very, very heavy.
39:16
[SPEAKER_02]: George Kittle, and it's going to be very, very heavy.
39:19
[SPEAKER_02]: Christian McCaffrey.
39:21
[SPEAKER_02]: I just think that's what it's got to be, like I won't be shocked if both of them get over six targets in the past game, I want it to be closer to eight targets, each one of them.
39:31
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't want them to run Christian McCaffrey in the ground, but I do want them to get a lot of targets.
39:36
[SPEAKER_02]: You had 14 snaps last week with Christian McCaffrey split out.
39:39
[SPEAKER_02]: Give me more of that.
39:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Caitlin Black in the backfield, give me Christian McCaffrey split out.
39:45
[SPEAKER_02]: I love it.
39:45
[SPEAKER_02]: Christian Kirk, I want him playing the slot.
39:49
[SPEAKER_02]: Man, kind of, not exciting, but you're starting to see whenever you start plugging the pieces in, you're like, okay, this works, this works, this works.
39:57
[SPEAKER_02]: I think this can work.
39:58
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't think the 40 hours are putting up 30 plus points in 500 total yards.
40:03
[SPEAKER_02]: It's just not made for that type of game without the wide receiver core and all that kind of stuff.
40:08
[SPEAKER_02]: It's just not made that way.
40:09
[SPEAKER_02]: Especially when you're playing another team that runs the ball so stinkin' much.
40:12
[SPEAKER_02]: This is gonna be a shortened game.
40:15
[SPEAKER_02]: I think both teams run and my favorite stat of the week is 32 at the 49ers offense get to 32 rush attempts the 49ers win this game.
40:23
[SPEAKER_02]: That's my guaranteed stat line of the game.
40:27
[SPEAKER_02]: Not saying I'm guaranteed.
40:27
[SPEAKER_02]: They're going to get that many.
40:28
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm saying if they hit that number, they win this game.
40:32
[SPEAKER_02]: If you stay committed, I don't care if it's 2.9 yards per attempt.
40:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Falcons defense really good against the run.
40:39
[SPEAKER_02]: But if you hit that number 32 rushing attempts 49ers win this game, I believe that defensively be smart, limited explosives, you know, we love sacks, we love quarterback hits, we love those.
40:50
[SPEAKER_02]: They're going to come in.
40:51
[SPEAKER_02]: Drows.
40:52
[SPEAKER_02]: The number one thing this week, don't let B. John get those huge explosives.
40:58
[SPEAKER_02]: He's going to get one or two.
41:00
[SPEAKER_02]: If it's a 20 yard gain, okay, don't let it be a 50.
41:03
[SPEAKER_02]: Don't let them have a 75 yard rushing touchdown on the first play of a drive.
41:07
[SPEAKER_02]: He's done it.
41:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Those are the killers, right?
41:10
[SPEAKER_02]: So limit the explosives to 30 yard runs.
41:13
[SPEAKER_02]: That's how good Bijon is that you're happy with the 30 yard run, right?
41:16
[SPEAKER_02]: You had to limit those.
41:17
[SPEAKER_02]: Niners have been the best in the NFL.
41:20
[SPEAKER_02]: Falcons keep it close, and if they don't, it's gonna get ugly.
41:23
[SPEAKER_02]: But I got 49ers winning ugly, barely covering.
41:27
[SPEAKER_02]: 25, 22.
41:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, missed extra points.
41:32
[SPEAKER_02]: You got going for two.
41:33
[SPEAKER_02]: You got all kinds of, this is just the makings of weird.
41:39
[SPEAKER_02]: old division opponents flying across country short week early kickoff injuries galore middle of the season by week now it's just weird
41:50
[SPEAKER_02]: got the 49ers winning to seven and oh and going into the buy, but this one is going to be ugly.
41:58
[SPEAKER_02]: We will be live from Mercedes bin stadium as soon as the game ends.
42:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Please join us.
42:03
[SPEAKER_02]: This is always a blast.
42:04
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm on a plane out there as we speak or as you're watching.
42:09
[SPEAKER_02]: But yeah, you know, anybody coming out to land and tell him, come party with us 49ers rush road trip.com.
42:19
[SPEAKER_02]: and go on into the by week finally get in healthy and now it's time to get dangerous.
42:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Really appreciate you guys, you're the best there is.
42:25
[SPEAKER_02]: And until next time, stay strong, faithful.