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Sharp Plays, Parlay of the Day, Super Bowl LX & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right, here we go, final day before the big
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: game Friday on the best betting show ever. A lot
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: to go over here today, not just with the super Bowl,
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: but of course we do have some NBA action now
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: we have college basketball, pretty big slate, well, pretty important game,
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I should say, rather at the garden here tonight with
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: the Johnny's taking on Yukon of course, heading into a
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: monster Saturday in college hoops. And you put it all
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: together and we got well, we got some edges to
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: talk about here, and who better to do it with
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: than these two guys who, apparently in the comments thought
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: it was impossible for you two actually show up together.
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: But here they are Art the Caesar and Double R
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: one Al Steve Merrill in the house. And I gotta
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: tell you a very good looking crew here. Thank goodness.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: The pres is nowhere here to screw this thing up here,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: But always a pleasure Art to see you Merrill. But yes, Steve,
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: you read in the comments apparently there was some confusion
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: about whether or not you two are ever allowed to
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: be on screen together.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Is that correct?
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll use a big word for the viewers, detunt.
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: They don't even know what that means. Probably, But like
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: like Joe had to separate us. We're slowly getting back together.
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: Art and I are working out our differences. I will
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: say this though, to enter the room, I guarantee I'll
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: be the one leaving the show today.
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: I love it that Art is very busy. He's very busy.
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: That's why I say, yeah, Art, Art has got places
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: to go, people to see things that do so Art.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Let's kick it off you with the Super Bowl odds.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: The movement now you said yesterday that you know beginning
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: then over the next forty eight hours is really when
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: the volume will start to hit in. What are we seeing,
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: if anything, in the market right now with this game.
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: I mean we're still five and forty five and a half.
• 1:53
  Speaker 4: I sound like a broker record because I've been saying
• 1:55
  Speaker 4: it all week, But I think the thing that is
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: tightened a little bit is we've seen a little bit
• 1:58
  Speaker 4: more New England money in ticket wise. You know, earlier
• 2:02
  Speaker 4: in the week, early in the process, we were seeing
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: five to one, six to one Seattle tickets. Now it's
• 2:07
  Speaker 4: like three to one. It's getting a lot tighter as
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: far as that goes. We've seen a little bit of
• 2:12
  Speaker 4: nibble on our two to one plus two hundred on
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: New England on the money line.
• 2:16
  Speaker 5: So you start to see that money.
• 2:18
  Speaker 4: Just trickle in a little bit, because like I said,
• 2:20
  Speaker 4: we're pretty much the highest I've seen on the market
• 2:22
  Speaker 4: on that and I've seen as as plus one eighty
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: plus one eighty five. So listen, we're doing about sixty
• 2:28
  Speaker 4: percent of our business on props. You know, once again,
• 2:31
  Speaker 4: when you're dealing almost five hundred props, you're going to
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: be doing a lot of business with the props. So
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: obviously here over these next two days we will get
• 2:38
  Speaker 4: the bulk of our money and be interesting to see
• 2:41
  Speaker 4: what happens if you know, we start to see more
• 2:44
  Speaker 4: New England support because we start to see the New
• 2:47
  Speaker 4: England ticket count, you know rise, not that it's big bets,
• 2:51
  Speaker 4: but at least it's closing the gap from that five
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: to six.
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: To one.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: Marl.
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so our you know, it stills a lot of
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: money's going to be coming in this week. And which
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: way do you think this line is going to move?
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: Obviously you're seeing a lot of Seattle money. You're all
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: so closer to the West Coast than maybe some of
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: the East coast books are. Do you see some new
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: England buyback coming at plus five. I don't think we're
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: going to get that key number of six. I've been
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: telling people all week. You know, if you like the Seahawks,
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: four and a half's probably the best line you're gonna
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: get because they do look public to me as well.
• 3:23
  Speaker 3: The over underline has hit forty five at some of
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: your competitors. I don't see it going much lower than that.
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: I would think the public might come in on the over,
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: although I'm seeing some consensus of the under because there
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: are two good defensive teams. What are your thoughts when
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: this closes, when all is said and done.
• 3:38
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think eventually we're going to see a little
• 3:40
  Speaker 4: bit more in New England money. And like I said,
• 3:41
  Speaker 4: we've already seen it. I think we're in the four
• 3:44
  Speaker 4: and a half five range basically until kick. Just depends
• 3:47
  Speaker 4: what we do with the number when we finally get there.
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: You know, the total is something we've talked about all week.
• 3:52
  Speaker 4: We were as high as forty six and a half,
• 3:54
  Speaker 4: got to as low as forty five. Now we're forty
• 3:56
  Speaker 4: five and a half, and I expect the public to
• 3:58
  Speaker 4: bet the over. I mean that's normal what they do
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: despite the two really good defensive teams. But you know
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: it's gonna be one of those things where despite the
• 4:07
  Speaker 4: sharp's always loving the under in the Super Bowl, you
• 4:09
  Speaker 4: always get overwhelmed with over money anyway, So you know
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: it's fine. I think if you like the under, you're
• 4:15
  Speaker 4: probably at this point. If you haven't bet it, you
• 4:17
  Speaker 4: could probably wait because it's probably going to go back up.
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we've been saying that all week, No rush if
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: you're looking for the under, but I think if you're
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: looking at the over, sooner rather than later.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: And we talked yesterday Art with the prop moves.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: You've been giving them out each day here during the
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: week on some of the some of the sharper moves
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: that you have seen in the betting market. You said yesterday,
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: shockingly enough, Cooper Cup anytime touchdown was one of your
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: big public prop bets that everyone seems to be betting
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: still at plus money. I noticed this morning at some
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: places there. But it just appears everybody seems to think
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: that Kenny Walker is gonna get into the end zone.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: What else are you seeing here so far over the
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: last twenty four hours.
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: Yeah, sharp stuff defensive props, which a little bit more
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: of a sharp market. I would say the public really
• 5:15
  Speaker 4: doesn't bet that as much, but I mean, listen, it's
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: the props. We'll probably get some public money on it.
• 5:20
  Speaker 4: But we have four guys that they bet over solo
• 5:23
  Speaker 4: plus assists tackles, Woodson over five and a half, Hawkins
• 5:27
  Speaker 4: over four and a half, Ls over three and a half,
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: and Williams over three and a half. That's all sharp stuff.
• 5:34
  Speaker 4: To get back to the Cup stuff, Joe. Anytime touchdowns, now,
• 5:38
  Speaker 4: this could change. We have forty you know, plenty of
• 5:40
  Speaker 4: time before we get there. But speaking to you on
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: a Friday morning, Cooper Cup is third. Now ticket count
• 5:45
  Speaker 4: for anytime touchdowns Drake may second number one. This is
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: gonna shock you a little bit. Seattle's defense, whoa right now? Yeah, really,
• 5:54
  Speaker 4: Seattle's defense. We've taken a ton of bets on Seattle's
• 5:59
  Speaker 4: defense to score at any point in the game. You know,
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: obviously you're getting five to one plus five point fifty.
• 6:05
  Speaker 5: You're in that rage.
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: The two big long shot MVP for each team, Gonzales
• 6:10
  Speaker 4: for New England, Williams for Seattle. As I mentioned earlier
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: in the week, they love to take the long shots
• 6:16
  Speaker 4: on the defensive side of the ball. So you have
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: one from each team and then the first touchdown scorer
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: of the game, which is probably the most popular index
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: prop we put up because it it just receives a
• 6:27
  Speaker 4: ton of action. The top three ticket counts in that
• 6:33
  Speaker 4: market are all Seattle guys. It's Walker, It's Cup, and
• 6:38
  Speaker 4: it's Jake Bobo.
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: Wow.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah, have that on your Bengo card. Meral little Jake Bobo?
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: Did you have him in there? Ron taking the money?
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: See, this is why, this is why Arden I cannot
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: work together on a consistent basis all week long. He's
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: thrown out stuff like that. I don't believe any of
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: the My favorite art isn't the conspiracy that you and
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: I can't work to get my favorite conspiracy. That art
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: comes on here to give everyone the wrong side. And
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: of course for all of us in the other forty
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: nine states that cannot bet at the super book if
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: they're benefiting from that, right, So we're all going to
• 7:11
  Speaker 3: fly over to Vegas to take the wrong side. So
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: I got to ask you. I'm doing my public video
• 7:16
  Speaker 3: this afternoon for the weekend. Everyone's been asking when that'll
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: be out. It'll be out on Saturday. I do think,
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: by the way, Joe members. First option might be available
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: Friday night for that two dollars ninety nine cents a month.
• 7:25
  Speaker 3: Another reason to get that here wait your talk, insider.
• 7:28
  Speaker 3: I want to give out as much of a public
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: you know, fade the public tilt in the game. I
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: think Seattle is the public side, So we kind of
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: covered that already. I don't know where I'm going to
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: the total. I do see more sentiment for the under
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: than you normally see in a given games. The public
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: normally likes the over, but prop wise, it's tricky for
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: me because I don't do a lot of public information
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: on props. So I wanted to ask you some of
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: the more I don't want to say sucker props, but
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: the props in which the public likes him every year.
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: Maybe we kind of touched on the will there be
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: a safety or overtime? By the way I pulled it up, guys,
• 7:58
  Speaker 3: seven percent of NFL games have a safety art That
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: would equate to minus thirteen fifty is the true odds?
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: You know? And you guys are dealing. You said we
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: like eight to one. I think what's the other side
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: of that? Was a twelve to one, one to fourteen,
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: one to twelve on the on the safety if you
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: recall the on the.
• 8:15
  Speaker 5: No yeah fourteen yeah.
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: So see there. You know, Prez was saying that's a
• 8:19
  Speaker 3: great bet, and I didn't want to count them the
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: other day. And one thing we didn't touch upon last
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: week is that maybe neither side is a great bet
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: because the true odds are minus thirteen fifty. Because yes,
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: eight to one is a bad bet, but minus fourteen
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: hundred isn't a great bet either, because it's a six
• 8:35
  Speaker 3: six hundred difference overtime. Trying to pull that up, I
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: saw twenty twenty four to five percent of games went
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: to overtime, so less games went to overtime than had
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: a safety on average. What are some other kind of
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: like maybe I don't want to say sucker props, but
• 8:49
  Speaker 3: very public props that you see every year, including this season.
• 8:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean obviously you touched on those two. The
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: octopus is a very popular prop. You get that at
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: sixteen to one, life a lot of people like the bet.
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: That that's a problem that's pretty much been introduced here
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: in the last decade. That's always you got to remember too,
• 9:06
  Speaker 4: the public likes to take chances with some you know, numbers,
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: they want some value. They want to be able to
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: bet ten, fifteen to twenty dollars and maybe get you know,
• 9:15
  Speaker 4: a six to one, eight to one, ten to one
• 9:18
  Speaker 4: return on their dollars. So you see a lot of that.
• 9:21
  Speaker 4: I mean the public, you know, no shock, they're going
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: to come in and bet all the overs on all
• 9:26
  Speaker 4: the players and just the normal stuff. You know, like
• 9:28
  Speaker 4: Sam Donald over passing yards, over one and a half touchdowns.
• 9:32
  Speaker 4: You know they're gonna bet the popular players over. That's
• 9:35
  Speaker 4: why we're always pretty much rooting for a low scoring
• 9:37
  Speaker 4: game with not a lot of touchdowns because then you know,
• 9:40
  Speaker 4: probably most of the props will go under.
• 9:42
  Speaker 5: So we're always in that range.
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean as far as do longer shock
• 9:47
  Speaker 4: stuff with the public, it's those three overtime octopus and
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: a safety.
• 9:54
  Speaker 3: Aren't explained the octopus real quick joke for people that
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: aren't familiar with that one. It's not a hatch track.
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: In Detroit when they scored three, goalsh, no, it should
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: be no.
• 10:04
  Speaker 4: So they would be like Kenny Walker scores a touchdown
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: that gives him six points. Then on that touchdown they
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: go for two and he gets the two point conversion,
• 10:15
  Speaker 4: giving him eight points in that little touchdown.
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: Drive interesting and we at like sixteen to one. I
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: don't have the I don't have the numbers on how
• 10:27
  Speaker 3: often that happens, but I can't imagine.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: That it's too often. No, no, it doesn't. But you know,
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: there are lottery tickets. Some of those are all lottery tickets.
• 10:34
  Speaker 5: There are why not?
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: I mean it's uh, it's Ezza money. We talked about
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: it earlier in the week two.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: Another one of these popular ones, right, is the longest
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: or what the shortest touchdown? Right?
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: We said a yard and a half.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: That seems to me that used to be I mean,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: remember we used to actually get a pretty decent price.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: But now it feels like that's the first bet the
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: public makes every year. Are and it's like, oh, give
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: me the give me the under a yard and a half.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Are you still seeing the action on that as well?
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: One hundred percent?
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: You know, you deal it at minus one forty, it
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: gets bet, and it goes to minus one sixty that
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: time they gets to cook it. Yeah, by the time
• 11:12
  Speaker 4: that gets a kickoff, that could be under two dollars.
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: I mean, you know, and then some people could some
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: people can come back and you know, take the over
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: and just you know, get a little arbitrage there and
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: take both. But I mean it's just one of those
• 11:24
  Speaker 4: things where, yeah, you can't make that under price high
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: enough because they're going to bet it.
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: And Joe I will say, I don't think that was
• 11:31
  Speaker 3: always a very public prop. I used that for years
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: for my clients. Oh and most people's kickback, as you know,
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: it would be like how could you lay minus money
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: on a one yard touchdown? But it happened a lot
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: And then the other one I'll point out too in
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: that regard, which hasn't worked as much recently. I think
• 11:46
  Speaker 3: Teddy did a little YouTube clip on this, and it's
• 11:48
  Speaker 3: only won five of the last ten years. And I
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: don't use it anymore, but I used to use it
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: for decades. Was three consecutive scores and that would be
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: minus one seventy minus two hundred. But I also think
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: you got to remember how the Super Bowl era has
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: changed since we were growing up in the eighties and nineties,
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: when we had blowouts and you had dominant teams, double
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: digit favorites, yep, and what should be a competitive game
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: once again with a short price range, a low total
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: forty fives are fairly low total. It's probably a little
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: less likely as well. What kind of action do you
• 12:16
  Speaker 3: see on that. I mean, I think back of the
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: day that was also a sharp prop to lay the
• 12:21
  Speaker 3: juice with the three straight scores, but it hasn't worked
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: as well recently.
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and you know, Steve, it is still a sharp
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: prop and the number is actually shorter now. You know,
• 12:30
  Speaker 4: we open that number a lot lower than probably we
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: have in years past. You know, you can open it
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: now at a dollar fifty and you take a little
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: bit of money on it early sharp eyes, and then
• 12:38
  Speaker 4: you move it very aggressively. You go to minus one
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: seventy five minus one eighty, and then that's kind of
• 12:43
  Speaker 4: where your number is. But yeah, you're right with how
• 12:46
  Speaker 4: competitive the games have been here recently, that isn't what,
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: you know, the value of what it was back in
• 12:52
  Speaker 4: the day, like you said, with all the blowouts.
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and how about the kicking props through Aret we
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: talked about last week early on we started to say
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: longest field goal props be bet. That seems to be
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: a big one. The amount of field goals in the game.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Are we still seeing some public support for the kicking
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: game and the kicking props.
• 13:13
  Speaker 5: Always the kicking game.
• 13:14
  Speaker 4: I told you yesterday one of the sharper props we
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: have is Myers to have a fifty plus yard field goal.
• 13:19
  Speaker 4: That was as highest plus two fifty. Now we're under
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: two dollars on that. The punting stuff is interesting. You'll
• 13:26
  Speaker 4: see a lot of you know, we deal will each
• 13:29
  Speaker 4: of the punters have a touchback?
• 13:32
  Speaker 5: You know, will they kick a touchback?
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: So you see that with the punters, and you see
• 13:36
  Speaker 4: the wise guys want to come in and lay a
• 13:39
  Speaker 4: minus three thirty, a minus three forty, minus three fifty
• 13:42
  Speaker 4: on the no they feel comfortable doing that. You see
• 13:45
  Speaker 4: a lot of public support for each kicker to miss
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: a field goal, you get a price on that. You
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: get almost three to one depending on which kicker you
• 13:55
  Speaker 4: take to miss one field goal in the game. So
• 13:57
  Speaker 4: the kicking props have completely, you know, they've exploded obviously
• 14:01
  Speaker 4: here over these last handful of years. I told you
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: every year one of the kickers get support in the
• 14:06
  Speaker 4: MVP market. This year it's Myers. I remember when the
• 14:09
  Speaker 4: Bengals played in the game, it was it eMac. He
• 14:12
  Speaker 4: got a tremendous amount of support.
• 14:14
  Speaker 5: To be the MVP in the game.
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: And the Bengals played the Rams, so the kicking stuff
• 14:17
  Speaker 4: has really exploded.
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll ask you real quick. First of all, I
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: just looked it up. He had seven kicks of fifty
• 14:24
  Speaker 3: or more this year, only seven. So you're saying it's
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: all what we say, minus two hundred is what it.
• 14:29
  Speaker 4: Is well to get no, to get it, we were
• 14:33
  Speaker 4: get Yeah, plus two to fifty was a yes.
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: Oh play. I was gonna say, ye howl yeah, because
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: it should be less than fifty fifty.
• 14:39
  Speaker 5: Under Yeah, now it's under two dollars.
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: So now, oh, yeah, that makes sense. So he had Yeah,
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: he had seven of them though, So yeah, plus two
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: to fifty was a nice price probably for that one.
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: I can understand that. I'll ask you real quick. You
• 14:49
  Speaker 3: mentioned the MVP, and this is something Gabe Mcy, Joe
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: gam Marency and I talked about this for decades on
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: his show. Is That And I think everyone's onto it
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: now that you kind of correlate the Super Bowl MVP
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: quarterback with the team you like. You mentioned kickers getting it.
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: I think that would be awful for the game. If
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: a kicker wins it, this is not going to be
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: a fun game to watch. That's all. I know, what
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: are your thoughts on that? I mean, obviously you're paying
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: a premium because you as were onto that as well.
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: But what else are you looking at of the MVP
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: market other than the quarterbacks? Do you get sharp bets
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: on the MVP? Did people still hammer the quarterbacks or
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: some as it more of a kind of a lottery
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: ticket type thing with some of the outliers.
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the quarterback is going to get the
• 15:27
  Speaker 4: quarterbacks are going to get a ton of action, of course.
• 15:30
  Speaker 5: And you know, it was the old thing.
• 15:31
  Speaker 4: Why take mahomes, you know, take mahomes and even money
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: to be the MVP when the Chiefs are minus one
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: thirty to win the game.
• 15:37
  Speaker 5: There was a bunch of that. But you know, this year,
• 15:40
  Speaker 5: and I.
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: Always talk about it, the defensive guys in the long
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: shot range got a lot of love because some defensive
• 15:46
  Speaker 4: guys have won here in the last ten, fifteen to
• 15:48
  Speaker 4: twenty years. The thing, and I mentioned this to Joe,
• 15:51
  Speaker 4: is the running backs never win anymore. It's been since
• 15:54
  Speaker 4: Terrell Davis. So the running back just never wins the
• 15:57
  Speaker 4: MVP anymore. So despite money that comes in on the
• 16:01
  Speaker 4: running backs, like we feel comfortable taking as much money
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: on the running backs and barely even moving the price
• 16:06
  Speaker 4: because they just don't give it to the running backs anymore.
• 16:09
  Speaker 4: Of Course, you know, a guy like JSN is going
• 16:11
  Speaker 4: to get a lot of love. You even see some
• 16:13
  Speaker 4: love for like a you know, Stefang Diggs. You know,
• 16:15
  Speaker 4: receivers have won this award as well. So yeah, of course,
• 16:20
  Speaker 4: you know, for the most part, if the winning team's
• 16:23
  Speaker 4: quarterback wins the MVP, you might lose a little bit,
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: but it's nothing crazy.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: I would almost rather Art, just bet the position to
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: win it, give me the quarterback to be the MVP,
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: and and save yourself the hedget that way, and just
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: as long as one of them wins, and who gives
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: a crap, we're good to go along those lines. So
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: not a bad way to approach that one either, So
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: a lot of prop bets.
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: Obviously, you got a busy.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Weekend coming up here, Art, but it's not the only
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: sport going on. We've been talking about it here. We've
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: got college basketball NBA. Obviously, the Olympics get underway now.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: But let's not forget you promised a little baseball talk
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: for us as well as pitchers and catchers getting ready
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: to report here within the week. So what do you
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: got for a cre As far as the sharp action.
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll start with the college basketball in the NBA,
• 17:15
  Speaker 4: and then I'll hop into those wind totals NBA. Really,
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: the only thing we saw this morning was Blazers took
• 17:21
  Speaker 4: money at minus seven and a half now up to
• 17:23
  Speaker 4: eight and a half. In college Brown took money at
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: plus fifteen. Valpo took money at minus nine and a half,
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: and Loyola Chicago also took money at plus ten and
• 17:33
  Speaker 4: a half. Obviously, no NHL for about three weeks here
• 17:36
  Speaker 4: and now. As far as our baseball win totals, now,
• 17:38
  Speaker 4: we put those up on Tuesday, and this is no shock.
• 17:42
  Speaker 4: The public's already on the Dodgers over one one hundred
• 17:45
  Speaker 4: and a half. We're already at one oh one and
• 17:47
  Speaker 4: a half. Listen, does someone want to come and bet
• 17:49
  Speaker 4: the under with us? Hasn't happened yet, but we figure
• 17:52
  Speaker 4: it probably will at some point, depending how high we
• 17:56
  Speaker 4: get on that number. Sharp money did come in on
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: the Rangers over eighty two and a half half and
• 18:01
  Speaker 4: the Brewers eighty three and a half, and a couple
• 18:03
  Speaker 4: of teams that we had maybe a little bit higher
• 18:06
  Speaker 4: on the market because we want to book to those
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: teams because we think they're going to be really good
• 18:10
  Speaker 4: and they're going to go over their win totals. We
• 18:12
  Speaker 4: took under money on the Braves at ninety one and
• 18:15
  Speaker 4: a half because we were a little bit higher than
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: most places, and the same thing with the White Sox
• 18:19
  Speaker 4: at sixty nine and a half. So a lot of
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: people coming and saying, oh, that's maybe a higher number
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: than we've seen out there, so we've taken under money there.
• 18:28
  Speaker 4: And listen, there are plenty people who are going to
• 18:29
  Speaker 4: look for middles on these wind totals, so we know
• 18:32
  Speaker 4: that's part of the process.
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: Joe, let me ask Art real quick, because I appreciate
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: all the time and we know you got to run here.
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: We've taken enough of your time here on Super Bowl Friday.
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: But on the baseball I thought of this when Joe said,
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: you guys had numbers coming out. What's the thought process?
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: I mean, I don't want to say it's a lost leader,
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: but you guys are obviously hanging yourselves out there, putting
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: them out earlier than everyone else for the most part.
• 18:53
  Speaker 3: And you ever, as risk management, have you ever run
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: the numbers over the years, Like do you come out
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: ahead any given year in the first week of action.
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: I don't even if you break it down like that.
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: And just what's the thought process of getting them out
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: of ahead of everybody else, you.
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: Know, I mean, Steve, it's as simple as this.
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: It's Super Bowl weekend, right, This is going to be
• 19:10
  Speaker 4: the busiest weekend of the year outside of that first
• 19:13
  Speaker 4: weekend of March madness. So we want to have as
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: much content out for people to make bets. So, you know,
• 19:19
  Speaker 4: if people came here Super Bowl and they were like, oh,
• 19:21
  Speaker 4: I want to bet some baseball stuff, and they can
• 19:23
  Speaker 4: only bet the Yankees to win the World Series and
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: you can't bet divisions or make the playoffs or win totals.
• 19:28
  Speaker 4: We feel comfortable putting them out so we can take
• 19:31
  Speaker 4: more money in our pool. I mean, it's a pool
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: that obviously we're going to book from now up until
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: you know, first pitch whatever that is, you know, March thirtieth,
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: March thirty first, whatever that date is. So we feel
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: comfortable getting them out and having people have a little
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: bit more shelf life to bet with us. And you know,
• 19:48
  Speaker 4: that's just the way we approach it.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: Awesome one hundred and sixty two games in a season,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: the variants for a win total.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: It's just over the top.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: So it should be a far one though, because as
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: soon as football is gone, baseball will be back, and
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: I am all for it, all right, Art, it is time,
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: of course, for our parlay of the day. Now, if
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken, guys, did we not sweep this thing yesterday?
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: I believe we did.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: In fact, all three of us nailed our parlay of
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: the day. All legs hit, So Art, start us off here,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: my man, what's gonna be today's winning leg?
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: Now?
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: I want to say we're gonna stick with the Super Bowl?
• 20:33
  Speaker 4: Is that what we're gonna do?
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fine, go shoot. I like it, yep, all right.
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna get out Stevenson from New England to having
• 20:40
  Speaker 4: any time touchdown. I've seen it as low as plus
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: one thirty. I've seen it as highest plus one fifty.
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: So he gets some plus money on him. I think
• 20:47
  Speaker 4: he will score.
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: Oh I like that one, all right.
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: I'll go here, Merrill, because I'm gonna go with the
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: other RB there for New England and traveon Henderson over
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: is rushing prop I think which is up to maybe
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: eighteen and a half. Now, he is your home run hitter.
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: He is the guy that in one run will be
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: able to eclipse that anybody thinking that what you got
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: in the snowstorm is what you're gonna get in a
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: fast track right now in Santa Clara. I think he's
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: gonna have the attempts, and I think he is gonna
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: have over the eighteen and a half nineteen and a half.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: I'd even bet it up to twenty and a half
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: yards there, how about you, Steve, I'm.
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: Gonna give a little sneak peek on what I'm gonna
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: use in my fade. The public video I mentioned El
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: Seattle is a public side here, so obviously we look
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: to fade the public. Then we don't do it blindly.
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: But if you're gonna play New England, here's a sneaky
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: way to play them. The first quarter line is basically
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: they're plus a half minus money. The full game there
• 21:50
  Speaker 3: plus four and a half plus five, but for the
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: first half, including at the Westgate, they're plus three. And
• 21:56
  Speaker 3: if anything, that we see slow starts in championship games,
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: first quarters, all those playoff college football games, and in
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: the Super Bowl in general. So even if you don't
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: think they're gonna win the game or hang. Plus three
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: would equate to like plus six full game. I just
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: don't understand why this first half line is plus three.
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: I don't see one team having an edge over the other,
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: especially since both have no experience in the big game.
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: I look for them both to be conservative out of
• 22:18
  Speaker 3: the gate. I think if you're looking to back the Patriots,
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: plus three first half is a sneaky way to do it.
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: We'll use that for the parlay.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: Boom, there you go, a little Super Bowl parlay art
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: this season, my man. Always a pleasure. Brother, you got
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: a hell of a weekend going. We'll have more baseball
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: talk of course next week, maybe even dive in to
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: some of the Olympic bets that you're seeing. So enjoy Art.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: We appreciate the time as always, brother. We'll see you
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: next week.
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: All right, boys, always a pleasure, and Steve, we can
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: put the bed.
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: All these rumors.
• 22:49
  Speaker 5: Always good to see you and Jose on Tuesday.
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: Boom, go get it, love it Art. This Caesar cannot
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: go wrong there live at the West Gate. If you're
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: gonna happen to be in vague, guys, make sure you
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: stop by and see Art at the book at the
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: Westgate over the.
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: Way, telling me you saw him on the best betting show
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: ever a wager Talk TV.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: Correct. That's right, absolutely, yes.
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: I used to say, Joe, it's like the louder you yell,
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: he doesn't come out quicker. That was the joke back
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: in the day on wager Talk Today with the Pres.
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: Is that because one time, apparently he did do that.
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: That's why it was a funny joke, because he came
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: in yelling where's art, Where's art? And Art is crouching
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: under his desk. I can only imagine what the back
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: room looking. It's like, I'm not here.
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: I'm not here.
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: East Coast meeting on the East Coast. I'm back in Pittsburgh.
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: I love it all right. Speaking of the Pres. Oh no,
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: it is time.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: What is this?
• 23:41
  Speaker 3: Oh no, boy, there's business.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: Him meryld business time for some business minus that alphit
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: my man. So tell us what you got rolling heading
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: into Super Bowl weekend here at wager.
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: Talk dot com.
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the quiet before the storm. Right, We got one
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: basketball best bet tonight on front. It's a college hoops
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: best bet, which I have not given out here on
• 24:02
  Speaker 3: the show. So go get that on my page along
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: with my Super Bowl sixty best bet. It is locked
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: and loaded right now as well for Sunday and a
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: bonus free NBA play number one in the NBA all
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: time at wager Talking. Then give you my top NBA
• 24:14
  Speaker 3: opinion for free too night on my page, Steve merrillwager
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: Talk dot com and get there quicker WT dot buzz
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: slash sm.
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: I gotta love that, Meryl. A right.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: I am also locked and loaded five percent Matt's bet
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: available or Sunday, along with a whole bunch of props
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: that are gonna be posted later today there. So get
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: the play and you'll get all the props that I'm
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: also playing there at wager talk dot com. We had
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: a big night last night. Swept College, ended up getting
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: it done two and a night in the NBA. So
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: rushing it across the board, I'll have one college and
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: one NBA play up today.
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: Go get it at wager talk dot com.
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: All right, Meryl, here we go today's best bets.
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: Here. We got college, we got NBA.
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, heck, we even have you know the NFL
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: coming up here. One final time, What is the one
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: game that interests you the most here tonight.
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we used a NFL play for the parlay. We
• 25:15
  Speaker 3: did that little three pack of parlay. So we'll go
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: something Friday night here in the Association, and I'll talk
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: about a game which has had a little bit of
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: a money move here. The New York Knicks now a
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: slight favorite against the Pistons, which on the surface might
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: look a little strange, but I think the betty markets
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: are telling it's something there. I'll take a look at
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: the New York Knicks minus the one one and a
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: half as the road favorite Detroit. It's been great this year,
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: but I still think the Knicks might be the team
• 25:36
  Speaker 3: to beat in the Eastern Conference. Anthony Towns Listen is questionable,
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: so we'll keep an eye on him. I like the
• 25:41
  Speaker 3: Knicks here in a focus spot tonight, liking.
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: The Knicks to get it done there, Meryl, I can't
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: argue with that. I think I like them as well.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: We did pretty well last night, I believe, with Northern
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: Arizona winning outright there, Merrill in that game, and I
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: think I'm going to go back to college hoops here
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: and I for the best bet only. I'm sorry it's
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: known as stores South for a reason. That's because Yukon
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: is playing at Madison Square Gardens and I taken on
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: the Johnnies. Fun fact here, Yukon has a chance to
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: do something that has never been done in the history
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: of the Big East, run the table and go undefeated
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: in the Big East. And the Johnny's pretty much at
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: this point the only thing really standing in their way.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: The only game that I see where they won't be
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: favored by at least eight point two more is going
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: to be Nova, and that's coming up in a couple
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: of weeks. But Yukon, to me, if it ain't broke,
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: don't fix it. We've already seen Yukon win games at
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Madison Square Garden this year against Illinois and Florida, not
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: to mention that Hurley is eleven and two over his
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: last thirteen games at Madison Square Garden. It will look
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: like a home game for Yukon. Those fans show up
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: and show out. Yes, even against the Johnnies. It's been
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: a nice run for the Johnnies, but Yukon elevates its
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: game when it matters the most. This game matters, Expect
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: Yukon to win it. At the best price you're gonna
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: get him. The rest of the way through here, Meryl.
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: You know it's crazy, Joe. When you com went on
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: that run a couple of years ago, they looked unbeatable,
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: and then last year they kind of came back down
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: to earth, and now like you forget how good they
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: are again this year. A couple of years ago this
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: they would have been underrated. This year right now, they
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: would have been a consensus undefeated number one. So yeah,
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: it really shocked me. They weren't better last year. It
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: looks like they are for real this year.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Big time for real here, So that should be a
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: good one. That's the best game on the board here tonight.
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: Meryl's gonna run down a couple of other games for
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: you here in the college basketball run down. In the meantime,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: I'll run down the NBA for you here tonight. It's
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: gonna start with the Heat taking on the Celtics, the
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: new look Celtics, in fact five and a half right
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: now is what they're laying is two twenty seven and
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: a half. But the total is being bent down a
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: lot here, originally to twenty nine and a half.
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: We've already seen it drop two points.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: And I get it here, you know, kind of rolling
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: into the break, the All Star break here.
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: I don't you know.
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: Celtics love to shoot a ton of threes, but the
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: pace not necessarily going to be there. Whoever controls pace
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: will likely win this game. Looks like the Celtics got
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: a pretty good chance.
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: Of doing that.
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: But I do like the under the Knicks at the
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: Pistons listen to, Pistons are all banged up.
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: This line has flipped.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: Kate Cunningham was questionable last night but played and they
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: lost to the Wizards.
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: Now he's likely not going in this game tonight.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: Jalen Dern also was removed from the game yesterday with
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: a knee injury, so the chance of him going I
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: don't like that either. Meanwhile, the Knicks keep it rolling,
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: even on the road. I think the Knicks will handle
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: business here tonight. Not to mention, of course, we got
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: a couple of other games that might interest folks, like
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: the Pacers and Thees. Anybody really can't no Pelicans taken
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: on the Timberwolves. Timberwolves play down to their competition, unfortunately
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: they always have. They shouldn't be laying ten against anybody,
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: especially a Pelicans team who won't win, but they will
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: likely cover. We also have the Clippers who basically sold
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: off everything there to get younger. Taken on the Sacramento Kings. Listen,
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: just put Kawhi Leonard out there. He'll beat the Kings
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: by himself there. I would lay it in Sacramento, and
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: then the Grizzlies taken on the Trailblazers.
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: How did you get stuck with John Morant Memphis?
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: My goodness, you can't even give him away in the meantime,
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: Trail Blazers laying a big number tonight eight and a half.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: And you know what.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Feels like the Trailblazers are gonna get this one here tonight, Meryl,
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: What do you.
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: Got going on here? In college Hoopsteve.
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: So two national TV games free for you tonight on
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: Friday in college basketball, coming up with analysis here and
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: just a moment quick reminder. My strongest college basketball best
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: bet is also a national TV game tonight on Friday,
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• 30:08
  Speaker 3: Also my advanced Super Bowl sixty best bet locked and
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  Speaker 3: sm all. Right, let's sart with your first game on
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: the deuce ESPN two seven o'clock Eastern Friday night, My
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: neck of the woods in the Richmond area. VCU Dayton
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: Atlantic ten battle. VCU currently about a seven to seven
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: and a half point home favorite total sitting around one
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: forty nine. Not too much movement on this game and
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: both teams. I don't want to say entering good current
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: forum because VCU does not so sure about their opponent
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: tonight though in Dayton. You know Dayton's always a Kernel
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: mccalliber team and the s theyre had a nice win
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: against Saint Bonaventure at home on Tuesday, but that snapped
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: a four game losing streak, and they haven't stepped up
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: a well in class. When they've played top one one
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: hundred teams like VCU this season, they have struggled at times.
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: They lost by thirty one points to a very good
• 31:06
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis team last Friday a week ago, and they
• 31:09
  Speaker 3: also lost to a Liberty team back in December that
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: ranked top one hundred BC. You meanwhile, enters eight and
• 31:15
  Speaker 3: two in the conference, six straight wins here, and it
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: probably is a favorable matchup. Seagal Center is always one
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: of the toughest home courts in the Atlantic ten. Both
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: teams get to the free throw line a lot, and
• 31:25
  Speaker 3: that is a very interesting stat percentage of shots or
• 31:28
  Speaker 3: a percentage of points from the free throw line. Both
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: of these teams ranked top ten in the nation, which
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: could lead to a sneaky over in this game tonight.
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: Take a look at the over one ninety nine and
• 31:40
  Speaker 3: a half. I think there'll be a lot of free
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: throws in this game. Whenever we get free throws without
• 31:43
  Speaker 3: the clock running, that can help scoring, and I think
• 31:46
  Speaker 3: that'll be the case in this one tonight. Take a
• 31:47
  Speaker 3: look at Over one forty nine VCU Dayton seven Eastern
• 31:50
  Speaker 3: on ESPN two. Your other national TV game and I'll
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: talk about is at eight o'clock eastern right next to
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: it on the rotation Bradley Northern Iowa. This one on
• 32:00
  Speaker 3: CBS Sports Network at eight eastern and Northern Iowa currently
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: about a four to four and a half point home favorite.
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: Hasn't moved too much. We have seen some money coming
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: on the over opened around the one to thirty one
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: to thirty one ranges up to one thirty three and
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: a half. And that's all a surprising to me because
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: Northern Iowa plays slow. If you want to watch paint
• 32:16
  Speaker 3: dry tonight, that'll be at a faster pace in this
• 32:18
  Speaker 3: basketball game, because Northern Iowa is the second slowest team
• 32:21
  Speaker 3: in the country out of three hundred and sixty five
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: Division one men's basketball teams this year. And I do
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: like their side in this game, so I'm a little
• 32:28
  Speaker 3: surprised that total has risen higher. I'm going to stay
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: away from the total though, and look at Northern Iowa
• 32:33
  Speaker 3: minus the four four and a half. I think they
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: can dictate tempo on their home court. Here also should
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: be a focused spot for them, as it is a
• 32:40
  Speaker 3: revenge game. They lost by six at Bradley in a
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: game that was a little bit higher scoring than average
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: one hundred and forty four. Maybe that's why we see
• 32:48
  Speaker 3: the total bump up higher. But once again, home teams
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: normally can dictate tempo, and being the revenge rematch, I
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: look for a lower scoring game tonight. I think that
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: favors Northern Iowa. And by the way, the six point
• 32:59
  Speaker 3: loss that game was hype throughout until the very end.
• 33:02
  Speaker 3: I think Northern Iowa was just as good, if not better,
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: And it's a good situational spot here at home with revenge,
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: and they had the second best three point defense in
• 33:10
  Speaker 3: the country get up less than twenty seven percent from
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: beyond the arc Bradley meanwhile, not even the top three hundred.
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: Sometimes that's random variants and it can revert back to
• 33:19
  Speaker 3: the mean. But once again, home teams normally shoot better
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: from three, they usually dictate tempo, and they've got revenge.
• 33:25
  Speaker 3: I like Northern Iowa minus the four four and a half.
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: That's at eight o'clock Easter on CBS Sports Network. And
• 33:29
  Speaker 3: don't forget. If you're liking these free play videos thumbs up,
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• 33:35
  Speaker 3: tonight in college hoops on Friday and this Saturday as well,
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• 34:02
  Speaker 1: All right, Meryl, outstanding stuff as always, and that's it.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: That'll do it for us here on the best betting
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: show ever NBA College Basketball. And again, don't forget our
• 34:14
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• 34:17
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• 34:21
  Speaker 1: Head over there, visit Steve's page, visit my page, visit
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: the pres page, and let's make it a very profitable
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: weekend here, Merril. We'll see you again next week. Always
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: a pleasure to hang with you, my man. Enjoy the game,
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: Enjoy the weekend, guys. We'll be back Monday, and so
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: will the press I think, unless he's Sonny Bono himself.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: Either way, we'll be back, just saying trees are out
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: there and I don't trust the Pres on skis at all.
• 34:52
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• 34:55
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