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NFL Survivor Pool Week 17 Review | 2025 Strategy, Picks & Lessons Learned · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Mhm, all system's going clear. We're lifting.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: What is going on everyone, This is sheets, and we're
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: going to be going over the survivor pool stuff that's
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: going to encompass both the winding down of the pure
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: pools that started all the way a week one and
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: picking up on these hybrid pools that we've started to
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: follow that involve the last several weeks of the regular
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: season as they merge into the playoffs. Then starting next week,
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: we have just incredibly large playoff pools that we're going
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: to be looking at, and that is a whole other
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: part of your brain that is gonna be much like
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: the NCAA bracket pool stuff that I've been talking about
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: for months now, really looking forward to that in March,
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: and the NFL playoff pool is no different. Well it
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: is different, but it's the same idea. It's less about
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: you know who's gonna win and more about making sure
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: that you have a path at all to victory, and
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: it's quite quite the brain exercise.
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: In addition to that, you know, we have this.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: College football playoff pool that we started that we're going
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: to be following along, which likewise it's a very similar
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: type of idea. So again, We're just gonna take a
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: few minutes today and recap what we did, what happened
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: last week. I think what I'm gonna start doing is
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: going to dispense with the Tuesday recap scene. As the
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: NFL season is over, We're just gonna go straight to
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: Wednesday and I'll leave it to everybody else. I'll leave
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: it to the boys over Chip in Nation what they
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: want to do with that. But I am going to
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: start just doing the Wednesday ones just for premium. I
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: think we shall see what they want to do with them.
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: Maybe we'll do a couple of free ones there. I'm
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: just not sure in any case. First one I'm looking
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: at here is our Splash High Stake Survivor Revival one,
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: which you know, listen, Totagg and Tambeau got in there.
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: He didn't really face a lot of stress throughout the season.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: I mean it started a week seven and looks like
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: he's gonna cash. I mean, they're down to sixty five
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: people and you know, there's one week left to go,
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: and we'll we'll talk about the various teams that they
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: have that he has available.
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: But he's got plenty of options.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's got He's got Jacksonville like a minus
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: hundred favorite, so I can't imagine him playing anything other
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: than that. So it's very likely he chops some amount,
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: you know, so hey beats losing, that's for sure. The
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: other thing I want to talk about, at least today
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: is this big splash two point five million one which
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: you've been tracking, and we've been taking an exceptional liking
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: to this one. I don't like to root whatever, but
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: there were two guys that have been kind of rooting
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: for for like weeks now. One is Plastic Dub and
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: the other is Cubat. For those who forgot Plastic Dub
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: was the was the gentleman who who went for the
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: throat with New Orleans Tennessee, a very very strong, you know,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: leverage play against the top to the top two own
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: teams in week fourteen, which I think were I don't
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: even remember who the top who they were, but at
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: this point, but in any case, I think Cleveland was
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: actually one of them. But in any case, he took
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: two twenty percent teams to win, got them both through,
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: got extraordinarily extraordinarily extraordinarily extraordinary leverage, sorry guys, and so
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: we've been kind of rooting for him ever since. And
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: also we have Hubert who is in president in a
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: couple of discords that I'm in. He's a good dude also,
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: so we've been rooting for him, and they've been they've
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: been kind of cruising along, you know, and going now
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: into a week seventeen or seventeen, they both went with
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: the Cowboys and the Bengals, I think actually Kubert went
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: with Cowboys and Bengals, and oh and Plastic Dub went
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: with Cowboys and Giants, which our giants obviously had much
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: lower winning chances, but they had as a result, probably
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: nobody on them. So good for both of them. And
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: this tournament is now down to four, Okay, So I
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: find it difficult to believe that that there's not gonna
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: do some business here, but I'll let Splash kind of
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: take the reins and announcing that if in fact there
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: is anything being done, but regardless of what ends up
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: happening in the next in the last week, just exceptional
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: job by both these two guys, and obviously anybody that
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: made it through this far took a lot of risk
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: and a lot of well calculated risk, and good on them.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: So that's basically gonna be the end of the Big
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: Splash survivor they either play it out or heads some.
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: Or whatever, and we'll get into that.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: Then we are going to talk about these this hybrid,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: these two hybrid playoff pools that I was in that
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: remain in one of them is kind of nasty. It's
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: it's a it's this road to the Big Games. Where
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: I started in Week sixteen, we had to make two
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: picks there, and then we went to week seventeen, had
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: to make two picks there, and we got three entries through.
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: But then what we.
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: Have to end up doing is not only take two
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: picks in Week eighteen, but then we have to make
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: two picks in wild card weekend, followed by one in
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: the championship weekend, excuse me, one of the Divisional round
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: and one of the Conference round, and one in the
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: super Bowl.
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: Very very difficult.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, if I make it through, this would be
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, this would be the probably the worst fifty
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: K I ever made, because it's got to be worth
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: much more than fifty K to accomplish all of that. Nonetheless,
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: we will talk about that one, and again I have
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: three entries left there, and that one is down to one.
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: Hundred from eight hundred and eight.
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: So there, I find it very difficult to believe that
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: anybody makes it through.
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: It's just very very hard with the amount of sheer
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: amount of picks that you have to make.
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: Then you also have this survivor sweat thing that I
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: talked about, what this one was. This is already like
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: four weeks in. What we had to do here is
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: we had to play one team back in week I
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: think it was fourteen, I think fifteen, and then we.
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: Had to pick one team on Christmas Day. I did that.
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: I took Denver, and then I also had to make
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: another pick on Sunday and I took the Bengals there.
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: So here I have four teams burned already, and we
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: have to make one more pick in eighteen and then
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: similar but not quite as narly as the splash pool,
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: we have to make one pick in the wildcard weekend,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: one pick in Divisional weekend, one pick in the conference championship,
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: and one pick in the Super Bowl.
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: So very very difficult, Okay, but we're live and we're
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: ready to go.
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: And then the other thing, again, we haven't really had
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: an update on this one yet because they haven't played
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: since the last time I did this.
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: But we have this playoff.
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: Survivor pool thing the CFB, and I have to make
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: two picks this week.
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: I'll go over how I how I came up with
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: it tomorrow.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: I went through it a little bit last week, and
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: nothing's really changed since last week, but we'll talk about
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: that tomorrow. And again, it's a very unique concept of
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: when you actually have to figure out the bracketology of
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: your picks. It's not just who are you gonna win,
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: who's winning that you don't want to use, it's who's.
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: Winning that you really can't use.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: In other words, like you have to make sure that
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: you have at least a viable path. And to give
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: you an example, they have this tournament that's starting this
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: week or during the playoffs, which will tease this and
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: we'll get into this next week. It's a one million
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: dollar splash, a playoff survivor pool. And you might think that, well,
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: what's the big deal, It's going to chop like three
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: hundred ways or something like that, But you've got to
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: select three teams for the wild card round, two for
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: the divisional round, and one for the conference champion. And
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: to give you an idea, how hard this was so
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: there's a five hundred dollar buy. Last year, I've granted
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: the we're like one hundred people in it, but nobody
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: even had a legal pick to make by the time
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: they got the conference championships.
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: It's very, very difficult. But we will get into that
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: pretty much next week.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: Okay, so splash thing we'll talk about Next week we
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: will get into well, well, I'll report what ended up
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: happening in.
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: This big splash.
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: Hopefully we will talk about totagging, tambo chopping, and then
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: tomorrow I'm gonna go over here's a little teaser of
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: the various teams that I might be interested in playing
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: doubles in his playoff pool. And then we'll also talk
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: about the college football things.
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: Again.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: I advanced with Mississippi Oregon, but that was like already
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: two weeks ago.
• 9:51
  Speaker 3: And that's pretty much it.
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: To give you kind of an idea of what.
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: We're looking at this week, I think of really just
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: a quick look and this this is kind of an
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: interesting lesson about survivor pool theory, about saving for week eighteen.
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: I mean, you never know really what Week eighteen is
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: gonna bring.
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: We got a little bit lucky this week in that
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: there aren't like these really extreme examples of teams that
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: were otherwise favored that are not going to play any
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: other guys.
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: But I'll give you I'll give you an idea what
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: the lay of the land here. First of all, you have.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville minus twelve and a half over Tennessee and they
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: actually need to win.
• 10:35
  Speaker 3: That is going to be a tough spot to fade. Honestly.
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: You have Houston minus ten over Indianapolis.
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: They're pretty much locked in, but they could use a win,
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: so that's probably an easy one to play.
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: The Bengals, they're minus seven and a half.
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: They're continued, they don't really need to win, but they
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: have a need to win in six weeks, so they're
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: gonna still do their thing.
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: Dallas, who Dallas is down a three and a half
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: in this game.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's possible that might be sitting some guys to
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: keep an eye on that one. Green Bay is already
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: announced that they're sitting some guys. So Minnesota is a
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: seven point favorite. The Bills are almost certainly sitting some
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: guys because otherwise they would be like a seventeen point
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: favorite over the Jets. Then you have New England. They
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: need to win, so they're minus ten and a half.
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: That's a tough one to fade. You have Denver, they
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: need to win, so they're minus twemena that's a tough
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: one to fade. But again, when you're talking about these
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: playoff type pools, you probably don't want to use these
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: teams like Denver and New England because their top seeds.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: You're gonna want to have a slot for them available
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: to the playoffs.
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: Eagles commanders.
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: Okay, so if the Eagles were in a must win situation,
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: they might be minus fourteen here, but they're not. Who
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: knows who they play, so that's why this is kind
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: of very reduced to minus seven. And then this Chiefs
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: Raiders game, I mean, even without my homes, the Chiefs
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: are minus six because the Raiders have pretty much announced
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: that they're tanking. I mean like they it doesn't they've
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: they've they brought Bowers went to the injury list, MaTx
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: Crosby went to the injury list.
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: Gino Smith is not gonna play. So there's that.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: So these are oh wait, hold on, we got the
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: Rams seven and a half over the Cardinals probably don't
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: need to do too much in that game.
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: But we'll see.
• 12:31
  Speaker 4: Uh.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: And these are kind of like the candidate players that
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: we're gonna talk about for our various pools.
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: And already there's a team.
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: That I really thought I was gonna be having to play,
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: but the line movement is really annoying.
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: That's this Dallas teams.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: I really wanted to play them in my playoff pool
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: because they're not gonna make the playoffs. Obviously, I really
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: thought they'd be better than a three and a half
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: point favorite, but they're not, so we're gonna have to
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: figure that out. But that's pretty much it for today.
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: And again for those of who you've enjoyed this for free, again,
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: we're gonna probably make this whole premium going forward, and
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: I'm just gonna be directing you to the Wednesday shows.
• 13:09
  Speaker 3: And that's gonna be it. I will see you guys
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: tomorrow though three pm.
• 13:13
  Speaker 4: Good luck, everybody, sat like Man Mans sat Man set
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: Spring st Step, the Desert and the sprite, not the
• 14:19
  Speaker 4: sept the Desert, sp
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: Assass