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NFL Week 9 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: is our week nine Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chad Millman,
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We are coming
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: off of a three and two week in our contest,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: which we reviewed extensively in our Sunday Night Recap episode
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: just before Sunday Night Football, and as we said on
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: that show, a lot of lines we liked then have
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: already moved, which is why you need to listen to
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: the Sunday show if you want to get the best
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: of the number. Today we will get to our Simon
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: says in our exact decision. This episode will look at
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: the entire board, all sixteen games, as we do every Tuesday. Yes,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: I'm foreshadowing a reviewer who is complaining we don't do
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: every game, as we again narrowing down the five picks
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: will enter in the Favorites Podcast one hundred thousand dollars
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: Pro Football Pick Them Contest, which is still open for
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: sign ups, still free to play, still awarding weekly in
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: season long cash prizes at Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Halfway through the season, Simon and I are now in
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: two hundred and ninth place in our contest. Out of
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: over eleven thousand, five hundred entries. We are inside the
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: top two percent. Not too shabby, my bff. Let's bring
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: them in, folks, My co host, my bff, my companion,
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: my campadre, professional better, Simon Hunter, Simon Simon Simon. Very
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: early on Monday morning, very early yesterday, I was making
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: my double espresso, as I do every morning, and you
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: know what popped into my head. It wasn't like global events,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: It wasn't my teenage son preparing for the SATs, wasn't
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: an overseas trip I have to make next week. It
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: was Wow, this is going to be a fun betting week.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: What do you say to that?
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: First of all, Happy Halloween, Chady, Halloween, buddy.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: You're seeing ghosts. I know we've talked about in the podcast.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: Great day, great week. You know, when everyone went to
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: bed last night, my favorite team, the Sixers, got rid
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: of James Harden, who I absolutely hate, have true disdain
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: for the man, and he kind of ruined the sport
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: for me where I didn't even care about the Sixers.
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: So he's gone, So life is good. I don't know
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: if you follow at all what's happening in actual foot
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: the ball across the sea. But there's a British kid
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: named Jude Bellingham and he is basically twenty years old, chatt.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: He plays for Real Madrid and last night he won
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: basically the best Player in the World under twenty one award,
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: which I know it doesn't mean much to you, but
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: as someone who's British who loves British soccer, I'm flying
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: at right now. And basically everyone in England singing like
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: this song you know hey, dude, like that's become his anthem.
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: He has gone from you know, pretty well known to
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: now everyone in the world knows who this kid is.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: So pretty exciting twenty four hours here for me, Fana
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: of the Sixers, they got rid of Harden and England
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: might have the best player in the world in twenty
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: one simon.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: So many people in the chat right now demanding an
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: update on Halloween about the ghosts in your apartment.
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: It was also the night to the Scots K two.
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: Chado probably doesn't doesn't even remember what it was like
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: to be a single male at all. He's always always
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: has someone in the house with him. I never do
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: and I am a weird creature too, where like I'll
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: go day sometimes chat without ever turning a light onto
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: my apartment. I'll just use my cell phone light or
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: the TV light. Like I'm a true curmudern when it
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: comes to having the lights off in my place. The
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: lights have not been off in my apartment now and
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: over whatever it is five days, like all the lights
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: stay on even during the day. I keep the lights on.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: No weird markings on my body. But I have had
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: the weird thing where I'll wake up at three in
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: the morning and all my clocks will say like six
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: sixty six, and I'd be like, what's happening right now?
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: I just no, nothing weird. I just the random things
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: keep falling off. But I'm telling you this, I will
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: not turn the lights off like I need the lights on.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: I'm still spooked, but I think after Halloween I'll be
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: able to go back to normal. It's just it's the
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: day to the dead, and it's as close as we get, right,
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: isn't that the old pagan celebration of Halloween. So I'm
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: definitely spooked. But I'm one of those people where I
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: try not to believe in it because apparently if you
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: believe in it, it makes it become more real. So
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to play it cool and be like, yeah,
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: there's no ghost, but deep down I'm terrified.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: Listen, I'll tell you right now, you and I think
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: are of the same mind here Supernatural one hundred. I
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: am a firm believer. I'm a firm believer that there
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: is life beyond the planet Earth. I think it's incredibly
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: easy statistical to believe otherwise, and to not believe that
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: there's life beyond Earth, and that they are probably already here.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: And why do we assume that they'll look the way
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: that they are supposed to look at movies? So I'm
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: all for alien life, I'm all for ghost life. I
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: come in peace. I'm a friend to everybody. Simon. If
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: you need a place to stay, the lights are always
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: on in my house. I live with light twenty four
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: to seven. As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: by Bet three sixty five. Bet three sixty five doesn't
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: do you ordinary. That's why you get more boosts with
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  Speaker 1: why it's never ordinary at bet three sixty five. Must
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: be twenty one and we're older and present in Colorado, Iowa,
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio or Virginia, or eighteen or older in Kentucky.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or on one
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms, conditions and restrictions apply.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: As a reminder, you can catch you every episode of
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: the Favorites live on YouTube. For those enjoying on YouTube,
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: don't forget to give us a link and subscribe to
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: the Action Network YouTube page. Here's our contest update Week
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: eight Winners roundup. Week eight of the contest, we had
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: one hundred and five entries finished five and zero. That's
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: just two percent. We had a two way tie for
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: first place. Congrats to our winners Cushman and vin Man
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: thirty four. This week's Producer's Couple Word goes to Sick
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Pig for finishing dead fucking last. And the Week eight
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: Contest going zero to five, missing the tie breaker by
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: three hundred and fifteen yards. Sick pig, Please email producer
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell at podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to claim
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: your non cash prize. Thanks for playing. Week nine in
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: our contest is now live and the Monday Night Football
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: broke tiebreaker is total rushing yards on Monday Night football.
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: Good luck everybody? All right? Quick futures update. Justin Herbert
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: lead the league in passing twenty five to one done.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill lead the league in receiving yards. He's all alone.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: We got him at nine to one. AJ Brown five
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: straight games, one hundred and twenty five years receiving. He's
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: making a run. Jalen Carter still minus money to win
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: Defensive Rookie of the Year. Okay, let's get to Week nine.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: First game up, Tennessee Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's a three point favorite
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: Thursday night game. We discussed it on Sunday night. We
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: don't love this game open. A two and a half
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: bet up to three makes sense, only makes me want
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: to bet the Titans, which I don't want to do.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: I don't want Mitsch Trubisky, I don't want Kenny Pickett,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson did a great job breaking down Will Levis's
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: game against the Falcons. You know, we had four touchdowns,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: which is more than Ryan Tannehill has this whole season
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: so far. He basically pointed out that when he was
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: in passing downs that were unexpected, he was outstanding, but
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: he was terrible when the Falcons were expecting a pass.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: That was the Falcons defense. You can only imagine the Steelers,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: who are significantly better. Feels like, if anything, it's an
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: under another prime Time under.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: Last night, Yeah, Primetime under. I just it's boring, it's lazy.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: But you don't need to be a schmuck like me
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: doing all this work, feeling on all these phone calls.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: You can just wake up bed the Primetime under, go
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: back to bed. Who knows how it gets there, Like
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: the last night was a perfect example of that. Should
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: have been over a thousand times over and it still
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: somehow went under, and even with a pick six, we
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: still somehow got to the under. So we sell the time.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: The teams get tight in these games, the red zone
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: gets really hard to scoring, and we have two quarterbacks
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: here that me and chat to have zero faith and
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: I have no faith in Mitch I have no faith
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: in will it sucks. It's so low. I think it's
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: down to thirty six, which is insane. Yeah and a.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: Half, thirty seven and a half. Now it's down to
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: thirty six.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's so low. So yeah, I'm still on it,
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: but I probably won't be betting as much as that.
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: Like I had short week. It's hard not the back
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: time here. So two and a half has gone. There's
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: only a three now available in most books. I'd still
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: take a but but it's just a spot. Bett don't
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: feel great about it either.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: All right, we're headed to Germany.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: Alright, you've eaten, but be there. Vija Menzantal smiles, So sunshine,
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: I'm so scared.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: Ooh the Germans Frankfurt game. Miami versus Kansas City lined
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: open to two, got up to two and a half.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: It's been bouncing around. There's two and a half some
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: twos out there. We like Kansas City here, I mean
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: Miami has not played well against good defenses. Struggled against
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: the Pats when they were healthy early in the year,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: lost to the Bills when they were at full strength,
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: lost to the Eagles even when the Eagles were beat
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: up in the secondary and as you have said all year,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs were grading out is one of the best
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: defenses in the league. Opponents QBR is bad against them,
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: whether they're getting pressure or not getting pressure. Their achilles
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: heel is the run, but Miami's not great against the run.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I feel like I want to keep playing this until
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: it gets to three.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm definitely leaking a little conference compredo who I
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: was Sunday night. I know some sharp groups. They like
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: Miami here, they like the the Basically, Miami isn't a
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: spot where their offense should excel against this Chiefs defense.
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: And I don't know. I just feel like it's a
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: lot of opinions and it's not a lot of fact
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: base and it's like I don't really know what to
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: make of it. Where it's like to me, me and
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: Chat gave you the stats mahomes as three point favored
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: or less or as a dog he's nineteen and six ats.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: I can't fight those trends. Like we just we played
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Mahomes here. It's uncomfortable. Don't love it. Like Miami feels
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: just just right now. Miami's offense feels like they're gonna
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: be able to give the Chiefs some problems, but you know,
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: even if we're down a touchdown or whatever it is,
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: end of the game, it's like we got my Homes.
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: That's the nice thing about Betty Mahomes and you know,
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: me and chat talk all the time. We love fading
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: him when he's when he's a big favorite because they
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: don't know how to close team out, but he doesn't
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: know how to get closed out either. It's like Mahomes
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: will never stop fighting, so this number will never be
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: in doubt. So I wanted this to be in our contest,
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: but now feeling lucky that we can't put it in
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: because I just don't have a feel for it. It
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: feels like I'm maybe I'm overlooking Miami here, but it's
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: just it's just such a weird number. I don't get
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: why it's top three. So I'm taking the Chiefs. Still
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: still in the Chiefs, but definitely interesting hearing what the
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: pros are saying about this one. Like I've talked to
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: a couple of smart groups who like Miami, and they
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: like Miami now with Ramsey on defense, like they feel
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: like it's a big upgrade. Again, I just I keep
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: pushing back. He goes an upgrade because you put against
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: Mac Jones, like, I don't know, it feels like Ramsey
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: wasn't really tested yet. So be a great test for
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: Ramsey that defense. See how they perform against Mahomes coming
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: off an embarrassing loss, something that you know doesn't really
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: happen to Mahomes. So uh, if he gets fully cleared
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: come Friday, that he's fully healthy over the sickness, and
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: if they try well, I'm not sure where their travel
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: schedule is yet, but you know it's a big deal.
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: Like them flying from Kansas City all the way to Germany.
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: I think that's like a seven or eight hour difference
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: time clockwise. If they fly on Friday, probably won't make
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: this one of my bigger bets of the week. But
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: if they get in early this week, you know everyone's
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: getting cleared. How do we not love the Chiefs? Here chat,
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: it's a good number we play this spot.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: We totally love the Chiefs. We're gonna be on the
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: Chiefs at the end of the day until the Chiefs
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: prove otherwise. If I'm getting them at less than a
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: field goal, I'm taking the Chiefs. Here's what's interesting. The
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams are visiting the green Bay Packers. Sean
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: McVay has said that Matthew Stafford's injury is not season
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: threatening and that they're going to evaluate if he can
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: play this week. We totally got burned on green Bay
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: this past week. We just misread the handicap. We thought
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: the bookmakers had over correct after green Bay lost to Denver.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: Now we've got the Rams visiting after Cowboys blowout, Stafford's injured,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: We've got a trade deadline that's still taking place. It's
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: impacted some of the games we're going to talk about today.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: We don't know if the Rams will be buyers are
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: sellers to me unless you're telling me, I looked at
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: my model and there's a huge edge. This one feels
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: like a total pass.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: No. I have no idea what to make the number.
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know if Stafford's playing or not, and that
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: the line says he's not right. This line is telling
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: you that Stafford's not playing, So exactly if we're going
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: to bet it off of that, I guess I lean
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: towards green Bay. But it's like, if it gets up
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: to three and a half, even when the backup the Rams,
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: how do we not take it? Like? Who the hell
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: is green Bay to be favorite at three and a half,
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: So it's weird. It's just stuck at three. Coming into this,
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: I wanted to back green Bay. I know it's like
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: trying to catch where we say catch a falling knife,
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: but that way where it's like, you know, green Bay
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: is not as bad as they've looked, like, there's just
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: little things they need to correct and they can get
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: her right. They've just they've been playing sloppy, like offensively,
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: the penalties defensively, just not getting in the right holes,
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: and you know, they're just it's all there for green Bay,
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: they just haven't put together yet. On the flip side
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: of the Rams, you know, it's mcveigh's working magic. He's
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: taking a crap team and making them kind of relevant
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: and competitive. Last week was the first real blowout of
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: the season for them, Like that was the first game
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: that really got embarrassed. So I hope they're not buyers
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: of the Rams. I hope they're still selling because, like
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: to me, if Stafford is injured, it's over, Like the guy.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: The guy is the reason you guys are even relevant.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: So as an Eagles fan, selfishly, we've been linked to
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: get Aaron Donald That would be incredible if they somehow
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: made that work and got Aaron Donald. But yeah, right now,
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: we don't know what they're doing, but they could by
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: the time people hear this, could have sold off a
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: couple guys from their team, this RAMS team, and then
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: we know, Okay, Stafford's injured. They're probably not taking this
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: game series. But I'm with Chad, no play for me
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: right now at this number. At three, all right, we.
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: Still ow people Assignon says, we still owe people an
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: exec decision. Milman's looking for a repeat of his Dallas Cowboys'
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: exec decision performance from last week. Have an opinion on
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: this next game, and I want to get some recency bias.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: We're going to wash away a recency bias. Washington at
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: New England New England minus three. You and I are
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: both very disappointed in Ron Rivera, and we would like
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: to tell him that you were really angry with Ron
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: Rivera about his game management because we had the Commanders
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half. He should have gone for
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: two when they were down fourteen and didn't go for two,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: so that cost us in the contest, and it got
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: us to a push because we had plus seven in
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: real life. But I like Ron Rivera in this spot
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: because it is your hatred for Ron Rivera more intense
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: than your lack of confidence in mac Jones.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: My first thing is pade fade Washington. Why wouldn't you
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: want to take Washington as a big dog, right? Didn't
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: they just look incredible against the Eagles? Their offense is
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: thrown it all over the field. I mean, there's three
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: and a half's right now, Chad. If you like what
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: they're doing, you can go grab plus three and a half,
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: which why wouldn't everyone do? The Patriots are terrible? Why
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: they have this big of a favorite. Everyone's gonna come
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: in on Washington. Yeah, I'm grabbing the minus to right now.
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: This Patriots team, it's.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, I know, Oh my god.
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: Sam Howe plays really well against the Eagles, but usually
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: the kid doesn't do this right. I mean, we have
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: a couple of games here where he has performed well,
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: but he's just under pressure a lot, and that pressure
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: turns into turnover. So this past week he looked great,
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: but we've already seen it where he does these kind
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: of games where he looks incredible and then the next
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: game he just falls off the cliff. I mean, I
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: think the last time they played the Eagles. I'd have
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: to look at the rec but they basically lost to
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: three to the Eagles early in the year on a
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: short week. They went to Chicago and they lost forty
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: to twenty that same week. Like, Samuel couldn't complete against
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: the Bears defense. So that's just who he is. He's inconsistent,
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: he's up and down. They're seeming a team. They left
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: it all out there in that game. Now I'm getting
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: on a bi low spot on this Patriots team. So
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: you know, a couple of people are shocked by this number.
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: It's just the pros moving the pros of coming on
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: the Patriots. They've taken it from two and a half
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: up to three. Now it's going up to three and
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: a half. So it feels like good Books are telling
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: us something here. When they are making them that big
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: of a favorite where it's like Washington, they're they're selling
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: people off. Like by the time this show airs, they
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: could have already gotten rid of Sweat and Young. I
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: know they already moved sweat to the Bears.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: They did move sweat, and so that's a reason to
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: not want to bet it. But to me, this is
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: about mac Jones. I don't think there's anything the Patriots
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: can do to scheme him to success. He's just fucking terrible.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: He cannot make you a play. Like at some point
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: you got to just say mac Jones not a guy
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: who we can bet on.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: It just feels like Washington's a sucker bet. They want
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: you to like Washington. My guy Evan just gave us
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: a stat. QB's in their first ten career starts playing
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: on the road in New England against Belichick five and
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: thirty one. Straight up, make the commitment. That's what our
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: goal is. That's all I really am about is trying
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: to win football games.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Here, you what an eight and sixty third time.
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: They want to scare you off for the three and
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: a half. But I'm doing my best here not to
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: let it scare me off.
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell would like to know which quarterback is more
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: likely to put the ball on the correct nipple, Mac
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: Jones or Sam Howell. I think the question is who's nipple?
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: Is it an offensive players or a defensive players? That's
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: the question.
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, we got them, Yeah we'll see.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: I'm really curious to know how many sharp calls we
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: get about New England on Thursday. This is interesting. Tampa
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: at Houston. Houston's minus two and a half. We bet
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: this on Sunday night. We bet Tampa on Sunday night
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: at two and a half. You had a very interesting
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: comment CJ. Stroud the past three games, you feel like
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: the book might be out on him. So I looked
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: up his numbers. His QB rating is in the eighties
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: versus one hundred plus three games prior, completion percentage in
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: the fifties. He looks like a much different quarterback in
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: very critical moments of the game. And to be honest,
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: it's not that not that much different season long than Baker. Mayfield.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: Stats almost comparable in a lot of ways. Similar number
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: of yards, similar number of touchdown passes Baker a couple more.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: I in T's these are guys who are like doing okay,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: but not doing great.
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna be another week. People are gonna hite
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: our picks. It's just it's just the way it is.
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: But you gotta play the bucks. And I mean, you
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: nailed it right there. We're talking about Houston. But even
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: when I dove back in the numbers, it's like it
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: might not all be on CJ. It might just be
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: bad coaching, and that might be the biggest issue right
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: now for Houston's offense, like they're OC might just be
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: an idiot. No quarterback has put into more third and
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: seven third downs right now than CJ. So they're failing
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: on first down, they're failing on second down. He's putting
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: them in long He's putting a rookie quarterback in long
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: distance a lot, and that that's an issue right now
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: for them, Like the guy and people don't understand how
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: big of a difference it is from third and four,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: third and three to third and seven, Like the drop
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: off of getting that first down is so huge mathematically,
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: So it makes sense to me dove into numbers about
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: why CJ is struggling right now. I definitely blame the
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: OC not putting CJ in the best position. He's not
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: really adjusting their offense. It's kind of been the same
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: exact offense since week one. That's gonna catch up to you.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: And we talked about Todd Bowles. He might be losing
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: a step right already. Already show over Ron River and
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: Jack del Real. Like these old dcs, these old defensive coordinators,
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: they're they're not really keeping up with the new age offenses.
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: But in this matchup and a copycat league, he doesn't
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: need to do much. He needs a copular teams and
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: put his teams in the best position. So yeah, the
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: fact that it's still two and a half, you know,
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I'm not going to make it, Simon says, but it's
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: definitely a game that me and Chad like will probably
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: be on. I was hoping the public would keep coming
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: in on this Houston team, and you know, looking right
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: now at money wise, it seems like a decent amount
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: of money's coming in on them. So maybe this could
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: move up to three. But yeah, right now I have
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: a little bet on two and a half at Tampa.
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: I'll just keep waiting hoping this gets up to three.
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: Dogs with totals below forty two, of which this game
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: is won. Nine games this week since twenty eighteen, that
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: is sixty the Dogs cover sixty one percent of the time.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: This includes this week games we've talked about Tennessee the Rams,
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Tampa Washington, five other games that we have yet to
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: talk about. One of those games Arizona at Cleveland. The
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: Josh Dobbs era may be over reports that he is
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: being traded to the Vikings. That happened as we came
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: on air. So Evan is giving us a correct okay pass? Please, Cleveland?
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: Mine is eight You beting a quarterback we don't even
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: know as a huge dog on the road against an
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: historically great defense. Are we walking away from this? I
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: don't I don't want to. I don't want to play
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: I might make Shack put Cleveland in come Sunday.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: This this is I would play if I wanted to.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: If this really is this cartoon making his first start
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: for the Cardinals, not Caler Murray. Oh my god, what
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: what an incredible gift from the Cardinals team to this
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: Cleveland team where they can keep resting. You know, who
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: knows what's happening on Watson's shoulder, but this is perfect
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: for them. They can send him another week. PG can
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: come in and yes, PJ completely lost that game. People
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: didn't say, we didn't talk about it enough like that.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: They should have won that game. Them having those three
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: turners against the Seahawks. Y, he was horrible. That was
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: a train wreck of a game. They can just scheme
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: this game up against this Cardinals team where they don't
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: even to put him in the position to even need
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: to be make those passes right, Like this should be
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: a cake walk game Tune Man, Mitress or Chat. He sucks.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: He fucking sucks in every way, So that makes me
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: feel good, Like this is such a terrible spot to
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: be and this is his first start, going up against
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: one of the best d lines on football, I mean,
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: Miles Garrett. I can't imagine him watching film this week
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: and being like, I can't believe I get to go
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: against this kid making his first start. Not gonna let
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: the big numbers scare me off. F it's Tune even
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: eight and a half, I might be able to be convinced.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: Could we get burned like that Will Levis thing? Yes,
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: stupid shit happens all the time. Yeah, Will Lovis had
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: the talent to be our first round pick. This kid
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: Tune never had that kind of talent. So again, I'll
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: bet Cleveland already took the seven and a half. I'll
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: bet the eight. No still know James Connor still knows
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: zach Ertz. Like it's just it's bad rare for the Cardinals.
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: So they got this crazy backdoor lucky cover last week.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: I already kind of wanted to fade him this week.
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: Now it's like a like if it's tune, don't be
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: shocked we take a huge favorite in the contest this week.
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: I just I love the spot for Cleveland, all right.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell had Clayton Tune in a college fantasy league.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: That's why he feels so familiar with Clayton Tune and
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: if Caago Bears visiting the New Orleans Saints. Saints are
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite. Sunday night, you said,
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: I can't believe I'm saying this, Chad. I like the
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: Bears of plus six. I was surprised you wanted to
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: go in on the Bears so early because they were
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: playing that night. We knew they were going to look terrible.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: The number is now going up to seven seven and
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: a half. Tyson Invasion is playing again. It doesn't look terrible.
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: My favorite thing about him is that he lives to
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: play another play. Suddenly, the Saints team like looks like
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: they're doing what we thought they would do as you predicted,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: which is potentially win the NFC South. The Bears just
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: traded for Montes Sweat Classic Bears desperation, thinking they're smarter
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: than everybody moved like Chase Claypool last year. Let's give
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: up a high pick for a guy whose contract is
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: up at the end of the year. So now we
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: got to decide we got to give him the bag.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: Is he going to be the best defensive end opportunity
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: to throw money at in the next twelve months, Chicago Bears?
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: Is he?
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: Is this the plan? Why do you like the Bears?
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: Here? We got God, I was hoping it was gonna
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: be Fields and the number is gonna come down. I felt
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: like they felt like they hung that number just because
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: you know, it was this backup quarterback playing for them again. Yeah,
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: Bears fans are broken, Like Chad's brain's broken. He thought
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: a guy throwing the ball into the stands is a
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: good read because he's not turning the ball over Like
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: you're just your brain's broken.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: That's how low my expectations are.
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, And like even whatever idiot was calling the game
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: was like I think it was Collinsworth was like, yeah,
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: and Justin Fields can learn something here from this kid.
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: How to run this offense and when it's not there,
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: live to play another down and just throw the ball
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: out of bounce. It's like it ain't justin Field. This
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: just feel this is the reason this Bears is a
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: bad team. It's just all across the board. The Bears
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: are just bad. So yeah, I was hoping it was
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: gonna be fields, it was gonna be a nice spot.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: I luckily I put a penny on the plus six.
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'll just stay away from this game. I just
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: I got no faith right now in your guys offense.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: Even in the Chargers game, there were so many opportunities
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: and they just couldn't They couldn't get a rhythm, they
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: couldn't get they couldn't string together multiple good drives. And
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: that's just what life is like when you're playing a
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: D two quarterback in the NFL. Like this kid, Sure
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: he can make some throws, right, I mean, the kid
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: has been playing quarterback his whole life. He can make
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: some throws, but you're surrounding him with just trash, Like
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: there's just it's a bad O line. You got a
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: really banged up running backs. You know, DJ still did
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: DJ stuff, right, I think he had over fifty yards receiving.
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: But against the Saints, it was like, man, I was
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: just hoping to catch a Saints here in a bad spot,
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: Like they just had a huge win now come home.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: I thought they were going to overlook this Bearer's team.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: It was going to be a nice spot to take them.
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: But we'll we'll just stay away. I just there's no
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: way I can take this kid on the road here,
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: even though it's seven and a half and I'm begging
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: myself to do it. It's like, you know, you should
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: take the Bears here. I can't make this one of
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: our five. I can't ask the people to listen to
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: their show to bet this Bears team. So me and
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: Chad will probably bet it, but I don't think any
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: of you should.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: I'm so glad you said all that, because, honest to God,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: as I was doing all my research yesterday, I kept
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: thinking to myself, what am I missing? Like, I can't
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: tell you, Simon. I went into like a twenty minute
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: rabbit hole. Because for those listening, I try not to
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: talk to you too much between shows because I want
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: our conversations here to be as fresh as possible. So
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: there are times during the day, and especially like all
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: day Monday, when I'm starting to bet games where I
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: think I have there's an advantage in the number where
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: I want to be texting you and being like Hey,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: what do you think of this? What do you think
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: of this? And I don't want to do it because
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: I want to get your perspective here. I could not
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: find a reason why you were thinking the Bears were
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: a good spot in this game. So I'm so glad
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: to hear all of this. Here's the problem. Derek Carr
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: as a favorite eighteen thirty four and two against the spread,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: worst of all quarterbacks the past twenty years as a
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: favorite seventeen twenty nine and two before he joined the Saints.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: With the Saints, he's won five and one. He hasn't
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: had a year above five hundred against the spread as
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: a favorite since twenty sixteen.
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'll take the seven and a half. I
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: just don't know if I put in the contest Derek Carr,
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: I'll always make excuses for him just because I like
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: I like Derek. I think he played as well. I mean,
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I like him as a person.
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: He might be one of the biggest do shoes in
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: the world, but as a player, I like him. And
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: he's gone from John Gruden to Josh McDaniels to now
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: Dennis Allen, Like it's just an absolute train wreck. Of
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: coaching this guy's career really totally.
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: I know we owe you a Simon says, we owe
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: you an executive decision. I think the latter half of
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: the slate is much more loaded for games that we
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: like and we're interested in than the first. So we're
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: going to get to it. First game up Seattle at Baltimore.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: Baltimore a five and a half point favorite.
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: It's Baltimore, gentlemen, the Gods will not save you.
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: We'd liked this for a little taste on Sunday, and
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: I gotta be honest, I haven't really pulled the trigger
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: on it. There's something even though I know Seattle is
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: the right side on the field and trend wise they're
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: the right side, but there's something that's holding me back
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: and I can't figure out what it is. And they've
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: since traded for Leonard Williams to make a rush defense
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: an overall defense that is actually pretty good better both
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: defenses top seven grading out per Pro Football Focus. Seattle's
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: offense overall is grading out slightly higher than Baltimore's. Baltimore's
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: rush defense, which is what Seattle is great at top
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: ten in the league, is middle of the pack. Lamar
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: not good when favored by more than three points. I
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: don't know why I'm afraid to bet the Seattle Seahawks
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: here like comfortably.
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm right there with you, like I bet it.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, I've been been betting it and it hasn't
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: really moved. So I'm right there with you, Chad. Maybe
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: we'll have more to say on this on Thursday, but
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: right now it's I'm right there with chat. It's like
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: I want to I want to be on Seattle. I
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: like Seattle. I like the points with Seattle. It's a
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: nice spot to say that Baltimore, you know, not saying
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: who have they played? But they've been catching these everything
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: they played, They've been catching up the right moments, right,
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: and you know, the fear with taking the Seahawks team
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: is Geno like Gino sometimes looks like the Gino Smiths
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: and the Jets and not the Geno Smith from Seahawks,
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: which is like a really comproole quarterback. Incredible touch passes.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: I mean this, when he's right, it's incredible watch, you know,
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: like the rhythm he has Lockett and Metcalf, the trust
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: he has with those guys incredible. But then you'll see
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: him just have a whole quarter like he had against Cleveland,
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: where it's like he's uncomfortable, he can't make any reads,
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: he's putting balls in the dirt, he's he's just bad.
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: So the number makes sense when you really look at it,
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: where it's like, I mean, Chat talked on some day.
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: I thought the number should be three and a half.
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: I didn't really understand why it was so big. It
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: kind of makes sense now when you go through the numbers,
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: where you know the Ravens are, by a lot of
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: metrics and a lot of people's models, the number one
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: team of football right now, like they've been playing the best.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: Their offenses played really well, even their defense. They've had
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: some injuries and they've been playing through and they've played
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: really well too. Uh man, it's a tough one, Chat,
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: So maybe we'll talk more of on Thursday about this one.
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: But as you say here right now, I'm with Chat,
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: I'm stilling the Seahawks. It's just I'm like him, I'm
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: leaking a little bit of confidence on it.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: A little bit. I'm not sure it's a contest play.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: I actually haven't bet at all yet on the Seahawks.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: Even a five and a half. I need more intel.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: I need someone who in Jackman with some confidence. All right,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: So Minnesota is traded for Josh Dobbs. They're on the
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: road at Atlanta five point dogs. We don't know the status,
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: at least I don't know as we talk about this,
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: the status of Desmond Ridder. But he did get Ben
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: for Taylor Heineke concussion protocol that he cleared. Desmond Ridder.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: Josh Jobbs is a gamer. To me, I think I
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: lean Vikings here.
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, all those points come on, we gotta take the Vikings.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: And it's the first game too, like they should get
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: up for this game. It's like, again, in a couple
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: of weeks, the Vikings might have totally quit in the season.
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: The boys have all given up and that's that. But
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: you know, this seems like a move they're making here
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: where it's like they think they can be competitive in
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: this week. So if it is Hall, if it's the
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: backup quarterback, is the starter for Minnesota, totally off this one.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: I want to have a penny on this game. I
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: want even to watch this game. But if you're thinking
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: of grabbing Atlanta now, just in case it is Hall,
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: I can't fault you for it. Like that's a big deal.
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: This kid looked totally lost when he came in for
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: the Vikings, couldn't move the ball at all. The fact
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: that he used to go to Atlanta where it's loud
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: and play his first start on the road, that's a
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: nightmare scenario for this kid. If he does have to
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: start this game. So it is early in the week,
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: people it's Tuesday, they just trade it for the guy.
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: We don't have enough info really make a play in
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: this game, but my gut is telling me I want
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: to be on Minnesota. If it is Dobbs, if it's Hall,
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: I'm off this one.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: Dobbs played two weeks without even knowing who his offensive
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: linemen were. He can jump into any scenario. He's a
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: professional football quarterback. Here's an interesting stat applies to Minnesota
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: and Atlanta as well as the next game. We're going
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: to talk about India Carolina, where Carolina is a two
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: and a half point dog Atlanta. In both started out
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: as underdogs, they are now favorites. One of our favorite
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: stats of the year, teams who go from underdog to
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: favorites forty three point eighty three against the spread since
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, including seven or eleven this year, Atlanta, India
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: and the LA Chargers three games in that scenario this week,
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: one more reason to bet on Josh Dobbs and the Vikings.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: If it is Josh Dobbs So India Carolina, Carolina showed
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: us something. I don't know what. India showed us something.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know what. I hate this game. This is
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: the Corner TV game of the week, and.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: That is why it's my favorite game of the week.
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: Simon says, Carolina Panthers do it. We do what science says.
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: Love Love love the spot for the Panthers, basically the
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: OC who took over last week. The biggest change he
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: made to that offense was motion. Like he's coming from
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: the Andy Reid de Sean McVay coaching tree of motion.
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: Like he loves motion. And you saw last week with
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: Carolina completely moving guys over the board, and I love
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: that for Bryce, like that was such a big deal
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: to him. A little scary back in Carolina after their
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: first win. But I just love the way their offense
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: is playing, and even the defensively against Houston they played
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: really well and looking at this match for the Colts team,
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: they feel like they've been like again those see from
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: the Eagles last year, that's who they're new. That's who
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: became the head coach of this Colts team. And he's
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: done wonders, Like even when Minshew stepped in, their offense
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: really has not missed a beat since Richardson's been out,
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: Like they're still putting up points, still moving the ball
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: really well. This feels like a gamer a Minshe's gonna
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: get caught. Like the people people are drinking the coolie,
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: they're buying the hype. I mean, look at all the money,
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: all the tickets coming in on the Colts as our
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: road favorite in Carolina. Sometimes it's just too easy. You
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: don't need to do any of the work. Yeah, it's
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: the three. That'd be amazing if this got the three,
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: three and a half for the Panthers. But I'm taking
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: it and a half because I know the pros are
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: gonna come in on the Panthers. I expect this number
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: to go down by the time we do next Thursday's show.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: So this is this is a game I love, and
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: I barely put any money on it because I'm just
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: letting the public and other pros move this number up.
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: Give me that three. I'm gonna come in so heavy
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: on this Panthers team. But I love this spot for
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: this Panthers team. A nice a nice buying a team
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: that they were just shited for so many weeks. People
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: still don't trust them and they don't realize that oc
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: he's a difference out of Carolina. Like the fact they're
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: doing motion putting Bryce and outside the pocket right letting
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: him use his legs. Now, I have to see over
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: these huge aust up the linemen. It's a big deal
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: to me. So I am I'm drinking the kool aid
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: right now for the Panthers, and I love this number.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Well, look, there is a three available out there. It's
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: priced a little bit high. You know, they're at a
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: legal book. I encourage people to go check it out,
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: but there is a three available if you want to
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: try to get it. That's what I would say about that.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: I feel like you totally convinced me, and almost felt
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: like a little embarrassed and ashamed that I was saying
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: I wanted to skip over this game, partially because Matt
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: Mitchell is already yelling us in the chat. But of
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: course you're right with what you just said, and with
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: the fact that Indianapolis started as the dog and is
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: now the favorite. Of course we're going to do this,
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: so now I'm excited. Now I'm all in Go Panthers,
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: all right. I mentioned in the beginning of the show,
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: we got some feedback this week that is really bugging
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. He never does this, but Ohio State four
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: four four gave us a review that said, why are
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: we shrinking the amount of games discussed? Are we not
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: putting in as much research? And I want to be like, dude,
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: I'm doing more research than ever. And we cover every
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: single game, literally every single game. He's questioning, why don't
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: we Why don't we cover every game anymore? Dude? That's
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: what this whole podcast is. Every game gets covered, then
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: we cover them again on Thursday, most of them, and
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of them on Sunday night, looking ahead to
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: the next week too. Leave any feedback you want, but
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: please give us five stars. That's all we ask. Even
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: if you hate us, say the meanest things, it's all
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: good feedback. Give us five stars. New York Giants at
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders did exactly what we wanted
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: us to do, what we wanted them to do last
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: night they are now two and a half point favorites
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: on the road against the Giants. The fuck is with
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: this week? Like, we don't know who the quarterback is
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: going to be in this game. Either shouldn't be Daniel Jones.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: Leonard Williams was traded. This Raiders team was terrible. We
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: don't know if Jimmy Garoppolo is going to be the quarterback.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: If you say to me, ah, now we got to
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: take the.
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: Raiders, you are supposed to take him here. But I'm
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: with jaded. I don't know who the quarterback is for
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: either team. It's all bad, and I want to take
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: the Raiders here because it does feel like it's going
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: to be not Taylor. It might be this. I mean
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: they might who knows. I have no idea who the
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: Giants quarterback is. I know that Daniel Jones is trying
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: to get back, but apparently he is some type of
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: neck injury where he can't fill his arm sometimes, or
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: like some type of nerve damage. Like that's a that's
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: a big deal. I know he's trying to get back,
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: and every week they say he's day to day and
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: no one really knows what's happening. But I'm with you.
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: We can just keep it moving because we don't know
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: what to do with this game. But a game I
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: wouldn't be shocked to end up on Vegas. It's just
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: a Bilow's spot. The total right now is thirty seven
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: to thirty seven and a half, which is a key number.
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: I take that under thirty seven and a half, like
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: twenty to seventeen sounds about right for this game right here,
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: So if you want to grab it early under that
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: definitely be one.
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: I'd take Dallas at Philadelphia. The Philadelphia Eagles are three
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: point favorites. Simon, this is my executive decision. Wow, take
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles last week. I love Dallas and we
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: hated Philly. This week, of course, I want to back
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Philly and fade Dallas right. Better roster, better coaching. I
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: know we have talked about how the Eagles don't look right,
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: but this is a classic Cowboys letdown spot. Even though
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: we think Philly has been vulnerable, they are basically top
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: five in every offensive and defensive line Advanced metric, top
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: ten overall in every offensive and defensive production metric. The
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: Cowboys beat up on an over valued Rams team in
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: the exact right spot. I think the Eagles. They escaped
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: with a win against Washington. It was a trap game.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: This is a spot to reassert dominance. They are a
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: better team mentally, I believe than the Cowboys. The Cowboy
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: could not have managed the same kinds of struggles the
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: Eagles have had and gotten through the way they've gotten through.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: Give me the Eagles minus three, executive decision? Are you
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: with me?
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: I honestly, I'm leaninging towards the Cowboys.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, I know.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: I know, but I'll get there with you. On the Eagles.
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: My fear right now is just hurts taken away. Hurts
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: his legs is a big deal. And you know they
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: made it work last week. If you go back and look,
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: a lot of that stuff was just him thrown up
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: the AJ and AJ making plays and that's that's that's
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: a big flip of like they wouldn't have covered that
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: game if AJ didn't play out of this world and
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: have all those insane catches. And I originally I was thinking, Okay,
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: this number will open up too, We'll great, We'll get
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: great value on this Eagles team. But now it's up
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: to three and the value is trying to shift a
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: little bit towards the Cowboys. But I'm with you, chat.
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: It's like, I'll try not to let this one scare
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: me off. I'll back the Eagles here. We've seen it
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: time and time again. Dak in these kind of games,
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: these moments, doesn't show up like she had said. He
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: beats up on bad teams and then where he really
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: needs to show up and play against good teams, tends
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: to get out played in our class. So yeah, as
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: an Eagles fan, I'm super excited because these two teams,
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: there's always been an excuse whenever we play each other.
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: Like I think last year Dak was hurt, we played
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: Cooper Rush and then when the Eagles went to play
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: Dallas Minshew was playing and Hurts was out. It's like
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: it's been a while since we've had both these teams healthy.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: You knows the best in their you know their class,
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: like they're both very the top right now. The NFC
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: should be a great game. But yeah, I, like I
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: say all the time, I'm gonna support you. Obviously I
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: want to be on the Eagles side. It's just I'm
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: not showing a crazy amount of value right now, but
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: on the number, Like I have this number right where
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: it's at I have it at three, so like technically, yeah,
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: if it switches up three and a half, I think
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: value is on the Cowboys. But it'll be hard not
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: to take the Eagles in the contest of minus three
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: and a half for minus two and a half. It's
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: just a nice spot to back them against a Dallas team,
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: like you just said, Like they're coming off their best
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: game of the year. They're gonna be filling themselves all week.
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: Where the Eagles they felt like they got away with one, right,
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: they kind of stole one there. It's not gonna be
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: much celebration. It's all going to be getting ready for
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: Dallas week. So you know, Dak Prescotte had a quote saying,
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: I don't mind poking the bear pour some honey on me.
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: It's really tough talk for a guy who's never played
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: at a conference championship game and lost to a seventh
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: round You got outplayed by a seventh round pick last
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: year in the playoffs, So come on, Dak's asking for it.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna go back on my guy here, Chad, and
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: take the Eagles minus three.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I'm with you on the Panthers, You're with me on
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. Forever and ever, we are intertwining a true
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: couple of really smart guys. By the way, Ian Rappaport,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: according to our chats reporting Chase Young being traded to
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: the forty nine ers for a third round pick, So
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: Washington basically unloading their edges right now. Also, the Chicago
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: Bears believe Montes Sweat is more valuable than Chase Young.
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: How will that turn out? We don't know, I agree,
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: don't know at this point. We don't know, and.
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: The market is too. I mean, I think he's going
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: for a third round pick, fourth round pick, compared to Sweat,
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: who went for a second.
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. The market is saying that Montes
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: Sweat is more valuable than Chase Young. But right now,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: I do think that changes the calculus on this Washington
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: New England bet. Maybe we do want to Russian bet.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Maybe you do want to make New England. Your signon
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: says at three. But Simon, can you name the fast
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: growing ticketing app in the United States?
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: Game Time?
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: That's right, it's our sponsor, game Time. I love Time
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: for two reasons. One they sponsored this show. Number two
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: because I actually use game Time to buy tickets. They've
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: got amazing last minute deals on all sorts of tickets,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: including pro and college football games, speaking of which, I'm
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: going to open Game Time right now from my house.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: I'm doing it, folks. You can see me looking down
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: if you're watching on the YouTube. Right now, I can
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: get in to the world famous Maddison Square Garden to
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: see the New York Knickerbockers about one hundred and thirty bucks.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: And I gotta tell you, if you haven't been, that
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: is a great price to see a dynamic team. No
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: matter where you live, download the Game Time app, get
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: out and have some fun this week. Go sweat your
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: bets live and in person, and you can redeem code
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchased terms apply,
• 45:51
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• 45:58
  Speaker 1: All right, Buffalo Hello at Cincinnati. This game has moved
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: up to three Sunday night. This game was available at
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati plus one and a half. I bet that when
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: we were doing the recording of the podcast on Sunday
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: it was since a minus one and a half. We
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: didn't understand the line. Betters have since poured in on
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: since Ey. The Bills defense is severely hampered right now,
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: and the Bengals looked significantly healthier after the bye week
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: dismantling the Niners. I think there are moments when fans
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: and betters overreact, and there are games that are statements,
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: and the Bengals on Sunday was more to me of
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: a statement than fans seeing something and then overreacting to it.
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: Thoughts, I mean, Chad Middleman. Millman is trying to take
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: up play a middle here, and I hate you for it.
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: Why don't you just enjoy the value I had on Cincy.
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: You had a great number and now you're trying to
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: hit a middle What do you do? I did?
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: I did? I also bet the Bills of plus three.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: I got, you know, I got greedy last night. I
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: thought to myself, don't be like, don't be emotional about
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: a bet just because I loved it on Sunday night
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: and I was thrilled at the number. Play the positions
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: and take advantage of opportunities, and so I didn't want
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: to just let one slide because there are games we
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: pass on all the time where like I don't regret it. Right,
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: there were the games we didn't bet Arizona plus eight
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: and a half and you know, a few weeks ago,
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: and and like we wondered to ourselves why didn't we
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: do that? And like when I'm doing my tallying of
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: my wins and losses the next day, I wasn't thinking,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: oh God, if only I had this game, I'd be
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: ex further ahead or whatever. But this one felt like
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: it could be a close game. I'm willing to take
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: a shot. And if I if I counter myself out
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: of making of winning winning one side, I'm okay with
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: it because I'm get in a pretty decent size. You
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: don't that often, you don't get three points in the middle.
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: I would just go with your Gutrido was which is
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: back since he feels a little trappish. It went up
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: to three. Now it's down to two and a half.
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: A lot of books. But since he's just the better
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: team right now, it's all clicking for them. You know,
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: this ain't the Bills team are used to. This is
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: just a different version of them. They're just not They're
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: not competitive on the defensive side. So yeah, maybe they'll
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: get the back door and hit the three for Chad
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: and I'll be kicking myself, but nothing chantering me. I like,
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: I like the Bengals. The only way I would take
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: the Bills is if this got to three and a
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: half four, But even then I'd still have a little
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: pause where it's just like, I got no faith in
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: this Bill's team right now. They've just been playing with
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: fire and like Josh Allen's been keeping them in the game.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: I got a lot of worries about Josh because it
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: feels like now he's gonna be trying to do too much.
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: And even last week, like he thought he was gonna
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: out run this d end. The dude caught him. He
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: yanked on his leg and again I'm no doctor, but
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: you could just tell that like he was scared for
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: a second, like he was just like, holy shit, my
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: leg just popped out of my hip. And he went
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: into the blue tent. They cleared him, he came back
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: out finished the game no issues, And I mean, well,
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: I guess there was some issues, right Their offense kind
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: of stopped after that. But I have a lot of
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: questions right now about the Bills. I have no questions
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: anymore about this since he team right My biggest fear
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: was Joe Burrow wasn't healthy his heart. He was horrible
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: throwing the ball twenty yards downfield. It was all clicking
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: last week, like he was money on throws twenty yards downfield,
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: moving the pockets, stepping up. So I've been I've been
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: on a little bit of a heater on these Sunday
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: night games, like I've been nailing these Sunday night games.
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: That's honestly my only real fear where it's like every
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: Sunday night. She just felt really easy, and this feels
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: like another easy bet where it's like you take SINCEY
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: at home under three, especially like two and a half.
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: How do we not put this in the contest? So yeah,
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: definitely like Cincy this week.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: Now I feel like I got greedy, Yeah.
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: But I get where you're coming from. I love a
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: good middle of anyone else. It just cracked me up
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: where it was like I was right there with you.
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: I bet again you only could get pennies down on
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: Sunday night, But how do you now love sincey? We
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: were getting about plus one and a half and then
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: minus one and a half at almost every book we
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: wanted to. But again, it sucks where It's like I
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: worked all night, had runners running all night. The most
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: I get down it's twenty k. And that's what sucks
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: about those bet in tho Sunday nights, is like the
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: books are never going to take big bets. It's just
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: it's just tough getting money down on good numbers. And
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: now what do we see the numbers all the way
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: up to three now, So that's what's so tough. I'
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: betting these kind of numbers.
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: I could only get down forty, and so that was
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: a little awkward for you and me because that might
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: have been my money that was keeping you from getting
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: more money down. So so for that, I apologize, all right.
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: The last game on the board is the Chargers visiting
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: the Jets. The Chargers are now three point favorites on
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: the road, given what we know about the Chargers, given
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: what we know about the Jets, giving the coaching mismatch,
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: given the defensive mismatch, given the fact that the Jets
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: are at home, given the fact that the Chargers went
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: from underdogs to favorites. I hate to say it, I
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: don't want to do it, and I think we got
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: a lot of options. I like the Jets here.
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, this was gonna be what Simon says, but
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: like luckily that state at three, go go grab the Jets,
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: Like this is a great spot to back them here.
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: Like they played terrible, their offense look terrible. You know,
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: it's just a bet on their defense or shut down
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: the Chargers offense and they'll be able to run the
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: ball against the Chargers. Like there's just there's a lot
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: of things I like for this Jets from the Jets viewpoint,
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: a lot of things I want to faith from the
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: Charger standpoint. So don't be shocked that this is our
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: big ball is bet of the week on this Jets team.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: But it just feels like no one's gonna be on
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: this one. It's just gonna be me and you, a
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: couple of the pros taking the Jets here in prime
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: time at home against the Chargers team that everyone's back
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: in on. Like they just you know, dominated this Bears team.
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: I think I'm not positive his numbers were, but I
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: felt like he'd what three or four incompletions right now
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: for the Chargers, and Herbert like he was just he
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: looked like his old self against the Bears team. Now
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: we have one of the best secondaries in all football.
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: One of the best secondaries to turn over the QBS,
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: and we've seen it. This team just gets something. They
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: play against quarterback, good quarterbacks. When they played against Hurts,
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: when they played against Josh Allen, they played against Mahomes,
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: those were their best games of the year. The Jets
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: defense like they really step it up, and they play
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: against good quarterbacks. Herbert's a good quarterback. I expect they're
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: going to step up. So the fact that it's still three,
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: you know, maybe are jumping the gun a little early
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: and grabbing the three and this could get the three
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: and a half, but I have to grab it now
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: just in case the pros came out on So I
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: do love this spot for this Jets team with Chad.
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: Great spot for the Jets chance to get to five
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: and three, and against his mediocre team at home. It's
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: a really, really good spot for the Jets. As a reminder,
• 52:59
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