Latest / What the Flux / Coles' major cuts | Armaguard battle to keep cash around | Trump's tariffs upend markets
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux. I'm Brett and I'm Justin
- 0:07Speaker 1: and it's Wednesday, the fifth of February.
- 0:09Speaker 2: Josie Boy. We know the famous saying is time in
- 0:12Speaker 2: the market as opposed to timing the market, but you
- 0:15Speaker 2: still don't want to miss time the markets. Australian super
- 0:19Speaker 2: invested five hundred million dollars into Nvidia in the three
- 0:22Speaker 2: months to December twenty twenty four, just before in Video's
- 0:26Speaker 2: seventeen percent crash following the release of Deep Seek AI.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Not ideal timing at all, but man, man, let me
- 0:33Speaker 1: tell you what is good timing. Our latest academy for
- 0:35Speaker 1: February Shifting your Money Mindset. This one is all about
- 0:38Speaker 1: starting off the new year on a high by creating
- 0:41Speaker 1: a positive money mindset because it is the foundation of
- 0:43Speaker 1: financial success. We're talking about ditching limiting beliefs, boosting your confidence,
- 0:48Speaker 1: and building a better relationship with money. So Flux down.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Make sure to check out the Flux Academy in the
- 0:52Speaker 1: fus out.
- 0:53Speaker 2: Three prizeworthy stories today, Josie Boy, Let's do it for
- 0:56Speaker 2: our first. Coles is planning to aggressively reduce the number
- 1:00Speaker 2: of products on its shelves to drive higher profits.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Sounds like Coles is doing a major cleanup on Aisle
- 1:05Speaker 1: five B man, So what is the story here?
- 1:07Speaker 2: Well, juzziboy, we know that Coles is the second largest
- 1:10Speaker 2: supermarket chain in Australia behind Woollys.
- 1:12Speaker 1: And together they are a behemoth. They have sixty five
- 1:15Speaker 1: percent share of the grocery market.
- 1:17Speaker 2: But for the last few months, Coles has been working
- 1:19Speaker 2: with external consultants on a strategy to simplify its range.
- 1:23Speaker 1: And an man, let's be honest, Simplify is just a
- 1:26Speaker 1: fancy term for cutting its range by ten percent.
- 1:28Speaker 2: And juzzy boy, why are they cutting their range?
- 1:31Speaker 1: Well, the theory goes like this, fewer products on the
- 1:33Speaker 1: shelves equals more sales for the ones that actually remain
- 1:36Speaker 1: on the shelf.
- 1:37Speaker 2: Reminds me a bit of the Alder model.
- 1:39Speaker 1: Yeah, stick to a smaller range, sell more of each item,
- 1:42Speaker 1: and then Coles can negotiate better deals with each of
- 1:45Speaker 1: the suppliers.
- 1:45Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here?
- 1:47Speaker 1: Product rationalization is when a retailer cuts down the number
- 1:50Speaker 1: of products that it sells.
- 1:52Speaker 2: And these rationalizations are often positioned as a positive for customers.
- 1:57Speaker 1: By simplifying their offering, we're enhancing the customer experienced.
- 2:00Speaker 2: You know, we don't really need thirteen table salts, which
- 2:03Speaker 2: is just adding to decision fatigue.
- 2:05Speaker 1: And be man Out has proven that a simple range
- 2:08Speaker 1: with cheap prices can actually work. Yep.
- 2:09Speaker 2: Audi has around eighteen hundred items in their supermarkets compared
- 2:14Speaker 2: to Coal's twenty thousand items. Be man the primary goal
- 2:17Speaker 2: of a product rationalization is almost always to improve profitability.
- 2:21Speaker 2: By reducing its range, coals can simplify the management of
- 2:24Speaker 2: their warehouses and it also means they can negotiate better
- 2:27Speaker 2: bulk pricing with suppliers. But as the way under the surface,
- 2:30Speaker 2: it's also a way for coals to give a not
- 2:33Speaker 2: so subtle hint to suppliers.
- 2:35Speaker 1: If you want to keep your products stocked on our shelves,
- 2:37Speaker 1: you need to be more competitive on pricing.
- 2:39Speaker 2: And this allows coals to improve margins without directly threatening
- 2:42Speaker 2: each individual supplier.
- 2:44Speaker 1: So it'll be interesting to see how the ah Triple
- 2:46Speaker 1: See and the Senate look at this one. For our
- 2:48Speaker 1: second story armor guard, the Aussie cash handling Company is
- 2:52Speaker 1: in danger of collapsing once again, meaning coins and notes
- 2:56Speaker 1: in Australia are under threat. He low sock draws and
- 2:59Speaker 1: matrostash are popular once again, So tell me what's going
- 3:02Speaker 1: on here.
- 3:02Speaker 2: So Armaguard was founded in nineteen thirty eight, back when
- 3:06Speaker 2: cash was most certainly King Queen and also Jack.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Yeah, Armaguard specialized in transferring money from banks to ATMs,
- 3:13Speaker 1: to retailers and back and forth.
- 3:15Speaker 2: And you don't want to mess with these cash handlers.
- 3:17Speaker 1: Nope, but Beman. Last year you may remember that a
- 3:19Speaker 1: group of banks had to throw Armaguard a fifty million
- 3:22Speaker 1: dollar lifeline just to keep them afloat.
- 3:24Speaker 2: And now less than twelve months later, Armaguard is back
- 3:27Speaker 2: cap in hand asking for more help. The problem is
- 3:30Speaker 2: cash isn't exactly King Queen or Jack anymore. Yep. Less
- 3:33Speaker 2: cash in circulation means less need for cash services.
- 3:37Speaker 1: And Armaguard's revenue is drying up faster than a forgotten
- 3:40Speaker 1: ATM receipt, and that's raising a major question.
- 3:43Speaker 2: If Australia's last big cash transporter folds, what happens to
- 3:46Speaker 2: this cash economy?
- 3:47Speaker 1: So what is the key learning here?
- 3:49Speaker 2: Being a monopoly usually means you've got the market all
- 3:51Speaker 2: to yourself, but if your industry is dying or dead,
- 3:54Speaker 2: there isn't much room to move be Man, Armaguard is.
- 3:57Speaker 1: The last major player standing in the cash handle industry
- 4:00Speaker 1: after it already acquired its rival cross a Goore in
- 4:03Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, and that means it has no other
- 4:05Speaker 1: potential companies to acquire or partner with and share costs
- 4:08Speaker 1: and be man. With demand for cash handling services declining,
- 4:11Speaker 1: their options are narrowing well.
- 4:13Speaker 2: Option one would be find a way to cut more
- 4:15Speaker 2: costs or increase prices.
- 4:17Speaker 1: Which looks hard at this point yep. Option two, get
- 4:19Speaker 1: another financial bailout from the banks.
- 4:21Speaker 2: Option three just completely shut down and say goodbye to
- 4:24Speaker 2: money circulation in Australia.
- 4:25Speaker 1: In fact, be man. The RBA data shows that in
- 4:27Speaker 1: twenty twenty two only thirteen percent of transactions were made
- 4:30Speaker 1: in cash, and that was down.
- 4:31Speaker 2: From seventy percent in two thousand and seven. And if
- 4:34Speaker 2: Armagard doesn't exist, the banks and RBA risk a complete
- 4:38Speaker 2: collapse of our cash infrastructure.
- 4:40Speaker 1: So be man. Armagad survival isn't just a problem for Armaguard,
- 4:43Speaker 1: but the broader banking system.
- 4:45Speaker 2: For our third and final story, Donald J. Trump has
- 4:49Speaker 2: sent the share market into a spin after announcing the
- 4:52Speaker 2: rollout of tariffs on goods from the US's top three
- 4:55Speaker 2: trading partners.
- 4:56Speaker 1: Geez, these tariffs were saved by the belboe b man,
- 4:58Speaker 1: So tell me what is going on here?
- 4:59Speaker 2: Well, as part of Trump's selection campaign, he had promised
- 5:02Speaker 2: to stem the flow of illegal migration as well as drugs, and.
- 5:05Speaker 1: He targeted three countries in particular. We'd be talking Canada,
- 5:08Speaker 1: We'd be talking Mexico and China as well, and Trump
- 5:11Speaker 1: would be man that if they didn't tighten their borders
- 5:13Speaker 1: and reduce the flow of drugs into the US, he
- 5:15Speaker 1: would impose major tariffs twenty five percent tariffs on the
- 5:18Speaker 1: goods from Mexico and Canada, ten percent tariff on goods
- 5:21Speaker 1: from China. And given the US does two point one
- 5:24Speaker 1: trillion US dollars worth of annual commerce with just these
- 5:27Speaker 1: three countries, the markets were shoogarth for dazibweight.
- 5:30Speaker 2: Trump has now agreed to pause these tariffs with Mexico
- 5:34Speaker 2: and Canada for thirty days.
- 5:35Speaker 1: After they committed to putting ten thousand officers on the borders.
- 5:38Speaker 2: Crisis averted for now, but dazibait the trade war may
- 5:42Speaker 2: still happen.
- 5:43Speaker 1: So what is the key learning here?
- 5:44Speaker 2: A trade war is like an economic hug of war
- 5:46Speaker 2: where countries slap tariffs on each other's goods.
- 5:49Speaker 1: And for those playing at home, tariffs are taxes on imports.
- 5:52Speaker 2: You put a tax on our goods coming into your country,
- 5:54Speaker 2: well will put even bigger tacks on your goods coming
- 5:57Speaker 2: into our country.
- 5:58Speaker 1: And they man, this can grow and grow and grow
- 6:00Speaker 1: until it gets out of hand.
- 6:02Speaker 2: Markets don't like uncertainty. So when Trump announced tariffs on China, Canada,
- 6:06Speaker 2: and Mexico, investors well and truly panic.
- 6:08Speaker 1: And when these tariffs looked like they were going to
- 6:10Speaker 1: be rolled out, we saw the US market fall by
- 6:12Speaker 1: more than two.
- 6:12Speaker 2: Percent, Bitcoin fell by more than eight percent, and.
- 6:14Speaker 1: Even the ASX got hit with around fifty billion dollars wide.
- 6:18Speaker 2: And does it way. Over the past thirty years or so,
- 6:20Speaker 2: many of the developed economies around the world have removed
- 6:23Speaker 2: tariffs to basically encourage free trade between nations.
- 6:26Speaker 1: And the man. Although there's a temporary pause on these
- 6:29Speaker 1: tariffs right now, Trump could be bringing back the tariffs
- 6:32Speaker 1: and trade wars in a very big way. Fox Am,
- 6:35Speaker 1: if you've ever said to yourself or your friend or
- 6:37Speaker 1: your partner finances and not for me, I'm just not
- 6:39Speaker 1: the finance person, then you need to start on the
- 6:41Speaker 1: Flux Academy this month, which is all out shifting your
- 6:44Speaker 1: money mindset. So check out the Academy which helps you
- 6:46Speaker 1: ditch limiting beliefs and boost your confidence around money and
- 6:49Speaker 1: stay for the prizes. Download the Flux out and check
- 6:52Speaker 1: out the Academy this month. Thanks for listening and we'll
- 6:54Speaker 1: see you on Friday