Latest / Investor Exchange / Emerging Towns & Cities 1Q2025 Financial Results
Transcript
- 0:02Time for another Investor Exchange podcast. Here are your hosts, Matt and Sally.
- 0:07Welcome to the Deep Dive. We're here to unpack those fascinating stories hidden
- 0:11inside financial reports and, well, big company changes.
- 0:15Today, we've got a really compelling one. It's about a company doing a complete
- 0:19180, basically shedding its old identity for a totally new future.
- 0:23We're talking about emerging towns and cities, Singapore LTD, ETC.
- 0:29We'll be digging into their latest Q1 2025 results. But it's not just,
- 0:33you know, crunching the numbers.
- 0:34We want to get at the why behind them, understand this huge strategic pivot
- 0:39they've made and what it signals for where they're headed. It's quite a story.
- 0:42It really is because ETC, they've just gone through this monumental shift.
- 0:46They've completely exited their old core business. Right.
- 0:49And understanding that is absolutely key to making sense of their current financials
- 0:53and, well, what comes next for them.
- 0:54It's also really important to mention right off the bat, they're putting out
- 0:58these quarterly results because their auditor gave what's called a qualified
- 1:02opinion on their last annual statements, the ones for 2024. Oh, OK.
- 1:06A qualified opinion. That sounds serious. It is. It basically means the auditors
- 1:10found some significant issues or couldn't get all the info they needed for the 2024 financials.
- 1:16It's a bit of a red flag. Yeah. Puts a lot of pressure on ETC to be crystal
- 1:20clear about everything now, especially as they're navigating this,
- 1:22frankly, pretty risky new path.
- 1:24OK, let's unpack that. So for listeners who might not know ETC Singapore LTD,
- 1:28they've been listed on the SGX for a while.
- 1:30But these latest numbers, they just look...
- 1:32Different. What's the big change here? Well, historically, their main thing
- 1:36was property in Myanmar.
- 1:38Selling and renting units. You probably remember the Golden City project. Vaguely.
- 1:42Yeah. Golden City. That was their big focus. But that's all done now.
- 1:45They completely sold off that entire Myanmar business.
- 1:48It was called the Das Group on December 26, 2024.
- 1:52Wow. OK. End of last year. Exactly. So these Q1 2025 results we're looking at,
- 1:57they are purely about the new direction. The old business is literally, you know, off the books.
- 2:03It's a clean slate, financially speaking, for what they're doing now.
- 2:07A complete change of scenery then. Golden City is history.
- 2:10So what's the new landscape? What are they actually doing now?
- 2:12Their new core focus, and this actually started getting folded into their results
- 2:16back in Q2 of 2024, is live streaming e-commerce.
- 2:20Live streaming e-commerce? Okay. Yeah, specifically in the People's Republic
- 2:24of China, selling consumer goods
- 2:26both online and, it seems, some offline channels too. What kind of goods?
- 2:30It looks like a pretty wide range. Things like consumer foods,
- 2:34snacks, health foods, condiments, stuff like that.
- 2:37It's a totally different ballgame from property development.
- 2:39Yeah. Very fast-paced retail. Right. Needs a different skill set entirely.
- 2:43Okay, so bearing that huge shift in mind, let's get into the Q1 2025 numbers themselves.
- 2:48What do these condensed financials tell us at first glance about how this new
- 2:52venture is starting off?
- 2:53Okay, so if we just isolate the continuing operations, that's this new e-commerce business, right?
- 2:58Right. The revenue for Q1 2025 came in at $976,000, and that's all from this new China business.
- 3:06Okay, just under a million Singapore dollars. Yeah.
- 3:09Now compare that to Q1 2024.
- 3:12Back then, continuing operations had zero revenue, absolutely nothing.
- 3:16All the big revenue they reported last year, over $12.8 million in Q124,
- 3:22that was entirely from the Myanmar property business that's now gone.
- 3:25Got it. So revenue stream established, albeit starting relatively small compared to the old days.
- 3:30But the big question always is the bottom line. Are they making money with this new thing yet?
- 3:35Ah, no, not yet. In fact, quite the opposite. For continuing operations,
- 3:39the loss before tax actually ballooned significantly.
- 3:42It was $2,605,000 in Q1 2024.
- 3:46Wow, over 2.6 million loss. Yeah, compare that to a loss of S260,000 in Q1 2024
- 3:51from, well, corporate overheads back then, I suppose.
- 3:54So a tenfold increase in the loss from continuing up. Pretty much,
- 3:57yeah. And per share, the loss widened from $0.03 to $0.25.
- 4:02Now, you might see the total comprehensive loss number look slightly better.
- 4:05It went from about $2.58 million loss in Q1 2024 to SRA 2.64 million loss in
- 4:11Q1 2025. OK, so total loss is kind of flat.
- 4:13Sort of, but that's actually a bit misleading.
- 4:15The reason the total loss didn't jump as much is because the discontinued Myanmar
- 4:19operations had a huge loss component back in Q1 2024.
- 4:23So taking that out makes the total look better. But the core new business,
- 4:28the e-commerce part, is definitely running at a bigger loss right now.
- 4:32OK, so it sounds like a classic new chapter story, maybe.
- 4:35Yeah. Starting something big comes with big initial costs and hurdles.
- 4:39That seems to be the case.
- 4:40And it leads right into the why, doesn't it? Why are losses up so much,
- 4:44even though they've got this new revenue coming in? Exactly. What's driving it?
- 4:47Well, it really boils down to the costs of starting and scaling up a brand new
- 4:51complex business like this.
- 4:53Remember, they only really started consolidating this China e-commerce stuff in Q2 2024.
- 4:58Right. So Q125 is still very early days. Very early. And it looks like a period
- 5:02of really intense investment. You see it clearly in the expense lines.
- 5:06Like what? Staff costs. They went from about $100,000 in Q124 to us $1.9 million in Q125. Whoa.
- 5:14That's huge. Almost $2 million just on staff for one quarter. Yep.
- 5:19A nearly 20-fold increase. And you have to assume that's not just hiring more
- 5:23people, but hiring different, probably more expensive people.
- 5:26You know, live streamers, marketing folks, logistics experts needed for e-commerce in China.
- 5:32Yeah. Makes sense. What else? Other operating expenses also shot up from $85,000 to $7.9 million.
- 5:39Okay. And they break that down. It's things like marketing and advertising,
- 5:42which you'd expect, plus, professional fees, travel costs, all the stuff associated
- 5:47with building this new venture from the ground up in a new market.
- 5:51So basically the cost of getting established and trying to grab market share.
- 5:54That's exactly what it looks like. There's also another factor they mentioned. Oh, yeah. Seasonality.
- 5:58They noted that Q1 often sees lower sales because of the Chinese New Year holiday period.
- 6:03Consumer demand dips. Operations slow down a bit. Ah, OK.
- 6:08So expenses are ramping up, but sales might have been a bit seasonally slow in Q1 anyway.
- 6:13Possibly, yeah. It adds to the pressure on the bottom line in these early stages.
- 6:18Though you do wonder if there are other market challenges beyond just the holiday
- 6:21lull affecting those initial sales figures. It's a tough market. True.
- 6:25What about cash flow? Does that tell a similar story? Oh, definitely.
- 6:28It really reinforces the investment narrative.
- 6:31Net cash used in operating activities was around just $3.7 million in Q1 2025.
- 6:37Used. So cash flowing out. Right. Compared to Q1 2024, where the old business
- 6:42actually generated S5.1 million dollars in cash from operations.
- 6:46Big swing. Huge difference.
- 6:48And then there's investing activities. They used another S340,000 dollars there,
- 6:52mostly buying property, plant and equipment, you know, tangible stuff needed
- 6:56for the new business. So spending on operations and spending on assets.
- 6:59Exactly. And the result, their cash pile shrunk quite a bit.
- 7:01They started the year, end of December 2024, with about 5.47 million dollars
- 7:06in cash and equivalents. By the end of March 2025, that was down to S1.16 million dollars. Oof.
- 7:13You'd expect some burn in an expansion phase, sure, but that's quite rapid.
- 7:17How is the balance sheet looking overall then? Well, it reflects that strain.
- 7:21The group reported net current liabilities of S1.2 million dollars.
- 7:26Net current liabilities, meaning?
- 7:27Meaning their short-term debts, the stuff due within a year,
- 7:31are actually higher than their short-term assets, the things they can easily turn into cash.
- 7:35Okay, that's not ideal. It's not uncommon for companies in aggressive growth
- 7:39mode, but it does mean they're relying on future performance or funding to cover
- 7:42near-term obligations.
- 7:44And total equity, the company's net worth, dropped from S3.86 million dollars
- 7:49at the end of 2024 down to S1.22 million dollars by the end of Q125.
- 7:55Wow. Yeah. So the net asset value per share fell quite sharply,
- 7:58too, from Sertar dollars 39 cents down to 12 cents. So the buffer is getting thinner.
- 8:03Despite all that, are the directors still confident? What about that going concern idea?
- 8:08They do maintain their view that the going concern assumption is appropriate.
- 8:12They point to the fact that they still have positive net assets overall,
- 8:16even if current liabilities are high.
- 8:18But for you, the listener, seeing this cash burn, the net current liabilities,
- 8:23and remembering that auditors qualified opinion, it definitely paints a picture
- 8:28of a company navigating a very tight financial situation right now.
- 8:31Okay, so they've taken the initial hit, the losses are up, cash is being burned,
- 8:35building this new thing. Yeah. This is where it gets really interesting, right?
- 8:38What's the plan? What's the outlook? Are they doubling down or pulling back?
- 8:42Oh, they are absolutely doubling down. Aggressively so. The pace of expansion
- 8:46in China for this e-commerce business is, well, remarkable. Oh, so.
- 8:50Just in Q1 2025 alone, they bought one subsidiary and set up 11 brand new ones
- 8:56in the PRC. 11. Three months. Yep.
- 8:59Bringing their total dedicated subsidiaries for this new business up to 49.
- 9:03And get this, since the start of Q2, so since April 1st, they've already incorporated
- 9:08another nine subsidiaries.
- 9:10Good grief. So that's like, what, 58 subsidiaries now just for this China e-commerce play?
- 9:15Seems like it. It signals a really, really strong commitment to scaling this
- 9:20operation incredibly fast.
- 9:21It looks like a classic land grab strategy trying to build footprint and market
- 9:26share as quickly as possible, perhaps even before focusing heavily on profitability.
- 9:31That's a massive footprint build out.
- 9:33What's the thinking there? What makes them so confident about the Chinese market
- 9:37to justify this speed and expense, especially given the Q1 numbers?
- 9:40Well, their strategy taps into the broader China e-commerce narrative.
- 9:45China still dominates global e-commerce, right? They produce so much domestically.
- 9:50They have the logistics sorted out. It gives them a huge edge.
- 9:54And even though there's talk of a wider economic slowdown, the Chinese government
- 9:58is really pushing domestic consumption.
- 10:01And online buying, especially driven
- 10:02by live streaming and social media discovery, is growing like crazy.
- 10:06So they see a massive growing market tailor-made for what they're trying to do. Exactly.
- 10:11It's a market with enormous potential, even if it's also incredibly competitive.
- 10:15You know, this live streaming game...
- 10:18It's almost like performance art
- 10:19fused with retail. The top players move unbelievable amounts of product.
- 10:24Right. Billions in a single event, sometimes.
- 10:27Yeah, but breaking in and competing against established giants is tough.
- 10:31It requires not just cash, but the right talent, the right tech, the right connections.
- 10:35Which might explain those huge staff costs we saw earlier.
- 10:38Precisely. They're investing heavily. And despite the Q1 losses,
- 10:41the directors are projecting confidence.
- 10:44Their official outlook states they expect the group to be profitable for the full year of 2025.
- 10:48Profitable for the year, really, after starting with a $2.6 million loss in
- 10:54Q1. That seems ambitious.
- 10:56It is ambitious. They add the usual caveat, you know, barring unforeseen circumstances,
- 11:00like a major downturn in China's economy.
- 11:02But yeah, it's a bold call. It suggests they expect a very significant ramp
- 11:06up in revenue or some serious cost control kicking in later in the year,
- 11:10or perhaps both. Given the cash burn and the need for investment,
- 11:13I assume dividends are off the table.
- 11:15Completely. They explicitly stated no dividend declared or recommended for Q1 2025.
- 11:21Makes sense. They said they need to reserve cash for working capital,
- 11:24which is exactly what you'd expect and frankly what you'd want them to do in this situation.
- 11:28Reinvest everything back into the business to try and make this pivot work. Absolutely.
- 11:34Wow. What a transformation story unfolding here for emerging towns and cities,
- 11:39Singapore, from Myanmar property
- 11:41to this full throttle dive into Chinese live streaming e-commerce.
- 11:46It's just quite something. It really is a complete reinvention.
- 11:50And these Q1 results, they perfectly capture that moment of transition, don't they?
- 11:54You see the costs, the cash burn of the massive strategic shift,
- 11:57but you also see the scale of their ambition, the heavy investment in a market
- 12:01they clearly believe holds huge promise, even with all the competition.
- 12:05Yeah, the sheer number of subsidiaries, the profitability forecast,
- 12:08it shows incredible determination.
- 12:10That aggressive expansion, the director's confidence, those are the key signals
- 12:14about their strategy right now. It's high risk, high reward, clearly.
- 12:18So wrapping this up, what does this all mean for you listening in?
- 12:22This deep dive into ETC, it really throws a spotlight on the sheer audacity
- 12:27and the cost involved when a company decides to completely change its core business.
- 12:33And it leaves us with a big question, doesn't it? How much runway,
- 12:36really, both in terms of cash and just time, does a company need to pull off
- 12:40such a radical strategic pivot?
- 12:43Especially jumping into a market like live streaming e-commerce that's known
- 12:46for being fast growing, but also fiercely competitive.
- 12:49And doing it all with that qualified opinion from the auditors hanging over
- 12:52them adds another layer of complexity and pressure. Absolutely.
- 12:56It's a high stakes bet on building an entirely new future. Definitely one to one.