Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Fidelity Just Said Bitcoin is Exponential Gold! | SIMPLY ORIGINALS
Transcript
- 0:00You can see the distribution of the positive versus the negative
- 0:04returns for Bitcoin is much more positively skewed than it is for
- 0:10silver and gold. And so to me, This is why
- 0:13Bitcoin is kind of the the the new version of gold and silver
- 0:17is because of its, of its convexity.
- 0:20It's like a more convex version of gold because of its network
- 0:23effects and its increased scarcity, that this has become
- 0:28kind of the leader in terms of hedging against monetary
- 0:31inflation. Getting pretty hard to deny that
- 0:35the Bitcoin bull has arrived, and that was Fidelity's global
- 0:39macro Director Jury and Timmer dropping a bombshell on the
- 0:42Bitcoin versus gold debate. And he didn't stop there.
- 0:45He said Bitcoin is in its own stratosphere and projects that
- 0:49possibly Bitcoin could hit 700 K this cycle.
- 0:54Is he insane? I don't know.
- 0:55We're getting a lot to cover. Let's get it.
- 1:00So Jerry and Timmer, the global macro director of Fidelity
- 1:03Investments, said that although often compared to gold, Bitcoin
- 1:06can increase in value faster than the yellow shiny rock
- 1:09quote. In my view, Bitcoin is a
- 1:11commodity currency that aspires to be a store of value and hedge
- 1:14against monetary debasement. Now we've heard digital gold,
- 1:17but Timmer says I think of it as exponential gold.
- 1:20Now let's see why. All right, let's go ahead and
- 1:22run through Timmer's thread here.
- 1:24Bitcoin is volatile, but it's scarcity and adoption curve
- 1:26creed. Potential for it to be a
- 1:28high-powered hedge against monetary shenanigans.
- 1:31I think of it as exponential. Gold.
- 1:33This rally is way beyond the rumor.
- 1:35I think the. The rally today is about a
- 1:38flight to quality with all the, you know, all the issues around
- 1:42the Israeli war now global. Terrorism.
- 1:47And I think there's more people running into a fight the
- 1:50quality, whether that isn't treasuries, gold or crypto,
- 1:53depending on how you think about it.
- 1:55And I believe crypto will play that type of role as a flight to
- 1:58quality. Next, he gets into Bitcoins.
- 2:01Adoption is one of the attributes of Bitcoin is that
- 2:04it's a network asset, and as such its adoption curve has
- 2:06followed the typical S curve shape.
- 2:08We've seen many of these throughout history, but man,
- 2:11that Bitcoin line is pretty steep.
- 2:13So where is Bitcoin along the S curve and network asset value?
- 2:17Driven by its adoption. So the slope of that curve does
- 2:19matter. As we know the the supply of
- 2:22Bitcoin is already fixed set. Its monetary schedule is known.
- 2:25The only variable then to add in is demand.
- 2:28And Timmer may echo some of us when we first went down the
- 2:31Bitcoin rabbit hole, its adoption curve, which he defines
- 2:34as the number of nonzero addresses, was very steep.
- 2:37It resembled the S curve for mobile phones during the 1980s
- 2:40and 90s. Also echoing Michael Saylor, who
- 2:43called that one and was one of the first ones on Wall Street to
- 2:46get in other? Than jury and Timmer because
- 2:48Fidelity got involved in 2015. Even been mining as far back as
- 2:52such. So let's get into more of what
- 2:53Timmer was talking about. Bitcoin is exponential gold, but
- 2:57what makes it valuable? Well, monetary debasement.
- 2:59I mean, Bitcoin was designed to be the safe haven now more into
- 3:03Timmers projections as he hints at a bullish Bitcoin future.
- 3:07If history rhymes say it followed 2011 and 2013 trends.
- 3:11He believes this could catapult Bitcoin to 700 KA.
- 3:13More modest outlook mirroring 2017.
- 3:17Just a rise to 200, three, 100K we talked about yesterday.
- 3:20We kind of talk about it all the time, but there appears to be an
- 3:23awakening to the understanding that there is Bitcoin and then
- 3:26there's everything else from Larry Fink and we got more of
- 3:29that coming. Michael Saylor, this FTX debacle
- 3:32was a great advertisement for why Bitcoin and not crypto.
- 3:35But right here and this is. Again, Jurian Timmer.
- 3:38He created this risk reward chart for investment assets and
- 3:43the report stated that Bitcoins risk reward is in a different
- 3:46universe and they're not wrong. Well, I mean, think about FTX.
- 3:49I mean, you could look back now. FTX created it.
- 3:52Its failure was it's creating its own token.
- 3:54It was not a defy. It wasn't, it wasn't a, you
- 3:58know, a a Ledger that was open to the world.
- 4:00It was a clear Ledger, right. It was not distributed.
- 4:03So the whole foundation of what crypto is, it's supposed to be a
- 4:07distributed Ledger. That is.
- 4:09Across the system, I actually believe this technology is going
- 4:13to be very important. Man, it's very interesting.
- 4:16Take a look at the past couple days of Simply Bitcoin Live and
- 4:18yesterday's episode. Kind of getting into this, but
- 4:21everyone is flying to quality, flying to safety.
- 4:24But what are they fleeing from? And that is essential.
- 4:26And it is the insane economic damage that has been caused by
- 4:30central planners, the Fed and inept politicians for.
- 4:33Way too long and Bitcoin is here to rebalance the scales and give
- 4:37that power back to the people exposure.
- 4:39Really. Yes.
- 4:41I'm encouraged by how many people are focusing on it.
- 4:44I'm encouraged about the narrative, but I don't believe
- 4:47we should think about crypto as a substitute of currency.
- 4:50But I am fascinated by it as an asset class, specifically on.
- 4:54Bitcoin. We're a believer in digitization
- 4:58of products and we do believe it could revolutionize finance.
- 5:02It's digitized. Sizing gold in many ways as a
- 5:06hedge against inflation, a hedge against the devaluation of your
- 5:09currency. Bitcoin is an international
- 5:12asset, and so it can represent a asset that people can play as an
- 5:17alternative. The foundation of BlackRock is
- 5:20about hope. The institutional floodgates are
- 5:25about to open and it is epic that we've had the opportunity
- 5:28to front run these people. But be sure to self custody your
- 5:31Bitcoin, get them off exchanges and if you need any help using
- 5:34Bitcoin best practices or have questions on what wallets, what
- 5:38nodes, things of that nature, well we got just the guys to get
- 5:41you started. As your dedicated Bitcoin IT
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- 5:45you from start to finish on your journey to properly self custody
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- 6:01Book a free 30 minute call to get started using that link
- 6:04below. So much major bullish news
- 6:05coming out the past few weeks and it looks like Vanguard and
- 6:08Van Eck and BlackRock are kind of projecting the ETF to be
- 6:11approved by the end of this month.
- 6:13So buckle up guys, make sure to like, subscribe, share that
- 6:16sound money gospel. We got some more fun stuff
- 6:18coming your way this weekend, so make sure set those
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- 6:22the breaking news. Out there, follow all things
- 6:24simply and we will be your guide through the peaceful Bitcoin
- 6:27revolution. I'll catch you all tomorrow.
- 6:29Peace.