Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 3 Showdown | May 17, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

PGA Round 3 Showdown | May 17, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:00
Speaker 1: Yah h h yo, yo yo. What is going on
0:51
Speaker 1: golf fans, it's your boy g s lu Q with
0:53
Speaker 1: our Round three live stream for the PGA Championship. You're
0:55
Speaker 1: gonna get you ready for all of your moving day
0:57
Speaker 1: exposure with a look at some of the strategy for borrow,
1:00
Speaker 1: a web report as well, how that'll impact play for Saturday,
1:03
Speaker 1: as well as any questions down to chat and some
1:06
Speaker 1: player pull stuff as well. So we're gonna get you
1:08
Speaker 1: ready for everything that you need to have yourself a
1:10
Speaker 1: successful slate, and today ended up being a really good
1:13
Speaker 1: one for yours truly, and a few people in my
1:15
Speaker 1: community take down contest today which I didn't have a takedown,
1:18
Speaker 1: but the next best thing is for people that subscribe
1:20
Speaker 1: to my page, they go out there and do that
1:22
Speaker 1: for me, and ended up being a profitable day for
1:25
Speaker 1: my exposure. So if I can win some money, people
1:28
Speaker 1: in my community can go out there and win first flys,
1:31
Speaker 1: that kind of thing, I'm going to be pretty satisfied
1:33
Speaker 1: with it. So hopefully you guys out there were able
1:35
Speaker 1: to take advantage yourselves. If not, we've still got a
1:38
Speaker 1: couple other rounds to get you guys towards the top.
1:40
Speaker 1: End of the leaderboards, and Saturday moving Day should be
1:42
Speaker 1: a good day to get it started. They got ourselves
1:44
Speaker 1: what looks like a very spicy forecast, a leaderboard that
1:47
Speaker 1: seems to be shaping up a little bit better than
1:50
Speaker 1: what it was after Thursday. My mainstaate exposure is a
1:53
Speaker 1: going to be average at best, i'd say on a
1:55
Speaker 1: week like this, But that's what I love about showdown.
1:57
Speaker 1: So we got go Coluck down there already. Wane as well,
2:00
Speaker 1: got Allen. He says, I'm the goat, and he says,
2:02
Speaker 1: thank you for all that you do. I appreciate people
2:05
Speaker 1: like Alan that show up to all these live streams.
2:07
Speaker 1: Goku left a regular hell we see Wayne and a
2:09
Speaker 1: lot of these as well. Thank you guys for being
2:11
Speaker 1: the best community out there. So speaking up, smash that
2:15
Speaker 1: like bund if you guys haven't already, and also subscribe
2:18
Speaker 1: to the channel so you guys don't miss any of
2:19
Speaker 1: the content to come. But let's start with the look
2:21
Speaker 1: at the golf course, which today played flat across the board.
2:25
Speaker 1: Wasn't really a difference between the morning and afternoon, scoring
2:28
Speaker 1: about four to one hundreds of a stroke different, So
2:30
Speaker 1: I would say next to no real difference there, which
2:33
Speaker 1: was kind of predictable with the weather forecast looking flatter,
2:36
Speaker 1: but I thought it might be closer to like point
2:38
Speaker 1: one point two shots either way didn't really matter which
2:42
Speaker 1: side of the draw you played, and that's how I
2:44
Speaker 1: went out there and built my player pole. I didn't
2:46
Speaker 1: really take one side or of the other in terms
2:48
Speaker 1: of the draw, and ended up being the right kind
2:50
Speaker 1: of strategy for today. What was more important was going
2:53
Speaker 1: after fading a lot of that shock and trying to
2:55
Speaker 1: find your poppers, which in terms of today, I played
2:58
Speaker 1: a lot of them in my player pool. I wish
3:00
Speaker 1: I would have had some Seawoo Kim or else. I
3:02
Speaker 1: would have had a few more takedowns, but Max Homa
3:04
Speaker 1: was one of my best plays of the day. You
3:06
Speaker 1: mentioned Juaque Neeman yesterday as one of the guys I
3:09
Speaker 1: wanted to get over the field on Bryce Dschimbeau was
3:11
Speaker 1: also one of my better plays of the round. Garcia
3:15
Speaker 1: Corey Connors were players that I was using in my
3:17
Speaker 1: player pool, and a lot of bounce back guys like
3:20
Speaker 1: Corey Connors was over par after the first day. Sergio
3:23
Speaker 1: Garcia shot plus four, then went out there with that
3:25
Speaker 1: minus three that's the power of getting to bounce back.
3:28
Speaker 1: Since you know, even a Joaque Neieman he went out
3:31
Speaker 1: after shooting plus three and shot minus four today in
3:34
Speaker 1: nex Homa, if you didn't take a shot on those
3:36
Speaker 1: guys that were over par, the players that were bounced
3:39
Speaker 1: that candidates, as some would say, again plus two was
3:42
Speaker 1: the scoring average for round number one, you wouldn't have
3:44
Speaker 1: gone on to a lot of these kind of players.
3:46
Speaker 1: So that's normally the case for a round two showdown,
3:48
Speaker 1: we see a lot of those bounce back performances, and
3:51
Speaker 1: up here at the top there was really no one
3:53
Speaker 1: outside of a Matt Fitzpatrick that was chalky that ended
3:57
Speaker 1: up having a low round. So outside of some of
3:59
Speaker 1: your scuds like Scotti that are always going to get
4:01
Speaker 1: that ownership, your mid to lower tier players that had
4:04
Speaker 1: the spike performances where for the most part, relatively low owned.
4:07
Speaker 1: So that's part of the reason why I had a
4:09
Speaker 1: pretty good day with my exposure. Anytime the chalk busts,
4:12
Speaker 1: for the most part, it's going to be a good day,
4:14
Speaker 1: and that's how I build my player pole as well.
4:16
Speaker 1: So it kind of makes sense that my community would
4:18
Speaker 1: have had such a good day on a day like this,
4:21
Speaker 1: because I'm so you know, stringing about making sure to
4:23
Speaker 1: avoid that chop. Now for tomorrow, the ownership trying to
4:26
Speaker 1: target one side versus the other is I think going
4:29
Speaker 1: to be a much harder thing to go and break
4:31
Speaker 1: down because we've got ourselves a really nasty weather forecast.
4:35
Speaker 1: The entire day. It looks like it's gonna be a
4:36
Speaker 1: lot dustier than rounds one to two. In fact, in
4:39
Speaker 1: the afternoon you got sustained winds closer to twenty miles
4:42
Speaker 1: an hour and win gus closer to thirty miles an hour,
4:44
Speaker 1: even forty miles an hour as a little bit of
4:47
Speaker 1: a front comes through the area. So what you'll see
4:49
Speaker 1: on some of these other forecasts is not as some
4:51
Speaker 1: of them are calling for that storm to come through,
4:54
Speaker 1: and some of them aren't calling for any kind of
4:56
Speaker 1: a rain. So this is for the Pineville which is
4:59
Speaker 1: the same area as you have this golf course in,
5:01
Speaker 1: and what you'll see tomorrow morning is that they're not
5:03
Speaker 1: calling for any sort of rain. It's just cloudy in
5:05
Speaker 1: this forecast, and the sustained winds are lower. It's closer
5:08
Speaker 1: to six seven miles an hour in the morning. On
5:11
Speaker 1: this kind of a weather model, whereas in the afternoon
5:13
Speaker 1: it jumps up to about double that, to a thirteen
5:15
Speaker 1: fifteen miles an hour sustained. And if you click on
5:18
Speaker 1: these and if you can find one that has the
5:20
Speaker 1: wind gusts on it, it's like twenty five thirty mile
5:22
Speaker 1: an hour wind gusts. So you know, it tends to
5:24
Speaker 1: agree with the PM side of this H triple R model.
5:27
Speaker 1: But this rain coming through, if that dodges the area
5:30
Speaker 1: and it ends up being calm, pretty pristine conditions for
5:34
Speaker 1: the morning hours, there could be a massive difference with
5:37
Speaker 1: the scoring. Not like first to the first two days
5:39
Speaker 1: where it was four to one hundreds of a stroke
5:41
Speaker 1: round one, it was like point three strokes between the
5:43
Speaker 1: two different sides. If we have no wins for the
5:46
Speaker 1: morning guys, And again this is assuming that we're getting
5:48
Speaker 1: two sums off of one. Because of this potential weather situation,
5:52
Speaker 1: there's the off chance they decide to go in three
5:54
Speaker 1: sumes off of both sides. It's a major championship, so
5:57
Speaker 1: they're going to do their best to avoid that situation
5:59
Speaker 1: at all. It's kind of like the lift clean and place.
6:01
Speaker 1: It's sacked religious to do it when you have one
6:04
Speaker 1: of the four majors on the line. But if they're
6:06
Speaker 1: going off on two sums off of one, and we're
6:09
Speaker 1: gonna look at some of the other weather models on
6:11
Speaker 1: here as well, I think there could be a distinct
6:13
Speaker 1: advantage just stacking those earlier starters. And if it is
6:16
Speaker 1: two sums off of whole number one, that means it's
6:19
Speaker 1: going to be the guys that just made the cut
6:21
Speaker 1: that are going off first. And there's a lot of
6:23
Speaker 1: the JIT players that are just on that cut line.
6:25
Speaker 1: I'm thinking about Exander or Rory McRory in particular, there
6:28
Speaker 1: are gonna be some of the first three groups off
6:30
Speaker 1: if they have those kind of tea times. You've also
6:32
Speaker 1: got you're seeing burns of the world. I think you
6:34
Speaker 1: made the cut. We'll have to double check on his
6:35
Speaker 1: last few holes there. But a lot of the GIT
6:38
Speaker 1: players in that seven eight K range that you could
6:40
Speaker 1: throw into lineups. And the reason why I think that,
6:43
Speaker 1: the reason why I even thought to look at some
6:44
Speaker 1: of these other weather models to begin with, is if
6:47
Speaker 1: you take a look at like this h triple RDS,
6:49
Speaker 1: you can see in the morning they're calling for lower
6:51
Speaker 1: wins and no rain coming through. Is anym model also
6:54
Speaker 1: a little bit calmer in the morning that what you
6:56
Speaker 1: have in the afternoon, and none of that precipitation. Now
6:59
Speaker 1: some of them even have precipitation in the afternoon. So
7:02
Speaker 1: this is the kind of forecast that kind of scares
7:04
Speaker 1: me into thinking they might do three sumes. But hopefully
7:07
Speaker 1: at some point during this live stream we can get
7:09
Speaker 1: the starting times for Round three, and I'm even going
7:12
Speaker 1: to check right now, so they haven't posted them quite yet.
7:15
Speaker 1: If it is those twosomes off of one at least
7:17
Speaker 1: as of the current forecast that we're looking at here,
7:20
Speaker 1: I think I'm targeting these morning guys for a lot
7:22
Speaker 1: of my leverage in because it's a round three showdown slate.
7:25
Speaker 1: It's not Round four where you have to prioritize guys
7:27
Speaker 1: towards the top. That might be three four players at
7:30
Speaker 1: least per lineup that I'm using towards the middle to
7:32
Speaker 1: the beginning end of tea times, just to make sure
7:35
Speaker 1: I'm getting those low owned players. So this is the
7:37
Speaker 1: kind of weather forecast that we're really going to have
7:39
Speaker 1: to keep an eye on. The GFS model, which by
7:41
Speaker 1: the way, is one of the more reliable out of
7:43
Speaker 1: the four or five that we have on here. Same
7:45
Speaker 1: thing with H triple R. It's why we can't completely
7:48
Speaker 1: dismiss this forecast at hand. This one's also calling for
7:51
Speaker 1: some rain. But if it's rain without thunderstorms in the
7:54
Speaker 1: morning and low wins, I would rather have players that
7:57
Speaker 1: are playing in a little bit of a drizzle and
7:59
Speaker 1: no end, then going off later when it's plowing thirty
8:02
Speaker 1: miles an hour. So it's a hard one to break down,
8:05
Speaker 1: as I was saying off the bat, but at least
8:08
Speaker 1: as of the information that I have right now, it
8:11
Speaker 1: would be the morning guys that get the slightly better
8:13
Speaker 1: side of it. But if you're somebody that's playing DFS,
8:15
Speaker 1: don't take that as the absolute gospel. You're going to
8:18
Speaker 1: have to check up on this one yourself. And even
8:20
Speaker 1: if we take this information and it ends up holding
8:23
Speaker 1: up throughout the entire night, it's not the kind of
8:25
Speaker 1: advantage where you're only going after morning guys. There are
8:28
Speaker 1: going to be some later starters that make sense to
8:30
Speaker 1: mix in. I've already started building my playerpool, when I
8:33
Speaker 1: can tell you right now that there are later starters
8:35
Speaker 1: that I'm planning on using already, just because it might
8:38
Speaker 1: be a half a stroke to a stroke difference doesn't
8:40
Speaker 1: mean that you have to take yourself off of guys
8:42
Speaker 1: that really fit the things that you're looking for in
8:45
Speaker 1: round three. So we're going to talk about the things
8:47
Speaker 1: that I'm looking for in my playerapool tomorrow. It's mostly
8:50
Speaker 1: what we typically have on these streams, ball strikers, short
8:52
Speaker 1: game regression guys, high upside players, but I'm also looking
8:55
Speaker 1: for some wind players. It's worth noting with this forecast
8:58
Speaker 1: that it's going to be a different set of conditions
9:01
Speaker 1: than what you've had for the first few days. Not
9:03
Speaker 1: to say that the shots game metrics aren't as impactful,
9:06
Speaker 1: but if somebody's known for being a really good win player,
9:09
Speaker 1: a mutter, whatever the case may be, some of these
9:11
Speaker 1: guys that have played well in open championships before DP
9:14
Speaker 1: World Tour, guys that have won a nasty conditions might
9:17
Speaker 1: be worth a few extra looks over here for moving
9:19
Speaker 1: day's actions. So the weather going to be a hot topic,
9:22
Speaker 1: something that if you plan on playing the slate at all,
9:25
Speaker 1: you should be at least setting alarm tomorrow to go
9:28
Speaker 1: out there and check it, because it could have a
9:30
Speaker 1: rather drastic impact on the strategy involved. It's going on
9:33
Speaker 1: to Peach. Welcome on, and we got Brian down there too.
9:36
Speaker 1: The Lovely Jubbly meme is one of the most legendary
9:39
Speaker 1: that we have out there. I said, what the hell
9:41
Speaker 1: got into Luky Glove's approach game? He gained like five
9:44
Speaker 1: strokes approach today, so I was going hole by whole sites.
9:47
Speaker 1: I thought he might have holed out or something, but nope,
9:50
Speaker 1: just good old darts over and over again. So he's
9:53
Speaker 1: he's a flusher for sure, and cheers to him. He
9:56
Speaker 1: got some coffee tonight, by the way, still taking it easy.
9:59
Speaker 1: He said Scotty was the best donkey. Yeah he was
10:02
Speaker 1: high owned, but I played Scotty today, so I'm kind
10:05
Speaker 1: of glad that he had himself around. He said, keep
10:07
Speaker 1: up the good work. I appreciate you ed spicy conditions
10:10
Speaker 1: for sure, and then he said, do I play any
10:13
Speaker 1: weekend only contests? I don't myself, Jake, so something that
10:17
Speaker 1: I don't have a bunch of experience with. I kind
10:20
Speaker 1: of get what to do with this strategy, but I
10:22
Speaker 1: don't have enough field test, Like I literally have never
10:25
Speaker 1: played a weekend contest before to feel really good about
10:29
Speaker 1: giving advice. But if you have any specific questions, I
10:31
Speaker 1: guess I can give it a go, but not something
10:33
Speaker 1: that I play a whole lot of in my exposure.
10:36
Speaker 1: Let's go through what I'm looking for in my player
10:37
Speaker 1: for and I do want to refresh this one more
10:39
Speaker 1: time just to see if we have the tea times
10:41
Speaker 1: and they haven't posted those quite yet. Again, those twosomes
10:45
Speaker 1: off of one are really what I'm hoping to see
10:47
Speaker 1: so that we can find some leverage towards the bottom.
10:49
Speaker 1: But what I'm gonna focus on next would be the
10:51
Speaker 1: shots game metrics, and I'm gonna go ahead and refresh
10:54
Speaker 1: this so that we have everything up to date, and
10:56
Speaker 1: we're gonna look at the ball striking stats first, and
10:58
Speaker 1: just like round number one, like to take a look
11:00
Speaker 1: at who was hitting the ball well today to try
11:02
Speaker 1: and find some low owned pivots, since you know your
11:05
Speaker 1: Max homes of the world that had a spike performance
11:07
Speaker 1: both with his approach play and with his short game categories.
11:10
Speaker 1: Maybe not the best option for it, because as a
11:13
Speaker 1: top five player, he's going to be a little bit
11:15
Speaker 1: higher rouned than some of the guys around him. But
11:17
Speaker 1: in Nikolai Huygard, who's t thirty six at this point
11:20
Speaker 1: about the middle end of guys that are making the cut.
11:22
Speaker 1: He gained four strokes approach today, but lost nearly two
11:26
Speaker 1: strokes in the short game category, so he'd be the
11:28
Speaker 1: sort of guy that I'd be looking to for a
11:30
Speaker 1: bounce back from Corey Connor. Same thing. He was very
11:33
Speaker 1: average in the short game the game's nearly four strokes
11:36
Speaker 1: on approach JJ Spawn he could say that about. But
11:39
Speaker 1: these kind of guys that had spike performances and are
11:41
Speaker 1: in the top twenty, like a Spawn, is going to
11:43
Speaker 1: get some ownership steam. So same thing with Corey Connors.
11:47
Speaker 1: Because he's in the eight to nine K range, those
11:49
Speaker 1: guys in general, just by defaults are going to get
11:51
Speaker 1: a lot of that ownership. And something worth noting about
11:54
Speaker 1: this slay in general, I've already started working on my
11:56
Speaker 1: ownership projections for my site. It's worth notting that towards
11:59
Speaker 1: the that there's not a bunch of guys that made
12:02
Speaker 1: the cut in the eight K range. In fact, the
12:04
Speaker 1: eight K range has one, two, three, four five players
12:07
Speaker 1: in total, So all of those guys are gonna have ownership.
12:11
Speaker 1: Corey Connors is one of them. That's why I wanted
12:12
Speaker 1: to point this out, and even your low owned guys
12:16
Speaker 1: in the eight K range are going to be at
12:18
Speaker 1: least like thirteen percent owns. And your nine K guys
12:20
Speaker 1: are also getting a little bit more steam than you
12:22
Speaker 1: would expect, mostly because of all the chalk that ended
12:25
Speaker 1: up missing the cut. So that happens sometimes when we
12:28
Speaker 1: have these round three slates and the pricing comes out beforehand.
12:31
Speaker 1: DraftKings doesn't expect a lot of the top end of
12:34
Speaker 1: the board to be missing rounds three and four, So
12:36
Speaker 1: when that happens, be get really big gaps in the pricing.
12:39
Speaker 1: And because people in DraftKings always spend all of their salary,
12:43
Speaker 1: I don't want to say always, but within like three
12:45
Speaker 1: hundred and four hundred dollars of the max is what
12:47
Speaker 1: like ninety nine percent of lineups utilize in every single
12:51
Speaker 1: contest because we know that you know that these guys
12:55
Speaker 1: are going to get played a lot more than the
12:57
Speaker 1: seven K players, So for example, eight guys or even
13:00
Speaker 1: like the top end of the seven K range. So
13:03
Speaker 1: your Kegan rallies at seventy nine hundred, saying with Johnny
13:05
Speaker 1: Vegas Cam Davis, who all have pretty respectable score so
13:09
Speaker 1: far this week, they're also getting a lot more steam.
13:11
Speaker 1: But if you go just a little bit further down
13:13
Speaker 1: the board, so the middle end of the seven K range,
13:16
Speaker 1: which by the way, the seven K range is massive
13:18
Speaker 1: for Round three showdown, like you have like eight nine
13:22
Speaker 1: times the players in the seven K range as to
13:25
Speaker 1: what you have of the AK range. The ownership is
13:27
Speaker 1: much much more spread out. So that's something to know
13:30
Speaker 1: before we even go through the shots game metrics is
13:32
Speaker 1: that like a Corey Connors. He might look really good
13:34
Speaker 1: on paper, and in fact, I'm using him in my
13:36
Speaker 1: player ball. I already have him down as a yes
13:38
Speaker 1: for the ball striking in my kind of exposure. But
13:41
Speaker 1: I really like the seven K guys for that leverage
13:44
Speaker 1: because there's so many more options and the ownership is
13:47
Speaker 1: going to be so much more spread out. So if
13:49
Speaker 1: you're gonna play an eight K guy like a Corey Connors,
13:52
Speaker 1: I would say just really like them. Even one of
13:54
Speaker 1: these lower nine K players like a Fleetwood Xander Rom
13:58
Speaker 1: all those guys like between nine and ninety five hundred dollars.
14:02
Speaker 1: They're also the lowest stone in that range is eighteen
14:05
Speaker 1: percent in my projection, So not kidding, eighteen percent is
14:08
Speaker 1: the lowest stoned player that you have in that range,
14:11
Speaker 1: and that's Joaque Neeman in my projections. If anyone was
14:14
Speaker 1: curious about the specific player that range, Like, no matter
14:18
Speaker 1: who you use, you're gonna have ownership on it. So
14:20
Speaker 1: up top, it's kind of just play your guys, is
14:22
Speaker 1: what I'm saying here. Like, if you like a Tommy Fleetwood,
14:25
Speaker 1: despite him being one of the more popular players on
14:27
Speaker 1: the slate, I've got him over twenty percent, then use
14:30
Speaker 1: the Tommy Fleetwood because the pivot around him Jauque Neeman
14:33
Speaker 1: is like two percent lower out I guess that's what
14:35
Speaker 1: I'm trying to get out there. And then even up top,
14:37
Speaker 1: I've got Scotty at nearly forty percent projected ownership, so
14:40
Speaker 1: he's going to be the guy that most people are clicking.
14:42
Speaker 1: I've got Rising at twenty one percent. I've got Rory
14:45
Speaker 1: mc right over twenty five percent projected ownership. So even
14:49
Speaker 1: if you like Scotty, the ownership shouldn't be the reason
14:52
Speaker 1: for hopping off of him. And the only pivots that
14:54
Speaker 1: I see towards the top end of the board, and
14:56
Speaker 1: there's only one of them, actually is Colin more Kabba.
14:59
Speaker 1: Colin more Kaba because he's been very average to this point,
15:01
Speaker 1: kind of going under the radar, I've got at sub
15:04
Speaker 1: fifteen percent ownership. Of the other guys that are eighty
15:08
Speaker 1: five hundred dollars and above, there's not any single player
15:11
Speaker 1: that is below fifteen percent projected owns. So that's something
15:15
Speaker 1: I wanted to bring up with by projections on this side,
15:17
Speaker 1: because this slate in the ownership up top in general
15:20
Speaker 1: is just so convoluted. It's an unfortunate side effect of
15:24
Speaker 1: when you have all these guys missing the cut, but
15:26
Speaker 1: everyone has to deal with it. So just kind of
15:28
Speaker 1: know that ahead of time. Let's go through a few
15:30
Speaker 1: other plays here with the ball striking that might make
15:32
Speaker 1: some sense. I like to try and find some short
15:34
Speaker 1: game regression candidates, but all these guys in general that
15:37
Speaker 1: gained with the ball striking are going to be players
15:39
Speaker 1: that I'd be considering. A Joacane Neeman, right we mentioned
15:41
Speaker 1: him on yesterday's stream. He also gained near the three
15:44
Speaker 1: strokes putting, so I don't know if I'd count on
15:46
Speaker 1: him to do that in back to back rounds, but
15:48
Speaker 1: it is good to see that the ball striking has
15:50
Speaker 1: been there for the first two days at this point,
15:52
Speaker 1: there's the looky gloves round that we were talking about
15:55
Speaker 1: in chat before, there's five shots gained to the positive a.
15:59
Speaker 1: Tony Fenu also really solid in both ball striking categories,
16:02
Speaker 1: about a neutral with the short game. So the kind
16:05
Speaker 1: of player that I'll be using in my exposure. The
16:07
Speaker 1: other thing to note is that if you can find
16:10
Speaker 1: these guys that have good shots, game metrics, and that
16:12
Speaker 1: are good wind players, and there's a really good chance
16:15
Speaker 1: that I'm using them in for example, Corey Connors, he's
16:18
Speaker 1: been at least from what I've noticed over the years.
16:20
Speaker 1: On Tori's played well when you've had some windy conditions.
16:23
Speaker 1: Makes sense because he's a low spin player. And Tony
16:25
Speaker 1: Fenow the same thing. He's had a lot of low
16:27
Speaker 1: rounds when you've had these windy conditions. He had a
16:30
Speaker 1: pretty low round today's respectable Round one two. But I
16:33
Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna be megachalky like for example, Tony
16:36
Speaker 1: feen Now in my projections, because he's in the seven
16:39
Speaker 1: thousand dollars range. Like if he was in the eight
16:42
Speaker 1: thousand dollar range, Tony Feenow would probably be like nearly
16:44
Speaker 1: twenty percent out. Should you not? Because there's not that
16:47
Speaker 1: many guys to choose from in the eight k range.
16:49
Speaker 1: But because he's seventy five hundred dollars for tomorrow Showdown
16:53
Speaker 1: and you've got just a million guys around him in
16:56
Speaker 1: the pricing, Like there's just like ten guys in either
16:59
Speaker 1: direction that are within like three hundred and four hundred
17:02
Speaker 1: dollars of his price tag, there's just too many players
17:05
Speaker 1: to use in that range for him to be that
17:07
Speaker 1: kind of mega chalk. So that's why I like a
17:09
Speaker 1: Tony final who has that wind prowess and has these
17:12
Speaker 1: kind of shots. Game metrics just something that you might
17:14
Speaker 1: want to add on top of your process too. And
17:16
Speaker 1: you'll see if you guys are part of my Patreon
17:18
Speaker 1: page and you guys are downloading my sheets later, you're
17:21
Speaker 1: literally going to see that there are players that I'm
17:23
Speaker 1: using that are just good wind players. Tony Fenale's board
17:26
Speaker 1: the ball striking that I like. But if you can
17:27
Speaker 1: find that and the wind, then that's even better. Like
17:30
Speaker 1: I said, if the other players that kind of stand out,
17:32
Speaker 1: you got to make sure that they made the cut,
17:34
Speaker 1: so Fishburn, Jordan Steeth, it would have been great if
17:37
Speaker 1: they made it through the weekends, but that's not going
17:39
Speaker 1: to be the case Sergery Garcia, though was great with
17:41
Speaker 1: the ball striking today, it's going to be right on
17:44
Speaker 1: that cut line. So if it ends up being the
17:46
Speaker 1: two sums off of one that we're hoping for, he
17:48
Speaker 1: would be getting potentially the better side of conditions. And
17:51
Speaker 1: again we got to add that potentially there, because that
17:53
Speaker 1: quote unquote weather edge is far from a first sure thing.
17:57
Speaker 1: But if it ends up being that the morning is calmer,
18:00
Speaker 1: then that could be great for Sergio Garcia, and he's
18:02
Speaker 1: throwing darts out there as well. And the other thing
18:05
Speaker 1: to know with these earlier players, and it goes without saying,
18:07
Speaker 1: but if you're due to pjadfs, maybe it isn't as obvious,
18:10
Speaker 1: but these are your low owned pivots as well, because
18:12
Speaker 1: they're not playing as well. They're further down the leaderboard
18:15
Speaker 1: T sixty two, you know your thirties forties with your
18:19
Speaker 1: placement right now, those kind of guys aren't going to
18:21
Speaker 1: get nearly as much steam as your players starting in
18:24
Speaker 1: the top five, top ten, for example. That's there's a
18:26
Speaker 1: reason why Scott he's nearly forty percent projected in my projections.
18:29
Speaker 1: There's a reason why even a Rory now John Rahm,
18:32
Speaker 1: who's under par are going to be twenty twenty five
18:35
Speaker 1: percent ownership in GPPs tomorrow, whereas your Sergio Garcia is
18:39
Speaker 1: down in the six to seven k range, they're gonna
18:41
Speaker 1: be sub five percent oudent. If you know anything about
18:44
Speaker 1: my process for rounds two and through four showdown. When
18:46
Speaker 1: it comes to building lineups, it is all about trying
18:48
Speaker 1: to find that leverage, and in particular for rounds two
18:50
Speaker 1: and three when we don't have the placement points. Nicholas
18:53
Speaker 1: Norgard Muller would have also been a really good play
18:55
Speaker 1: to have make the cut, but you can see he's
18:58
Speaker 1: there at plus three, so but shots profile would have
19:00
Speaker 1: been really good on that sort of guy. Daniel Berger
19:03
Speaker 1: continues to lose shots games putting in every single round,
19:07
Speaker 1: yet from tee to green is an absolute monster. So
19:10
Speaker 1: if you're a believer in that coming around, you can
19:12
Speaker 1: still use them. I've played them like every round for
19:15
Speaker 1: the last few tournaments. He hasn't had like a true
19:18
Speaker 1: spike performance, but he's been decent over that range. Like
19:21
Speaker 1: he's consistently been above average with the DraftKings Fantasy Scorer,
19:25
Speaker 1: so he's far from killed me when I've used him
19:27
Speaker 1: in some of those GPPs. But whenever he finds a
19:30
Speaker 1: way to just gain a few strokes putting, he's going
19:32
Speaker 1: to be the absolute nuts. So I'm going to continue
19:34
Speaker 1: to roll him out this Marco Peng he won or Penge, sorry,
19:38
Speaker 1: that's how you say his name. I heard it on
19:39
Speaker 1: the broadcast today. He won on the DP World Tour
19:42
Speaker 1: before heading over here for this event. He lost four
19:45
Speaker 1: strokes putting today, So that's the kind of guy I'd
19:48
Speaker 1: be looking for a little bit of a bounce back from. Now.
19:50
Speaker 1: Can we count on him to gain, you know, the
19:52
Speaker 1: free strokes around the green. Absolutely not, that's unsustainable, But
19:55
Speaker 1: he's also due to come around a little bit with
19:57
Speaker 1: the putter, and that in a positive way. Taylor Pendrith here,
20:01
Speaker 1: he was about on neutral with the short game, but
20:03
Speaker 1: he gained over two strokes with the ball striking categories.
20:06
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be against looking at him in a few lineups.
20:09
Speaker 1: He is at T seventeen minus three, so he might
20:11
Speaker 1: be getting a little bit more steam than some of
20:13
Speaker 1: the other guys around him. But the ball striking metrics
20:16
Speaker 1: are very favorable on that sort of player, and we're
20:19
Speaker 1: starting to get down to like the two to one
20:21
Speaker 1: and a half shots gained range, where these guys aren't
20:23
Speaker 1: sticking out nearly as much. But in general, the higher
20:26
Speaker 1: your shots gained ball striking from today, the better they're
20:29
Speaker 1: going to project for tomorrow. And it's not the only
20:31
Speaker 1: thing I'm looking at, of course, but it's something that
20:33
Speaker 1: I add on top of a player's baseline. And the
20:36
Speaker 1: other thing I really like to focus on would be
20:37
Speaker 1: the short game categories, and it's for the exact opposite
20:40
Speaker 1: reason because unlike the ball striking you're off, the t
20:43
Speaker 1: approach played by the way is what constitutes shots gained
20:46
Speaker 1: ball striking. Those categories are rather consistent from day to
20:49
Speaker 1: day and round to round. A player's golf swing, how
20:52
Speaker 1: they're actually hitting the golf ball is something that they
20:54
Speaker 1: can maintain for even months at a time out here
20:57
Speaker 1: on tour, and it's not like every single round if
20:59
Speaker 1: they're hitting the ball the eggs, but in general, if
21:01
Speaker 1: they're gaining strokes to the field. There's players that even
21:04
Speaker 1: do that for years of a time, like Scottie Shuffler,
21:06
Speaker 1: for example, he gains ball striking almost every single week.
21:08
Speaker 1: These sort of players can normally keep it going. However,
21:12
Speaker 1: the short game so the around the green and the
21:14
Speaker 1: putting is what constitutes shots gain. Short game are much
21:17
Speaker 1: more variants. Getting the ball in the whole A lot
21:19
Speaker 1: of it requires luck on the greens, getting the right
21:22
Speaker 1: sort of bounces on the greens, getting the right sort
21:24
Speaker 1: of putts where you're not putting downhill all day with sliders.
21:27
Speaker 1: Putting uphill directly into the slopes is a massive part
21:31
Speaker 1: of actually making birdies. And on top of that, if
21:34
Speaker 1: you're chipping, and you're chipping in multiple times during a round,
21:37
Speaker 1: that is almost entirely a lock. And you can say
21:39
Speaker 1: it's skill. Sure, if you're a better chipper, you're going
21:41
Speaker 1: to make more chips from around the green, But even
21:44
Speaker 1: the best chippers of the ball have to have a
21:45
Speaker 1: lot to go their way for the ball to find
21:48
Speaker 1: the bottom and actually to make a BIRDI er an eagle.
21:51
Speaker 1: So these sort of guys that gained a whole bunch
21:53
Speaker 1: of strokes in these categories are not the kind of
21:55
Speaker 1: players that expect to do it in back to back days.
21:57
Speaker 1: So Seawu Kim, he's ripping darts on the golf course.
22:00
Speaker 1: Now he had the hole in one on a ridiculously
22:03
Speaker 1: hard part of three super impressive stuff, but it's kind
22:06
Speaker 1: of full's gold. If you look at his round today,
22:08
Speaker 1: he gained over four strokes putting a lot of the shots,
22:11
Speaker 1: gained approach, in fact, over almost all of it, in fact,
22:14
Speaker 1: two point two strokes and one shot over there on
22:17
Speaker 1: whole number six. So that's the reason why he looks
22:19
Speaker 1: so good. In reality, he lost strokes on approach on
22:22
Speaker 1: every single hole other than that one hole at six.
22:25
Speaker 1: He gained all of his strokes with the short game
22:27
Speaker 1: in That's not something that Sembu Kim does very often.
22:30
Speaker 1: Some of these guys missed the cut that gained a
22:32
Speaker 1: whole bunch of strokes putting. But Sam Stevens, for example,
22:35
Speaker 1: that also gained nearly two strokes around the green like
22:37
Speaker 1: he's a fade for a fade for me tomorrow, a
22:40
Speaker 1: Jake Knap if he had made the cut right, he's
22:41
Speaker 1: the kind of guy and potentially wont to fade as well,
22:44
Speaker 1: and a grazierman. Though it's great, a great story that
22:47
Speaker 1: he made the cut on the number. He threw a
22:48
Speaker 1: dart out eighteen, made a five footer to make it
22:51
Speaker 1: to the weekend. He was all short game today and
22:53
Speaker 1: he lost three strokes off the team nearly four strokes
22:56
Speaker 1: in that category. That feels a little bit worrisome to me.
22:59
Speaker 1: So the short categories of things I'm looking to fit
23:02
Speaker 1: around the green the same thing. So a fleetwood, a penge,
23:05
Speaker 1: as I was pointing out before players that got a
23:07
Speaker 1: little bit lucky there. And Cam Davis, by the way,
23:09
Speaker 1: just to do a little bit of a case example
23:13
Speaker 1: here on Cam Davis. Let's look at Cam Davis the
23:15
Speaker 1: first three rounds. So first round he gained six strokes putting.
23:18
Speaker 1: We mentioned that he's due to come back down to earth. Right,
23:21
Speaker 1: he gained six strokes putting. You're not going to do
23:23
Speaker 1: that the next day. But what he do today he
23:25
Speaker 1: lost three point four strokes putting. Now the around the
23:28
Speaker 1: green was still there. He gained two point four strokes
23:30
Speaker 1: in that category. But tomorrow it's highly unlikely that he's
23:33
Speaker 1: going to do that either. And because he struggled with
23:36
Speaker 1: the ball striking, this shots gained profile is kind of
23:39
Speaker 1: exactly what we thought would happen. He had that really
23:41
Speaker 1: good round one, but he did it in an unsustainable fashion,
23:44
Speaker 1: and now he came back down to earth. So I
23:47
Speaker 1: pointed out to show you an example of this short
23:49
Speaker 1: game actually happening in practicality, and it's look at Johnny
23:52
Speaker 1: Vegas too, and I don't even know what his shots
23:54
Speaker 1: gained profile looked today, but look at this, he lost
23:57
Speaker 1: zero point six seven shots gained putting today one he
24:00
Speaker 1: gained three point seven to seven. So these guys in
24:03
Speaker 1: a round two, just to go back to the top
24:05
Speaker 1: end of that list that are gaining a punch in
24:07
Speaker 1: both of these categories, like even a rory is a
24:09
Speaker 1: little bit of a red flag. Pave On for sure,
24:12
Speaker 1: that gained well over four strokes in these two categories
24:15
Speaker 1: are players that are likely not going to do that again.
24:18
Speaker 1: And on the flip side, you could take a look
24:19
Speaker 1: at the guys that lost a whole bunch of strokes
24:21
Speaker 1: in these categories to try and find the bounce back.
24:24
Speaker 1: But you've got to marry it up with good shots
24:25
Speaker 1: gained metrics. So for example, like a Cam Davis, his
24:28
Speaker 1: ball striking was very average today, whereas a Marco Penge, sure,
24:32
Speaker 1: he's the same kind of thing around the green by
24:35
Speaker 1: the way right, he got a little bit lucky in
24:36
Speaker 1: that category but lost with the putter. Look at his
24:39
Speaker 1: ball striking though he gained over two strokes between the
24:41
Speaker 1: two ball striking categories as opposed to camp Davis, who
24:44
Speaker 1: lost in those two categories. So if I was gonna
24:47
Speaker 1: look for a short game regression candidate, give me a
24:49
Speaker 1: pinge over a cam Davis. Also because Penges lower owned,
24:52
Speaker 1: he's not. No one really knows who he is, so
24:54
Speaker 1: no one's gonna use them. I only know of them
24:56
Speaker 1: because they watched the DP relatory times. And the other
24:59
Speaker 1: thing on top it is that Penjes way cheaper. He's
25:01
Speaker 1: towards the very bottom end of the pricing of guys
25:03
Speaker 1: who made the cut, and he opens up a lot
25:06
Speaker 1: more salary towards the top end of the board. But
25:08
Speaker 1: other examples of players that you'd use for a little
25:11
Speaker 1: bit of short game regression, right Daniel Berger. He's a
25:13
Speaker 1: player that was solid with the ball striking but lost
25:16
Speaker 1: those two strokes around the green. Benny Ann would be
25:18
Speaker 1: another short game regression candidate that I'd be considering for
25:21
Speaker 1: my lineups. That's how I use the shots game to
25:24
Speaker 1: metrics to my advantage and doesn't have to be the
25:26
Speaker 1: exact same process that you guys use for your lineups.
25:29
Speaker 1: Everyone should kind of have their own, you know, quirks,
25:31
Speaker 1: their own little things that they throw into their process
25:34
Speaker 1: that makes it different than others. But incorporating some of
25:37
Speaker 1: the things that we talk about here together could be
25:39
Speaker 1: a really good idea. A few other ideas for tomorrow's slate.
25:42
Speaker 1: You got the wind players, which I'm throwing on on
25:44
Speaker 1: top of this high upside players, the guys that make
25:46
Speaker 1: a whole lot of birdies are a good par five
25:48
Speaker 1: scorers a lot of times when we have windy, harder conditions,
25:51
Speaker 1: I go to those sort of guys because like a
25:54
Speaker 1: lot of your scoring on a windy day happens on
25:56
Speaker 1: the par fives when you can try and get it
25:58
Speaker 1: up near the green, get up and down for birdies.
26:01
Speaker 1: The driveabill Part four is going to be a source
26:03
Speaker 1: of a lot of your berdies for tomorrow. So you
26:05
Speaker 1: can look for some of those bombers to take advantage
26:07
Speaker 1: of those holes. And then you can look at Round
26:09
Speaker 1: three historical. The stone on ship it Nation that has
26:12
Speaker 1: the Round three historical on it. You can use that
26:14
Speaker 1: to your advantage on that website as well ship it Stone.
26:18
Speaker 1: What else you have on there. You have the approach series,
26:20
Speaker 1: the putting series that you can use bounce back rounds.
26:23
Speaker 1: They have that category on there as well, So if
26:25
Speaker 1: you want to try and find somebody that maybe struggled
26:28
Speaker 1: round two for a bounce back tomorrow. All of those
26:31
Speaker 1: tools are things that you can add on top of
26:32
Speaker 1: that process to even further refine your player pool. And
26:36
Speaker 1: I'm sure there's a million things on top of that
26:38
Speaker 1: that you can incorporate as well. Like you could look
26:40
Speaker 1: at poetrivolous putting, that's the surface for this. We can
26:43
Speaker 1: try and find guys that can pop and try and
26:45
Speaker 1: have those three four shots gamed putting. You can try
26:47
Speaker 1: and find good course history guys. Right, That's something that
26:50
Speaker 1: I do a lot of times in my process try
26:52
Speaker 1: and find guys that play well around a quill hollow.
26:54
Speaker 1: There's a million different things you could use to find
26:57
Speaker 1: players for your player pool. The key is in and
27:00
Speaker 1: this is really the key here, is to have a
27:02
Speaker 1: reason for playing guys in your player poll. That's something
27:05
Speaker 1: that I preach a bunch here on this channel, my
27:08
Speaker 1: channel wherever I'm doing content when it comes to showdown,
27:11
Speaker 1: is you should never be randomly using players. Even after
27:14
Speaker 1: the cut line, when we have like seventy and seventy five,
27:16
Speaker 1: seventy six guys, they're gonna end up making the weekend.
27:19
Speaker 1: You have enough pivots where you shouldn't just be taking
27:22
Speaker 1: guys because they're low owned, because there are enough low
27:25
Speaker 1: owned players on the slate where you can make that
27:27
Speaker 1: kind of thing happen. Now, having a website having projections
27:30
Speaker 1: that you can count on when it comes to the
27:33
Speaker 1: ownership is also a really key factor of being able
27:36
Speaker 1: to profit for your round three showdown process. So my
27:39
Speaker 1: website sites like ship it Nation that have the best
27:42
Speaker 1: ownership projections in the industry are key for going out
27:45
Speaker 1: there and doing so as well. So if your website
27:48
Speaker 1: isn't giving you reliable ownership projections, which I got to
27:50
Speaker 1: say yesterday, I saw some ownership projections around the industry
27:53
Speaker 1: that were laughable up top, Like people projected for like
27:58
Speaker 1: ten percent ownership that came in at twenty to thirty
28:00
Speaker 1: percent with your guys in like the nine to ten
28:03
Speaker 1: k range. If you were a part of a website
28:06
Speaker 1: that had projections like that that were just like two
28:08
Speaker 1: three x off, right, consider joining us at like mine
28:11
Speaker 1: or the ship at Nation. That is at least like
28:13
Speaker 1: when we're gonna get we're gonna get things wrong. I
28:15
Speaker 1: get things wrong all the time with ownership. You're never
28:17
Speaker 1: gonna be perfect when you're running that sort of thing,
28:19
Speaker 1: but at least be in the ballpark, right, don't be
28:22
Speaker 1: like two three x off on like the key players
28:25
Speaker 1: on the slate that you're trying to leverage or else.
28:27
Speaker 1: People that are using your website are gonna have like
28:30
Speaker 1: twenty percent of like let's say, as Scottie Shuffler and
28:33
Speaker 1: think that they have massive leverage to the field and
28:35
Speaker 1: when they don't out there in a lot of this contests.
28:38
Speaker 1: So uh, that's my rant about projections. Making sure that
28:42
Speaker 1: you guys are part of a good site. My site
28:44
Speaker 1: ship at Nation Crew are the best in the biz.
28:47
Speaker 1: So nothing but nice things I can say about either sites.
28:50
Speaker 1: And let's catch up on any playerful questions you've got
28:52
Speaker 1: down to chat. So where we leave off said, how
28:54
Speaker 1: you feeling about Maddy in the wind? So do you
28:56
Speaker 1: mean Matt Fitzpatrick? If you do mean Matty fits he
28:59
Speaker 1: tends to play well in the wins. You saw that
29:01
Speaker 1: when he won the US Open. Conditions were pretty nasty,
29:05
Speaker 1: especially on Saturday Sunday as well around that golf course.
29:09
Speaker 1: A few other guys, I mean a lot of your
29:10
Speaker 1: deep World Tour Europeans, not all of them, but like
29:14
Speaker 1: a norn, tends to be a little bit of a mutter.
29:16
Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood is known for that at times as well.
29:19
Speaker 1: A lot of guys you could say that about. You said,
29:21
Speaker 1: definitely appreciate my tips and knowledge. I appreciate you. Jay
29:24
Speaker 1: the football nerd, thank you down there in chat, he said,
29:28
Speaker 1: doesn't pfe look cheap with the I don't know what
29:30
Speaker 1: you're saying. We got a spammer in chat. I think
29:32
Speaker 1: I stopped reading. This guy is a well ban you
29:35
Speaker 1: and send you on your way. You bought well, we're
29:38
Speaker 1: trying to sell stocks in chat or something. Come on, now,
29:41
Speaker 1: we got Kirk and Harmon for a deep dive. Let's
29:43
Speaker 1: do it together. So Harmon not a name I was
29:46
Speaker 1: expecting to see, but definitely one will go through. He
29:49
Speaker 1: gained it the ball shaking categories, but lost short game,
29:51
Speaker 1: which for a player of his short stature is extremely surprising.
29:56
Speaker 1: He's one of the best short game players that we
29:57
Speaker 1: have on tour. So he's not my favorite because of
30:00
Speaker 1: his lack of distance off the tee. But this stat
30:03
Speaker 1: profile is like a seven seven and a half out
30:05
Speaker 1: of ten. It's it's favorable and then you're also wanted
30:07
Speaker 1: to look at Captain Kirk, So Kirk another shorter player
30:11
Speaker 1: that maybe isn't my favorite course fit, but the same
30:14
Speaker 1: kind of stat profile going on where he gained two
30:16
Speaker 1: strokes approach, he gained a little bit off the tee
30:18
Speaker 1: but lost a stroke with the flat stick. Yeah. Like
30:22
Speaker 1: and for a GPP flyer, I would like those sort
30:25
Speaker 1: of plays. I wouldn't be using these shorter hitters in
30:28
Speaker 1: a lot of my cash lineups. I wouldn't be using
30:31
Speaker 1: them in like my single entries either. To be frank,
30:34
Speaker 1: just because with the windy conditions, I really think the
30:36
Speaker 1: par five's and up scoring on that driveable par fours
30:39
Speaker 1: that's fourteen and eight, both of them are going to
30:41
Speaker 1: be reachable for some of your longer players. I think
30:44
Speaker 1: that that's really what I want to focus on from
30:46
Speaker 1: the scoring perspective. But lowchow GPPs, where Kirk's, your Harmon's
30:50
Speaker 1: are going to be super low owned. Like Kirk is
30:52
Speaker 1: right on the cut line, where's Harmon at He's a
30:56
Speaker 1: there at T sixty two as well, super low owned
30:58
Speaker 1: players that you could use in GPPs to get infinite
31:02
Speaker 1: leverage to the rest of the field. So I like
31:04
Speaker 1: them for that. Benny and he's is he a good
31:07
Speaker 1: wind player. I don't know too much about the win
31:09
Speaker 1: stuff with Benny Ann, but we'll look at the shots
31:11
Speaker 1: gained metrics. He gained one and a half strokes approach
31:14
Speaker 1: and then lost the two strokes cutting. So yeah, that
31:16
Speaker 1: short game regression candidate we were pointing out before. I'm
31:19
Speaker 1: not so sure about the win stuff with Benny, and
31:21
Speaker 1: I try and only use that narrative on players where
31:24
Speaker 1: I really have seen it over the years. We have
31:26
Speaker 1: a pretty big sample size of what to work with.
31:29
Speaker 1: But he has a long guy off the tee. He
31:31
Speaker 1: can take advantage of the par fives, He's got the
31:33
Speaker 1: driveable par four's, he's got the length to take those on.
31:36
Speaker 1: I like them from that perspective, like he's not got
31:39
Speaker 1: that bomber mindset, which I think will help. He said, Also,
31:42
Speaker 1: do I like Tom Kim and Henn, So we'll look
31:44
Speaker 1: at the shots gain metrics. But they weren't really guys
31:47
Speaker 1: that were popping in my process. Tom Kim yet gained
31:51
Speaker 1: mostly around the green and the ball striking has been
31:54
Speaker 1: very suspect lately. Low owns play. I'll say he's t's
31:57
Speaker 1: sixty two. So just like a few of those other guys,
32:00
Speaker 1: you would use him as a pivot play. But I'd
32:02
Speaker 1: rather have a Harmon Or Kirk over Tom Kim because
32:05
Speaker 1: Tom Kim's also not the longest player, and those other
32:08
Speaker 1: two guys had better stat profiles, They're cheaper, and I
32:11
Speaker 1: think they're going to be lower owned. At least Kirk
32:13
Speaker 1: will definitely be lower owned than a Tom Tom Tom
32:16
Speaker 1: Kim will be. And then who was the other one?
32:18
Speaker 1: It was Hadden? Right you want me to look at?
32:21
Speaker 1: So twelve hand gained in this short game categories but
32:24
Speaker 1: lost in the two ball striking. Same thing with Hadden.
32:27
Speaker 1: He's just not the best stat profile. I would say
32:30
Speaker 1: round one though it was clearly different. It was the
32:32
Speaker 1: ball striking, the tee to green play that really carried
32:35
Speaker 1: him in round one. I actually like Handen a little
32:38
Speaker 1: bit more that what you have there with Tom Kim.
32:40
Speaker 1: But I'd have to say that Hen's probably like a
32:42
Speaker 1: six out of ten for me. It's the upside. It's
32:44
Speaker 1: the fact that he's a live golfer. It's not like
32:47
Speaker 1: I think the live golfers are better than the PGA
32:49
Speaker 1: Tour guys. It's just that I know that plenty of
32:52
Speaker 1: them are talented like hann Meeman, Rom Bryce, and all
32:56
Speaker 1: of them world class players that on the PGA Tour
32:58
Speaker 1: would be top ten players likely at the end of
33:00
Speaker 1: the year. The thing is a lot of the public
33:03
Speaker 1: doesn't treat them like that, right, they have that live
33:05
Speaker 1: golf bias. They refuse to give any of those players
33:08
Speaker 1: any credit whatsoever for how they play on that side
33:11
Speaker 1: of things. So Han's going to be lower owned than
33:13
Speaker 1: he should be because of that kind of public perception.
33:16
Speaker 1: So that's why I have him at like a six,
33:18
Speaker 1: maybe even maybe even like a seven out of ten
33:20
Speaker 1: with my rating for tomorrow, just because he'll be a
33:23
Speaker 1: little bit lower owned than he should be. Luke, who
33:26
Speaker 1: is Penge and Canny keep this going and he said,
33:29
Speaker 1: wins play angle, but you've never heard of him. He's
33:31
Speaker 1: one on the dp World Tour. So I'll give you
33:33
Speaker 1: guys a little bit of a look at what he's
33:35
Speaker 1: done over there. So he won a few weeks ago.
33:38
Speaker 1: I was not on him for this victory. I wish
33:40
Speaker 1: I was. He's a little bit inconsistent worldwide, but when
33:43
Speaker 1: he plays well, it's a third at the South African Open,
33:47
Speaker 1: it's a win at the I'm not even gonna try
33:49
Speaker 1: and say it. It's an event in China Pinian Classic.
33:52
Speaker 1: I did my best, But he's the kind of guy
33:55
Speaker 1: that pops out of nowhere in like home miscuts will
33:57
Speaker 1: be very inconsistent, and then on this same week he
34:00
Speaker 1: keeps it together like you can see here. He had
34:02
Speaker 1: the one bad round at the Irish Open, the seventy
34:05
Speaker 1: five on Saturday at the South African Championship, it was
34:08
Speaker 1: only a three round event. He ended up finishing one
34:11
Speaker 1: stroke off of what ended up being the lead there.
34:14
Speaker 1: I think you could keep it going. The Shots Games
34:16
Speaker 1: profile at least is pretty favorable on him today. Gained
34:20
Speaker 1: over two strokes with the ball striking, but the jury's
34:22
Speaker 1: out on that. He's a young, unknown prospect, that's for sure.
34:27
Speaker 1: He said, you saw plenty of ship it guys on
34:29
Speaker 1: Showdown today, berger Han and Nieman. Yeah, absolutely right. We
34:32
Speaker 1: mentioned a lot of those guys on live stream yesterday.
34:35
Speaker 1: Whether it's my community communities, I saw a lot of
34:38
Speaker 1: ship it people have success today as well. A lot
34:41
Speaker 1: of the contests I was going up against some ship
34:43
Speaker 1: it guys towards the very end. It's great to be
34:45
Speaker 1: a part of the community. Right being able to bring
34:47
Speaker 1: you guys these shows and to have success as a
34:50
Speaker 1: community as well. So we'll try and run it back
34:52
Speaker 1: for tomorrow. It'd be a lot of fun if we
34:54
Speaker 1: could do. So. Let's talk about some contest selection next.
34:57
Speaker 1: So the contests available for tomorrow are about the size
35:00
Speaker 1: is round number two, so there's not going to be
35:02
Speaker 1: that much that we have to say here that's different.
35:05
Speaker 1: The big twenty five dollars GPP is the same top
35:07
Speaker 1: heavy contest. It's a fourth to first place. Let's go
35:11
Speaker 1: to the five dollars. So this one is also top heavy,
35:13
Speaker 1: and it's not my favorite contest. So for yesterday it
35:16
Speaker 1: was an eighth the first place. It was forty k,
35:19
Speaker 1: and it was only five k to first, which is
35:21
Speaker 1: a better payout structure than the ten k out of
35:23
Speaker 1: fifty k. Because this one's twenty percent to first, it's
35:26
Speaker 1: not as top heavy as some of the other GPPs,
35:29
Speaker 1: but it's subideal compared to what we typically have. A
35:33
Speaker 1: lot of the contests that you'll see me in would
35:34
Speaker 1: be the single entries. So like this thirty K long drive,
35:37
Speaker 1: this is a pretty decent payout structure. It's a sixth
35:39
Speaker 1: to first place, so not quite ideal, but that eighteen
35:42
Speaker 1: percent is better than some of the other tension contests
35:46
Speaker 1: that you're gonna see on here. This one is fifteen
35:48
Speaker 1: percent to first place, so it's a relatively flat payout
35:51
Speaker 1: structure for that top five, top ten as well. So
35:54
Speaker 1: it's the usual here. I mean, if you've been following
35:56
Speaker 1: the channel for a while, you've heard the spiel a
35:59
Speaker 1: million times before. But the reason why we want these
36:01
Speaker 1: contests where it's not like thirty percent to first place
36:04
Speaker 1: is so that there's some some money left over if
36:06
Speaker 1: you don't have the absolute nuts, and especially if you're
36:08
Speaker 1: in the big GPPs, like the Big five dollars or
36:11
Speaker 1: twenty five dollars, you've got to be ten thousand to
36:13
Speaker 1: twenty thousand entries to take that sort of thing down,
36:16
Speaker 1: and to do so, you have to have the perfect lineup.
36:19
Speaker 1: If you build a lineup that has three four absolute
36:23
Speaker 1: nuts plays for tomorrow, but one, if your last two
36:26
Speaker 1: puts up like ten to fifteen DraftKings points, that's still
36:28
Speaker 1: a really good lineup. You had nearly eight perfect performance
36:32
Speaker 1: for your Saturday exposure just because you didn't have the nuts.
36:35
Speaker 1: If you entered like that big twenty five dollars, you
36:38
Speaker 1: might only win like five x your entry fees, whereas
36:41
Speaker 1: if you took that lineup you were in a contest
36:43
Speaker 1: that had a flatter payout structure, fifth place might be
36:45
Speaker 1: closer to ten x your total entry fees for the day,
36:48
Speaker 1: if not if it's in a single entry where you
36:50
Speaker 1: might even win first place for having that sort of
36:53
Speaker 1: a lineup. So that's the idea with entering these contests.
36:56
Speaker 1: It gives you a better chance long term to sustain
36:58
Speaker 1: your bank roll because it's very hard to have the
37:01
Speaker 1: absolute nuts to have a perfect lineup to take down
37:04
Speaker 1: a contest against twenty thousand other people. It's gonna happen
37:07
Speaker 1: a lot more often where you have a lineup that's
37:09
Speaker 1: really really good but not quite the absolute nuts. Being
37:12
Speaker 1: able to make those payoff are really the key for
37:16
Speaker 1: having fun in DFS long term. The next thing will
37:18
Speaker 1: go over would be the lineup construction, which, just like
37:21
Speaker 1: round two, it's making sure we have enough leverage in
37:23
Speaker 1: our lineups. The one thing I'd say on top of
37:25
Speaker 1: it is that weather edge. I guess we're gonna have
37:27
Speaker 1: to see how much you went or how little we
37:29
Speaker 1: want to lean into that sort of a thing. But
37:31
Speaker 1: in some lineups, if it's going to be this kind
37:34
Speaker 1: of weather forecast that we're looking at now, I'm just
37:36
Speaker 1: gonna stack six guys going off early. Now, that's only
37:39
Speaker 1: going to be in some lineups that I enter, like
37:41
Speaker 1: maybe ten to twenty five percent of my large few
37:44
Speaker 1: GVP lineups that I'm entering. My cash lineups, though, are
37:48
Speaker 1: probably not going to be built in that way. Like
37:50
Speaker 1: my main my high dollar stuff like the big one
37:52
Speaker 1: hundred dollars single entries that I'm entoring thirty three dollars
37:54
Speaker 1: single entries where I'm only entering against like a couple
37:57
Speaker 1: hundred other entries, I'm probably not going to go all
37:59
Speaker 1: in on that kind of a stack. So in those
38:02
Speaker 1: kind of builds, I'll probably have two three of those
38:05
Speaker 1: guys as leverage towards the bottom. But I might still
38:08
Speaker 1: use a Rory mc roy up top, oh sor I
38:09
Speaker 1: shouldn't say like a Rory McRoy up top. I still
38:11
Speaker 1: might use like a Scottie Shuffler or a Bryson Dschambau
38:14
Speaker 1: towards the top end of the board that's going off
38:16
Speaker 1: a little bit later because of how well they're playing
38:18
Speaker 1: this week. So just to kind of show you an
38:20
Speaker 1: example of that where you're sort of using the weather edge,
38:23
Speaker 1: but you're not going all in because you still want
38:25
Speaker 1: to play some of the guys that are playing good golf.
38:27
Speaker 1: Let's throw in a Bryce and Dschambau as our first
38:30
Speaker 1: man in. Then let's throw in somebody going off a
38:32
Speaker 1: little bit earlier as our second man in. And a
38:35
Speaker 1: lot of these guys missed the cut, So there's not
38:37
Speaker 1: a whole bunch to choose from, but a Daniel Berger,
38:39
Speaker 1: for example, at eighty two hundred dollars. He's the kind
38:42
Speaker 1: of guy that's teeing off relatively early, and the ball
38:44
Speaker 1: striking stats were pretty favorable on him. Who else could
38:47
Speaker 1: be throwing here, Not a whole bunch of guys that
38:49
Speaker 1: are on the cut line, but Axander Schoffley at ninety
38:52
Speaker 1: three hundred dollars. He's somebody who just made it through
38:55
Speaker 1: the cut line on this mid seven K range. So
38:58
Speaker 1: that's really our first pivot here, But it's an nine
39:00
Speaker 1: K range player, so it's not really an ownership pivot
39:03
Speaker 1: that we've thrown in. That's why it is so key
39:05
Speaker 1: with these seven K range players to make sure that
39:08
Speaker 1: you're looking at some of those earlier starters, whether it's
39:10
Speaker 1: the weather edge or just trying to make sure that
39:12
Speaker 1: you have some differentiation that's gonna be key from multiple fronts.
39:16
Speaker 1: So let's consider a Yaeger. Yeager's got the early tea
39:19
Speaker 1: time and he's due for a lot of short game regression.
39:22
Speaker 1: He just could not buy a put out there today,
39:24
Speaker 1: which was to my advantage. I faded him on a
39:26
Speaker 1: burly birdie line, so I won't complain about him having
39:30
Speaker 1: a lot of trouble getting the ball in the hole.
39:32
Speaker 1: But in this range, I'm also looking for a pivot.
39:35
Speaker 1: So because our top three players all have some ownership
39:38
Speaker 1: behind him, like even a Daniel Berger, I've got getting
39:40
Speaker 1: some ownership because he's in that AK range. And as
39:43
Speaker 1: I was saying before, guys, that AK range is just
39:45
Speaker 1: getting hammered with the ownership. So pretty much no matter
39:48
Speaker 1: who you use there, like there's not even really a
39:50
Speaker 1: pivot to point out, Let's throw in a pweak who's
39:53
Speaker 1: about average to slightly below average ownership at that portion
39:56
Speaker 1: of the board. And then for your last minute here,
39:59
Speaker 1: we can't build a whole line of together because it's
40:00
Speaker 1: against the DraftKings terms of service. You might even want
40:03
Speaker 1: to consider another pivot to throw in because that's where
40:06
Speaker 1: the weather edge is at. It's just gonna give you
40:08
Speaker 1: even more leverage in your lineups. So I am building
40:11
Speaker 1: with that weather edge in mind at least as of
40:13
Speaker 1: right now. Right I got to throw out that astrogress
40:15
Speaker 1: a million times because every time I do one of
40:17
Speaker 1: these live streams that I mentioned a potential weather edge,
40:20
Speaker 1: somebody just goes all in on it and then afterwards
40:23
Speaker 1: is like crying down there and chat like like I
40:25
Speaker 1: said that there was like a guaranteed one stroke advantage
40:28
Speaker 1: or something. So I've learned over the years that I
40:30
Speaker 1: have to be very specific about what I say or
40:32
Speaker 1: else people just I don't know, maybe they drink too
40:35
Speaker 1: much and they're not paying attention, but they don't take
40:37
Speaker 1: what I say for what it actually means at times.
40:40
Speaker 1: But like a Garcia here, you could use with that
40:42
Speaker 1: sort of potential weather edge because he's also going to
40:45
Speaker 1: be low loaned. He had that ball striking tape that
40:47
Speaker 1: we're pointing out before, and he has the positive momentum
40:50
Speaker 1: as well. He shot minus three today after the really
40:52
Speaker 1: rough start to the week. But even with that kind
40:54
Speaker 1: of momentum, he's not gonna get the steam like the
40:56
Speaker 1: guys at the top of the board are likely going
40:58
Speaker 1: to get. So that's kind of line of construction that
41:01
Speaker 1: I'd be looking at, where you have that baked in
41:03
Speaker 1: for a lot of it, but you still have a
41:05
Speaker 1: Bryson nixed in. You might even have like rather than
41:07
Speaker 1: a Daniel Berger in this eight k range, maybe you
41:10
Speaker 1: want to avoid take somebody that's a little bit higher owned,
41:13
Speaker 1: and you throw in a Corey Connors who is towards
41:15
Speaker 1: the middle end of the pricing, but from the stat
41:17
Speaker 1: perspective is another guy who was really popping off and
41:20
Speaker 1: you don't want to avoid them in all of your exposure.
41:23
Speaker 1: Maybe up top you do want to get different, right,
41:25
Speaker 1: you don't want to play a Bryson, and maybe you
41:27
Speaker 1: do want to go all in on this sort of
41:29
Speaker 1: a weather edge. Well, if you wanted to do that,
41:30
Speaker 1: I guess you could use Rory instead of a Bryson,
41:33
Speaker 1: and then in this range we could go back to
41:34
Speaker 1: Daniel Berger rather than going to the slightly better option.
41:38
Speaker 1: I think actually in the Corey Connors, this sort of
41:40
Speaker 1: lineup would be one where you're going all in with
41:42
Speaker 1: the weather edge. And if you're doing that by the
41:44
Speaker 1: way ownership is the least of your worries. Like you're
41:47
Speaker 1: still gonna have ownership on players like a mc of roy,
41:50
Speaker 1: a Xander if you were using this kind of a
41:52
Speaker 1: build specifically, but because you have all these other guys
41:55
Speaker 1: that are going off early and get be lowaned towards
41:58
Speaker 1: the bottom end of your price, it's not gonna matter
42:01
Speaker 1: at all. Like you're gonna have so many sub five
42:03
Speaker 1: to ten percenters in your lineup that it doesn't even
42:05
Speaker 1: matter if you have twenty five thirty percenters towards the top.
42:09
Speaker 1: You're gonna have plenty of leverage in those other positions.
42:12
Speaker 1: So that's the idea with the lineup construction. Just make
42:14
Speaker 1: sure you have enough leverage. If you're leaning into the
42:17
Speaker 1: weather edge, the job is gonna be done for you.
42:19
Speaker 1: If you're gonna be a little bit more lax with
42:21
Speaker 1: the weather for tomorrow, like I am still using some
42:24
Speaker 1: guys towards the middle to the back half. You have
42:26
Speaker 1: to consider the weather, but it's not gonna be a
42:29
Speaker 1: terrible slate for it. It's not like the kind of
42:31
Speaker 1: slate where the advantage is towards the later guys where
42:34
Speaker 1: you'd have to want to go out there and play
42:35
Speaker 1: a lot of chalk. If that was the case, we'd
42:38
Speaker 1: be talking about leaving salary on the table, trying to
42:40
Speaker 1: get different by using lineup construction rather than going to
42:44
Speaker 1: different plays, but we don't have to do that. The
42:47
Speaker 1: potential weather edge as of right now is towards the
42:49
Speaker 1: earlier starters, which is probably the best case scenario that
42:52
Speaker 1: we could have. So that's all I've got for the
42:54
Speaker 1: Round three live room, though we'll see if there's any
42:56
Speaker 1: lastigan questions in chat. If not, best of luck with
42:59
Speaker 1: all the exposure that you got are getting to I
43:00
Speaker 1: hope to see your names towards the top end of
43:02
Speaker 1: those GPPs. Make sure to check out my patron page
43:05
Speaker 1: and my website for all my projections for Round three
43:07
Speaker 1: that I'll have my entire playerpool on it projections and
43:10
Speaker 1: all the player pool tags for why I'm on each
43:13
Speaker 1: player in my player pool, And make sure to check
43:15
Speaker 1: out ship it Nation in the Stone for all of
43:17
Speaker 1: their projections for tomorrow as well. Mine will be up
43:20
Speaker 1: probably in the next fifteen to twenty minutes on my website,
43:22
Speaker 1: just I've got to add the current scores to it
43:25
Speaker 1: and I'll be able to upload that for my members,
43:26
Speaker 1: and I already know the ship it Nation crew is
43:28
Speaker 1: hard at work on the stone, so make sure to
43:30
Speaker 1: stay tuned to their website for all that extra content
43:33
Speaker 1: on top of it. I think it's key to have
43:35
Speaker 1: good projections that you can count on. I know you're
43:37
Speaker 1: getting that with my site. I know you're getting that
43:39
Speaker 1: with the ship it Nation as well, the best projections
43:41
Speaker 1: that you have in the industry out there. It's important
43:44
Speaker 1: to have a lot, you know, good perspective on a
43:46
Speaker 1: slate as well. So that's why I think it's great
43:48
Speaker 1: to have, you know, a membership to my website and
43:51
Speaker 1: a site like ship it Nation, because you get my
43:53
Speaker 1: perspective on a slate, my ownership numbers, which you know
43:55
Speaker 1: are going to different times, and what you have on
43:57
Speaker 1: other sites. You know, I'll get things right, I get
43:59
Speaker 1: things wrong. It's great to have other resources like the
44:01
Speaker 1: ship at Nation, another bright resource in the community to
44:04
Speaker 1: use as the other side of that, right, like to
44:06
Speaker 1: play Devil's Advocate on some of those numbers to give
44:09
Speaker 1: you a more well rounded look at a slate. You've
44:12
Speaker 1: got Tampo's thoughts over there, Hoops thoughts. They are some
44:15
Speaker 1: of the best dfs players period that we have in
44:17
Speaker 1: the entire DFS industry, giving your thoughts on every single
44:21
Speaker 1: slate just invaluable resources. The stone is worth it alone.
44:25
Speaker 1: It's the absolute nuts there with the ship at Nation.
44:28
Speaker 1: Just nothing but positive stuff I can say there. But
44:31
Speaker 1: other than that, we also are going to have the
44:32
Speaker 1: prop and bedding live stream tonight. That as it is
44:35
Speaker 1: going to be at ten pm Eastern time is where
44:38
Speaker 1: we're going to be going live with that. That'll be
44:39
Speaker 1: on my YouTube channel later on. That's g s loop
44:42
Speaker 1: DFS by the way, that's on YouTube and Twitter. You
44:44
Speaker 1: can find me at gs loop dfs. We're going to
44:46
Speaker 1: go through going to go through Underdog. We're going to
44:48
Speaker 1: go through some prize pick stuff for round three pin locations,
44:52
Speaker 1: stat averages, how the weather will impact all of that
44:54
Speaker 1: for tomorrow. We go through some matchups, some three balls
44:57
Speaker 1: on the sportsbooks, so if you're on the draft, Fandel
45:01
Speaker 1: hard Rock, be all of that. We're going to go
45:03
Speaker 1: through some of the value of those sort of sites.
45:05
Speaker 1: I'll make sure to check out that a little bit
45:07
Speaker 1: later on. But we'll go through any of these last
45:09
Speaker 1: second questions and we'll move on to tomorrow. Peinge Deep
45:13
Speaker 1: Dives so yeah, I already gave that one there, Austin.
45:14
Speaker 1: Let me know if you have any other questions that's
45:16
Speaker 1: going on. J Steele, Yeah, I'm with you, Mario, he said,
45:19
Speaker 1: super bummed that Thomas and Reid missed the cut. Yeah,
45:22
Speaker 1: I've got some good lineups too, but I would have
45:24
Speaker 1: had a lot more if those two made it. I
45:27
Speaker 1: guess the one thing that makes me feel better about it,
45:29
Speaker 1: Mario is that they weren't going to be the nuts
45:31
Speaker 1: even if they made the cut, Like, you have some
45:33
Speaker 1: studs that are doing a whole lot better. So so well, right,
45:37
Speaker 1: at least we know now that those lineups are dead,
45:39
Speaker 1: they're not going to tease us for the next few days.
45:42
Speaker 1: Thoughts on Ben Griffin, So let's look at the shots gained.
45:44
Speaker 1: He had a good round today from what I noticed,
45:46
Speaker 1: he had a decent amount of birdies if memory serves
45:49
Speaker 1: me correctly. So yeah, he had one, two, three, four,
45:52
Speaker 1: and an eagle on the round. It was a little
45:55
Speaker 1: short game dependent though, so he gained two point five
45:58
Speaker 1: strokes with the short game categories. Wasn't terrible though, He's
46:01
Speaker 1: still gained in the two ball striking categories. But yeah,
46:05
Speaker 1: a little short game dependent for my liking Smiley Luke,
46:08
Speaker 1: let's go dude, Elvis Smiley. I don't know if you
46:11
Speaker 1: guys know that much about him, but he's an absolute beast.
46:14
Speaker 1: He comes over from the DP World Tour. I don't
46:17
Speaker 1: know if he won over there. It's actually double check
46:19
Speaker 1: on Elvis. Yeah he did. He won the BMWPGA forgot
46:23
Speaker 1: about that way back. But look at this win fifth fourteenth. Sure,
46:27
Speaker 1: some missed cuts and shit whatever that happens to everyone,
46:30
Speaker 1: but top ten finish, top fifteen and then nearly another
46:33
Speaker 1: top fifteen finish for Elvis Smiley. He's another one of
46:36
Speaker 1: those guys to keep an eye on. Man, he's a
46:38
Speaker 1: young stud. The shots gained profile game nearly two strokes
46:42
Speaker 1: on approach. I don't know. You might be worth a
46:45
Speaker 1: few looks. It's two sums off of one good stuff.
46:47
Speaker 1: That's what we want. He said, you usually only do showdown,
46:50
Speaker 1: but decided to do some traditional lineups too. He got
46:52
Speaker 1: to man, it's a major gotta run some main slate lineups.
46:55
Speaker 1: I'm all for that. Your single bullet billion tree is
46:57
Speaker 1: a six of six, dude, good stuff. I gotta look
47:00
Speaker 1: at my single entries to see where I stand. But
47:03
Speaker 1: I know I got one or two going at this point,
47:05
Speaker 1: but that's where you got to have it right. Let's
47:07
Speaker 1: get some run good for you over the weekend, J Steele,
47:09
Speaker 1: and maybe they could take down a contest or two.
47:11
Speaker 1: That'd be pretty sweet. And you said Marco Penge got
47:14
Speaker 1: banned for three months on the Deep World Tour for
47:16
Speaker 1: gambling on golf. Dude, you said he's one of us. Okay, guys,
47:20
Speaker 1: I'm playing pen I mean I was already playing Penge.
47:23
Speaker 1: I didn't know this mark, but now that you mention it,
47:25
Speaker 1: I remember seeing this in the media. I don't want
47:29
Speaker 1: to say I'm like locking him tomorrow, but that is
47:31
Speaker 1: like the most legendary story for it was a DFS
47:35
Speaker 1: that he was playing. Imagine if he was playing like
47:37
Speaker 1: DraftKings or something, and that's why I ended up getting banned.
47:41
Speaker 1: We're playing him, let's put it that way. A lot
47:43
Speaker 1: of things are pointing to him being a good play.
47:44
Speaker 1: But if he's a fellow degenerate, that's just amazing. He
47:48
Speaker 1: looked at Tom Kim before Max. He is not the
47:51
Speaker 1: best shots game metrics, Andy's a little bit uh short
47:54
Speaker 1: off the teas and not my favorite and uh, it's
47:56
Speaker 1: crazy and you had to do the two sums just
47:59
Speaker 1: an absolute beau need to here. But that's all about guys.
48:01
Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys support here on the channel smash
48:04
Speaker 1: a Like Fun. If you guys haven't ready, also subscribe
48:06
Speaker 1: so you guys at me start live stream there tomorrow