Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Cheerleading Is a $2 Billion U.S. Industry, Untapped Worldwide, Varsity Says
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we
- 0:11Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for
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- 0:17Speaker 1: or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L
- 0:20Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. So
- 0:31Speaker 1: it turns out that pumping your fist and screaming yeah
- 0:36Speaker 1: is big business, in fact, somewhere in the order of
- 0:39Speaker 1: two billion dollars. Here to talk about the cheerleading business
- 0:43Speaker 1: is Jeff Webb, founder and chairman of Varsity Spirit, which
- 0:46Speaker 1: is based in Memphis, Tennessee. And Jeff, you know, I'm interested.
- 0:50Speaker 1: When I think about cheerleading, I think about very much
- 0:54Speaker 1: an all American type of vision with girls and pigtails
- 0:59Speaker 1: and pumping their pom poms and wearing those pleated skirts
- 1:02Speaker 1: and specific sneakers, which I'm sure all costs money, but
- 1:05Speaker 1: your and I toward a bigger business overseas. So where
- 1:10Speaker 1: is the cheerleading that's going on outside of the US. So, well,
- 1:13Speaker 1: it's still in its infancy, but it is definitely a
- 1:17Speaker 1: gaining momentum. We we actually have an international federation that
- 1:22Speaker 1: is just recently recognized by the International Olympic Committee, which
- 1:25Speaker 1: kind of gives you validation as an emerging sport or
- 1:29Speaker 1: sport that's actually arrived. And we have a hundred and
- 1:33Speaker 1: ten countries in that federation, so it gives you an
- 1:35Speaker 1: idea of of where true how much activity there is
- 1:38Speaker 1: on a broad basis. Now as far as it being deep, uh,
- 1:42Speaker 1: there's no doubt that the you know, the U s
- 1:44Speaker 1: has because of its traditions children, has been around the
- 1:47Speaker 1: US for over a hundred years at school gyms and
- 1:50Speaker 1: so on. So we have a we have a lot
- 1:52Speaker 1: more people here involved in cheerleading, but it is beginning
- 1:55Speaker 1: all over the world and a lot of that just
- 1:57Speaker 1: has to do with the exposure we've gotten with our
- 1:59Speaker 1: now sational championships and world championships and uh saw some
- 2:03Speaker 1: of the educational programs we've been involved in overseas. But
- 2:06Speaker 1: it's a it's an exciting time. Cheff. I understand that
- 2:09Speaker 1: you were a yell leader at the University of Oklahoma.
- 2:13Speaker 1: What is a yell leader? And did your families say, gee,
- 2:17Speaker 1: you know, law school would have been a good idea,
- 2:19Speaker 1: but you founded this company. Tell us how it all happened. Yeah, well, yeah,
- 2:23Speaker 1: later it's the term that was used in in the
- 2:25Speaker 1: day for the men who were involved in interiorleading. And
- 2:30Speaker 1: as far as the company itself, yeah, I was gonna
- 2:33Speaker 1: go to law school. As a matter of fact, that
- 2:34Speaker 1: was that was the that was the plan after after
- 2:37Speaker 1: college and um, I've been I've been working uh three
- 2:41Speaker 1: or four jobs to get through school, and gentleman who
- 2:43Speaker 1: had a company that did cheerleading camps and clinics, asked
- 2:46Speaker 1: me to come work for him for a year to
- 2:47Speaker 1: make money to go to law school. Did that kind
- 2:50Speaker 1: of came up with different concepts, decided to leave there,
- 2:53Speaker 1: start my company, and the rest is history, I guess. Well,
- 2:56Speaker 1: I'm glad you mentioned the camps and the training because
- 2:59Speaker 1: I wanted to just help people a little bit the
- 3:01Speaker 1: scale of what is going on, how many people, how
- 3:03Speaker 1: many camps, and maybe just enlightened everybody that is not
- 3:06Speaker 1: part of this business. Well, the actually started with the camps,
- 3:10Speaker 1: and of course now we also have a uniform business
- 3:13Speaker 1: and also the competitions that we do um throughout the country.
- 3:17Speaker 1: But the camps themselves are are different than other sports
- 3:20Speaker 1: camps that are normally for individuals. These are for teams.
- 3:23Speaker 1: Teams are already selected high school cheerleaders, college cheerleading teams.
- 3:27Speaker 1: There four days and three nights, usually done on a
- 3:29Speaker 1: college campus. We have about three hundred thousand students at
- 3:33Speaker 1: our camps every summer. We're the largest especially camp operator
- 3:37Speaker 1: of any kind in the world. Jeff, how much has
- 3:39Speaker 1: cheerleading as a sport moved away from the sidelines of
- 3:44Speaker 1: sports games and to its own discipline that is completely
- 3:49Speaker 1: independent of a football game. Well, it's it's interesting there.
- 3:54Speaker 1: They're now different what we call disciplines of cheer the
- 3:57Speaker 1: traditional cheerleading that you see at the football games and
- 4:01Speaker 1: basketball games. It's still it's the largest part of cheerleading
- 4:04Speaker 1: and we don't want to do anything to take away
- 4:07Speaker 1: from that. When when when I started the company, the
- 4:10Speaker 1: idea was to take the traditional leadership role on the
- 4:13Speaker 1: sidelines at pep rallies and you know, in the in
- 4:15Speaker 1: the parking lots before the game, and add entertainment and
- 4:18Speaker 1: athleticism and just kind of modernize it. And I don't
- 4:22Speaker 1: think any of us realized the the how powerful that
- 4:26Speaker 1: that combination would be. So for us, it's we look
- 4:29Speaker 1: as all the all the the actual sport aspect is
- 4:32Speaker 1: being additive to leadership. We think, you know, college cheerleading,
- 4:36Speaker 1: high school cheerleading are very important and we don't want
- 4:39Speaker 1: to do anything take away from the leadership. Having said that,
- 4:41Speaker 1: there there's also an actual pure sport play that's exists
- 4:45Speaker 1: here in the US and overseas. Yeah, what I think
- 4:47Speaker 1: about cheerleading now, I mean I have two sons, and
- 4:50Speaker 1: if one of them went into cheerleading, I think I'd
- 4:52Speaker 1: be frightened because I see some of the flips that
- 4:55Speaker 1: they'll do and come down. I mean, it's it's it's
- 4:59Speaker 1: really a gymnastic type of endeavor, correct, whether there are
- 5:02Speaker 1: a lot of acrobatics involved in the entertainment aspect of it.
- 5:05Speaker 1: And one of the things that has allowed us to
- 5:08Speaker 1: expand like we have is we've developed all the techniques
- 5:11Speaker 1: and the progressions of skills to actually do those stunts
- 5:14Speaker 1: is what they're called, in in a safer way as possible.
- 5:17Speaker 1: I mean, there was some risk and there were some injuries,
- 5:19Speaker 1: and one injury is too many, but we've been pretty
- 5:22Speaker 1: successful in in mapping this out to where it can
- 5:24Speaker 1: be done in controlled way. Uh your company have they
- 5:29Speaker 1: have you attracted any interest from by from from buyers
- 5:33Speaker 1: private equity firms. Well, we're actually we were owned by
- 5:35Speaker 1: private equity primarily right now. We've been through different types
- 5:39Speaker 1: of iterations. UM started in proprietor individual proprietorship. We went
- 5:44Speaker 1: through venture capital. We are a public company for a
- 5:46Speaker 1: while and have and now with private equity a Charles
- 5:49Speaker 1: Bank based in Banks in Boston. And we also our
- 5:53Speaker 1: companies has transformed itself and that we we have our
- 5:56Speaker 1: traditional cheerleading and school spirit division or un which is
- 6:00Speaker 1: Varsity Spirit, but we also have a varsity brands has
- 6:03Speaker 1: a sporting goods sports uniform division called bs IN Sports.
- 6:07Speaker 1: And also we have a graduation company called her Jones
- 6:11Speaker 1: which is class rings and so on, and um, you
- 6:14Speaker 1: know the company itself. The CEO of the companies Adam Blumenfeld,
- 6:17Speaker 1: who came up through the bs N ranks, and uh
- 6:20Speaker 1: he and I and our entire management team along with
- 6:22Speaker 1: Charles Bank work to take the company as far as
- 6:24Speaker 1: we can take it. I want to thank you for
- 6:26Speaker 1: coming in and maybe off off Michael give us that
- 6:29Speaker 1: Oklahoma University of Oklahoma, yell call well done, Bloomer Sooner,
- 6:34Speaker 1: well done, very good. Jeff Webb is the founder and
- 6:37Speaker 1: chairman of Varsity Spirit. They are based in Memphis. So
- 6:51Speaker 1: does the world really need another travel website? Well, apparently
- 6:56Speaker 1: it does, and here to tell us more about it
- 6:58Speaker 1: is Bob guccion Jr. He is the founder of wonder
- 7:01Speaker 1: Lust travel dot com. He's also the founder of Spin magazine,
- 7:05Speaker 1: Gear and Discover Media. Nice to have you with us,
- 7:08Speaker 1: Thanks for coming into the studio. Than how do you
- 7:12Speaker 1: move on from Spin which was music, right, a Gear
- 7:17Speaker 1: which is gadgets and I believe men's lifestyle and lifestyle,
- 7:21Speaker 1: and then Discovery Media, which is kind of science. Right,
- 7:24Speaker 1: it was a science magazine. So how does that morph
- 7:27Speaker 1: into this next iteration of Bob guccion Jr. Well, actually
- 7:32Speaker 1: it does. You know know that it had to by
- 7:34Speaker 1: the way, um as a media editor and businessman, you know,
- 7:38Speaker 1: I could have just simply said this is a great category.
- 7:41Speaker 1: But it has because it's really got the same kind
- 7:43Speaker 1: of uh vain of overwhelming curiosity. You know, when I
- 7:49Speaker 1: went into the music magazine business always said it isn't
- 7:52Speaker 1: really a music magazine. It's a magazine for young people
- 7:55Speaker 1: crossing the threshold between adolescents and young adulthood. It was
- 7:59Speaker 1: much more than music magazine. It is much more holistic.
- 8:01Speaker 1: And the same with Wonderless. It's not just a magazine
- 8:03Speaker 1: about nice places to go. It's about the experience of
- 8:06Speaker 1: traveling UM, the experiences you can expect, the experiences you
- 8:11Speaker 1: have had, UM, the sort of awkwardness of of of
- 8:17Speaker 1: Often travel is very awkward. That's part of the liberating
- 8:20Speaker 1: beauty of it, you know. I say. The one thing
- 8:22Speaker 1: about what we travel is always going to happen is
- 8:25Speaker 1: we are always going to surrender our sense of control.
- 8:27Speaker 1: It was always a lousory anyway, but we think we
- 8:29Speaker 1: have a sense of control, and you surrender it um,
- 8:33Speaker 1: and that is what allows you to take in to
- 8:36Speaker 1: absorb everything. You're not trying to pick and choose. You're
- 8:39Speaker 1: actually just absorbing everything because you're like an infant dependent
- 8:42Speaker 1: on the largess of the people around you. So, Bob,
- 8:44Speaker 1: the website wonder lust travel dot com launched today and
- 8:48Speaker 1: I'm looking at it right now, and there's a story
- 8:50Speaker 1: how to pack from Mars, which makes it really raises
- 8:53Speaker 1: a question for me. Who's your audience Mostly Martians? You know,
- 8:59Speaker 1: all the Martians out there, this is for you. Yeah,
- 9:02Speaker 1: It's the first site exclusively for people from Mars. Um,
- 9:06Speaker 1: you know this point that the audience question is. I
- 9:10Speaker 1: think we're looking at, you know, everybody who's smart and
- 9:14Speaker 1: curious and likes to travel. And I would imagine it's
- 9:17Speaker 1: going to fall more money as money yes, exactly as
- 9:20Speaker 1: I say, it's gonna fall more into the gen X
- 9:23Speaker 1: generation as matured, the baby booners who I am part
- 9:26Speaker 1: of a hopefully matured and the rest have I don't
- 9:29Speaker 1: know if I have, um and you know, slightly older millennial,
- 9:33Speaker 1: the older of the millennial world. But really, anybody's curious,
- 9:36Speaker 1: as you said, has a bit of money so they
- 9:37Speaker 1: can get on a plane. But um, I think curiosity
- 9:40Speaker 1: is the main thing that the had a pack for
- 9:42Speaker 1: Mars thing was a bit of a sort of joke.
- 9:44Speaker 1: Started out as a joke, it became a very serious article. Um,
- 9:47Speaker 1: because you know, our competitors, dearly beloved, the competitors who
- 9:52Speaker 1: I won't name, I don't want to anybody, but they
- 9:54Speaker 1: run articles as you may have seen, called how to
- 9:56Speaker 1: pack Well once is fine, but a hundred times, almost
- 10:00Speaker 1: two hundred times. These two publications we were actually in
- 10:03Speaker 1: the list all of them as links. And I just
- 10:05Speaker 1: just said, looked ugly, but it was it about two
- 10:09Speaker 1: hundred between videos and articles that they have done about
- 10:11Speaker 1: how to pack, and I thought, how you know, how
- 10:13Speaker 1: much is there to say? So I said, but however,
- 10:16Speaker 1: even they have not done how to pack for Mars.
- 10:18Speaker 1: And having had a science magazine, I was at NASA
- 10:21Speaker 1: on a couple of occasions, and I know that they
- 10:22Speaker 1: have an entire chunk of the entire organization dedicated to
- 10:27Speaker 1: this one question. How do you pack from ours? It's
- 10:29Speaker 1: not a small issue, you know, it's a six month flight,
- 10:32Speaker 1: it's thirty three plus million miles and only one tenth
- 10:36Speaker 1: of one percent of the entire weight of the spacecraft
- 10:39Speaker 1: is not fuel or rocket, so the rest of it,
- 10:42Speaker 1: everything else has to go in all your people scientific equipment.
- 10:48Speaker 1: So actually they're very strict about what you can take,
- 10:50Speaker 1: and they have number the heavy down to fifteen pairs
- 10:52Speaker 1: of clothing, not not sixteen fifteen And they want you
- 10:55Speaker 1: to bring a book. There was a suggestion, I said,
- 10:57Speaker 1: to cheap, bring two books, you know, but to a
- 11:00Speaker 1: fun thingur next one is how to pack for prison,
- 11:02Speaker 1: because by the way, you can there are things you
- 11:03Speaker 1: can bring to prison. And after that we can do
- 11:06Speaker 1: how to pack for the Apocalypse, which by the way,
- 11:07Speaker 1: should be self defining as the last of the articles.
- 11:11Speaker 1: What do you let us know when you're going to
- 11:13Speaker 1: publish that up, that one that's the ultimate trip, you know, Yeah,
- 11:17Speaker 1: you know, I want you to just offer some examples,
- 11:19Speaker 1: because that way it maybe crystallizes what you're doing here.
- 11:22Speaker 1: And I noticed, for example, you've got something papermaking in Korea.
- 11:26Speaker 1: You also have a recommendation for restaurants in Italy that
- 11:30Speaker 1: are a little bit different than perhaps the run of
- 11:32Speaker 1: the mill reviews. Just to give us some examples. Yeah, well,
- 11:36Speaker 1: the one you're referring to, Hanji, it was a video
- 11:38Speaker 1: made by a very young and very very talented Korean filmmaker.
- 11:42Speaker 1: We discovered in Oxford, Mississippi, where I taught for a year,
- 11:46Speaker 1: so I have a lot of friends and relationships there now.
- 11:49Speaker 1: So uh. He did this beautiful piece about how to
- 11:53Speaker 1: make paper, the ancient art of papermaking, which I thought
- 11:56Speaker 1: was wonderfully ironic given that we're in the digital age,
- 11:58Speaker 1: and and the piece is about how this is really
- 12:00Speaker 1: kind of a spring art but just a beautiful piece
- 12:02Speaker 1: of filmmaking, and it's cultural and you're there, you know,
- 12:05Speaker 1: every one of my pieces let's say my hours. Everyone
- 12:08Speaker 1: who wandered us to pieces has to bring you there,
- 12:12Speaker 1: and that's not just by saying this is a great
- 12:14Speaker 1: hotel room. We do that too with the Rome Hotel Guide.
- 12:17Speaker 1: If you want to know where to stay in Rome,
- 12:18Speaker 1: check our guide out, because we went through all hotels
- 12:21Speaker 1: and decided these are the best ones and most interesting
- 12:23Speaker 1: from a mixture of personal experience and research. You know,
- 12:25Speaker 1: my own experience was very good in that respect. Um
- 12:29Speaker 1: So another contemple, the one about the restaurants. I think
- 12:31Speaker 1: you're probably talking about ten places to eat before you
- 12:33Speaker 1: die and then you can die, and you know that's
- 12:36Speaker 1: I'm glad you brought it up, because obviously there are
- 12:39Speaker 1: ten million places you could eat that are gonna be
- 12:42Speaker 1: interesting on this planet. But I just wanted to pick
- 12:45Speaker 1: ten places, not all of them restaurants. One of them
- 12:48Speaker 1: is a Vietnamese barge that my main food writer guy
- 12:53Speaker 1: called Chris John's as a superb travel writer. He uhs
- 12:58Speaker 1: best meal ever had in his life, best meal anywhere
- 13:00Speaker 1: about it? For us? We put that in. I put
- 13:02Speaker 1: in the Mondo X place before in a drug rehab
- 13:08Speaker 1: and it's a drug rehab center in Italy. It also
- 13:12Speaker 1: happens to have amazing food. Yeah, well, world class restaurant,
- 13:15Speaker 1: world class restaurant and autombiotics. Bob, you know you have
- 13:20Speaker 1: a very long history in magazines. Your father founded Penthouse,
- 13:25Speaker 1: which also is into experiences of different natures. Um. But
- 13:28Speaker 1: I have to wonder, and you talked about how the
- 13:32Speaker 1: irony of papermaking in a digital era, in a digital
- 13:35Speaker 1: era where the barrier to entry in magazines is so low,
- 13:40Speaker 1: what gives you confidence that this will be successful? Oh?
- 13:43Speaker 1: I think a large doses of stupidity. But alcohol helps well.
- 13:50Speaker 1: But people have, people have, you know, obviously an immense
- 13:54Speaker 1: appetite for stupidity. I'm just wondering with my stupid No
- 13:58Speaker 1: not there is no God, no, no glare we cleared
- 14:00Speaker 1: that up? No? No, I mean I think I was joking.
- 14:02Speaker 1: But in one respect, you do have to be dumb
- 14:06Speaker 1: enough to believe that it will work. And I've done
- 14:09Speaker 1: that my entire career. You know, I started it's been magazine.
- 14:11Speaker 1: Literally did not know how to start a magazine. Um.
- 14:14Speaker 1: In fact, we got all of the pages together and
- 14:15Speaker 1: we all look at each others at what we do now,
- 14:17Speaker 1: and everybody I thought you knew. I I thought you knew,
- 14:19Speaker 1: So I called a friend of mine up come and
- 14:20Speaker 1: tell me what we did next, and she christens us
- 14:23Speaker 1: the Land of the Lost Boys. Because literally none of
- 14:26Speaker 1: us knew then we got the magazine. Now I think,
- 14:28Speaker 1: I think it's a beautiful, healthy dosage of innocence and
- 14:31Speaker 1: naivet naive he made inscence is very helpful in these
- 14:35Speaker 1: times because it keeps you focused on like you might
- 14:37Speaker 1: as well do the right thing, the thing you had
- 14:39Speaker 1: in mind, because you don't know how to do it otherwise.
- 14:42Speaker 1: And the only thing I know how to do is
- 14:44Speaker 1: tell a good story occasionally, well hopefully a lot more
- 14:47Speaker 1: and occasionally, and all stories have to be a human beings,
- 14:50Speaker 1: so that that's a that's a thing. Bob Guccioni Jr.
- 14:53Speaker 1: Thank you so much for joining us. Bob gucci Founder
- 14:56Speaker 1: of wonder Lust wonder Lust travel dot com, which is
- 15:00Speaker 1: based in New York and launched today. Well, we've heard
- 15:14Speaker 1: a lot about consolidation and partnerships within the airline industry,
- 15:21Speaker 1: and Avianca Holdings is not immune to that. We're gonna
- 15:24Speaker 1: be speaking now with someone who knows all about the
- 15:26Speaker 1: latest partnership agreements, and that is Ernan Rincon, who is
- 15:30Speaker 1: the chief executive officer of Avianca Holdings, which is based
- 15:34Speaker 1: in Bogota, Colombia. Her Nan, thank you so much for
- 15:37Speaker 1: joining us, and I know that Avianca has talked about
- 15:41Speaker 1: some kind of partnership with content with United Correct where
- 15:46Speaker 1: what stage is that in right now? Well, thank you
- 15:49Speaker 1: for having me really pleasure to be here. Last year
- 15:53Speaker 1: we began to search for a commercial strategic partner that
- 15:57Speaker 1: would allow Avianca, who serves Let's in America very well,
- 16:01Speaker 1: to connect well with the United States and North America,
- 16:04Speaker 1: and after a long process, we chose United as our
- 16:07Speaker 1: best choice. Many reasons for that. First of all, United
- 16:11Speaker 1: an Avianca already are part of the State Alliance and
- 16:16Speaker 1: that provided a very good foundation for us to work together.
- 16:19Speaker 1: And then we found out that we have similar approaches
- 16:22Speaker 1: and very complimentary routes. And we're trying to do right
- 16:25Speaker 1: now is come to an agreement so that our passengers
- 16:29Speaker 1: from Colombia, South America, Brazil into the United States or
- 16:33Speaker 1: from the United States into Latin America would have a
- 16:35Speaker 1: seamless experience either with United within the United States and
- 16:39Speaker 1: then connect with a Bianca in Latin America or vice versa.
- 16:43Speaker 1: We make great progress in that negotiation. We meet on
- 16:45Speaker 1: a weekly basis. We have made great progress and we
- 16:48Speaker 1: believe we're aspiring to close the agreement in this year. Now,
- 16:53Speaker 1: you also have something coming up this year and that
- 16:55Speaker 1: is a court day. I believe it's on the nineteenth
- 16:58Speaker 1: of September, and I'm wondering if you could just explain
- 17:01Speaker 1: how this all happened, that you're ending up in a
- 17:04Speaker 1: court case and in a lawsuit which I believe it's
- 17:07Speaker 1: your second largest shareholder. That is correct. King's Land is
- 17:10Speaker 1: the company that file is sued against A Yanka. They
- 17:13Speaker 1: finally suited against a Bianca United UH Synergy, which is
- 17:17Speaker 1: the parent company of A Yanka and the from of
- 17:20Speaker 1: his brothers. We believe that the slaw suit has absolutely
- 17:25Speaker 1: no merit. As a matter of fact, the judge in
- 17:27Speaker 1: the state of New York UH ruled in our favor
- 17:32Speaker 1: the first two instances, and now we have, as you
- 17:36Speaker 1: clearly said on September nineteen hearing. The hearing is because
- 17:40Speaker 1: we file for dismissal of the case because there is
- 17:44Speaker 1: no merit. We're looking forward to having that conversation with
- 17:47Speaker 1: the judge and we are optimistic that he will judge
- 17:50Speaker 1: he will rule against in our favor. So you're somewhat
- 17:53Speaker 1: new to the airline industry. You joined AVIANCA a little
- 17:57Speaker 1: bit more than a year ago. You're obviously Microsoft Latin America,
- 18:02Speaker 1: the chief executive officer of that. How is your opinion
- 18:07Speaker 1: been changed about the airline industry since joining a banca
- 18:12Speaker 1: and what were you most surprised to learn regarding the
- 18:16Speaker 1: challenges of this industry. That's a great question, and I
- 18:19Speaker 1: can give you an answer for hours, but let's let
- 18:21Speaker 1: me say the following. The number one qualification that I
- 18:26Speaker 1: had to be considered for CEO of AVIANCA is that
- 18:30Speaker 1: I have six point five million miles with other airlines,
- 18:34Speaker 1: So you've You've had a lot of experience in the
- 18:36Speaker 1: passenger seat, all right there exactly. I have been left
- 18:40Speaker 1: in airport for three days. I have been given royal
- 18:43Speaker 1: treatment by other airlines, so I know all the experiences
- 18:46Speaker 1: that that a passenger can have. But what I'm bringing
- 18:50Speaker 1: to a YANKA is two things. Number One, the digital
- 18:54Speaker 1: and information technology background. For many years, fourteen years from Microsoft,
- 18:59Speaker 1: I help companies embraced technology, change their business model and
- 19:04Speaker 1: embrace digital. And that's what we're gonna do with Avianca.
- 19:08Speaker 1: We are transforming Avianca into a digital company that flies aircraft,
- 19:13Speaker 1: and at the same time, we're building one of the
- 19:16Speaker 1: top two one of the top two airlines Latin American
- 19:21Speaker 1: Why serving the whole continent. I love that everybody wants
- 19:25Speaker 1: to be a tech company. Even airlines are saying We're
- 19:27Speaker 1: going to be a tech company that also flies planes.
- 19:30Speaker 1: But I'm wondering, you know, what is the biggest challenge
- 19:32Speaker 1: to the business model going forward? I know that some
- 19:34Speaker 1: analysts have some pretty uh ambitious growth targets for Avianca.
- 19:39Speaker 1: What's the biggest challenge? The biggest challenge is to take
- 19:43Speaker 1: at ninety seven year old company. Avianca is the oldest
- 19:48Speaker 1: erline continuously flying in the world, not in an America,
- 19:51Speaker 1: in the world, taking that rich culture that was not
- 19:55Speaker 1: digital and transforming into a digital company. What do we
- 19:58Speaker 1: mean by that? The number one thing that we need
- 20:00Speaker 1: to do is that every interaction between our passengers and
- 20:06Speaker 1: Avianca be fully digital at the moment that are we
- 20:09Speaker 1: identify eighteen points in which a passenger interacts with a Bianca.
- 20:14Speaker 1: One of those seven eighteen is when they're actually in
- 20:17Speaker 1: the aircraft. The other seventeen or elsewhere, when you make
- 20:21Speaker 1: a reservation, when you make a change, when you get
- 20:23Speaker 1: and check in, when you go to the counter, all
- 20:26Speaker 1: of that and we're beginning to transform that and we're
- 20:29Speaker 1: applying digital technology to each one of those eighteen points.
- 20:32Speaker 1: Let me give you an example. Millennials live in Facebook.
- 20:36Speaker 1: That's where their life is, and we realize that for
- 20:39Speaker 1: them to make a reservation, they would have to get
- 20:42Speaker 1: out of Facebook, go to a bianca and make a reservation.
- 20:46Speaker 1: We developed a digital assistant that is part of Facebook Messenger,
- 20:51Speaker 1: and within Facebook, you can make a reservation to fly
- 20:54Speaker 1: with a bianca. That's what we mean by digital I
- 20:56Speaker 1: just want to ask you one quick question. This is
- 20:58Speaker 1: about money. Are you going to be raised any money
- 21:00Speaker 1: this year? You're going to be doing a dead offering.
- 21:02Speaker 1: How are you going to proceed? We are planning a
- 21:07Speaker 1: capital increase of two million dollars. That capital increase has
- 21:11Speaker 1: been given the green light by the board of directors
- 21:14Speaker 1: and we're now in the process of doing all the
- 21:16Speaker 1: legal and financial to raise capital by the hundred million dollars. Well, John,
- 21:19Speaker 1: thank you very much for being with us. Her Nan
- 21:21Speaker 1: Rincon he is the chief executive of Avianca holdings. They
- 21:25Speaker 1: are also expanding in North America. Do you know that
- 21:28Speaker 1: they have a new route that goes from Boston home
- 21:30Speaker 1: to Bloomberg one O six one to Bogata. Thank you
- 21:34Speaker 1: very much. We hear a lot about active versus passive,
- 21:48Speaker 1: in particular about how money is absolutely pouring into exchange
- 21:53Speaker 1: traded funds that seek to just passively mimic broad indexes
- 21:58Speaker 1: and away from active fund But when it comes to
- 22:00Speaker 1: debt markets, the trend is starting to reverse, and this
- 22:04Speaker 1: I find really fascinating. Eric Balconis, who does incredible research
- 22:07Speaker 1: on this, joins us now. Eric Baltnis is senior et
- 22:09Speaker 1: F analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence and is a font of
- 22:13Speaker 1: incredible knowledge when it comes to all things fund related. Eric,
- 22:17Speaker 1: can you give us a sense of just how much
- 22:19Speaker 1: this trend of money toward passive out of active, how
- 22:25Speaker 1: much that's reversing within the bond universe? Right, So, when
- 22:29Speaker 1: we talk about active mutual fun outflows, uh, you look,
- 22:33Speaker 1: it's pretty bad. We're talking about seven hundred and fifty
- 22:36Speaker 1: billion over the last five years. However, almost all of
- 22:40Speaker 1: that is out of equity. That's the story. Nobody really
- 22:42Speaker 1: talks about UM active fixed income has held held its
- 22:46Speaker 1: own over the last couple of years. It had maybe
- 22:48Speaker 1: fifty billion out here and there, but it's cumulative flows
- 22:51Speaker 1: over the last four years are in positive territory. But
- 22:54Speaker 1: here's the thing. This year they've taken in a hundred
- 22:57Speaker 1: billion dollars, which is more than dead ETFs have taken in.
- 23:00Speaker 1: So it really does kind of screw up a narrative
- 23:02Speaker 1: here about everything going to a E T S and
- 23:05Speaker 1: be passive. And the reason they're doing it is because
- 23:08Speaker 1: they're outperforming. Most of that money is going into the
- 23:10Speaker 1: corporate bond managers, and those managers are taking advantage of
- 23:15Speaker 1: what they consider to be a really bad group of indexes,
- 23:19Speaker 1: namely the AGG They're able to just beat it pretty easily,
- 23:23Speaker 1: and I think equity managers have a tougher time with
- 23:25Speaker 1: the SMP. Well, Eric, I wanted to ask you because
- 23:28Speaker 1: for a number of years there wasn't as reliable of
- 23:31Speaker 1: an outperformance by active corporate bond fund managers versus broader indexes.
- 23:37Speaker 1: Is the outperformance particularly notable this year? Yeah, Well, Spiva,
- 23:43Speaker 1: the SMP five Active versus Index report came out and
- 23:46Speaker 1: had numbers there were even a little more better than
- 23:48Speaker 1: ours for them and they started over ten years, five years,
- 23:52Speaker 1: three years, so it's pretty consistent. Um. Where it doesn't
- 23:55Speaker 1: work is government government bond fund managers are doing awful,
- 23:59Speaker 1: but munise and corporate bond fund managers are doing really well.
- 24:03Speaker 1: And look, part of it is right now, if you
- 24:06Speaker 1: look at the best performing active fixed income mutual funds,
- 24:09Speaker 1: like the top five, they all have a higher duration
- 24:12Speaker 1: and more high yield exposure than the egg. So you
- 24:16Speaker 1: could call it cheating, you could call it tricks. Whatever
- 24:18Speaker 1: it has that could turn the other direction though, So
- 24:21Speaker 1: they are sort of going out on a limb a
- 24:23Speaker 1: bit to pick up some extra juice, but that adds
- 24:26Speaker 1: more risks. In other words, you're saying that the broad
- 24:30Speaker 1: bet among active managers is to have longer dated bonds
- 24:35Speaker 1: in their portfolios and risk your bonds, specifically investment grade
- 24:40Speaker 1: credit investors, right, um, And you're basically saying that this
- 24:43Speaker 1: is a bet that could have absolutely gone the wrong way,
- 24:46Speaker 1: but they just got lucky or whatever the case may bee. Yeah,
- 24:49Speaker 1: I mean this is where a bond manager would say, look,
- 24:52Speaker 1: if it does go the way, I'll be able to
- 24:53Speaker 1: react way quicker than say a smart bay to et
- 24:56Speaker 1: F for something and then maybe they will um. In
- 24:58Speaker 1: the case of Gunlock, he's heavy and the mortgages so
- 25:00Speaker 1: much so that we had to move his fund into
- 25:02Speaker 1: the mortgage category. But there's other ways to do it.
- 25:06Speaker 1: And you know, I work with um Irah Jersey who
- 25:09Speaker 1: has been just a great resource for Active Fix that
- 25:12Speaker 1: he used to manage a bond fund, and he also
- 25:14Speaker 1: talks about there's like it's just a bigger world. I mean,
- 25:17Speaker 1: you've got liquidity premiums in bonds that aren't on the
- 25:20Speaker 1: in the index. You know, it's compared to the equity world,
- 25:24Speaker 1: where there's only four thousand stocks total and there's the
- 25:27Speaker 1: SMP five hundreds. So if you're a large cap you
- 25:28Speaker 1: don't have much room to outperform, and the SMP five
- 25:32Speaker 1: hundred essentially is full of momentum um. You know. Fang
- 25:35Speaker 1: stocks are a good example. They weren't really a big
- 25:37Speaker 1: waiting maybe one percent five six years ago. Now there
- 25:40Speaker 1: are a seven percent waiting and the SMP road those
- 25:43Speaker 1: stocks up and got their performance as the market cap
- 25:46Speaker 1: got bigger. So I think this is part of the
- 25:49Speaker 1: difference between being a bond manager and being an equity manager. Eric,
- 25:54Speaker 1: I want you to just comment on the concept of size,
- 25:57Speaker 1: for example, the amount of money that is in an
- 25:59Speaker 1: exchange trade and funds, because the Guggenheim High Yield Fund
- 26:02Speaker 1: that beat the benchmark, and I'm just wondering if you
- 26:05Speaker 1: could put that into context for us. Yeah, so this
- 26:09Speaker 1: is one where it looked like some security picking and
- 26:11Speaker 1: it had it had a little bit of senior loans
- 26:13Speaker 1: in it that the HyG doesn't have that, but it
- 26:15Speaker 1: didn't do too much. And what I liked about this
- 26:18Speaker 1: one the Guggenheim High Yield is it's triple C was
- 26:20Speaker 1: about the same as h y G. But what it
- 26:23Speaker 1: it's sharp ratio was pretty high. In other words, it
- 26:26Speaker 1: got has good risk adjusted returns, so it didn't take
- 26:29Speaker 1: on that much extra risk. And so I think if
- 26:31Speaker 1: you have a high sharp ratio and you don't see
- 26:33Speaker 1: anything that's like too far out on a limb, I
- 26:35Speaker 1: think you have a good manager there. And I think
- 26:37Speaker 1: that one that's why I highlight it is because I
- 26:39Speaker 1: couldn't really find anything that was that dramatically risky. At
- 26:42Speaker 1: the same time, it outperformed without taking too much risk. Eric,
- 26:46Speaker 1: just another point and maybe just to shift your thoughts here,
- 26:49Speaker 1: um the percentage of money that is in bond and
- 26:52Speaker 1: equity markets that are in index products or funds versus
- 26:56Speaker 1: just the act of funds. Do we see any overall
- 26:59Speaker 1: numbers for that. It's very low. We're talking about um
- 27:03Speaker 1: in the equity case. Uh, you're looking at more like
- 27:07Speaker 1: in the bond case. It's more this is a ballpark
- 27:10Speaker 1: ten bond e t s and index funds have about
- 27:14Speaker 1: a ten year or equity has a headstart. Passive equity
- 27:18Speaker 1: has about a tenure head start on fixed income, so
- 27:21Speaker 1: they you know, the flows are good, bond flows are
- 27:25Speaker 1: like debt. E t F flows are good. But the
- 27:27Speaker 1: thing is e t f s really gotta made a
- 27:30Speaker 1: killing on the equity side because of that under performance.
- 27:32Speaker 1: If that our performance persists from active fixed income, e
- 27:36Speaker 1: t s won't have as big of a space to
- 27:38Speaker 1: go and enter that market. Well, and Eric, this is
- 27:40Speaker 1: exactly what I wanted to touch on with you. Do
- 27:43Speaker 1: you expect from the people that you speak with and
- 27:45Speaker 1: from your own analyzes that right now we're seeing saturation
- 27:51Speaker 1: of fixed income specifically within the corporate debt uniform universe,
- 27:57Speaker 1: or do you think that there still is room for
- 27:59Speaker 1: a spansion of passive e t F s in this area. Well,
- 28:04Speaker 1: the big thing that like l q D and T
- 28:06Speaker 1: and um H y g DO is there being used
- 28:09Speaker 1: in place of derivatives by institutions. So it's not just
- 28:13Speaker 1: like the ts IS is competing with the fixed income
- 28:16Speaker 1: mutual fund. It's also competing with derivatives. So those those
- 28:19Speaker 1: ETFs are like a whole different species. But for a
- 28:22Speaker 1: lot of the like the power shares and the SCHWA
- 28:24Speaker 1: bond ets that are competing with mutual funds, they're not
- 28:27Speaker 1: you know, they're still pretty small. They they're probably going
- 28:30Speaker 1: to get assets ultimately because they're so cheap. And one
- 28:32Speaker 1: thing I've been going over a smart beta. So you
- 28:35Speaker 1: know how what we just talked about how the AG
- 28:36Speaker 1: is so beatable, Well that's smart beta. Ets are now
- 28:40Speaker 1: coming out that take that beatable strategy and just put
- 28:43Speaker 1: it into an index. So I Shares has a risk
- 28:45Speaker 1: weighted ETF NEUVIN has a new AGG which is basically
- 28:49Speaker 1: the AGG with like a little dip into high yield.
- 28:51Speaker 1: So they're taking the tricks of the fixed income bond
- 28:54Speaker 1: managers and turning it into an index. If that can
- 28:57Speaker 1: get root, then the bond managers are going to have
- 28:59Speaker 1: a problem them because if they're graded against that index,
- 29:01Speaker 1: it's going to be tougher to beat than the egg.
- 29:04Speaker 1: And just quickly, Erica, the use of indexes is how's
- 29:08Speaker 1: that changing? Give you about twenty seconds there. Yeah, the
- 29:10Speaker 1: use of index is well looked. The I'm sure the
- 29:12Speaker 1: bond managers love that the agg is still but if
- 29:15Speaker 1: you look at what they invest in, it's probably not
- 29:17Speaker 1: the right one. So I think that's something they're going
- 29:20Speaker 1: to want to keep. But I think the E t
- 29:22Speaker 1: F market is going to try to prove that, hey,
- 29:23Speaker 1: look this is actually not the right index. They should
- 29:26Speaker 1: be graded against these other ones. Well done, all right,
- 29:28Speaker 1: thanks very much. Eric val Tunis has always our senior
- 29:31Speaker 1: et F analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence. You can follow him
- 29:35Speaker 1: on Twitter at Eric Baltunas. Thanks for listening to the
- 29:41Speaker 1: Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and listen
- 29:44Speaker 1: to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast platform
- 29:48Speaker 1: you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at pim Fox.
- 29:52Speaker 1: I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one before the podcast.
- 29:56Speaker 1: You can always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio KA