Latest / The Front / Mossad tried to wipe out the Houthis. They’re back with a vengeance
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: From the Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey.
- 0:07Speaker 1: It's Wednesday, July twenty two, twenty twenty sixth. The Australian's
- 0:13Speaker 1: revealing today one of Australia's most infamous Islamic state fighters,
- 0:17Speaker 1: a doctor named Tarek Kumla, is still alive in an
- 0:21Speaker 1: Iraqi jail. His own family believed Kumla had died in
- 0:25Speaker 1: Ruca in twenty seventeen. The US Coast Guard is about
- 0:30Speaker 1: to set sail in Pacific waters, with the Solomon Islands
- 0:34Speaker 1: government revealing it's signing a deal with the Trump administration
- 0:37Speaker 1: to cooperate with local police on border security. That's as
- 0:41Speaker 1: new Prime Minister Matthew Wila pledges to unravel the Solomon's
- 0:45Speaker 1: security pact with China. Feared Israeli spy agency Mossad tried
- 0:52Speaker 1: to wipe out the Hoofies in twenty twenty five, but
- 0:55Speaker 1: this band of fiercely anti Semitic, anti American sheerite rebels
- 1:00Speaker 1: who are funded by Iran are very hard to kill.
- 1:04Speaker 1: They've just reinserted themselves in the Middle East conflict, declaring
- 1:08Speaker 1: a maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia and raising fears the
- 1:12Speaker 1: world's oil and shipping supplies are about to get choked
- 1:16Speaker 1: up all over again. So what now. Cameron Stewart is
- 1:20Speaker 1: here in just a moment. Cameron Stewart is the Australian's
- 1:28Speaker 1: chief international correspondent, and he's joining me to talk about
- 1:31Speaker 1: one of the world's most interesting waterways. It's not the
- 1:34Speaker 1: Strait of horn Wares in the Persian Gulf, which is
- 1:36Speaker 1: the one that's attracted all the attention recently. It's on
- 1:39Speaker 1: the other side of the Arabian Peninsula and it's the
- 1:42Speaker 1: Red Sea. Cam What is happening in the Red Sea
- 1:45Speaker 1: and why do we need to know a bit more
- 1:46Speaker 1: about it?
- 1:47Speaker 2: Well, Claire, as you say, everyone's been focusing on the
- 1:50Speaker 2: Australia formors, where twenty percent of the world's oil transits
- 1:53Speaker 2: each day. I used to until the US around conflict. However,
- 1:56Speaker 2: the Red Sea further south is incredibly important as well.
- 2:00Speaker 2: Seven percent of the world's oil is transited through the
- 2:03Speaker 2: Red Sea. Now the strata for muss currently gummed up
- 2:07Speaker 2: because of Iran closing it and the ongoing conflict there,
- 2:10Speaker 2: the Red Sea becomes much more important. And what we've
- 2:14Speaker 2: had now is the Houthi rebels, who control the northern
- 2:18Speaker 2: part of Yemen right next to one of the most
- 2:22Speaker 2: narrow straits in the Red Sea, have declared that they
- 2:25Speaker 2: will block a that in relation to Saudi Arabian oil
- 2:29Speaker 2: tankers coming through. So that's a very serious development. Especially
- 2:33Speaker 2: it's a development which would be serious on its own, clear,
- 2:36Speaker 2: it's now compounded because of the closure of the Stradaphilm
- 2:40Speaker 2: was the Melictry spokesperson for the WHO Ties made the
- 2:43Speaker 2: announcement based on the equation of an eye for an eye.
- 2:48Speaker 1: The group also warned that any further escalation by Saudi
- 2:51Speaker 1: Arabia would be met with a broader response. This was,
- 2:55Speaker 1: in a way, a way to get around what Saudi
- 2:57Speaker 1: Arabia had put together as a solution, isn't it. Saudi
- 3:00Speaker 1: Arabia had started looking at very closely expanding what they
- 3:04Speaker 1: were already doing in piping oil across the peninsula and
- 3:08Speaker 1: getting it out of there via the Red Sea, rather
- 3:10Speaker 1: than having to rely on that stratiform was that Iran
- 3:12Speaker 1: has taken over? Does that mean Saudi Arabia has to
- 3:16Speaker 1: recalculate everything now.
- 3:17Speaker 2: Well, it does if the hooth is actually followed through
- 3:20Speaker 2: with this threat. Absolutely it does. As you say, Saudi
- 3:22Speaker 2: Arabia when the stratifilms was closed, redirected seventy percent of
- 3:26Speaker 2: their oil to come down and go out through the
- 3:30Speaker 2: Red Sea. Now, of course, the Houthis are Iranian aligned,
- 3:34Speaker 2: and so Iran is putting pressure on the Hooths to
- 3:37Speaker 2: be more aggressive in the region. And Iran, what's the
- 3:40Speaker 2: closure of the strata film was to be very effective
- 3:43Speaker 2: in causing chaos and global energy markets because it gives
- 3:46Speaker 2: them more leverage negotiations. So they're now leaning on the
- 3:49Speaker 2: Hootheys to be more aggressive in their own outlooks. So
- 3:53Speaker 2: you've really got a fascinating situation where a proxy of
- 3:57Speaker 2: Iran is stepping up its actions at the direction of
- 4:01Speaker 2: Tehran to try and cause more grief and to strengthen
- 4:04Speaker 2: Iran's bigger hand in negotiations with America.
- 4:09Speaker 3: Despite Pakistan, which is the leading mediator in the Iran
- 4:12Speaker 3: US war, urging both sides to halt current hostilities and
- 4:16Speaker 3: return to negotiations. Iran's top negotiator, Mohammed Baga Galibaf, has
- 4:21Speaker 3: warned that a deal only has meaning when its clauses
- 4:24Speaker 3: are valid and being implemented.
- 4:29Speaker 1: We talk a lot about Iranian proxies cam the hoofi
- 4:32Speaker 1: Is in Yemen, Hamas in Gaza, and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
- 4:36Speaker 1: What does it mean to be a proxy of Iran
- 4:39Speaker 1: and what does it mean now that Iran is quite
- 4:41Speaker 1: seriously degraded.
- 4:43Speaker 2: Well, the proxies have still been very loyal to Iran.
- 4:46Speaker 2: I mean Iran has been degraded, Claire absolutely, its ability
- 4:50Speaker 2: to help Hesboala in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza and the
- 4:54Speaker 2: Houthis in Yemen has been greatly decreased because of this conflict,
- 4:59Speaker 2: and also the lapse of Syria has made it more
- 5:01Speaker 2: difficult for them to help the original proxies as well,
- 5:04Speaker 2: but they still can. They still have links to these proxies.
- 5:07Speaker 2: A group of hoothy rebels flew into Iran to get
- 5:10Speaker 2: briefings from Iran, then they flew back to Yemen. And
- 5:13Speaker 2: in fact that's how this latest crisis actually happened because
- 5:18Speaker 2: Yemen is split in half between the Houthi rebels and
- 5:21Speaker 2: the internationally recognized government which is backed by Saudi Arabia,
- 5:25Speaker 2: and those two forces fought the civil war from about
- 5:29Speaker 2: twenty fourteen, a very brutal civil war.
- 5:33Speaker 4: For more than seventy years now, Yemen's been torn by conflict.
- 5:36Speaker 4: Yemen was already one of the poorest countries in the
- 5:38Speaker 4: Middle East before the war broke out. Now it's suffering
- 5:42Speaker 4: one of the world's largest humanitarian crises.
- 5:46Speaker 2: And in twenty twenty two there was a sort of
- 5:49Speaker 2: informal peace, if you like, and so the country is
- 5:52Speaker 2: effectively split into but the tensions between those two forces
- 5:55Speaker 2: are absolutely still there. And what happened in this situation
- 5:59Speaker 2: was that the Saudi Arabian side of the government did
- 6:02Speaker 2: not like the fact that the Hoothis had gone to
- 6:04Speaker 2: Iran and that they were testing their control of the airspace,
- 6:08Speaker 2: and so they fired upon that plane. And the Hoofs
- 6:11Speaker 2: have used this as an excuse, if you like, to say, Okay,
- 6:14Speaker 2: we're going to get back at Saudi Arabian now we're
- 6:17Speaker 2: going to blockade their ships coming through the Gulf. So,
- 6:19Speaker 2: if you like, it's a domestic extension of the civil
- 6:22Speaker 2: war which has caused this situation. But there is the
- 6:26Speaker 2: overlay that Iran of course wants to order the Hoofs
- 6:29Speaker 2: to be more aggressive for its own reasons.
- 6:36Speaker 1: There's such an interesting group the hoof Is, aren't they
- 6:38Speaker 1: they're kind of a cross between pirates and rebels within
- 6:41Speaker 1: Yemen itself. Tell us what you know about the Hoofies
- 6:44Speaker 1: cam and what their motivation is.
- 6:46Speaker 2: Look, the Hoofi's motivation is they felt that they were
- 6:49Speaker 2: basically neglected by the government in Yemen. They thought that
- 6:53Speaker 2: they were being discriminated against as a group. The northern
- 6:57Speaker 2: part of Yemen Claire is very mountainous and it's it's
- 7:00Speaker 2: terrain for a rebel group, for a gorilla group, if
- 7:03Speaker 2: you like. And with their faith, they align themselves with Iran.
- 7:08Speaker 2: Aram is more than happy to cause trouble in the
- 7:11Speaker 2: region as they have with Hezbollah and Hamas and sponsor
- 7:14Speaker 2: the hooth Is. And so the hooth Is interesting because
- 7:17Speaker 2: what they did was when October seven happened, the terrible
- 7:19Speaker 2: massacre of Israelis by Hamas and Israel attacked Gaza, the
- 7:24Speaker 2: hooth Is started attacking Israel in sympathy with the Palestinians.
- 7:28Speaker 2: So that was the position that the Hoothis took. And
- 7:31Speaker 2: when the cease fire occurred in Gaza, the hooth he
- 7:35Speaker 2: stopped firing. But what happened was then when the US
- 7:39Speaker 2: declared war on Iran, the hoose He said we're going
- 7:41Speaker 2: to help Iran. We're going to fire on Israel in sympathy. Now,
- 7:45Speaker 2: the fact is they have done that occasionally, but not
- 7:48Speaker 2: that much. The Houthi Iss have not really heavily been
- 7:52Speaker 2: involved in this war. And that's what makes this development
- 7:56Speaker 2: especially interesting because it really potentially put the Hoofies front
- 8:02Speaker 2: and center if they're going to blockade those vital oil
- 8:05Speaker 2: tankers coming through the Red Sea.
- 8:08Speaker 1: Let's track it back to when the war was raging
- 8:10Speaker 1: between Israel and Hamas. The Hoofies were causing absolute mayhem
- 8:14Speaker 1: by really threatening to blow up any ship that tried
- 8:17Speaker 1: to get through the Red Sea. Then Mossad masterminded this
- 8:21Speaker 1: quite audacious attack on the Hoofies in their kind of
- 8:23Speaker 1: stronghold of Sennar, and several senior Hoothi leaders were meeting
- 8:28Speaker 1: and Mossad blew them all up. It was quite remarkable.
- 8:32Speaker 5: Now, the Israeli Air Force conducted a targeted strike in Yemen,
- 8:35Speaker 5: reportedly aiming to eliminate the military and political leadership of
- 8:39Speaker 5: the Iran Battouthies. The operation, described by Hebrew media as
- 8:44Speaker 5: Israel's most dramatic strike in Yemen yet, was first reported
- 8:48Speaker 5: by Huthi ran almost.
- 8:55Speaker 1: And it was hailed as this massive intelligence coup for Israel.
- 9:00Speaker 1: So what do we think now, did that have less
- 9:02Speaker 1: of an impact than we'd thought at the time, or
- 9:05Speaker 1: have the hooth he has just been kind of regrouping
- 9:07Speaker 1: and managed to pull themselves back together.
- 9:10Speaker 2: Well, probably a bit of both. In fact, that was
- 9:12Speaker 2: a huge intelligence coup and that really stopped the Hoothis
- 9:15Speaker 2: in their tracks. They were much more cautious after that
- 9:18Speaker 2: in their behavior. As well as that. The Americans had
- 9:21Speaker 2: a very very big missile campaign against the Houthis at
- 9:26Speaker 2: the time, and then the Americans struck an unusual idea
- 9:28Speaker 2: which whereby the Americans would stop attacking the Hoothies if
- 9:31Speaker 2: the Houthy stopped attacking any American ships in the Red Sea.
- 9:35Speaker 2: So we've had all of those things happened. The Houthis
- 9:38Speaker 2: have been relatively quite compared to that time during the
- 9:41Speaker 2: Gaza conflict, when as you say, they were blockading a
- 9:44Speaker 2: lot of ships through the Red Sea. Nine lives were lost,
- 9:46Speaker 2: some ships were lost. You know, it was a very
- 9:49Speaker 2: serious situation. And now we're looking at the possible resumption
- 9:53Speaker 2: of that again and it just becomes so much more important.
- 9:56Speaker 2: This passage of water with the Strait of Hum was
- 9:59Speaker 2: closed because you just have to look at a map
- 10:01Speaker 2: and they are the two passageways of water where you
- 10:04Speaker 2: get oil out of the Middle East.
- 10:06Speaker 1: Where do those golf states turn? Now? When Iran started
- 10:10Speaker 1: attacking them in the recent months since the start of
- 10:13Speaker 1: Operation Epic Fury, Iran was saying, we're not really attacking
- 10:16Speaker 1: our golf neighbors, We're attacking US assets in the region.
- 10:19Speaker 1: And you know, they shouldn't be hosting the United States.
- 10:22Speaker 1: Most of them do, though, most of them have some
- 10:24Speaker 1: kind of US military base or military assets on that
- 10:27Speaker 1: Persian golf piece of territory. So what do they do.
- 10:31Speaker 1: Do they stick with America or go closer towards Israel
- 10:34Speaker 1: or do they change their religions all together and try
- 10:37Speaker 1: to buckle under Iran.
- 10:39Speaker 2: Well, they're absolutely the meat and the sandwich, is you say.
- 10:41Speaker 2: I think there's two answers to that. In short term. Certainly,
- 10:44Speaker 2: they cannot drift away from America if you like. I mean,
- 10:47Speaker 2: they have US bases, military bases on their soil. They
- 10:50Speaker 2: have big investment deals with America. They can't just walk
- 10:53Speaker 2: away from America. They obviously be very annoyed with Iran
- 10:56Speaker 2: because Iran is the one attacking them. But you know,
- 10:59Speaker 2: these countries are in there a difficult position, clear because
- 11:01Speaker 2: what the Iranians are doing at the moment is the
- 11:03Speaker 2: Uranians claim or we're just attacking these countries because they
- 11:07Speaker 2: have US troops on their soil, but in fact they're
- 11:09Speaker 2: actually attacking also the infrastructure of these countries and really
- 11:14Speaker 2: important infrastructure like power bases and water supply to salve
- 11:17Speaker 2: a nation, plants, et cetera. And that can cause real
- 11:21Speaker 2: heartache and misery in these golf countries if Iran keeps
- 11:25Speaker 2: doing that. So these countries are in a very difficult
- 11:28Speaker 2: position here. They can't back away from the US politically,
- 11:32Speaker 2: but they are being pummeled by Iran, and if Ram
- 11:34Speaker 2: wants to keep continuing this, it will really raise the tension.
- 11:37Speaker 2: What Iran wants to have happened is exactly what you're saying.
- 11:40Speaker 2: They want these golf states to really pressure Donald Trump
- 11:43Speaker 2: and say, come on, mate, we've had enough. You just
- 11:45Speaker 2: can't keep doing this. That's what they want. I don't
- 11:48Speaker 2: think they'll get that, but we're getting to an inflection
- 11:50Speaker 2: point where these golf states really are suffering and the
- 11:54Speaker 2: price they're paying is a very big one, and they
- 11:56Speaker 2: might even get to a point at one point where
- 11:58Speaker 2: they actually try and sign a non aggression pack with
- 12:01Speaker 2: Iran to simply just try and stop the whole thing.
- 12:08Speaker 1: Coming up. So what's the endgame for the Hoofies and
- 12:11Speaker 1: for Iran? What the Hoofees say is that they want
- 12:27Speaker 1: death to Israel, death to America. That's their slogan. But
- 12:31Speaker 1: what they're really fighting for is total control of Yemen.
- 12:34Speaker 1: One option for Iran would be to throw all its
- 12:36Speaker 1: resources at the Hoofies to fund them to take over Yemen,
- 12:40Speaker 1: conquer the government there, and make Yemen a stronghold of
- 12:43Speaker 1: Shia Islam. Why hasn't Iran done that? I mean they do.
- 12:47Speaker 1: They prefer to have the Hoofies just as the kind
- 12:50Speaker 1: of proxy force who they use when it suits them.
- 12:53Speaker 2: I don't think militarily that Houths were able to take
- 12:55Speaker 2: over the country. I mean, Saudi Arabia was backing heavily,
- 12:59Speaker 2: backing the recognized government there, and they just couldn't make
- 13:02Speaker 2: military headway there. And that's when Iran was relatively fit
- 13:06Speaker 2: and healthy and financially solve them if you like. I
- 13:09Speaker 2: really think Iran now is so much weakened that while
- 13:13Speaker 2: they can still help the Hoothies, they're certainly not going
- 13:15Speaker 2: to be to help them to the point where they're
- 13:16Speaker 2: going to be able to take over the country. I
- 13:18Speaker 2: think they would just be a part during now the
- 13:19Speaker 2: Uranians and that the hoof is to be honest, What.
- 13:22Speaker 1: About for Australians. Can we're all used to the fact
- 13:24Speaker 1: that petrol prices are closely connected to what's happening in
- 13:27Speaker 1: the Middle East. Even though we're buying more of it
- 13:29Speaker 1: from Asian sources, it all seems to come from the
- 13:32Speaker 1: same place basically, and much of it has to go
- 13:34Speaker 1: through these narrow waterways. What difference will it make if
- 13:38Speaker 1: shipping in the Red Sea is now disrupted again as
- 13:41Speaker 1: it was back in twenty twenty four.
- 13:43Speaker 2: If it's disrupted, it will simply cost you more to
- 13:45Speaker 2: fill up ther car in Australia. It's as simple as that.
- 13:49Speaker 3: So is the respite over for oil prices. Crude is
- 13:52Speaker 3: at its highest in a month as attacks on shipping
- 13:54Speaker 3: sea traffic in austraight to fore moves all but grind
- 13:57Speaker 3: to a halt.
- 14:00Speaker 2: I mean, we'd be talking about twenty seven percent of
- 14:03Speaker 2: the world's oil being clogged up through the strata for
- 14:06Speaker 2: mouss being closed, and also the Red Sea passageways been closed,
- 14:09Speaker 2: if indeed that did happen, I mean, I think you fine,
- 14:12Speaker 2: there's a fair way to go before the Red Sea
- 14:14Speaker 2: is closed, because obviously the Allies would do a lot
- 14:16Speaker 2: to trunk keep that passage open. In fact, you might
- 14:18Speaker 2: recall the US actually asked Australia to send a warship
- 14:21Speaker 2: to the Red Sea during the height of those attacks
- 14:24Speaker 2: either hoof he's on the shipping during the actual Gaza conflict.
- 14:27Speaker 2: Australia said no, we're not going to do it. It
- 14:29Speaker 2: didn't join that coalition if you like. But I think
- 14:32Speaker 2: that's what you'd see. That would be the next step.
- 14:34Speaker 2: If the hooth Is really start to attack shipping in
- 14:37Speaker 2: the Red Seed beyond just the Saudi Arabians, which is
- 14:40Speaker 2: at this minute what Hoothis are saying they'll do, then
- 14:43Speaker 2: that could lead to a coalition of Western forces. True
- 14:46Speaker 2: that passageway open, because it just becomes so much more
- 14:48Speaker 2: important with the Strati Fian moss being closed.
- 14:52Speaker 1: Would Australia be invited to join again? And do we
- 14:54Speaker 1: actually have the capacity to send a warship.
- 14:56Speaker 2: I think we might be invited again, but probably I
- 14:59Speaker 2: think the Australian government was very embarrassed by the revelation
- 15:04Speaker 2: in The Australian that in fact the Americans had asked
- 15:07Speaker 2: for that warship, and they spent a long time cycling
- 15:09Speaker 2: backwards and trying to explain that their focus of attention
- 15:12Speaker 2: is on the Indo Pacific region. But I think the
- 15:14Speaker 2: fact was clear. They didn't actually have a ship ready
- 15:17Speaker 2: and get it out to center the reg city, so
- 15:19Speaker 2: I'm not sure they'd be able to send it so
- 15:21Speaker 2: the Red Sea again if they were asked again.
- 15:23Speaker 1: Well, the stories keep coming, Thank you very much, Cam Pleasure.
- 15:33Speaker 1: Cameron Stewart is the Australian's chief international correspondent. You can
- 15:37Speaker 1: read all the latest from the Middle East and around
- 15:39Speaker 1: the world right now at the Australian dot com dou