Latest / Toadstool Sports / MLB Divisional + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Saturday 10/11/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:05Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:08Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
- 0:10Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 0:13Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
- 0:14Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
- 0:17Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 0:22Speaker 1: slump continuing.
- 0:24Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
- 0:27Speaker 2: four that.
- 0:29Speaker 1: Have not had a good season, Man with wookends the
- 0:33Speaker 1: slump that I'm on.
- 0:35Speaker 2: The slump continues. I've reached a new pink.
- 0:38Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my bruins hat Man. I
- 0:42Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
- 0:45Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
- 0:47Speaker 2: It's March ninth, I think who even knows?
- 0:50Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. But I
- 0:53Speaker 1: don't even know what data is anymore.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you. I always am.
- 1:01Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two yesterday and
- 1:05Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
- 1:07Speaker 2: Own five the worst month.
- 1:10Speaker 1: That I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Slump yesterday, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:22Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:25Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
- 1:33Speaker 1: It's towed back with you. This is better off dead
- 1:36Speaker 1: for Saturday.
- 1:38Speaker 2: October eleventh, I appreciate it.
- 1:40Speaker 1: Thanks everybody for hanging out for the College Football show,
- 1:44Speaker 1: which was the longest.
- 1:45Speaker 2: One yet probably last night.
- 1:47Speaker 1: Went to bed at like four am, and I'm back
- 1:49Speaker 1: up to break down the morning Slate here, well not
- 1:53Speaker 1: the Morning Slate but the rest of the board here.
- 1:55Speaker 1: So if you want the college football analysis, you can
- 1:58Speaker 1: go check that video out.
- 1:59Speaker 2: There is still some time.
- 2:00Speaker 1: I gave up four plays in that video, which I
- 2:03Speaker 1: will reiterate at the end of this show, but I
- 2:05Speaker 1: will leave the analysis in that video in. I'll put
- 2:09Speaker 1: it up on Instagram pretty soon as well. Hopefully this
- 2:11Speaker 1: will be a bit of a short video here.
- 2:13Speaker 2: This time. We have one major League baseball game to.
- 2:17Speaker 1: Talk about, which there's not gonna be a whole lot
- 2:19Speaker 1: to talk about though, to be honest, because it's really
- 2:21Speaker 1: difficult to handicap because the game is tonight and we
- 2:24Speaker 1: don't even know who the pitchers are gonna be yet,
- 2:27Speaker 1: although we can kind of speculate, but there's no way
- 2:29Speaker 1: that I would put money on it where it stands
- 2:31Speaker 1: right now. And then we do have a full hockey
- 2:35Speaker 1: board here. All the hockey teams are playing. Jeffrey, what's up?
- 2:38Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out? You fell asleep. I almost fell
- 2:41Speaker 1: asleep turning it as well. It's that those late night
- 2:45Speaker 1: shows are wild.
- 2:46Speaker 2: Man.
- 2:46Speaker 1: We're gonna have another one tonight for the NFL, but
- 2:48Speaker 1: the NFL one is easier than the college one. There's
- 2:50Speaker 1: just less to talk about.
- 2:54Speaker 2: Shorter board there anyway. College football.
- 2:58Speaker 1: By the way, I'll reiterate the end of the show too,
- 3:00Speaker 1: but I have Michigan State minus seven and a half,
- 3:03Speaker 1: Missouri plus three, Texas plus one, all though it looks
- 3:06Speaker 1: like they're minus one now, but I don't think there's
- 3:08Speaker 1: much of a difference between those two numbers and Auburn
- 3:11Speaker 1: plus four. So if you want the analysis on those,
- 3:15Speaker 1: you can check out the video from last night. Hopefully
- 3:17Speaker 1: the analysis is solid. Hopefully well get some more wins there.
- 3:21Speaker 1: Trying to narrow down the College football Board. Like I
- 3:24Speaker 1: started off the week like thinking, I liked like a
- 3:26Speaker 1: whole bunch of games, and I narrowed it down to
- 3:27Speaker 1: those that I think are the strongest.
- 3:30Speaker 2: Let's talk about the board today.
- 3:31Speaker 1: By the way, congratulations to the Las Vegas Aces. They
- 3:35Speaker 1: won the WNBA Final in a sweep last night, so
- 3:38Speaker 1: WNBA is over. I was correct in my bracket special
- 3:42Speaker 1: I had the right champion at least, so there you go.
- 3:45Speaker 1: Sucked for Phoenix that their best player got hurt. I mean,
- 3:48Speaker 1: it is what it is. They still think Vegas was
- 3:50Speaker 1: the better team, though Minnesota also lost their best player
- 3:54Speaker 1: and that kind of got them knocked out themselves.
- 3:58Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, not a whole lot.
- 4:00Speaker 1: Else to say about that. We do have Cubs brewers
- 4:03Speaker 1: here in baseball. Oh yeah, this is the breakdown I forgot.
- 4:06Speaker 1: Oh my god, Game five here, man, it's the crucial
- 4:12Speaker 1: game five, like what we had last night that crazy
- 4:14Speaker 1: Detroit and Seattle gameer Seattle was able to advance in
- 4:18Speaker 1: fifteen innings last night.
- 4:20Speaker 2: This is what you know.
- 4:22Speaker 1: Sticking to the Major League Baseball of old, this is
- 4:25Speaker 1: what it gets.
- 4:26Speaker 2: You, man, And I am saying this is a good thing.
- 4:28Speaker 1: You get these crazy games like that game last night,
- 4:32Speaker 1: and this is what people want. It's just it's total drama,
- 4:36Speaker 1: like every inning could be the end, you know what
- 4:38Speaker 1: I mean. It's like kind of like sudden death hockey
- 4:42Speaker 1: playoffs or hockey overtime excuse you or whatever. Yeah, I
- 4:46Speaker 1: mean it's a it's almost must watch, to be honest,
- 4:50Speaker 1: that's what you want. So no ghost runner in the playoffs,
- 4:53Speaker 1: and it's much better baseball. Eliminate the ghost runner, get
- 4:57Speaker 1: rid of it. It's absolute bullshit. So yeah, Seattle was
- 5:02Speaker 1: able to win that game. There was there's a lot
- 5:04Speaker 1: of controversy about the h the call, the hit by
- 5:08Speaker 1: pitch that happened I think one or two winnings earlier,
- 5:11Speaker 1: which wound up not affecting the game, but it was
- 5:13Speaker 1: the wrong call. I don't understand how they could have
- 5:14Speaker 1: reviewed that and come to the conclusion that whoever it
- 5:18Speaker 1: was for Seattle. He went to bunt with I think
- 5:20Speaker 1: a run around first with nobody out, and I think
- 5:23Speaker 1: it was the bottom of the thirteenth when this happened.
- 5:26Speaker 1: It was either the twelfth or the thirteenth, and I
- 5:28Speaker 1: think pretty clearly the ball hit the bat first and
- 5:32Speaker 1: then he was bunting. It hit the bat and then
- 5:34Speaker 1: it went off his hand, so he kind of hurt
- 5:37Speaker 1: his hand a little bit. I think he was fine, though,
- 5:39Speaker 1: but they ruled that he was hit by pitch. But
- 5:41Speaker 1: if you look at that replay, I just tweeted it
- 5:43Speaker 1: out too. Pretty clearly it hit the bat, then it
- 5:46Speaker 1: hit his hand, I'm assuming while he was still in
- 5:48Speaker 1: the batter's box. So the calls should just be a
- 5:51Speaker 1: foul ball. That's what it is, if you follow it
- 5:53Speaker 1: off of yourself in the batter's box.
- 5:55Speaker 2: I think it's the same even on a bunt.
- 5:57Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it's the same. I believe it's just
- 6:01Speaker 1: when bunting. If you bunt foul with two strikes, it's
- 6:03Speaker 1: a strikeout. That's like the only difference. But I think
- 6:06Speaker 1: it was the first pitch of the bat, so it
- 6:08Speaker 1: should have been a foul ball, but they gave it
- 6:10Speaker 1: first base. But I wound up not mattering because Seattle
- 6:13Speaker 1: didn't score in that inning anyway, So people complaining about it,
- 6:16Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, you can complain that it was a
- 6:18Speaker 1: bad call, but it didn't actually affect the outcome of
- 6:21Speaker 1: the game.
- 6:22Speaker 2: We do have Cubs brewers here.
- 6:24Speaker 1: As I was trying to get to uh, this is
- 6:26Speaker 1: nationally divisional series. Whoever wins this game will advance and
- 6:29Speaker 1: face the Dodgers.
- 6:32Speaker 2: If the Brewers win, they're gonna.
- 6:33Speaker 1: Host the Dodgers. If the Cubs win, they have to
- 6:35Speaker 1: go to La in LA would host the series. Brewers
- 6:41Speaker 1: are up for minus one twenty seven tons one thirty
- 6:43Speaker 1: eight here, so the money has come in on the Brewers.
- 6:45Speaker 1: The total down a little bit from seven and a
- 6:48Speaker 1: half juice to the over to seven and a half.
- 6:51Speaker 1: I mean, it's really difficult to handicap this just because
- 6:53Speaker 1: we don't know who's gonna pitch in this game, but
- 6:55Speaker 1: they kind of guess that it's gonna be maybe the
- 6:58Speaker 1: same thing that we had in Game two, which was
- 7:01Speaker 1: also at Milwaukee, which was Imanaga for the Cubs up
- 7:04Speaker 1: against basically a Milwaukee bullpen game, although it was kind
- 7:09Speaker 1: of like bolstered by Missierowski was kind of the main
- 7:13Speaker 1: guy that Milwaukee wound up using in that game, and
- 7:15Speaker 1: I lost a play on that. That was my only
- 7:17Speaker 1: loss in the Baseball Playoffs so far, was on the
- 7:21Speaker 1: Cubs in that game because I thought im Naga was
- 7:23Speaker 1: more preferable than the Milwaukee bullpen game. And I thought
- 7:26Speaker 1: Milwaukee might use Kintana, but they used Missierowski, although I
- 7:30Speaker 1: still don't know if I totally trust him, but that
- 7:33Speaker 1: may be what happens in this game. It might be
- 7:34Speaker 1: Imanaga up against essentially Mizierowski and.
- 7:38Speaker 2: Whoever else in Milwaukee wants to use here.
- 7:40Speaker 1: I mean, the bullpens are probably gonna get unloaded here
- 7:42Speaker 1: because this is a game five. It's anything goes the
- 7:45Speaker 1: bullpen's arrested, so basically any and omal bullpen arms could
- 7:49Speaker 1: uh come into this game, man, So it's gonna be
- 7:52Speaker 1: a little bit crazy. Could wind up being similar to
- 7:55Speaker 1: last night too. I mean, it could be a close game.
- 7:59Speaker 2: If it is.
- 7:59Speaker 1: I though, I mean, I'm probably gonna have a slight
- 8:01Speaker 1: lean that way towards the Cubs. But it's gonna be nothing,
- 8:05Speaker 1: nothing that I would want to give out as a player.
- 8:07Speaker 2: Or anything like that. This time it's kind of a
- 8:09Speaker 2: wait and see.
- 8:09Speaker 1: We got to figure out what the matchup's even gonna be,
- 8:11Speaker 1: so there's not a whole lot to talk about there.
- 8:13Speaker 1: And then we do have an NHL. And when does
- 8:15Speaker 1: NBA start? By the way, I feel like NBA starts
- 8:17Speaker 1: really soon. Tuesday, October twenty first NBA starts, so something
- 8:23Speaker 1: to keep in mind there too. We're gonna talk about
- 8:24Speaker 1: that soon. It looks like it kicks off with it
- 8:28Speaker 1: or tips off, I guess we should say with a
- 8:30Speaker 1: doubleheader on that day Rockets Thunder and Warriors Lakers. So
- 8:34Speaker 1: that's gonna be coming up to. All right, let's talk
- 8:36Speaker 1: about NHL. We have a full NHL slate here. I'm
- 8:38Speaker 1: gonna give about three NHL plays. I mean, that's typical
- 8:42Speaker 1: of what I do on an NHL full board like this.
- 8:45Speaker 2: I'll talk about like some of the.
- 8:47Speaker 1: Bigger games and maybe the situations that kind of mean something.
- 8:53Speaker 1: There is one afternoon game here Kings and Jets, not
- 8:58Speaker 1: the Sacramento Kings of the New York Jets LA and
- 9:01Speaker 1: Winnipeg here.
- 9:02Speaker 2: Winnipeg was one of my losses the other day.
- 9:04Speaker 1: They almost came back against Dallas, but they did not
- 9:07Speaker 1: deserve to win that game. They got outplayed by Dallas.
- 9:10Speaker 1: So Winnipeg is staying at home after losing their first game.
- 9:13Speaker 1: But they're coming off a big game. So I can
- 9:16Speaker 1: kind of see it going both ways, like they need
- 9:18Speaker 1: a win. They're typically pretty good at home, but they're
- 9:20Speaker 1: coming off a big game, even though this is another
- 9:22Speaker 1: big game, but two big games in a row seems
- 9:25Speaker 1: a little bit difficult, and I think LA does have
- 9:27Speaker 1: an extra day of rest. I didn't really look at
- 9:29Speaker 1: the rest scenario too much because every team was off yesterday,
- 9:32Speaker 1: and it's the very beginning of the season pretty much,
- 9:34Speaker 1: so you don't really have teams in like terrible rest
- 9:36Speaker 1: situations yet and we can kind of gauge what's going
- 9:39Speaker 1: on at the starting goalies here too.
- 9:41Speaker 2: LA had a big win over the Kings.
- 9:44Speaker 1: After they lost to Colorado, so they've already played two
- 9:46Speaker 1: games actually, but coming off that big overtime win over
- 9:49Speaker 1: the Kings and having to travel up to Winnipeg, to me,
- 9:52Speaker 1: it still looks like it is a worse spot for LA,
- 9:54Speaker 1: So I would have a slight lean to Winnipeg in
- 9:56Speaker 1: that one. They're up for minus one twenty five to
- 9:58Speaker 1: minus one twenty nine, so money kind of agreeing with it.
- 10:01Speaker 1: Eighty five percent of tickets on Winnipeg. But again, with
- 10:06Speaker 1: especially on a college football Saturday like this, I don't
- 10:08Speaker 1: think you're gonna see a whole lot of betters doing
- 10:12Speaker 1: much with hockey, so I think a lot of the
- 10:13Speaker 1: tickets that you see here are professional money because the professionals,
- 10:18Speaker 1: you know, they want to win money, so they're gonna
- 10:19Speaker 1: look at the NHL car board. Really, they're gonna break
- 10:22Speaker 1: it down. You know, just because the public is all
- 10:26Speaker 1: over football doesn't mean that you shouldn't be paying attention
- 10:29Speaker 1: to the less paid attention to sports because you're you'll
- 10:33Speaker 1: find some angles if you do. Although I don't fall
- 10:35Speaker 1: you know, I don't like dive into like every single
- 10:38Speaker 1: sport that's out there, but I do do.
- 10:39Speaker 2: All of the main ones.
- 10:41Speaker 1: But nine the cash on Winnipeg here, so it does
- 10:44Speaker 1: look like the money is coming in a Winnipeg. That's
- 10:48Speaker 1: the way that I would lean in that one. Saint
- 10:50Speaker 1: Louis at Calgary. Calgary has already played two games. They
- 10:54Speaker 1: beat Edmonton, which was a big win, and I was
- 10:57Speaker 1: I was on both of these games, actually my two
- 10:59Speaker 1: wins in hockey.
- 11:00Speaker 2: So from two and two.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Uh so I'm a loser right now in hockey, but
- 11:03Speaker 1: these are both wins for me on the Calgary Flames.
- 11:06Speaker 1: Big win against Edmonton in the runner up hangover spot
- 11:11Speaker 1: that I talked about, their big win, but Calgary still
- 11:14Speaker 1: not really that good of a team and they got
- 11:16Speaker 1: smacked by Vancouver in the next game, although they were
- 11:19Speaker 1: hanging in that game into the third period it was
- 11:21Speaker 1: one nothing and then Vancouver just kind of exploded late
- 11:24Speaker 1: in the game. Calgary now coming home, so they do
- 11:28Speaker 1: have travel here, although this is their home opener, so
- 11:30Speaker 1: they might somewhat show up for this. I don't know
- 11:34Speaker 1: who Calgary is gonna have as their It looks like
- 11:37Speaker 1: Wolf is gonna be back in net for them. The Wolf, Yes,
- 11:40Speaker 1: it looks like it is Wolf to I, although he's
- 11:42Speaker 1: projected right now unconfirmed. But on this site, starting goalies,
- 11:47Speaker 1: it's dailyfaceof dot Com. They tend to be correct in
- 11:51Speaker 1: their predictions, but not one hundred percent, but more often
- 11:55Speaker 1: than not they're correct about who the goalies are gonna be.
- 11:58Speaker 1: It should be Wolf because he their starter and he
- 12:00Speaker 1: didn't play in the last game.
- 12:03Speaker 2: How much better is he though, I don't know.
- 12:05Speaker 1: I mean, Saint Louis probably is gonna have Bennington and
- 12:07Speaker 1: net again. He is their best goal He's been really
- 12:10Speaker 1: good at times, really bad at times. Saint Louis is
- 12:13Speaker 1: the better team though, I mean, the oddsmakers are telling
- 12:15Speaker 1: you this. Calgary, even though they had that big win
- 12:17Speaker 1: over Edmonton, they're actually not that good. Saint Louis not
- 12:20Speaker 1: only is a road favorite, but they're actually taking the money.
- 12:23Speaker 1: They're up from minus one oh six to minus one
- 12:25Speaker 1: twenty one. Fifty four percent of the tickets are on Calgary,
- 12:28Speaker 1: but eighty one percent of the cash coming in on
- 12:30Speaker 1: Saint Louis. Saint Louis only has one game so far
- 12:33Speaker 1: and they lost five to nothing at home, so people
- 12:36Speaker 1: are really gonna want nothing to do with Saint Louis here.
- 12:38Speaker 1: But Minnesota, I mean, I know I talked about how
- 12:41Speaker 1: overrated they were last year, but they're not a bad team,
- 12:44Speaker 1: and I mean, five nothing is just such an outlier, man,
- 12:48Speaker 1: you gotta think Saint Louis Is gonna be a little
- 12:50Speaker 1: bit angry about it.
- 12:51Speaker 2: Try to bounce back. Saint Louis.
- 12:52Speaker 1: Actually they kind of won the game statistically. They had
- 12:56Speaker 1: more shots than Minnesota. They were the way more physical
- 12:58Speaker 1: team forty nineteen hits. They lost the face off battle,
- 13:02Speaker 1: but statistically looks like a game that Saint Louis maybe
- 13:04Speaker 1: should have won. I don't know what happened in that
- 13:06Speaker 1: game or how they lost that game, but right now,
- 13:09Speaker 1: Saint Louis, they're better than they appear to be. Right now,
- 13:12Speaker 1: man Like you can't just look at that one result
- 13:14Speaker 1: and think that it means much of anything. So I
- 13:18Speaker 1: think Saint Louis is the right side in this game.
- 13:19Speaker 1: That would be the way that I would look in
- 13:21Speaker 1: that game if I was gonna play it. My Boston
- 13:24Speaker 1: Bruins are hosting Buffalo, and I don't like the look
- 13:27Speaker 1: of this because Buffalo is not very good. But even
- 13:29Speaker 1: though the Bruins are two and zero, they had a
- 13:31Speaker 1: big upset win over Washington. They beat Chicago last time
- 13:35Speaker 1: up in Chicago was also one of the lesser teams
- 13:38Speaker 1: in hockey. The Bruins down for minus one twenty three
- 13:40Speaker 1: to minus one thirteen. Bruins tend to play well in
- 13:43Speaker 1: their home openers too, as I pointed out, but now
- 13:46Speaker 1: they've already won their home opener, and this is not
- 13:49Speaker 1: looking good as far as the market here. Money line
- 13:52Speaker 1: dropping on Boston eighty five percent of tickets on them,
- 13:54Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash, so the money
- 13:57Speaker 1: is coming in towards Buffalo. I don't really have much
- 14:00Speaker 1: of a reason to disagree with that, other than the
- 14:01Speaker 1: fact that the Bruins, as a bigger favorite in that
- 14:04Speaker 1: game against Chicago, had a close call and really the Bruins.
- 14:08Speaker 1: If you watch what happened in that game, they actually
- 14:09Speaker 1: did play better than the final score looked in that one.
- 14:13Speaker 1: But it is pretty telling that a mediocre to bad
- 14:16Speaker 1: team like Buffalo is just a small road underdog here,
- 14:20Speaker 1: Like the oddsmakers are almost telling you the Bruins aren't
- 14:22Speaker 1: even the better team, which is really ridiculous, especially when
- 14:27Speaker 1: Swayman's gonna be back in net most likely for the
- 14:29Speaker 1: Bruins here too. So that makes it even crazier that
- 14:32Speaker 1: he was really good in the first game. I think
- 14:34Speaker 1: now that his contract is settled in whatever, he didn't
- 14:39Speaker 1: miss training camp like he did last year. I think
- 14:40Speaker 1: we're gonna get a better Swayman this year. So it's
- 14:43Speaker 1: kind of that makes it even more crazy that the
- 14:45Speaker 1: Bruins are such a They're getting like disrespected big time
- 14:49Speaker 1: in the market, but the money is actually going against them.
- 14:52Speaker 1: Maybe there's something I don't know about Buffalo. Maybe Buffalo
- 14:54Speaker 1: is a much improved team. I mean that remains to
- 14:57Speaker 1: be seen, But I don't know, man, because Corpas Salo
- 15:01Speaker 1: played in the last game for the Bruins, and he
- 15:03Speaker 1: did well enough to win the game. But Swayman is
- 15:06Speaker 1: the better of the two goalies and he most likely
- 15:08Speaker 1: will be in net there, So strange, just like I'm
- 15:12Speaker 1: not you know, I don't think it's weird that the
- 15:14Speaker 1: money's coming in against the Bruins. I think that the
- 15:17Speaker 1: line being that short does seem weird to me. Like
- 15:19Speaker 1: to me, I still think the Bruins are the better
- 15:22Speaker 1: team over Buffalo until we see something something that tells
- 15:24Speaker 1: us otherwise. But I know, coming into the season, the
- 15:27Speaker 1: Bruins are projected to be the absolute last place team
- 15:30Speaker 1: in their division. And I said that I think that
- 15:32Speaker 1: was going too far. Like I don't think the Bruins
- 15:35Speaker 1: talent wise are literally the worst team in their entire division.
- 15:39Speaker 2: I don't think that's the case. So I don't know.
- 15:41Speaker 2: It's a weird one man. SOB what's up?
- 15:44Speaker 1: Man? Thanks for hanging out. You're on Buffalo the money
- 15:46Speaker 1: agrees with you on that. I haven't talked about the
- 15:49Speaker 1: Blue Jackets game yet. I don't really have a good
- 15:51Speaker 1: feeling for the Blue Jackets game, like I just yeah,
- 15:54Speaker 1: I mean, the Bluejackets game is just hard for me
- 15:56Speaker 1: to gauge. So hopefully you get those two, well, hopefully
- 16:00Speaker 1: you don't get the Buffalo one, just because I want
- 16:03Speaker 1: the Bruins to win, but if Buffalo wins, you'll get
- 16:07Speaker 1: your money. So you tell the bartender to turn on
- 16:10Speaker 1: the NHL. People are gonna get mad if you do
- 16:12Speaker 1: that at a bar because they want to watch college football.
- 16:15Speaker 2: Man.
- 16:16Speaker 1: Bruins have bigger games next, Yeah, but they're coming off
- 16:19Speaker 1: a pretty lackluster game really against Chicago. They made a
- 16:25Speaker 1: couple of mistakes that led to those two goals, the
- 16:27Speaker 1: first two goals that Chicago scored. Sabers are getting shut out, Yeah,
- 16:33Speaker 1: but well, the fact that the Bruins played a terrible
- 16:35Speaker 1: home opener makes me want to look towards the Bruins.
- 16:38Speaker 1: But yeah, the fact that Buffalo got shut out by
- 16:40Speaker 1: the Rangers. I told you I liked the Rangers in
- 16:42Speaker 1: that spot. Rangers are not a bad team. Yeah, so
- 16:45Speaker 1: you're right, Buffalo isn't a bounced back spot for a
- 16:48Speaker 1: really bad first game. They're a bad performance there. But
- 16:52Speaker 1: the Bruins didn't have a good performance in their home
- 16:54Speaker 1: opener either, so I kind of think both teams kind
- 16:56Speaker 1: of want to show up here. Yeah, the Bruins have
- 16:58Speaker 1: Tampa next, but I don't know, I'm not as concerned
- 17:02Speaker 1: with like look aheads as I am with what the
- 17:03Speaker 1: team just did, so I don't know Toronto Detroit is
- 17:08Speaker 1: gonna be one of my plays, So I'm gonna hold
- 17:10Speaker 1: off on that. I'm not gonna talk about every one
- 17:11Speaker 1: of these games, but I'm gonna hit a bunch of
- 17:13Speaker 1: them and then hopefully I still have time to do
- 17:15Speaker 1: my Instagram videos. Devils and Lightning, New Jersey and Tampa
- 17:21Speaker 1: Bay this is a pretty good matchup. Tampa Bay lost
- 17:24Speaker 1: their home opener to Ottawa and they're staying at home Ottawa.
- 17:27Speaker 1: I mean, I think they made the playoffs last year Outawa.
- 17:29Speaker 1: They're kind of an upstart team here man, and they've
- 17:31Speaker 1: lean us oh Mark, former Brewing goalie there So Ottawa
- 17:35Speaker 1: they got some good goaltending. They're not a bad team
- 17:37Speaker 1: right now. So should Tampa have won their home opener
- 17:40Speaker 1: still against Ottawa? Maybe, but it was a close game.
- 17:43Speaker 1: It was crazy five to four, So Tampa is coming.
- 17:46Speaker 1: I mean, you could look at this both ways, right, Like,
- 17:48Speaker 1: Tampa lost their home opener is a home favorite, I'm
- 17:51Speaker 1: pretty sure, so they should want to bounce back from that.
- 17:53Speaker 1: But then again, it was a tough game, kind of
- 17:56Speaker 1: a grueling game. So I don't know how they're gonna
- 17:59Speaker 1: respond to that. They still should show up for a
- 18:01Speaker 1: game against New Jersey, who's a pretty good team. I
- 18:04Speaker 1: think they were a playoff team last year. New Jersey
- 18:07Speaker 1: didn't look as good in their first game, but they're
- 18:09Speaker 1: playing two games on the road.
- 18:11Speaker 2: Which is a little bit difficult to do. They played Carolina.
- 18:14Speaker 1: Carolina is a team that does beat you up, but
- 18:16Speaker 1: they lost six to three in that game. New Jersey
- 18:19Speaker 1: probably a little bit better than that outcome look, So
- 18:21Speaker 1: Carolina is one of the better teams in hockey. Still,
- 18:25Speaker 1: New Jersey did get outplayed by a bit, but maybe
- 18:27Speaker 1: not as bad as a six to three final would look.
- 18:30Speaker 1: There was an empty net goal and then another goal
- 18:33Speaker 1: came in after. I guess New Jersey put their goalie
- 18:35Speaker 1: back in kind of expecting a better performance out of
- 18:38Speaker 1: New Jersey in this one. But Tampa is taking the
- 18:41Speaker 1: money up for minus one to seventeen to minus one,
- 18:43Speaker 1: forty seven seventy percent tickets, eighty four percent of the
- 18:46Speaker 1: cash can be in on Tampa, So the money's saying Tampa.
- 18:49Speaker 2: I slightly disagree with.
- 18:50Speaker 1: That in that In that game, though, I think New
- 18:53Speaker 1: Jersey's kind of in the more like more of.
- 18:55Speaker 2: A bounced back spot there.
- 18:56Speaker 1: I don't think the travel is really gonna be like
- 18:59Speaker 1: a huge factory.
- 19:00Speaker 2: I mean, they're still staying in the state of Florida.
- 19:03Speaker 1: Tampa coming off and we're grueling at first game in
- 19:06Speaker 1: my opinion, but I mean I could be wrong.
- 19:08Speaker 2: Obviously.
- 19:09Speaker 1: Ottawa, by the way, they're playing at Florida. So Ottawa
- 19:11Speaker 1: played at Tampa. H So New Jersey and ottawa're both
- 19:15Speaker 1: doing the the Florida leg here. They're both they're both
- 19:19Speaker 1: playing both Florida teams back to back. Florida two and
- 19:24Speaker 1: oh already they won their home opener against Chicago and
- 19:27Speaker 1: they actually played better than the final looked. They actually
- 19:30Speaker 1: dominated Chicago even though they only one by one goal.
- 19:32Speaker 1: But Florida hasn't really beaten anybody yet. They only beat
- 19:35Speaker 1: Chicago and Philly, and I don't think Philly is very
- 19:38Speaker 1: good at this point either. So this is gonna be
- 19:41Speaker 1: Florida's toughest opponent yet. Although I mean with Ottawa, yeah,
- 19:47Speaker 1: I mean Outaa is good. But how good are they really,
- 19:49Speaker 1: I don't know, But we still know Florida is still
- 19:50Speaker 1: good though, you know, like we're not.
- 19:53Speaker 2: I don't think we're really questioning that Florida. I wanted
- 19:56Speaker 2: to see. Did Florida beat Outawa in the playoff last year?
- 20:00Speaker 1: They didn't, though they beat Tampa Bay and then Toronto,
- 20:02Speaker 1: because I was wondering if this is like a revenge
- 20:04Speaker 1: spot for Ottawa, but it is not. But Ottawa's coming
- 20:07Speaker 1: up that crazy game against Tampa. Florida just hasn't looked
- 20:11Speaker 1: that great against good opponents.
- 20:12Speaker 2: So far, so it is possible that Florida.
- 20:16Speaker 1: Is going to show up for this one man, and
- 20:18Speaker 1: the money kind of agrees with that. Florida's down for
- 20:20Speaker 1: minus one forty five to minus one forty one, seventy tickets,
- 20:24Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the cash on Florida. Uh, to me,
- 20:27Speaker 1: it looks like you're getting a little bit of a
- 20:28Speaker 1: cheap price on Florida, although we know they're the returning
- 20:32Speaker 1: champs or whatever, so you'd think to be overvalued by
- 20:35Speaker 1: a little bit. But Ottawa coming up that crazy game
- 20:37Speaker 1: against Tampa where they were able to pull off the
- 20:40Speaker 1: upset in Florida just kind of having easy, easy ish
- 20:43Speaker 1: opponents so far. I mean, I do think the spot
- 20:45Speaker 1: sets up better for Florida, although you know Audawa was
- 20:49Speaker 1: going to show up for that game too.
- 20:53Speaker 2: We have Washington at the Islanders.
- 20:55Speaker 1: I don't want to hit every one of these games,
- 20:56Speaker 1: I know I'm hitting a bunch of them. Washington lost
- 20:58Speaker 1: their home opener against Bob pretty ugly loss for Washington there.
- 21:03Speaker 2: They're going out on the road.
- 21:04Speaker 1: Might be helpful for them to just forget about that
- 21:06Speaker 1: bad first game.
- 21:07Speaker 2: Going on the road seems like a decent spot for Washington.
- 21:10Speaker 1: But the Islanders, they blew it for us in their
- 21:13Speaker 1: game against Pittsburgh. They were road favorite and they lost
- 21:16Speaker 1: the game. They had chances to win that game, and
- 21:18Speaker 1: I guess Druan got suspended for cross checking. I didn't
- 21:22Speaker 1: see that in the Islanders game. So Islanders coming off
- 21:25Speaker 1: of a loss too, they should have won. So both
- 21:27Speaker 1: these teams probably gonna be in a bit of a
- 21:29Speaker 1: foul mood here, so I kind of expect both teams
- 21:32Speaker 1: to show up in this game. The money is coming
- 21:35Speaker 1: towards the Islanders. Washington den for minus won twenty five
- 21:38Speaker 1: to minus one fourteen. It's the road favorite, and last year,
- 21:41Speaker 1: I mean, Washington had the best record I think in
- 21:43Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference, and they weren't quite as good as
- 21:45Speaker 1: that record would indicate, even though they were good.
- 21:47Speaker 2: They were kind of they kind of came from out
- 21:50Speaker 2: of nowhere.
- 21:51Speaker 1: I mean, I think they were like a team that
- 21:53Speaker 1: barely made the playoffs the year before, and then that
- 21:55Speaker 1: before that, and they had a really good regular season
- 21:57Speaker 1: last year. The reality, I think is somewhere in the middle,
- 21:59Speaker 1: and the Islanders were a team that I believe either
- 22:02Speaker 1: almost made the playoffs or just snuck into the playoffs.
- 22:04Speaker 1: I can't remember. So the Islanders are not a bad team.
- 22:07Speaker 1: They kind of like fly under the radar. And I
- 22:09Speaker 1: don't think that suspension is really gonna have much of
- 22:12Speaker 1: an impact. I mean, in hockey, again, you have so
- 22:14Speaker 1: many different lines of players, it doesn't really matter that much.
- 22:17Speaker 1: Eighty nine percent of tickets eighty five percent of the
- 22:19Speaker 1: cash on a very public Washington road favorite there, so
- 22:23Speaker 1: the money seems to be saying the Islanders are the
- 22:25Speaker 1: side in that game. I'm not gonna disagree with it,
- 22:29Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna really I'm not gonna have a
- 22:31Speaker 1: play on it either, So we'll skip it. Montreal at Chicago.
- 22:38Speaker 1: I mean, I know I'm talking about almost every one
- 22:40Speaker 1: of these games, even though I don't particularly want to,
- 22:42Speaker 1: but I'm gonna skip a few of them Montreal after
- 22:45Speaker 1: losing to Toronto, which is a game I'm gonna talk about.
- 22:48Speaker 1: When I talk about Toronto Detroit, I'm gonna talk about
- 22:51Speaker 1: what happened in that game, because it was a little
- 22:52Speaker 1: bit misleading. I think Montreal was better than they looked
- 22:56Speaker 1: in that five to two loss. They came back and
- 22:58Speaker 1: they won and spoil Detroit's home opener in a game
- 23:01Speaker 1: that I thought was gonna be a better setup for Detroit,
- 23:03Speaker 1: Montreal beat them five to one. Now they're facing a
- 23:07Speaker 1: third straight road game, though, so it's kind of a
- 23:09Speaker 1: difficult spot for Montreal. I don't know who they have next.
- 23:13Speaker 1: I probably should have looked. I don't know what that
- 23:14Speaker 1: Disney shit was. What was that they played Seattle next?
- 23:18Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 23:19Speaker 1: Not really a look ahead spot for Montreal there. Chicago
- 23:22Speaker 1: coming off playing two games where they lost by one
- 23:27Speaker 1: goal in each game at Florida and at Boston. So
- 23:31Speaker 1: maybe Chicago getting a little bit tired after that because
- 23:34Speaker 1: they had two pretty big games against decent well, I
- 23:38Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know if the Bruins were a
- 23:39Speaker 1: decent opponent, but I think you usually get up when
- 23:41Speaker 1: you're playing in Boston to face the Bruins. Florida played
- 23:44Speaker 1: decently in those games, even though I know, like I said,
- 23:46Speaker 1: Florida actually did dominate them statistically, but they were still
- 23:50Speaker 1: in that game late in the game. Now, the returning home,
- 23:54Speaker 1: which I talk about the return home spots sometimes being
- 23:56Speaker 1: a bad spot because you have to get back to
- 23:58Speaker 1: family life and whatever. But it's only after two games,
- 24:01Speaker 1: and this is their home opener, So I don't think
- 24:03Speaker 1: they're going to be unfocused here. It's just a matter
- 24:05Speaker 1: of how tired. How tired are they going to be
- 24:07Speaker 1: after those two pretty intense games that they played there.
- 24:12Speaker 1: So that's kind of the question mark with Chicago here.
- 24:15Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Chicago. Montreal up for
- 24:18Speaker 1: minus one forty eight to minus one fifty three, but
- 24:20Speaker 1: they have sixty four percent of tickets seventy one percent
- 24:22Speaker 1: of the cash coming in in Chicago, So the money
- 24:25Speaker 1: is saying Chicago.
- 24:26Speaker 2: I don't really disagree with it.
- 24:27Speaker 1: I just think that it's still not like the easiest
- 24:30Speaker 1: spot for them, So I'll stay away from that. Cracking
- 24:35Speaker 1: and red Wings, What do you mean they were up
- 24:37Speaker 1: late last night? I mean, Detroit's just staying at home.
- 24:41Speaker 1: I don't even know what Seattle's doing. Seattle is at
- 24:44Speaker 1: home against Vegas tonight. Some of these games I'm skipping, though,
- 24:47Speaker 1: I mean, I could talk about Columbus and Minnesota. I
- 24:49Speaker 1: guess just because that's one of SOBS plays. I think
- 24:54Speaker 1: Minnesota won five to nothing, So I mean, again, they look.
- 24:58Speaker 2: A little bit better than they actually were.
- 24:59Speaker 1: Oh yet again, Minnesota looks better than they actually are.
- 25:02Speaker 1: Go figure, just like all of last year, winning five
- 25:05Speaker 1: to nothing, I mean makes them look a little bit
- 25:08Speaker 1: too good. As I already dug into that game, and
- 25:10Speaker 1: I told you Saint Louis actually didn't play anywhere near
- 25:13Speaker 1: as bad as that score makes it look. They actually
- 25:15Speaker 1: kind of outplayed Minnesota's. The fact that Minnesota won five
- 25:18Speaker 1: to nothing seems to indicate there were some bad defensive
- 25:21Speaker 1: lapses for Saint Louis, maybe goaltending lapses. This is Minnesota's
- 25:25Speaker 1: home opener, though, so I don't necessarily want to fade
- 25:27Speaker 1: Minnesota in their home opener, but they do look better.
- 25:30Speaker 2: Than they actually are.
- 25:31Speaker 1: Columbus seems to be this team that is kind of
- 25:34Speaker 1: just under the radar, Like they're a decent team. They
- 25:37Speaker 1: can kind of beat anybody on any given day. They
- 25:39Speaker 1: just had a bad game at Nashville. Who Nashville's right now?
- 25:43Speaker 1: They're just not a very good team. And I kept
- 25:44Speaker 1: thinking Nashville was better than their record indicated last year
- 25:48Speaker 1: and they never turned it around. So maybe Nashville is
- 25:51Speaker 1: just not that good. But Columbus lost that game. Now
- 25:53Speaker 1: they're traveling up to Minnesota for this, so situationally, I
- 25:57Speaker 1: kind of agree. The spot is probably a little bit
- 25:59Speaker 1: better for Columbus, but it's not It's not gonna be
- 26:03Speaker 1: a game I'm gonna give out a play on Minnesota.
- 26:04Speaker 1: Did drop for minus one seventy five to minus one
- 26:07Speaker 1: fifty five, a fairly substantial market move there, ninety six
- 26:11Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash on.
- 26:15Speaker 2: Minnesota. I don't buy that cash percentage.
- 26:17Speaker 1: So I think basically what you're seeing is Minnesota is
- 26:19Speaker 1: public and the money is coming in against them. So
- 26:21Speaker 1: I don't disagree with SOB on that one with the
- 26:24Speaker 1: Columbus side, uh, but it's not something I want to
- 26:29Speaker 1: give out as a play. Dallas and Colorado is a
- 26:32Speaker 1: big game.
- 26:34Speaker 2: I believe.
- 26:35Speaker 1: Did Colorado loose to lose to Dallas in the playoffs
- 26:38Speaker 1: last year?
- 26:39Speaker 2: Am I wrong about that? I think they did.
- 26:40Speaker 1: Yes, this is a revenge spot for Colorado, man, So
- 26:43Speaker 1: something to keep in mind. One of the only revenge
- 26:46Speaker 1: scenarios that matters is when you're playing the team that
- 26:48Speaker 1: knocked you out of the playoffs last year for the
- 26:50Speaker 1: first time. That's the situation Colorado is in. Colorado is
- 26:55Speaker 1: a better team than that. I mean, they're still a
- 26:56Speaker 1: pretty good team, man, They just seem to always underperform
- 26:59Speaker 1: in the playoffs.
- 27:00Speaker 2: We know Dallas is a really good team too.
- 27:01Speaker 1: Although Dallas they have to travel down from Winnipeg after
- 27:05Speaker 1: a five to four win at Winnipeg, which is not
- 27:07Speaker 1: easy to do. Now they have to travel into Elevation
- 27:10Speaker 1: and play Colorado. Colorado's gonna be waiting for their revenge
- 27:13Speaker 1: spot here.
- 27:15Speaker 2: Colorado's in a better spot.
- 27:16Speaker 1: After they had a big win to open the season
- 27:18Speaker 1: against La on the road, they came back home and
- 27:20Speaker 1: had kind of a more lackluster game against Utah.
- 27:23Speaker 2: Is this gonna make a play for me?
- 27:25Speaker 1: Am?
- 27:25Speaker 2: I gonna give out an extra play here? I don't know.
- 27:27Speaker 2: Colorado did get a little bit.
- 27:29Speaker 1: I don't want to say they got outplayed, but Utah
- 27:31Speaker 1: did them more shots on than Colorado did in that game,
- 27:34Speaker 1: and they weren't losing the game by very much. It
- 27:36Speaker 1: was a tied game in the third period, so I
- 27:38Speaker 1: don't know those Colorado dominated the face sauce.
- 27:43Speaker 2: In that game against the Mammoth.
- 27:44Speaker 1: The Avalanche against the Mammoth, Oh my god, but Colorado
- 27:47Speaker 1: only got out of there with a two to one win.
- 27:50Speaker 2: Let me look at the goalies real quick in this one.
- 27:52Speaker 1: Let me see Colorado's got it's both starters Wedgewood.
- 27:56Speaker 2: And oting Jur in the game.
- 27:57Speaker 1: So I think those are the top goalie for each
- 28:00Speaker 1: team there, which is expected. I mean, it is gonna
- 28:03Speaker 1: be a big game. The money is really pouring in
- 28:06Speaker 1: on Colorado here. The up fronts one eighteen of minus
- 28:08Speaker 1: one forty four sixty percent takes ninety six percent of
- 28:11Speaker 1: cash coming in on them. Uh, you know, I'm tempted.
- 28:16Speaker 1: Let me see what the best numbers that we can
- 28:18Speaker 1: get on this. I do like Colorado in this game.
- 28:20Speaker 2: Let me look. Let me see here, Avalanche.
- 28:27Speaker 1: I'm looking real quick here to see what the best
- 28:29Speaker 1: numbers that we can get on this. You know what
- 28:34Speaker 1: minus one thirty eight on this?
- 28:36Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 28:37Speaker 1: Fuck it, let's have four hockey plays. Let's just be
- 28:40Speaker 1: unbelievably stupid.
- 28:41Speaker 2: So you get an extra play on the fly here.
- 28:44Speaker 1: You can find this at minus one thirty eight out
- 28:46Speaker 1: there right now, we'll go with the Avalanche as well,
- 28:49Speaker 1: even though SOB does not want that to happen.
- 28:51Speaker 2: I think that it will.
- 28:52Speaker 1: I like Colorado and that one revenge spot. I think
- 28:55Speaker 1: the spot sets up better for them to being back
- 28:57Speaker 1: at home already off of kind of a lackluster game
- 29:00Speaker 1: against a not very strong Utah team.
- 29:04Speaker 2: I think the spot is worse for.
- 29:07Speaker 1: Dallas and that one, even though I think Dallas probably
- 29:09Speaker 1: does have a little bit of extra time off, but
- 29:10Speaker 1: maybe they don't because I think they did play two
- 29:12Speaker 1: days ago right in that game against Winnipeg, So I
- 29:15Speaker 1: don't know when to Colorado last play.
- 29:17Speaker 2: Probably the same day. Yeah, I think both.
- 29:20Speaker 1: Teams played on Thursday, so there's no Colorado has a
- 29:23Speaker 1: big travel edge though, So that's what we'll go with there.
- 29:26Speaker 2: Vancouver and.
- 29:29Speaker 1: Edmondton, I mean, this is one of those transitive property
- 29:32Speaker 1: scenarios where Vancouver beat Calgary easily and Edmonton lost to Calgary.
- 29:37Speaker 1: So I think does that mean the public's gonna come
- 29:39Speaker 1: in and think Vancouver is value here because they're a
- 29:41Speaker 1: big underdog here. But I don't think the public is
- 29:44Speaker 1: really going to be dissuaded here thinking that all of
- 29:47Speaker 1: a sudden Edmonton's not the better team all of a sudden.
- 29:50Speaker 1: They would be correct if they assume Edmonton is still
- 29:52Speaker 1: the better team they are, even though I think Vancouver.
- 29:54Speaker 2: Is not that bad. But Edmonton lost their home open
- 29:57Speaker 2: to Calgary.
- 29:58Speaker 1: As we know, Vancouver then beat Calgary somewhat easily, so
- 30:02Speaker 1: it makes it look maybe a little bit tempting to
- 30:04Speaker 1: take Vancouver. We do have eighty eight percent of tickets
- 30:06Speaker 1: on Edmonton, ninety eight percent of the cash so and
- 30:09Speaker 1: Edmonton is up for minus one sixty minus one sixty seven.
- 30:13Speaker 2: I would lean to.
- 30:14Speaker 1: Edmonton in this game. I mean, maybe find like a
- 30:16Speaker 1: way to split the bet puck line and puck line
- 30:20Speaker 1: and money line, or maybe go Edmonton to go over
- 30:22Speaker 1: their team total maybe or something like that.
- 30:25Speaker 2: I think it's a spot that sets up better for
- 30:27Speaker 2: Edmonton for sure.
- 30:28Speaker 1: I think Vancouver this is gonna be their first road
- 30:31Speaker 1: game after a pretty easy win though against Calgary.
- 30:35Speaker 2: It's a big game for both teams though.
- 30:37Speaker 1: I mean, Vancouver is gonna show up and try to
- 30:39Speaker 1: beat Edmonton, but Edmonton's staying at home probably in a
- 30:41Speaker 1: bit of a foul mood, so I think Edmonton is
- 30:44Speaker 1: the way to look there, and then I'm gonna give
- 30:47Speaker 1: it a play Anaheim San Jose, and I just don't
- 30:49Speaker 1: really have much of an opinion on Vegas at Seattle
- 30:51Speaker 1: at all, so skipping a few of the games. So
- 30:54Speaker 1: let's go to the best bets here and then we.
- 30:58Speaker 2: Will get out of here. It won't be too long
- 30:59Speaker 2: of ado here, all right.
- 31:04Speaker 1: So we already know that I gave out the Avalanche,
- 31:06Speaker 1: but we're gonna go with the Detroit Red Wings as
- 31:09Speaker 1: a home underdog here at plus one twenty five. I
- 31:12Speaker 1: think this sets up pretty nicely for Detroit in this one.
- 31:16Speaker 2: We're looking at.
- 31:17Speaker 1: Detroit facing Toronto here, and yes, Toronto is the better team,
- 31:21Speaker 1: but they're getting a lot of respect from the market
- 31:23Speaker 1: their road favorite here on for minus one thirty minus
- 31:26Speaker 1: one forty one, eighty five percent of the tickets, only
- 31:28Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the cash on Toronto, so they're
- 31:32Speaker 1: public and the money seems to be a bit going
- 31:34Speaker 1: against them here. I still don't really trust Toronto's goalie
- 31:39Speaker 1: and stillars. It looks like we're definitely getting Talbot for
- 31:41Speaker 1: the Red Wings, which I don't know if it really
- 31:44Speaker 1: matters that much which goalie is in net for Detroit,
- 31:46Speaker 1: to be honest, I just think the spot is better
- 31:48Speaker 1: for Detroit looking at the scheduling dynamics here. Toronto, they're
- 31:52Speaker 1: coming off beating Montreal, which is a that's a big game, man,
- 31:55Speaker 1: I mean their original six teams. It's a huge rivalry
- 31:58Speaker 1: between those two Canadians teams.
- 32:00Speaker 2: They don't like each other.
- 32:02Speaker 1: Toronto was able to get that win, and as I
- 32:04Speaker 1: talked about, it was kind of misleading. Montreal did outshoot them,
- 32:07Speaker 1: the hits were kind of close. I mean, Toronto did
- 32:09Speaker 1: win the face off battle. But this is a close game, dude.
- 32:13Speaker 1: It was two to two into the third period, and
- 32:15Speaker 1: then Toronto actually scored two empty net goals at the
- 32:18Speaker 1: end of the game.
- 32:19Speaker 2: So this is a very close game.
- 32:21Speaker 1: It says five to two on the final score, but
- 32:22Speaker 1: it was not anything like what the final scoring makes
- 32:25Speaker 1: it look like it was. Man, the two empty nets
- 32:27Speaker 1: will just completely skew like what you think of this game,
- 32:32Speaker 1: Like you got to dig into the box scores in hockey, man,
- 32:34Speaker 1: because empty net goals could completely throw off what you
- 32:37Speaker 1: think about a game. The game is a lot closer
- 32:39Speaker 1: than that, when you dive into the box score, the
- 32:42Speaker 1: final score, it wasn't indicative of what actually happened. And
- 32:44Speaker 1: now they have to go on the road to face Detroit,
- 32:46Speaker 1: and Detroit lost their home opener, oh to that same
- 32:49Speaker 1: Montreal team. They lost five to one. So the public's
- 32:52Speaker 1: only going to do one thing on this. They already
- 32:54Speaker 1: know that Toronto's the better team. They saw that Toronto
- 32:57Speaker 1: smacked Montreal smacked them at least on the scoreboard, and
- 33:01Speaker 1: then they see that Montreal beat Detroit five to on.
- 33:04Speaker 1: So this looks really easy, right, of course, Toronto's gonna
- 33:06Speaker 1: beat Detroit. If they can beat Montreal five to two
- 33:09Speaker 1: and Montreal beat Detroit five to one.
- 33:11Speaker 2: Detroit's gonna lose this game.
- 33:13Speaker 1: You know they're gonna give up ten goals in this game, right, No,
- 33:17Speaker 1: that's not the way that it works, man. Detroit had
- 33:19Speaker 1: a bad game in their home opener. For sure, Montreal's
- 33:22Speaker 1: they're kind of an upstart team. But if you look
- 33:23Speaker 1: at what happened in this game, Detroit dominated the game statistically.
- 33:27Speaker 2: How the fuck did they lose this game five to one?
- 33:29Speaker 1: They outshot Montreal thirty one to seventeen, So of course
- 33:32Speaker 1: that means Detroit's gold ending was not good. In the game,
- 33:35Speaker 1: they out hit Montreal by nine. They outface off them
- 33:39Speaker 1: pretty significantly too. So Detroit won like all the major
- 33:42Speaker 1: stats in this game. And they didn't give up any
- 33:45Speaker 1: empty nets either. I don't know how they lost this
- 33:47Speaker 1: game as badly as they did, and they were winning
- 33:49Speaker 1: one nothing early too. So I think you're looking at
- 33:51Speaker 1: a Montreal team that they excuse. You're looking at a
- 33:55Speaker 1: Toronto team looks better than they are right now, and
- 33:57Speaker 1: you're looking at a Detroit team looks a little bit
- 33:59Speaker 1: worse than they are right now. I know Detroit's not
- 34:02Speaker 1: that good right now, but you're getting them as a
- 34:05Speaker 1: home underdog here in a situation like this, I think
- 34:07Speaker 1: it's got to be the way to go here.
- 34:08Speaker 2: I like this one.
- 34:09Speaker 1: It might be my favorite of all the hockey players today.
- 34:12Speaker 1: We'll go with the Red Wings as a home underdog
- 34:15Speaker 1: in that spot, in the transitive property spot too, So
- 34:18Speaker 1: I like that one for sure. You didn't say up
- 34:22Speaker 1: to watch the Tigers. You're Detroit fan, Jeffrey. If that's
- 34:27Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 34:27Speaker 2: Did I know that already?
- 34:28Speaker 1: If that's true, I don't know, man, My mind is
- 34:31Speaker 1: not right anymore so, But yes, I do like Detroit
- 34:35Speaker 1: in this particular game. And yeah, unfortunately for Detroit fans,
- 34:39Speaker 1: they lost that game and they are eliminated from the
- 34:42Speaker 1: Major League Baseball playoffs. Next up, we're gonna go with
- 34:47Speaker 1: the New York Rangers minus one forty here I should
- 34:49Speaker 1: have gone with them in their last game.
- 34:51Speaker 2: This Ranger team, I mean, missing the.
- 34:53Speaker 1: Playoffs last year is just kind of ridiculous. They are
- 34:55Speaker 1: a lot better than that. They still have a lot
- 34:58Speaker 1: of talent on this team. They got my man and
- 35:00Speaker 1: Chris Cryder I believe is still there from the Boston
- 35:04Speaker 1: area and was the friend of the son of one
- 35:07Speaker 1: of my co workers at my first company, so he
- 35:10Speaker 1: knows Chris Cryder. The dude's son played hockey with Chris
- 35:15Speaker 1: Cryder in like high school and whatever. And the Rangers slow,
- 35:19Speaker 1: just stark and still a very talented goaltender. This is
- 35:23Speaker 1: up against Pittsburgh's This is a quick road revenge angle
- 35:27Speaker 1: for the Rangers. This is the type of angle I
- 35:28Speaker 1: like to look for, man, because the Rangers, they had
- 35:31Speaker 1: their home opener absolutely spoiled by Pittsburgh beating them three
- 35:35Speaker 1: to nothing. But remember what I said about this game,
- 35:38Speaker 1: Pittsburgh scored two empty net goals at the end of
- 35:40Speaker 1: this game, so that made it look more ridiculous than
- 35:42Speaker 1: it was. It was a one nothing game at that point.
- 35:45Speaker 1: The Rangers just couldn't get anything going offensively. But the
- 35:48Speaker 1: Rangers did not play too poorly in this game. They
- 35:50Speaker 1: were the way more physical team. There's still the better team.
- 35:53Speaker 1: So now the fact that the Rangers had their home
- 35:55Speaker 1: opener completely spoiled, they got shut out in that game,
- 35:58Speaker 1: they got some momentum with a win after that against Buffalo,
- 36:01Speaker 1: an easy win, and now they get to face Pittsburgh
- 36:03Speaker 1: again right away and do what Pittsburgh just did to them.
- 36:06Speaker 1: Pittsburgh came into their house and spoiled their home opener. Well,
- 36:10Speaker 1: guess what they get to go in and not spoil
- 36:12Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's home opener because Pittsburgh already played at home. But
- 36:15Speaker 1: they get to go in and return the favor to Pittsburgh.
- 36:19Speaker 1: Here and Pittsburgh they're two and oh right now. But
- 36:21Speaker 1: I mean, the osbeggers are telling you all you need
- 36:23Speaker 1: to know. Even though the Rangers are one and one,
- 36:25Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's two and oh. The Rangers are the better team.
- 36:28Speaker 1: They're already up for minus win eighteen to minus one
- 36:30Speaker 1: thirty eight here, so they're taking the money. I would
- 36:33Speaker 1: go up to about minus one forty on this. That's
- 36:35Speaker 1: usually kind of my cutoff with the money line in hockey.
- 36:39Speaker 2: If you don't want that, you can maybe look.
- 36:40Speaker 1: Towards splitting part of the bet puck line, part of
- 36:43Speaker 1: the money line, make your own minus one puck line
- 36:46Speaker 1: or whatever. Seventy percent of tickets ninety six percent of
- 36:49Speaker 1: the cash on the Rangers. So it looks like the
- 36:51Speaker 1: money's coming in on the Rangers. There's still the better team.
- 36:54Speaker 1: Pittsburgh not a very good team right now. I really
- 36:56Speaker 1: like how this sets up for the Ranger in revenge
- 37:00Speaker 1: mode here. Pittsburgh kind of got away with that win
- 37:03Speaker 1: against the Islanders too. I think they shouldn't have won
- 37:05Speaker 1: that game. I'm kind of pissed about that loss that
- 37:07Speaker 1: we took on the Islanders. So yeah, Rangers will be
- 37:10Speaker 1: the play in that one, and then we're gonna have
- 37:13Speaker 1: one more here. You're a Phillies fan, that sucks as
- 37:17Speaker 1: well for the Phillies. Invite to invite who to any
- 37:22Speaker 1: gang bangs? Who are you talking about here? I don't
- 37:25Speaker 1: even know, Oh, Pittsburgh By the way. The other thing
- 37:26Speaker 1: about them is I don't trust either of their goalies,
- 37:29Speaker 1: but Jarry was their goalie for the first two games.
- 37:33Speaker 1: I believe in they're going with their backup goalie here
- 37:35Speaker 1: to Sillovs against Shawsturk, and the Rangers have a big
- 37:39Speaker 1: goaltending edge in this game in my opinion too. So oh,
- 37:43Speaker 1: Chris Krider, any gang bangs? I don't know, man, I
- 37:46Speaker 1: don't know what those hockey guys do.
- 37:49Speaker 2: Maybe not.
- 37:49Speaker 1: They're they're they're good boys, man, What are you talking about?
- 37:52Speaker 1: And then my final play here, because I already gave
- 37:54Speaker 1: up Colorado as a player, We're gonna also go with
- 37:56Speaker 1: the Anaheim Ducks minus one twenty five. This is gonna
- 38:00Speaker 1: be a fade of the Sharks, even though neither of
- 38:02Speaker 1: these teams are good. But the osmakers are telling you
- 38:04Speaker 1: how bad the Sharks are. If a team like Anaheim,
- 38:07Speaker 1: who's not even very good as a road favorite year
- 38:09Speaker 1: up from his one sixteen amun his one twenty one.
- 38:12Speaker 1: So the money is kind of coming in on an
- 38:13Speaker 1: Anaheim too. Eighty percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of
- 38:16Speaker 1: the cash. And then again, I don't know. I don't
- 38:18Speaker 1: think the ninety nine percent is accurate, but it does
- 38:20Speaker 1: look like the money is on Anaheim. I talked about
- 38:23Speaker 1: this game last night that San Jose had against Vegas.
- 38:26Speaker 1: I think you gotta fate San Jose after that. This
- 38:28Speaker 1: San Jose team, there's still maybe one of the worst
- 38:31Speaker 1: teams in all of hockey, maybe the worst. They had
- 38:34Speaker 1: a huge game against Vegas.
- 38:35Speaker 2: And their home opener.
- 38:36Speaker 1: They took them into overtime, and the way they lost
- 38:39Speaker 1: that game. I talked about it last night was Nadelkovich
- 38:41Speaker 1: I think was their goalie in the game, who I
- 38:44Speaker 1: think was on Pittsburgh. At one point he went almost
- 38:47Speaker 1: all the way up to the blue line to try
- 38:49Speaker 1: to clear the puck, which is absolutely ridiculous, didn't stay
- 38:52Speaker 1: in net, went as far away from the net as
- 38:54Speaker 1: a goalie can basically go, and there were like three
- 38:57Speaker 1: Vegas attackers there and they didn't let him clear the buck,
- 39:00Speaker 1: and they got the buck, kept it in the offensive.
- 39:02Speaker 2: Zone, so it wasn't off sides and there's no.
- 39:05Speaker 1: Way that Nadelkovich could get back into the net at
- 39:08Speaker 1: that point, and Vegas just hadn't. They basically got an
- 39:11Speaker 1: empty net goal because of it in overtime because Nadalgovic
- 39:15Speaker 1: is just.
- 39:16Speaker 2: So unaware of his surroundings.
- 39:17Speaker 1: It was absolutely ridiculous the way that San Jose lost
- 39:20Speaker 1: that game.
- 39:21Speaker 2: I think that's it's an unbelievably brutal way to lose
- 39:23Speaker 2: that game. Man.
- 39:24Speaker 1: So I think it's a bad spot for the Sharks
- 39:26Speaker 1: coming off that game.
- 39:28Speaker 2: They could have had that big win against Vegas.
- 39:31Speaker 1: Anaheim's coming in off a really ugly first game against Seattle.
- 39:35Speaker 1: They are facing a second straight road game here, but
- 39:37Speaker 1: they lost three to one in their opener to Seattle
- 39:40Speaker 1: on the road. Anaheim did play better than the final
- 39:42Speaker 1: score looked. At least they had more shots, although part
- 39:45Speaker 1: of that is because they were losing, but the statistics
- 39:47Speaker 1: are fairly close in the game. Otherwise, the physicality of
- 39:50Speaker 1: it that hits the face offfs. So. I know Anaheim
- 39:53Speaker 1: is not a good team, but I think they're in
- 39:55Speaker 1: a better refocused spot here and this is more of
- 39:57Speaker 1: a fade of San Jose off of that performance though
- 40:00Speaker 1: in their last game. So we will go with Anaheim
- 40:03Speaker 1: in this one. D Dalkovich is not in net for
- 40:05Speaker 1: the Sharks in this one that they're gonna have Askarov
- 40:08Speaker 1: already confirmed. Adalkovich takes a seed after that one. But
- 40:12Speaker 1: you're gonna get Dostle for Anaheim. It looks like Dostal,
- 40:15Speaker 1: who I think is. I believe he is their starting goalie.
- 40:18Speaker 1: I might be wrong about that, but I don't trust
- 40:21Speaker 1: any of the Shark's goaltenders to be honest.
- 40:23Speaker 2: Like, I don't know what you're I mean, I'm.
- 40:25Speaker 1: Not expecting a complete lapse like onto Dlkovich had there,
- 40:28Speaker 1: and I think he had another one I think earlier
- 40:30Speaker 1: in the game too that all that wound up maybe
- 40:33Speaker 1: I think maybe allowing another goal where he was caught
- 40:36Speaker 1: like out of the net too, like in the third
- 40:38Speaker 1: period or something. I don't know, man, So it's not
- 40:41Speaker 1: gonna be that bad, but it's still a bad spot
- 40:43Speaker 1: for the Sharks. So we will go with Anaheim and
- 40:45Speaker 1: then once again we are going with Colorado the Avs
- 40:48Speaker 1: as well. So yeah, that's gonna do it. Man for
- 40:51Speaker 1: the show. Oh, thank you, sir. Hopefully we actually get wins.
- 40:55Speaker 1: Hopefully the the analysis translates to wins of the coworker's son.
- 41:00Speaker 1: Don't know, he never mentioned anything about any game.
- 41:02Speaker 2: Bangs.
- 41:03Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, man, Thanks for hanging out again
- 41:05Speaker 1: as always, guys, Thanks my plays one more time. You
- 41:08Speaker 1: can go check out my college football video to see
- 41:11Speaker 1: all the analysis there. College football, we got Michigan State
- 41:14Speaker 1: minus seven and a half, Missouri plus three. I don't
- 41:17Speaker 1: think it ever actually hit the three and a half,
- 41:18Speaker 1: but maybe as possible.
- 41:20Speaker 2: To find one out there.
- 41:22Speaker 1: Texas plus one, although I think they're minus one now,
- 41:24Speaker 1: but there's not much of a difference there. You're basically
- 41:26Speaker 1: just taking Texas to win the game, or you can
- 41:28Speaker 1: maybe find a money line either way. I mean Texas
- 41:32Speaker 1: will be the play there and then Auburn plus four
- 41:34Speaker 1: or if you have to take three and a half.
- 41:36Speaker 2: I think it's still okay to do that.
- 41:37Speaker 1: And hockey, we're gonna go with Detroit plus one twenty five,
- 41:41Speaker 1: Rangers plus minus one forty Anaheim Ducks minus one twenty five.
- 41:46Speaker 1: Maybe we're going a little bit overboard here, but I
- 41:48Speaker 1: like all the situations and Colorado minus one thirty eight.
- 41:51Speaker 2: I think Anaheim is.
- 41:52Speaker 1: Probably the weakest of all those, so it'll be the
- 41:54Speaker 1: only winner of all of them, just because I said that.
- 41:57Speaker 2: But that's gonna do it. Man.
- 41:58Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out again. Got to get the Instagram
- 42:01Speaker 1: videos up. Get my college picks in order here that'll
- 42:04Speaker 1: do it for now. I'll be back tonight with the
- 42:06Speaker 1: NFL Show. Maybe I can actually get some sleep at
- 42:09Speaker 1: some point too. Thanks you guys for hanging out. Learn
- 42:11Speaker 1: to Toad on Twitter, learn it Tone on Instagram, like
- 42:14Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here on YouTube, men definitely helps
- 42:17Speaker 1: me out Spotify and Apple we have audio over there.
- 42:20Speaker 1: It helps if people listen over there and if they
- 42:23Speaker 1: give me a good review. Covered in you because my
- 42:26Speaker 1: uke channel on YouTube and Patreon dot com slash learn
- 42:29Speaker 1: to Toad with some bonus ut content there, or if
- 42:31Speaker 1: you just want to throw me some support.
- 42:33Speaker 2: I appreciate it. I appreciate everything you guys do.
- 42:36Speaker 1: Man, all the listeners who keep showing up on a
- 42:40Speaker 1: regular basis. I don't know why you want to listen
- 42:42Speaker 1: to me, but we've been doing pretty well over.
- 42:44Speaker 2: The last couple of weeks, so hopefully that continues.
- 42:46Speaker 1: Hopefully a hockey gets going, as we're kind of stagnant
- 42:50Speaker 1: to start the season with a two and two run
- 42:52Speaker 1: so far. But as you can see, my volume tends
- 42:55Speaker 1: to be like slightly high in some of these sports,
- 42:57Speaker 1: so we'll see hire in like these daily sports than
- 43:01Speaker 1: it is in football football.
- 43:03Speaker 2: I kind of picked the spots more, but that's gonna
- 43:05Speaker 2: do it.
- 43:06Speaker 1: I'll have probably at least two NFL plays. I don't know,
- 43:09Speaker 1: it's gonna be probably two or three. I don't know
- 43:10Speaker 1: what it's gonna be. But we'll see you like money. Well,
- 43:14Speaker 1: thank you, hopefull Hopefully that's working out. Hopefully my analysis
- 43:18Speaker 1: is actually leading to making money and I should maybe
- 43:21Speaker 1: get back to that and start putting money on it
- 43:23Speaker 1: again myself.
- 43:24Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. Thanks guys. I have a good
- 43:26Speaker 2: day as well. Peace for now. Have a good Saturday, guys,
- 43:29Speaker 2: enjoy the games.