Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / **ALERT! $40 or $29!** Silver Price You Best LISTEN Up - (Gold Price too)
Transcript
- 0:01We have a massive update for the precious metals markets.
- 0:04Could we be in for a silver squeeze?
- 0:07What is going on at the Comex? And a lot, lot more because
- 0:10there is a lot going on. But first, thank you for joining
- 0:13me here in the basement. This is a live recorded video.
- 0:16It's always a big deal when you're down here with me.
- 0:19I hope you feel like you found a home away from home.
- 0:22Please subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up and
- 0:25share it with everybody, including grandma and grandpa or
- 0:28grandchildren. But let's dig right in and take
- 0:31a look at what is going on. It is nuts in the silver market
- 0:36in particular right now. We get this from Chris Marcus
- 0:40over at Arcadia Economics. He and others are reporting on a
- 0:45near record, very close to a record short position in the
- 0:50electronic paper markets for silver.
- 0:53Let's just dig right into the data here.
- 0:56Here we go. The all time record high for
- 0:59silver short contracts is 49,609.
- 1:03That was in July of 2016. We're going to look at what
- 1:06happened after July of 2016 in just one second.
- 1:10Currently, while the bank's silver short position did indeed
- 1:14increase last week, it fell just a fraction shy of the record at
- 1:1949,099. So about what 500 contracts
- 1:24short now, as I promised, let's go take a look at what happened
- 1:30last time we had a a record short position in on the on the
- 1:36on the electronic markets. Let's just get the crayons out
- 1:39here. I can show you right here is
- 1:43where we were when that was the case.
- 1:45And as you can see, we did have a little bit of a drawdown.
- 1:49Now, why is this important, right?
- 1:51Why do we want to pay attention to the short position?
- 1:53Could it create a squeeze? Absolutely.
- 1:56Just because last time the price went down doesn't mean that has
- 2:00to be the case this time because things are much different right
- 2:04now. You know everything that's going
- 2:06on in the world and those short positions eventually do have to
- 2:11be covered. It could absolutely trigger a
- 2:15short squeeze or a mini squeeze like the analysted TD had been
- 2:19talking about. Now, they could also tamp the
- 2:22price down like they've had some success doing in the past.
- 2:25But we know eventually the true physical demand, the the true
- 2:30physical price of silver will rule the day.
- 2:33We know what's going on in China.
- 2:35We know what's going on everywhere.
- 2:37Let's just take a look though. It's some absolute crazy data
- 2:41that we're seeing from the paper markets right now.
- 2:45This comes from the dude. This was actually Thursday's
- 2:49data, but still astounding on Thursday, the paper silver
- 2:54market, the electronic market, the COMEX and the LBMA, right?
- 2:58They traded almost 500 million paper oz guys.
- 3:03You know the reality, right? The entire mining sector on an
- 3:08annual basis, a yearly basis produces about 800 million
- 3:13ounces of silver out of that 800 million physical ounces of
- 3:19silver, right? Like this.
- 3:20I'll talk about this in one second.
- 3:22In one day, the paper markets trading 500, five, 100 million
- 3:27of the 800 million. It's going to break.
- 3:29It's not going to work. While I've got this up, this is
- 3:32the Year of the Dragon coin from Channel Spot, sponsor of gold
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- 4:20It's a company you can trust. Now let's move on.
- 4:24Let's just look at the chart real quickly as we're talking
- 4:26about silver because it is getting absolutely exciting.
- 4:32OK, let's get rid of this and let's just point out here
- 4:36something that everybody's talking about and that is we'll
- 4:41look at the one year chart as as we broke above $35 per oz, how
- 4:47critical it was that we do that for several days, right?
- 4:53And now we're on like the 9th day I believe it is that we are
- 4:56up here. I don't even want to cover that
- 4:59up. It's so beautiful that third,
- 5:02that red line is $35 that we do that we stay above for two or
- 5:06three or four days. Different people have different
- 5:08opinions. But the longer we stay above 2
- 5:11to three days is the minimum, the more likely it is that we're
- 5:14going to stay up here and set a new floor at $35.
- 5:19And that we do it on volume. And as you can see, right, as we
- 5:23just talked about with that data from the dude, we did it on
- 5:26volume. Now look, I believe in the next
- 5:2930 days, we're going to see the silver price either go to $40
- 5:33plus per oz or or if the big dirty bankers are successful
- 5:40that we could get tamped down into that $2930 per oz range.
- 5:45We'll see how it all plays out. It's going to be very, very
- 5:48interesting, but I'll be here with you through it all.
- 5:51Hey, I also want to say thank you to channel sponsor First
- 5:53Mining Gold. They're sponsoring our gold and
- 5:56silver content there, a gold development, development stage
- 5:59company. They are in Canada.
- 6:01They have two massive projects in Canada, Du Parquet project,
- 6:06which is in Quebec, and the Spring Pole project, which is
- 6:10located in Ontario. These are both development stage
- 6:13projects. The gold is there, it's been
- 6:15defined, it's in the ground. They're working through the
- 6:18permitting process. They also have a little kicker
- 6:21project, the Cameron Project, which itself has around
- 6:251,000,000 ounces of gold in the ground in Canada.
- 6:28I love buying gold mining stocks.
- 6:30I love the idea of owning gold in the ground in the value
- 6:34proposition. Look, I'm not a financial
- 6:36advisor, Don't make any financial decisions based on
- 6:39anything I say. But when you look at these
- 6:41development stage companies in the gold sector and the silver
- 6:45sector, you can buy these ounces in the ground for what are
- 6:48historically very, very attractive prices.
- 6:52You can learn more at firstmininggold.com and you can
- 6:55even reach a live person there, Mr. Paul Morris,
- 6:58directorofinvestorrelationspaul@firstmininggold.com. Is gold, but is gold peaking,
- 7:04right? Are you hearing this argument?
- 7:06People are saying what? When you do an inflation
- 7:08adjustment for the 1980 high pricing gold, it's about $3500.
- 7:13Let's dig into that because it's very interesting what we can
- 7:17learn. This article is from Zero Hedge
- 7:20and points out some fascinating 2 fascinating things about this
- 7:251980 comparison authored by Adam Sharp via The Daily Reckoning.
- 7:31Is gold peaking or just warming up right?
- 7:33Have we reached the 1980 high? January of 1980, the price of
- 7:38gold reached a peak of $850. According to official US
- 7:43inflation statistics, $850 in January of 1980 would be the
- 7:48equivalent of $3500 today. In the 45 years since then, gold
- 7:53is increased in value nearly 300% to where it is today.
- 7:58That's getting close to the quote UN quote official
- 8:00inflation adjusted 1980 price of 3500.
- 8:05So are we nearing an inflation adjusted peak price and go?
- 8:09But, but and it's a big butt and you know, I like big butts.
- 8:14I don't lie about that here. Since 1980, we need to consider
- 8:19America's monetary base has increased from 156 a 156 billion
- 8:24to more than 5.7 trillion 3500% increase.
- 8:28Additionally, in 1980, the US government only had 845 billion
- 8:34in debt. Nobody even knew what a trillion
- 8:36was back then. Today it's over 36 trillion,
- 8:39very close to 37 trillion, 4000 percent higher, further or more.
- 8:43In 1980, America's debt to GDP ratio was around 35%.
- 8:48Today it's at 124%. That everybody knows there's no
- 8:52coming back from. So no, we aren't approaching a
- 8:56peak in the gold price. Not even close.
- 8:58But wait, there's more. There's even another big but,
- 9:02and that is that anyone who studied the way official
- 9:06inflation is calculated knows it's suspicious at best.
- 9:10So when we look at these 1980 inflation adjusted gold prices
- 9:14blah blah blah, we got to consider two things #1 the
- 9:17United States financial or fiscal condition is way worse
- 9:23right now #2 to the inflation data they used to adjust those
- 9:281980 prices. Everybody knows is wrong is low,
- 9:32right from the Bureau of Lies and Statistics.
- 9:35Nonetheless, if we use the real inflation numbers, we probably
- 9:39would have an inflation adjusted gold price today in 1980 dollars
- 9:43that would be closer to $5000 per oz.
- 9:48Hey, I want to mention to you guys about a company that's
- 9:50peaked my interest. Nevgold, I did a sponsored video
- 9:54with them last week and a very interesting proposition offered
- 10:00by Nevgo. Let me get their website up here
- 10:03for you. There you go.
- 10:04You can see it now. They're a junior gold mining,
- 10:08gold exploration development stage company, but but they've
- 10:12two big projects and they're both in the United States, OK,
- 10:16Idaho and Nevada. And on top of that, they've got
- 10:20this very interesting, a limousine project in Nevada, and
- 10:25it has antimony, right? They got big gold deposits
- 10:28already. But they also now are realizing
- 10:31they have antimony. And antimony is becoming very,
- 10:34very important because the Chinese like, stopped exporting
- 10:37it to the United States. And it's a critical metal for
- 10:41the defense industry. So this company is very
- 10:44interesting. They're drilling right now.
- 10:46They're expanding their resource.
- 10:49They got this antimony bonus. They're in a good jurisdiction,
- 10:52and jurisdiction with everything going on in the world right now,
- 10:55is becoming more and more important.
- 10:57They're a junior gold stock with ounces in the United States.
- 11:01And this antimony kicker, you know, the gold price is up.
- 11:05Antimony price, last I looked was way up, almost doubled at
- 11:09one point, and they're drilling for both right now.
- 11:12You can check them out here at their website,
- 11:14nevgoldnevdashgold.com. They're on the TSX and the OTC
- 11:20market here in the United States.
- 11:22So what do you guys make of all the stuff going on?
- 11:26We're not even going to really touch on geopolitical issues.
- 11:28We know the Israel, Iran situation is blowing up, but it
- 11:33is just absolutely incredible. And then on top of it, just here
- 11:37in the United States, let's have some fun.
- 11:39Let's look at some market insanity.
- 11:41We're going to call this segment market insanity because there is
- 11:45a lot of insanity in the market right now here.
- 11:51Let's look at US home sale. Let's look at the market, at the
- 11:54real estate market, critical component of the US economy.
- 11:58Like we all need somewhere to sleep, right?
- 12:02We all need shelter. And what we're seeing is that US
- 12:04home sellers are now sitting on a nearly 700 billion worth of
- 12:09listings, an all time high. There's never been more a home
- 12:15value for sale, right, people trying to dump their houses than
- 12:19what we are seeing right now. Now it's even more interesting.
- 12:24Here we go. When we go to the Kobesi letter.
- 12:26I love what they put out. And he says this, let this sink
- 12:31in, basement dwellers. Now we have a rapid escalating
- 12:35war between Israel and brand. US tariff rates nearly the
- 12:40highest in 100 years. Hold on here, OK #3A Federal
- 12:47Reserve that is delaying interest rate cuts.
- 12:49A 10 year note yield rising back above 4.5%, right?
- 12:54The market is taking over oil prices of 40% in two months, a
- 12:58worsening debt ceiling and deficit spending crisis.
- 13:01Yet the S&P 500 is 2 or 3% away from a new all time high.
- 13:07You can't fight this market, right?
- 13:10But I think it's important for us to remember when we look at
- 13:13the stock markets, that's all in nominal terms, right?
- 13:16The stock market right in the next 1020 years could stay right
- 13:20where it is. But if the value of the dollar,
- 13:22the value of what you can buy for your dollar goes down in
- 13:26real terms, the stock market could definitely, definitely
- 13:29lose value. Stock market's a bubble.
- 13:31I won't get too much more into that.
- 13:33But what about gold China? Alright, let's talk about what
- 13:36what's going on there Before I do that, right, I want to say
- 13:39thank you to channel sponsor first meant of course, again,
- 13:44right? They are doing a great job
- 13:46getting silver into our hands. So thank you first meant for
- 13:50everything you're doing. Thank you to 1st Mining Gold
- 13:52also for sponsoring the gold and silver content here in the
- 13:57basement. And thank you due to Ledger and
- 13:59Moon Pay. Moon Pay is a fintech company
- 14:01growing and innovating like crazy, and Ledger is the
- 14:05cryptocurrency hardware wallet security leader.
- 14:09All right, guys, let's go look at what's going on with China
- 14:12with gold because we're getting news, more news out of China.
- 14:15And I've got something really funny for you that I'm going to
- 14:19want to share here as well. But we got news this week.
- 14:23China Central Bank, surprise, surprise, surprise, Sergeant
- 14:26Carter, right? Remember going over well, China
- 14:29Central Bank buys gold for the seventh straight month in May.
- 14:35When are they going to stop, right?
- 14:37It's unbelievable. China continues to add gold.
- 14:40But this next one, well, we'll go quickly out here to the
- 14:45Shanghai Gold Exchange just to get a quick update on what's
- 14:49going on in China since they are now like basically becoming the
- 14:54price discovery mechanism for precious metals.
- 14:57We can see silver, right, $38 per oz in the physical market on
- 15:04the Shanghai Gold Exchange right here.
- 15:06SGEAG, $38 per oz. All right, but this is got to be
- 15:11one of the funniest, I have to say.
- 15:12Vince, Lancey, Lancey. I always pronounce it wrong, but
- 15:16I've talked with Vince once before.
- 15:17Great guy, very nice guy. This is hilarious.
- 15:24I love you Vince for posting this.
- 15:26We all need a good laugh, he says.
- 15:28Great picture. This is Jake's custom parts.
- 15:30Reposted it a regular here in the channel and then then posted
- 15:33this. Breaking America's biggest gold
- 15:36exchange buys building next door to the SGE America's biggest
- 15:44gold exchange Costco, right? We know we know what's going on
- 15:48there. And they bought the building
- 15:51right next door to the to the Shanghai Gold Exchange.
- 15:54OK, big news coming up this week will be will be, as we all know,
- 15:59the Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell.
- 16:02It's going to be interesting. Let's go take a look and see
- 16:05what the markets are predicting in terms of interest rate cuts
- 16:09for this week. And for that, we're going to go
- 16:12out here to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Fed watch
- 16:16tool where we can see if we're going to get this announcement
- 16:18in four days, So Thursday of next week, I believe.
- 16:25But guys, basically there's 100% chance 99.6 will round up that
- 16:31rates are going to remain the same.
- 16:34But we know the big picture, right?
- 16:35We know what's coming. It's getting crazy out there,
- 16:38OK? Silver, I believe, right, with
- 16:41this almost record short position is positioned to
- 16:45catapult higher. Forty $45.00 an ounce, I, I
- 16:50believe are in our near future. Now, please, don't, you know,
- 16:53invest responsible? I'm not a financial advisor, you
- 16:56know all that. But when I look at everything
- 16:59going on, how do you feel about it?
- 17:01Do you see it? Like, Are you ready for $40
- 17:04silver? And let's remember, silver's
- 17:07been there before, right? It's been years and years since
- 17:11when 2011, but it can go there again.
- 17:14Silver can go to 50, silver can go to 60.
- 17:18I'm expecting $60.00 silver by April Fool's Day 2026.
- 17:23One thing we know for sure, I'll be here with you through it all.
- 17:27It's always a big deal when you join me in the basement.
- 17:29Please don't forget, subscribe to the channel, give the video
- 17:32thumbs up. And one last plug, don't forget
- 17:35about Dirty Man Safe. If you might have something
- 17:40right, maybe you have a safety deposit box, maybe you have a
- 17:43safe in your house, I don't know.
- 17:45But if you have something you want to diversify where you
- 17:47store things, there's nothing better than storing things in
- 17:50the ground. And that's what Dirty Man Safe
- 17:53allows you to do. OK.
- 17:55And don't forget we have a discount code as well.
- 17:58Ron 10. Can you see it there?
- 18:00Ron 10, you get 10% off. And you know, I like to think of
- 18:05it like the pirates. Where did they store their
- 18:06treasure? In the ground.
- 18:08What does Dirty Man allow you to do?
- 18:10Store it in the ground. Number one, you take care of
- 18:14yourself. I appreciate you being here.
- 18:16OK. I'll look forward to seeing you
- 18:18next time. Thank you.
- 18:22Let's go.