Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 229 - 3/4/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:20Hello, and welcome to episode 229 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:26Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:29I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:37Happy Tuesday. The early portion of the week
- 0:40rolls on here guys and you know what it is it's a Tuesday, so
- 0:44that means we have our Tuesday rhythm live stream.
- 0:47So I invite you all to join me probably right after this
- 0:50podcast drops. Maybe you have a few minutes of
- 0:52you know, time in between to get ready, but of course go to
- 0:55Twitter. Of course we got to call it X
- 0:58now, but it's all always be Twitter to me but at the Twitter
- 1:01live stream we'll kick off at 4:00 PM Eastern Time.
- 1:04It's the Tuesday rhythm college basketball sweat.
- 1:07So I always recommend people to tune in if you have any
- 1:10questions about rhythm because we'll specifically focus on, you
- 1:14know, how to use rhythm to your advantage, answer questions
- 1:16about rhythm. I'm going to walk through my
- 1:17system matches and how to kind of interpret the different
- 1:20betting models and predictions. So hope to see you guys all
- 1:23there as we breaking down a ton of college basketball for
- 1:26tonight. Also want to mention a couple
- 1:29other things real quick before we get into our sweats for
- 1:31tonight, but there has been an odds Logic update.
- 1:34Odds Logic just revamp their customization tools for their
- 1:37live odds page. You can sort your columns and
- 1:40your sports books and get really cool notifications, which might
- 1:44be important to you. Games going to half, you know,
- 1:46different, different line moves taking place.
- 1:49So as always, Odds Logic, I'm now a proud affiliate of Odds
- 1:52Logic. So if you need a live odds
- 1:54platform, highly recommend going to oddslogic.com/josh 123 and
- 2:00it'll be locked and loaded there with a live odds page, which to
- 2:03me is really the the best and most cost efficient option
- 2:06available right now. So give it a shot with a 7 day
- 2:09free trial. I also want to say thank you
- 2:10because, you know, I always check the book, my new book, the
- 2:14NFL Short Betting Playbook on Amazon just to see, you know,
- 2:17has anything changed in terms of little badges on the book or,
- 2:20you know, rankings and ratings? And I noticed that yesterday,
- 2:24last night, there is now a new badge on the NFL Short betting
- 2:28playbook. It is now officially the number
- 2:31one new release in sports gambling.
- 2:34So I'm very honored, super excited, very humbled and
- 2:38thankful. But I can't, cannot wait for you
- 2:40guys to read the NFL sharp ending playbook.
- 2:42It'll come out August 12th later this this summer.
- 2:46But thank you to everyone who has pre-ordered the book and
- 2:49gotten us to the status of the number one new release.
- 2:51And if you want to continue the momentum, keep us the number
- 2:54one. Please pre-order a copy of the
- 2:57NFL sharp betting playbook on Amazon.com.
- 3:00Now, that being said, for today, I do have a three pack of sweats
- 3:02for you. We're going to do the same thing
- 3:04we did yesterday. I know you know, there were, you
- 3:06know, better games, quote UN quote, more popular games, more
- 3:09heavily bet games on the board yesterday and today, like today
- 3:12you have, you know, Auburn, Texas A and MB Yu Iowa State,
- 3:15Georgia, South Carolina, LSU, Kentucky.
- 3:18There's some huge matchups, but we're going to continue to focus
- 3:21on a three pack of smaller obscure games because even
- 3:25though they may not be quite as popular as the big games, they
- 3:28cash just the same. So a three pack of smaller games
- 3:31for today with good line moves, bet splits, some fishy rhythm
- 3:35and sharp mush edges from Juice Reel.
- 3:36And we're going to see if we can continue to have a good winning
- 3:40night because last night we started our our week off right,
- 3:422 and 1 + 0.51 units. So as always, I'll take a half
- 3:47unit any day of the week. Had some good hits with
- 3:49Northwestern State, The demons coming through Lamar getting it
- 3:53done on senior night. Lamar.
- 3:55I don't know what it is about Lamar.
- 3:56I love sweating them. I want to say we're four and O
- 3:58playing Lamar this year. So they might be in the 202425.
- 4:02You know, sharp Hall of Fame for the pod.
- 4:04Only loser was Houston Christian.
- 4:06Ironically, they lost to a team that is what 4 and now 5 and 26
- 4:11on the year. But either way, guys 3 plays.
- 4:13We got two of them winning night to start the week.
- 4:15Let's see if we continue it, if we can continue it going into
- 4:19today, a big Tuesday. So as I mentioned, same
- 4:22blueprint last night as tonight. There are a lot of big games.
- 4:25There are conference tournament games.
- 4:27But as always, you don't discriminate and say, oh, we got
- 4:29to play the conference tournaments because that's what
- 4:31everyone's talking about. Or oh, we got to play the games
- 4:32that are on ESPN because those are the ones that will be on at
- 4:35the bar. No, we're going to play games
- 4:37not based upon the interest level, but based upon the sharp
- 4:41market analysis. So I landed on three of them.
- 4:44You guys know the drill. Let's try to go 2 and one eke
- 4:46out another winning night. So first one on the board for
- 4:49me. Let's go to a match up here at
- 4:516:00 PM Eastern Time. It's an early 1, so if you want
- 4:53to play it, make sure you get it in.
- 4:54Now we have Coastal Carolina at or playing Southern Miss.
- 4:59So this is a neutral site game. It's the first round of the
- 5:01Sunbelt tournament. So let's set the stage.
- 5:04Talk line movement system matches and I'll give you my
- 5:06play for this one. So going into this first round
- 5:08of the Sunbelt tournament, we have two teams with the same
- 5:11record, Coastal Carolina, 10 and 21 on the year.
- 5:14They're the 13 seed. They've rotated wins and losses
- 5:17over their last four games. The Chanticleers just lost the
- 5:20Old Dominion 61 to 59, did not cover as a one point home dog in
- 5:24that one. On the other hand, Southern
- 5:26Miss, same record, 10 and 21. They're the 12 seed.
- 5:29They've lost eight straight. So struggling a bit here.
- 5:31They did just lose to Troy 70 to 58 did not cover as a nine and a
- 5:36half point home dog. So what have we seen across the
- 5:38market here? Well, even though it's a early
- 5:40game and a very low bet game, there's a very clear sharp line
- 5:43move in this one. This game opened Southern Miss
- 5:45listed as a very short 1 1/2 point neutral site favorite.
- 5:49And the public says, hey, both teams are 10 and 21.
- 5:53You know, this is basically a coin flip, right?
- 5:55You might as well take the points.
- 5:56Well, the public is undecided right down the middle 5050 bet
- 5:59split. And what do we always talk
- 6:00about? A 5050 split.
- 6:02Theoretically, if the tickets are even 50% on team A, 50% on
- 6:06team B, you would think theoretically in a vacuum, the
- 6:09line really shouldn't move at all.
- 6:10Balanced action, no need for the odds makers to adjust the price.
- 6:14However, sometimes 5050 splits you see a line move.
- 6:17And that line move is really important to me because again,
- 6:19shouldn't move at all if they're split.
- 6:21Yet you're seeing the smart money take a position and 'cause
- 6:24that adjustment in favor of the team getting that line move.
- 6:27So the team getting a line move is Southern Miss.
- 6:29Southern Miss open -1 1/2. They've now been steamed up to
- 6:33-3 1/2. So tickets are split.
- 6:36Yet Southern Miss went -1 1/2 to -3 1/2.
- 6:39Tells me a lot of smart money here.
- 6:40Came in on Southern Miss at DraftKings.
- 6:43Pretty good bet split. Southern Miss is only getting in
- 6:45particular 47% of spread bets, but 72% of spread dollars.
- 6:51So technically this will be a reverse line mover fade, the
- 6:53trendy dog. Although, you know, 47% is
- 6:56basically 5050. But I like that.
- 6:58Really. To me, the important thing is
- 6:59the dollar count. Only half the tickets, but three
- 7:02out of $4.00 on Southern Miss. Now Ken Pond does have Southern
- 7:07Miss winning by three points. Again, they're -3 1/2 in the
- 7:09market. So I'm going to protect myself,
- 7:11play Southern Miss on the money line here.
- 7:14I got them at -160 and they were pretty good bet split.
- 7:18If you look at circa southern misses, getting 67% of money
- 7:21line bets, 73% of money line dollars.
- 7:25So it tells me in a small early match up here, you know, this is
- 7:28a, you know, 3:00 afternoon game out in Vegas.
- 7:30A lot of bets and dollars here from the sharps in the desert.
- 7:34Going with Southern Miss now. Southern Miss.
- 7:36Couple things to bank on here. To me, the number one is their
- 7:39defense. Better defensive efficiency, 2O8
- 7:42in the country versus 331 for coastal.
- 7:46They're also better at forcing turnovers. 277th in the country
- 7:49versus 364 for Coastal and Southern Miss Also better
- 7:53scoring offense, 72 points per game versus 67 points per game
- 7:58for Coastal. This is also very fishy play
- 8:01because if you look at kind of the match up here, both teams
- 8:04are 10 and 21, but it's a neutral site.
- 8:07It's the opening, opening game of the tournament.
- 8:09Yet the line is moving pretty bigly here in favor of the team
- 8:12who's on an 8 game losing streak.
- 8:14That's fishy in favor of Southern Miss.
- 8:17There's also a revenge play. Southern Miss did lose to
- 8:20Coastal 87 to 78 just a couple weeks ago.
- 8:24Lastly, we look at our friends at Rhythm.
- 8:26They have Southern Miss -2.8, so it's pretty clear here. 6:00
- 8:30early game, You know, basically the public split 5050 down the
- 8:34middle, but all line movement is Southern Miss.
- 8:36We got a good rhythm edge. We got a good Ken Palm edge.
- 8:39We have a revenge fishy play on a team that's lost 88 straight
- 8:43but open as the favorite and became more of the favorite.
- 8:45So I'm going Southern Miss Golden Eagles, shop around.
- 8:48I got Southern Miss at -160 it looks like they might be in
- 8:52steam right now. I'm seeing them creep up now to
- 8:54maybe -4 around -170 So hopefully you can get this one
- 8:57in early and hopefully we'll catch this one together to start
- 9:01our night. But let's go Southern Miss next
- 9:03one for you. Another small game.
- 9:05This is a in particular added extra game Lehigh and Loyola
- 9:10Maryland. So this is the first round of
- 9:12the Patriot League 7:00 game. Patriot League tournament starts
- 9:15tonight and we have Lehigh coming in 11 and 18 on the year.
- 9:19They're the nine seed. They just snapped A3 game losing
- 9:21skid. They beat Army 89 to 67.
- 9:25They won outright as a four and a half point Rd. dog.
- 9:27On the other hand, Loyola Maryland 11 and 18 on the year
- 9:30same record. They're the eighth seed, but
- 9:32they've lost six of their last seven.
- 9:34The Greyhounds, by the way, they just felt a Navy 81 to 68 didn't
- 9:38cover as a four and a half point Rd. dog.
- 9:40So what are we seeing across the market here?
- 9:43Well, even though this is the first game of a the Patriot
- 9:46League tournament, this is a true home game for Loyola
- 9:48Maryland. So they're the real home
- 9:50favorite. This is not a neutral site
- 9:51tournament game. So we open Maryland, Loyola
- 9:54Maryland as a very short one point home favorite.
- 9:57And now we've seen Loyola Maryland get steamed up to -3 So
- 10:01it's an obscure added extra game.
- 10:03Very tiny match up here, yet pretty clear that sharps have
- 10:06sided with Loyola Maryland -1 up to -3 Now look at the bet
- 10:11splits. We look at Loyola Maryland at
- 10:14DraftKings getting 66% of spread bets, 72% of spread dollars.
- 10:19Circa Loyola Maryland 75% of spread bets, over 90 actually in
- 10:24particular, 97% of spread dollars.
- 10:27So both at DraftKings and Circa, we have a really good bet split,
- 10:30low bets, higher dollars. And again, you can say, oh, 66%
- 10:34bets, 75% bets, the ticket percentage.
- 10:37That's public, right? But remember, this is a added
- 10:39extra game, game 306-5613 O 6562.
- 10:43So to me, that's not the public 2/3 or three out of four public
- 10:47bets taking Loyola Maryland. It's sharp betters who have
- 10:50particularly targeted this game, even though the public doesn't
- 10:53care about it, can't even find it on their betting app.
- 10:55I did take Loyola Maryland on the money line, save a little
- 10:58bit of juice. I got them at -140 earlier today
- 11:01and now upwards of around -150 across the market.
- 11:05Couple advantages here for Loyola Maryland, better
- 11:07offensive rebound percentage. So if we can get extra
- 11:10possessions and put backs 29% versus 21%, they also do a
- 11:14better job at forcing turnovers. So, you know, flip that team,
- 11:17turn it over, get out in the fast break.
- 11:19They rank 194th in the country versus 249th for Lehigh and the
- 11:24Greyhounds. Also small but meaningful.
- 11:26Hopefully rebound advantage. The average 34 rebounds per
- 11:29game, 32 for Lehigh. You know what Lehigh's mascot
- 11:32is, the Mountain Hawks. Doesn't hurt Home Rd.
- 11:35Loyola Maryland hasn't been amazing.
- 11:37They're six and seven at home, but Lehigh is just three and 13
- 11:41on the road. So hopefully that bodes well for
- 11:43us tonight. Our friends at Rhythm, by the
- 11:44way, have Loyola Maryland -2.5. So we have a good rhythm edge,
- 11:50Super sharp line move in a low bed, obscure game, bunch of stat
- 11:53advantages. Let's fade.
- 11:55Lehigh 3 and 13 on the road. Give me Loyola Maryland, the
- 11:58greyhounds. We got him on the money line
- 12:00earlier today -140 again, now you're upwards of around -150
- 12:05last bed of the night. Temple, Tulsa, 8:00 PM Eastern
- 12:10Time. Let's set the stage on this one.
- 12:13And also has an advantage that was actually to our favor last
- 12:17night with Lamar. So Lamar spot, Tulsa spot
- 12:20tonight. So let's set the stage here.
- 12:22Temple 15 and 14 on the year just snapped A6 game losing
- 12:25streak by beating South Florida 73 to 71.
- 12:29They went out right as a 2 1/2 point home dog.
- 12:31Meanwhile, Tulsa 11 and 18 on the year, they've dropped three
- 12:34in a row, just came up short against Tulane 79 to 77, but
- 12:38they were a 3 1/2 point home dog.
- 12:39So they did cover that number. What have we seen across the
- 12:42market? Well, this game open with Tulsa
- 12:44listed as a very short one point home favorite.
- 12:47And once again, maybe this is the theme of the day. 5050 line
- 12:51move. Public respects that.
- 12:52Tulsa's a very short favorite at home, but then again, Temple's
- 12:56got the better record, so Public doesn't know what to do. 5050
- 12:59Right down the middle of DraftKings.
- 13:01However, we've seen the move toward Tulsa.
- 13:04Tulsa -1 now up to -2 1/2. So good. 1 1/2 point sharp line
- 13:09move in favor of the Golden Hurricane.
- 13:12This is a money line play for me.
- 13:13So I got Tulsa earlier today -134 other upwards of around
- 13:18-140 ish right now hasn't moved too much.
- 13:20I like to split the DraftKings. Tulsa's getting 48% of money
- 13:24line bets, but 55% of money line dollars.
- 13:27And at circa Tulsa's getting 75% of bets over 90% of money line
- 13:32dollars. So both the national DraftKings
- 13:35in the Wiseguy Vegas book, both showing good low bets, higher
- 13:39dollars in favor of Tulsa. Now, couple things I'll bank on
- 13:43with Tulsa. Better defensive efficiency.
- 13:45They ranked 240th in the country versus 245th.
- 13:49Nothing huge, but slightly better with Tulsa.
- 13:51But also they make it more difficult on their opponent in
- 13:54terms of, you know, making shots.
- 13:56They limit their opponents to an effective field goal percentage
- 13:58that ranks 134th in the country versus Temple, 169th.
- 14:03Tulsa also does a better job at offensive rebounds allowed.
- 14:08So they don't, you know, give as much up on their offensive
- 14:11boards or I guess their defensive boards, whatever way
- 14:13you want to look at it. They ranked 230, two 36th and
- 14:16offensive rebounds allowed versus Temple ranking 299th.
- 14:20Home Rd. Tulsa is 8:00 and 8:00 at home,
- 14:22so 500. But Temple is just two and nine
- 14:25on the road. They really struggle on the road
- 14:27here. I want to fade them in the spot.
- 14:29And then you also have a very just fishy buy low, sell high
- 14:32because Tulsa is a below 500 team on a losing streak, yet
- 14:37they're favored over and above 500 team who's off a win.
- 14:40And then as I mentioned, same spot Lamar as Tulsa tonight,
- 14:44it's senior night. Why is that important?
- 14:47Because hopefully that's extra added motivation for Tulsa to
- 14:50play well. And just so happens they're two
- 14:52best players. They're two leading scorers,
- 14:54Dejuan Odom and Keyston Willis, both around 13 points a game.
- 14:59They are both seniors. So it'll be their last game ever
- 15:02at home for Tulsa. You know, they'll walk out with
- 15:05the family. They'll get a plaque or some
- 15:07flowers. Hopefully that bodes well for
- 15:09some extra added motivation, which if you saw the Lamar game
- 15:12last night, they were amped. So hopefully Tulsa can come
- 15:15through in that spot for tonight.
- 15:17Doesn't hurt that rhythm does have Tulsa -1.8, so not quite
- 15:21the 2 1/2, but at least, you know, predict them to win by
- 15:24about two points. And I did notice on Juice Reel
- 15:27that Tulsa had a 75% sharp mush edge on the money line.
- 15:31So basically 75% more of the better betters versus the losing
- 15:35betters are playing Tulsa to win this game.
- 15:38So add it all up here guys. We have a 5050 line move in
- 15:41favor of Tulsa. Kind of fishy.
- 15:43Why is a losing team on a losing streak favored over a winning
- 15:47team on a winning streak or one win in a row?
- 15:50Tells me that we should embrace this sharp line move, trust the
- 15:53market and play Tulsa tonight. So I got Tulsa on the money line
- 15:57at -134 So Southern mess, Loyola Maryland and Tulsa 3 money line
- 16:03bets. Let's try to go 2 and one and
- 16:05eek out a winning night. So that about does it for
- 16:08episode 229 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
- 16:12powered by Rhythm. But of course, this is the part
- 16:14of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 16:16And I start first by saying thank you.
- 16:19Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
- 16:21busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
- 16:24sharp contrarian betting breakdowns with me.
- 16:27Looking as they're looking, trying to be basically Wall
- 16:30Street traders, you know, approaching the stock market,
- 16:33having that respect of the market in the movement and what
- 16:36it's telling us. And trying to be an
- 16:38investigator, figuring out the clues based on the movement that
- 16:40that splits our system, matches to make the smartest bet that we
- 16:44can. So if you do enjoy this pod #1
- 16:47thank you #2 could you do me a solid?
- 16:49Could you give this podcast a five star review if you're
- 16:52listening on Spotify or iTunes? It would help us to grow the
- 16:55pod, continue to gain some momentum, and hopefully continue
- 16:58to rise up the charts. If there's an option to leave a
- 17:01nice comment, that's always great.
- 17:03If you want to click the follow button, that's awesome too,
- 17:05because it'll basically give you a pop up as soon as the podcast
- 17:09drops each day, you'll get alerted to it.
- 17:11If you're on Spotify, it'll go right to your your library so
- 17:13you can listen. And if you want to recommend the
- 17:15pod to a friend, that is always great as well.
- 17:18Next, if you enjoy this style of betting, the data-driven
- 17:22approach, we don't come in each day to the pod saying I think I
- 17:25want, I hope this will happen. Injecting our bias and our
- 17:28favoritism. No, we're humans, you know,
- 17:31sometimes bias creeps in. We can't, can't help it, but we
- 17:34try to leave our bias at the door and bet based upon strictly
- 17:37what the data, the numbers, the market is telling us.
- 17:40So if this style of betting appeals to you, data-driven
- 17:43betting and you want to learn more about data-driven betting
- 17:45or you have someone in your life who again, loves betting and
- 17:48doesn't win too often, has no philosophy, doesn't look at line
- 17:52movement, doesn't care about bet splits, you know what you should
- 17:55do. You should recommend buying my
- 17:57book to that friend of yours or buy it for yourself.
- 18:00Just go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to
- 18:03Sports betting. Pick up a copy for again, you
- 18:06that friend of yours family member.
- 18:08It's a great way to let me know you appreciate the pod by
- 18:10supporting the pod and buying the book.
- 18:12But as I mentioned earlier today, I'm so happy and honored
- 18:16that my new book, The NFL Short Betting Playbook just became the
- 18:19number one new release in sports gambling on Amazon.
- 18:22So thank you all to you guys who have pre-ordered a copy.
- 18:26If you haven't done it yet, I would love for you to pre-order
- 18:28a copy because it'll help us to continue to generate some buzz
- 18:33for something I'm very, very proud of.
- 18:34And I've been working on literally every day for about 3
- 18:37years. So I can't wait for it to drop.
- 18:39But you can always go to Amazon.com again, type in the
- 18:42NFL sharp betting playbook, grab a copy pre-order it and I'll be
- 18:46I'll be hanging on your doorstep.
- 18:48Drone will drop it off Not one of those New Jersey alien
- 18:51drones. Hopefully just a Jeff Bezos
- 18:53drone will will drop off the NFL sharp betting playbook on your
- 18:57doorstep in August. Next, if you haven't done it
- 19:00yet, you better download Rhythm and Juice Reel my two favorite
- 19:03sports betting apps on the market Rhythm for their AI
- 19:06backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 19:09We got MLB coming up Rhythm will have MLB this year.
- 19:12Cannot wait for that. And of course, college hoops is
- 19:15in full swing. I know I don't hit on a ton of
- 19:16NBA. I really feel like our edge is
- 19:19in college right now and I don't want to force things in the NBA,
- 19:22but rhythm does have you covered for player props as well as game
- 19:24models. And again, 4:00 today Eastern
- 19:27Time, we'll have the rhythm live stream.
- 19:28I'd love for you guys to attend and then Juice Reel where you
- 19:31can follow the all systems go best bet picks.
- 19:34You can click that link that I put out each day on Twitter
- 19:38directing you to the Juice Reel All Systems Go social tab.
- 19:42Think of it as a tip jar. This pod is free.
- 19:45If you enjoy the pod, I'd love for you guys to sign up to get
- 19:48the all systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a week.
- 19:52It's basically a cup of coffee. If you go to Starbucks, it's
- 19:55half a cup of coffee. But hopefully you'll, you know,
- 19:58basically get some place early like some of these money lines
- 20:01we talked about on today's pod. You could have gotten better
- 20:03prices if you got that alert to the best bets on Juice Reel.
- 20:07But also not just the all systems go best bets, but the.
- 20:11Sharp mush indicators, arbitrage opportunity, shopping for the
- 20:14best line futures. Our guy Stefan castle had
- 20:17another big night, so he's been moving here for for rookie of
- 20:20the year and then you'll also get the robo Jackson best bet
- 20:24picks available to you as well. So rhythm is just in juice reel
- 20:282 great apps here to hopefully add to your sports betting
- 20:31toolbox. As I mentioned, if you need a
- 20:34live odds page, you got to get Odds Logic, just revamp their
- 20:37customization tools. But it's really the cleanest,
- 20:39sharpest interface. You got to know what the line
- 20:42opened at, how it's moved, be able to shop for the best line,
- 20:45get the line history in the bets, bet splits.
- 20:48So if you are looking for a live odds page, you should go sign up
- 20:51for a 7 day free trial of Odds Logic.
- 20:53Try it out and make sure you use this particular link, Odds
- 20:57logic.com/josh 123 and you'll be locked and loaded with a 7 day
- 21:03free trial. So that about does it for
- 21:06episode 229 of the ASG Pod. I got to get this uploaded and
- 21:10then get ready for these 4:00 live stream for college hoops
- 21:14and I hope to see you guys all there.
- 21:16But as always, I'm leave you the couple things #1 whether I see
- 21:19you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode
- 21:22Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
- 21:25Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
- 21:28Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
- 21:31Massachusetts or the Nash, which actually is the is opening
- 21:35tomorrow, believe it or not. Might have to might have to stop
- 21:37by and check it out. I'm actually going to go this
- 21:39weekend, but maybe I'll go the day off.
- 21:41Be one of those be one of those people on Black Friday, you
- 21:44know, like 2:00 AM. That's, you know, banging on the
- 21:45door ready to get in. But I cannot wait because that
- 21:48sports book is now only about 15 minutes from my house.
- 21:51So I don't have to go into Boston or, you know, the boonies
- 21:54to go out to go get down in person, even though I pretty
- 21:57much been on my app. But it'll be fun to hang out
- 22:00with some buddies and meet up and go to the Nash.
- 22:02I'm looking forward to that. Or of course, out in the desert
- 22:05where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends
- 22:07his number runners with lowest juice possible is found at the
- 22:09South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
- 22:12plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when they cash a
- 22:14big ticket at Circa. Or maybe you're going to walk up
- 22:17to me and you're going to show me a new mech, a Northwestern
- 22:21State ticket, a Lamar ticket. Guess what?
- 22:24First one's on me, next one's on you were going to post about the
- 22:26book Sweat Sharp and train plays all night long.
- 22:29So wish you the best of luck everyone.
- 22:31As always, two and one, one and 2-3 and OO and three.
- 22:36We always keep grinding. We never let the previous night
- 22:39positively or negatively affect us.
- 22:41Can't help it. You go 2 and one or three and O.
- 22:43You're amped. You can't wait to sweat it
- 22:45again. Today you're O and three, one
- 22:47and two. You know, you're a little bit
- 22:49wary, annoyed, upset. You got a claw back and get a
- 22:52get a winning day. I'll be either way guys, if we
- 22:54can continue to stay even keeled, not get too high, not
- 22:57get too low, continue to be disciplined with our bankroll
- 23:00management and stick to the ultimate model, which is against
- 23:03the public with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid
- 23:06parlays and get that closing line value.
- 23:08If we can do that long term, and I'm confident that we can, if we
- 23:12can do that long term, guess what?
- 23:13We're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 23:16So have a great Tuesday, everyone.
- 23:18Let's try to go to one with these plays tonight.
- 23:21And reminder, I do hope to see you guys on the live stream,
- 23:23Twitter live stream today at 4:00 PM Eastern Time.
- 23:27But good luck. Have a great night.
- 23:29And then I'll see you tomorrow for a big hump day edition, big
- 23:32Wednesday edition. That'll be episode 230 of the
- 23:35All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 23:39Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.