Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Billionaire EXPOSES Wall Street's Dirty Secret [DO THIS TO RETIRE!] | EP 1239
Transcript
- 0:01Yeah, a billionaire who 100 X the value of his public company
- 0:05is in under five years just exposed Wall Street's dirty
- 0:10secret that he called the 4% rule.
- 0:14Today we're going to be explaining how you could use
- 0:16this 4% rule to outperform the market and retire sooner than
- 0:21you think. We're also going to be revealing
- 0:23some of the other secrets Michael exposed in this speech
- 0:27that he gave yesterday at Strategies most anticipated
- 0:31event of the year, strategy rolled, I mean strategy,
- 0:35strategy world. Anyways, let's check out the
- 0:37clip and then we will talk about it. 4% will make you rich.
- 0:43OK, here's the painful one. All of the wealth created in the
- 0:48stock market comes from 4% of the public companies. 96% of
- 0:54these companies have performance equivalent to a treasury bill
- 1:00That that's brutal, right? 96% of the companies can't beat
- 1:04AT bill. Here's a snapshot of stock
- 1:09performance of the S&P. So we pull the 500 companies.
- 1:12These are the greatest 500 companies in the world.
- 1:16Look at them on this distribution chart.
- 1:19What you can see is that the Magnificent 7, they're up 221%
- 1:23over the past four years. S and PS up 67%. 96% of the S&P
- 1:31companies are underperforming the mag 796 percent. 68% can't
- 1:38beat the index. So I mean, I'm joined here of
- 1:46course with James from Stamp Seed and of course my legendary
- 1:49codes always optimistic optimist fields.
- 1:52Those numbers are brutal. We have more clips, by the way,
- 1:55from his presentation from Strategy World yesterday.
- 1:58But those numbers are brutal. Brutal, right?
- 2:02So the top 7 stocks essentially the, you know, the top seven
- 2:06tech stocks are essentially outperforming the rest of the
- 2:10stock market essentially. And if you buy something outside
- 2:14of the seven, you know, the returns are not really there.
- 2:18And he's not making the case only to investors.
- 2:22He's making the case to corporations 'cause he's
- 2:24basically saying like, look, if you're a corporation, you have
- 2:28absolutely no chance at competing with some of these big
- 2:34players like Google, like Meta. What, what should you do?
- 2:38You should buy Bitcoin. And what's really crazy about
- 2:41MicroStrategy is that essentially Sailor has said it
- 2:45himself, there was no way of them competing with Microsoft.
- 2:50Microsoft essentially made their software free.
- 2:53How do you compete with that, you know, as a software
- 2:56enterprise software company? And essentially they were, they
- 3:01were gone like they were going to go out of business
- 3:03eventually. And that's why Sailor was
- 3:05essentially forced into a corner and pivot to Bitcoin and become
- 3:10a, a Bitcoin holding company. Metaplanet is a very similar
- 3:14story. They're essentially a, a dead
- 3:17hotel chain that was heavily affected by the pandemic and
- 3:21they pivoted. They use the cash flows from the
- 3:24business to essentially acquire as much Bitcoin as possible and
- 3:28then use the capital markets and debt instruments again to like
- 3:33buy more Bitcoin at very, very cheap debt.
- 3:36And the performance has been insane.
- 3:39Like strategy is a huge success story.
- 3:43Like it it essentially 10X in a matter of like 4 years.
- 3:48I think more than that actually the market cap of the company
- 3:52was at a billion and it went to 100 billion in a matter of like
- 3:56four or five years. That is the definition of a
- 4:00success story. And it's all because Sailor
- 4:04decided to adopt A Bitcoin strategy.
- 4:06Now I think that this applies to an individual on an individual
- 4:11level and I think this applies to a smaller company level to
- 4:15adopt. I was I actually have this saved
- 4:17in my drafts on X adopt the Bitcoin don't like just do it.
- 4:23And I promise you your life will get better.
- 4:25And it's for a very simple reason, right?
- 4:29You're saving in money that isn't being the base.
- 4:32That's it. It's a just it it just it's as
- 4:35simple as that. So sailor is making the case
- 4:38because this is Bitcoin for corporations.
- 4:40That's the name of the event strategy world.
- 4:42He's making the case for corporations.
- 4:44Listen, like, you know, most of these companies that are
- 4:47publicly traded are zombie companies.
- 4:50You don't have a shot at competing with these big
- 4:52monopolies. Adopt A Bitcoin strategy and you
- 4:56have a chance at winning, right? You know, you have a chance at
- 5:00succeeding. And he makes a very, very solid
- 5:03case for that, which is, you know, very, very strong.
- 5:06Anyways, I have a a couple other clips from some of his, you
- 5:11know, some of his talks from yesterday.
- 5:13Let's check some of those out and then me, James and Opti,
- 5:17we'll talk about it. What is the MicroStrategy story?
- 5:22Well, in August of 2020, we faced reality.
- 5:26We had tried everything under the sun.
- 5:28Buybacks. We had tried spending massive
- 5:31money on marketing, massive money on sales, expanded our
- 5:34sales force, expanded our technology function.
- 5:37We launched, you know, dozens of new businesses.
- 5:40We wound them down every possible strategy you could.
- 5:44None of them worked. And when the lockdowns hit, we
- 5:48realized we were looking at a fast death or a slow death or we
- 5:52were going to have to take a risk.
- 5:55And so we decided to take a risk.
- 5:57And when we did it, our stock was about $12.00 a share and $6
- 6:03of that was cash. So the enterprise value of the
- 6:07company was $6 when we did this slide is $394.00.
- 6:13So you can see we could have sold the company for an
- 6:17enterprise value of 6 to $8 or we could go ahead and take a
- 6:22risk and embrace a new idea and we decided to do that.
- 6:27You can see our trading volume is 5 million a day.
- 6:31Our trading volume now is 5.9 billion a day, right?
- 6:35I mean, you could see our open interest.
- 6:42So describing essentially what I was talking about, right,
- 6:45Sailor, MicroStrategy was toast and there was nothing they could
- 6:49do. They spent million, hundreds of
- 6:511,000,000 millions of dollars on marketing, on R&D, on sales, and
- 6:56they just couldn't catch the monopoly of which is Microsoft.
- 7:00And Microsoft essentially was giving their software for free
- 7:04at some point, like, you can't compete with that.
- 7:07So essentially, you know, they're dead in the water.
- 7:10And they were forced to pivot. They pivoted to a Bitcoin
- 7:14strategy. And this company that was
- 7:16otherwise going to go under essentially has become one of
- 7:19the the biggest success story on Wall Street.
- 7:23And it's just a matter of time before other companies that are
- 7:26in very similar positions to micro strategy.
- 7:29They have no chance at competing with some of these.
- 7:33You know, obviously, you know, the, the, the, the big, the,
- 7:36the, the, the big seven, They just adopt A Bitcoin strategy
- 7:40and they have a fighting chance, right?
- 7:43You know, adopting a Bitcoin strategy is a cheat code.
- 7:47Your, your runway just gets progressively bigger, you know,
- 7:51everything gets progressively cheaper.
- 7:53It's cheat code. It's a cheat code as an
- 7:55individual, it's a cheat code as a nation state.
- 7:58And it's a cheat code obviously on a large kind of institutional
- 8:01level as well. So that's crazy though.
- 8:04Like think about that for a second.
- 8:06What Sailor said to unpack it. 4%, you know, 4% of the equities
- 8:12market is what's actually going to give you those decent
- 8:15returns. And that's really like all you
- 8:18need, you know, in terms of your financial planning and, you
- 8:22know, trying to figure out what you should invest in or what you
- 8:25should put your money in to retire into the future.
- 8:28Excellent breakdown from Sailor. I have one more clip from his
- 8:32presentation and then again me, James and Opti will talk about
- 8:35it. So I want to start with the
- 8:39challenge that every company faces.
- 8:45If you've been living in the 21st century, you know that the
- 8:48winners are the digital monopolies.
- 8:50Apple's winning. Meta is winning.
- 8:52Google is winning. Microsoft is winning.
- 8:56Amazon is winning. The more unpleasant part of this
- 9:02observation is that the price that we pay for Amazon to win is
- 9:0620,000 retailers have to lose. And the price we pay for Apple
- 9:10to win is 20,000. Device manufacturers have to
- 9:14lose and the price that we pay for Google to win is 20,000.
- 9:20Journalists, organizations, media, newspapers have to lose
- 9:24and you can see from this chart, the Magnificent 7 are certainly
- 9:28winning the 500 greatest companies in the world.
- 9:33That is, out of the 400 million companies on the planet, the 500
- 9:37greatest companies in the world are getting smoked by the by the
- 9:43Magnificent 7. They're struggling.
- 9:47And I spent many years in the public market.
- 9:51If a public company can't grow organically 15% a year or more,
- 9:56institutional investors lose interest.
- 10:00The liquidity in the stock dries up the, the liquidity and the
- 10:05equity disappears, and then the options disappear.
- 10:08And it, you know, I, I remember when it used to be everybody's
- 10:12dream. I can't wait to go public.
- 10:14You're going to start a company and your, and your idea was, if
- 10:17I could just go public, I will have made it.
- 10:19And what I'm saying is going public is just the next step.
- 10:24But what you find is even if you do go public, unless you can
- 10:27keep up with a magnificent 7, you're not making it.
- 10:32Another way to look at the at the world today is in the public
- 10:36markets. Most companies in the public
- 10:39market are, are what I call zombie companies.
- 10:43They don't have much liquidity. They don't have an options
- 10:47market. They can't beat the S&P index.
- 10:51They can't retain earnings. They can't raise capital.
- 10:56They can't take risk. They they're trapped in this
- 11:01paradigm where the capital is toxic, volatility is toxic,
- 11:05inflation is toxic. And this is the dilemma that we
- 11:11face. You can actually see it playing
- 11:14out if you look at a list of publicly traded companies over
- 11:17the past 20 years. This is publicly listed
- 11:20companies in the US and you can see how they've been getting
- 11:24ground down. It's not a chart of success.
- 11:29If if I showed you anything in the modern world and the chart
- 11:34went down and to the right, you would say this is this is
- 11:38failure or this is a gradual progressive slide to malaise.
- 11:49So I mean, breaking it down in a very excellent fashion, like
- 11:53Saylor always does. And you know, what I will say is
- 11:57that I think he's absolutely right.
- 11:59I mean, this is something that I think, you know, we always say
- 12:04here on simply Bitcoin that Bitcoin exposes all incentives.
- 12:09Like that's what we say. We say this all, all the time.
- 12:13Bitcoin exposes incentives. Bitcoin exposes the, you know,
- 12:17the the dysfunction of essentially the Fiat system.
- 12:24And you know, I think I think what you're seeing there, like
- 12:28the result of all those zombie companies, the result of this
- 12:32concentration of success, I think is the continuing air
- 12:36effect. I think we're we're seeing it
- 12:38and I think you're seeing Bitcoin essentially fix it from
- 12:41within. And it's absolutely beautiful
- 12:44because it's one of the companies that essentially were
- 12:46being essentially we're outside of one of the big monopolies
- 12:51that, that, you know, essentially was the first to
- 12:56market with a Bitcoin strategy. So I mean, I don't think people
- 13:02are aware of this. I, I just, I think most people
- 13:05were asleep. I think a lot of people thought
- 13:07that the, you know, the markets were healthy.
- 13:09This is a tremendous amount of concentration of centralization.
- 13:15And I think like Bitcoin always does, it exposes things, right?
- 13:19It just shows it for the world to see.
- 13:21I mean, I don't think Sailor would have come to this
- 13:23conclusion if it wasn't for him being forced to look into
- 13:28Bitcoin or his company was going to go under and then him coming
- 13:33to the realization of like, wow. Like, I think a lot of other
- 13:37companies find themselves in the position that MicroStrategy was
- 13:40in not too long ago. So anyways, that's my take on
- 13:45all this. I want to get James and Opti's
- 13:52take. I mean, it's pretty eye opening
- 13:54and, and I love the way he breaks it down.
- 13:57I just don't think people are aware of this man.
- 13:59And, and he's absolutely right. I think most people, they think,
- 14:03OK, my, my company's public, I've made it.
- 14:06You know, this is great. This is a huge success story.
- 14:09But what they don't tell you is that, look, you're getting your
- 14:11ass kicked by the big seven, you know?
- 14:14So anyway, so I'm going to start off with James.
- 14:15Also want to welcome James on the show.
- 14:17Stamp Seed guys, store your generational wealth properly,
- 14:21maintain your relationship with the future generations.
- 14:25Could you imagine a, you know, 50-60 years from now, you know,
- 14:29and you're going to want to pass your generational wealth to your
- 14:32grandchildren. And then you can't because you
- 14:35wrote down your seed phrase on paper and you then stamp it into
- 14:37titanium. Yeah, that's bad. stampseat.com.
- 14:41Anyways, James, what are your what are your thoughts, bro?
- 14:44Pretty, pretty eye opening like always from Sailor.
- 14:47He just, he he hasn't. He just continues to go down the
- 14:50rabbit hole and drops truth bombs on the rest of us.
- 14:55Yeah, I mean, classic sailor you got, you got to say that there.
- 15:00And All in all, like these magnificent, you know, those big
- 15:03seven companies, they're only going to get bigger, stronger.
- 15:05And if you're, you know, a company that's struggling or
- 15:08borderline zombie company embracing Bitcoin, as you say,
- 15:12it's a great cheat code. It's just in shocking that more
- 15:15companies haven't taken advantage of it yet.
- 15:17More people aren't talking about it yet.
- 15:19But it's something that we're just used to in the Bitcoin
- 15:21space. It's that we are very well aware
- 15:24of and we hear about all day long on X and then through
- 15:26podcasts. And then once you step out
- 15:29there, it's like no one really even knows who Michael Saylor
- 15:31is. But they're starting to catch on
- 15:33now. You know, things are coming to
- 15:34light. People are trying to catch on.
- 15:37Hopefully more companies do what he's doing.
- 15:38It's, it's a cheat code. It's like if, if you have no
- 15:41other options as a company and you have some time and you have,
- 15:44you know, one last shot at trying to, you know, keep the
- 15:46boat afloat, just embrace Bitcoin.
- 15:48It's, it's so simple to do, buy it, hold it, just like we all
- 15:52do, very easy to do. Just hopefully out of time.
- 15:56We're seeing more companies doing this.
- 15:59Yeah, one 100%. Anyways, Opti, what's your take
- 16:03on this, bro? The 4% rule, 4%, I mean, dude, a
- 16:07concentration of wealth. Talk about the concealing error
- 16:10effect. I, I just don't think people are
- 16:13aware of this man. Like if you're not in the big
- 16:15seven, you're struggling as a, as a company, bro.
- 16:19Most people are just not interested in, in, in
- 16:22purchasing, you know, your stock and stuff.
- 16:25That's pretty eye opening. That sailor starts off, you
- 16:29know, Bitcoin for corporations. I mean, he's incentivized to do
- 16:32that. He's incentivized for more
- 16:33corporations to adopt A Bitcoin strategy.
- 16:36But I will say he's like, you know, Bitcoin is a system of
- 16:39aligned incentives. And you know, Opti and I and
- 16:45James, all of our senses are aligned essentially because yes,
- 16:49like we want number to go up. Yes, we want to talk about
- 16:51Bitcoin, you know, etcetera, etcetera.
- 16:55But you know, and and obviously you guys should buy Bitcoin.
- 17:00But again, if you buy Bitcoin, number goes up, number goes up
- 17:04for us, everybody wins. It's an aligned incentive
- 17:07structure system. It's in stark contrast with the
- 17:10Fiat system, which is a misaligned incentive structure
- 17:13system where there's a group of winners and then mostly everyone
- 17:17is losers. And I think, I think what
- 17:19Saylor, maybe, you know, purposely or not on purpose has
- 17:25run into is that like, holy shit, you know, there's a
- 17:28misalignment of incentives here. Anyways, Opti, what are your
- 17:31thoughts brother? Yeah, I think the first thing is
- 17:34kind of echoing what you guys were saying that first of all,
- 17:37you probably don't notice this if you aren't a Bitcoiner
- 17:40because you're probably looking at the traditional financial
- 17:43system and you're seeing like, Oh, my stock is hold on.
- 17:49You're, you're you're good, James.
- 17:51You're, you're probably looking at the financial system and
- 17:54you're looking at your stocks gain value.
- 17:56You know what he said? Basically, you'll gain 1020% a
- 17:59year, whatever. But when you really go into the
- 18:01plumbing, you realize that you're barely breaking even if
- 18:04that if if you're able to get more than 15% returns, you're
- 18:08probably, you know, just barely breaking even.
- 18:11And in reality, you are probably holding some toxic equity in a
- 18:16zombie company. And the other, the other metric
- 18:19that was really interesting was that the majority of companies
- 18:22in the S&P 500, which is, you know, kind of gauging the the
- 18:26health of Wall Street in the stock market, can't even
- 18:29outperform treasury bills. And we've all been seeing here,
- 18:33especially as a Bitcoiner, you, you look at T-bills now, because
- 18:36we all know that bond are essentially the risk free, you
- 18:39know, investment return here and most of the companies can't even
- 18:43outperform that. And here we are as Bitcoiners
- 18:46just kind of chilling and being like, all you really need to do
- 18:48is just buy some Bitcoin. And again, don't take it from
- 18:52us. Like someone yesterday said,
- 18:53like, oh, these financial gurus and T-shirts, like we're not
- 18:56financial gurus. All we understand is Bitcoin is
- 18:59better than everything else. And once you understand that
- 19:01simple idea, which is kind of a new idea and a lot of people
- 19:06have an issue with basically taking risk and wrapping their
- 19:10heads around a new idea. And there's a lot of takeaways
- 19:12that you can get from just those couple clips of Sailor one.
- 19:15Obviously the big, the big like 4% rule that basically 96% of
- 19:20all of Wall Street is not doing well.
- 19:23And it's really only the magnificent 7 that are that are
- 19:25dominating right now. And if you're not holding those
- 19:28stocks, you're being left behind.
- 19:30And then on the flip side, people are probably like, oh, I
- 19:33don't want to buy the big, you know, Mag 7 because everyone
- 19:36knows their names. It's probably not that much, you
- 19:38know, gain price exposure left in those and they're looking for
- 19:42alternative waves. And this is where things get
- 19:44complicated and people go into all kinds of financial trickery
- 19:47to try to outperform the stock market or outperform treasury
- 19:50bills. And sailors basically keep
- 19:52saying it's like all you have to do is literally buy Bitcoin.
- 19:56Or as he kind of said it, I did everything for my company.
- 19:59And I know there's a lot of people out there that are doing
- 20:01something similar. You know, they're trying new
- 20:03marketing strategies. They're trying to build new
- 20:05products. They're trying to get their
- 20:07product in the new era. Area and in reality, I'm not
- 20:10saying that everyone should just turn themselves into a Bitcoin
- 20:12treasury company, but what you need to do is have, you know, a
- 20:15decent company and then start saving in Bitcoin.
- 20:18And if you just save in Bitcoin, it's literally the simplest
- 20:22strategy possible. You will outperform everything
- 20:24else. And this is the main take away
- 20:26here. Like you don't have to
- 20:27complicate things. Bitcoin will outperform
- 20:29everything. All you have to do is take the
- 20:32risk or rather, you know, take the leap to understand Bitcoin.
- 20:35Take the leap to understand how to custody your Bitcoin and you
- 20:38will literally outperform the best traders on Wall Street.
- 20:41And you don't have to do anything.
- 20:43All you have to do is buy Bitcoin, store it and chill like
- 20:46stack sats and chill is literally the winning strategy.
- 20:49But it's just not as sexy as being like a Wall Street trader
- 20:53with all your, you know, 12 screens and, you know, picking
- 20:56the hot new stock and being in earning calls and all that
- 20:59stuff. And it's just like just stack
- 21:01Bitcoin every week or every month or every two weeks,
- 21:04whatever works for you. It's literally the winning
- 21:06strategy. Let's not forget that the way
- 21:08Sailor 100 exes company was literally just buying Bitcoin.
- 21:12So you know, if you don't have capital stuck in Wall Street or
- 21:16in a trading account or 401K etcetera.
- 21:19And, and you actually just have the cash.
- 21:21You should probably follow his strategy, which is literally
- 21:24just buy Bitcoin. Just keep buying Bitcoin.
- 21:27This is how you win. But it is very interesting, Like
- 21:30the data that he put out there, most people probably don't
- 21:33understand that idea that, hey, only 4% of the stock market is
- 21:38actually winning right now. So all your other stocks are
- 21:40probably trash. And I know people don't like to
- 21:43hear that because everyone has a sunk cost fallacy.
- 21:45And they're like, no, this one's going to pop, man.
- 21:47It's getting 20% a year. And it's like, yeah, yeah,
- 21:49that's cool. You know what's bitcoins Kegger.
- 21:51Right now? It's like 55% even on down
- 21:54years. It's like it's literally the
- 21:55simplest strategy. Just follow what Saylor does and
- 21:58buy Bitcoin for yourself, for your company, for your grandma,
- 22:02whoever it is that needs to store their wealth.
- 22:04This is the only way to win right now.
- 22:07Considering we are seeing that. I don't know if you guys saw,
- 22:10but it looks like QE, or rather not QE is back on the table.
- 22:14So it looks like the money printer is about to continue to
- 22:17ramp up. Looks like inflation probably
- 22:20going to get higher. The only way to protect yourself
- 22:22is holding something that they cannot debase.
- 22:25And of course that is Bitcoin. And you know, hopefully this
- 22:28video gets in front of a lot of people that aren't necessarily
- 22:31Bitcoiners. And the right now they're
- 22:32freaking out and they're like, oh, these bitcoiners, they're
- 22:34trying to get me to buy a scam. And, and I think now is the
- 22:38least risky time to be buying Bitcoin considering all the mega
- 22:41news we've heard around Bitcoin. This is the time to be buying.
- 22:45Right now is when you should be buying Bitcoin.
- 22:47You're going to look back at this time and be like, damn, I
- 22:49should have listened to those idiots and T-shirts and hoodies
- 22:52on on on YouTube with 45 Iqs that understand the traditional
- 22:56financial system better than my Charles Schwab guy in a suit.
- 22:59It's so simple. I.
- 23:00Mean technically, the Charles Schwab announced that they are
- 23:04adding. Yeah, so they'll buy it.
- 23:06They'll buy a 250K, they'll buy they'll miss out of what 2X
- 23:09games from here and be like damn I could have tripled my my my
- 23:14wealth if I just listen to these idiots on YouTube.
- 23:17But hey, you know what it? Is oh man guys, well, it's going
- 23:20to be an incredible show. We have so much to unpack today
- 23:23starting off strong, covering a little bit of what was happening
- 23:26at strategy world yesterday. I believe today is day 2 of
- 23:31strategy world and Bitcoin for corporations.
- 23:33So very interesting stuff guys. I've ran into a really cool post
- 23:39by someone that goes by the name of Smithson with on X and he has
- 23:47a a Smitty's Bitcoin Retirement Guide ebook edition and I
- 23:52thought it was a really fascinating thread.
- 23:54I found so much value out of it. We're going to cover that.
- 23:58Then also breaking news, this is the block.
- 24:02The headline is Russia seen as the largest Bitcoin mining
- 24:06beneficiary. If Trump's hit, if Trump's
- 24:10tariffs hit in full. Now, what's really interesting
- 24:13about that, again, is the game theory, right?
- 24:16Something that we've been talking a lot about on simply
- 24:18Bitcoin. What is the game theory?
- 24:20The game theory is simple. You know, if a company, if a
- 24:24country bans Bitcoin or a country becomes hostile towards
- 24:28Bitcoin, or if a country does something stupid, you know,
- 24:31politically, whatever, it creates an opportunity for
- 24:34another jurisdiction to step in and say, hey, you know what,
- 24:37we'll take your hash rate. You know, what if if it becomes
- 24:41expensive to ship miners into United States because of the
- 24:45tariffs, we're just going to go to another jurisdiction where
- 24:48it's cheaper. That's exactly what we saw
- 24:51during the China mining ban. The hash rate plummeted by 50%
- 24:55when the CCP banned Bitcoin mining within their borders
- 24:58within nine months that not only did the hash rate recover, the
- 25:02price recovered as well, right? Also Florida, unfortunately, you
- 25:06know, sorry, I apologize on behalf of my state.
- 25:09Florida withdraws strategic Bitcoin reserve bills from
- 25:12consideration. However, breaking news, we
- 25:15covered this yesterday when Frank came on the show, which
- 25:18was absolutely massive. The state of New Hampshire has
- 25:23officially become the first US state that has codified it into
- 25:28law that they're going to it's, it's a, it's legal for the state
- 25:32of New Hampshire to have a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 25:36The governor signed the bills officially into law.
- 25:39Big loss for the state of Arizona.
- 25:41It was on the governor's desk and Governor Katie Hobbs of
- 25:45Arizona vetoed the bill. So progress on the state level,
- 25:49progress on the federal level, exciting stuff.
- 25:52And then of course, our special guest today, the legend, the
- 25:55man, the myth himself. We got James from stamp seed in
- 25:59the House and we're going to be talking about some new
- 26:03interesting things coming out of stamp seed guys.
- 26:06They now have custom titanium seed plate, but James reached
- 26:12out to me yesterday. It was like Nico, what should I
- 26:14put on this on this on on this custom titanium?
- 26:17I I couldn't come up with anything because James already
- 26:20sent us the simply Bitcoin when I'm like, what do I what do I
- 26:23put on this seed plate? It's custom.
- 26:25I can put anything on this seed plate now like this is crazy.
- 26:28So we're going to be talking about all that, but James has it
- 26:30in his hand that's it James I just I just came up with the
- 26:33idea it's the new simply Bitcoin logo there we go boom boom
- 26:39anyways, guys, it's going to be a great show.
- 26:40It's going to be a great show smash that like button before we
- 26:43jump into it, I do want to give a very special shout out to
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- 28:22sell Bitcoin. Alright, everybody, let's get to
- 28:24the numbers. We have tons to talk about.
- 28:25We'll be back in just a second. I want to tell you guys about
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- 30:15properly. Don't write down your seed
- 30:17phrase on paper. Stamp it into titanium and the
- 30:21stamp seed kit will enable you to do that.
- 30:23And for anyone who's confused, yes it is.
- 30:25The kit is for you to do it and the privacy of your own home.
- 30:30They don't actually stamp the seed for you, so you do that.
- 30:34This is do it yourself and you only have to buy the kit once
- 30:37you could buy as many plates you can start collecting plates
- 30:40there's like different types of plates.
- 30:41It's pretty cool definitely awesome.
- 30:43Anyways, at the time of recording the Bitcoin price is
- 30:4696,770. We hit 97 K this morning.
- 30:50That was really nice, but 100 Ki think soon.
- 30:54I think soon. I think it's going to happen
- 30:55soon. If not, I blame Opti Block
- 30:57height 895,681 market cap 1.92 trillion sats per dollar 1033
- 31:06Bitcoin versus gold market cap 8.04% percentage issued 94.57%
- 31:12decline from all time high. If you buy Bitcoin right now,
- 31:14you're getting it at 11.3% discount and my favorite stat
- 31:18out of all this, the .84% inflation rate.
- 31:22Continuing to take Fiat currencies to absolute school.
- 31:24All right everybody, so I ran into this thread.
- 31:26I want to talk about it. I know you guys will absolutely
- 31:29love it and appreciate it. It is called Smitty's Bitcoin
- 31:33Retirement Guide ebook edition only here on X.
- 31:37The wait is over. You're going to want to bookmark
- 31:40this. I'm going to drop this in the
- 31:42video thread on on YouTube and on Rumble so you guys could
- 31:49check it out yourself. It is a lot of fun and
- 31:52essentially what he says without detailing the exact instructions
- 31:56on how to use the guide. This time around I will explain
- 31:59the important changes and from there please engage, share and
- 32:03enjoy. Updated model.
- 32:05This is a critical solution and I'll explain why.
- 32:08Rather than using the median 50th quantile power regression
- 32:12model as was used in the previous versions, Smitty's
- 32:17ebook uses the 5th quantile. Why statistically.
- 32:20Theoretically, this ensures that 95% of the time the desired
- 32:25annual withdrawal rate living slash spending cost will not
- 32:29need to be down adjusted due to volatility, because by
- 32:33definition only 5% of the price falls below this support line.
- 32:37See my other models. Therefore, you should only
- 32:39expect to need to to down adjust roughly once in 20 years.
- 32:44This makes this ebook version more conservative while
- 32:48maintaining realism and clearly attainability of stacking
- 32:52targets. It goes on to say I'm only
- 32:55posting these to X for now, but since in the past there has been
- 32:59so much positive engagement, I wanted to keep the overall brand
- 33:02while enhancing the styling so that it feels like an easy mini
- 33:06reader for folks comparing spending slash stacking
- 33:09scenarios for retirement. It also has high DPI now with
- 33:14nice borders, headers, slash footers, even page numbers.
- 33:18Feel free to print out and make a physical copy or choose your
- 33:21favorite scenario. It goes on to say table
- 33:25addition. I've been meaning to include
- 33:27this change for a while. Not all of us are graphic slash
- 33:30visually inclined, and indeed many of us are table slash
- 33:33spreadsheet inclined. Therefore, below the graphs I
- 33:36added easy to read. Look up tables which exactly map
- 33:40to the retirement years and current age from the graphs.
- 33:44As always, the key assumptions in the guide.
- 33:46To remember one, assume 7% annual inflation rate going
- 33:51forward. 2 taxes not accounted for tax policy is too variable
- 33:56and too liable to change in any given year Three, you're living
- 34:00to 100 or at least planning your conservative BTC spend down plan
- 34:05out to that age. So as always, flip through the
- 34:08replies in this thread and enjoy the new tool.
- 34:11So it goes on to say quote helping you develop a better
- 34:15Bitcoin stacking target for life planning.
- 34:18So the first one is 50K. So how much do you need, How
- 34:24much Bitcoin do you need to retire by age if you want to
- 34:29withdraw $50,000 a year until you're 100 years old, right?
- 34:35And it breaks it down by age. So if you're age 5 and you want
- 34:40to withdraw 50 KA year for the net until you're 100, so 95
- 34:46years, you would need 5.48 Bitcoin and.
- 34:50However, can you zoom in a little bit?
- 34:52Yeah, absolutely. So and we're going to and we're,
- 34:56this is going to, we're going to spend a little bit of time on
- 34:59this one because there's a, there's a lot of breakdowns.
- 35:01So what about age 15? So at 2025, if you want us to
- 35:07take out 50 KA year from the age 15 until the age 100, right, you
- 35:12would need 5.42 Bitcoin. What about age?
- 35:18Let's focus on the demographics of this show.
- 35:20Age 35 to 55. So if you're 35 years old and
- 35:24you want to withdraw 50 KA year starting from 2025 until you're
- 35:28100 years old, you would need 5.3 Bitcoin.
- 35:32If you're age 55, you would need 5.16 Bitcoin if you want to
- 35:38start withdrawing until you're 100.
- 35:40However, I know I know what a lot of you guys are saying,
- 35:43especially if you guys are part of the new classes.
- 35:46It's a lot of Bitcoin. I don't have that type of
- 35:47Bitcoin. What are you talking about Nico?
- 35:48You're making me feel bad. It gets better because by the
- 35:52year 2035 S exactly 10 years from now, check this out.
- 35:56If between the ages of 35 and 55, you would need roughly 1.2
- 36:03to 1.07 Bitcoin if you want to withdraw 50 KA year until you're
- 36:10100 years old, just one Bitcoin. Now what if you want to withdraw
- 36:15100 KA year, right? And it changes the numbers.
- 36:18So let's focus on the demographics of this show.
- 36:21Age 35 to 55. If you want to take out $100,000
- 36:26a year from age 35 to 100, you would need and not run out of
- 36:31money. And again, this is very
- 36:33conservative. You would need 10.6 Bitcoin.
- 36:37If you're age 55, you would need 10.33 Bitcoin.
- 36:41That's this year. How about the year 2035?
- 36:44Well, in 2035, ten years from now, you would need 2.4 Bitcoin.
- 36:49And if you're 55, you need 2.14 Bitcoin.
- 36:52Now it gets even better as time progresses.
- 36:55What about the year 2045? Well, you would only need 1.07
- 37:01Bitcoin if you're 35 and you would need .81 Bitcoin if you're
- 37:0755 and it just gets you know, the the quantities just get
- 37:12smaller and smaller as time goes by, right?
- 37:15If you want to live the big baller lifestyle, I'm going to
- 37:17end it at at this one and you want to withdraw because it goes
- 37:21by the by by numbers. And I highly suggest you guys go
- 37:24through this SO250K year 300K year 350 K400 K450K.
- 37:29But you want to, you want to live like Michael Saylor, you
- 37:31want to, you want to spend $1 million a year.
- 37:35So you would need roughly at age 35105 Bitcoin if you want to
- 37:40start living that big baller lifestyle at, at the in the year
- 37:442025 and you want to withdraw $1 million a year and not run out
- 37:49of essentially money by the time you turn 100.
- 37:52If you're age 55, you need 103 Bitcoin.
- 37:56However, by the year 2035, look at how much these things change.
- 38:00You would only need 24 Bitcoin, 24 Bitcoin if you're age 35 and
- 38:06you want to withdraw $1 million for the rest of your life until
- 38:09you until the age of 100. If you're 55, you would need
- 38:13even less. You need 21 Bitcoin 10 years
- 38:17from now, and if you want to wait till the year 2045, it gets
- 38:20even smaller than that. 10.75 Bitcoin, 10.75 Bitcoin year
- 38:27212045. You'd be able to withdraw $1
- 38:31million a year. I thought this was absolutely
- 38:33fascinating, really, really interesting.
- 38:35And it breaks it down by income. SO50 KA year 100 KA year 150 KA
- 38:41year 200 KA year 200 KA year 250 KA year 300 KA year 350 KA year
- 38:46400K. And it breaks it down by age.
- 38:48It even goes to age 5 and it goes all the way up to age 75
- 38:52and it just breaks it down. Really, really interesting.
- 38:56Like I said, I put it in the live chat.
- 38:58I'm going to put it in the video description as well for you guys
- 39:01so you guys could tap into it. You guys could plug it in, you
- 39:04know, depending on your financial situation.
- 39:08But anyways I want to get James thoughts on this and and then
- 39:13opties. Yeah, man, I think that's
- 39:16awesome. It kind of reminds me of those
- 39:18days, like looking at the four O 1K with the safe harbor plans,
- 39:21with the target retirement ages that they always put up there.
- 39:24You know, how much you would have to invest to get, you know,
- 39:26$800 a week when you retire, whatever, like the low amounts
- 39:29are. So it's kind of cool to look at
- 39:31it this way and project, you know, what you could be making
- 39:35monthly, weekly, annually based on that retirement age.
- 39:39It's pretty cool and it seems like, I mean it's, it's, you
- 39:43know, if you look at a conservative like level of it,
- 39:45it's very attainable. I mean for less than one
- 39:47Bitcoin, if you plan on retiring in the other next 20 years, you
- 39:50could pull out 50,000 a year and have that as you know, if if
- 39:53you've been very bearish lately or late to Bitcoin, like still
- 39:56works very well and you know like.
- 40:01Not to be like morbid, but most people aren't living to 100,
- 40:03right? So like it would probably be
- 40:05even easier to acquire that, you know, 50,000 a year, maybe you
- 40:09do 75,000 a year because you're, you know, going to lift to 75 or
- 40:1285 or something like that. So it's pretty interesting way
- 40:16to look at things as Bitcoiners, we always think of the future
- 40:18and look into the future. So it's nice to have something
- 40:22here that you kind of use as a worksheet and play around with
- 40:24the what ifs and what should I be acquiring on a daily basis to
- 40:29retire at this age? It's a very good worksheet that,
- 40:31you know, old Bitcoiners should have, especially, you know, new
- 40:34people coming in who are looking for a different retirement plan
- 40:37other than a four O 1K or, you know, trying to keep up with the
- 40:42day trader of the world, you know, So yeah, pretty cool.
- 40:46And at the end of the day, right, you're holding Bitcoin
- 40:48for this long. Make sure you have your, you
- 40:50know, private keys and self custody.
- 40:52You're stamping your seat phrase into titanium, so it's there.
- 40:55It'll be able to last longer than 100 years.
- 40:57So you want to make sure you have your Bitcoin there with
- 40:59you. Yeah.
- 41:01Really fascinating chart here. I'm going to bookmark this one.
- 41:05Thanks sweetie. Yeah, it, it's, it's super cool.
- 41:08I love, I love how he put it together.
- 41:11I I want to ask Opti, Opti what what what do you think, dude?
- 41:16What do you think about all those numbers?
- 41:18It, it, it's it, you know, initially 2020 like let's let's
- 41:22stick to the the 100K right, like the 100 KA year, you know,
- 41:27again, like especially guys, if you, you just got into Bitcoin,
- 41:31the lot this, you know, the last couple of years, you know, 10
- 41:34bitcoins extremely unattainable for 99% of people.
- 41:39It looks depressing, right? But as time goes by, it's not
- 41:43doesn't look depressing at all, right?
- 41:46By the year 20502045, you'll need literally you'll need at
- 41:51least one Bitcoin and you could be able to pull out $100,000 a
- 41:55year. And this is adjusted for
- 41:57inflation, by the way. So this is taking to account 7%
- 42:01inflation. Someone in the chat says this
- 42:03doesn't account for hyper bitcoinization.
- 42:06Who wants to withdraw Fiat? This is very, very true, very,
- 42:09very astute comment. Thomas Martinez says, yo, let's
- 42:13all retire anyways, Opti. What are your thoughts on this
- 42:17brother? Well, first of all, I, I feel
- 42:20like I have to do my PSA every time about retirement just
- 42:23because I fundamentally don't really believe in retirement.
- 42:26I, I do get the idea of, you know, when you get older, you
- 42:29probably don't want to be working like, you know, a dead
- 42:31end job or working at McDonald's.
- 42:33But I'm reminded of this quote that my friend has on this piece
- 42:36of art at his house and it says it's now Albert Camus Camus
- 42:41quote, Albert Camus quote. And it says one must imagine
- 42:45Sisyphus happy. And I absolutely love that, that
- 42:48when I first heard it and essentially for those people
- 42:51that don't assist the guy that pushed the rock up the hill.
- 42:53And it kind of goes into like, it's the journey and the
- 42:55process. And again, I've said this
- 42:57multiple times on the show about retirement that a lot of my
- 43:00dad's friends, when they retire, I've seen them go downhill very
- 43:03quickly. So you want to be doing
- 43:05something. And I, I'm, but when I, when we
- 43:07do talk about this retirement thing and it's a, it's a huge
- 43:09trend, not even just in Bitcoin, but in just like financial
- 43:13social media, you know, financial content.
- 43:15It's just this idea of like quitting your job and doing
- 43:18something that you don't like so you can focus on something you
- 43:20do like. And so in in that spirit, I
- 43:24really do like this new data here, this new graph.
- 43:27And I wonder if there's like a way that people can kind of use
- 43:30that chart and type in their own things, like if it's open source
- 43:33or whatever, like that would be pretty cool.
- 43:35So people can type in their own things.
- 43:37But the point remains the same. We've done multiple different
- 43:40ways of trying to calculate how much Bitcoin you actually need
- 43:44to, you know, quote, UN quote retire or what are some good
- 43:46attainable stacking goals here Because we we all know like the
- 43:51name of the game is trying to accumulate as much Bitcoin as
- 43:53humanly possible. Like you want to try to always
- 43:56get as much Bitcoin as possible. That's always the MO.
- 43:59Just try to get as much. We are playing Pac-Man, we're
- 44:01playing hungry Hippo. You want to set up your life in
- 44:04a way where you can acquire or rather save in Bitcoin for as
- 44:07long as humanly possible. And that usually means having a
- 44:10business with some kind of cash flow or having a job that pays
- 44:13you well, having a skill so that you can always continue to save
- 44:17in Bitcoin. But we've used a bunch of
- 44:21different calculators and of course, none of us know where
- 44:24the Bitcoin price is going. We don't really have an idea.
- 44:27All we know it's going up and to the right.
- 44:28And you can kind of just base you how much Bitcoin you need on
- 44:32the past and the games we've seen and kind of hypotheticals
- 44:35of what we think it's going. But I do like this new graph
- 44:39here because it does show something and it's something
- 44:41I've been saying on the show a lot when we do these how much
- 44:44Bitcoin do you need to retire videos.
- 44:47And when we first started, Nico, I think it was like 100 or 21 or
- 44:51whatever it was. I, I forget what the number, but
- 44:53it was multiple. It was double digits minimum
- 44:56Bitcoin that you need to retire. And now with this new data, it
- 45:00shows you what I've been saying forever.
- 45:03You don't need as much Bitcoin probably as you think you do to
- 45:06retire in the future. Obviously it is dependent on
- 45:09what you, what kind of life you want to live.
- 45:11But I'm, I'm just fundamentally convinced that if Bitcoin does
- 45:14what we think it does, Bitcoin is barely under 2.
- 45:18You know, it's right under $2 trillion market cap.
- 45:20If we kind of, you know, factor everything in and we, you know,
- 45:25guesstimate of where we think the total market cap of Bitcoin
- 45:28is going in our lifetime, you can say that it's going to, you
- 45:32know, multiple hundreds of trillion dollars for market cap.
- 45:35SO100X, maybe you can say 250X etcetera.
- 45:39Like Bitcoin is going for the total pie here.
- 45:42And with that in mind, it just shows you that you probably need
- 45:46less Bitcoin than you want. Of course, this isn't like
- 45:50telling you to be complacent and not stacking as much Bitcoin as
- 45:53possible. It just goes to show that if
- 45:56Bitcoin, or rather when Bitcoin becomes the global money, the
- 46:01the one true money, the perfect money that everyone in the world
- 46:04taps into and uses as a medium of exchange, a unit of account
- 46:08and store value. The Bitcoin you hold today will
- 46:11be an incredible amount of wealth moving forward.
- 46:15And you probably need less Bitcoin than than the number you
- 46:18have in your mind. And so, so you know, when I
- 46:21first got into Bitcoin, it was the 1,000,000 club.
- 46:23Everyone's like get to 21 Bitcoin.
- 46:25And then our boy American Huddle came out and said, you know, get
- 46:286.15. And as these new eras come
- 46:31around and the number, the price per Bitcoin goes higher, you're
- 46:35starting to see that the amount that people perceive to be
- 46:39attainable just drops drastically.
- 46:42And I think this is the take away here that just acquire as
- 46:46much Bitcoin as you can. Do not feel like you should feel
- 46:49ashamed of how much Bitcoin you have because you're already
- 46:52ahead of the game. As long as you are saving in
- 46:54Bitcoin, I'm convinced you're going to be good moving forward.
- 46:58So just keep stacking. Maybe you know retirement or or
- 47:02you know, living by the beach or whatever your your white picket
- 47:05dream fence you know dreams are. I think it's attainable, but
- 47:10only if you're saving in Bitcoin.
- 47:12Only if you understand what Bitcoin is.
- 47:14Only if you understand how to store it long term.
- 47:17The point remains the same as long as you're saving in
- 47:20Bitcoin, you'll probably need less Bitcoin than you imagined
- 47:24today. And that's kind of falling back
- 47:27into like we, we overestimate what happens in two years and we
- 47:30underestimate what happens in 10 years.
- 47:32I'm convinced in 10 years bitcoins going to be huge in
- 47:35terms of market cap. And I'm sure if everyone just
- 47:38double s down, grinds it out, you're going to be living a good
- 47:42life. Now this is a good chart.
- 47:43I I like this new, this new data here because it does make this
- 47:47seem a lot more attainable than just being like, Oh yeah, based
- 47:50on these old charts, you need like 100 Bitcoin, bro, or you're
- 47:52going to be a brokie for the rest of your life.
- 47:54And this one's like, you know, get a couple coins, You'll be
- 47:57all right, you know, like get half a coin.
- 47:59You'll probably be all right by the time you're 50 or the time
- 48:02you hit your, you know, the official retirement age.
- 48:04Like, you probably need less Bitcoin than we even imagined.
- 48:08But you know, play Pac-Man, acquire as much Bitcoin as
- 48:11possible. We are playing Sonic the
- 48:13Hedgehog here. You know, get as much Bitcoin as
- 48:15possible. Absolutely right.
- 48:17Do you want to give a shout out to the live stream Broke a 500
- 48:20live viewers on YouTube. Smash the like button if you
- 48:23guys are enjoying the show 70 live viewers on Rumble and
- 48:27roughly 1300 of you guys watching live on X.
- 48:30If you guys are enjoying the show so far, smash that like
- 48:33button. Head over to stampse-ed.com
- 48:35today. Get yourself a stamp seed kit.
- 48:37Use promo code simply 15% off store your generation of wealth
- 48:41properly. Guys, we still have lots to
- 48:44uncover, lots to cover and uncover on the new segment.
- 48:48We're going to be talking about Russia, the tariffs, mining,
- 48:52we're talking about Florida. Come on, Florida, what's
- 48:54happening might have to move to New Hampshire.
- 48:56I don't think so, but it seems like New Hampshire is is 1st to
- 49:021st to it with passing a strategic Bitcoin reserve bill.
- 49:06The state of New Hampshire, Florida seems like it just
- 49:09doesn't not into it, not into it.
- 49:11And then during the culture segment, we're going to be
- 49:13talking about the stamp seed kit.
- 49:15So ladies and gentlemen, we will be right back in just a second.
- 49:19I want to give a shout out to our sponsor, Casa.
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- 50:37screen and NFC support, making air gaps signing easier than
- 50:41ever. It's built for power users who
- 50:43want the ultimate security without sacrificing usability.
- 50:47And if you're looking for a battle tested on compromising
- 50:51cold storage, the Cold Card MK4 is your go to.
- 50:55With PSBT signing an industrial grade secure element and USBC,
- 51:00it's the perfect blend of security and convenience.
- 51:03Both devices are, of course, 100% Bitcoin only open source
- 51:08and built by Bitcoiners for Bitcoiners.
- 51:11Secure your Bitcoin the right way with the cold card queue and
- 51:15the MK4. Head over to coldcard.com today
- 51:18and use promo code simply to get 5% off anything on the store.
- 51:23All right everybody, we are back and Opti is holding the cold
- 51:31card queue in his hand. It's it's absolutely it's
- 51:34gorgeous, it's beautiful, it's the best harder wallet in the
- 51:37game. And if you use promo code simply
- 51:39you get 5% off, not Opti, but the cold card queue.
- 51:42And you could also go check out the MK4.
- 51:45But it doesn't matter what hardware wallet you use, because
- 51:49if you don't store your seed phrase properly, it doesn't
- 51:52matter because if you use your hardware wallet, you won't be
- 51:54able to recover it. Which is why you should get
- 51:57yourself a stamp seed kit ASMR. Cringe, super cringe.
- 52:03Oh, look, look, I'm Alfalfa anyways, All right, everybody.
- 52:07So let's talk about, I think we're, let's talk about Florida
- 52:131st. And I don't know what's going on
- 52:15with Florida, but Florida withdraws strategic Bitcoin
- 52:19Reserve bills from consideration.
- 52:22Florida has withdrawn 2 bills related to the creation of a
- 52:25state level strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
- 52:28House Bill 487 and Senate Bill 550 have been indefinitely
- 52:32postponed and withdrawn from consideration.
- 52:36Florida joins numerous other states such as Wyoming, PA, and
- 52:40Oklahoma, which have seen bills related to BTC investments fail
- 52:43to clear the legislative process.
- 52:46Florida has withdrawn 2 bills related to the creation of a
- 52:48state level strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
- 52:51Bill 487 and Senate Bill 550 have been indefinitely postponed
- 52:55and withdraw from consideration, according to the state Senate
- 52:58website. The two bills, which were both
- 53:00filled in filed in February, sought to allow investment of
- 53:05public funds in BTC. Florida joins numerous.
- 53:08I already said that part, but you guys get the get the gist of
- 53:11it. The most advanced state level
- 53:13process to establish a BTC reserve bill was Arizona, but
- 53:17Governor Katie Hobbs vetoed it. But breaking news, we broke it
- 53:20on yesterday's show. The state of New Hampshire has
- 53:25codified it into law. Moving on to Russia and then I
- 53:28want to get Opti and James thoughts on this.
- 53:30Russia seen as largest Bitcoin mining beneficiary if Trump
- 53:35Trump's tariffs hit in full, industry experts says He goes on
- 53:40to say despite President Trump's embrace of crypto and desire to
- 53:44make the USA. Quote Bitcoin mining powerhouse
- 53:48companies in the industry have been rushing to adjust their
- 53:50short and long term plans in an attempt to weather the impact of
- 53:54the president's tariff policies, with Russia potentially the main
- 53:58beneficiary. Trump's tariff announcement hit
- 54:01both traditional and crypto markets hard between February
- 54:05and early April, especially following quote Liberation Day
- 54:09when he laid out reciprocal import import tariffs with a
- 54:12baseline of 10% and more than 50% In such cases.
- 54:17However, a 90%. A 90 day tariff pause for most
- 54:21countries except China subsequently offered some relief
- 54:25that has continued into May. The trouble is most Bitcoin
- 54:29mining hardware is still designed outside of the US.
- 54:32The industry has long been dominated by Ant Miner, a
- 54:36product line of China based bit Maine with over 80% of market
- 54:40share. Therefore, raising import
- 54:42tariffs on the required equipment severely impacts the
- 54:45industry's bottom line and the share of prices of publicly
- 54:49listed Bitcoin mining firms in the country.
- 54:52The current environment is perhaps exemplified by riot
- 54:56platforms selling Bitcoin for the first time in 15 months this
- 54:59April to help finance operations, a break from its
- 55:03typical huddle strategy and rising costs.
- 55:06It goes on to say, quote, as of today, we are facing a a 12.6%
- 55:11tariff from units shipping from Asia to the US.
- 55:15Quote, we expected this to increase in July from 26 to 38%
- 55:19depending on the country of origin.
- 55:21There is, of course, a chance that these tariffs are
- 55:24renegotiated ahead of the 90 day pause.
- 55:28I mean, this is the awesome part of Bitcoin, right?
- 55:32Even with orange man President Trump going in there and having
- 55:38these, these tariffs that could potentially affect the Bitcoin
- 55:42mining industry, it, it just creates an opportunity for a
- 55:46more favorable jurisdiction and Russia swooping in and saying,
- 55:50hey, you know what, if you're making it difficult for miners
- 55:53there, you know, we'll take your business and you know, we'll
- 55:56enrich the Russian people or the country of Russia, right?
- 56:00You know, the, the same thing happened with the China mining
- 56:02ban, the infamous China mining ban.
- 56:05The CCP banned Bitcoin mining within their borders. 80% of the
- 56:09hash rate was there at the time. The hash rate dropped by like
- 56:135060% and all that hash moved to the United States and moved to
- 56:18Kazakhstan and moved to more favorable jurisdictions and it
- 56:22decentralized the Bitcoin hash rate in the process.
- 56:25I'm not a big fan of all this hash rate located in one country
- 56:30located in the US. This is actually a question that
- 56:32Frank asked Howard Lupnik, Secretary of Commerce, when he
- 56:38did his interview with him at the White House.
- 56:41And, you know, and this is a this is a concern like you as a
- 56:45Bitcoiner, you want the hash rate decentralized, right?
- 56:48But it's it's very fascinating to see the game theory play out,
- 56:52right? If one country, you know,
- 56:54figuratively shits the bed from a regulatory perspective, you
- 56:59know, from a commerce perspective, that creates the
- 57:01opportunity for another country to swoop in and say, hey, you
- 57:04know what? Bitcoin miners will take your
- 57:06business, bro. And it seems like Russia, which
- 57:09has a tremendous amount of energy, is saying, hey, you know
- 57:14what, we might benefit from this, right?
- 57:16Even China might look at this as an opportunity.
- 57:19I'm, I'm, I'm saying that even China might see this as an
- 57:22opportunity to potentially attract Bitcoin miners back to
- 57:25China, you know, since they shot the bed so hard.
- 57:29Anyways, Opti, you want to get your thoughts then James, and
- 57:31then move on to the culture segment.
- 57:33Talk about stamp. Seed.
- 57:35Yeah, well, obviously as much as I like the rhetoric of like make
- 57:41Bitcoin in America, like I just think it's funny.
- 57:43I I think I have a hat over here.
- 57:44Hold on. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I have the the
- 57:48sense amount, you know, make Bitcoin in America hat.
- 57:51Like it's just funny to me. You know, we have the the
- 57:54Bitcoin Magazine, I forget what their hats were, but Made in
- 57:59America Bitcoin or something, something like that.
- 58:01Make Bitcoin great again. Yeah, Oh yeah, they have that it
- 58:03don't really. Make sense?
- 58:06Like as much as I like the rhetoric and it's just funny to
- 58:10me. Like I it's just kind of like a
- 58:11a mega troll. I agree with Nico and saying the
- 58:16idea of like having or even we kind of talked about it
- 58:19yesterday with Frank about Howard Lightnick going out here
- 58:22and saying like we want to mine all of the Bitcoin.
- 58:24You know, we want to incentivize that the Bitcoin mining industry
- 58:28in America is one of the biggest ones in the world.
- 58:30And we had Trump go out there and be like, you know, we're
- 58:32going to mine all of the Bitcoin left in America.
- 58:35You know, as much as this is just like funny sound bites and
- 58:38it's just incredible that we've gotten to this point where the
- 58:40politicians are talking about it.
- 58:42I want to see the hash rate as decentralized as possible and
- 58:46every jurisdiction is possible because that makes Bitcoin anti
- 58:49fragile and not susceptible to anyone jurisdiction.
- 58:52So look, as much as I'm just as confused as anyone, what's going
- 58:57on with all these tariffs? Sometimes they're on, sometimes
- 58:59they're off. You know, like there's a 90 day
- 59:01pause on some people and now you there was like a 246% tariff on
- 59:07China and now they're in trade talks.
- 59:10No one has really any idea. I'm sure even the Trump
- 59:13administration has no idea what they're going to be doing with
- 59:15these tariffs. But we are seeing, and I have
- 59:17been talking with some Bitcoiner miners and you guys seen it on
- 59:20the show as well. There are, you know, a lot of
- 59:23concerns in the supply chains of getting ASICS into the US.
- 59:27And so this is the geopolitical game theory playing out in real
- 59:31time that, hey, if the US does something like these tariffs and
- 59:36trade wars and it hurts Bitcoin miners to get six in the US
- 59:40because it costs more, other jurisdictions are going to scoop
- 59:43those up. And so is this a bad thing, a
- 59:46good thing? It depends who you're asking.
- 59:48I think if you're asking the Trump administration, they'll
- 59:50say this is a bad thing. I think if you ask, you know,
- 59:53anyone else that's maybe a little farther on the left of
- 59:56that spectrum, they probably have no clue what we're even
- 59:58talking about. But if you're asking Bitcoiners,
- 1:00:01I'm like, this is kind of a good thing.
- 1:00:03You know, maybe you're anti Russia here and you you don't
- 1:00:07like them, but this is what happened.
- 1:00:09When jurisdictions don't treat trade favorably and they add
- 1:00:14tariffs and they block stuff coming from China, you know,
- 1:00:18ASICS are going to get distributed around the world.
- 1:00:20And I'm kind of all for that. So, you know, on that note, this
- 1:00:23might be a good thing. I, I really have no input on
- 1:00:27like Russia in general because I'm, I'm not Russian.
- 1:00:30I don't know anyone out there. It's hard to get information on
- 1:00:32what's actually happening there. But if this is the case, this is
- 1:00:35probably going to be good for the, the Geo, you know, the, the
- 1:00:39distribution of hash rate around the world.
- 1:00:42So kind of cool with this. Now the Florida news, though, I
- 1:00:45do want to kind of touch on that, bro.
- 1:00:47We're seeing all the states just shoot themselves in the foot
- 1:00:50here like. Fantastic.
- 1:00:51Metaphorically, of course. Metaphorically, yeah, bro,
- 1:00:56that's not good for optics. Sheesh.
- 1:01:00They should all be embracing Bitcoin like at at this point.
- 1:01:03I mean, obviously. And then I'm getting the other
- 1:01:05side of the coin like, oh, Opti's for the state adoption of
- 1:01:08Bitcoin. It's like, no, if they are smart
- 1:01:11and they are looking at the playing field honestly, and it's
- 1:01:16very, it's very clear that Bitcoin is the best performing
- 1:01:19thing to put your wealth in. And if you're trying to maintain
- 1:01:21that wealth, you probably should be buying Bitcoin.
- 1:01:24So, you know, New Hampshire is way ahead of the game.
- 1:01:27And I'm sure those people are going to be happy in five to 10
- 1:01:30years because they'll probably be one of the richer states in
- 1:01:33America and everyone else, we're just going to have fun staying
- 1:01:36poor. Or also someone said, you know,
- 1:01:38fiat's going to be dead in 10 years.
- 1:01:39So we'll see. We'll see what happens.
- 1:01:42Absolutely. James, quit.
- 1:01:44You have some thoughts? Yeah, I mean the tariffs
- 1:01:47obviously affecting, you know, multiple areas of more than just
- 1:01:50mining, but you know, focusing in on that.
- 1:01:52I guess ultimately it comes down to whatever country is the
- 1:01:55cheapest country to live in to import new ASIC said hash trade
- 1:01:58will trend upwards in that country.
- 1:02:00But I don't know, I think like over like Asic's are already
- 1:02:04kind of where they are right now.
- 1:02:05We're not going to start sending them out of the country.
- 1:02:07And I think like over time, like if anything, it's like a
- 1:02:10temporary thing where, you know, mining moves out of the US, we
- 1:02:14could have more mining being like created in the US and
- 1:02:16imported out. I think that's the whole idea of
- 1:02:18the tariffs, right, to to create more within the country.
- 1:02:21So I don't think it's a real issue.
- 1:02:22And ultimately, I think over time, hash rate probably trends
- 1:02:28to open source solo mining at home.
- 1:02:31You see a lot more people doing that now.
- 1:02:32I think that's only going to grow in the future.
- 1:02:34So, you know, hopefully home miners can start to take a
- 1:02:37bigger piece of the pie globally where that doesn't even matter.
- 1:02:41Absolutely absolutely all right, everybody, before we move on, I
- 1:02:44do give a shout out to the limited edition simply Bitcoin
- 1:02:47merch. Get yours while supplies last.
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- 1:03:20Get your Simply Bitcoin hoodie and merch while supplies last.
- 1:03:26All right, everybody, let's move on to the culture segment.
- 1:03:28We're going to talk all things stamp seed.
- 1:03:30We'll be back in just a second. I want to give a shout out to
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- 1:05:34All right, everybody, we are back and we got some of the show
- 1:05:38you guys. That's right.
- 1:05:41There's custom plates right now on stampse-ed.com.
- 1:05:45So let's break down the full set first.
- 1:05:48No, let's, let's, let's focus on the custom plates and then
- 1:05:52we'll, we'll break down the full set.
- 1:05:53So essentially the way the stamp seed, the stamp seed works right
- 1:05:57is you got yourself the kit, it comes with the hammer, the
- 1:06:00letter stamping tools, the anvil, and then you literally
- 1:06:03hammer your seed phrase into the plates, right?
- 1:06:08So this got different, different plates.
- 1:06:10There's a simply Bitcoin plate. You know, you got some, some
- 1:06:14custom things, but now you have the ability to order custom
- 1:06:19plates on the stamp se-ed.com store.
- 1:06:22So if you want to put a custom design, you can upload a Word
- 1:06:25document and Adobe PDF, upload the template and then our
- 1:06:30friends over at Stamp Seed will mate will make the custom plate
- 1:06:35for you guys for the cheap price of 48 dollars.
- 1:06:39This is pure titanium. This will stand the test of
- 1:06:42time. They dumped it in salt water for
- 1:06:45multiple days, I think, and it survived, which is absolutely
- 1:06:49crazy. They've they've put it through a
- 1:06:51blowtorch. They put it in a in a stamping
- 1:06:54machine and you know, James tried to bite it and he broke
- 1:06:59his teeth and he had to get teeth replacements.
- 1:07:03You know, Opti hit it with his car and the the plate survived.
- 1:07:07OK, This thing is, this thing's unbreakable.
- 1:07:10It's just titanium. They build rockets out of this.
- 1:07:13This is the proper way to secure your generational wealth.
- 1:07:16Opti, could you show the full, the full kit for anyone who is
- 1:07:21unfamiliar with the stamp seed? So essentially the kit comes
- 1:07:25with, with a, a, a special hammer.
- 1:07:29The hammer is made of copper. So when you punch the letters
- 1:07:34into the plate, the hammer doesn't just bounce back and
- 1:07:39potentially hit you in the face. It actually makes an indent into
- 1:07:42the copper so that the letter makes a really good impression
- 1:07:46into the titanium plate. Obviously comes with the anvil.
- 1:07:49It comes with this, this, this cool thing that essentially
- 1:07:53allows you to line up the the the the plate with, you know,
- 1:07:58with so that you make sure that the letters go in the right
- 1:08:02place. So you only have to buy the kit
- 1:08:04once. What you can buy multiple times
- 1:08:08are the the are the seed plates, right?
- 1:08:11So it's really, really cool. You buy the kit once you have it
- 1:08:15for life. And then you want to get more
- 1:08:17seed plates. You can just do that.
- 1:08:20You want a non custom edition, $28.00.
- 1:08:23You want a custom edition you $48 you can upload whatever
- 1:08:28image you want and of course they have special editions of
- 1:08:31all these different designs you know and of course get yours
- 1:08:34while supplies last right We got a cyber Hornet they got Infinity
- 1:08:39divided by 21 million. You know, you guys have seen the
- 1:08:42simply Bitcoin edition. It's really, really cool guys.
- 1:08:46Get yourself a stamp seed kit, store your seed words properly
- 1:08:50and our boy James here is the man.
- 1:08:53Anyways, James, you have any any additions?
- 1:08:55Any any thoughts? Yeah, so like with the custom
- 1:08:58plates, really cool, like new sector we have and you know,
- 1:09:01you're, you're basically uploading anything you want
- 1:09:04virtually onto the back of that plate.
- 1:09:06So you're still stamping your seed words on the other side
- 1:09:08yourself. Yeah, we put a little note there
- 1:09:11for anyone. We don't want anyone sending us
- 1:09:13their seed words. You know, there's a lot of new
- 1:09:14coiners out there and people are just new to the game.
- 1:09:16We don't want them thinking this is a custom seed company.
- 1:09:19There was actually a company on Etsy that was doing that.
- 1:09:21They were saying give us your seed words and we'll personalize
- 1:09:24it for you and put it on metal and send them back.
- 1:09:27So it's a little scary that that's happening.
- 1:09:29Scammers everywhere, right? But yeah, the custom plates are
- 1:09:32here. Yeah, get get yours done.
- 1:09:35Right. And for anyone just to add on to
- 1:09:38that in the stamp seat design or ours collab line of thinking,
- 1:09:43we're going to be going to Vegas for the Bitcoin conference
- 1:09:45coming up at the end of the month.
- 1:09:47We have some really cool collabs that are going to be released at
- 1:09:50the conference. One specific to the Bitcoin
- 1:09:53conference in Vegas that we collab with.
- 1:09:54And the other one is with the Bitcoin Rs and the space.
- 1:09:57That's a three pack and it's limited to 21 sets.
- 1:10:00So we're going to be dropping those in Vegas.
- 1:10:02And if there's nothing left, we're going to list them on the
- 1:10:03site afterwards. And yeah, I just as far as the
- 1:10:07salt water test goes, we tested the Titania plate.
- 1:10:10Solar is actually for a whole year.
- 1:10:12We had it in the in the water on Long Island getting hit with
- 1:10:16salt from August 2023 to 2024. There weren't any issues with
- 1:10:22the plate at all. We ended up taking it out.
- 1:10:24It was covered with, you know, just like stuff from the sea,
- 1:10:27seaweed, barnacles, things like that.
- 1:10:29We brushed off after things clean as a whistle.
- 1:10:32We're always just testing these things out, making sure that
- 1:10:34they withstand, you know, these house fires mainly, but anything
- 1:10:39else that they they could have, you know, if it's in a basement
- 1:10:41moist environment, you don't want these things getting rusted
- 1:10:43or corroded any way whatsoever. Luckily, titanium is a material,
- 1:10:47you know, where that won't happen with.
- 1:10:50So yeah, we're going to keep testing things out, making sure,
- 1:10:53you know, all works well there and get your custom plates.
- 1:10:57If you're going to Vegas, we have some really cool things
- 1:10:59that we're going to drop there, so make sure to stop by the
- 1:11:02booth, come check it out. Hey James I I actually have a
- 1:11:05question on these custom seed plates, like how intricate can
- 1:11:08the the art be on these plates? Is there like can it be super
- 1:11:13intricate or did they kind of have to be like basic design?
- 1:11:17It, it can get pretty intricate. The only problem is when you're
- 1:11:20dealing with like multi colored designs, it might not translate
- 1:11:23well with this. It's really you want black and
- 1:11:25white. So it it might be limited by
- 1:11:28that. We are working on getting more
- 1:11:30color to work with the laser, but that just takes a little bit
- 1:11:33of time and a little more R&D. So when and on the templates
- 1:11:36that we have on the site, we have all the instructions and
- 1:11:38rules there. So everyone's set up for success
- 1:11:41with the upload, but you can get pretty advanced with it like and
- 1:11:43you get very fine detail with it lettering fine lines.
- 1:11:47So you can try to push it as far as you can get where we're kind
- 1:11:51of we test out a bunch of things to begin with and we are taking
- 1:11:54orders in case by case. We haven't had any hiccups yet
- 1:11:58where we weren't able to produce the design.
- 1:12:00So maybe as time goes on and we start to learn a little bit more
- 1:12:02of what this machine could do and what we're able to produce.
- 1:12:05So we could, you know, change things up.
- 1:12:07But for now, we could take any order in.
- 1:12:10So, so far so good. You know, if there's memes that
- 1:12:13people want to put on the back, we could probably put certain
- 1:12:14memes. You could put a picture of
- 1:12:17Michael Saylor scowling at you when you're getting ready to
- 1:12:20thinking about selling your Bitcoin or moving it or
- 1:12:22something like that. You can really put anything
- 1:12:24there. We've seen people also do things
- 1:12:26for multi stick setups where they're putting something on the
- 1:12:30custom part of the plate that helps identify the multi stick
- 1:12:35setup or who owns that particular plate.
- 1:12:37You see block numbers on plates. That's the thing that a lot of
- 1:12:40people are doing for some reason.
- 1:12:42Yeah. Just just cool little things
- 1:12:44like that. Oh yeah, so custom plates now
- 1:12:47available. I'm going to make Opti full
- 1:12:48screen, so you guys could take a screenshot.
- 1:12:51If you want Opti on your plate for whatever whatever reason,
- 1:12:56you could take a screenshot right now and.
- 1:13:00Do a whole basic setup. With Opti, can opti?
- 1:13:03Can you smile? Can you smile Opti?
- 1:13:06No, it can't. So it take a screenshot right
- 1:13:09now and have opti on the back of your seed phrase and every time
- 1:13:16you don't. Do that.
- 1:13:17Don't you? You look at you take a look at
- 1:13:20your seed phrase, you will have a picture of Opti in HD.
- 1:13:25So again, take a screenshot right now of Optimus Fields and
- 1:13:31you know, and yeah, anyways, guys, this is incredibly
- 1:13:35awesome. Get your custom titanium seed
- 1:13:39plate today only on stampse-ed.com.
- 1:13:42And again, if you use promo code simply, you got 15% off anything
- 1:13:47on the store. I'm already thinking of, you
- 1:13:50know, a couple things James asked me, is the Nico like, like
- 1:13:56what? Like what do you, what do you
- 1:13:57want to do with them? And now, now I know, James.
- 1:14:01Now I know now. Now I'm responding to, now I'm
- 1:14:04responding to your thing. It should be like reverse
- 1:14:07psychology, like these words mean nothing.
- 1:14:11You know, throw it away or something.
- 1:14:13Like someone, someone buys it. They're like, or if someone
- 1:14:16finds it, unless you know what it is, it'd be like this
- 1:14:18literally is nothing. This is a good idea, Yeah.
- 1:14:22It should be like, you know, if you're, if you're, if you buy
- 1:14:25something on IKEA or something and they have like an extra
- 1:14:28little piece there, it just says like IKEA product, you know,
- 1:14:3020000 or something like excess, whatever.
- 1:14:34You know, you guys know what I'm talking about.
- 1:14:36You guys should use some reverse psychology on this stuff.
- 1:14:39That's such a good idea 'cause like you could with those four
- 1:14:41holes on the plate, you could screw it into a wall and like
- 1:14:44write something on there or like put a picture of a scenery on
- 1:14:46there. Just someone thinks it's a piece
- 1:14:47of art or you know, it's like utility box.
- 1:14:50Do not enter or like, but you know, electric shock don't open
- 1:14:54or some shit like that where it's just on your wall in your
- 1:14:56garage. Could be pretty cool.
- 1:14:57Yeah, wait, Yeah, well, well, maybe we have to.
- 1:15:00Maybe guys, we could workshop some things to have like an
- 1:15:02OPSEC version of this so that it doesn't just say Bitcoin on it,
- 1:15:06'cause you know, people, people are going to be looking for your
- 1:15:08treasure, guys. You got to make sure you find
- 1:15:11ways to divert their attention here.
- 1:15:13Yeah, see, we can't put that stuff on the listing though,
- 1:15:15because then everyone knows what it looks like, right?
- 1:15:18There we go. Start to know what to look for
- 1:15:20so keeping a generic like this yeah, but you know we're we got
- 1:15:24some smart bitcoiners out there I think a lot of these guys.
- 1:15:26Are not me. Coming up with their own ideas.
- 1:15:29Absolutely well, I just want to thank James for for coming on
- 1:15:33today's show. Obviously big fan here big big
- 1:15:37fans here at simply Bitcoin of of the stamp seed fellas, This
- 1:15:41is this is a key. You need this.
- 1:15:45You need this. If you take self custody, you
- 1:15:48want to store your seed phrase properly.
- 1:15:50Again, don't write down your seed phrase on paper.
- 1:15:53I've heard horror stories. You guys remember the Los
- 1:15:56Angeles fires, right? It's a big metropolitan area no
- 1:16:00one could have imagined. You know this, you know, high
- 1:16:02net worth neighborhood essentially getting burnt to the
- 1:16:05ground, right? Imagine if you had your seed
- 1:16:08phrase in there and you wrote it down on paper.
- 1:16:11You know, it wouldn't have survived the fire, right?
- 1:16:13I live in Florida, there's lots of hurricanes, right?
- 1:16:16There's flooding all the time, right?
- 1:16:19You know, so you do want to think about that.
- 1:16:21You want to think adversarially and you want to think long term.
- 1:16:24And again, you know, there's, I think there's no better way
- 1:16:27than, you know, storing your seed phrase, then literally
- 1:16:30stamping it on titanium so it could survive the test of time.
- 1:16:34And you can pass on this generation of wealth to, you
- 1:16:38know, your, your, your grandchildren, right?
- 1:16:40And you can you this so they can live a better life.
- 1:16:43So. Hey guys.
- 1:16:44Hey Nico, before we go, there is one last question for James and
- 1:16:48I, I think it's worth saying it out loud.
- 1:16:50So someone says, do you not ship to the UK?
- 1:16:53Don't you have a official resellers or?
- 1:16:55Yeah. We, we, yeah, we, we do ship to
- 1:16:58the UK and we do have resellers in the UK.
- 1:17:00If you go to the footer on the website, there's some resellers
- 1:17:02there that you get some faster shipping and cheaper shipping
- 1:17:05too because it does go a little expensive with custom duties and
- 1:17:07all that. Yeah, so Chris, so guys, there's
- 1:17:11resellers in the UK. Go to the Stamp se-ed.com
- 1:17:14website again, use promo code simply get 15% off.
- 1:17:17Before we tune out for today's show, I do want to give a shout
- 1:17:22out to Simply Bitcoins conference sponsor Bitcoin 2025.
- 1:17:26It's coming up May 27th through the 29th.
- 1:17:29James just said he's going to be there.
- 1:17:31We're going to party. We're going to party together.
- 1:17:34We're going to, we're going to, we're going to stamp some seeds
- 1:17:37and and make some contents going to be at the Venetian Hotel in
- 1:17:40Las Vegas, the world's largest Bitcoin event.
- 1:17:43Simply Bitcoin will have a booth in the media era in the media
- 1:17:47era area and guys embrace game theory.
- 1:17:53Get get your tickets now scan the QR code use promo code
- 1:17:58simply you get 10% off your tickets to Bitcoin 2025.
- 1:18:04Again, get your tickets because the price will increase as time
- 1:18:08goes by. It's literally in 20 days.
- 1:18:11The conference is in 20 days, 20 days, ladies and gentlemen, so
- 1:18:16scan your tickets or check the link in the video description
- 1:18:20and we'll see you guys in Las Vegas, NV.
- 1:18:23Guys, we'll see you guys tomorrow for a brand new episode
- 1:18:26of Simply Bitcoin Live. Take care everybody.
- 1:18:29Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
- 1:18:32Bitcoin only platform on a mission to enable financial
- 1:18:36independence.