Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | Play-In Madness | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/15/26

Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | Play-In Madness | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/15/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Arch eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: know it's March ninth. I think who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I can possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: Doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you, toadstool Sports.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Whatever day it is, Wednesday, April fifteenth, We're on a
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: hot streak, man, it's continuing, I guess. I mean, yesterday
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: was good enough. We went to one and one on
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday, twenty two to eight and one run
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: over the last eleven days now with no losing days
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: in there. The only non winning day was a pass.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: So we're you know, it's a grind and it's it's
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: working well right now. We're gonna have losing days at
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: some point, man, but the goal is, let's have a
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: winning day every single day. I'm gonna give three plays
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: out on the show today. They're all in baseball. NHL
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: is just like we're gonna pretty much yeah, we're not
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: gonna have another NHL play until the playoffs probably, and
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: then I'm skipping the two NBA play in games tonight
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: Garrett, what's up. Yeah, we got the cover with the Heat.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: You got somewhat lucky with the win with the Hornets,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: but they did win. It'll make the playoffs more interesting,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: I suppose, Yes, sir, Hornets need to win one more
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: game to get in, though they're gonna have to beat
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: the winner of tonight's game. But the Hornets, dude, So
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: this is what I was saying yesterday. Usually the seven
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: to eight matchup is usually first, so that whoever wins
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: that game gets a rest advantage in addition to having
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: a home court. So like the seven seed, which I
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: should have mentioned yes, because we were talking about one
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: of those games yesterday, the Phoenix game. The seventh seed
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: has never missed the playoffs entirely in the ten years
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: that this has happened, and they've won the first game
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: eight times and I think they covered the spread six
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: of those times until now, of course. So now it's well,
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: we have to see what Phoenix does. That is a
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: good sign for Phoenix tomorrow. But yeah, you have the
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: rest edge you're staying at home. But that's not the
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: case here because the Flyers had a game last night.
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: So the seventy six ers, who I believe are the
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: seventh seed right now, they have to play tonight instead
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: of last night, So now the Hornets are gonna have
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: to have a rest advantage here, which is that never happens.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: It was this weird scheduling quirk, although they will have
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: to go on the road, but they get an extra
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: day off, whereas whoever wins tonight doesn't.
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: So I don't know who you want to win that game.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming you probably want Philadelphia rather than Orlando, right
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: because philadelp is not a complete team right now, So
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: I'm guessing that's what you want, but I don't know.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: Maybe you don't I mean Orlando. I don't know.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: Well, I'm gonna talk about that game at the end
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: of the show here, so let's talk about today's board man.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Most of this show is gonna be baseball. It's getaway
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: day for some of these teams, so we do have
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: some afternoon baseball because I think some of these teams
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: are traveling. After this, we have Arizona at Baltimore twelve
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: thirty five pm Eastern. These two teams are split the
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: first two games of the series. So usually when I
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: think teams are trying to win the series, they both
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: show up, and they're not really gonna be at risk
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: of looking ahead or anything like that. Like I did
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: look at the schedules to see who these teams are
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: playing next. I don't think it's really that significant, though.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I think both teams are gonna show up. Baltimore did
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: lose the game yesterday in a close game. Looking at
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: the bullpen usage from yesterday, Baltimore used four relief pitchers,
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: which is a decent amount to use, so did Arizona,
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: but the only Thompson for one pitch. However, Arizona's bullpen
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: I still don't think they're good. I mean, they're sitting
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: here at a tenth.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: In overall whip, but their era is way worse.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: Than all these teams around them. I don't think Arizona's
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: bullpen is very good. Baltimore's is ranked better anyway, and
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: both whip Andy Ray, so I'm gonna still give Baltimore
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: a bullpen edge year. There's seventh in offense as well.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: Arizona. You would think that.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: They're hitting should at least come around at some point,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: but they've been pretty bad offensively as well, bottom third,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: so Baltimore.
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: Does have the edges here.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: I think in all of those departments, at least to
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: some extent. Eduardo Rodriguez is getting the start for Arizona.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: He has been good so far point five YRRA and
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: one whip, although obviously those numbers are not sustainable.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: You dive into his numbers a little bit though.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: His strikeout rate is way down eleven strikeouts in eighteen innings.
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: That's concerning.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: I know he's only allowed one run so far, but
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: eleven to five strike out walk ratio is not exactly
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: great either. He's been He's managed to be pretty unhittable
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: though he's allowed well below one hit per inning, so
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: you got to give him credit for that. And he's
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: done that against the Dodgers, the Braves, and the Mets,
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: and all three of those teams are at least capable offenses.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: Even though the Mets have not had a good offense
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: so far this year, I think they do have a
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: lot of talent in that offense. E rod is not
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: that familiar to Baltimore. They have five hitters who've seen
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: him before, twenty six at bats against him, nine to
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: three strike out walk ratio, two thirty one batting average allowed,
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: seven to thirty three ops.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: Those are I would say, okay.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: Numbers for the most part, they're pretty good, I guess,
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: and he's pretty unfamiliar to them. So I don't know
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: that he's not gonna do well again here. I just
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: I don't love that his strike out rate is down,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: but he might do okay in this game.
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: Kyle bradishes pitching for the Orioles.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Maybe people are not gonna want to do anything with
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: him because he does have bad numbers this year right now,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: but it's a very small sample size five point two
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: seven ERA, one point six to eight whip. I think
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: he is better than that. But his walk number is terrible,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: like that's been his problem. He has well over one
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: strike up per inning, which is good. He's allowed too
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: many hits sort of, but the walks are really the
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: main concern with them.
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: Three walks in every outing so far. You can't do that, man.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: He needs to get that under control, though. I think
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: he can because if you look at his career numbers,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: they're much much better than this, So I expect him
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: to do at some point start doing better than this.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: He does have good numbers against Arizona, only in seventeen
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: at bats. They don't have that much experience against him
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: two thirty five average, allowed six to ten ops, eight
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: to two strike up walk ratio.
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: This game.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: It's very difficult to gauge too, because I can see
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: arguments for both pitchers doing well here, I can see
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: arguments for both pitchers not doing well here. Baltimore is
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: getting the money fifty five percent of ticket seventy eight
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, They've moved up, moved
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: up to minus one fifty on the money line. I suppose,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: all things considered, I probably don't disagree with Baltimore. I
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: think they probably do have at least a slight edge
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: in most ways here. I think probably I think Bradish
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: is better than Erot as well at this stage in
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: their careers, because e Rot is I think he's coming
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: back from you know, Tommy John surgery that he had
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, and he's been kind of
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: shaky since then if I remember correctly.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, I'll agree with Baltimore.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: I don't have a good opinion on this game, though,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: But that is what the money is saying. Money is
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: also kind of indicating towards the under for what that's worth.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I would want to touch the total, though.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: I mean I'm giving out exactly what I think are
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: the best players obviously, as I always do. Next up
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: in the afternoon Cleveland and Saint Louis. These teams have
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: also split, with Cleveland winning the first game Saint Louis
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: winning yesterday by one. To me, it seems like both
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: teams will show up here. I do think Cleveland is
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: the better team. Saint Louis used five relief pitchers yesterday,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: pretty heavy usage from their bullpen, which I don't even
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: think is a good bullpen. Cleveland used four relief pitchers.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: They only used heron for two pitches, though, so I
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: think Cleveland has the better bullpen and the more rested
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: bullpen here.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Cleveland, their bullpen has been a little bit.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: Shaky so far, but they're still ranked sixteenth than Whips,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: so they're like middle of the pack. Saint Louis is
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: worse than that twenty second. They're also worse in era.
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis mediocre offense so far. I don't think their
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: offense is particularly good. Cleveland's has been a little bit better,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: although they're both middle of the pack.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: I don't think either offense is terrific, but I do think.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's is probably slightly better starting pitching. Slay Chacone is
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: pitching for Cleveland. His five point seven to four ERA
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: looks pretty bad. One point two to one whip is
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: definitely more palatable than that.
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: Though he's been okay. He has a fourteen to five
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's not great, and he hasn't gone that
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: deep into these games. It looks like they're I kind
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: of keeping him on about a ninety pitch count in
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: these starts. But I think he's been okay. He's still
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: pretty young. I mean, I think he has some talent there.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: His numbers are really bad against Saint Louis, but it's
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: a very small fifteen at bat sample size four hundred
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed those nine to seventy one ops three
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: one strike at walk ratio.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: You know, even if I think maybe Chaconi.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Is the better of these two starters here, I don't
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: like seeing matchup numbers like that. Usually I'm gonna at
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: least probably avoid that pitcher. But Dustin May probably a
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: guy I'm looking to fade though. I mean, he is
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: coming off a good start against the Red Sox. Because
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox haven't been able to do anything on offense,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: and his numbers are still horrendous nine point four or
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: five ERA one point eight whip Dustin May from Justin
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Texas is another guy who he hasn't been good since
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: is Tommy John surgery, and it has been years since
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: then and he hasn't been good. Now you might say, well,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: he's in because he just had a really good start
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox. Maybe that was more of a fluke, though,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think he's very good. He's allowed
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: twenty one hits in thirteen to third inning, so he's
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: been way too hittable. Even though in eleven to three
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: strike up walk ratio is not bad. Against Cleveland, he
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: does not have good numbers. Pretty small sample size with them.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: Most of their hitters have seen him before. Twenty two
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: at bats, eight to three, strike out walk ratio three
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: eighteen batting average allowed in nine to ninety one.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: Ohps, that's not good.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: Uh So this game, I'm almost tempted to say over
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: makes sense.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: In this game, the total sitting at eight and a half.
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: It has gone up a little bit, but we've seen
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: ninety one percent of tickets and only sixty nine percent
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: But you're looking at two bullpens that have kind of
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: struggled a little bit. I don't really trust either of
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: these starters. The matchup numbers don't look that good. Eight
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: and a half is a reasonable total for this game,
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of thinking over and then the money is
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: coming in towards Saint Louis, which kind of surprises me.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Sixty seven percent of tickets and only fifty five percent
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: of the cash on a public road Cleveland team here.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Whenever I see market percentages like that, I do not
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: want to be on that team. That would indicate that
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis would be the side to be looking at here.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Can we really trust Dustin May? Though, I'm not so
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: sure about that. I mean, of course, of course, it
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: would make sense that the Red Sox, you know, they
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: make this horrible trade for him. The guy that they
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: traded for him is raking in triple A right now
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: for the Dodgers TIBs. It would only make sense that
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: would happen, and then that Dustin May, as soon as
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: he's gone from the Red Sox after that failed experiment,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: that he'd actually be good or something that that's of
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: course that would make sense.
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna happen. Maybe it does.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: Money is saying Saint Louis here, but I think I
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: prefer the over, even though it's against the market. Read there,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: Red Sox in Minnesota. I'm gonna have a play on
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: this game. Oh man, I think we have to do it.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: I know there's all this turmoil here, but I think
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: they have the starting pitching advantage here. I think they're
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: the better team. They're the road favorite for a reason.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: They're trying to avoid a sweep. We're gonna take the
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox my Red Sox money line minus one thirty.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: We gotta get something out of this Red Sox team, man,
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think the public.
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: Is gonna be completely off of them. This has been
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: a massively embarrassing series.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, you get your ace completely lit up in
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: the first game and you can't win that game. Then
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: you score no runs in the next game last night
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: against a struggling young pitcher and Mick Abel. I don't
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: know what is going on here. The Red Sox have
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: been outscored nineteen to six in this series. You gotta
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: expect an effort out of them. And I know there's
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: all the chatter out there, a lot of the Red
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: Sox fans are mad at Jared Durant again, but you
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: know they're only.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: Mad because he said the f slur away back in
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: the day. Whenever that was two years ago.
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Now at this point, you know that everybody's just looking
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: for a reason of hate on this guy.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: I love Jared Duran. I relate to him, you know, as.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: A fellow suicidal man here, dude, I mean, he opened
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: up about that in the documentary, and then opposing crowds
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: are just like telling him to kill himself.
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: Basically, you can't do that. And then what did he
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: What did he do last night? He flipped off a guy.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: Oh no, that's the end of the world. How how horrible.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Of him for doing that When people are telling, you know,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: a man who tried to kill himself that he should
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: have that he should have completed the job. You can't
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: say that to him. The Red Sox fans are being
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: horrible about it. I'm sick of this fan based dude.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: It's a much of him woke bullshit.
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: I like Duran.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the Red Sox lineup is gonna
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: look like here but I'm gonna ignore all of that.
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: I think that's noise.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox are better than you think they are
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: right now, even so, I know their fundamentals are terrible.
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: I think they need to completely change the entire coaching staff.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: But I think they're gonna get this game. I think
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: they have the advantage in most areas of this game. Again, motivation,
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: you gotta be looking to avoid the sweep here.
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is not this good.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a team it's sort of almost
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: in rebuilding mode, even though they kept Joe Ryan. I
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: do not think Minnesota is gonna be where they are
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: in the standings right now by the end of the season.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: I think the Red Sox will be better than what
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: they look like right now. The oddsmakers, like I said,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: they've lined the Red Sox as a favorite in every
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: game the series.
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: There's a reason for that.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox, by the way, they have the fifth
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: best bullpen based on whips, so quietly, their bullpen has
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: been really good and that is not the case with
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the Twins, who have the second worst bullpen. Twins bullpen
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: is atrocious. Red Sox have the bullpen edge. I think
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: there's no argument there the Red Sox only as two
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday as well. Granted, yes they use Chapman,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: although he hadn't pitched for days, and there's a chance
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: they use them again here. Hopefully they don't even need
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: to though, that's what we're We're hoping they have enough
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: of a lead that they don't even need to use them.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: Minnesota did only use two relief pitchers as well, but
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: they have a really bad bullpen. Offensively, yes, Minnesota has
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: been hitting well. I'm looking at their offense. They are
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: fifth in offense right now. I still just don't see it, man,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: I don't This offense is not this talented. I expect
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: that there's gonna be a regression there. The Red Sox,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: I expect, will be better offensively at some point. They're
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: sitting right now at twenty third. But you look at
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: the hitters that these teams have, the Red Sox, it's
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: pretty easy to argue the Red Sox have the better lineup.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: They're just not, you know, in better form to start
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: the season. But obviously we're looking at the starting pitching.
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: Matchup is a big part of this as well. Connolly
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: Early is pitching for the Red Sox. Talented young pitcher.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: I know his whip is really bad though one point
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: five to four. Still, I think we could trust him
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: in this matchup. Two point six y three era is
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: pretty good. I know his whip indicates his era should
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: be a lot worse.
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: He needs to get these.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Walks under wraps man. That's the problem. Everything else looks good.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: He has more than one strike up per inning, fewer
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: than one hittle out per inning.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: Eight walks is the problem.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: Fifteen to eight strike out walk raso in thirteen to
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: two thirds. He needs to get that under control. He
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: hasn't really quite gone deep enough into these starts. But
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: like I said, we are. I think we're able to
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: roll with the Red Sox bullpen as part of this
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: handicap as well here, So hopefully we get at least
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: like five innings out of early here.
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: I think that is manageable.
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: I think we could do that, And I think he
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: has an advantage because he's facing a bunch of hitters
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: who've never seen him before. Only Tristan Gray has ever
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: faced him. Zero for two with the strikeouts so early,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: has the unfamiliarity edge on his side. He pitched a
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: little bit better in his last outing by the way,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: I know he threw too many pitches. They pulled him
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: before he was done with five innings, but he allowed
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: one earned run to Saint Louis in a road start,
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: two walks. I mean, that was an improvement over his
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: previous starts, so I think he'll do okay in this
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: game at the very least.
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: Again, he is definitely a really talented young.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: Pitchers, is why the Red Sox are trusting him to
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: be in the starting rotation here this year. He's going
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: up against Simeon Woods Richardson, who was more familiar to
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: the opposing hitters here. He's a he's fine. I mean,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: he's an okay pitcher. Four point six ERA, one point
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: two eight whip okay numbers, nothing mind blowing here. He
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: doesn't really go that deep into games a lot of
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: times either, and he doesn't strike out a lot of guys.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: Eight strikeouts and fifteen to two thirds innings a little
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: bit too hittable with more than one hit per inning.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: He's allowed three on the runs so far, which isn't
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: that great, and four walks wouldn't be that bad except
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: the strikeout walk ratio is not particularly good, So I
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: don't know Richardson's is not a guy that comes in
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: and really lights it up and blows guys away. And
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox, his numbers and not that good.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Only twenty two at bats but six to three strikeout
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: walk ratio three eighteen batting average allowed, seven sixty four ohps.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: So the Red Sox have done successfully against him. I
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: think we're gonna do it, man, We're gonna take the
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. Here.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing with this.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: They're at minus one twenty five right now, so you
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: might be able to find a better number on this.
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: It looks like the money agrees with me.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Tickets fifty to fifty seventy percent of the cash on
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox. Hopefully it does not change by the
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: time this game happens, but we will roll with the
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: Red Sox in that game money line. Hopefully this is
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: the bounceback spot for them, man Cubs in Philadelphia. This
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: is a good matchup, which is why it's on ESPN Unlimited,
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: MLB Unlimited whatever the hell, So if you have the
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: Disney Plus Bundle, whatever, you can watch this one.
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: Whatever the hell it is, I guess it is ESPN
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: Unlimited an MLBtv.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: This is a good series. The teams have split the
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: series so far. Some of these series, by the way.
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: Are continuing to this is not one of them.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: But either way, they've split the first two so I
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: think both teams are gonna show up. It's a big
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: matchup between two potential playoff teams here. Looking at the bullpens,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia's bullpen has started to struggle. They were hot for
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: a while, but now they're middle of the pack. Chicago
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. They're bullpens kind of middle of the pack
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: right now as well. Looking at who they have and
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: based on last year and whatever, I think the Cubs
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: actually do have a slightly better bullpen here than Philadelphia does. Offensively,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: I think Philadelphia is better than what they've done so far.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: They're middle of the pack offensively. Cubs have struggled offensively,
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: though where are they at. They've actually moved up a
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: little bit. They had been struggling. Both these teams that
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: they have better offenses than what they've looked like so
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: far this year, but they're both in the middle of
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: the pack right now. I think the offenses are a
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: little bit of a wash here. I might give the
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: slight edge to Philadelphia there. The Cubs four relief pitchers
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: used yesterday. Philadelphia did use four as well, so a
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: little bit of heavy bullpen you sage yesterday. Starting pitching
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: is an interesting matchup. Showed to Emonaga's pitching for the Cubs.
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: He's having another good season so far two point eight
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: one ERA, point eight one whip. He's coming off a
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: six inning no hit performance against Pittsburgh. They took him
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: out at one hundred pitches. I understand they don't want
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: to overwork him, but man, you'd like to see no
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: hitters again. Man, go back to the old days. And
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: they wound up losing that game. The bullpen couldn't hold
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: the game and the offense did nothing behind him. Isn't
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: that just great? But Imanaga is in good for him
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: right now. His last two starts have been really good.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: He's got way over one strike up per inning, way
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: below one hit per inning, allowed twenty to four strikeout
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: walk ratio.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: We know he's good against.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia though he has not done that well small sample
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: size eighteen of bats, but they do have a couple
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: of homers off him between bomb bomb hit a bomb
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: off him and mars Sean, Who the hell is that?
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: Brad Brad Marshan is this hockey what Raphael marshawn?
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know who that is?
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Uh, five to one start a walk ratio for Emanaga
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: against them though, three point thirty three batting average allowed,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: one thousand and ninety one ops.
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: Those numbers are.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: Not exactly trustworthy. But I do trust i Monaga overall, though.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: I think it's a difficult lineup to face in a
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: difficult environment. But I think he does obviously have the
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: ability to put together a good start here though, So
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm expecting maybe his start will be somewhere
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: in the in the middle, like it won't be amazing,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: but it won't be terrible. That would be my guess.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Jesus Luzardo is pitching for the Phillies. He is an
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: interesting case man. His era is sky high right now,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: six point two to three, but his whip is pretty
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: good at one point one five. So what the hell
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: is going on here? Well, what's going on is he's
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: getting hit too hard. He's allowed multiple home runs so far.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: He's getting a.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: Little bit unlucky, though, you would have to say looking
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: at his outing so far, he's a lot a bunch
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: of runs. But it's like almost everybody he puts on
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: basis scoring. He's allowed fewer than one hit per inning.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: He has well over one strike upper and great strikeout
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: stuff so far twenty six strikeouts, is seventeen to third.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: Only four walks.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: All these numbers look good, so like the underlying numbers
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: do look good. I would say he's better than his
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: era looks right now. But knowing Luzardo, he goes on
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: these streaks where he has like this elite strikeout stuff
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: for a while, and then he also has performances where
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: he just gets absolutely rocked, like he just gets hit hard.
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know what the deal is.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Last year it seemed like there was something to do
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: with like maybe he was tipping his pitches so like
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: hitters knew what was coming, they were able to he
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: had like a tell on the mound.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: Maybe that's happening again to some extent here. I don't know.
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: It makes him very difficult to handicap. His numbers are
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: really good against the Cobs, though eighty five at bats
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: one eighty eight batting average allowed, six point thirty two
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: one BS isn't quite as good, and again the walks
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: actually are the problem here. Not again because I didn't
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: mention the walks yet, but a lot of times walks
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: are the issue with him. He has twenty seven strikeouts
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: fourteen walks against the Cubs, but Swanson and Hap have
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: combined for eleven of those walks, so it's almost like
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: he's kind of pitching around a couple of those guys there.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: That's the lowdown there, Very very difficult to handicap lozarda
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: though looking at the market read on this game, the
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Cobs. Philadelphia moved up
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: from minus one twenty two to minus one thirty two
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: on the money line, but sixty five percent of the
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: tickets on them fifty two percent of the cash on
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. I would say, generally, I agree Imanaga is
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: the better pitcher than Lozardo. I think he's definitely more
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: consistent at the very least. That might be part of
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: the reason why the money's coming in this way. Public
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: likes the team that appears to be the better offense,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: which is Philadelphia. But you know, the matchup numbers don't
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: make it look that great for Imanaga. Lozardo does have
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: the better matchup numbers here, very very difficult game to handicap.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Man it's it's not a game I want anything to
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: do with the money is saying the Cobs. I don't
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: have that strong of an opinion against it. Really, you
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: don't want to weigh the matchup numbers too heavily here,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: So we're staying off of the game Kansas City and Detroit.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: We're in the evening games now.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: By the way, that one that I just talked about
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: was an evening game, So is this one we gotta
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: win with Kansas City and Detroit. I forgot to talk
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: about that one in my oh, I forgot to talk
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: about all the what happened yesterday.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: My apologies, guys.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: We'll do it now. Yesterday we went two one and one.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: This was one of the winners. We had the under
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: in Kansas City and Detroit. I was just hoping, just like,
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: don't go into extra innings, man, and wound up being
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: a two to one Detroit win, I think. But yeah,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: I was like, we easily got the under in that game.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: But at that point, it's like you're just praying that
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: you don't have to deal with ghost runners. Although I
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: think we still would have hit the under, the White
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Sox just kind of destroyed themselves right away. They had
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: a horrible error almost immediately in the game, and it
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: ruined Noah Schultz's debut. I mean, maybe we shouldn't trust
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: the pitchers in their debut that much. But I was
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: right about McClanahan not being that good in that game,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: though he struggled in that game. It's just that Schultz
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: kind of got hurt right away with that horrible error.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: There was one point where Tampa Bay had three runs
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: on one hit.
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's just ridiculous.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: So that just it really hurt his outing right away,
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: even though he wasn't that great and neither starting pitcher was.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: And you know, the White Sox were actually in that
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: game even after that err They came back and they
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: were in the game for a bit, but they fell short.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: They put up a couple of runs late, but it
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: was not enough. So unfortunately, that one lost. Colorado was
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: a push for us. With the way that I did it.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: If you went all plus one and a half run line,
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: you actually got a full win on that, or they
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: had to lay a little bit more at minus one
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: thirty or so on that Colorado looked like they were
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: off to the races. They were winning that game. That
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: game three to nothing. Then they got lit up, and
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: then all of a sudden they were losing seven to three.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: They were able to come back and make it a
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: seven to six loss. So the way that I recommended
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: playing it with a split bet wound up being a push.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: So that was fine, and then the Miami Heat covered
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: for us. As I was alluding to Garrett talking about
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: your hornets there, Garrett and I can both be happy,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: I guess, because the Miami Heat covered. Although I was
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: thinking we were gonna get a money line cash on that,
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: because you know, I recommend whenever you bet an underdog,
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: especially in that spread range, like a single digit spread,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: I'm saying you gotta put like ten percent of that
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: bet on the money line. So that money line sprinkle
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: did not hit, and it looked like it was pretty
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: good most of the game. Miami led most of the game.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: They had a big like not a big lead, but
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: a decent lead multiple times late in the game and
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: kept blowing it and then it went into overtime, and
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: at that point I'm thinking, like, please don't blow it
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: in overtime. When you have a dog that goes to overtime,
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: especially a dog of that size like you had the
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: right side, like, don't lose the bet now. But luckily
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: Miami was able to keep it close. They lost by one,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: so we'll take that all of the Miami has now eliminated.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: And by the way, one thing I forgot to mention
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: it was kind of part of that handicap. I mean,
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: I mentioned that Miami had a lot of experience in
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: the play ins and whatever. I think Miami is the
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: only team to ever make the playoffs as a ten seed.
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: In the play in they've done that before. As a
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: ten seed. They won two straight road games to get
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: into the playoffs. I don't remember which year that was.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I think it was one of those like messed up
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: COVID years. I think it was one of those years
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: that Miami made this crazy run. That one was when
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: they were like an eight seed in the playoffs. I
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: think they might have made the finals.
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: I might be confusing that with the other year where
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: I think there were seven seed and they beat or
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: maybe that was no, maybe it was that same year
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: where they were the eight seed they beat the Celtics horrible, horrible, and.
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: The Celtics I think lost. I don't know.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: I think there was some injury the Celtics had to
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: deal with in the last game of that series. I
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: think Jason Tatum probably usually it's him.
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know that was. Yeah, I think that might
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: have been that same year.
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: Actually, Celtics clearly should have made the finals that year, and.
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: Maybe they would have had a shot to win.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: But I believe that year, I think it was heat Nuggets,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: I want to say, and the Nuggets just absolutely took
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: them out in the final. I think it was a
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: sweep if I remember correctly. Maybe I'm misremembering that. You
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: guys can remind me. But now I'm off on a
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: crazy tangent when I'm trying to talk about baseball. Kyle,
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, yes, sir, we're
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: doing pretty well. You know, it's a bit of a grind.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: I don't want to see this lost record hit double digits,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: but you know what's gonna happen. It might happen today,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: which wouldn't be great because that would mean we have
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: a losing day. But you know it's gonna happen again
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: at some point. Hopefully it doesn't happen here. But yes, anyway,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: I was just very late. Usually do it in the intro.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: But I was just running down all the plays yesterday
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: and I will say I'll talk about it more tomorrow.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: But Phoenix blowing that game was unbelievable. Phoenix had like
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: a what were they up? They were up eleven or
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: thirteen with like four minutes left. They were still up
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: I think eight or maybe nine with like maybe two
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: or three minutes left, and they lost the game.
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: That was insane. I don't know what that was.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: They had multiple key free throw misses at the end
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: of that game. They just went completely silent offensively. I'm
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: not a fan of the Portland Trailblazers, man, I'm not.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Maybe maybe it's maybe it's because of all the Zionism
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: going on there with their Israeli star player there, if
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: you want to call them that, actually, whoa, I can't
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: call them a star player. Oh god, I'm gonna I'm
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: gonna get this channel new.
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: Oh my god with Av g Ovg.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know how you pronounced his name, whatever that
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: guy's name is. He did have a good game last night,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: a really good game. But yeah, that I did not
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: think Phoenix was gonna lose that game obviously, all right,
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: even though they had had to make a comeback in
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: the middle of the game, but they had the game
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: pretty much put away. I don't know what that was. Anyway,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: Let's get back to this Kansas City and Detroit. Detroit
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: did win yesterday. This series is gonna be one that
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: continues tomorrow. Yesterday was the first game of the series,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: and like I said, we got the under Kansas City
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: only used two relief pitchers as well. Detroit probably had
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: to use like their closer in the game. Yeah, they
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: used Jansen as their closer now former Boston Red Sox.
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: I believe he's still doing his thing out there. Detroit
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: did use him, but they only used two relief pitchers yesterday.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: Both of these bullpens I think are at least okay
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: Kansas City's though, I mean Kansas City's off to a
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: bad start. Though I don't know, man, I still don't
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: think their bullpen is this bad though based on last year, though,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: they're a bottom several bullpen right now. I'm not sure
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: if I see that continuing. Detroit's has been mid tier
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: but not bad as far as the offenses. So Detroit
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: does have the better of the two bullpens. If we're
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: looking at what they've done on the season. So far,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: Detroit's been middle of the pack offensive wieldough I think
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: they're clearly the better offense here. Kansas City's bottom four.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Which yeah, I mean last year Kansas City couldn't hit well.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: I think that might be the case this year too.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Seth Lugo is pitching for Kansas City. He's been good,
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, damn the advanced analytics guys. I
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: guess he's getting up there in age, still putting up
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: pretty good numbers one point five to three ERA, one
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: point eight whip. Obviously, he's not going to continue being
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: this good, and he is regressing a little bit with
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: four walks in his last downing. That is a concern
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: overall now fourteen to six strikeout walk ratio, but he's
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: a lot fewer than one hit per inning. I know
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: it's too many walks. But he's still been pretty good
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: so far this year, and I expect him to at
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: least be decent.
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: Again this year.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: But this particular matchup maybe does not benefit him. His
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: numbers against Detroit, they've seen a ton of them, one
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: hundred and sixty at bats, thirty nine to eighteen strike
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio is not good. To eighty seven batting
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: average eight forty one ops allowed. Those numbers are not
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: particularly good at all. So he does not do well
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: against Detroit specifically. Really, he is going up against Jack Flaherty,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: who is not having a good season. Five point one
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: four ERA one point six to four whip. They need
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: to get a new video for him here on ESPN.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: This is from years ago. I mean, all right, yeah,
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: you get cute story talking about his adoptive mother or whatever.
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: But dude, like, I don't know this video.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: It just bugs me whenever I see the thumbnail of it, like,
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: let's change this shit.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: Anyway. Yes, he's not pitching well.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: Five point one four ERA one point sixty four whip,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: fourteen to eleven strike out walk Racier this season. That
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: is pretty bad. He's walked three or more in every outing.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: Oh but he's improving.
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: He finally went more than five innings last outing. I
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: guess this Twins team, it's been hitting everybody and he
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: only walked three guys in that outing, which was an
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: improvement for him. Yeah, but dude, he's just issuing way
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: too many free passes. I can't I can't jump on
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: the Flaherty train here, right, now his numbers against the
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Royals are also not really that good, and seventy nine
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: at bats twenty to five strike out walk ratio is good.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: Two sixty six.
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: Batting average a lot is fine. Seven ninety one ops
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit on the higher side there. He's a
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: lot of few home runs in there. You know, this game,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: as we kind of thinking, over is the way to
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: look at this game. So the advanced analytics guys will
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: like me for that, because we'd be fade except logo
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: in a way. If we did that, the totals got
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: up from eight and a half to or eight to
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: eight and a half.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: Excuse me.
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: We don't really see the percentages yet, but it looks
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: like the money is indicating on the over. I don't
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: think I would disagree with that. Both starting pitchers don't
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: have good matchup numbers. Flaherty looks very fatable here, but
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: that's also leaning leading to the fact that the money's
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Royals here as well.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Detroit sixty two percent of the tickets on them.
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: Detroit looks like they've figured it out, as they have
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: a couple of wins in a row. Now. Detroit was
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: on a bad stretch for a little while. Obviously, I
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: think Detroit is still pretty good. I think they're the
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: best team in this pretty mediocre division here, but the
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: public maybe is overrating them. In a game where they
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: have Jack Flaherty on the mound, sixty two percent of
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them, fifty nine percent of the cash
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: on Kansas City, so the money maybe the advanced analytics
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: guys are still not fading Set Lugo as far as
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: the side is concerned. You know, I'm gonna agree. I've
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: been leaning to Kansas City as well here. Yeah, I
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: just think generally I would trust set Lugo over Jack Flaherty.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: If you do that, I think first five innings makes
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: more sense though, because Kansas.
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: City's bullpen just has struggled so far this year.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: So if you wanted to exclude the bullpens there, maybe
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: that makes more sense and go Kansas City first five,
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: just for Lougo to outpitch Flaherty, which he has done
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: so far this season. All right, keeping a going, this
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: is gonna take forever.
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: We have San Francisco and Cincinnati. Cincinnati won the first
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: game of the series yesterday two to one. Very low
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: scoring for a game in Cincinnati where usually you see
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: higher scoring games. It's a hitter friendly ballpark. As far
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: as the bullpens go, I don't even know where. I
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: don't have the lay of the land. Still, man, the
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: Reds have been decent their eleventh and bullpen whips so far.
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: Giants should be better than they are. They're eighteenth right now.
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: Though they were a very good bullpen last year. They've
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: struggled a bit this year though, no doubt about it.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: The Reds have been the better bullpend this year. But
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: I think the Giants are gonna close that gap a bit.
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think the Giants bullpen is really that bad.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: I do think the Giants offense is bad. Even though
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: everybody talks about how they have all this talent. Yeah,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: but they had pretty much the same guys last year,
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: like post Devers trade and whatever, their offense still sucked.
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: And you know they play in a hit or unfriendly ballpark.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: But still, I don't think their offense is that good.
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: They are bottom several offense here. Maybe they're a little
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: bit better than that. The Reds have also not been
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: a good offense, though they've been bottom. They're the second
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: worst offense right now based on ops. I don't know
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: if that's gonna continue either. Like, look at these teams
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: you have at the bottom of the pack right now,
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: Seattle Mets, even the Reds, Like you gotta think some
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: of these offenses are actually better than this. But it's
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: a new year, man, so you can't base everything off
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: of last year entirely.
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: So I don't know exactly.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati, they used three relief pitchers yesterday, not too bad.
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: San Francisco also used three.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: The usage about the same for both teams pretty much,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: so Cincinnati probably has a slight bullpen. It's just based
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: on their current form. Tyler Maleay is pitching for the
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: Giants here. He has not pitched well so far this year.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: He's no longer on Texas, so it seems like he's
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: not having a good time of it anymore, even though
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: it seems like San Francisco usually does have pretty good
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: pitching coaching.
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: But maybe not. I don't know. Maybe it's not enough.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Four point three ERA for him, one point five to
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: seven whip none of that is good.
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: Fifteen to seven strike a walk ratio. His strikeout raid.
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Is pretty good, more than one per inning, but that's
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: too many walks. He's allowed more than one hit per inning.
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: That's not good, Although his last start was a little
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: bit better. He's shut up Philadelphia for five innings, so
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: maybe he's trending a bit in the right direction. However,
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: it was also his wildest start with four walks, so
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: that is not exactly good. I don't really trust him
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: right now. The Reds don't have much experience against him though.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: You only have two hitters who've ever seen him before,
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: but they combined for a five thirty eight batting average
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: of fourteen eighteen ops against him fourteen eighteen the year
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: two to one strike out walk ratio really all the
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: damages to Brian Hayes, though, So if you want a
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: sneaky player prop there, I don't even know who that is.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: But he's seven for eleven with a home run and
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: a walk and a double him one strikeout off of Mally,
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: so he might be able to do damage against him.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: It's a weird handicap there because Molly's unfamiliar to most
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: of the Reds hitters, which should be an advantage to him.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: But there's a lot of game film on him and
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: the guys that have seen him at least really just
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Hayes has hit him really well.
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: Willie Mays Hayes.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Rhet Louder is pitching for Cincinnati. He's been okay, three
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: point three to one ERA, one point two to whip.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: We did get a win going under I believe in
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: that game with him against Texas there, which was his
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: best start of the season. He's actually struggled in his
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: other two starts so far.
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: Overall, his numbers are actually.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: Not particularly good, even though I think he does have
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: some talent.
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: But his strike got rad is low.
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: Eleven strike outs at sixteen thir innings, six walks is
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: not good. He's walked multiple guys in every outing. That's
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: not good. Fewer than one hit per inning is pretty good.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: But overall, Yeah, Louder. He looks like he's struggling a
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: little bit here. But the Giants only a Damas has
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: ever seen him before, and he's zero for too often,
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: no walks, no strikeouts, so unfamiliarity kind of on both
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: sides here. But RT Louder, he's the way younger pitchers,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: so there's a lot less game film on him. I
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: think I am gonna lean to Cincinnati in this game.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: It looks like the money is coming in that way.
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: San Francisco initially did move up to minus one oh
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: six on the money line, but fifty three percent of tickets,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the cash on Cincinnati current form,
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: and you know, just less game film on the guy.
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: I think I would prefer Louder and Cincinnati. They're both
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: been just has been a bit better than San Francisco.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: So for this year.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think that would be my opinion in
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: that game. It's not strong, but that would be my opinion.
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: Next game up, We're gonna have a a bet in
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: this next game, and I like this one. I mean
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: I better like it if I'm recommending it as a bet,
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna be a total and we're gonna go over.
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: I would get the key number of nine. You have
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: to pay a little bit for it. It minus won twenty.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: If it gets over that, I mean you're looking at
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. You know you'll get a better
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: price on it. I think I probably still would go
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: over the nine and a half, but it's a lot
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: worse than going over nine. You know, baseball not that
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: many runs are scored. Nine is a key number because,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: as I always say, one of the teams has to win.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: So if it's a four to four tie. You get
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: that ninth run automatically by default because of that. But yes,
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: I found it out there at minus one twenty at
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: the over nine. I like the over here Washington and Pittsburgh. Now,
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: looking at just the numbers that these teams have put
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: up so far, I know, I don't know if I
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: quite buy these numbers.
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: But Washington has.
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: The fourth best ops, so they've been really good offensively
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: this year.
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's seventh.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: So both these offenses have been really hitting well, and
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: we're gonna ride that in this game, at least, because
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: I think the pitching matchup is also conducive to it.
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: Washington has a.
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: Just a terrible bullpen, third worst, but I think they
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: might be worse than that.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: I think they might be.
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: The absolute worst era wise they are, so they're a
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: horrible bullpen, so we could definitely leave them in the
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: equation and fade them.
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh hasn't been that good either.
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: Their bullpeny RA looks decent, but they're twentieth right now
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: in bullpen Whip, not exactly the greatest, even though yeah,
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: they're the better of these two bullpens. But then what
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: do these bullpens do yesterday. Well, Washington used five relief
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: pitchers yesterday, so their bullpen is pretty taxed right now,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: and it's not a good bullpen. Pittsburgh' has had some
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: usage as well over the last couple of days. Of
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: only three relief pitchers yesterday, so yes, Pittsburgh has used
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: you know, fewer of their relief pitchers.
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: Yes, Pittsburgh does have a bullpen.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: Egine this, but I do not like either bullpen in
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: this game, and I don't like either starter or either
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: as far as what happened in the game yesterday.
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: By the way, both teams this with the series so far.
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh wanted to blowout in the first game, then they
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: lost by one yesterday, so you know, maybe Pittsburgh could
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: be in a bounce back, but we're going total here.
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: Jake Irvin is pitching for Washington.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: He's been fade material seven point oh seventy RA one
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: point five whip and.
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: While yes, I think he is better than that. He
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: has good strikeout stuff.
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: At least he has more than one strikeout per inning
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: and he's allowed fewer than one hit per inning. But
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: he's been wild dude, eight walks and sixteen strikeouts. That's
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: not really gonna cut it. I know he's faced some
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: good offenses here, the Cubs, the Dodgers, Milwaukee Cubs have
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: been struggling a bit though Pittsburgh not a great offense,
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: but they've been hitting well this season. Irvin is clearly
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: not really a good form right now because his walk
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: numbers gone up in every out. He walked five in
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: his last outing and threw one hundred pitches. That's not
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: particularly good. And then against Pittsburgh's numbers are not good,
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: so I think they could definitely hit him in forty
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: one at bats nine to six, strikeout walk ratio two
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: ninety three, batting average allowed, eight seventy one ohps not
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: good numbers, So yeah, we could.
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: Fade Irv in here.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: And on the other side, Mason Montgomery is listed as
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: the starter for Pittsburgh. I don't know if he really
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: will be though, because he's He's only twenty five, so
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: there is maybe room for impruveman here. But he's been
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: a relief pitcher for his whole career so far, and
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: he did put up some good numbers out of Tampa
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Bay's bullpen the first season they had him, but then
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: his full season because he only had nine appearances that
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: first season. He was in the majors his full season.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: Last year, he was pretty awful. His strikeout rate was
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: actually great, and he had way more strikeouts than innings pitch,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: so yeah, he is definitely a strikeout guy. His walk
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: number was egregiously bad, though, and he allowed more than
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: one hit per innings. He was putting a ton of
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: guys on base, and this year hasn't really been any better.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: Six point one four, one point nine to one whip.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: The problem is, like, I don't know what they're doing
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: with him, because he literally pitched yesterday, and yes, he
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: had one clean inning yesterday, but it was a good inning,
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: one good inning, Okay, fine, but what does that mean
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: He's gonna give you one inning today?
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: He's gonna be the opener. Is that what we're doing here?
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: I think so.
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: I think he's gonna be the opener and then you're
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: gonna get Pittsburgh's bullpend for the rest of the game.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: And I'm kind of old school man, like I don't
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: like these bullpen games, and I know there are certain
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: teams that do them and it works out okay, but
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: with a bullpen that's not that good like Pittsburgh's. They're
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit used up over the last couple of days.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: I don't like the idea against a hot hitting Washington
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: lineup too. I think there are gonna be some runs
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: here on both sides. So yeah, I don't like it. Man,
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: Even though yes, managers can manage that thing and mix
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: and match the matchups with those pitchers. Bringing in pitcher
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: after pitcher does keep the opposing lineup off guard a
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: little bit, So there is that, but I still don't
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: like it. I don't I think we're gonna get runs
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: in this game. I do lean Pittsburgh though, so I
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: actually lean to that bullpen situation over Jake Irvin. That
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: doesn't say much about Irvin. Irvin plus Washington bullpen, I
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: guess I would say Pittsburgh's up to minus one seventy two.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: We don't really see any percentages on yet on this yet,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: but the total is still sitting around nine, and yet
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go over that total, all right, Anaheim at
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: the Yankees. These teams I think have split the first
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: two games. Anaheim could have two wins in this series
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: so far. Man, the Yankees could be on a they
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: could be on an what is it? What would it
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: be a seven game losing streak, but instead they won
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: that one game in there, pulled it out of their
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: ass two days ago with a win after losing by
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: two in the bottom of the ninth they won, and
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: then yesterday they got hammered by Anaheim yesterday. Really, though,
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: we know the Yankees are the better team. Though, I mean,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: let's not kid ourselves here. Even though Anaheim has been
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: the tenth best offense so far this year, Yankees him
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: in twentieth based on what their lineups lookick, I think
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: you gotta just think that the Yankees are the better
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: offense and at some point they're gonna turn it around.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: But current form maybe not so much. As far as
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: the bullpen's. Anaheim's bullpen is bad, They're a bottom several
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: bullpen here. Yankees haven't been great, but they're kind of
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: middle of the pack here, so neither bullpen is great.
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: But I think the Yankees do have a better bullpen
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: than Anaheim's tragic bullpen situation they have going on there.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: The Yankees only his two relief pitchers yesterday. Anaheim also
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: used two, so usage kind of a wash. Jack Kohana
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: Wit Suspicchi for Anaheim. Maybe maybe he's not that bad, man.
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know I've I've trashed this guy for
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: a long time because his numbers have just been absolutely atrocious,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: to the point where I was like, how is this
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: guy even still in this rotation? Maybe he's proven me wrong.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, his numbers are at least.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: Tolerable this year.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Three point two four ERA one point two six whip
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: is a little bit high, but based on how he's
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: pitched so far in his career, you can't complain about
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: this man.
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: However, there is one complaint that.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: You can level against him, though, and that is the
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: walk number is atrocious still, so I still am not
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: sold on this guy.
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: He's gone sixteen to two thirds innings, so of our ten.
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: Hits allowed as good, he's not been very hittable, but
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: twelve strikeouts. I'm willing to overlook that if your command
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: is good.
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: But it's not.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: He's walked eleven guys, so that is still a problem, man,
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: big time problem with the with the command there. Even
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: though he is coming off a good start against Cincinnati
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: where he allowed two hits and seven innings and only
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: allowed one on and run in a hitter friendly ballpark
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: in Cincinnati, but he walked more guys than he struck out.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: You can't keep doing that, man. He's done that twice
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: in his three starts so far. So I still can't
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: trust him. Even though his ground ball rate is pretty good.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: He's inducing more ground balls than fly balls. That is
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: something you do kind of want to see because it
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: means you're probably gonna give up fewer home runs. So
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: he's not allowing home runs. I still don't know how
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: trustworthy he is, though.
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: His numbers against the Yankees are a little bit hard
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: to read. Twenty six at bats not a big sample,
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: six' four strike out walk. Ratio of, course you know
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: that's not going to be that. Good he doesn't strike
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: out a lot of. Guys he walks too many, guys
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: so that kind.
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: Of reflects in these numbers as.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: Well here two thirty one batting average, allowed seven to
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: ninety five ohps.
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: Allowed that's not that. Good i'm not sure THAT i
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: expect him to do particularly well. Here.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Man Luis heel on the other side for The, yankees
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: did not get off to a good.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: Start his numbers don't look.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Good, obviously six point seven FIVE era one point five.
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: WHIP i think he's better than, that but he's been
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: kind of injury. Plagued he's a guy that does throw
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: hard and gets a lot of strikeouts, usually but he's.
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: Wild he walks too many. Guys his one start that
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: he made so, far he went four. Innings he had
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: to throw eighty eight pitches At Tampa bay at the
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Trop that's not a good signe very inefficient with his.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: Pitches he had three, walks two, strikeouts only allowed three,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: hits but give up three or in.
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: Runs it wasn't a good outing for.
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: Him he is better than, that, though and his numbers
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: Against anaheim are.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: Good in twenty nine at.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: Bats eight to two strikeout walk, ratio one toh three
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed and four oh THREE, ops so that's
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: not too, bad although two of the three hits he's
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: allowed to them have been extra base, hits with a
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: double From Josh lowe and a home run From logan.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: O'HOPPAH i don't, know, MAN i don't know what we're
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of these. Pitchers heel does have the
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: better matchup. Numbers i'll Lean yankees in the. Game the
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with that there at minus one seventy seven,
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: here so you do have to lay a bit of
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: a price on. Them BUT i Think heel is actually
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: better Than Kohana whitz even though you look at the,
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: numbers it makes it look like the opposite is the.
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: Case But i'm not gonna buy into.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: That sixty eight percent of tickets seventy five percent of
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: the cash on The. YANKEES i think it's bounced back
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: after a horrible game. Yesterday, yeah that would be my opinion.
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: There heel has the better matchup.
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: Numbers LIKE i, said at the very least you'd have
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: to lay like a minus one run. Line they'll make
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: your own minus one run. LINE i would not disagree
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: with an over in this game, either THOUGH i don't
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: know how much you can really trust Either Starry pitcher
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: or really Either. Bullpen but that total's gone way. Up
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: it's gone from nine to ten and a. Half now
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: it's headed towards. Eleven maybe there's some weather involved, Here
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: maybe there's wind or something In Yankee.
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: STADIUM i don't.
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: Know wind is usually not that much of a factor,
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: there BUT i don't. Know it's a pretty hitter friendly park,
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: generally though eighty six percent of tickets and nine to
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on the. OVER i don't,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: know but if we're gonna go, over you missed out
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: on the best, number but it probably wasn't available that. Long,
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: STILL i think over is worth considering in that, game
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: but PROBABLY i would prefer probably The, yankees, though like
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: making your own minus one run line. There it's actually
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: it's actually a situation WHERE i think maybe you don't
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: have to pay too much for The, yankees even.
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: Though usually you. Do that's On Amazon Prime video by the.
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: Way but, YEAH i think The yankees have the better
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: starting pitcher by a little bit, there the better bullpen
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: even though they both, stink and the better, OFFENSE i would,
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: say even though they're not in the better form all.
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: Right miami At, atlanta these teams have split the first
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: two games of the. SERIES i think the series might
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: continue tomorrow, too BUT i think it means both teams
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: are gonna show up anyway for this trying to win the.
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: Series bullpen. Usage atlanta used four relief pitchers. Yesterday they've
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: been a good bullpend this, year but they did have
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: a lot of usage. Yesterday miami had a little bit.
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: Less miami only used two relief. Pitchers both teams have
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: been good bullpen. Wise atlanta still ranked number one IN
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: whip even though even THOUGH i don't really think they're
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: the best, bullpen but they've been.
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: Good miami has been good as well at.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: SEVENTH i STILL i think neither of these bullpens are
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: quite as good as, that but they've done well so.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: Far And lana also has hit well so far either
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: at third in, offense And miami's not bad either at.
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: Ninth so both offenses and both bullpens have performed pretty
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: well so, far so we got to take that into,
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: account even THOUGH i think there might be some regression
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: in store in both. Cases, There miami might have a
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: little bit of a bullpen edge here, really just because
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit more. Rested Chris paddock is pitching
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: for The, marlins, though and he has not been good
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: throughout his. Career he hasn't been, good but his numbers
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: this season also not good six point one, four one
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: point five to SEVEN. Whip he bitched well in his
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: last outing, though Against, detroit so he's kind of improved
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: from start to start for the most. Part so he
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: is trending in the right. DIRECTION i mean his fourteen
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: to five strike out walk. Race yo is not that.
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: Bad he's allowed too many hits though he's allowed three on.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: Runs he's allowed eighteen hits in fourteen to two thirds.
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: Innings that's been the.
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: Problem hit.
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Ability he's definitely been too hittable against The. Braves doesn't
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: have really good. Numbers they've seen a lot of, him
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: eighty one of. BATS i actually don't even know how
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: The braves have seen him that. Much, OH i GUESS i.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Forgot he was on in The National league early in his.
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: CAREER i guess that's where it came. From it's been
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: a while, though since twenty twenty, one but he was
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: On San.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: DIEGO i forgot about.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: That but, anyway The braves have a two seventy two
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: average against, him eight thirty two ops in eighty one of,
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: bats thirteen to five strikeout walk. Ratio yaz absolutely destroys.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: Him for what that's, Worth he's nine for twenty three
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: with three doubles and three home runs off, him two.
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: Walks and four.
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: Strikeouts so player prop potential, THERE i recommend hits plus
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: runs plus RBIs. Well i'm not a prop, guy but
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: it looks Like. Paddock, yeah could get hit around in this.
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Game he's going up Against Bryce, elder WHO i still
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: can't figure. Out, dude he looks amazing in some starts
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: and he looks absolutely atrocious in some. Starts this, year
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: he's been mostly good, though one point TWO, era one
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: point oh two. Whip can he continue? THAT i don't think,
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: so but remains to be. SEEN i, mean his numbers
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: across the border are pretty good so, far seventeen to
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: two thirds. Innings he's left thirteen, hit sixteen, strikeouts five,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: walks nothing that you could really pick at there too.
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: Much like that's not.
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: Bad but his most recent start was by far his
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: worst of the three Against. Cleveland he didn't make it five,
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: innings he walked three, guys a lot of.
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: Home, run only allowed two earned. Runs but that wasn't.
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: Good so he is kind of trending in the wrong.
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: Direction AND i still don't really trust him if you
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: look at you, know his, stats like last.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Year last two seasons he had really bad. Seasons first
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: two seasons of his career were, fine although his whip
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: was kind of too. HIGH i don't know what, happened.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: Man there might have been an injury that happened to
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: him in twenty twenty four would be my guest because
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: it was a shortened season and basically surrounding, that he
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: just has never returned to. Form don't know what we're
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of him this, season, Man LIKE i,
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: said he's really a mystery right. Now his numbers Against
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: miami are pretty bad. Though in thirty at bats one,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: strikeout one. Walk that's not. GOOD i, mean it's a
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: low walk, number you can give them, THAT i, guess
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: but not good strike out stuff. There three sixty seven
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: batting average, allowed eighty seven. Ops not really good numbers
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: there at. ALL i think you could definitely go over
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: in this. Game that would probably be my. Recommendation although the,
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: bullpens you, know you kind of have to dodge the.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: Bullpens But, anaheim excuse, Me atlanta used four relief.
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: Pitchers just.
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: THAT i don't think the bullpens are as good as
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: people think they, are at least right, now total is
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: sitting at nine juice to the. Under but, YEAH i
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: think my preference would be. Over it's a pretty high
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: total for, reason and if both starters don't last.
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: In the, game that you're gonna have to. Get, yeah that's.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: Worse for the, bullpens of, course SO i usually will
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: not go over in the first five innings and try
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: to avoid a good bullpen.
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: When going, over you know WHAT i, mean because if
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: you're going.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: Over you're basically saying you think the starters are gonna
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: kind of get knocked out, early and that kind of
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: just dominoes into the. Bullpens eighty six percent of, tickets
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent of the cash on the over doesn't
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: really mean anything to. Me it looks Like atlanta is
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: a very public, side though at minus one sixty. Eight
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: don't know if they deserve to be that much of a.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: Favorite With Bryce elder on the, MOUND i think people
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: are kind of just looking at the numbers and thinking
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: this is a gigantic mismatch between these two. STARTERS i
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: don't really think that it, is, though even IF i
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: do Think elder is better Than, PADDOCK i don't think
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: it's by that. Much eighty eight percent of, tickets eighty
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash On, atlanta so the money
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: is Fading, atlanta and that one In atlanta's a public,
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: Side SO i would not really want to be on
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: The atlanta side in that. Game just throwing that out
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: there that In atlanta did win, Yesterday so if the
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: Zig zag holds the Maybe miami would be the side
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: to look at in that. Game BUT i don't really
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: have a good gauge on. THAT i think my preference
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: is over in that. Game Tampa bay at The White.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: SOX i, mean this, game, yeah. Unfortunate, yeah we took
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: the loss yesterday and that. One maybe The White sox
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: could bounce back. HERE i don't. Know that was the
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: first game of the. Series as far as bullpen, usage
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: White sox used a, LOT i think both teams used
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: kind of a.
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: Lot. Yesterday White sox used, Four Tampa bay also used.
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: Four so the bullpens are.
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: Not really in good shape, here and in, fact both
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: bullpens have been bad on the. Season White sox have
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: been the fourth Worst Tampa bay has been the sixth worst,
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: Bullpen so both bullpens are definitely fatable here and they've
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: been used. Up so don't really want anything to do
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: with the bullpens in this game whatever we, do unless
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: we're fading. Them The White sox have had the worst
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: offense in baseball, though but this might be a game
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: where they could put up some against That Tampa bay.
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: Bullpen they did put up some runs yesterday as. Well Tampa,
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: bay their bullpen has been the middle of the. Pack
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: they're actually climbing.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: Up towards the. Top excuse, Offense excuse, me what are
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: we talking?
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: About Tampa bay's bullpen's been, bad ALTHOUGH i think their
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: bullpen might be a little bit better than it. LOOKS
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: i Think tampa is the better bullpen by a little.
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: Bit but, Anyway tampa is the better. OFFENSE i, MEAN
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: i don't think that's a. Question they're eleventh past right.
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: NOW i think that might be overrating.
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: Them a little.
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: Bit but The White sox definitely have a pretty putid.
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: Offense the starting pitching, matchup, though looks pretty. Ugly Jesse
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: schultens is getting the start for The. Rays he's a converted.
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: RELIEVER i know he has a ZERO erara this year
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: in a one point zero seven. Whip he's only made one.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: APPEARANCE i think it was out of the bullpend BECAUSE
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: i don't remember handicapping. Him it was against The. Cubs
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: he held them scoreless for four and two. Thirds you
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: gotta give him credit for. That that was a good
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: outing for. Him BUT i just don't think we could
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: trust him his career numbers AS era is over five
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: one point five. Whip he's only pitched in twenty twenty,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: three where he was a starter for This White sox
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: team for a, bit and then he made two appearances
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: last year For Tampa bay and that's his entire.
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: Career that's not a good.
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: Sign when he's thirty, two you, know he's not really
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: a trustworthy.
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: PITCHER i, mean.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: Maybe he gets up for it because this will be
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: his first appearance against The White. Sox the team and
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: he spent pretty much his his only major league career
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: umbers pretty much all came with, Them so maybe he
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: will get excited to pitch against. Them BUT i don't
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: know if that's. Enough, MAN i don't think he's good.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: Enough they haven't seen him. Before but, AGAIN i don't
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: even know if that's. Enough he'll be going.
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: Up Against Sean, burke who is a young guy that
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: does have some. Upside he has actually pitched.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: Well like last, year it Was smith that was the
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: better of the Two massachusetts pitchers that The White sox,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: have But burke has been the better of the two this.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: Year so.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: Far he has a three point SIXTY ra one point
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: oh seven, whip that's not bad at. All fifteen to
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: three strike at walk ratio is not bad, either and
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: he's a lot fewer than one hit per.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: Innings so he's actually been. Good and he's.
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: Done that Against milwaukee on the, Road toronto And. BALTIMORE
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: i Know toronto's got a bunch of offensive, injuries but, STILL
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: i mean these are not like extremely weak offenses that
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: he's facing, Year so he actually has been pretty good
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: Against Tampa, bay though not so good in twenty two
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: at bats is a small. Sample maybe he's found something
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: and he's better this, year so maybe he can ignore
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: these numbers a, bit but they're not good. Numbers five
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: to four strike out walk ratio against, them three eighteen
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: batting average, allowed nine to sixty nine. Ops those numbers
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: are still not looking too. GOOD i THINK i would
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: go over in this. Game that would be my preference.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: PROBABLY i think both pitchers could be kind of fadeable.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: HERE i KNOW i don't love either offense here, obviously
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: especially not The White, sox but with this, setup with these,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: BULLPENS i think you could see some runs again in this.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: One the total is definitely a manageable one at, eight
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: and it's actually gone down a, bit although we see
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets ninety nine percent of the
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: cash on the. OVER i don't know how to read
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: that cash, percentage BUT i like the over.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: In that.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: One that would be my. Preference the money's coming in
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: On Tampa, bay which is. Insane they're minus one thirteen
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of tickets eighty six percent of the cash on.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: THEM i don't agree with. THAT i would lean to
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: The White. Sox they have the more trustworthy starter, here you,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't even. Know MAYBE i would limit it
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: to first five just to avoid that horrendous bullpen that
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: The White sox. Have But Tampa bay's bullpen hasn't been good,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: either SO i don't. KNOW i think getting The White
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: sox at a little bit of an underdog price again
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: with the more trustworthy starter on the, mount in my,
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: opinion that might be worth a. Look even those matchup
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: numbers aren't that. GOOD i THINK i would lean that,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: way BUT i THINK i probably prefer over in that.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: One oh, man we're at an hour in and we
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: still have a bunch of baseball to talk. About oh,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: boy yesterday it was like a two hour, show all,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: Right and we still have one more play and the
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: market doesn't agree with with. It so that's, great fading the, Market,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: baby it's not this next Game toronto And. Milwaukee that
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: game did not stay under yesterday tho they did go
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: to extra, innings so it wasn't.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: As bad as it. Looked but, YEAH i.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: APOLOGIZE i did not add that to my card, though
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: so you know THAT i felt it wasn't as.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: Strong BUT i liked the under in that game that didn't.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: Happen the under first five innings was, closer BUT i
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: think that still went. Over maybe it Pushed, actually let
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: me say what happened in this. GAME i know it
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: went to extra, innings THOUGH i want to see.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: The box score.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: Here, yeah so we had four runs come across in
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: the tenth and five came across in the. Ninth so
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: if you had the, under you really kind of got
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: screwed in that, game you, know because that was what
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: was the score at that but it was four to
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: two going into the ninth, inning even though that didn't
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: give you that much, leeway but still you kind of
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: got screwed because two runs were needed in the.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: Ninth inning to get that thing.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: OVER i, think, so, yeah first five if you found a,
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: four you were able to push the first five at.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: Least but, yeah not.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: Great but that game was not anywhere near as high
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: scoring as it really looks like a ton of runs
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: came home. Late we got to get rid of the
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: ghost runner. Man, anyway in this, game if you look
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: at the bullpen, usage it's going to be high because
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: it was an extra inning. Game toronto used five relief
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: pitchers in that. Game miwaukee also used, Five so the
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: bullpens are probably, fadable, fadable or you'll probably want to
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: fade them in this. One toronto has not had a
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: very good bullpend this. Year they're at seventeenth in, whip
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: which is not very. Good their era is pretty bad as.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: Well brewers have really fallen off whip. Wise they're down
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: at twenty, first even though the era is a bit more.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: Manageable neither of these bullpens have really been that.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: Good hitting. Wise The brewers have been pretty. Good there's.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: Sixth toronto's been dealing with some, injuries but their offense
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: is still pretty capable in their twelfth so this game
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: is looking like maybe there might be some runs coming
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: home in this one, late at least in this, game
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: don't cease his pitching for The Blue. Jays he's got
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: a really nice looking two point four to FIVE, Era
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: BUT i got my questions with, him. Man as you,
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: know he's got a pretty bad whip at one point
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: four to, three and THAT i think is more indicative
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: because that tells you how many guys are you putting on.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: Base ceas is still having the same, Problems, Man these
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: problems don't cease to. Exist he's very inefficient with his.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: Pitches he gets up close to one hundred pitches in
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: five innings basically every single. Start he's got a good strikeout,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: rate but it's almost too. High twenty six strikeouts in
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: fourteen to two. Thirds you're throwing too many, pitches. Man
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: and he's got nine. WALKS i, mean, overall that ratio
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: looks pretty, good but in the amount of, innings that
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: is a high walk. Number and he hasn't been that.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: Hittable he's a lot fewer than one hit per, inning
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: but the walk number is. Insane he's putting way too
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: many guys on base via the, walk even though he's
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: got really really huge strikeout. Stuff, AGAIN i don't think
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: that's good. ENOUGH i think he's worse than he looks right.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: Now his numbers against The brewers are actually good, though
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: in sixty one a bats twenty to, seven strikeout walk
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: ratio two thirty average allowed six to twenty oh.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: Ps that's not bad at. All maybe he'll do well
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: in this. Game he is going up.
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: Against Chad, patrick who is kind of under the. Radar
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: his numbers are a little bit weird this year. Though
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: point seven to three era really good but obviously, unsustainable
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: and one point three eight whip indicates that HIS era
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: should be like four.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: Something that's not a good whip at.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: All his strikeout walk rate ratio is pretty bad seven to.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: Five he's not really a strikeout.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: Guy that's in twelve and a third, innings but he's
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: allowed one hit per inning. Basically with the five walks
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: on top of, that that's not. Great three of them
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: came Against Kansas, city, Though but he's put together three
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: kind of manageable starts. Here but the problem is he
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: hasn't got deep into some of these, starts AND i
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened in his most recent.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Start he had three shutout.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: Innings Against washington and then they took him out at
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: fifty pitches A i'm not sure what happened in that.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: Game he had one walk.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: In no, strikeouts which isn't, good but you think they
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: would have left him.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: IN i don't know what that, was SO i don't.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: Know it's hard to Gauge patrick, here but he is
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar To, toronto so he might have a little bit
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: of an extra edge, here because when these young pitchers
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: that do have some talent are unknown to the starting
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: hitters or to the opposing, HITTERS i, mean the pitcher
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: usually does have a bit of an extra. Advantage they're
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: only one for six off and two of their hitters
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: has seen him. Before they only hit His Jesus sanchez.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Single they have one, strikeout no walks against, them but
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: again very small, sample but he is unfamiliar to.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: Them Now, MILWAUKEE i.
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: Believe they're looking for a sweep or, no excuse, Me
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: milwaukee not looking or excuse, me Not. TORONTO i was
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: gonna Say toronto's looking for a, sweep but that's not the.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: Case But milwaukee has lost six games in a, ROW i,
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: think is WHAT i was, Thinking so they're looking to
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: end this losing. Streak, still in every one of these,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: games they're a, Favorite i'm pretty, sure except for maybe
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: the ones At, boston but all the home games they
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: were a favorite and they've lost to all of. Them
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: milwaukee's not as bad as, that AND i think this
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: might be a bounce back spot From milwaukee, here, man
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: you're actually Getting milwaukee is an underdog at, home AND
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: i Know cees has decent numbers against, him but he's
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: not as good as people think he, is and maybe
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: he shouldn't be a road favorite in a game like. This,
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: Man SO i Think milwaukee they're gonna break out of
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: this slump at some. Point it might be, here but
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: the money is going. On the money's coming in On toronto.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: HERE i don't really agree with it. Though toronto's up
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: to minus won twenty three sixty eight percent of the
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: cash on, them fifty two percent of the tickets On.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee it is a low. Total it's seven and a,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: half WHICH i don't. Agree, YEAH i think the game's
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: gonna go. OVER i, mean with the bullpen situation that's. There,
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: YEAH i, mean i'd probably lean, over even though USUALLY
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: i lean under those low, totals BUT i just don't
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: see it in this. CASE i also Think cease is
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: not as good as his erra would. Suggest patrick probably
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: also not as good as his ra would, Suggest so
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: over makes some sense in this. Game BUT i Like
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: milwaukee and the money's disagreeing with. It, MAN i think
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: this might be the spot Where milwaukee breaks out of the.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: Slump LIKE i, said getting them is a home dog
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: with a starting pitcher that's unfamiliar to the opposing hitters
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: against a starting pitcher WHO i think is overrated In.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: Cease so, yeah that's that would be my.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: Opinion in that, Game colorado At, Houston colorado was able
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: to kind of back to or that run line part
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: of the bet. Yesterday at Least, houston, though they were
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: able to break a long losing stre so a lot
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: of times when a team breaks out of a losing
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: streak like, that it will.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: Give them momentum moving.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: Forward And houston was the better team in the game last,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: night and they did get a little bit of a,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: Scare SO i think it is a positive spot For
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: houston to show up with a focused effort here at
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: the very. Least as far as the, bullpens both these
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: bullpens are pretty. BAD i think both games of the
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: series have gone over so, far, right so this has
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: definitely Been oh, no why DO i think it's two
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: games of this. Series it's only been. One but, yes
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: it did go. Over so this does seem like kind
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: of an over type of series, here over type of,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: matchup even though it's not at course. Field houston used
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: five relief pitchers just. Today that's not. Good colorado only used.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: Three but neither bullpen is very. Good houston's is the
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: worst in baseball right now based on a lot of the,
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: metrics they've been. Awful colorado has actually been better bullpen.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: Wise there's somewhere middle of the pack right. Now, yeah they're,
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: eleventh so give them. Credit their bullpend hasn't been as.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: Bad So i'll actually Give colorado a bullpen edge in this,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: game BUT i don't think it's that. SIGNIFICANT i don't
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: like either bullpen. Here houston's been really good on. Offense
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: they're second still in. Ops colorado started out, hot but
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: they've fallen a. BIT i don't think their offense is
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: very good on the, Road they're really not that good
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: typically if you're looking at like the last few years
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: the Way colorado's, played which makes sense. Anyway corps is
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: more of a hitter friendly Park. Colorado there's seventeenth in
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: ops right, now not a great. Offense Jose quintana will
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: pitch For colorado. Here i'd already forgotten about. Him he
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: made one start this season and then he got, hurt
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: and now he's coming. BACK i, mean he's a, veteran
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: so he's definitely used to, This SO i don't know
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: if he's gonna really be thrown off by coming back from.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: INJURY i think he'll be ready to get back out.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: There but his first start was a little bit. Questionable
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: he's got a four point one five, year one point
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: eighty five. Whip he walked four guys in four and
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: a third innings in that out and that was really
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: the main problem.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: There Against, miami the walk number was really.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: Bad but he actually had a pretty good season last
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: YEAR i think With. Milwaukee So, KINTANA i, mean he's
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: still giving it a go out.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: There.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: Man he's not a hard, thrower so you don't really
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: have to worry about his velocity having fallen off throughout
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: his career or.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: Whatever he's a guy that.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: Relies on command and control and placing the pitches correctly and.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Whatever Against, houston his numbers are Okay in sixty six
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: career at, bats fourteen to two strike a walk race,
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: here two seventy three batting average, allowed six seventy three.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: Ops those numbers are not, bad AND i think he
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: might do okay. HERE i think he might be pumped
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: to get back out there after having to deal with
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: another injury. There obviously they think he's ready to get
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: him back out. There and, again he's been in the
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: league for, forever so he's not going to be intimidated
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: or anything like.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: That he's used to. This Whereas Spencer arraghetti is pitching For,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: houston it looks like he h what is He jesus?
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: Now he looks like he hasn't caught his hair since
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: since since last, year which is the last time he
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: pitched in the. Majors he hasn't pitched since last, Year
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: so he might be the one that has the nerves
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: on him, man because he's still a young guy and
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: he hasn't pitched since last.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: SEASON i think he got hurt or.
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: Something his career numbers aren't really very, good, though four
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: point six to ninety one point four whip is way too.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: High his problem is his walk rate is unbelievably, high
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: like his strikeout rate is really. Good he comes in
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: there and he blows people. Away he has good STRIKEOUTS,
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: uf but his walk number is incredibly. High he walks
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: way too many, guys so that's his. Issue he throws,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: hard he's. Wild now he might not be quite. READ i,
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: mean obviously they think he's. Ready i'm sure he pitched
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: in the miners this. YEAR i decided not to play
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: the game, anyway SO i didn't look at what his
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: numbers looked like in the. MINERS i, mean if you
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: want to go do, that you can go find that
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: on multiple different. Sites but, again his first start of
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: The majors since somewhere in the middle of last. Year
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: he might be a little bit shakier Than. Kintana SO
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: i Think, Kintana i've talked about this, before right on the.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: SHOW i Think kitana has a little bit of an
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: advantage because he does have one start under his belt this,
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: season Whereas araghetty, doesn't And katana has more experience obviously
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: way more now ragedy against The, rockies his numbers are good,
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: though sixteen at bats four to one strike at walk
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: ratio one eighty eight batting average allowed for eighty five.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: Ops so he has done well Against colorado in the.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: Past what do we do with this? GAME i don't
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with, it but the money is
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: pretty heavily indicating On, Colorado so do with that information
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: what you. Want even THOUGH i KNOW i did say
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a bounce not really a bounce, back
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: but kind of a new momentum situation For. HOUSTON i
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: don't know IF i agree With houston in this. Game
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: the price is pretty high at minus one seventy nine
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: given how bad their bullpen, is and you could make
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: the argument That kintana has an edge Over aragedty LIKE
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: i just. Did you could definitely make the Argument colorado
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: has the better. Bullpen, Well i've made that argument last,
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: night and you know we've got the push on the
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: game last. Night but you could do a similar thing
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: and make a plus one run line With. Colorado here
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets On, houston fifty three percent
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: of the cash On. COLORADO i kind of lean that
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: way as. Well i'm not gonna disagree with the market
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: in that. ONE i don't hate it in that, one all.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: Right seattle At San diego, first you, know first instinct
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: when you See seattle in San diego is these two
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: teams pitch. Well this is a pitcher friendly park no
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: matter which one of these teams is the home. Team
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: so like my mind is just like under makes sense
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: in a game like, this it might in this game as.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: Well San diego won the game last night four to.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: One they're pretty hot right. Now they won a bunch
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: of games in a. Row their hitting has gotten a bit,
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: better although it's still middle of the. Pack both these
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: offenses started out really. Cold San diego's turned it around
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: a bit. More both these offenses do have, talent, though
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: But seattle has struggled offensively so.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: Far there's on the bottom. Third San diego has moved
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: up to the middle of the.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: PACK i Think San diego is kind of a mediocre
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: to good, OFFENSE i would, say BUT i Think seattle also.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: Is they just haven't turned it around.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: Yet both bullpens are in the top three In whip,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: now so AND i don't disagree that both bullpens are very.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: Good SO i think we know that we have good.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: Bullpens offense is maybe a little bit. Questionable San diego
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: used three relief pitchers. Yesterday seattle done a really good
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: job at managing their bullpen this. Year their bullpens seems
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: to always be, rested which maybe you, know makes their
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: numbers a bit better than maybe they should. Be but even,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: so they got some talent in that. Bullpen they're usually. Rested,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: good good bullpend management and. Whatever from This seattle. Team
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: they only use one relief pitcher, yesterday is WHAT i
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: was trying to. Say so both bullpens look pretty good
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: coming into this. One Emerson hancock is pitching For. Seattle
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: he's off to a good start this.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: Season.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean he's a guy that came in with
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: some hype and he hasn't really lived up to the
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: hype at. All like his career numbers aren't that, good
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: but this season can't really argue with what he's done
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: this season two point zero FOUR, era zero point seven
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: to four.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: WOMEN i, MEAN i guess the only argument.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: Would be he hasn't pitched that much, yet but he's
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: got a nineteen to three strikeout walk ratio and only
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: ten hits allowed in seventeen to two thirds.
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: Innings all those numbers are.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: GOOD i guess the one other argument you could make
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: is he's getting.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: A little bit.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: Worse he just had his worst start of the season so.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: Far Against, houston he only lasted five, innings did hold
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: them still to three earned runs and still picked up
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: a win in that, outing and then.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: Five strikeouts two.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: Walks houston's been hitting really well this, year SO i
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: don't think that was really that bad of an. Outing
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: and Against San, diego he's seen them a bit and
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: he has good numbers against them for the most. Part
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: thirty two at bats three to two strike out walk ratio.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: Is not that, good but two nineteen.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: Batting average allowed six to zero eight batting or ops
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: six that would be. Ridiculous batting average six oh eight.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: Ops those are good numbers Against San. Diego SO i
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: think maybe we can actually Trust handcock. Here maybe we
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: have to change our opinions on both guys Because Randy
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: vasquez is pitching For San diego, here he. Can't he's
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: a guy that is still pretty, young and he's got
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: some upside as. Well And i've talked about how he
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: walks way too many.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: Guys AND i just think that he kind of.
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: Stinks BUT i might have to change change my thoughts
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: about him, man because he is starting to pitch better
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: AND i can't really argue with his numbers one point
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: oh TWO era one point oh eight with this. SEASON i,
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: Mean i'll argue that THAT era is unsustainably, low but
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: looking at his, numbers they've been good this, season similar
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: To hancock in seventeen to two thirds, innings nineteen, strikeouts four,
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: walks fifteen hits. Allowed none of that is, bad and
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: he doesn't seem to be, regressing like you, know on
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: the wrong trajectory or.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: Whatever he's been.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: Pretty solid in all three, starts so, yeah he's off
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: to a good. Start and Against, seattle they really haven't
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: seen much of. Them they only have three hitters have
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: ever faced him, before and the majority of it Is
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: Brendan donovan who's two ar eight off him with a
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: triple uh That they only have nine at bats total
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: against him with a two twenty two batting, average one,
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: strikeout two. Walks Josh naylor does have two walks against
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: him and an eight to EIGHT.
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: Ops so, overall, YEAH i think you have two good.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: BULLPENS i think you have two starting pitchers where the
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: public is gonna look and these are not name, pitchers
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: let's just put it that.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: Way the public is not gonna want.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: Them like playing under in this, game with the with
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: a pitching matchup with these. Names BUT i think the
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: under does make sense in this. GAME i think, again
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: you have two starters that have looked good so far
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: of the. Season bullpens are, good it's a pitcher friendly.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: Ballpark the offenses are a bit in question right. NOW
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: i like the under. Here the total is at. Eight
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: it's actually gone, up so the money's actually disagreeing with.
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: Me BUT i think under makes sense.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: Here seventy five percent of, tickets ninety nine percent of
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over total up to, eight so
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: you're getting it above that key.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: Number seven and a half.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: There do it this information what you want and the
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: money is coming in On San diego for what that's.
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: Worth they flip to him minus one eleven. Favorite sixty
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets are On. Seattle so the public
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: still Want seattle because they have that perception of having
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: the better, offense which isn't even true this season so.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: Far and you, know because of the Oh seattle hud
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: all the hype coming into the season. Again they made
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: The alcs last year almost won that you know, Whatever,
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: uh fifty percent of the cash On San diego, THOUGH
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: i don't really have a reason to. DISAGREE i, mean
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: does look Like. Hancock you could make the argument that
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: he is on the wrong trajectory a little, bit with
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: his worst start being the most recent. One you don't
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: really see that With vazquez right. Now So i'm not
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: going to really disagree with The San diego side, there
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: BUT i think under is the WAY i prefer. There
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: and speaking of going against the, market we're doing it
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: in this last. Game this last game is the best
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: Bet texas at The A's and this is a rarity for.
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: Me where we're gonna have two overs.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: Today we're gonna go over In texas and the Homeless a's.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: Here this, ONE i know is above that key number
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: nine and a Half, ALREADY i saw the nine and
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: a half out there at minus one, fourteen minus one.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: Fifteen that's probably WHAT i would do if you want
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: to go the over. Ten it's really not that much
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: of a difference because the key number is. Nine so
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: if this number gets a little bit too, high LIKE
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: i would not lay minus one twenty.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: Just to get nine and a half instead of, ten.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: You know WHAT i, Mean there's like no difference between
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: those two numbers because the key numbers are all the odd,
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: numbers SO i would just move up to going with
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: ten at the better price if it was.
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: At minus one.
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: Twenty BUT i think this game has a lot to
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: it where it might go. OVER i, mean first of,
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: all we're in The a's The TRIPLE A. Stadium The
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: a's playing In, sacramento which everybody knows is a very
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: hit or friendly, environment so we start off with. That,
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: yeah it looks like it should be over type of game.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: HERE i wanted to see the. Weather we don't really
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: see what the weather looks like. HERE i wanted to
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: see how warm it's gonna be In Sarah, sistom because
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: warmth helps the overs as. Well yesterday's game was a
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: two to one. Game the first game barely got over
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: the eight and a half THAT i thought was a low.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: Total so both games so far in the series have
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: gone under this.
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: Total it might make people shy away from this, total
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: BUT i, mean, dude, dude we're still looking at a
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: very hit or friendly ballpark, here AND i think the
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: pitching was actually more conducive to an under than you
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: would think in those last two games where we Had
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: evaldi gave us a good start in that first game
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: and then last night Was gore Against. Springs, DUDE i
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: THINK i MENTIONED i kind of thought the under was
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: the possibility in that game. YESTERDAY i believe those pitchers
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: both were pretty. Good that's not what we're looking at
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: here in this pitching matchup.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: Now texas is bulpen is, good SO i know we
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: have to dodge, that BUT i think if the starter
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: For texas does not make get that, far we're okay
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: fading their bullpen. Here they used four relief, pitchers, Yes,
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: toda though granted they only use two of them for
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: very few, pitches but still there's a little bit of
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: usage there in The texas. Bullpen The a's bullpen is
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: just not good and they use four relief pitchers as,
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: well Though alvarado for one. Pitch but, WHATEVER i think both,
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: bullpens you, know the way that we're factoring this into the, Game,
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: like first of, all The a's bullpen is. Fadable they're
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: the twenty third best bullpen and whip which is. Bad
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: they're a bad. Bullpen texas is a good, bullpen they're ninth.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: Best but, AGAIN i think we could fade them here
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: in this game as, well just BECAUSE i think the
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: bullpen might have to get more usage than they would want,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: here and they're not totally.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: Rested LIKE i, said.
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: When you go over AND i never do over first
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: five innings really BECAUSE i think if it goes over first,
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: FIVE i think it's cascading into the, bullpens you know
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: WHAT i. Mean Kumar rockers pitching for The. RANGERS i
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: still don't really trust this. Guy four point five yrras
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: so far this year isn't too. Bad one point four
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: whip is not exactly. Good he's still not looking that good.
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: Man ten innings, pitched eight strikeouts is not even that
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: high of a strikeout. Rate three, walks eleven hits, allowed
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: two home runs allowed five and runs.
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: Less so the other thing is the home runs have
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: been a.
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: Problem he's allowed more fly balls than ground balls, here
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: a couple of home. Runs last year he allowed a
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: lot of home, Runs SO i think he's definitely fatable.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: Here THOUGH i know we're looking at The a's here
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: and not The dodgers who he faced in the last,
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: game but, still you look at what his numbers are
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: against The, a's those aren't. GOOD i know it's a
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: very small seventeen at bats sample, size but they've raked
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: against him two, strikeouts one, walk five eighty eight batting
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: average of fourteen to thirty five. OPS i know that's unsustainably,
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: ridiculous but, still.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: He has not done well against.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: Them and he pitched in this ballpark last, year so,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: yeah that means he's used to. It but it was
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: an atrocious start in this. Ballpark he went one and two.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: Thirds he allowed five earned runs on seven, hits and then,
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: hilariously the bullpen didn't allow anything after he was out
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: of the, game which hopefully that doesn't happen, here but
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: that's highly. Unlikely it was an awful start for him
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: in that, Game so his start against them in that
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: game wasn't. GOOD i guess that was his only start
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: against The a's last year as, Well so, yeah but
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: The a's at least did have that one game where
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: they did face him last, year and he was not
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: Good in this, Environment he's going up against J. T
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: gin who is to, me he's not like a full fledged.
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: Starter his numbers look pretty good, here BUT i think
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: he's mostly worked out of the. Bullpen three point two
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: SEVENTY r point nine one whip good, Numbers, yeah but you,
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: know not a high strike got. Rate eight strikeouts in eleven,
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: innings hasn't allowed a lot of. Hits seven, hits that's.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: Fine three walks is a little bit. HIGH i don't
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: think he's that. Good and if you look at his
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: numbers this, season just his relief appearances by, far his
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: two worst appearances were both in this, stadium like his
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: appearances on the, road were both scoreless appearances where he went.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: Longer at, home he went two innings and one in
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: the third, innings both Against. Houston THOUGH i know they've hit,
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: well they're a better offense Than, texas but still he
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: allowed touring runs in each of those, outings like. Easily
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: his worst two outings were his home outings this, year
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: so that's not. GOOD i don't think he pitches well
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: in this, ballpark and we can figure that out because
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: he was pitching in this ballpark last year and at
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: home he had a six point eight FIVE vr compared
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: to three point one to four on the. Road so
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: he was abysmal at home last, year and he allowed
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: twelve home runs on the road in almost the same excuse,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: me abysmal at home and allowed twelve home runs at
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: home and almost the same amount of innings that he
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: allowed five in on the, road so he was allowing home.
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: Runs that's not good.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: Either, yeah even though he has a decent ground ball,
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: rate but he was still allowing a lot of home
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: runs in this one in this, Park so that's not.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: Good And texas is seen him for forty four at.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: Batsworth he doesn't have good numbers against. Him five to five,
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: strego walk ratio, three forty, one batting average one thirteen.
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: Ops those are all bad. Numbers so these, pitchers they
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: have not pitched well in this. Stadium they don't have
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: good matchup numbers against these opposing. HITTERS i think that
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: might cascade into the. BULLPENS i don't know If gin's
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: gonna last in this game that. Long, anyway The a's,
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: bullpen at the very least is not good hitter friendly.
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: Ballpark we'll do, it we'll go over in this, one
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: but the money is not agreeing with. Me total sitting
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: at nine and have you might actually be able to
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: get a better number on this seventy eight percent of
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: the tickets on the over and eighty three percent of
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: the casual on the. Under what is going? On the
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: money's coming on in the? Under, OBVIOUSLY i don't agree
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: with that over the, Total, yeah is my recommendation. Here
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: that's my last. Play maybe it's the weakest of the,
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: three but we're going with. It the market's not always
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: gonna be, right ALTHOUGH i don't really like fading the,
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: market but LIKE i, SAID i find myself doing that
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: more in baseball than any other. Sport, really the markets
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: still agree with me on the red sox for what that's,
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: worth and then we don't really see good numbers on
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: the other over THAT i have. Here, yeah very difficult
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: to gauge. Anyway as far as the side is. Concerned
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: in this, game the money is indicating on The a's
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: for what that's.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: WORTH i don't have a strong opinion on.
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: That sixty percent of the tickets are On texas and
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash on the.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: A's a's up to minus one p.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: Fifteen if you want to make the argument That ginn
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: is more used to pitching in this stadium Than rocker,
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: is And rocker got rocked in the, STADIUM i could
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: see that argument being, made but, YEAH i don't feel
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: that strongly about that at.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: ALL i like the. Over that's where we're.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: Going and then the final game Is mets And dodgers ON,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: espn and THEN i might take a quick, break and
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: then we really don't have that much to talk about after,
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: this just, hockey WHICH i have nothing, in and THEN
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: Nba i'm skipping as. Well but at least it's playing
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: stuff which is interesting at the very. LEAST i guess
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: now this is the end of the series here and
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: The mets still have not been able to break out
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: of the. Slump they've lost seven games in a. Row,
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: NOW i thought they'd be able to do it yesterday
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: With noan McLain on the momb but it WAS i
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: thought it was a pitching matchup in that game as.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: Well the game did go way under McClain Against, yamamoto
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: but The mets lost the game late in the. GAME
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: i think it was like an eighth, inning eighth inning
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: run that gave The dodgers the win last.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: Night that's kind of a brutal way to lose for The.
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: Mets SO i don't like that because The mets might
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: be a little bit hungover after the way they lost
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: that game and they should have had that. Win, however
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: you know they're still going to show up and try
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: to win this game because they're trying to break this
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: long losing.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: Streak they don't want to.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: Get swept, here so there is still that The dodgers
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: might just take them lightly after beating them twice. Already
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: but then, again you know they had a little bit
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: of a scary but it's still a.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: Big win when you beat The.
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: METS i don't really see The dodgers looking ahead To, colorado,
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i don't think they really care about that looking
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: at this match up, Here dodgers have been pretty good
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: bullpen why so farut of this year, sixth The mets are.
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: EIGHTH i think The mets might have a slightly better bullpen,
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: though but The dodgers definitely have improved a lot from
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: last year's, bullpen which was their one main. Weakness dodgers'
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: offense is the. Elite we know, this we DON'T i
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: really go into. That The mets offense has been terrible this,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: year BUT i think they're clearly better than.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: That but they've been dealing with injuries and stuff like.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: That but either, way you got to give The dodgers
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: a hitting, edge but it's probably not as significant as
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: maybe the numbers would. Suggest right, Now Clay holmes is
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: pitching for The. Mets he has good numbers so far
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: out of this, year but you, Know i'm not a.
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: Fan one point five, yra one point one to one,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: whip those are good. Numbers but if you dive into
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: his other, numbers twelve to eight strike a walk, ratio
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: that IS i, mean come, on that's not. Good he's
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: only allowed twelve hits in eighteen, innings so that is.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: Good he hasn't been very, hittable but.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: Eight walks is.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: Insane you can't walk that many, guys, man along with
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: not striking a strikecking out a lot of.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: Guys, again it's him And David.
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: Peterson, man they get all these ground, balls and it
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: throws me off because yet Again holmes is inducing all
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: these ground balls and that allows him to get out
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: of a lot of these.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: Jams or he's putting these guys on.
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: Base but, still when you put guys on, base you
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna score a lot of the.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: Time but you can't just keep like getting out of.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: Jams excuse, ME i was about to.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: SNEEZE i THINK i stopped it, though all right, Anyway,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: uh But holmes does have pretty good numbers against The.
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: Dodgers believe it or not in thirty seven at bast
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: twelve seven straight out walk ratio one sixty two average,
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: allowed five point thirty nine ohps.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: Allowed, again it's too.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: Many walks, Though so again this is Very holmes esque
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: where he allows he's solving. Mysteries, man he is a, mystery,
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: actually Mister. Holmes, YEAH i mean it's too many. Walks
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: still against The, dodgers that's a bad. Ratio but again
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: he hasn't allowed them many hits to. Them but, again
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: if you keep putting guys on, base even if they
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: don't score as much against you as they do against other,
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: people still.
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: Like you're more likely to give up runs by putting
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: guys on base than by not doing. It you know
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: WHAT i. Mean it's.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: Ridiculous so you can't keep putting that many guys on.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: Base Sho Hey otani is pitching for The dodgers. Year
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: he has a ZERO era and two starts this year
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: in a point seventy five.
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: Whip we know he's pretty.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: Good does have an eight to four strike a walk,
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: Ratio So vardos who he has walked too many, Guys
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: but maybe you give him a pass because it was
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: a shaky first. Start maybe where he walked three guys
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: but still one hit The indians in that, outing so
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: that's not even that. Bad he's only allowed five hits
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: in twelve. Innings he's allowed one run.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: And it was.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: Unearned he's been, good no doubt about. It up against The,
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: mets The mets have not really seen much of. Him
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: The mets only have thirty six at bats. Against only
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: three of their heroes have seen him before fifteen to
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: five strike, out walk razio two twenty two average allowed
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: and six fifty, ops so The mets are pretty unfamiliar with,
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: him except For bobaschett Because bobashett did see him in
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: The World series and. Whatever bashett has had some success
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: off him three for eight with a home, run three,
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: walks three, strikeouts but other than, that they have not
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: had success Against otani and most of the hitters have
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: never faced him.
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: Before SO i Think otani does have a decent match up.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: HERE i think he.
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: MATCHED i think he's the better of the two pitchers
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: Against Clay. Holmes but the money is fading The dodgers
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: because they're at minus two pH seven down for minus
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: two to twenty eighty nine percent of the tickets and
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on The, Dodgers so
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: the money is saying to take The mets. Here and
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: WHILE i agree The mets should be motivated to avoid
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: the sweep and break this losing.
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: STREAK i don't like the match up.
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: HERE i DON'T i Think otani should Outpitch homes in this.
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: ONE i, MEAN i think if you lean that way
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: towards The, dodgers you, know maybe first five inning makes more.
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: SENSE i haven't looked at the bullpen, usage. Though let
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: me Say mets only use one relief pitcher, Yesterday dodgers
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: only used two OLDOUGH i think they might have used
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: their closer because they had to finish it off in
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: the ninth inning last. Night, YEAH i, mean maybe you
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: could still go full game, though because The dodgers' bullpen
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: is still pretty. Rested they haven't been that bad this.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: YEAR i still lean to The dodgers in this. One,
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: MAN i just don't see It homes Versus. Otani the
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: situation and the motivation does kind of Say mets. HERE
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: i have to try to get that to coincide with
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: the matchup, though and it's, just, YEAH i can't figure
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: it out in that one so the money's looking like
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: it's coming in slightly towards the over in that game as,
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: well you know WHAT i, Mean maybe the better way
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: to do this is to Go you could Go dodgers
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: over their team, totals BECAUSE i don't Trust, homes but
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: he does have decent numbers against The, dodgers so there is.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: THAT i don't, know, MAN i just don't want anything
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: to do with the, game, Obviously but those are my
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: thoughts on. It you can try to parse my words,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: there but OBVIOUSLY i don't feel strongly about that game
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: in any particular. Way we're gonna talk ABOUT nhl in a.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: Second i'll be right, back and then we do HAVE.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: Nba it's not gonna be very interesting really BECAUSE nhl
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: we're at the end of the season where there's not
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of motivation to talk.
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: About.
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: Here i'm skipping the rest of, this but we will
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: talk about all these games in a. Second all, right
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: we got A nhl, here.
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 2: We have what it's a six GAMES i. THINK i, mean,
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: again none of.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: These games are really that interesting because the motivation just
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: isn't really there and the playoff field is pretty much settled.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: HERE i got the standings up just to double check,
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: it and teams are gonna be looking ahead to the.
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: Playoffs like in this first Game dallas And.
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: Buffalo, buffalo we already know they're gonna play The bruins
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: because The bruins won.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: Last, Night so at least The bruins get to Avoid.
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: Caroline maybe The bruins have a shot Against Buffalo. Dallas
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: we know they're playing The wild in the first round,
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: two so both these teams already know who their first
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: round opponent is gonna.
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: Be this game's ON Tnt Hrio Max.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: True, NOW i Think dallas is the better of these two.
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: Teams buffalo kind of came from out of nowhere this.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: Year dallas is very much a staple. Here but, again
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: how do we handygat this. Game we don't even really
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: know what motivation is gonna be. Here dallas is coming
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: up Beating toronto the other, night which was a game
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: Where dallas actually had to come back in that. Game
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: toronto was beating them five to, THREE i, think And
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: dallas came back and won the. Game maybe you could
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: argue that was a. Scare De smith was in net
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: there so Probably. Oughtnger we'll get the start here just
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: to get them ready for the playoffs and. Whatever buffalo
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: Beat chicago in a blowout five to, one so, yeah
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: you know, WHAT i would slightly lean Towards dallas in
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: this game for that. Reason buffalo looks public here for some.
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: Reason ninety, tickets ninety eight percent of the cash On.
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: BUFFALO i don't really get. It dallas is at minus one.
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: ELEVEN i Think dallas coming up that little bit of
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: a scare bringing their starting goalie back in for this.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: One buffalo off a, blowout even though it was against
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: the Lowly chicago. Team it is their final home, game
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: so maybe they want to give the fans something here
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: and test themselves Against. Dallas i'm gonna kind of lean
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: Towards dallas. HERE i wouldn't really disagree with an over.
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: Either seventy seven percent of, tickets ninety seven percent of
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: the couch on the, over because when you have two
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: teams with the motivation and question, here you, know you
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: don't really tend to see intense. Defense so that's something
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: to consider as. Well, There, zach what's up? Man, yes
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: the under hit in that game with The royals. Game
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: Your royals lost that game as. WELL i didn't care
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: who won or who. LOST i just wanted it to
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: go Under rangers At Tampa. Bay Tampa, bay you could
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: argue they have something to play for here because it's
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: still not. DECIDED i think it is decided that they're
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: gonna Play. MONTREAL i think maybe that's, YEAH i think
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: that is. Decided yeah we, Know, Yeah buffalo already clinched the.
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: DIVISION i guess wins are two points not. THREE i
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: don't know WHAT i was. Thinking, yeah we already Know
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: buffalo And boston is a first round, matchup SO i
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: think that Means tampa And montreal is a guaranteed first
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: round matchup as. Well but the question is who's hosting?
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: It So Tampa bay currently as the, tiebreaker but they
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: need to win to make sure that they stay at,
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: home which they probably do. Want but does that mean
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: is there gonna be pressure on them?
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: Here?
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: Like what is this game gonna look like The rangers
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: obviously they're done for the, season but they have been
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: better on the. Road maybe they want to try to
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: get a win at the end of the season against
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: a good team. Here they're playing a third road game
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: in the last five, days which isn't that. Great they
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: just lost At, florida so they are playing In. Florida
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: they're already In. Florida the interesting thing, is, Well Tampa
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: bay just Beat. Detroit that was a pretty good win for.
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: THEM i guess will they show up in this? GAME
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: i mean it seems like they should if they want
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: to make sure they get home ice Against, montreal who
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: they just lost, to by the way on the, road
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: and they just lost To montreal at home.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: Too Although i'm gonna tell.
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: YOU i Like Tampa bay to Beat montreal in that
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: in that, Matchup i'm pretty SURE i think people are
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be. Misled we'll talk about it when it first,
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: happens But Tampa bay might be a play for me
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: in that uh in the first game in that series
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: or something like.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: That, anyway what was like a what else WAS i
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: gonna say? Here? Oh? Yeah?
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: Well the other thing to consider is the line is
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: way low, Here Like Tampa bay was gonna be minus
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: two to h, five which makes, sense but now they're
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty. Five so that Means Tampa bay must
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: be resting some of their. Guys but are they really
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: doing that when whole mice is on the. LINE i
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going. On here man the, line it
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy to Play. Tampa But, THOLSO i
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: don't THINK i could do. That fifty eight percent of,
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty percent of the cash On. Tampa money looks
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: like it is coming in On. Tampa they are the
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: one team here with something to actually technically still play for.
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: HERE i don't know why the line is where it,
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: is THOUGH i really. Don't it probably Means vasilevsky is
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: not gonna be in net for. Them uh, yeah it'll
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: probably Be. JOHANSSON i, Mean vesilevsky usually plays a few
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: games in a.
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: Row they might want to get.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: HIM i guess rested for the playoffs at this point
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: because he played in the previous.
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: GAME i don't.
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't know what's going on in this, game
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: but even if he was not, playing you'd think the
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: line would be higher than. This i'm confused by. It
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: i'm passing on the Game detroit At. Florida detroit might
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: be a bit more disappointed because they just got. ELIMINATED
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: i think they. Might they got eliminated By New jersey
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: and then they came off of that and they actually
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: put in a big effort At Tampa bay and lost in.
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: Overtime So detroit might just have nothing.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: Left.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: Man you, know they were that close to maybe making the.
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: Playoffs they put in a final, GASP i think Against Tampa.
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: BAY i Know florida's disappointed because they went back to
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: Back Stanley cups and they're not even making the playoffs this,
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: year but they knew that a while go, now and
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be like a final home game For,
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: Florida SO i Think florida might actually be the side
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: to look at. Here detroit just might not have anything
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: left For this one looks kind of a hangover. Spot
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: florida beat The rangers in their last game in a
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: return home. Spot this is their last game of the.
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: Season they might want to give the fans something to
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: close the season with because they know they're not going
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: to the. PLAYOFFS i Lean florida and this. One all
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: the money is not agreeing with. Me seventy seven percent of,
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety seven percent of the cash On. DETROIT i
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: don't really get, it although again lack of. Motivation very
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: difficult to Gauge detroit up from minus one thirty to
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty, Three so the money's coming in out Of.
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: DETROIT i don't. KNOW i think you're Getting florida.
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: At a decent price here in a very questionable spot For.
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: Detroit Getting florida is a big dog. HERE i WOULDN'T
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: i would not disagree with an over either though sixty
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: two percent of, tickets seventy one percent of the cash
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: on the. Over it's gone up to six again because
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: neither team really has much to play for. Here, well
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: neither team has anything to play for, really so that's
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: the type of game where you tend to get not
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: intense Defense toronto At. Ottawa, toronto they're coming off a tough, game,
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: Man LIKE i, said they had a they had the
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: lead Against dallas five to, three and then they somehow
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: lost the, game so they might be a little.
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: Bit hung over after. That.
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: Man even though these two teams don't like each, other
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: this is the last game of the season For, toronto
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: so you think they try to get up for this.
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: Game ottawa might not pay attention Because ottawa was already
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: in the, playoffs So outa was looking forward to the
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: playoffs at this.
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: Point so it's really a negative spot for both. Teams.
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i Think toronto should show, up but it's gonna
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: be tough to get off the mat after That dallas
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: game where they almost pulled off the big. Upset ottawa
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: doesn't have anything to prove. Here audo was already locked
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: into the last wild. Card we already Know autawa was Playing.
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: Carolina i'm pretty sure. So and they just Beat carolina
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: in the last game they played against, them by the,
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: Way but, yeah they're not gonna Beat carolina in a
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: seven game. Series i'm. Sorry, Anyway ottawa did just lose
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: to The. Devils this is their final home. Game they've
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: had a couple of days off. Here BUT i don't,
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: know IF i see, IT i Think, Ottawa, yeah they
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: might be looking ahead to the playoffs at this. Point
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna Lean toronto slightly. Here auto is down for
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: minus two to twenty five to minus one to eighty,
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: one seventy two percent of tickets but eighty seven percent
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: of the cash on. Them so it looks like the
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: money is somewhat indicating On. Ottawa but, again LIKE i
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: was talking about With Tampa, bay the money being on,
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: THEM i don't, know could be a little bit. MISLEADING i,
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: mean a lot of it clearly probably just has to
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: do with the, Price like it might just be professional
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: betters coming in and, saying holy, crap that price is
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: like too low at this.
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: Point let's just take some of. It you. Know maybe
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 2: that's what they're. DOING i don't, know but.
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah this, GAME i think it over makes sense in
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: This Toronto autawa game. TOO i KNOW i sound like
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: a broken, record but that's how you handicap these lack
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: of motivation. Games sixty percent of, tickets ninety three percent
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the. Over the total is high
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: at six and a. HALF i, agree especially Because toronto's
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: coming up that almost upset Of detroit And autawa might
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: just start looking. Ahead so, YEAH i think over does
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: make sense in that.
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: Game San jose.
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: At chicago, again two teams have nothing to play. For
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: chicago just got blown out By buffalo at. Home maybe
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: they want to put together one final performance here because
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: they've lost three straight home. Games maybe that'll motivate them
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: enough to try to get this win here to finish
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: off the. Season San jose may be a little bit
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: more disappointed because they did get close to making the
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: playoffs and they got eliminated despite winning Against. Nashville the
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: other things didn't go their, way so they got knocked out,
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: anyway they have a game left tomorrow Against, winnipeg WHEREAS
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: i Believe chicago does. Not So chicago might be a
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: little bit more motivated there, too because it's their last.
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: Game that was a big win For San jose Against,
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: nashville so they put in a lot of effort. There
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: we got to win with that game on the. SHOW
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: i Think chicago's the right side on this. One that's
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: the WAY i would lean in this. One, again the
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: market doesn't seem to. Agree seventy percent, tickets ninety one
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on The. Sharks they're at minus
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: won twenty. Three i'd probably lean, yeah towards Taking chicago
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: as the home dog. Though THAT'S i think WHAT i
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: would do, there and Then seattle At. Vegas vegas actually
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: st something to play. For they could still win their.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: Division they're currently leading their, division but they need to
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: clinch the division. Still they're two points ahead Of edmonton right,
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: now so there is something to play.
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: For BUT i think they're gonna be over valued in
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: the market.
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: Now seattle might get up for it because it's the
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: last game of the, season they get to play a
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: good team Like, vegas but they Do, actually it's not
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: their last game this.
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: Season my.
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: Mistake they have a game Against colorado next to my.
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: Mistake BUT i Think seattle might get up for a
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: game Against.
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: Vegas the thing, Is vegas might get.
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: Up for this game against them Because vegas lost To
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: seattle In seattle, recently and that was the only loss
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: That vegas has had under The John tortorella era since
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: he came. In they've been a hot team And seattle's
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: the only team that beat, Them so they might want
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: to Get seattle for that reason. Too they might have
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: adjustments to make there because that was a pretty ugly,
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: loss and they clearly are the better, teams so they
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: might actually show up for all these reasons That i'm
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: talking about.
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: Here SO i wouldn't.
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: Want to Fade vegas, here BUT i think you know
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be paying too much of a price For.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: Vegas threw up to mind is too EIGHTY i mean
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: that is a pretty brutal price. There eighty one percent of,
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety seven percent of the cash on.
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: Them no, way there's no WAY i could do.
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: IT i, mean if you want, TO i don't, know
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: if you want to Go vegas over their team total
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: or something like that just go With vegas to put
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: up some goals in this, game because they should give
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: you an effort hero though usually effort means.
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: Deepfense BUT i don't.
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't love these team total unders in hockey, either,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't. Know i'm just not really a totals
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: guy in any sport besides.
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 2: Baseball. Really. Though we did get.
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: A winner barely in THE nba WHEN i gave out
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: a total the other. Day but, yeah we're passing on
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: this whole, board, man for THE. Nhl let's go to
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: THE nba. Here it'll get more interesting when the playoffs.
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: Start for THE NHL, Nba magic and sixers is the
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: first game. UP i think the reason why the board
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: was flipped last night was because the the seven to eight,
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: GAME i, think is always, first even though it was
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: The West coast game last, night so it was the
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: later game, chronologically but the seven eight game always gets
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: the first listing and whatever you want to call. It
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: in the, rotator they get listed first in the. Rotation
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: it's called the, rotation all, Right magic gets six or
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: six ers or two point, favorite having flipped from a
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: one and a half point. DOG i don't know what
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: caused that move Because Joel embiid is not playing in this.
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: Game i'm pretty sure that's already. Known And bed still
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: recovering from an appendeck to, me so he's not gonna
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: play in this. Game how the money is coming in
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: on The magic fifty three percent of tickets sixty eight
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on The, MAGIC.
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 2: I kind of agree with.
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: IT i know this game is In, philadelphia but both
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: teams have playoff experience, Recently they've both been in the playoffs.
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: RECENTLY i think experience is pretty much a wash. Here
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: WHAT i think that people are gonna be focused on
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: is how Did orlando lose to The celtics?
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: Backups you know WHAT i?
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: MEAN i think that's what people are gonna have in their,
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: Heads like they lost to The celtics, backups how could
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: they possibly Beat?
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia you know WHAT i? Mean in a game that.
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: Mattered BUT i think that means That orlando might decide
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: to look at because you know, me when a team
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: loses as a double digit, favorite And orlando was a
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: double digit favorite in that game at The. Celtics when
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: they lose a game like, that a lot of times
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: they will show up with a better effort in the next.
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: Game that might be the, case although then, again playing
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: The celtics is a big, deal even if you're playing their,
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: Backups SO i don't know that gives me a little
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: bit of. Pause philadelphia into the season by Beating indiana And,
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: MILWAUKEE i, mean that's just. Whatever that's not really an
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: indicator of.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: Anything if we look at the.
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: Regular season matchups, HERE i almost think we could throw
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: all of it out Because philadelphia won the first, matchup.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: AND i BELIEVE.
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: I think it was LIKE i actually think it was
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: like the full complement of players on The philadelphia. Side,
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: actually let me, see this is In, october, though so
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter that.
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: Much philadelphia won the game at home by double.
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: Digits it looks, like, yeah all the starters were there For,
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: orlando but For philadelphia they didn't have embiid Or.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 2: George so what do we even take away from. THAT
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 2: i have no. Idea And philadelphia still won that game
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: the next.
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: Game orlando blew Out philadelphia At philadelphia in the next,
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: game so they do have the ability to blow them.
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: Out i'm pretty Sure embian And george and maybe Even Edge.
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 2: COMB i think a lot.
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: Of guys are out of that game For philadelphia, though
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: so AGAIN i don't know how much we could take
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: away from. That that was Around thanksgiving, time and Then
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: philadelphia did. Win the most recent game In, Orlando philadelphia
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: won by double, digits and that, GAME i Think orlando
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: had some injuries. THERE i Think wagner was out for that.
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: One Maybe suggs was out, Too so the load was On.
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: Banchero people call them Bank. Caroro i'm, like that's not, right, Dude.
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: BUNCHEO i don't know. Anyway, YEAH i don't, know. Man
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: SO i Think PHILADELPHIA i, think is two and one
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: Against orlando this. Season BUT i think you just throw
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: it all, out is WHAT i was about to. Say
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: because neither team had their full compliment of players in those.
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: Games SO i don't think we can really gauge anything
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: from any of those. Games i'm gonna lean To orlando
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: though the money is Saying, Orlando i'm not gonna make
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: this a play or anything like, that BUT i Think
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: orlando might be decided to look at.
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 2: There the money is coming in that.
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: Way, AGAIN i think people are just gonna be making
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: fun of them because of that performance against The. Celtics
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: so that's What i'm gonna go With sixers seem to
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: be a little bit. Discombobulated you, know Without, embiid they're
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: not gonna have that like threat in the, paint WHICH
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: i think that would be a big advantage for The
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: sixers if they had him in, there because The magic
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: don't really have the size to compete with. That but
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: with him out of, there that makes The magic's job
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: a lot easier because what The magic have is that
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: they're really.
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 2: Good, Defense like they have really good defensive guard play
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 2: for The.
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: Magic so that's what we got going on, there which
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: MEANS i think The magic are gonna wind up playing
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: The celtics again in the first round of the, playoffs
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: which hopefully The celtics would win that.
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 2: Series dirty, sock what's? Up thanks for hanging out all?
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: Right and then as far as the, total the total
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: has gone way up to two twenty four and a.
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: Half a lot of money coming in on the, over
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: driving that up six. Points don't know if that's like
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: just Because embiid is not going to be in there playing,
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: defense if he can even do that at this, POINT
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: i don't really get. It money kind of coming in
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: on the over seventy seven percent of, tickets eighty six
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: CASH i would kind of lean under in this.
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: GAME i, mean these are two teams that don't really
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: play at a particularly fast.
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: Pay The MAGIC i think tried to and then, realize, yeah.
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: That's not gonna, work AND i think they kind of
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: started slowing things down. Again but in this first, game you,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: know you get the playoff, atmosphere you get the. Defense you,
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: KNOW i think an under might make, Sense AND i
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: think last night both games might have gotten over last,
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 1: Night so that's gonna cause a lot of people to
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: hesitate to want to play unders. Here but there is
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: a strong trend towards unders in these first round, Games
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: i'm pretty, sure especially the seven eight, GAMES i.
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: Believe but also last night you, had, like you, know
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 2: THE i think The heat and The hornets was kind
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 2: of an over like type of style of.
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: Games SO i don't, know doing that information what you
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: all want To warriors Of, clippers this game is really
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: difficult to figure. Out The clippers are up from three
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: and a half to five and a, half sixty, tickets
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash on The. CLIPPERS i do
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: think The clippers are gonna win this. Game Golden. STATE i,
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: MEAN i know they have a lot of. Experience you,
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: know they Have Steph curry. Back of, Course butler's not coming.
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 1: Back if we look at what these teams did during
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: the regular, SEASON.
• 1:52:54
  Speaker 2: I believe they played four. Times let me.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: See, yeah The clippers got blown out At Golden state
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: early in the, season but that was With butler And
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: Curry bolt then there and The CLIPPERS i don't. Know,
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 1: YEAH i don't know what they did BECAUSE i Think
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: Kawhi leonard was. There clippers Had Zoo bach back then,
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: too SO i DON'T i don't know how much we
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: could really even draw from.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 2: That it was a horrible game for The, clippers.
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: Though clippers bounce back and Beat Golden state In january
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: at home by one in a game WHERE i think
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: Also butler And curry.
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 2: Were both in that. GAME i think it was Before butler's.
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: Injury most recently they played In, march WHICH i believe
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: was a game with No butler And i'm not sure
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: If curry was in that game or.
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 2: Not that was a win for The clippers as.
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: Well On march second In Golden, state and then The
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: clippers won again in literally the last game of the
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: regular season for The. Clippers they Beat Golden state by
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: five and only covered.
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: Like the lower closing.
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: NUMBERS i think it dropped all the way from like
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: six to three and a. HALF i don't know why
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: the line moved like, that but The clippers did not
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: have the greatest game in that. GAME i think they
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: probably should have won that game more, easily and they.
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: DID i think they had a bigger lead than. THAT
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: i kind of like The clippers in this, one BUT
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: i don't THINK i want to lay five and a.
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: Half And i'm gonna tell you why the line is
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: that high in a. Second BUT i mean it was
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: almost that high in this game, too but not quite
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: but this. GAME i, mean The clippers did struggle a
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: little bit in that, game but still The clippers are
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: three and one Against Golden state this, season straight Up
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: Golden state.
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 2: Again that was their last game of season.
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: Two they did, lose SO i guess there is MAYBE
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: i guess you could argue there's some zigzag potential, here
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: but if you look at that game, statistically The, Clippers
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: i'm pretty sure with.
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 2: A better team.
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: Here let me, SEE i looked at it, earlier BUT
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: i just kind of. Forget, yeah The clippers had a
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: few more possessions. Here they did shoot better from, three but.
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: Whatever but, yeah the thing about it Is Golden state
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: was only even this close because they had ten more
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: free throws made in the. Game Golden state was constantly
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: going to the free throw, line and they did out
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: rebound The, clippers but that completely skewed the.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 2: Result.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: Dude The clippers clearly should have won by. More that
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: free throw disparity probably not something you're gonna see, again
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: especially in a game IN. La both these games are
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: On Amazon, prime by the. Way but, then the other
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: reason why the line moved as high as it did
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: is Because Steve kerr is out there saying that his
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: best players are all gonna be on a minutes restriction
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: in this.
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 2: Game, like what are you talking? About this is an.
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: Elimination, game and he's, like, yeah we're gonna Have Steph
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: curry on a limits.
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 2: Restriction. IS i don't know what is going on.
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: HERE i, mean it looks like he's not listed on
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: the injury, report BUT i have no idea because he was,
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: like oh, Yeah Steph, curry.
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 2: You, Know draymond And.
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: PORZINGIS i think they're all gonna be on minutes, restrictions
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: even though if you're gonna go all out like you
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: have to do it in this game because if you
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: don't win this, game you're. DONE i don't know what
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: this team is, doing, DUDE i really. DON'T i kind
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: of want them to, lose just BECAUSE i Think Steve
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: kerr is an idiot and he just injects bad politics
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: into everything.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 2: WHATEVER i.
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: Mean, yeah this team does have, experience probably more so
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: than The clippers do here at playing games at this.
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: Level maybe it's a. Ruse Maybe curry's just fucking Or
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: curR i, mean maybe just be fucking with everybody's, minds
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: you know WHAT i. Mean maybe he's saying that like
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: because that's not something you can hold him, to you
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 1: know WHAT i.
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 2: Mean oh, yeah they'll be on a minute's.
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: Restriction but then if that doesn't really, happen you can't
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: really say he lied to, us you know WHAT i,
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: mean because he might just, go, oh, well the way
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: the game flow was, going my guys looked, good you,
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: know SO i decided to play them more THAN i
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: was going.
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 2: To it might be something like. THAT i don't.
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 1: Know but, also you, Know Curry green perzingis you, know
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: these guys are all getting, older and none of them
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: are that healthy, Either SO i don't really.
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 2: Know.
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: MAN i kind of lean to The clippers, here BUT
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 1: i really worry about maybe The. Warriors Maybe curR is just,
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 1: lying and maybe that's overvalueing The clippers a bit because
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: he's out there talking like.
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 2: THAT i don't.
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: Know the total is fairly low at two twenty one
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: and a, half again probably because these games a lot
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 1: of times tend to be lower. Scoring don't really have
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: a feel for the total really in either. GAME i
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: don't really have the feel for the total. There probably
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: mean under slightly in both, games but really that's just
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: kind of based on trends and not a whole lot.
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: Else so not playing those. Games that's gonna do. It
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: two hour show, brutal mostly because of. Baseball let's get
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: these baseball, wins especially because my one side is The Red.
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: Sox money, Line let's get it, done, man stop embarrassing,
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 1: yourselves get a. Win you, know The Red sox are
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: still the better, team. Man so it's one of those
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: spots where the odds makers are telling you something different
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: than what the records are telling. YOU i like the
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: matchup as, Well Red. Sox then we got over In
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: washington And, pittsburgh find the best number that you. Can
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 1: LIKE i, Said i'd pay up to minus one twenty
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: to get it over the nine because that key number nine.
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: Matters you don't really want the, hook ALTHOUGH i would
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: still probably go over nine and a half too if
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: you if you really have, to and then over nine
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: and a half In texas and Homeless, texas and the
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: a's paying a little bit of juice for that again
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 1: if it's too much. Juice if it gets up to
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: minus one, twenty LIKE i, said over ten is really
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: not different from nine and a, half, really and you'll
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: pay less for, It so that's gonna do it.
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 2: All though of, course if it's a six', four.
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: Game it'll push instead of winning, for you so that's
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: like the scenario where it.
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 2: Might happen.
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: Don't, taze me, bro guy thanks for Checking out The.
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: Show Man dave smith just happens to, Be, Right bro
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: and you're A blatant zionist for obvious reasons because You,
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 1: are jewish so you know it's not.
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 2: A SURPRISE but i appreciate you checking out The. SHOW man.
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 1: I don't have anything else, for You but dave. Is
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: correct it's Not that i'm as Sick, of van IT'S
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: that i actually agree. With him i've disagreed with. Him
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: before you can go find a Tweets where i've Disagreed
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: With dave, smith before, you know just a.
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 2: Little back and Forth.
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: ON twitter, I mean i don't remember exactly what they were,
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 1: even about probably some strategy related stuff and stuff. Like that,
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: But yeah i've disagreed. With him i'm my. Own man
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: that's gonna.
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 2: Do it.
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys Learned it Tone on twitter And Learn it Tone.
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: On instagram like subscribe here you get the NOTIFICATIONS when i.
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: Go live what else do we have going? On here
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: we Got to we're on audio, As, Well. Apple spotify
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: check it out. Over there speaker that helps me out.
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 1: As well covered In yuke my yuke channel, On, YouTube patreon,
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: Dot Com Slash Learned It Tone. Loser cast we had
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: another new episode. Last Night my loser Of the week
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: NOMINATION was i already forget, her Name The mike rabel's.
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 2: Side chick that's what we should, call her. That chick
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 2: go check. That out that's gonna.
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 1: Do, it no you're A, More andrew you're a more.
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: On you you can't even back that up with. Actual
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: facts i'm completely. Anti communists i'm not defending it. At
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 1: all i'm explaining why it's going. To happen and also
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 1: the people in power right now. Are communists it's just
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: a different flavor. Of communists trump is a communist or
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: at the very least. A socialist but it's basically the.
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 1: Same thing what the fuck are you? Talking, About man
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 1: you have no idea what the fuck you're. Talking, About
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 1: no i'm Not gonna i'm not gonna. Admit that you
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: need to admit that you're not defending your own position
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: with anything. At all you're just saying shit like you're
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: just making assertions with no backing. At all that's not
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: Even what. Dave said you're you're looking at what The
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: Fucking libertarian. Party SAID my iq is one. Fifty six
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 1: i'm high, school valedictorian. STRAIGHT a's i have a degree in.
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 1: Computer science, fuck, Off, dude no absolutely not in very.
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 1: Good math perfect math SATs for me. As well by, The, way.
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 2: NO no i did not defend that you're READING An lp.
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: National TWEET The lp national is run by a, Fucking
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: Idiot stephen nikayla or whoever the fuck is running that.
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: Thing now they don't know what the fuck they're. Talking
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: about they didn't even want. The clip watch that Clip.
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: Of dave he is explaining Why the democrats are going,
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: to win which he's right, they are and he's explaining why.
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 2: There might be a silver lining. To it that is what.
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: He's saying the silver lining basically might be that If
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: the democrats get back, in power then the balance is
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 1: gonna swing back, to like because they're gonna be the
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: evil that's in power at. The time, right Now the
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: republicans are the evil that are, in power and it's an.
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: Awful situation if it swings To, the democrats the silver
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 1: lining is they're gonna be the evil that are in
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: power and people are, you, know, like basically it'll unite
• 2:01:39
  Speaker 1: the right is kind of what. He's saying i'm pretty
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: sure that's what, he's saying EVEN though i don't even
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: want to unite the RIGHT because i don't WANT to
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: i don't want to unite with guys. Like, you, YEAH
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 1: sure i. Doubt it show ME your. Iq Test you're.
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 2: You're not, that.
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: Smart dude you're making arguments that are. So stupid it's
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: REFUTING your iq. Right now that's not what, he's said
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: that is not what. He said, Fuck off i'm. Banning
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: you get out of my. Fucking chat get the, fuck out.
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: FUCK you i hope you get tased every second of your,
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 1: remaining life You fucking, Zionus pig and get the.
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 2: Fuck out. We're, done, peace everybody