Latest / Bought Borrowed and Sold / Ratws are comming back down, time to buy a house!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hello, good morning. Hope everybody is doing wonderful it is.
- 0:05Speaker 1: We took a little break last week, didn't we brown well,
- 0:08Speaker 1: Thanksgiving break.
- 0:09Speaker 2: But said we took a radio break.
- 0:11Speaker 1: If I got a break, Yeah, well that's that's a
- 0:13Speaker 1: valid point. We went to Gadston for for the holidays, and.
- 0:18Speaker 2: Yes we did.
- 0:19Speaker 3: Y'all did too, so both of us.
- 0:21Speaker 1: Yeah, we were up and yaess and but we didn't
- 0:23Speaker 1: hang out, No, not there.
- 0:25Speaker 3: No, y'all were doing some hunting and.
- 0:26Speaker 2: We were doing some hunting, and we were down in
- 0:28Speaker 2: south Side on the river at my grandmother's and I
- 0:30Speaker 2: think you were up on the mountain and eating pizza.
- 0:33Speaker 1: Dude, Mater's pizza. I literally ate it Wednesday, Thursday, Friday
- 0:39Speaker 1: and Saturday. I had at least one piece every day,
- 0:43Speaker 1: and that was my plan.
- 0:44Speaker 2: I think when I saw you in the after the weekend,
- 0:46Speaker 2: I think that was my first question to you was
- 0:48Speaker 2: not even like j all have a good weekend.
- 0:49Speaker 3: I was traveling.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Thanks.
- 0:50Speaker 2: Did you get your majors get.
- 0:52Speaker 3: And ladies and gentlemen. Yes I did, Yes, he did.
- 0:55Speaker 1: I was so pumped me And I think part of
- 0:57Speaker 1: it is like the last time I was up in Gadston,
- 0:59Speaker 1: hanging out at my laws. They they didn't do they
- 1:03Speaker 1: didn't do mators or they did it like the day
- 1:05Speaker 1: before we came in town, and I was like, why
- 1:09Speaker 1: didn't you just wait for me? So Uh, anyways, I
- 1:13Speaker 1: hope everybody had a wonderful Thanksgiving and got to see
- 1:17Speaker 1: you know, family members and friends that maybe you haven't
- 1:20Speaker 1: seen in a long time. And yeah, so so back
- 1:25Speaker 1: to the grind. And you know, I tell you, Brad, uh,
- 1:29Speaker 1: those of y'all, you know jumping in Brad Smith with
- 1:31Speaker 1: Cross Country Mortgage Bradsmithlans dot Com in our studio each
- 1:35Speaker 1: and every week.
- 1:35Speaker 3: And you.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Know, we we've seen we've seen an increase in in
- 1:41Speaker 1: people getting into the market.
- 1:43Speaker 4: Uh.
- 1:44Speaker 1: Ever since this government shut down no longer shut down. Uh,
- 1:48Speaker 1: we've seen our interests dramatically go up. And we've been
- 1:52Speaker 1: I've been showing houses it seems like every single day
- 1:55Speaker 1: with people that are interested, whether they're moving in from
- 1:57Speaker 1: out of town or back to town, or people's leases
- 2:01Speaker 1: are coming due and they're ready to go ahead and
- 2:04Speaker 1: make that jump into home ownership. And we've been seeing
- 2:07Speaker 1: a little bit of everything. And I've seen even some
- 2:11Speaker 1: multiple offer situations pop up again, which is interesting. But
- 2:16Speaker 1: you know, what I'm finding is the buyers that are
- 2:21Speaker 1: out there right now are really exhausting all options. Yes,
- 2:24Speaker 1: they want to look at everything that's on the market,
- 2:27Speaker 1: and they're not as dialed in as I'd say, we'd
- 2:30Speaker 1: probably hope. But what they're doing in is this reminds
- 2:34Speaker 1: me a lot of you know, real estate fifteen years ago,
- 2:38Speaker 1: where there was so many options that people were looking
- 2:41Speaker 1: at everything. And I think that I would say that
- 2:44Speaker 1: there's not as many options. Obviously there's not as many
- 2:46Speaker 1: options as there were fifteen years ago, but of those options, like,
- 2:50Speaker 1: people are really exhausting all of those options, and they're
- 2:53Speaker 1: trying to see like will it fit in our box
- 2:57Speaker 1: or will it fit in like.
- 3:00Speaker 3: Do we want to do a renovation?
- 3:02Speaker 1: And what's funny is like every time I go into
- 3:04Speaker 1: a house that needs to be renovated, like most people
- 3:08Speaker 1: do not want to do a renovation. They don't they
- 3:10Speaker 1: don't have the vision, they don't want to go through
- 3:12Speaker 1: the process. And so but they've got to clear that out.
- 3:15Speaker 1: They've got to just say, all right, let me let
- 3:17Speaker 1: me see if this is an option, and then after
- 3:20Speaker 1: we get in there, they're like, we just don't want
- 3:22Speaker 1: to go through that renovation process. And so I'll tell you,
- 3:24Speaker 1: I feel like the big winners right now are the people,
- 3:27Speaker 1: the investors, the people that are renovating houses and selling
- 3:31Speaker 1: those properties. Those are the people that those houses are moving. Yeah,
- 3:36Speaker 1: because people just do not want to do the work
- 3:39Speaker 1: and they want something to move in ready, and maybe
- 3:41Speaker 1: they just don't have the extra funds to do the renovations.
- 3:43Speaker 1: And then obviously on a renovated house, they can get
- 3:46Speaker 1: their financing and they don't have to worry about other
- 3:49Speaker 1: additional out of pocket expenses.
- 3:50Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, you know in Birmingham, Jefferson County, Shelby County,
- 3:54Speaker 2: you know are areas around here. You know there's we
- 3:56Speaker 2: have Obviously, you know, certain people want to be in
- 3:58Speaker 2: certain areas, and so some areas you can go buy
- 4:01Speaker 2: a land and build, right, I mean, you can build
- 4:03Speaker 2: something from scratch, you don't have to do renovation. Some
- 4:05Speaker 2: have brand new subdivisions, it's all new construction. But some
- 4:08Speaker 2: people want to be in some of these communities that
- 4:10Speaker 2: are landlocked. There is no more dirt, so the only
- 4:13Speaker 2: option is to start to renovate and create houses that's correct,
- 4:16Speaker 2: that fit what people need at that moment. So to
- 4:20Speaker 2: your point, I mean, you know, I think it's I
- 4:22Speaker 2: think we're definitely seeing it. I know I personally had
- 4:25Speaker 2: more and more people want to get pre qualified, Some
- 4:27Speaker 2: want to do something as soon as they find something.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Some just kind of going ahead and building that plan
- 4:32Speaker 2: to come back and really start looking in January and
- 4:35Speaker 2: try to do something in the spring. But it's definitely
- 4:37Speaker 2: picking up. But it's funny you said that about fifteen
- 4:39Speaker 2: years ago, because when we get into a market update,
- 4:41Speaker 2: I've got some numbers that'll kind of go back to
- 4:43Speaker 2: some similarities between now and twenty twelve. There we go
- 4:47Speaker 2: of kind of going back to that zone of what
- 4:50Speaker 2: you're talking about. So it's funny you bring that up.
- 4:52Speaker 2: So tease that for the market up now.
- 4:53Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 4:54Speaker 1: Second, So yeah, and we'll do that in the second segment,
- 4:56Speaker 1: and I'll kind of give you an idea of where
- 4:57Speaker 1: we're at year to date and and how we're going
- 5:01Speaker 1: to finish the year. So but we've got we've got
- 5:05Speaker 1: some open houses this afternoon that I'd love to tell
- 5:08Speaker 1: you about, and so we'll get our game going. It's
- 5:11Speaker 1: the mortgage guessing, the mortgage payment game, and it'll be
- 5:16Speaker 1: myself against John Mounts and Brad. I guess tell the
- 5:20Speaker 1: rules to everybody, my friend.
- 5:21Speaker 2: Yes, the rules, they're quite simple. Gus, he's going to
- 5:24Speaker 2: go through the listings in the open house that they've got.
- 5:26Speaker 2: He's going to go through some of the finer details,
- 5:27Speaker 2: but the end he's going to give us the most
- 5:28Speaker 2: important piece that I need in that is the list
- 5:30Speaker 2: price of the property, at which point I will give
- 5:32Speaker 2: a potential down payment that a baller may make if
- 5:33Speaker 2: they're a purchase in that home, and Gusty and John
- 5:35Speaker 2: Mounts will guess the monthly thirty year fixed principal interest
- 5:38Speaker 2: only payment.
- 5:40Speaker 3: There we go.
- 5:41Speaker 1: All right, We've got a new listing in the Bellevue
- 5:45Speaker 1: Heights neighborhood of Birmingham. Fourteen twelve forty second Street. This
- 5:52Speaker 1: one was built in nineteen thirty five. Nice little bungalow
- 5:56Speaker 1: that is three bedrooms, one and a half baths, fourteen
- 5:59Speaker 1: and forty eight square feet and we are asking one
- 6:02Speaker 1: hundred and twenty five thousand, one hundred and twenty five thousand,
- 6:07Speaker 1: and this listing is courtesy of Tony Big Daniels. So Tony,
- 6:11Speaker 1: congratulations on your new listing. And it's gonna be open
- 6:15Speaker 1: from two to four this afternoon.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Nice, all right one twenty five five percent down, five
- 6:20Speaker 2: percent down.
- 6:22Speaker 3: Gusty first, five percent down.
- 6:27Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with seven fifty. About seven fifty.
- 6:41Speaker 3: I feel like I feel like that's a little low.
- 6:43Speaker 3: I could be wrong. I feel like closer to eight
- 6:47Speaker 3: twenty five.
- 6:49Speaker 2: Both great guesses, but the actual payment was seven hundred
- 6:52Speaker 2: and thirty one dollars. Gusting gets first one.
- 6:56Speaker 1: Let's go. I can't have three weeks in a b
- 7:00Speaker 1: oh John, John. Technically you won last week because it
- 7:02Speaker 1: was a replace show.
- 7:03Speaker 4: Oh well, would you look at that?
- 7:05Speaker 3: Would you look at it? I chose to replay show
- 7:08Speaker 3: where you won.
- 7:09Speaker 1: Oh okay, all right, well, well we know you had
- 7:12Speaker 1: to go back at least two weeks. I was gonna say, hey,
- 7:16Speaker 1: we've got our next new listing is in Penson. It's
- 7:19Speaker 1: also going to be opened this afternoon from two to four.
- 7:22Speaker 1: This one is three bedrooms, two baths, thirteen and twenty
- 7:26Speaker 1: one square feet uh two oh nine nine. This is
- 7:29Speaker 1: in the Whistling Pines neighborhood in the Clay area, so
- 7:33Speaker 1: it's a Clay Chalkville School district. And this sits on
- 7:36Speaker 1: point four to one of an acre so almost a
- 7:38Speaker 1: half acre built in nineteen eighty five. This one also
- 7:42Speaker 1: has an unfinished basement, so you can have as much
- 7:45Speaker 1: storage as you would like. And uh yeah, two O
- 7:49Speaker 1: nine to nine, two O nine nine.
- 7:51Speaker 2: Two O nine nine, John, we're gonna put ten percent
- 7:54Speaker 2: down on this one, ten percent down two O nine nine, So.
- 7:59Speaker 5: That's like twenty thousand dollars ish, so we're really financing
- 8:04Speaker 5: like one eighty five ishy n whatever. So I'm gonna say.
- 8:12Speaker 3: Eleven hundred dollars. Okay. You said twenty percent down, ten
- 8:17Speaker 3: ten percent down, okay.
- 8:19Speaker 5: But twenty so that'd be twenty thousand dollars because it's
- 8:21Speaker 5: a twenty thousand knock house. Yeah, that's what when you
- 8:24Speaker 5: kind of threw me off, I was giving numbers, just
- 8:25Speaker 5: you know, trying.
- 8:28Speaker 2: Like JT doing math on air. Here, John gets that joke.
- 8:34Speaker 2: I get that joke.
- 8:36Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with what did John say?
- 8:41Speaker 2: Eleven hundred even.
- 8:43Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with eleven fifty.
- 8:45Speaker 2: Eleven fifty all right, Well the payment was actually eleven
- 8:49Speaker 2: sixty four. Hey right off at the knees, Hey taking
- 8:54Speaker 2: no prisoners.
- 8:57Speaker 3: But my guess wasn't bad.
- 8:58Speaker 2: Oh, he's a good guess. I'm saying, he you know,
- 9:01Speaker 2: he's not looking to lose again.
- 9:04Speaker 4: Now I'm playing for them, baby, I'm dialed in.
- 9:07Speaker 3: All right.
- 9:08Speaker 1: Uh open this afternoon from two to four in Kolera
- 9:12Speaker 1: Emerald Ridge neighborhood. This was built in twenty ten. It's
- 9:16Speaker 1: four bedrooms, two baths located at eleven ninety four Emerald
- 9:20Speaker 1: Ridge Drive. Eleven ninety four Emerald Ridge Drive, four bedrooms,
- 9:25Speaker 1: two baths, two thousand and seventy six square feet with
- 9:27Speaker 1: the two car garage two eighty nine to nine, two
- 9:31Speaker 1: eighty nine to nine. This listing is courtesy of Kyle Bedgood.
- 9:35Speaker 1: A couple of notes on this one. It's got an
- 9:37Speaker 1: HVAC that was installed last year, a water heater back
- 9:41Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three, and a new double door refrigerator
- 9:44Speaker 1: also in twenty twenty three in Emerald Ridge Community.
- 9:51Speaker 2: Two eighty nine to nine to eighty nine nine five percent.
- 9:55Speaker 3: Down back on me, fac down.
- 10:02Speaker 4: Okay, Umm, I'm gonna go with.
- 10:12Speaker 3: What do I want to go with? What do I
- 10:13Speaker 3: want to go with? Is this gonna be right? Is
- 10:16Speaker 3: this gonna be It really doesn't matter if you already
- 10:20Speaker 3: won twice sixteen fifty we.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Got five to day, sixteen fifty for Gusty let me
- 10:27Speaker 2: go fifteen hundred. Ooh, I was hoping you're gonna process riding,
- 10:32Speaker 2: but you did in sixteen ninety six. Now Augusty's gonna
- 10:35Speaker 2: go ahead and clean get the three of the five
- 10:38Speaker 2: out of the way.
- 10:40Speaker 3: Oh yeah, all right.
- 10:43Speaker 1: Our next new listing of the week is sits on
- 10:45Speaker 1: three point six acres in Adamsville fifty let's see, I
- 10:49Speaker 1: gotta get my glasses on, jeez, fifty three fifty three
- 10:53Speaker 1: Shady Crest Road. This was built in nineteen sixty nine,
- 10:57Speaker 1: four bedrooms, two baths, sixteen hundred and eight d square feet.
- 11:01Speaker 1: We are asking two hundred and thirty five thousand dollars
- 11:04Speaker 1: two thirty five three point six acres.
- 11:08Speaker 3: How about that? Nice? Yeah?
- 11:10Speaker 2: Three point six.
- 11:11Speaker 3: Also another listening by Kyle D. Good.
- 11:13Speaker 2: Kyle's on a roll this week. Kyle gets that let's go,
- 11:17Speaker 2: let's go two thirty five. Fifteen percent down, fifteen percent down. Yeah,
- 11:24Speaker 2: we had some numbers that were kind of close, so
- 11:26Speaker 2: we had to do some things with down payments.
- 11:28Speaker 3: Oh that's a good point. That's a good point.
- 11:30Speaker 5: So fifteen percent down on that, So you're putting down
- 11:33Speaker 5: like three thousand, financing two hundred thousand, So.
- 11:43Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 11:43Speaker 5: Thirty, Y're fixed. I'm just stalling for time here. Well, fifty,
- 11:52Speaker 5: I don't know what I'm doing.
- 11:55Speaker 2: John, You've been pretty good all day, Gus, he's just
- 11:57Speaker 2: been a haircut better.
- 12:00Speaker 3: I'm going to go with the.
- 12:05Speaker 2: Twelve hundred twelve hundred. Oh wow, y'all really got it
- 12:10Speaker 2: middled here. The actual payment was twelve twenty nine. There
- 12:12Speaker 2: will be no clean sweep today, John gets around.
- 12:15Speaker 5: Oh h.
- 12:17Speaker 3: Missed by now?
- 12:19Speaker 1: Just a hair you won by four dollars, just a
- 12:22Speaker 1: bit outside, all right. Our last new listing of the week,
- 12:26Speaker 1: This is man. Think about this building your we were
- 12:30Speaker 1: talking about building earlier. How about building a lake home
- 12:33Speaker 1: on Logan Martin Lake. We've got on Ansley Drive in
- 12:37Speaker 1: pel City on Logan Martin Lake, a one point three
- 12:41Speaker 1: eight acre lot with one hundred and twenty two feet
- 12:45Speaker 1: of water front or water frontage. We're asking three hundred
- 12:49Speaker 1: and fifty thousand for it. It is heavily wooded, so
- 12:53Speaker 1: you would have to, you know, do some dirt work.
- 12:57Speaker 1: And but I mean one hundred and twenty two feet
- 13:01Speaker 1: of waterfront access lake front with all the possibilities three
- 13:06Speaker 1: hundred and fifty thousand dollars.
- 13:07Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a great deal and convenient from everybody around here.
- 13:11Speaker 2: That's awesome. All right, So three hundred and fifty thousand dollars, yeah,
- 13:15Speaker 2: five percent down. I did not realize this was a
- 13:19Speaker 2: lot when I did the scenario, or I would have
- 13:20Speaker 2: tweaked it up.
- 13:21Speaker 3: Wait, let me ask you this. When you do on lots,
- 13:23Speaker 3: what do you typically have to put down?
- 13:25Speaker 2: So if you if you take it down with the constructs,
- 13:28Speaker 2: say you get a construction loan, and that's part of it,
- 13:30Speaker 2: is the lot takedown. So then so let's just say
- 13:32Speaker 2: for and you can get it. It can be five
- 13:35Speaker 2: to ten percent of the total construction price. Okay, okay,
- 13:38Speaker 2: But if you just need to buy a lot loan
- 13:39Speaker 2: and you want to decide what you're gonna do later,
- 13:41Speaker 2: a lot of times you're going to be looking at
- 13:43Speaker 2: twenty to twenty five percent down, gotcha. And then and
- 13:46Speaker 2: then you're also looking at different terms. I mean, somebody
- 13:48Speaker 2: might do a two or three year balloon, but they
- 13:51Speaker 2: really want you to start building on as quick as possible,
- 13:52Speaker 2: so you may get like a twelve month note or something.
- 13:54Speaker 2: But then most we're gonna be ten or fifteen year amorizations.
- 13:58Speaker 2: So anyways, just to throw that out there, but this
- 14:00Speaker 2: one's five percent. This one's five percent down for the
- 14:02Speaker 2: game visioning. The house is already there for the game,
- 14:05Speaker 2: and it's three hundred fift thousand purse price. It's five
- 14:07Speaker 2: percent down, and we're still in a thirty year am
- 14:09Speaker 2: So that goes back to gus three fifty five percent fifty.
- 14:15Speaker 3: All right, I'm gonna go nineteen twenty five, nineteen twenty five,
- 14:27Speaker 3: good year, good year.
- 14:30Speaker 5: Uh, I'm gonna put myself closer to uh, modern times.
- 14:35Speaker 5: You gonna go nineteen seventy seven, also a good year.
- 14:40Speaker 2: The actual payment was two thousand and forty seven, So
- 14:42Speaker 2: John gets the fifth one.
- 14:46Speaker 1: Two man ended strong my picking of the year of
- 14:49Speaker 1: my birth. But it was a little late. It was
- 14:51Speaker 1: a little late. Little We've got a we've got a
- 14:54Speaker 1: couple of homes that are going to be coming soon.
- 14:56Speaker 1: We've got we've got a home in the Hoover area
- 14:58Speaker 1: in Lake Wilburn that's going to be coming up for
- 15:00Speaker 1: seven hundred and twenty five thousand. That's a five bedroom
- 15:03Speaker 1: and four bath. We've also got one coming up in
- 15:07Speaker 1: let's see, well, yeah, I know that we also have
- 15:12Speaker 1: one coming up in the balance Tray neighborhood. I don't
- 15:14Speaker 1: have the price right off the top of my head,
- 15:16Speaker 1: but I think it's in the right around the four
- 15:18Speaker 1: hundred range. So we've got a couple of homes that
- 15:22Speaker 1: are going to be coming down the pipeline, which is
- 15:25Speaker 1: really cool. And uh, hey, guess what time it is.
- 15:29Speaker 1: That's right, it's testimonial time.
- 15:33Speaker 3: All right.
- 15:34Speaker 1: This first one comes comes from Glinda and it's about
- 15:39Speaker 1: John riddle work and when John Riddle was the best
- 15:41Speaker 1: choice I've made in a long time. He went above
- 15:44Speaker 1: and beyond for me. I knew absolutely nothing about selling
- 15:47Speaker 1: my home, and he took me step by step through
- 15:49Speaker 1: the process, never minded when I called with what was
- 15:53Speaker 1: probably a foolish question, always pleasant, competent, and goal oriented.
- 15:58Speaker 1: It only took two days of open houses to sell,
- 16:01Speaker 1: and I got a very good price. He was there
- 16:04Speaker 1: for the closing, and honestly, if he hadn't helped me,
- 16:06Speaker 1: I don't know what I would have done. Thanks so
- 16:08Speaker 1: many blessings to all involved at the Gusty Goulis group.
- 16:11Speaker 1: So what a wonderful review. Thank you so much Glinda
- 16:15Speaker 1: for the opportunity to help sell your home. And then
- 16:17Speaker 1: John Riddle, congratulations on.
- 16:20Speaker 3: Another five star review.
- 16:23Speaker 1: And last but not least, this is for This is
- 16:26Speaker 1: from Becky. Working with the team was extremely beneficial for
- 16:30Speaker 1: our entire buying selling process. We were advised several times
- 16:35Speaker 1: on negotiation points that worked out extremely well in our
- 16:39Speaker 1: favor on both sides of the table, in our buying
- 16:42Speaker 1: process and in our selling process. That we're relatable, easy
- 16:47Speaker 1: to get in contact with, honest and knowledgeable. We could
- 16:50Speaker 1: not have asked for a better team. So Becky, thank
- 16:53Speaker 1: you so much for the opportunity to help sell and
- 16:55Speaker 1: buy your home, and for the team, congratulations on another
- 17:01Speaker 1: five star review.
- 17:03Speaker 3: How about that? I like that. So that was testimonial
- 17:07Speaker 3: time today.
- 17:08Speaker 1: And a couple more five star reviews look out, lookout,
- 17:12Speaker 1: and the.
- 17:13Speaker 2: Next one be the next one.
- 17:15Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, y'all stay tuned.
- 17:17Speaker 1: We're gonna give a little bit of a market update
- 17:20Speaker 1: on mortgages on the real estate side right here on
- 17:23Speaker 1: Bob Bart and Saul. Y'all stay tuned. Welcome back to
- 17:26Speaker 1: Bob Bart and Saul. Thanks so much for joining us
- 17:28Speaker 1: each and every week. And you know, we've got been
- 17:33Speaker 1: having a lot going on in the mortgage in real
- 17:35Speaker 1: estate market Brad Smith with Cross Country Mortgage.
- 17:39Speaker 3: Uh, what what.
- 17:40Speaker 1: Have you been seeing on the old interest rates?
- 17:43Speaker 2: Yeah, so so the so the interest rates have have
- 17:45Speaker 2: stayed pretty flat. We've had a little bit of improvement, so,
- 17:48Speaker 2: I mean, we were a little bit better than the
- 17:49Speaker 2: last time we were on air two weeks ago. And uh,
- 17:53Speaker 2: but a lot of that is because we're still kind
- 17:57Speaker 2: of there's a little more unknown on what's gonna happen
- 18:00Speaker 2: next week in the in the FED meeting, and so
- 18:04Speaker 2: it's not as as as cut and dry as Hey,
- 18:07Speaker 2: the they're going to cut it again for sure. I mean,
- 18:09Speaker 2: now the percentage is.
- 18:12Speaker 3: Polymarket.
- 18:12Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's like like ninety percent. But the market
- 18:15Speaker 2: hasn't really reacted to it yet because I think there's
- 18:17Speaker 2: still a couple of of of hawkish board members that
- 18:20Speaker 2: that are going to try to try to keep it
- 18:22Speaker 2: from happening. But you know, part of that is, like
- 18:24Speaker 2: we've said, because the government shutting dog. We've mentioned, you
- 18:26Speaker 2: know a lot of these numbers and stuff, we're trailing
- 18:28Speaker 2: and lagging and trying to figure stuff out. And then
- 18:31Speaker 2: also just the timing of it because we're you know,
- 18:33Speaker 2: there's so many seasonal things going on right now, especially
- 18:36Speaker 2: when when you're when your top two things that are
- 18:38Speaker 2: really driving the rates are what you're on your employment
- 18:40Speaker 2: status and unemployment numbers are, and then what inflation is. Well,
- 18:44Speaker 2: it's the most seasonal employment at this time of the
- 18:46Speaker 2: year because people are hiring up for Christmas and stocking
- 18:48Speaker 2: and people. People need more more folks working, but they're
- 18:51Speaker 2: not going to be permanently in the workforce, and so
- 18:53Speaker 2: that kind of helps kew some numbers. And then there's
- 18:55Speaker 2: you know, until we get the Christmas shopping numbers, we
- 18:58Speaker 2: don't really know what's going to do GDP and piece
- 19:00Speaker 2: in our PC numbers and core inflation numbers. So but
- 19:04Speaker 2: but I do think that when the government decides next
- 19:07Speaker 2: week and hope they do, to go ahead and drop
- 19:09Speaker 2: it that other quarter we talked about a month and
- 19:11Speaker 2: month and a half ago, that that that will be
- 19:15Speaker 2: the solidifying mark to help mortgage rates come back down.
- 19:17Speaker 2: We normally tell you it's already kind of built in.
- 19:19Speaker 2: We may start seeing that, but we really haven't seen
- 19:21Speaker 2: it built in yet like we have in previous months.
- 19:25Speaker 2: But you know, the one thing we're just real quick
- 19:27Speaker 2: I was gonna you know, you're talking about twenty twelve
- 19:29Speaker 2: and just kind of talking about the market and different things.
- 19:34Speaker 2: You know, right now, home prices, Uh So, the values
- 19:40Speaker 2: declined point two percent nationwide in October, just for the
- 19:43Speaker 2: month of October. So yes, which was in line with
- 19:47Speaker 2: some of the seasonally adjusted measures we've seen. Year over year,
- 19:50Speaker 2: home values are up one point one percent nationwide. That
- 19:54Speaker 2: figure has been the decelerating and is the slowest year
- 19:58Speaker 2: over year growth reported since twenty twelve. So I just,
- 20:02Speaker 2: I just I just mentioned that because you know, we
- 20:06Speaker 2: all these signs of un you know, employment is not
- 20:10Speaker 2: strong right now by the numbers, I mean that those
- 20:12Speaker 2: numbers keep showing they're not strong. Inflation is slowing. We've
- 20:17Speaker 2: got the proof in the putting there. Even with the tariffs,
- 20:19Speaker 2: the tariffs are not doing even to the extent, even
- 20:22Speaker 2: though it's going to be a one time hit, it's
- 20:24Speaker 2: still not as much as what they were originally predicting.
- 20:27Speaker 2: So with home prices slowing, job looking weaker, and inflation flattening,
- 20:33Speaker 2: there should be no debate in the room that the
- 20:37Speaker 2: rates need to be dropped to court at the twenty
- 20:39Speaker 2: five basis points at a minimum next week. And I
- 20:41Speaker 2: guarantee you there'll be one or two board members that
- 20:43Speaker 2: vote for fifty or seventy five just to be just
- 20:46Speaker 2: to be that guy and prove a point.
- 20:49Speaker 3: You know, I'd love to see.
- 20:51Speaker 1: I mean, I can tell you that since the government
- 20:54Speaker 1: shut down reopened, people have been more in tune. Like
- 20:59Speaker 1: I've got folks that want to try to get in
- 21:01Speaker 1: by the end of the year. I've got people that
- 21:03Speaker 1: are ready to you know, they're just waiting for the
- 21:06Speaker 1: right house. So and what will help them is if
- 21:11Speaker 1: rates come down a little bit more lower, then either
- 21:15Speaker 1: that allows them a more economical payment or they have
- 21:19Speaker 1: more buying power yep, and they're willing to spend a
- 21:21Speaker 1: little bit more money. So you know, it will absolutely
- 21:26Speaker 1: benefit well in the.
- 21:27Speaker 2: Gusts in the real estate market well, because the goal
- 21:29Speaker 2: of that rate coming down is you're going to get
- 21:31Speaker 2: more people that have been on the fence to list
- 21:33Speaker 2: their homes. So now all of a sudden, you've got
- 21:35Speaker 2: you know, you've got more buyers and more inventory. It's
- 21:38Speaker 2: going to work itself out as far as how it appreciates.
- 21:41Speaker 2: But now all of a sudden, these people are going
- 21:42Speaker 2: to have a more inventory to look at because more
- 21:44Speaker 2: people are in the market and listing their homes and
- 21:47Speaker 2: finding the perfect house. So it's it's just it would
- 21:49Speaker 2: just do so much for everyone that needs to be
- 21:52Speaker 2: doing something to just get that little bit of relief. Again,
- 21:56Speaker 2: like we've talked about, if we could just get the
- 21:57Speaker 2: average thirty year fixed in, you know, even if it's
- 22:00Speaker 2: the upper fives, just to see it, I think, I
- 22:03Speaker 2: mean the mental and just kind of that that dopamine
- 22:07Speaker 2: effectacy in it and getting it back into that range
- 22:10Speaker 2: I think would definitely really hit that storm you've been
- 22:13Speaker 2: talking about.
- 22:14Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, for sure.
- 22:16Speaker 1: Well I'll tell you what, I'm super excited about what
- 22:18Speaker 1: you know, the next year is going to look like
- 22:22Speaker 1: we are, Like I think within the next week we're
- 22:26Speaker 1: going to be officially over what we did last year
- 22:29Speaker 1: and are in terms of home soul not where we're
- 22:33Speaker 1: ahead of our pace. In terms of volume closed. I
- 22:37Speaker 1: think if everything closes in December, we're going to close
- 22:41Speaker 1: around thirty homes, which is a good month, and that's
- 22:48Speaker 1: for about I don't know, seven some odd million a
- 22:52Speaker 1: little bit higher. So you know, we're in in the
- 22:54Speaker 1: year strong and you know it's going to be interesting
- 22:57Speaker 1: to see. I mean just for me out showing houses.
- 23:02Speaker 1: I mean, I've got whether it's investors, I've got first
- 23:05Speaker 1: time home buyers, I've got second time home buyers. There's
- 23:09Speaker 1: a bunch of people that are out and about looking
- 23:12Speaker 1: for their perfect place. And so I think we're gearing
- 23:16Speaker 1: up for a really good year in twenty twenty six.
- 23:19Speaker 1: I think we're from an agent standpoint, I think we're
- 23:22Speaker 1: going to start seeing more agents continue to get out
- 23:24Speaker 1: of the business because it has become a lot more
- 23:27Speaker 1: difficult in my opinion, selling houses, and so the folks
- 23:32Speaker 1: that have come in thinking it's super easy are probably
- 23:35Speaker 1: going in and finding something else to do. And your
- 23:38Speaker 1: pros that you've been doing it for a while, you know,
- 23:41Speaker 1: they're just on cruise control making things happen. And I
- 23:44Speaker 1: was having a conversation with a guy. He's like, you know,
- 23:47Speaker 1: in every every market, you were surviving and thriving. And
- 23:54Speaker 1: I was like, man, that's a great compliment. I appreciate
- 23:56Speaker 1: that because we do see a lot in the real
- 23:58Speaker 1: estate world hi lows, and.
- 24:01Speaker 3: We just keep on a truck and keep on a trucking.
- 24:04Speaker 1: So Hey, if you've been listening and you like what
- 24:06Speaker 1: you're hearing and want to know your options about whether
- 24:09Speaker 1: buying or selling a house. We'd love to have a
- 24:10Speaker 1: conversation with you. You can go to Gustygoulisgroup dot com or
- 24:14Speaker 1: you can call or Tex two O five five four
- 24:16Speaker 1: two nineteen ninety six. And then if you want to
- 24:19Speaker 1: look at for a mortgage Bradsmith Loans dot com. So
- 24:22Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us today. We'll catch you
- 24:24Speaker 1: next time.