Latest / The SPY Trader / The Tsunami Rally: Record Highs and the Road to 50,000
Transcript
- 0:00Good morning and welcome back to Spy Trader .
- 0:03I am your host , Skippy McScrip , and I am so glad you are tuning in with me at 5 am on this Saturday , February 7th , 2026 .
- 0:12If you are drinking your first cup of coffee like I am , let me tell you , it has been a wild week on Wall Street .
- 0:19We just wrapped up a week that felt like a rollercoaster , but it ended with what many are calling a tsunami rally on Friday , February 6th .
- 0:28The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by over 1,200 points , closing at a record high of 50,141 .
- 0:37The S&P 500 , which we track via the SPY ETF , climbed back up to 6,932.30 .
- 0:46While the week started with a lot of nerves and selling in the tech sector , that Friday bounceback was really something to behold .
- 0:54Earlier in the week , investors were getting a bit jittery about how much money big companies like Amazon and Alphabet are spending on AI .
- 1:03We are talking over 200 billion dollars in capital expenditures .
- 1:07That caused a selloff in the Nasdaq , but by Friday , Nvidia led the charge back up , jumping over 8 percent after fears about hardware demand were seen as overblown .
- 1:18Broadcom and AMD also rallied over 7 percent .
- 1:22We also saw some huge moves in other sectors .
- 1:25Eli Lilly had a fantastic quarter with 20 billion dollars in revenue , mostly thanks to their weightloss drug Zepbound .
- 1:33But the real news there was their new partnership with Nvidia to build an AI drug discovery lab .
- 1:39That is the kind of convergence between tech and biotech that investors are looking for right now .
- 1:45Now , why did the market suddenly decide to go up so much ?
- 1:49Part of it is the labor market showing signs of weakness .
- 1:53The ADP private payrolls report showed only 22,000 jobs added in January , which was way lower than expected .
- 2:01Usually , bad news for jobs is seen as good news for the stock market because it keeps the Federal Reserve on a path toward easing interest rates , potentially as early as March .
- 2:13Plus , we are currently dealing with a partial federal government shutdown that has delayed the official NonFarm Payrolls and inflation reports .
- 2:23This data vacuum contributed to some earlyweek uncertainty , but the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair is being viewed as a stabilizing move for the economy .
- 2:34In this environment , investors rotated heavily into value and industrials .
- 2:40Caterpillar jumped 7.1 percent on Friday , and Goldman Sachs gained over 4 percent , reflecting optimism about a soft landing and infrastructure spending under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act .
- 2:53Looking at the technical side of things , the Nasdaq or QQQ found some support at the 22,000 level after a shortterm correction .
- 3:02Meanwhile , the 10year Treasury yield fell to 4.24 percent as the weak jobs data made longterm bonds look more attractive .
- 3:10So , what should we be doing with our money ?
- 3:13Here are a few thoughts .
- 3:14First , I like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF , ticker VTI .
- 3:21Since we are seeing a rotation away from pure growth into cyclicals and value stocks , VTI captures the broader recovery better than the techheavy QQQ .
- 3:31Second , take a look at the Health Care Select Sector SPDR , or XLV .
- 3:36With Eli Lilly showing massive growth and that new AI partnership , the healthcare sector offers a rare blend of defensive stability and hightech growth .
- 3:47Third , if you want to follow the bluechip momentum , individual stocks like Goldman Sachs or the XLF Financial ETF are strong picks as interest rates stabilize .
- 3:58For a hedge , consider the iShares 20plus Year Treasury Bond ETF , ticker TLT .
- 4:05As the Fed looks toward rate cuts due to cooling labor data , TLT offers potential for capital appreciation .
- 4:13Finally , for the tech enthusiasts , I would avoid broad software plays for now and stick with Nvidia on any price dips , as they remain the clear leader in AI hardware .
- 4:24That is all for this morning's update .
- 4:27I'm Skippy McScrip , and this has been Spy Trader .
- 4:30Stay safe out there and enjoy your weekend !