Latest / Luke Thomas Gets Political (LTGP) / Canada Says ’We Live Above a METH Lab’ — They’re Right
Transcript
- 0:00Canadian here. Feels like we live above
- 0:01a meth lab.
- 0:06I know that people on the right who
- 0:08watch this or generally don't want to
- 0:10hear what I'm about to say. Uh and it's
- 0:13not me even like I just I just need you
- 0:15to understand something.
- 0:18the way in which we have grown up. The
- 0:20reason why the world feels so unstable
- 0:22now is yes, there's quite literally
- 0:24conflict and
- 0:27um a number of issues but it's a little
- 0:29more than that. Namely, we have all
- 0:32lived under the order of American uh
- 0:34hegemony.
- 0:36We have lived under a hegemonic order
- 0:38established by the United States. And
- 0:39that's not just security protocol with
- 0:42different alliances or the ways in which
- 0:43the world functions there or you know
- 0:45various theories of deterrence but you
- 0:47know the the dollar as the reserve
- 0:48currency and the way in which that has
- 0:50enabled our spending which has enabled
- 0:52our security situation and when all of
- 0:54that goes away the entire paradigm
- 0:57changes and I have I don't know if
- 0:59anyone's noticing but the world is
- 1:00slowly moving in that direction how can
- 1:02the world look at I mean it's one thing
- 1:05for Trump to wreck this place which he
- 1:06is doing right we talked about it before
- 1:08for the first time since the Great
- 1:10Depression, more people are leaving the
- 1:13United States than coming here. Right?
- 1:14That's a fact.
- 1:17There was an article today in the New
- 1:18York Times.
- 1:20Uh the USA is the only country among
- 1:23major like OECD countries or even
- 1:25standard tourist destinations that is
- 1:27losing viewer uh visitors year-over-year
- 1:29than gaining them. All the rest are
- 1:31gaining. Colombia is having like a
- 1:32renaissance by the way.
- 1:34And
- 1:36you you put all of this together and
- 1:38then you look at how various allies are
- 1:42decoupling from us either from a
- 1:43security theater or even even certain
- 1:45financial agreements or I should say
- 1:47trade relations and the like. Canada
- 1:48being a pretty good example of this.
- 1:50They're going to move off the dollar as
- 1:52the world reserve currency if we keep
- 1:54pushing it. And maybe it's already too
- 1:56late. And at that point they will have
- 1:59disassociated and helped implode the
- 2:01United States as a way to preserve world
- 2:04stability. That is not a world where the
- 2:06United States that you grew up in ever
- 2:08comes back from. And it is not an
- 2:11impossibility to suggest that is the
- 2:13world in which we are creating. a world
- 2:15in which the rest of the world looks at
- 2:17us destabilizing
- 2:19again trade routes, destabilizing supply
- 2:21chains, destabilizing security theaters,
- 2:23destabilizing not just the the the the
- 2:26security situation in the Middle East,
- 2:27but now in order to compensate for that,
- 2:29we're pulling resources out of our Asian
- 2:33uh allies bases and the security theater
- 2:35there and what that potentially means
- 2:37for them like destabilizing everything.
- 2:39to say nothing of what, for example,
- 2:41tariffs have done to further create
- 2:43complications to existing trade and
- 2:45other forms of um economic agreements
- 2:49between nations.
- 2:51They're looking at this and they're
- 2:52saying to themselves, we can't trust
- 2:55these people. And even if you know,
- 2:58Trump were to be 25th Amendment
- 2:59tomorrow, so much of this damage has
- 3:02been baked in. I don't know if we can
- 3:03get it back. And I just need folks to
- 3:06understand this is what is at risk. We
- 3:09might avoid the worst calamitist version
- 3:11of things. Oh, there's no nuclear war.
- 3:13Okay, great. There's no famine. Okay,
- 3:15great. There's no there's no Great
- 3:16Depression. There might be a recession.
- 3:18I think we're already in one. But you
- 3:19avoid the calamitous versions. Okay.
- 3:22Okay, great. But the order, the
- 3:25backbone,
- 3:27the skeletal system that created how the
- 3:30world functions over the course of my
- 3:32life, that might be undone. And once
- 3:34that gets undone, you can't live in this
- 3:36country the same way anymore. There's no
- 3:39way to do debt finance spending on
- 3:40defense in the way that we do. The whole
- 3:43system changes and the whole the way in
- 3:46which we can interface with the world.
- 3:48Everything about that changes and
- 3:50there's no going back from that. And we
- 3:53are staring down the barrel of that if
- 3:55not already walking that path.
- 3:58All right. What do you make of Noam,
- 4:00Christy Noom being fired and Steven
- 4:02Miller backing down from his 3,000
- 4:04arrests per day demand? Has the tide
- 4:06turned? may be lightly subsided or
- 4:09calmed before the storm. They're opening
- 4:11they're closing some facilities so they
- 4:13can open these mega warehouse of one of
- 4:16uh camps. They're concentration camps.
- 4:18We've talked about this before, but
- 4:19whatever you would like to call them. Uh
- 4:21Hagerstown, Maryland is supposed to have
- 4:23one. There's a series of them that are
- 4:24going to be opening. These are private
- 4:26essentially prisons, you know, in a
- 4:28they're detention centers, but you get
- 4:30the idea. Those are still being built
- 4:33with this huge amount of uh money. And I
- 4:35I I don't in any way imagine that um
- 4:39that's going to lead to anything but
- 4:41human rights abuses. I think over 20
- 4:43people have died in ICE custody just
- 4:46this year. I think it's up to 20 is what
- 4:48I saw based on some of these camps in uh
- 4:51remote parts of the Dakotas.
- 4:53Um what do I make about no one being
- 4:56fired? Dude, you can do a lot of things
- 4:58working for Trump, but one thing you
- 5:00can't do is
- 5:02uh kind of make blame him essentially or
- 5:07make him look bad. I think that the
- 5:10money she had spent on marketing and
- 5:12then saying that, you know, had Trump's
- 5:13approval really pissed him off. I think
- 5:15that was a thing that really did him did
- 5:16did her in. I don't imagine that what
- 5:19happened in Minnesota necessarily helped
- 5:21her out very much. I don't think that
- 5:23was the deciding factor either. But if
- 5:26you do something in a way that you pin
- 5:28blame on him, he doesn't take very
- 5:31kindly to that. And then if you're also
- 5:32doing a bad job on top of it, that'll
- 5:34make it pretty bad, too. I think Patel,
- 5:36for example, has survived because he's
- 5:38quite obviously incompetent and terrible
- 5:40at the job, but he mostly finds ways to
- 5:43shoulder that. Same with Hexath after
- 5:45the signal scandal and everything. He
- 5:47kind of finds ways to make not make
- 5:49Trump the victim there. Uh, and so I
- 5:52think that has preserved him. But do I
- 5:54think you know
- 5:56guys if you just look at the proportion
- 5:58of ICE the population that is being
- 6:00detained by ICE over 70% of them have no
- 6:02criminal charges
- 6:04and it wasn't that proportion early they
- 6:06have no one else to get except to dig
- 6:10into that portion of the population
- 6:12depending on whatever their their
- 6:14immigration situation is. So it's just
- 6:16taking them to a totally untenable
- 6:18place. it's making them dip into parts
- 6:20of quite obviously productive society
- 6:24and um you know and there's been South
- 6:27Florida excuse me South Texas has been
- 6:29describing their construction collapse
- 6:31of their market um but Florida as well
- 6:34Florida do you see Florida I think lost
- 6:36something like it might be more than
- 6:39this but something around like 40,000
- 6:42students because of their immigration
- 6:44rates being pulled out of the public
- 6:46schools and you might be like oh well
- 6:47they don't deserve to be there. It's
- 6:48like, well, when you remove enough
- 6:51schools and the facilities go unused
- 6:54because the population is declining,
- 6:57this has effects on education quality
- 6:59over time. Like it's not just a thing
- 7:01you can just remove that many kids from
- 7:02school and like this is just a and by
- 7:04the way that could continue this trend
- 7:06and like oh the quality of the schools
- 7:07won't suffer. They will. You're also
- 7:10removing potentially from the tax base
- 7:11that contributes to the school. Like
- 7:12it's just a it's a way to decline your
- 7:14system anyway. But people
- 7:18people are determined to blame
- 7:19immigrants for all of their problems
- 7:20rather than examining the ways in which
- 7:23society has been organized around elite
- 7:25wealth. But okay, you know
- 7:28your take on everything going on in
- 7:29Iran? Do you think Trump will just try
- 7:31to find a way out, declare victory and
- 7:32leave? If he does that, what do you
- 7:35think happens? The I this is a question
- 7:37well beyond my purview, but I have been
- 7:38reading what experts who have focused on
- 7:42Iranian war games have been saying and
- 7:45they don't think it's that simple. What
- 7:47they are saying
- 7:49is that Trump could do that. He could
- 7:52say, you know what, mission
- 7:53accomplished. We're done here. We're on
- 7:54the way out. But it's really not going
- 7:56to work that way because what Iran wants
- 7:59is a virtually no military presence in
- 8:03those GCC countries, if at all, which is
- 8:05why he's going after them. Uh why Iran,
- 8:07excuse me, is going after them the way
- 8:08that they are. But the way that they
- 8:10explain it is what the Iranians want is
- 8:12to damage America enough that they think
- 8:15twice about ever doing this again. And
- 8:17for Trump to just leave won't do that.
- 8:19And what they anticipate is a world
- 8:21where there's many possibilities, but
- 8:23the ones that I have read about are
- 8:25situations where Trump might in fact do
- 8:27something like this. Like, you know
- 8:28what, mission accomplished, we're out of
- 8:29here. And they still don't open the
- 8:31straight of four moves. Like, no, [ __ ]
- 8:34you. We are going to we are going to
- 8:35unleash pain and punishment on every
- 8:38part of your supply chain cycle, on all
- 8:41of your allies, on this entire region,
- 8:44so that this kind of threat because they
- 8:46see it as existential. They see the
- 8:49threat as not just a bombing campaign
- 8:50that they have to survive, but about
- 8:52whether or not the country as that's
- 8:54currently assembled, and again, we're
- 8:55not here to support necessarily every
- 8:57version of that, but it's not our choice
- 8:59either. The question is what the people
- 9:00in power want. And they see this as
- 9:02existential. What they want is to
- 9:04establish some kind of very painful
- 9:07deterrent threat that the United States
- 9:09doesn't [ __ ] with them basically uh ever
- 9:11again or at least, you know, certainly
- 9:13not anytime soon. And what they're
- 9:16they're unil what they have what I have
- 9:18read from experts about this is that
- 9:20they don't think unilateral engagement
- 9:22will work.
- 9:24This is the problem with escalation
- 9:26either vertical or horizontal. It then
- 9:29takes on a life of its own that simply
- 9:31removing oneself from doesn't really
- 9:34solve the problem because now the fire
- 9:36is burning beyond the place where you
- 9:38initially set it. Oh, I created a fire.
- 9:40I put out the portion right but the fire
- 9:42is still burning here. you walking away
- 9:44from that doesn't put out the fire and
- 9:47by the way the fire could just reach
- 9:48back to where you were before this this
- 9:50is the issue as I again as I understand
- 9:53it this course is beyond my you know
- 9:55what I have spent my life studying but
- 9:57um the I if you guys have read experts
- 9:59who feel like unilateral disengagement
- 10:02will yield an end to the conflict I
- 10:05would love to read it because that is
- 10:06not what I have seen