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Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux.
- 0:06Speaker 2: I'm Brett and I'm justin and it's Monday, the thirtieth
- 0:09Speaker 2: of March.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Doze boy. April first may be April Fool's Day, but
- 0:12Speaker 1: private health insurance are not joking with their price increases
- 0:15Speaker 1: on it this one. On April first, average premiums across
- 0:17Speaker 1: the industry will increase by four point four percent, and
- 0:20Speaker 1: this is the biggest annual hike in almost a decade.
- 0:23Speaker 2: Honestly, I'd justify it these days. But time as we
- 0:26Speaker 2: get to the end of the month, now is the
- 0:27Speaker 2: perfect time to see all the subscriptions that you've been
- 0:30Speaker 2: paying for this month. In the Flux Subscription Tracker, we
- 0:32Speaker 2: identify all your subscriptions in under thirty seconds and show
- 0:35Speaker 2: you the ones that you might not have been using
- 0:37Speaker 2: so you can cancel and save some more laughs. If
- 0:39Speaker 2: you want to save some money to kick off April,
- 0:41Speaker 2: make sure to download the Flux app and check out
- 0:42Speaker 2: the subscription tracker.
- 0:43Speaker 1: Three gigantic stories Today, Josy Boy Let's do it for
- 0:46Speaker 1: our first zero has announced a new partnership with Anthropic
- 0:50Speaker 1: to bring AI into accounting and prove that its business
- 0:53Speaker 1: won't be eaten by AI looks.
- 0:55Speaker 2: Like accounting might get a bit of a chat pop
- 0:57Speaker 2: personality upgrade, b man, So tell me more.
- 0:59Speaker 1: To Zero is the New Zealand founded accounting software company
- 1:02Speaker 1: with over four million subscribers globally.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Basically, it's the home of small business owners trying to
- 1:07Speaker 2: make sense of invoices and receipts.
- 1:09Speaker 1: But over the past year, Zero investors have been sweating
- 1:12Speaker 1: harder than a last minute tax return.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Because it's been growing fear that AI could replace accounting
- 1:18Speaker 2: software all together.
- 1:19Speaker 1: And since that fear crept in, Zero share price is
- 1:22Speaker 1: down around thirty five percent from its peak.
- 1:24Speaker 2: And they man, Zero's been talking a big game, working
- 1:26Speaker 2: on its own AI tool called Jacks. Well that's still
- 1:29Speaker 2: cooking in the background. It's made another AI move yeap.
- 1:32Speaker 1: Zero has announced a multi year partnership with Anthropic to
- 1:35Speaker 1: put its claud model directly inside Zero's platform.
- 1:38Speaker 2: So what does that actually mean?
- 1:40Speaker 1: Zero users will be able to ask Claude questions about
- 1:42Speaker 1: their financials like.
- 1:43Speaker 2: How's my profit margin tracking here on ear?
- 1:46Speaker 1: Or why have my entertainment expenses increased from last year?
- 1:49Speaker 2: And they man, it'll pull it out it from Zero
- 1:51Speaker 2: and report back to you in the Claude Chapot.
- 1:53Speaker 1: So this move is zero saying loud and clear, we're
- 1:56Speaker 1: not getting replaced by AI, we are becoming AI.
- 1:59Speaker 2: Even then if it's someone else's AI doing the heavy lifting, yes,
- 2:03Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here? AI is forcing
- 2:05Speaker 2: a rethink of what software actually is and where the
- 2:08Speaker 2: value sits.
- 2:09Speaker 1: There's a growing fear that large language models like chat,
- 2:11Speaker 1: chipts and Claude could eat software.
- 2:14Speaker 2: But if an AI tool can generate reports and reconcile
- 2:17Speaker 2: accounts and analyze data, then the value is actually shifting
- 2:20Speaker 2: from recording the numbers to actually explaining the numbers.
- 2:23Speaker 1: So SaaS companies are trying to respond as soon as possible.
- 2:26Speaker 2: First, a lot of them are integrating with external AI
- 2:28Speaker 2: models into their products.
- 2:29Speaker 1: That gets them to market quickly and instantly improves their
- 2:33Speaker 1: functionality overall.
- 2:34Speaker 2: And like zero b Man, we've seen salesforce through.
- 2:36Speaker 1: This, we've seen data bricks. They've done this with a
- 2:39Speaker 1: one hundred million dollar partnership with Anthropic.
- 2:41Speaker 2: And Snowflake's done it with a two hundred million dollar
- 2:43Speaker 2: partnership with Anthropic as well.
- 2:44Speaker 1: Then these companies build their own internal AI tools with
- 2:47Speaker 1: their own data and workflows.
- 2:48Speaker 2: It takes a lot longer, but creates a bit more defensibility.
- 2:52Speaker 1: But here's the tension, Juzzy boy. If the external models
- 2:54Speaker 1: keep improving faster, which they are, then the internal tools
- 2:57Speaker 1: risk becoming a second best insight their own products.
- 3:00Speaker 2: So be man. While zero is adding AI to stay ahead,
- 3:03Speaker 2: it didn't really move their share price at all.
- 3:05Speaker 1: For our second story, Indian Premier League cricket team, the
- 3:09Speaker 1: Royal Challenges ben Galaru, has sold to a private equity
- 3:12Speaker 1: giant for nearly one point eight billion US dollars.
- 3:14Speaker 2: Cricket teams aren't just batting and bowling anymore, be Man,
- 3:16Speaker 2: they are global media assets. So tell me more.
- 3:19Speaker 1: All right, Well, I'll take you back to two thousand
- 3:20Speaker 1: and eight, when you were still eating vitaweeds every single
- 3:22Speaker 1: day and flow Rider was topping the charts. That was
- 3:25Speaker 1: when the Indian Premier League launched, and.
- 3:26Speaker 2: In less than two decades, the IPL has gone from
- 3:28Speaker 2: a domestic tournament to the richest cricket league in the world.
- 3:31Speaker 1: One of the teams, the Royal Challenges Bengalaru, was purchased
- 3:35Speaker 1: for one hundred and eleven million US dollars by an
- 3:37Speaker 1: Indian alcoholic beverage company called United Spirits.
- 3:40Speaker 2: But by twenty fourteen, Diagio, the Global beverage company, acquired
- 3:44Speaker 2: a near fifty six percent steak in United Spirits and
- 3:46Speaker 2: rather than sell the cricket team they owned it decided
- 3:49Speaker 2: to hold on.
- 3:50Speaker 1: But earlier this year, Diagio said that the cricket team
- 3:52Speaker 1: was a non core asset to their business and put
- 3:55Speaker 1: it up for sale.
- 3:55Speaker 2: And now be Man. Private equity giant Blackstone, alongside other investors,
- 3:59Speaker 2: have stepped up to the increase, acquiring the Royal Challenges
- 4:02Speaker 2: that just stunned out one point eight billion US dollars.
- 4:04Speaker 1: And Josey Boy Diagio's near fifty six percent stake would
- 4:07Speaker 1: mean they receive a payout of just over one billion
- 4:10Speaker 1: US dollars.
- 4:11Speaker 2: So it seems like holding on to the team for
- 4:12Speaker 2: the last ten years was a pretty good move.
- 4:14Speaker 1: Cricket teams are no longer just a group of sports
- 4:16Speaker 1: people their genuine assets.
- 4:18Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here?
- 4:20Speaker 1: Private equity is not just buying professional sports teams. They're
- 4:23Speaker 1: buying money machines with uniform.
- 4:24Speaker 2: You see, be Man. Modern sports leagues have evolved into
- 4:27Speaker 2: revenue generating machines and obviously investors are all over it.
- 4:31Speaker 2: You've got long term broadcast deals locked in for billions.
- 4:34Speaker 1: Six billion US dollars in Indian Premier League media rights
- 4:37Speaker 1: to be exac.
- 4:37Speaker 2: You've got sponsorship and advertising revenue with massive audiences over
- 4:41Speaker 2: one billion total viewers during the twenty twenty five IPL season,
- 4:44Speaker 2: and you've also got a heap of merchandising and licensing
- 4:47Speaker 2: opportunities too.
- 4:48Speaker 1: And with revenue sharing in the league, it's created a
- 4:50Speaker 1: pretty predictable income stream for the franchises.
- 4:53Speaker 2: And that predictability is gold for private equity. For our
- 4:56Speaker 2: third and final story, David Jones has been delaying payments
- 4:59Speaker 2: to some suppliers, giving itself up to sixty days after
- 5:02Speaker 2: a sale to actually hand over the cash, and suppliers
- 5:05Speaker 2: are not happy handed over DJs. What's going on here? Okay?
- 5:08Speaker 2: So David Jones is one of the oldest department stores
- 5:10Speaker 2: in Australia, founded nearly two hundred.
- 5:12Speaker 1: Years ago, and we know that DJs has been on
- 5:14Speaker 1: a journey over the past decade.
- 5:16Speaker 2: It was acquired by Woolworth South Africa for two point
- 5:18Speaker 2: one billion dollars back in twenty fourteen.
- 5:20Speaker 1: And after years of losses, it was sold to a
- 5:23Speaker 1: private equity player, Anchorage Capital, for just ninety two and
- 5:26Speaker 1: a half million bucks in twenty twenty.
- 5:27Speaker 2: Three and then man. While DJ's is supposedly performing a
- 5:30Speaker 2: little better now, it's now changed its payment terms with suppliers.
- 5:34Speaker 1: And suppliers are not happy jam.
- 5:37Speaker 2: You see, in January this year, David Jones told suppliers
- 5:39Speaker 2: it needed to extend the payment terms for that month
- 5:41Speaker 2: only because they had a new computer system.
- 5:44Speaker 1: And supplies were okay with one month.
- 5:45Speaker 2: Next minute, they decided to shift paying supplies up to
- 5:48Speaker 2: sixty days after products are sold in store, not just
- 5:50Speaker 2: for January, but indefinitely into the future.
- 5:53Speaker 1: That means they can sell an item today but not
- 5:55Speaker 1: pay the supply for another two months.
- 5:56Speaker 2: And this is all part of its plan to extend
- 5:58Speaker 2: its working capital.
- 6:00Speaker 1: So what's the key learning here?
- 6:01Speaker 2: Working capital is the difference between a company's short term
- 6:03Speaker 2: assets and short term liabilities.
- 6:05Speaker 1: In plain English, it's about timing when does cash come
- 6:08Speaker 1: in and when does cash go out.
- 6:09Speaker 2: For retailers like David Jones, the ideal scenario is pretty simple.
- 6:13Speaker 2: Sell products quickly and get paid immediately by customers, but
- 6:16Speaker 2: delay paying suppliers for as long as possible because that
- 6:19Speaker 2: creates a big cash buffer.
- 6:20Speaker 1: For instance, Jazie Boy. If a customer buys a one
- 6:22Speaker 1: hundred dollars item today and David Jones doesn't pay the
- 6:25Speaker 1: supply for sixty days, that's sixty days where David Jones
- 6:28Speaker 1: can use that cash elsewhere to pay.
- 6:29Speaker 2: Rent, to pay stuff, invest in stores, or just stay
- 6:32Speaker 2: a float.
- 6:33Speaker 1: This is called a positive working capital cycle and it
- 6:35Speaker 1: is very valuable. So while stretching payment terms can help
- 6:38Speaker 1: a business manage cash in the short term, it can
- 6:41Speaker 1: damage supplier relationships and trust over time.
- 6:43Speaker 2: Flux adam, it is the end of the month and
- 6:45Speaker 2: that is when many subscriptions start coming out of your bankcount. Now,
- 6:48Speaker 2: if you've got subscriptions that you don't know where they're
- 6:50Speaker 2: coming from or when you signed up, the Flux Subscription
- 6:52Speaker 2: track up will identify them. To make sure to download
- 6:54Speaker 2: the Flux app and check out the subscription tracker.
- 6:56Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and we'll see you on Wednesday.