Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 413 - 12/11/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 413 - 12/11/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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  welcome to episode 413 of the All Systems.
• 0:18
  Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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  I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum What's going on?
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  Everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
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  That's right. We got some NFL back tonight.
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  With Thursday Night Football. Really excited to break down
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  this Atlanta Falcons. Tampa Bay Bucs game for you
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  guys. I do have a best bet here on the
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  side. So it looks to be a pretty
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  notable contrarian play here, kind of a wheelhouse play for
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  us. So have a full breakdown here
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  for Bucks and Falcons and then also couple games lined up here
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  in college basketball. 1 is a gross.
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  Game where this team has a way. Worse one loss record but yet
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  they're favored and me hadn't have become more of a favorite
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  and the other one is a nice little dog to fave line move as
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  well so. 3 bets overall. To college one NFL.
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  You guys know the drill. Let's try to go 2IN1.
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  Eek. Out a winning day.
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  Now, because it is a Thursday, I want to mention that we do have
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  our Rhythm Rundown show tonight, 6:00 PM Eastern Time stream live
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  on Twitter. Of course, you can always follow
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  me at Josh under score Insights on Twitter.
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  We'll go live. Right at 6:00 PM.
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  I was actually talking to my buddy Kate Harper, my Co host.
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  And he was like, hey, what games are you?
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  Looking at we're trying to figure out what we want to talk
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  about tonight. It's going to be pretty much all
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  NFL because really the only game upcoming for college, it's kind
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  of a light slate is that. Army Navy game.
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  Which by the way, under 39 1/2 the lines down to 38 1/2.
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  Even 38. So I'll be rooting for an under
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  and that one, but I sent this to.
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  My buddy Kate. I said let's talk Falcons,
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  Bucks, Bills, Patriots, Chargers, Chiefs, Broncos,
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  Packers, Panthers, Saints, Vikings, Cowboys, and of course
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  I'm sure we'll talk some player props as well.
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  So if you want to get full breakdowns on those games and
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  we'll have our full and final best bet card for tomorrow's pod
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  on Friday, you'll get breakdowns and have all the official bets.
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  But look forward to seeing you guys hopefully tonight. 6:00 PM
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  Eastern Time streamed live on Twitter.
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  Now looking back to our last night guys.
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  Kept the good vibes. Going third straight.
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  Winning day to start. The week fourth straight winning
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  day overall 2 and 1 + 0 point. 58 units.
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  Remember we had our our three pack there in college
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  basketball. As we mentioned, goals to get 2
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  out of 3 and that's. What we did, although I'm a.
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  Little annoyed because I was thinking we could get a clean
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  sweep. Did have a couple of great hits
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  there, one with Nebraska going from at one point.
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  Getting about two points to then laying 2 points or even. -2 and
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  half so that dog to fave came through Nebraska absolutely
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  rolled 90 to 60. Also had a great hit there with
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  Marshall. Another dog to fave where you
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  open around a pick em or Western Kentucky -1 1/2 flip to Marshall
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  -1 1/2 - 2. So both of.
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  Those came through. Then the only loser was Fresno
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  State. Now I look at it one of two
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  ways. On the one hand.
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  We should have probably won that game because Fresno State was up
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  87 to 80. Six with like 2 seconds left.
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  Guy on CS Northridge hits A3 pointer to make it 8987 and then
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  again you lose a game on a three pointer at the buzzer.
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  What are you going to do? But I guess maybe I was a little
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  bit nervous because that was a money line play for me.
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  Fresno State. And remember, Fresno State at
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  one point got down. To or even.
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  Flipped and hopped the fence like -1 1/2.
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  Well, there's a. Ton of movement.
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  Back towards CS Northridge, they closed at like -3 so that late
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  movement did go against us. I was thinking maybe we could
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  rob the. Bank and get away with it.
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  But unfortunately the kid hit a three.
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  There late. But either way, guys.
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  We'll take a 2IN1 plus. 0.58 unit night any day.
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  Of the week and let's see if we can keep.
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  Our win streak going. So that being said, it's
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  Thursday. That means it's Thursday Night
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  Football. So let's talk about some some
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  Thursday Night Football action here for tonight, the Atlanta
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  Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
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  Let's set the stage. Talk line, movement, splits,
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  system matches, rhythm, juice reel.
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  I'll give you my play for this one, so going into it. 8:15 PM
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  Eastern Time. Tonight, get your Amazon Prime
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  locked and loaded. The Falcons come in four and
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  nine, and man, have they really, really fallen off.
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  They've lost seven of their last.
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  Eight games they just got. Beat up by the Seahawks 37 to 9.
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  Didn't cover as a 7 point home. Dog Bucks haven't been much
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  better. I'm sweating the Bucks because I
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  have them. In a futures play to win their
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  division. And like, they're just falling
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  off the map as well. And the Carolina.
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  Panthers are right on. Their heels, but they're still
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  7:00 and 6:00. However, they've lost four of
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  their last five. Just lost to the Saints. 24 to
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  20. As a 7 1/2 point home favorite,
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  So what we've seen across the market here.
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  Well, this game opened. With Tampa Bay around a 5 1/2
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  point home favorite. And this is a.
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  Very clear public play in favor of the Bucks.
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  Bucks are. Totally done with Atlanta, You
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  know Kirk Cousins is in Penex is injured.
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  They've lost seven of eight. Public wants nothing to do with
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  the Falcons. Public also still has.
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  Faith in Tampa Bay made the playoffs last year.
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  They've been good since. Baker joined.
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  So you are getting right now 73% of spread bets at DraftKings,
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  75% of spread bets at Circa. Lay in the points of Tampa Bay.
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  However. What have we seen across the
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  market? Will this game open?
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  Tampa -5 1/2 I was kind of talking about this game
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  yesterday. The line had gotten all the way
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  down to Tampa Bay -4 1/2. Even some books touched as low
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  as -4. So it's very clear that even
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  though the public was hammering. Tampa, that line was dropping
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  toward Atlanta. Now there has been some buyback.
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  Yesterday to today this line is back up to 5 1/2.
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  So instead of becoming a. True reverse line move play.
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  RLM we're betting is heavy on Tampa, but the line went to
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  Atlanta. This now has become a bit of a
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  line freeze play to me so I always try.
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  To think through. The splits the line movement.
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  You know what does that tell me? Is it a steam play?
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  Is it a? Reverse line move.
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  Is it a line freeze? Is it a dog to fave?
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  Is it a 5050 line move? This would now qualify as a line
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  freeze. So have you betting one side
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  yet? The line really hasn't moved.
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  Yes, it got down to 4 1/2, four. It's now back up to 5 1/2, but
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  it opened 5 1/2 and it's still 5 1/2 even though three out of
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  four. Bets are going Tampa Bay, so
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  again that. Tells me that there's some
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  liability. And movement and.
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  Really, the movement has been toward either staying the same
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  or moving toward Atlanta throughout the week.
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  So tell me. We got a line freeze here.
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  Sharp. Betting hopefully with the the
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  sports books kind of being more concerned about Atlanta side,
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  the contrarian side really don't want to give out a six it
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  appears. Which is a bit of a key number.
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  But aside from the sharp line freeze, we are just a straight
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  up contrarian play. Atlanta Falcons only getting
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  about 1/4 of tickets, only around 25% of bets and a heavily
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  bet primetime game the Falcons also match.
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  Quite a few betting systems, so if we look at.
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  All these system matches, I got a bunch of them here on Atlanta.
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  Primetime dogs 23 and 20 against the spread, 53% this year, 2%
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  ROI. Remember, we just had the
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  Chargers of the prime time, prime time dog come through on
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  Monday. They are 164 and one. 46 against
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  the spread 53 percent 1.5% ROI since. 2020.
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  So they're not like, you know, shattering any records here, but
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  they've been profitable. But here's.
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  Where it gets even better. If you isolate the primetime
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  dogs getting 4 1/2 points or more.
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  They're 88 and 63. Against the spread 58 percent,
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  12% ROI since 2020. So prime time dogs this year,
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  historically prime time dogs, 4 1/2 or more, they've been
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  winning systems then we look. At dogs who missed.
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  The playoffs the previous year, playing an opponent who made the
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  playoffs the previous year, kind of the buy low, sell high where
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  public says you missed the playoffs, you stink, I don't
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  want to play you. You made the playoffs, you're
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  good, I want to back you. But that creates a buy low, sell
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  high in favor of the team who missed the postseason.
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  Those dogs are. 48 and 30. Six against the spread this
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  year, 57% with a 9% ROI. Now, if you remember when I told
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  you. Setting the.
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  Stage here. The Falcons just got blown out
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  by the Seahawks 37 to 9. So for those of you who've been.
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  Grinding, you know, podcast. With me over the years, you.
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  Remember this betting system right dog off a blowout loss of
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  20 points or more. You lose by. 20 or more the next
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  week the public remembers you got blown out they want.
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  Nothing to do with you, but actually kind of buying low on
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  those teams they become. Very undervalued those dogs off
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  a blowout loss of 20 points or more, which would match with the
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  Falcons. Tonight they are 16.
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  And eleven against the spread this year, 59 percent, 13% ROI.
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  And since the start of 2018, they're 137 and one O. 6 ATS 56.
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  Percent with an 8% ROI. Short Rd. dogs getting 6 or
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  less. They've also been good this
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  season. 40 and 33 against the spread 55%, 5% ROI.
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  They're 348 and 289 ATS 55. Percent 5% ROI since 20. 19 So
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  I'm pretty consistent this year and.
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  Historically last what, 6 years now?
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  At this point, Atlanta also is a divisional dog system match
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  built in familiarity rivalry aspect levels the playing field.
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  Benefits the team getting points if you look at both teams.
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  Coming off a loss, which is the case here.
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  And it's a divisional game. Take the dog that's 84 and 60.
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  Two against the spread. 58%. 11% ROI since 2020.
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  Then we get into the. Well, at least one of the.
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  Quarterbacks here. Baker Mayfield.
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  Of course we got Cousins going for Atlanta.
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  Dear God, Cousins can. You can you play decent tonight,
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  but Baker Mayfield, in his career, he's 31 and 20.
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  Eight against the spread as a dog, that's a 53% cover. 8 but
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  as a favorite. He's only 20. 2 and 34 against
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  the spread 39%. Now if you just look at since he
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  joined the Bucks, if he's a favorite laying 4 1/2 points or
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  more, he's four and seven against the spread 36%.
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  So he's been pretty good in his career as a dog getting points,
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  not great as a favorite, and really not great when he is
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  favored by 4 1/2 or more. Since he joined the.
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  Bucks couple cherries on top here.
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  Not a huge rhythm edge, but I do have a couple system plays on
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  the Falcons. One says the Falcons should be
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  plus 5.4, the other one says the Falcons should be +5.
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  So if you're getting the hook on the 5 1/2, again, doesn't say
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  Rhythm's not saying Falcons. Should be +2.
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  Or +3, like it's not a massive multi point edge, but hey,
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  around A5 point game, you know, that's a little bit of an edge
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  there on the 5 1/2. And oh, by the way, our friends
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  at Juice Reel have a 7%, nothing crazy, but a 7% sharp mush edge
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  in favor of Atlanta telling us the sharper winning players who
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  have downloaded Juice Reel and sync up their books.
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  They're also leaning Atlanta here.
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  So Long story short guys, I'm playing Falcons.
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  Really my angle here is a very unpopular contrarian primetime
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  divisional dog that's an auto bet for me.
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  So Falcons, can you lose by 5 or less?
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  Let's go Atlanta. In terms of the total, I didn't
• 10:52
  play it, but I did just want to mention it.
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  It has fallen a little bit. If you like the.
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  Under Open 44 1/2. It was 44 1/2 under -120 earlier
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  today. Now it's down to 44.
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  Now it's down to. 43 and a. Half.
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  So this line is falling on game day, and I always respect game
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  day movement. When big bets come in, limits
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  are raised. Now it's interesting.
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  The splits look kind. Of weird.
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  Because at DraftKings, 49% bets 51% dollars on the under, but
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  circa 73% bets 92% dollars on the over.
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  However, primetime unders, they've been pretty good
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  historically. This year, again, they're 27 and
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  1959 percent, 12% ROI. Since 2022. 128 and 9059
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  percent, 12% ROI and then outdoor divisional unders. 24
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  and 2055% this season, 5% ROI. 323 and two, 7250. 4 percent, 5%
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  ROI since 2017. So I'd lean under just based on
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  the game day movement. It is falling.
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  And you do have some, you know, prime time unders outdoor
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  divisional under system matches. My one bet here, guys, took the
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  Atlanta Falcons plus 5 1/2. Again, very unpopular primetime
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  divisional dog. Next, let's go over to some
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  college hoops, because it's kind of a small college hoop slate.
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  I was a bit surprised there's. Only like 8 games.
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  Overall, but I found a couple that were kind of in our
• 12:15
  wheelhouse that match and remind me a lot of both.
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  Who was it? Marshall and a little bit like
• 12:20
  Nebraska last night. So the first one is an early
• 12:23
  game, 6:30 PM Eastern Time, Green Bay.
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  And yeah, it's weird. I always just thought this they
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  were ooey pooey IUP. UI, now they're IU Indianapolis.
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  I don't know when that happened, but anyway, just kind of weird.
• 12:37
  They're always ooey pooey to me. Because I've been staring at
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  live odds pages since 2011 and. It was always.
• 12:42
  Ooey pooey, but whatever. But this one's interesting.
• 12:46
  Because both teams are not. Great Green Bay is four and
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  seven. They've lost 2.
• 12:50
  Straight, they just. Got rolled by rate.
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  State 86 to 58. Not much better with.
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  Ooey pooey, they're 3. And eight on the.
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  Year. They actually, I want to say
• 13:00
  they started off decent or no. They've they've lost 12345 of
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  their last six, just got beat up by Youngstown State. 78 to 55 S
• 13:08
  both teams losing records, both teams just.
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  Got beat up in their last game, but it's pretty clear where the
• 13:14
  market is moving for this one. Because we open this game.
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  With Wisconsin, Green Bay. Listed around A2 point Rd.
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  favorite and even though it's a low.
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  Back game. It's not an added game, extra
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  game, but it is a low back game. We've actually seen this line
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  completely. Flip to ooey pooey.
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  So it's gone from. IUPUI getting.
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  To to now. IUPUI. -1 -, 1 1/2.
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  So right off the bat that jumped out to me dog to fave line move.
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  Now what's also interesting is that the public, you know, it's
• 13:41
  not the most heavily back game of the night.
• 13:42
  They're actually leaning pretty hard on Wisconsin, Green Bay,
• 13:45
  the Phoenix, by the way, they're getting 65% of spread.
• 13:49
  Bets so public is. Green Bay yet the line slipping.
• 13:52
  Toward ooey Pooey. Tells me smart money reverse
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  line move. Fade the trendy dog.
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  In favor of Indianapolis. Now I'm going to mitigate some
• 14:01
  risk again. I like to money line short
• 14:04
  favorites. What was it the other night that
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  game that would would have pushed or lost on the money line
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  or on the spread, but it ended up winning?
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  Who was that? Mcnee State the other day.
• 14:15
  So same thing here. I got a pretty good minus one O
• 14:17
  8 at Bally bet. I'm in Massachusetts by the way,
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  and actually just open up account at Bally Bet because
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  they are in my state and I'm like, you know, I noticed in my
• 14:27
  in my app they had a better line than everyone else.
• 14:29
  I'm like why haven't opened an account there?
• 14:30
  So just a reminder. You're always available to.
• 14:32
  Open up more accounts but I got a -1 O 8 money line now you're
• 14:36
  looking at around -110 -, 1. 15, but a couple.
• 14:39
  Of the reasons to like. IUPY.
• 14:42
  With a contrarian RLM fade, the trendy dog dog to fave line
• 14:45
  move, a little bit of a rest advantage.
• 14:47
  Nothing huge, but they're playing their second straight
• 14:50
  home game. They last played on the 6th of
• 14:52
  December. You have Green Bay playing their
• 14:54
  second straight Rd. game, so maybe a little bit of a A.
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  You know. Fade of Green Bay and A and a
• 15:00
  backing. Of ooey pooey but.
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  I'm going to bank on the offense of Indianapolis here.
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  They're averaging 87 points per game.
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  Only 72 points per game here. For for Wisconsin Green Bay,
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  they also have the better effective field goal percentage.
• 15:16
  It is 51. Percent versus 49% better
• 15:19
  offensive rebound percentage, 28% versus 23%.
• 15:23
  They shoot the three better, 32% versus 30%.
• 15:26
  And oh by the way, 9% sharp mush edge from juice.
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  Real on Hui Hui. What I really like is our
• 15:33
  friends at Rhythm have a Green Star recommended smart signal on
• 15:38
  Indianapolis here, and they have Indianapolis -2.1.
• 15:42
  And again, they're -1 -, 1 1/2 in the market, so not the
• 15:46
  sexiest. Game in the world.
• 15:48
  But a sharp dog to fave line move green star from rhythm,
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  Sharp mush from juice reel. Better offense, rest advantage.
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  I took ooey pooey. On the money line again minus
• 15:58
  one O 8 looking like -110 -, 1. 15 pretty short number.
• 16:03
  Last night of the night, 7:30 PM Eastern Time.
• 16:06
  This is an official added game extra game so low bet matchup,
• 16:10
  but hopefully we'll be able to get a winner for this one so 7.
• 16:14
  30 we have UT. Arlington, The Mavericks.
• 16:16
  Facing UT Rio. Grande Valley, the Vaqueros now
• 16:20
  going in we. Have UT Arlington 6.
• 16:22
  And three on the. Year they had a two game win
• 16:24
  streak coming. In They Lost Arkansas.
• 16:26
  State 83 to 63. As their second.
• 16:29
  Straight Rd. game. Meanwhile, UT Rio.
• 16:31
  They're only three and five on the year and they just snapped
• 16:33
  A3 game. Losing skid, they won.
• 16:35
  At home against Austin. P And they beat them 63 to 50.
• 16:40
  So what are we seeing across the market?
• 16:42
  Well, this game opened UT Rio. -2 at home now let's stop right
• 16:46
  there. Isn't that fishy?
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  Why? Is UT Rio who's 3 and.
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  Five, I know we got to incorporate home homecourt
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  advantage, but they're three and.
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  Five UT. Arlington is 6 and 3.
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  Why is the? Three and five team.
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  Favored over the six and three team.
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  Fishy, right If this. Was me. 15 years ago, first
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  betting on sports, I'd say you'd you know, Texas, Arlington all
• 17:08
  the way. A dog better record getting
• 17:10
  points, but as you've like myself, bet long enough you
• 17:14
  sometimes smell you have that. Indicator.
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  That barometer, that radar. For stinky fishy things that
• 17:19
  don't. Make sense?
• 17:20
  And you realize, oh, I want to be on the fishy stinky grow
• 17:23
  side. That doesn't make sense.
• 17:25
  And that's UT Rio and. We've actually seen the line
• 17:27
  move further toward UT. Rio they went.
• 17:29
  From -2 up to -2 1/2 and some shops are juice.
• 17:33
  Like it may go. To three so.
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  The team of the worst. Record.
• 17:37
  Opens as a favorite has become. More of a favorite I went.
• 17:41
  Money line on UT Rio. I got a -, 135 It's available at
• 17:44
  both DraftKings and Caesar's but shop around.
• 17:47
  Some other books are a little bit higher like -140 ish but
• 17:51
  DraftKings spread looks good on. Rio 54.
• 17:53
  Percent bets, 75% dollars. The DraftKings.
• 17:56
  Money Line 56. Percent bets, 70% dollars.
• 18:00
  Ken Palm has Rio winning by two. So not an edge on laying a 2
• 18:03
  1/2, but hopefully an edge on. Just winning the game.
• 18:06
  They have the better offensive efficiency 2O5 in the country
• 18:09
  versus 2. 50th effective field goal percentage 51.
• 18:13
  Percent versus 49% and notice this a big edge.
• 18:16
  Hopefully the threes drop for UT Grand Valley 37% beyond the arc.
• 18:21
  Only 28%. For Texas, Arlington 2 and O at
• 18:24
  home. For the Vaqueros, they're at
• 18:26
  home tonight, second straight. Home game UT Arlington.
• 18:30
  Is 2 and two on the road and they're playing their second
• 18:32
  straight Rd. game and I noticed this.
• 18:34
  A big you know. Rest first tired which I put a
• 18:37
  lot of stock. Into like, you know?
• 18:38
  Football or you know, hockey, where it's a very physical sport
• 18:43
  and some time off can really. Help you but in.
• 18:45
  College, sometimes it's again, it's kind of hit or miss, but
• 18:50
  sometimes you know, the extra time off, I look at it as it's
• 18:53
  good if you get more time in the gym, but also maybe you're a
• 18:55
  little rusty. So like for example.
• 18:57
  UT. Arlington hasn't played since
• 18:59
  December 2nd. They've been off for 9 days.
• 19:02
  Rio last one and played on the 7th, so you know it's a nine day
• 19:07
  versus a four day rest advantage.
• 19:08
  But again, maybe the rest is is. Too much here.
• 19:11
  Maybe I'm, maybe I'm. Making too.
• 19:12
  Much of that, but I'm like, man, they.
• 19:14
  Haven't played in a. While so coming off a ball loss,
• 19:17
  second straight Rd. game, who knows, maybe it's a fade spot,
• 19:20
  but overall guys. Fishy Fishy 3 and five team.
• 19:24
  Opening as a favorite against. The six and three team becoming.
• 19:26
  More of a favorite I got. The UT.
• 19:29
  Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros on the money line at -135.
• 19:33
  So UT Rio. Money line.
• 19:35
  Ooey pooey. On the money line, and hopefully
• 19:39
  Falcons can cover the plus 5 1/2, so that about does.
• 19:43
  It for episode 4. 13 of the all systems go sports betting
• 19:46
  podcast powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 19:49
  where we wrap things up and I start first by saying.
• 19:51
  Thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
• 19:53
  you for tuning. In Thank you for grinding in the
• 19:55
  arena with me every day, through the ups and downs, the hot, the
• 19:58
  cold. The good, the bad.
• 20:00
  But we're always waking up every day with a positive attitude,
• 20:03
  trying to attack a challenging betting market and hopefully
• 20:06
  cash some tickets, so I think there's something to be said for
• 20:08
  that. But if you do enjoy the pod, if
• 20:10
  you want to help me. Grow the pod.
• 20:11
  There's something. Very easy you can do to make.
• 20:13
  Me happy. Just give it a five star review
• 20:16
  on Spotify or iTunes. Click the follow button.
• 20:19
  Recommend the pod to a friend. Retweet the pod when I tweet it
• 20:22
  out. That'll all be, really.
• 20:24
  Cool and very awesome of you. Next, if you enjoy the style of
• 20:28
  betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
• 20:30
  focusing on line movement, bet split system matches, trying to
• 20:34
  make bets with our head and not our heart, tracking the betting
• 20:36
  market. If this style of betting is
• 20:39
  really kind of you know. Spoken to you.
• 20:41
  You. Kind of see the the value of it
• 20:43
  or. Maybe you have someone in your
• 20:44
  life who could use. Some sports betting tips from a
• 20:46
  data-driven perspective and more importantly.
• 20:49
  It's the holiday season, so I know.
• 20:50
  You got to get your uncle something.
• 20:52
  You have no freaking clue what to.
• 20:53
  Get him you. Know what you should do?
• 20:54
  You should get him a book. Not just any book, we should go
• 20:57
  to Amazon.com and type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook and
• 21:02
  blow your uncle's mind how to bet the NFL from a Daydream
• 21:05
  perspective. If you also want to pick up my
• 21:07
  first book, the Everything Guide to Sports Betting also be
• 21:10
  awesome and you can bring one or both of them to the sports book.
• 21:13
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 21:15
  ale. Sweat some some NFL and college
• 21:18
  hoops tonight next. Have you downloaded?
• 21:20
  Rhythm and juice Real yet my two favorite sports.
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  Betting apps, Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions
• 21:25
  for game bets and player props. Reminder, 6:00 PM tonight we got
• 21:28
  our lines, live stream and then also Juice Rail.
• 21:31
  So many great. Features First off, if you want
• 21:33
  to tip your podcast host, you want to give your.
• 21:36
  Your buddy here. A little little Christmas bonus
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  you. Know what you should do?
• 21:40
  You should sign up to get the all.
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  Systems go best bet picks from juice rail.
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  It costs $4.99 a week, 5 bucks for seven days of plays.
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  Less than a dollar a day. And again, you're you go out to
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  dinner, server takes care of you got a nice smile refills the
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  water glass when it's running low takes care of you.
• 21:57
  You give them a good tip. Well, if you enjoy the pod pods
• 22:00
  free tip your podcast those in the form of getting those all
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  systems go best. Bets from Juice Reel.
• 22:06
  You also get the sharp motion indicators arbitrage play shop
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  for the best line futures. Make sure you give.
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  Juice Reel and Rhythm a 5 star. Review in the app.
• 22:13
  Store Next you have a live odds page if you don't.
• 22:16
  Have one you need. One super important got to be
• 22:18
  able to track the market. First off you got to know what
• 22:21
  are the games being played today that I can bet on?
• 22:23
  What are the start times? I need live scoring once the
• 22:25
  game gets going. I need live in game wagering
• 22:27
  odds that progress and update after every play.
• 22:31
  More importantly, I got to know what the lines opened at, what
• 22:34
  they are now. Pull up the line history.
• 22:36
  Identify late steam. When odds get lit up in red,
• 22:40
  pull up the line history. See all the moves?
• 22:42
  In between and also get the best number which is super important.
• 22:46
  And you can do. All of that with odds logic.
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  So all you. Got to do is go to odds.
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  Logic.com/josh 123. That'll get you a 7 day free
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  trial and 50% off your first month of service.
• 22:57
  Lastly, have you downloaded Novig yet?
• 23:01
  Well if you haven't, now is the time.
• 23:03
  Novig. Is a sports.
• 23:04
  Betting exchange It is not a sports book, so as a result,
• 23:07
  you're going to get. Way better juice prices.
• 23:10
  And. That means you can.
• 23:11
  Win at the same rate you would add a DraftKings or.
• 23:13
  FanDuel, but actually make. More money because you're.
• 23:16
  Risking less juice. Instead of having to pay -115 -
• 23:19
  120, you're getting a plus one O 5 - 1 O 6 plus one O 2 - 1 O2.
• 23:25
  For example, I'm looking at Novig right now.
• 23:28
  Falcons are plus 5 1/2 at plus one O 3 bucks or -5 1/2 at -1 O
• 23:33
  5. Totals 43 1/2 / + 100 Under 43
• 23:38
  1/2 - 1 O 4. So again, you can get better
• 23:41
  prices just because you're not going up against the house,
• 23:44
  you're going up against other betters.
• 23:46
  So download Novig and. When you fund your.
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  Account put in Josh 123. I'll give you an extra 25 bucks
• 23:51
  to play with. So that about does it for
• 23:53
  episode 4. 13 of the ASG. Pod on a big Thursday as always
• 23:57
  guys, whether I see. You at the Borgata?
• 23:59
  In Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
• 24:01
  Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun.
• 24:03
  Down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston Plain Ridge
• 24:06
  Park. Casino MGM Springfield the.
• 24:08
  Nash and my neck of the woods on the border of Nashua, NH and in
• 24:12
  Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
• 24:15
  get down or Billy Walters sends his number runners with lowest
• 24:18
  juice possible is found at the South point or sweat and sharp
• 24:21
  contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swim pool.
• 24:23
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
• 24:26
  to me. You're.
• 24:27
  Going to show me a nice. Marshall Thundering Herd ticket,
• 24:31
  A nice Nebraska Cornhuskers ticket.
• 24:34
  Whatever you do, don't show me Fresno Stinks winning night.
• 24:37
  You're always happy. But stinks when you lose at the
• 24:39
  buzzer. You're like man.
• 24:40
  Could have been a sweep, but either way we'll take a 2IN1.
• 24:44
  So as always, guys coming off a 2IN1 or A1 and 2A3 and O or an O
• 24:47
  and three. A winning night, a losing night,
• 24:49
  a good week, a bad week. A hot stretch, A cold stretch.
• 24:52
  Again, this is sports betting. There's going to be UPS, there's
• 24:55
  going. To be downs, we just got to ride
• 24:56
  the wave. Not get too high when?
• 24:58
  Things are going good, not get too low when things are are not
• 25:00
  going our way, stick to the model, stick to the blueprint
• 25:04
  discipline with our bankroll management, making bets with our
• 25:06
  head and not our heart. We can do that, find those
• 25:09
  system matches, games that fit our model against the public
• 25:12
  with the house with the pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays and get
• 25:15
  that CLV. If we can do that.
• 25:17
  We're going to be successful sports bettors, so have a great
• 25:20
  Thursday night everybody. I'll see you at 6:00 PM on
• 25:22
  Twitter, remember at Josh under score Insight.
• 25:25
  So just go right live from my Twitter page and also I'm going
• 25:28
  to join my buddy Patrick Maher as I always do at 9:00 on Mad
• 25:32
  Dog Sports Radio. Be some.
• 25:33
  Live tonight. So good luck everybody.
• 25:35
  Have a great Thursday night. We'll be right back at it
• 25:37
  tomorrow for Eisode. 4/14. A big Friday edition of the All
• 25:41
  Systems Go Sorts betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 25:45
  Good luck everybody and. Let's go, Falcons.