Latest / Simply Bitcoin / NEW REPORT: Bitcoin ETF Insider Doubles Down on UNTHINKABLE 2030 prediction! | EP 1176
Transcript
- 0:00No, a new report was just released literally 24 hours ago
- 0:06predicting that $1.5 million Bitcoin is coming in 20-30.
- 0:13Now what's really interesting about this prediction is that
- 0:16this Bitcoin OG has been predicting A6 figure Bitcoin
- 0:21price for a long time now, but more recently she is doubling
- 0:26down on her most bullish case for Bitcoin by the year 2030.
- 0:31What's changed since she's been since she began making Bitcoin
- 0:34price predictions over a decade ago?
- 0:36What else is buried in this 148 page mega report?
- 0:43We're going to find out before we jump into it, I want to bring
- 0:46up my legendary Co host who is always optimistic the one and
- 0:50only optimist fields. Let's jump straight into the
- 0:54report and let's get into what Misses Kathy Woods is talking
- 1:00about. So let's check it out.
- 1:01So the name of the report is Arcs Big Ideas 2025.
- 1:06We've been talking about Kathy Woods predictions for a long
- 1:09time now. She has an ETF.
- 1:12The ETF has a tremendous amount of of of attention.
- 1:16She she's been extremely successful.
- 1:18She's made a lot of of good predictions in regards to Tesla,
- 1:22in regards to Bitcoin. So this is obviously someone
- 1:26who's very serious, very well respected.
- 1:29This isn't just some random person.
- 1:31So the report goes on to say Bitcoin, a maturing global
- 1:35monetary system with sound network fundamentals and growing
- 1:40institutional adoption. Bitcoin hit all time high in
- 1:442024, and it goes through all the various events that
- 1:47happened. But what's really interesting to
- 1:49me here is the catalyst. So it seems like the catalyst
- 1:53was the election of Donald J Trump for president.
- 1:57It kind of makes sense, right? Is the end of the so-called
- 2:00Operation Choke .2 Point O era. And you know, Pennsylvania's
- 2:05first US state to propose Bitcoin strategic reserve.
- 2:08Now it's a bunch of other states.
- 2:10And of course, David Sachs appointed USAI and Cryptozar.
- 2:14We're actually going to be playing you guys a video of the
- 2:17David Sachs press conference from yesterday where he verbally
- 2:23convert verbally firmed that the United States of America is
- 2:27seriously considering AUS strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 2:32So you guys are going to stay have to stay tuned until we play
- 2:35that video for you guys, but let's continue looking at this
- 2:38report. So the spot Bitcoin ETF complex
- 2:41was the most successful ETF launch in history.
- 2:46There's absolutely no surprise there whatsoever.
- 2:49Bitcoin is the best asset the world has ever seen.
- 2:52Upon its fourth having bitcoins in inflation rate dropped below
- 2:56gold's long term supply growth. It goes on to say bitcoins
- 3:01annual volatility fell to an all time low while it's risk
- 3:05adjusted returns remain superior to most major asset classes.
- 3:11Now it goes on to say despite a steep decline in minor revenue
- 3:15after the halving bitcoins hash rate hit an all time high.
- 3:20I mean, you can make a very strong argument that the higher
- 3:23the hash rate, the harder it is to computationally attack bit
- 3:28the Bitcoin network and the higher the theoretical security
- 3:34value proposition. You can make a very good
- 3:36argument for that. Transaction count soared thanks
- 3:39to runes. I mean, it's some things that we
- 3:41don't really like here. It's simply Bitcoin, but I'll
- 3:45keep going. Bitcoin observed absorbed major
- 3:48cell pressure in 2024. We had the German government, of
- 3:52course, selling a massive amount of Bitcoin.
- 3:54An increasing number of public companies now hold Bitcoin.
- 3:58I mean, that's some signal right there.
- 4:00Of course you have MicroStrategy, you have
- 4:02Marathon, you have Riot, you have Hut 8, you have Tesla.
- 4:06I think that's some a lot of people are sleeping on that
- 4:09fact, the fact that Tesla holds a lot of Bitcoin.
- 4:12Coinbase, Cleanspark Block, Bitcoin Group SE.
- 4:17It continues to say Bitcoin's aggregate cost basis hit a new
- 4:21high in 2024. And let's get to the page that
- 4:26everyone has been waiting for. Bitcoin is on pace to meet our
- 4:322030 price predictions. Now initially when Arc invests
- 4:38and Kathy Wood was dropping these price predictions, I think
- 4:41it was back in 2023 or 2022 and back then she predicted her base
- 4:47case was $648,000 Bitcoin by 20-30 her her, her bull case I
- 4:54believe was one point. It was lower than 1.5 and her
- 4:58base and her bare case was 250 K.
- 5:01So all of her cases have gone up and the base case, like the base
- 5:07case by 20-30 is $710,000 Bitcoin.
- 5:11That's up from the $648,000 Bitcoin that she predicted in
- 5:16the previous report. Now the bulk case, which is
- 5:19quite interesting, is $1.5 million Bitcoin by the year
- 5:242030. And of course we're looking at
- 5:27the CAGR number. Now the Kaggar numbers is what
- 5:30is the annual return if you if you average it out between now
- 5:35and 2030. So the base case is a 40%
- 5:39Kaggar. I think that's, you know, pretty
- 5:41conservative that, you know, considering bitcoins history
- 5:45where it's like 250% or 300 three 100% Kaggar and the bit
- 5:50the bull case is a 58% Kaggar by the year 2030.
- 5:55And of course, all this depends on institutions, investment, the
- 6:00Bitcoin replacing gold, emerging market, safe haven, national
- 6:07state treasury, which I think there's a very high probability
- 6:11this year, ladies and gentlemen, and we'll play you guys a clip
- 6:14by David Sacks during the number segment of the show.
- 6:17But there's a very high probability that the strategic
- 6:20Bitcoin reserve is happening this year, which I think would
- 6:25absolutely send the price to create crazy, crazy, crazy
- 6:30levels and new heights. I think the world has, you know,
- 6:33I think that none of us are. But anyways, before I continue,
- 6:37Opti, what is your take on this man?
- 6:40I mean, is this bullish? Is this bearish?
- 6:43What's your take? Well.
- 6:45First of all, when I was kind of reading over this report this
- 6:49morning, I was kind of joking and trolling on the fact that I
- 6:52absolutely love seeing these institutional, you know,
- 6:56managers make these really nice reports with a lot of really
- 6:59fancy charts. It makes all of our price
- 7:01predictions just sound so much better.
- 7:03You know, it's got a lot more cojones to it.
- 7:05It's like they're, you know, it's not just us pulling,
- 7:08pulling data out of our behind here.
- 7:11It's like, look at all the data, you know, add it all together,
- 7:14aggregate all of the different positive things happening in
- 7:19Bitcoin. And This is why we can get to
- 7:22this prediction of, you know, bitcoins going to hit what, 1.5
- 7:26million on the bull case by 20-30, seven, 100,000 by 20-30,
- 7:32You know, so I obviously love these predictions.
- 7:35I was actually telling Nico this morning, I was on the phone with
- 7:37one of my friends and he's kind of loosely a bitcoiner, and I
- 7:40was telling him kind of something similar.
- 7:42You know, I wish I had this report to kind of just send it
- 7:44to him, but he obviously wasn't going to read it.
- 7:48But I was explaining to him that I, I think in the next 10 years
- 7:53or so, we're going to see something on the lines of what
- 7:56Kathy was just saying with these price predictions.
- 7:59I was telling him like, yeah, you know, even if we, we don't
- 8:03really hit 2030, like if Bitcoin plays out like the 20 this
- 8:06cycle, 2017 cycle, that means what, what everyone's saying
- 8:10it's like $2,000,000 per Bitcoin.
- 8:11And he's like, dude, you're crazy.
- 8:13Like that is, that's way too, way too insane.
- 8:15Like what's that from here? What's that means the Bitcoin
- 8:18market cap's going to be, and I'm like, yeah, maybe it's not
- 8:21going to happen this year, but by 20-30, I think it's or rather
- 8:2410 years, whether it's where we have five years or 10 years from
- 8:27now, I think it's very safe to assume in a very conservative
- 8:32assumption to speculate that Bitcoin is going to be in the
- 8:35seven figures. Obviously, we don't know when
- 8:38it's going to happen. We obviously know that it will
- 8:40happen, as a lot of Bitcoiners have been saying forever.
- 8:42We all thought that Bitcoin was going to get 6 figures last
- 8:46cycle. It got cut short.
- 8:48So we don't really know the win, but we know the how much you
- 8:52know, we know how much it's going to be it's going up
- 8:55forever. A hard cap asset or hard, hard
- 8:58cap currency, with all of the crazy things going on in the
- 9:01world, and if you laid out everything going on in the
- 9:03world, it just makes perfect sense that the world's going
- 9:07digital. We're seeing analog assets or
- 9:10analog currencies start to transition to the digital world,
- 9:13just like we saw all of the analog technologies get
- 9:16transformed and transition into the digital world.
- 9:19So I don't think this is too far fetched, but I do love to see
- 9:22Kathy Wood kind of double down on her predictions and be like,
- 9:25actually, you know, guys, our 2025 outlook is we're on page to
- 9:30hit our 2030 targets. I like some bull sauce in the
- 9:33morning. But Nico, I think it it's very
- 9:35interesting. If could you zoom in on the side
- 9:38of that those those side numbers, they're not, not the
- 9:43not the prediction, but the yeah, yeah.
- 9:45So go over there. Those numbers are pretty
- 9:47interesting when you kind of break, break everything down.
- 9:50And even these seem very conservative.
- 9:53You know, nation state treasury total assets under management, a
- 9:56bull case is 7%. Like I think we, you know, I
- 9:59think we can vary, we can hit that pretty soon.
- 10:02Digital gold market cap 60% by 2030.
- 10:06Like, you know, I'm, I'm kind of I'm kind of agreeing with stuff
- 10:10institutional investments we're hearing like the Ray Dalios of
- 10:13the world essentially say that, yeah, you want to have at least
- 10:172%. Remember Blackrock's been
- 10:18shifting how much percentage of your portfolio should be in
- 10:22Bitcoin? It's kind of inching up so 6.5%
- 10:24of institutional capital going into Bitcoin.
- 10:27I think that's kind of low. These these numbers aren't that
- 10:30crazy when you really consider what's going on and and
- 10:33everything playing out. And I think as we start to
- 10:37really see what's happening in the traditional financial world,
- 10:40like these numbers are going to go up.
- 10:41So maybe even her bull case is conservative here.
- 10:44I don't know. I'm obviously bull tarted AF and
- 10:47I'm always like bitcoins going to the moon, I mean, taking over
- 10:51the world. But these are conservative
- 10:52numbers when you really break it down.
- 10:53For sure, and I I don't think she can be completely.
- 10:57Bull. Tarted like us in the community,
- 10:59right? You know she, she has an ETF.
- 11:02You know she, she has Tradfi. She has a respective Tradfi.
- 11:05So she can't go full, you know, Bitcoin full Bitcoin Twitter and
- 11:11just, you know, just go bananas, right?
- 11:14So yeah, I mean, just a a couple notes on that.
- 11:18And what I'll say too is let us know what you guys think.
- 11:21If you guys think the the base case is more viable, the base
- 11:26case is. No, no, let me let me do this
- 11:29and you go drop A1 in the chat if you think 1.5 million by
- 11:332030, drop A2 in the chat if you are bearish on that scenario
- 11:38playing out. There we go.
- 11:39So drop a drop A1 for 1.5 million if you think that's
- 11:43going to happen by 20-30 and drop A2 if you think that is
- 11:47absolutely insane and you guys disagree.
- 11:50Also, guys, smash the like button.
- 11:53Help us break 100 likes within the 1st 15 minutes of the show.
- 11:58We're almost there. So smash the like button and
- 12:01appreciate the Rumble audience, the X audience, and of course
- 12:05the YouTube audience as well. You guys are listening to Simply
- 12:08Bitcoin live now. I saw this very, very
- 12:11interesting thread this morning. Let me let me show it off to you
- 12:15guys. It's by Stack Hodler and it's
- 12:19important guys to remember perspective and it's it's a more
- 12:24it's important to remember where you kind of are in the movie.
- 12:28I've told you guys many, many times.
- 12:30I think 2021 was a huge let down for the Bitcoin community
- 12:34because of the China mining ban. We had this like weird, strange
- 12:38double top. We didn't have a really
- 12:41explosive blow off top like usually happens in Bitcoins
- 12:45history, and I've been making the case that we don't remember
- 12:49what that feels like in Bitcoin land.
- 12:52I remember having a conversation with Samson Mao over the weekend
- 12:56and he was basically saying like, look like, I don't believe
- 13:00in diminishing returns. I totally see we can do a A10XI.
- 13:04Don't see why that's impossible. Bitcoin is better money.
- 13:08That's what you have to understand.
- 13:09And if the United States comes through with the strategic
- 13:13Bitcoin Reserve, I'm telling you, I'm telling you it's so
- 13:16much confident. I really believe we'll see 500K
- 13:19Bitcoin this year. If that happens.
- 13:22And if it doesn't happen, I still think Bitcoin is going to
- 13:24do amazing regardless. Samson Mouth thinks is
- 13:26predicting $1 million Bitcoin this year, which again, if you
- 13:31look at bitcoins history, you know a 10X in a year isn't that
- 13:35crazy. Now I know it's a larger market
- 13:37cap. There's the whole theory of
- 13:39diminishing returns. Like, you can make a lot of
- 13:41solid arguments why a 10X this year is completely out of the
- 13:45question, but you could dream, right?
- 13:48Anyhow, here's Stack Hodler and he says it's early 2017.
- 13:52You're up massively after loading up on Bitcoin in the two
- 13:56hundreds and 2015. But now Bitcoin is crashing
- 14:00after setting new highs above the 2013 high.
- 14:03Is the bull market over? Should you sell now, take
- 14:07profits rather than risking another brutal bear market?
- 14:10See next tweet for answer. And this is so important.
- 14:14You have to understand guys, like when you're in the thick of
- 14:17things, when you're seeing things channeling AT97KA105K and
- 14:24then it goes down to 92 and you're seeing your net worth
- 14:27just like, you know, move around.
- 14:30That's emotionally taxing. It's like, dude, this is crazy.
- 14:35But if you look at if you look at 2017, right, it, it kind of
- 14:40just, you know, like it didn't really do much like in January
- 14:45percentage terms, like it didn't really move, right.
- 14:49So but what happened at the end of January, as you can see, this
- 14:54thing shot up to 20 K and this is what January look like.
- 14:58So you see all this volatility, This is what January looked like
- 15:02back then. This is what that moment in
- 15:04history look like if you consider the end of the year.
- 15:09So I think there's, you know, a very high probability that
- 15:13Bitcoin, you know, continues to follow its previous cycles.
- 15:17I think we're going to have an explosive after the having year,
- 15:23which is from a historical context, that's when Bitcoin
- 15:27tends to be the most parabolic and the most volatile.
- 15:30I think that's going to continue to happen.
- 15:33And if you look at history, January was very, very, quite
- 15:36quiet in 2017. I think we just, we literally
- 15:39channeled in the 1K region for a very, very long time.
- 15:43And as you can see, the, the year ended up explosively, but
- 15:48not after many, many months of it kind of just channeling of it
- 15:51going sideways of it being boring.
- 15:54So it's just, it's important to remember that in Bitcoin there's
- 15:59many, many months, even years where nothing happens.
- 16:02And then there's a month or two where everything happens, right?
- 16:07And that's where all the throw comes and and that's where all
- 16:10the number go up comes and all that stuff.
- 16:12So I was around for 2017. Opti was around.
- 16:15I'm sure you remember these days, bro.
- 16:17It was like we could never have imagined 20K Bitcoin by the end
- 16:22of the year. So if we apply that to now,
- 16:25like, could you, you could never have imagined 500K or 250K
- 16:30Bitcoin by the end of the year. It's unimaginable from where
- 16:33we're standing, where, where we're at right now in February
- 16:37of 2025, we could not imagine that.
- 16:40It's unbelievable. But November of 2024, we were at
- 16:4460K. If I told you we're going to hit
- 16:47100K by the end of the year, which I think we actually
- 16:49predicted last year, you wouldn't have believed me.
- 16:52You would have said you are crazy, right?
- 16:55But it hit 100K. So I mean, look, I'm very, very
- 16:58bullish for this year. I think everyone's going to be
- 17:00surprised, but it doesn't, it shouldn't change your strategy.
- 17:03And that strategy is stay humble stack Sats.
- 17:07Bitcoin is the best asset the world has ever seen and its
- 17:10number is guaranteed to go up forever 21,000,000 divided by
- 17:15Infinity. Anyways guys, I do want to give
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- 18:55check the link in the video description all right everybody
- 18:57we have a ton to talk about today David Sacks historical
- 19:01press conference and of course, it seems like we are ending
- 19:05operation choke .2 point O is completely collapsing it's over
- 19:10the SEC is scaling back enforcement.
- 19:14It's all coming to an end. And also DOGE and I'm, I'm not
- 19:17talking about the cryptocurrency, but the
- 19:19Department of Government efficiency is uncovering many,
- 19:23many, many things and I think has us asking some very
- 19:28interesting questions. All right, everybody, let's get
- 19:31on to numbers. We have tons to talk about.
- 19:32We'll be right back. I want to tell you guys about
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- 21:21se-ed.com. At the time of recording, the
- 21:23Bitcoin price is 97,630 block height 882,429 sats per dollar
- 21:311024 market cap 1.93 trillion Bitcoin versus gold market cap
- 21:379.6% Percentage issued 94.38% decline from all time high
- 21:44-10.6% realized monetary inflation 1.02%.
- 21:51In grand scheme of things, we're just getting started and Bitcoin
- 21:54is continuing to take Fiat currencies to absolute school.
- 21:57All right guys, this is massive, massive news.
- 22:01I can't emphasize that enough. The so-called cryptos are David
- 22:08Sachs held the friends as it relates to digital assets.
- 22:13Here's the Forbes article gives a little bit of context.
- 22:16Yesterday, David Sachs, President Trump's crypto and
- 22:19Aizar held a press conference alongside Senator Tim Scott,
- 22:24Representative French Hill, Senator John Boozman, and
- 22:27Representative GTGT Thompson to to unveil new plans for US
- 22:34leadership in digital assets. They introduced the Genius Act,
- 22:39a bill aimed at regulating stable coins by establishing
- 22:44clear issuance procedures and designating federal and state
- 22:48regulators based on the issuer size.
- 22:51Sachs emphasized that keeping innovation on shore is a top
- 22:56priority to ensure the US maintains global leadership in
- 22:59financial technology. To advance this initiative, he
- 23:03announced a joint working group between the House and Senate
- 23:06dedicated to crypto legislation. This effort reflects the
- 23:10administration's broader goal of creating regular Tory clarity
- 23:15and fostering a thriving blockchain ecosystem within the
- 23:18United States. Despite these announcements, the
- 23:21market responded negatively. With Bitcoin's price declining,
- 23:25some investors were frustrated by the lack of exclusive market
- 23:29moving news. Failing to recognize the
- 23:32comprehensive legislation is necessary for crypto adoption at
- 23:36the national level, especially if the government intends to
- 23:39hold digital assets as part of its Treasury reserve.
- 23:43Now here is Cynthia Lummus. I think addressing just this
- 23:47because I think a lot of people were expecting a so-called
- 23:51strategic Bitcoin reserve. I think a lot of people were
- 23:54exciting excited for that. I think a lot of people were,
- 23:58you know, I think a lot of people were expecting that.
- 24:01After all, that is what Trump promised at the Nashville
- 24:05Bitcoin 2024 conference. But what I got to tell everybody
- 24:10is it's important to remember this is politics, and politics
- 24:15is ugly. Politics is full of compromises,
- 24:19and politics is a slow process. But I do believe that if I told
- 24:24you that the United States was considering a strategic Bitcoin
- 24:27reserve two years ago or three years ago, you would not have
- 24:32believed me. If I told you that it was going
- 24:35to be the end of Operation Choke .2 Point O, you would not have
- 24:39believed me. The fact that the US is even
- 24:42considering AUS strategic Bitcoin reserve, look at how
- 24:46much has changed within a year. So it's important to have
- 24:52perspective and if we truly believe that the that Bitcoin is
- 24:56the is the best asset the world has ever seen.
- 24:59I think all roads, all roads lead to Bitcoin.
- 25:02I think it's an inevitability that this happens.
- 25:05Now. I think that's very positive
- 25:07from a number go up perspective. But from a revolutionary
- 25:12perspective, self custody is the revolution.
- 25:15It's a totally different discussion.
- 25:17So there's Bitcoin as the investment and then there's
- 25:19Bitcoin as the revolutionary technology of enabling
- 25:24individuals to reclaim back their financial sovereignty by
- 25:27taking Bitcoin into self custody.
- 25:29So I'm going to read this ex post by Senator Cynthia Lummis.
- 25:35She says a lot to do if you're frustrated that the thing you
- 25:38were hoping for isn't done yet. We are 15 days into a new a new
- 25:44and utterly transformative administration.
- 25:46Keep the pressure on, but don't get discouraged.
- 25:49I think that's the last part. Keep the pressure on, but don't
- 25:53get discouraged. So how do you keep the pressure
- 25:55on? Call your representatives if if
- 25:58you are on X make your voice known and heard.
- 26:02One of the things that we coined here at Simply Bitcoin is this
- 26:06is narrative trench warfare on the battlegrounds of the
- 26:10Internet and the way that you win narrative trench warfare on
- 26:14the battlegrounds of the Internet is memes.
- 26:18It's posts, it's making videos. That's how you win, right?
- 26:23It's all about the narrative. It's all about really putting
- 26:26pressure on. Remember what happened when
- 26:29Trump didn't free Ross on the day of his inauguration?
- 26:33There was a there was a letter written to his administration by
- 26:37Rand Paul. And of course, like what was
- 26:41happening, right? There was so much noise being on
- 26:45on Bitcoin Twitter. Everyone was tagging Trump and
- 26:48say, hey, look, we got you into office.
- 26:50You promised us that you were going to free Ross.
- 26:53What's going on here, bro? So it's important to remember
- 26:56that. Let's keep the pressure on.
- 26:58Let's keep making the noise. Here's David Bailey, CEO of BTC,
- 27:02Inc Bitcoin Magazine, the Bitcoin conference.
- 27:04He says market completely misreading today's press
- 27:07conference. Strategic Bitcoin reserve is
- 27:09happening. It's a top priority direct from
- 27:13President Trump. They're assembling the top
- 27:15officials in the country to formulate a plan in next 80
- 27:19days. Half the working group is
- 27:21bitcoiners. The strategic Bitcoin Reserve is
- 27:24happening now. Here's a video of David Sachs in
- 27:28the beginning of the conference. Let's check it out.
- 27:31Great. Last question, Jagger, thank you
- 27:34so much gentleman. On the campaign trail the
- 27:38president said he supported the Bitcoin reserve.
- 27:40I'm curious what the plans are with that at this point and what
- 27:44the administration would consider putting crypto into a
- 27:48sovereign wealth fund. That So one of the things that
- 27:55the president instructed us to do was to evaluate the the the
- 28:00the idea for a Bitcoin reserve. And so that is one of the things
- 28:03that's one of the first things we're going to look at as part
- 28:05of the internal working group in the administration.
- 28:08So as soon as we get all that set up, we're still waiting for
- 28:11some cabinet secretaries who are on the working group to get
- 28:13confirmed. So we're still in the very early
- 28:15stages of this. But that's one of the first
- 28:17things we're going to we're going to look at is the
- 28:19feasibility of a Bitcoin reserve.
- 28:21I think the concept of the sovereign wealth funds a little
- 28:23separate and you have to talk to Secretary Ludnik or soon to be
- 28:28Secretary Ludnik. So that's something that's
- 28:33something to keep. That's something to keep in
- 28:35mind. Here's another clip of him being
- 28:37interviewed outside of the White House.
- 28:41David recast for a oh, sorry about that David recast for us,
- 28:51if you will, the value of Bitcoin, specifically
- 28:55cryptocurrency and blockchain technology in general, as we're
- 28:59now in the Trump administration era.
- 29:01We're in the back half of the twenty 20s back five years ago,
- 29:05plus there was talks about, you know, using it as a means of
- 29:08buying things. Now it's more about the store of
- 29:11value and the and the way you know, perhaps hedge against
- 29:15against inflation in various currencies.
- 29:17What do you see as the real value and the reason why the
- 29:20United States government should be paying so much attention to
- 29:23it? Well, I think there's a few
- 29:25different aspects here when you're talking about digital
- 29:27aspects. So first of all, you got
- 29:28Bitcoin. It was the first digital
- 29:30currency and it's the original. It's the strongest one.
- 29:34It in the parlance of the industry, it's the most lendy
- 29:36meaning, meaning it's been around for over a dozen years
- 29:39now. No one's ever hacked it, no
- 29:40one's ever cracked the security around it.
- 29:42And so it is a excellent store of value.
- 29:45So that would be point #1 Bitcoin is run on, as you know,
- 29:49a blockchain. It's basically distributed
- 29:50Ledger, which is essentially a form of decentralized computing.
- 29:54And that platform can be used to create a lot of other types of
- 29:57products. And so that would be sort of
- 29:58technology area #2 is all the innovation that can be built on
- 30:02top of block chains. And then I would say 1/3 area
- 30:05that's very interesting is stable coins.
- 30:07And this is an area that has already taken off, but mostly
- 30:11offshore. We want to bring that innovation
- 30:13onshore. We want to enable legislation to
- 30:17allow the issuance of stable points in the United States.
- 30:20And I think the power of stable coins is that it could extend
- 30:23the dollar's dominance internationally, extended online
- 30:27digitally and create potentially trillions of dollars of new
- 30:30demand for our U.S. Treasuries which help could help
- 30:33support our debt and bring bring down long term interest rates.
- 30:36So I think these are all three very.
- 30:41So I mean, Opti, what's your take on this?
- 30:44I think, I think we were all expecting things to happen a lot
- 30:47sooner than anticipated. I think we were expecting a
- 30:52executive order essentially ushering the strategic Bitcoin
- 30:55reserve from day one. You know, he did make some
- 30:58pretty big promises in Nashville.
- 31:01And it seems like that has fallen by the wayside.
- 31:04I think even Senator Lummis is understanding that and she's
- 31:08reading the frustrations that people are having because I
- 31:12think all of us were expecting to get our, our, our bags
- 31:15pumped. That was part of the deal,
- 31:17right? That was that was part of the
- 31:19deal. And obviously, you know, the
- 31:21moment the United States makes an announcement basically
- 31:25calling for a strategic Bitcoin reserve, Yeah.
- 31:29I mean, I think bitcoins going to move up very, very quickly.
- 31:32I think that's the stamp of approval by one of the most
- 31:36powerful governments on the face of the planet.
- 31:38So, yeah, Opti, what's your take on this, bro?
- 31:41I mean, is, are you, are you, are you, are you let down?
- 31:46Are you disappointed? Are you?
- 31:48How you feeling about all this? Well, I'm highly disappointed.
- 31:52I was, I was promised 150K day one.
- 31:54You know, I don't know. I don't know what all this, this
- 31:56price pumping is that that's supposedly going to happen.
- 31:59It didn't happen. No, I'm, I'm trolling that.
- 32:01What I'm talking about is Trump was saying he wants to see 150K
- 32:05Bitcoin early in his, I think it was 100 days early in his
- 32:09presidency. So I mean, look, I was kind of
- 32:13saying this when the executive order was dropped that I wasn't
- 32:17sure what day one was actually. Was it inauguration day?
- 32:20Was it the following day? And I mean, depending on the
- 32:23semantics here, he did kind of follow through with that
- 32:26executive order, at least talking about, I know it was a
- 32:30digital asset stockpile, which is, you know, fingernails on a
- 32:34chalkboard to me. But on the Senator Lummus point,
- 32:40I think I might kind of disagree with her a little bit.
- 32:43Like, yes, obviously, and this is not just me being a
- 32:45bitcoiner. Like, yes, obviously I want to
- 32:47see this stuff pick up and happen very quickly because
- 32:50someone in the chat said, like, what do they got to study?
- 32:52All they got to do is buy some Bitcoin and put it on a
- 32:54passport. Like that's all they got to do.
- 32:57But the, the, the pushback that I would kind of say to the
- 33:03Senator Lemma stuff is like, yes, I know we're only two weeks
- 33:06into this administration and I think they're doing a lot of a
- 33:09lot of stuff and they're moving very quickly on a lot of things
- 33:11outside of just the Bitcoin space.
- 33:13But we also got to remember like midterms are in, you know, two
- 33:17years. And so realistically, we
- 33:20probably only have about a year to get this stuff in.
- 33:23And I know they're saying 80. Well, it was 90 days.
- 33:26And so I will give them some time and some leeway to, to
- 33:31actually like look through this and, and make the right
- 33:33decision. But in reality, we don't really
- 33:36have that much time to push through this Bitcoin strategic
- 33:39reserve because, you know, we basically have a year because
- 33:42next year they're going to go so in full OverDrive for the 2020
- 33:45or what's it, 2027 midterms? And then all of the, you know,
- 33:50they're not going to do any crazies.
- 33:51Is it 2026? Yeah.
- 33:53OK, OK, so whatever. We have two years basically
- 33:56until the midterms. And so that means that we
- 33:59basically have a year because next year they're just going to
- 34:02kind of pull things back. They can't be doing anything too
- 34:05outlandish because they're trying to secure some more seats
- 34:08in the House. So, you know, realistically we
- 34:10don't have that much time right now, but I do trying to give
- 34:14them some leeway. Yes, of course governments move
- 34:16slower than an individual would or institutional capital.
- 34:19Remember how long it took the institutional capital getting
- 34:22Bitcoin? Remember how long it took to get
- 34:24the ETF approved? So like it doesn't move as
- 34:27quickly as an individual would or a small business would.
- 34:30Even though there is a lot of venture capitalists now in the,
- 34:33in the federal government and a lot of them are holding Bitcoin,
- 34:37I am optimistic about or cautiously optimistic about
- 34:42essentially it being a Bitcoin reserve.
- 34:44Because you know, like you, you, you don't want, you don't want
- 34:47your reserves to be, to be in some speculative alt coin here.
- 34:51And now that we also have that sovereign wealth fund dropped
- 34:54yesterday, it looks very interesting.
- 34:57It looks no matter what mechanism is, they will be
- 35:01holding Bitcoin in some form or fashion.
- 35:04And so that is going to legitimize Bitcoin.
- 35:06Obviously, I'm here for the revolution.
- 35:09I want you, the individual out there to be holding Bitcoin.
- 35:12But whatever it takes for Bitcoin to be legitimized in
- 35:14your mind, hey, I, I'm not here to nitpick it.
- 35:17It doesn't have to be pretty. It just has to be done.
- 35:19So whatever it is for Bitcoin to be legitimized in your minds,
- 35:24then I'll take it. Just make sure that you're
- 35:26buying Bitcoin, not leaving it on an exchange.
- 35:28You're taking it into custody and all of this stuff will work
- 35:32itself out eventually. And what really matters is the
- 35:34adoption of Bitcoin. Now there is one more point in
- 35:37this, but I'm going to I'm going to leave that for the culture
- 35:39and it's that whole stable, stable coin comment at the end.
- 35:42But I, I, I'm going to talk about that in the culture.
- 35:45So that's what kind of my take on, you know, are we being kind
- 35:49of high tide preference here? Are, you know, are we, are we
- 35:52being well, are we being titled babies here because it's not
- 35:55happening quick enough? I kind of would say yes.
- 35:58But also we really don't have that much time.
- 36:01Just this is how the the mechanism of politics works out.
- 36:04And so, you know, I love Cynthia Lummis and I think she is right.
- 36:08You know, no, no, there is no benefit of us freaking out here.
- 36:13But there is kind of a time limit.
- 36:19Yeah, 100%. I agree.
- 36:21I think we have two years before the the Trump administration.
- 36:27We have two years. I mean, look, so for anyone who
- 36:29doesn't understand American politics, what tends to happen
- 36:32historically is that the incumbent party loses the House
- 36:35or the Senate. So there's a high probability
- 36:39that the Democrats will essentially, it won't be a
- 36:43trifecta government now that Trump has where he can
- 36:46essentially just get through legislation extremely quickly.
- 36:50He got a mandate from the American people.
- 36:52He won the popular vote, you know, electoral landslide.
- 36:55You can make an argument for that.
- 36:57And of course, he won the House, he won the Senate.
- 37:00Now, does this mean that, you know, that there aren't some
- 37:06Democrats that are going to be pro Bitcoin?
- 37:09I was talking to Senator Cynthia Lummis in DC and you know, there
- 37:13are, there are senators like Senator Gillibrand and ROH
- 37:17Khanna. So it's not monolithic, it's not
- 37:20black and white. But the party as a whole, if
- 37:23it's still controlled by the Elizabeth Warren camp, doesn't
- 37:26exactly feel very pretty or doesn't feel very kindly towards
- 37:31the industry. If you take a look at one of
- 37:34the, one of the, one of the things that they tried to pass
- 37:37in the House was the Republicans introduced a bill that would
- 37:40essentially ban the federal government from rolling out a
- 37:43central bank digital currency. And unfortunately, that bill
- 37:47went across party lines, right? So most of the Republicans
- 37:53essentially voted for a, voted for the bill which would make it
- 37:57illegal for the federal government to roll out of CBDC.
- 38:00And most of the Democrats voted for against the bill that would
- 38:05ban the the federal government from rolling out of central bank
- 38:08digital currency. So, yeah, I think there's two
- 38:11years to really for them to roll it out.
- 38:13But I do agree with Senator Lummus, it's only been 15 days
- 38:18so far. Ross is freed.
- 38:19So I think there is progress being made.
- 38:22But I think that doesn't take away, you know, that doesn't
- 38:25take it. We should keep up the pressure
- 38:27is what I'm trying to say. We should not, you know, take
- 38:30our foot off the gas. Pestle got a gas, a gas pedal.
- 38:33I think this would be extremely positive from a price
- 38:36perspective. I think from a revolutionary
- 38:40perspective, we got to keep pushing self custody.
- 38:42Self custody is a revolution. You want individuals all around
- 38:46the world buying Bitcoin and putting that Bitcoin into self
- 38:50custody. Anyways, guys, before we move on
- 38:52to the next segment, I do want to talk to you about what we're
- 38:55going to talk about. So essentially, there's a lot of
- 38:58news coming out of of Dodge. And I'm not talking about the
- 39:03cryptocurrency, I'm talking about the Department of
- 39:08Government efficiency, which was something that Elon Musk was
- 39:12going to essentially run and, and take care of.
- 39:16And essentially it, it has discovered some very interesting
- 39:21things in terms of where a lot of this funding was going to.
- 39:26And what's really interesting to me as well is the amount of
- 39:31pushback that it has gotten and the arguments that are being
- 39:35used essentially to try to stop DOGE.
- 39:39So we're going to cover a lot of that today because I think it
- 39:43leads to a very fundamental question that we have to really
- 39:48ask ourselves, right? Why?
- 39:51Why was this all this capital misallocation, you know, all
- 39:56this waste? Why is this even possible?
- 40:00And even if DOGE does a job, does its job and cleans it up.
- 40:05We're just one election away from being right where we
- 40:09started, right? So how is all this possible?
- 40:13This is possible because of the money printer.
- 40:17If we don't address that issue, these things will repeat
- 40:23themselves. I can't, I can't emphasize that
- 40:25enough. If the government or anybody has
- 40:29the ability to create money out of thin air, out of nothing, and
- 40:34there is no type of of downside from you printing money, why
- 40:41would you not print money? What, what, what is the downside
- 40:44to you as a politician for you not to print there?
- 40:47There is no downside. There is no downside.
- 40:50There is no listen, if I make mistakes, simply could go out of
- 40:54business. If the government makes
- 40:57mistakes, they just print money. There is no market feedback.
- 41:03That's essentially telling them you're not really doing well.
- 41:06The only market feedback, technically the only feedback
- 41:09they receive is an election. And the way that I'm seeing
- 41:13elections as a bitcoiner is it's essentially like a popularity
- 41:17contest to see who controls the money printer.
- 41:19That's how I see it. That's really how I see it.
- 41:22So I think this doge thing is a step in the right direction, and
- 41:27it's definitely uncovered a lot of abuses and fraud.
- 41:30But I don't think it solves the fundamental issue.
- 41:33And I think this is where Bitcoiners are completely ahead
- 41:36of the curve because we understand, listen, you can have
- 41:41a great government, but what bitcoiners are making the
- 41:44argument for is that nobody should have the ability to
- 41:48create money for free, that another man has to work for it.
- 41:53That is a tremendous amount of power that governments have
- 41:57fundamentally abused. And I think it's important for
- 42:00everyone to remember is that that wasn't the original social
- 42:04contract. The original social contract was
- 42:08that money was backed by gold. That was the original social
- 42:11contract. This Fiat experiment, which I
- 42:14think has been disastrous for society.
- 42:17Like take a look at what the have happened in 1971.
- 42:21It's only been around since 1971.
- 42:24It has not been around longer than that.
- 42:26This idea that governments could just print out of thin air,
- 42:30it's, it's a pretty relatively new idea and it's completely
- 42:34destroyed my generation's ability to buy a home and save
- 42:39for the future. That is what Bitcoin is about.
- 42:43So even if you know, governmentally with this doge
- 42:48thing with Elon, even if we're heading in the right direction,
- 42:52it's important not to lose vision on what the end goal
- 42:59should be. And the end goal should be
- 43:02ending the Federal Reserve, ending the central bank.
- 43:07You can make a very strong case that it is the root of all evil.
- 43:11It is the root of all this fraud.
- 43:14It is the root of the the inability for the younger
- 43:17generations to save into the future.
- 43:20It is the root cause as to why the younger, younger generations
- 43:24are poorer than our parents. So we have to address that
- 43:28issue. I think the Overton window is
- 43:30shifting there. I think when Trump talks about
- 43:33the idea of ending the federal income tax, we are moving that
- 43:38Overton window closer and closer to until when the mainstream
- 43:43political discussion starts to become something like we need to
- 43:47end the Fed, we need to end the Fed, we need to end the central
- 43:52bank. And there's nothing to replace
- 43:54it to. You don't.
- 43:55You don't replace. You don't replace something.
- 43:58It was just a bad idea. It came with the best
- 44:01intentions. But it's been horrific.
- 44:04The worst depressions and recessions in American history
- 44:09have happened under the Federal Reserve.
- 44:12The worst world wars in American history have happened under
- 44:17federal the Federal Reserve. It failed it it, it was a failed
- 44:22experiment. It is a failed experiment.
- 44:24But I think the reason that you don't hear politicians talk
- 44:27about it so much is it's because it's their source of revenue.
- 44:32And I'm not talking about income tax.
- 44:33I'm talking about taxation via inflation.
- 44:37All right, everybody, let's get to the news.
- 44:39We have tons to talk about. We'll be right back.
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- 46:59All right, everybody, let's get into today's.
- 47:03Let's get into today's news. So the argument that I've been
- 47:08seeing against DOGE doesn't make sense.
- 47:12So the argument is essentially that Elon and DOGE can't audit
- 47:17the government, which you supposedly pay for, but they can
- 47:21audit you or you go to jail. That doesn't make sense.
- 47:25It's supposed to be a government by the people, for the for the
- 47:28people. The government works for you,
- 47:31your taxpayers, your tax dollars fund the government.
- 47:35The idea that you can't audit the government, but if the the
- 47:40government can't audit you, you go to jail.
- 47:42But it again, that that's, that's tyranny.
- 47:45That's, that's not how that works.
- 47:47This is not a dictatorship. This is supposed to be a
- 47:49representative democracy. That's that the government works
- 47:53for you. So this whole idea is completely
- 47:56Frankenstein. And I'll give you another
- 47:58example too. So remember when they tried to
- 48:01pass a law that that every $600.00 transaction had to be
- 48:05reported? Now the same people are saying
- 48:08that Elon shouldn't be able to audit anything government
- 48:10related. Now my question is, what do they
- 48:13have to hide? What, what, what do they have to
- 48:16hide? Why are they so against, you
- 48:18know, why are they so against these audits?
- 48:22What, what, what are they hiding?
- 48:23Why the double standards? So we're not going to get into
- 48:27anything, you know, anything that's not related to the show
- 48:30that we have. And one of the things that we
- 48:33always talk about on simply is the idea of the separation of
- 48:37money and state, but also the idea of the separation of
- 48:41information and state. Now, what a lot of thing, what a
- 48:44lot of people were not anticipating or were not aware
- 48:48of is did you guys know that a lot of your tax dollars, if you
- 48:54live in the United States, are actively funding media
- 48:57organizations? I mean, it kind of makes sense,
- 49:01right? A lot of the like, oh, why were
- 49:04they attacking Bitcoin? Like, why did they feel certain
- 49:06ways of certain ways about certain things?
- 49:09Well, that's because they're literally getting paid by the
- 49:13government. Check out one of the things that
- 49:15Doge uncovered. Doge uncovered that 37 FDA
- 49:21employees got political pro and essentially 5A half $1,000,000.
- 49:30That's how much those subscriptions were costing us.
- 49:33I mean, like, think about it from a taxpayer's perspective.
- 49:36The average salary in the United States is like 60-70 K.
- 49:40What are you paying in taxes out of that?
- 49:41Let's say 1015 K? Like, could you imagine how many
- 49:44people would have to pay taxes just to pay for these political
- 49:49Politico subscriptions? Like, it's absurd.
- 49:53But of course, it's not only that.
- 49:57Not just Politico. The Associated Press.
- 50:00Remember the same Associated Press that essentially like
- 50:04talks so much poo poo on Naimbu Kelly, on El Salvador, on El
- 50:11Salvador's Bitcoin law, right? And we know how the previous
- 50:14administration felt about Bitcoin, right?
- 50:19the US government was funding The Associated Press.
- 50:23They gave him $619,000. I mean this, this post makes
- 50:30perfect sense. The Associated The Associated
- 50:33Press's bias also makes perfect sense.
- 50:37I mean, so essentially we're uncovering that the US
- 50:40government is funding so-called independent media sources.
- 50:47How? What is the solution to this?
- 50:48Like doge I feel like is a Band-Aid.
- 50:51The solution is the separation of money and state.
- 50:54Because if not, this is going to keep happening for them,
- 50:59$619,000 is something they can literally print out of thin air.
- 51:06And they're using their ability to print out of thin air to
- 51:10essentially fund media organizations that were hostile
- 51:14towards you, to say, to put it nicely and to put it simply.
- 51:19Now, moving on, do you guys remember the New York Times?
- 51:23Well, The New York Times, the US Government.
- 51:26According to this repost by Elon Musk, the US government gave the
- 51:31New York Times 10s of millions of dollars over just the past
- 51:36five years, despite paying relatively little money to the
- 51:39New York Times in the years preceding 2021.
- 51:43For instance, in August 2024, the US government awarded $4.1
- 51:49million to the New York Times. Why is the US government giving
- 51:56money to legacy media institutions?
- 51:59It kind of makes sense why all those articles coming out of the
- 52:04New York Times that were so hostile towards Bitcoin?
- 52:08It all makes sense now. Who?
- 52:09Who were paying? Who was paying the New York
- 52:12Times the entire time millions of dollars?
- 52:14It was the US government, right? So you see how I'm connecting
- 52:18the dots here. Now, this is just like a part of
- 52:21Doge that we're talking about because we like to talk about
- 52:25information. Information is the front line.
- 52:28Free speech is the front line for the battle for Bitcoin, the
- 52:31separation of money and state. So we like to talk about this,
- 52:34but it all makes sense now. The attacks on Naimbu Kelly, the
- 52:38attacks on Bitcoin by the New York Times, the the same
- 52:42government that was essentially doing Operation Choke .2 Point
- 52:46O, that same government was also paying those media outlets where
- 52:51which me and Opti spent so much time and effort debunking.
- 52:57It all makes sense. Follow the money and it's very
- 53:02interesting to me as well. Why is a government funding
- 53:08so-called independent media? What?
- 53:13What? And then as a taxpayer, are you
- 53:17OK with that? Are you OK with that?
- 53:19Because that same media was attacking your bags, right?
- 53:23So, yeah, I mean, this is crazy. We're only 15 days in.
- 53:28I think what's gonna be discovered by this whole doge
- 53:31thing is gonna be so eye opening.
- 53:34And again, their only attacks on this is basically Elon shouldn't
- 53:39have that type of power to go in there and essentially audit what
- 53:45they're doing. That's absurd.
- 53:47Remember, you are paying for that.
- 53:51You are paying for that. You are paying the government,
- 53:54You're paying the government for these services.
- 53:57And they're basically saying, no, you can't look at what we're
- 53:59doing with the money you're giving us.
- 54:02That's tyranny. That that's tyranny.
- 54:04That's what it is. So I haven't seen any good
- 54:07excuses so far. And their actions, right, in
- 54:12terms of them trying to cover up what is happening and then
- 54:17what's coming out from what is being discovered, like it makes
- 54:20them look really, really guilty. Do you guys remember the Senator
- 54:24Bob Menendez? Bob Menendez, he said that what
- 54:31Naimbu Kelly was doing was criminal with Bitcoin and
- 54:34whatever he was discovered. And I, I believe he was just
- 54:39charged and he was convicted for taking bribes from the Egyptian
- 54:45government in gold bars, right. So what I'm seeing here is a
- 54:50classic case of projection. They're projecting onto US what
- 54:55it is they're guilty of themselves.
- 54:57I think transparency in government is key and if you
- 55:01guys are so worried you should have nothing to hide.
- 55:04But so far, only a week after Elon is looking in, look at all
- 55:08the BS we felt, look at all the BS he's he's found.
- 55:12It's absurd. the US government should not be funding
- 55:15independent media sources, because if they're funding
- 55:19independent media sources, they're no longer independent.
- 55:22If someone is paying you $4 million a year, what are you
- 55:26incentivized to do? You're incentivized to like,
- 55:30write good stories about the person who's paying you $4
- 55:34million a year. This is, this is, you know, this
- 55:37is absurd. Not surprising whatsoever.
- 55:40Opti, what's your take on all this, man?
- 55:42Because I've been, I've been looking over this stuff on X for
- 55:45the last couple days, bro. And I'm, and it doesn't surprise
- 55:48me. It doesn't surprise me.
- 55:50It explains so many articles. It explains so much media and
- 55:55the, the way that they've been approaching it.
- 55:57But what's your take, man? Like this is ridiculous.
- 56:00What else are they going to find?
- 56:01Like what's next? Yeah, well, just before I go
- 56:05into my take the that Bob Menendez story is pretty
- 56:08hilarious when you see Naibu Kelly basically say like, yeah,
- 56:12hey, you know, you guys can send them to me.
- 56:14We'll, we'll put them in our prisons.
- 56:17That, that cracked me up on Twitter.
- 56:18But anyways, going back to this, we've been covering this story
- 56:22constantly. And now and we kind of were
- 56:24doing the, the, the casual meme of if there's smoke, there's
- 56:27fire. Obviously, when you understand
- 56:30how the Fiat system works, how you, you understand how the
- 56:32money printer works, you can get to these first principles and
- 56:35you can kind of predict the future pretty easily.
- 56:37And we've been calling the corporate press, the corporate
- 56:39press or state propaganda for a long time.
- 56:41And now we actually have the data from Elon Musk or the Doge
- 56:45to show that they are literally state propaganda.
- 56:48It's not even just in the USI also saw that they they send a
- 56:51couple million to the BBC. So it's not even just the US
- 56:56that we're spending money on for the the state propaganda.
- 56:59We're literally doing it in the, you know, in Europe or the UK.
- 57:03It's absolutely insane. And so look, as anyone knows
- 57:08that watches this show, I am more skeptical of Elon Musk than
- 57:12say Nico is. I, you know, I'm I'm slightly
- 57:15skeptical of Elon. Obviously.
- 57:16I think what he's doing, though, really does remind me of what he
- 57:20did with Twitter. Remember when he did with when
- 57:22he came in with Twitter, he had the sync.
- 57:24He basically nuke like 80% of Twitter and then Twitter started
- 57:27to run more efficiently. And I think this is what all of
- 57:30us bit corners talk about the separation of money instead,
- 57:32even though this is coming from more of like a centralized this,
- 57:35this in, you know, you can argue you that this is more government
- 57:38on top of it. But what we have seen is that
- 57:41the federal government is super inefficient.
- 57:43It is, you know, it it is bogged down by bureaucracy and there's
- 57:48so much red tape that has to, you know, be overlooked or or
- 57:52rather to be looked over. There's so much unnecessary bulk
- 57:58in the federal government that, you know, having Elon come in
- 58:01there and essentially just got a lot of these institutions or a
- 58:05lot of these divisions, I think is a very good thing.
- 58:08So, hey, if he does what he did with Twitter essentially, and
- 58:12then, you know, federal workers might not like this, but
- 58:14essentially fires like 80% of the government, I think this is
- 58:18a good thing. Even though I am skeptical of
- 58:20Musk, I'm not the biggest fan of Musk.
- 58:22I think there's things that I do like from him, other things I'm
- 58:24more skeptical of. But it is very interesting to
- 58:27get this data point. We've been saying this on the
- 58:29show for a long time, that the corporate press, This is why we
- 58:32call him the corporate press, is state propaganda.
- 58:35And now we can see if we follow the money, money where it's
- 58:37coming from, it is coming from the money printer or, you know,
- 58:40taxpayer dollars. So either way, we are actively
- 58:44paying these corporate press megaliths to lie to us and
- 58:49continue to spread false narratives, hurt people, make
- 58:52people poor. And This is why we've seen in
- 58:55the last couple of years this attack on social medias because
- 58:59they can't compete with social media with independent content
- 59:02creators or independent journalists on Twitter and
- 59:05people building their own followings.
- 59:06And, and it does seem like the legacy media system, the
- 59:10corporate press is kind of, I don't want to say that they are
- 59:14going by the wayside, but it does seem like they are losing
- 59:17their control and they're freaking out about it.
- 59:19And this is, you know, why we are seeing the violent pushback
- 59:22against Elon Musk and Doge, etcetera, and people in just
- 59:25culture freaking out because it is shaking things up.
- 59:29And like I said earlier, even though when we were talking
- 59:33about Senator Lummis, like even though we're only two weeks in,
- 59:36it does seem like this administration has been in power
- 59:39for a lot longer than two weeks. And they are moving pretty
- 59:42quickly on a lot of stuff. Obviously this Bitcoin stuff,
- 59:45it's like, you know, they're going to give them 90 days to
- 59:47look into it. But in regards to kind of
- 59:50shaking things up, shaking up the norm, it is pretty
- 59:52incredible to watch them kind of really dismantle politics as
- 59:57we've known for a long time. It seemed like the political
- 1:00:00leviathan. And was just so big that nothing
- 1:00:02would ever change. And then we get some people with
- 1:00:05some will coming in and things seem to be changing rather
- 1:00:07quickly. So with this, I hope that more
- 1:00:10people understand that you can't trust the news stations, the big
- 1:00:14news stations, you know, the the CNBCCNN, New York Times,
- 1:00:18etcetera. Like they're no longer just
- 1:00:20journalists like they are not here to report on the news.
- 1:00:24They are here to fabricate narratives.
- 1:00:26And I think more exposure on this topic hopefully wakes more
- 1:00:30people up and they realize, hey, maybe everything we've ever
- 1:00:33known is a lie. Maybe we have to reevaluate what
- 1:00:35we think money is. Maybe we have to reevaluate our
- 1:00:38relationships with the federal government, with, you know,
- 1:00:42state laws, et cetera. And things are moving quickly
- 1:00:44again, maybe not quickly enough for everyone else, but hey, I
- 1:00:48love getting to this core story here where, yeah, obviously
- 1:00:52they're state propaganda machines.
- 1:00:54I think any Bitcoiners seen this happen for a while.
- 1:00:57It's confirmed now dude there's no there's no there's no doubt
- 1:01:01anyways guys stay tuned shout out to the 3000 of you guys
- 1:01:05watching live between YouTube and X and also shout out to the
- 1:01:09rumble audience almost 300. I think we broke 300 live
- 1:01:12viewers on on rumble today. So guys, if you guys are
- 1:01:15enjoying the to show, make sure to drop a comment in the live
- 1:01:18chat, make sure to like smash the like button and consider
- 1:01:22subscribing if you feel like we are providing you value.
- 1:01:25We're going to hit the culture Opti.
- 1:01:26What are we going to talk about during the culture segments?
- 1:01:28As I said earlier when we were talking, no, hey, hey, hey,
- 1:01:33let's see this new, this new setup is not we're still working
- 1:01:37some kinks out over here on our new setup.
- 1:01:40When we talked about in the numbers this press conference,
- 1:01:44they they are making a big emphasis on stable coins and I
- 1:01:49want to talk on stable coins. And so yeah, Nico, just go.
- 1:01:53Just go to the next. What is happening all right?
- 1:01:55Our new setups are weird, all right.
- 1:01:57They change they. Change restreams back in.
- 1:02:00All right, guys, we'll be right back.
- 1:02:01We're going to hit the culture segment.
- 1:02:04I want to give a shout out. Oh my God, I want to give a
- 1:02:11shout out to our sponsor, Hive Digital Technologies.
- 1:02:14As the first ever public miner, Hive's been battle tested
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- 1:02:40changing the the game. Learn more by following them at
- 1:02:43Hive Digital Tech or check out their website
- 1:02:46hivedigitaltech.com. Also, big breaking news,
- 1:03:01MicroStrategy has officially changed their name to Just
- 1:03:06Strategy. So that is Bitcoin logo with the
- 1:03:11Bitcoin logo. So I, I find that interesting.
- 1:03:14Anyways, before we jump into it guys, I do want to give a shout
- 1:03:18out to our sponsor Bit Block. Boom.
- 1:03:20It's going to be an amazing Bitcoin conference coming up in
- 1:03:23Dallas, TX, April 3rd through the 6th.
- 1:03:25You guys definitely don't want to miss it.
- 1:03:27You're going to have an axe throwing contest, they're going
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- 1:03:38Dallas, TX April 3rd through the 6th get your tickets quickly.
- 1:03:42The entire simply Bitcoin crew will be there.
- 1:03:44We hope to see you guys there as well scan the QR code or check
- 1:03:48the link in the video slash podcast description.
- 1:03:52All right Optia, I do think we should give everyone an update
- 1:03:55in regards to MicroStrategy changing the name because it is
- 1:03:58breaking news. I just let's just show the let's
- 1:04:04just show the new logo. This was just unveiled.
- 1:04:09Here's of course the Chad Sailor here is strategy and it's called
- 1:04:14strategy B. Of course, that with the Bitcoin
- 1:04:18B. This is absolutely awesome.
- 1:04:20This is very cool, extremely fitting.
- 1:04:23It didn't really make sense that it was called micro strategy.
- 1:04:27So epic, epic pivot by Michael Saylor and you know, shout out
- 1:04:32to the incredible success story that has been MicroStrategy,
- 1:04:35which is now strategy anyways. Opti No, it's yours.
- 1:04:40No longer MicroStrategy, now it's just Bitcoin strategy.
- 1:04:43Love it, love the branding and the colors and everything.
- 1:04:46OK, so you guys have, if you've been here, you guys know my take
- 1:04:51on stablecoin. So it's going to be a good kind
- 1:04:53of a balanced take here from Nico.
- 1:04:55But I, I am just seeing that what the administration's doing
- 1:05:01is they're telegraphing what their moves are.
- 1:05:03And so here I'm starting with the executive order.
- 1:05:06Obviously we all watch this and we were very excited about a
- 1:05:09Bitcoin strategic reserve. But when you go into this and,
- 1:05:12and in this very paper, they did talk about banning CBDC's, but
- 1:05:16they also talked about where is it?
- 1:05:19It's here for the purpose of this order.
- 1:05:20The term digital asset refers to any digital representation of
- 1:05:23value that is recorded on a distributed letter Ledger,
- 1:05:26including cryptocurrencies, digital tokens, and stablecoins.
- 1:05:30So in the very executive order where they announced a quote
- 1:05:33digital asset stockpile, they also talked about banning CBDC's
- 1:05:37and also talked about incorporating stablecoins.
- 1:05:40And now this is where a lot of you could say tinfoil hat
- 1:05:43Bitcoiners have been talking about this for a long time, like
- 1:05:46Mark Goodwin, Shinobi, Magoo, a lot of Bitcoiners have been
- 1:05:50seeing what the administration is telegraphing and where things
- 1:05:54are going. And in this press release, and
- 1:05:57we actually played a little bit of it earlier as well.
- 1:06:00I think we're we're starting to see a trend build out right now.
- 1:06:03And so, you know, as as the raining tin foil hat guy here, I
- 1:06:07think it's my duty to talk about this.
- 1:06:08So here we go, David Sacks in yesterday's press conference.
- 1:06:12And he does literally lay out the plan for stable coins and
- 1:06:15what it means. So let's play this real quick.
- 1:06:18I want to say additionally, we're excited about working with
- 1:06:20both the House and Senate on stable coin legislation.
- 1:06:23I know Senator Haggerty introduced a bill today this
- 1:06:27stable coins really have the the potential to ensure American
- 1:06:31dollar dominance internationally to to increase the usage of the
- 1:06:36of the US dollar digitally as the world's reserve currency and
- 1:06:40in the process create potentially trillions of dollars
- 1:06:43of demand for U.S. Treasuries, which could lower
- 1:06:45long term interest rates. So let me stop there.
- 1:06:48And I want to. OK, So to me personally, the
- 1:06:53game is being exposed. Obviously, This is why as a
- 1:06:57Bitcoiner, I'm not the biggest fan of stable coins because I'm
- 1:07:00not here for dollar dominance. I'm here for Bitcoin to take
- 1:07:04over the world. And a lot of these stable coins
- 1:07:07are, they're literally telegraphing what the move is,
- 1:07:09is they want to ensure dollar dominance, to ensure that
- 1:07:12dollars get into places that it hasn't gotten there.
- 1:07:15And personally, as a Bitcoiner, that's not what I'm here for.
- 1:07:18I'm here for Bitcoin to take over the world, but Mcgoo did a
- 1:07:20great breakdown of this and actually Jeff Park later did a
- 1:07:23great breakdown of this and then we'll talk about this.
- 1:07:25So Mcgoo goes much to take away from this 32nd clip besides the
- 1:07:29obvious U.S. dollar dominance narrative.
- 1:07:32One, stable coin reserves are vastly short duration treasury
- 1:07:35bills and bonds. So not sure how they will lower
- 1:07:38long term interest rates too. Maybe they're thinking of
- 1:07:40mandating a certain portion of stable coin reserves be held in
- 1:07:43long dated treasuries. 3 He just admitted that buyers of last
- 1:07:47resort in size can manipulate rates lower. 4th 4th he
- 1:07:50expressed the desire for long term interest rates to be
- 1:07:53suppressed below growth and inflation expectation as a
- 1:07:56positive. And five, stable coin market is
- 1:07:58going into the trillion. So, you know, if only stable
- 1:08:01coins weren't stable and pegged to a dollar.
- 1:08:03Maybe you're, you know, your stable coins going to $100.
- 1:08:06You know, I'm, I'm trolling. I'm trolling.
- 1:08:07But Jeff Park, head of alpha strategies at Bitwise invest,
- 1:08:11did a great thread on this as well.
- 1:08:13And he goes, it's surprising how many people overlook the most
- 1:08:16important thing David Sacks said yesterday about stable coins,
- 1:08:19that stable coin demand and could lower long term interest
- 1:08:22rates. This is the real take away.
- 1:08:23Fiscal dominance in is unstable and stable coins will be
- 1:08:27America's new US Treasury, which sounds a lot like my boys.
- 1:08:33Bookmark Goodwin, the Bitcoin dollar system.
- 1:08:37You know, he's been going on the beat for a long time.
- 1:08:39We just had him on the show a little while ago.
- 1:08:41We were chatting about this and, and this is kind of what we're
- 1:08:44all seeing here. So here we go.
- 1:08:46Jeff Park, he said, called it roughly 3 years ago.
- 1:08:48One way to view the stable coin competitive landscape is through
- 1:08:51the lens of another particular war in America yet to come
- 1:08:54between one, the American middle class and two US Treasury
- 1:08:57holders. And remember, most stable coins
- 1:08:59are, are backed by treasuries. It's it's specially tethered
- 1:09:02here. Stable coins essentially suffer
- 1:09:04the same triflin dilemma. To put it simply, what is good
- 1:09:07for the dollar is not necessarily good for dollar
- 1:09:08policy. And you want more trade
- 1:09:11facilitation, but you don't want foreigners to hold with the
- 1:09:13exact medium of exchange. And he kind of goes on, but he
- 1:09:16goes on right here to basically run it down.
- 1:09:20The lesson remains the same. One I consistently emphasize to
- 1:09:23my audience. There's no absolute truth in
- 1:09:25economics. Nothing will prevent the
- 1:09:27manipulation of time through Fiat to manufacture endless
- 1:09:29liquidity. And this is the foundation of my
- 1:09:32radical portfolio manifestation. And so very interesting.
- 1:09:36And you know, maybe 111 last kind of me, my boy Mark Goodwin,
- 1:09:39everyone will buy treasuries at the duration and yield they
- 1:09:42deserve. So personally, again, I think
- 1:09:46what we're seeing right now is a very clear Telegraph from the
- 1:09:51administration that yes, they are being forced to add Bitcoin
- 1:09:55to either their strategic Bitcoin reserve or their
- 1:09:57sovereign wealth fund. But also as we heard in
- 1:10:01yesterday's press conference, they're talking about the need
- 1:10:05for regulatory clarity. And I think with that need,
- 1:10:07we're going to get a lot clearer view on stablecoins.
- 1:10:11What's going to go in stablecoins?
- 1:10:12And personally this does make me a little concerned because I'm
- 1:10:16not here to continue the dollar system.
- 1:10:19I am here for Bitcoin to take over.
- 1:10:21And as we know, you know, stable coins are, you could consider
- 1:10:26them a link between the Fiat system to the Bitcoin system.
- 1:10:28Now, I have a slightly different view than Nico, but what I'm
- 1:10:32seeing from the administration is I think we're going to see
- 1:10:35some form of unfeathered stable coin administration.
- 1:10:39And you know, even though they are talking about banning a CBDC
- 1:10:44in the state or in the United States from the federal level,
- 1:10:47it doesn't neglect or stop the fact that we might see something
- 1:10:52similar come out from the private sector.
- 1:10:54And this is my concern is I want somewhat something that is
- 1:10:57permissionless, censorship resistant, that is voluntary,
- 1:11:01that people use because they are able to store their value versus
- 1:11:04something that you can get shut off on.
- 1:11:06To me, a stable coin is just an extension of the Fiat system.
- 1:11:09Now that's not what I'm here for, but me and Nico do have
- 1:11:13different views on stablecoins. So I think this will be a
- 1:11:16balanced conversation here. So I thought it's very
- 1:11:19interesting that we heard David Sacks mention stablecoins and
- 1:11:22not just mention stablecoins, but mention it in the framing of
- 1:11:26continuing the the dominance of dollars around the world and
- 1:11:30globally. So I'm hearing it's essentially
- 1:11:33going to make the dollar even stronger globally, which it
- 1:11:35looks like we have a big battle ahead for us Bitcoiners.
- 1:11:38Anyways, Nico, what's your thoughts on this?
- 1:11:40Am I going to tin foil here? Am I?
- 1:11:42Am I too much of A conspiracy theorist on today's show?
- 1:11:46No, not at all. And I and I do want to end the
- 1:11:48end the poll that we ran before I get into it.
- 1:11:52So 462 of you guys voted that, 462 of you guys voted, 51% of
- 1:11:58you guys think that we will hit 500 K Bitcoin this year and 48%
- 1:12:02of you guys said that you don't think Bitcoin will hit 500 K
- 1:12:05this year. Anyways, going back to the right
- 1:12:08of the conversation, it reminds me of Howard Lopnik.
- 1:12:11Howard Lopnik again is the chairman of Counter Fitzgerald
- 1:12:14and on the Pomp podcast, he specifically said he's like, you
- 1:12:19can't say Bitcoin is a currency because then you know, you're
- 1:12:23stepping on the toes of the politicians.
- 1:12:25You have to say it's a commodity like like oil and like gold and
- 1:12:28then they won't see it. Now The thing is and, and
- 1:12:32connect this with the IMF deal with El Salvador.
- 1:12:37The IMF part of their deal was that El Salvador essentially had
- 1:12:41to walk back their legal tender law.
- 1:12:44Now, to be fair, and I did ask Samson Mao about this and I did
- 1:12:47ask the ambassador to El Salvador in the United States
- 1:12:52and DC, Mrs. Majorga, and essentially it's becoming
- 1:12:59voluntary. So you could still use Bitcoin.
- 1:13:05There's no capital gains implication, and they're still
- 1:13:08buying Bitcoin to put it, you know, in the company, in the
- 1:13:12country's treasury, in the country's reserves.
- 1:13:15But they lost that legal tender law, right?
- 1:13:18And then you have to think about it like, why is the IMF so
- 1:13:21concerned about the legal tender law?
- 1:13:22Why is Howard Lubnick saying this on Power of Poms podcast
- 1:13:25about how you can't call it a currency, you can only call it a
- 1:13:28commodity? I think it scares the living,
- 1:13:32you know, the living daylights out of governments that there is
- 1:13:36a competing currency, that there is a competing currency that's
- 1:13:40better than their currency. I think it it scares them that,
- 1:13:45you know, all of a sudden they lose their ability to print
- 1:13:48money. I think it scares them
- 1:13:50tremendously. Now I think the big question is
- 1:13:54going to be how is this going to play out?
- 1:13:57Is Bitcoin going to be an alternative, a backup solution?
- 1:14:01Because in in developing countries and the reason I think
- 1:14:04me and Opti like have different thoughts on this and developing
- 1:14:09countries, what you're seeing is like wide adoption of Tether.
- 1:14:15And as Bitcoiners, we believe that is going to be wide
- 1:14:18adoption of Bitcoin because people are trying to flee
- 1:14:20inflation. That isn't the case.
- 1:14:23Like what's being adopted is Tether instead.
- 1:14:26Now, I believe that Tether is a Trojan horse.
- 1:14:28It's, it's one stepping stone away from adopting Bitcoin.
- 1:14:32So I, I think you can't, I think you can't you this is only going
- 1:14:36to delay the inevitable. I think that this is like, kind
- 1:14:39of like the final boss, the final battle.
- 1:14:42And I think that this is inevitable.
- 1:14:44This is an inevitability that, you know, Jeff Booth's quote
- 1:14:49comes to mind, right? One of the things about Bitcoin
- 1:14:52that you're going to have to be OK with and get used to is that
- 1:14:55even your worst enemies are going to use Bitcoin, and that
- 1:14:58includes governments. And if a government is going to
- 1:15:01use Bitcoin in order to prop up their local Fiat currency, like,
- 1:15:07you know, it is what it is, right?
- 1:15:09So, you know, obviously, ideally in an ideal world, we would
- 1:15:15want, we would essentially want Bitcoin to be the global reserve
- 1:15:22currency. I think it will, that's the
- 1:15:24thing, like I think that's inevitable because it's better
- 1:15:26money. But you know, this going through
- 1:15:30like the the the death throes essentially like them trying to
- 1:15:36figure out anything possible in order to like kind of continue
- 1:15:41this ability to print money. I think they're going to try
- 1:15:46anything and everything. And if Bitcoin is superior, if
- 1:15:50it really is the better money, if Bitcoin is this inevitability
- 1:15:54that we all think it is, then they can't really stop it,
- 1:15:58right? This is just going to delay the
- 1:16:00inevitable. That's my opinion, man.
- 1:16:02So I also don't think stable coins are necessarily a bad
- 1:16:10thing specifically in developing countries.
- 1:16:13I think it's completely changed the opportunities that
- 1:16:17Argentinians or Venezuelans or Brazilians have, because now
- 1:16:21they have the ability to save in dollars and now they have the
- 1:16:24ability to transact in dollars. And for the vast majority of
- 1:16:29people, you have to understand that they don't have the
- 1:16:31privilege that a lot of us Bitcoiners have the privilege of
- 1:16:35being able to save. They're living paycheck to
- 1:16:37paycheck. So for them as a utility,
- 1:16:42they're looking at Bitcoin. And Bitcoin has volatility baked
- 1:16:45into it. If you're living paycheck to
- 1:16:47paycheck and your main concern is about putting food on the
- 1:16:51table and being able to live and, and flourish, like you
- 1:16:59don't really like, you don't really like, you're not really
- 1:17:04thinking about, like you're not really like thinking about, you
- 1:17:08know, saving. You're thinking about trying to
- 1:17:10survive. So that's just something to keep
- 1:17:13in mind. And, you know, I know Mark
- 1:17:16Goodwin has some really good takes on this.
- 1:17:18I know Opti feels a certain way about this.
- 1:17:21But I think it's important to, like, if we are Bitcoiners, we
- 1:17:25believe in the free market, it's important to pay attention to
- 1:17:28what the free market is telling us #1 and #2 it's important for
- 1:17:33us to put ourselves in other people's shoes so that we
- 1:17:37understand why the market is behaving the way it is.
- 1:17:40The vast majority of people are just trying to get by.
- 1:17:44And for the vast majority of people that are just trying to
- 1:17:47get by, like, I mean, like, volatility is not a good thing
- 1:17:53for you, right? Like if all of a sudden you get
- 1:17:56paid $100 and that's how you're going to feed your entire
- 1:17:59family, and because of bitcoins volatility on that specific
- 1:18:03month, that $100 is worth $85. That doesn't seem very
- 1:18:08attractive, does it? Right.
- 1:18:10So we all have to remember that a lot of us have the financial
- 1:18:13privilege. We have the means to be able to
- 1:18:16put a little bit of money on the side to save for the future.
- 1:18:20Most people do not have that privilege, and that's extremely
- 1:18:24important to remember. So that's my take on the whole
- 1:18:27stable coin stuff. It was great.
- 1:18:33I like it. No, I mean, I, I totally agree.
- 1:18:36I'm just I'm, I, I guess I, I'm, I'm still a paranoid person.
- 1:18:44It's just it's inherently in me. I just, you know, I don't trust,
- 1:18:48I don't trust the system as it is.
- 1:18:50And therefore I want, I want us to to keep our heads on the
- 1:18:54swivel. Obviously, I also believe
- 1:18:57Bitcoin is inevitable, but with that means that it's because we
- 1:19:00have to continue to work hard and stay vigilant.
- 1:19:03And so as much as it feels like Bitcoins winning, there is
- 1:19:07probably some things on on the horizon that are potential
- 1:19:12threats. And like you said, I think it is
- 1:19:14the final boss we have here. And really the final boss is
- 1:19:16education. You know, like you said, Nico,
- 1:19:19and we need to continue to educate people.
- 1:19:22We need to continue to show people that there is an
- 1:19:24alternative. And right now, people really
- 1:19:26don't think that Bitcoin is that alternative until we finally
- 1:19:30either start getting into 7 figure ranges or, you know, more
- 1:19:33people realize that their local Fiat currencies are trashed at
- 1:19:35$1.00 does not actually equal $1.00, etcetera.
- 1:19:38So there's still a huge, huge amount of work to be done, but
- 1:19:43This is why we show up to the game, man.
- 1:19:45This is why we do what we do. This is why Simply Bitcoin has a
- 1:19:48job for a while. So I'm hyped.
- 1:19:51Yeah, 100%. All right, everybody, I hope you
- 1:19:54guys enjoyed today's show. Tons of you guys tuned in right
- 1:19:58now on YouTube alone. 5000 sorry, not 5000.
- 1:20:02I wish one day 528 live viewers. On on X, we're at almost 3000
- 1:20:09live viewers and Rumble Opti where we at the roughly 280
- 1:20:14three 11311. So shout out to the rumble
- 1:20:17audience as well. Guys, If you guys enjoyed
- 1:20:18today's sure show, make sure to smash the like button and
- 1:20:22consider subscribing if you feel like we provided you value.
- 1:20:24We're simply Bitcoin live. I'm your host, Nico.
- 1:20:26It's my legendary Co host, Optimus Fields.
- 1:20:28We love you all and we'll be back tomorrow for a brand new
- 1:20:30episode. Take care everybody.
- 1:20:33Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
- 1:20:36Bitcoin only platform on a mission to enable financial
- 1:20:39independence.