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College Football Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast part of the Volume
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I'm Shad Noelman of the Action Network. We
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: are going College Football Kickoff today. Let's welcome in my
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: cost my companion Michael Padre might BFF professional better Signmon
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Hunter l Simon, Chad.
• 0:28
  Speaker 2: We made it brother Tomorrow night. It's going down to
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: fifty nine degrees. The Chris bear Fall is about here.
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: Football is here, College Football kick us Off.
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: It's the best.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Well look. NFL Week one is next week, but the
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty five college football season has actually started. I
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: watched the game between Iowa State and Kansas State from
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: Dublin the other day, So what better time then now
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: to welcome back in Action Network's College football birds superstars
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Ogs Stucky and Colin Wilson, host of the wildly popular
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: podcast Big Bets on Campus, to discuss the upcoming season.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: They're going to give out their favorite bets for college
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Football Week one, which starts on Thursday, goes all the
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: way through the special TCU UNC standalone primetime game on
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: Labor Day. I don't know why people would be interested
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: in the University of North Carolina's football team. Huh, Colin
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: Stucky great to see you boys. Welcome back, Colin. How
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: are you?
• 1:36
  Speaker 4: I mean, I'm doing well.
• 1:37
  Speaker 5: Like my son met Stucky for the first time the
• 1:40
  Speaker 5: other day in Chicago at the BBOC Live event, and
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: he's a freshman in college and he said, I've been
• 1:46
  Speaker 5: listening to this guy in my living room since I
• 1:48
  Speaker 5: was ten years old.
• 1:49
  Speaker 4: That's how long we've been doing this.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: Right away, blew me away, Stucky, did that aige.
• 1:55
  Speaker 6: You I've already been aged enough. And yeah, it was
• 2:01
  Speaker 6: not pleasure to meet him. A really good kid, and
• 2:04
  Speaker 6: it was nice to meet a bunch of people at
• 2:06
  Speaker 6: Joe's that showed up for the watch party. But now
• 2:09
  Speaker 6: that was like my last breath of freedom. Now it's
• 2:14
  Speaker 6: time to lock in from now until April, after college
• 2:18
  Speaker 6: basketball is over. So I'm excited. It's good to be back,
• 2:21
  Speaker 6: and we have a great slate to get things started.
• 2:25
  Speaker 6: It's don stop college football from Thursday through Monday, and
• 2:30
  Speaker 6: we're recording this on Monday. And yesterday was the last
• 2:37
  Speaker 6: Sunday that we won't have any football until February. So
• 2:43
  Speaker 6: I hope everyone enjoyed the peace and quiet, a little
• 2:45
  Speaker 6: piece and quiet on Sunday, because every Saturday and Sunday.
• 2:48
  Speaker 6: From here on out, it's nothing but football. So I
• 2:51
  Speaker 6: couldn't be more excited.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: All right, So let's set the table for the biggest
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: game of the biggest games this weekend. We're talking about
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: out number one Texas with arch Manning going to Ohio State.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: The number one team is the underdog to the defending
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: National Championships champions. The Ohio State Buckeyes game is at
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: noon Saturday. Boys, Colin will start with you set the
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: table for us on this game and the impact it
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: potentially has in the upcoming season.
• 3:24
  Speaker 4: Well, it's a revenge game if you want to play
• 3:26
  Speaker 4: that angle.
• 3:27
  Speaker 5: And also we hope that Sark doesn't start calling tosses
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: to the outside of the goal line. But in reality,
• 3:32
  Speaker 5: Arch Manning should cook here because the Ohio State defensive
• 3:35
  Speaker 5: line is a major downgrade here. And you know that
• 3:37
  Speaker 5: you want to run RPO with arch Manning over the middle,
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: over the guards, over the center. He's got both of
• 3:42
  Speaker 5: the running backs back from last year. There is not
• 3:44
  Speaker 5: a single unit for Texas that is not considered number
• 3:47
  Speaker 5: one or number two in the nation. They have a
• 3:49
  Speaker 5: major advantage here, and I'll let Stuck you talk about it.
• 3:52
  Speaker 5: But Matt Patricia as a coordinator is one of the
• 3:55
  Speaker 5: biggest downgrades I could ever make in the world. When
• 3:57
  Speaker 5: you lose Chip Kelly and Jimp Knowles and you're fielding,
• 4:00
  Speaker 5: Patricia is your defensive coordinator. I mean, he's responsible for
• 4:03
  Speaker 5: one loss on the Buckeye schedule somewhere.
• 4:06
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm close to market. Colin got some three. I
• 4:10
  Speaker 6: wanted some three. I never got around to it, which
• 4:13
  Speaker 6: was unfortunate because that's the bet that I liked here.
• 4:16
  Speaker 6: The undertook some money too, But I think that, you know,
• 4:19
  Speaker 6: if I have to pick who wins this game, I
• 4:20
  Speaker 6: do think Texas wins it. But there's a lot of
• 4:23
  Speaker 6: uncertainty at quarterback for both I mean for both teams.
• 4:26
  Speaker 6: And that's that's the story of this entire college football season.
• 4:30
  Speaker 6: You look at a lot of the top teams in
• 4:33
  Speaker 6: the country, it's quarterback uncertainty. Are they going to hit
• 4:37
  Speaker 6: at quarterback?
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: Is it?
• 4:38
  Speaker 6: You know, you could go to Alabama, New Starter, you
• 4:41
  Speaker 6: could go to Ohio State, even Notre Dame, and we're
• 4:45
  Speaker 6: gonna see for the first time a lot of these
• 4:46
  Speaker 6: kids this weekend. That's pretty much what's going to determine,
• 4:50
  Speaker 6: you know, who wins the national title, who gets into
• 4:52
  Speaker 6: the College bable playoff? Who makes a run is which
• 4:54
  Speaker 6: of these top teams hit on their quarterback and then
• 4:57
  Speaker 6: on the flip side, which of them miss and they
• 4:59
  Speaker 6: actually have a quarter problem. We do have a little
• 5:01
  Speaker 6: more certainty with arch Manning. He has all the tools,
• 5:04
  Speaker 6: but it's not like we've seen him be a full
• 5:06
  Speaker 6: time starter for a full season, so there's still uncertainty there.
• 5:09
  Speaker 6: And then saying that quarterback from Ohio State obviously super
• 5:13
  Speaker 6: talented kid, but the reports in camp weren't necessarily glowing.
• 5:17
  Speaker 6: And that's the same with Notre Dame in car who
• 5:20
  Speaker 6: won the job. So I think I feel a little
• 5:23
  Speaker 6: bit more confident with Texas's quarterback situation going into the weekend,
• 5:28
  Speaker 6: but certainly nothing is a given with all the uncertainty
• 5:31
  Speaker 6: and lack of experience, not an easy place to play,
• 5:34
  Speaker 6: but Colin hit on The difference here could be just
• 5:37
  Speaker 6: Stark versus Patricia on that side of the ball and
• 5:42
  Speaker 6: what Texas has called up and then the downgrade at
• 5:45
  Speaker 6: the defensive coordinator position with Ohio State, so should be
• 5:48
  Speaker 6: a good one to kick things off. And then you know,
• 5:51
  Speaker 6: throughout the weekend, Miami Notre Dame on Sunday, which I
• 5:55
  Speaker 6: would maybe look at a first half under. The under
• 5:57
  Speaker 6: has been taking money all summer. Field condition, there could
• 6:01
  Speaker 6: be some weather. We got to start talking about weather again,
• 6:04
  Speaker 6: but there could be some weather there. And Notre Dame.
• 6:07
  Speaker 6: I mentioned car he asked there's some questions there. He
• 6:11
  Speaker 6: didn't run away with a job. There was you know,
• 6:14
  Speaker 6: two weeks ago many people thought he wasn't even gonna
• 6:16
  Speaker 6: win the job. So we'll see how he performs. But
• 6:19
  Speaker 6: their defense still should be very good. I imagine on
• 6:22
  Speaker 6: the road at Miami, they're gonna treat them with kids gloves.
• 6:24
  Speaker 6: Theyre probably gonna be pretty conservative early, and then Miami's
• 6:27
  Speaker 6: offense is going to go from the you know, arguably
• 6:29
  Speaker 6: the best in the country last year with cam Ward
• 6:32
  Speaker 6: all those receivers to a much They're gonna look extremely different.
• 6:38
  Speaker 6: They're probably gonna be more run heavy. Their defense should
• 6:41
  Speaker 6: be a little better. So I imagine that game is
• 6:43
  Speaker 6: you know, pretty slow and slow developing, especially in the start.
• 6:48
  Speaker 6: I might feel more comfortable with the first half under
• 6:50
  Speaker 6: like twenty four, just because if there are questions with
• 6:53
  Speaker 6: Carr and you know, Notre Dame gets behind or you know,
• 6:55
  Speaker 6: one of those teams has to start throwing. You know,
• 6:57
  Speaker 6: you could see some mistakes, but I do think game
• 7:00
  Speaker 6: starts out slow. But I'm mainly just excited to see
• 7:03
  Speaker 6: some of these young quarterbacks on these top teams and
• 7:06
  Speaker 6: who may have hit and who didn't.
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: Jed, I know we're gonna get the futures, but I
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: gotta know since we touched, you know, the Notre Dame
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: Miami game, this Clemson LSU game?
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: Am I the sucker? Stucky?
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: Am I the sucker taking them minus three and a
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: half on Clemson?
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: Where am I? Like, again, it's all about the d
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: line for me. Whe where you at in this game?
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: Where I'm so happy, excited for how they line these
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: schedules up. And this is another game that to me
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: is just a jug or not Clemson LSU Week one.
• 7:32
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I'm I'm lower than the market on
• 7:35
  Speaker 6: Clemson and higher on LSU. But my big concern I
• 7:38
  Speaker 6: don't think I mean, it's a it's a pretty fair line, uh,
• 7:42
  Speaker 6: to be honest, But my biggest concern is the LSU
• 7:46
  Speaker 6: offensive line this season. Right you lose four to the NFL,
• 7:50
  Speaker 6: there's still two position positions that are unsettled along the
• 7:53
  Speaker 6: offensive line, and they still have oars. They still haven't decided.
• 7:56
  Speaker 6: You're probably you might have two freshmen starting tackles like
• 7:59
  Speaker 6: there's a lot of unst and on that offensive line,
• 8:00
  Speaker 6: they did bring in two transfers. One's going to start
• 8:02
  Speaker 6: at center, one's going to start at guard. But that
• 8:04
  Speaker 6: offensive line going up against Clemson's defensive line, which is
• 8:09
  Speaker 6: one of the best in the country, and it's on
• 8:10
  Speaker 6: the road in a hot file environment, that could be
• 8:13
  Speaker 6: the difference. Now, if LSU's offensive line is together and
• 8:16
  Speaker 6: they have a good showing there, that is an outstanding
• 8:20
  Speaker 6: sign for the rest of the season, because we'll see
• 8:23
  Speaker 6: if they have a running game. Last year, even though
• 8:24
  Speaker 6: they had a bunch of guys who were drafted, a
• 8:26
  Speaker 6: bunch of guys went to the NFL, they couldn't run
• 8:29
  Speaker 6: the ball at all. They just couldn't figure out their
• 8:31
  Speaker 6: zone run blocking. And LSU is basically just all throwing
• 8:35
  Speaker 6: and they had great pass protection. So there's a chance
• 8:38
  Speaker 6: that that takes a tumble and we're going to find
• 8:40
  Speaker 6: out in Week one. But if this new offensive line
• 8:43
  Speaker 6: can come together and actually provide a semblance of a
• 8:46
  Speaker 6: rushing attack to give Garrettnsmyer some balance, then LSU's offense
• 8:51
  Speaker 6: I think would have potentially an even higher ceiling. But
• 8:55
  Speaker 6: that's the key matchup there on the road week one.
• 8:59
  Speaker 6: You still don't have two starters decide, and you're going
• 9:01
  Speaker 6: up against a ferocious defensive line. Ultimately, everything just could
• 9:06
  Speaker 6: crumble for nuss Meyer behind that unit. But that's that's
• 9:09
  Speaker 6: really what I'm watching because it's gonna tell us a
• 9:11
  Speaker 6: lot about LSU. Doesn't mean they can't get it together
• 9:14
  Speaker 6: later on in the season, but if it's just a disaster,
• 9:18
  Speaker 6: I'm definitely gonna pause my some of my optimism on
• 9:22
  Speaker 6: what this LSU team can do this year. And it's
• 9:24
  Speaker 6: Brian Kelly. Brian Kelly never wins Week one. It's like
• 9:27
  Speaker 6: it will be a storyline going into this game. You'll
• 9:30
  Speaker 6: hear a lot about that. We saw it again last
• 9:32
  Speaker 6: year against USC out in Las Vegas. But yeah, I
• 9:37
  Speaker 6: that's the that's the thing that I'm worried about the
• 9:39
  Speaker 6: most in that game.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Well so again before we get the futures then, because
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: we got to get the futures and we got to
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: get to Week one picks. But Colin, you know, Stuck
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: just mentioned nuss Meyer and Clemson has cade Klubnick and
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Penn State has Drew Aller, and like there's the kid
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: in Sellers in in South Carolina. I'm already seeing the
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: hype machine working with these guys. I watch enough college
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: football to be relatively unimpressed with every guy I just mentioned.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: I think, except for Sellers, who probably was the most
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: athletic and the best combination of runner and passer, the
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: other guy is just to me, felt like due to
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: have been there forever, who tend to make bad throws
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: at the worst possible time. So why all of a
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: sudden is everyone freaking out about these guys Is if
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: they're like the second coming of great quarterbacks when they
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: don't seem to be that given their past history.
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: Well, Garrettnsmeyer is an NFL quarterback arm he is going
• 10:43
  Speaker 5: to play, and he's going to do well in my opinion.
• 10:46
  Speaker 5: The problem is he can't. He's not being protected. Even
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: a stellar offensive line last year couldn't protect him. And
• 10:51
  Speaker 5: he's got a terrible head coach that can't connect with
• 10:53
  Speaker 5: kids anymore. If you go back and watch those SEC
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: series on Netflix, like Brian Kelly's just this pissed off
• 10:58
  Speaker 5: dad that kids are not connecting with.
• 11:00
  Speaker 4: So I think Nastmyer is going to do better when
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: he gets out of LSU.
• 11:03
  Speaker 5: But when you talk about kaya Clubnick, I love this
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: kid like I've been going and scooping his chrom and Bowman,
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: his Bowman Chrome Auto Rookie cards out there, because he
• 11:12
  Speaker 5: has gotten better and better year over year with pressure
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: in his face, elite numbers from big time throw to
• 11:17
  Speaker 5: turnover worthy play so much to where he was really
• 11:20
  Speaker 5: carrying the Clemson offense through the playoff run last year.
• 11:23
  Speaker 5: And I think he's going to be even better this
• 11:25
  Speaker 5: year with a massive amount of wide receivers back that
• 11:28
  Speaker 5: can really have some explosions. I think Klubnick is the
• 11:30
  Speaker 5: one that people are really not talking about enough. As
• 11:32
  Speaker 5: far as Lenora Sellers. I mean, it's it's truth time
• 11:35
  Speaker 5: right now because he's lost all of the big players
• 11:38
  Speaker 5: that are around him, the people that support him from
• 11:39
  Speaker 5: an offensive line, from the running backs that were in
• 11:41
  Speaker 5: the backfield. It's on him now, and really that South
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: Carolina offense is more like, let's just let shit break
• 11:47
  Speaker 5: down in the trench and see what Lenora Sellers can do.
• 11:49
  Speaker 5: And that's why you got so many good highlight reels
• 11:50
  Speaker 5: because it's him scrambling around him making like you know,
• 11:53
  Speaker 5: plays on the fly, which is great, but let's see
• 11:55
  Speaker 5: what happens when he doesn't have any role players around him.
• 11:58
  Speaker 5: But I think Clubnick is the one people need to
• 11:59
  Speaker 5: keep their eye on. From an NFL futures perspective, I
• 12:02
  Speaker 5: think he'll get up to nuss Meyer's level. From a
• 12:04
  Speaker 5: pro talent perspective.
• 12:06
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I think that the hype. Part of the reason
• 12:08
  Speaker 6: is the hype. The hype for those guys, sellers saw
• 12:11
  Speaker 6: some things to work on. I mean, he's still young,
• 12:12
  Speaker 6: but he has some things to work on from a
• 12:13
  Speaker 6: footwork and passing perspective. But you mentioned the dual threat
• 12:18
  Speaker 6: ability and that's like obviously everything in the NFL these days,
• 12:21
  Speaker 6: that's what everyone is looking for. I think nes Meyer
• 12:23
  Speaker 6: has the most NFL ready arm. The I think part
• 12:27
  Speaker 6: of the hype is those guys really came on at
• 12:30
  Speaker 6: the end of last year. So you saw that with
• 12:32
  Speaker 6: Club and Clubic really struggled against upper echelon competition throughout
• 12:37
  Speaker 6: the I mean he went zero and three against the
• 12:38
  Speaker 6: SEC last year the average I think under two touchdowns
• 12:41
  Speaker 6: per game, but against Texas he looked really good. In
• 12:43
  Speaker 6: the end of the year is when he started playing
• 12:45
  Speaker 6: his best. Nuss Meyer had some questionable throws earlier in
• 12:47
  Speaker 6: the year, but his decision making as the year went
• 12:50
  Speaker 6: on got better and then with alert. Part of this
• 12:54
  Speaker 6: part of it is what I just brought up, there's experience.
• 12:58
  Speaker 6: A lot of the other teams don't have have an
• 13:00
  Speaker 6: experienced quarterback option, so that's why that's part of what's
• 13:03
  Speaker 6: driving this hype is that many of these other teams
• 13:06
  Speaker 6: have a huge question mark. A lot of them are
• 13:08
  Speaker 6: starting young kids who haven't started before. So that's just
• 13:11
  Speaker 6: like where you have a big edgency, you just have
• 13:14
  Speaker 6: a returning starter with an upper echelon roster in college football.
• 13:19
  Speaker 6: But Aler needs to get better against upper echelon competition
• 13:22
  Speaker 6: when he's under pressure, those top teams, those top tier
• 13:25
  Speaker 6: teams that he's faced. He hasn't met the moment yet.
• 13:28
  Speaker 6: We'll see what he can do this year deciding to
• 13:31
  Speaker 6: come back. But I think part of it is just, hey,
• 13:33
  Speaker 6: we have the experience of the part of it is
• 13:34
  Speaker 6: there's a lot of other teams that just don't have
• 13:36
  Speaker 6: that luxury headed into this year, and that paints the
• 13:41
  Speaker 6: picture of the national title conversation opinion, Like I have
• 13:44
  Speaker 6: Penn State power aded number one the top team. Part
• 13:47
  Speaker 6: of that is, hey, hours back, you are Jymnales. You
• 13:50
  Speaker 6: have a roster full of experience and talent. But that
• 13:52
  Speaker 6: doesn't necessarily mean that one of these other teams will
• 13:56
  Speaker 6: catch them. Like Penn State's probably close to where its
• 13:58
  Speaker 6: peak is right now, unless Aler takes like a huge
• 14:02
  Speaker 6: leap forward. But one of these other teams, if they
• 14:05
  Speaker 6: hit on a quarterback right like to say, if Alabama
• 14:07
  Speaker 6: hits on the quarterback, the rest of their roster is
• 14:10
  Speaker 6: so stacked that they could rise up, and by the
• 14:12
  Speaker 6: time the College Twall Playoff comes along, Penn State might
• 14:15
  Speaker 6: not necessarily be power ad to number one.
• 14:17
  Speaker 5: Let me say this about Alison is a generally NFL
• 14:19
  Speaker 5: podcast for everybody listening. If he does not fix the
• 14:22
  Speaker 5: two problems that he has, he's going to fall in
• 14:24
  Speaker 5: the NFL Draft and he ain't gonna mount to anything
• 14:26
  Speaker 5: at the next level. One he cannot read pre snap blitz.
• 14:29
  Speaker 5: He cannot read what's coming at him. He has changed
• 14:31
  Speaker 5: the play with Nick Dawkins's center multiple times and made
• 14:34
  Speaker 5: the offensive line shift in places it didn't need to go.
• 14:37
  Speaker 5: Plus look at his throwaway numbers. I mean serious, like
• 14:40
  Speaker 5: that's a stat it is in the NFL, you have
• 14:41
  Speaker 5: to be able to get rid of a quick trigger
• 14:43
  Speaker 5: to the sidelines. He never throws the ball away. He'd
• 14:46
  Speaker 5: rather take a twelve yard sack. Can't throw it away,
• 14:49
  Speaker 5: can't detect pre snap blitz. I mean, those are two
• 14:51
  Speaker 5: huge problems. If he doesn't fix it, I'd be selling
• 14:53
  Speaker 5: him on NFL Draft Day like crazy.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: All right, boys, let's transition that into futures. Colin your
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: first give me your best futures. Bet.
• 15:04
  Speaker 5: I like Oklahoma over six and a half seven. I
• 15:06
  Speaker 5: don't care what the jew say is this team is
• 15:07
  Speaker 5: absolutely loaded. Look for a combination of offensive coordinators and
• 15:10
  Speaker 5: quarterbacks that come together these programs we just saw with
• 15:13
  Speaker 5: Western Kentucky the other day. Well, now we've got John
• 15:15
  Speaker 5: Matia coming in from Washington State and his offensive coordinator
• 15:17
  Speaker 5: Ben Arbuckle, a real riser in the world of calling
• 15:21
  Speaker 5: offenses in college football. I don't think we realize exactly
• 15:25
  Speaker 5: how basement level the Oklahoma offense was last year because
• 15:28
  Speaker 5: of all of the injuries that they had sustained. But
• 15:30
  Speaker 5: now they have, you know, shout out to Phil Steele.
• 15:33
  Speaker 5: He calls their defensive line in their linebacker group the
• 15:35
  Speaker 5: number one overall unit in the SEC. Oklahoma is loaded
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: on defense. They now have an offense that can actually
• 15:41
  Speaker 5: score some points here. The schedule's tough, but I mean,
• 15:44
  Speaker 5: I'm not opposed to anyone out there looking at twenty
• 15:46
  Speaker 5: five to one to win the SEC. I think they
• 15:48
  Speaker 5: are in line for some major upsets this year. I
• 15:50
  Speaker 5: think they're in line to win Red River against Texas.
• 15:52
  Speaker 5: I love Oklahoma's over the win total this year.
• 15:55
  Speaker 6: I love a Phil Steele reference. Stucky let's go with.
• 16:02
  Speaker 6: I'll mention UCF. They played this a weekday they played
• 16:06
  Speaker 6: Jacksonville State. They should actually roll in that game, but
• 16:10
  Speaker 6: under five and a half it's Alex Grinch is the
• 16:13
  Speaker 6: defensive coordinator for Scott Frost, who comes back to UCF.
• 16:17
  Speaker 6: He's one of the worst defensive coordinators in college football.
• 16:19
  Speaker 6: For my money, I didn't that higher. To me is
• 16:22
  Speaker 6: head scratching. And then they just named Cam Fancher a
• 16:26
  Speaker 6: starting quarterback. That is probably a bad sign for what
• 16:30
  Speaker 6: the quarterback room look like. This is a guy who
• 16:33
  Speaker 6: probably should be starting at the group of five level.
• 16:36
  Speaker 6: I wasn't in love with all the talent they brought
• 16:37
  Speaker 6: and this should be a rebuilding year for UCF. So
• 16:40
  Speaker 6: I like under five and a half, and then I
• 16:41
  Speaker 6: mentioned Penn State before Penn State like plus money to
• 16:44
  Speaker 6: make the Big Ten title game. I like, they might
• 16:47
  Speaker 6: not be number one, so they might end up facing
• 16:49
  Speaker 6: like Ohio State is ahead of them at that point
• 16:51
  Speaker 6: in time. But this is a team. They host Oregon
• 16:54
  Speaker 6: in a great spot early on this season at home,
• 16:58
  Speaker 6: Oregon coming across the country, Penn State off.
• 17:00
  Speaker 4: Bye.
• 17:01
  Speaker 6: I'm very low in Oregon this year. I wouldn't be
• 17:03
  Speaker 6: shocked if Oregon missed the playoff. And I think Penn
• 17:07
  Speaker 6: State you'll see them at least in the Big Ten
• 17:09
  Speaker 6: Championship game.
• 17:10
  Speaker 5: And we have to throw a long shot out that
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: Stuckey and I both agree on. Let's go to the
• 17:14
  Speaker 5: MAC and Central Michigan out there to win the MAC
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: is like twenty twenty five to one, and you say,
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: where do you get this stuff?
• 17:21
  Speaker 4: In the MAC?
• 17:21
  Speaker 5: You can completely flip the conference upside down as the
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: Ohio Bobcats last year. But what Central Michigan did is
• 17:26
  Speaker 5: they needed a new head coach and they decided to
• 17:28
  Speaker 5: go out and get the guy that has re architected
• 17:30
  Speaker 5: the Army offense and turned them into this crazy like
• 17:33
  Speaker 5: triple threat option in space. Well, he's now calling the
• 17:36
  Speaker 5: places at Central Michigan, and no MAC defense knows how
• 17:39
  Speaker 5: to cover the triple option. I think just because they
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: don't have the personnel, they don't have the returning stars,
• 17:43
  Speaker 5: it doesn't matter. I think the Central Michigan offense running
• 17:45
  Speaker 5: the triple in space, what Army does is going to
• 17:47
  Speaker 5: mess up a lot of defenses in the MAC. It's
• 17:50
  Speaker 5: gonna work on Tuesday Wednesday nights. You're gonna hear a
• 17:51
  Speaker 5: lot of chirping from.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: Us stock what's your last future?
• 17:55
  Speaker 6: I did take Central Michigan. I think the first time
• 17:57
  Speaker 6: they hired Mack went back in like twenty nineteen. They
• 17:59
  Speaker 6: had one win the year before and then went to
• 18:00
  Speaker 6: the MAC Championship game. So yeah, you could see an
• 18:03
  Speaker 6: enormous turnaround season to season in the MAC. There's just
• 18:07
  Speaker 6: and all these teams are turning over. They lose all
• 18:09
  Speaker 6: their best. The Macs getting worse, it's falling behind, but
• 18:12
  Speaker 6: it'll be just as entertaining as always. Let's see, I'll
• 18:15
  Speaker 6: throw let me throw a I'll throw a couple college
• 18:19
  Speaker 6: football playoff bets out there. I played some USC to
• 18:22
  Speaker 6: make the playoff plus four to eighty and I played
• 18:24
  Speaker 6: some Texas A and M plus two forty. I think
• 18:26
  Speaker 6: TAXA A M is a really high floor. Not Marcel
• 18:29
  Speaker 6: Reed still limited as a passer, but their rushing off
• 18:31
  Speaker 6: its their offensive line is going to be outstanding. Defense
• 18:34
  Speaker 6: was a problem last year. Mike Eelko said, look, I'm
• 18:38
  Speaker 6: going to fix that. I trust him on that side
• 18:39
  Speaker 6: of the ball. So he fixes the defense and you
• 18:42
  Speaker 6: marry that with like just a hootent powerful rushing attack.
• 18:46
  Speaker 6: I think those two things can work together in Texas
• 18:49
  Speaker 6: A and M of a shot of potentially getting to
• 18:52
  Speaker 6: the college fluff because you might see three, four or
• 18:54
  Speaker 6: five SEC teams in I already mentioned Oregon is down,
• 18:57
  Speaker 6: so maybe USC if Jane Mayava hits their defenses on
• 19:01
  Speaker 6: the ascend after losing Alex Grinch, they might be able
• 19:04
  Speaker 6: to take one of those big ten spots. And one
• 19:08
  Speaker 6: of the reasons Texas A and M could get it
• 19:10
  Speaker 6: the SEC A lot of these top teams that everyone
• 19:13
  Speaker 6: is counting on has quarterback uncertainty. So what if Alabama
• 19:17
  Speaker 6: doesn't hit? What if Gunderstockin's not the guy at Georgia?
• 19:21
  Speaker 6: So who could be some of these teams that could
• 19:23
  Speaker 6: benefit at least textas a and M has a known
• 19:25
  Speaker 6: commodity returning starter, even though his ceiling is probably limited
• 19:28
  Speaker 6: from a passing perspective. I think that there's a good
• 19:30
  Speaker 6: chance that they'll be in the discussion with a game
• 19:33
  Speaker 6: against Texas to close out the regular season. Who knows.
• 19:36
  Speaker 6: If they get that, they could get in there. So
• 19:37
  Speaker 6: texts A and M and USC are some shots to
• 19:40
  Speaker 6: make the College War ploff, and then one more at
• 19:43
  Speaker 6: LSU if they lose to Clemson. But it's very competitive,
• 19:49
  Speaker 6: and the offensive line actually looks okay and they have
• 19:52
  Speaker 6: a semblance of a rushing attack. I'll be curious. We'll
• 19:56
  Speaker 6: be talking about that on big Bets on campus following
• 19:58
  Speaker 6: Week one us to see what their prices look like
• 20:02
  Speaker 6: based on if they lose that game. But they still
• 20:04
  Speaker 6: look good, and I liked what I saw from some
• 20:05
  Speaker 6: of the young guys at offensive line against a really
• 20:07
  Speaker 6: good defensive line. So that's a team, another SEC team
• 20:11
  Speaker 6: that could benefit if some of these other top teams
• 20:13
  Speaker 6: don't necessarily hit at quarterback.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: You've been so good at doing this for so long
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: now that you teed up my promo for BBOC perfectly.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Because this is a reminder to everybody the very best
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: college football betting coverage anywhere is on BBOC. You need
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: to listen to Big Bets on Campus, the BBOC podcast
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: featuring all of actions college football experts, including today's guest
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: Colin and Stucky, The BBOC Ogs, the number one ranked
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: college football betting podcast. Get it Apple, Spotify or the
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: BBOC YouTube channel.
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: All right, let's get to it. Chat Week one.
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: Colin, we got for number one first best bet.
• 21:01
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I just put this in the app last night.
• 21:03
  Speaker 5: Sam Houston plus ten and a half against UNLV. We
• 21:06
  Speaker 5: just saw these teams play in Week zero. UNLV's defense
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: is a dumpster fire. I don't know what Dan Mullen's
• 21:12
  Speaker 5: doing out there, but he's not coaching. They need to
• 21:14
  Speaker 5: take that defense and throw it in deep storage with
• 21:16
  Speaker 5: the Rebel Roller underneath Allegiance Stadium. It was the most
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: atrocious thing I've ever seen against Idoh State. They missed
• 21:21
  Speaker 5: seventeen tackles. That's really hard to do. Like Simon, we
• 21:25
  Speaker 5: could get out there and have more tackles than what
• 21:27
  Speaker 5: UNLV did the other day.
• 21:28
  Speaker 4: Sam Houston has a semblance of an offense.
• 21:30
  Speaker 5: I mean, I know they didn't cover against Western Kentucky,
• 21:32
  Speaker 5: but they did push the ball up and down the field,
• 21:34
  Speaker 5: very high yards per play, and they have an offensive
• 21:36
  Speaker 5: identity with what Phil Longo has there. That numbers should
• 21:39
  Speaker 5: be more like five and a half, not ten and
• 21:40
  Speaker 5: a half. So I like Sam Houston plus ten and
• 21:42
  Speaker 5: a half.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: What I love about that Stuck. We're going to get
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: to yours next is after the game, Dan Mullin was
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: basically defensive. Like someone said to him, you know, how
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: do you feel you won? But the team didn't play well?
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: He goes, if you're not jumping up and down and
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: celebrating after winning a game, what are you even doing.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: He's already dismissing the idea that there could be bad
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: play and a win. Stuck, I think he's got somebody
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: tripping in his ear, or Colin got somebody tripping in
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: his ear. He sounds just like you stuck, You go ahead?
• 22:14
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I low. I was very low on this UNLV
• 22:16
  Speaker 6: team coming into the air. I have their win total
• 22:18
  Speaker 6: under I was really hoping that. I know State could
• 22:21
  Speaker 6: have pulled off the stunner, but that line took a
• 22:23
  Speaker 6: ton of money too on UNV, which was crazy. You'll
• 22:25
  Speaker 6: see a lot of that in weeks zero, Week one,
• 22:27
  Speaker 6: with a lot of these unfl new roster. I mean
• 22:29
  Speaker 6: there's just transfers all over. You'll see crazy results, and
• 22:32
  Speaker 6: then you also see the market get some right and
• 22:34
  Speaker 6: in the market be way off based on some of
• 22:36
  Speaker 6: these games. By the way, Peak bets on campus. If
• 22:39
  Speaker 6: anyone's a new listener. We normally do episodes on Thursdays,
• 22:43
  Speaker 6: but this week special schedule. We'll have two episodes that
• 22:46
  Speaker 6: will be recording Tuesday, one breaking down the games on
• 22:50
  Speaker 6: Thursday and Friday night, and then a second part that
• 22:52
  Speaker 6: breaks down the rest of the weekend. Want to get
• 22:54
  Speaker 6: that out early for people sin Star games on Thursday
• 22:56
  Speaker 6: and Friday. It's Labor Day weekend, so just an FI
• 22:58
  Speaker 6: there and scheduling. I played this one. It still has
• 23:02
  Speaker 6: some meat on the bone. It got hit today this morning.
• 23:04
  Speaker 6: The board was lit up. But Georgia's state against Ole miss.
• 23:07
  Speaker 6: Anything over thirty five is fine. I was talking to
• 23:10
  Speaker 6: Colin about this on Saturday. I said it was thirty eight,
• 23:13
  Speaker 6: thirty eight and a half. I said this thing, I
• 23:14
  Speaker 6: made it like thirty two ish, I think thirty one
• 23:18
  Speaker 6: and a half. So I was like this, I think
• 23:20
  Speaker 6: this is a touchdown too high. Now it is scary
• 23:22
  Speaker 6: because it's Lane Kiffin going up against Georgia State, and
• 23:26
  Speaker 6: if you looked at ole Miss's results last year, ole
• 23:28
  Speaker 6: Miss destroyed these teams in weeks one through four, but
• 23:32
  Speaker 6: they didn't play anyone for like the first four weeks.
• 23:34
  Speaker 6: They on deck. After this game, they have Kentucky who
• 23:37
  Speaker 6: beat them last year, then another SEC game tu Lane,
• 23:40
  Speaker 6: So I'm not sure how much he's gonna want to
• 23:44
  Speaker 6: just keep running it up and how much he wants
• 23:46
  Speaker 6: to show in this particular spot. And I think ole
• 23:49
  Speaker 6: Miss they should have been the contwe A PLAYFFA. I mean,
• 23:52
  Speaker 6: because they lost that Kentucky and Lane Kiffin just has
• 23:54
  Speaker 6: these head scratching games. Their defense lost a ton, you
• 23:57
  Speaker 6: lose Jackson Dart as well at quarterback, you lose your
• 24:00
  Speaker 6: number one receivers. So this team, there's a lot of uncertainty,
• 24:02
  Speaker 6: and I just think the number is too high. I
• 24:05
  Speaker 6: think Georgia State can hang there. So I'll give out
• 24:07
  Speaker 6: the trash one Saturday night, Georgia State plus the points.
• 24:10
  Speaker 6: Anything over over five touchdowns.
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: I know you got another one from me, Colin. What
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: else we got for week one?
• 24:16
  Speaker 5: Baby Rutgers team total over thirty one and that half
• 24:19
  Speaker 5: i'mon go and get that.
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: So listen, I go across the state border, go get
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: that one.
• 24:23
  Speaker 5: You have to get this one because I don't know
• 24:25
  Speaker 5: if Ohio can score their points.
• 24:27
  Speaker 4: Right.
• 24:27
  Speaker 5: They've got some issues with the offensive line I think
• 24:30
  Speaker 5: might keep their offense from scoring some points. But Rutgers, No,
• 24:33
  Speaker 5: they got this running back from Fau. He averages four
• 24:36
  Speaker 5: yards after first contact, offensive line returns four starters against
• 24:39
  Speaker 5: an Ohio defensive line that lost everybody. They're fielding a
• 24:42
  Speaker 5: bunch of Juco guys, a bunch of guys that probably
• 24:44
  Speaker 5: shouldn't be there from the MAC. And then you say, well,
• 24:47
  Speaker 5: it's really important do head coaches take their foot off
• 24:50
  Speaker 5: the pedal in week one?
• 24:51
  Speaker 4: Schiano always has his foot on the pedal.
• 24:54
  Speaker 5: Last year again, in the second half alone against Howard
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: and Akron, he scored fifty five points. Two years ago,
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: he put up like twenty three in the fourth quarter
• 25:02
  Speaker 5: against Temple. Shiano just does not give a shit when
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: he plays these little teams. He will keep scoring in
• 25:07
  Speaker 5: every quarter no matter what the score is. Rutgers team
• 25:10
  Speaker 5: total over thirty one and a half. They're gonna have
• 25:12
  Speaker 5: their way with that offensive line up and down the field.
• 25:15
  Speaker 6: You know, cockers in that game.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Also, you know stuck, he's talking about Rutgers and Shiano
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: and not taking their foot off the gas. I don't
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: know if I buy the theory that Lane Kiffin's gonna
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: slow his role just because they've got games the following
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: week that are a little bit more competitive.
• 25:33
  Speaker 6: I mean, probably not, but he might. He might not
• 25:36
  Speaker 6: show as much, and he might just get its starters
• 25:38
  Speaker 6: out a tad bit earlier, which could matter. I mean
• 25:41
  Speaker 6: that my main handicap there is the line is just
• 25:44
  Speaker 6: way too high compared to what I projected at. But
• 25:46
  Speaker 6: there's a chance. I mean, if you look last year,
• 25:49
  Speaker 6: oh miss, if you look at their schedule they started
• 25:52
  Speaker 6: out and this will scare you. Like they started out,
• 25:56
  Speaker 6: what do they beat? They beat someone like seventy nothing.
• 25:57
  Speaker 6: I think, let me pull up their schedule because it's
• 26:01
  Speaker 6: it's definitely noteworthy and it's definitely something that I thought about.
• 26:04
  Speaker 6: They beat Furman seventy six nothing, and then they beat
• 26:08
  Speaker 6: Middle Tennessee fifty two to three. They beat Wake forty
• 26:11
  Speaker 6: to six, They beat Georgia Southern fifty two to thirteen.
• 26:15
  Speaker 6: And then guess what they did all that against these
• 26:18
  Speaker 6: just absolute horrendous teams. And then they hosted Kentucky in
• 26:22
  Speaker 6: Week one or in the first game of the their
• 26:25
  Speaker 6: SEC schedule, and they lost as enormous favorites, so he'd
• 26:28
  Speaker 6: probably be smart to maybe take a different approach this year.
• 26:31
  Speaker 6: But basically their Week one last year gets Furman and
• 26:33
  Speaker 6: then middle they weren't They didn't play anyone the first month,
• 26:35
  Speaker 6: so they had nothing to really worry about or look
• 26:37
  Speaker 6: forward to, or hold back or worry about the start.
• 26:40
  Speaker 6: So the number one, it's a fair point by you
• 26:43
  Speaker 6: because that's what Kevin does. He's probably gonna I'm gonna
• 26:45
  Speaker 6: eat my words because they're gonna be up thirty four
• 26:48
  Speaker 6: with a minute to go and he's gonna be running
• 26:50
  Speaker 6: no huddle and going forward on a fourth down. But
• 26:54
  Speaker 6: the main thing is, I just think the line is
• 26:55
  Speaker 6: too high here, and this year, unlike last year, there's
• 27:00
  Speaker 6: things to be concerned about. You're at Kentucky next week,
• 27:04
  Speaker 6: and then you play Arkansas in Tulane and then LSU.
• 27:07
  Speaker 6: It's a much different schedule structurally than last year. But
• 27:10
  Speaker 6: you're probably right, But at the end of the deadline
• 27:12
  Speaker 6: is too high in my opinion.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: All right, well, what's your second pick?
• 27:14
  Speaker 6: Then let's go Va Tech. This game is on Sunday afternoon.
• 27:20
  Speaker 6: I believe against South Carolina. I think South con Is
• 27:24
  Speaker 6: defense is going to take any enormous step back this year.
• 27:30
  Speaker 6: They lost a ton of talent to the NFL. In total.
• 27:33
  Speaker 6: This is a team that had four defensive players drafted,
• 27:36
  Speaker 6: I think in like the top eighty ninety of the
• 27:38
  Speaker 6: NFL draft. They lost a total of eight others that
• 27:41
  Speaker 6: signed undrafted free agent contracts, and they had another one
• 27:45
  Speaker 6: who was invited to a camp. So there was a
• 27:47
  Speaker 6: big talent drain, especially on the defensive side of the ball.
• 27:50
  Speaker 6: So I think their defense takes a step back. I
• 27:52
  Speaker 6: think it was just a good by low. It's the
• 27:56
  Speaker 6: year after all. The hype with tech votech was everybody's
• 28:00
  Speaker 6: preseason darling last year, and so they're the acc sleeper
• 28:03
  Speaker 6: to get to the college football Playoff, and they had
• 28:05
  Speaker 6: a disasters year. There were injuries, coaching malpractice. I'm not
• 28:10
  Speaker 6: necessarily the biggest prive guy. This might be his last year.
• 28:14
  Speaker 6: He's been a disaster in one possession games, which I
• 28:16
  Speaker 6: think speaks to coaching when it's a trend over that
• 28:18
  Speaker 6: long of a period. But if it was a one
• 28:20
  Speaker 6: session game here, I don't care taken over a touchdown.
• 28:24
  Speaker 6: I think that BATECH just not that this is like
• 28:26
  Speaker 6: the They lost a lot of talent too. But I
• 28:28
  Speaker 6: loved their coordinator Highers on both sides of the ball.
• 28:31
  Speaker 6: Marv their defensive coordinat last year who came from Florida City.
• 28:34
  Speaker 6: He doesn't even have a job anywhere now. I think
• 28:36
  Speaker 6: he was terrible on the defensive side of the ball.
• 28:38
  Speaker 6: Last year. They hired this guy, Sefkis, who came from
• 28:41
  Speaker 6: the NFL. I think he's going to do wonders for
• 28:44
  Speaker 6: this defense, and especially week one, I think he's going
• 28:47
  Speaker 6: to confuse sellers. He's going to confuse this offense. This
• 28:50
  Speaker 6: is the guy who came from the Cardinals staff and
• 28:52
  Speaker 6: the Viking staff over the past four years. You know,
• 28:54
  Speaker 6: with the that Viking staff, that Cardinal staff, I have
• 28:58
  Speaker 6: a ton of respect for. They're doing some awesome things
• 29:00
  Speaker 6: with three high safeties. So I think that the coordinator
• 29:04
  Speaker 6: hires here drones being healthier, I think there's this is
• 29:07
  Speaker 6: a good spot neutral field taking over the touchdown, taking
• 29:12
  Speaker 6: over seven with VA Tech, I think they're gonna have
• 29:16
  Speaker 6: a shot to pull this out.
• 29:20
  Speaker 3: All right, com got one more for me, boss, Yeah,
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: let's fade Hawaii I've seen.
• 29:25
  Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, so this was a game.
• 29:29
  Speaker 5: Like I was sitting in Chicago at the watch party
• 29:31
  Speaker 5: and I said, you know, guys, I have Arizona like
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: power rated like twenty four over Hawaii, and the market
• 29:36
  Speaker 5: right now is thirteen. I think I've got to hit
• 29:38
  Speaker 5: this now because Hawaii could lay an egg. Well, Hawaii
• 29:41
  Speaker 5: won the game, but look what the market's doing right now.
• 29:43
  Speaker 5: It reopened it fourteen and a half, it's up to eighteen.
• 29:45
  Speaker 5: I think today, I think it's good all the way
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: up to twenty one. Because Hawaii's quarterback right now, Mika
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: Alohado is I mean hobbled like, I mean he was
• 29:53
  Speaker 5: taped up, looked like a Transformer out there running around
• 29:55
  Speaker 5: with his boot like he was hobbling in between snaps.
• 29:58
  Speaker 5: I think he's gonna have zero mobility. They're flying into
• 30:01
  Speaker 5: play Arizona. I think the hate on Arizona has been
• 30:04
  Speaker 5: really uncalled for. I think Brent Brennan is a fantastic coach.
• 30:07
  Speaker 5: I think they had a Dino Babers problem, which they
• 30:08
  Speaker 5: don't have right now. And you know, Stucky knows that
• 30:11
  Speaker 5: there is an advantage for teams playing in Week one
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: against teams that already played in Week zero against the
• 30:16
  Speaker 5: spread because they have so much more film, and this
• 30:18
  Speaker 5: kind of falls into that area too. So I like
• 30:20
  Speaker 5: Arizona all the way up to twenty one. I think
• 30:22
  Speaker 5: it's gonna zoom past this current number. Seventeen and a half.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: Eighteen, all right, stock taking this home the final best
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: bet for college football Week one.
• 30:31
  Speaker 6: Yeah, Historically, for what it's worth, over sixty percent against
• 30:34
  Speaker 6: the spread for FBS, just FBS teams taking out FBS
• 30:38
  Speaker 6: teams that are making their debut in Week one. Very unique.
• 30:41
  Speaker 6: It's not like the NFL where everyone starts in one week.
• 30:43
  Speaker 6: Sixty one percent two thousand and five teams that are
• 30:45
  Speaker 6: making their debut against teams that played the week prior.
• 30:50
  Speaker 6: I think there's only two spots this week because a
• 30:53
  Speaker 6: lot of teams are playing FCS. There's Stanford as a bye,
• 30:57
  Speaker 6: and I think that's who are the two teams here?
• 30:59
  Speaker 6: We have, Oh, Georgia Southern, We'll play Fresno. They're catching.
• 31:03
  Speaker 6: I think they're just like a one point dog, but
• 31:04
  Speaker 6: I would lean that way there and then, Yeah, this
• 31:06
  Speaker 6: line has been hit, but especially with the injury uncertainty
• 31:10
  Speaker 6: a quarterback for Hawaii, the Arizona hosting Hawaii, and Hawaii
• 31:13
  Speaker 6: has not been good on the road under Timmy Chang
• 31:16
  Speaker 6: and the handicap there is, yes, you get what means more,
• 31:19
  Speaker 6: you get to shake off the rust, work out the kinks,
• 31:21
  Speaker 6: or you have the film and the rest and the
• 31:25
  Speaker 6: non travel advantage. Right, you get to see and with
• 31:28
  Speaker 6: all the turnover and coumtable, these teams could look a
• 31:30
  Speaker 6: lot different. You get to see what they look like
• 31:32
  Speaker 6: and you get to hold some things back and they
• 31:34
  Speaker 6: don't know what you're going to look like. And you're
• 31:36
  Speaker 6: rested and it didn't have to travel, there's no injuries.
• 31:39
  Speaker 6: So historically that has won over the team that got
• 31:43
  Speaker 6: to work out some of the kinks and get out
• 31:45
  Speaker 6: the rust.
• 31:46
  Speaker 4: I'll give you one.
• 31:47
  Speaker 6: I get you on Saturday, Sunday, how about Friday. There's
• 31:52
  Speaker 6: still some sevens out there with Charlotte, So Charlotte against
• 31:56
  Speaker 6: that State. A lot of uncertainty with both of these
• 31:59
  Speaker 6: ross when this is the case and I show a
• 32:02
  Speaker 6: little bit of value on the spread with the dog
• 32:04
  Speaker 6: here coach. I don't like the app State coach hire.
• 32:07
  Speaker 6: I love the Charlotte coaching hire. That to me, big
• 32:11
  Speaker 6: big edge in week one, So Yeah, Friday night, seven
• 32:16
  Speaker 6: Eastern on ESPNU. Let's go with Charlotte Catching seven seven
• 32:20
  Speaker 6: out there a couple books right now.
• 32:22
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• 32:29
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