Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 16 Gambling Picks, Christmas Football! Fraud Bowl! Bills and Lions Roll!
Transcript
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- 1:03Okay okay okay. From here to the back of the three for the Money, the new episodes,
- 1:10every Thursday it is week 16. Christmas is this week and I hate that I said 16. It's very sad even
- 1:21though it's Christmas you know. Very very much looked forward to and there's football. There's
- 1:26three Christmas games so that is something to be thankful for on this week because we're going to
- 1:34move on from last week because I did awful. I ended up going three, eight, and one. Pretty bad.
- 1:42Probably I think that's my worst week on the show this year, this season. So yeah we're going to move
- 1:52on. I didn't win a single bet Sunday until Sunday night football and I won two on both my Sunday
- 2:00night football bets so whatever. Chris how did you do? I mean I guess I did a little bit better.
- 2:08I went six, seven, and one so fine. Nothing right home right home about after I think I went one in
- 2:16four in the the news slate on Sunday and that one was my surefire which won by half a point.
- 2:22So I was at like three o'clock I was like what am I even doing this man and then I won both three
- 2:30o'clock and then Sunday night I split and then Monday night was whatever. But yeah not great
- 2:38but not terrible so right about back let's get into it. First though Sean how did you do?
- 2:44I think we all had just pretty bad weeks. I went five and seven. Saturday absolutely eight me alive.
- 2:59Oh yeah. It's just awful. I thought I went oh and three first off but I
- 3:08I completely missed the end of the Colts game where that went over somehow so thank god but
- 3:16I did double down on the Broncos against the Lions because I talked you guys into it. I had a buddy
- 3:23that watched the show and got him on it and I doubled downed and yeah poor poor choice but
- 3:34honestly Sunday wasn't much better. I won four out of the
- 3:46let's see five or four no no no I won sorry. So that's really good. Two three
- 3:55three four five so I won four of the nine that I had on on Sunday and then Eagles just brought it home
- 4:05and just shit on the rest of my week so not a great week so I'm starting to starting to doubt
- 4:14myself a little bit we're not quite at the Costanza stage but we we may be getting close.
- 4:21Yeah it's not Costanza yet for me it's it's it wasn't it wasn't that feeling of
- 4:33I have everything wrong. It wasn't like that. I don't know how else to explain it. Maybe it was
- 4:39just like this was an off week. That's I think I think what I'm talking to Costanza it's like
- 4:44two or three weeks of consistent losing and then it's then it's time to switch it up but
- 4:52yeah well I did that too so well okay well well then maybe
- 5:01two weeks in a row where I've been just kind of meh or if I would have switched all my picks I
- 5:08would have had a better record so well meh is not like that's not terrible it's not like yeah you're
- 5:15not about to lose the house or anything no but
- 5:22so in five and seven it's not time to question everything that that happens
- 5:27yeah I know I started off so hot yeah
- 5:31yeah oh how the mighty have fallen well anyway it is week 16 let's get into it there's Saturday
- 5:41games there's multiple Monday games let's start with Bengals at Steelers both of these teams
- 5:49starting back up QB's whoever comes out of the AFC is just going to be the healthiest team
- 5:55right now I just see this matchup and I I don't know how someone takes the Steelers well I guess
- 6:05I do because they're dogs at home and it's a divisional game but right now it just seems that
- 6:11the Bengals are humming it doesn't they don't give me like the team of destiny vibes but they are
- 6:20finding to finding a way to win these these games by you know not a lot which which is why I like
- 6:28the Bengals here I like the minus one and a half I just I don't feel confident at all in the Steelers
- 6:34to be able to do anything but Steelers are seven and seven right now they could split the last
- 6:43couple weeks end up going 500 or maybe this is the tie game where they go exactly 500 and split
- 6:49the next two I don't know could be crazy could be a could be a crazy thing that happens but I'm
- 6:55going Bengals here I just think their skill positions are way too good and they can kind of
- 7:03overcome this backup quarterback situation and I mean Jake Browning like he's shown that he could
- 7:08play he's made the dumb backup quarterback plays these past two weeks like he's thrown
- 7:16interceptions so and he's shown that he can overcome them so I'm gonna take the Bengals here
- 7:23Chris what do you think um well you said like you just said the Steelers and Bengals both
- 7:30playing backup quarterbacks Steelers down to the third string because they're rolling with Rudolph
- 7:33this week I'm taking under yeah I'm taking on I'm taking under 30 set but Rudolph on Christmas
- 7:44what's Saturday but that's even more of a Rudolph day it's Christmas Eve no Sunday Sunday is Sunday
- 7:54is okay doesn't matter because I'm taking the under third string quarterback and backup
- 8:03quarterback Steelers play really good defense at home and Jake Browning he did something on Sunday
- 8:13or Saturday whenever they played that made me nervous he came over after he was playing pretty
- 8:19well and he like spiked his helmet looked into the camera it's like that's why they shouldn't
- 8:22have fucking cut me referring to the Vikings cutting him um so he's gonna suck this week if we
- 8:28know anything about the NFL anytime a backup quarterback who's not really that good starts
- 8:34talking shit they're gonna suck so also no Jermar Chase this week so who bingal Steelers
- 8:42under 37 this game's gonna blow um it's it's gonna be disgusting and I mean just like every
- 8:50Steelers home game I think it's just gonna be gross so give me under 37 Sean what are we thinking
- 8:57I don't know anymore I have this I have this like well thought out little paragraph that I wrote to
- 9:06keep me keep my thoughts in line because sometimes I ramble and um now now what what you just said
- 9:14is just thrown out the window because you are making 100 excellent points um I don't know
- 9:27I'm not even reading for the class yeah read it verbatim okay no don't
- 9:38I'll I'll summarize it but uh actually I'm not gonna read it I'm not gonna read this give us the
- 9:42cliff notes uh Steelers are bad bangles are hot uh no reason to think Steelers can suddenly
- 9:53figure it out that's fair well well said but in the spirit of Christmas with Rudolph starting
- 10:05as the starting quarterback it's only money and you can't take it with you Steelers plus two
- 10:14let's go I mean I don't that's a perfect reason that is a gambler's reason if I've ever
- 10:26are you gonna bet against Rudolph on Christmas they made a whole movie about it whole tv special
- 10:33two days before Christmas I don't care I don't care I was the one that pointed out I thought it
- 10:38is Christmas time it is Christmas time everybody's off work and they are watching football it is
- 10:48Christmas time and if you bet against Rudolph on Christmas he's gonna hmm he'll show you he'll show
- 10:56you never bet against Rudolph is this on like um this isn't like a prime time game is it's a day
- 11:05game yeah I'm pretty sure yeah like the middle of the day it's like the first Saturday game okay so
- 11:12I mean so it's I can't wait for those graphics of like putting a red nose on Mason Rudolph that's
- 11:19just gonna be so side-splittingly funny I I hope he comes out of the tunnel with a red nose that'd
- 11:27be awesome I mean that'd be nice yeah all right Steelers plus two pure Christmas bet uh don't go
- 11:37against Christmas that's all I gotta say don't go against Christmas okay next Saturday game
- 11:46quick transition bills at the Chargers Chargers playing Eastern stick horrendously bad on uh
- 11:58on last week uh was that Thursday yep yeah that was horrible uh bills hot super white lava hot
- 12:11they essentially have to win out and they they still could win that division this is I think they
- 12:18need the the dolphins to lose they do yeah no because they played the dolphins uh last week of
- 12:24the season no if the dolphins beat the cowbell boys the dolphins will clinch the east really yeah
- 12:32how I looked into it but like how I'm not saying like how do you know this I'm saying like what's
- 12:39the where the tiebreaker scenarios because I feel like the bills already beat them
- 12:47so I'm just confused how that hold on I think well the bills lost to the patriots and the jets
- 12:56once each already okay okay that makes sense then yeah so but it's in LA Chargers are home
- 13:07dogs by 12 and a half um that line is correct I think I think we can all say that that is correct
- 13:16um might be too small I'm gonna be honest I think the bills could definitely destroy them
- 13:25if there's a team that can be destroyed uh again it's the Chargers um but I am staying away
- 13:37from that spread I am taking under 43 and a half because both of these teams the bills and the Chargers
- 13:45in the last 10 games are two and eight on the over so I'm taking the under
- 13:52yeah I'm taking under 43 and a half let's go John what do you think well
- 13:59well I'm gonna sound crazy but bills coming out of coming off of a blowout victory against
- 14:08the cowboys Chargers coming off a blowout loss um bills are going to win this game
- 14:16they're going to win this game but you never know what's gonna happen with an interim head coach
- 14:23and uh being an 11 and a half point underdog at home uh facing an opponent that is coming from
- 14:35the other side of the country
- 14:43the bills have yet to cover a spread this season that is larger than 10
- 14:49and they were at they were home favorites when they were favored by more than 10
- 14:58um I don't feel as bad betting on this Chargers team now that Staley is gone
- 15:10uh I knew exactly what we were gonna get with that if Staley was still running this team I'd
- 15:16be hammering the bills all day but interim head coach bills just want to get out with a dub and
- 15:27get home in time for Christmas they're not gonna play around they're not gonna show off I think
- 15:32the Chargers cover this large spread as bad as Easton Stick is and as bad as the Chargers are
- 15:40I will be taking the Chargers plus 11 and a half Chris you are are you in agreeance or no I love
- 15:48that I love everything you just said I couldn't have said it better myself um this is a just
- 15:56plug your nose game and just like this probably be a backdoor cover honestly but um I think the
- 16:04Chargers that that team they fucking hated Branson Staley like you as soon as they went down by like
- 16:12two touchdowns against Vegas on Thursday they were like I okay we're done like I don't care anymore
- 16:19now that that dumbass is gone I think these guys are gonna get up for this game they're not gonna
- 16:24win but I think they'll put up a fight so yeah Chargers plus 12 and a half I just dropped my pit
- 16:31and that's what that was but uh yeah Chargers plus 12 and a half I agree short week also for the bills
- 16:37they just want to get in get out get in get the dub get out they don't care about laying it on anyone
- 16:45yes I think that the interim head coach thing plays plays into my pick my pick as well I think
- 16:52the defense is definitely gonna get up um to you know for this game so I think they'll definitely
- 16:58play better than than giving up 63 to the Raiders um that was something man that was crazy we watched it
- 17:11I and we turned it off at like after the first quarter I watched every second of it it was just fun
- 17:18it's fun to watch like not good team I don't want to say bad teams because the Raiders I don't think
- 17:23are a bad team but like very not good teams just just have fun like the Raiders are fun to watch
- 17:31they're just kind of boys out there balling out and it's it's fun to watch and Antonio Pierce was
- 17:36like fuck it like they like some guy missed a tackle when the Chargers had like first and
- 17:43ten at like the 12th they didn't even score the guy tackle like the four but somebody missed a
- 17:47tackle and Pierce was chewing his ass out there it might like three four touchdowns that it was
- 17:54hilarious I was like this guy wants to score 80 yeah definitely um all right next game Sunday games
- 18:05Lions at the Vikings Vikings are home dogs by three uh I don't know who's starting for the Vikings
- 18:13um probably Nick Mullen again um probably he did okay against the Bengals um I mean they almost won
- 18:23I guess um uh but yes Chris what is your pick for this game I mean I I took the Vikings last week
- 18:33and the god got almost like a a pain a painful push because they did everything in their power
- 18:41to win that game and they just kept kept fucking it up Nick Mullins is terrible um he might have
- 18:49had one of the worst interceptions I've ever seen in that game where he did you guys see it he was
- 18:55being tackled and then we're just like here you go to the defense of it yeah yeah like I I get
- 19:04maybe what he was trying to do like throw it away but like it's still grounding it's still
- 19:10grounding I'm not sure what his thought process was there uh yeah he was just like there you go
- 19:19and the guy was like thanks the guy was also like on the ground so he was like oh just he just like
- 19:26sacked him yeah he's like he got us I I have the football now he got a he got a sack and
- 19:33interception in the same play has that ever happened before I'd never seen anything like that um so
- 19:41there's no way in hell I could put money on that guy I'm taking Lions must three and a half
- 19:47Lions just shit pump the Broncos so I think they're kind of they're kind of getting their
- 19:53groove back I think the Lions they take this one the Vikings are done they were a nice story but
- 19:58they're they're done so it's the Lions all day for me Sean what you taking um I'm most likely
- 20:07going to take the over also but I just found some great numbers today that persuaded me to take this
- 20:15as well um and this just may be on my card for the remainder of the season
- 20:23and we all know the Lions struggle outdoors because they are scared of bugs and the other
- 20:33elements of the outside world but they rock when they play inside did you know they are averaging
- 20:4332 points per game in their in nine in their nine indoor games this season I did not know that
- 20:51no that's crazy and they put up 26 points and seven of those nine and I think I think Minnesota has
- 21:03a decent defense but it definitely has its faults uh I think they rank like 23rd on third down
- 21:14in 22nd in opponent passer rating um they struggle they they don't have any linebackers or
- 21:23cornerbacks which the Lions with their dual threat of of running backs that just carve up
- 21:31opponents like Thanksgiving ham uh they just in a stud wide receiver in almond ron st. brown
- 21:40uh I expect this Lions team total to soar to soar so I'm taking the Lions team total over 25 and a
- 21:49half okay well what you got oh Chris sorry I'm taking that as well that was an excellent pitch
- 22:02okay 20 25 and a half 25 and a half all right sick I'm taking the Lions uh there's no there's
- 22:16no there's nothing in my brain that tells me to take the Vikings in this spot right now um
- 22:24last week my brain was wrong most of the time but you know we're taking the Lions they're
- 22:30definitely the better team here um I think with last week when we when we took the Broncos that
- 22:38the the Lions got back likes like a corner or a defensive player from from injury and he made
- 22:44all the difference I don't know who it was but I heard about it um so I'm rocking with the Lions
- 22:50minus three here I think this this is almost a layup but I don't know I don't want to say that I
- 22:58don't want to jinx it but I don't know anyway next game game of the week uh probably because it's the
- 23:06cowboy game it's the cowboys at the dolphins dolphins are favored by one and a half points
- 23:13currently um it is Wednesday as we're recording um this seems like a sort of loser leaves town
- 23:23type of game not necessarily leaves town but the loser is definitely a fraud in this fraud
- 23:32fraud ball yes whoever whoever loses this game is definitely a fraud and whoever wins is less
- 23:42of a fraud I think whoever wins will lose in the second round of the playoffs yeah most likely um
- 23:50um Cowboys just got shit pumped last week by the bills and I mean the dolphins who have they like
- 24:00really beaten the chiefs in Germany they lost oh they lost nevermind yeah they have beaten
- 24:13not a soul yeah they just shit pumped all the bad teams that's it they've beaten nobody I can't
- 24:21think of a single like good legitimately good team they beat yeah um yep yep you're right so the the
- 24:32jets are probably their best twin like a month ago and last week oh yeah and last week well they
- 24:42beat the shit out of them but still like well their best win was against the Broncos oh yeah yeah
- 24:51and that was like fucking like Labor Day that was so long yeah it was so long ago
- 24:58yeah um fraud bowl we'll see but this has the potential to be a really good game I think
- 25:08um Sean what are you taking in this in this matchup
- 25:14um well I want to run through my thought process for picking this
- 25:21Cowboys are terrible on the road they they're they're 10 and four they've lost all four on the road
- 25:30all four of them um Miami is pretty good is pretty great at home uh six in one record at home
- 25:41only loss is to the Titans on Monday night football um yeah suck it but two east divisional
- 25:52leading teams going head to head one off a blowout loss and one off a blowout win
- 25:58uh the Dolphins can clinch the AFC east if they win and the Cowboys can remain where they are
- 26:04which they honestly need to uh it's hard to really point out who wants it more
- 26:15and it's I'm not saying that like neither of these teams want like don't want to win
- 26:22but I think they it's just a really important game for both these teams and I think they keep it
- 26:33tight and close and this is going to sound super lame because on paper this game should rock
- 26:40but I am going under here neither of these teams have covered an over of 51 or higher in their last
- 26:4910 I think it just makes sense um and if I'm wrong if this goes over I won't be mad honestly I you
- 26:59can't you can't be mad at like a good game so if you bet on an under of a game that rocks and
- 27:06it goes under it's like cool but if it's actually like a awesome game it's like all right pretty
- 27:14worth it pretty worth the however much I put on it unless you're putting you know bands
- 27:21on shit but we're not putting bands on anything so yeah under uh under 50
- 27:31under 51 and a half will what you got um
- 27:38I didn't feel comfortable either way taking the total I understand
- 27:41your thought process with taking that under um definitely for sure um I think the cowboys are
- 27:52less fraudulent and I would agree uh it just the way that they win the their games is quite
- 28:04convincingly I I can't remember off the top of my head uh what if they've had a close win I don't
- 28:11know I can't remember um it feels like all those we have see hawks when was that was uh
- 28:20it was like three weeks ago three weeks ago oh yeah that's their only one though yeah I remember
- 28:28that um I would I would say yeah it's their only one so I think that the cowboys are less fraudulent
- 28:34their dogs by a point and a half I might as well just take the money line here I mean both of these
- 28:39teams really need it um but I think that the cowboys kind of needed a little more I feel like the
- 28:49NFC is a lot more competitive than the AFC um dolphins could lose this game and still end up
- 28:55winning the division um so I'm taking the cowboys here Chris what do you think so all year I my
- 29:06philosophy is taking cowboys at home against bad teams fade them on the road against good teams
- 29:12however that's changing this week cowboys money line all damn day uh yeah I have no faith in the
- 29:23dolphins their defense is has been terrible against good teams they've played three good teams I believe
- 29:29this year uh the Eagles the Chiefs and the Bills Eagles put up 31 Bills put up 48 Chiefs scored
- 29:38three touchdowns in the first half um I do not believe in this defense whatsoever I and I know
- 29:45Cowboys on the road it's whatever it's Miami this is not like a hostile environment they're going
- 29:50into there's gonna be a lot of Cowboys fans at this game yeah um the Cowboys are gonna win this game
- 29:56I think they could win this game by touchdown all right this is it's also a proven game um they saw
- 30:03the Eagles lose in pretty embarrassing fashion on Monday night football they smell blood in the
- 30:09water they they need they know they need dubs and I think they're gonna get one here I think they're
- 30:14gonna I think they're gonna win this one easily so Cowboys money line easy hell yes all right next
- 30:22game Monday night football Raven this is the the last Monday game uh Ravens at the Niners Niners are
- 30:32favored by five and a half here uh this game has the potential to rock uh it also kind of proves if
- 30:42if the Ravens can end up winning this game they're real it's at the point now if if anyone beats the
- 30:49Niners uh up until a couple weeks ago when they got healthy then they're real but that hasn't happened
- 30:55yet um so it's pretty up in the air how how uh how this game's gonna go I think the Ravens
- 31:04are probably the healthiest team come out of the AFC uh right now um the Chiefs are still pretty
- 31:10healthy uh but they do have Kaderius Tony and I hate him um that's abstracts a player yeah yeah um
- 31:19he might as well just be a regular guy uh so what what do we who wants to go first I don't want to
- 31:29go first I'll go first okay you want me to go first Chris okay go for it okay well it's one seed
- 31:39versus one seed Super Bowl preview perhaps I kind of do too this would be a cool Super Bowl um if not
- 31:51I think this is still the game of the season as it stands and on Christmas day oh what a miracle
- 32:03this is a Christmas miracle who needs a white Christmas we got this I mean Jesus Christ I didn't
- 32:12know where you're gonna go with that like snow I know I know that yeah yeah Jesus Christ when he
- 32:20was like it's a white Christmas I was like okay I was like what other color is he going to say
- 32:27a purple Christmas he's taking the Ravens that would be awesome
- 32:38but both teams are super white lava hot um for the same reason I'm taking the chargers I'm taking
- 32:45the Niners here interestingly enough the 49ers are five and one at home and the Ravens are five
- 32:53and one on the road but until someone stops them it's hard not to bet on the Niners they are 10 and
- 33:030 with nine double digit wins with when Trent Williams and Bebo Samuel are healthy um Ravens
- 33:13off a short week and traveling across the country I can see this stat going 11 and 0 49ers minus five
- 33:20um like we've just said potential Super Bowl preview Christmas day this game rocks I want it to rock
- 33:33give me the over let's have some fucking fun I will join you in that yeah let's just I know it's
- 33:40prime time I don't care let's have some fun I care either I that Ravens Jags game should have gone over
- 33:48the Jags left 13 at least 13 points on the field so two miss field goals and fumbling
- 33:55or and then fucking up at the end of the half like with that god awful clock management so
- 34:02the Ravens defense is not very good the Jags if they could finish the drive would have actually
- 34:11exposed them so and the night like both these teams can score the Niners defense is good not great
- 34:18it will okay they're great but they're not like otherworldly like teams can the Seahawks scored
- 34:25on them teams can score on them so give me 47 over 47 let's have some fun on Christmas night
- 34:32well what are you taking um barely a system play under 46 and a half but if this game rocks
- 34:42it's Christmas it's Christmas come on yeah it's Christmas and I'm gonna have fun
- 34:48it's gonna be like 1714 isn't it damn it have some fun it's Christmas I'm having fun I'm gonna
- 34:58bet it but I'm also gonna watch it and hope for nobody has nobody has ever had fun betting and
- 35:03under nobody nobody's ever had fun betting and over or wills wills a sicko he loves that shit
- 35:12I like winning bets I like having fun
- 35:20you can have fun I'm gonna win some bets
- 35:22um but I mean either way that this goes over under I think this game could definitely be awesome
- 35:33definite super bowl preview vibes if uh if both of those teams get there um okay well that's the
- 35:42slate um now let's go into our surefire picks of the week I guess I'll go ahead and start off
- 35:53it's the new england patriots at the broncos under 34 and a half this game is going to end
- 36:02probably three nothing I have zero faith in either of these teams scoring any points I think
- 36:09they're both defenses are competent I think they're you know they're they're competent they can
- 36:16they can stop the ball here and there I think that the new england offense is opportunistic
- 36:26but I think that the broncos defense is a lot better than what the new england offense can do
- 36:32I'm taking under 34 and a half there's a trend center play system play Sunday night football
- 36:37prime time unders since 2018 are 162 111 and four I'm surprised 111 of those games have gone over
- 36:48who have been honest it's like every can goes on yeah yeah I don't know when uh when the real tide
- 36:56turned when like the the overwhelming majority of monday night games um were uh started going under
- 37:06but feels like it's been like the last two or three years yeah this is this stat is just since 2018
- 37:13well I guess I could put in a more recent one but whatever under 34 and a half
- 37:19trend center play thank you to the great folks Chris how about you go how about you
- 37:25give me your surefire pick of the week happy to will um much like you I'm also rocking with our
- 37:33folks over at trend center with a little stat uh first of all surefire pick lions mass three and a
- 37:39half um since 2019 when the lions have won their previous game by six or more points the next game
- 37:48there are 11 and one against the spread they beat the living hell out of the broncos easily by six
- 37:54points or more um so yeah by is my three and a half um I that stat was just the cherry on top
- 38:02I was going to take this either way um just for every reason I said earlier if I can stink
- 38:08their season's done the lions are humming again so yeah lions mass three and a half
- 38:13let's make some money Sean what is your surefire double unit guaranteed not to lose better the week
- 38:20okay I may have the stinkiest game of the year it is the Arizona Cardinals versus the Chicago
- 38:34Bears in Chicago in late in late December on Christmas Eve I know you should be institutionalized
- 38:46if you're watching this game probably I'm probably not gonna watch this game um but yeah get get to
- 38:54the nut house if you're watching this game um but I am rocking with the Arizona Cardinals plus four
- 39:03let me tell you why Kyler Murray who we all hate but we can't we can't go against this stat okay
- 39:14he is 15 five and one against the spread in his career as an underdog on the road
- 39:24if that wasn't enough if that wasn't enough um I okay well
- 39:31I know let me let me let me finish let me finish I just try to be funny I
- 39:36implore you to download the trend center app using the code TMF
- 39:40T what's our code 3 TFTM TFTM yep um download the trend center app using our code and look at the
- 39:5211 plays in favor of the Cardinals all in favor of the Cardinals not a single one against the Bears
- 40:02if that doesn't scream surefire pick I don't know what does I've got this stat
- 40:10I've got our friends at trend center and unfortunately well not fortunately because
- 40:16I'm really rooting for him this week but we've got Kyler Murray our savior
- 40:26this will probably be some this will probably be some backdoor cover
- 40:30bullsh**t but you know wins a win take it as you will Arizona Cardinals plus four lock it in
- 40:40double unit hell yes only only thing that makes me nervous about this game
- 40:48both teams are fighting for a draft decision do I throw one really want to win this one
- 40:54oh good point I didn't really I mean that does I feel like if neither team wants to win then
- 41:05we'll probably get a close game so and players don't tank oh players no yeah so
- 41:14I mean I'm taking Cardinals either way because that was a phenomenal stat you read but
- 41:17this is almost the definition of a toilet bowl let me yes so okay are the
- 41:28so interestingly enough the Bears have not been mathematically eliminated from playoff
- 41:34contention as of yet in the hut baby in the hut that's so I think they might want to win this game
- 41:45sure but you know you know good teams don't win games great teams cover them so I'm sure
- 41:59Cardinals plus four love it oh yes okay well that's our surefire picks let's go into the rest of
- 42:06our cards um Sean you tell me the rest of your card okay hold on I was not prepared oh do you want
- 42:17me to go but I know I will I'm good now okay okay okay um I have the Indianapolis Colts
- 42:25money line against the Atlanta Falcons in Atlanta Colts are hot I don't think Arthur Smith knows which
- 42:36players to start at this point I think he's very confused he doesn't know what to do with a bad roster
- 42:45uh and the Colts just keep rolling out the same guys every week and if it ain't broke don't fix it
- 42:51uh the Falcons just stink I know they're so bad and guess what the Colts are dogs in this one so
- 43:02take it take it while you can uh when as soon as you see this just go ahead and bet Colts money line
- 43:10um I also have the the Mander's Jets under 37
- 43:14I feel like I don't need to really go into that one much uh this is as I'm looking at
- 43:22ESPN and the matchups um this is by far the lowest ticket uh price you can get into this uh
- 43:32Christmas Eve um I also have um Jag's money line against the Bucks
- 43:39I mean Baker looked pretty good in Lambo uh but Jags need to win Jags need to stay on top of the
- 43:53AFC South and just keep riding and hope that the Colts and the Texans can drop one um I also have
- 44:03the Raiders Chiefs over 41 uh this is like I don't know just uh these games get weird this is a
- 44:12divisional game I want to bet the under but this is one of those games that early Christmas day
- 44:21like let's just ball out let's just ball out and A. NoConnell is still you know trying to show off
- 44:28um Chiefs 10-point favorites don't love that but we're rocking with the over on that one
- 44:38and to round it all out uh 3 30 Christmas Day Giants Eagles under 42 and a half
- 44:49I think the Eagles are kind of not really feeling feeling it they're not
- 44:56not just in I don't know just under 42 and a half yeah I just under 42 and a half
- 45:07I don't really have anything else but that's just about it
- 45:13uh Will what you got okay uh before I get in my picks I did see an interesting uh
- 45:21uh interesting graphic on Instagram earlier today about the commanders and Jets game
- 45:29the Jets have the 32nd ranked offense and the commanders have the 32nd ranked defense
- 45:40so this is a very this is a stoppable force against a a movable object
- 45:47is that immovable immovable no this is the opposite of that oh it's like oh oh yeah yeah
- 45:55okay this is a stoppable force okay meeting a movable object that's good okay I saw that okay
- 46:03okay okay okay I'm with you now so I wasn't sure whether to take the over or the under in that game
- 46:10so this is just a pure trend center system play of just the under 37 take it if there's
- 46:19a total that's 37 or lower just take it it's it's bound to hit at some point
- 46:28for sure um okay get into my picks I'm gonna add Cardinals plus four um very convincing stat
- 46:34um I'm also gonna take the Browns minus two and a half against the Texans um Flacco's back
- 46:43Flacco is elite and who who started for the Texans again Casey Kenham yeah
- 46:51Casey Kenham he can't have two good games in a row and he didn't even play that good
- 46:56so and the Browns they're they're hot right now Joe Flacco he's gonna have 300 yards
- 47:05two touchdowns three interceptions it's gonna be awesome it's gonna be this game is gonna be low
- 47:12key awesome it's yeah it's Deshaun Watson washed is he done uh he had a seasoning injury but I know
- 47:23I know but is he like a respectable starting quarterback moving forward no but he's gonna
- 47:31play because they're giving him 200 million dollars that's such a Browns move I love it
- 47:38haslam what I hate to see it hate to just great guys haslam and Watson really respectable members
- 47:49of the community I hope he's still not trying to buy the the national predators he already did oh
- 47:58shit yeah he's already like I think he's he's very close to being majority I think he has to
- 48:06be buy pieces of it for each year or something I completely miss that somehow yeah that is not okay
- 48:15okay no yeah but I do not like that at all I would just let him ruin another one of my favorite
- 48:21teams it's fine that's what yeah well okay moving on I am going against Sean here and I'm going to
- 48:33take the Bucks minus one and a half it's very true the Jags do need to win this game but the Bucks
- 48:40are hot they're they're the frisky team they're they're when they make the play because they're
- 48:45gonna win the division when they make the playoffs yeah they're gonna it depends on tomorrow depends
- 48:52on tomorrow yeah or today with the Saints rams rams gonna dominate that they are they are but
- 49:01the Saints are precious it's still it still depends well you're right you're right you're right um
- 49:08I but I think that the Bucks are gonna win the division um Baker's hot right now they're humming
- 49:15um they're they're gonna be the team that no one wants to play there or they're gonna be the
- 49:22frisky team they're not gonna be the team that no one wants to play they're gonna be the frisky team
- 49:26that either wins a game in the playoffs or puts up a big-ass fight um Jags are sliding right now
- 49:35they're sliding right now and this is a perfect spot for the Jags to slide and for the Coles to
- 49:41get one more notch um because I think that would be hilarious and that's chaos and I love chaos so
- 49:49that's my card that's what I mean I will I will say just since you're going against me and we're
- 49:55having a friendly debate here uh the Jags have been sliding yeah I don't know I don't they they've
- 50:03been sliding they they gotta they gotta even out at some point yeah and what what what better opponent
- 50:14than an opponent from the NFC south to do it against I mean we are just saying this is the
- 50:21Jackson O'Jack Wars like yeah you're right synonymous with suck so enough said enough said
- 50:28yeah that's my card Chris what do you got all right we'll start out with a fun one
- 50:35Browns minus two and a half Joe Flacco baby I'm gonna say a sentence that might not have ever
- 50:43been said in human history the Cleveland Browns are fun this is a fun team I don't think anybody's
- 50:50ever said that I don't either Joe Flacco and the Cleveland Browns are a fun football team
- 50:56um so Browns minus two and a half all day CJ Stroud still uh got a little uh knocked up in the head
- 51:04so uh Browns minus two and a half then uh who followed up with the stinky one Patriots plus
- 51:11six and a half against the different Broncos I agree with you will I think it's gonna be very low
- 51:16scoring game so that favors the under especially when it's almost a touchdown um I think the Broncos
- 51:23they're kind of falling back into the pre winning streak form so Patriots do have a good defense
- 51:29give me plus six and a half Fane you Sean Falcons money line um this line makes no sense why are
- 51:39the Falcons favored like in a in a NFL game so they I mean kind of goes into my point they are
- 51:51very good at home um this line makes no sense that's why I'm taking it and also Taylor Honecky's
- 51:58back so give me Falcons money line Raiders plus 10 just because chiefs with a big number I
- 52:07chiefs win the skin by seven um and then we'll round it out Buccaneers money line against the
- 52:14Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence still in concussion protocol so they might be rolling with
- 52:20chase bethard so who yep exactly that one guy I think that's his first name chase it's his last
- 52:31name is better I thought it was CJ I think they signed someone named CJ well that's the Jacksonville
- 52:40Jaguars for you don't know who the fuck is on your team yeah so I know who's starting correct
- 52:47for the 10-foot Buccaneers it's bigger fucking mayfield it's CJ bethard CJ chase yep maybe the
- 52:53maybe the C stands for chase maybe it probably doesn't but give me bucks money line all day
- 53:01they are hot and the Jags like we've just said Jags are sliding potentially no Trevor Lawrence
- 53:06so Buccaneers money line and then like I said added Lions team total over 25 and a half cards
- 53:12plus four and a half and that's the card let's make some money hell yes hopefully this week
- 53:20will be a lot better than last week it for me personally um for all of us for all of us actually
- 53:27you know we could always be better um nobody's gone undefeated and won all their bets except for
- 53:33me that one time this year in college football but that wasn't on the show so doesn't count
- 53:38it doesn't count I lost it all anyway um okay uh we have anything have any hot takes
- 53:52um oh I don't maybe hold on let's see something Sean's cooking yeah I'm cooking he's a take machine
- 54:06all right let's go NFC okay out of these wildcard teams who do you think actually makes it in
- 54:22who is who have not been eliminated from playoff contention um not counting divisional winners
- 54:29the Vikings the Rams the Seahawks the Saints the Falcons the Panthers the Giants or the Bears
- 54:40who do you think makes it into the six and seven slot which two teams do you think makes it into
- 54:46the six and seven slot of the playoff picture for the NFC what sure shitting the Panthers
- 54:52interesting and Lee and not I didn't say the Panthers did you not I thought you
- 55:00know pretty sure you did Packers I think you said Panthers I said Panthers roll the table
- 55:10um what are well well Packers if you said Packers um I don't think that uh probably either the Rams
- 55:18or the Seahawks yeah those teams are pretty pretty hot right now actually yeah so Vikings
- 55:24currently sitting at six are out what's the rest don't they still have to play the Lions twice
- 55:35yeah they do they do have to play the Lions uh twice that'll probably hurt um I assume they
- 55:42lose both those games uh they are at six I just think bad quarterback I think they'll fall off
- 55:52can their math ever is playing really really well the Rams and Seahawks can both make it correct
- 55:57they can yeah I'll get I think the Rams and Seahawks both make it Packers are fringe out I think
- 56:06they'll be right there I think the Packers will
- 56:08yeah Packers are
- 56:16they're really close surprisingly the Falcons are ahead of them in the in the standings but
- 56:22that is bonkers to me well just out of head head to head win percentage that's what it like came
- 56:31down to like it's literally like just like the the last thing they can measure so it is it is kind
- 56:41of surprising but um I think the AFC has a little more questionability to it out of the
- 56:52remaining teams that have not been eliminated from the playoffs is the Bengals the Colts the Texans
- 56:59the Bills the Steelers the Broncos the Raiders or the Chargers
- 57:10hmm I think I think that the Broncos have the ability to make the playoffs I just don't think
- 57:18they will I would say you're correct yeah um are the Jags leading the the south right now yeah
- 57:29yep but Indy and uh they are completely tied it all three all three teams besides the Titans
- 57:38are eight and six that makes me sad um yeah so Jags could miss the playoffs I got a feeling
- 57:47the Colts might might win that division I'm kind of feeling that too like I mean especially if
- 57:55Lawrence doesn't play this week and Stroud I'm pretty I don't know if it's been 100 confirmed but
- 58:01definitely doesn't look like he's gonna play well it's it's crazy that you know
- 58:09you know Lawrence goes out Stroud goes out Anthony Richardson's been out since like week five
- 58:16yeah and that helps honestly yeah like get them rep get men's shoe reps yeah
- 58:22yeah of course it doesn't help the Colts that uh Michael Pittman had is it was decapitated last
- 58:28week that's oh yeah that was gross that was ridiculous a clothesline
- 58:38you see that that guy got suspended I forgot his name for the rest of the season yeah because he's
- 58:42been fine like he's been fine like six times all right for like that kind of shit just terrible hits
- 58:49that's fucking crazy dude all right well let's let's say the Colts win the division right yeah
- 59:01Buffalo is sitting two two spots out of the playoff picture do they get in
- 59:10I think the bill is gonna win that division I think they get in at least I think that one
- 59:17I think it's very possible that they won the division I mean the Dolphins have two games on them
- 59:23but I think that I think they're gonna lose this week the Dolphins and I don't know what their other
- 59:28game is but then they play each other the last game the bills have a pretty easy schedule if my
- 59:33memory memory serves me correctly um yeah because they have a cupcake they have the chargers they're
- 59:40gonna win that one um I and I think I think the bills will beat them and week 18 so yeah I think
- 59:49the bills won't activate me you might be right because uh obviously the the Dolphins play Dallas
- 59:55then they go to they go to Baltimore oh yeah that's right yeah they're on new on New Year's Eve
- 1:00:03oh what a gift oh my gosh bless these schedule makers bless these schedule makers and then yeah uh
- 1:00:13January 7th in Buffalo bills those are the ones that came out too fast yeah it's a cold game
- 1:00:23interesting they beat them by like 30 in Miami so I well I think the bills are winning that division
- 1:00:31if that's the case then I would probably say the dolphins definitely still get in oh yeah
- 1:00:40bills and dolphins are both in and Indy's still in if the browns remain hot they can kick Jacksonville
- 1:00:51out and um I don't know I think since he could make a playoff run or not a you know not a run but
- 1:01:03they could they could get in yeah so I can see that I love this time of year it's the best it's
- 1:01:12the best but the worst because it's just so it it's almost over but also yeah just like all the
- 1:01:20analytics and the stats all the things that happen for all the things that happen yes I I love this
- 1:01:27shit let it sell like a month and a half of NFL though so it's not like there's only like two more
- 1:01:33games like I have a month and a half until the Super Bowl but we're getting to the point where we are
- 1:01:38and hey I mean yeah it's gonna feel like in two seconds that it's gonna be the Super Bowl which
- 1:01:46that's also awesome but yeah every game from here on it's like every big game matters so it's not like
- 1:01:55I guess this Sunday night is an outlier because we got the Broncos and the fucking Patriots but
- 1:02:03I think does that Sunday night yeah so yeah other than that every every big game matters
- 1:02:09Jesus Christ what are we doing yeah I don't know how that hasn't been flexed yet
- 1:02:13but good to be um all right well uh let's uh let's wrap it up okay uh thank you so much for
- 1:02:22listening and watching um please like comment subscribe really helps us out um check out the
- 1:02:28link in our bio for a free two week premium trial on trend center uh best tool for gambling research
- 1:02:37it's it helped me triple my bankroll over the summer betting on baseball I don't I kind of can't
- 1:02:42wait for baseball to come back just because what that's a weird thing to say in December
- 1:02:51yeah but just like definitely not a baseball fan yeah we we we just got out of it will like
- 1:03:00like these stats are great we just escaped from it I don't think I ever here will say I can't wait
- 1:03:07for baseball in December no less almost January my bankroll back that's what I need to do that's
- 1:03:17what I'm doing um sure but uh that is the only reason um but yes follow us on everything link
- 1:03:27is in the bio check out trend center great tool um yeah okay we'll see y'all next week there's three
- 1:03:36of us now let's make some money