Why Making a High Stakes Decision is the Difference Between Success and Disaster
In this episode of Commander’s Intent, Derek Oaks and former senior diplomat Bart Marcois break down how high-stakes leaders make decisions knowing they’ll be second-guessed. Using the 2003 Iraq invasion as a case study, they explore confirmation bias, imperfect intelligence, and the reality that leaders rarely get “good” options—only necessary ones. This conversation challenges listeners to rethink decision-making under pressure and focus on intent, clarity, and accountability when the cost of hesitation is even higher than the risk of action.
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