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Unpredictable; War Updates; Ukraine; DHS; Fraud; Anthropic; Housing; Artemis | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: A lot of undamental principles of lead, the rational self
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: interest and an individual. Last, this is the show. Oh right, everybody,
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: welcome to you one Brook show on this Uh what
• 0:25
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• 0:29
  Speaker 1: final day of March. So it's the thirty first and epe,
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: so welcome. We will be covering the news so today,
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: of course, I will be taking your questions. How long
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the show goes depends on how many questions you guys have,
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: So the super chat is officially open open.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: We do have a monthly goal.
• 0:56
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• 1:06
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• 1:12
  Speaker 1: Give me a second almost all right, okay, all right,
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: So yes, we have a monthly goal. This is the
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  Speaker 1: reached the month or end of the month or not.
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• 1:34
  Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about what we talk about every
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: day these days. We'll start with talking about the war
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: and in this case just the you know when, when
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: one argument that was made to me about the superiority
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: of Trump to other candidates. It was a fun policy argument,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: and the idea was.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: Trump is completely unpredictable.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: It's impossible to know what he will do, and that
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: actually keeps out enemies in check. They're so afraid of
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: how crazy he is and what he might do that
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: they behave themselves. And it was presented as this unpredictability,
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: this perception of he's a crazy man, you never know.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: It was as a as a positive, as a as
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: an asset or something that that will reduce friction and
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: will put out enemies and our opponents in their place,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: because yeah, they don't know well.
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, Trump has.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: Lived up to the unpredictability, particularly in this Iran war.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: I mean every day he says something different, every day
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: he flips, every day he presents something completely new. I
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: mean just yesterday, the day before yesterday, I was reading
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: you where he said, if the Ranians don't open up
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: the states and Foremos, if they don't kind of deal
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: with me, I will destroy the place. I will.
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: I will destroy every.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Off field, every you know, every pop plant. I will
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: even the desalination plans. I might go after those. I
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: read you the thing from from a statement right, I
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: demand that they agree to the peace tale and they
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: open up the streets and hoemos, and every day they don't.
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: Any day, I'm gonna just destroy everything. Okay, sounded tough.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: I like that. That's the that's the kind of stuff
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: we want to hear.
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Tough guy.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: Right. Then the next day he comes back and says,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't know, maybe maybe we're just gonna leave.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Like we've won already, We've achieved all our goals. We're
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: just gonna leave. And almost straits is not problem. I mean,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: here's here's one of these, Like he has several of these,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: but here's one that came out today, right today, seven
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: seven in the morning. All of those countries that can't
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: get jet fuel because of the straits of homos, like
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: the United Kingdom, which refused us to get involved in
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: the decapitation of Iran. I have a suggestion for you.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Number one, buy from the US we have plenty, and
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: number two, build up some delayed courage, go to the street.
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: And just take it.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: You'll have to start learning how to fight for yourself.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: The essay won't be there to help you anymore, just
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: like we want you want there for us Iran has
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: been essentially decimated. The hort part is done. Go get
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: your own oil, your own oil. In others, We're not
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. We're not not going to open up
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: the streets of homos. We're gonna leave it to you guys.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: You guys do it. We've done up it, We've done
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: what we're supposed to do. We're not we're not really
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: interested in doing anything more. It's up to it's up
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: to these other countries. He's also put out stuff explicitly
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: saying we're just going to leave. Who are just going
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: to leave?
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: Now?
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: The Ranians have no idea what to do with this. Now,
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: if the theory of downpredictability causes people to then they
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: would just walk away, right, they would just the Ranians
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: would just say, oh my god, we don't know what
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Trump would do. Maybe you'll nucas, maybe you'll destroyer oil,
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: maybe we'll destroy everything. We better capitulate, we'll sign the
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: deal or dotted line, where's the dotted line? Trump, and
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: we'll open up the states of almost and immediately does
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: seem like that's what they're doing. I mean, if anything,
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: they're viewing this as a weakness as as massive weakness
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: on the part of Trump. It could be it's possible
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: the United States leaves and leaves them the Ranians in
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: control of the Homos Straits and with a with a
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: grip like a grip on a chokehold, that's the word.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: It was, looking for, a choke hold on.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: The survive oil to the world forever.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: Let the UEE and the Saudis try to break it,
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: because you know, that's it. And this will be an
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: amazing way for them to generate funds, to generate income
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: so they can rebuild everything that's being destroyed. They're not
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: going to use that income for the people. They use
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: enough for the comfort for the people to keep them,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: to keep them happy.
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: Enough so that they don't rebel.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: But other than that, they're not going to spend any
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: on infrastructure they haven't in the past, thus spend it
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: on military rebuild and we'll just have to do all
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: this all over again in a few years. And it's
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: just going to get tougher. It's just going to get
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: more difficult. We're right on the precipice are being able
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: to win this. We are on the press of basically
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: destroying the Anian regime, of getting real regime change.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: We'll get to regime change and ren real.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Regime change if the United States follows through, if it
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: opens up the streets and foremos, if they continue to
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: bomb like the economic and military assets of the Indian regime,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: the regime will fall. It has no it has nothing
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: at that point, and the regime will have failed.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: No almost states will be open.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: They will have been devastated, they will have failed, they
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: will have lost. I mean, one of their essentials to
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: victory is that the vanquished know.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: That they have been vanquished.
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: As long as the straits of Homos are closed by
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: the Ranians, they don't know they've been vanquished. Now there's
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: some people in Iran who you know, want to get
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: out of this.
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: They realize, you know, this is.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: A for them, This is an absolute disaster. Homos streets
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: are not This is a disaster, and they like they
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: would like out certainly the president of you on Paza
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: Skian something like that. He says, Yuan's ready to end
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: the war with the US, but once certain guarantees. But
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: nobody cares about what he thinks. Nobody cares about what
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: he thinks. I mean, he apologized the Gulf States for
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: tecking them and said they wouldn't do that anymore, and
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: he got shut down by the GC and the attacks continued.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: So really nobody cares about what he thinks. The reality
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: is that the MULAS and the IRGC, they can't afforde
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: a deal, not a meaningful one, and as long as
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: they have that choke hold, they are not going anywhere.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: They're not going anywhere. So it really does as I said,
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: from the beginning of the war, and certainly since week
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: one of the war, this boils down to straight So homos,
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: I feel like a break broken record. I keep saying
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: the same thing over and over again, but you got
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: to say it right, you got to say it. So, Yes,
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Robert is suffering from wolf fatigue. What's up? God? Wolf fatigue?
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: Think what was a bad thing or something?
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: It is?
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: And it is I've got wolf fatigue. Two, let's just
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: win it and get this over with. Win it and
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: get it over with. Trump also tweeted today the country
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: of France wouldn't let planes headed to Israel loaded up
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: with military supplies fly over French territory. Fans has been
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: very unhelpful all caps with respect to the butcher of Iran,
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: who has been successfully eliminated the USA will remember, so
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: Fance is on his list as well as the UK.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Israel announced today that they will stop selling weapons to
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: France and buying weapons from Frans. They are basically cutting off,
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: you know, weapon trade with the French. I think the
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: French lose more than the Israelis on that one, so
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Israel's not happy with the French. I also note that Italy,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Italy prevented US planes from landing in an Italian military
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: base because they were heading towards the Middle East.
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: That is pretty.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: Stunning given Maloney is Trump's ally, and Maloney is like
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: on the right. She has also come out and condemned
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Israel and lashed out at Israel. So something's happened. She
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: was super friendly to Israel not that long ago. Something
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: has happened there that has shifted Maloney to being very
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: anti Israel. I expect the European Union to become more
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: anti Israel, and I also expect, I mean, all indications
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: are that the US is you know, drifting away from NATO,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: and basically the US is saying we're not gonna come
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: and help you, We're not gonna we don't want to
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: be involved. It'll be interesting to see once this war
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: is over, whether the US puts a formal plan to
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: actually to actually separate from NATO, to leave NATO, I
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised at all.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: It's going to be.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: It's going to be really interesting to see how that develops,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: and of course what consequences that has for Russia. In
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: the meantime, the Ukrainians are cutting deals with the Saudi Is,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: the oe Quait Katau in order to supply them at
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: defense systems and or to supply them drone systems. The
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: Americans are not happy with that. They feel like, again
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: the Ukrainians have gone behind their back. I'll give you
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: another example late of something Trump is not going to
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: be happy with at all. So Ukraine has become, i mean,
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of more central to European defense and
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: to maybe global defense. It'll be interesting to see what
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: NATO looks like if this happens without the United States,
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: and whether that is even that is even viable. Okay,
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: give me one second. In the meantime, if you remember,
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: Trump the other day said that he's talking to the
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: new regime, much more moderate, much more reasonable, much better
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: new regime. Heg sith today again said he said that
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: regime change has occurred, so now they're claiming they've also
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: achieved regime changed. Now, I guess if you consider what
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: happened in Venezuela regime change, then this is kind of
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: regime change. But the big differences between this and Venezuela
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: is in Venezuela it was just one thug replaced by
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: another thug. No real ideology there, particularly not the new
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: president of Venezuela. She's just trying to steal as much
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: money as she can, so she is quite happy to
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: deal with Americans as long as the Americans make it
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: possible for to steal even more money, which they are
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: by resurrecting the oil industry, which I'm sure she's getting
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: a big cutoff of the just resurrecting. But the differences
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: that in Iran they're not interested in working with the
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: United States.
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: They're not only interested.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: In beefing up their bank accounts, so though I'm sure
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: they are that as well. They are ideological. It's a
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: religious cult. They are dedicated the destruction of state of
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: visual to harassing the United States at every opportunity. This
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: is not optional for them. So yes, you replaced one
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: leader with another. No regime change. You replaced one leader
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: of the IOLOGC with another, but the regime has not changed.
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: I mean it might be that right now the balance.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: Of power within Iran has shifted from the Mullahs to
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: the GC, but the IOLOGC is still quite ideological, particularly
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: at the top.
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: There's no regime change in Iran.
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is literally this administration, the Trump administration,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: placing their wish above reality. It's an absolutely one hundred
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: percent privacy of consciousness they sit, so this is what
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: they want. I mean Trump did it the other day,
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: HEC says, is not solidifying it. I mean, I don't
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: think you'll hear this from Rubio yet. Rubio is still
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: the one person with an administration arguing for let's really
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: get regime change and let's let's see this through. So
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: he might be holding out, but ultimately, if this is
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: what Trump wants, Rubyo will also starts saying, Yep, we.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: Achieved regime change. We did everything we wanted.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: This is just what is Enriix saygim reshuffle, stay out
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: of it. Well, and if we stay out of it,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: then we're not going to get targeted. Well, the French
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: and the Brits and the Europeans continue to get attacked anyway,
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: that was that was two CTV that came up, passed
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: the wrong buck and they came up. I wonder what
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: they're thinking in terms of, you know, success in regime change.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: And I wonder what they're thinking when they see Trump
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: flip flop, flip flop, flip flop, flip flop, flip flop.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: I wonder what the di Indanians that outside Iran think
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: about all that and uh and and how.
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: They how they integrated.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: They obviously have a lot more at stake than I
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: do in seeing this through and in seeing a victory,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: and it's seeing true real regime change, and it might
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: must not be easy for them to watch the you know,
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: the way this administration is behaving and again the flip
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: flopping that is actually that is actually happening. All right,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: let's see what else do we want to update you about?
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: Uh here, I mean, Natania is not sharing in this
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: regime change mythology. Antonio give a talk, a statement to
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: the media about Iran a few minutes I guess a
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: few minutes ago, yeah, about an hour ago. I mean,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: he basically says, look, this regime has not fallen yet.
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: But they will, you know they will.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: And he's saying that the regime is destined to fall
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: sooner or later. But Natagniello and the Israelius are not
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: under any illusion, delusion, delusion. All that, you know, the
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: regime is already is already done. Neither by the way,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: the Gulf States, at least the UAE and Saudi Arabia,
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: you know, actively supposedly behind the scenes, actively urging the
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Trump administration to finish this off, to win this, to
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: do as necessary, And both countries have offered to help
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: open the straits, and so far Trump seems to be
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: ignoring them. Now again, maybe in the background all this
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: is being planned. Maybe is full plops are just a
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: part of his for D chess. Although you don't see
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: many people anymore, maybe I'm just not exposed to it.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: You don't see many people anymore talking about Trump's four
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: D chess. Maybe you guys do, but I don't see
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: them doing that anyway. One of the things that Natanillo
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: is implying is that at the end of this at
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: the end of this war, that the israel is going
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: to be part of some significant new alliances in the region.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: I think this is indicative of the fact that Nicaneo
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: is expecting and maybe have some indications that this would happen,
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: but it is at least expecting.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: A peace deal with Saudi Arabia. I don't know who else.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: Lebanon, of course, but Lebanon, you know, it's gonna be
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: a while, and it's not that important. Which really important
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: is the Saudis. And I think he's really expecting a
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: deal with the Saudis. I'm not sure who else. Israel
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: already has relations with you Ae and I think Bahrain,
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: so I'm not sure who else, but certainly the Saudis
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: would be huge. And Nintano emphasized a couple of times
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: in his talk, I hope I can tell you about
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: important alliances soon. And again I expect that the Saudis.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: It makes sense. For Saudi Arabia it makes sense as well.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: He's also talking about that at the end of the war,
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: expect to see the Saudis build that pipeline from the
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: oil fields in Saudi Arabia to an Israeli port for export. Now,
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: I personally don't think that's going to happen. I think
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: it would be amazing. I think it makes sense. I
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: think the Americans and everybody else should be advocating for it.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: But I just wonder how to what extent the Saudis
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: want to be dependent on Israel for their ability to
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: export oil. I don't know. Maybe it'll happen, maybe maybe
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll figure it out, maybe they'll see this as
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: as right. But I'm skeptical. But it would be amazing
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: a pipeline the skip not only over the Straits of Homos,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: but the straits that the Hoodi's control and the Swiss
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: canal cut them all out and took it directly to
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Hypha somewhere where it's directly loaded up to tankers that
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: can delivered Europe. Just like that. That would be amazing.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Imagine a gas pipeline from the gas fields in a
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Kato or the Ue or Saudi directly to Israel or
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: to Egypt, and then from Egypt by LNNG to Europe.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could see a lot of opportunities here
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: that just get around the chokeholds. Assuming there's no regime
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: changing in youon, because there's a regame change in Huron,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: none of this is necessary now, I will say this,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: even if there's regime change in Iran. The one hundred
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: and fifty THOUSANDGC members, one hundred and fifty thousand ISOs killed,
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: about five and about twenty thousand injured. There's still about
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty five thousand of them. Do they
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: all go quietly into the night. Do they develop an
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: insurgency against whatever the new regime is in Iran? What
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: exactly is you know happens in Iran after the fact
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: is is massively hard to tell. Anyway, The American administration
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: flip flopping all over the place, sending mixed messages to everybody,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: confusing itself and its allies. Israel's basically moving forward as
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: if this war is going to continue for quite a while.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Israel has announced that it has bea that by tomorrow, Yes, tomorrow,
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: tomorrow is passover. Tomorrow night is the say there. The
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: big passover dinner is tomorrow night. And Israel's announced that
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: by tomorrow night it will have completed all its tier
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: one and Tier two targets, that is, all the vital
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: assets of the Iran's military industry industries will be attacked,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: every single one of them. Now, says Ivan's defense industry
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: is extensive and there are large number of military entities
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: and private companies that are involved in the production of
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: weapons systems, including ballistic missiles in defense, naval weapons, cyber capabilities,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: and even spy satellites. ISEL says that all key centers
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: use for the development of weapons that ISEL considers a
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: threat to itself will be targeted and attacked by you know,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: by the end of the day tomorrow. That will constitute
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: about seventy to ninety percent of Uan's military production industry.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: There are other less significant military centers that they can
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: deal with after the holiday, I guess or after Wednesday,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: and you know they are Israel is preparing itself for
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: possible a few more weeks of conflict than Ian. The
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: Jueli Army announced that it will continue its attacks against evans,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: ballistic missile launchers, a defense systems, military commanders, and targets
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: like that, and that it will do so indefinitely at
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: least until Trump declares a cease fire or whatever he declares.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: Or peace in our time. You remember when he declared.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: When the Gaza Deal was signed, he had brought peace
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: to the Middle East in the first time in thirty
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: five hundred years. There was peace now in the Middle East.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: Didn't last very long. This piece that he had brought
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: to the Middle East didn't last long at all.
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: It's again, Trump is.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: Bombastic and ridiculous and emotionalistic and not very strategic. And
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: again I will emphasize that the evidence of him is
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: not being strategic. The unequivocal evidence he's not strategic is
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: the fact that the Homo straits is still are closed
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: in spite of the fact that the war has been
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: going on now for over four weeks, and we know
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: that the military has plans to open up the the
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: the the states of Homos, but those plans will not
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: be implemented and the assets were not there because Trump
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: ignored it. Yes, he's a childish and he's also not
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: very smart and a lot of other things. All right.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: I do think that if this continues, I've said this before,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: if it's only the estates continues, particularly hooting the industrial
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: base of Iran continue to continue to hoot, hurts the
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: you know, industry and the the Uranian economy, this regime
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: will not survive. If you remember, the demonstrations in January
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: to Loge extent were about the economy. It was started
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: in the bazaar. Well, the economy has only gotten worse.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: An economy will have a hard time recovery unless, and
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: this is possible, unless Trump cuts a deal where all
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: sancss are lifted and they can have all they can,
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: all the oil and gas they want, because hey, we've
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: got a new regime. It's regime change.
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: So it really it's hard to tell.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: But if this continues, and if anything, we actually choke,
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, imagine opening the straits of Formos for everyone
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: except the Ranians. Imagine they do that. Yeah, that would
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: be amazing, That would be amazing. That would relieve a
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: lot of the energy problems out there in the world
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: and cut off the Uranians of funds, and the regene
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: will fall. But it's exactly what Trump won't do. It
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like he's willing to do. We will, We
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: will see. D Willis says Huber traveled to Saudi Arabia
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: to denounce the Ukrainian defense deal.
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: I think he did that.
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: Viya Zumo did he actually traveled to Saudi Arabia. I'm
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: not sure, but he did condemn the Saudi's Ukrainian defense deal.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: And I think.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: That the crowd the Saudi conference might have had something
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: to say about kissing somebody's ass, and maybe maybe he
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: should be treated with a little bit more dignity than that.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: Maybe I don't know, maybe.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: He would say that God, all right, let's see it.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: Or continues to take out IRGC commanders all kind of levels.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: There's a whole list that's being produced. None of the
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: top echelon since they had of the IOGC Navy, none
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: of the top achal to be taken out. I'm still
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: hoping they can take out the head of the IRGC
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: and the head of the kuds force. Those are the
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: two main people that need to be taken out. It
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: wouldn't be bad to get to speak of the house
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: and maybe comingis son if he's even conscious. But yes,
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: there's a bunch of people that are still being taken
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: out systematically, in more of the mid level ir GC.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: But all is getting a lot of its intelligence about
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: where they are, where they live, and what they.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: Do from the Indian people.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: The Masada has basically put out there, you know, let
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: us know, let us know where they are.
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: If you know where an il GC.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: Person is, let us know, we will take them up,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: will track them, will take them out. All right? What
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: else they want to say about the war, because I
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: know you guys have war fatigue, or at least at
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: least Robert has war fatigue. So what else do I
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: want to say?
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the regime is worried.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: And one of the ways you can see the regime
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: is worried and this is tragic, is they are they
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: are seeking they're seeking dissidents out.
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: They're hunting them down in the streets.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: They're resting, mass arrests in Tehran and other cities.
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: They're executing.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: There have been several public executions while all this is
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: going on.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: The regime is executing people. I remember, this is the
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: new regime, the regime change.
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: This is the regime that Trump likes, and that I
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: don't know if these are the same people who promised
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: them not to execute anybody, but they're executing dissidents. They
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: are worried that once the war's over, there'll be demonstrations
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: again and they'll go after them.
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: H and they're trying to they're.
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: Trying to soften the space in a sense by you know,
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: by taking out anybody who they suspect might be able
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: to lead that there's some kind of emerging threat in
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia, Americans are asked to shelter in place. As
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: a consequence, all right.
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's what tony.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: Yesterday Trump posted this video of a massive explosion and
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: fire just outside of Istafan, you know, in Iran and Isfahan,
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: and it looks like what was struck with the bunker
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: busting bombs from the United States. It looks like they
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: actually got through to one of these ballistic missile underground
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: cities and you know, so they hit it with a
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: buck up bug cabusting bomb, igniting hopefully everything that was inside.
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: And the thing was just a massive explosion and fire
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: and it looks like almost a nuke because it had
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: this big mushroom shape, mushroom cloud shape.
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: It was pretty impressive.
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: Uh. And as a consequence, yeah, Trump even Trump tweeted
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: it out that this what you know, the extent of
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: this of this explosion, Yeah, I mean Trump's and it's
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: a always said postpart plans include energy and economic corporational
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia, including pipelines, the bipprises, the Strait of home Woes.
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: There's there's actually a map of the pipeline which would
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: carry oil and oil at least from from you know,
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: Oi fields in the Persian Gulf, from oil fields in Qatar.
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Although it's hard to believe Kata would join in uh
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: in the UAE and and or fleets in Saudi Arabia
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: and maybe even oil fields in Iraq or too, you know,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: some ports in southern Israel. You know, maybe this this
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: is Nashville and port. Maybe what they can do, here's
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: here's a here's an economic development opportunity. What they could
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: do is they can build an oil export terminal in
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: in what we now could call New Gaza in in
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: in the territory of New Gaza as part of the redevelopment,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: and then the Gazans will blow it up every a
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: few weeks. But no, this the map I'm seeing is
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: to is to Ashkelon, which is in the south of Israel.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: All right, let's see what else do we have? Yeah,
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: I mean there's also like a side wall going on
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: in Iraq where the United States is trying to you know,
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: destroy as much as they can the Iraqi Shiite, the
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: Iraqi Iranian affiliated milicious. This is again going to be
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: very difficult, the thousands of them. It's how to kill
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: them all. You can decapitate them. New people just arise,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: and the problem is that Iran can bring them in
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: to help. And there's already stories about the Iranians bringing
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: in the Sheite malicious from Iraq into Iran to suppress
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: domestic opposition, to do the shooting in the streets.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: Again.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: I'm really hopeful that what happens is that you know,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: Israel puts drones up in the air in the major
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: cities in Iran, and it basically kills the killers, kills
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: the people trying to kill their own citizens. I think
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: it's in Israel's interest to try and do that. All right,
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: quick update on Lebanon. Uh, we talked about this yesterday,
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: but but the battle they continues. Is it took four
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: casualties yesterday, you know, in one special up unit. So
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: four uh, you know, four soldiers were killed. Not exactly
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: it was what was going on, but it looks like
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: some kind of ambush. Uh. It's a unit my nephew's in.
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: So it was like it was a little personal and
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: it was a little worrisome. He's fine, but I had
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: to quickly text my sister and find out that he
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: was okay. But it is the same unit. So so
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: that's uh, that's uh, you know, scary scary stuff anyway,
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: is all. It continues to try to occupy the entire
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: south of Lebanon and to control it. Uh. You know,
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: the Lebanese government still makes noises about anti Ron, but
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: whether it does anything really hard to tell. Anyway, that's
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: nothing really really new in Lebanon other than yeah they can.
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: Fighting continues and will continue for a long time. And
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: what you know the danger of it, of course, it
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: is well occupying a lot of land and southern Lebanon
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: is you get a local insurgency. This is why they
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: vacated whole villages. They're flattening whole villages. I don't know
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: if you've seen these, but sheeered villages, villages affiliated with
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: his Ballah. Every house is just flattened. They're just flattening
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: the whole place. So I think the goal is to
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: make at least until there's some kind of deal with Lebanon,
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: to make this area inhospitable to the anybody affiliate with
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: his be Llah. So it's it's going to be pretty
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: uh pretty budo. One final point, just I find this
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: entertaining funny. I don't know, Israel has a PR problem,
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: and it has a big PR problem on the right,
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: and there's all these people who hate Israel on the right,
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: and Tucker Corson keeps blaming Israel for uh, you know, for.
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: Uh what do you call it, keeps blaming Israel for
• 37:17
  Speaker 3: discriminating Christians and killing Christians and new Bank for Christians
• 37:20
  Speaker 3: and Jews, you know, all this stuff.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: Right, And so Natona how comes out today? Maybe this
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: is actually yesterday, It comes out yesterday, says He declared
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: that Israel will devote significantly intelligence and technological resources to
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: combat Islamic. Islamist persecution of Christians worldwide doesn't have enough
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: problems on its own hands.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: It's worldwide.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: He pledged, Israel will be at the forefront of fighting
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: fighting forces murdering Christians. So I don't know what that means.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know what Israel can do. I don't why
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: is all devote resources to all of this. But basically
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: he's trying to appease the American crazy, right. He should
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: know by now that that cannot be done. This is
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: stupid and and it's stupid very Israel to try, and
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: it's you know, it's stupid to announce it. But anyway,
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: this is Nitenil is going to save the Christians in
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: the world. Right. Let me remind you that are lots
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: of stories out there about Iran winning, Israel losing ISO
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: story saying one hundred milk of our tanks were destroyed
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: in Lebanon. There's zero verification of any of that. Whether
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: it's one hundred or twenty or twenty one or whatever,
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: the number is zero verification of it, zero confirmation of it,
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: you know. And so beware of just buying into the
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: stories that present Israel or the United States is losing.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: There's somebody has a real incentive to do that. And
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: this whole this whole website dedicated to to and and
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: accounts on Twitter just dedicated to to reporting on Israel's
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: losses everywhere, everywhere it goes the state is to the
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: United States, of course, So, uh, you know how many
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: tanks were lost. I'm sure some have been lost. The
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: the Isabella does have handheld what do you call it,
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: anti tank missiles. The thing about the Mecavas, it's an
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: unbelievably resilient tank. It's very it's it's built to withstand uh,
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: these kind of anti tank missiles. That doesn't mean it
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: won't be stopped in a track, but it's it's very
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: good at you know, it's it's it's very good at
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: at at least saving if you will, the the soldiers inside.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: So what what often happens is is the the tank is,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: the cap is you know, can't function, but the soldiers. Uh.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: And this is why if if if one hundred tanks
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: or twenty tanks had really been attacked, you'd expect a
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: lot of injuries, maybe some deaths. Now it's true the
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: tank is Maybe maybe there weren't any injuries to tests,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: but you'd expect some at least. Is over reports every casualty,
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: every casualty. It's a small country. You couldn't hold that
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: as a secret. And they just haven't been that many
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: casualties there. Then numbers just don't match up right according
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: to yeah, most stories, I mean, this is not new.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: There's there's massive Uh, there's massive massive what do you
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: call it? Rift?
• 40:58
  Speaker 3: Uh?
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: In Tehran between in your clerics and the ILGC. You know,
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: clerics are reporting that the original regime structure has collapsed.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: They've been pushed aside completely by the IRGC. The RGC
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: now exerts total control over the centers of power, the
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: nation's economic flow, and the relationship with the supreme leader.
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: The clerics claim they're so isolated that they're not even
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: sure the Supreme Leader how many how many sun is
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: even alive or in what condition he is. The conclusion
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: now is that this is no longer the Islamic Republic.
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: It's the Revolutionary God Republic. I guess this is out
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: of Channel fourteen in Israel. I guess what they're doing
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: is they're trying to They're trying to get on Trump's
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: good side by confirming his belief that there's been regime changed.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: So we've changed the regime to a Mullah based system,
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: now to an IRGC based system. You know, to what
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: extent is that a plus anus to what extend is
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: a meaning for visa v. The United States or Israel
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: or the Gulf States. It's not clear who knows. By
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: the way, all of this back and forth flip flopping
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: by Trump, by Hickseth, the President of Iran's words about
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: coming to an agreement with the Americans, have led to
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: the fact that the stock market is exploding upwards. So
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: stock market is now convinced like it flip flops almost
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: as much as Trump. But the stock market seems now
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: convinced in spite of oil. Last time I looked still
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: being over one hundred. Let's see what oil is. Oil
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: is at one hundred and two. The stock market is
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: now just gangbusters. I mean, the NASDAC is up three
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: point seventy nine percent, and it's broad based because the
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: Russell two thousand, which is a broad based index of
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: two thousand companies, is of three point three one percent.
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Sn P five hundred is up two point eight nine.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: Everything is just skyrocketing, all on this idea that you know,
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: because the president of you On said yeah, we should
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: kind of deal with Americans. Even though everybody knows. This
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: is the funny thing about the stock market, right, everybody
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: knows that he has no power inside of you On.
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: He's not on the IOGC side. He's not really on
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: the Mulla side. He was he was the president serves
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: only at the will of the Supreme Leader. It's not
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: clear who he represents and who's speaking for. Pretty amazing,
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: all right, we'll do this story at the end, positive
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: and controversial story at the end. Let's see what I
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: want to do here. All right, let us move away
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: from the war. Robert must be a big side from Robert.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: You know, we can not just talk about the war
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: and I've got two positive stories. Here's the story that's funny.
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's a little bit war, so maybe you'll
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: have to tolerate war a little bit longer. So the
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: Ukrainians is just pounding the Russian energy infrastructure. They just
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: hit one of the largest refineries in Russia. They continue
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: to pound the oil infrastructure of the Russians. The Americans
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: are really asking them to stop, and like you know,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: Zelenski is basically saying, will stop when Russia stops hitting
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: our infrastructure.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: Will stop when they stop.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: We are not stopping until the Russian stopped doing what
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: they're doing. And I'm sure Trump is furious because oil
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: exports from Russia plunging and uh I mean, which means
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: prices are gonna stay high and and and maybe go higher.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: Uh so, uh yeah, I mean Russia's oil terminal and
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: the Baltic Sea is you know, has really suffered significantly,
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: really suffered significantly. H But this is the story that
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: really get trumpet. It turns out that a professor at
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: the University of Oslo in no Way has officially nominated
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: Zelenski and the Ukrainian people for the twenty twenty six
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Nobel Peace Prize.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: Oh Man.
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: His argument is by defending the democracy against Russian aggression,
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: the Ukrainian people have helped preserve peace across Europe. The
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: nomination is not just about Zelensky as an individual. It
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: recognizes an entire nation that has been resisting occupation, violence
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: and repression since twenty fourteen, and especially since the full
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: scale invasion of twenty twenty two. Imagine how Trump is
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: going to flip out if Zelensky gets a Nobel Prize
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: before Trump does. Willie forces Zlensky to hand it over
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: as well, like he did with the Venezuelan woman. I mean,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: this is pretty serious stuff. Zelensky up for a Nobel
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: Prize before Donald Trump. I hope he gets it. I
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: hope he gets it. All right, let me, before we
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: go on, legister, remind you we do have a I've
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: got a specific goal today because I'm trying to get
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: to a monthly goal. The monthly goal is depend is
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: depending on what.
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: We do today.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: We need to do about six hundred dollars today in
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: order to get to the monthly goal that we have
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: on super Chat.
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: Well about halfway to that six hundred dollars goal.
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: To large extent, because of John who did one hundred
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: dollars super chat plus another two twenties, so one hundred
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: and forty dollars. It's half of what we've already raised.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: So thank you John. But just if you're inclined to
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: support the show, if you can do a stickup, if
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: you can do a super chat, a superchat, you get
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: to dictate the show because I'll talk about whatever you
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: want me to talk about. Whatever you say in the
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: super chat, I'll discuss stickers are just waste to trade
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: with me. Value for value, very simple, very straightforward. Could
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: be any amount, but it would be great if we
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: got to that target, it would be It would be
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: a fantastic It would mean more on track for our
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: eight yearly goals, which really is what makes the show possible,
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: right own. You support from you make the show possible.
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: Couldn't do it without you. I could not do it
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: without this financial support that you guys provide. All Right,
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: quick update on the DHS because we've talked about this
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: last week and it kind of died. And thank you
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: Selfie subscriber fifty dollars sticker. Really really appreciate that that
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: moves us, moves that needle in a big way, so
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: thank you.
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: Fifty dollars really gets ustick quick.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Anyway, I talked about the DHS and the airport situation.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: Our first the bill that do you remember, the Senate
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: passed the bill to fee up some money, and then
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: now it's at the House. An House refused to pass
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: that bill. So the House refused passed a different bill
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: to provide money, which the Senate is refusing to pass.
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: So there's no bill that releases money to the DHS
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: right now. And we now have basically the DHS in
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: a situation of a shutdown that I think is the
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: longest in American history in terms of government functions not
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: being funded. Now, somehow things still continue, and indeed Trump,
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: bypassing Congress, as he tends to do regularly these days,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: Trump signed an executive order releasing funds to fund TSA. So,
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: just for those of you traveling and flying, airport bottlenecks
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: have eased significantly, T say workers seem to have can't
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: back to work, but the general DHS shut down continues. Supposedly,
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: ICE is still at some airports helping out, just helping.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: All they do is helping, helping, asking questions and helping.
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: But generally DHS still has no funding, and it doesn't
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: look like it's going to be settled anytime soon. Congress
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: is on a break. It's Easter, after all, they take
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: a couple of weeks off, and who knows, who knows,
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: you know where it's where it's going to go from here.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: But there is no yet agreement between Republicans and Democrats,
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: or between the Republicans along themselves on a on a
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: bill that would release the funding for DHS. And I'm
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: not sure what that means right what is being heard
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: right now. If TSA is back to normal, then where else?
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: And I think both the police is fine and ICE
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: is fine because they have a separate budget and or
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: they have money from elsewhere, and what parts of the
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: DHS are not getting money? What parts of the DHS
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: just don't have anything going on. At some point, they
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: closed that program that allows you overseas travel to come
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: in really fast through the lines at American airports. That's
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: that only lasted like five days or something. In that closure,
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: I guess people were putting a lot of pressure on
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: important people. People who have that program were putting a
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: lot of pressure, and you know, Trump somehow fun the
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: funding for it. I don't quite understand where it is
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: that the pain is being felt and whether this whether
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: this shutdown can just continue indefinitely. Yeah, I don't know.
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: The department shut down reached forty four days on Sunday,
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: eclipsing the record forty three days shutdown last fall that
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: affected all of the federal government. DTA shutdown as resulted
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: not only in travel delays, but also warnings of airport
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: closures as TSA walkers misspaced checks. But now the workers
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: are back, So where else is the pain? Is there
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: any other pain? It's really unclear, unclear, So we will see,
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: we will see. I don't know how the president, even
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: though there's no budget being approved. I don't understand how
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: the president unilaterally can just sign an executive order releasing funds.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: It doesn't make any sense to me. But this is
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: like executive power is out of control in this country.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, let's just make Congress irrelevant and let the
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: let the president do whatever the hell he wants. And
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: it's it's ridiculous because it also takes away any effort
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: to come to some kind of deal, to find a
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: compromise around us. It's basically, yeah, we don't need funny
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: from the DHS because Trump all PATROLLI can just write
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: checks to anybody wants to. M m all right, let's see.
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, this is interesting.
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: So you know, we talked about welfare fraud, and there's
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: a lot of welfare fought out there anyway. Secretary Bessett,
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: Treasury Secretary, has launched a new program on Monday that
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: is going to reward tipsters.
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: Up to thirty.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: Percent of any fines imposed on criminals who are trying
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: to commit fraud against the US government. The program includes
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: tipsters on Medicaid and Medicare rip offs. There's a lot
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: of Medicaid rip offs and you know, some suspect that
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: that could be just that could be seven billion, seventy
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: seven zero billion dollars a year. You know, thirty percent
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: of that that's a lot of money. It's twenty one
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: billion dollars of rewards tipsters. God, being a tipster is
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: going to be more profitable than committing fraud. God, I mean,
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: you should set up whole businesses now just to discover
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: fard and let the government know in order to get
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: the thirty percent. So we'll see, it'll be interesting to
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: see how this works. You know, the payments are going
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: to come directly from the fines. So it's not from
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: the American taxpayers. Well it is because oh, well the fine,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: not the repayment, just to find so the fine won't
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: be ninety billion, know though it could be it could
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: be higher.
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: Who knows. Anyway, it could be a lot of money.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: According to the document that was issued by the Trigity Department,
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: individuals located in the United States or God who provide
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: information may be eligible for reward awards if the information
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: they provide leads to a successful enforcement action the results
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: in monetary penalties exceeding one million dollars. I mean set
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: up a hacking network to try to discover the fraud
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: and then reap the benefits of disclosing this. Right, So, yeah,
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: this is supposedly a uh this is best, it's idea,
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: and uh they've got they've got now an anti FO
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: task force led by JD. Vans, and uh, this is yeah,
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: they're going all out to get fought. This is this
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: is gonna it's gonna save us, and they're gonna discover
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: fought everywhere. Because anyway there's warfare, there is fought, and
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: there was there's a lot of thought and Medicaid, Medicare
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: A lot of fought out there, so it'll be interesting
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: to see what actually actually happens. Which we talked about
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: the Minnesota thought, uh, there's the fought in Los Angeles,
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: this big fraud case in Mississippi.
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: Everyway that look, they'll find it.
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: Everywhere. Last year, Justice varnovab brook criminal charges against three
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty four defendants for ledged participation in a
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: ten billion dollar healthcare fraud. Ten billion dollars that's a
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: lot of money. It was part of Operation gold Rush,
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: the largest such bust in history. It took down a
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: Russian banked crime syndicate that allegedly purchased legitimate medical supply
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: companies to submit fake claims to Doobo medical equipment, stole identities,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: and ripped off Medicare. Oh god, it turns out, I.
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: Mean, this is shocking.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: Who would have expected this. It turns out that the
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: biggest fraud case last year in the United States was
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: not the Somalis. You would have thunked that it would
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: be Somalis or people who look like them, but no,
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: it turned out to be white dudes from Russia.
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: They're the ones who did it.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: Those Russians I'm telling you, Yeah, that's.
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: Just ten billion dollars. And how many of you heard
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: about this? Did we hear.
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: Anything about this? I mean it's the first time I'm
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: hearing about it. I read the news pretty diligently about
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: Operation Gold Russia took down a Russian mafia based you know,
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: a medicaire scam. We heard a lot about Somalis, a
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: lot about Somalis, nothing about this.
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: I wanted Putin's behind it all.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: Anyway, Yeah, Justice Moron continues to go after fraud. And
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: as I said, I mean, the biggest fought in the
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: world out there is welfare, security, medicaid, Medicaid. We're all
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: just one big thought on young people primarily. All right,
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: what are we looking at? Yeah, Anthropic. So again we've
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: talked about this story. Uh, and we talked about the
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: law that you know this the topic hassued and you
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: know what she said. So the judge, it's in front
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: of a judge, and Judges has put out a forty
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: three page, right, a forty three page opinion that basically
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: temporarily blocked the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic a supply chain
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: risk and ordered government agencies, uh, you know, ordered goverment
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: agencies to stop using Anthropic, so they blocked all of
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: that right.
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: And in her opinion.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: She suggested that what is really what was really a
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: contract dispute never needed to reach the kind of frenzy
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: that it did, and and that she blames the government.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: That the government disregarded the existing process for how such
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: disputes are governed and fueled the fire with social media
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: posts from officials that would eventually contradict the positions the
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: government took in court depending on in other words, wanted
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: a cultural war. The government used your background. The government
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: has used Anthropics Claude for much of twenty twenty five
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: without complaint. While the company walked a branding Titrope as
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: a safety focused AI company that also won defense contractors,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: Defense employees assessed it accessed it through pallentia and were
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: required to accept terms of government specific usage policies that
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: Entropy co founder said, quote prohibited mass surveillance of Americans
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: and lethal autonomous warfare. Only when the government aimed to
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: contract with Anthropic directly did any kind of disagreements begin.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: What you were The im of the judge is that
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: when these disagreements became public, they had more to do
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: with punishment than just cutting ties with Anthropic, and they
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: had a patent. Tweeked first lawyer later pausident Trump, for example,
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: posted on Truth's social on February twenty seventh. He referenced
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: left wing nut jobs and Anthropic and directed every federal
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: agency stopped using the company's AI. This was echoed soon
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: after by Defense Secretary Heckseth, who said he'd direct the
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: Pentagon to label Anthropic and supply chain risk. Now, defining
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: somebody as a supply chain risk necessitates taking a specific
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: set of actions, which a judge is found that Heseth
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: did not complete let us send to congressional committees, for example,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: said that less drastic steps were valuated and deemed not possible,
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: without providing any further details. The government also said the
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: designation of supply chain risk was necessary because Anthropic could
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: implement a kill switch, but its lawyers later had to
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: admit that they'd had no evidence of that. This is
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: all from the judge. Heccess Post also stated that no
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: contractor supplier or partner that does business with the United
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: States may conduct any commercial activity with Nthropic, but the
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: government's own lawyers admitted on Tuesday that the Secretary doesn't
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: have the power to do that, and agreed with the
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: judge that the statement had absolutely no.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: Legal effect at all.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: This is what happens when you give a talk show
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: host and make him secretary of War Defense or whatever.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: The aggressive posts also led the judge to conclude that
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: Anthropic was on solid ground and complaining that it's first
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: and mid rights were violated the government. The judge wrote,
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: whilst citing the posts, set out to publicly punish a
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: Thropic for its ideology and its rhetoric, as well as
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: as its arrogance for being unwilling to compromise those beliefs.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: Labeling Anthropic and supply chain risk would essentially be identifying
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: it as a saboteur of the government and reading, by
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: the way, from an article in MIT Tech Review, as
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: a saboteur of the government, for which a judge did
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: not see sufficient evidence. She issued an order last Thursday
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: holding the designation, preventing the Pentagon from enforcing it and
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: forbidding the government from fulfilling the promise made by Hickseth
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: and Trump. So I mean this administration is just one
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: joke after another. Everything to them is cultural war. The
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: court documents paint a pretty clear picture. Public statements made
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: by officials and the President did not at all align
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: with what the loss says should happen in a contract
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: dispute like this, and the government's lawyers have consistently had
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: a creed justification for social media land blasts.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: Of the company.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: After the fact, the Pentagon and the White House leadership
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: knew that pursuing the nuclear option, which is, you know,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: the designation, would spark a court battle. Anthropic vowed on
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: February twenty seventh to fight the supply chain risk designation,
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: days before the government formally filed it on March third,
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: pursuing it anyway. Ment senior leadership was to say the
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: least distracted during the first five days of the Iran
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: war launching strikes, while also compiling evidence that Anthropic was
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: a saboteur to the government. Yeah, it's pretty crazy from
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: the evidence thus far. The administration is committing top level
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: time and attention to winning an ai culture war. At
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: the same time, Claude is apparently so important its operations
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: that even President Trump said Depentagon needed six months to
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: stop using it. The White House demands political loyalty and
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: ideological alignment from top AI companies. But the case against Anthropic,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: at least for now expresses the limits of the administration's leverage.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: So this is good. Oh okay, let's talk quickly about housing.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: Remember that housing bill we talked about again, I'm just
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: filling you in and kind of stories. We've already talked
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: about a housing bill that frees up some regulations and
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: some restrictions, but then also restricts ability of private equity
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: to buy homes, homes for rentals, and homes more generally,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: if they buy them for they build them for rental,
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: they can rent them off for seven years, but then
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: they have to sell them. While this past the Senate
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: overwhelming majority something like eighty to ten or something, you know,
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: eighty five to ten or something like that, only ten
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: Senates voted against.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: This, which scares the Jesus on me.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Whatever. There's that much agreement between the political parties, it
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: must be super statist. Well, the good news is it's
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: stuck in the House because the elements that actually like
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: markets in the Republican Party and the elements that actually
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: like markets in the Democratic Party.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: There are a few.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: And the yimbi, yes it might back yard elements, they're abundance.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: Elements in the Democratic Party are blocking this bill and
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: owns the representatives they don't vote for. It's a lousy
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: bill because of these restrictions on private equity and institutional
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: investors from owning large numbers of homes. I mean, anybody
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: who knows anything about economics knows that this will only
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: hoot the housing market. It goes against the explicit niche
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: of the intents of the bill. So so far, you know,
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: it's it's not passing. You know, one House Republican called
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: it the Elizabeth Wan Housing Bill, which it is, but
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: it was co sponsored with the Republican of course, what
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: you know, so uh, and it was voted again by
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: most Republicans in favor in the Senate for it. Josh
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: Holly was, of course the Republican on the Republican voted
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: with sponsored the bill with Elizabeth Wan. The White House
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: is supporting the bill, They're big on it. They're supporting
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: Elizabeth Wan, They're supporting these restrictions. But there's a big
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: chunk of people who are saying no. Partially this could
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: be the lobbying of private equity firms, and partially it's
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: the beliefs what if it's left of them in free
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: market that some people still have, so that it'd be interesting.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: I'd be surprised if it didn't have enough votes in
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: the House. Once leadership decides to being into the floor,
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: I think it'll pass, just because they're not that many
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: free market people out there. But you know, but we
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: will see, We will see if if those Democrats that
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: actually believe in abundance are willing to vote against this,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: they should they know better, all right, do another time, Okay,
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: So tomorrow, Yeah, tomorrow, NASA is launching four astronauts, three Americans,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: one Canadian on a trip around the Moon. They're going
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: to go around the Moon and back. I think they're
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: going to go around the Moon three times and back
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: to Earth. And this will be the first time. No,
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: they're only gone around the moon once, only going around
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: the Moon once. It's the first time we've gone. Anybody
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: has gone to the moon, a manned up, a man
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: bishion has gone to the moon since nineteen seventy two
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: Apollo seventeen. Of course, they won't be landing on the Moon,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: so they won't actually be astronauts on the Moon. The
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: plan is for that to happen later this decade before
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: twenty thirty, but this is pretty cool. They're using a
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: rocket equivalent of Satin five used during the Apollo moon landings.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: It's the hundred twenty two feet tall, weighs about five
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: point seventy five million pounds, It's filled with propellants. It's
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: going to be launched from NASA's Kennedy Space Sense and Florida.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: It's capable of sending about sixty pounds of payload to
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: the Moon. The design is a remix of technologies developed
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: in the seventies for the Space Shuttle. So that's interesting
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: that this is not new technology. These are primarily technologies.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: I'm sure they've been updated they developed back then. NASA
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: led the design of the Space Launch System, the rocket system,
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: and the Orion capsule, and it hired SpaceX and Blue
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: Origin to provide lunar landers. But now for this mission
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: for future mission, so there's going to be no lunar
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: landing this mission. Four astronauts are selected for the mission.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: Since twenty twenty three, they've been training the three NASA
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: astronauts and been to the International Space Station. And yeah,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: it'll be it'll be pretty cool. There'll be one woman,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: one black man, not not surprising, I guess, very diverse
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: group going around the Moon for the first time. It
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: has you know, there's a COREWP module, a service module,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: spacecraft adapter, so this will you know, this will come
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: off of the of the rocket that sends it up there.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: So it's going to be cool. It's going to be
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: launched tomorrow. The I guess the crew module was built
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: by Lockheed Martin and can support four astronauts for missions
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: of after twenty one days. It offers an interior volume
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: of about two mini vans, not enough space to offer
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: crew members any kind of privacy or really much comfort.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: It would be interesting what this would look like if
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: SpaceX or Blue Origin or any of the other private
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: space companies had designed this of designed this. So yeah,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: they're going back to the Moon. Of course, that plans
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: now to build a whole moon base that SpaceX's plans
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: are not anymore to go straight to Mars. SpaceX has
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: changed those plans to first going to the Moon and
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: then to Mars. Optimis is part of that, you know,
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: it's part of that program. Automis three, the next one
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: is supposed to be supposed to land astronauts near the
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: south pole of the Moon by the end of twenty
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: twenty eight, although you know, we'll see. Maybe it looks
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: like now they're not going to land astronauts in twenty
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: twenty eight. Yeah, I'm not sure. So no, Automus three
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: is going to actually be launching twenty twenty seven, it
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: won't land astronauts, but in twenty twenty eight they still
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: planning to send out Automus four and five.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: That will.
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: We'll see. Over the next two decades, NASA spent more
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: than last two decades, NASA spend more than fifty billion
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: dollars developing and building the Space launch System, the Orian
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: Capsule and their company and ground systems needed to launch
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: them there, you know. And yeah, it's hard to put
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: a price tag on the on the specifics. All right,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: that was outomis. You guys gonna watch the launch tomorrow.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: It should be really cool, really cool. All right. Finally,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: a quick story. This just came by and I saw this,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: so it's worth it's worth reading to you, And it
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: is particularly given that we talked to amash Adulgia yesterday
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: and this relates to his area of expertise. This is
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: a study of COVID vaccines. Remember COVID vaccines that kill
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: you anyway, as sweeping analysis of nearly forty six million
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: adult health records has delivered a clear verdict, clear verdict.
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: I'm sure a lot of people won't accept this clear verdict.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: COVID nineteen vaccination sharply lowers the risk of heart attacks
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: and strokes. WHOA wait a minute, No, that cannot be
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: We were told that the COVID vaccine nineteen vaccine increased
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: the rate of heart attacks and strokes, and lots and
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: lots of people dying because of howt DETTACKX and strokes
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: because of the COVID vaccine, and now they're saying it
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: lowers the risk. Published in Nature Communications, the study followed
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: people across England from December twenty twenty until through January
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty two.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: It documented a ten.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: Percent drop in serious arterial blood clots, including heart attacks
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: and strokes after the first dose alone. Protections strengthened further
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: with subsequent doses, a twenty percent reduction among those fully
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: vaccinated with the fires up bioantac and a striking twenty
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: seven percent reduction for the astrazenica recipients. The researchers were
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: found about rare side effects my YO called ditis and
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: certain clotting disorders that can occur shortly after vaccination, but
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: stress these remained exceptionally uncommon. Clear they cause heart attacks
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: of strokes by comparison, catching COVID nineteen itself dramatically raise
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: the odds of major cardiovascular events, major cardio rescue events.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: Lead co author doctor Samantha Ip describe the results as
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: some of the strongest evidence yet that the vaccines do
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: more than preventsively infection. They also confer lasting protection against
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: two of the world's leading killers. You can find this
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: again in Nature Communications, who is just published. Okay, I'm
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: sure people are going to be very upset about this,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: very upset about this, all right, That, my friends, is
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: the new for this Tuesday, March thirty, first last day
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: of March, and we will shift now to answering your questions.
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: Don't have a lot of questions in a March. You
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: guys are fatigued, war fatigue, wo fatigue, wolf atigus. Anyway,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: we're about two hundred dollars short of the goal that
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: I set for today's show that will allow me to
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: reach the monthly goal that I set for March. So
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: if anybody is once would like to support the show
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: right now in order to help get us to that there.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: You can use the sticker feature to do so. Stickers
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: don't have to ask any questions or anything. Just value
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: for value. You listen. You know the show is provided
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: for free, but you I couldn't do it without financial support.
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: I couldn't do it for free. It was really free.
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: I couldn't do it right. So those of you who
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: do provide the support, I really appreciate it. On Patreon
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: and on PayPal, and of course for those of you
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: who do stickers and super chats. So just a reminder
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: to do stickers and ask questions. That way I get it.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: Talk about stuff you want me to talk about. Selfie
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: subscriber fifty bucks, thank you, thank you, thank you for
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: the for the sticker. We also got a fifty dollars
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: sticker from Rand.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: Thank you.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: Rand.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: Really appreciate that.
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: Natzsure Observer sticker, see Weed a sticker, Roland a sticker.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: Thank you. Guys, really appreciate it. You know, even the
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: small amount stickers of just a few dollars help just
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: chip away slowly, you chip away, chip away, chip oway,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: chip away at the at the goals at the necessary
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: forgetting to the goals, right, So we're basically two hundred
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: dollars short of where we need to be in order
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: to uh yeah, get to the number. The number all right, John,
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: John did one hundred dollars. Oh, my sponsors. What happened to?
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: My sponsors have to recognize my sponsors. They pay me
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: for that. Alex Epstein, whose confidence I'm going to next week.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: I'll let you know about that conference if it's allowed.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: If it's not a secret conference, I'll let you know
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: about the conference once I'm there. But I'm going to
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: his conference in California. It's gonna be interesting. They're going
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: to be industry people from energy industry, there will be
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: people from the from the administration, and there will be
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: a bunch of you know, I think wealthy supporters, people
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: interested in these issues. So it's going to be really
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: interesting conference. I will update you about it next week
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: once once we did it. Anyway, Alex is, of course
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: the World Authority on energy. He's publishing now on all
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: kinds of stuff on the homo straits, on the flexibility
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: of the global industry, global energy markets. Check them out.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: Alex Epstein dot substec dot com. Alex Epstein does substec
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: dot com. You'll get talking points there. You know the
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: how to communicate about energy, electricity for our fuels, environmentalism,
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: climate change, all of that. Uh. That new institute is
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: hosting the conference. The conference is in Porto, Porto, Portugal,
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: UH and highly highly recommend attending. It's going to be
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: a lot of fun. It's a great city, Porto. I'm
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: going to be speaking there. The conference are gonna be
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: really good. Me and tal An Alcohol organized speakers there.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: You can get a discount twenty six ybs ten give
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: you a ten percent discount and registration fees and you
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: can still register and you can still register at iron
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: ran dot org, slash dot here, iron ran dot oak
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: slash dot here. Barry fifty dollars, think God, thank you, Barry,
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: really really appreciate it. Ticking away, chipping away at it.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: Only one hundred and fifty short Now, all right, let's
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: see John, Yes, John, one hundred dollars. Question. But it's
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: in three parts. So we're gonna take this, Yann, could
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: you review You're gonna go far.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: You're gonna go far?
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: Kid By the offspring, it portrays secondhanded parasites using emotionalism
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: to exploit the masses and turn them against producers, forcing
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: them to dance. All right, so I'm copy pasting this.
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: So this is a song. I take it this is
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: a request of song of you which this weekend I'm
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: hoping to catch up on some of my reviews. I
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: hope that is that happens Saturday Sunday. We've got shows
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: on Saturday and on Sunday, and I really hope that
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: I'll be able to catch up on some of the reviews.
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: Rock could never be forced to dance, right, as is
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: proved by his working in the quarry? Do you think
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: that act embraces the same spirit as the strike?
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: Like an Atlas Shrugged?
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: But what do walks come to today's regulations or returned
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: to the quarry? You said in the past businessmen have
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: no choice but to lobby. Maybe this doesn't necessarily mean
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: compromise yourself.
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: How would work respond? I mean it's a good question.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: So yes, at first, I do think that the quarry
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: is a kind of a strike. It's taking Now he
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: doesn't literally strike, because he's still on the market. He's
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: still trying to sell his agricultural skill. But now it's
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: unequivocal that it's on his terms, only on his terms,
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: and he won't do it anybody else's terms. So it's
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: definitely it's a temporary strike, whereas Gold will not return,
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: will not return unless the cultures completely collapsed, and he
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: can rebuild, but he's not going to give them the
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: motor unless everything changes. Rock's ambitions are smaller. Rocks ambitions
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: are I'll stop build for you, but it has to
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: be the kind of buildings I want to build, and
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: you don't get a say in assense, right, So it's
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: the same spirit, but pre the all outstrike of Atlas.
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: Atlas is an all outstrike, and got it. We just
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: gave We just gave away Atlas shrug. So the plot
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: twist and Antla shrugs. So hopefully no big spoilers for
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: you guys, all right. And then in terms of how
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: you would deal with regulations, you know, look, the difference
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: with regulations is that they are forced. The bank cannot
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: force its design on Rock, but regulations, you know, as such.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: That you have no choice.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: Now, I do think that if the regulations were such
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: that Rock literally could not build the kind of buildings
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: he wanted, he would walk away.
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: He would go to the quarry.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: But if they're building regulations, you know, he could basically
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: build a building he wanted, it would just be more
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: expensive and more cumbersome and more difficult and more bureaucratic.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: Then I think he probably stays and deals with them.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: I think that's what every businessman does today. Would he
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: lobby I mean maybe he would hire somebody to lobby
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: for him, but that wouldn't be a big part of
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: what he did. The main thing is he did. He
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: would he would try to get by without compromising too
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: much with the regulations, and if they got too cumbersome,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: he would go and strike. Definitely, go and strike. Thank you, John,
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: and I will get to the song, I promise. Barry,
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: thank you for the fifty again. Darlene, thank you for
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: the sticker. Richard, thank you for the sticker. Appreciate it.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: We're now down to one hundred and thirty one hundred
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: and thirty one dollar two dollars. All will help us
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: chip away at that, and you should ask questions. We've
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: got plenty of time today, Michael. Was there a significant
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: decline in anti Semitism after World War Two? Now that
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: enough time has passed and Israel as a powerful, successful nation,
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: the anti Semites feel unabashed to come back out of
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: the wood book. Yeah, I think that's partially right. But
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: it's also it's not that they come out of the
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: wood book. It's the anti Semitism has increased. It's increased
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: because of what's being taught at our universities. So it's
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: increased because I think the ideology of racism was this
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: was was crushed by World War Two, and there was
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: decades then afterwards where to be a racist, to consider identity,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: to consider still skin color, particularly in a couple of
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: decades after civil rights, to consider where somebody who was
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: Jewish was just unacceptable in academic world, you know, cultural institutions,
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: in the world in which we lived. And what happened
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: was that that disappeared starting about fifteen twenty years ago
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: with the postmodernists interpretation of post colonialism, of intersectionality and
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: embraced by the left of identity politics and in base
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: of the left by the identity politics basically gives us
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: give a thumbs up to.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: The right to embrace identity politics.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: And whenever you embrace identity politics, one of the first
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: things that you encourage is anti semitism.
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: And add to that the decline in our educational.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: Institutions and our inability to think clearly, and therefore a
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: real tendency among Americans to seek out to seek out
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: conspiracies as explanations for what is going on in the world.
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: I think again, once you open up to conspiracy theories
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: and you look for explanations and conspiracies are.
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: You know, deemed.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: Legit explanations, then you'll find almost the all conspiracy theories
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: leads you towards the Jews did it. So that opens
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: up that whole issue. And in particular when the Jews
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: are strong, they're strong in Israel, in particular, that highlights
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: Wait a minute, how do the Jews get so strong,
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: How they get so rich, how they get so powerful?
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: Look at those Look at what they're doing to their enemies.
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: How they get so powerful? And that leads to conspiracies.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: And then if you look at American and you look
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: at Jews in America, Wow, look at how successful they are,
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: rich they are, what have they done?
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: How did they get there?
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: And both on the left and the right, that leads
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: you down the same rabbit hole of conspiracies. So it's
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: not that the anti Semitism was buried. It was new.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: People became antisemitic because of the inability to think and
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: because of legitimate legitimization in academia of identity politics.
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: All right, Adam Homo has closed.
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: Sanctions against Putin, exports are suspended permanently. All the outcomes
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: after outside spent, all the AMMO are being set by
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: Trump to exactly put Putin, to give Putin exactly what
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: he wanted. Any doubt that Putin has been has a
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: leash on Trump? Yeah, I mean again, I don't think
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: this is all Putin's doing. I don't think Putin wanted
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: the homost straits closed. I don't think, you know, yes,
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: suspending the sanctions Putin really really wanted that. But you know,
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: I don't think he has a leash on Trump. He
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: has something on Trump, no question, influence on Trump.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: It's the.
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: You know, he he. I think it's psychological. I think
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: Trump is just enamated with Putin. But it's also true
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: that Trump is completely irrational and emotional. And here is
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: irrationality and emotionalism is always going to lead to outcomes
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: that benefit the bad guys. And the chief bad guy
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: in the world is Putin, and therefore he is going
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: to benefit from Trump's irrationality, and that's just going to
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: go on and on and on and on, always going
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: to be the case. All right, let's see. Thank you, Adam.
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: Liam.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: On a positive note, I've been talking to Argentinians and
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: they love me. Lay. I think Principal's Femalket people like
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: yourself can do very well in politics. We don't have
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: to wait for the economic maageddon to run a candidate.
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: All right, let's do it, all right, we need a run.
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know. We need to raise fifty million to
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: fifty million dollars. I mean right now, I'm trying to
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: raise six hundred for the super Chat, but fifty million
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: dollars and I'll run. I'll run. I think I would
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: still things up and do well much better than expected
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: in an election, whatever that election was. Because I'm a
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: good communicator. I have some charisma. You know. I can
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: get to people, but I need tens of millions of
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: dollars to do so. If anybody has a has an
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: idea how to do it, or how to get.
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: The money, let me know.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: Let me know. Anybody out there who wants to provide
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: the money, let me know, and we can. We can
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: figure out what political campaign I should run for what office? Mike,
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: thank you for the stick of wes fifty dollars, really
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: really appreciate that. So we are now down to just
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: fifty two dollars short. We can do that. I think
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: we can do that. Fifty two dollars short. Charles Hi,
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: Ron Hope all is well, I studied math maths. You
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: can tell these British right, you know, in America we
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: say I studied math, and the Brits say I studied maths.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: There's an ass at the end.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: Of the the end of the word.
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: I studied maths at UNI and understand mathematical knowledge is
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: a priori. How does this reconcile with Rand's of pistemology,
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: The knowledge is empirical apologies for the lack of knowledge.
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: Well, math is not a priori. Basically it is not.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: And I encourage you to check out Harry Binswanger's work
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: on the philosophy of mathematics. The foundation of math is empirical.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: It's one finger, two fingers. How do I describe when
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: I have this amount of figures up there? One plus one?
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 2: Oh, that's two. All maths starts there.
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: Now I know more advanced math, and and you know,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: more advanced math gets more and more and more abstract.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: That's the way it is. But it always starts with observation.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: It always starts with facts in reality, in need. The
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: origins of math are in counting, counting stuff, not just
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: counting in your head. And then what's the next thing
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: they do with math at counting? Like I lent you
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: money and you're gonna pay me interest, and how do
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: we calculate that? And uh, you know, how do I
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: make sure I get I get my money back plus
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: whatever compensation?
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: So math starts with that, and.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: Then I think even geometry. I mean again, I'm not
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: a math expert, but it all starts with observing things
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: in the world, observing triangles, observing volume, you know, you know,
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: observing things in the world and having to try to
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: explain those things in the world and coming up with
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: tools to explain them or to understand them and use them.
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: And that's what math is. Math is a tool understanding
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: and manipulating reality. Counting is the beginning of all math.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: And you can see it in children. They are a
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: proper education in math starts with counting, starts with counting,
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: counting stuff counting physical things, and then you can do
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: addition and subtraction by counting, and then they become mental operations,
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: that is, you memorize them in your head. But the
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: foundation is all empirical. But again, to go deeper into that,
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: and to go deeper into how that applies to my
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: abstract fields in mathematics, I am. I'm not an expert,
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: far from it. So check out the checkout having been
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: swang a philosophy of mathematics. Thank you, Charles. All right,
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: selfie subscriber just did fifty bucks and basically got us
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: to the target. So thank you, selfie subscriber. Is that
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: your second fifty today? Yes, so thank you you and
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: you and John did one hundred dollars. Stay John did
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty forty, but thank you guys. You
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: guys really helped. And then all do fifty dollars guys,
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: but also all the all the smaller contributions. Everybody who
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: contributed to this really really really appreciate the support. Thank you,
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: thank you, thank you. It is it is great. Remo
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: asked for food recommendations in Porto. I really don't have any.
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: Ask Rafael he's sometimes on the chat here Raphael's from Porto.
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: I am being to Poto, but I haven't really I mean,
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: I've eaten and there's a two style michelin in restaurant
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: that's really really got Yeatsman's Yeatemn's. I definitely recommend that,
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: but in terms of food that's not that expensive. You'd
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: have to ask on the locals. Raphael is a good source.
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: Remot value for value. Thank you, REMO appreciate it. Jjigbi.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: Is anything less than benign regime change a failure? Well,
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: it depends from what perspective, I don't think so. No,
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: So here's the point. For Israel, it's already a success
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: because they basically destroyed the ability of the Ranian regime
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: to produce weapons systems. They've destroyed many of their ballistic missiles.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: They still have some, but far far shrunken from what
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: they used to have. They've weakened them from every perspective scientifically,
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: because they've killed the scientists, they've destroyed the labs, they've
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: destroyed industry, they've destroyed the facilities that build them, launched them,
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: store them. So that's huge for Israel. It's not clear
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: exactly what is going to happen with the uranium. We'll
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: wait and see if anything happens with that, but that's
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: going to be crucial to somehow get a handle on.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: For an American respective, it's different.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: Is Or doesn't have any role to play with the
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: States of Homos, but the US does. Since World War Two,
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: the US has been the Gavan tour of the shipping lanes.
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: Its navy is built for that. And yet if it
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: fails here, if the States of Momos are not opened,
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: it loses right. But let's say the States of almost opened,
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: and let's say they find a way to deal with
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: the uranium and the regime doesn't change, it's a huge
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: win for American Israel. Still a huge win. They basically
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: newted the massive the threat that is he run. It's gone,
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: it's finished. So it's a huge win. So GEAM change
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: is not necessary. It's just a shortcut. If you do
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: a game change, then all the other things are less important.
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: You know, I've heard a lot less from paul A
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: VI over the last week or so. I wonder what's
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: going on with him, the son of the show. I
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: wonder how active he is. Katherine says, I take the
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: two yuro which are left for the goal, Thank you. Katherine,
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: and John also stepped in with two dollars, So you
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: guys took us over the goal. Thank you really appreciate that.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: Let's see, Robert, what's your thought on Florida governor primary,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: James Fishback and Byron Donalds. I don't anything about Byron Donalds.
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: James Fishback is horrific, really really, really evil. I will
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: do a segment on a show on him. I've got
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: some material already lined up that I have to read
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: to brush up on him. But I will do a
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: segment on a show soon about Fishback, and I'll check
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: out Brian Donald's as well. Roman. The Lebanese government declared
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: the Iranian ambassador person on Agrada, but he declared he
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: will stay in the country. Yes, I mentioned that yesterday
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: on the show. Who is really here in charge? Well,
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: that's the thing about Lebanon. Is the Lebanese government in
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: charge or Balah and indirectly Iran in charge. That's the
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: question in Lebanon, and that's why Israel cannot can't afford
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: to just alig on the Iranian the Lebanese military and
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: government to hold back Isbellah and prevent them from attacking Israel.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: Israel has taken that on.
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: Itself and is aggressively moving in to make sure that
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: Isbel is no longer a threat to itself. But that
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: is the big challenge in Lebanon is is the government.
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: Can the government do anything anything?
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: All? Right? Um, let's see, robt ybs is great for
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: war fatigue. As your honor has pointed out, you shouldn't
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: listen to depressing, non stop talking heads all day. Just
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: listen to your on and you'll get all and only
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: the news that matters, and you'll get mostly the truth,
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: actual news right the time. Once in a while, I
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: make a mistake, Thank you, Robert. I appreciate that. Matt.
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: I feel I was naive for being hopeful when this
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: war began. Trump's incompetence and West's general maral weakness takes
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: total victory off the table. Yeah, sadly, I think that's true.
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: F Carol, this needs to be broken up by age cohortes.
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: The effects on the young likely different from the effects
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: on the elderly and middle aged. What are we talking about,
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know what we're talking about, the effects of what, oh,
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: the effects of the vaccine.
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: My guess is they did that. My guess is they
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: did that.
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: But the facts on the young is you get increased
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: you know that would that I can't pronounce medic corditis,
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: but you still get you don't get heart attacks and strokes.
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: Now you don't get heart attacks and strokes in young
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: people anyway, but my coaditis does not kill you. It
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: generally the COVID vaccine induced mild, mild occasions. But yeah,
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: most of the effect is in the elderly in middle age,
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: because those are the people who actually have strokes and
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: heart attacks. Young people just don't have them, so you'd
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: see no effect. I doubt though that you see a
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: negative effect as compared particularly to a cohort of young
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: people who got COVID. Young people who go at COVID
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: also get MIUCA. Does called ditis? All right? Kiki a
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: risk troops to take oil fields or just bomb oil? No,
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: I don't think you do need to do either. You
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: need to open up the homo straits. You don't have
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: to take the oil fields. You don't need to. But
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: I would bomb the loading dogs of where they can
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: load the oil. Leave the fields, but take out the
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: capacity export. That's what I would bomb. I would bomb
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: cog Island, that part of Cog Island that facilitated the
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: loading of the oil onto the ships. That is what
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: I would BOMBA spoke at seatback last Saturday. I missed it.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: I am naive to be hopeful for him and his vision.
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: I really like him. Yeah, I like him too. As
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: I said, I think he's been influenced by objectivists.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: Uh, and I would like to seem succeed, but I
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: think the chances are small. Sadly, Trump should have embraced them,
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: but that would have required a strategy for real regime change,
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: and Trump didn't want to embrace him. He doesn't like
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: to embrace others. It's all about to Trump Trump. All right, guys,
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: thank you. We've reached a monthly goal. I'm always happy
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: when we reach our goals.
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: Really, really really appreciate.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: April is going to be a tough month because I'm
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: traveling so much. On April. Next week, I'm in California.
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: The week after that, I'm in Europe. The week after
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: that I'll be home for a little while, and then
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: I'm in Austin, Texas for two weeks. And I hope
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: that while I'm in Austin, Texas, I'll be able to
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: show do shows every day, but most of the time
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: I'm in Europe, I will not be able to do shows.
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: Like in the evenings I'm doing talks, so the timing's
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: all off and I've got some early morning flight and
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: then I've got the Portal conference. I'll try to do
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: a couple of shows from London, but after that it's
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: going to be very, very difficult to do any shows.
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: I'll probably be taking most of the week after week
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: after next off. I'll try to do some shows. Next week.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: We'll do as many as I can. Yeah, all right,
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: I will see you all tomorrow talk about shows. Tomorrow's
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: definitely is a show through PM East Coast time. And
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: thank you to all the super chatters. Thank you to
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: all you guys who did fifty dollars and one hundred
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: dollars and and but everybody everybody did super chats and
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: stickers and got us our goal today. See you tomorrow,
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: Bye everybody,