Latest / The Vance Crowe Podcast / ATR: Is the corn report just a lie? with Jacob Babcock
Transcript
- 0:00Unknown: The Ag Tribes Report is brought to you by Legacy Interviews,
- 0:04a video service that captures people as they really are so the future knows who they really were. Here's Legacy Interviews guest Patricia Showalter on the fun she had sharing stories for her grandchildren.
- 0:16Unknown: I really didn't know what to expect.
- 0:18Unknown: Were you nervous about it before, or how did you feel about it before? I just wondered what the heck was gonna happen. If somebody was on the fence, what would you tell them? Yeah. I'd tell somebody to do it. Just go and have
- 0:30Unknown: fun. I'll have fun. You're only here for a short time.
- 0:34My grandkids are gonna say, oh, holy cow. Can we believe this stuff?
- 0:46Unknown: Welcome to the AgTribe's report, a breakdown of the top stories affecting the culture of agriculture
- 0:52with your host, Vance Crow.
- 0:55The report begins in three,
- 0:57two,
- 0:58one. Let's begin.
- 1:02Unknown: Welcome to the Ag Tribes Report. I'm your host, Vance Crowe. Each week, I bring on a cohost to represent one of the many Ag Tribes that collectively make up US and Canadian agriculture.
- 1:12This week, we have Jacob bag Babcock.
- 1:15Jacob is a dedicated Michigan agricultural
- 1:18spray drone applicator and maintainer who started applicating with his dad in 2021
- 1:23as one of the first two legal operators to spray fields for hire in the state.
- 1:28They've since expanded to selling drones to custom applicators and farmers while collaborating closely with Michigan State University on research across crops like grapes, pumpkins, carrots, blueberries, asparagus, chestnuts,
- 1:41potatoes, field corn, and cherries.
- 1:43Their research proven efficacy
- 1:45is elevating crop protection for growers statewide. Welcome to the show, Jacob.
- 1:51Unknown: Hey. Yeah. Thank you. It's, great to be here.
- 1:54Unknown: So what have you been paying attention to lately?
- 1:59Unknown: This man is a busy season right now. The corn fungicide run is when almost all the drones are running right now. So I've just been
- 2:07running around, keeping people flying. So that's been what I've been, mostly paying attention to.
- 2:14Unknown: You know,
- 2:15so I'm so you were one of the people that reached out to me, a farmer I didn't know or somebody in ag. It's great.
- 2:21After you did and I started looking into drone applicator stuff, I started seeing stuff on x. A guy named Mizzou Tiger was out there saying
- 2:28drone applicating,
- 2:30for pesticides is way overhyped.
- 2:33What do you think? Is it are you in an overhyped field?
- 2:36Unknown: It depends on who you ask. I mean, there's some people that say that they're gonna take out the crop dusters and everything else. It's just gonna be drones. It's not. But I do think that there is a lot of room where, like, here in Michigan, all our fields most of our fields are surrounded by trees, power lines.
- 2:52It's really a pain for the crop dusters to get in those fields, so I think that's a great application for that. There's also some growers. Like, I got handful of potato growers that that have,
- 3:02left the the plane,
- 3:04just so they can buy these, not be on someone else's schedule,
- 3:09get everything they want done when they want done.
- 3:12Unknown: Yeah. So what is the comparative advantage for drones as opposed to planes? I imagine with planes, you can do a lot bigger acreage a lot faster.
- 3:19Unknown: Yeah.
- 3:20I mean, that is definitely one of the biggest, upsides. And it's I'd say it's different between states. I mean, you go out to,
- 3:27Kansas or something where it's really open. They can do a pretty good job out there. They can be real,
- 3:32close to the crop,
- 3:34getting stuff in there. But the drones,
- 3:36you know, here compared to here, like I said, trees, they gotta pull up, you know, a long time before.
- 3:42They can't get near as close to the crop.
- 3:45So there's a lot of room that they kind of don't get
- 3:49the spray on so close to the crop.
- 3:53So stuff like that. And, also, I mean,
- 3:56you know, you can
- 3:58use the drone in very different ways. You can go fast and just spread it out like a plane kinda,
- 4:04or you can kinda go slower and just force it through the canopy. Like, if you're spraying
- 4:09trees or something, you could force it right through the tree.
- 4:13Unknown: Fascinating. Well, I'm glad that we are bringing your expertise on tonight for today's shows because we should dive into it. We're gonna look at whether corn yield estimates are a market manipulation scheme undermining farmers. We're also gonna talk about if the new tariffs on China are hurting corn and soybean exports.
- 4:30We're gonna talk about how beef demand is holding
- 4:33strong despite soaring prices, and farmland values
- 4:37are hitting new highs, but some people are saying that it is beginning to slow down. We're also gonna compare farmland
- 4:43and Bitcoin prices. We're gonna hear Jacob's take
- 4:46take on the Peter Thiel paradox,
- 4:48and we're gonna learn about his worthy adversary. And we're gonna try and do that
- 4:52in just thirty minutes. And if I sound a little stuttery, it is because
- 4:57my, my wife who just, brought a new child in about six weeks ago into this world is a little under the weather, and so I'm pulling double duty and I'm barely hanging on. So, Jacob,
- 5:08you may have to pull a majority of the load here.
- 5:12Alright. Story number one, our corn yard our corn yield estimates, estimates, a market manipulation scheme to undermine farmers.
- 5:20In early August twenty five, commodity brokerage, Stonex, projected a staggering 188.1
- 5:27bushels per acre
- 5:29for US corn yields translating into 16,300,000,000
- 5:33bushels harvested,
- 5:35far above the USDA's 181
- 5:37bushel per acre estimate.
- 5:39So this optimistic forecast has sparked accusations of market manipulation as it depresses corn future prices currently $4.10 to $4.30 per bushel, squeezing farmers already grappling with low profitability, delayed planting from excessive rains,
- 5:54and issues like tassel wrap and disease.
- 5:57Critics are pointing to Stonex lack of methodological
- 6:00transparency saying they didn't say how they did it, who they've asked, anything that's put that they used to put it together.
- 6:07And it ties BlackRock,
- 6:10suggesting corporate interests aim to force land sales at low prices.
- 6:14Historical USDA overestimates
- 6:16like, 2023,
- 6:18which revised down from January to a 173
- 6:21bushels,
- 6:22fueled skepticism with the upcoming August 12 report expected at one eighty four to 185
- 6:28bushels.
- 6:29On x, users are echoing frustration
- 6:32and, industry voices are warning that this could deepen financial distress for small operators.
- 6:38I went out and asked Grok, you know, overall, what are the experts on x predicting,
- 6:43is the range of of crops? And they're saying, right now on x, people are expecting it to be between one hundred and eighty two and one hundred and eighty eight bushels per acre with consensus leaning
- 6:54right in the middle at about 184.5
- 6:57bushels per acre.
- 6:59Jacob, what do you think? Is this a coordinated plan,
- 7:02to overestimate
- 7:04bushels? Is this just an honest mistake, or are the numbers really that big?
- 7:08Unknown: I mean, the fact that I mean, I didn't know who at all Stonex was until I read this and did a little bit of digging. But the fact that there's any ties to black black rock is kind of concerning to me.
- 7:22Just it seems like anything BlackRock has their hands in. They wanna push some sort of agenda or something.
- 7:29So that's that's always a concern.
- 7:34Yeah. I mean, I guess that that's my main thing, just BlackRock, but also yeah. I mean
- 7:40yeah. Just the,
- 7:43Unknown: To me, like, there there's definitely voices out there. Jared McDaniel has been saying this for years that the numbers,
- 7:50are being consciously manipulated, that people are doing this on purpose. You know, I can remember in '23 when they were way overestimating, all of a sudden it dropped down, and then the people that had held on to their corn watched that price buoy bang like a like a balloon coming out of the water. And,
- 8:06and so you you gotta think, like, there are people that will act on their interests in that way.
- 8:12But that being said, there are a lot of people watching the crop. There are a lot of people that,
- 8:17have driven from,
- 8:19Iowa all the way out to Indiana up to, you know, North Dakota and south. And I feel like you do get a pretty good sense, from farmers looking at what's going on there.
- 8:31So to me, it's always hard to ascribe,
- 8:35conspiratorial
- 8:35motives from the top, but, you know, I don't know.
- 8:39Unknown: Yeah. I mean I mean, I'm just up here in Michigan.
- 8:43Our corn here looks pretty good, but I I mean, I don't get down to Missouri or
- 8:47Iowa or any of that much. But I do know, like, up in Minnesota, they have had a lot of rain. It seems like that's
- 8:55kind of stressed the corn a little bit, or Minnesota.
- 9:01But I and I have heard a lot about this, tassel wrap, which I didn't even know was a thing until it came out and was like
- 9:07but I mean, it makes sense when I've, looked into it.
- 9:11But
- 9:12Unknown: Yeah. And tassel wrap, man, I I took some heat over the week for some people being like, no. This is way overhyped. But on the same side, I saw, Brian Scott showing, you know, corn that he had that was, that was not looking good.
- 9:26You know, you open up that ear and all of a sudden there's nowhere near the amount of corn in there, corn corn kernels.
- 9:32So it it's really hard to estimate because you do drive. I've done a bunch of driving,
- 9:37over the summer. And, man, those corn crop look big and green and luscious,
- 9:43and so it's hard to say that they aren't a huge bumper crop.
- 9:46Unknown: Yeah. No. I mean, like I said, definitely hear that. But I think we're gonna have a good crop,
- 9:51But we'll see, because the other factor is disease. We've had a lot of good rain,
- 9:57and then recently, we had some nice cool,
- 10:01weather in the mornings and throughout the days, and that's just
- 10:04pretty good for some funguses to, grow in.
- 10:07So we'll see, hopefully,
- 10:09Unknown: not too too many diseases with, all the crops really, but especially corn. Well, I have it marked. So every couple weeks, I will run the same,
- 10:18query with Grok and see what the experts on x are saying and how they get revised up and down.
- 10:24Alright. Moving on to story number two, is the tariff war hurting corn and soybean experts?
- 10:29On 08/06/2025,
- 10:32president Trump announced a 100%
- 10:34tariff on imported semiconductors
- 10:36and chips from China,
- 10:38exempting those built in The US, intensifying the ongoing trade war. While targeting tech, this escalates tensions,
- 10:45raising fears of Chinese retaliation
- 10:47against The US agriculture where China is a key buyer of corn and soybeans.
- 10:52The ag sector relies on Chinese consumption to reduce domestic supplies and support prices, but China's forward purchasing books for US grains is the smallest since 2021. I actually looked into it, and what I've heard now is that it there are no open orders, and this is the lowest amount that it's been in fifteen years,
- 11:11signaling deterred buying amid
- 11:13amid prior tariffs. US exports could suffer further with corn and soybeans farmers facing lower demand and prices already pressured by global surpluses.
- 11:23Critics from the Corn Refiners Association and soybean groups argue that tariffs disrupt the supply chains and are actually benefiting our competitors like Brazil
- 11:32who continue to get the investment to be able to build out the infrastructures
- 11:36to supply
- 11:37Brazil
- 11:38to supply China
- 11:39with,
- 11:40grain. On x, there is no widespread recent,
- 11:44sentiment, but broader trade war discussions highlight farmer anxiety over lost markets.
- 11:49Pro tariff voices claim it protects US jobs, but small producers
- 11:53fear this consolidation.
- 11:55So what do you think, Jacob? Is Trump winning the tariff war, or is this fight starting to hurt farmers?
- 12:01Unknown: I don't know. I mean, I kinda came into this presidency thinking it's gonna be a little while before we really see how things shake out. It sir it sure seems like right now, they're it's hurting putting more strain on
- 12:13the
- 12:14American farmer, especially corn and soy.
- 12:18But
- 12:19it's kinda just, I mean, I was looking at all
- 12:22the stories you have coming up here, and it's like, that was kinda just seem like a common theme that there's just a lot of things pushing on the American farmer right now.
- 12:29Doesn't seem like another thing is,
- 12:32you know, it's kinda like what straw maybe,
- 12:35break some bones on the camel's back. But,
- 12:39Unknown: Yeah. I mean, this is the the stories I'm running today are all sent to me by, listeners,
- 12:45and it just I try to make this a show on the culture of agriculture, but this is what is shaping things the most. It is price, it is supply, and it is demand.
- 12:54And, you're right. Like, there there is just a lot of pressure right now on farmers and a lot of uncertainty. One thing is clear is I don't think anybody's tired of winning right now. I think even,
- 13:06even cattle producers aren't aren't feeling like they're tired of winning just yet, which is what Trump had promised them. So do you think hold on a little longer, or was that the hook that, got farmers on,
- 13:18and now they're stuck with, an administration that isn't actually putting in policies that help them?
- 13:24Unknown: I mean,
- 13:25I
- 13:26don't know. That's kind of
- 13:29a hard deal. Yeah. I don't I don't feel I don't feel there's a lot of farms that are really winning right now, but like I said, I I I mean, most presidencies just try and see how things shake out.
- 13:41But just everything I mean,
- 13:43tariffs have affected
- 13:45not only
- 13:46farmers, but also other businesses and everything and expected,
- 13:51ours a little bit, and it's definitely hurt,
- 13:54a fair bit.
- 13:55So I'm
- 13:57I'm honestly not 100% sold on the, whole tariff
- 14:01thing that Trump is doing, but,
- 14:04like I said, I'm kind of
- 14:06waiting and just trying to weather the storm, but, yeah, the tariffs on everything is not helping right now. I'm I'm
- 14:14thinking.
- 14:16Unknown: Well, let's head on to the third story where we continue talking about prices because beef prices continue to soar while demand holds strong. Despite skyrocketing beef prices in 2025,
- 14:27US demand remains robust
- 14:29with the beef market projected at a 113,200,000,000.0.
- 14:33Beef prices are up 8.8%
- 14:36this year with June prices 10.6
- 14:38higher than in 2024,
- 14:40driven by not just a shrinking supply,
- 14:44beef production is down 2.3%,
- 14:47but also
- 14:49skyrocketing demand. High protein diet trends,
- 14:53have pushed six have increased by 61%
- 14:57in, 2024, and 80% of meat eaters
- 15:01viewing animal,
- 15:02proteins as key to a healthy lifestyle,
- 15:05fuel consumption, and,
- 15:07nutrient dense beef supporters
- 15:09for, like, doing things like weight management. So cattle producers are reaping rewards earning $622
- 15:16per cow in '24 with feeder steers at $2.00 $5.70 per 100 weight. However, packing houses
- 15:22are, reportedly,
- 15:24facing losses of a $133
- 15:26per head due to high cattle costs.
- 15:29On x, the chatter reflects consumers grumbling over high prices, but continuing to grill and, beef producers, some of them really celebrating and saying that, they are they earned this after many, many years of depressed prices.
- 15:43So how about you, Jacob? Beef prices are up. Are you still buying plenty of beef and grilling?
- 15:48Unknown: Yeah. Yeah. We we are. We get beef right from a farmer down the road and,
- 15:54don't once you go to that local beef, it's hard to go back to the grocery store.
- 16:00I'm just kinda
- 16:02wondering, you know, as the time goes on in the coming weeks, maybe months,
- 16:06if you're gonna see any, increase in the, price of pork or chicken or anything of the sort, people. And I wonder if we're gonna hit that point where people are like, you know, maybe a little less beef. Hey. This chicken's a little less for, you
- 16:21know,
- 16:21Unknown: see if curious. Yeah. It's not been that cheap. I will say pork definitely has. My family has increased our our pork eating, which is great with me. I love pork. I think it's, an under celebrated meat in The United States. But, my wife loves chicken, and I can tell you that, like, as the guy that does the grocery shopping, I can see that, chicken prices are pretty high. But I think that that goes along with the idea of, high protein diets. I know my family is much more willing to spend on protein
- 16:50than we probably were a couple of years ago, and I think that that is a cultural trend right now. Oh,
- 16:56Unknown: absolutely. I mean I mean, it's kind of been starting to shift that way in the culture, but it seems like
- 17:02RFK and the handful of other people really
- 17:05push that along really quickly.
- 17:11But
- 17:12Unknown: Yeah. It's, it's gonna be, interesting. They were saying that, prices went up to 4%
- 17:18over the last month, and you would think that that would stall demand, but it's not. And, people often say the cure for high prices is high prices, but
- 17:27maybe if you have,
- 17:28something people want, then it doesn't. And that price just keeps going up. All right. Moving on to another increasing,
- 17:35price. And that is farmland prices. They have hit new highs, but growth is slowing. The USDA's 2025
- 17:42land value summary report reveals that US farmland values reaching a record high
- 17:47with farm real estate averaging $4,350
- 17:51per acre, up 4.3%
- 17:53from 24
- 17:54cropland at $5,830
- 17:57which is up 4.7
- 17:58and pastures up, at 19,
- 18:02dollars 120,
- 18:03which is up 5%.
- 18:05However, growth is decelerating from last prior year's 511.7%
- 18:12from '21 to '22.
- 18:14So this, is showing that there is some,
- 18:17impact from commodity prices
- 18:20and high input costs are making people a little bit more reluctant maybe to take on some acreage. Regional variations, as we know from this show, are
- 18:28very wildly. Michigan leading at 7.8%
- 18:31growth, while high value states like Rhode Island hit 22,500
- 18:36per acre.
- 18:37So,
- 18:38critics from small farmer advocacy groups worry that rising value prices are cutting out young interest
- 18:44entrants and, favoring large operations.
- 18:48So what do you think, Jacob? Are, are land prices,
- 18:51they gonna slow down? Are we gonna hit a peak and start going back down, or are they going up forever?
- 18:56Unknown: I mean, personally, I I don't know completely,
- 19:00as I don't think many people probably do.
- 19:03I I think it's definitely gonna, at least for right now, keep going up.
- 19:08I think it's gonna need a we're gonna need a lot of change. I mean, I know a lot of the reason why our car or our,
- 19:15price per acre is going up so much is
- 19:17solar fields,
- 19:19development.
- 19:20They're putting in some factories,
- 19:22people moving in. All everything's as far as land is getting more expensive around here.
- 19:28So unless you can start cutting some of that,
- 19:32I don't
- 19:33see much,
- 19:34change in that, sadly.
- 19:37Unknown: Yeah. I mean, it's it's, one of these things that the,
- 19:40the rich get richer in in this kind of a scenario. And as the government prints more money, it is one of the places that,
- 19:48that money floats to as it goes to hard assets like land, and we're watching the price go up and up and up. And it's it definitely is keeping younger people from being able to jump in. I was on the way over listening to a real estate agent talk about housing prices, and the exact same thing is happening there. As inflation has gone up, the price of people's homes have gone up. But, eventually, the cure for high prices is high prices, and,
- 20:14people won't be able to buy. And at least in housing right now, you're watching a huge separation between the number of, buyers and the number of sellers. It's in fact, there are more sellers than buyers at the largest margin in something like twenty five years,
- 20:29which was one of those metrics that people saw going into the,
- 20:33the financial crisis of two thousand and eight.
- 20:36I don't know that land will follow that same trend, but it does seem that land prices, at least right now, continue to rocket upwards.
- 20:45Unknown: I mean, yeah, honestly, it
- 20:48we'll see if it,
- 20:49ever goes downward, but, hopefully, it don't hopefully, everything else don't come crashing down with it.
- 20:56Unknown: Alright. Well, that's gonna do it for this week's shows. If you have stories that you think I should be covering, send them to me on x at vance crow,
- 21:05or you can send it to me, vance@legacyinterviews.com.
- 21:09Every story this week was sent to me by listeners, and I really appreciate it. Moving on now to the Bitcoin land price report.
- 21:17So alright. Jacob,
- 21:18what county do you live in? I live in Calhoun County, Michigan.
- 21:23And what does one acre of high quality farmland cost there?
- 21:28Unknown: It depends, but, I would say around,
- 21:32you know, $7.07
- 21:33and a half to 8,000. You just say 8,000.
- 21:36Unknown: Alright. Well, this week, Bitcoin's price has been jumping up and down, but right before press time, it was a $117,500.
- 21:46So if we compare that to $8,000
- 21:48an acre, that means
- 21:50that,
- 21:510.068
- 21:53Bitcoin
- 21:54would buy you an acre of high quality farm ground in Calhoun County, or in other words, one Bitcoin would buy you 14.7
- 22:02acres.
- 22:03How does that sit with you, Jacob?
- 22:05Unknown: I mean, I think it's probably a common, answer you get. I wish I had some Bitcoin.
- 22:11You know, I wish when I was a kid, my parents would have gave me allowance, and I would put that into Bitcoin. I'd be sitting
- 22:17pretty decent. But,
- 22:19no, I mean, it's Bitcoin's one of those things. I I don't have any,
- 22:22I don't have anything in it right now, but it is definitely something as time goes on. I I think I wanna
- 22:28start looking at it a bit more, maybe putting some money into it as well as other things. But
- 22:33Unknown: Yeah. My, my unsolicited advice here is that, the very first purchase is the hardest one. And even if all you do is go out and buy $5, you'll be over that hurdle, and then you won't be like, I wish I would've done it. You'll be like, well, I'm doing it now. And I think that some big things are happening. I was listening to my favorite Bitcoin podcast, which I would recommend to everyone,
- 22:54which is called This Week in Bitcoin,
- 22:56and they pointed out that the Federal Reserve just published a paper. The paper was Official Reserve Reevaluations,
- 23:03The International
- 23:04Experience.
- 23:05This was an article that actually mentioned Bitcoin in the context of a US proposal
- 23:11to use the proceeds revaluing gold reserves to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve
- 23:17or sovereign wealth. So I actually went and read the paper, and the paper is saying,
- 23:22look. There's some talk about maybe trying to find budget neutral ways to buy Bitcoin. That's what Trump said he wants to do. And one way that you could do it would be to reprice gold, which right now, The US has 261,500,000
- 23:36troy ounces of gold,
- 23:38but they're valued at $42.22
- 23:41per ounce on all of the balance sheets. Now everybody that's watched gold knows that gold is actually more like 3,300
- 23:49per, dollars per ounce,
- 23:51And it that statutory limit has actually held down the value of gold. So what you could do and what this paper is talking about doing is that other countries, other central banks, have let go that statutory price on their gold and let it be re,
- 24:06repriced.
- 24:07And then what could you do with what that does with the balance sheet? And the Federal Reserve was hinting at you could potentially buy Bitcoin,
- 24:15which is astounding
- 24:16to think that, the Federal Reserve would do that. What do you think, Jacob? Do you think The US might,
- 24:22reprice their gold and use that repricing to buy Bitcoin?
- 24:26Unknown: I mean, I've heard of
- 24:29other things farther out of left field and that I could see.
- 24:33You know, four, eight years ago,
- 24:35I couldn't see that, but now, honestly,
- 24:38I I wouldn't be that surprised,
- 24:40if something of the sort happened. I'm just I'm not sure how many, people would like or dislike that.
- 24:47Unknown: More than ten years ago, I I attended a couple of meetings at the Federal Reserve about Bitcoin, and they treated it like such a joke.
- 24:54And now it is so amazing to see them writing papers, and I don't think there is any moment too soon.
- 25:02I was also listening to Luke Groman, talk about he's an economist, and he was saying, look. Bitcoin may actually be the solution to the government's problems.
- 25:11We must print money in order to have enough money to pay off our debts. But if you print money, that inflation is gonna go into things. We talked about it's going into land prices. It's going into wherever you have hired assets.
- 25:24Well, if it goes if all of a sudden all of that money flowed straight into commodity prices and commodity prices
- 25:30jumped from $4 all the way up to
- 25:33$18
- 25:34a bushel or $60
- 25:36a bushel,
- 25:37you'd have people mass starving around the world. You might have really happy farmers, but this would suddenly be very bad thing. But Bitcoin actually offers an off ramp. Instead of money going into commodities or growing into the housing market or into land, it could go into Bitcoin of which you're not pricing anybody out of anything at that point. You're not keeping them from being able to eat or afford a house or get electricity.
- 26:01So to me, Bitcoin may be the answer to a lot of the US government and really governments all over the world's problems. What do you think? You think, there's a chance we may funnel all that money,
- 26:13that they print into Bitcoin?
- 26:15Unknown: I don't know about all of it, but I'm sure I mean, I don't see, just thinking about it. I don't know why exactly wouldn't hurt delete. I mean, it makes some sense,
- 26:25but also it make
- 26:27I know, as I kinda was mentioning earlier about, you know, land prices going up with the solar and all that. They're just looking at some way to make a return on their money. So, I mean, if they could see that and see Bitcoin or something of the sort
- 26:42as a just as good or maybe a bit more even or even better investment, then
- 26:48I think that would help,
- 26:50that,
- 26:51issue from story four.
- 26:54Unknown: Yeah. I it's we're gonna see what happens, but I think the world is gonna continue to be,
- 26:59ever shaped by prices. Alright. If you are interested in buying Bitcoin, then I recommend using River. If you use the, link that I'll put in the show notes, then you will both, be buying from a great, exchange where I do my Bitcoin purchasing, but you will also,
- 27:15be supporting the show, which will get a little, bit of Bitcoin if you make a purchase there. So go to river.com and make that purchase. Alright. Moving on to the Peter Thiel paradox. Jacob, what is one thing that you believe that almost nobody in your tribe agrees with you on?
- 27:32Unknown: I mean, I'm sure there's some people that could see this coming, but I really I mean, I kind of we're talking a little bit about at the first of a lot of, you know, jobs for crop dusters getting,
- 27:43you know, sent more over to the drones.
- 27:46Although I think it's gonna broaden just from crop dusters, I think you're gonna see that a lot with
- 27:52I think we already are seeing a bit of that with, traditional boom type sprayers
- 27:57and air blast sprayers and even, some of the few people that do backpack spraying still.
- 28:02There's a lot of those
- 28:04that, I
- 28:05think,
- 28:06eventually will transition over the drone or at least try it.
- 28:11I mean, they're they're incredibly versatile tool. I mean,
- 28:14you can make it, like, an air blast sprayer. Are you pushing everything through the canopy or you're blanketing it across the field. So
- 28:22Unknown: You were telling me before about,
- 28:24who you think will lead the future in drone manufacturing. Will it be The US?
- 28:30Unknown: I
- 28:31kinda,
- 28:32I mean, the thing is China's already got a huge
- 28:36jump on us. I mean,
- 28:38I have not messed with too much with the, more American
- 28:41assembled drones.
- 28:43I though I have some customers that
- 28:46had some. They ran them for a year or two. They bought one of these.
- 28:50XAG is the main company,
- 28:52we sell for. They bought one of those, and they said it's been the easiest and nicest and fastest
- 28:58year,
- 28:59for their corn fungicide run.
- 29:01So, I mean,
- 29:03I'm American. I would love to see, and I'd love to go to a show and say this is an American drone right here,
- 29:10but I don't think we're gonna see that anytime soon. And what worries me is there's a lot of push to ban Chinese made drones, and there's some good reasons, and I'm open to hearing that.
- 29:21But a lot of the reasons that they've pushed have kind of been, you know, security audits and whatnot, and so far the companies have been audited past. So,
- 29:30you know, until there's
- 29:32some real serious, I don't,
- 29:35quite buy into the banning. But, I mean, like I said, world's changing. They're like I've said, but, you know, the world's changing. You know, something may happen, and, you know, I may say, you know, we gotta quit using these. But
- 29:47from what I know right now,
- 29:49China's
- 29:50fairly,
- 29:51far ahead, and I've not seen any, like, real big security issues with the ones we are using, at least for what we are using it for.
- 29:59Unknown: It's hard to say what to do in a situation like this. I know personally, like,
- 30:04we have a camera system in my house.
- 30:07In order that I can keep security on things, I can, check-in on my sleeping, you know, newborn.
- 30:13And it turns out
- 30:14that, all these video feeds were hitting servers over in China.
- 30:19And, and so, you know, I don't know that they're sitting there watching me in my house, but it definitely felt weird that they had set up the, you know, the ecosystem for that. I think about that on a grand scale for drones
- 30:32Unknown: seems like it could be an actual national security threat. It could. And, I mean, there's some things I can get, like, you know, like, not using them for federal or some state projects,
- 30:43you know, having it now also just private use.
- 30:46I will say, at least with the manufacturer we work with,
- 30:50XAG,
- 30:51they have worked to move all their servers from China to The US. They're on a Amazon server in North Carolina, I believe,
- 30:59and they worked. And the one thing I've heard from them that was kinda interesting is it's harder for
- 31:05them to access the servers here than it is for us to go the other way across and send stuff to China.
- 31:12So I I don't know. We'll see. I'm not a sec security expert
- 31:16on that regard, but
- 31:18Unknown: Alright. Moving on to your worthy adversary, who is one person that you respect but you strongly disagree with?
- 31:26Unknown: Kinda in the same realm of drones, but he's done a lot more than just drones. But it's a be a guy by the name of Mark Lediper. He's
- 31:33a spraying guru,
- 31:35as some may call him. He is an expert in the field.
- 31:39Yeah. His
- 31:40dad and,
- 31:42someone else started
- 31:43a
- 31:44spray air air blast spraying company and sold from that and went into consulting, consults for a lot of different companies.
- 31:52He's,
- 31:53you know, got a lot of knowledge. You know, there's some things though that it's like
- 31:57he's like,
- 31:58oh, right now, I don't think that's gonna work there, and then we go out, we do it, it works. Like, well, why is it working? And
- 32:05doesn't have a you know, challenges us a little bit with that and,
- 32:09you know, the job we're doing.
- 32:12Unknown: Alright. So you started off strong. You were willing to name somebody, and you're saying that he this guy thinks, like, yeah. This can't be done, and you've ended up proving him wrong a couple of times?
- 32:23Unknown: Oh, some things. And the the main thing, like, is with coverage is they're very like, you need to have this percent of coverage, and then we do our test. We're not getting even really too much close to it, but it's still, you know, very effective getting the job done. So we kinda pressed him on it a lot of times and
- 32:41kind of not having a real good answer.
- 32:45Unknown: I love it. I'll call him out for that. Well, I your your, Peter Thiel paradox was a little indiscernible to me, but this worthy adversary is one of the good ones. So we will add this to our list. It's good. It's important that, you find people, you say, hey. This guy's built up a reputation. He's done well for himself.
- 33:03But, you know, sometimes we found some things that we don't agree with. That's exactly how you discover
- 33:09new information. So thank you for that.
- 33:11Alright. We are going to close out. But before we do, Jacob, if people wanted to learn more about your,
- 33:17drone company,
- 33:19Unknown: what you guys do and what you're all about, where where would they go to learn more? Yeah. We're based out of, Michigan here. We can kinda get into Northern Indiana and Northern Ohio a little bit, but our company is called OnPoint Applications
- 33:31Group.
- 33:33We sell primarily XAG brand drones. We're kinda working on getting a couple other ones here.
- 33:38But that is our bread and butter. That is the ones that we have you know, we started with two of them, and we've gone pretty much just to this one because we like them so much. They're so much more serviceable and all that
- 33:51stuff.
- 33:52Unknown: And what is the point of differentiation? Why should people come to you?
- 33:58Unknown: I mean, kind of how we came to be was, you know, the
- 34:03thing that we, wanna set ourself, out on with service. I mean, what good is it if I sell you a drone and,
- 34:10yeah, you don't get any service? I mean, I had a guy a couple about a month ago,
- 34:15crash his drone real bad, had to total it. The guy he bought it from, he went to him and was like, hey. I need some service. I need to get this fixed, and the guy just said we don't service those.
- 34:24So he got our got our number from a mutual friend. We got them right up and going.
- 34:30So
- 34:31Unknown: Well, Jacob, that fits perfectly with my experience with you. I had asked last week, hey. If there's anybody out in the ag world that, wants to do the ag tribes report, thinks they might bring a new perspective,
- 34:42You wrote me. You were super responsive. You were
- 34:45provided all kinds of information.
- 34:47And if your service for drones is anything like the way we prep for this, then I think you are probably one hell of a good company.
- 34:57Unknown: Alright. Well, that's fine. You. And just one last thing. Sure.
- 35:01Oh, just one last thing. There's a show here in Michigan. If you're locally, probably heard of it, Agro Expo next week. We'll be doing some demos and have a booth there. If you'll see, check what everything's
- 35:11out, have a conversation,
- 35:13whether you think I'm doing a stupid thing and wanna tell me that, or you think this is a great idea and wanna
- 35:19learn more, go ahead and,
- 35:21find us there.
- 35:22Unknown: Definitely. If you heard, Jacob on the podcast, tell him you heard him on the podcast. I'd love to hear that. Alright. Thanks, Jacob, for coming on,
- 35:30and thank you for tuning into the Ag Tribes Report. That's gonna do it for this week. As I mentioned, I will put a link into,
- 35:37for River. If you're thinking about buying Bitcoin, I could tell you
- 35:41it does seem like the stars are lining up for some pretty big moves,
- 35:45in the
- 35:46short to medium term. And, go check out this week in Bitcoin. Also,
- 35:51if you are somebody that is trying to help your organization
- 35:55get better,
- 35:56a few weeks ago, I was invited to, give a workshop on storytelling.
- 36:00And, this workshop is called the man on the box. And I start off by telling the story of how I was out competed by a snake oil salesman.
- 36:09I, once was in Africa trying to teach the people how to prevent malaria, thought I was doing a great job, teaching them all about the science.
- 36:16And a man came walking into town one day, stepped up on a box and told the villagers a story. And I remember thinking, like, no way, man. I brought science here. Like, there's no way they're gonna listen to you. And every single person in that village
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- 36:40And so I offer a workshop that will teach you and your organization how to tell your story, how to introduce yourself, how to talk about what you care about, how to talk about the value that you bring so that you can outcompete,
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- 37:00and, fill out the contact form, and let's see if we can work on something.
- 37:05Alright. That's gonna do it for this week. Next week, I'm a very excited.
- 37:10We have Jim Smith coming on, so he just agreed to that. He is,
- 37:14got some great takes and a great podcast. So I'm looking forward to that. So I'll be back next week. And as always,
- 37:21feel free to disagree.