Latest / Pod Save the World / Is Trump Planning to Invade Cuba?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Potze of the World is brought to you by Remy.
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- 1:50Speaker 1: for sponsoring this episode. Welcome back to pot Day of
- 2:05Speaker 1: the World. I'm Tommy Vitorre, I'm Ben Rhodes. Ben, Please
- 2:09Speaker 1: enjoy this great moment in national security history from our President,
- 2:14Speaker 1: mister Donald J. Trump.
- 2:16Speaker 2: Let's watch the entire roof is developed for militariot.
- 2:20Speaker 3: They have a three hundred and six vision Washington DJAS.
- 2:25Speaker 4: They have a massive grown capacity.
- 2:27Speaker 3: Not only is it drone proof and a drone head
- 2:30Speaker 3: it bounces off.
- 2:31Speaker 4: They won't have any gift back, but it's also meant
- 2:35Speaker 4: as a.
- 2:35Speaker 5: Drone for it how it protects all of Washington the
- 2:39Speaker 5: roof of the.
- 2:40Speaker 1: Belty Ben, do you think that that's how he thinks
- 2:44Speaker 1: that counter drone systems work, That it's just like a
- 2:46Speaker 1: strong roof? Does he think iron dome is a literal thing?
- 2:50Speaker 6: So first of all, it feels like a wonderful space
- 2:53Speaker 6: for a coup for the If you need to launch
- 2:57Speaker 6: a military coup, what better place to launch the pusch
- 3:01Speaker 6: from within.
- 3:01Speaker 7: Your own ballroom.
- 3:02Speaker 6: It's a good point where you can have a bunker
- 3:04Speaker 6: under the ballroom and you can send drones out. So
- 3:08Speaker 6: good dual use to use a national security term. I
- 3:11Speaker 6: also just love how did you see him at some
- 3:16Speaker 6: Trump our X event talk about how how great it
- 3:18Speaker 6: is for medical. You can't talk same thing like this
- 3:22Speaker 6: is great for military, like just.
- 3:24Speaker 1: Like skips parts of sentences.
- 3:26Speaker 7: Yeah, it's just you know, it's all.
- 3:29Speaker 1: I also love their innovative ways. They try to hold
- 3:33Speaker 1: press conferences at the locations with the worst audio possible,
- 3:36Speaker 1: like how do we beat this marine warceet engine?
- 3:40Speaker 8: Oh?
- 3:40Speaker 1: I know, dude with a hammer. Yeah.
- 3:42Speaker 6: It reminds me whenever I have to do like a
- 3:44Speaker 6: podcast from home or something, and like the flying overseas
- 3:47Speaker 6: and there's some dude with a leaf flower outside.
- 3:50Speaker 7: But Trump likes that.
- 3:51Speaker 1: He loves it. Apparently he's like, how can we make
- 3:53Speaker 1: this as annoying it's humanly possible for everybody. Also, did
- 3:57Speaker 1: you see the Wall Street Journal story the other day
- 4:00Speaker 1: with the headline dad books are a dying breed? The
- 4:04Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal says that nonfiction books shit about politics,
- 4:07Speaker 1: current affairs, and biographies are falling off, and what's killing
- 4:11Speaker 1: them ben are podcasts.
- 4:13Speaker 7: Well then I'm fucked.
- 4:14Speaker 1: So this feels like a direct shot at this show
- 4:17Speaker 1: because I feel like, well, first of all, we need
- 4:21Speaker 1: to create a.
- 4:21Speaker 6: Cur for dad books, because we did books are great
- 4:24Speaker 6: all dads and we read books.
- 4:25Speaker 1: You've got one coming out.
- 4:26Speaker 7: I do, I do.
- 4:28Speaker 1: I feel like this is important. We have a responsibility
- 4:30Speaker 1: as podcasters to promote nonfiction books.
- 4:33Speaker 6: The podcast should work in synergy with not in competition
- 4:39Speaker 6: with it. So a week from today, as we record,
- 4:43Speaker 6: is the release date for my book. All we say
- 4:46Speaker 6: say this book is very personal to me because basically,
- 4:50Speaker 6: you remember, our last book is about authoritarianism. And one
- 4:53Speaker 6: of the things I noticed in writing mat Putin she Trump,
- 4:55Speaker 6: is how central history and storytelling is to authoritarians. They're
- 4:59Speaker 6: essentially trying to rewrite history as a prequel to their assent.
- 5:03Speaker 6: And it got me thinking.
- 5:04Speaker 1: Of familiar to us here in America, very.
- 5:06Speaker 6: Familiar, and so I wanted to understand Trump and all
- 5:10Speaker 6: the dysfunction and toxicity in our politics today by going
- 5:14Speaker 6: all the way back to the beginning and using my
- 5:16Speaker 6: speech writer experience, choosing fifteen speeches through which to understand
- 5:21Speaker 6: the argument we've been having about America and our identity.
- 5:24Speaker 7: Who is an American? What is an American?
- 5:26Speaker 6: Who gets to decide those questions? And so you take
- 5:29Speaker 6: a journey all the way from Benjamin Franklin through some
- 5:33Speaker 6: extraordinary abolitionists and suffragettes and people like Abraham Lincoln and
- 5:37Speaker 6: Frederick Douglass up through Martin Luther King all the way
- 5:40Speaker 6: to ending with Obama and Donald Trump. And I promise
- 5:44Speaker 6: you this was incredibly fun to write, so I think
- 5:47Speaker 6: it'll be fun to read because when you look at
- 5:49Speaker 6: a speech, you're really just looking at history in the
- 5:52Speaker 6: present tense, Like, how were movements operating at that time?
- 5:55Speaker 6: Who are these people that emerged out of nowhere to
- 5:57Speaker 6: change the course of history? How do you tell a
- 5:59Speaker 6: story that actually galvanizes and mobilizes people, something that we
- 6:03Speaker 6: seem to have lost the capacity to do today. So
- 6:06Speaker 6: the book is out one week today. Please, if you
- 6:08Speaker 6: want to pick it up, pre order it. Pre order it,
- 6:10Speaker 6: gets it out of it gets been on the New
- 6:11Speaker 6: York Times Best allyway.
- 6:12Speaker 7: It's on the bestseller, but it also.
- 6:13Speaker 1: Displaces Don Juniors Triggered four or whatever.
- 6:16Speaker 6: Take a look at that list and just tall both
- 6:19Speaker 6: know how much better you'd feel to see like a
- 6:21Speaker 6: book about who we are as Americans.
- 6:23Speaker 1: We're not losing to those people. Yeah, all we say
- 6:25Speaker 1: is going to beat the bulk. Order a little cross
- 6:28Speaker 1: next to their name. Don Junior, Eric Trump, fucking bullshit, chopshop,
- 6:32Speaker 1: Fox News, killing Lincoln garbage books.
- 6:35Speaker 6: Yeah, no more, kid, We're not killing anybody in this book.
- 6:37Speaker 6: We're trying to tell the story of America on our
- 6:40Speaker 6: tun and fiftieth birthday in a way that we can
- 6:42Speaker 6: feel both honest about. Actually, one of the other things
- 6:46Speaker 6: I was really struck by, Tommy, is like people knew
- 6:49Speaker 6: exactly what was going on at the time. You know,
- 6:51Speaker 6: the Seneca Chief in eighteen oh five. It's not like
- 6:53Speaker 6: they didn't know what was being done to Native Americans
- 6:55Speaker 6: in this country. It's not like abolitionists didn't know what
- 6:57Speaker 6: was going on in eighteen thirties. And just reliving that
- 7:01Speaker 6: through uh the story as it was told at the
- 7:03Speaker 6: time was extraordinary for me to experience for four years.
- 7:07Speaker 6: You can hear a clip of the audio book if
- 7:08Speaker 6: you want to go all the way to the end
- 7:09Speaker 6: of the podcast today and I'll be out on the
- 7:12Speaker 6: road and I'll be sharing all those dates and hope
- 7:13Speaker 6: to see the world is in the audience because it's
- 7:15Speaker 6: always cool to see every day.
- 7:16Speaker 1: Save the Dad book by picking up a copy of
- 7:19Speaker 1: All We Say for Father's.
- 7:20Speaker 7: Day, dare I say yes? The Perfect Father's Day.
- 7:23Speaker 1: Gift, Perfect Father's Day Gift, which is coming.
- 7:24Speaker 7: Father's love History. They love America. Yeah, it is the
- 7:27Speaker 7: better version of America.
- 7:29Speaker 1: My wife's going to be out of town for Father's Day,
- 7:31Speaker 1: so I'll be with the kids solo.
- 7:33Speaker 7: Just kick back with this.
- 7:34Speaker 1: That's what she thinks about me. Okay, we got a
- 7:36Speaker 1: great show for you guys today.
- 7:37Speaker 7: We're gonna find out a panelistens this podcast.
- 7:39Speaker 1: Is not There's all these signals, Ben, we're you and
- 7:42Speaker 1: I are texting over the weekend. It just feels like
- 7:44Speaker 1: every life is blinking red. Would be read or green?
- 7:47Speaker 1: I guess green. That the Trump administration is planning some
- 7:50Speaker 1: sort of imminent regime change operation in Cuba, which is great.
- 7:53Speaker 1: We need another one to We're going to talk about well,
- 7:55Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about what those you know, what those
- 7:58Speaker 1: indications are. We'll talk about the humanitarian situation on the
- 8:00Speaker 1: ground there. We'll also touch on this growing political crisis
- 8:03Speaker 1: in Bolivia, which has exploded on social media over the weekend.
- 8:07Speaker 1: Then we're gonna up you guys on all things around,
- 8:09Speaker 1: the bad, the worse, the dumb. We'll explain what was
- 8:15Speaker 1: and what was not accomplished during Trump's China trip, why
- 8:17Speaker 1: folks in Taiwan are feeling a little more nervous these
- 8:20Speaker 1: days than they were before the trip. And then Ben
- 8:22Speaker 1: and I are going to gonna get to see some
- 8:24Speaker 1: highlights from the annual Eurovision context that I look forward to.
- 8:28Speaker 6: This every year every year, Michael's curation of Eurovision.
- 8:31Speaker 1: For every year. Once a year, Michael tries to force
- 8:33Speaker 1: us to care about Eurovision and we say, all right,
- 8:37Speaker 1: I don't. Yeah, I got on a better pitch.
- 8:38Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 8:41Speaker 1: And then you're gonna hear my conversation with Nish Kumar
- 8:43Speaker 1: from Podsea of the UK. We talk about what the
- 8:46Speaker 1: hell is happening with Prime Minister Cure Starmer, the Labor Party,
- 8:50Speaker 1: Nigel Faraj, the rise of Reformed UK, the right wing
- 8:53Speaker 1: party over there, and then we just laugh a lot
- 8:55Speaker 1: because Nish is so funny.
- 8:57Speaker 6: Does Nisch have a favored horse in this fight? Is
- 9:00Speaker 6: he Andy Burnham?
- 9:01Speaker 5: Guys?
- 9:01Speaker 7: He an Angel Riner?
- 9:03Speaker 1: My guess is he didn't say, But my guess is,
- 9:05Speaker 1: you know he was from Tech a little further to
- 9:07Speaker 1: the left.
- 9:09Speaker 7: Is probably Green Curious.
- 9:10Speaker 1: Yeah, Yah, yeah, I think we're all a little green.
- 9:13Speaker 7: I'm green Curious.
- 9:14Speaker 1: Potsave the UK is a hilarious, fantastic show. You should subscribe.
- 9:18Speaker 1: Also check out Nisch's comedy special. It's on YouTube right now.
- 9:21Speaker 1: It's called Niche Don't Kill My Vite, which is a
- 9:24Speaker 1: great title funny Guy. Also, speaking of YouTube, please subscribe
- 9:27Speaker 1: to pot Save the World and YouTube. How many times
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- 9:38Speaker 1: help us grow. So please consider doing it. And if
- 9:40Speaker 1: you want to see everybody here in person, Ben, get
- 9:42Speaker 1: a ticket to Crooked con Is November fifth through seventh
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- 9:48Speaker 1: torrid love affairs, underwhelming love affairs, and mostly just fun
- 9:52Speaker 1: people coming together to talk about the future of politics,
- 9:55Speaker 1: trying to make this country a better place. The midterms
- 9:57Speaker 1: will just have happened. Hopefully they're good. Trump endorsing Ken
- 10:00Speaker 1: Paxton in Texas today.
- 10:02Speaker 7: Yes, makes me a little genius.
- 10:04Speaker 1: What the fuck? Yeah?
- 10:05Speaker 7: That guy is a creep, a walk in creep.
- 10:08Speaker 6: It's hard to design a maga creep more effectively than
- 10:12Speaker 6: Ken Paxton.
- 10:12Speaker 1: Have you seen the story about Ken Paxson. He's going
- 10:14Speaker 1: through a security gate to get into a like a
- 10:16Speaker 1: court room or something, and he stole some guy's like
- 10:19Speaker 1: thousand dollars pen.
- 10:20Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, just like a crop.
- 10:22Speaker 6: If you ever wanted to test the proposition that maybe
- 10:26Speaker 6: right wing politics in this country are not about ernest religiosity,
- 10:30Speaker 6: a James Talerico versus Ken Paxton race is definitely going
- 10:33Speaker 6: to put that to the test.
- 10:34Speaker 1: Yeah, that's not a hard one. More info at crookedcan
- 10:37Speaker 1: dot com and also Friends of the Pod subscribers get
- 10:40Speaker 1: a discounted price, so another reason to subscribe. All right, Ben,
- 10:44Speaker 1: should we start with Cuba? Yes, I know you care
- 10:45Speaker 1: deeply about this. On Let's go again. Seems like all
- 10:47Speaker 1: these warning laser flashing. The most recent data point was
- 10:50Speaker 1: this Axios report from over the weekend that said Cuba
- 10:53Speaker 1: has obtained three hundred military drones and is considering using
- 10:56Speaker 1: them to attack targets at the US military base Guantanamo
- 11:00Speaker 1: Bay if they are attacked. I feel like if they
- 11:02Speaker 1: are attacked, retaliation. Part of this was kind of underemphasized
- 11:06Speaker 1: in the reporting, but there were a lot of background
- 11:08Speaker 1: quotes kind of hyping the threat from Cuba to the US.
- 11:11Speaker 1: It's like all these people quoted just figured out it's
- 11:14Speaker 1: ninety miles away. I always love that. So there's your
- 11:17Speaker 1: pretext for why the US has to take a preemptive
- 11:20Speaker 1: action in Cuba, right.
- 11:21Speaker 6: Because if they're invaded, they might fight.
- 11:23Speaker 1: Back, so we got to improve retaliation. Got it? Listen? Yeah,
- 11:29Speaker 1: I appreciate that. There's also been reports that the US
- 11:31Speaker 1: is planning to indict ninety four year old Raoul Castro
- 11:34Speaker 1: for a crime that occurred in nineteen ninety six. As
- 11:37Speaker 1: as is normal, you might be thinking that seems strange.
- 11:40Speaker 1: He seems like he's about to die. But it's not
- 11:42Speaker 1: strange when you consider how central the indictment of Nicholas
- 11:45Speaker 1: Maduro was to the rationale for the Venezuela operation that
- 11:48Speaker 1: deposed him earlier this year. Then there were CIA Director
- 11:51Speaker 1: John Ratcliffe's visit to Cuba last week. Sometimes those trips happen,
- 11:55Speaker 1: they're usually secret, that's why you send the CIA director.
- 11:57Speaker 1: But instead the CIA put out a statement about it.
- 12:00Speaker 1: They said Ratcliffe was there to personally deliver a message
- 12:02Speaker 1: from Trump that sounded like an ultimatum to me ben
- 12:05Speaker 1: And then finally, The Times has been reporting that there's
- 12:07Speaker 1: been an increase in US surveillance flights over Cuba in
- 12:10Speaker 1: recent weeks, and the broader contexts, as listeners probably know,
- 12:13Speaker 1: is that the US has had this full blockade on
- 12:16Speaker 1: Cuba since January. The entire island is just rocked by
- 12:21Speaker 1: this humanitarian crisis. There is no fuel, so there's no power.
- 12:24Speaker 1: Hospitals can function, people can't cook food, Families are starving.
- 12:28Speaker 1: It is an absolute nightmare.
- 12:29Speaker 7: Children are starving to death.
- 12:30Speaker 1: Children are starving to death. I mean, here's Secretary of
- 12:33Speaker 1: State Marco Rubio talking about Cuba last week. I think
- 12:36Speaker 1: this is like on the way to China while they
- 12:38Speaker 1: were in China. Let's watch.
- 12:39Speaker 9: There is no economy in Cuba to the extent there's
- 12:43Speaker 9: any wealth in Cuba, it doesn't go it doesn't forget about,
- 12:45Speaker 9: it doesn't go to the people.
- 12:46Speaker 7: It doesn't even go to the government.
- 12:48Speaker 9: The wealth is controlled by a private by a company
- 12:50Speaker 9: owned by military generals. They take all the money. They're
- 12:53Speaker 9: sitting on billions of dollars. Okay, this is a country
- 12:56Speaker 9: where people are literally now eating garbage from the streets,
- 12:59Speaker 9: but they have a company that controls all of the
- 13:01Speaker 9: money making there that's sitting on fifteen sixteen billion dollars
- 13:05Speaker 9: so it's a broken, non functional economy and it's impossible
- 13:09Speaker 9: to change it. I wish it were different, but I
- 13:11Speaker 9: believe it's my personal opinion, you cannot change the economic
- 13:14Speaker 9: trajectory of Cuba as long as the people who are
- 13:18Speaker 9: in charge of it now are in charge of it.
- 13:19Speaker 9: That's what's going to have to change, because these people
- 13:21Speaker 9: are proven incapable. I hope I'm wrong. We'll give them
- 13:24Speaker 9: a chance, but I don't think it's going to happen.
- 13:27Speaker 1: Okay, So Ben, I'm curious how you're reading all these
- 13:29Speaker 1: tea leaves and like, I don't know, if there isn't
- 13:31Speaker 1: a regime change operation, are they just going to starve
- 13:34Speaker 1: this entire island full of people in perpetuities like a
- 13:37Speaker 1: medieval siege happening here.
- 13:39Speaker 7: Yes.
- 13:39Speaker 6: And first of all, Rubio, if you kind of look
- 13:45Speaker 6: hard enough in his eyes, it's hard to identify like
- 13:48Speaker 6: the soul underneath, especially on this issue, because what he's
- 13:52Speaker 6: talking about is it's so farcical. Because is there corruption
- 13:59Speaker 6: and RepA Russian in the Cuban government. Yes, But the
- 14:02Speaker 6: reason people are reading garbage is because on top of
- 14:05Speaker 6: the embargo that has been in place for sixty plus years,
- 14:10Speaker 6: there's a full blockade of the island. If they wanted
- 14:13Speaker 6: tomorrow to have a market based economy, they couldn't because
- 14:18Speaker 6: they are completely cut off from the US financial system.
- 14:21Speaker 6: When we were in office and did the engagement of
- 14:24Speaker 6: policy with the Cubans, they wanted to open up their
- 14:28Speaker 6: economy to foreign investment and they created a private sector.
- 14:33Speaker 6: And literally we couldn't get any bank to do any
- 14:36Speaker 6: business in Cuba because of US sanctions, even though we
- 14:38Speaker 6: were trying to lift those sanctions, and we actually had
- 14:41Speaker 6: to kind of give direct permission to one bank just
- 14:44Speaker 6: to facilitate some transactions. So these guys like Rubio liked
- 14:48Speaker 6: to get up there and make it seem like the
- 14:50Speaker 6: entire just travesty of human suffering that is happening there
- 14:56Speaker 6: is somehow because of a handful of corrupt Communist Party
- 14:59Speaker 6: officials or generals. When far and away, and I'm tired
- 15:03Speaker 6: of just this one in on the other end thing
- 15:05Speaker 6: far and away. The reason that Cubans are suffering is
- 15:08Speaker 6: because of the US blockade. You could have you know,
- 15:12Speaker 6: Adam Smith and John Maynard Kaines running the economy, and
- 15:15Speaker 6: if you have a total US embargo that cuts the
- 15:19Speaker 6: country off from accessing the US dollar, which is needed
- 15:21Speaker 6: for transactions, and then a blockade of all oil coming
- 15:25Speaker 6: into the country, you'd still have people eating garbage in
- 15:27Speaker 6: the street.
- 15:27Speaker 1: Well, you can't refrigerate anyth Yeah, there's no electricity for
- 15:29Speaker 1: twenty hours at a time.
- 15:31Speaker 6: So shit, And that means that hospitals are shutting down
- 15:33Speaker 6: and people are dying who are on things like ventilators
- 15:35Speaker 6: because of Marco Ribio. He's killing the people that he
- 15:38Speaker 6: claims to be trying to help. And I wish that
- 15:41Speaker 6: there was more of a kind of moral outcry against
- 15:43Speaker 6: this from the Democrats, from the media, but it is
- 15:47Speaker 6: what it is. In terms of what's happening, my sense
- 15:51Speaker 6: is that the Cubans have been willing to make lots
- 15:53Speaker 6: of concessions. You know, they've been trying to make signals
- 15:56Speaker 6: that they're they're releasing certain political prisoners. They're probably willing
- 16:00Speaker 6: to open up some real estate for development from you know,
- 16:04Speaker 6: Trump's rich Cuban American friends in South Florida, or they're
- 16:08Speaker 6: willing to make changes in their economic model. But you
- 16:11Speaker 6: just heard Rubio give up the game, which is he
- 16:14Speaker 6: thinks that the whole government has to change, and no
- 16:16Speaker 6: government whether you like that governor or not, is going
- 16:19Speaker 6: to negotiate its own regime change. And so we're in
- 16:22Speaker 6: this kind of you know, Mexican standoff where essentially they're saying,
- 16:27Speaker 6: you guys all have to leave or else what And
- 16:32Speaker 6: the or else now seems to be that they, you know,
- 16:35Speaker 6: Diaz Canal, who's the actual president of Cuba, is not
- 16:37Speaker 6: a big enough fish, probably for Trump and Rubio. So
- 16:40Speaker 6: they're looking at Ralph Castro, who's like literally ninety.
- 16:43Speaker 7: Four years old.
- 16:45Speaker 6: It's not like he's you know, he may be the
- 16:47Speaker 6: final decision maker, but he's not running the country day
- 16:50Speaker 6: to day.
- 16:50Speaker 7: But he's a name.
- 16:51Speaker 6: You know, Fidel's dead, Rau's laughed, We're going to indict
- 16:54Speaker 6: him over something.
- 16:55Speaker 1: It's like literally a scalp for all these hardline humans
- 16:58Speaker 1: in Miami who have hated the cast And.
- 16:59Speaker 6: By the way, if we're relitigating, you know things that
- 17:02Speaker 6: happened thirty years ago. I mean, the CIA has shot
- 17:06Speaker 6: down Cuban airliners and killed civilians, like there was something
- 17:08Speaker 6: called the Bay of Pigs invasion. I mean, like the
- 17:11Speaker 6: point is that the history runs in both directions in
- 17:12Speaker 6: this relationship, and the idea that you're going to charge
- 17:15Speaker 6: Castro for the shootdown of an airplane in the mid nineties.
- 17:21Speaker 7: That's not serious.
- 17:22Speaker 6: I mean, why the justice system waited thirty years until
- 17:26Speaker 6: Donald Trump wanted to play emperor of Latin America to
- 17:29Speaker 6: all of a sudden decide to hold Raul Castro accountable
- 17:32Speaker 6: for this. And I think what they'll probably try to
- 17:35Speaker 6: do is, you know, regime change on the cheap. A
- 17:38Speaker 6: bunch of Delta Force guys are going to go grab
- 17:40Speaker 6: a ninety four year old man and then what We'll
- 17:44Speaker 6: put a gun to the rest of the Cuban government's
- 17:45Speaker 6: head and say, let the Miami Cubans develop the real
- 17:48Speaker 6: estate down here.
- 17:49Speaker 1: I mean, right, it's only an oil for us as deal.
- 17:51Speaker 1: I mean, it's not even a clear play. It's just
- 17:53Speaker 1: it's like a political project for Rubio in Florida. And
- 17:56Speaker 1: by the way, just to hammer home this humanitarian point,
- 17:59Speaker 1: because I'm with you, like it does feel like there's
- 18:01Speaker 1: just a bizarre lack of concern interest concern. We're doing right, Yeah,
- 18:05Speaker 1: the OS is doing. We reached out to a reporter
- 18:07Speaker 1: on the ground in Cuba named Ed Augustin to get
- 18:10Speaker 1: his sense from his reporting what life is like on
- 18:12Speaker 1: the ground for the Cuban people. Let's listen to that.
- 18:15Speaker 2: Hunger is growing by the day in Cuba because there's
- 18:19Speaker 2: no diesel to get food to market. Tomatoes, milk, meat
- 18:26Speaker 2: is rotting in the countryside because it can simply not
- 18:29Speaker 2: be transported to the city. In Santiagoo, Cuba, Cuba's main
- 18:34Speaker 2: city in the east, I was reporting from eighteen story
- 18:38Speaker 2: high rises where the rich are now cooking with carbon
- 18:42Speaker 2: with coal, and the poor are cooking either with firewood
- 18:46Speaker 2: they have to walk miles to chop with machetes or
- 18:51Speaker 2: with cardboard that they find in growing piles of rubbish.
- 18:54Speaker 2: We're seeing infor mortality rates shoot up, an increase in
- 19:00Speaker 2: the lack of drinking water. Over eighty percent of the
- 19:04Speaker 2: water pumps in Cuba to get water from reservoirs to
- 19:07Speaker 2: people's homes and hospitals, relies on electricity. So these sanctions
- 19:12Speaker 2: are killing. They're killing in the civilian population. It's the
- 19:14Speaker 2: most vulnerable that are suffering and are having their life
- 19:19Speaker 2: expectancy reduced. But there's also fear of a military intervention,
- 19:24Speaker 2: and that is really significant because until recently in Cuba,
- 19:30Speaker 2: the notion of a US military attack was seen as
- 19:32Speaker 2: a bit of a cliche, right, The government's been warning
- 19:34Speaker 2: of it for two thousand of a century. Now the
- 19:37Speaker 2: feelings changed. I spoke to a guy whose dream, he said,
- 19:41Speaker 2: was to leave Cuba and to go to the United States.
- 19:43Speaker 2: But when I asked him what he'd do in the
- 19:44Speaker 2: case of military intervention, he said, well, I'm a trained sniper,
- 19:47Speaker 2: and what I'll have to do is I have to
- 19:49Speaker 2: go and be on duty. Another family I spoke to
- 19:52Speaker 2: got told that they have a contingency plan, state organized
- 19:54Speaker 2: contingency plan to go and live in a tunnel. What
- 19:58Speaker 2: I'd point to here is Cuban national Many people that
- 20:01Speaker 2: I speak to say if Donald Trump's America invades, I fight.
- 20:06Speaker 1: So, you know, like President Diaz Canal said that any
- 20:08Speaker 1: military action by the US would result in a quote
- 20:11Speaker 1: blood bath and upend regional stability. I mean, I think
- 20:14Speaker 1: it's fair to doubt their capacity as a fighting force,
- 20:17Speaker 1: but you know, a gorilla army could do some damage
- 20:19Speaker 1: and kill some US service members, and again it's like,
- 20:21Speaker 1: to what end. And then I saw Bob Gates, former
- 20:26Speaker 1: CIA director, former Secretary of Defense under multiple administrations on
- 20:29Speaker 1: I think CBS over the weekend, who was saying that
- 20:31Speaker 1: he thinks the biggest risk is we just starved this
- 20:34Speaker 1: island to death and lead to a mass migration at
- 20:37Speaker 1: tens of thousands of Cubans to the US again, which
- 20:40Speaker 1: puts them at risk, but also is you know, I
- 20:43Speaker 1: was told by Maga that was the thing they hated
- 20:46Speaker 1: the most was mass migration. It's like, yeah, what are
- 20:48Speaker 1: we doing here?
- 20:49Speaker 6: Yeah, if they go forward with this, there's several ways
- 20:53Speaker 6: that could go. And like the bad, messy scenarios are
- 20:56Speaker 6: that there's actually some kind of insurgency that drags on,
- 21:02Speaker 6: that there's state collapse.
- 21:04Speaker 7: And mass migration.
- 21:07Speaker 6: But let's even and also, by the way, the Cubans
- 21:10Speaker 6: have networks across Latin America, there's this kind of scenario
- 21:13Speaker 6: where they could kind of havoc in different places, you know,
- 21:16Speaker 6: almost like a terrorist type tactics. I'm not sure that
- 21:20Speaker 6: they do that, but it's possible. However, Like, let's say
- 21:24Speaker 6: this goes Venezuela style, right, we some Delta Force guys
- 21:29Speaker 6: and some cinematic operation grab Raoul and they maybe they
- 21:35Speaker 6: grab Diaz Canal and Mark Rubio gets a press conference
- 21:38Speaker 6: and says he's in charge.
- 21:40Speaker 1: And puts out a sweatsuit.
- 21:41Speaker 6: Yeah, and puts out a sweatsuit and and then where
- 21:44Speaker 6: I guess responsible for the governance of the poorest nation
- 21:49Speaker 6: in the hemisphere because of our sanctions. Because I honestly
- 21:53Speaker 6: think that one of the reasons why some Democrats aren't
- 21:56Speaker 6: more vocal about this is they're like, well, what if
- 21:58Speaker 6: it goes well? And we you know, first of all,
- 22:00Speaker 6: that's wrong. Imperialism should have gone out a long time ago.
- 22:05Speaker 6: And the idea that we just like randomly, you know,
- 22:08Speaker 6: starve and then invade and regime change a country just
- 22:13Speaker 6: because we can is the most dangerous form.
- 22:15Speaker 7: Of politics that there is. And also, like really.
- 22:18Speaker 6: Importantly you mentioned Maga, like who wants this? Like why
- 22:23Speaker 6: is this happening? Rich c This doesn't exactly this is
- 22:26Speaker 6: nothing for anybody in America. Like there's not even some
- 22:30Speaker 6: weird bank shot like with Venezuela that they could talk
- 22:32Speaker 6: about oil. Although the gas prices are up, it doesn't
- 22:35Speaker 6: seem like getting the Venezuelan oil in that one. So
- 22:40Speaker 6: like a very small number of people will get rich, right,
- 22:43Speaker 6: some like you know, Miami Cubans might get some beachfront property,
- 22:47Speaker 6: like some corrupt you know, Eric Prince will probably get hired.
- 22:50Speaker 1: To will run some new offshoot.
- 22:55Speaker 6: Builds Trump properties and golf courses, and like we are
- 22:59Speaker 6: tax dollars will probably spend billions of dollars on the operation.
- 23:03Speaker 7: I mean, we have to start, Like.
- 23:07Speaker 6: It can't just be the wars that are catastrophically consequential
- 23:13Speaker 6: like Iran that people are against. Like all of this
- 23:15Speaker 6: is connected. It's all about imperialism and corruption and power
- 23:21Speaker 6: and grift. And you should care as much about Cuba
- 23:25Speaker 6: as you care about Iran in the same way that frankly,
- 23:29Speaker 6: the decent feedback we've Trump gone on Venezuela probably contributed
- 23:33Speaker 6: to the war in Iran, and so this Cuba operation
- 23:36Speaker 6: is probably a gateway to Greenland or Panama Canal. Like
- 23:41Speaker 6: this is what history tells us happens with autocrats. You know,
- 23:45Speaker 6: they keep going. They never stop when they get the
- 23:48Speaker 6: territorial expansion regime change book.
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- 25:23Speaker 1: is sponsored by Betterhelp. Likes a lot of therapy. Life's
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- 26:52Speaker 1: slash Crooked World. That's better h g LP dot com
- 26:55Speaker 1: slash Crooked World. We're gonna talk about ron in a second,
- 27:03Speaker 1: but before we do, we wanted to flag this growing
- 27:04Speaker 1: crisis in Bolivia where supporters a former president, Avo Morales,
- 27:09Speaker 1: have blocked roads for a couple of weeks. They've created
- 27:12Speaker 1: all these shortages of fuel and medical supplies and food.
- 27:15Speaker 1: It's really a growing crisis. And on Monday, some of
- 27:17Speaker 1: these protesters clashed with police in La Pause, the Oblivious capital.
- 27:22Speaker 1: And so the protests are over economic conditions which are
- 27:25Speaker 1: very bad and prices going up in inflation and long
- 27:28Speaker 1: gas lens, but also the treatment of Morales, who has
- 27:31Speaker 1: been holed up in the jungle, surrounded literally by like
- 27:35Speaker 1: an army of supporters who say they will fight to
- 27:37Speaker 1: the death to protect him. The protesters are now calling
- 27:41Speaker 1: on the current president, President Pause, to resign. There have
- 27:45Speaker 1: been reports that the government has ordered the arrest of
- 27:48Speaker 1: leaders of like indigenous rights groups and unions. And there
- 27:52Speaker 1: was also a report that I've not seen cooperated anywhere
- 27:54Speaker 1: else ben that the US military was preparing some operation
- 27:58Speaker 1: with Oblivion police to capture Avo Morales. Yeah, again that
- 28:02Speaker 1: was not confirmed, but like post of Venezuela, it feels
- 28:07Speaker 1: a lot more believable and I can't understand why, like
- 28:09Speaker 1: any leftist leader in Latin America would think that the
- 28:12Speaker 1: Trump administration is angling to take them out and is
- 28:15Speaker 1: ready and willing to intervene militarily in their affairs at
- 28:19Speaker 1: any time. So I don't just sort of like exploded
- 28:21Speaker 1: my feeds over the weekend. We wanted to talk about it.
- 28:23Speaker 1: What do you make of this time?
- 28:24Speaker 7: I think you remember the Don Road doctrine.
- 28:27Speaker 6: So there's a lot of smoke around some of these reports, right,
- 28:31Speaker 6: So we have this idea that there might be some
- 28:34Speaker 6: special operation to grab Avo, Morales and Bolivia. We also
- 28:38Speaker 6: have you see this like weird Honduras thing that the
- 28:42Speaker 6: Trump administration was working together with like Javier Mile and
- 28:46Speaker 6: the right wing leaders to you know, basically target you know,
- 28:52Speaker 6: Shane Baum in Mexico and Petro and Columbia like metal
- 28:55Speaker 6: in their politics and undermine the Latin American left. We've
- 28:58Speaker 6: had these reports of kind of CIA presence in Mexico
- 29:01Speaker 6: that we've talked about. I think when you take this
- 29:03Speaker 6: all together, there really does seem to be a pretty
- 29:07Speaker 6: comprehensive and coordinated playbook to essentially treat all of Latin
- 29:12Speaker 6: America like literally imperial possessions of the United States, where
- 29:18Speaker 6: we either pick the leaders. We remember Trump intervenes in
- 29:22Speaker 6: Argentina with a massive bailout for Mela, or if some
- 29:25Speaker 6: leftists get in charge, we you know, undermine them, go
- 29:29Speaker 6: after them, maybe even you know, seize them. And Ava
- 29:32Speaker 6: Morales just points to how kind of weirdly personal this
- 29:37Speaker 6: is because Ava Moreles isn't even powerful anymore.
- 29:39Speaker 1: You know, he's literally, like you thought a good guy,
- 29:41Speaker 1: he's not.
- 29:42Speaker 6: But he's out to pastures like he's not like like
- 29:46Speaker 6: it's not even like some election coming up that he's
- 29:47Speaker 6: running in, Like he's like some guy like on a
- 29:50Speaker 6: compound somewhere. And it feels like there's this you know,
- 29:55Speaker 6: a lot of people are using the Trump administration. I
- 29:57Speaker 6: heard you describe it as like smash and grab, and
- 29:59Speaker 6: that's exactly right. And it's also like, oh, I can
- 30:02Speaker 6: use this moment to settle my scores. You know a
- 30:05Speaker 6: lot of people are mad at Abel Morales about things
- 30:08Speaker 6: he did ten twenty years ago. And it's like I
- 30:10Speaker 6: can talk the Trump administration into like running a special
- 30:13Speaker 6: opt to grab.
- 30:13Speaker 1: Like some corporate interest. It really feels like nineteen fifties sixties,
- 30:16Speaker 1: like the dullest brothers in charge of the CIA just
- 30:20Speaker 1: like rampaging through Latin America on behalf of you know,
- 30:23Speaker 1: a fruit company or whatever.
- 30:25Speaker 6: And by the way, these things can feel cost free
- 30:27Speaker 6: when you do them, but they tend to have a tail,
- 30:29Speaker 6: you know, like meddling in Central America in the eighties
- 30:34Speaker 6: led to death squads and left wing revolutionaries and mass
- 30:37Speaker 6: migration in the United States.
- 30:39Speaker 1: You know.
- 30:39Speaker 6: So it might feel clean when you decaptain the Cuban
- 30:43Speaker 6: government or grab able morales, but like other people don't forget,
- 30:46Speaker 6: and then they kill people and then they get massacred.
- 30:49Speaker 6: And so this all this stuff can set in motion
- 30:54Speaker 6: dominoes that lead to pretty dark places.
- 30:56Speaker 1: Yeah, agreed, and something we're watching closely. Okay, so let's
- 30:59Speaker 1: turn to a the straighterh hor moves is still closed.
- 31:02Speaker 1: Just doesn't seem like the US and ran or anywhere
- 31:04Speaker 1: close to a deal to actually end the conflict. Last week,
- 31:07Speaker 1: Trump said the ceasefire was on life support. Then on
- 31:10Speaker 1: Sunday he posted quote for Iran, the clock is ticking
- 31:13Speaker 1: and they better get moving fast or there won't be
- 31:15Speaker 1: anything left of them. Time is of the essence. Another
- 31:19Speaker 1: another adorable like you know, mass casualty, truth, social posts
- 31:23Speaker 1: of you know, extermination, but a day later, Trump announced
- 31:26Speaker 1: that he would not attack Iran this week because of
- 31:29Speaker 1: a request from leaders in Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
- 31:33Speaker 1: He always has to like name check the field Marshal,
- 31:35Speaker 1: Field Marshal some munyar. Did you know that the cops
- 31:39Speaker 1: in London have an arrest worn out for him for
- 31:42Speaker 1: torture and crimes against the horrible guy? So The New
- 31:47Speaker 1: York Times reported that the delay and the resumption of
- 31:49Speaker 1: hostilities could also be related to fears within the Pentagon
- 31:52Speaker 1: that Iran has been studying you know, US tactics, US
- 31:55Speaker 1: flight patterns, baby conjunction with Russian intelligence and can now
- 31:58Speaker 1: better target US planes. And maybe that's why that fifteen
- 32:00Speaker 1: went down. Regardless, shitting the Gulf keeps blowing up, then
- 32:04Speaker 1: drones keep flying from places. So last week a drone
- 32:07Speaker 1: hit the uas sole nuclear power plant. Not good. Luckily,
- 32:12Speaker 1: the damage was limited to a generator on the edge
- 32:14Speaker 1: of the facility, but still nuclear power plant. The UAE
- 32:17Speaker 1: says the drone was fired by Shia militia groups in
- 32:19Speaker 1: a rock. Saudi Arabia also said they intercepted a bunch
- 32:22Speaker 1: of drones coming from a rock. Just another example. Of
- 32:24Speaker 1: how the war is fantastasized the entire region. Again, like
- 32:27Speaker 1: we said at the top, Us and Ron seemed quite
- 32:29Speaker 1: far apart when it comes to a possible nuclear deal.
- 32:33Speaker 1: We can tick through all of that if you want
- 32:35Speaker 1: a second. But here's what President Trump had to say
- 32:38Speaker 1: about Iran in the last few days. This is sort
- 32:40Speaker 1: of a hodgepodge of all the very coherent thoughts he had.
- 32:44Speaker 10: They've been holding up the world for many, many years
- 32:47Speaker 10: with a strait. You know, they've used this many many times.
- 32:51Speaker 10: They said we'll close this straight. They've closed it in
- 32:54Speaker 10: the past. They use it as a weapon. They're not
- 32:56Speaker 10: using it as a weapon with me.
- 32:58Speaker 3: We really did the cease fire the requests of other nations.
- 33:02Speaker 1: I wouldn't have really been a favorite, but we.
- 33:04Speaker 3: Did it as a favorite to Pakistan or terrific people
- 33:07Speaker 3: the field Marshal, the Prime Minister.
- 33:13Speaker 10: Well, I mean, I'm saying two or three days, maybe Friday, Saturday,
- 33:16Speaker 10: Sunday something, maybe early next week, a limited period of
- 33:19Speaker 10: time because we can't let them have a new nuclear level.
- 33:24Speaker 5: Yeah, twenty years, it's not enough for you.
- 33:26Speaker 1: It's going to be a.
- 33:26Speaker 3: Produn Twenty yearsless enough. But the level of guarantee for
- 33:32Speaker 3: them is not enough. Otherwise it's got to be a
- 33:35Speaker 3: real twenty year It's not to they do see that.
- 33:37Speaker 3: I full get all the fuel out and no more
- 33:40Speaker 3: for Dount. You have to get everything. But we're not
- 33:43Speaker 3: even talking about court the nuclear dust pick up with
- 33:46Speaker 3: a terrible Sheeps's got on.
- 33:47Speaker 10: There's been people that are in generals that I've spoken
- 33:50Speaker 10: to that I think you have to get the dust,
- 33:55Speaker 10: which is the rich geranium. I don't think it's necessary
- 33:58Speaker 10: except from a public relation standpoint. I think it's important
- 34:01Speaker 10: for the fake news that we get in.
- 34:07Speaker 1: Don't tell that Yahoo that did you see Trump started
- 34:09Speaker 1: ranting at David Sanger from New York, accusing him of
- 34:12Speaker 1: treason on the plane? What the fuck? Uh? What do
- 34:18Speaker 1: you make of all that? I mean, like, I don't know, man,
- 34:20Speaker 1: it just feels like they are just absolutely treading water.
- 34:24Speaker 1: I mean, I have no plan.
- 34:26Speaker 6: Here's the there's a baseline that we need to name again.
- 34:30Speaker 6: But I found a different way to do it this week,
- 34:32Speaker 6: which is, remember the talks that were happening right before
- 34:36Speaker 6: the war, when wid Coffin gered were tabling these proposals.
- 34:40Speaker 6: At the time, their demands were dismantled the entire nuclear program,
- 34:46Speaker 6: dismantled the entire ballistic missile program, or except limits on
- 34:49Speaker 6: ballistic missiles to a certain.
- 34:51Speaker 1: Serious limits number of miles, i e. You can hits.
- 34:55Speaker 6: Yeah, and then also cut all support for proxies. And
- 34:59Speaker 6: knowing Richmond and now in Richmond, so the fact that
- 35:02Speaker 6: even on their best case scenario, they've gone from those
- 35:06Speaker 6: demands before the war to nothing about support for proxies,
- 35:11Speaker 6: nothing about the blissmissile program, and just trying to get the.
- 35:14Speaker 1: Dust to give me your dust or just let me
- 35:16Speaker 1: watch your dust.
- 35:17Speaker 7: And open you know.
- 35:18Speaker 6: So, first of all, by their own negotiating positions, they
- 35:21Speaker 6: are in a much weaker position than they were before
- 35:24Speaker 6: the war. And Iran is in a much stronger position
- 35:27Speaker 6: than they were before the war because they controlled the
- 35:29Speaker 6: straight of horm moves, which they didn't before the war.
- 35:31Speaker 6: Trump is nuts when he's talking that they did not
- 35:34Speaker 6: close this straight.
- 35:35Speaker 1: Way, like literally the opposite of what he was inking.
- 35:38Speaker 6: That's just the opposite of the truth. He usually lies,
- 35:40Speaker 6: but that's just a you know, upside down lie.
- 35:43Speaker 1: And by the way, Iran's just did their offer, according
- 35:45Speaker 1: to Irani and Saint News, was like asserting their right
- 35:47Speaker 1: to enrich uranium and peaceful nuclear development, Lift US and
- 35:51Speaker 1: UN Security Council sanctions, withdraw US troops from areas around
- 35:55Speaker 1: the Iran end to the war in Lebanon into the
- 35:57Speaker 1: US blockade of the Straight h Mus, release and assets,
- 36:00Speaker 1: and compensation for damage caused during the war. So an
- 36:04Speaker 1: expansive list.
- 36:05Speaker 6: Because that tells you everything you need to know about
- 36:07Speaker 6: who actually has the leverage here. The Iranians are sitting there.
- 36:11Speaker 6: They can absorb economic pain. They're controlling the Straight they
- 36:14Speaker 6: have a revenue source from that if there's no deal,
- 36:18Speaker 6: and if there's a deal, they get all the sanctions. Really,
- 36:19Speaker 6: so either way they're going to come out with a
- 36:21Speaker 6: lot of revenue coming in. And Trump is completely cornered
- 36:26Speaker 6: and he doesn't want to restart the war, but he
- 36:28Speaker 6: feels against a threaten to restart the war, but the
- 36:30Speaker 6: Iranians don't blink when he threatens it. The Gulf countries
- 36:33Speaker 6: are pissed. They too would like to see Iran weakened,
- 36:39Speaker 6: but they're afraid that if the full scale were ramps
- 36:42Speaker 6: up again that they're going to get hit harder again.
- 36:45Speaker 6: And so here we are and everybody can see like
- 36:48Speaker 6: it's only people in this country that you know, feel
- 36:50Speaker 6: the need to believe that we accomplish something or they
- 36:53Speaker 6: watch Fox News. Everybody else around the world is like shit,
- 36:56Speaker 6: the Iranians haven't pretty checkmated. Yeah, and I love that
- 36:59Speaker 6: he's like the dust caught on. We say dust to
- 37:02Speaker 6: make fun of you.
- 37:03Speaker 1: Yes, right, Like the reason did not catch on.
- 37:05Speaker 6: So it is it is highly enriched uranium nuclear fuel
- 37:09Speaker 6: in your stuff. And we know that you say dust
- 37:12Speaker 6: because you have to cling to the lie that only
- 37:15Speaker 6: sixty five and over white people who watch Fox News
- 37:18Speaker 6: believe that you obliterated the nuclear program in the so
- 37:21Speaker 6: called Twelve Day War that still hasn't ended. So yeah,
- 37:25Speaker 6: it's this is just a guy who has no idea
- 37:27Speaker 6: what he's doing, no way out of the mess he's created,
- 37:31Speaker 6: and the only way out is to basically accept defeat
- 37:34Speaker 6: and hopefully the Runians let to get the dust out
- 37:36Speaker 6: in exchange for a bunch of revenue.
- 37:38Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's just a question of if and when
- 37:41Speaker 1: he'll move on some of his positions because again, like
- 37:43Speaker 1: the conflict is metastasizing, it's spreading to other countries, like
- 37:47Speaker 1: we are learning about the UAE and Saudi Arabia taking
- 37:50Speaker 1: direct strikes on not only Iran but also targets within
- 37:54Speaker 1: a rack Shia militia groups within a rock and I
- 37:57Speaker 1: saw today the Wall Street Journal said that over half
- 38:00Speaker 1: of the one thousand drone attacks in Saudi Arabia came
- 38:03Speaker 1: from within Iraq, So like clearly like they've been feeding
- 38:06Speaker 1: drone to the Shia militia groups. So again it's just
- 38:08Speaker 1: like a regional war now. And then last week ben
- 38:11Speaker 1: Israel and Lebanon announced a forty five day extension to
- 38:14Speaker 1: the ceasefire there, but is really strike killed seven people
- 38:17Speaker 1: in Lebanon on Monday alone, so it's like hardly a seasfire,
- 38:20Speaker 1: like people are still getting killed. A couple of months ago,
- 38:23Speaker 1: remember when the Trump administration announced that they would like
- 38:26Speaker 1: had this plan to provide insurance to ships that wanted
- 38:28Speaker 1: to go through this trader homus. You why people took
- 38:31Speaker 1: them up on this offer?
- 38:32Speaker 6: Zero zero zero worked about as well as Operation Freedom, Yeah,
- 38:36Speaker 6: Operation Freedom.
- 38:37Speaker 1: Brief Freedom the ft is now reported that seventy six
- 38:40Speaker 1: countries have had to take emergency measures to deal with
- 38:43Speaker 1: the economic fallout from fuel shortages. So that ranges from Australia,
- 38:48Speaker 1: France and India to like poor and developing countries, and
- 38:52Speaker 1: then energy traders are warning that, like prices are are
- 38:55Speaker 1: high now, but we are going to eventually reach a
- 38:57Speaker 1: tipping point where there's like a freezing up of the
- 38:59Speaker 1: mark kits that you could see oil prices jump to
- 39:02Speaker 1: like one ada barrel uh, and a bunch of countries
- 39:05Speaker 1: have already released their emergency supplies and those are going
- 39:07Speaker 1: to run out by July. So it's like this is
- 39:10Speaker 1: fucking bad man.
- 39:12Speaker 6: Wait, doesn't a five siren emoji axios report change those
- 39:17Speaker 6: shortages that the war's ending, because that that that's worked
- 39:21Speaker 6: seemingly with the markets before.
- 39:22Speaker 1: That does work with the market.
- 39:23Speaker 6: I think what you're yeah, Like, the point is that
- 39:25Speaker 6: there's what what is so interesting about watching this war
- 39:29Speaker 6: playout is Trump is still operating in spin world, but
- 39:34Speaker 6: there's a physical reality here, Like there's just not oil
- 39:39Speaker 6: and L and G getting out of the straight of
- 39:41Speaker 6: war moves. They're just our shortages, they're just our higher
- 39:44Speaker 6: prices and and you can't like talk your way through that,
- 39:48Speaker 6: and he Trump seems to think he can just kind
- 39:50Speaker 6: of talk his way through that. And the irony of
- 39:53Speaker 6: it all is that, you know, the straight is closed
- 39:55Speaker 6: because he launched the war, and he really needs to
- 39:58Speaker 6: straight open, Like he can't just accept the permanent reality
- 40:01Speaker 6: in which.
- 40:02Speaker 7: The straightform moves is closed now.
- 40:03Speaker 6: So at some point he really does have to make
- 40:06Speaker 6: concessions to Iran here or else. The whole global economy
- 40:10Speaker 6: is going to collapse this year because they we just
- 40:13Speaker 6: can't endure this level shortage for several more months.
- 40:16Speaker 1: No, it's crazy, it's crazy. I just feel like the
- 40:19Speaker 1: stock market and the oil markets are all just kind
- 40:21Speaker 1: of like whistling past the graveyard and that'll work until
- 40:23Speaker 1: it doesn't. You know, Like the interest rates are shooting
- 40:25Speaker 1: up over five percent, like something is going to break
- 40:27Speaker 1: and it's going to be sudden and it's going to
- 40:29Speaker 1: be devastating. People are gonna lose a lot of money,
- 40:32Speaker 1: except for the Trump people who will front run the train. Yeah. Tons.
- 40:35Speaker 1: Before we move on from Iran, ben I just did
- 40:36Speaker 1: want to give a shout out to some really great reporting.
- 40:39Speaker 1: There's a piece by Sky News' Dominic Waghorn. I hope
- 40:42Speaker 1: by saying his name right. He got into Iran, traveled
- 40:46Speaker 1: to Minob, took like a four day drive to Monob
- 40:49Speaker 1: to speak with people there who are impacted by the
- 40:51Speaker 1: US air strike on the school that killed one hundred
- 40:54Speaker 1: and fifty people. I think one hundred and twenty of
- 40:56Speaker 1: them were children, mostly schoolgirls. He interviewed some men who
- 41:01Speaker 1: are first responders on the scene who had to like
- 41:03Speaker 1: try to dig through that fucking grizzly setting. He talked,
- 41:07Speaker 1: you know, to a mom by her son's graveside who
- 41:11Speaker 1: is grieving him, and you know it, it's like gut
- 41:15Speaker 1: wrenching stuff, and it just it's worth watching. It's really
- 41:19Speaker 1: important in a reminder that Trump and all the lackeys
- 41:22Speaker 1: of the Pentagon, including like combat commanders like the head
- 41:26Speaker 1: of Seccoms on the hill yesterday, they still will not
- 41:30Speaker 1: take responsibility for this mistake. And it is it is shameful.
- 41:36Speaker 1: It is truly shameful.
- 41:37Speaker 6: I have a problem with, first of all, that this
- 41:40Speaker 6: is not like a bigger story. We killed like one
- 41:42Speaker 6: hundred and twenty girls. I mean, I have two daughters
- 41:45Speaker 6: like this, this should.
- 41:48Speaker 7: Be like the biggest story in many ways about this war.
- 41:52Speaker 6: But I also like, I'm just gonna grab onto the
- 41:54Speaker 6: third rail of time and hold on to it because
- 41:57Speaker 6: the uniform military has basically gone along with a whole
- 42:03Speaker 6: bunch of bullshit from Donald Trump, not not down to
- 42:05Speaker 6: the pilots and the service members. I'm talking about Dan Kane,
- 42:10Speaker 6: the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, the Sentcom.
- 42:12Speaker 1: Adamer Brad Cooper was up on the hill today and
- 42:16Speaker 1: Adam Smith, Congress Adam Smith was trying to push him on, like, hey,
- 42:18Speaker 1: what's up with the investigation. This should not be hard, right,
- 42:21Speaker 1: Like remember there's a map that like the whatever. Dan
- 42:24Speaker 1: King's had a map up in one of his Hexeth
- 42:26Speaker 1: briefing that showed all the places the US was bombing
- 42:28Speaker 1: and minob was on that list, and the Israelis were
- 42:30Speaker 1: bombing in the north like it only could have been us.
- 42:32Speaker 1: They know it was.
- 42:33Speaker 6: Using everybody's done exhaustive investigations. And so what you've seen
- 42:37Speaker 6: is a complete failure to take responsibility for this horrific incident,
- 42:42Speaker 6: a complete obfuscation of the damage caused. I mean we
- 42:46Speaker 6: saw Dan Kane kind of standing next speed Hegseth when
- 42:49Speaker 6: he was saying that we like decimated their blos signific capability.
- 42:52Speaker 6: And then we had to learn in the New York
- 42:54Speaker 6: Times that seventy five percent of their LILISTI missilaun there some.
- 42:59Speaker 1: Out there's a seventy seventy.
- 43:01Speaker 6: Yeah, then we don't know the damage done to the
- 43:04Speaker 6: bases across the region that we taxpayers paid for. The
- 43:07Speaker 6: Congressional Research Service CRS had to issue a report about
- 43:11Speaker 6: all the aircraft that we lost because they won't be
- 43:13Speaker 6: transparent about that. Just because you're wearing a uniform doesn't
- 43:16Speaker 6: mean you're infallible. And I don't think those guys are
- 43:20Speaker 6: lying like Trump is, but they're standing right there and
- 43:22Speaker 6: not telling us the full truth either, including on this incident.
- 43:25Speaker 6: And they know that they're they know what the idea
- 43:29Speaker 6: that the Sencom commander has no idea what happened in Minab.
- 43:32Speaker 1: Is they see the next fucking day if that was
- 43:35Speaker 1: a US Tomawk missile or not.
- 43:37Speaker 7: And they're they're they're, they're there.
- 43:38Speaker 6: I guess afraid that Trump will be mad at them
- 43:41Speaker 6: if they acknowledge it.
- 43:42Speaker 4: In that.
- 43:44Speaker 7: Is it worth it? I mean, it's it's kind of
- 43:46Speaker 7: like the Republicans, Is this really?
- 43:48Speaker 1: Like?
- 43:49Speaker 7: Is your job that cool that you go along with this?
- 43:51Speaker 1: You know someday he's just going to endorse Ken Paxton,
- 43:53Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, might as well keep your honor positive.
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- 46:58Speaker 1: com slash World. All right, Ben, let's quickly recap Trump's
- 47:05Speaker 1: China visits, since there was just like a huge build
- 47:06Speaker 1: up to it and then ultimately it was quite a
- 47:09Speaker 1: dud unless you live in Taiwan. We'll get to that.
- 47:12Speaker 1: So Trump got nothing from China with respect to Iran
- 47:16Speaker 1: or reopening the street, or he moves like literally nothing.
- 47:18Speaker 1: Trump claims nothing. Trump claims that Chi Jinping promised not
- 47:22Speaker 1: to sell weapons to the Iranians. But there's all these reports, right,
- 47:27Speaker 1: The US officials told The New York Times the Chinese
- 47:29Speaker 1: firms have been plotting secret arms sales to Iran throughout
- 47:32Speaker 1: the countries. So I don't know. It seems like there's
- 47:34Speaker 1: probably some loopholes in there, guys. Trump did not secure
- 47:37Speaker 1: a trade deal. Nothing close deal in set announced. Some
- 47:40Speaker 1: like pretty small potatoes economic deliverables, economic deliverbals, like a
- 47:45Speaker 1: purchases of ag like seventeen billion dollars with the bag
- 47:48Speaker 1: purchases I think, which will never come to be and
- 47:51Speaker 1: then a commitment from the Chinese to buy a bunch
- 47:54Speaker 1: of Boeing planes, which was so underwhelming that Boeing stock
- 47:57Speaker 1: price went down. It's a great work there. He also
- 48:00Speaker 1: apparently agreed to a vehicle for Chinese investment in the US,
- 48:03Speaker 1: including Chinese investment in US farmland, which is just weird
- 48:07Speaker 1: because that's a big maga thing that they're really mad about.
- 48:10Speaker 1: They don't want the Chinese.
- 48:11Speaker 7: To feign ownership of land.
- 48:12Speaker 6: That goes back to like the organic plug. I learned
- 48:16Speaker 6: a lot about how the American pipelast movement started in
- 48:18Speaker 6: the nineteenth century around one or two issues, one of
- 48:22Speaker 6: which was foreign ownership.
- 48:23Speaker 7: Of land and the other was terriffsy.
- 48:25Speaker 6: There we go, so like Trump, like Trump is you know,
- 48:28Speaker 6: fucking over, you know.
- 48:29Speaker 1: His throwback o g populace. Well, and also he explicitly
- 48:32Speaker 1: in his campaign he explicitly promised to ban Chinese ownership
- 48:35Speaker 1: of farms. Whatever. It's just like crazy.
- 48:36Speaker 7: They said he wouldn't go to war.
- 48:38Speaker 1: Yeah yeah. So then there's Taiwan. Here are some examples
- 48:41Speaker 1: of how Trump has described the US commitment to defend
- 48:45Speaker 1: Taiwan since his visit.
- 48:46Speaker 5: Let's listen started to Taiwan, and you said we're gonna
- 48:50Speaker 5: check with the President of Taiwan. But to nineteen eighty
- 48:53Speaker 5: two Asus the press break again said you would not
- 48:58Speaker 5: so the U States would not be sold with China
- 49:01Speaker 5: on armed sales to Taiwan. Why I think nineteen eighties
- 49:04Speaker 5: is a long way it was has got a big thought, siss.
- 49:08Speaker 1: So what am I going to do this that I
- 49:09Speaker 1: don't want to talk to.
- 49:10Speaker 3: You about it because I have an agreement that signed
- 49:12Speaker 3: in nineteen eighty two now with the.
- 49:15Speaker 7: US defend until I want if the king say, I don't.
- 49:17Speaker 3: Want to say, I'm not going to say that.
- 49:21Speaker 5: There's only one person that knows that you know who
- 49:23Speaker 5: it is me.
- 49:24Speaker 4: I'm the only person.
- 49:25Speaker 5: That question was asked to be today by President she
- 49:29Speaker 5: I said, I.
- 49:30Speaker 4: Don't talk about that.
- 49:31Speaker 11: Should the people of Taiwan feel more or less secure
- 49:35Speaker 11: after your meetings with President Sheet neutral?
- 49:39Speaker 10: Neutral?
- 49:40Speaker 11: This has the policy changed at all?
- 49:42Speaker 7: No?
- 49:42Speaker 10: Nothing, No, nothing changed. I will say this. I'm not
- 49:45Speaker 10: looking to have somebody go independent and you know we're
- 49:49Speaker 10: supposed to travel nine thousand, five hundred miles to fight
- 49:52Speaker 10: a war. I'm not looking for that. I want them
- 49:56Speaker 10: to cool down. I want China to cool down.
- 49:58Speaker 11: But you're waiting on approving billions of dollars weapons for
- 50:02Speaker 11: Taiwan that moving forward.
- 50:04Speaker 10: Well, I haven't approved it yet. We're going to see
- 50:06Speaker 10: what happens.
- 50:07Speaker 7: What do you look. I may do it, I may.
- 50:09Speaker 4: Not do it.
- 50:10Speaker 11: What's your your hinge?
- 50:11Speaker 10: Well, I'm not going to say that, but I may
- 50:13Speaker 10: do it, I may not do it. I'm holding that
- 50:15Speaker 10: in a bay. And so it depends on China depends.
- 50:17Speaker 10: It's a very good negotiating chip for us.
- 50:20Speaker 1: Frankly, back to the point earlier about how he doesn't
- 50:22Speaker 1: know English. You don't feel neutral. It's like it doesn't.
- 50:26Speaker 6: Well and then in the next breath change the policy.
- 50:28Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, So like also he's really hunchbacked. It's not
- 50:32Speaker 1: looking at there.
- 50:32Speaker 6: And also can I just say, like we know Brettbaer
- 50:36Speaker 6: watching a guy like that that's been on the like
- 50:38Speaker 6: the Taiwan Hawk cocktail circuit in DC, have to like
- 50:44Speaker 6: choose his trump master over his own personal politics on Taiwan.
- 50:47Speaker 1: Not just his trump master. Brettair was doing like straight
- 50:50Speaker 1: up pro CCP propaganda while he was there. He went
- 50:53Speaker 1: into some convenience store and ordered a sausage from a robot.
- 50:56Speaker 7: It's like Tucker with the Moscow metro.
- 51:00Speaker 1: Brett, what are you doing? You don't like, you don't
- 51:01Speaker 1: have to do this anyway. Then I feel pretty confident
- 51:04Speaker 1: that the answer to Brett Bear's question about whether you
- 51:08Speaker 1: know the Taiwanese people feel less secure after this visit
- 51:11Speaker 1: is uh, yeah, they feel pretty freaked out. But what
- 51:14Speaker 1: did you make of you know, all the taiwan elements here.
- 51:17Speaker 6: First of all, it just goes to saying like we
- 51:19Speaker 6: got nothing out of the summit, I mean no trade deal.
- 51:23Speaker 6: Like I was going to watch the Ai stuff and
- 51:26Speaker 6: there's giant nothing. We agreed to talk about it, and
- 51:29Speaker 6: then Scott Bessen went out and like dunked on the
- 51:31Speaker 6: Chinese about how we have better Ai but like it
- 51:34Speaker 6: just there's nothing of substance. I mean the idea that
- 51:37Speaker 6: you have like a carefully planned multi day summit with
- 51:42Speaker 6: the President of China and literally like have nothing to
- 51:45Speaker 6: announce except some Boeing planes got sold and you know
- 51:48Speaker 6: they pretend they're going to probably you know, did some
- 51:52Speaker 6: side deals on some chips. It helps the Chinese.
- 51:54Speaker 1: Well that was the other thing, like the they re
- 51:56Speaker 1: upped the offer to provide or sell the Chinese the
- 51:59Speaker 1: H two hundred Nvidia chip, which is not the top
- 52:01Speaker 1: of the line, but it's like the pretty good And
- 52:03Speaker 1: the Chinese said, no, I think because they're probably just
- 52:06Speaker 1: getting all the best chips they want through like carve
- 52:10Speaker 1: outs in Vietnam and other places, and then developing their
- 52:12Speaker 1: own indigenous chips.
- 52:13Speaker 6: And they were, yeah, like the whole thing is so
- 52:15Speaker 6: upside down that they were like kind of preparing to
- 52:17Speaker 6: frame the Chinese buying high end chips is like a
- 52:20Speaker 6: Chinese concession, when in fact it's what is going to
- 52:22Speaker 6: help the Chinese pass us on ai on tip. So
- 52:26Speaker 6: if you go into this as the reason I say
- 52:28Speaker 6: that too, is if you go into this summit as
- 52:30Speaker 6: an American president, the last thing that you want dominating
- 52:33Speaker 6: the conversation's Taiwan. You want that under the radar. You
- 52:36Speaker 6: want to not touch that. You want to talk about
- 52:38Speaker 6: the things you want to talk about, like she Hinping
- 52:40Speaker 6: WANs to talk about Taiwan and how we have to
- 52:42Speaker 6: not sell them arms and let them basically do whate
- 52:44Speaker 6: the fuck they want. You want to talk about trading
- 52:46Speaker 6: all these things. Trump like just kept tripping over himself
- 52:49Speaker 6: talking about Taiwan.
- 52:51Speaker 1: And look what and she was like, this is our
- 52:54Speaker 1: top issue. And he was like referencing like the Sustididis trap,
- 52:57Speaker 1: like suggesting there would be war over Taiwan.
- 53:00Speaker 6: The language that the Chinese put out which is always
- 53:02Speaker 6: like very carefully calibrated. First of all, there's some hilarious
- 53:04Speaker 6: things where like we were reading out like Chi Chiping
- 53:07Speaker 6: said he would be helpful on the straight up our
- 53:09Speaker 6: moves not crickets in the Chinese readout, right, they're just
- 53:12Speaker 6: like making shit up in the readouts and then the
- 53:14Speaker 6: Chinese but there's like bloodthirsty statement about Taiwan, like there
- 53:17Speaker 6: will be like conflict, you know, like for them, it
- 53:20Speaker 6: was blood thirsty. And look, the thing you want is
- 53:24Speaker 6: you want there to not be a war or Chinese invasion.
- 53:28Speaker 6: And so you're just trying to kick this can. The
- 53:31Speaker 6: arm sails are actually part of kicking the can because
- 53:34Speaker 6: you're trying to show the Chinese, hey, look this might
- 53:36Speaker 6: be a tough operation, you know, like just full on
- 53:38Speaker 6: amphibious invasion of this island.
- 53:40Speaker 7: It would not be simple, especially if they have arms.
- 53:43Speaker 6: And so again this is one of those weird situations
- 53:46Speaker 6: where you're trying to deter conflict by not cutting the
- 53:48Speaker 6: court on the Taiwanese, because if you cut the court
- 53:51Speaker 6: on them, then they are vulnerable, and the Chinese to
- 53:53Speaker 6: a blockade and they squeeze and squeeze. And he just
- 53:56Speaker 6: kind of kept stepping on rakes, you know, because he
- 54:00Speaker 6: would say something that made it seem like he wouldn't
- 54:02Speaker 6: care at all about Taiwan. And then you would say, like,
- 54:05Speaker 6: nothing has changed in the policy, and yet now I'm
- 54:07Speaker 6: gonna say a word salad that is totally different than
- 54:09Speaker 6: what the policy.
- 54:10Speaker 1: But then he'd be like, Hey, but I'm gonna call
- 54:11Speaker 1: the president of Taiwan, which is something that would up
- 54:14Speaker 1: end fifty years of US government policy because we don't
- 54:17Speaker 1: have leader of leader contacts with them.
- 54:18Speaker 6: Yeah, because in fact, the last guy who did that
- 54:22Speaker 6: was Trump after he won in twenty six, like some
- 54:24Speaker 6: lobbyists tucked him into calling and signing when the president
- 54:27Speaker 6: at the time. So look, if I'm in Taiwan right now,
- 54:30Speaker 6: I'm just thinking, like I got to get through the
- 54:33Speaker 6: next two and a half years of.
- 54:34Speaker 7: That being invaded.
- 54:36Speaker 6: And I'm not saying that because I want the next
- 54:39Speaker 6: president to go to war or Taiwan. I want the
- 54:41Speaker 6: next president to have a more effective strategy over avoiding
- 54:44Speaker 6: a war in Taiwan, And so I'd be trying to
- 54:47Speaker 6: kind of keep my head down of it here, you know,
- 54:50Speaker 6: keep your relations with Congress and both parties and kind
- 54:53Speaker 6: of just don't even really try to play the Trump
- 54:56Speaker 6: game because he has no interest in Taiwan, and the
- 54:59Speaker 6: more he get dragged into it, the more he's going
- 55:01Speaker 6: to signal how little he cares, and the more that
- 55:04Speaker 6: might make Xi Jinping think, you know, and be a
- 55:06Speaker 6: really good time to invade Taiwan, like the last year
- 55:09Speaker 6: of the Trump administration.
- 55:11Speaker 1: Right But and if you're listening and thinking like, look,
- 55:13Speaker 1: I just don't want any conflict. I don't want the
- 55:15Speaker 1: US telling the Chinese what to do. They're like, okay, well,
- 55:17Speaker 1: if you don't like the economic disruption that's coming from
- 55:21Speaker 1: a two month long straight or humor's closure, wait until
- 55:24Speaker 1: there's no chips for any of the computers and phones
- 55:27Speaker 1: and everything's every amount of Taiwan, right, Like that would
- 55:30Speaker 1: be a big problem. And Ben just you know, so
- 55:32Speaker 1: Trump there had been a fourteen billion dollar arm sale
- 55:35Speaker 1: that had been approved and was pending from the administration
- 55:38Speaker 1: that they held off to try to like make she
- 55:41Speaker 1: happy in advance of this trip. It's not at all
- 55:43Speaker 1: clear that Trump is going to go through with it.
- 55:45Speaker 1: But on top of that, there is thirty two billion
- 55:48Speaker 1: dollars worth of aid to Taiwan that has been promised
- 55:51Speaker 1: as part of foreign military sales that is still being
- 55:53Speaker 1: held up. Drones, air defenses, like anti shit missiles, like
- 55:57Speaker 1: big ticket stuff. And it just like people always point
- 56:01Speaker 1: to those Trump administration arms packages to Taiwan and be like,
- 56:05Speaker 1: see you look the hardliners they're in there. They're committed,
- 56:07Speaker 1: like Rubio is doing the right thing, but they're not
- 56:09Speaker 1: delivering this.
- 56:10Speaker 6: They're not delivering anything. Look, this is yet another issue
- 56:13Speaker 6: where Trump is the one who kind of led this
- 56:16Speaker 6: move towards like getting tougher on China and being against
- 56:18Speaker 6: in China. I remember the campaign, By the way, all
- 56:21Speaker 6: the Democratic blob types followed that like herd because it's
- 56:24Speaker 6: like now we're gonna be super tough. He's now swerving
- 56:26Speaker 6: in the other direction. He's talking up leader to leader
- 56:29Speaker 6: from you know, he's friends with she and what a
- 56:31Speaker 6: great man he's gonna come to the ballroom and and
- 56:34Speaker 6: I'm you know, canceling the trade war because the Chinese
- 56:36Speaker 6: have more leverage with rare earth materials, just like their
- 56:39Speaker 6: runnings have the straight or four moves. He's tacoing left
- 56:42Speaker 6: and right and so all these things. He he promised
- 56:47Speaker 6: to get tough on the Chinese, he promised no farm
- 56:49Speaker 6: warris He probably all these things.
- 56:50Speaker 7: He just keeps going back on there.
- 56:51Speaker 6: We're like pretty core to MAGA, Like what does Steve
- 56:54Speaker 6: Bannon think about this visit where basically had Trump sucking
- 56:57Speaker 6: up to shushimping like a supplicant, like it's the Middle
- 56:59Speaker 6: Kingdom and we were going to like pay tribute to
- 57:02Speaker 6: the Chinese emperor and look on on And I'm not
- 57:06Speaker 6: even I'm saying that as someone who wants engagement with
- 57:08Speaker 6: the Chinese, but engagement for some purpose, like Trump's goal
- 57:13Speaker 6: is just protocol. It's just that he's like received well
- 57:15Speaker 6: and has nice dinners with she like I want to
- 57:18Speaker 6: negotiate like ai safeguards, you know, like I.
- 57:20Speaker 7: Want real things.
- 57:22Speaker 6: And again, if you're the Taiwanese, like you also don't
- 57:27Speaker 6: want He started describing arm sales to Taiwan as a
- 57:30Speaker 6: negotiating shit. Well, that means that you also are entertaining
- 57:35Speaker 6: negotiating away Taiwan as if by the way, it's yours
- 57:39Speaker 6: to negotiate and again, what you do. I'm not suggesting
- 57:43Speaker 6: you want to go to war. I am suggesting you
- 57:45Speaker 6: don't want to implicitly green light China going to war.
- 57:49Speaker 6: Because to your point, even if you don't care about
- 57:50Speaker 6: the Taiwanese people, and I do, ninety percent of the
- 57:53Speaker 6: world's advanced semiconductors come out of Taiwan TSMC. That's your car, computer,
- 57:59Speaker 6: that's all of it, it's everything, that's the entire economy,
- 58:02Speaker 6: you know, and that would be bad.
- 58:04Speaker 1: Yeah, in these like bloodless ghuls you know, over the
- 58:07Speaker 1: all in pod Or people administration are like, well, just
- 58:09Speaker 1: give us a couple of years, we'll have the technology
- 58:11Speaker 1: we need to make that not a problem. It's like, okay, that's.
- 58:13Speaker 7: They've been saying that for a while.
- 58:15Speaker 6: I heard that the Chips Act was going to do
- 58:17Speaker 6: that when yeah, Joe Biden was the guy that did
- 58:20Speaker 6: the Pacific basis and.
- 58:20Speaker 1: Then they unraveled that. Yeah. And by the way, like
- 58:23Speaker 1: you know, rip any conversation about religious freedom, human rights
- 58:28Speaker 1: expression for the Chinese people.
- 58:29Speaker 7: Remember you were were raising whether like he might get Jimmy.
- 58:32Speaker 1: Trump brought up to political prisoners. There's Ezra Jin miningrie
- 58:36Speaker 1: A pastor who was detained last October in Jimmy Lai,
- 58:40Speaker 1: this media tycoon from Hong Kong. Trump said, she said
- 58:43Speaker 1: he will strongly consider the pastor. Didn't remember his name,
- 58:47Speaker 1: but basically sounded like there was no shot in hell
- 58:50Speaker 1: he would do anything to support Jimmy Laie and that
- 58:53Speaker 1: Trump didn't really care and wouldn't you know, do anything
- 58:56Speaker 1: about it. And you know, I don't know what Steve
- 58:58Speaker 1: Bannon thinks of this trip. But like full time Trump
- 59:01Speaker 1: fluffer Hugh Hewitt, who was one of those like pro Taiwan,
- 59:04Speaker 1: anti CCP right wing guys who always talks about Jimmy Lai,
- 59:08Speaker 1: he's been suspiciously silent on Trump just absolutely caving on
- 59:12Speaker 1: Jimmy Lai.
- 59:13Speaker 6: Yeah, all these guys, I mean, it does make you
- 59:16Speaker 6: wonder what they actually believe.
- 59:20Speaker 1: Yeah, Like I will say one credit to Hugh and
- 59:22Speaker 1: that like when he interviews Trump, he'll ask about these issues,
- 59:25Speaker 1: He'll ask Trump about Jimmy Li. But when Trump completely
- 59:28Speaker 1: caves ashi Jimpang, he never follows up. He's still just like, well,
- 59:33Speaker 1: thank you.
- 59:34Speaker 6: And they thought this is why and this is actually
- 59:37Speaker 6: an important point that I don't understand. You know, we
- 59:43Speaker 6: saw John Cornyn get rug pulled today. All these people
- 59:47Speaker 6: seemingly convince themselves that Trump would actually act on the
- 59:51Speaker 6: thing they cared about, whether it was the Epstein files,
- 59:54Speaker 6: whether it was not getting into Forever Wars, whether it
- 59:56Speaker 6: was being tough on the CCP. Like when all, you
- 1:00:00Speaker 6: don't need to be like a genius to see that.
- 1:00:03Speaker 7: Trump only cares about himself.
- 1:00:06Speaker 6: Yeah, and you know, and frankly, if he likes anybody,
- 1:00:10Speaker 6: it's the Field Marshal and chi jimping because they're fellow autocrats.
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: Yeah, he loves those guys, all right, Ben, final topic
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: for us here, So years of doing the show with
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: you has taught me many things. One of them is
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: that there exists a song competition in Europe called Eurovision.
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: It's one of the longest running TV programs in the world.
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: Hundreds of millions of people watch it and go bonkers
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: for it. Deal. There are always scandals, There are always controversies.
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: Usually they involve Israel. I never really understand why people
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: are boycotting. It's a big thing.
- 1:00:43Speaker 6: It's also interesting because Israel's not in Europe but.
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: Right, and then most of all, most importantly for us,
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: there are goofy clips of the performances themselves, which Michael
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: curates for us to enjoy.
- 1:01:06Speaker 4: WHOA, what the fuck.
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: A?
- 1:01:24Speaker 4: Oh my god, shut me back to life.
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: Oh man, that was That was like she took acid
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: and was on the ship from the Fifth Element, remember.
- 1:01:44Speaker 6: That movie, and somehow booked an appointment the Dominatrix for
- 1:01:47Speaker 6: a while.
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: Yeah, and then at the end it's just the British
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: boy band guy with a Teletubbies. So the list there
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: was Moldova, Romania with a song called choke Me okay.
- 1:01:59Speaker 6: The Romanian Matrix. Uh that I would have guessed Romania, Yeah.
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: She was, she was choking, h Ukraine, Serbia, Lithuania, Finland,
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: and then the UK.
- 1:02:08Speaker 7: Who's that guy who's just screaming at So.
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: I don't know who was that? Okay? That tracks the
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: UK song was called Einswides right, I'm assuming that was German. Finally,
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: this is the Eurovision twenty twenty six winner. Spoiler alert,
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: criminal Bulgaria learned that today. Uh their song was called
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: bang Arenga. Is that really true?
- 1:02:34Speaker 7: Bang who?
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: Bangoranga?
- 1:02:35Speaker 7: Bangaranga?
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: Bangaranga? Should we watch the Bangaranga? Let's let's watch it.
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: I'm asa.
- 1:03:01Speaker 7: That's the winner.
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: I can see what that was popular.
- 1:03:04Speaker 6: I mean, it's it's catchy, it she's you know, But
- 1:03:06Speaker 6: like I if this is a window undo the state
- 1:03:11Speaker 6: of the culture, what is going on in Europe. I mean, here,
- 1:03:14Speaker 6: we know what's going on sucks here the biggest glass
- 1:03:16Speaker 6: house on earth acknowledging that.
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: I'm guessing that people not you know, fluent in Bulgarian
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: just muted.
- 1:03:25Speaker 6: It feels like pop music needs like a like a
- 1:03:28Speaker 6: reset button here because we've reached kind of the end.
- 1:03:31Speaker 6: My musical critic take on this is like there's like
- 1:03:36Speaker 6: the end of death metal there, like the end of
- 1:03:39Speaker 6: like kind of gaga pop, you know, the end of
- 1:03:45Speaker 6: some weird British acid daft punk kind of thing going on.
- 1:03:49Speaker 6: Like we need to like start over with some genre bending.
- 1:03:54Speaker 7: I don't know, Yeah, I just think.
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: You're in European shit. It's weird.
- 1:04:00Speaker 6: Sometimes I will say this, they seem like they're having fun.
- 1:04:03Speaker 7: That it looked like we're not having fun.
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: No, we're having a terrible time.
- 1:04:06Speaker 6: Their lives are probably objectively better and more fun than ours.
- 1:04:10Speaker 6: They probably go to clubs and dance that music and
- 1:04:12Speaker 6: have a really good time.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: I get to the club at six in the morning, yeah.
- 1:04:16Speaker 6: I mean, so you're winning it life, even if I
- 1:04:20Speaker 6: couldn't really see myself listening to any of that.
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: So that was Eurovision until next year. Ben got on.
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: I gotta say it is reel compete.
- 1:04:29Speaker 6: This year I did, okay compete, Yeah, second place, second,
- 1:04:33Speaker 6: They always in second place.
- 1:04:34Speaker 1: The clips really do deliver in terms of weirdness though
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: every year I'm like, I don't know, is this gonna
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: be funny? Yep, that's some weird shit. So well done
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: in that cut. Okay, we're gonna take a quick break.
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: We come back. You're gonna hear my conversation with Nish
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: Kumar about the weird world of British politics, so stick
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: around for that. This podcast is sponsored by Squarespace. Squarespace
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: is the all in one website platform designed to elevate
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- 1:05:57Speaker 1: That's squarespace dot com slash World. My guest today is
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: a stand up comedian, television presenter, sex Symbol and the
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: co host of Potz of the UK. Nish Kumark Great
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: to see you. You have a special out Nish don't
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: kill my vibe on YouTube right now.
- 1:06:15Speaker 12: I have a stand up specially vitable right now and
- 1:06:18Speaker 12: I think now by giving people an opportunity to watch
- 1:06:21Speaker 12: a video of me, they will immediately get to stress
- 1:06:24Speaker 12: test the sex symbol claim.
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: I'm staring at one right now with my own two eyes,
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: so I believe them. Excited to talk with you today,
- 1:06:32Speaker 1: your co host on Potse the UK, Coco, was going
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: to join us this morning. She had a last minute
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: scheduling thing, so we don't have her, but we we
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: love her. She is effervescent in all things that she does.
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: But we'll miss her today. So I'm excited to talk
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: with you because there's a lot of crazy shit happening
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: over in British politics. Last week Ben and I talked
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: about labors drubbing in these recent local elections in England,
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: Scotland and Wales. It seemed for a moment like the
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: writing was on the wall for Cure Starmer and that
- 1:06:59Speaker 1: every agreed he could not be Prime Minister anymore, and
- 1:07:02Speaker 1: then he was not cut out to lead labor in
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: this moment, however, it was not clear who would depose him.
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: That kind of weird status quo seems to be holding,
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: like where do you think Starmar stands at this moment?
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: And can you give us like kind of your quick
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: and dirty take on how Starmar went from leading Labor
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: to this historic landslide, you know, nearly two years ago,
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: less than two years ago, to this mess today.
- 1:07:28Speaker 12: Okay, well let's yeah, let's talk about the why of
- 1:07:32Speaker 12: Starmer's got here. Second, because this because so much shit
- 1:07:37Speaker 12: has happened. This is a little anecdote into my personal life.
- 1:07:44Speaker 12: But I told my mother that I was doing this
- 1:07:45Speaker 12: show today and she said, oh, it's bad when they
- 1:07:48Speaker 12: ask you to do the show, isn't.
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: It It is? It is.
- 1:07:53Speaker 12: It's usually it's never because something is going it's never
- 1:07:57Speaker 12: to come on to talk about how the UK is
- 1:07:59Speaker 12: functioning too well.
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: So basically NHS is fixed.
- 1:08:03Speaker 8: Yeah, yeah, everything's fixed. We're all fine.
- 1:08:05Speaker 12: So basically, where you guys got to and where we
- 1:08:09Speaker 12: got to in our shows last week was that Labor
- 1:08:14Speaker 12: had taken a drubbing and then Kirs Starmer had to
- 1:08:17Speaker 12: go through this sort of ridiculous process called the King's
- 1:08:21Speaker 12: Speech where the monarch announces the government's legislative agenda for
- 1:08:25Speaker 12: the year and the King has to give that as
- 1:08:27Speaker 12: a speech, but it's a speech that's written for him.
- 1:08:30Speaker 12: I've spent most of the last week trying to get
- 1:08:32Speaker 12: us to incorporate an element of Rup Paul and have
- 1:08:35Speaker 12: the Prime Minister record the speech and then the King
- 1:08:37Speaker 12: lip sync it live, because I think that'd be sort
- 1:08:39Speaker 12: of more entertaining for everybody. But obviously this king speech
- 1:08:42Speaker 12: felt particularly strange and pointless because Starmer was announcing his
- 1:08:47Speaker 12: government's legislative package whilst at the same time seeming on
- 1:08:52Speaker 12: the precipice of losing his job. So we're Streeting. The
- 1:08:55Speaker 12: Health Secretary went in for a meeting with Stammer that
- 1:08:58Speaker 12: I believe is supposed to supposed to lie, did sixteen minutes.
- 1:09:02Speaker 12: He then left Downing Street and then announced that he
- 1:09:07Speaker 12: was resigning from the government. So there had been a
- 1:09:09Speaker 12: kind of spate of resignations in the aftermath of the
- 1:09:15Speaker 12: local elections, but were Streeting. Obviously, Health Secretary is one
- 1:09:19Speaker 12: of what we refer to in the UK as the
- 1:09:21Speaker 12: Great Offices of State. That's a huge, high profile position.
- 1:09:25Speaker 12: Streeting also has been sort of touted as a potential
- 1:09:30Speaker 12: replacement for Starmer from Starmer's wing of the party, which
- 1:09:35Speaker 12: is sort of has morphed over the course of his
- 1:09:38Speaker 12: life as leader of the Labor Party, but now his
- 1:09:41Speaker 12: constituency is sort of viewed as the right of the
- 1:09:44Speaker 12: Labor Party. Streeting had been posited as the guy who
- 1:09:47Speaker 12: was going to take over. He needed eighty one other
- 1:09:50Speaker 12: MPs to co sign his bid to be the next
- 1:09:53Speaker 12: Labor leader, and I think just very quickly realized that
- 1:09:56Speaker 12: he did not have the support within the Labor Party,
- 1:09:59Speaker 12: but he anyway and said that he wanted, you know,
- 1:10:02Speaker 12: to start a conversation about who the next leader of
- 1:10:04Speaker 12: the Labor Party was going to be.
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: Remark that guy don't other loads quitting anyway, just shot
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: in the bed, right off the bed.
- 1:10:12Speaker 12: There's a problem that words streating has, which is that
- 1:10:14Speaker 12: he was sort of widely portrayed as the closest ally
- 1:10:18Speaker 12: Peter Mandelson, who obviously listeners of this podcast will be
- 1:10:22Speaker 12: well familiar with. He was the man who Kis Starmer
- 1:10:25Speaker 12: appointed as the British Ambassador to America, despite I mean,
- 1:10:30Speaker 12: I believe the technical term is a dump trucks worth
- 1:10:35Speaker 12: of shitload of mentions in the Epstein files, and so
- 1:10:38Speaker 12: some of that was revealed when the latest trunch of
- 1:10:40Speaker 12: documents was released. But Mandelson's friendship with Epstein was something
- 1:10:45Speaker 12: that was known in the British media and had been
- 1:10:48Speaker 12: talked about by journalists at the Financial Times and the
- 1:10:51Speaker 12: documentary maker on Channel four. So the idea that one
- 1:10:55Speaker 12: of the biggest things that Kirstarmer has done wrong in
- 1:10:59Speaker 12: the public's eyes being the appointment of Peter Mandelsson. It's
- 1:11:02Speaker 12: absolutely unfathomable that the only person who we equally have
- 1:11:06Speaker 12: identified as being close to Peter Mandelson was even considering
- 1:11:09Speaker 12: a run for prime minister, So I think Streeting's bid
- 1:11:12Speaker 12: at that time was dead in the water. So then
- 1:11:15Speaker 12: the problem, the reason that Starmer hasn't gone already is
- 1:11:19Speaker 12: that there has not been a clear front runner to
- 1:11:22Speaker 12: actually challenge him. So Angela Rayner, who was the Deputy
- 1:11:26Speaker 12: Prime Minister, had to step down from that position because
- 1:11:30Speaker 12: last year there were some revelations about her tax affairs
- 1:11:34Speaker 12: that found that she may have underpaid tax whilst buying
- 1:11:40Speaker 12: a flat. Now on on Thursday morning, the full investigation
- 1:11:47Speaker 12: concluded that she hadn't done anything wrong and her misdemeanor
- 1:11:50Speaker 12: was the lowest class of mistake that the UK tax
- 1:11:54Speaker 12: authorities deemed to be even a transgression. So there is
- 1:11:59Speaker 12: an argue there is it's a possibility that she has
- 1:12:01Speaker 12: a clear path to running but she so far not
- 1:12:05Speaker 12: shown any inclination that she wants to run. So the
- 1:12:07Speaker 12: guy who everybody seems to think is going to run
- 1:12:10Speaker 12: is Andy Burnham, who you've talked about on the show.
- 1:12:13Speaker 12: He's the mayor of Manchester. He's a labor MP from
- 1:12:17Speaker 12: the north of England. He got a lot of positive
- 1:12:20Speaker 12: headlines in twenty twenty, as a lot of politicians did,
- 1:12:25Speaker 12: because they were immediately on the news after Boris Johnson
- 1:12:28Speaker 12: had said something so like there were a lot of
- 1:12:31Speaker 12: politicians in this country that came across as being hyper
- 1:12:35Speaker 12: competent because they had just followed a man who really
- 1:12:39Speaker 12: was giving a press conference but really thinking about how
- 1:12:43Speaker 12: he was who he was going to bang later like
- 1:12:45Speaker 12: that that was in a pandemic.
- 1:12:47Speaker 8: Yeah, this is during the pandemic.
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: Party isn't dicking around And.
- 1:12:51Speaker 12: Even before we knew about the parties, his press conferences
- 1:12:53Speaker 12: were often garbled because Johnson is smart in a very specific,
- 1:12:59Speaker 12: rich white english Man way, which is he sort of
- 1:13:01Speaker 12: able to recite poetry, but crucially he doesn't understand any
- 1:13:05Speaker 12: of it, and so when he was actually put under
- 1:13:08Speaker 12: pressure in twenty twenty, he would often give these press
- 1:13:11Speaker 12: conferences that were rambling and borderline in coherent, and then
- 1:13:14Speaker 12: it would cut to, you know, a different UK politician,
- 1:13:18Speaker 12: and specifically in the case of Andy Burnham, the Mayor
- 1:13:20Speaker 12: of Manchester, who would by comparisons seem incredibly studious and
- 1:13:28Speaker 12: like a leader. And so Burnham really got a lot
- 1:13:31Speaker 12: of attention in the pandemic. He was also he was
- 1:13:33Speaker 12: already a very high profile figure because you know, being
- 1:13:36Speaker 12: the mayor of Manchester is a big, high profile job.
- 1:13:38Speaker 12: It's a big important city in the UK. Now, the
- 1:13:42Speaker 12: problem here is that Andy Burnham is not an MP,
- 1:13:44Speaker 12: and so that's the That's so there was all this
- 1:13:50Speaker 12: polling done that suggested he's the most popular politician. His
- 1:13:54Speaker 12: net favorability is sort of somewhere in the mid thirties
- 1:13:57Speaker 12: and sort of seeming everyone else in British policy is
- 1:14:01Speaker 12: in the low teens or the minus numbers. But the
- 1:14:04Speaker 12: problem is Andy Burnham is not an MP and as
- 1:14:07Speaker 12: such he can't be Prime Minister. So then on Thursday,
- 1:14:13Speaker 12: a fairly extraordinary thing happened. Josh Simons, who is a
- 1:14:17Speaker 12: Labor MP in Makerfield, which a constituency just outside of Manchester,
- 1:14:22Speaker 12: announced that he was going to step aside and therefore
- 1:14:26Speaker 12: force a by election, which is what we call a
- 1:14:28Speaker 12: special election, in which Andy Burnham could stand so that
- 1:14:33Speaker 12: he could become the MP for Makerfield and therefore run
- 1:14:37Speaker 12: for Prime minister. It is I feel like the word
- 1:14:40Speaker 12: unprecedented has lost all meaning in the last decade, both
- 1:14:44Speaker 12: in my country and in yours.
- 1:14:45Speaker 8: But this is pretty unprecedented.
- 1:14:49Speaker 12: So now what comes next, basically for the Labor Party
- 1:14:52Speaker 12: is this special election in Makerfield to determine if Andy
- 1:14:57Speaker 12: Burnham is going to become an MP, to determine if
- 1:14:59Speaker 12: he can challenge kids Done for Prime minister. In the interim,
- 1:15:02Speaker 12: nobody has shown any appetite to challenge Starma, So Starbar
- 1:15:07Speaker 12: is still in post, but he's sort of shrouding as
- 1:15:11Speaker 12: Prime Minister, like he sort of is and isn't Prime
- 1:15:13Speaker 12: Minister at the same time. It's quite an unbelievable situation
- 1:15:17Speaker 12: because everybody knows he is kind of he is on
- 1:15:22Speaker 12: the way out. It's I honestly, it's sort of baffling.
- 1:15:25Speaker 10: You know.
- 1:15:26Speaker 12: I'm used to the last couple of years of Richie Sunak.
- 1:15:28Speaker 12: Everybody knew he was going to lose the next election,
- 1:15:32Speaker 12: so every time he announced anything, everyone be like, yeah,
- 1:15:34Speaker 12: kol buddy, I've seen in a couple of years. Yeah,
- 1:15:36Speaker 12: I'll see when McDonald's in a couple of years. Like,
- 1:15:38Speaker 12: you know, that's not it's not particularly born to any
- 1:15:41Speaker 12: of us. So, but this is pretty pretty extraordinary because technically,
- 1:15:46Speaker 12: from an electoral basis, Starmer just won a huge majority.
- 1:15:49Speaker 12: He doesn't have to call an election until twenty and
- 1:15:53Speaker 12: twenty nine if he wants to. That's how far he
- 1:15:55Speaker 12: can push it. But he has seemingly no about to
- 1:16:01Speaker 12: run the country in the minute.
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: Yeah, or leaders on party.
- 1:16:03Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: The Andy Burnham by election is remarkable because you noted
- 1:16:06Speaker 1: like he's going to run. It's not a sure thing
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: that will win this seat, first of all, given the
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: mood music in the country, but also you're in a
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: situation where we have like what thirty forty thousand people
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: vote to maybe make this guy an MP, and if
- 1:16:18Speaker 1: they make him an MP, he's the odds on favorite
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: to be prime minister. So you're kind of voting for
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: this guy be prime minister, but not because that's not
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: the process. The other name that's been thrown out there
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: recently is Ed Miliband of the Miliban family, but the
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: sandwich loving variety. He's the Energy Minister currently. It sounds
- 1:16:38Speaker 1: like he's been doing a lot of plotting behind the scenes.
- 1:16:41Speaker 1: Is he really a candidate? Do you think for prime minister?
- 1:16:45Speaker 12: So he I mean he did, he was leader of
- 1:16:47Speaker 12: the Labor Party. He did run for prime minister. He
- 1:16:50Speaker 12: lost the twenty fifteen election and then he was sort
- 1:16:56Speaker 12: of slightly cast out into the political wilton. But whilst
- 1:17:01Speaker 12: in the wilderness, he sort of, through media appearances and
- 1:17:05Speaker 12: through a very successful podcast that he co hosted for
- 1:17:07Speaker 12: a while, sort of rehabilitated his public image. Also, he
- 1:17:11Speaker 12: continued to be an MP in that time. He didn't
- 1:17:12Speaker 12: just immediately quit his job in politics completely and go
- 1:17:17Speaker 12: and cash it in the private sector, but he rebuilt
- 1:17:20Speaker 12: his kind of political capital in this country which is
- 1:17:22Speaker 12: completely fascinating, and he is a sort of nationally popular
- 1:17:29Speaker 12: figure now. I think that I don't know what it
- 1:17:32Speaker 12: would be like if he attempted to run for prime
- 1:17:34Speaker 12: minister again. I don't know how that would look because
- 1:17:37Speaker 12: a lot of these sort of accusations that were leveled
- 1:17:39Speaker 12: at him in twenty fifteen might come back around again.
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: Now.
- 1:17:44Speaker 12: I will say the twenty fifteen UK election and this
- 1:17:47Speaker 12: is there's no need for us to get too far
- 1:17:49Speaker 12: in the weeds of This was a very strange and
- 1:17:52Speaker 12: peculiar event because it sort of happens. It's the Sandwich
- 1:17:56Speaker 12: filling in between two referendums. So there was the Scottish
- 1:17:59Speaker 12: Independence friendum, which the pro independence lobby lost, and then
- 1:18:04Speaker 12: there was the Brexit referendum the year after, and those
- 1:18:06Speaker 12: two things are the factor around that election, right, because
- 1:18:09Speaker 12: the Scottish voters were so incensed by the Labor role
- 1:18:13Speaker 12: in helping to deliver a no vote in the Independent
- 1:18:16Speaker 12: in the independence referendum, and then which then led to
- 1:18:19Speaker 12: the Conservative government essentially sort of disregarding Scotland immediately after
- 1:18:24Speaker 12: it decided to remain a part of the United Kingdom
- 1:18:26Speaker 12: that they switched en mass to the Scottish National Party
- 1:18:30Speaker 12: the SNP, so a lot of progressive voters in Scotland,
- 1:18:33Speaker 12: which were a huge part of Labour support based switched parties. Also,
- 1:18:37Speaker 12: David Cameron went into the twenty fifteen election promising a
- 1:18:41Speaker 12: referendum on the Britain's membership of the EU, so he
- 1:18:44Speaker 12: essentially headed off the threat Nigel for so Labor support
- 1:18:47Speaker 12: collapsed on its left flank and the Conservative sort of
- 1:18:52Speaker 12: electoral split that had dogged the party for most of
- 1:18:54Speaker 12: the twenty first century was essentially found a kind of
- 1:18:58Speaker 12: Dayton because Nigel for was and like, well, I guess
- 1:19:01Speaker 12: we don't need to run that hard because these guys
- 1:19:03Speaker 12: are going to give us a Brexit referendum.
- 1:19:04Speaker 8: So that you know that, it's sort of so in
- 1:19:06Speaker 8: Milliban losing that election.
- 1:19:08Speaker 12: There's some wider circumstances that obviously aren't at play at
- 1:19:11Speaker 12: this point, so you can sort of see why. But
- 1:19:13Speaker 12: I still think he's not going to run. All of
- 1:19:16Speaker 12: the rumors coming out of the UK press at the
- 1:19:19Speaker 12: moment are that he was threatening to run if there
- 1:19:23Speaker 12: was no viable candidate from the soft left of the
- 1:19:26Speaker 12: Labor Party, and he was essentially threatening to run on
- 1:19:29Speaker 12: a platform of Jesus fucking Christ.
- 1:19:32Speaker 8: Not a whears.
- 1:19:33Speaker 12: I think from what I could tell that while Streeting
- 1:19:37Speaker 12: was like touting his credentials as a candidate, Ed Milivam
- 1:19:40Speaker 12: was like, listen, if it has to be, it has
- 1:19:44Speaker 12: to be someone other than this fucking guy.
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: Got it. Look, I know that feeling. I mentioned Brexit
- 1:19:51Speaker 1: a few times there. From an outsider's perspective, it just
- 1:19:53Speaker 1: seems so obvious that Brexit was a mess, It was
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: a disaster. It was sold to the public on all
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: of these lies about funding for the NHS, stopping the boats,
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: et cetera, and that it has harmed the UK. Therefore,
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: it has always been confusing to me that Labor isn't
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: more for throaded about reversing Brexit or like, I don't know,
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: talking it down running against it.
- 1:20:15Speaker 4: Why is that?
- 1:20:16Speaker 1: Like what am I missing here?
- 1:20:18Speaker 12: Because of our kind of screwy electoral systems, Like that's
- 1:20:23Speaker 12: screwy in a different way to yours. So like obviously
- 1:20:26Speaker 12: the electoral college, what the hell is going on? I
- 1:20:29Speaker 12: don't understand, None of us will ever understand why that's
- 1:20:31Speaker 12: allowed to have. But our first past the post system
- 1:20:34Speaker 12: means that the same problem essentially occurs, which is there
- 1:20:37Speaker 12: is a disproportionate importance to a small group of voters
- 1:20:42Speaker 12: in potentially swing constituencies and a lot of Labor support
- 1:20:47Speaker 12: collapsed in what they call the red Wall, so vote
- 1:20:51Speaker 12: constituencies in the North of England that had historically voted
- 1:20:54Speaker 12: Labor but then voted Brexit in twenty sixteen then deserted
- 1:20:59Speaker 12: the party And part of the thinking around that is
- 1:21:01Speaker 12: that it's over the Brexit vote. So that's why the
- 1:21:04Speaker 12: Labour py Essentially at this point, no one, including Nigel Farage,
- 1:21:09Speaker 12: the man who absolutely agitated for Brexit, had been championing
- 1:21:13Speaker 12: and touting it as a political project for really twenty years.
- 1:21:18Speaker 12: No one talks about Brexit anymore because everybody is afraid
- 1:21:22Speaker 12: to engage with the fact that it has negatively affected
- 1:21:25Speaker 12: our economy. It is making us poorer. But there is
- 1:21:29Speaker 12: no political will to reverse any of the decisions behind it,
- 1:21:33Speaker 12: because I think there is, and also, to be honest
- 1:21:35Speaker 12: with you, there is a real fit. It was really
- 1:21:38Speaker 12: really ugly and you know, a sitting MP in the
- 1:21:43Speaker 12: lead up to the referendum was murdered by a man
- 1:21:45Speaker 12: who in court gave his name as Freedom for Britain.
- 1:21:48Speaker 12: And there is also a fatigue about rehashing those arguments.
- 1:21:53Speaker 12: But I totally understand that from an outsider's perspective, it
- 1:21:57Speaker 12: feels completely inexplicable that we don't at least talk about
- 1:22:01Speaker 12: mitigating some of the effects of Brexit. And the big
- 1:22:05Speaker 12: problem was that nobody agreed what it was until it
- 1:22:08Speaker 12: had been voted for. So if you go back and
- 1:22:10Speaker 12: look at the campaign, they were making all kinds of
- 1:22:13Speaker 12: crazy claims and they were also very in the short
- 1:22:18Speaker 12: term clever by not fully defining the exact terms of it,
- 1:22:21Speaker 12: so it was able to be this kind of diffuse
- 1:22:23Speaker 12: thing that was going to deliver more money for the
- 1:22:27Speaker 12: public sector. And actually because of that we spent we
- 1:22:31Speaker 12: had kind of three years of just no political movement
- 1:22:33Speaker 12: whatsoever as people tried to work out what it was
- 1:22:37Speaker 12: that they had just asked the country to vote on.
- 1:22:39Speaker 12: So there is so little political appetite. But I totally
- 1:22:42Speaker 12: understand people looking at the UK must be totally confused
- 1:22:46Speaker 12: by it.
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: No, I would love to have three more years of
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: debilting hard or saft Brexit or Irish tax stuffs or
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: rather bullshit. We all had to learn time on some level.
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: I get it. You mentioned nagel FROs there, like, here's
- 1:22:59Speaker 1: the lead of Reform UK, this new far right party.
- 1:23:02Speaker 1: They gained a lot of ground in these elections. It
- 1:23:05Speaker 1: is objectively bad to have a like right wings xenophobic
- 1:23:09Speaker 1: political party do that well, especially one run by a
- 1:23:12Speaker 1: clown in a charlatan. I guess I could squint at
- 1:23:15Speaker 1: it another way and say, I don't know, maybe this
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: signals there's a cap on their support sort of in
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: the twenties low thirty percent that we've seen across Europe.
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: How worried are you about the rise of reform in
- 1:23:26Speaker 1: the potential for Nigel Farage to be the prime minister.
- 1:23:30Speaker 12: There's a lot of people making the case that based
- 1:23:32Speaker 12: on polling projections from twelve months ago, reform actually underperformed
- 1:23:38Speaker 12: in these local elections, and that you know, there are
- 1:23:43Speaker 12: various statisticians that are trying to make the case that
- 1:23:46Speaker 12: reform support may have peaked. Nigel Farage is also sort
- 1:23:51Speaker 12: of embroiled in another scandal at the moment over here
- 1:23:53Speaker 12: where just before he became an MP, he got five
- 1:23:57Speaker 12: million pounds from a cryptocurrency Christopher Harbin yeeze. He's based
- 1:24:02Speaker 12: in Thailand. Yeah, it is is five million pounds and
- 1:24:05Speaker 12: he said initially it was because he needed that.
- 1:24:09Speaker 8: Money for security for the rest of his life.
- 1:24:12Speaker 12: He then, when he was pressed on it, said that
- 1:24:15Speaker 12: he it was a present for doing Brexit.
- 1:24:18Speaker 1: A reward like campaigning Forxit.
- 1:24:20Speaker 12: It was a reward for campaign for Brexit. Regardless of
- 1:24:24Speaker 12: the reasoning for why the money came in. He did
- 1:24:27Speaker 12: not long after it landed his in his account by
- 1:24:30Speaker 12: a house in cash for about for about one point
- 1:24:33Speaker 12: four million pounds.
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: Didn't Kire Stormberg get killed for taking like clothes from supporters,
- 1:24:38Speaker 1: like eyeglasses, Like again, yeahs tens of thousand dollars, Like
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: I understand why I was an issue. Clean that shit up,
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: but like it just it feels like the press doesn't
- 1:24:47Speaker 1: cover Farage like a real candidate. They cover him like
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: a pundit or some like I don't know, the performance artist.
- 1:24:54Speaker 8: Yeah.
- 1:24:54Speaker 12: On parts of the UK, we had to talk a
- 1:24:56Speaker 12: little bit about the fact that the leader of the
- 1:24:57Speaker 12: Green Party, zak Planski, who was sort of polling very
- 1:25:00Speaker 12: well and taking votes from labor from the political left
- 1:25:04Speaker 12: may or may not have paid council tax, which is
- 1:25:08Speaker 12: the tax that you pay on wherever you live in
- 1:25:10Speaker 12: this like your house tax, essentially on a narrow boat
- 1:25:14Speaker 12: that he lived on for a period about ten years ago.
- 1:25:17Speaker 12: And so we were talking about, you know, we're talking
- 1:25:20Speaker 12: about whenever we talk about politicians like Starma and Polanski,
- 1:25:24Speaker 12: we're talking about scandals that are sometimes in the hundreds
- 1:25:27Speaker 12: and the thousands. But Nigel Frans, we are talking about
- 1:25:30Speaker 12: five million pounds from from a crypto billionaire. Reforms platform
- 1:25:37Speaker 12: has pushed the idea that deregulating cryptocurrency would be something
- 1:25:41Speaker 12: that they were pushed for in government. There are a
- 1:25:43Speaker 12: lot of signs for that. So this is you know,
- 1:25:45Speaker 12: if it looks like corruption and smells like corruption, but
- 1:25:47Speaker 12: it is We both suffer from this kind of scrutiny
- 1:25:51Speaker 12: deficit in with right wing politicians and people like us
- 1:25:55Speaker 12: get ourselves sort of twisted and contorted because we're all
- 1:26:00Speaker 12: trying to do the right thing. Progressive people want to
- 1:26:02Speaker 12: hold progressive politicians to a moral standard that we have
- 1:26:08Speaker 12: all agreed upon that transcends our political biases and leanings right,
- 1:26:13Speaker 12: and that's fine. Unfortunately, in the last ten years, the
- 1:26:18Speaker 12: other side of the political spectrum has abandoned that, you know,
- 1:26:24Speaker 12: shared moral code. So it means that it creates the
- 1:26:28Speaker 12: scrutiny deficit where if a left wing politician does something
- 1:26:34Speaker 12: that we considered to be a transgression, everyone piles in
- 1:26:36Speaker 12: on them. If a right wing politician does it, the
- 1:26:38Speaker 12: right wing press and other right wing politicians kind of
- 1:26:41Speaker 12: shrug their shoulders. And I do think with Vraj is
- 1:26:46Speaker 12: fucking baffling, like he is treated like no other politician
- 1:26:51Speaker 12: in my lifetime apart from Boris Johnson and the really
- 1:26:55Speaker 12: interesting thing about Boris Johnson is that when things really
- 1:26:58Speaker 12: went south for him, when all of those revels came
- 1:27:00Speaker 12: out about lockdown parties, it was the conservative press in
- 1:27:03Speaker 12: this country that went after him. And I think that's
- 1:27:06Speaker 12: a slightly underdiscussed part of the collapse of Johnson. It
- 1:27:10Speaker 12: was just the first.
- 1:27:11Speaker 8: Time in a long long time.
- 1:27:14Speaker 12: That a kind of right wing populist was fully exposed
- 1:27:21Speaker 12: to total scrutiny of their actions and behavior by the
- 1:27:25Speaker 12: entirety of the UK press. And Johnson's political career collapsed
- 1:27:29Speaker 12: on contact with that scrutiny. And it would be really
- 1:27:32Speaker 12: interesting if you know, conservative papers did pick up on
- 1:27:36Speaker 12: this for our story, but I suspect it won't.
- 1:27:38Speaker 8: You know, if you if you sort of speak in defense.
- 1:27:42Speaker 12: Of deregulated capital, people tend to find a way to
- 1:27:46Speaker 12: excuse whatever behaviors you're engaged.
- 1:27:48Speaker 1: Oh gut, listen, brothers, you're pretty the choir over here.
- 1:27:50Speaker 1: I mean, Trump just created a one point seven seven
- 1:27:54Speaker 1: six billion dollars slush fund for his political allies. And
- 1:27:57Speaker 1: I was watching Fox News before I walked in here,
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: and they were doing a segment about an AOC interview
- 1:28:03Speaker 1: from May thirteenth, So like whatever it takes to keep
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: from talking about dear leader. Is they what they'll do?
- 1:28:11Speaker 1: Final question for you, So this summer July sixteenth through eighteenth,
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: I think I know where you're going to be Seapack
- 1:28:18Speaker 1: Britain is taking London by a story.
- 1:28:19Speaker 12: Yes, yes, I'm opening for them. I'm going to do
- 1:28:22Speaker 12: twenty minutes of comedy too open for city.
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: Let's watch a quick hype video by one of the
- 1:28:27Speaker 1: leading lights of British politics to kind of like get
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: us fired up to talk about this. Here we go.
- 1:28:31Speaker 13: We are launching a British Seapack which is going to
- 1:28:34Speaker 13: take place this summer, bringing together conservatives of all parties,
- 1:28:40Speaker 13: not just from Britain but from the United States, from
- 1:28:44Speaker 13: Europe and from.
- 1:28:44Speaker 5: Around the world.
- 1:28:45Speaker 1: Two questions, will you be purchasing the one hundred pound
- 1:28:48Speaker 1: ticket or the ten thousand pound ticket? And why does
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: she talk at point five x speed? It drives me
- 1:28:53Speaker 1: absolutely insane.
- 1:28:55Speaker 12: I will be purchasing. I will immediately go straight into
- 1:28:58Speaker 12: the ten grand package. Got to have front row to
- 1:29:01Speaker 12: seapac UK. The issue that seapac UK has is that
- 1:29:05Speaker 12: right now Liz Trust is so politically radioactive that even
- 1:29:11Speaker 12: Nigel Farage isn't going to turn up to it. Oh really,
- 1:29:15Speaker 12: so far he's an Yeah, so far he's not because
- 1:29:18Speaker 12: she is so politically toxic that no one wants to
- 1:29:21Speaker 12: be photographed stood next to her. And I mean, listen,
- 1:29:25Speaker 12: I am fascinated to see who turns up. I imagine
- 1:29:27Speaker 12: it's going to be a who's who of British conservative
- 1:29:31Speaker 12: batshitter read like, it is really going to be woodstock
- 1:29:34Speaker 12: for red faced men called Christopher, like it is going
- 1:29:38Speaker 12: to be really like it's really and I listen, and
- 1:29:42Speaker 12: I imagine we'll get some like leading lights from the
- 1:29:44Speaker 12: European far right as well. I believe Victor Alburtn has
- 1:29:48Speaker 12: some time on his hands right now.
- 1:29:50Speaker 1: Oh yeah, he'll be there. He'll be punching tickets at
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: the front drinks.
- 1:29:55Speaker 8: I believe all has got some type.
- 1:29:57Speaker 12: But like, the problem with these kind of fringe jobs
- 1:30:00Speaker 12: is that they are obviously funny to look at, but
- 1:30:05Speaker 12: the ideas that they're propagating do have a way into
- 1:30:09Speaker 12: the British political mainstream because you know, as much as
- 1:30:11Speaker 12: Farage wants to distance himself from them for sort of
- 1:30:15Speaker 12: electoral reasons, he's essentially offering the same policy platform. You know,
- 1:30:19Speaker 12: he he's more competently presenting it, but it's the same shit.
- 1:30:24Speaker 1: Seapack went from this thing that would happen we'd all
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: make fun of it, was like, you know, the bar
- 1:30:28Speaker 1: scene from Star Wars to being just like the Maga
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: base and the guy who founded Seapack and still runs it,
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: like allegedly runs around bars when he gets drunk and
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: just like grabs guys cocks. That hasn't mattered. For whatever reason,
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: it's going to match slap and so yeah, I mean
- 1:30:45Speaker 1: like it is. It's a pernicious thing. It managed to
- 1:30:48Speaker 1: seep into the politics. There's a lot of money behind it.
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: I think there's a question about I'd love to know
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: who's funding you know, Seapack UK is. You know, there's
- 1:30:56Speaker 1: some question now whether the Seapack Hungary was getting funded
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: by the Russians. There's a lot more learning now that
- 1:31:01Speaker 1: Orbon is out and the records are open. But we
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: will watch it, we will make fun of it. But
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: also your rights to say it's a it's a problem.
- 1:31:09Speaker 12: I think it's really important to tread a line between
- 1:31:12Speaker 12: saying this is a real problem. It presents some dangerous
- 1:31:15Speaker 12: ideas for us, but it is also important to say,
- 1:31:18Speaker 12: fuck me, these these lads are weird. Like, it's really
- 1:31:21Speaker 12: important that we don't lose sight of the basic strangeness
- 1:31:24Speaker 12: of a lot of these people because they are so strange.
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: So strange. Oh, this is why we need comedy and
- 1:31:30Speaker 1: stand up comedians, because you know, you guys are like
- 1:31:33Speaker 1: fun bullies. You know, we pig down these losers.
- 1:31:37Speaker 8: What a astonishing dismissal of my whole profession.
- 1:31:42Speaker 1: I wish I could do a stand up every time.
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: Every time we walk out on stage to do like
- 1:31:47Speaker 1: a live podcast or something, I always think to myself, Man,
- 1:31:49Speaker 1: imagine if I was doing something actually cool, like comedy
- 1:31:53Speaker 1: or music. I'm looking at your guitar back behind you.
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: See a nice amp in the corner.
- 1:31:57Speaker 12: Yeah, I've got a lot of listen I got. I
- 1:32:00Speaker 12: got started with my midlife crisis about ten years early.
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: Oh good.
- 1:32:03Speaker 12: In fact, actually, to be honest, my whole career as
- 1:32:06Speaker 12: a stand up comedian is a midlife crisis.
- 1:32:08Speaker 8: It just began when I was twenty two. So like
- 1:32:10Speaker 8: I'm just I've always been ahead of the curve.
- 1:32:12Speaker 1: I'm proud of you. Well, I got into podcasting as
- 1:32:15Speaker 1: a grown adult. Thank you so much for joining the show.
- 1:32:18Speaker 1: Everyone should listen to Patsy of the UK and check
- 1:32:20Speaker 1: out your special Nisch Don't Kill My Vibe on YouTube now.
- 1:32:23Speaker 12: Perfect beautiful, that's why, right right away, now watch right now.
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: Thanks again to nish Kumar for joining the show. And
- 1:32:34Speaker 1: now you are going to hear exclusive, more exclusive confirmation
- 1:32:38Speaker 1: about Ben's book All We Say, which you should have
- 1:32:40Speaker 1: already bought by now, and if you haven't.
- 1:32:42Speaker 6: This audiobook I serve is going to put you over
- 1:32:44Speaker 6: the top.
- 1:32:44Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm disappointing you if you don't.
- 1:32:46Speaker 6: We live in a cynical time. We are surrounded by
- 1:32:50Speaker 6: forces designed to make us feel like we lack control.
- 1:32:55Speaker 6: Whether it's an algorithm that shapes what we see, an
- 1:32:59Speaker 6: oligarchy that controls wealth and power, a world untethered from
- 1:33:05Speaker 6: old notions of order, a climate that is changing, or
- 1:33:09Speaker 6: artificial intelligence which mimics human functions and thought. Corruption abounds.
- 1:33:16Speaker 6: The existence of truth itself is distorted and contested. Yet
- 1:33:21Speaker 6: history shows us that the words we speak can matter.
- 1:33:26Speaker 6: They have started wars and forged peace, sparked movements and
- 1:33:31Speaker 6: elected presidents, changed minds, and foretold the future. The greatest
- 1:33:39Speaker 6: speeches are the ones that tell hard truths that force
- 1:33:43Speaker 6: us to confront the world as it is, while demanding
- 1:33:47Speaker 6: that we pursue the world as we want it to be.
- 1:33:51Speaker 6: We begin this journey with Benjamin Franklin's closing argument at
- 1:33:55Speaker 6: the Constitutional Convention in seventeen eighty seven. The Constitution was
- 1:34:01Speaker 6: a profoundly imperfect document, filled with the compromises of a
- 1:34:06Speaker 6: union and a system of government agreed upon by people
- 1:34:09Speaker 6: with different beliefs, backgrounds, and interests. We still do not
- 1:34:15Speaker 6: know the end of the story that Franklin and his
- 1:34:17Speaker 6: cohort began, but this book rejects an effort by one leader,
- 1:34:22Speaker 6: backed by one faction of this country, to take custody
- 1:34:26Speaker 6: of the American story. American identity is about having obligations
- 1:34:32Speaker 6: to a common creed rather than a shared heritage or
- 1:34:36Speaker 6: piece of territory. It is not their story, it is ours.
- 1:34:42Speaker 6: And by learning from these words spoken in the past,
- 1:34:45Speaker 6: we are reminded that history is a living thing and
- 1:34:49Speaker 6: that we have the capacity to change it.
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: Podsey of the World is a crook media production. Our
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: show is produced by Alone Minkowski, Michael Goldsmith and Anisia
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: Bonnerchy are teamically. Matt de Grot, then Heathcote Jordan Canter,
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: Kenny Moffett, David Toles, and Ryan Young. The staff is
- 1:35:04Speaker 1: proudly unionized with the Writers Guild of America East